Speaker 1: Hello everybody, Welcome into the Fantasy Pros Football Podcast. I'm
Speaker 1: Ryan Warmley, joining this Tuesday morning by Andrew Rickson and
Speaker 1: Chris welsh Fellas. It's our predictions show for you.
Speaker 2: Jump in.
Speaker 1: We are now into week fifteen, which means for pretty
Speaker 1: much every league, it is now the fantasy playoffs. Were
Speaker 1: talked a little bit about how we were shaping up
Speaker 1: last week officially. Ericson how many teams did you make
Speaker 1: the Fantasy playoffs with?
Speaker 2: I don't know yet.
Speaker 3: I'll check when I do my waivers and see which
Speaker 3: ones I can actually add players and players not again,
Speaker 3: because I'm so many leagues, so many teams, I try
Speaker 3: not to sweat a lot of these because inevitably it's
Speaker 3: it's out of my control to an extent. So when
Speaker 3: I log in to all my leagues i do my
Speaker 3: waiver runs, I will know I do.
Speaker 2: I do know.
Speaker 3: I'm in a couple of spots, and probably the league
Speaker 3: I care about the most is a CBS league that
Speaker 3: I'm with a buddy from college to a bunch of
Speaker 3: his dad's friends, and I don't think many of them
Speaker 3: know I'm like I am a fantasy analyst, but they
Speaker 3: always just like steamroll me, and I was dead in
Speaker 3: this league until Pooka Nakuak came back and then like
Speaker 3: I just went on a streak of just like ripping
Speaker 3: off win after win after win. So now I'm the
Speaker 3: third seed somehow, some way, So I know that team
Speaker 3: I'm in and I'm looking forward to hopefully making a
Speaker 3: run in that league, and then I'm probably gonna leave
Speaker 3: the league after that because I can't do it anymore.
Speaker 3: I just need to win, and then I'm gonna walk
Speaker 3: off into the sunset.
Speaker 1: That's the way to do it. Well, shall about you.
Speaker 4: I don't know the number the important ones I did
Speaker 4: lose in my big FFPC, but the other one I'm
Speaker 4: in the championship round. So I've got a championship round FFPC.
Speaker 4: I got an advancement in the DraftKings Millie Maker. Those
Speaker 4: were two of the big important ones are Big Fantasy
Speaker 4: pros Giant League. I got the buy Me and Terrell
Speaker 4: were one and two in ours. Pretty good. I think
Speaker 4: it was about I did a lot of leagues this year.
Speaker 4: I want to say sixty five seventy playoff hit rate
Speaker 4: cash rate is really important, and I do this industry
Speaker 4: league called the Pentathlon where we do five events and
Speaker 4: it's like, you know, best Ball, super Flex Da Da
Speaker 4: Derk Van Riper from the Athletic runs it and bog
Speaker 4: Me and I have a shared team and we are
Speaker 4: in first place over quite a few amazing industry people,
Speaker 4: including Pat Pitts Morris, who we are currently beating right now.
Speaker 4: So it's it's a good time.
Speaker 1: You guys, are I like? I get like kind of
Speaker 1: the week to week you lose tracking you don't know,
Speaker 1: like every single week, So how many teams did you
Speaker 1: win with? How many teams you lose? But we you know,
Speaker 1: when you're talking about playoff time, I'm locked in and
Speaker 1: I'm like, okay, how many did I make it in?
Speaker 1: How many of the ones I didn't make it in?
Speaker 1: Was I okay with? Like, for example, if I was
Speaker 1: tanking with a Dynasty team, I'm not going to count
Speaker 1: that against myself, but ultimately, but.
Speaker 4: How many how many did you play in?
Speaker 1: I was in this year. I took a step back.
Speaker 1: I was in my about I think fourteen leagues maybe
Speaker 1: something like that.
Speaker 4: Okay, well that is a lot. I was about. They're
Speaker 4: gonna say four we get it.
Speaker 1: I made I made the playoffs, and I think nine
Speaker 1: of them was the number when I counted yesterday.
Speaker 2: Flex flex. You need to change your shirt because you
Speaker 2: just flex out of that shirt.
Speaker 4: You have to cut your hair because you've done so
Speaker 4: many flex.
Speaker 2: I think that's pretty good.
Speaker 1: But but the thing is, I barely snuck into the
Speaker 1: playoffs in a lot of them.
Speaker 2: It was a lot of like you got to get
Speaker 2: to the dance man.
Speaker 1: I just happened to make it. Yeah, yeah, that's that's true.
Speaker 1: Let's talk a little bit Monday night football before you
Speaker 1: dive into our predictions kind of played out, you know,
Speaker 1: maybe to an extreme version, but the way we expected.
Speaker 1: You know, you know, you don't really go in saying, oh,
Speaker 1: Jamar Chase is gonna have one hundred seventy seventy yards
Speaker 1: and two touchdowns. But you expected him to have a
Speaker 1: big day.
Speaker 4: You know.
Speaker 1: Chase Brown did very well as well, over one hundred
Speaker 1: yards of scrimmage. He had a receiving touchdown. Rego Daubtle
Speaker 1: continues to just really like heat. This is his backfield,
Speaker 1: one hundred percent, eighteen carries, one hundred and thirty one yards.
Speaker 1: Ceedee Lamb did his usual self with the backup quarterback.
Speaker 1: I think every single week it's been something like six catches,
Speaker 1: ninety three yards and a touchdown. Like, I feel like
Speaker 1: I've read that stat line a couple of times in
Speaker 1: recent weeks. For him, Eric said, anything stand out to
Speaker 1: you from a fantasy perspective from this game or was
Speaker 1: it just kind of a you know, the stars were
Speaker 1: stars and we were happy about it.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean games scored a decent amount of points.
Speaker 3: I don't know if the overhit in the game. It
Speaker 3: was still like a decent chunk with the twenty seven
Speaker 3: to twenty, but was the final score so on forty
Speaker 3: seven points?
Speaker 2: Do you like that?
Speaker 3: Yeah, the running backs hit that we were starting Rico Dow,
Speaker 3: Chase Brown. I mean, the only disappointment was really t Higgins,
Speaker 3: and it's just because it was just the Jamar Chase
Speaker 3: Show and Higgins had a couple opportunities in the red
Speaker 3: zones didn't convert. But Higgins has been so good on
Speaker 3: a points per game basis this year. I think they'll
Speaker 3: probably mounce back. Me and Joe Burrow's cooking. And yeah,
Speaker 3: the Ceedee lampinding the end zone that really helps him
Speaker 3: boost his stock because we know it's a lot of
Speaker 3: low average depth of target. I mean saw Jake Ferguson
Speaker 3: come back. He hit six targets, so again a PPR
Speaker 3: merchant at the tight end position. So I wasn't sure
Speaker 3: what his role would be coming back from his concussion,
Speaker 3: but he kind of took back his full time role.
Speaker 3: So yeah, kind of what to be expected. But I
Speaker 3: would expect Higgins to bounce back.
Speaker 4: Any takeaways for you Welsh, Yeah, same thing. You know. Ironically,
Speaker 4: Ceedee Lamb was plus twelve hundred for first touchdown last night.
Speaker 4: I don't remember the last time we've seen that. It
Speaker 4: was very chalky betting angle. I ended up live betting
Speaker 4: the Bengals after the Cowboys scored that first touchdown and
Speaker 4: that ended up cashing. But yeah, I mean everybody played
Speaker 4: out every same game parlay that got tweeted out. Everybody
Speaker 4: knew that Jamar Chase was gonna completely go off by
Speaker 4: all of the bets. But yeah, I mean, I think
Speaker 4: Gasicki continues to prove to be like, you know, some
Speaker 4: form of a streamy tight end. Ferguson back kind of
Speaker 4: flows in that as well. But everything we expected out
Speaker 4: of this game, no no crazy injuries, no us you know,
Speaker 4: beating ourselves over the head, being like, oh my gosh,
Speaker 4: Rico Donda went down and we gotta, you know, pick
Speaker 4: up Elliott and should we start him? Just all chalk.
Speaker 1: Let's say a look at how we did with our
Speaker 1: week fourteen predictions, which was the first iteration of the
Speaker 1: twenty twenty four version of this show where we'll go
Speaker 1: through five predictions each on Tuesdays, rather than like we
Speaker 1: did last week, focusing on trade stuff. Welsh did better
Speaker 1: than Erickson for ericson, he did hit two of his ficks.
Speaker 1: He completely nailed Packers Lions as a shootout and Montgomery
Speaker 1: gives both scoring touchdowns. He also got last night Chase
Speaker 1: Brown ninety plus scrimmage yards. He did not quite hit
Speaker 1: on the Cousin's revenge game. He did get three hundred yards,
Speaker 1: he did not get the passing touchdowns. He also did
Speaker 1: not get the win. He also did not get the
Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts breakout game. Obviously, he's a braver man than
Speaker 1: I freath that Alvin Kamara did not reach one hundred
Speaker 1: plus scrimmage yards. The Bears did not cover the spread
Speaker 1: against San Francisco. The Girndo did top sixty rushing yards
Speaker 1: like he predicted. Welse you were one catch away from
Speaker 1: being exactly correct. On Juwan Johnson, you were essentially correct.
Speaker 1: We're counting it as a win. You also nailed your
Speaker 1: Juwan Jennings big game prediction and Justin Jefferson showing up
Speaker 1: in a huge way for the first time in several weeks,
Speaker 1: and Tyrone Tracy scoring a touchdown. I don't think Chasey
Speaker 1: actually landed in the top ten running backs for the
Speaker 1: week because he was ten going into the week, game
Speaker 1: went into Monday night, and then Chase Brown had a
Speaker 1: big day in sod Rico Dawdles, So I think you
Speaker 1: might have fallen short on that, but essentially you were
Speaker 1: kind of correct on that one. On the other hand,
Speaker 1: Calvin Ridley and Will Levis did not have their big
Speaker 1: game that pretty much everybody expected against the Jags. A
Speaker 1: ur guys to see if we can do it even
Speaker 1: better here in week fifteen, Ericson will start with you,
Speaker 1: what is your prediction number five.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with the Kin City Chiefs are going
Speaker 3: to win, but they're going to not cover the spread
Speaker 3: because they don't do that anymore.
Speaker 2: All they do is win close games.
Speaker 3: You have a bread I believe it's like six and
Speaker 3: a half or seven points against the Cleveland Browns. Jamis
Speaker 3: Waint is gonna be slinging the ball, so we know that, yeah,
Speaker 3: they're gonna end up covering this bread. The Chiefs are
Speaker 3: gonna end up winning in another close game somehow, some way.
Speaker 3: And my prop that I'm kind of tying into this
Speaker 3: because ultimately the Chiefs will will pull out the w Zavi.
Speaker 2: You're Worthy.
Speaker 3: I think he's gonna finally catch a long touchdown because
Speaker 3: I don't know the last time he's actually done this
Speaker 3: at any point during the season, because we haven't seen
Speaker 3: really any expulsiveness from this Chiefs offense seemingly all year long,
Speaker 3: but it's ever gonna come at any point as they
Speaker 3: try to build some momentum heading into the postseason. It
Speaker 3: would go against the Cleveland Browns because the Cleveland Browns
Speaker 3: are just this team that just it loves to give
Speaker 3: up big plays to opposing passing games. They just they
Speaker 3: have coverage breakdowns all the time. You have really it
Speaker 3: stends Awards really their main corner, but then the other
Speaker 3: guys are giving up massive plays. So if you have
Speaker 3: see Ward on Hopkins, I think you can get Worthy
Speaker 3: in space a lot the Browns secondary rank second and
Speaker 3: deep passes face this season, and Worthy, even though he
Speaker 3: hasn't had a big game over the last month, he's
Speaker 3: actually been pretty productive. He has four catches in four
Speaker 3: straight games, He's gone over forty receiving yards and four
Speaker 3: straight games. He actually leads the Chiefs in receiving yards
Speaker 3: since Week eleven, So he's quietly getting it done again.
Speaker 3: It hasn't come into these flashy, big moments, but I
Speaker 3: think in this spot we could see Xavier Worthy kind
Speaker 3: of have a maybe rookie breakout game similar to what
Speaker 3: we saw back in week one. We were like, got
Speaker 3: really excited about him scoring touchdowns. So I like Xavier
Speaker 3: Worthy here. I think he's going to catch a long touchdown,
Speaker 3: Chiefs are gonna win, and then Jameis Wins isn't going
Speaker 3: to crawl his way back to cover the cup of
Speaker 3: the spread in the end.
Speaker 1: Did you say you thought the spread was like six
Speaker 1: or seven? Is that what you said?
Speaker 2: I think so something like that, right?
Speaker 3: Is it more? So?
Speaker 1: I'm seeing it lower. I'm seeing it at four so
Speaker 1: that everyone's Chiefs.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I thought I saw it at seven and a
Speaker 4: half yesterday.
Speaker 1: I'm going right now on draft gings it says Chiefs
Speaker 1: minus four. So I don't know if that changed or what,
Speaker 1: but that's what it's showing on on bettingpros dot com.
Speaker 1: We've got to think you can kind of check odds
Speaker 1: across a whole bunch of different books. We care most
Speaker 1: about Drafting sportsbook, and they are minus four. That is
Speaker 1: what I'm seeing right now.
Speaker 4: So you still like that cover?
Speaker 5: Hmmm?
Speaker 2: Probably because yeah, the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: The chief Yeah, it's it's a good question. And yet
Speaker 1: I still am like, yeah, I don't see they've covered,
Speaker 1: because they just don't cover anything anywhere for the chi
Speaker 1: don't care. What do you think, Well, do you like
Speaker 1: to cover?
Speaker 4: If I do not, I will take Kansas I like
Speaker 4: it as much as Ericson like the Bears last week
Speaker 4: covering against the forty nine ers. No chance, I'm gonna
Speaker 4: go with Kansas City. Uh, Kansas City. I mean, I know,
Speaker 4: like Kancity doesn't cover, like sure, but the Browns are
Speaker 4: still also kind of messy, and it's like offensively they're
Speaker 4: going to just absolutely sling the ball. But you know,
Speaker 4: if anything, you might say the advantage for the Chiefs
Speaker 4: right now is their defense more than their offense. Offense
Speaker 4: is more inconsistent. Travis Kelce looks like he's carrying around
Speaker 4: a couple of bricks on his on his ankles. So
Speaker 4: I am I have more faith and trust in Kansas
Speaker 4: City's defense than they do their offense, and that's what
Speaker 4: the Browns are gonna hold on to for cover. So
Speaker 4: I don't I'm not sure. I feel adamant if we're
Speaker 4: being honest, like if I'm gonna lay down a bet
Speaker 4: Kansas City. But this is a pretty low number for
Speaker 4: a Browns team that Kansas City is playing. And I
Speaker 4: don't think the Browns are that particularly good. Nick Chubb
Speaker 4: does not look good. They don't have an established running game.
Speaker 4: It's just all slinging the ball to Jerry Judy and
Speaker 4: Eli Moore. So I'll take Kansas City on the cover.
Speaker 4: But I get the logic of this, and I like
Speaker 4: the Xavier Worthy. Though I like that play, I don't
Speaker 4: like the cover. I love the Xavier Worthy you play.
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Speaker 1: with you for your number five prediction.
Speaker 4: All right, I'm kind of low on the total pole here,
Speaker 4: but I'm going to go back to Kendre Miller from
Speaker 4: last week, who had double digit touches, and I'm going
Speaker 4: to say we're going to do it again, and we're
Speaker 4: also going to score touchdown again. Kendre Miller double digit
Speaker 4: touchdowns with double digit touches with a touchdown that is
Speaker 4: going to make him a flex play this week, and
Speaker 4: I like the matchup in general. He had just a
Speaker 4: twenty six percent snap percentage last week, which is not
Speaker 4: like the best, but of eighteen snaps, ten touches out
Speaker 4: of that. They also like him in the receiving game.
Speaker 4: Washington has is giving up five yards per carry so
Speaker 4: far on the year, which is ridiculous. They've given up
Speaker 4: fifteen total touchdowns to running backs, but they've given up
Speaker 4: six in the last four games, including a receiving touchdown
Speaker 4: in three of the last four. And I think one
Speaker 4: of the things you're seeing is this team has absolutely
Speaker 4: no playmakers. They don't even have a quarterback anymore. So
Speaker 4: if you're going to whichever quarterback, whichever quarterback they're going
Speaker 4: to put back there, it's going to be low leverage stuff.
Speaker 4: So obviously Kamara's in play, but we saw that kind
Speaker 4: of blow up in our face. I was with ericson
Speaker 4: last week. I like it was going to be four
Speaker 4: hundred and seventy two touches to Kamara just every play.
Speaker 4: It's just like wildcats. He's throwing himself the ball. He
Speaker 4: said that meme where the guy just like that was
Speaker 4: Kamara didn't happen. They were taking him off of the
Speaker 4: field in some important situations. So I think they're going
Speaker 4: to lean on Kendre Miller more as the season goes on.
Speaker 4: This is a good matchup from a touchdown perspective, They're
Speaker 4: using him on both sides of the field. I think
Speaker 4: Kendre Miller, even though it's not my apocalypse and the
Speaker 4: justification to get him in like what truly is a
Speaker 4: flex is a little bit tougher. I think he's gonna
Speaker 4: score a touchdown, he will get double digit touches again,
Speaker 4: and he's going to continue to be valuable through the
Speaker 4: end of the year.
Speaker 1: What do you think Ericson? Miller had ten carries, thirty
Speaker 1: two yards and a touchdown last week. I'm looking here
Speaker 1: at the early ECR. It's you know, it's Tuesday morning,
Speaker 1: so this is gonna change right now. He's RB forty
Speaker 1: nine in the very early ECR for week fifteen. What
Speaker 1: do you think about Candre Miller this week?
Speaker 3: I don't want part of the Saints offense, if it's
Speaker 3: Jake Hayner, if it's Spencer Round. We saw we saw
Speaker 3: this offense play out and the only time they're ever
Speaker 3: go was when they played the Bucks, who's like the
Speaker 3: worst was like the worst defense in the NFL. So
Speaker 3: I think that the Commanders are going to steam roll the
Speaker 3: New Orleans Saints. So I mean Kendrick Miller last week
Speaker 3: is playing the Giants, Like like, I feel like last
Speaker 3: week was the time to get in on Kendre Miller,
Speaker 3: So I'm not as optimistic as as well. She's on
Speaker 3: the Saints this week.
Speaker 1: All right, let's stick with you ericson for your number
Speaker 1: four prediction.
Speaker 3: Upon Neeers going on the road to take on the
Speaker 3: Los Angeles Chargers, I think they're going to cover because
Speaker 3: this is a spot where Baker Mayfield historically is really
Speaker 3: good when he's an underdog, He's really good when he's
Speaker 3: on the road, and those things are both true here
Speaker 3: in this matchup in week fifteen. So I think it's
Speaker 3: going to be a tight game. I think the Buccaneers
Speaker 3: maybe they don't win, but I think it's a little
Speaker 3: bit more back and forth. And for that reason, I
Speaker 3: think that we might see a little bit more of
Speaker 3: Kamani Videll for the Los Angeles Chargers. So my prop
Speaker 3: prediction is that he leads the Chargers in rushing yards
Speaker 3: and he scores a touchdown. So with him in his
Speaker 3: usage last week, so we actually led the backfield and
Speaker 3: snaps over Gus Edwards fifty three forty three percent. First half,
Speaker 3: it was Edwards four carries Vidal with just one, but
Speaker 3: in the second half they use of vidoal more. He
Speaker 3: had seven carries to Edwards six. So in a game
Speaker 3: where maybe the Chargers are trailing at some point, I
Speaker 3: think maybe we see a little bit more of Adell.
Speaker 3: The Charger is kind of run out of weapons, right,
Speaker 3: you know, Will Disley was someone that stepped up and
Speaker 3: then he got hurt. He's dealing with the shoulder in
Speaker 3: you we still know a lad is dealing with an injury.
Speaker 3: QJ and Josh Palmer seemed like the most like unreliable
Speaker 3: wide receivers on a week to week basis, like Justin
Speaker 3: never throws it up in It's like you don't know
Speaker 3: what's gonna happen. And I know Palmer played pretty well
Speaker 3: and Herbert missed him on a long touchdown, so maybe
Speaker 3: he steps up. But a lot of inconsistency. So they
Speaker 3: need someone else to step up in this offense to
Speaker 3: create some plays to keep up with Tampa Bay's like
Speaker 3: high powered offense. So I think Vadala is an interesting play.
Speaker 3: He's gotten some red zone usage before, not to the
Speaker 3: extent of Gus Edwards, but you know, if it's like
Speaker 3: a third and long we've seen him use a little
Speaker 3: more in the screen game than Gus Edwards, So I
Speaker 3: think Vandalla is kind of interesting. And if you had pick,
Speaker 3: if I had to pick Vdell versus Kendre Miller, I
Speaker 3: would go with Fidell over Miller if it was growing
Speaker 3: like I had to head with some of these more
Speaker 3: fringy running backs in Week fifteen. And I will say too,
Speaker 3: I don't know if you guys caught this on the broadcast,
Speaker 3: but they said I don't know if it's Chris collins
Speaker 3: Worth or Mike Trico, but they made pretty clear that JK.
Speaker 3: Dobbins wants to come back in Week seventeen. So they're
Speaker 3: playing the Patriots that week. That is a great matchup
Speaker 3: for running backs.
Speaker 2: So if J.
Speaker 3: Dobbins got dropped in your league, pick him up because
Speaker 3: you might be able to use him in Week seventeen
Speaker 3: if he comes back. Because again, I haven't seen anything
Speaker 3: from this Chargers backfield that suggests they wouldn't go back
Speaker 3: to Dobbins in a potential must win game against a
Speaker 3: really bad Patriots defense. So that's some men to keep
Speaker 3: in mind. Seeing Dobbins hit the waverar on a lot
Speaker 3: of leads because people think he's done.
Speaker 2: No he's not.
Speaker 3: He's going to come back, or at least he's trying
Speaker 3: to come back in week seventeen. So something else to
Speaker 3: keep in mind. Other look at this charters backfield restless season.
Speaker 1: I haven't really dropped Dobbins, but it's more just I
Speaker 1: haven't needed the spot. You know, at this point, your
Speaker 1: team kind of is what it is. I didn't realize
Speaker 1: that he was expecting to be back by.
Speaker 3: Ye because it was just the four week ir so
Speaker 3: we always missed four games.
Speaker 1: That's a good note for sure.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I mean you say, Ericson, like you think videll will
Speaker 1: lead the team in rushing this week? What is the
Speaker 1: ceiling for the leading rusher on this team? Like with that,
Speaker 1: Dobbins hasn't been that high.
Speaker 4: See that that was gonna be my point. I don't
Speaker 4: think this is a super tricky one here. He could
Speaker 4: have thirty one yards and be the leader. The score
Speaker 4: is the thing to hold hold him to on, pull
Speaker 4: his feet to the fire, not the yards.
Speaker 1: Ericson, what number would you put on Videll at to
Speaker 1: lead in rushing?
Speaker 2: You'll probably if he gets like thirty yards thirty one?
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, Stee, so you're you kind of made your
Speaker 1: point about the rushing. Do you like the idea of
Speaker 1: him as a touchdown.
Speaker 4: Scoer, No, not really, uh, I mean like could he yeah,
Speaker 4: out of the receiving side, But if they get inside
Speaker 4: the five is going to Gus Edwards. That's what they're
Speaker 4: going to do. That's what he's built for. So I
Speaker 4: think he could absolutely lead in yards if he scores
Speaker 4: a touchdown. That's the play here where this works out.
Speaker 4: I don't like him as better odds than Gus Edwards
Speaker 4: because again, if they're going to use Videll in higher
Speaker 4: like leverage, you know, through drive situations, Gus Edwards is
Speaker 4: literally built there for short yarded stuff. So Videll is
Speaker 4: going to have to do it off of a breakaway
Speaker 4: play or receiving touchdown, which if Lad is active, he's
Speaker 4: the number one read. So I don't love the touchdown call.
Speaker 4: I think I think he could be in flexi range,
Speaker 4: but I'll go back and I will take Kendre Miller
Speaker 4: over Videll. I mean, obviously my guy too, so, but
Speaker 4: the touchdown is going to be the key for this
Speaker 4: one being correct.
Speaker 1: Let's Supervidell is Hayes RB forty four in early ACR.
Speaker 1: So if you spot out so they're like right next week,
Speaker 1: show you a few spots ahead and Miller, but essentially
Speaker 1: the same range when you get down that low. I
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Speaker 5: slash ft.
Speaker 1: Ball Welsh What is your number four prediction?
Speaker 4: All right, I'm going to go to I didn't think
Speaker 4: I was going to do this one, but Brian Thomas.
Speaker 4: Brian Thomas is speaking to me in the game of
Speaker 4: which team should move to London, the Jags or the Jets?
Speaker 4: Who should we no longer have here? That is one
Speaker 4: hundred percent. Now I see this game. It's it is
Speaker 4: fantasy relevant, it is not watchable. This is the relegated match.
Speaker 4: But Brian Thomas is going to catch a fifty plus
Speaker 4: yard touchdown against the Jets and have a nice solid day.
Speaker 4: The big play touchdown is what I'm going to go
Speaker 4: with to hear. Brian Thomas has had a long reception
Speaker 4: of twenty four or higher for three straight weeks, which,
Speaker 4: by the way, might be into the betting world of
Speaker 4: playing the longest reception. He also has a fifty yarder
Speaker 4: in here. He's had ten plus targets in two straight games,
Speaker 4: and we've been focused on all the chaos of the
Speaker 4: quarterback play, but twenty two targets in two straight games.
Speaker 4: He's had twelve catches, he's got a touchdown, he's gone
Speaker 4: over seventy six yards in both. And the Dolphins they've
Speaker 4: kind of been getting waxed a little bit. Three different
Speaker 4: wide receiver tight ends have had plays of twenty or
Speaker 4: more last this is last week in general. While the
Speaker 4: Jets have provided zero pressure in zero sacks on Tua
Speaker 4: in that last game, so there's no pressure, they gave
Speaker 4: up big plays last week. Two wide receivers or I
Speaker 4: mean one yard short of two one hundred yard receivers
Speaker 4: They've got a handful of one hundred yard receivers given
Speaker 4: up recently, that secondary's banged up, that team is defeated.
Speaker 4: Not that this is a great team, but they are
Speaker 4: just committed to getting Brian Thomas the ball, and they're
Speaker 4: getting committed to it going deep. Fifty yard touchdown catch
Speaker 4: from Brian Thomas in a big scoring day.
Speaker 1: Erickson, you are a fan of Brian Thomas the player.
Speaker 1: Are you a fan of him in this matchup?
Speaker 3: Yes, I'm a fan of Brian Thomas rest of the
Speaker 3: way because he's shown over the last three weeks it
Speaker 3: doesn't matter who his quarterback is, like, he's gonna make
Speaker 3: plays no matter what. He's last three games, he's averaging
Speaker 3: over eighty one receiving yards per game. Like, he's just
Speaker 3: been everything I wanted from him and more this year,
Speaker 3: even though he's been dealing with quarterback problems, he's been
Speaker 3: playing on a dysfunctional offense, he's been dealing with some
Speaker 3: injuries himself, and yet he's found a way to get
Speaker 3: it done and currently he ranked second in receiving yards
Speaker 3: among rookies. I have a I think seventeen to one
Speaker 3: ticket on him to lead all rookie wide receivers and
Speaker 3: receiving yards that maybe it's still live because he's second.
Speaker 2: I eight, who's one? Ours is no number one? But Bowers.
Speaker 4: I was about to say Bowers quarterback anymore.
Speaker 2: So like that's the thing.
Speaker 4: What's the gap?
Speaker 3: What it's like eighty eighty yards that he's behind, So
Speaker 3: it's four weeks left. But also Neighbors is right behind
Speaker 3: Thomas because he's also played less games.
Speaker 2: But and but Neighbors have.
Speaker 3: Quarterback either, So it's like, can mac Jones will his
Speaker 3: way to get Brian Thomas to the promised Land. That's
Speaker 3: what we're hoping with because everyone else I'm looking at,
Speaker 3: So Bowers quarterback problem. Thomas obviously is mac Jones Neighbor's
Speaker 3: quarterback problem. And then Mconukee is the other receiver. He's
Speaker 3: also hurt, So they're all in that range. They're all
Speaker 3: kind of a live right now. But yeah, so Brian Thomas,
Speaker 3: if he can keep up the paces he's been on
Speaker 3: the last three weeks, uh, we could be cooking with gas.
Speaker 1: So what do you think Eric saying about Welsh's pick
Speaker 1: of a long touchdown in particular?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that's all Brian Thomas has been able
Speaker 3: to do right. He's averaging over fifteen yards per catch.
Speaker 3: And it's funny because when you look at him versus
Speaker 3: some of these other rookie receivers Bowers and Neighbors both
Speaker 3: have the only other rookies or even Lad mcconkeye too.
Speaker 3: These guys have over eight hundred receiving yards and they've
Speaker 3: done it on eighty plus catches. Brian Thomas has fifty
Speaker 3: four catches and he has over eight hundred receiving yards.
Speaker 3: Eight hundred and fifty receiving yards. So yeah, he's a
Speaker 3: big play savant and they're just funneling him targets. And
Speaker 3: the Jets yeah, I mean Sauce Gardner even though he's hurt,
Speaker 3: he hasn't been good this year, so you can definite
Speaker 3: take advantage of this Jets secondary.
Speaker 2: So I think, yeah, it's probably gonna catch a long touchdown.
Speaker 1: I was pulling up this stat while you guys were talking,
Speaker 1: so I hope you guys didn't share this already. There
Speaker 1: are four players that have four catches of fifty plus
Speaker 1: yards this season? Can you Brian Thomas is one of them?
Speaker 1: I will say, can you guys name the other three?
Speaker 3: Well?
Speaker 4: I think Jefferson Chase Chase has one, right.
Speaker 1: Chase Chase has four, Brian Thomas has four. So there's
Speaker 1: one other player's four and one with five.
Speaker 4: Wait, I'm sorry, that have four fifty yard catches?
Speaker 1: Yeah, if I they spoke, I'll say it fifty plus
Speaker 1: yard catches at least four of them.
Speaker 4: Player, Okay, Jennings.
Speaker 1: Jennings has not.
Speaker 4: Plus it's not Tyra, please do So.
Speaker 1: You guys did get the outside of Bride Thomas Junior,
Speaker 1: which is obvious because we're talking about him. Chase was
Speaker 1: the obvious one. The other one is like it's like, oh, yeah,
Speaker 1: that makes sense. Once you hear it, you probably won't
Speaker 1: guess that, So I won't make the h the listeners
Speaker 1: listen to you guys flail around and get all these
Speaker 1: wrong answers. One of them is Jameson Williams and the
Speaker 1: other one the only one with five. Those others we
Speaker 1: have four. Terry McLaurin m super fun, a lot of
Speaker 1: big plays from him. Yeah, you can find this information
Speaker 1: on the Advanced Wide Receiver Stats page on fantasypros dot com.
Speaker 1: But yeah, I was like, you know, brid Thomas said
Speaker 1: a few of these I wanted to look it up,
Speaker 1: and he literally tied for second most. McLaurin is the
Speaker 1: only one with more all right ericson what is your
Speaker 1: number three prediction?
Speaker 3: If it ain't broke, don't fix it. Going back to
Speaker 3: Detroit playing in the Dome, more points, bring it on
Speaker 3: because they're playing in the Buffalo bill. So I think
Speaker 3: this game is going to shootout again. I was right
Speaker 3: about this last week, so I'm just going to play
Speaker 3: the hits here. I don't know what the total is
Speaker 3: going to end up closing at. I know that it
Speaker 3: was at fifty three and a half points the last
Speaker 3: time I checked. I don't understand why you would bet
Speaker 3: the under, but people are going to see value on it.
Speaker 3: I don't care taking the over on this game. Average
Speaker 3: children last in the lines last twenty six home games
Speaker 3: has been fifty four points, so it's right around the average.
Speaker 3: And now that you're considering the two offenses that are
Speaker 3: going head to head here where the Lions are going
Speaker 3: to actually have to try to score points, same thing
Speaker 3: with Buffalo. I think that you're going to see a
Speaker 3: more aggressive Buffalo offense. I know sometimes this year where
Speaker 3: you've seen them like to run the ball. I don't
Speaker 3: think this is going to be the case this week.
Speaker 3: Even last week we just saw it. Hey, when they
Speaker 3: were down, they had to dial up a much heavier
Speaker 3: pass approach and they scored over forty points. Josh Allen
Speaker 3: totaled six touchdowns. So I think this game is going
Speaker 3: to be a shootout, and I think that means it's
Speaker 3: going to be another good game for Amari Cooper.
Speaker 2: I think Cooper was my.
Speaker 3: Flag plant on the Start Sit show last week and
Speaker 3: ended up being a pretty good call, even though I
Speaker 3: was honestly kind of disappointed with his overall game entirely
Speaker 3: because he had over two hundred and fifty air yards,
Speaker 3: he had a sixty one percent target rate per route run,
Speaker 3: fourteen targets overall, and he only had ninety fives. He
Speaker 3: had six catches from ninety five yards, So I honestly
Speaker 3: was kind of disappointed. I was like, dude, this guy
Speaker 3: could have had a monster game. Instead, it was kind
Speaker 3: of like, Okay, a good game for Mari Cooper.
Speaker 2: Great.
Speaker 3: So I'm going back to the well though with a
Speaker 3: Mario Cooper because again I like the spot here against
Speaker 3: Detroit talked about how Buffalo really dialed up the passing
Speaker 3: game last week in a shootout, They're gonn to do
Speaker 3: the same thing again this week. Their pass right over
Speaker 3: expectation was plus eleven percent in week thirty, or excuse me,
Speaker 3: in week fourteen. That was the high since Week seven,
Speaker 3: when they first traded for Amari Cooper. So whenever this
Speaker 3: offense decides to throw the ball, Amari Cooper is much
Speaker 3: more involved. I think that's gonna be the same case here.
Speaker 3: So whatever his receiving yards props probably gonna be round,
Speaker 3: like forty or fifty yards, He's gonna go over that
Speaker 3: because Amari Cooper is the most boom er bust receiver
Speaker 3: on planet Earth, and he's if he's gonna go over,
Speaker 3: he's gonna go way over. So I like the overs
Speaker 3: on Cooper again.
Speaker 1: Boy well Erickson sure is going out on a limb
Speaker 1: here taking the over on Bill's Lions, the game that
Speaker 1: everybody just expecting touchdown Scalore.
Speaker 4: It's a big number though.
Speaker 1: It's actually it's fifty five on raw already big number,
Speaker 1: But how could you take the under?
Speaker 2: All you need is an injury and then you win.
Speaker 4: Basically, you know what your bet should be. Your bet
Speaker 4: should be. You should all line this. You should go
Speaker 4: to like fifty nine and a half and play plus money.
Speaker 2: That's what the bill the Bills Rams game. I were
Speaker 2: looking at some the live odds.
Speaker 3: It's so funny when you see the live ones is
Speaker 3: like eighty points for the total that it went over
Speaker 3: eighty and a half points.
Speaker 4: So all line this you no marbles? Good, like, get
Speaker 4: in and get in on this.
Speaker 1: Come on, Yeah, I mean, fifty five is a huge number,
Speaker 1: but like you literally you cannot go into Bill's Lions
Speaker 1: and take the under. You're just it's just like, it's
Speaker 1: not fustable if you take the under on this game,
Speaker 1: even with a number that high. What do you think
Speaker 1: about Mamari Cooper ridiculous?
Speaker 4: Yeah, I like, I mean I haven't been into Amari
Speaker 4: Cooper like Erickson has, but you know, he's he's getting
Speaker 4: back involved in the offense and he stretches the field
Speaker 4: for them right now. I mean, Shaki is the safety net.
Speaker 4: There's just no real tight end to speak of and
Speaker 4: in this offense anymore. And Josh Allen's on a thing
Speaker 4: that the indoor game is going to be ridiculous. I
Speaker 4: think the running game is where things are gonna stop,
Speaker 4: and he's going to have to sling the ball. I hang,
Speaker 4: this isn't astute call, especially the betting angle of it.
Speaker 4: Like I think Amari Cooper is kind of in the
Speaker 4: realm for everybody of like wide receiver three, if you
Speaker 4: have him on your team, you know, like Amari Cooper
Speaker 4: versus what I would be very comfortable with it. But
Speaker 4: from the betting angle, it probably is going to open
Speaker 4: up at a kind of low ish number. So I
Speaker 4: really like that. And I think if this is going
Speaker 4: to be just slang slang slang, a MARII Cooper is
Speaker 4: going to have to be involved in this because Keon Coleman,
Speaker 4: God knows where he is right now. So I'm with
Speaker 4: this call.
Speaker 3: I'm definitely We'll say so on the regarding the total
Speaker 3: being like as massive as it is, So you said
Speaker 3: it's a fifty five flat, that's the number it's at.
Speaker 1: That's what I'm seeing right now.
Speaker 3: Okay, So I'm looking historically, So we've had since two
Speaker 3: thousand and three, we've had thirty games close at fifty
Speaker 3: five points. The over is hitting thirty seven percent of this.
Speaker 2: But how many of those games are playing in course field?
Speaker 2: That's the question, Like.
Speaker 1: Like by process, yes, you should bet the under the hood,
Speaker 1: but by emotion and by it's literally Bill's Lions say,
Speaker 1: the thing that's going to move over, dude'.
Speaker 3: They're playing the Ford Field like any other any other
Speaker 3: place that is outside faded, faded, fata fade. But the
Speaker 3: fact is in the dome, Josh Allen in the dome.
Speaker 3: See this is why Buffalo should have built a dome.
Speaker 3: You want more six touchdown games from Josh Allen, build
Speaker 3: a dome.
Speaker 1: Alan is like a walking like you're getting at least
Speaker 1: four touchdowns from him lately. It feels like the Lions
Speaker 1: are you know, the most fun aesthetically pleasing offense. Like
Speaker 1: it's just you know, this is I mean, there's a
Speaker 1: reason everybody. He's like, this will make for a great
Speaker 1: Super Bowl, right, It's it's a super fun matchup. Well,
Speaker 1: what is your number three prediction?
Speaker 4: Bo knows Bo Knicks will be the horse king in
Speaker 4: the Colts versus Broncos matchup, and he's gonna turn those
Speaker 4: Colts into glue. Bo Nicks going for two point fifty
Speaker 4: two touchdowns. Colts are giving up these sixth most passing
Speaker 4: yards on the year. Bo's thrown for two hundred and
Speaker 4: six straight games, two point fifty plus in three straight
Speaker 4: games and has two or more touchdowns in four of
Speaker 4: six games. Side note, Yes, Courtland Sutton really like Vley
Speaker 4: back into this. I'm probably gonna be re betting Maley
Speaker 4: in this one, but really, this one is about bow
Speaker 4: Knicks and just how good he has been. So you're
Speaker 4: gonna go into this matchup with probably some big Bo
Speaker 4: Nix questions as far as like who do I start?
Speaker 4: Bo Nicks is in that kind of streamy quarterback range
Speaker 4: where people might have two quarterbacks, do I do this
Speaker 4: or this? I really like bo Nicks this week, and
Speaker 4: maybe I'm setting the line like if I wanted to
Speaker 4: be bold, if we were saying this is going to
Speaker 4: be a bold one, I would go I would probably
Speaker 4: go three hundred and three touchdowns, but safe safety play
Speaker 4: two fifty two touchdowns, And like I said, he's the horse.
Speaker 1: King ericson Nix is giv ten. Is that too high,
Speaker 1: too low? Or just right for early ECR? No?
Speaker 2: I like it.
Speaker 3: The Colts are a good matchup coming off the bye
Speaker 3: week culture come off bye week two. But I like
Speaker 3: Denver playing at home, and I guess I'm curious. So
Speaker 3: while she said you mentioned bele because we know someton's
Speaker 3: probably going to get it done. Two and fifty yards
Speaker 3: obviously a lot. So if anything, like, I is Troy
Speaker 3: Flanklin ever going to catch a deep pass from BONICKX?
Speaker 3: Like I watched them play every single game.
Speaker 4: They throw in every game.
Speaker 2: It's like, did these guys actually played organ together?
Speaker 1: Like?
Speaker 2: Was I just imagining that?
Speaker 3: Because I Will said they have no chemistry whatsoever, despite
Speaker 3: the fact that they were.
Speaker 2: Teammates at the college level. So yes, I think.
Speaker 3: I think finally, this is the week where Troy Franklin
Speaker 3: actually catches a deep target from Bonnicks and then ultimately
Speaker 3: helps get you to this number. So, uh, handholding with you,
Speaker 3: welsh On b Nix get it done as the.
Speaker 4: I like the logic of this. Yeah, give me a name? No,
Speaker 4: give me what dore one more?
Speaker 3: All right?
Speaker 4: They get warm? Can I get a name?
Speaker 1: I don't do the nay, but I will do the
Speaker 1: you do that.
Speaker 4: You think you're in It's like, now you gotta after
Speaker 4: you're in Colorado, you should call. One thing I'll point
Speaker 4: out that is super annoying about the Broncos I've noticed
Speaker 4: is they run they do similar.
Speaker 2: To pers do. Please no No.
Speaker 4: It's not the backfield. That's why I love b Nicks
Speaker 4: even more. They can't run it's not even an established thing.
Speaker 4: But what they run these rotations, and I really I
Speaker 4: hate these wide receiver rotations that go out there. The
Speaker 4: Packers do it. It's like, you know, it's only Watson
Speaker 4: and Wis and you never have anybody else. They'll do
Speaker 4: that where like Veley doesn't come out and they'll run
Speaker 4: like five different wide receivers in these mixes. So that's
Speaker 4: where I shy away from like being too crazy with
Speaker 4: guys like Franklin or because you point out, like why
Speaker 4: can't we get these guys rolling? It's like who knows
Speaker 4: because of the rotation. Sutton's the only constant on that.
Speaker 4: But yes, bo Nicks is good. Very disappointed in your NAE.
Speaker 4: Did like your clickity clacks, though.
Speaker 3: Yeah, part of me dies a little bit inside every
Speaker 3: time I see the little Jordan Humphrey start games.
Speaker 4: Yeah he's out there and you're just like, why what
Speaker 4: are we doing?
Speaker 3: Josh Reynolds is finally not on the team anymore, so
Speaker 3: at least, hey, maybe spots opened up. Troy Franklin, Come on, man,
Speaker 3: Orgon's in the what the number one seed right in
Speaker 3: the college FOOTBA playoff. Like, come on, organ vibes are
Speaker 3: good right now, let's get the connection going.
Speaker 4: You know what, that might be the thing we could
Speaker 4: hold on to. Organ vibes are good.
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Speaker 1: T is a Game Time ericson what is your number
Speaker 1: two prediction?
Speaker 3: Patriots Cardinals is going to be a shootout in the
Speaker 3: desert the Patriots games because the defense is so bad
Speaker 3: because Drake Bays Fun have been leaning towards going over
Speaker 3: the total more often than not, so I think we're
Speaker 3: gonna get some offensive production here from both sides. Specifically,
Speaker 3: Trey McBride is going to catch a receiving touchdown this week.
Speaker 3: I know, no crazy crazy, it's because if it doesn't
Speaker 3: happen this week's happened next week. Because if they're playing
Speaker 3: the Panthers, so one of these weeks tre McBride. So
Speaker 3: I'm getting ahead of it now because it'll be the
Speaker 3: talk of the town next week because he's paying the Panthers.
Speaker 2: They love the most touchdowns. The tight ends.
Speaker 3: Well, you know who is the worst defense in terms
Speaker 3: of EPA per target two targets aligned tight in the formation?
Speaker 3: It's my new England Patriots dead last and EPA per
Speaker 3: target allowed to pass catchers aligned tight this season. You
Speaker 3: look at just the schematic matchup right, number one wide
Speaker 3: receiver from Marvin Harrison Junior. Who's going to be covering him?
Speaker 3: The only good player on the Patriots defense, Christian Gonzalez.
Speaker 3: McBride is going to absolutely eat in this specific matchup.
Speaker 3: He's seen so many targets over the last couple of weeks,
Speaker 3: two red zone targets last week. He has sixteen red
Speaker 3: zone targets on the year. Again, zero receiving touchdowns. Regression
Speaker 3: is coming, and it's gonna come against the New England Patriots.
Speaker 3: So Trey McBride is going to score a receiving touchdown.
Speaker 3: I would not surprise me if you scored multiple touchdowns.
Speaker 3: But it's either this week or next week where he's
Speaker 3: gonna have a kaboom game when it comes to scoring.
Speaker 3: I'm trying to get ahead of it a little bit,
Speaker 3: and if he doesn't, I'm going to come back next
Speaker 3: week and say the exact same thing for Tram McBride
Speaker 3: scoring receiving touchdowns.
Speaker 1: So we've talked a bit about this off air. How
Speaker 1: many touchdowns are you going to predict these scores next week?
Speaker 1: If he doesn't score this.
Speaker 4: Week, That's what I'd say. I'm disappointed you even brought
Speaker 4: this up because if he doesn't score this week, ericson.
Speaker 4: Tell everybody what you told us or me or whatever
Speaker 4: it was of how many of what you're gonna bet
Speaker 4: next week?
Speaker 2: Whatever?
Speaker 3: Three touchdowns for Trey McBride, whatever type of pay you
Speaker 3: can get. Dude, I bet money on Kyle Pitts to
Speaker 3: score a touchdown last week. Don't feel bet Trey McBride
Speaker 3: to score multiple touchdowns?
Speaker 1: Come on, well, multipose one thing. You told us you
Speaker 1: were going to bet three touchdowns, do.
Speaker 2: Like a ladder touchdown bet? However that works again?
Speaker 1: One and you told us specifically that you were going
Speaker 1: to bet your house on three touchdowns.
Speaker 2: I can't. I don't have don't have a home.
Speaker 4: Don't be a liar. Then just bet your paycheck.
Speaker 1: Yeah, bet your Christmas bonus. Patriots Cardinals is forty six?
Speaker 1: Is the total? So maybe a little higher than you
Speaker 1: meta thought thinking about the Patriots. But you make a
Speaker 1: good point ericson given the defense is playing and the
Speaker 1: way Drake May is playing, knowing that number, do you
Speaker 1: like the over?
Speaker 4: Yes? I do?
Speaker 1: Welsh. What do you think both on this being a
Speaker 1: shootout and on Trey McBride finally scoring a receiving touchdown?
Speaker 2: Eh?
Speaker 4: I don't think Cardinals and Patriots scream shootout to me,
Speaker 4: just even in my simplest of brains, But I was
Speaker 4: I almost put Drake May on this as a play
Speaker 4: to like really explode. I'm just very I live in Arizona.
Speaker 4: I'm very anti Cardinal. I think Marvin Harrison is laughably
Speaker 4: not good right now. I love the trade McBride call
Speaker 4: Kyler Murray. This defense is probably going to allow him
Speaker 4: to not make some of the mistakes that he always does.
Speaker 4: So I could see where this could go over, but
Speaker 4: I'm not in love with the over. I like Dre
Speaker 4: may Drake may I really do like the McBride's stuff.
Speaker 4: I'm probably gonna be tempted to play the touchdown. I
Speaker 4: don't know if I will. They're probably gonna still give
Speaker 4: us some stupid line, you know, like one five and
Speaker 4: it's like it doesn't score it all year. Give me
Speaker 4: two to one. If they do that, I will hit it.
Speaker 4: But I'm probably gonna play the receptions and the receiving
Speaker 4: yards for McBride because he is probably the play to go.
Speaker 4: If you were like picking across, like what's the thing
Speaker 4: you can count on? I think the only thing you
Speaker 4: can really count on that you would trust, especially for
Speaker 4: my betting angle, is McBride. So I'm gonna completely tail
Speaker 4: this McBride's stuff. The touchdown. We'll see, We'll see what
Speaker 4: the odds are given to us.
Speaker 1: Welsh, what's your number two prediction?
Speaker 4: Oh ladies and gentlemen, gold blooded, You're gonna go to
Speaker 4: the San Francisco forty nine ers. You know there's a
Speaker 4: I want to show this and I'm going to send
Speaker 4: this to our guys just so they have a better graphic. Here,
Speaker 4: you would think the bet is going to be Juwan Jennings, which,
Speaker 4: by the way, I am now known as the Juwan
Speaker 4: Jennings Soothsayer. There's this great feature on the app on
Speaker 4: Betting Pros which by the way, you can go get
Speaker 4: a free month of Premium FP free. If you go
Speaker 4: and do that right now, download the app, you can
Speaker 4: follow all of us. I just happened upon this and
Speaker 4: I just want you to show this shows your number
Speaker 4: one performing bet of what you've done in the last year. Ericson,
Speaker 4: can you tell me what that bet is?
Speaker 2: Right there? I mean i've you to guess that has
Speaker 2: something to do with Juwan Jennings. Oh yeah, there you go.
Speaker 4: My number one bet over the last year one hundred
Speaker 4: percent hit rate is Juwan Jennings receiving yards. So I
Speaker 4: am the soothsayer. I do love it and I have
Speaker 4: already bet it, but let's get it all here. Oh yeah,
Speaker 4: it is actually because I was going to go a
Speaker 4: rock pretty side, so it is adding Juwan Jennings in
Speaker 4: with Puoka Nakua.
Speaker 2: I love the over.
Speaker 4: On Thursday Night Football with the Rams and the forty
Speaker 4: nine Ers, Juwan Jennings and Pouga combine for two hundred
Speaker 4: and fifty receiving yards and two touchdowns between the two.
Speaker 4: Rams are giving up the eighth most touchdowns to wide
Speaker 4: receivers over the last month and the tenth most receiving
Speaker 4: yards by the way. The last matchup Juwan Jennings against
Speaker 4: the Rams one hundred and seventy five yards and three touchdowns.
Speaker 4: Puka has gone over one hundred yards in three of
Speaker 4: his last four games, and the Niners are given up
Speaker 4: four receiving touchdowns to wide receivers over the last three games.
Speaker 4: He was not active, nor was Cup in the last game.
Speaker 4: Niner secondary is just still a problem. The Niners are
Speaker 4: working on much better ground right now. I think they're
Speaker 4: going to be trading some big offensive plays. The forty
Speaker 4: nine Ers are down another running back. God knows what
Speaker 4: this is going to look like. I mean, maybe Grendo plays,
Speaker 4: I don't think so, Patrick Taylor, maybe Deebo's in the back.
Speaker 4: They're going to have to throw the ball. The Rams
Speaker 4: are going to try to establish some run. If the
Speaker 4: Niners are efficient, they're going to be throwing the ball.
Speaker 4: So Pooka and Jennings combined two point fifty two touchdowns
Speaker 4: is the official. I have one already bet Juwan Jennings
Speaker 4: over receiving yards. I did it last night, so I
Speaker 4: do love that play as well.
Speaker 1: Ericson Jennings wide receiver nineteen in early ECR Puka obviously
Speaker 1: up there, he's wide receiver three. Do you like this one?
Speaker 2: Yeah?
Speaker 3: I love some who am I to go against the
Speaker 3: Juwan Jennings sooth sayer and say that he's incorrect about
Speaker 3: Juwan Jennings, and to add confidence to this, I've already
Speaker 3: bet this as well, Juwan Jennings in the forecast. What
Speaker 3: I'm doing now, because all the trade deadlines have passed,
Speaker 3: I put in some of these early prize picks lines
Speaker 3: and I just got jumped all over these forty nine
Speaker 3: ers because they were all way too low, like Brockberty
Speaker 3: more than his passing yards. It's already going up as
Speaker 3: like as I'm seeing as I'm refreshing, because it was
Speaker 3: just way too low of a number. Because he's cooking now,
Speaker 3: I'll gain he hit those two bad weeks, the snowy game,
Speaker 3: he was injured, but he's got his toys back I
Speaker 3: think he's going to be going more than his passing yards.
Speaker 3: And if that's happening, John Jenny's is gonna be along
Speaker 3: for the ride. So even if Jennings receiving yards prop
Speaker 3: like looks like it's big, just to look at every
Speaker 3: time he's gone over, it's somewherear to like Ayuk where
Speaker 3: when he goes over he's going ninety plus yards. So yeah,
Speaker 3: I think in fact he destroyed the Rams earlier this
Speaker 3: season makes a ton of sense. And Pookinakua man, he
Speaker 3: played one of the best games I've ever seen by
Speaker 3: a wide receiver last week. I was just I mean,
Speaker 3: and I was thinking of going back to that team
Speaker 3: that's being saved by pokin Like, this is why this
Speaker 3: team's in the playoffs now because of this man making
Speaker 3: it his mission to get me to the fantasy postseason.
Speaker 2: So shout out to at Pookakua.
Speaker 4: I might run the first ladder receiving yard parlay that
Speaker 4: I've ever done in my life. And I might parlay
Speaker 4: fifty to fifty for Puka and Jennings, sixty sixty for
Speaker 4: Puka and Jennings, seventy seventy, and I might push it
Speaker 4: up to one hundred and I'm play those two bad
Speaker 4: boys together and go ballistic. Also want to point out
Speaker 4: I have another bet, a forty nine or bet that
Speaker 4: has one hundred percent tail rate when as I saw
Speaker 4: it before this, that is only on Betting pros app.
Speaker 4: So if you guys want to see what it is,
Speaker 4: it is not the Juwan Jenning ones. I've told you that.
Speaker 4: But there's another bet. It's my best bet for that
Speaker 4: Thursday game. It's already up there. You can only get
Speaker 4: it on the Betting pros app, So go and check
Speaker 4: that out. But ericson, can I all interest you in
Speaker 4: a wide receiver receiving yard parlay ladder? Can I get
Speaker 4: you to come with me?
Speaker 3: You can get Debro to sign off because he's the
Speaker 3: Puka nakua soothsayer, So can I go to soothsayers to
Speaker 3: sign off?
Speaker 2: Sure?
Speaker 4: All right, I'm gonna hit him up and we're gonna
Speaker 4: parlay that together. Can we also just for one second
Speaker 4: laugh together about the Deebo Samuel tweet. Where Debo yesterday
Speaker 4: or this morning or whatever it was, decided to tell
Speaker 4: everybody it's not me. I'm not struggling. He is. Tim
Speaker 4: Robinson not worried about it. He's saying, I'm not struggling,
Speaker 4: and then he got community noted that no, yes you are.
Speaker 2: You are.
Speaker 4: Actually you have the most drops on the team. You
Speaker 4: are struggling. Accountability is the only thing he is getting
Speaker 4: separation from this year.
Speaker 1: Tim Robinson is so amazing that when you first said that,
Speaker 1: I was like, there's like eight different memes. I thought
Speaker 1: you could be going in that direction.
Speaker 4: All of them were all that I'm giving. I'm giving
Speaker 4: you guys on social some ideas. Just put debo with
Speaker 4: some Tim Robinson meme and it's.
Speaker 1: All trying to find the guy who did this or
Speaker 1: his what when they say he dropped fast? It's all
Speaker 1: of them. That's great, all of them work all. That's
Speaker 1: a great bit too. The only separation he's getting is
Speaker 1: from his accepting responsibility. Eric Sodon prediction number one, What
Speaker 1: do you got?
Speaker 2: Number one prediction?
Speaker 3: Here the Panthers are going to win for the first time,
Speaker 3: not the season because they've won games, but for the
Speaker 3: first time as a favored team in the Bryce Young era.
Speaker 3: Bryce Young years of the NFL has never been a
Speaker 3: favorite ever. The sportsbooks have never really never thought that
Speaker 3: he could win a game.
Speaker 1: I'm not that surprised to hear that. When would he
Speaker 1: have been a face exactly?
Speaker 3: But well, yeah, no, they've never he's never been a
Speaker 3: favorite ever. But he's been obviously playing much better of
Speaker 3: the last couple weeks. I think that's very well known
Speaker 3: at this point, coming so close of the last couple
Speaker 3: of weeks against teams that they probably had no business
Speaker 3: competing against, the Kansasvie Chiefs, the Philadelphia Eagles. I mean, look,
Speaker 3: that guy should be buying, That guy should be moving.
Speaker 3: He needs to put a poster of his Xavier at Legett.
Speaker 2: In his basement.
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, three million dollars.
Speaker 2: He needs to.
Speaker 3: Honor Exavier league Get for the drop that he had
Speaker 3: because if he catches that ball, man, Panthers are gonna
Speaker 3: win that game. So that being said, I think that
Speaker 3: the Panthers win. I think that league Get bounces back here.
Speaker 3: Obviously he's a young player. Last week was a performance
Speaker 3: to forget for him, citing the drop that he had
Speaker 3: on the potential touchdown. But before that, he did set
Speaker 3: up the Panthers really well on a key convert a
Speaker 3: on a long play. So for me and the reason
Speaker 3: I was watching this is because I was all over
Speaker 3: the Bryce Young unders in terms of his passing yard,
Speaker 3: so it actually helped me that Lee get actually dropped
Speaker 3: the pass too. So I bet I will also have
Speaker 3: a poster of the get somewhere in my basement in
Speaker 3: my future home that I do not have three touchdowns
Speaker 3: for pride. So I do like Lee getting this spot
Speaker 3: here against Dallas. Dallas coming off a short week, Dallas
Speaker 3: deal with a couple of injuries on the offensive defensive sides.
Speaker 3: So yeah, I like the Panthers here and the fact
Speaker 3: that Lee Get I mean, last week, the usage was
Speaker 3: still really great for him. He had ten targets, twenty
Speaker 3: four percent target chair over one hundred and twenty eight
Speaker 3: air yards. I get that he's been kind of up
Speaker 3: and down, inconsistent, but this is what we see from
Speaker 3: rookies a lot of the time. You know, they're incomplete products.
Speaker 3: And the fact that we saw Bryce Young kind of
Speaker 3: bounce back after you know, his slow start to the year.
Speaker 3: I think that the team's going to rally around Lee
Speaker 3: Get here. I think that he's going to have a
Speaker 3: big game. So I like the overs on his receiving yards.
Speaker 3: They can go over forty receiving yards, which is probably
Speaker 3: what his line is going to be. He has thirty
Speaker 3: nine plus yards and four straight six plus targets in
Speaker 3: three straight games. So I think we Get's gonna bounce
Speaker 3: back here and help get the Papers their first win
Speaker 3: as favorites in the Bryce Young era.
Speaker 1: Wels. You also have a prediction for your number one
Speaker 1: in regards to the Panthers.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm I like this. I'm gonna tail this and
Speaker 4: it will be also because of Cuba, the Great. Cuba
Speaker 4: is going to go off on the Cowboys. I see
Speaker 4: one hundred and fifty combined yards and as a top
Speaker 4: five RB this week. Cowboys have given up sixteen touchdowns
Speaker 4: to running backs on the year, fifty plus receiving yards
Speaker 4: in three of the lacks last six games. Cuba's got
Speaker 4: twenty six or more carries in two of the last
Speaker 4: four games. And why does that matter because the two
Speaker 4: he didn't Brooks Brooks was back. We all know that
Speaker 4: Brooks is out now. So this is just Cuba. Cuba
Speaker 4: is going to be the force. They're also not laying
Speaker 4: on their backs and having their bellies rubbed like they
Speaker 4: want to win games. They want to take these games
Speaker 4: away from these big teams. This is the opportunity, and
Speaker 4: like you said, I think that is something they're going
Speaker 4: to scoreboard watch the first time they are a favorite ever.
Speaker 4: They are going to give Cuba twenty plus carries. He's
Speaker 4: going to be out of the backfield as well. You
Speaker 4: can do this against the cow I mean the Cowboys.
Speaker 4: You can definitely pass on running backs. Last couple of
Speaker 4: weeks they've held teams a little bit down on the
Speaker 4: running side. But it's also because you can throw against
Speaker 4: this team, but they have had given up some big
Speaker 4: running back performances as well. I really love Cuba in
Speaker 4: this matchup. There's some you know, back to back Dicey
Speaker 4: of Kansas City and Philly and fading, and I think
Speaker 4: I don't know if I told ericson this. I was
Speaker 4: glad in my big FFBC Championship, which is the high
Speaker 4: stakes stuff Fantasy Pros Online Championship. I got obliterated in
Speaker 4: the championship. And you know why, I'm okay with it
Speaker 4: because I'm a dumb, stupid idiot and I last second
Speaker 4: took Cuba out this week in favor of the check.
Speaker 4: I did it, and I did it five minutes before
Speaker 4: lock and you know what had I lost by ten points.
Speaker 4: I wouldn't be here right now, I'd be I couldn't
Speaker 4: do it, So I'm just glad I got blown out.
Speaker 2: I was just well, just down in the dumps.
Speaker 4: I would be in some gutter somewhere. I got Josh,
Speaker 4: Allen and Addison, So that's okay. But the whole point
Speaker 4: of that is Tuba has performed really well in these
Speaker 4: bad matchups. This is a great matchup. There's no Brooks,
Speaker 4: he's going off. Cuba's going ballistic this week. Love him
Speaker 4: for week fifteen.
Speaker 1: So we're all over the Panthers. It sounds like, actually
Speaker 1: I want to pull up. Do you know what the
Speaker 1: line is in that game too?
Speaker 2: At least that's last two match too.
Speaker 4: I wasn't trip there was one point, one point five, wasn't.
Speaker 2: Sure Dallas came close.
Speaker 3: I mean last night to debating Cincia, thought maybe they
Speaker 3: get some love, but no, everyone's on the Panthers bandwagon,
Speaker 3: which does somewhat scare me. But actually, before we sign off, guys,
Speaker 3: I wanted to ask, so Brooks right, so's he gonna
Speaker 3: miss all next season too? Like?
Speaker 2: When is he actually gonna be valuable for good?
Speaker 1: I don't know what they're going to do, but like
Speaker 1: after this, how can you rush him? Like you should
Speaker 1: just sit him for a fit seas?
Speaker 3: I mean, so I guess like this is like a
Speaker 3: dining again, this isn't dining, but I want to talk
Speaker 3: abuy it because I think it's born with Jonathan Brooks.
Speaker 3: Like when, so when is his value actually going to be?
Speaker 3: Really like twenty twenty seven, like twenty six, midway.
Speaker 4: Through midway through twenty six because what Tuba signed a
Speaker 4: three year deal which canceled what this year, and then
Speaker 4: he's got two more years after this if I'm doing
Speaker 4: this correctly, So that means Brooks returns in the walk
Speaker 4: year for Cuba and they'll probably baby him into some capacity.
Speaker 4: So it's probably halfway. So the time to buy him
Speaker 4: is going to be probably about ten to twelve months,
Speaker 4: and then where he really like gives you production, it's
Speaker 4: probably like eighteen months away from right now. That's a
Speaker 4: brutal and also that's inheriting the risk that he does
Speaker 4: it again because apparently this is all he does. So
Speaker 4: it's it's yeah, it's mean to be brutal.
Speaker 3: These are It's really unfortunate for a super young The
Speaker 3: thing is like works in his favor that he is
Speaker 3: really young, so like that does help him. He doesn't
Speaker 3: have like this like massive work because again he was
Speaker 3: like a one year starter but then immediately got hurt
Speaker 3: and he got hurt again, So I don't have Brooks.
Speaker 3: Do you guys have Brooks on any Dynasty teams? Like
Speaker 3: are you just like we just want to like would
Speaker 3: you want to sell like right now? Like just like hey,
Speaker 3: I just want to get out now, like not deal
Speaker 3: with it, or I've.
Speaker 1: Got I've got him. On one it was a league
Speaker 1: where I had four first round picks this pass rookie draft,
Speaker 1: so I he was one of them, but it was
Speaker 1: like he was you know what, I went all in
Speaker 1: and I had multiple picks. Thankfully. I I think that
Speaker 1: you have to hold like nobody's gonna give you anything
Speaker 1: of value because you're skipping out an entire year next
Speaker 1: year and there's a question mark about you know, just
Speaker 1: what the role will be when he even comes back.
Speaker 1: Can he maintain the workload when he comes back, like
Speaker 1: like it's really really set and you feel for a
Speaker 1: guy who works so hard to come back this season
Speaker 1: even for a team that isn't going anywhere, Like that
Speaker 1: speaks to his speaks to his character, like like I
Speaker 1: just I want nothing for the best for him, But
Speaker 1: it might be like borderline over in Dinas would you
Speaker 1: would you?
Speaker 2: I don't mean to cut you off.
Speaker 3: I just thought of an interesting what did you take
Speaker 3: want to offer you outric estime for Jonathan Brooks? What
Speaker 3: would you do?
Speaker 1: I think I'd probably I do love it.
Speaker 3: I love Estimate starter next year. Like those guys are
Speaker 3: free agents, like Gananta's gone's gone, He's there's no way
Speaker 3: he's coming back, but he's gone.
Speaker 4: You think they look at that backfield and they're like,
Speaker 4: we're good.
Speaker 1: I don't think if Estimate was on any other team,
Speaker 1: I might consider him. I just don't trust Sean Payton
Speaker 1: to like stick with or running back that I like.
Speaker 4: I think the bigger question is to buy Jonathan Brooks,
Speaker 4: like you're kind of getting to. I don't think it's
Speaker 4: about like do I hold do I know? I think
Speaker 4: it's like do you have the wherewithal to go and
Speaker 4: buy Jonathan Brooks right now? And what are you willing
Speaker 4: to give up? And like, you know, does the injury
Speaker 4: scare you enough? Because what Jonathan Brooks value six months
Speaker 4: ago would have been probably top fifteen RB. You know
Speaker 4: someone would have like wanted him at like a top
Speaker 4: fifteen RB with the future side. Now, what are you
Speaker 4: willing to give up? Because I think that's outside.
Speaker 1: I mean I might give up like a third round
Speaker 1: rookie pick, like a late third.
Speaker 2: But like I just don't know, I don't know how
Speaker 2: you can get Yeah, no one's gonna.
Speaker 1: I don't think you can give up a pick in
Speaker 1: the top twenty five, even in a down rookie class,
Speaker 1: because you just don't. I mean, it's too uncertain and
Speaker 1: you're not even gonna get certainty for another two years
Speaker 1: from now, Like we're talking about twenty twenty six. Guys,
Speaker 1: it's twenty twenty four right now, we're talking about twenty six,
Speaker 1: like midway through as many ways. Like I just I
Speaker 1: don't think you could give up anything of value. That's
Speaker 1: why I call I think he's a hold. Like I
Speaker 1: don't want to just dump him and take that loss
Speaker 1: right away. I'd rather just sit him on IR and
Speaker 1: hope for a miracle. But again, like like I said,
Speaker 1: I might be over.
Speaker 3: That's that's the thing. It's like you have to hit on.
Speaker 3: I feel like this is like a five leg parlaye
Speaker 3: for you to hit on Jonathan.
Speaker 2: Brooks in twenty twenty six.
Speaker 3: Guys like he then has to like be good still
Speaker 3: coming off another Again, you never barely see him play
Speaker 3: at the NFL level, and again he had a very
Speaker 3: limited sample size in college, and so there are so
Speaker 3: many things have to go right for him when again
Speaker 3: on the panels good, like we don't know, like who's
Speaker 3: gonna be the coach, Like who's gonna be the quarterback?
Speaker 2: We don't know.
Speaker 3: And maybe it's just like just if you have Brooks,
Speaker 3: get Cuba right so you can at least get some
Speaker 3: production in the.
Speaker 2: In the short term, Tuba looks like a pretty strong
Speaker 2: though now everyone's like trying to sell Cuba. We were
Speaker 2: trying to sell Tune.
Speaker 3: It's like, nah, man, this guy's not going away staying
Speaker 3: stay good BOOKO for good for you, Bobert, goat.
Speaker 1: He's a good player and his has a wide open
Speaker 1: you know runway here, and offense is getting better with
Speaker 1: Bryce down playing better. So yeah, Tuba looks pretty good
Speaker 1: right now. But we'll wrap up there. Thank you everybody
Speaker 1: for tuning in. Hopefully we do pretty well in our
Speaker 1: predictions here for Welsh and Ericson. I'm Ryan Warmley. Thanks everybody,
Speaker 1: We'll see again next time. Thanks for listening to the
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Speaker 2: Bush