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Speaker 1: The volume. The three OW Podcast with me John Middlecoff

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Speaker 1: What is going on everybody? John Middlecoff Three and Out Podcast,

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Speaker 1: Final four weekends, head coaches getting hired, a lot going

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Speaker 1: on football wise, Nate Hackett, Aaron Rodgers reunion in the

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Speaker 1: Big Apple. We I've into it all. Stucky as Well

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Speaker 1: comes on to break down the two games from a

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Speaker 1: gambling perspective. We talk a little bit about it and

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Speaker 1: UH got you covered. So if you listen on Collins Feed,

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Speaker 1: make sure you subscribe to Three and Out Podcast. Middlecoff

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Speaker 1: mail Bag. I'll probably put out one UH this weekend

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Speaker 1: at John Middlecoff is the Instagram fire in those d

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Speaker 1: m s, get your question answered here on the show.

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Speaker 1: I think Colin is coming on with me for Monday

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Speaker 1: Mornings podcast. So Sunday after the games, we will be

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Speaker 1: recording a little reaction pod to the games. Uh, knowing

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl who's playing in it. So let's just

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Speaker 1: keep rocking and rolling. Let's enjoy. We got three games left,

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Speaker 1: three games left till the fall. Uh. Then if you

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Speaker 1: like golf, it can hold you through every baseball or basketball.

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Speaker 1: But there's nothing like football season, nothing like the fall.

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Speaker 1: And we got the best you know possible outcome clearly

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Speaker 1: by the final four elite teams, elite players and elite matchups.

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Speaker 1: So let's let's rock and roll. But first, can I

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Speaker 1: we dive into the NFC Championship game, and obviously me

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Speaker 1: and Stucky kind of dive in, uh to the game

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Speaker 1: later from a gambling perspective and just you know, some

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Speaker 1: insights or some thoughts on the matchups. There were some

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Speaker 1: really big coaching news that that happened today. Officially the

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Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers. Of all these teams that blew out their

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Speaker 1: coaching staffs, Carolina, like Indie did it during the season, right, Denver, Uh, Houston,

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Speaker 1: Arizona did it after the season ended. They're the first

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Speaker 1: to officially name a head coach, and it's Frank Rank,

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Speaker 1: who would coach former Eagles offensive coordinator and then a

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Speaker 1: longtime colch head coach. You know, are you more well

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Speaker 1: known when you're the head coach than when you won

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Speaker 1: a Super Bowl as an offensive coordinator? I guess you are. Uh.

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Speaker 1: And obviously Indy was a polarizing place when he was

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Speaker 1: there because of the quarterback situation Andrew Luck, the whole,

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Speaker 1: the whole thing. I think this is a consistent formula though,

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Speaker 1: whenever you and I think this works in Power five

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Speaker 1: and it definitely works in the NFL when you have

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Speaker 1: a specific type coach who fits a certain mold, whether

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Speaker 1: it's an asshole right be a tough guy or a

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Speaker 1: quote unquote players coach, and a guy that's easy on

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Speaker 1: the players. Whether it's I take a big swing, if

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Speaker 1: it's in the NFL for a college guy, or if

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Speaker 1: it's that I took a retread, you usually go the opposite,

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Speaker 1: and you usually go the polar opposite. And think about

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Speaker 1: Matt Rule, who you could argue he didn't even get

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Speaker 1: enough time. He should have got to see out this season.

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Speaker 1: And as you saw this year, once Steve Wilkes took over,

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Speaker 1: they had some success. And Steve Wilkes, who was in

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Speaker 1: the mix for the job, pretty clear that the final

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Speaker 1: two came down between him and Frank. Which I understand

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Speaker 1: why you go with Frank. It's the easy er higher

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Speaker 1: because he has a track record, even some of his downs,

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Speaker 1: like definitely this year and even last year those last

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Speaker 1: couple of games, he had a pretty consistent level of

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Speaker 1: having some success. But I think we know Frank Raich

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Speaker 1: like he's not gonna be Kyle Shanahannas Sean McVeigh. That's

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Speaker 1: not what you're getting. The ceiling is somewhat limited, but

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Speaker 1: you know you were getting an NFL head coach. You

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Speaker 1: that's what you know. Like when the Jags hired Ultimately,

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Speaker 1: they wanted Byron Leftwich, but they ended up with Doug

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Speaker 1: They got Lucky White because they not only got a

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Speaker 1: real NFL coach, they got a guy to go in

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Speaker 1: playoff games. Right. And when you look at Franklin, is

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Speaker 1: he ever winning you a playoff game? I would probably

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Speaker 1: say no, I would bet against that. But can he

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Speaker 1: have you in the playoff mix? How can he get

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Speaker 1: you the playoffs? Maybe? And they just had Matt Rule,

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Speaker 1: who was the ultimate swing for the fences. Look at

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Speaker 1: Matt rules resume. It wasn't like he had bounced back

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Speaker 1: and forth between college and pro and then had been

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Speaker 1: a successful college head coach. He had coached in the

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Speaker 1: NFL one season as the assistant offensive line coach. Now

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Speaker 1: that one season was more than urban Meyer had ever

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Speaker 1: done when they had hired him. But when you look

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Speaker 1: at the Carolina Panthers, the guy that owns the team

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Speaker 1: is like, you know, a financial maverick, wheeler and dealer.

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Speaker 1: So typically when you get burned by a certain company,

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Speaker 1: your next investment might be the polar opposite of that.

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Speaker 1: He's probably already wired do what teams naturally do. Anyway,

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Speaker 1: and Matt Rule was a swing for the fences and

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Speaker 1: they they struck out. Now, ultimately, Matt Rule got really

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Speaker 1: rich and he's still getting rich in Nebraska and his

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Speaker 1: life's gonna be fine. But they went with a guy

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Speaker 1: unlike Matt Rule, that basically had no NFL experience, and

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Speaker 1: you know, was hail Mary for a guy that is

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Speaker 1: basically like a basic run play. You know, if you

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Speaker 1: run it and execute it pretty well, you're getting five yards.

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Speaker 1: You may not take in the house, go ninety, go

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Speaker 1: seventy five yards, but it is going to work in

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Speaker 1: fairness to temper, they needed something that was going to

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Speaker 1: work right. Like ultimately, when Pete Carroll was hired back

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Speaker 1: in Seattle, where the GM fitterer who now runs Carroll

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Speaker 1: runs Carolina would be Strong who is running personnel for

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Speaker 1: them and we'll see how it plays out. I would

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Speaker 1: imagine him and Frank. He just stays on and works

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Speaker 1: with Frank. Is when Pete Carroll was hired in Seattle,

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Speaker 1: Like obviously Pete had a ton of success at USC,

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Speaker 1: but he had a resume in the pros of being

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Speaker 1: pretty solid. Now, no one thought he was gonna run

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Speaker 1: like nine out of ten years or eight out of

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Speaker 1: ten years in the playoffs. And clearly Russell Wilson changed

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Speaker 1: his career in the National Football League. But like it

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Speaker 1: was a pretty safe hire. It was not gonna fail.

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Speaker 1: And that's what I would say about Frank Craik. That's

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Speaker 1: the type higher that is not going to fail. Speaking

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Speaker 1: about hires that uh are probably not gonna fail either.

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Speaker 1: Let's start before we get into Hackett and Aaron Rodgers,

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Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien and I'm torn on this right. One of

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Speaker 1: my things has been going for a while is Bill

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Speaker 1: has to be willing to go outside the framework of

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Speaker 1: his people. You can't just keep running back to your exes.

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Speaker 1: Anyone listening to this nose who's recently broken up or

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Speaker 1: still single, It's it's pretty easy to call your ex girlfriend.

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Speaker 1: It's pretty easy, especially early on in the breakup, to

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Speaker 1: keep on going back to the well, there's usually a

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Speaker 1: reason you broke up. There's usually a reason you went

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Speaker 1: your separate ways. And Bill Belichick has been phenomenal at

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Speaker 1: using these young people, from Patricia to Josh McDaniels to

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Speaker 1: Flores to all these got day ball over the years

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Speaker 1: and developing them as under links for him to help

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Speaker 1: him and Brady dominate that that that is, even today,

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Speaker 1: years removed from Tom Brady being with the Patriots, you

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Speaker 1: cannot argue those guys work on ther Bill's umbrella now.

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Speaker 1: Clearly their work outside of the umbrella is pretty embarrassing.

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Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien is one of the unique ones. He's a

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Speaker 1: guy that went on to have success he left Belichick.

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Speaker 1: Now granted he had been other places before Bill got there,

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Speaker 1: and Bill did not get Bill O'Brien when he was

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Speaker 1: twenty two years old. I don't know the exact age

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Speaker 1: when he signed on when mcgannels went to Denver, but

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Speaker 1: he was my guests would be my age now thirty

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Speaker 1: eight maybe, uh, you know, mid to late thirties. So

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Speaker 1: it's not like he molded him from twenty three years old.

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Speaker 1: And Bill went on to take over for Joe Paterno,

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Speaker 1: which I lived in Philadelphia. It's not like I'm some

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Speaker 1: big Penn Steak guy. But working for the Eagles and

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Speaker 1: seeing that up at close and personal, the Sandusky situation.

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Speaker 1: Mike Zordich, who was on our staff at the time

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Speaker 1: had played in that. It had ripple effects in that area.

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Speaker 1: Clearly if you're outside of p A. That was one

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Speaker 1: of the biggest sports stories in my life, the Sandusky scandal.

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Speaker 1: Joe paternal that whole thing. He took over for that.

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Speaker 1: And I actually went to a practice US with a

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Speaker 1: buddy of mine who's actually still on the Eagle staff.

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Speaker 1: We went down because Charles London, who is now UH

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Speaker 1: I guess he's the quarterback coach for Arthur Smith in Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: has actually been interviewing for some offensive coordinator job who

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Speaker 1: had been on our Eagle staff as a scout, and

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Speaker 1: he became Bill O'Brien's running back. And me and my

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Speaker 1: guy went to UH went to a practice watch Bill O'Brien.

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Speaker 1: It was really really impressive. And then just never forget.

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Speaker 1: Before Chip Kelly got the Eagles job, how are Roseman

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Speaker 1: and Jeffrey Lourry offered the job to Bill O'Brien. He didn't.

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Speaker 1: He didn't take it because he wanted to at least

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Speaker 1: establish himself a little bit in Penn State before he left.

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Speaker 1: Then he goes to Houston. Everyone acts like he's the

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Speaker 1: village idiot, and he was a terrible general manager. It's

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Speaker 1: why most coaches should not become general managers. Now Bill

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Speaker 1: Belichick shouldn't be the GM. It's not a very easy

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Speaker 1: way to operate. He's pretty good a coach, had some success,

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Speaker 1: and it's not like beside Watson. At the last couple

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Speaker 1: of years, he was winning some games with like guys

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Speaker 1: like Brian Hoyer. So Bill O'Brien knows what he's doing

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Speaker 1: as a coach. So it's hard for me to go

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Speaker 1: it's a bad higher, right because Bill Brian is a

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Speaker 1: good offensive mind. He is a real coach. Matt Patricia

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Speaker 1: is not a real offensive coordinator. Joe Judge is not

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Speaker 1: a real offensive coordinator. That was a disaster and honestly

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Speaker 1: kind of embarrassing looking back. And here's the other thing.

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Speaker 1: You did invest the fifteenth overall picking Mac Jones like

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Speaker 1: you are unless you're willing to trade him, which I

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Speaker 1: doubt it after this higher, you're in bed with him

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Speaker 1: for a couple of years, like this is your guy,

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Speaker 1: and unlike Zack Wilson, he's not some disaster. You've proven

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Speaker 1: his rookie year that you could make the playoffs with him,

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Speaker 1: and they were right in the mix. To make the

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Speaker 1: playoffs this year. So Bill O'Brien has worked and coached

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Speaker 1: with Mac Jones. And if you remember the story when

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Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien was hired at Alabama as there o c

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Speaker 1: after I think it was Sark went to Texas, the

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Speaker 1: stories were Mac Jones taught Bill O'Brien the playbook. Like

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Speaker 1: they have a really really good relationship. And I'm not

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Speaker 1: against any of that, but I do understand the side

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Speaker 1: of like Bill just going back to the well, you know, now,

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Speaker 1: maybe there's a big picture thing here for Bill O'Brien

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Speaker 1: that if Bill retires in a year or two, he

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Speaker 1: would be the logical guy to take over the job. Right.

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Speaker 1: Who else is the Craft's hiring? It does feel like

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Speaker 1: they're definitely not hiring like a Patricia A Joe Judge,

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Speaker 1: any of the guys on the staff. Maybe Gerarde Mail uh,

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Speaker 1: which was a little weird, like within the last month

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Speaker 1: they tweeted out we're entering contract negotiations with Mail. That's

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Speaker 1: definitely not a Belichick tweet. So the Craft probably getting

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Speaker 1: their hands a little dirtier, have a little more juice

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Speaker 1: now that they're not winning game after game like they

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Speaker 1: did with Belichick. And Brady. Uh So, maybe Bill has

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Speaker 1: lost a little Jews, but I do understand this. It's

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Speaker 1: hard for me to say anything critical about this higher

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Speaker 1: now as a general manager, would not let the guy

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Speaker 1: touch my personnel department. The other thing, remember, him and

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Speaker 1: Hopkins had I think a pretty contentious relationship in Houston.

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Speaker 1: I no think they liked each other very much. And

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Speaker 1: Hopkins is a guy that has been rumored who he's not.

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Speaker 1: There's no rumor he's on the right block. He will

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Speaker 1: not be on Arizona's football team next year. The question

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Speaker 1: is where does he go? And now that Arizona has

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Speaker 1: a new England former, you know, a little minion in

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Speaker 1: monte Osanfort, would he trade him back to Bill. There

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Speaker 1: was that video that went viral of Bill talking to

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Speaker 1: Hopkins during this season when they played him and just

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Speaker 1: kind of waxing poetic amount how much we respected him.

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Speaker 1: It's hard to see that with Bill Brian, but hell,

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Speaker 1: it's not his call. Who knows. You never know something

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Speaker 1: to keep your eye on. Another coaching move that this

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Speaker 1: one was an eye opener, and I think, listen, I

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Speaker 1: am not against hiring or doing anything in business that

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Speaker 1: leads me to the ultimate prize whatever that quote unquote

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Speaker 1: ultimate prize maybe, And like recruiting, it happened. Sometimes when

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Speaker 1: you offer a teammate to get the main player now,

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Speaker 1: sometimes it blows up in your face. Uh. When the

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Speaker 1: cal Berkeley when Jeff Tedford was the coach, Keenan Allen

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Speaker 1: was supposed to go to Alabama, Keenan Allen was gonna

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Speaker 1: play Nick wanted to play safety. I I think he

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Speaker 1: would ended up a wide receiver even for Nick Saban.

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Speaker 1: But part of the deal was you had to make

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Speaker 1: Keenan Allen stepbrother. You also had to offer him and

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Speaker 1: Nick Saban was like, who's the quarterback? Not trying to

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Speaker 1: be mean, here might have been the worst Power five

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Speaker 1: quarterback I've ever seen. And Nick Saban had said, under

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Speaker 1: no circumstances, will I offer you a scholarship. I think

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Speaker 1: he allowed him to walk on but said no scholarship.

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Speaker 1: I think that Keenan's from North Carolina. Jeff Tedfords like,

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Speaker 1: hell yeah, we'll give you a scholarship because we wanted

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Speaker 1: Keenan Allen and it worked. It got Keenan Allen there,

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Speaker 1: but ultimately because of their quarterback situation, Madeard ended up

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Speaker 1: having to start and it caught cost Jeff Ted for

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Speaker 1: the job. Now, sometimes this happens in coaching. It happens

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Speaker 1: a lot in college basketball. When I hire high school

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Speaker 1: assistant a high school coach to get that player, I

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Speaker 1: hire their stepdad, their brother. I'm all for it. I

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Speaker 1: would do it too if it leads me to greatness.

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Speaker 1: And the New York Jets, like, never forget three traits

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Speaker 1: are step. Last year when Nate Hackett, who was just

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Speaker 1: officially hired as the New York Jets offensive coordinate, when

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Speaker 1: that first came across the ticker, I didn't think that

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Speaker 1: much of it, and then I was like, whoa wait.

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Speaker 1: When Nate Hackett was hired last year with the Denver Broncos,

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Speaker 1: the number one story is they hired him to get

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. That was the reason he got the job

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Speaker 1: because under no circumstances with Nate Hackett like he wasn't

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Speaker 1: a better candidate than Dan Quinn last year, and dan Quinn,

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Speaker 1: who knows. We'll see how this Denver Broncos search plays out,

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Speaker 1: may end up getting the job this time around, But

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Speaker 1: Nate Hackett didn't make that much sense last year. It

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Speaker 1: felt like a pretty big hail. Mary and Woody Johnson

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Speaker 1: just recently said a couple of weeks ago, we will

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Speaker 1: do whatever it takes. We will do whatever it takes

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Speaker 1: to get a veteran, legit quarterback in here. But what

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Speaker 1: does whatever it takes means? Like there's one kind of

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Speaker 1: big fish right now in the sea who's truly available,

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Speaker 1: and that's Aaron Rodgers. Like Adam Schefter isn't just thrown

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Speaker 1: at the wall, shift the wall. What he's saying over

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Speaker 1: and over, Aarondger is probably not gonna be on the team.

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers been talking to Pat McAfee like, I'm not

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Speaker 1: doing a rebuild. Now we can talk, and I've said

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Speaker 1: my piece over and over about I don't feel much

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Speaker 1: sympathy for the way he's bitching Mowin after he took

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Speaker 1: the money. But the reality is we're here and Aaron Rodgers,

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Speaker 1: if I was a betting man, is it gonna be

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Speaker 1: on the Packers. I feel much more confident on that

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Speaker 1: than when I say that Lamar Jackson isn't gonna be

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Speaker 1: on the Ravens. Well, where's Aaron Rodgers gonna go. Chefter

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Speaker 1: also said they're not gonna trade him in the NFC,

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Speaker 1: which is the right move. You're not trading him with

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Speaker 1: in the NFC. Remember when Far the irony about this

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Speaker 1: whole thing. And they're completely different guys, but you know,

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Speaker 1: Far kind of like this southern rough around the edges gruff,

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Speaker 1: you know, you know, tall boy red man in his mouth.

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Speaker 1: Levi's just every working man southern dude and Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 1: kind of this like coastal elitist, super smart, both of

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Speaker 1: the lead players, and Aeron's better, but they're they're both

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Speaker 1: gonna end up playing for New York Jets. Like isn't

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Speaker 1: that kind of iron When they had one of the

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Speaker 1: weirdest uh teammate relationships, you know, definitely in the last

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Speaker 1: like twenty years, and you could argue in all the sports,

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Speaker 1: but definitely in the NFL. And now it feels like

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Speaker 1: Nate Hackett, who was very very you C. Davis, very

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Speaker 1: intellectual guy, very smart, meshed with Aaron Rodgers. I think

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Speaker 1: the writings of the Wall, Aaron Rodgers is gonna be

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Speaker 1: on the New York Jets. Okay, I think anyone making

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Speaker 1: that prediction would be you know, I'd view you as

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Speaker 1: like just putting the pieces of the puzzles together. This

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Speaker 1: isn't like going out on some limb, like me saying

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson is gonna be traded to the Seattle Seahawks,

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Speaker 1: Like that's going on a limb. I don't know what

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Speaker 1: I'd based that on. Beside, like Pete and John Love

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Speaker 1: doing deals, the Ravens might not want to pay Lamar,

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Speaker 1: Like you just you just kind of making educated guess

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Speaker 1: is this one? Aaron Rodgers don't coming back to the Packers.

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Speaker 1: Nate Hackett he was supposed to go last year, which

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Speaker 1: I still don't understand why he didn't just go. It's

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Speaker 1: like he got cold feet. He couldn't turn down a

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Speaker 1: hundred fifty million dollars. I don't quite understand it. Maybe

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Speaker 1: we'll find out as time goes on. But like, is

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Speaker 1: Nate Hackett the best off? It is a coordinator option

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Speaker 1: right now in the market. That's hard to see. Do

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Speaker 1: Solid and Nate Hackett have some long standing relationship? Maybe

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Speaker 1: I'm wrong. I looked at the resumes. Doesn't feel like

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Speaker 1: they do. So it does seem that Nate Hackett was

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Speaker 1: hired so they could land Aaron Rodgers. And if they

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Speaker 1: end up landing Aaron Rodgers, you have to say you

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Speaker 1: gotta take the Jets pretty seriously. I think the Jets

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Speaker 1: immediately become a contender to win the an f C

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Speaker 1: East and to have a home game. And I think,

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Speaker 1: and I was thinking about this. You actually yesterday on

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Speaker 1: the golf course. You know, I walked, so I had

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Speaker 1: some time to myself between shots. When you have you know,

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Speaker 1: almost eighty shots, you're doing a lot of walking. Is

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Speaker 1: that was kind of a humble brag, but you know

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Speaker 1: what I mean? And uh, I was thinking that what's

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Speaker 1: a fair value for Aaron Rodgers. There's actually probably on

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Speaker 1: the whole sixteen was getting cold, so I just kind

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Speaker 1: of was in my own thoughts. Is that definitely a

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Speaker 1: first round pick? So the New York Jets first round pick.

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Speaker 1: But I've seen some people do to once makes sense.

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Speaker 1: I think what would be fair is like you're one

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Speaker 1: year two. This year, we're giving you Aaron freaking Rogers,

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Speaker 1: and you're basically, in your mind's probably a player or

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Speaker 1: two away. So a one and a two and then

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Speaker 1: a following year's conditional pick. If Aaron plays less than

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Speaker 1: half the games, i e. He gets hurt. That picks

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Speaker 1: like a fourth round pick. If you make the playoffs

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Speaker 1: with Aaron Rodgers, as your starter, that's a second round pick,

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Speaker 1: and if you get to the conference championship game or

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Speaker 1: or uh or to the super Bowl, it's a first

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Speaker 1: round pick. So it has potential to be like a

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Speaker 1: one or two and next year's one, or it could

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Speaker 1: just be a one and a two and a four

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Speaker 1: if it goes wrong. But you gotta pay the price

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Speaker 1: up front to get the asset, and then there's gotta

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Speaker 1: be something on the back end that if it really

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Speaker 1: works out. Because if it really works out for you

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Speaker 1: and next year, as the New York test with Aaron Rodgers,

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Speaker 1: you get to the conference championship games, that's not worth

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Speaker 1: two ones and two for a franchise that last time

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Speaker 1: I check, hasn't had much success in a long long

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Speaker 1: time and whose roster is ready to win now. So

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Speaker 1: I would say a deal like that is fair a

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Speaker 1: conditional pick in the following year's draft, but that conditions

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Speaker 1: if then go well, and to me, you make it

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Speaker 1: to the final four beyond, that's an immediate second first

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Speaker 1: round pick. Now, if you just make the playoffs like

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Speaker 1: that means you're having a lot of success and you're

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Speaker 1: making money, you are hosting big time games, you're surely

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Speaker 1: playing on some of the biggest games throughout the year.

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Speaker 1: You're competing right there with the Bills like that, at

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Speaker 1: minimum is worth the second round pick. And and part

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Speaker 1: of the reason I say he's not worth the unlimited amount,

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Speaker 1: he's thirty nine years old and he does threaten to

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Speaker 1: retire all the time. So if I was the Jets,

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Speaker 1: this is pushed back like he could be a one

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Speaker 1: and done player. Even hell, he could get me the

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Speaker 1: super Bowl and then he could just retire the next year.

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Speaker 1: You never know with old Aaron. But that's a fascinating

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Speaker 1: little uh, a little higher there to keep you know,

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Speaker 1: eyes on. And last thing on the coaching, I don't

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Speaker 1: really know why they did this. I haven't read much.

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Speaker 1: I tried to read, you know, the some of the

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Speaker 1: articles will probably come out on Friday. Cowboys fired a

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Speaker 1: lot of coaches. And to me that either signals two things.

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Speaker 1: McCarthy got some pushback, so um the powers to be

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Speaker 1: Jones family of like your coaching staff isn't good enough,

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Speaker 1: or McCarthy wanted to make some changes and because of

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Speaker 1: his success for the last couple of years, has been

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Speaker 1: empowered Like Mike, you do what you want, you know,

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Speaker 1: some of these defensive coaches were originally brought in, probably

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Speaker 1: with Mike Nolan. If we want to keep Dan Quinn,

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Speaker 1: you put your staff together how you know you want

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Speaker 1: it to be. Now, I was listening to Michael Lombardi's podcast.

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Speaker 1: I would imagine, because he was talking about McCarthy, if

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Speaker 1: he had his druthers, he would not have Kellen Moore

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Speaker 1: as his offensive coordinator. And I think that's fair to

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00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:36,119
Speaker 1: say Mike McCarthy. I don't know if he'd necessarily called plays.

428
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:37,960
Speaker 1: He kind of went back and forth and some of

429
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:41,440
Speaker 1: his time in Green Bay, but I under no circumstances

430
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 1: would Kellen Moore be his offensive coordinator. So as long

431
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:47,320
Speaker 1: as kelln Morris's offensive coordinator, there is an element even

432
00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:50,880
Speaker 1: if Mike's power has grown in the sense that he's

433
00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:52,760
Speaker 1: just winning a lot of games for Jerry as Jerry

434
00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:54,879
Speaker 1: in the playoffs all the time. Remember Jason Garrett struggled

435
00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:57,159
Speaker 1: to get to the playoffs. You know he was he

436
00:21:57,280 --> 00:21:59,159
Speaker 1: was like a perennial eight and eight coach. You go

437
00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:02,240
Speaker 1: twelve plus wins year in year out, like I know,

438
00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:04,159
Speaker 1: not winning the Super Bowl. Well, Cowboys haven't been to

439
00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:06,159
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. And on was thirty years. This has been

440
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:08,840
Speaker 1: very successful couple of years for Jerry. It just has

441
00:22:09,040 --> 00:22:12,080
Speaker 1: like I'm sorry, you're not Andy Reed Patrick Mahomes. So

442
00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:15,119
Speaker 1: maybe McCarthy has gained some juice, but clearly doesn't have

443
00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:17,679
Speaker 1: the Jews as of right now, still being forced to

444
00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:23,600
Speaker 1: keep the offensive coordinator. The NFL Conference Championships this Sunday,

445
00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:26,400
Speaker 1: you can enjoy more thrills than a two minute drill

446
00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:30,320
Speaker 1: with a no sweat same game parlay from FanDuel, America's

447
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448
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449
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450
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451
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452
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453
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454
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455
00:22:55,640 --> 00:23:04,080
Speaker 1: to play now the championship games first and foremost. I

456
00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:08,679
Speaker 1: think this, these two matchups and these two teams that

457
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:12,080
Speaker 1: are hosting the games is why the NFL is king

458
00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:15,000
Speaker 1: and the reason the NFL has separated. It's in its

459
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:17,760
Speaker 1: own little stratosphere from all the other sports. Is because

460
00:23:17,800 --> 00:23:25,560
Speaker 1: of television. Forty million people watch forty Cowboys million people,

461
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:30,640
Speaker 1: the second most Divisional round game watched. Ever, we are

462
00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:34,840
Speaker 1: consuming football unlike these other sports we help. I grew

463
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 1: up loving the NBA. I honestly, I don't think I've

464
00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:40,800
Speaker 1: watched the start to finish NBA game this year Baseball.

465
00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 1: I mean I I like basis, I'm a rare millennial

466
00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:46,800
Speaker 1: who still watches baseball. I don't watch nearly as much.

467
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:50,040
Speaker 1: I watched so many hours of college in pro football.

468
00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:52,200
Speaker 1: And even if I didn't do this for a living,

469
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,159
Speaker 1: like literally talk about it, I don't think I would watch.

470
00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:59,160
Speaker 1: Maybe i'd watch a little less, but not much, not much.

471
00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:02,040
Speaker 1: And most of you that are listening to this don't

472
00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:04,480
Speaker 1: talk about football for you know a living, and you

473
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:07,400
Speaker 1: watch a shipload. It's one thing in America we all

474
00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:10,520
Speaker 1: agree on. You put on football on the television our

475
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 1: asses are on the couch. Is consuming. And there is

476
00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:17,879
Speaker 1: nothing better than playoff football in cold weather environments. That

477
00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:22,120
Speaker 1: Bill's game last week felt right, that Eagles home game

478
00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:26,080
Speaker 1: against the Giants that just hit. And I think both

479
00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:28,040
Speaker 1: these two places, and I've been to both. I've been

480
00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:31,040
Speaker 1: to a lot of games the Link and um, it's

481
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:34,399
Speaker 1: gonna be a special, special environment. And I love any

482
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:36,920
Speaker 1: game where I can see the guy's breath. Who knows,

483
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:39,000
Speaker 1: we'll see if the weather, I wouldn't mind a little,

484
00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:43,199
Speaker 1: a little snow. Uh, it's just Kansas City, Arrowhead the

485
00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 1: Link are just elite places to watch the final four,

486
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:51,439
Speaker 1: to watch games in both these two spots where you know,

487
00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:54,200
Speaker 1: any of these four teams can win like that. That's

488
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:57,440
Speaker 1: also what makes this so great is a lot of times,

489
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:01,959
Speaker 1: you know, even last year in the NFL, we all

490
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:03,720
Speaker 1: thought the Chiefs were gonna kick the Bengals, asked, then

491
00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:05,680
Speaker 1: they lost, and now they've lost three straight games of

492
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:10,440
Speaker 1: the Bengals. This like the two difference, two major differences

493
00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:13,080
Speaker 1: in these two matchups is the Bengals and Chiefs have

494
00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:15,560
Speaker 1: been playing a lot, right. The Eagles and in the

495
00:25:15,560 --> 00:25:18,160
Speaker 1: forty Niners just have not. I mean they played once

496
00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:21,440
Speaker 1: early last season, but it's a completely different team. Sirianni

497
00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:24,480
Speaker 1: was calling the plays, Jalen Hurts was a shell of himself. Uh,

498
00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:28,400
Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo was the forty nine starter. It's just completely different.

499
00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:30,440
Speaker 1: And the Eagles clearly they didn't have a J Brown

500
00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:34,480
Speaker 1: and the forty Niners did not have Dbs. So it's

501
00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:38,000
Speaker 1: just it's gonna be awesome. And I'll go into depth

502
00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:40,480
Speaker 1: with Stucky, but two things really stand out to me,

503
00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:44,119
Speaker 1: and that's the coaching staffs in both these two games.

504
00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:47,120
Speaker 1: And the reason I'm gonna go with Niners in chiefs

505
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:49,960
Speaker 1: is I'm just gonna lead with the coaches. And I listen,

506
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,680
Speaker 1: I know, Bengals fans, your guy has beaten Andy Reid.

507
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:55,159
Speaker 1: Is he gonna keep beating him? Like? I think it

508
00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:57,199
Speaker 1: eventually comes to an end? And it's pretty clear that

509
00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:59,879
Speaker 1: Mahome's injury is not nearly as bad as we thought.

510
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:02,960
Speaker 1: And I'm just going with Kyle Shanahan over Nick Sirianni. Now,

511
00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:05,200
Speaker 1: Nick Sirianni, here's what I will give him. He looks

512
00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:07,480
Speaker 1: like he's got really good coaching staff. You know, the

513
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,720
Speaker 1: offensive line coach has been there forever badass, Shane steke In,

514
00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:13,560
Speaker 1: the offensive coordinator. Sack be Player of the Year in

515
00:26:13,600 --> 00:26:17,639
Speaker 1: two thousand two, is clearly really good. Gannon little polar rising,

516
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:21,719
Speaker 1: but ultimately it's a headcat coaching quarterback league, and I

517
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:24,040
Speaker 1: just think Kyle, there's not a GM in the in

518
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:27,280
Speaker 1: the NFL thirty two g ms. They would take Nick

519
00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:30,160
Speaker 1: Sirianni over Kyle Shannon, and that includes how he rose. Now,

520
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,560
Speaker 1: he would never say that publicly, but come on, he

521
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:35,240
Speaker 1: would take Kyle Shannon over Nick Sirianni. And it's not

522
00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:38,159
Speaker 1: like Kyle Shannon doesn't have a lead assistance Damiko Ryan's

523
00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:41,040
Speaker 1: is arguably the number one assistant coach on the market.

524
00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:44,560
Speaker 1: So I'm leading there now. I don't feel great about it,

525
00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:48,600
Speaker 1: but I'll take the Niners as an underdog in this spot. Now.

526
00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:51,480
Speaker 1: The one big difference is if Jalen Hurts is on.

527
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:54,040
Speaker 1: He is just an elite player in Brock Purdy. At

528
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:56,359
Speaker 1: the end of the day, he's had an incredible little

529
00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:58,800
Speaker 1: run here and I think he's been better than people

530
00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:01,760
Speaker 1: people are talking about him. He's Jimmy Garoppolo. He's just managing. No,

531
00:27:01,840 --> 00:27:05,399
Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo managed Rock Party makes some place. Jimmy did not.

532
00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:09,439
Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo was a true manager. This little guy fucking playmaker.

533
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:13,400
Speaker 1: So if if Rock Purty plays a B game, which

534
00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:15,600
Speaker 1: is gonna be very difficult, this place is gonna be

535
00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:19,200
Speaker 1: going nuts. It's loud, you can't hear you can't think

536
00:27:19,720 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 1: it could get very hard. But the other thing with

537
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:25,239
Speaker 1: Jalen is who could have He probably would have been

538
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:27,120
Speaker 1: the MVP if he doesn't get hurt, because I think

539
00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:29,240
Speaker 1: people just naturally wanted to vote for someone knew he

540
00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:32,000
Speaker 1: was an incredible story. His team help might have ended

541
00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:34,639
Speaker 1: up fifteen and two instead of fourteen and three, and

542
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:36,920
Speaker 1: that it just would have been hard to vote against him.

543
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,640
Speaker 1: But like his running is a huge, you know addition,

544
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:44,160
Speaker 1: and they hit you fucking hard, and to me, that's

545
00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:46,280
Speaker 1: gonna be something to keep an on and just overall

546
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:48,240
Speaker 1: the coolest part about this game, to me, it's a

547
00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:52,440
Speaker 1: war daddy game. This game is full of on both sides. Dudes.

548
00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:55,000
Speaker 1: If you're a fan of that team, you want in

549
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:58,200
Speaker 1: the trenches with you absolute some of the biggest legends

550
00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:01,359
Speaker 1: in the history of these franchises, just all time in

551
00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:05,080
Speaker 1: the NFL currently bad asses. Look at the Eagles. They

552
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:07,720
Speaker 1: have the greatest center of all time, who is just

553
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:12,120
Speaker 1: a certified ass kicker in Kelsey Lane Johnson like Kelsey

554
00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:14,159
Speaker 1: and what I just isn't even the best offensive lineman

555
00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:18,679
Speaker 1: on his own team with Lane A. J. Brown, Fletcher Cox,

556
00:28:18,840 --> 00:28:22,200
Speaker 1: Brandon Graham, I mean Darius Slay like that they got

557
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:24,560
Speaker 1: guys that you just want to go to war with

558
00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:27,920
Speaker 1: in these big games, and the Niners like And ultimately

559
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:29,879
Speaker 1: the reason I'm taking the Niners because the Niners have

560
00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:32,840
Speaker 1: the same but they have the same of guys which

561
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:39,640
Speaker 1: have won countless games. Bosa, Fred Debo, Trent Kittle like

562
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:41,480
Speaker 1: they've been a part. I guess Trent has only been

563
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:42,880
Speaker 1: a part of a couple of years now, but the

564
00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:45,760
Speaker 1: other guys have been part of six playoff wins, six

565
00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 1: and they were leading in a Super Bowl. They've seen

566
00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:50,719
Speaker 1: it all. They've won on the road, Lambeau, they've won

567
00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:54,880
Speaker 1: on at home, They've won everywhere. So this notion that,

568
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:58,360
Speaker 1: like the Eagles, home field advantage is going to overwhelm

569
00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:01,960
Speaker 1: the Niners, Like, I don't know, maybe Purty, but he's

570
00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:06,080
Speaker 1: in a huddle looking at us, Check McCaffrey, Kittle, Trent

571
00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:10,320
Speaker 1: Williams like he's got absolute horses around him. Can't wait

572
00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:13,240
Speaker 1: for this game. Uh, honestly, I wish this game was

573
00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:15,600
Speaker 1: a seven game series and then the other game is

574
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:18,040
Speaker 1: just the two quarterbacks. I mean, it's just honestly, the

575
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:22,400
Speaker 1: quarterbacks in this for this weekend are just fascinating stories. Right,

576
00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:26,480
Speaker 1: Jalen and Burrow both went to Ohio State in Alabama

577
00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:29,680
Speaker 1: out of high school, and Burrow was Mr Ohio. But

578
00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:32,479
Speaker 1: Burrow was a three star recruit who Urban Meyer refused

579
00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:34,720
Speaker 1: to play and had to transfer, and then his first

580
00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:37,080
Speaker 1: year at l s U like it wasn't pretty right,

581
00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:40,240
Speaker 1: and then he became an absolute legend. In two thousand nineteen, Jalen,

582
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:43,880
Speaker 1: who did earn the starting job, eventually was kicked to

583
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:46,560
Speaker 1: the curb for two Attanabila, who at the time was better.

584
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:48,680
Speaker 1: But looking back, there in a soul that would say,

585
00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:51,720
Speaker 1: I'd rather have two other than Jalen Hurts. So both

586
00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:55,000
Speaker 1: the two guys had to transfer. Now these are first

587
00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:57,800
Speaker 1: world college football problems, one one from Bohama State to

588
00:29:57,920 --> 00:29:59,800
Speaker 1: l s U, the other one from Bama and Oklahoma.

589
00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:02,680
Speaker 1: Little different stories than the other two guys, right, Brock

590
00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:06,240
Speaker 1: Purty and Patrick Mahomes. We're just not on the level

591
00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:09,320
Speaker 1: of those programs. Nick Saban basically said, like, you're too small,

592
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:11,080
Speaker 1: you're not fast enough, your arms not good enough to

593
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,240
Speaker 1: Brock Purty, I can't offer you a scholarship. Then went

594
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:15,400
Speaker 1: to Ohio State and We'll go down as one of

595
00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:18,000
Speaker 1: if not the greatest player they've ever had. And Patrick

596
00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:21,000
Speaker 1: Mahomes in a weird way, is like one of the

597
00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:24,840
Speaker 1: most undervalued college players that became an NFL superstar I've

598
00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:27,680
Speaker 1: ever seen. When do we not know? I mean we

599
00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 1: hear over and over about Will Levis, right, we every

600
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:34,320
Speaker 1: college quarterback we are just hit over the head with Yeah,

601
00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:36,440
Speaker 1: I don't feel like we talked about Patrick Mahomes at

602
00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:39,960
Speaker 1: all in college, and now he's I think he's already

603
00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:43,280
Speaker 1: like a top five NFL player ever at quarterback. You know,

604
00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 1: that's like, you could not list five NFL quarterbacks that

605
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:49,840
Speaker 1: I would rather have than Patrick Mahomes in the history

606
00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:52,120
Speaker 1: of the sport. And he's like twenty eight years old.

607
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:54,200
Speaker 1: It's got a long way to go, so that that's

608
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:56,240
Speaker 1: usually not the way it works. But all their college

609
00:30:56,240 --> 00:31:00,800
Speaker 1: stories were pretty unique. Um and what makes the Chiefs,

610
00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:05,200
Speaker 1: you know, Bengal games so cool. It's like it's got

611
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 1: the two best quarterbacks in the league. Now one is

612
00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:09,680
Speaker 1: a little banged up and Burrows just trying to beat

613
00:31:09,760 --> 00:31:12,680
Speaker 1: him four straight times. Andy Reid's trying to become a legend,

614
00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 1: win a second Super Bowl, go to four. Zach Taylor's

615
00:31:16,040 --> 00:31:18,520
Speaker 1: shut everybody up. He already has. But you go back

616
00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:21,000
Speaker 1: to back Super bowls, I don't care if you if

617
00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,920
Speaker 1: you lose both. I mean that's pretty legendary stuff. You

618
00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:26,040
Speaker 1: got to back to back Super Bowls and you beat

619
00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:28,680
Speaker 1: the Bills, you beat the Chief twice on the road.

620
00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:33,400
Speaker 1: So this game, man, it's just star players everywhere, A

621
00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:39,239
Speaker 1: couple of star quarterbacks, star rosters, star head coaches, star coordinators. Uh,

622
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:45,320
Speaker 1: can't wait, Man, can't wait. Stoving a Stucky. We only

623
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:48,800
Speaker 1: got a couple more of these left here with my guys, Stucky.

624
00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:52,200
Speaker 1: The final four of the NFL is here. I think

625
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:54,920
Speaker 1: we got the correct final four teams. Now that we

626
00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:57,800
Speaker 1: found out that the Bills were sneaky kinda that they

627
00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:00,480
Speaker 1: were like the good version of frauds, not the Vikings,

628
00:32:00,520 --> 00:32:02,680
Speaker 1: who just weren't good. The Bills were good but a

629
00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:06,320
Speaker 1: little fraudulent when it came to championships. Uh, Stucky had

630
00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:08,920
Speaker 1: a really good year. Gambling gets a little harder now

631
00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:12,680
Speaker 1: we have this Mahomes mysterious ankle injury that might not

632
00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 1: actually be that bad, and then this nine are Eagle game,

633
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:19,320
Speaker 1: which it is really hard to predict. I mean it's

634
00:32:19,360 --> 00:32:22,840
Speaker 1: not it's not easy. What's cool about this week. Unlike

635
00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:27,040
Speaker 1: previous week's lines, a lot smaller, uh, which makes it

636
00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:31,360
Speaker 1: a little more complicated. Stucky, what's abning, bro? Yeah? What's

637
00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 1: going on? Brother? Yes, the first time since both conference

638
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:39,040
Speaker 1: championships have a spread below a field goal um. And

639
00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:43,440
Speaker 1: obviously the Mahomes ankle injury is looming large here. I

640
00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:45,400
Speaker 1: mean that that's and yeah, by the like, in grats

641
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:47,280
Speaker 1: to the Bengals. I was dead wrong on the Bills,

642
00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:50,040
Speaker 1: and as a Ravens fan, it's so annoying because so

643
00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:51,720
Speaker 1: close to being the Bengals. And that's why you just

644
00:32:51,760 --> 00:32:55,120
Speaker 1: get into the playoffs. Just get in, Like say the Ravens,

645
00:32:55,120 --> 00:32:58,640
Speaker 1: don't give up that fumble return, win that game, go

646
00:32:58,760 --> 00:33:01,560
Speaker 1: up the Buffalo, Buffalo no shows. You win that game.

647
00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:03,960
Speaker 1: Then all of a sudden Mahomes is potentially hurt, and

648
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:05,600
Speaker 1: then all of a sudden you're like, oh wait, we

649
00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:07,560
Speaker 1: can go to the super Bowl. So just in the NFL,

650
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:09,920
Speaker 1: that's why you just get in and anything can happen.

651
00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:13,800
Speaker 1: But yeah, we have the Mahomes injury obviously looms large here.

652
00:33:13,840 --> 00:33:15,840
Speaker 1: I think that, and we've seen a lot of movement.

653
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:18,520
Speaker 1: The Chiefs opened up as a favorite, the Bengals got

654
00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:20,560
Speaker 1: all the way up to minus two and a half,

655
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:24,280
Speaker 1: never got to three. Bunch of sharp groups came in

656
00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:27,680
Speaker 1: took the Chiefs then, and now we're sitting at Kansas

657
00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,240
Speaker 1: City minus one. There's also the video of Mahomes like,

658
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:33,000
Speaker 1: you know, walking and he looked fine and he says

659
00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:35,000
Speaker 1: he's fine. You can't put too much stock in what

660
00:33:35,040 --> 00:33:37,040
Speaker 1: these coaches and players are saying during the playoff week,

661
00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:40,600
Speaker 1: but um yeah, this line has been all over the place.

662
00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:43,560
Speaker 1: But definitely I think we have the foremost deserving and

663
00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:46,760
Speaker 1: arguably best teams, which we didn't have last year. Um

664
00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:49,760
Speaker 1: so yea, it should be an exciting Championships Sunday with

665
00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:53,080
Speaker 1: only sadly three football games left. Yeah. It's funny because

666
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:55,680
Speaker 1: over the weekend, right, he gets the high angle sprain,

667
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,520
Speaker 1: or we thought it was like, I guess there are

668
00:33:57,560 --> 00:34:00,200
Speaker 1: different levels of high angle sprains and in place through

669
00:34:00,320 --> 00:34:03,000
Speaker 1: limps around. Clearly he was you know, in some pain.

670
00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:06,600
Speaker 1: And then it happens to Pollard and everyone's like, well, Mahomes,

671
00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:08,120
Speaker 1: can this guy come back? And it turns out he

672
00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:11,040
Speaker 1: had broken bone in his leg, So it was like, uh,

673
00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:15,719
Speaker 1: that made some sense. I mean about last weekend. You know,

674
00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:17,880
Speaker 1: I thought the Cowboys showed up. I mean, their defense

675
00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:21,279
Speaker 1: was fantastic, Their defense played a playoff winning game, and

676
00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:24,719
Speaker 1: ultimately their quarterback did not You just you can't throw

677
00:34:24,800 --> 00:34:28,680
Speaker 1: two picks did lead do you know scores, even if

678
00:34:28,680 --> 00:34:31,319
Speaker 1: they're not touchdowns, that's six points, especially in that low

679
00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:35,560
Speaker 1: scoring defense, it was six six. The picks in those

680
00:34:35,560 --> 00:34:39,160
Speaker 1: type games are I mean complete kicking the dicks. I

681
00:34:39,160 --> 00:34:43,839
Speaker 1: mean they're just they're devastating. Yeah, I mean, granted, uh

682
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:47,879
Speaker 1: they don't ask as much of Purty, but Purty looked

683
00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:49,919
Speaker 1: like the veteran quarterback. You can go back and say,

684
00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:52,040
Speaker 1: like there was a drop pick, but that was off

685
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:53,640
Speaker 1: of a tip, right, And if you go back and

686
00:34:53,680 --> 00:34:56,480
Speaker 1: there was no like turnover where the bad throws, that

687
00:34:56,560 --> 00:34:59,799
Speaker 1: party made the entire game. And yeah, pres Scott made

688
00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:02,200
Speaker 1: those mistakes. And in a game, especially in the game

689
00:35:02,200 --> 00:35:05,320
Speaker 1: where no one's getting the twenty and it's that low scoring,

690
00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:07,759
Speaker 1: you can't turn the ball over in the playoffs, and

691
00:35:07,800 --> 00:35:09,720
Speaker 1: that especially on the road, and that was the difference.

692
00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:14,040
Speaker 1: And it turned out the night game on Saturday. You

693
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:17,640
Speaker 1: know that when the Eagles are healthy and the Giants

694
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:20,040
Speaker 1: have no shot, I mean they're just they're in a

695
00:35:20,080 --> 00:35:22,879
Speaker 1: completely different ball game, and I think I don't even

696
00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:25,359
Speaker 1: think it was just everyone over reacting to the previous week.

697
00:35:25,400 --> 00:35:27,440
Speaker 1: It was like, you know, what's up with these Eagles injuries?

698
00:35:27,760 --> 00:35:31,040
Speaker 1: Lane Johnson play looks fine and Jalen Hurts obviously looked

699
00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:34,160
Speaker 1: pretty good too. And that was a boat race, and

700
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:38,040
Speaker 1: now we have you know, I think it's pretty clear

701
00:35:38,160 --> 00:35:41,480
Speaker 1: the obviously the Chiefs and the Banals have Mahomes and Borrow,

702
00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:45,600
Speaker 1: and the Chiefs have Kelsey, and they have Chase and Higgins.

703
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:47,920
Speaker 1: But top to bottom, these are the two best rosters

704
00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:51,239
Speaker 1: in the league. And we are getting just an absolute

705
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:55,200
Speaker 1: heavyweight fight starting on on Sunday afternoon or depending on

706
00:35:55,239 --> 00:35:59,120
Speaker 1: where you live, Sunday late afternoon. This line's two and

707
00:35:59,160 --> 00:36:02,920
Speaker 1: a half. And my ultimate take here is because it's hard, right.

708
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:05,319
Speaker 1: You have a rookie quarterback going on the road. This

709
00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:07,960
Speaker 1: is a very, very tough environment. This is not last

710
00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:11,279
Speaker 1: year when the Niners played the Rams. Remember a lot

711
00:36:11,320 --> 00:36:12,640
Speaker 1: of the talk and I went to the week a

712
00:36:12,719 --> 00:36:14,920
Speaker 1: team game, it's a Niner home game. It was an

713
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:17,600
Speaker 1: easy travel it was an easy to buy You're not

714
00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:20,200
Speaker 1: threatened by Rams fans. This is a little bit different

715
00:36:20,200 --> 00:36:22,919
Speaker 1: ball game. One that travel is just far and two.

716
00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:26,239
Speaker 1: It's just you're not rolling into the link, you know,

717
00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:29,480
Speaker 1: wearing a Devo jersey and feeling great about your you

718
00:36:29,520 --> 00:36:33,080
Speaker 1: know yourself. It's just a it's a different environment now.

719
00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:36,320
Speaker 1: Like the Eagles have the advantage of quarterback. When Jalen

720
00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:38,640
Speaker 1: is healthy, he's better than Brock Purty. He's an MVP

721
00:36:38,840 --> 00:36:41,759
Speaker 1: level player. I think the forty Niners have the advantage

722
00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:43,759
Speaker 1: at head coach. I mean, Kyle's won a ton of

723
00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:47,480
Speaker 1: playoff games, and ultimately Sirianni now is just you know,

724
00:36:47,640 --> 00:36:49,759
Speaker 1: he's a CEO head coach. You're not calling offense, he's

725
00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:51,640
Speaker 1: not calling defense. So not only Kyle's the head coach,

726
00:36:51,640 --> 00:36:54,680
Speaker 1: but he also dictates the game. And you know, the

727
00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:57,239
Speaker 1: weakness for the Eagles the last couple of years has

728
00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:01,080
Speaker 1: been the much maligned in Philadelphia, the defensive coordinator. Now

729
00:37:01,200 --> 00:37:04,240
Speaker 1: stike In the offensive coordinator who took over for Sirianni

730
00:37:04,280 --> 00:37:06,520
Speaker 1: last year. It is looking good clearly. I mean he's

731
00:37:06,560 --> 00:37:08,720
Speaker 1: really good. And they got they like Kyle, they got horses.

732
00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:11,880
Speaker 1: But Demiko, you know, I would say, is the best

733
00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:14,480
Speaker 1: young defensive coordinator in the league. Like the coaching matchups

734
00:37:14,520 --> 00:37:17,799
Speaker 1: in this game is elite. I mean just from both

735
00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:21,719
Speaker 1: coordinators against each other. Uh, I would just lean if

736
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,000
Speaker 1: you're talking two teams that are basically equals, just take

737
00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:26,160
Speaker 1: the team with the points and it makes me feel

738
00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:27,720
Speaker 1: a little bit better. Not trying to be a Ninners

739
00:37:27,760 --> 00:37:29,840
Speaker 1: homer here, but they have just gone on the road

740
00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:32,480
Speaker 1: over the years and they just keep these games close

741
00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:34,960
Speaker 1: because they have really physical teams and they got a

742
00:37:34,960 --> 00:37:37,839
Speaker 1: bunch of war daddies who are used to these type environments. Now,

743
00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:42,000
Speaker 1: I would say over their playoff runs with Kyle, they've

744
00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:44,840
Speaker 1: won six games since you know, since two thousand nineteen.

745
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:47,279
Speaker 1: Four of those have been I guess three of those

746
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:50,279
Speaker 1: have been on the road. Uh. You know, they're they're

747
00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:54,080
Speaker 1: best players, just make enormous plays, they get turnovers, they

748
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:58,279
Speaker 1: just create chaos and they it's not always the like

749
00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:00,279
Speaker 1: when the Eagles are rolling it it looks really good.

750
00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:02,440
Speaker 1: The Niners is a little bit different and that's how

751
00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:05,120
Speaker 1: they want to play. So I just think, you know,

752
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:07,200
Speaker 1: if you like the Niners in this game, they're gonna

753
00:38:07,280 --> 00:38:08,839
Speaker 1: keep the game close. Like you would take the two

754
00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:10,600
Speaker 1: and a half. Now, if the Niners lose, I can

755
00:38:10,640 --> 00:38:13,040
Speaker 1: see them losing by a couple of scores, you know,

756
00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:15,239
Speaker 1: It's just it's one of in the Eagles a little

757
00:38:15,239 --> 00:38:17,600
Speaker 1: bit you saw in the games where they've lost, right

758
00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:20,319
Speaker 1: the Saints game, I guess I guess Minshi was playing

759
00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:23,120
Speaker 1: in that game. But still, and obviously the Commander game

760
00:38:24,320 --> 00:38:26,640
Speaker 1: is if you keep it close. I mean, they don't

761
00:38:26,640 --> 00:38:28,560
Speaker 1: have a lot of experience. It's not like this team

762
00:38:28,560 --> 00:38:31,600
Speaker 1: has been rolling for half a decade, right, So I'm

763
00:38:31,600 --> 00:38:33,920
Speaker 1: gonna go Niners plus two and a half. I And

764
00:38:33,960 --> 00:38:35,920
Speaker 1: just as a fan of football, I would love to

765
00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:39,399
Speaker 1: just see this thing be an all time great game. Yeah.

766
00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:40,759
Speaker 1: I don't have a side here. I mean, if you

767
00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:42,279
Speaker 1: got if it gets the three, I think you would

768
00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:46,680
Speaker 1: see sharp money come in on San Francisco immediately. I

769
00:38:46,960 --> 00:38:48,480
Speaker 1: think if if I had to make a play on

770
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:51,359
Speaker 1: either the side or the total, I would probably play

771
00:38:51,440 --> 00:38:53,800
Speaker 1: the under here. I think it's gonna be a lower

772
00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 1: scoring game or both defenses show up. I mean, Broc,

773
00:38:56,239 --> 00:38:57,800
Speaker 1: the key is. And we said this with the Giants

774
00:38:57,800 --> 00:38:59,680
Speaker 1: Eagles lastly. The John said to keep that close early

775
00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:02,040
Speaker 1: and didn't and then it was just gonna get away,

776
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:05,560
Speaker 1: from which it did. Um and and a similar fourteen

777
00:39:05,600 --> 00:39:08,920
Speaker 1: nothing last week felt like thirty to nothing. Yeah, and

778
00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:11,600
Speaker 1: it was then it was just lights out. And a

779
00:39:11,680 --> 00:39:14,640
Speaker 1: similar thing here with Parties. You don't want a rookie

780
00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:17,920
Speaker 1: quarterback and this offense playing from behind, like see, you

781
00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:19,439
Speaker 1: just want to. I think you want to come out,

782
00:39:20,120 --> 00:39:22,960
Speaker 1: take the punch, take the crowd. And the fort Landers

783
00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:24,480
Speaker 1: are a team that's built for that, right with their

784
00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:27,799
Speaker 1: run game in their defense. These are the teams that

785
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:31,040
Speaker 1: historically have gone on the road in hostile environments and

786
00:39:31,040 --> 00:39:35,120
Speaker 1: and and pulled off upsets. Because you're going up against history,

787
00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:37,560
Speaker 1: I mean, Parties. The fifth rookie quarterback to ever start

788
00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:40,960
Speaker 1: a conference championship game, and the previous four went oh

789
00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:45,080
Speaker 1: and four with four touchdowns and nine interceptions. That's Mark Sanchez, Flacco,

790
00:39:45,160 --> 00:39:49,080
Speaker 1: Big Ben and Shawn King. And a rookie quarterback has

791
00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:52,040
Speaker 1: never starting rookie quarterback has never gone to the Super

792
00:39:52,080 --> 00:39:54,239
Speaker 1: Bowl alone wanted So yeah, I think that you want to.

793
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:56,920
Speaker 1: You want to treat this game with like kids gloves

794
00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 1: early on, which Shanahan can do um and you want

795
00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:01,440
Speaker 1: to rely your d your run game and then just

796
00:40:02,160 --> 00:40:05,680
Speaker 1: three nothing end of the first quarter, perfect, great, like nothing,

797
00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:08,479
Speaker 1: We're we're fine now and then we can play our game.

798
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:11,200
Speaker 1: What wouldn't you wouldn't you agree with the quarterbacks you

799
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:14,759
Speaker 1: just listed. Those guys were true, not that Purty's not.

800
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:18,520
Speaker 1: But like he can throw three plus touchdowns in a game, well,

801
00:40:18,520 --> 00:40:21,840
Speaker 1: are those guys at their rookie You're obviously been Pretty's

802
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:23,719
Speaker 1: never gonna be as good as been one day. But

803
00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 1: like as a rookie, Pertie can have a three touchdown

804
00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:29,080
Speaker 1: passing game. I don't know if he will against the Eagles,

805
00:40:29,120 --> 00:40:32,239
Speaker 1: but he's consistently done that. Yeah, And he also has

806
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:35,080
Speaker 1: better weapons and around him than those, you know, than

807
00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:39,040
Speaker 1: Sanchez and Flacco and and King had Um and you know,

808
00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:43,120
Speaker 1: I think a better staff and just situation overall. And

809
00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:47,120
Speaker 1: it's just it's just you. Your rookie Road Conference championship

810
00:40:47,160 --> 00:40:49,719
Speaker 1: game probably gonna be some jitters like you just gotta

811
00:40:49,760 --> 00:40:52,480
Speaker 1: get him through those first couple of drives, um, And

812
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:55,000
Speaker 1: that's what they do normally. It's like, you know, easy

813
00:40:55,080 --> 00:40:57,759
Speaker 1: manageable throws and then he can start making plays as

814
00:40:57,760 --> 00:41:01,040
Speaker 1: he's done. Um. But to props that I played in

815
00:41:01,040 --> 00:41:03,040
Speaker 1: this game, one for each side I did. I played

816
00:41:03,040 --> 00:41:05,879
Speaker 1: in McCaffrey under sixty three rushing arts, which is kind

817
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:07,960
Speaker 1: of scary because you can always break one. But when

818
00:41:08,040 --> 00:41:09,960
Speaker 1: when we get to this point in the season, the

819
00:41:10,040 --> 00:41:12,640
Speaker 1: lines are very efficient. Everyone knows the teams. I try

820
00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:15,480
Speaker 1: to think of, okay, what is the other team going

821
00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:16,840
Speaker 1: to do and how are they going to approach this

822
00:41:16,880 --> 00:41:20,719
Speaker 1: game strategically. I would assume that the Eagles here are

823
00:41:20,760 --> 00:41:24,480
Speaker 1: going to do something similar to the Cowboys, and because

824
00:41:24,520 --> 00:41:26,080
Speaker 1: they're not, they're normally like, we don't blitz, and I

825
00:41:26,080 --> 00:41:27,719
Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna flitz lot, but we don't blitz.

826
00:41:27,800 --> 00:41:30,080
Speaker 1: We sit back in our zones, which I don't think

827
00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:31,880
Speaker 1: you want to do against all of the you know

828
00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:36,200
Speaker 1: the Niners what they do from a past perspective, But

829
00:41:36,239 --> 00:41:37,799
Speaker 1: I think that they're gonna say, look, we're gonna put

830
00:41:37,800 --> 00:41:41,719
Speaker 1: maybe put an extra defensive lineman, maybe go five six

831
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:44,040
Speaker 1: defensive lineman, time an extra guy in the box, because

832
00:41:44,080 --> 00:41:47,319
Speaker 1: I think that they're gonna say, rookie quarterback on the road,

833
00:41:47,600 --> 00:41:49,600
Speaker 1: you beat us to start. So I think they're gonna

834
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:51,879
Speaker 1: be focused on taking away the run. And you also

835
00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:53,600
Speaker 1: have like you know, McCaffrey. I think he's gonna be five,

836
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:55,160
Speaker 1: but you have the calf injury. You also have all

837
00:41:55,200 --> 00:41:57,640
Speaker 1: these other backs that the forty Niners can use. So

838
00:41:57,760 --> 00:42:00,479
Speaker 1: I think that the Eagles are gonna make party throw

839
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:03,680
Speaker 1: it and um, that's going to so they're gonna be

840
00:42:03,719 --> 00:42:05,640
Speaker 1: focused on stopping the run. So I think this number

841
00:42:06,120 --> 00:42:08,600
Speaker 1: is a little bit inflated. And Jalen Hurts, it's probably

842
00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:11,239
Speaker 1: my favorite crop in this game. Under forty nine and

843
00:42:11,280 --> 00:42:15,000
Speaker 1: a half rushing yards and he's looked healthy, but he's

844
00:42:15,000 --> 00:42:16,879
Speaker 1: just not running it as well the past couple of weeks.

845
00:42:16,880 --> 00:42:18,840
Speaker 1: We had nine for thirty four last week against an

846
00:42:18,880 --> 00:42:22,319
Speaker 1: awful Giants Rundy. He had nine for thirteen against the

847
00:42:22,320 --> 00:42:24,640
Speaker 1: Giants the week before that as well. He's also gone

848
00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:27,720
Speaker 1: under this number nine in the past thirteen games. And

849
00:42:28,400 --> 00:42:30,560
Speaker 1: if you look at what the forty Niners have done,

850
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:33,320
Speaker 1: you know against when they were healthy, their defense against

851
00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:35,680
Speaker 1: mobile quarterbacks, no one's really done anything against. I mean

852
00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:38,399
Speaker 1: Dad got to twenty two last week yet fields who

853
00:42:38,640 --> 00:42:42,800
Speaker 1: had I think thirty on eleven carries in week one. Um,

854
00:42:42,880 --> 00:42:44,960
Speaker 1: and this is a team. And if you look at

855
00:42:45,000 --> 00:42:47,279
Speaker 1: who the Eagles have played, they have not played many

856
00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:51,239
Speaker 1: great defenses, and when they have, their offense has struggled,

857
00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:55,000
Speaker 1: uh significantly more. And the forty Niners. Look, when you

858
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:57,680
Speaker 1: get to this point the season, there's and there might

859
00:42:57,719 --> 00:42:59,440
Speaker 1: be a reason why Hurts hasn't had as much success

860
00:42:59,520 --> 00:43:02,600
Speaker 1: running the ball. You can scout there's there's more advanced

861
00:43:02,600 --> 00:43:04,920
Speaker 1: scalt on what these teams are looking to do. So

862
00:43:04,960 --> 00:43:06,440
Speaker 1: early in the season when Hurts was running for a

863
00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:08,120
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty yards, it was whoa, what are the

864
00:43:08,160 --> 00:43:10,400
Speaker 1: Eagles doing here? For Niners have film on that and

865
00:43:10,440 --> 00:43:13,319
Speaker 1: also for dners of an elite run defense, the forty

866
00:43:13,400 --> 00:43:16,200
Speaker 1: Niners also have elite linebackers who can you know, go

867
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:19,960
Speaker 1: sideline to sideline to you know, you're really worried about

868
00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:21,759
Speaker 1: here is Hurts breaking a long one here, which would

869
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:23,920
Speaker 1: really mess this prop up. And on top of that,

870
00:43:23,960 --> 00:43:27,319
Speaker 1: the forty Niners are very slow team. What does that mean?

871
00:43:27,560 --> 00:43:30,080
Speaker 1: There's just not as many plays in the game. And

872
00:43:30,200 --> 00:43:32,680
Speaker 1: I also like the under so you know, food owners

873
00:43:32,719 --> 00:43:35,799
Speaker 1: are ball control offense. They take you know seconds, let's

874
00:43:35,800 --> 00:43:37,919
Speaker 1: snap the ball. It's not as many players in the game.

875
00:43:38,280 --> 00:43:40,759
Speaker 1: So I think this is a great matchup for them.

876
00:43:40,760 --> 00:43:42,600
Speaker 1: The limit Hurts, That's what they'll be focused on in

877
00:43:42,600 --> 00:43:46,759
Speaker 1: the run game. So um, yeah, give me Hurts under

878
00:43:46,880 --> 00:43:49,319
Speaker 1: forty nine and a half rushing yards. Yeah, I think

879
00:43:49,360 --> 00:43:52,200
Speaker 1: like the Niners against good teams against bad teams that

880
00:43:52,239 --> 00:43:54,799
Speaker 1: you know, they were scoring thirty plus points with these

881
00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:56,640
Speaker 1: but against you as you saw with the Cowboys, and

882
00:43:56,640 --> 00:43:58,480
Speaker 1: I think their game plan is gonna be very similar

883
00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:01,479
Speaker 1: that they have. No they're like a nineties basketball team

884
00:44:01,560 --> 00:44:04,239
Speaker 1: that they'll win a game eight to eight four and

885
00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:07,359
Speaker 1: feel great about it. Just they loved winning that game

886
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:09,760
Speaker 1: nineteen to twelve. They would have been cool with winning

887
00:44:09,760 --> 00:44:12,200
Speaker 1: at sixteen to twelve like that. They were the Eagles

888
00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:15,680
Speaker 1: clearly a little bit more like a modern day basketball

889
00:44:15,719 --> 00:44:18,920
Speaker 1: team want to win that bad boy like one fifteen.

890
00:44:19,360 --> 00:44:22,080
Speaker 1: So I think just schematically now, the one difference. I've

891
00:44:22,080 --> 00:44:24,040
Speaker 1: had a lot of people like buddies asking me like

892
00:44:24,120 --> 00:44:26,480
Speaker 1: about this game fired up right, a lot of Niner

893
00:44:26,480 --> 00:44:28,320
Speaker 1: fans like, what's the difference between them and the Cowboys

894
00:44:28,320 --> 00:44:30,880
Speaker 1: on defense? I said, well, based on last week, vander

895
00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:33,480
Speaker 1: Esch look like fucking Brian or Locker. He was all

896
00:44:33,520 --> 00:44:35,200
Speaker 1: over the place. And the Eagles, like one of their

897
00:44:35,239 --> 00:44:38,200
Speaker 1: weaknesses has always been linebackers. So it's just if the

898
00:44:38,280 --> 00:44:41,760
Speaker 1: Niners can run it, uh, then obviously that's a huge

899
00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:44,279
Speaker 1: disadvantage for the Eagles where it's really hard to do that.

900
00:44:44,680 --> 00:44:46,400
Speaker 1: The Cowboys kind of ran out of juice at the end,

901
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:48,400
Speaker 1: but for the majority of that game there were no lanes.

902
00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:50,400
Speaker 1: And to me on the flip side for the Eagles,

903
00:44:50,960 --> 00:44:53,040
Speaker 1: like d K and CD, the last couple of weeks

904
00:44:53,160 --> 00:44:55,120
Speaker 1: kind of lit them up. Well, the Eagles got two dudes,

905
00:44:55,640 --> 00:44:58,360
Speaker 1: you know, and the team's different, but a j destroyed

906
00:44:58,400 --> 00:45:00,480
Speaker 1: them last year on a Thursday night game. Need destroies

907
00:45:00,520 --> 00:45:03,239
Speaker 1: everybody's elite player, and DeVante has really kind of come

908
00:45:03,280 --> 00:45:06,200
Speaker 1: into his own as a you know, star young player.

909
00:45:06,320 --> 00:45:09,160
Speaker 1: So I if those two cats go for like to

910
00:45:09,200 --> 00:45:11,480
Speaker 1: two bills and a couple of touchdowns, is gonna be tough. Now,

911
00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:14,000
Speaker 1: if the Niners can keep them combined, you know, I

912
00:45:14,000 --> 00:45:17,040
Speaker 1: would say like under one, so they're each around the

913
00:45:17,040 --> 00:45:19,239
Speaker 1: seventy and just like one touchdown, meaning they're playing well

914
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:20,880
Speaker 1: on the red zone, then they'll have a chance. But

915
00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:24,160
Speaker 1: like ultimately c D and DK and they didn't have

916
00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:26,879
Speaker 1: help like that they showed up to kick ass and

917
00:45:27,040 --> 00:45:30,080
Speaker 1: this team has too, you know. Yeah, and I agree,

918
00:45:30,120 --> 00:45:32,080
Speaker 1: I think I would assume that that's the you know,

919
00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:34,120
Speaker 1: thinking about the strategic to going back to the Hurts

920
00:45:34,160 --> 00:45:36,560
Speaker 1: prop is that I also think that the the Eagles

921
00:45:36,600 --> 00:45:39,239
Speaker 1: will probably come out here and try to attack more

922
00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:42,840
Speaker 1: through the air, knowing that for sure the softer spot

923
00:45:43,320 --> 00:45:45,040
Speaker 1: of you know when I don't have many sauce spots.

924
00:45:45,040 --> 00:45:48,120
Speaker 1: But if you're looking relatively speaking, um, it's trying to

925
00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:51,279
Speaker 1: attack them and beat them deep. And so I don't

926
00:45:51,320 --> 00:45:53,759
Speaker 1: think that they're going to be running as much as

927
00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:55,879
Speaker 1: they have and I'm I'm sure the forty Niners will

928
00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:57,719
Speaker 1: be ready. But yeah, if I had to say what

929
00:45:57,920 --> 00:46:01,359
Speaker 1: happens to this game, it's can the Fortyers just get

930
00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:04,600
Speaker 1: through the first quarter? Uh? If they do and it's

931
00:46:04,600 --> 00:46:09,200
Speaker 1: you know, still close, nothing catastrophic happens. Flip a coin,

932
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:15,280
Speaker 1: yourn with the coin flips your winner. Yes, this environment

933
00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:17,440
Speaker 1: is going to be berserk, you know. The second. I

934
00:46:17,440 --> 00:46:20,239
Speaker 1: think both these two I talked about on the podcast,

935
00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:23,759
Speaker 1: like these are elite to get. The NFL is a

936
00:46:23,800 --> 00:46:27,239
Speaker 1: television product, and these games on TV, the home environments

937
00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:31,600
Speaker 1: are just special right Philly in Kansas City, And unlike

938
00:46:31,600 --> 00:46:33,600
Speaker 1: the Niners and the Eagles, I mean, they don't have

939
00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:36,520
Speaker 1: any recent history, right, I mean, these teams, it feels

940
00:46:36,560 --> 00:46:39,399
Speaker 1: like the Bengals in the Chiefs right now are they

941
00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:41,920
Speaker 1: are definitely the rival, right, I mean, these are the

942
00:46:41,920 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 1: two best teams in the a f C for the

943
00:46:43,280 --> 00:46:45,560
Speaker 1: last couple of years, and they've played each other NonStop,

944
00:46:45,840 --> 00:46:48,880
Speaker 1: and the Bengals keep beating them, you know, so I

945
00:46:49,239 --> 00:46:51,879
Speaker 1: think they just added juice that I've been a lot

946
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:54,480
Speaker 1: of the people season ticket holders that were literally at

947
00:46:54,480 --> 00:46:58,560
Speaker 1: this game a year ago. We witnessed whatever the hell

948
00:46:58,640 --> 00:47:02,279
Speaker 1: that was. It was not pretty. And uh, I look

949
00:47:02,320 --> 00:47:04,160
Speaker 1: back at the last couple of box scores. You know,

950
00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:07,759
Speaker 1: Chase and Higgins have just been killing them. So it's like,

951
00:47:08,600 --> 00:47:10,520
Speaker 1: to me, that's the thing, like, can they just slow

952
00:47:10,560 --> 00:47:12,359
Speaker 1: a little bit? Like a j and DeVante? Can you

953
00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:15,960
Speaker 1: slow those guys down? I mean, good offense always it's

954
00:47:16,000 --> 00:47:20,319
Speaker 1: hard to stop elite you know, wide receivers, but you

955
00:47:20,320 --> 00:47:22,799
Speaker 1: can't let these guys just dominate you in the air

956
00:47:23,360 --> 00:47:27,080
Speaker 1: and mahomes health, which he's definitely playing, but they just

957
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:30,160
Speaker 1: have a lot of juice. I mean, it's I think

958
00:47:30,160 --> 00:47:31,560
Speaker 1: in the n C Double A Tournament, we have to

959
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:33,200
Speaker 1: say it's hard to be a team three times or

960
00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:36,239
Speaker 1: sell sometimes four times or whatever. Like it's it's pretty

961
00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:39,000
Speaker 1: difficult to be in, you know, a great team, which

962
00:47:39,000 --> 00:47:41,680
Speaker 1: the Chiefs have been now for four straight years, four

963
00:47:41,840 --> 00:47:45,879
Speaker 1: straight times, several times on the road. So I would

964
00:47:45,920 --> 00:47:49,040
Speaker 1: just go lie averages take the Chiefs in this game.

965
00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:52,200
Speaker 1: But you know I I wouldn't make a living betting

966
00:47:52,200 --> 00:47:55,680
Speaker 1: against cool Joe tell you that much? Yeah? What what

967
00:47:55,760 --> 00:47:58,520
Speaker 1: a fascinated game? This is the you know if you look,

968
00:47:58,560 --> 00:48:02,719
Speaker 1: I mean Mahomes in its career is seventeen six and

969
00:48:02,719 --> 00:48:05,160
Speaker 1: one against the spread. Is either an underdog or a

970
00:48:05,160 --> 00:48:06,920
Speaker 1: favorite of three or lass like do you need him

971
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:09,759
Speaker 1: to win the game? He has been as money as

972
00:48:09,800 --> 00:48:13,400
Speaker 1: any quarterback in the Super Bowl Air. He's also seven

973
00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:15,920
Speaker 1: one and one against the spread as an underdog. We'll

974
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:17,560
Speaker 1: see if he closes an underdog or not. So if

975
00:48:17,560 --> 00:48:19,680
Speaker 1: you want to just take those trends, great, But let

976
00:48:19,719 --> 00:48:23,880
Speaker 1: me get the fade Joe Barrow, who is now twenty

977
00:48:24,040 --> 00:48:26,759
Speaker 1: five against the spread over his past twenty five stars.

978
00:48:26,800 --> 00:48:29,920
Speaker 1: That includes sixteen and one over the past seventeen games

979
00:48:29,960 --> 00:48:33,120
Speaker 1: against non divisional opponents. He's nineteen and seven against the

980
00:48:33,120 --> 00:48:36,400
Speaker 1: spread away from home in his career. How about fifteen

981
00:48:36,400 --> 00:48:39,160
Speaker 1: and two straight up in his last seventeen games against

982
00:48:39,200 --> 00:48:42,640
Speaker 1: teams with winning records, and they've gone twenty two straight

983
00:48:42,640 --> 00:48:44,880
Speaker 1: games without losing by more than three with Jamar Chase starting.

984
00:48:45,000 --> 00:48:47,680
Speaker 1: And my favorite stat as I came up with this

985
00:48:47,840 --> 00:48:49,600
Speaker 1: is there. He's twenty one and two against the spread

986
00:48:49,640 --> 00:48:51,760
Speaker 1: in his past twenty three starts against teams that aren't

987
00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:55,239
Speaker 1: or have never been the Cleveland Browns twenty one two

988
00:48:55,280 --> 00:48:58,600
Speaker 1: against the spread. So why is that? A lot of

989
00:48:58,640 --> 00:49:03,320
Speaker 1: it is he is dominant in the second half because

990
00:49:03,320 --> 00:49:07,400
Speaker 1: he's great, he's clutchy has great receivers. But their defensive

991
00:49:07,400 --> 00:49:11,040
Speaker 1: coordinator has made arguably the best second half adjustments over

992
00:49:11,080 --> 00:49:15,080
Speaker 1: the past two seasons of any coordinator in the entire NFL.

993
00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:19,080
Speaker 1: And that basically is what has happened in all three meetings.

994
00:49:19,080 --> 00:49:21,200
Speaker 1: That all happened in two This will be the fourth

995
00:49:21,200 --> 00:49:26,879
Speaker 1: meeting in the past thirteen months. The final scores at

996
00:49:27,320 --> 00:49:34,280
Speaker 1: thirty one, and the Chiefs could only muster six points.

997
00:49:34,360 --> 00:49:36,760
Speaker 1: It's gonna be ten points in the fourth quarter combined

998
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:39,120
Speaker 1: and overtime. There was an overtime too. That's it. They

999
00:49:39,160 --> 00:49:41,160
Speaker 1: were completely shut down. They were either leading or tied

1000
00:49:41,200 --> 00:49:45,040
Speaker 1: going in the fourth quarter every single game of those three.

1001
00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:48,120
Speaker 1: And you have Burrow in the second half, who's clutch

1002
00:49:48,160 --> 00:49:50,719
Speaker 1: and great, and their receivers, as you mentioned just they

1003
00:49:50,719 --> 00:49:52,239
Speaker 1: made plays and a lot of times the Chiefs are

1004
00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:54,719
Speaker 1: really good at taking away your outside receivers didn't matter,

1005
00:49:54,760 --> 00:49:56,760
Speaker 1: Barns where to put the ball, and they make plays.

1006
00:49:57,080 --> 00:50:00,359
Speaker 1: And then the defensive adjustments have been spectacular. My homes

1007
00:50:00,400 --> 00:50:03,480
Speaker 1: has lit them up almost every first half, and then

1008
00:50:03,480 --> 00:50:06,440
Speaker 1: in the second half their defenses shut them down. So

1009
00:50:07,160 --> 00:50:10,080
Speaker 1: what changes here, we'll see I tend to think so

1010
00:50:10,120 --> 00:50:11,400
Speaker 1: if I was making this line, it would be like

1011
00:50:11,480 --> 00:50:14,160
Speaker 1: Chiefs minus three minus three and a half if Mahomes

1012
00:50:14,239 --> 00:50:17,480
Speaker 1: is healthy. If there's no Mahomes, you know it's probably

1013
00:50:17,520 --> 00:50:20,319
Speaker 1: Bengals minus three and a half for worth, you know,

1014
00:50:20,560 --> 00:50:23,879
Speaker 1: touchdown plus and you're also crossing two threes, the most

1015
00:50:23,880 --> 00:50:26,840
Speaker 1: important numbers in the NFL. So this is kind of

1016
00:50:26,840 --> 00:50:29,759
Speaker 1: the headsline, like he's not gonna be fully healthy. So

1017
00:50:29,800 --> 00:50:31,319
Speaker 1: I would lean like, look, you're getting the Chiefs at

1018
00:50:31,320 --> 00:50:33,439
Speaker 1: a discount you think it's gonna be fine. You're also

1019
00:50:33,480 --> 00:50:35,200
Speaker 1: getting the total at a discount if you think it's

1020
00:50:35,200 --> 00:50:36,719
Speaker 1: gonna be fine. I just mentioned there's three games they

1021
00:50:36,760 --> 00:50:38,879
Speaker 1: all reached at least fifty one points, So I would

1022
00:50:38,960 --> 00:50:41,200
Speaker 1: lean Chiefs and over. But the way that I'm going

1023
00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:45,040
Speaker 1: to attack it is a couple of ways. One, I

1024
00:50:45,040 --> 00:50:48,759
Speaker 1: played my homes over passing yards, so I don't think

1025
00:50:48,760 --> 00:50:51,400
Speaker 1: it's gonna run much, which means that's you know, one

1026
00:50:51,480 --> 00:50:54,799
Speaker 1: less avenue where yards come. But he's either healthy and

1027
00:50:54,800 --> 00:50:57,880
Speaker 1: then you're getting this at a discount, or he's not,

1028
00:50:58,040 --> 00:51:01,120
Speaker 1: and like it leads to some arrant throws and then

1029
00:51:01,040 --> 00:51:03,320
Speaker 1: the Bengals are building the lead. Then he's thrown from behind,

1030
00:51:03,360 --> 00:51:05,080
Speaker 1: and that's like a game script where you're just throwing

1031
00:51:05,080 --> 00:51:07,680
Speaker 1: and maybe getting a bunch of garbage yards. I tend

1032
00:51:07,760 --> 00:51:09,400
Speaker 1: to think he's gonna be better than the market is

1033
00:51:09,440 --> 00:51:12,520
Speaker 1: assuming here, So I think that you're getting this at

1034
00:51:12,520 --> 00:51:15,839
Speaker 1: a discount. And the Bengals run defensive, especially with Reader,

1035
00:51:15,880 --> 00:51:17,600
Speaker 1: and there has been awesome and the Chiefs aren't really

1036
00:51:17,640 --> 00:51:19,640
Speaker 1: a great running team, so I think it's gonna be

1037
00:51:19,640 --> 00:51:21,920
Speaker 1: a lot of quick passing um and I think the

1038
00:51:21,920 --> 00:51:23,840
Speaker 1: Bengals are gonna score two, which leads uself to a

1039
00:51:23,880 --> 00:51:27,080
Speaker 1: back and forth game. So I like the Mahomes over

1040
00:51:27,239 --> 00:51:30,600
Speaker 1: passing yards. Which the fear is it's his plant ankle,

1041
00:51:30,719 --> 00:51:32,680
Speaker 1: is that it might maybe and this has been the

1042
00:51:32,719 --> 00:51:34,440
Speaker 1: only thing you could say bad about my Homes of

1043
00:51:34,560 --> 00:51:36,560
Speaker 1: his career. It's also why he's so great, but he

1044
00:51:36,600 --> 00:51:38,520
Speaker 1: tries to make too many plays. Sometimes it might lead

1045
00:51:38,560 --> 00:51:40,680
Speaker 1: like a turner in the red zone. So if his

1046
00:51:40,719 --> 00:51:43,239
Speaker 1: footwork is off, you know, he might be moving the

1047
00:51:43,280 --> 00:51:44,880
Speaker 1: ball into the field, but you might get one or

1048
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:46,960
Speaker 1: two more errand throws that lead to tourners, which would

1049
00:51:47,000 --> 00:51:50,600
Speaker 1: be bad for the Chiefs bet and the over. So

1050
00:51:50,640 --> 00:51:53,800
Speaker 1: I think my Homes is gonna get his yards regardless. Um.

1051
00:51:53,880 --> 00:51:56,520
Speaker 1: And then on the other side, I'm gonna go burrow

1052
00:51:56,600 --> 00:52:00,040
Speaker 1: over eighteen rushing yards. Uh. You know these quarterbacks, like

1053
00:52:00,080 --> 00:52:02,960
Speaker 1: if Mahomes was healthy, he would run even to be

1054
00:52:03,040 --> 00:52:05,560
Speaker 1: running wild. These these big time quarterbacks and big time

1055
00:52:05,600 --> 00:52:09,120
Speaker 1: games will take off whenever necessary. They you know, they'll

1056
00:52:09,160 --> 00:52:10,880
Speaker 1: call their number. I'm gonna make the play here. And

1057
00:52:10,880 --> 00:52:13,600
Speaker 1: they just run a lot more than they're used to doing.

1058
00:52:13,600 --> 00:52:15,080
Speaker 1: I mean, last week he ran it nine times for

1059
00:52:15,200 --> 00:52:19,840
Speaker 1: forty eight yards and um, excuse me, he ran a

1060
00:52:19,880 --> 00:52:21,719
Speaker 1: nine times yars against the Chets, orlier the season he

1061
00:52:21,760 --> 00:52:24,440
Speaker 1: ran for thirty one last week against Buffalo. And the

1062
00:52:24,560 --> 00:52:27,840
Speaker 1: Chiefs defense is they play a lot of man it

1063
00:52:27,960 --> 00:52:31,759
Speaker 1: just welcomes quarterback runs. Over the last eleven games since

1064
00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:34,480
Speaker 1: the bye week, they've allowed the second most rushing yards

1065
00:52:34,520 --> 00:52:37,759
Speaker 1: to opposing quarterbacks in the NFL, average five point two

1066
00:52:37,800 --> 00:52:42,040
Speaker 1: carries for thirty five yards. Those quarterbacks, nine of the

1067
00:52:42,040 --> 00:52:45,279
Speaker 1: eleven got to at least twenty two. So I think

1068
00:52:45,280 --> 00:52:47,080
Speaker 1: Burrow is gonna use his legs here, especially with the

1069
00:52:47,080 --> 00:52:50,479
Speaker 1: offensive line questions last week. In those conditions, you can't

1070
00:52:50,480 --> 00:52:52,600
Speaker 1: really get a pass rush, you can't really get your

1071
00:52:52,600 --> 00:52:56,000
Speaker 1: footing as a defensive lineman. But that's different. You know,

1072
00:52:56,080 --> 00:52:57,880
Speaker 1: normal conditions here if as long as it's not icy

1073
00:52:57,960 --> 00:53:00,560
Speaker 1: or snowy. So what does that mean? With pressure? That

1074
00:53:00,560 --> 00:53:02,320
Speaker 1: means you're gonna be taking off more, You're gonna be

1075
00:53:02,320 --> 00:53:05,719
Speaker 1: scrambling more, and against the defense that really invites it.

1076
00:53:05,760 --> 00:53:07,799
Speaker 1: So I like to Burrow over rushing yards. I just

1077
00:53:07,880 --> 00:53:10,120
Speaker 1: ultimately think it's gonna be a great game. Can the

1078
00:53:10,200 --> 00:53:13,000
Speaker 1: Chiefs but the homes ankles the first thing to watch.

1079
00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:17,040
Speaker 1: The second is can the Cheets make the necessary adjustments

1080
00:53:17,080 --> 00:53:19,520
Speaker 1: to overcome what since he's done in the second half.

1081
00:53:19,560 --> 00:53:21,960
Speaker 1: And then still even if you do, you gotta worry

1082
00:53:21,960 --> 00:53:25,360
Speaker 1: about Barrow at the end with those receivers. So yeah,

1083
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:27,839
Speaker 1: it's uh, it's gonna be an amazing game. I mean,

1084
00:53:27,840 --> 00:53:29,759
Speaker 1: you just hit on it. If the field is in

1085
00:53:29,840 --> 00:53:35,040
Speaker 1: pretty good condition, the offensive line, you know guys that

1086
00:53:35,080 --> 00:53:38,120
Speaker 1: are missing in action. Frank Clark last week. You can

1087
00:53:38,160 --> 00:53:39,880
Speaker 1: tell he's kind of a bright lights guy. Saved that

1088
00:53:39,920 --> 00:53:42,439
Speaker 1: all season for you know, the playoffs, and obviously Chris

1089
00:53:42,520 --> 00:53:45,480
Speaker 1: Jones against random guards. I mean, you could line them

1090
00:53:45,520 --> 00:53:47,520
Speaker 1: up over any player, right. You could put him on

1091
00:53:47,560 --> 00:53:50,160
Speaker 1: the outside against a backup tackle and feel pretty comfortable

1092
00:53:50,160 --> 00:53:52,479
Speaker 1: about it. The other thing that's pretty interesting is looking

1093
00:53:52,560 --> 00:53:53,960
Speaker 1: last year that you know, the Chiefs ran for a

1094
00:53:54,040 --> 00:53:57,719
Speaker 1: Hunter on basically a hundred forty yards. McKinnon was their

1095
00:53:57,800 --> 00:54:01,319
Speaker 1: leading rusher to me Isaiah Pajeko just a much more

1096
00:54:01,360 --> 00:54:04,600
Speaker 1: explosive player, and McKinnon now moved, who's a good player,

1097
00:54:04,880 --> 00:54:07,640
Speaker 1: just moves to the kind of backup role player role.

1098
00:54:08,440 --> 00:54:10,480
Speaker 1: That's something to keep an eye on. Like now, Andy

1099
00:54:10,560 --> 00:54:12,799
Speaker 1: is not the most inclined guy to hand the ball

1100
00:54:12,840 --> 00:54:15,600
Speaker 1: off a lot, but if you're having success because he's

1101
00:54:15,640 --> 00:54:18,440
Speaker 1: such an explosive player, that might be an added element

1102
00:54:18,480 --> 00:54:21,240
Speaker 1: that wasn't quite there last year, even though the numbers

1103
00:54:21,280 --> 00:54:25,120
Speaker 1: were good of just more explosive plays that definitely you

1104
00:54:25,120 --> 00:54:27,480
Speaker 1: would say, going into a game when your star quarterback

1105
00:54:27,600 --> 00:54:31,480
Speaker 1: is just somewhat compromised, running the ball helps even Andy

1106
00:54:31,520 --> 00:54:34,320
Speaker 1: read a pass guy is gonna have to call some runs.

1107
00:54:34,320 --> 00:54:36,680
Speaker 1: So his I mean, it's just makes it a little

1108
00:54:36,680 --> 00:54:39,279
Speaker 1: bit easier on Patrick. Yeah, I mean that that Bengal

1109
00:54:39,360 --> 00:54:42,920
Speaker 1: is also gonna be maybe expecting that. So, um, but

1110
00:54:43,280 --> 00:54:45,759
Speaker 1: I think it might you could argue that this as

1111
00:54:45,760 --> 00:54:48,200
Speaker 1: long as isn't completely happened because a lot of their

1112
00:54:48,200 --> 00:54:51,399
Speaker 1: offense now is always has been to some degrees him

1113
00:54:51,480 --> 00:54:54,560
Speaker 1: his mobility and um, what he's able to do and

1114
00:54:54,600 --> 00:54:59,120
Speaker 1: create and by time. But now you're if you want

1115
00:54:59,160 --> 00:55:02,480
Speaker 1: to maybe create some new plays, some new packages. So

1116
00:55:02,480 --> 00:55:04,560
Speaker 1: there's the element of surprise here is like what like

1117
00:55:04,600 --> 00:55:06,719
Speaker 1: you just mentioned, is Kansas City gonna run it a

1118
00:55:06,760 --> 00:55:09,879
Speaker 1: lot more? Um, how are they going to Maybe they're

1119
00:55:09,880 --> 00:55:11,839
Speaker 1: gonna run it with their receivers more. Maybe you get

1120
00:55:11,960 --> 00:55:14,319
Speaker 1: one or two more trick plays. You're gonna have some

1121
00:55:14,360 --> 00:55:17,880
Speaker 1: past plays and schemes that you haven't seen all year potentially,

1122
00:55:18,120 --> 00:55:20,800
Speaker 1: So that element of surprise here could work in Kansas

1123
00:55:20,840 --> 00:55:24,040
Speaker 1: City's favor. Um, But you're definitely I think could be

1124
00:55:24,080 --> 00:55:27,560
Speaker 1: missing just the mahomes ability on the third and longs right,

1125
00:55:27,600 --> 00:55:31,040
Speaker 1: So why he's so great is it's third and twelve

1126
00:55:31,640 --> 00:55:34,640
Speaker 1: and he drops back, someone gets pressure, he runs, he's

1127
00:55:34,719 --> 00:55:37,920
Speaker 1: running around directing someone and then he fires a bullet

1128
00:55:37,960 --> 00:55:40,960
Speaker 1: eighteen yards downfield and it makes it look easy and

1129
00:55:41,040 --> 00:55:43,440
Speaker 1: Kelsey catches it and it's a first down. That's huge.

1130
00:55:43,480 --> 00:55:45,040
Speaker 1: It's like third and twelve and he makes it look

1131
00:55:45,040 --> 00:55:49,120
Speaker 1: like it was fourth and one. UM. So yeah, that

1132
00:55:49,239 --> 00:55:51,560
Speaker 1: might not that might be missing from the game plan,

1133
00:55:51,640 --> 00:55:53,959
Speaker 1: but we'll we'll see it's gonna No one really knows

1134
00:55:54,000 --> 00:55:57,320
Speaker 1: how healthy and mobile will be, which is the element

1135
00:55:57,480 --> 00:56:00,040
Speaker 1: that we are all guessing at right now. Remember a

1136
00:56:00,080 --> 00:56:02,399
Speaker 1: touchdown running at against Titans in the playoffs. We did

1137
00:56:02,400 --> 00:56:05,279
Speaker 1: like the three six at the end. That is even

1138
00:56:05,360 --> 00:56:08,240
Speaker 1: last year, I guess the Bengals earlier this year, Remember

1139
00:56:08,239 --> 00:56:13,360
Speaker 1: he went like he's kind of dump the ball us like,

1140
00:56:13,440 --> 00:56:15,520
Speaker 1: So that's probably not going to be there, which is

1141
00:56:15,560 --> 00:56:17,880
Speaker 1: part of what makes Mahomes great. But he's still fully

1142
00:56:17,880 --> 00:56:20,759
Speaker 1: capable of dropping back in throwing on the field. If

1143
00:56:21,239 --> 00:56:24,600
Speaker 1: if there was a game week nineteen, excuse me, the

1144
00:56:24,640 --> 00:56:27,480
Speaker 1: week nine weeks two nineteen, Week one, he had a

1145
00:56:27,560 --> 00:56:31,880
Speaker 1: high ankle sprain against the Jaguars, finished the game, and

1146
00:56:32,200 --> 00:56:34,560
Speaker 1: the next week there was questions that he was gonna play.

1147
00:56:34,840 --> 00:56:37,360
Speaker 1: He ended up playing against the Raiders. He had no

1148
00:56:37,440 --> 00:56:42,160
Speaker 1: rushing attempts um and was clearly not mobile. He dropped

1149
00:56:42,200 --> 00:56:44,439
Speaker 1: back forty five times through for four and sixty yards

1150
00:56:44,480 --> 00:56:48,080
Speaker 1: and four touchdowns, so with his high ankle spraining, so

1151
00:56:48,120 --> 00:56:50,960
Speaker 1: there's always him. Now, Look, the Bengals defense is better

1152
00:56:50,960 --> 00:56:56,120
Speaker 1: than that, but yeah, he was still fully capable of

1153
00:56:56,280 --> 00:56:58,319
Speaker 1: And if anyone like you can throw it on North

1154
00:56:58,440 --> 00:57:01,000
Speaker 1: with under orthodox style, it's it's home. So yeah, I

1155
00:57:01,000 --> 00:57:02,960
Speaker 1: can't wait for this one. Two of the best quarterbacks

1156
00:57:03,520 --> 00:57:05,360
Speaker 1: in the NFL going head to head for the fourth

1157
00:57:05,360 --> 00:57:09,279
Speaker 1: time in the past thirteen months. If Mahomes played the

1158
00:57:09,320 --> 00:57:11,960
Speaker 1: Raiders every week, Uh, I don't think the Chiefs would

1159
00:57:12,000 --> 00:57:15,879
Speaker 1: lose often hunter touchdowns the year and potential, I mean

1160
00:57:16,000 --> 00:57:19,520
Speaker 1: ship they don't lose often as it is. Well stucky. Um,

1161
00:57:19,640 --> 00:57:22,439
Speaker 1: let's enjoy this because this is the last double header

1162
00:57:22,440 --> 00:57:23,960
Speaker 1: of the year and then we just got the one

1163
00:57:24,000 --> 00:57:27,240
Speaker 1: big game, which is sweet, but it's it's you know,

1164
00:57:27,240 --> 00:57:29,560
Speaker 1: it's own little event in itself. So this is the

1165
00:57:29,600 --> 00:57:35,200
Speaker 1: last pure football weekend of of you know, until the fall.

1166
00:57:35,480 --> 00:57:37,720
Speaker 1: So I do ask you one question if you as

1167
00:57:37,760 --> 00:57:42,040
Speaker 1: a Niners fan, Um, you have that if you have

1168
00:57:42,120 --> 00:57:44,720
Speaker 1: the choice, So if you guys win and I wish

1169
00:57:44,720 --> 00:57:49,240
Speaker 1: you luck, Um, do you want a super Bowl rematch

1170
00:57:49,920 --> 00:57:53,200
Speaker 1: or Um, do you want Joe Burrow? Do you think

1171
00:57:53,360 --> 00:57:55,320
Speaker 1: it doesn't really matter? It's gonna be tough no matter what.

1172
00:57:55,800 --> 00:57:57,400
Speaker 1: And he's my guy. I know a lot of people

1173
00:57:57,440 --> 00:58:00,120
Speaker 1: with cheefe, but I want part Do I want? Or

1174
00:58:00,120 --> 00:58:03,200
Speaker 1: two point oh? And uh, I think that's that's my pick.

1175
00:58:03,240 --> 00:58:06,040
Speaker 1: I'm going Niners Chiefs. But you know I I still

1176
00:58:06,200 --> 00:58:08,160
Speaker 1: got a lot of buddies with the Eagles, So it's like,

1177
00:58:09,040 --> 00:58:12,920
Speaker 1: I'm cool. If they they are you know, a legit

1178
00:58:13,120 --> 00:58:15,520
Speaker 1: if they beat the Diners. To me, there are they

1179
00:58:15,520 --> 00:58:19,080
Speaker 1: favored in the Super Bowl? Um, they wouldn't be favored

1180
00:58:19,720 --> 00:58:23,080
Speaker 1: over the Chiefs. If if he's if he's health, homes

1181
00:58:23,160 --> 00:58:25,360
Speaker 1: is healthy, So you got two extra weeks, we'll see

1182
00:58:25,360 --> 00:58:28,520
Speaker 1: what he looks like. Um, if the Bengals win, depending

1183
00:58:28,520 --> 00:58:30,320
Speaker 1: on how they win, like on how dominant, like if

1184
00:58:30,360 --> 00:58:32,560
Speaker 1: they go they dominated at Buffalo and then if they

1185
00:58:32,600 --> 00:58:35,680
Speaker 1: dominate at Kansas City and then the Eagles barely squeaked

1186
00:58:35,680 --> 00:58:39,600
Speaker 1: by Um, maybe if not, that game is probably okay.

1187
00:58:40,800 --> 00:58:42,840
Speaker 1: If the Bengals go back to the Super Bowl and

1188
00:58:42,920 --> 00:58:45,320
Speaker 1: have a two year stretch where they beat at Kansas

1189
00:58:45,320 --> 00:58:48,680
Speaker 1: City twice and they curb stomped the bills. It's four

1190
00:58:48,680 --> 00:58:53,680
Speaker 1: of the greatest road playoff teams have ever seen. Um yeah,

1191
00:58:53,920 --> 00:58:56,080
Speaker 1: so I'm not discounting it. I mean, obviously the cool

1192
00:58:56,120 --> 00:58:59,600
Speaker 1: part about this weekend the lines reflected all for every

1193
00:58:59,600 --> 00:59:02,200
Speaker 1: match of possible. Yeah. If anyone ever says that they

1194
00:59:02,400 --> 00:59:05,280
Speaker 1: know for sure who's winning any of either of these games,

1195
00:59:05,280 --> 00:59:09,120
Speaker 1: they're lying to you. So um can't wait, We'll stuck.

1196
00:59:09,200 --> 00:59:10,800
Speaker 1: You have a good weekend. Talk to you soon, bro,

1197
00:59:11,000 --> 00:59:35,920
Speaker 1: Absolutely good. Guys, have a go on the volume.