WEBVTT - BlackRock on Crypto, Tokenization and Future ETFs

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<v Speaker 1>Exchange traded funds are continuing their unstoppable trajectory across global

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<v Speaker 1>financial markets, fundamentally reshaping how capital is allocated, but the

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<v Speaker 1>way investors use them is shifting rapidly. No longer simply

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<v Speaker 1>viewed as a vehicle for broad passive exposure, ETFs are

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<v Speaker 1>increasingly being deployed by both institutional and retail investors to

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<v Speaker 1>express nimble and tactical views and navigate volatile market environments.

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<v Speaker 1>So what are the new innovations driving the next wave

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<v Speaker 1>of ETF adoption and how does Asia fit into this

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<v Speaker 1>evolving global landscape. You're listening to Asia Centric from Bloomberg Intelligence.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm John Lee in Hong Kong. Joining us today is

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<v Speaker 1>Samara Cohen, global head of market Development at black Rock,

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<v Speaker 1>Nicholas Peach, head of APAC I Shares, and we also

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<v Speaker 1>have Rebecca sin head of APAC Funds Research for Bloomberg Intelligence,

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<v Speaker 1>as a special co host. All three are dialing in

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<v Speaker 1>directly from I shared is ETF Certification conference in Singapore. Samara, Nicholas, Rebecca,

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<v Speaker 1>welcome to the show.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you, thank you, thank you for having us.

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<v Speaker 1>Rebecca, can you set the stage, just give us some numbers,

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<v Speaker 1>just how big is the global ETF industry and also

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<v Speaker 1>in Asia.

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<v Speaker 2>So the ETF industry has skyrocketed. We're now globally at

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<v Speaker 2>more than twenty two trillion dollars and in Asia Pacific

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<v Speaker 2>alone we're at two point five trillion dollars, So that's

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of money that's going into ETF. Bloomerig Intelligence

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<v Speaker 2>estimates that by twenty thirty five we're going to reach

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<v Speaker 2>more than fifty trillion in assets, and that's only across ETFs.

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<v Speaker 2>For mutual fund it's one hundred trillion, So that's a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of money that's going into ETF's alone. But in

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<v Speaker 2>Asia Pacific we're seeing tremendous growth. You're on hear from

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<v Speaker 2>last year. Asia Pacific has grown the most at forty

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<v Speaker 2>three percent in assets under management. Now, what's really unique,

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<v Speaker 2>and that's why we thought we would record today in Singapore,

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<v Speaker 2>is that Blackrock is hosting I believe their thirteenth annual

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<v Speaker 2>I Shares certification, and this year it's very unique. They've

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<v Speaker 2>change the color, they've changed the logo and it's called

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<v Speaker 2>level Up because the investors have really leveled up to

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<v Speaker 2>level two point zero. And with that, maybe we start

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<v Speaker 2>with Nick, what are some of the key takeaways that

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<v Speaker 2>you're hearing from investors and what do you want investors

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<v Speaker 2>to know from the certification?

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<v Speaker 3>Sure, thanks, Rebecca, Well, I think really one of the

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<v Speaker 3>questions we are all trying to answer here as part

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<v Speaker 3>of this certification event, you went over the numbers of

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<v Speaker 3>how fast ETF usage is growing. You know, it's not

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<v Speaker 3>just it's not just increasing, it's accelerating, and so one

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<v Speaker 3>of the big questions we're answering is why is that right?

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<v Speaker 3>Because despite the world looking very different and the financial

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<v Speaker 3>rails that we operate on continuing to evolve, a lot

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<v Speaker 3>about the ETF has not changed the transparency, the liquidity,

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<v Speaker 3>and the access that it provides for investors. And yet

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<v Speaker 3>you're still seeing this tremendous growth and these tremendous new

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<v Speaker 3>use cases. And that's really what we're spending our time

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<v Speaker 3>exploring here today over two days.

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<v Speaker 2>And Smart you mentioned this morning in your speech about

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<v Speaker 2>the ETA and how it's a different vehicle. Maybe you

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<v Speaker 2>can share some of your thoughts from this morning.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 5>Absolutely, And Rebecca, I have to say I love that

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<v Speaker 5>you noticed our new brand identity. In addition to kind

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<v Speaker 5>of the visual impact of it, the thing I like

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<v Speaker 5>best is the tagline we're using for I shares globally,

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<v Speaker 5>which is the market is yours. And the reason I

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<v Speaker 5>love that is I think the reason ETFs have been

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<v Speaker 5>so successful is that they give investors the confidence to

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<v Speaker 5>participate in markets more so than they ever have before.

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<v Speaker 5>And as you heard me mention earlier, I had the

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<v Speaker 5>opportunity to speak at Bloomberg invest a few weeks ago

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<v Speaker 5>in New York, and the president of the New York

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<v Speaker 5>Stock Exchange, my friend Lynn Martin, called ETFs the most

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<v Speaker 5>important innovation in financial technology of the past quarter century.

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<v Speaker 5>I totally agree with her. I think it was much

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<v Speaker 5>cooler coming from her than it would have been coming

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<v Speaker 5>from us. But I think the reason it's so important

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<v Speaker 5>is that ETFs have enabled so much broader participation markets.

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<v Speaker 2>I think what I love about ETF is, ultimately it's

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<v Speaker 2>a lego block. It's a building block that you can

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<v Speaker 2>use to create almost anything that you can imagine. And

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<v Speaker 2>this is the thirteenth annual I Share certification, but I've

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<v Speaker 2>been attending pre COVID, so I was in one of

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<v Speaker 2>the early adopters of this, and what was interesting was

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<v Speaker 2>that when we first had the I Share certification. It

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<v Speaker 2>was about what is an ETF, how do you use it?

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<v Speaker 2>Why is it a wrapper? We were having a conversation

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<v Speaker 2>about ETF versus mutual fund. But I think right now

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<v Speaker 2>we're at level two point zero and maybe Nick, you

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<v Speaker 2>can share some of the stats on the growth that

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<v Speaker 2>you've seen in the survey that you guys did and

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<v Speaker 2>what you were surprised by.

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<v Speaker 4>Absolutely, and you couldn't be more right.

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<v Speaker 3>We do attendee survey before the event and one of

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<v Speaker 3>the questions is how familiar are you with ETFs, And

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<v Speaker 3>this year seventy percent of the attendees said they were

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<v Speaker 3>either had a good understanding of ETFs or an excellent

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<v Speaker 3>understanding of ETFs.

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<v Speaker 4>So the days of ETF one oh one are gone.

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<v Speaker 3>And you know, I think you use the term lego block,

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<v Speaker 3>we use the term toolkit. Or they've gone from exposure

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<v Speaker 3>vehicles to really a core tool in how investors are

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<v Speaker 3>constructing their portfolios today, no matter what it is they're

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<v Speaker 3>trying to do.

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<v Speaker 2>So I think if we look at ETFs, there's practically

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<v Speaker 2>an ETF about everything now, active, passive, crypto, fixed income.

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<v Speaker 2>Maybe we can share what you're seeing from investors.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm happy to and I'm dating myself here, but still

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<v Speaker 3>sticks in my head. Apple had a campaign when they

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<v Speaker 3>released the iPhone three G called there's an app for that,

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<v Speaker 3>And every time I think of ETFs these days, I think, well,

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<v Speaker 3>there's an ETF for that.

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<v Speaker 4>Right For a portfolio use case.

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<v Speaker 3>To give you some specific examples, I think when investors

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<v Speaker 3>build portfolios, they always have a certain amount of their

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<v Speaker 3>assets in cash, right, whether it's for liquidity purposes or

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<v Speaker 3>whether it's because they've just received more money from investors.

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<v Speaker 3>And historically that cash has just sat in a bank

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<v Speaker 3>account at a custodian and earned frankly somewhat inspiring rate

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<v Speaker 3>of return. But now what we've seen is an incredibly

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<v Speaker 3>popular strategy is that cash now gets deployed into an ETF,

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<v Speaker 3>into an ultra short duration treasure ETF, for example, which

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<v Speaker 3>in very popular products. And that's because you know, interest

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<v Speaker 3>rates are non zero, portfolio construction is very competitive, every

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<v Speaker 3>basis point matters, and the ability to deploy capital quickly matters,

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<v Speaker 3>and so in the fixed income space, that's one of

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<v Speaker 3>the use cases we've seen. There's also the access story, right,

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<v Speaker 3>you've your referenced digital assets. I mean, I think you

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<v Speaker 3>know our Bitcoin strategy is a tremendous example of where

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<v Speaker 3>an ETF is providing access to an asset class that

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<v Speaker 3>was really difficult.

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<v Speaker 4>To access previously.

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<v Speaker 3>But also as that ecosystem evolves, now there's a way,

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<v Speaker 3>for example, to get exposure to staked ethereum, which is

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<v Speaker 3>a very different bet on you know how you would

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<v Speaker 3>approach digital assets. And then finally what we term as

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<v Speaker 3>outcome or active ETFs. So if you like your portfolio,

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<v Speaker 3>you like your exposures, but you'd like a little bit

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<v Speaker 3>of extra yield, perhaps some downside protection. Previously you really

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<v Speaker 3>just had to use derivative options to do that, but

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<v Speaker 3>now it's expressible in the ETF wrapper in a very

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<v Speaker 3>cost efficient, liquid way. So those are just a few

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<v Speaker 3>examples of those options. Those tools in your toolkit just

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<v Speaker 3>didn't exist previously.

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<v Speaker 2>I think another thing that's interesting is that there's literally

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<v Speaker 2>an ETF for everything. So for instance, you mentioned the

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<v Speaker 2>defined outcome the strategy, and now it's very very popular.

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<v Speaker 2>Whether you're in the retirement phase or if you're building

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<v Speaker 2>your wealth, you can find a product that's suitable for you.

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<v Speaker 2>And if we look across the fun flows, we've hit

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<v Speaker 2>record numbers this year and last year we've hit record

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<v Speaker 2>numbers and assets under management, record launches, and record fund flows,

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<v Speaker 2>and so it just shows you that the adoption is

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<v Speaker 2>growing significantly across the board. Whether you're an investor that's

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<v Speaker 2>just starting to use ETF or an investors that is

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<v Speaker 2>approaching retirement, there's really an adoption for everyone somorrow.

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<v Speaker 1>I also saw you at the Gloomberg invest but via video.

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<v Speaker 1>I did see you talk a lot about the innovations,

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<v Speaker 1>and Nick mentioned quite a few new atfs. He mentioned bitcoin,

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<v Speaker 1>fixed income ETFs, digital assets. Where are the most exciting

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<v Speaker 1>piece of innovation in ATFS going forward?

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<v Speaker 5>Well, I think the most exciting innovations are the ones

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<v Speaker 5>Rebecca said, building blocks. Nick said, tools in the toolkit.

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<v Speaker 5>I think of VTF says portfolio infrastructure. I'm kind of

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<v Speaker 5>a market plumber by trade. I think what is the

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<v Speaker 5>most interesting right now is ETFs that help construct the

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<v Speaker 5>most resilient, relevant portfolios for the macro and market environment

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<v Speaker 5>that we're in right now, and also, to Rebecca's point,

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<v Speaker 5>really help do that in a way that individual investors

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<v Speaker 5>can customize for their specific time horizons. Liquidity needs risk tolerance,

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<v Speaker 5>and I think that's important because there's a lot of

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<v Speaker 5>like pype and flash in terms of what can go

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<v Speaker 5>into an ETF, and certainly bringing my global perspective to this,

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<v Speaker 5>I think looking at the huge product proliferation that has

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<v Speaker 5>characterized the US ETF landscape, I don't think that's necessarily

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<v Speaker 5>what should get investors the most excited about ETFs. On

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<v Speaker 5>the forward, what's important is ETFs that offer ways to

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<v Speaker 5>better access the bond market, historically extremely hard for individual

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<v Speaker 5>investors to access, particularly in a diversified way. So one

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<v Speaker 5>of the things that's quite interesting for me being here

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<v Speaker 5>in Singapore and just visiting the Asia region overall, is

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<v Speaker 5>that you have a set of sophisticated investors who are

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<v Speaker 5>accelerating their use of ETFs with a lot of the

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<v Speaker 5>global learnings that are in place from other markets, and

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<v Speaker 5>so in particular, the expertise that the industry has developed

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<v Speaker 5>with respect to fixed income ETFs is incredibly exciting at

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<v Speaker 5>this moment in time. And to your point, the bitcoin

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<v Speaker 5>ETPs also, and I should say, you know, when we

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<v Speaker 5>think about doing something into itive, we always start with

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<v Speaker 5>what's the investment thesis? And for us, we really became

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<v Speaker 5>convinced four or five years ago that allocations to bitcoin

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<v Speaker 5>could be an uncorrelated source of return, a diversifier, and

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<v Speaker 5>a portfolio. That's the type of thing that's really exciting

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<v Speaker 5>for us to be able to provide in a portfolio toolkit.

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<v Speaker 2>So maybe if we go off the piping of it.

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<v Speaker 2>There's been a lot of talk about tokenization of ETFs,

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<v Speaker 2>how do you see that evolving?

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<v Speaker 5>Well, tokenization of ETFs is ah and tokenization of equities,

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<v Speaker 5>I should say broadly, is a very live conversation, particularly

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<v Speaker 5>in the United States, and I think what's important first

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<v Speaker 5>to level set is, given how much people are talking

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<v Speaker 5>about tokenization, it's helpful to just look at how big

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<v Speaker 5>the tokenized financial asset market is right now. So crypto

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<v Speaker 5>assets overall are about three trillion US dollars, and of

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<v Speaker 5>course bitcoin is the dominant piece of that. Digital cash,

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<v Speaker 5>which is largely stable coins, is about three hundred billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 5>Tokenized financial assets are actually only thirty billion dollars twenty

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<v Speaker 5>five to thirty billion dollars, so it's like one one

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<v Speaker 5>thousandth of the size about of the ETF market. So

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<v Speaker 5>it's important to kind of level set that were early

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<v Speaker 5>stages in tokenization, but the primary use case right now

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<v Speaker 5>for tokenized equities and ETFs. Interestingly, isn't the investor who's

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<v Speaker 5>currently in ETFs or equities, it's the investor who is

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<v Speaker 5>largely living their financial life on chain. So this growing

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<v Speaker 5>cohort of digital native investors who've largely been in crypto,

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<v Speaker 5>who actually want to diversify out of crypto and into

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<v Speaker 5>traditional financial assets.

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<v Speaker 2>Nick, I see you nodding your head. You are the

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<v Speaker 2>I Shares crypto expert. What can you share, oh about

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<v Speaker 2>what Tomorrow has just said?

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I think you know.

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<v Speaker 3>ETFs have always been about access fundamentally, and it's a

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<v Speaker 3>really interesting new spin on access. Right we've talked a

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<v Speaker 3>lot about giving traditional finance investors access to new exposures

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<v Speaker 3>and new outcomes that they didn't have before. That's the

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<v Speaker 3>ETF right, that's today's token in my view. But when

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<v Speaker 3>we start talking about the primary use cases, it's actually

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<v Speaker 3>the other way around. And so smart used did something

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<v Speaker 3>very interesting earlier today, when it's a very different conversation

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<v Speaker 3>talking to a portfolio builder about allocating, you know, a

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<v Speaker 3>couple of percent of their portfolio to bitcoin, versus talking

0:12:37.840 --> 0:12:41.720
<v Speaker 3>to someone who's one hundred percent cryptonative allocating ten percent

0:12:41.720 --> 0:12:44.880
<v Speaker 3>of the portfolio to global equities, right. But what this

0:12:44.960 --> 0:12:48.199
<v Speaker 3>technology is enabling both ways is access for a different

0:12:48.320 --> 0:12:52.000
<v Speaker 3>vestor bases to access things that they couldn't before. And fundamentally,

0:12:52.040 --> 0:12:54.680
<v Speaker 3>whether it's a token or whether it's an ETF, that's

0:12:54.720 --> 0:12:56.520
<v Speaker 3>what we're talking about here, right, it's a technology that

0:12:56.600 --> 0:12:57.680
<v Speaker 3>enables the access.

0:12:58.559 --> 0:13:00.280
<v Speaker 2>So maybe going back to you tomorrow, So if you

0:13:00.320 --> 0:13:03.000
<v Speaker 2>think of the future of investing, do you see tokenization

0:13:03.240 --> 0:13:06.400
<v Speaker 2>in digital coasts impacting the traditional finance world.

0:13:07.840 --> 0:13:10.560
<v Speaker 5>Absolutely, that would be the aspiration. I mean, at the

0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:13.480
<v Speaker 5>end of the day, our hope is to have bigger

0:13:13.800 --> 0:13:19.360
<v Speaker 5>capital markets, so more investments available to more investors. And

0:13:19.440 --> 0:13:22.600
<v Speaker 5>what tokenization has the potential to do is to make

0:13:22.760 --> 0:13:26.920
<v Speaker 5>investible broader parts of the market and to make it

0:13:26.960 --> 0:13:31.040
<v Speaker 5>accessible to more and more investors. I think getting from

0:13:31.200 --> 0:13:33.480
<v Speaker 5>point A to point B is going to be an

0:13:33.520 --> 0:13:37.880
<v Speaker 5>incredibly interesting period where we likely see integration of traditional

0:13:37.920 --> 0:13:41.400
<v Speaker 5>markets with on chain markets. I like to say that

0:13:41.520 --> 0:13:44.880
<v Speaker 5>we'll know that this has happened successfully where we're not

0:13:44.960 --> 0:13:50.160
<v Speaker 5>talking about tokenization anymore at conferences. It's just how markets work.

0:13:50.559 --> 0:13:53.280
<v Speaker 5>But the promise of tokenization, and I think it's a

0:13:53.320 --> 0:13:55.920
<v Speaker 5>good test to think if we could go back and

0:13:56.480 --> 0:14:01.120
<v Speaker 5>build capital markets anew with distributed ledger tech technology. We

0:14:01.200 --> 0:14:05.720
<v Speaker 5>would utilize it because it would give us features, transparency,

0:14:06.240 --> 0:14:09.880
<v Speaker 5>and the ability for more to participate than our kind

0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:12.120
<v Speaker 5>of current intermediated structure does.

0:14:12.880 --> 0:14:14.400
<v Speaker 3>And if I may add, one of I think the

0:14:14.440 --> 0:14:19.120
<v Speaker 3>most encouraging signs of tokenization, you know, having long term promise,

0:14:19.360 --> 0:14:24.280
<v Speaker 3>is that despite the orders of magnitude difference of size

0:14:24.640 --> 0:14:28.800
<v Speaker 3>between the crypto markets, the tokenization markets, and the traditional

0:14:28.800 --> 0:14:33.760
<v Speaker 3>financial markets, you are already seeing traditional financial markets evolve

0:14:34.200 --> 0:14:38.920
<v Speaker 3>by shortening settlement cycles, by extending trading hours. And this

0:14:38.960 --> 0:14:41.160
<v Speaker 3>is the merging that I believe Tomorrow was referring to,

0:14:41.440 --> 0:14:44.440
<v Speaker 3>is that it may be a while until we see

0:14:44.440 --> 0:14:48.720
<v Speaker 3>these fully digital rails, but those innovations are spurring competition

0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:51.920
<v Speaker 3>effectively in the traditional finance space, so everyone is benefiting

0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:52.320
<v Speaker 3>from that.

0:14:52.320 --> 0:14:53.400
<v Speaker 4>At scale already.

0:14:54.320 --> 0:14:56.880
<v Speaker 1>Nick, I'm not a tokenized expert by any stretch of

0:14:56.880 --> 0:14:59.440
<v Speaker 1>the means. I want to note, like a really simple question,

0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:02.840
<v Speaker 1>what will be the benefit of buying equities in a

0:15:02.880 --> 0:15:06.120
<v Speaker 1>tokenized form versus currently?

0:15:07.160 --> 0:15:09.080
<v Speaker 5>So Nick, and I'm going to answer this first because

0:15:09.080 --> 0:15:11.480
<v Speaker 5>I'm going to give you Nick's answer because I know it.

0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:17.360
<v Speaker 5>Nick's answer is it has to be new or it

0:15:17.400 --> 0:15:20.360
<v Speaker 5>has to be better. Okay, And how I have always

0:15:20.400 --> 0:15:23.080
<v Speaker 5>answered the question is for an investor who's currently in

0:15:23.200 --> 0:15:27.520
<v Speaker 5>equities to want to consider tokens, those tokens need to

0:15:27.760 --> 0:15:30.280
<v Speaker 5>give them something that they don't get in their equities,

0:15:30.800 --> 0:15:34.360
<v Speaker 5>or give them utility that they don't have through the

0:15:34.440 --> 0:15:38.320
<v Speaker 5>way they're currently accessing their equities. So, for example, utility

0:15:38.360 --> 0:15:41.400
<v Speaker 5>could be twenty four to seven trading. To be fair,

0:15:41.520 --> 0:15:45.000
<v Speaker 5>you don't need tokenization to get twenty four to seven trading. Indeed,

0:15:45.080 --> 0:15:49.640
<v Speaker 5>many exchanges are expanding trading hours without it. However, things

0:15:49.800 --> 0:15:55.800
<v Speaker 5>like collateral utility, being able to exchange your portfolio in

0:15:55.920 --> 0:15:59.160
<v Speaker 5>a peer to pure way, those are new forms of utility,

0:15:59.160 --> 0:16:01.680
<v Speaker 5>and I think we're in early days of seeing how

0:16:01.800 --> 0:16:06.600
<v Speaker 5>investors value that. Or, as we were talking about before,

0:16:06.720 --> 0:16:10.720
<v Speaker 5>tokenization will bring investability to parts of the market that

0:16:10.800 --> 0:16:11.840
<v Speaker 5>haven't had it before.

0:16:12.880 --> 0:16:14.960
<v Speaker 1>Okay, I think that's really interesting what you mentioned that

0:16:15.080 --> 0:16:19.600
<v Speaker 1>tokenization is improving, you know, the functionality and the competitiveness

0:16:19.640 --> 0:16:23.120
<v Speaker 1>of current financial markets like equities, but you also mentioned

0:16:23.160 --> 0:16:27.160
<v Speaker 1>something really interesting like twenty four hour trading that's becoming

0:16:27.360 --> 0:16:30.840
<v Speaker 1>a big topic in Asia. The US is planning to

0:16:30.880 --> 0:16:33.880
<v Speaker 1>move to twenty four or twenty three hour trading for

0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:38.080
<v Speaker 1>US stocks going forward. Can you explain why are the

0:16:38.160 --> 0:16:40.040
<v Speaker 1>regulaties pushing.

0:16:39.640 --> 0:16:44.240
<v Speaker 5>This well, I actually think it's been the infrastructure players,

0:16:44.280 --> 0:16:47.400
<v Speaker 5>the exchanges who have pushed it more than the regulators.

0:16:47.560 --> 0:16:50.800
<v Speaker 5>The regulators have supported it, Nick said a couple of

0:16:50.800 --> 0:16:55.320
<v Speaker 5>minutes ago he thought it was competition with the crypto exchanges.

0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:57.120
<v Speaker 5>I think that's a fair way to look at it.

0:16:57.160 --> 0:16:59.760
<v Speaker 5>I like to think of it as just an overall

0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:05.600
<v Speaker 5>leveling up of market structure. But the traditional stock exchanges

0:17:05.720 --> 0:17:10.679
<v Speaker 5>have certainly observed the utility, particularly for example, over the

0:17:10.720 --> 0:17:13.399
<v Speaker 5>past couple of months, as we've seen on the weekends,

0:17:13.440 --> 0:17:18.800
<v Speaker 5>things like perpetual futures contracts trade in significant volume. That

0:17:18.840 --> 0:17:23.760
<v Speaker 5>creates a real extentive for exchanges to expand their trading windows.

0:17:24.119 --> 0:17:26.280
<v Speaker 5>So that's a very big part of it.

0:17:26.520 --> 0:17:28.439
<v Speaker 3>A weekend feels like a long time now in this

0:17:28.640 --> 0:17:32.399
<v Speaker 3>current news cycle, right, I mean, Monday morning and Friday

0:17:32.400 --> 0:17:36.080
<v Speaker 3>afternoon have never seen further apart as an investor, so

0:17:36.520 --> 0:17:38.680
<v Speaker 3>you know, you can certainly see it being demand driven,

0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:41.639
<v Speaker 3>as the need to be able to invest while the

0:17:41.680 --> 0:17:44.800
<v Speaker 3>news is happening, not just on Monday morning when the

0:17:44.800 --> 0:17:45.479
<v Speaker 3>market opens.

0:17:46.160 --> 0:17:49.720
<v Speaker 1>Now, these plans targeting the Asian retail investor, because the

0:17:49.880 --> 0:17:53.960
<v Speaker 1>concern you have with many regional exchanges here is that

0:17:54.440 --> 0:17:57.600
<v Speaker 1>Asian retail will just going forward be trading the MAG

0:17:57.680 --> 0:18:00.439
<v Speaker 1>seven instead of the stocks on their own local bulls.

0:18:00.520 --> 0:18:01.480
<v Speaker 4>What do you say to that?

0:18:02.480 --> 0:18:04.680
<v Speaker 3>I think, you know, when we look at our business,

0:18:04.680 --> 0:18:07.959
<v Speaker 3>for example, the I shares business globally, we have seventeen

0:18:08.040 --> 0:18:11.359
<v Speaker 3>hundred over seventeen hundred products globally, so somewhere globally there

0:18:11.400 --> 0:18:14.480
<v Speaker 3>is likely an exposure that an investor wants. We still

0:18:14.480 --> 0:18:16.800
<v Speaker 3>have a very active and growing local lines business, so

0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:20.200
<v Speaker 3>where we issue ETFs on local exchanges, and the reason

0:18:20.240 --> 0:18:24.840
<v Speaker 3>for that is that there are reasons that investors want

0:18:24.840 --> 0:18:27.960
<v Speaker 3>to invest in their home region. Right. There are exposures

0:18:28.000 --> 0:18:31.960
<v Speaker 3>that only really appeal to the Asian investor really historically,

0:18:32.320 --> 0:18:35.399
<v Speaker 3>and so the MAG seven isn't going to give you

0:18:35.960 --> 0:18:41.760
<v Speaker 3>exposure to Taiwan semiconductor stocks or Korea or any you

0:18:41.760 --> 0:18:44.360
<v Speaker 3>know a lot frankly of the ai supply chain for example.

0:18:44.440 --> 0:18:46.360
<v Speaker 4>And so there's very much.

0:18:46.200 --> 0:18:49.960
<v Speaker 3>Still a case for these local exposures and these local

0:18:50.040 --> 0:18:53.240
<v Speaker 3>boreses and trading hours. Right while the exchanges may be

0:18:53.320 --> 0:18:55.840
<v Speaker 3>in the US, you know, the global economy is global,

0:18:55.960 --> 0:18:56.560
<v Speaker 3>so to speak.

0:18:57.400 --> 0:18:58.320
<v Speaker 4>If I could add.

0:18:58.080 --> 0:19:01.280
<v Speaker 5>Two things to Nick's answer, which I totally agree with. First,

0:19:02.359 --> 0:19:05.800
<v Speaker 5>I think the exchanges are responding to a just general

0:19:05.960 --> 0:19:12.080
<v Speaker 5>diversifying of participation, and that's retail investors more broadly, and frankly,

0:19:12.160 --> 0:19:14.800
<v Speaker 5>a lot of retail investors who are participating in the

0:19:14.840 --> 0:19:17.920
<v Speaker 5>market directly want to do that, like over the weekend

0:19:18.040 --> 0:19:20.359
<v Speaker 5>when they have time to focus, or at the end

0:19:20.400 --> 0:19:23.720
<v Speaker 5>of the day like they actually have day jobs. I

0:19:23.720 --> 0:19:26.960
<v Speaker 5>think the really open question from a market structure perspective

0:19:27.000 --> 0:19:30.600
<v Speaker 5>is what does this actually do to aggregate liquidity If

0:19:30.720 --> 0:19:32.960
<v Speaker 5>we get through the first year of this and look

0:19:33.160 --> 0:19:37.800
<v Speaker 5>and liquidity that existed in a tighter time frame has

0:19:37.880 --> 0:19:42.040
<v Speaker 5>simply been spread out through a longer time frame. I

0:19:42.080 --> 0:19:46.360
<v Speaker 5>don't think that will be necessarily a step forward for markets,

0:19:46.400 --> 0:19:50.040
<v Speaker 5>But the hope is that this will actually bring more

0:19:50.119 --> 0:19:54.120
<v Speaker 5>investors and be accreative to liquidity over the longer term.

0:19:54.119 --> 0:19:56.040
<v Speaker 5>But those are the things that will be really important

0:19:56.040 --> 0:19:58.400
<v Speaker 5>to measure as this starts to go live, I think.

0:19:58.400 --> 0:20:00.639
<v Speaker 2>And nothing that's interesting that you mentioned this morning was

0:20:00.680 --> 0:20:03.919
<v Speaker 2>that the twenty three to five actually came from the

0:20:04.040 --> 0:20:08.040
<v Speaker 2>digital asset aspect where their exchanges didn't close. Could you

0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:09.080
<v Speaker 2>share some more thoughts on that.

0:20:09.160 --> 0:20:13.160
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, we call it crypto fomo. There is the expectation.

0:20:13.480 --> 0:20:15.760
<v Speaker 5>And one of the things that was actually quite interesting

0:20:15.920 --> 0:20:19.840
<v Speaker 5>about bitcoin price performance over the past year is that

0:20:19.920 --> 0:20:25.160
<v Speaker 5>a lot of investors who expected bitcoin to behave as

0:20:25.280 --> 0:20:30.240
<v Speaker 5>what we call a risk off asset, meaning if geopolitical

0:20:30.320 --> 0:20:36.600
<v Speaker 5>risk was rising, bitcoin should appreciate, actually often experienced something different.

0:20:37.200 --> 0:20:41.600
<v Speaker 5>When there was a geopolitical event that happened over the weekend,

0:20:42.119 --> 0:20:46.720
<v Speaker 5>Bitcoin would sell off immediately. Why because it was the

0:20:46.760 --> 0:20:50.320
<v Speaker 5>only thing people could sell on a Saturday night, and

0:20:50.400 --> 0:20:53.800
<v Speaker 5>so clearly from an exchange perspective, seeing that volume and

0:20:53.840 --> 0:20:57.000
<v Speaker 5>activity was happening in this twenty four to seven construct

0:20:56.800 --> 0:20:59.479
<v Speaker 5>was a big incentive. And the interesting thing that we

0:20:59.520 --> 0:21:02.000
<v Speaker 5>often saw with bitcoin in those moments is that it

0:21:02.000 --> 0:21:05.560
<v Speaker 5>would have this immediate risk off behavior, meaning it would

0:21:05.640 --> 0:21:09.080
<v Speaker 5>sell off, and then it would actually quickly rebound as

0:21:09.240 --> 0:21:12.320
<v Speaker 5>investors kind of pivoted into the things they could sell

0:21:12.400 --> 0:21:14.320
<v Speaker 5>longer term when the market's reopened.

0:21:14.640 --> 0:21:18.560
<v Speaker 3>And just to share an anecdote, I think prior to

0:21:19.040 --> 0:21:21.800
<v Speaker 3>the existence of bitcoin, I've been out in the region

0:21:21.840 --> 0:21:23.960
<v Speaker 3>here for about seventeen years and used to work on

0:21:24.000 --> 0:21:27.560
<v Speaker 3>the trading desk, and I can assure you that the

0:21:28.040 --> 0:21:31.560
<v Speaker 3>Monday morning Asia time is a very busy time for

0:21:31.680 --> 0:21:34.320
<v Speaker 3>every trading desk because prior to the ability to trade

0:21:34.359 --> 0:21:37.320
<v Speaker 3>over the weekend, that was the first time the global

0:21:37.320 --> 0:21:42.320
<v Speaker 3>investors could invest. And so Monday morning the Japan open

0:21:43.280 --> 0:21:45.840
<v Speaker 3>used to be crazy if there was news over the weekend. Right,

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:50.600
<v Speaker 3>So there's very clearly this need to adjust portfolios based

0:21:50.600 --> 0:21:52.639
<v Speaker 3>on news that comes in, and this is just another

0:21:52.680 --> 0:21:53.320
<v Speaker 3>tool to do it.

0:21:53.960 --> 0:21:56.159
<v Speaker 2>I can definitely relate coming from the trading days. You know,

0:21:56.240 --> 0:21:59.200
<v Speaker 2>Monday morning you're all stuck in the dust right at

0:21:59.200 --> 0:22:01.600
<v Speaker 2>the whatever market opens and can never be because of

0:22:01.640 --> 0:22:03.960
<v Speaker 2>all the flow that came through, especially with Asia. You know,

0:22:03.960 --> 0:22:05.680
<v Speaker 2>we always like the US and.

0:22:05.640 --> 0:22:09.480
<v Speaker 3>So we're first up on Monday morning, So busy times, yes.

0:22:09.760 --> 0:22:12.639
<v Speaker 1>Somorrow, Nick, Look, you mentioned a lot of innovations, but

0:22:12.680 --> 0:22:15.320
<v Speaker 1>I got to ask you didn't mention one thing, And

0:22:15.359 --> 0:22:19.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm dying to ask you, what about prediction markets? Is

0:22:19.040 --> 0:22:21.240
<v Speaker 1>this going to be the next big thing for ATFS?

0:22:21.280 --> 0:22:22.320
<v Speaker 1>What's your used there?

0:22:23.680 --> 0:22:27.919
<v Speaker 5>Prediction markets are an incredibly interesting topic right now in

0:22:28.040 --> 0:22:30.719
<v Speaker 5>market structure, and to take a step back when when

0:22:30.760 --> 0:22:34.360
<v Speaker 5>we talk about prediction markets, we're talking about event contracts,

0:22:34.560 --> 0:22:39.200
<v Speaker 5>and the fact is, looking back, there are certain types

0:22:39.359 --> 0:22:43.159
<v Speaker 5>of contracts like binary options, which have been traded for

0:22:43.200 --> 0:22:46.240
<v Speaker 5>a very long time by FX desks, so that's not

0:22:46.359 --> 0:22:50.119
<v Speaker 5>totally new to the market. What's new now are the

0:22:50.160 --> 0:22:54.440
<v Speaker 5>fact that there are many more contracts trading on many

0:22:54.480 --> 0:22:57.720
<v Speaker 5>types of and still ninety percent of them are sports related.

0:22:57.760 --> 0:23:00.040
<v Speaker 5>So here we're really talking about the ten percent of

0:23:00.080 --> 0:23:03.840
<v Speaker 5>them that have a nexus to a capital markets where

0:23:04.080 --> 0:23:09.840
<v Speaker 5>prediction markets are pricing things with specificity that don't necessarily

0:23:10.040 --> 0:23:13.760
<v Speaker 5>have correlating financial instruments, and so that's getting a lot

0:23:13.760 --> 0:23:19.959
<v Speaker 5>of attention from investors first from an information perspective, and

0:23:20.040 --> 0:23:25.159
<v Speaker 5>to your point, there's definitely been some early filings around ETFs.

0:23:25.160 --> 0:23:27.720
<v Speaker 5>On those we haven't so I can't really speak to

0:23:27.760 --> 0:23:30.720
<v Speaker 5>it from our perspective. I can say, you know, one

0:23:30.760 --> 0:23:33.480
<v Speaker 5>of the things with some of these call them next

0:23:33.600 --> 0:23:37.120
<v Speaker 5>gen derivative type markets, is the way ETFs are constructed

0:23:37.760 --> 0:23:40.920
<v Speaker 5>is they are done on a bilateral swap basis, which

0:23:41.000 --> 0:23:43.720
<v Speaker 5>creates a lot of kind of I would say opacity

0:23:44.440 --> 0:23:47.960
<v Speaker 5>under the hood. So looking into how the ETFs are

0:23:48.040 --> 0:23:50.480
<v Speaker 5>constructed on these I think is a second order and

0:23:50.640 --> 0:23:54.040
<v Speaker 5>very important for investors to understand, but at a higher

0:23:54.119 --> 0:23:57.560
<v Speaker 5>level prediction markets and the role they are playing in

0:23:58.119 --> 0:24:01.080
<v Speaker 5>price discovery in market This is something that's going to

0:24:01.119 --> 0:24:04.399
<v Speaker 5>be and and already is an accelerating topic.

0:24:05.359 --> 0:24:08.720
<v Speaker 1>Okay, great, that's been a fascinating conversation. Is there anything

0:24:08.720 --> 0:24:09.600
<v Speaker 1>else you wanted to add?

0:24:09.920 --> 0:24:13.040
<v Speaker 5>It's really exciting being here in Asia. As I said,

0:24:13.119 --> 0:24:17.320
<v Speaker 5>the uptake of ETFs at the same time as the

0:24:17.359 --> 0:24:22.000
<v Speaker 5>markets are moving so quickly creates a lot of interesting

0:24:22.200 --> 0:24:26.200
<v Speaker 5>conversations with a very broad set of investors. So I've

0:24:26.240 --> 0:24:28.120
<v Speaker 5>been really grateful for the time here.

0:24:28.840 --> 0:24:31.520
<v Speaker 3>And I'll just close by saying that we're talking of

0:24:31.600 --> 0:24:34.600
<v Speaker 3>this two day event, about the growth of ETFs, about

0:24:34.600 --> 0:24:37.360
<v Speaker 3>the breadth of use cases, the breadth of client cases.

0:24:37.680 --> 0:24:40.399
<v Speaker 3>I really do think based on everything we just talked about,

0:24:40.560 --> 0:24:43.280
<v Speaker 3>despite that growth, we are still in the early innings

0:24:43.320 --> 0:24:45.240
<v Speaker 3>out here in the region, and there's just so much

0:24:45.280 --> 0:24:47.520
<v Speaker 3>more possibility on the horizon.

0:24:48.640 --> 0:24:51.680
<v Speaker 2>I think the most exciting thing is that to next point,

0:24:51.760 --> 0:24:54.080
<v Speaker 2>Asia is only at the beginning. Even though Asia has

0:24:54.119 --> 0:24:57.560
<v Speaker 2>the highest growth of forty three percent on your growth

0:24:57.560 --> 0:24:59.879
<v Speaker 2>and assets under management, we're still very far behind the

0:25:00.400 --> 0:25:02.720
<v Speaker 2>in Europe in terms of market structure, in terms of

0:25:02.760 --> 0:25:05.719
<v Speaker 2>piping sort of product offering. So historically people say that

0:25:05.760 --> 0:25:08.480
<v Speaker 2>ITA lags Europe by five to ten years, and so

0:25:08.520 --> 0:25:09.760
<v Speaker 2>you can think of the growth that we're going to

0:25:09.760 --> 0:25:11.240
<v Speaker 2>see in the next five to ten years is going

0:25:11.280 --> 0:25:12.000
<v Speaker 2>to be phenomenal.

0:25:13.000 --> 0:25:17.360
<v Speaker 1>Thanks everyone, that was a really insightful conversation. Samara, Nick, Rebecca,

0:25:17.520 --> 0:25:18.280
<v Speaker 1>thanks for joining.

0:25:18.640 --> 0:25:20.199
<v Speaker 4>Thank you so much, Thanks for having us.

0:25:20.200 --> 0:25:21.040
<v Speaker 2>Thanks for having us.

0:25:22.200 --> 0:25:25.399
<v Speaker 1>You've been listening to the Age Eccentric podcast from Bloomberg Intelligence.

0:25:25.840 --> 0:25:28.119
<v Speaker 1>I'm John Lee in Hong Kong. You can listen to

0:25:28.200 --> 0:25:32.080
<v Speaker 1>all our episodes on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or Reevy Listen.

0:25:32.400 --> 0:25:35.600
<v Speaker 1>This episode was produced and edited by Clara Chan and

0:25:35.680 --> 0:25:38.560
<v Speaker 1>also a special thanks to the podcast production team at

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<v Speaker 1>Black Rock. Thanks for listening.