1 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: Globoo Business News twenty four hours a day. It's Bloomberg 2 00:00:06,720 --> 00:00:09,760 Speaker 1: dot Com, the radio plus Mobile LAPP and on your radio. 3 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash from Bloomberg World Handquarters. 4 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:17,960 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pellett. Stocks are advancing the down now trading higher. 5 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: It is up eight points at eighteen thousand, four hundred 6 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:23,560 Speaker 1: eighty as spending much of the day in the red. 7 00:00:23,640 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 1: The SMP five hundred index up six points now twenty 8 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 1: one seventy two, up three tenths of one percent. Nes 9 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:33,000 Speaker 1: stack up nineteen to fifty one fifty nine. Again, there 10 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:36,160 Speaker 1: are four tens of one percent SMP five hundred index 11 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 1: close to a record. The record there twenty one seventy five. 12 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:41,920 Speaker 1: Right now. We have got the tenure down to thirty seconds. 13 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 1: That yield one point five percent Gold up six dollars 14 00:00:45,280 --> 00:00:47,960 Speaker 1: anounced the thirteen thirty two again, there are five tenths 15 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:51,440 Speaker 1: of one percent. West Texas Intermediate Crew down two percent, 16 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 1: forty one eleven of barrel right now on w T 17 00:00:55,200 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 1: I I'm Charlie Pallett, and that is a Bloomberg Business Flash. 18 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 1: Thank you very much, Charlie Pellett. It time now for 19 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:02,279 Speaker 1: the e T F report. It's brought to you by 20 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 1: Sector Spider e t F s Why by a single 21 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 1: stock when you can invest in the entire sector. Visits 22 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:10,880 Speaker 1: Sector sp drs dot com or call one eight six 23 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 1: six Sector e t F. Let's go to Catherine Cowdery 24 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:17,959 Speaker 1: for the Exchange Trade Funds report. A milestone is on 25 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:20,959 Speaker 1: its way. That's the word from Todd Rosenblooth, director of 26 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:24,319 Speaker 1: E t F Research at SMP Global Market Intelligence. In 27 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:28,840 Speaker 1: the middle of September, the S is gonna have a 28 00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:32,160 Speaker 1: new sector. Real Estate, which is currently part of financials 29 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 1: is being carved out. The real estate industry will become 30 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 1: the S and P S eleventh sector. Rosenblue said there's 31 00:01:38,520 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 1: going to be a massive trade when that happens, involving 32 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:43,680 Speaker 1: some e t s, including the real Estate Select Sector 33 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 1: spider fund ticker x l r E that has a 34 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:50,520 Speaker 1: little money in it right now, twenty million in underlying 35 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:55,240 Speaker 1: assets and because of a dividend payout from the Financial 36 00:01:55,280 --> 00:02:00,160 Speaker 1: Sector Spider XLF, it's gonna roll it away overnight in 37 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 1: September get three billion dollars following it. Rosen Blue says 38 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 1: that soon to be eleventh sector. It's a good place 39 00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:10,400 Speaker 1: to invest when interest rates are low. The reason Rose 40 00:02:10,480 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: and Blue sites the stable and growing income streams from 41 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:16,760 Speaker 1: real estate investment trusts. That's your Bloomberg E d F Report. 42 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:22,680 Speaker 1: I'm Katherine Cowdery. Your listenates are taking start with Kathleen 43 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 1: Hayes and Kim Fox on Bloomberg Radio. Alphabet, owner of 44 00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:30,120 Speaker 1: Google reports after the bell. Facebook reported yesterday, boy, they 45 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:32,200 Speaker 1: had quite a quarter. We want to talk tech, We 46 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 1: want to talk to stock market, and we want to 47 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:37,800 Speaker 1: talk music now with Roger McNamee, co founder of Elevation 48 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:40,360 Speaker 1: Partners at in Menlo Park, California. In fact, he was 49 00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:43,239 Speaker 1: one of the very early investors in Facebook years ago. 50 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 1: He's also on the road again, as he is every 51 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:48,600 Speaker 1: summer with the Doobie Despel System. It's a band that 52 00:02:48,760 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 1: is part of his larger band Moon Alice, and he's 53 00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 1: taking some time out in Buffalo where he's performing tonight 54 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:58,239 Speaker 1: to talk to us about the market. Roger, welcome, It's 55 00:02:58,240 --> 00:03:02,919 Speaker 1: a pleasure, Kathleen. I'm actually Sarahtoga Springs. Okay, well, well 56 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:05,720 Speaker 1: the other night. We're just moving our way east right now. 57 00:03:05,840 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 1: But it's uh, it's a beautiful day here and it's 58 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:10,800 Speaker 1: lovely to be chatting with you. It's to chat with 59 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:12,320 Speaker 1: you two. We're gonna talk to about for a minute 60 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:14,800 Speaker 1: about your show in Brooklyn tomorrow night if we have 61 00:03:14,840 --> 00:03:17,080 Speaker 1: a minute. But I want to dive right into Google 62 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 1: slash Alphabet. You like this business model, You've always like 63 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 1: Google and and this whole structure now with alf alpha 64 00:03:24,040 --> 00:03:26,720 Speaker 1: that you said works very well. I think it's it's 65 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:31,080 Speaker 1: really important as an adhastor that the Google has made 66 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 1: the conscious effort to break out its business into the mature, uh, 67 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 1: traditional search businesses and then all the new ventures. And 68 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:43,760 Speaker 1: you know, to me, the perfect outcome will come when 69 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:46,920 Speaker 1: they have a tracking stock for the new business that 70 00:03:46,960 --> 00:03:50,000 Speaker 1: is separate from the more mature ones. But the fact 71 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 1: that they have chosen to break it out for reporting 72 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 1: purposes is really helpful to investors. And I think it's 73 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 1: brought a discipline inside Google that has helped everyone. And 74 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:04,119 Speaker 1: so I'm I'm super impressed by what the management team 75 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 1: at Google has been doing. And you know, I don't 76 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: have any more visibility to the numbers than anybody else, 77 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:11,880 Speaker 1: but I do know that the trends that have been 78 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 1: benefiting Facebook also benefit Google to a slightly lesser degree, 79 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:19,599 Speaker 1: but nonetheless the one that will be dramatically, I think, 80 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:21,600 Speaker 1: better than what we're seeing in terms of earning for 81 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 1: the markets all. Are you super impressed with the results 82 00:04:25,240 --> 00:04:29,080 Speaker 1: from Apple and the performance of Tim Cook? Well, I am, 83 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:32,360 Speaker 1: And you know, I think the last time we spoke, 84 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:36,200 Speaker 1: I was sharing with you my view that the products 85 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:38,800 Speaker 1: cycle around smart phones in me, I felt, in particular, 86 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:44,239 Speaker 1: was it, without exaggeration, the mother of all technology product cycles. 87 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:47,440 Speaker 1: There's never been anything like that. And Apple's announcement is 88 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 1: now shift a billion iPhones will last whatever it is. 89 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:54,840 Speaker 1: So here's eight years is uh just truly amazing. And 90 00:04:55,680 --> 00:04:58,839 Speaker 1: I look at the situation now and though we're going 91 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:01,320 Speaker 1: to have quarters like this everyone so while where you 92 00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 1: get a really nice subside surprise, and the stock had 93 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:06,440 Speaker 1: been trading as though it was never going to have 94 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:09,719 Speaker 1: another up quarter, and so people are totally stunned. And 95 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 1: you know, Apple is a great company, and I think 96 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 1: him Cook has played the hand very very well. I 97 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 1: wish they were better at the software. I think almost 98 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:22,920 Speaker 1: all the software Apple makes is less good today that 99 00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:24,839 Speaker 1: it was a few years ago. And I'm hopeful that 100 00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:27,800 Speaker 1: at some point, uh, they will be able to do 101 00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 1: something about that. But I think as a value stock. 102 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:33,800 Speaker 1: Apple simply cannot be there's I can't think of a 103 00:05:33,839 --> 00:05:38,359 Speaker 1: scenario where the sp moves up where Apple doesn't do better. 104 00:05:38,480 --> 00:05:41,240 Speaker 1: And I can't imagine a scenario where the sp gets 105 00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:44,599 Speaker 1: hurt where Apple at least does, or Apple fails to 106 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:47,720 Speaker 1: provide at least relative performance. So I think you're kind 107 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:49,720 Speaker 1: of leading us now into a big picture question. We 108 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 1: can dig some more into the details of these tech 109 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 1: companies in a minute, Roger. But you told me earlier 110 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:56,960 Speaker 1: today we were talking on the phone ahead of this interview, 111 00:05:57,200 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 1: that the tech companies are running against the tide. It 112 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:04,640 Speaker 1: is a larger concern about the spire. But I I 113 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:08,480 Speaker 1: look out at at the broad global economy, and the 114 00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:12,640 Speaker 1: thing that is incredibly clear is that China, the blips 115 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:15,960 Speaker 1: downward that we saw in China last year's appears to 116 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:21,120 Speaker 1: actually to be more significant than it initially look to me, 117 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:24,600 Speaker 1: and that we we can't view China as the engine 118 00:06:24,600 --> 00:06:28,279 Speaker 1: of global growth on a consistent basis the way we 119 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: could for the past decade. It's also clear that Europe 120 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 1: will remain punk and the Brexit UH at least creates 121 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 1: uncertainty that's not good for earnings from Europe. So the 122 00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:45,480 Speaker 1: while the US economy is actually pretty decent shape. It's 123 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:48,480 Speaker 1: not great, it's not barnburner anything, but it's it looks 124 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:50,760 Speaker 1: good round to the rest of the world. Unfortunately, most 125 00:06:50,760 --> 00:06:54,000 Speaker 1: of the SMP five dred is getting more of its 126 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:56,840 Speaker 1: earnings outside of the US, so the slowdown elsewhere is 127 00:06:56,880 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 1: going to be a drag. I think we also because 128 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:03,520 Speaker 1: of the very small upticking interest rates and a few 129 00:07:03,520 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 1: other factors, uh, we're going to make it harder for 130 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 1: companies to buy stock back. So I think a lot 131 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 1: of the things that have been driving the S and 132 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: P five hundred look less good today than they did. 133 00:07:15,880 --> 00:07:18,160 Speaker 1: Which just not to say we're gonna have a bear market, 134 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 1: because I don't see that either, but I think it's 135 00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:24,160 Speaker 1: going to be slow going on the earnings for most 136 00:07:24,200 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 1: of the S and P five d and in that context, 137 00:07:26,680 --> 00:07:29,400 Speaker 1: the leaders of the tech market looks fantastic. You know 138 00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 1: Facebook's numbers, those are great growth numbers in any market environed, 139 00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:37,960 Speaker 1: particularly for a company at that scale, and you know, 140 00:07:38,160 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 1: with that market liquidity, it's obviously for growth. Innfessors must 141 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:46,760 Speaker 1: have security and Google is not growing anything like that fast, 142 00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:49,400 Speaker 1: but it's growing a lot faster than the SMP five hundred, 143 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:53,640 Speaker 1: and it's priced very attractively. Interpress the SMP and Apple, 144 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 1: which sells for a big, big discount. The SP five 145 00:07:57,000 --> 00:07:59,320 Speaker 1: dred is and growing much but at least it's growing 146 00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:04,200 Speaker 1: and it's so cheap that you know, those three stocks 147 00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:08,200 Speaker 1: really uh offer growth investors, I think an opportunity. I 148 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:11,080 Speaker 1: think there are other fixed tech like Amazon, where the 149 00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 1: growth numbers are going to be much better than the 150 00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:16,280 Speaker 1: market as a whole. And so in that context, I 151 00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:20,360 Speaker 1: think tech is is an oasis in an otherwise you know, 152 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 1: boring market farm. We're speaking with Roger McNamee. He is 153 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:28,480 Speaker 1: the co founder of Elevation Partners. They're based in Menlo Park, California. 154 00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:32,080 Speaker 1: Rogers speaking of broad trends, Oracle paying nine point three 155 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 1: billion dollars for net Suite to expand their cloud computing business. 156 00:08:36,520 --> 00:08:38,480 Speaker 1: What if you could talk about cloud computing but in 157 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:42,840 Speaker 1: the context perhaps of your own investment in a company 158 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:46,959 Speaker 1: called up there, you bet so, what I would tell 159 00:08:47,000 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 1: you is that cloud computing is now deeply entrenched the accompany. 160 00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:55,679 Speaker 1: When we when we think about what's happened at smartphones, 161 00:08:55,920 --> 00:09:00,319 Speaker 1: we had this massive adoption phase and now we're about 162 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:03,960 Speaker 1: to begin the adaptation phase with the economy adjust to 163 00:09:04,000 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 1: the fact that every consumer has got a smartphone. Now. 164 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 1: In order for all these things to work, you have 165 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:13,880 Speaker 1: to have some way to manage the information that people 166 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 1: are accessing on the smartphones and putting all the information 167 00:09:17,760 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 1: on servers in the cloud, which is to say, making 168 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:23,560 Speaker 1: them accessible from anywhere as opposed to having them sit 169 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:28,160 Speaker 1: next to your computer. That notion has been building for 170 00:09:28,200 --> 00:09:32,679 Speaker 1: the last decade, and we saw with Salesforce and a 171 00:09:32,679 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 1: few other companies like net Suite early leaders with Amazon's 172 00:09:39,240 --> 00:09:43,640 Speaker 1: web services business, we now see the mature version of it. 173 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:49,079 Speaker 1: And for net Suite and for Salesforce, their original architectures 174 00:09:49,080 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 1: were a big leap forward from or all the things 175 00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:56,000 Speaker 1: that came before, but they are not actually the most 176 00:09:56,600 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 1: uh cost effective systems for cloud computing that are out there. 177 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:04,600 Speaker 1: So it's a very smart sale by net Suite, and 178 00:10:04,679 --> 00:10:06,560 Speaker 1: from Oracle's point of view, all they want to do 179 00:10:06,600 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 1: is consolidate the things to customers own, so it may 180 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 1: actually be a pretty good deal both ways. The one 181 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 1: observation with with up there, we've got a company, really 182 00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:23,439 Speaker 1: extraordinary team out of Apple building next generation cloud services 183 00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:28,440 Speaker 1: and The whole principle here is that we all have 184 00:10:28,840 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 1: data that we need to have access to, and we're 185 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:34,559 Speaker 1: spending less and less time at a desktop with a computer, 186 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:38,400 Speaker 1: or more time accessing things off of smartphones and tablets. 187 00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 1: You really wanted your information in the cloud where you 188 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:44,280 Speaker 1: can find it, and maybe you have Dropbox. Maybe you 189 00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:46,920 Speaker 1: want to use products like up there to do that. 190 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:51,040 Speaker 1: What we can say without their correction is that enterprises 191 00:10:51,600 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 1: are making that move aggrogressively. It's such a cost status 192 00:10:55,880 --> 00:10:59,880 Speaker 1: for corporations that this will be a strategy that investors 193 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:03,240 Speaker 1: need to understand. We've got to leave it there. Roger mcamee, 194 00:11:03,400 --> 00:11:07,720 Speaker 1: co founder Elevation Partners, has banned a Doby decibel system 195 00:11:07,760 --> 00:11:10,439 Speaker 1: at the Brooklyn Bowl tomorrow night. We take you through 196 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:12,640 Speaker 1: to the close. This is Bloomberg