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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity.

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Speaker 2: I know of this information.

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Speaker 3: Wouldn't you agree?

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Speaker 1: Shot on five dollars?

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Speaker 4: This is a radule up hoboy tackled hit one.

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Speaker 1: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable,

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Speaker 1: Humans need fantasy to be humor. O my goodness, that misspeak.

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Speaker 3: You guys are prone the best, relentless, refusing to give up.

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Speaker 2: All right, hit that horn, baby less.

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Speaker 4: What's up?

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Speaker 2: Everybody?

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex Podcast. This is your fantasy

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Speaker 3: preview for the divisional round of the twenty twenty three

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Speaker 3: twenty four NFL Playoffs.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Chris Raman of the Action Network.

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Speaker 3: Joining me is the number one most accurate fantasy ranker

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Speaker 3: in the game, the odds maker Sean Turner.

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Speaker 1: Sean, what's going on?

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Speaker 2: It's up? Yeah.

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Speaker 5: So, I mean we had a great weekend Wildcard weekend

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Speaker 5: crush all our bets, but all of our DFS calls

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Speaker 5: hit too. I mean I gave out Jake Ferguson, Trey Palmer,

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Speaker 5: you gave out Cream Hunt, Kate Otten. So hopefully if

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Speaker 5: you listen, last week, you took down some GPPs.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, but we're gonna right back to it. Keep

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Speaker 1: it going. We only got seven games left, so it

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Speaker 1: should be fine.

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Speaker 3: We got the full four games slate to talk about

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Speaker 3: on this pod, so we'll get in. You know, we'll

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Speaker 3: go position by position. We'll build a lineup at the end.

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Speaker 3: But before we get to that, just a quick reminder.

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Speaker 3: If you haven't left us a five star rating and

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Speaker 3: review yet and you enjoy the show, jump in and

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Speaker 3: do that. You can win a free year of Action

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Speaker 3: Pro or some swag from the Action Network Store. This

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Speaker 3: week's winner is Drew Dutchy. Thank you Drew Duchy for

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Speaker 3: the rating and review.

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Speaker 1: You can keep mail.

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Speaker 3: Podcasts at actionnetwork dot com to claim your prize. Also,

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Speaker 3: don't forget Action Network Discord Server for anyone who wants

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Speaker 3: to join.

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Speaker 2: It's free.

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Speaker 1: It's a lot of fun.

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Speaker 3: Sean has been in the there giving out fantasy advice,

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Speaker 3: sweat and.

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Speaker 1: Live bets with people, so go check that out.

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Speaker 3: There's a link to join in the episode description. But

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Speaker 3: let's get into the divisional row goo the full four

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Speaker 3: game suit up at DK. Let's talk through that quarterback.

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Speaker 3: We'll go of value and a dart. It's Kep talping

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Speaker 3: me quarterback. It's like he's only eight, so We just

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Speaker 3: talked through some quarterbacks here, but who do you like

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Speaker 3: to start us off for value?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, so I think Brock Purdy at sixty five hundred

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Speaker 5: is a great value. I know you said you were

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Speaker 5: high on him in our projections, Pod, I'm right there

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Speaker 5: with you. I'm not sure why he's so cheap here.

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Speaker 5: The you know, the Niners are you know, around ten

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Speaker 5: point favorites. So maybe Purdy doesn't have to throw much.

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Speaker 5: But that's been the case all year long. And Purdy

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Speaker 5: has lived off high efficiency, low volume all year, so

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Speaker 5: this spot's really no different. You know, Jordan Love and

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Speaker 5: the Packers offense could play well enough here to keep

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Speaker 5: it close. I would not be shocked just given how

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Speaker 5: well Love has been playing, including last week. Plus, you know,

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Speaker 5: Christian McCaffrey has been dealing with the calf injury. He's

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Speaker 5: had a couple weeks now to rest up, so maybe

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Speaker 5: he is closer to hundred percent. But if not, you know,

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Speaker 5: they might want to lean on Purdy just a little

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Speaker 5: bit more here. And you know, it's been a few

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Speaker 5: weeks since Purdy's played, so there's no recency bias. You know,

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Speaker 5: people aren't chasing a good game by brock Purty, so

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Speaker 5: his his rostership percentage might be a bit lower here

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Speaker 5: just as a result. So the fact that you can

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Speaker 5: get party at sixty five hundred here is a no brainer.

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Speaker 5: He has a ton of stacking options and you know,

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Speaker 5: this is a great slate. But Perty just sticks out

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Speaker 5: like a sore thumb being at sixty five hundred here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: Absolutely, I love Purty this week only thing. Obviously, have

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Speaker 3: to monitor the weather. Probably going to get the rain,

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Speaker 3: but the temperatures are going to be in the fifties wins.

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Speaker 3: You know, it's always kind of windy out there in

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Speaker 3: Santa Clara. But we'll see if there's If it's alarming,

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Speaker 3: well obviously we lower our projection, so be sure to

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Speaker 3: to monitor that. But I love Purty as well. I

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Speaker 3: think he's kind of that perfect sweet spot. If you're

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Speaker 3: you're not gonna go with Lamar or Josh Allen, I

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Speaker 3: think brock Purty is just is just perfect who has

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Speaker 3: a massive, massive ceiling in the spot I'm gonna go with.

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Speaker 1: Jared Goff here.

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Speaker 3: Talked on the other pod on the Action Network Projection

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Speaker 3: pod over on the Action Network podcast channel. We talked

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Speaker 3: about golf and you know, how I have his passing

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Speaker 3: yards close to two hundred and eighty for this game's

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Speaker 3: averaging right around two seventy for the year now, and

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Speaker 3: you know he is sixty three hundred against the Tampa

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Speaker 3: Bay Buccaneers the games indoors where Jared Goff tends to thrive. Now,

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Speaker 3: he does have some trouble with the blitz, so that

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Speaker 3: that is the.

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Speaker 1: Only concern here.

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Speaker 3: But in terms of dfs, we're just looking at the

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Speaker 3: ceiling and if God struggles early, that just means he'll

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Speaker 3: have to throw more to catch up.

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Speaker 1: So either way, I like it.

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Speaker 3: You know, Sam Laporta played his usual compliment of snaps

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Speaker 3: last week. Jamis and Williams and Josh Reynolds are are healthy,

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Speaker 3: so it looks like the only guy that's probably gonna

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Speaker 3: be out is Khalif Raymond. So Golf in a good

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Speaker 3: spot against this Tampa Bay defense that you know Detroit

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Speaker 3: has struggled, or Golf, I should say, has struggled a

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Speaker 3: little bit with the blitz, but nothing like the way

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Speaker 3: Jalen Hurds has struggled. And that's why I ended up

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Speaker 3: getting on the the Bucks plus.

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Speaker 1: Three last week.

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Speaker 3: I'm on the Bucks again, but I do like golf.

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Speaker 3: I do like just the environment for fantasy points in

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Speaker 3: this game it being indoors, while the you know, the

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Speaker 3: Ravens game is outdoors, the Niners games outdoors and could

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Speaker 3: have some weather, and the Bills game it's gonna be

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Speaker 3: you know, freezing temperatures. So even though uh, you know,

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Speaker 3: some some people didn't know this game was gonna be indoors,

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Speaker 3: it is. And thus Jared Goff love them. Looks like

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Speaker 3: dart throws. Looks like you like somebody in this game

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Speaker 3: as well.

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Speaker 2: To like that.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I'm more of a you know, corn hole man myself.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, so I love Baker Mayfield. At the cheapest price

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Speaker 5: of the week at six kids, he wasn't the cheapest.

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Speaker 5: I think it was Mason Rudolph, but Baker was my

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Speaker 5: dart throw because you know, he just had such an

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Speaker 5: easy matchup against the Eagles defense and sure enough, you know,

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Speaker 5: he torched them. And you know this matchup isn't as

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Speaker 5: good as you know the Eagles, but you know, the

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Speaker 5: Lions have allowed three hundred and forty plus passing yards

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Speaker 5: now in four straight games, two of those to Nick Mullins.

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Speaker 5: And you know, Baker Mayfield for as good as he

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Speaker 5: played last week, he was let down by Mike Evans

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Speaker 5: and Ky Dotton, who had some really big drops. One

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Speaker 5: of them was a Evans drop that was a potential touchdown.

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Speaker 5: You and I both thought that initially James Bradberry made

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Speaker 5: a great play on the ball, but that was in

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Speaker 5: the case Evans has dropped it and he might have

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Speaker 5: been down the one he might have scored.

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Speaker 2: Who knows because he didn't catch it.

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Speaker 5: But either way, Baker almost had an even bigger game.

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Speaker 5: So the fact that you can get him at six

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Speaker 5: K here and spend up elsewhere is very appealing. So

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Speaker 5: Baker Mayfield again is my top dart throw this week

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Speaker 5: at QB.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I love him as well.

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Speaker 3: I think this Lion defense has some issues in pass coverage.

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Speaker 3: They are great against the run, so makes them a

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Speaker 3: pass funnel. I believe they're finished the year number one

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Speaker 3: in DVOA against the run, so you know that that

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Speaker 3: pass defense is what you're gonna have to attack. You

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Speaker 3: could get a negative game script, but that that would

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Speaker 3: just help. I don't think there's anything overly prohibitive about

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Speaker 3: this this matchup. You know they'll get some pressure, might

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Speaker 3: get a sack or two. But even sacks, you know,

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Speaker 3: it's not the end of the world because that just

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Speaker 3: makes you have to throw longer passes to try to

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Speaker 3: get a first down, as long as it's not a

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Speaker 3: third down.

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Speaker 1: So like the matchup all the way around.

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Speaker 3: I think Chris Godwin talked about him on the other product,

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Speaker 3: think he'll have some advantages here. Evans could be on

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Speaker 3: Sutton that that should be an edge for Tampa Bay

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Speaker 3: as well. So like Mayfield, I'm gonna go with Jordan Love,

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Speaker 3: you know, as a dart throw. He's a guy who

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Speaker 3: it's probably not gonna be as efficient as it's been.

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Speaker 3: San Francisco has been able to prepare for Green Bay.

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Speaker 3: They've also been resting. They even though Dallas, you know,

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Speaker 3: had just all the pick sixes and you know, Michael Parson.

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Speaker 1: San Francisco, I think is.

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Speaker 3: The more well rounded defense, and it's probably gonna be

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Speaker 3: the more sound defense. But the San Francisco offense likely

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Speaker 3: puts up a lot of points on Green Bay, which

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Speaker 3: will make put the pressure on Love to throw. He's

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Speaker 3: got all his guys healthy in the receiving corps. You know,

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Speaker 3: Christian Watson played last week, Wis is healthy, Jayden Reed

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Speaker 3: Romeo Dabbs, both tight ends, Crafted Muskgrave, Aaron Jones obviously

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Speaker 3: maybe even get a j Dillon back this week. So

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Speaker 3: Love really hasn't had a full compliment of healthy receivers.

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Speaker 3: Only threw twenty one passes last week, highly efficient sixteen

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Speaker 3: to twenty one for two seventy two.

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Speaker 1: Don't think it'll be that efficient this week.

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Speaker 3: But you know the upside is still you know, four

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Speaker 3: hundred yards because like similar to deck, like San Francisco

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Speaker 3: could put up a big number on this Green Bay

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Speaker 3: defense that is, you know, twenty six in DVA. So

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Speaker 3: like Jordan Love as one of the cheapest options on

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Speaker 3: sleep all right, which jump to a running back who

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Speaker 3: got full value there?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, so I like Dave Montgomery at sixty one hundred.

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Speaker 5: He's really like the cheapest of the tier two running backs.

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Speaker 5: And you know, last week I thought the Lions might

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Speaker 5: Leonard Jamier Gibbs a bit more and give more work

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Speaker 5: now that we're in the playoffs. I couldn't have been

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Speaker 5: more wrong. Not only did Monty see his highest rush

201
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Speaker 5: there since week thirteen, he even had a higher routes

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Speaker 5: run rate than Gibbs. And you had mentioned maybe they

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Speaker 5: were just trying to throw the other team off just

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Speaker 5: to break tendencies and things like that. But you know

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Speaker 5: there could be some signal there. So I'm still boosting

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Speaker 5: Montgomery's underlying usage a bit higher this week than I

207
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Speaker 5: have last week anyway, But you know, his touchdown odds

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Speaker 5: specifically are going to be elevated this week. You know,

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Speaker 5: the Lions have the second highest team total. You know

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Speaker 5: they're going to be playing indoors, have a you know,

211
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Speaker 5: a bit of an easier matchup. Maybe not on the ground,

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Speaker 5: but either way, I think Monty does have a better

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Speaker 5: chance of scoring a touchdown here than most weeks. And

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Speaker 5: this is just a game where they could have a lead,

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Speaker 5: positive game script for much of the game, so that

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Speaker 5: that could just lead to more work for Monty specifically. So,

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Speaker 5: like I said, just the fact that he's the cheapest

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Speaker 5: of the tier two guys that I think you could

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Speaker 5: make a case for being a top two, top three

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Speaker 5: back is why I think Monty is a decent value

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Speaker 5: this week for sure.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you're you know, there's a lot of guys in

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Speaker 3: that range, you know, we they like you said, they

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Speaker 3: could all be they're all in play. But I think

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Speaker 3: Monty will you know, Gibbs is the more sexy your play, like,

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Speaker 3: let's be honest. And so I do think because you

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Speaker 3: have Rashad White, who has been you know, fairly consistent.

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Speaker 3: Because you have Pacheco who probably you know, he's kind

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Speaker 3: of an exciting play because he's gonna be featured. You

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Speaker 3: have James Cook against a deep run, a defense of

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Speaker 3: struggle against the run.

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Speaker 1: You have all these other options.

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Speaker 3: So I think from a just from a tournament perspective,

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Speaker 3: I think the amount of people that roster Montgomery will

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Speaker 3: probably be lower.

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Speaker 1: Than it should.

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Speaker 3: And you're getting a lot of leverage, you know, touchdown

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Speaker 3: because he's a touchdown guy too, so you're getting a

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Speaker 3: lot of leverage on you know, if he can score.

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Speaker 3: And let's say a Monro doesn't score and Gibbs doesn't score,

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Speaker 3: and even maybe La Porter. You know, you're just getting

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Speaker 3: a lot of leverage there with a guy who will

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Speaker 3: see double digit touches and has a good is a

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Speaker 3: decent bet for multiple touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: So I like it.

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Speaker 3: This is you know, the DFS pod. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: my value is Christian McCaffrey. But the he's my value

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Speaker 3: is because he's literally.

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Speaker 1: Is the top value for me on this slate.

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Speaker 3: So he's eighty eight hundred, but I haven't projected to

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Speaker 3: score you know, upwards of twenty four draftings points, whereas

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Speaker 3: I don't have anyone else, you know, hitting twenty one.

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Speaker 3: So he's he's got a pretty big edge on the

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Speaker 3: on the field. And then if in terms of his

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Speaker 3: you know, uh point projected points per dollar, I have

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Speaker 3: him about two point seven x. You know, everyone else

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Speaker 3: tops out around two point five x, especially up up

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Speaker 3: in the stud tier.

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Speaker 1: So I do think we kind of mentioned it.

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Speaker 3: One of the ways to kind of get around that

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Speaker 3: glut of running backs is to go with a guy

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Speaker 3: like Montgomery who's probably gonna be on the lower end

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Speaker 3: of the of the ownership spectrum. But I do think

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Speaker 3: Christian McCaffrey it's worth paying up for Christian McCaffrey on

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Speaker 3: this slate.

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Speaker 1: It's playoff time.

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Speaker 3: He's been rested, you know, he sat out that that

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Speaker 3: Week seven, Week eighteen game. He's good to go. Green

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Speaker 3: Bay defense has historically been pretty bad against the run.

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Speaker 3: They do have to worry about all these weapons for

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Speaker 3: the Niners in the passing game. So Christi McCaffrey is

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Speaker 3: gonna get his and I do think he is a

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Speaker 3: value even though he is the highest priced player, and

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Speaker 3: you have to kind of know when to to fade

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Speaker 3: and when to play these guys. I do think this

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Speaker 3: is a good week to play CMC because there's just

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Speaker 3: no one coming close in terms of the projected value,

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Speaker 3: which is rare for somebody who costs as much as

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Speaker 3: he does.

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Speaker 1: So, yeah, likes against Bay.

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Speaker 2: Is like ten points above my RB two right now.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's absurd. So yeah, like CMC, But what

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Speaker 3: are you going for a dart throws?

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Speaker 5: Let's go Ty Johnson at forty two hundred. Not many

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Speaker 5: quality dart throws on a four game slate, but I

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Speaker 5: think Johnson could be worth at least a fly or

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Speaker 5: two at forty two hundred. You know, he's typically gonna

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Speaker 5: spell James Cook on early downs when he needs a breather,

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Speaker 5: and you know Ty has been banged up a bit lately,

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Speaker 5: but he's closer to one hundred percent now, which is

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Speaker 5: why I think they cut Leonard Fournette so he no

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Speaker 5: longer has the threat of like Leonard Fournette being active

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Speaker 5: and mixing in taking away some of his few touches. Plus,

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Speaker 5: this is a good matchup against the Chiefs defense that's

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Speaker 5: more of a run funnel one, so he could end

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Speaker 5: up seeing a spiking usage just based on the matchup.

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Speaker 5: And I mentioned but he ran the ball on all

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Speaker 5: seven plays of their last drive to put the game away.

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Speaker 5: He had a couple of nice nine plus yard runs

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Speaker 5: on that drive, even though the Steelers knew that the

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Speaker 5: Bills are running the ball. He looked really good in

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Speaker 5: that And it's been surprising just how often the Bills

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Speaker 5: do trust Ty Johnson in some really high leverage situations.

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Speaker 5: I mean, the game is pretty much over. But the

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Speaker 5: fact that they were out they were willing to give

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Speaker 5: him the ball so many times, you know, he might

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Speaker 5: fumble it, you know, could make the game interesting. They

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Speaker 5: were still willing to give him the ball means that

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Speaker 5: you know, he could see you know, high leverage situation

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Speaker 5: like a goal line carry if it does come up here.

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Speaker 5: So either way, you know, just take a couple of

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Speaker 5: flyers on this guy. Don't go crazy. But Ty Johnson

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Speaker 5: a forty two hundred kind of sticks out, as you know,

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Speaker 5: one of the better options of those really really cheap guys.

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Speaker 3: Absolutely, he's uh, you know, he's he's been that clear

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Speaker 3: number two guy.

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Speaker 1: It looks like Murray.

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Speaker 3: You know, Murray really doesn't get carriage anymore, only plays

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Speaker 3: on him passing downs for Nett. I guess, you know,

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Speaker 3: they went back to having him as a healthy scratch.

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Speaker 3: I guess at this point he's only going to be

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Speaker 3: active if something's up with Johnson, or maybe they make

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Speaker 3: for Nett actor for Murray. But either way, it seems

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Speaker 3: like Johnson's.

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Speaker 5: They just dropped his ass. I think he's like completely

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Speaker 5: off the roster.

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Speaker 4: Oh yeah, I thought he see No, I think he's

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Speaker 4: his toast, which was surprising to me.

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Speaker 2: But I mean I don't think he's being elevated again.

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Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, yeah, yeah.

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Speaker 3: Oh no, yeah yeah they yeah, they He is officially

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Speaker 3: dropped from the practice. So Todd Johnson's walked in and

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Speaker 3: Murray should be active unless they did a weird thing

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Speaker 3: where they like re sign him and then and then

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Speaker 3: elevate them. But I know, yeah, it doesn't seem I mean,

336
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Speaker 3: they have all these injuries, so I don't think like

337
00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:11,520
Speaker 3: a having like a fourth running back on the active rosters.

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Speaker 3: That's like a luxury that they can't afford. They yeah,

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Speaker 3: like half their defense got injured last week. Uh so Yeah,

340
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Speaker 3: like Johnson, I'm gonna go with Justice Hill. H he

341
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Speaker 3: is the only guy in this range that I have like.

342
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Speaker 3: I have him significantly projected above like Edmunds and Pierce Edwards,

343
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Speaker 3: d Lair, uh, even even Johnson.

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Speaker 1: He's forty eight hundred.

345
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Speaker 3: And the reason I like Justice Hill is in DFS

346
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Speaker 3: is because you never quite know what Baltimore is gonna

347
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Speaker 3: how they're gonna use them. And for example, in week one,

348
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Speaker 3: when you know he thought it was gonna be okay,

349
00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:51,440
Speaker 3: it's gonna be like the Dobbins and Gus Edwards show,

350
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Speaker 3: Justice Hill carries eight times for nine yards, but two touchdowns,

351
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Speaker 3: doesn't get anywhere, doesn't get any targets.

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Speaker 2: Uh.

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Speaker 3: And then there was a game a couple of weeks

354
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Speaker 3: ago He's seventeen carries, three times for forty eight yards,

355
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Speaker 3: five targets for sixty.

356
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Speaker 1: Four and a touchdown.

357
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Speaker 3: And then in that we thought he was gonna rest

358
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Speaker 3: or rest, you know, more than he did. In that

359
00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:18,240
Speaker 3: last game of the season against Pittsburgh, doesn't get any carries,

360
00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:19,600
Speaker 3: but gets ten targets.

361
00:17:19,720 --> 00:17:22,160
Speaker 1: Now he only catches three of them. But that's my point.

362
00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:23,960
Speaker 3: He's just kind of one of these guys that in

363
00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:27,280
Speaker 3: any given week, he could be Baltimore's feature back. So

364
00:17:28,800 --> 00:17:32,159
Speaker 3: like him in this spot, you also have the large spread,

365
00:17:32,280 --> 00:17:34,959
Speaker 3: so you know, maybe if Baltimore gets up, they use

366
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Speaker 3: them more. If they get down, they could also use

367
00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:40,600
Speaker 3: them more. There's just so many different ways that Justice

368
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Speaker 3: Hill could pay off. Kind of like reminds me of

369
00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:46,240
Speaker 3: a little bit of Kareem Hunt that I've talked about

370
00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:48,600
Speaker 3: last week. Or it's not sexy, and you never quite

371
00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:52,800
Speaker 3: know how they're gonna use him, but he's definitely going

372
00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:57,000
Speaker 3: to see snaps and he can catch the football, and

373
00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:01,440
Speaker 3: they've also used them in the run game, and they've

374
00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:03,640
Speaker 3: used him near the goal line at times as well.

375
00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:07,240
Speaker 3: So like Justice Hill in this matchup against Houston, and

376
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Speaker 3: I think Joe even another guy that's pretty under owned

377
00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:13,960
Speaker 3: because you know, if people I feel like people like

378
00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:15,760
Speaker 3: to you know, this is the first game of the week,

379
00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:18,919
Speaker 3: so people are probably gonna save like their flex spot

380
00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:21,320
Speaker 3: or whatever and try to you know, do some game

381
00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:25,480
Speaker 3: theory and have it open and kind of use somebody

382
00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:29,000
Speaker 3: depending on how the first game or two go so

383
00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:31,160
Speaker 3: and maybe have like a Sunday.

384
00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:31,919
Speaker 1: Guy in the flex.

385
00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:34,200
Speaker 3: So I think having you know, your two running backs

386
00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:36,160
Speaker 3: and then a guy like Justice Hill at only forty

387
00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:39,320
Speaker 3: eight hundred in your flex, he's a guy that could.

388
00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:42,760
Speaker 3: He's capable, you know, scoring twenty plus at under five

389
00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:43,520
Speaker 3: k at running back.

390
00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:46,840
Speaker 1: You can't really say that about any of the other backs.

391
00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:49,760
Speaker 3: I mean, maybe Mitchell if McCaffrey were to go down

392
00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:51,919
Speaker 3: like early in the game or something, I guess, but

393
00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:52,919
Speaker 3: that's really about it.

394
00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:54,480
Speaker 1: But Justice Hill could absolutely.

395
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:56,720
Speaker 3: You know, we've seen him score two touchdowns in a

396
00:18:56,760 --> 00:18:59,760
Speaker 3: game when he's not the you know, start even the

397
00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:03,280
Speaker 3: star already running back. So like me, some Justice Hill

398
00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:04,560
Speaker 3: against Houston.

399
00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:07,800
Speaker 1: All Right, it's up to wide receiver. Who you got

400
00:19:07,800 --> 00:19:08,400
Speaker 1: for value?

401
00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:11,600
Speaker 2: I like Rashid Rice at sixty eight hundred.

402
00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:16,359
Speaker 5: He really stands out in that tier two of wide receivers,

403
00:19:16,840 --> 00:19:20,000
Speaker 5: and you know, he continues to look better and better

404
00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:23,920
Speaker 5: as the true number one wide receiver, really the guy

405
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,440
Speaker 5: they've needed ever since they moved on from Tyreek Hill.

406
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:29,560
Speaker 5: He's really starting to fill in those shoes. Back to

407
00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:33,240
Speaker 5: back one hundred and twenty five plus receiving yard games

408
00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:37,040
Speaker 5: now just look really looked incredible, and I think that,

409
00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:39,879
Speaker 5: you know, he's another player that could take advantage of

410
00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:42,879
Speaker 5: the Bills linebackers just being decimated by injuries. If you

411
00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:45,720
Speaker 5: look at his route tree from last weekend, I mean

412
00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:48,000
Speaker 5: a lot of it's over the middle. You know, he's

413
00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:51,159
Speaker 5: catching the ball five to ten yards downfield and just

414
00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:53,520
Speaker 5: racking up yards after the catch. So if the Bills

415
00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:57,520
Speaker 5: are down two three linebackers, there could be some coverage

416
00:19:57,560 --> 00:20:02,639
Speaker 5: issues there, communication issues, just bad tackling. So Rice is

417
00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:04,639
Speaker 5: a player that you know could take advantage of that.

418
00:20:05,320 --> 00:20:07,080
Speaker 5: And he's only sixty eight hundred. You know, I have

419
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:09,560
Speaker 5: him inside my top five. So the fact that you

420
00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:11,399
Speaker 5: gi him at that price, he has a high floor,

421
00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:15,800
Speaker 5: high ceiling combo. So love getting Rashid Rice right now

422
00:20:15,800 --> 00:20:17,359
Speaker 5: at sixty eight hundred.

423
00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:20,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, he stands out for me as well.

424
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,639
Speaker 3: And I love the fact that he's actually, you know,

425
00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:25,040
Speaker 3: being targeted close to the line of scrimmage because he's

426
00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:27,640
Speaker 3: getting now he's getting you know, like that eighty five

427
00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:32,479
Speaker 3: ninety percent route participation rate like a true number one receiver.

428
00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:35,560
Speaker 3: But he's also and he's being targeted at a high.

429
00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:37,280
Speaker 1: Rate per on a per route basis.

430
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Speaker 3: But his targets are very easy to catch because they're

431
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:42,760
Speaker 3: not tired down the field at all. So it's like

432
00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:47,440
Speaker 3: you can project him for like six seven catches every

433
00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 3: game now, and this is a game again Kansas City's

434
00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:55,720
Speaker 3: first road playoff game in the Mahomes era, so we're

435
00:20:55,760 --> 00:20:58,680
Speaker 3: actually we actually have Kansas City as an underdog here,

436
00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:02,960
Speaker 3: which has happened too much. So it should be another

437
00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:06,760
Speaker 3: another good game for Rice. And this Buffalo defense a

438
00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:10,640
Speaker 3: little bit banged up there, so and Rice moves around too,

439
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:15,440
Speaker 3: So I like Rashid Rice as well. Him and this

440
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:18,960
Speaker 3: the player I'm about to mention, are both I think

441
00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:25,200
Speaker 3: excellent values, and it's Nico Collins. He is my number

442
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:28,160
Speaker 3: wide receiver two on the week actually, and he's he's

443
00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:32,199
Speaker 3: not priced as the wide receiver too. He's seventy one hundred,

444
00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:34,359
Speaker 3: so he's not quite as cheap as Rahive Rice, but

445
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:37,240
Speaker 3: he is the wide receiver four behind Amon Ross, Saint Brown,

446
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:40,680
Speaker 3: Deebo Samuel, and Mike Evans, who are eighty two hundred

447
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,320
Speaker 3: and seventy seven hundred and seventy two hundred, respectively. So

448
00:21:43,359 --> 00:21:46,159
Speaker 3: I have Nico's a very good per dollar value. And

449
00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:50,760
Speaker 3: then you look at this Baltimore defense and it's been great,

450
00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:54,280
Speaker 3: no no bones about it. But Marlon Humphrey, their top corner,

451
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:58,240
Speaker 3: has an injury and he's in danger of missing this game.

452
00:21:58,320 --> 00:21:58,840
Speaker 1: He's missed.

453
00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:02,919
Speaker 3: He hasn't really practiced much over the past three four weeks,

454
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:05,400
Speaker 3: so it'd be tough for him to kind of get

455
00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:06,919
Speaker 3: out there. Even if he does, he might not be

456
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:08,720
Speaker 3: a full go. He might not be one hundred percent.

457
00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:12,120
Speaker 3: So I don't think. You know, Humphrey's been good when

458
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:16,040
Speaker 3: he's healthy and on the field, but I don't know

459
00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:18,240
Speaker 3: if we're going to get that Humphrey in this game.

460
00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:23,520
Speaker 3: And Nico Collins, I mean five games of five games

461
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:26,520
Speaker 3: with one hundred yards and at least one touchdown and

462
00:22:26,840 --> 00:22:29,159
Speaker 3: at least seven catches one hundred yards and a touchdown,

463
00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:33,080
Speaker 3: four games with at least one hundred and forty six

464
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:36,520
Speaker 3: yards on seven catches and at least one touchdown. He's

465
00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:39,439
Speaker 3: had eighty yards in more than half of his at

466
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:40,600
Speaker 3: least eighty yards and more.

467
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:41,560
Speaker 1: Than half of his games.

468
00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:45,240
Speaker 3: And he's had at least six catches in more than

469
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:48,919
Speaker 3: half of his games. And now remember he was playing

470
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 3: there were games where Tank Dell was healthy, there were

471
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:56,439
Speaker 3: games where Noah Brown was healthy. So now it's really

472
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:59,800
Speaker 3: you know, he is the queer cut number one target

473
00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:02,600
Speaker 3: you're talking about. Houston is a nine and a half

474
00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:06,200
Speaker 3: point underdog in Baltimore, so it.

475
00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 1: Could be a pass heavy game script for CJ.

476
00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:09,080
Speaker 2: Stroud.

477
00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:15,280
Speaker 3: So just love love Nico, especially if if Marlon Humphrey

478
00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:18,280
Speaker 3: is out or less than one hundred percent, which seems

479
00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:19,639
Speaker 3: like the way it's trending.

480
00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:23,720
Speaker 5: Yeah, his target right per out run has just been

481
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:27,679
Speaker 5: insane since Tank Dellan down like around thirty five percent,

482
00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:29,760
Speaker 5: which is like Tyreek status.

483
00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:31,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, so yeah, love me Smiko.

484
00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:35,240
Speaker 1: All right, what about Dutor?

485
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:39,200
Speaker 5: Well, I'm going with another Texans receiver a little bit

486
00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:44,480
Speaker 5: cheaper here, but John Mechi at thirty four hundred. You know,

487
00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:47,480
Speaker 5: Noah Brown and Robert Woods were both able to return

488
00:23:47,520 --> 00:23:50,920
Speaker 5: to action last week, which was going to be a

489
00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:54,640
Speaker 5: hit to Mechi's playing time. However, Noah Brown reinjured himself

490
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:58,080
Speaker 5: he's on ir done for the playoffs, and Robert Woods

491
00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:01,920
Speaker 5: only played limited snaps, so he's clearly not one hundred

492
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:04,160
Speaker 5: percent right now. So they're gonna need Mechi to step

493
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:06,800
Speaker 5: up here. And I've liked Mechi. You know, he hasn't

494
00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:09,040
Speaker 5: really flashed too much so far, but he was a

495
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:12,480
Speaker 5: potential first round pick before tearing his ACL towards the

496
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:15,080
Speaker 5: end of his last season at Bama went in the

497
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:17,840
Speaker 5: second round. But you know, he's very talented, and you

498
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:20,800
Speaker 5: know CJ. Stroud makes everybody better. So there's a chance

499
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:23,919
Speaker 5: that Metchi will break out any point. It could happen,

500
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:26,720
Speaker 5: you know, this week against the Ravens. Obviously it's a

501
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,040
Speaker 5: tough matchup, but you know it's gonna be a pass

502
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:32,040
Speaker 5: heavy game. Script they might need to make some shorter

503
00:24:32,119 --> 00:24:35,240
Speaker 5: area of throws to, you know, to a player like Mechi.

504
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:37,399
Speaker 5: So I think at thirty four hundred, I think he

505
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:39,440
Speaker 5: has like a sneaky ceiling here. I don't think a

506
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:40,800
Speaker 5: lot of people are going to be on him. So

507
00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:43,880
Speaker 5: John Metchi is one of my favorite dart throws right now.

508
00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:49,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. And his target per route rate hasn't

509
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:50,040
Speaker 1: been too bad.

510
00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:52,280
Speaker 3: You know, it's not like as low as a guy

511
00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:57,800
Speaker 3: like who is Xavier Hutchinson's for this team, it has

512
00:24:57,840 --> 00:24:59,159
Speaker 3: been let's see.

513
00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:01,399
Speaker 2: What is it well on the seat eighteen percent?

514
00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:03,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, about eighteen percent.

515
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:08,360
Speaker 3: It's higher, so just a smidge higher than Robert Woods,

516
00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:13,639
Speaker 3: about a percentage point and a half lower than Dalton Schulp.

517
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:17,040
Speaker 3: So yeah, he's he's if he plays, because you know,

518
00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:19,800
Speaker 3: I think Woods re injured himself. Woods will probably play,

519
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:22,520
Speaker 3: But yeah, Metchi has a chance to be the number

520
00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:26,000
Speaker 3: two wide receiver this week and if he, like if

521
00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:28,360
Speaker 3: he plays the same amount of snaps as Woods, for example,

522
00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:32,680
Speaker 3: he'd actually be the favorite for targets. So yeah, this

523
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:34,879
Speaker 3: is he's he could be massively undervalued. And we saw

524
00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:37,879
Speaker 3: him actually make a play down the field in that

525
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:41,159
Speaker 3: game against the Browns too, so you know he's, like

526
00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:43,239
Speaker 3: you said, he could break out at any moment. So

527
00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:46,840
Speaker 3: like that call, I'm gonna go with Josh Reynolds here,

528
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:51,200
Speaker 3: He's thirty seven hundred at home against the Bucks, and

529
00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:55,360
Speaker 3: you know he has been seeing an upstick in his

530
00:25:55,800 --> 00:26:00,520
Speaker 3: usage rate with khalif Raymond banged up. But you know

531
00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:03,360
Speaker 3: Reynolds and God, remember they have that chemistry dating back

532
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:07,720
Speaker 3: to their Rams days. So I'm not surprised that as

533
00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:10,600
Speaker 3: the Lions getting to the playoffs that Reynolds is starting

534
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:14,000
Speaker 3: to see an uptick. He went, he's on the year,

535
00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:16,879
Speaker 3: he's averaging a seventy five percent route participation rate, but

536
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:20,600
Speaker 3: the last three weeks seventy eight percent, ninety one percent,

537
00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:25,520
Speaker 3: ninety seven percent, and last week with Raymond out, they

538
00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:29,560
Speaker 3: didn't mess around with Donovan people, Jones, Antoine Green, it

539
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:32,920
Speaker 3: was just a mon Ron ninety seven percent, routes, Reynolds

540
00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:36,159
Speaker 3: ninety seven percent, routes Jameis and Williams eighty seven percent,

541
00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:37,760
Speaker 3: that uh people.

542
00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:39,920
Speaker 1: Jones zero, Antoine Green zero.

543
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:43,720
Speaker 3: So even if Raymond comes back, which I know doesn't

544
00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:46,520
Speaker 3: look like he will, but even if he does, he'll

545
00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:49,520
Speaker 3: probably be less than one hundred percent. So I still

546
00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:51,480
Speaker 3: expect Reynolds to you know, push for app you know,

547
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,840
Speaker 3: upwards of eighty percent of the past naps, and you're

548
00:26:55,840 --> 00:27:00,360
Speaker 3: going against a defense that is, you know, okay, it's

549
00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:03,880
Speaker 3: not terrible, but it has been known to give up.

550
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:06,199
Speaker 3: It has been known to kind of bleed yardage. And

551
00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:09,960
Speaker 3: I think being the only indoor game, being the number

552
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:14,159
Speaker 3: two receiver on the team with the quarterback.

553
00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:14,240
Speaker 1: Let's see.

554
00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:17,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, I have jard Got projected for the most passing

555
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 3: yards on this slate, So that's another you know, anytime

556
00:27:22,320 --> 00:27:25,120
Speaker 3: you have like that, the number two receiver, I think

557
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:27,920
Speaker 3: is gonna be you know, an obvious especially when he's

558
00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:30,359
Speaker 3: not like a you know, queer cut stud or anything

559
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:31,560
Speaker 3: like that. So I think he's gonna be able to

560
00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:34,200
Speaker 3: overlook I think jameis gonna be overlooked it as well.

561
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:37,120
Speaker 3: But as of right now, just because we don't we're

562
00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:39,840
Speaker 3: not one hundred percent sure Raymond will miss I have

563
00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:42,840
Speaker 3: you know, Reynolds as the clear you know value of

564
00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:46,199
Speaker 3: those two because Williams is only one hundred cheaper, but

565
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:49,399
Speaker 3: he's a nice pivot, and even if Raymond plays, I

566
00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:52,320
Speaker 3: think that would actually you know, increase the value of

567
00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:54,240
Speaker 3: both of them because then you know, people might not

568
00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:56,520
Speaker 3: want to roster them as much and say, hey, maybe

569
00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:59,160
Speaker 3: they're not going to get that same snap rate. But yeah,

570
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:02,040
Speaker 3: he I mean, Reynolds has the upside to play just

571
00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:04,960
Speaker 3: as much as Amn Ross Saint Brat. So that is

572
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:08,000
Speaker 3: always something that I'm going to target in DFS. So

573
00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:11,520
Speaker 3: like me some Josh Reynolds. All right, let's jump to

574
00:28:12,080 --> 00:28:14,359
Speaker 3: tight end who got for value.

575
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:18,400
Speaker 5: Here similar to Christian McCaffrey value. I'm going to Travis Kelsey,

576
00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:22,680
Speaker 5: who is six k. He's the most expensive tight end,

577
00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:26,000
Speaker 5: but it is much much closer than it used to be,

578
00:28:26,720 --> 00:28:31,040
Speaker 5: which understandably, you know, this is one of Kelsey's worst seasons.

579
00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:34,000
Speaker 5: You know, he's clearly starting to fall off a bit,

580
00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 5: not quite as dominant.

581
00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:36,480
Speaker 2: Had a couple of.

582
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:38,800
Speaker 5: Really ugly drops last week, but that could have been

583
00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:40,880
Speaker 5: due to the weather. So I'm willing to forgive him.

584
00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:43,840
Speaker 5: I don't think that's going to be an issue going forward.

585
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:46,360
Speaker 5: And he's still managed to get seven catches for seventy

586
00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:49,160
Speaker 5: one yards, so you know, Mahomes is clearly just leaning

587
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:52,280
Speaker 5: on him and Rashid Rice now that they're in the playoffs.

588
00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:56,800
Speaker 5: So you know, the fact that he's six K, I

589
00:28:56,800 --> 00:28:59,600
Speaker 5: still have him about three to four points higher than

590
00:28:59,600 --> 00:29:02,040
Speaker 5: my number to tight ends, so not quite as much

591
00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:04,920
Speaker 5: of a drop off as McCaffrey, but it just goes

592
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:07,320
Speaker 5: to show that he is still you know, in Tier

593
00:29:07,360 --> 00:29:10,840
Speaker 5: one by himself. Plus you know, I've mentioned the Bills

594
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:14,040
Speaker 5: linebackers are decimated. They could be without two to three

595
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:17,440
Speaker 5: to four of their starting linebackers, so that's just going

596
00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:19,920
Speaker 5: to make the matchup that much better for Kelsey.

597
00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:20,640
Speaker 2: So I think.

598
00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:24,520
Speaker 5: He still has massive upside at six K, So willing

599
00:29:24,560 --> 00:29:26,880
Speaker 5: to take him, and I think he's a really good

600
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:27,520
Speaker 5: value right now.

601
00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:30,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's my you know, he's my top value as well.

602
00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:34,600
Speaker 3: And I mean drops, you know, part of the falloff

603
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:36,200
Speaker 3: has just been I think he's a little bit in

604
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:38,680
Speaker 3: his head, Like a lot of it has been drops,

605
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:42,480
Speaker 3: you know, like it's he's still has shown the ability

606
00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:45,640
Speaker 3: to get to draw double digit targets. Maybe he's not

607
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:48,840
Speaker 3: quite as fast as he once was, but I think

608
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:53,720
Speaker 3: the one of the major issues really is just the

609
00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:57,360
Speaker 3: the drops. But you know, his yards for catch is lower.

610
00:29:57,600 --> 00:29:59,520
Speaker 3: I think it's season three or low, right, Yeah, it's

611
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:02,760
Speaker 3: ten points, So yeah, he's obviously flowing down, but you know,

612
00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 3: still talking about like a yard ish yard and a

613
00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:06,640
Speaker 3: half per catch.

614
00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:07,960
Speaker 1: It's not massive.

615
00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 3: He still averaged sixty six yards per game during the

616
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:14,560
Speaker 3: regular season and then put up seventy one in his

617
00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:16,640
Speaker 3: first playoff game, and that was with the three drops,

618
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:18,880
Speaker 3: so I could have had an even bigger game.

619
00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:20,720
Speaker 1: So yeah, I like kind of buying.

620
00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:23,520
Speaker 3: Well, if we could call it that on on Kelsey,

621
00:30:24,280 --> 00:30:27,040
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with George Kittle fifty two hundred. He's

622
00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:30,320
Speaker 3: my next best value. I actually don't have quite as

623
00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:31,320
Speaker 3: much separation.

624
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:34,120
Speaker 1: As you do. Well, were you talking about half for full?

625
00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:35,000
Speaker 1: Were you talking about.

626
00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:36,280
Speaker 2: DK scoring orc?

627
00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:40,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I have about two points separating just over

628
00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:44,160
Speaker 3: to separating Kelsey and Kittle, So Kittle have Kittle is.

629
00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:45,280
Speaker 1: A really good value as well.

630
00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:48,560
Speaker 3: Talked about this on Our Player Projection pot over on

631
00:30:48,600 --> 00:30:53,120
Speaker 3: the Action Network podcast channel. But Kittle has home road

632
00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:57,440
Speaker 3: splits that favor being at home eighty seven yards this

633
00:30:57,520 --> 00:31:00,320
Speaker 3: season per game at home, forty six on the road,

634
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:03,960
Speaker 3: five touchdowns, and seven games at home just one in

635
00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:07,240
Speaker 3: nine games on the road, and then in his career

636
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:10,120
Speaker 3: he's averaging sixty nine yards at home, fifty nine on

637
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:13,040
Speaker 3: the road, with point four touch point four to four

638
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 3: touchdowns per game at home point three to two touchdowns

639
00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:19,960
Speaker 3: per game on the road. Green baled so twenty six

640
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:23,320
Speaker 3: in DVA against tight ends and Dallas tight ends eleven

641
00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:25,760
Speaker 3: for one hundred, eleven catches for one hundred yards and

642
00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:29,000
Speaker 3: three scores, all by Ferguson last week. A twenty five

643
00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 3: percent target market share for Cowboy tight ends last week.

644
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:38,240
Speaker 3: So it's a good potential blow up spot for George Kittle,

645
00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:40,680
Speaker 3: who like four dark throws a tight end.

646
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:43,960
Speaker 4: Y'all take your darts over here pretty seriously, huh.

647
00:31:44,160 --> 00:31:47,600
Speaker 5: I like Brevin Jordan at twenty seven hundred. There's not

648
00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:51,560
Speaker 5: much choose to choose from once you get outside, you know,

649
00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:53,520
Speaker 5: starting tight ends, but I think he might be a

650
00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 5: sneaky backup tight end to take. You know, he's containing

651
00:31:56,760 --> 00:32:01,720
Speaker 5: to see around thirty to thirty five percent route participation rate.

652
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:05,680
Speaker 5: He had that long touchdown catch last week, so unfortunately,

653
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 5: you know, I think people will chase that a bit.

654
00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 5: But you know, he's a really good athlete, has pass

655
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:14,239
Speaker 5: catching upside. You know, I think he just continues to

656
00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:15,920
Speaker 5: mix in here, and this is a game where it

657
00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:18,680
Speaker 5: could be a pass heavy game script where you know,

658
00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:21,640
Speaker 5: someone like Brevin Jordan could see a spike in target.

659
00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:26,960
Speaker 2: So I think he's the top cheap option under three K.

660
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:30,080
Speaker 5: He might be the only option you could really consider

661
00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:32,600
Speaker 5: under three K. But I think Brevin Jordan has enough

662
00:32:32,680 --> 00:32:35,840
Speaker 5: upside to at least take some flyers here at twenty seven.

663
00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:39,600
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, he's He's been really good against man covered.

664
00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:43,640
Speaker 3: So if Baltimore does continue to play man, he's averaging

665
00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:46,720
Speaker 3: believe it's like three and a half yards per route

666
00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:47,520
Speaker 3: against man covery.

667
00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:50,640
Speaker 1: Obviously a small sample, but he has he has played well.

668
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:51,959
Speaker 1: I can't.

669
00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:54,880
Speaker 3: He's been beaten in linebackers and doing what he's supposed

670
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:57,760
Speaker 3: to do, so like him as well. I'm gonna go

671
00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 3: with Kate out in here, our guy. Obviously, it's not

672
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:04,840
Speaker 3: as good of a matchup as it was last week

673
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,760
Speaker 3: against Philly, who just really struggled against tight ends. But

674
00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:10,560
Speaker 3: when you just look at this slate and you go

675
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:13,040
Speaker 3: up and down the list at tight end, when you

676
00:33:13,080 --> 00:33:16,040
Speaker 3: start getting to that price range, you know, Luke Musgrave

677
00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:19,280
Speaker 3: is thirty, Dalton Chultz is forty four hundred, he is

678
00:33:19,560 --> 00:33:24,120
Speaker 3: the tight end seven in terms of pricing on DK,

679
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:27,920
Speaker 3: Like we could be over priced if Andrews plays, and

680
00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:30,760
Speaker 3: so he's at forty seven hundred, then there's a big gap.

681
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:33,720
Speaker 3: Then you have Musgrave, who's probably not even gonna be

682
00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:36,320
Speaker 3: the number one tight end for the Packers at thirty

683
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:39,640
Speaker 3: six hundred, and then you have Aughton at thirty five,

684
00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:42,240
Speaker 3: and then Kraft at thirty one, who is another guy

685
00:33:42,320 --> 00:33:44,840
Speaker 3: kind of split in snaps. So I think Aton is

686
00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:46,560
Speaker 3: in that sweet spot where he's gonna be on the

687
00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:50,640
Speaker 3: field pretty much every single pass snap. His raid of

688
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:53,840
Speaker 3: pass snaps played have been between you know, ninety eight

689
00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 3: and one hundred in the last few weeks and really

690
00:33:56,360 --> 00:33:59,040
Speaker 3: oh season long, So he's not gonna come off the field.

691
00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:01,520
Speaker 3: You have the potential, you know a lot of different

692
00:34:01,560 --> 00:34:03,760
Speaker 3: ways it could hit. You know, Tampa Bay could go

693
00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:08,400
Speaker 3: down early and have to throw. Tampa Bay could just

694
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:12,760
Speaker 3: have its way with this shaky lines past funnel defense.

695
00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:16,520
Speaker 3: So like Atton here, just because I think you're just

696
00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:22,080
Speaker 3: getting so many more routes per dollar compared to everyone

697
00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:25,760
Speaker 3: else in his price range, and it's really not even close.

698
00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:28,279
Speaker 1: All right, let's build.

699
00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:33,680
Speaker 3: A DraftKings lineup for the four game sleep that we

700
00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:34,600
Speaker 3: just discussed.

701
00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:37,040
Speaker 2: Damn, should I go with a defense here? First? Let's

702
00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:38,680
Speaker 2: see if there's anybody I'm.

703
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:44,279
Speaker 5: Gonna go with a Actually, I'm gonna potentially steal who

704
00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:46,640
Speaker 5: you were going for. I'm gonna go with Christian McCaffrey,

705
00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:48,799
Speaker 5: most expensive player on the board, and I'll figure it

706
00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:51,160
Speaker 5: after that, no problem spending.

707
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 3: Down alrighty, I then I'm gonna go with I gotta

708
00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:59,160
Speaker 3: go Brock pretty he's my top quarterback.

709
00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:02,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, sixty five hundred.

710
00:35:02,280 --> 00:35:06,400
Speaker 3: Where you have Allen at eight k and Jackson at

711
00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:09,560
Speaker 3: seventy nine. And to kind of counteract your McCaffrey hopefully

712
00:35:10,080 --> 00:35:10,680
Speaker 3: a little bit.

713
00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:15,960
Speaker 5: Yeah, we'll have minus three forty to score a touchdown.

714
00:35:16,080 --> 00:35:19,120
Speaker 5: So let's see. No, I didn't I didn't take it.

715
00:35:19,120 --> 00:35:20,960
Speaker 5: That's what the market's saying. I would never bet that

716
00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:24,360
Speaker 5: I'm gonna go with the defense. Get ahead of it

717
00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:28,080
Speaker 5: a little bit. I'm gonna take the most expensive defense,

718
00:35:28,120 --> 00:35:30,239
Speaker 5: but I think it's it's for a good reason. The

719
00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:34,040
Speaker 5: Ravens against the Texans hate to be you know, like

720
00:35:34,080 --> 00:35:37,000
Speaker 5: betting against CJ. Stroud here, But there's not many good

721
00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 5: options this week. You know, every offense this weekend's pretty

722
00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:42,160
Speaker 5: damn good. So I'm gonna just take the well rested

723
00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:45,000
Speaker 5: Ravens and hopefully, you know, CJ. Strow makes a few

724
00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:49,080
Speaker 5: mistakes here and they pay off their thirty five hundred

725
00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:49,879
Speaker 5: price tag here.

726
00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:50,839
Speaker 1: It's not too bad.

727
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:53,439
Speaker 3: I mean, I mean Stroud just hasn't thrown picks, which

728
00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:56,880
Speaker 3: is not ideal, but yeah, they can still get sacks,

729
00:35:56,920 --> 00:36:00,920
Speaker 3: and yeah, all right, I'm gonna go. I'm gonna take

730
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:03,080
Speaker 3: your bible. I'm gonna go with Travis Calce at tight

731
00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:06,000
Speaker 3: end now six k It's like him, I mean I

732
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,799
Speaker 3: like him. I like Kiddle, but you know Kelsey as

733
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:11,680
Speaker 3: an underdog, and he caught seven of ten targets and

734
00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:12,919
Speaker 3: dropped the other three last week.

735
00:36:13,040 --> 00:36:15,280
Speaker 1: So I'm a little intrigued here.

736
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:17,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, I was. I was definitely gonna go that route.

737
00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:22,600
Speaker 5: Uh so I'm gonna have to scramble now. I'm gonna

738
00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:25,080
Speaker 5: have to spend down at some point, so I'll just

739
00:36:25,200 --> 00:36:29,160
Speaker 5: take John Metchi at thirty four hundred. I realized I

740
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:32,279
Speaker 5: just took the Ravens defense. But I think this is

741
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:36,440
Speaker 5: perfectly correlated of stroudthrow's interceptions or pick sixes. They're just

742
00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:39,439
Speaker 5: gonna have to throw more. So you know, no problem

743
00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:41,880
Speaker 5: music match you. Who I should add he has a

744
00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:45,280
Speaker 5: knee injury. You know, he's limited in practice. I'm hoping

745
00:36:45,360 --> 00:36:48,239
Speaker 5: he'll play, but who knows. It wouldn't be the first

746
00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:51,680
Speaker 5: time I've had a guy not play. But I think

747
00:36:52,040 --> 00:36:54,000
Speaker 5: mitchell'll suit up, and he's well worth it. He's thirty

748
00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:55,520
Speaker 5: four hundred, so I can't pass this up.

749
00:36:55,960 --> 00:37:00,160
Speaker 3: All right, I'll go ahead and I'll grab me go

750
00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:01,160
Speaker 3: at seventy one hundred.

751
00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:05,480
Speaker 5: All right, I'm gonna go with Josh Reynolds at thirty

752
00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:08,040
Speaker 5: seven hundred. I'm right there with you. He's a great

753
00:37:08,120 --> 00:37:12,080
Speaker 5: dart throw. There's less dart throws we can take than

754
00:37:12,200 --> 00:37:15,160
Speaker 5: like really good value up top. So I'm trying to

755
00:37:15,200 --> 00:37:18,440
Speaker 5: scoop up these like cheaper guys right now because I'm

756
00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:21,640
Speaker 5: now at finally got it back up to sixty one

757
00:37:21,520 --> 00:37:23,000
Speaker 5: one hundred per player remaining.

758
00:37:23,600 --> 00:37:25,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm at fifty sixty six, but I didn't take

759
00:37:25,760 --> 00:37:26,560
Speaker 1: my defense.

760
00:37:26,280 --> 00:37:30,480
Speaker 2: Yet, so oh true, that'll help yeah.

761
00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:31,880
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take my second chief I'm gonna go with

762
00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:33,399
Speaker 3: Rashi Rice at sixty am.

763
00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:37,920
Speaker 1: That's good of him, and Chelsea should go off.

764
00:37:37,800 --> 00:37:42,640
Speaker 3: At least, yeah, both both right hopefully?

765
00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:46,040
Speaker 5: Yeah, all right, well, ye, I'm gonna lock in my quarterback.

766
00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:48,680
Speaker 5: I know you have here is this probably isn't a

767
00:37:48,680 --> 00:37:50,720
Speaker 5: good strategic move, but can't do it anyway.

768
00:37:51,239 --> 00:37:53,480
Speaker 2: But I do like Jared Goff as well. I'm a

769
00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:54,400
Speaker 2: little bit lower than you.

770
00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:56,480
Speaker 5: One is passing our projection, but not by much. And

771
00:37:56,560 --> 00:37:59,840
Speaker 5: I agree he has the highest passing yard projection of

772
00:37:59,880 --> 00:38:01,640
Speaker 5: the so I think he has a ton of upside

773
00:38:01,640 --> 00:38:04,200
Speaker 5: for a guy that's you know, sixty three hundred. Obviously

774
00:38:04,280 --> 00:38:06,960
Speaker 5: he's not going to run the ball, but you know,

775
00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:10,200
Speaker 5: like taking him here and stack him up with Josh Reynolds.

776
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:11,560
Speaker 1: I like it. I like it.

777
00:38:11,800 --> 00:38:15,239
Speaker 3: Let's go with the Let's go with the Chiefs defense

778
00:38:15,600 --> 00:38:22,040
Speaker 3: in Buffalo like the price at twenty seven hundred and Buffalo,

779
00:38:22,120 --> 00:38:24,439
Speaker 3: even though they are a bit run heavy, I still

780
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:27,279
Speaker 3: think they could you know, Josh Allen still can turn

781
00:38:27,360 --> 00:38:29,799
Speaker 3: them all over. So at twenty seven hundred, it's a

782
00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:32,439
Speaker 3: fair bit below some of these other defenses, and they're

783
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 3: only two and a half three point underdog.

784
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:35,799
Speaker 1: So we'll go k C.

785
00:38:36,200 --> 00:38:38,279
Speaker 3: So now I got now him up to fifty to

786
00:38:38,480 --> 00:38:42,520
Speaker 3: twenty five average with the four left creeping up.

787
00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:47,000
Speaker 5: I'll take a correlated play with that, and this goes

788
00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:51,239
Speaker 5: against some of your other players. But I'll take Isaiah Pacheco,

789
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:56,680
Speaker 5: so hopefully he gets going. Every touchdown he scores will

790
00:38:56,880 --> 00:39:00,480
Speaker 5: not be Abrashee Rice or Travis Kelce touchdown, so some

791
00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:03,760
Speaker 5: reverse correlation here. But yeah, I'll go with Pa Checko.

792
00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:06,920
Speaker 5: So I have right around six k per player remaining.

793
00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:12,960
Speaker 3: All right, I need to find another cheap guy. Let's see. Yeah,

794
00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:15,120
Speaker 3: I'm gonna I'm gonna do the I'm gonna go tight

795
00:39:15,200 --> 00:39:17,359
Speaker 3: end in the flex here because I think the way

796
00:39:17,400 --> 00:39:19,719
Speaker 3: I'm building a lineup, this is my best this is

797
00:39:19,719 --> 00:39:21,440
Speaker 3: gonna be my best value in the flex.

798
00:39:21,440 --> 00:39:22,360
Speaker 1: And that's Kate Atton.

799
00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:25,000
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go with him at thirty five hundred

800
00:39:25,680 --> 00:39:30,279
Speaker 3: against the Lions and hope for a hope to strike

801
00:39:30,360 --> 00:39:31,320
Speaker 3: lightning about it twice.

802
00:39:31,719 --> 00:39:36,040
Speaker 5: All right, Well, I'm I'm going with another cheap receiver,

803
00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:40,799
Speaker 5: so I'm really hammering this thirty six thirty eight hundred range.

804
00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:44,640
Speaker 5: I'm going with Khail Shakir who I think has just

805
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:48,560
Speaker 5: looked really good lately, and they'll lean on him once

806
00:39:48,560 --> 00:39:52,280
Speaker 5: again here. So my my three receivers are all below

807
00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:54,600
Speaker 5: four k. That's just that's just the way I see

808
00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:57,160
Speaker 5: this slate shaping up. I think this is a really

809
00:39:57,200 --> 00:39:59,920
Speaker 5: good value range at the wide receiver position this week.

810
00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:00,440
Speaker 1: Yeah.

811
00:40:00,440 --> 00:40:02,640
Speaker 3: Absolutely, I was thinking of Shakira actually, for I was

812
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:06,399
Speaker 3: kind of calculating who who had value. It's pretty much

813
00:40:06,400 --> 00:40:08,680
Speaker 3: neck and neck, so Atton was chiefer, so I just

814
00:40:08,800 --> 00:40:12,040
Speaker 3: ended up going in. But yeah, Shakira is right there. Okay,

815
00:40:12,440 --> 00:40:14,880
Speaker 3: I need some running backs. I have fifty eight hundred

816
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:17,040
Speaker 3: average for two running backs and wide receiver.

817
00:40:17,800 --> 00:40:19,200
Speaker 1: I'll take my first running back.

818
00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:22,520
Speaker 3: Let's go James Cook at sixty three hundred against Casey

819
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:27,880
Speaker 3: in that bottom six run defense Nice at sixty three hundred.

820
00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:32,000
Speaker 3: So now that reason, we at fifty five fifty for.

821
00:40:32,120 --> 00:40:35,080
Speaker 5: Running back in a wide out all right, So I

822
00:40:35,120 --> 00:40:38,759
Speaker 5: am finally going to get an expensive receiver, the most

823
00:40:38,800 --> 00:40:41,960
Speaker 5: expensive one in my flex slot. I'm going with am

824
00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:44,880
Speaker 5: and Rale Saint Brown at eighty two hundred. I think,

825
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:48,680
Speaker 5: like every position this week, except for maybe quarterback, the

826
00:40:48,719 --> 00:40:52,120
Speaker 5: top priced player is actually very offering a ton of

827
00:40:52,200 --> 00:40:57,000
Speaker 5: value I think with you know, heavy blitz coming up here,

828
00:40:57,360 --> 00:41:00,680
Speaker 5: aman Ra, he typically sees even more targets when golf

829
00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:03,160
Speaker 5: is facing the blitz. So I have a golf I'm

830
00:41:03,239 --> 00:41:07,120
Speaker 5: on raw Saint Brown and Josh Renald's stat going here too.

831
00:41:07,280 --> 00:41:09,400
Speaker 2: Oh, I get and I have fifty nine hundred.

832
00:41:09,239 --> 00:41:11,319
Speaker 5: Left at tight end, which means I have I can

833
00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:15,000
Speaker 5: take any tight end really outside of Kelsey because here

834
00:41:15,040 --> 00:41:15,399
Speaker 5: you took.

835
00:41:15,360 --> 00:41:18,920
Speaker 3: Him, right, Yeah, I mean I got two tight ends,

836
00:41:18,960 --> 00:41:21,920
Speaker 3: or say I can't take any more than that, exactly.

837
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:25,080
Speaker 3: I have a running back in a wide receiver and

838
00:41:26,760 --> 00:41:29,719
Speaker 3: fifty five to fifty average eleven to one totals. I

839
00:41:29,760 --> 00:41:34,600
Speaker 3: was checking out some different combinations and I think the

840
00:41:34,680 --> 00:41:41,160
Speaker 3: one that's going to make the most sense here. Yeah,

841
00:41:41,160 --> 00:41:45,759
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go with Rashad White as my RB two.

842
00:41:45,960 --> 00:41:49,040
Speaker 3: Well it's really my most expensive running back, but yeah,

843
00:41:49,080 --> 00:41:55,080
Speaker 3: he is sixty five hundred against the Lions, and I

844
00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:58,920
Speaker 3: saw Chase Edmonds is popped up on the injury report.

845
00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:01,680
Speaker 3: With some practice, he's probably good to go, but that

846
00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 3: could mean an extra couple of snaps for White, especially

847
00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 3: if Tampa Bay gets behind. You know they've been they've

848
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:12,359
Speaker 3: been having some positive games where where they can kind

849
00:42:12,360 --> 00:42:14,200
Speaker 3: of shuffle white in and out a little bit more,

850
00:42:14,280 --> 00:42:17,080
Speaker 3: but like the snap rate, So go with him at

851
00:42:17,120 --> 00:42:18,880
Speaker 3: sixty five hundred.

852
00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:21,279
Speaker 1: So I got forty six hundred remaining, four white up.

853
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:25,040
Speaker 5: All right, So I have fifty nine hundred left tight

854
00:42:25,160 --> 00:42:29,520
Speaker 5: end left, So can't take Kelsey because he's six k plus.

855
00:42:29,560 --> 00:42:31,919
Speaker 5: You took him, so I have access to every tight

856
00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:34,880
Speaker 5: end right now except for Kate Auden. Samuel Porter is

857
00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:37,960
Speaker 5: fifty nine hundred. I think that is way too expensive

858
00:42:38,040 --> 00:42:41,320
Speaker 5: considering he isn't one hundred percent. So I'm going to

859
00:42:41,400 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 5: go with George Kittle at fifty two hundred, my guys,

860
00:42:45,600 --> 00:42:48,399
Speaker 5: and leave seven hundred on the board, which I think

861
00:42:48,520 --> 00:42:51,200
Speaker 5: is fine for like a weird sit like this and

862
00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:53,960
Speaker 5: being in a battle where you know you're taking some

863
00:42:54,040 --> 00:42:57,000
Speaker 5: of my players that I wanted. So yeah, so that

864
00:42:57,000 --> 00:42:58,600
Speaker 5: that's my team with seven hundred left over.

865
00:42:59,040 --> 00:43:00,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's pretty impressed.

866
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:03,120
Speaker 3: You got a manra Christian McCaffrey, and still managed to

867
00:43:03,120 --> 00:43:05,120
Speaker 3: have seven as the Ravens defense and you.

868
00:43:05,200 --> 00:43:08,680
Speaker 2: Still have you seen my receivers. That's how you did it.

869
00:43:09,640 --> 00:43:10,320
Speaker 1: Oh man.

870
00:43:10,560 --> 00:43:12,640
Speaker 5: It is not pretty, but that's that's what you gotta do.

871
00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:15,560
Speaker 5: It's it's called stars and scrubs for a reason, you.

872
00:43:15,440 --> 00:43:16,280
Speaker 1: Know, yep.

873
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:20,520
Speaker 3: And so I took Rashad White with the you know,

874
00:43:20,640 --> 00:43:22,440
Speaker 3: had my I know you already. I knew you already

875
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:25,960
Speaker 3: had your wide receivers. So there's only one wide receiver

876
00:43:26,520 --> 00:43:29,799
Speaker 3: that is exactly forty six hundred. That's Odell Beckham. And

877
00:43:29,800 --> 00:43:31,720
Speaker 3: that's what I'm going to take. I thought about Christian

878
00:43:31,800 --> 00:43:35,200
Speaker 3: Watson just as kind of like a random variants type

879
00:43:35,200 --> 00:43:37,640
Speaker 3: of play, but he is questionable, you never know with

880
00:43:37,719 --> 00:43:40,080
Speaker 3: him and the setbacks, and I mean Beckham is kind

881
00:43:40,080 --> 00:43:42,840
Speaker 3: of like that too. But remember Beckham's been kind of

882
00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:46,000
Speaker 3: bubble wrap all year and what do we what do

883
00:43:46,040 --> 00:43:47,759
Speaker 3: you do? Last time he got to the postseason on

884
00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:52,640
Speaker 3: a new team, he went completely off with the Rams.

885
00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:55,760
Speaker 1: So this is Odell Beckham's time to shine.

886
00:43:56,280 --> 00:44:00,400
Speaker 3: Uh. He's averaging one point eight yards per rout against zone,

887
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:03,759
Speaker 3: which is pretty solid. I think he has a chance

888
00:44:03,800 --> 00:44:07,680
Speaker 3: to you know, equipse his average of a sixty percent

889
00:44:07,800 --> 00:44:10,160
Speaker 3: route participation rate. You know, he could be you know,

890
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:12,000
Speaker 3: the first game of the year, he actually played one

891
00:44:12,040 --> 00:44:14,680
Speaker 3: hundred percent of the snap of the pass snap, So

892
00:44:15,120 --> 00:44:18,200
Speaker 3: there's a chance that with the playoffs here, Beckham goes

893
00:44:18,239 --> 00:44:21,560
Speaker 3: to like a true you know, eighty five percent wide

894
00:44:21,600 --> 00:44:24,360
Speaker 3: receiver too. It's not I'm not saying it's likely, but

895
00:44:24,440 --> 00:44:28,359
Speaker 3: it's in the range of outcomes for Odell Beckham, as

896
00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:31,920
Speaker 3: is just you know, going off with uh, you know,

897
00:44:32,120 --> 00:44:35,120
Speaker 3: Houston has Stingley. Maybe they would obviously have to if

898
00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:36,600
Speaker 3: they're going to do anything with him, it would be

899
00:44:36,760 --> 00:44:40,280
Speaker 3: say Flowers. So I like Odell Beckham. I think the

900
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:43,600
Speaker 3: market is a little bit low on him too, but

901
00:44:43,640 --> 00:44:46,120
Speaker 3: it's he's just a really hard projection because you don't

902
00:44:46,120 --> 00:44:49,359
Speaker 3: know how many stats are gonna play. But I do

903
00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:52,120
Speaker 3: like him for this format because he's kind of in

904
00:44:52,440 --> 00:44:55,759
Speaker 3: kind of in no man's land here too, whereas like

905
00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:58,640
Speaker 3: wix is forty nine and then Beckham forty six and

906
00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:01,440
Speaker 3: then Watson forty two. So he's only player between like

907
00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:06,600
Speaker 3: a seven hundred hour tier. So uh Ogell and I

908
00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:11,680
Speaker 3: have zero salary remaining. Nice nice with's recap your team

909
00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:12,080
Speaker 3: who you got.

910
00:45:12,640 --> 00:45:15,680
Speaker 5: So I have Jared Goff as my quarterback. My running

911
00:45:15,680 --> 00:45:20,000
Speaker 5: backs are christ McCaffrey and Isaiah Pacheco. My wide receivers

912
00:45:20,040 --> 00:45:22,680
Speaker 5: I went ultra cheap all three guys below four K

913
00:45:22,840 --> 00:45:27,360
Speaker 5: and they are John Metchi, Josh Reynolds, and Khalil Secure.

914
00:45:27,800 --> 00:45:29,880
Speaker 5: But then I did spend up for wide receiver, my

915
00:45:30,000 --> 00:45:33,239
Speaker 5: flex with Aman Ross Saint Brown, my tight end is

916
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:36,399
Speaker 5: George Kittle, and my defense are the Ravens.

917
00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:39,400
Speaker 3: Well that is that is So that's a very interesting

918
00:45:39,440 --> 00:45:40,240
Speaker 3: lineup construction.

919
00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:42,520
Speaker 1: I know, I like it.

920
00:45:42,640 --> 00:45:45,719
Speaker 3: It kind of all worked out, Yeah, and it has

921
00:45:45,800 --> 00:45:49,960
Speaker 3: just so much leverage, especially with like you have Mechi

922
00:45:50,520 --> 00:45:53,640
Speaker 3: you know, I'm sure he'll be lower than like Nico

923
00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:57,520
Speaker 3: kole Yea and maybe even maybe even Schultz and Singletary.

924
00:45:57,719 --> 00:46:01,719
Speaker 1: Then you have you have a Yeah, I.

925
00:46:01,719 --> 00:46:05,680
Speaker 5: Can't imagine reynolds roster ship being that high, but we're

926
00:46:05,719 --> 00:46:06,880
Speaker 5: both really high on him.

927
00:46:07,080 --> 00:46:07,400
Speaker 1: Yeah.

928
00:46:07,600 --> 00:46:10,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, so that yeah, that's the And you have Kittle

929
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:13,120
Speaker 3: at tight end whoever you're like, yeah, I like that squad.

930
00:46:13,200 --> 00:46:14,359
Speaker 1: Yeah.

931
00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:17,880
Speaker 3: I got Brock Purdy at quarterback sixty five hundred against

932
00:46:17,880 --> 00:46:21,520
Speaker 3: Green Bay. Running backs are Rashad White sixty five hundred

933
00:46:21,520 --> 00:46:25,800
Speaker 3: at Detroit and James Cook sixty three hundred home against

934
00:46:25,920 --> 00:46:31,359
Speaker 3: the Chiefs. Wide receivers, I got Nico Collins seventy one

935
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:35,440
Speaker 3: hundred at Baltimore, Rashid Writes sixty eight hundred at Buffalo,

936
00:46:35,520 --> 00:46:40,719
Speaker 3: and Odell Beckham forty six hundred at home against the Texans.

937
00:46:41,080 --> 00:46:45,640
Speaker 3: Two tight ends. Kelsey is my most expensive. He is

938
00:46:45,760 --> 00:46:49,600
Speaker 3: six k at Buffalo, Kate out and thirty five hundred

939
00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:54,480
Speaker 3: in my flex at Detroit, And actually I'm gonna put

940
00:46:54,560 --> 00:46:58,120
Speaker 3: Kelsey in the flex. You always want your latest starting

941
00:46:58,239 --> 00:47:02,760
Speaker 3: player in the fle just so you have maximum lineup flexibility,

942
00:47:03,600 --> 00:47:05,760
Speaker 3: especially with games going on on both days.

943
00:47:05,840 --> 00:47:07,920
Speaker 1: So when we switched that, but.

944
00:47:07,920 --> 00:47:10,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, so kateat in thirty five hundred at Detroit, my

945
00:47:11,040 --> 00:47:13,640
Speaker 3: second tight end, He'll be in the tight end spot,

946
00:47:13,760 --> 00:47:15,920
Speaker 3: Kelsey will be in the flex, and then I have

947
00:47:16,040 --> 00:47:20,120
Speaker 3: the Chiefs defense, just kind of punting defense with a

948
00:47:20,520 --> 00:47:25,600
Speaker 3: good all around unit. Twenty seven hundred at Buffalo. I

949
00:47:25,680 --> 00:47:28,759
Speaker 3: left zero salary on the table, and I feel like

950
00:47:28,800 --> 00:47:31,319
Speaker 3: I had a pretty solid lineup with O'Dell as the

951
00:47:31,360 --> 00:47:33,719
Speaker 3: wild card and some high flooridays.

952
00:47:33,280 --> 00:47:35,000
Speaker 1: So I'll roll with it all right.

953
00:47:35,239 --> 00:47:41,080
Speaker 3: That is gonna wrap it for our Fantasy Preview episode

954
00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:43,880
Speaker 3: of the Fantasy Flex for the Division round of the

955
00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:49,040
Speaker 3: twenty three twenty four NFL Playoffs. For more fantasy content

956
00:47:49,080 --> 00:47:50,560
Speaker 3: from Sean and I, you can check out our full

957
00:47:50,560 --> 00:47:52,759
Speaker 3: Player Projection episode that's out right now over on the

958
00:47:52,800 --> 00:47:56,200
Speaker 3: Action Network podcast channel, Action network dot com for all

959
00:47:56,280 --> 00:47:59,120
Speaker 3: of our NFL betting and fantasy content, as well as

960
00:47:59,160 --> 00:48:02,840
Speaker 3: Fantasy webs for our DFS, tools and models. Don't forget

961
00:48:02,880 --> 00:48:07,040
Speaker 3: Action Network Discord server link will be in the episode description,

962
00:48:07,760 --> 00:48:10,680
Speaker 3: and check out the newest feature of the Action Network app,

963
00:48:10,760 --> 00:48:14,239
Speaker 3: Fantasy sinc. Links for both the discord and to set

964
00:48:14,280 --> 00:48:17,959
Speaker 3: up fantasycinc are in the episode description. You can find

965
00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:21,280
Speaker 3: Sean on X at the enderscarage Maker, I'm at Chris Raybond,

966
00:48:21,480 --> 00:48:23,200
Speaker 3: and of course we're at those same handles on the

967
00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:27,839
Speaker 3: free award winning Action Network app until the Conference Championship.

968
00:48:28,320 --> 00:48:34,280
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969
00:48:35,600 --> 00:48:39,040
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970
00:48:39,440 --> 00:48:42,280
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971
00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:45,200
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972
00:48:45,280 --> 00:48:46,080
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