1 00:00:13,960 --> 00:00:14,600 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Sunday morning episode of 3 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 2: the Dally Juice Podcast with me Matt Parrelt at Sports 4 00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:21,920 Speaker 2: Talk Matt to follow me on Twitter. This podcast being 5 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 2: brought to you by bet MGM and the new offer 6 00:00:24,960 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 2: for the offer for new users one thousand dollars first 7 00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:33,000 Speaker 2: bet offer with the promo code Juice at betmgm dot com. Okay, 8 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:36,400 Speaker 2: a two and one day. I have a very similar 9 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:40,599 Speaker 2: card to yesterday, Okay, and we're gonna jump in here. 10 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:44,879 Speaker 2: It's almost identical. We did a first half, we did 11 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:47,360 Speaker 2: a total, and we did a side, went two and one, 12 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:50,639 Speaker 2: up one unit. We're gonna come back with a similar 13 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 2: type of bet. I need to go two and one again. 14 00:00:53,440 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 2: And if we do go two and one, then we're 15 00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 2: basically flat for the week. We're down one unit for 16 00:00:57,280 --> 00:01:00,279 Speaker 2: the week, so three to oho and we're profitable zero 17 00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 2: and three and we'll obviously we're down for four units 18 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:04,839 Speaker 2: for the week. But if we go two and one, 19 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 2: we'll wind up being just flat for the week. So 20 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:12,120 Speaker 2: I don't love baseball today. I don't like betting baseball 21 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:15,600 Speaker 2: on Sunday. Ever, and then tomorrow we have massive hockey 22 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:17,319 Speaker 2: to get into tomorrow. So don't want to go through 23 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:20,160 Speaker 2: a huge car and bet a ton today. But I 24 00:01:20,200 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 2: do have three plays that I like in the NBA 25 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:25,399 Speaker 2: coming at you here for today. Before I give you 26 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 2: the picks, you guys have a chance to pick up 27 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:31,319 Speaker 2: a free year of Betting Pros Premium. We've been telling 28 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 2: you about how you can enter into this contest. It's 29 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 2: very simple and very easy to do. So all you 30 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 2: have to do is like this video, subscribe to the 31 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:42,479 Speaker 2: Betting Pros YouTube channel, and comment underneath me, because when 32 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:46,039 Speaker 2: you do, you will be entered into the contest to 33 00:01:46,080 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 2: be upgraded for free to Betting Pros Premium. Whether you're 34 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 2: looking for access to exclusive picks, top rated player props, 35 00:01:51,880 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 2: or custom analysis of your betting performance, Betting Pros Premium 36 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:56,800 Speaker 2: has the tools to help you cash more bets. 37 00:01:56,840 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 1: It's that simple. But if you don't want to wait 38 00:01:58,320 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 1: till the end of the month, you. 39 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 2: Can sign today at bettingpros dot com, slash upgrade and 40 00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:07,920 Speaker 2: start betting smarter, not harder. Okay, let's get right to 41 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:11,360 Speaker 2: it here and let's talk a little bit about the 42 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 2: Miami Heat and the Milwaukee Bucks. So I don't know 43 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 2: why I've been so kind of interested in looking at 44 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 2: the first half numbers, but I have been and I'm 45 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 2: looking at these like large, large numbers, and I'm concerned 46 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 2: about it. I'm like, man, I don't know if I 47 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 2: want to go ahead and lay this, but you know, 48 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:35,960 Speaker 2: it's interesting to see how when you look at numbers 49 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:39,520 Speaker 2: in playoff teams and the teams that play in the 50 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:41,960 Speaker 2: play in I'm kind of looking to fade them, to 51 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:45,679 Speaker 2: be quite honest. In particular, in the first half, they've 52 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:49,320 Speaker 2: been traveling the Heat, played two games, and now they 53 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 2: get the Bucks. The line is five, much like Boston. 54 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 1: Now. 55 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 2: Boston took on Atlanta at home, they were up thirty. 56 00:02:57,639 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 2: That was the easiest bet I've hit, maybe since I 57 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 2: came back to the Juice thirty up thirty, laying five. 58 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 2: It's the same bet here with the Bucks. They're seven 59 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:11,399 Speaker 2: and three ats over their last ten games, up three 60 00:03:11,440 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 2: point sixty five units against the spread in the first half. 61 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 2: This Milwaukee team can score, as we know, and I 62 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:23,800 Speaker 2: don't think there's really a natural stop gap for Giannis 63 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 2: now at. 64 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:25,840 Speaker 1: Home this year. 65 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 2: If you look at just the whole season for Milwaukee, 66 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:31,799 Speaker 2: in the first half, they've been Okay, they're twenty twenty 67 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:34,000 Speaker 2: in one, but it's tough to look at that because 68 00:03:34,040 --> 00:03:36,360 Speaker 2: the NBA is such an up and down watching on sorry, 69 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 2: they're forty four to thirty seven in one, sorry. 70 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 1: On the year at home. 71 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 2: On the year, that's where they are, twenty twenty and one, 72 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 2: down two point twenty five units. But recently, as they 73 00:03:46,320 --> 00:03:49,600 Speaker 2: got closer to the playoffs, they started to play more aggressively, 74 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:52,720 Speaker 2: started to get after it more and be just a 75 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 2: better team. The Heat were three and seven ats, down 76 00:03:56,600 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 2: five units in the first half down the stretch ten games. 77 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:02,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the five here. 78 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 2: It's minus five one point one units the Bucks in 79 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:06,800 Speaker 2: the first half. 80 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 1: I just think it's similar to Boston. 81 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 2: I think they come out, they blitz Miami, they get 82 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 2: a lead, they go to half, maybe a blowout basketball game. 83 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:16,720 Speaker 2: I don't mind laying the nine, but I'm gonna lay 84 00:04:16,720 --> 00:04:19,800 Speaker 2: the five, much like we did with the Celtics. The 85 00:04:19,839 --> 00:04:25,599 Speaker 2: Bucks minus five up against the Miami Heat. Okay, second 86 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 2: bet Lakers and the Memphis Grizzlies. So the Lakers on 87 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 2: the road were nineteen twenty one in one, but they're 88 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:38,479 Speaker 2: one in four over the last five after maybe Sacramento 89 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:44,040 Speaker 2: just is gonna influence me. But these new franchises, I'll 90 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:50,000 Speaker 2: call them Sacramento, Memphis, Lakers, and Golden State. These are 91 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:54,239 Speaker 2: blue bloods coming into your building. This gets the crowd 92 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 2: at full throat the entire game. That crowd at the 93 00:04:56,960 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 2: in Sacramento was out leaping stand They were phenomenal. I 94 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:05,159 Speaker 2: think we're gonna see a similar thing here. I know 95 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 2: the numbers aren't great. I know the numbers for the Lakers. 96 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:12,400 Speaker 2: They've done pretty well against Memphis this year, to be 97 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:16,040 Speaker 2: quite honest, Memphis at home though twenty three, seventeen and 98 00:05:16,200 --> 00:05:20,479 Speaker 2: one ats. They weren't great against a Western conference. But look, 99 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 2: I think here at home in game one, I like 100 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:26,360 Speaker 2: Memphis to get off to a fast start here. Again, 101 00:05:26,400 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 2: this is a team who played in the play in 102 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:30,360 Speaker 2: in the Lakers, they had some time to rest because 103 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 2: they won their game, but they were at home in 104 00:05:32,560 --> 00:05:36,040 Speaker 2: that one. They're traveling to Memphis here. Lebron's not been 105 00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 2: great in game ones coming out. I mean, he's a 106 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:42,040 Speaker 2: notorious for it, and I think the Memphis Grizz is 107 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:43,919 Speaker 2: gonna do enough to slow down Anthony Davis. 108 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:45,560 Speaker 1: I like Memphis here. 109 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay to three and a half points, Memphis 110 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:51,359 Speaker 2: minus three and a half for one point one units, 111 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 2: and finally we're going to the Sacramento Sorry, the LA 112 00:05:57,120 --> 00:06:01,440 Speaker 2: Clippers against the Phoenix Suns in Game one. I actually 113 00:06:01,560 --> 00:06:03,719 Speaker 2: was kind of stunned at this when when I pulled 114 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 2: some of the numbers, I kind of couldn't believe. From 115 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:09,479 Speaker 2: a total perspective, the Clippers on the year on the 116 00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:14,080 Speaker 2: road are twenty six and fifteen to the over, twenty 117 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:16,800 Speaker 2: six and fifteen to the over. Last four games heading 118 00:06:16,800 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 2: into the postseason all went over for Sacramento against Phoenix 119 00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:23,480 Speaker 2: as well on the last day of the regular season, 120 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 2: where it was a one nineteen one to fourteen victory 121 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:29,160 Speaker 2: for them, went over by seven and a half. Now 122 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 2: we're right back here into Phoenix. In Phoenix at home, 123 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 2: they were twenty and twenty one to the under, but they. 124 00:06:37,240 --> 00:06:38,839 Speaker 1: Were four and one down the stretch. 125 00:06:39,200 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 2: Last three games went over and against the Western Conference, 126 00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:46,160 Speaker 2: Phoenix was thirty nine nineteen and two to the over. 127 00:06:47,440 --> 00:06:50,960 Speaker 2: I just think pace of play here. I think defensively, 128 00:06:51,600 --> 00:06:54,919 Speaker 2: I don't love the matchup here. I think offensively is 129 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 2: going to tell a lot. I know defensively, Phoenix was 130 00:06:58,080 --> 00:07:01,360 Speaker 2: pretty good this year, but I think the Clippers can score, 131 00:07:02,200 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 2: Clippers are going to be able to move, and then 132 00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:07,679 Speaker 2: with Kevin Durant in the lineup, I mean, I don't 133 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 2: mind laying it, but it's seven and a half. It's 134 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 2: a little bit. It's that number that gives me pause. 135 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:15,840 Speaker 2: I think could be a really fun back and forth game, 136 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:17,920 Speaker 2: up and down type of game here, with a lot 137 00:07:17,960 --> 00:07:20,960 Speaker 2: of pace, a lot of three point shooting going on. 138 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 2: Phoenix number seven and three point percentage. Clippers were twentieth 139 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:30,040 Speaker 2: and three point defense. That's not great clip the Suns 140 00:07:30,040 --> 00:07:33,520 Speaker 2: were seventh and three point defense. Clippers were twentieth. The 141 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 2: Clippers were third in three point percentage, twelfth for phoenixkin 142 00:07:37,640 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 2: the middle of the pack here defensively for them. I 143 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 2: mean threes made per game, tenth for the Clippers, ninth, sorry, no, 144 00:07:46,880 --> 00:07:50,200 Speaker 2: fourteenth for the Phoenix Suns. I just think we're going 145 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:52,480 Speaker 2: to see an up tempo, back and forth type of game. 146 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:54,640 Speaker 2: The first move was to the under. It was two 147 00:07:54,680 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 2: twenty six and a half, moved down to two twenty 148 00:07:57,000 --> 00:07:59,120 Speaker 2: five and a half. I'm just going to ride the 149 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 2: numbers here in Phoenix at home and what we just 150 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:05,200 Speaker 2: saw out of the games today just the incredible pace 151 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 2: that we've seen on some of these teams offensively going 152 00:08:08,440 --> 00:08:12,840 Speaker 2: really using that home crowd momentum. I think Phoenix wins. 153 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 2: Not sure I want to lay seven and a half. 154 00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:17,679 Speaker 2: I think I'd rather play the over. Clippers in Phoenix 155 00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:20,240 Speaker 2: were going over two twenty five and a half for 156 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 2: one point one units. Okay, not a very long podcast 157 00:08:23,280 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 2: today because it's a very similar card in terms of 158 00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:30,320 Speaker 2: what we bet yesterday went to and one yesterday we're 159 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:32,880 Speaker 2: coming back with a very similar type of situation here. 160 00:08:33,240 --> 00:08:35,440 Speaker 2: I might get involved with a player proper too, but 161 00:08:35,520 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 2: probably not simply because well, tomorrow is going to be 162 00:08:38,920 --> 00:08:41,719 Speaker 2: a huge card. We've got so many things going on here. 163 00:08:41,760 --> 00:08:44,679 Speaker 2: By the way, that Boston Bruins win Game one and 164 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:47,080 Speaker 2: win the series bet that thing seemed to minus one 165 00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:47,800 Speaker 2: fifty two. 166 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:48,960 Speaker 1: That went high. 167 00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:51,680 Speaker 2: If you missed that bet and you want to get 168 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 2: involved with another bet, you can bet Bruins to win 169 00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:58,360 Speaker 2: the series parlaid and William Hill caesars what you do 170 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:01,200 Speaker 2: this parlayd with the Golden Knights. 171 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 1: I did that for you know. I jumped in on that. 172 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 2: So if you want a different one, that's a plus 173 00:09:07,240 --> 00:09:10,040 Speaker 2: one oh seven parlay if you want, if you didn't 174 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:12,679 Speaker 2: get the minus one twenty for the Bruins to win 175 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:14,680 Speaker 2: Game one and Bruins win the series, that one point 176 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:16,719 Speaker 2: two units bets, you can come back in again. I 177 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 2: bet them both. You can come in and get the 178 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:21,400 Speaker 2: parlay of Bruins just to win the series, doesn't matter 179 00:09:21,440 --> 00:09:24,360 Speaker 2: a number of games. Knights to beat the Jets doesn't 180 00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:26,839 Speaker 2: matter number of games. So that's an alternative. If you 181 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:29,520 Speaker 2: ended up missing out on that Bruins bet, if it 182 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 2: got to be one fifty two by the time you 183 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 2: saw it, you know want to lay the type of juice. 184 00:09:32,800 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 1: Don't blame you. 185 00:09:33,880 --> 00:09:36,080 Speaker 2: Here's an alternative way of having a bet with the 186 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 2: Bruins on their series and then involving the Golden Knights 187 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:41,720 Speaker 2: against the Jets, both at which I do expect six 188 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:45,080 Speaker 2: games max for both teams to win their series in 189 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:48,160 Speaker 2: advance to the second round. All right, three bets three 190 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:52,000 Speaker 2: point three units in play bucks minus five in the 191 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:56,480 Speaker 2: first half. We are taking the members Grizzlies minus three 192 00:09:56,480 --> 00:09:58,960 Speaker 2: and a half up against the LA Lakers, and we 193 00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:00,679 Speaker 2: are going with the over two twenty five and a 194 00:10:00,760 --> 00:10:04,720 Speaker 2: half for the Clippers and the Suns. Here in game 195 00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:08,080 Speaker 2: one of their best of seven series. All right, let's 196 00:10:08,080 --> 00:10:09,560 Speaker 2: hope we go at least two in one. Let's go 197 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 2: for three and oh today we could have had it. Man, 198 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:16,400 Speaker 2: Steph had a look at the end. Great game. Congress 199 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:18,600 Speaker 2: to the Kings. Awesome game. Let's have some more good, 200 00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:20,400 Speaker 2: good games like that. That was a ton of fun 201 00:10:20,400 --> 00:10:23,000 Speaker 2: to watch that game with the Kings minus Matt Parolt. 202 00:10:23,040 --> 00:10:24,720 Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. 203 00:10:24,840 --> 00:10:27,920 Speaker 2: Every single morning, it is the Dilijuce Podcast being brought 204 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:29,080 Speaker 2: to you by BETEMGM