WEBVTT - Un-Do The Opposite! 0:00:02.880 --> 0:00:06.600 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio. 0:00:08.720 --> 0:00:12.959 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly 0:00:13.039 --> 0:00:17.000 source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and 0:00:17.040 --> 0:00:20.439 whatever stupid stuff they decide to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:20.480 --> 0:00:22.200 here's your host, Paul Chargion. 0:00:23.480 --> 0:00:27.120 Hey, everybody, welcome back to Fantasy Football Weekly. I am 0:00:27.120 --> 0:00:31.640 Paul Charchi in joining me this week. Matt Harrison, Hi, 0:00:31.840 --> 0:00:35.519 listening to be back. Three of the last Yeah, this 0:00:35.600 --> 0:00:38.159 is a big stretch for you. Yeah, I mean, it's 0:00:38.360 --> 0:00:40.839 totally my time of year. It is. It is. It's 0:00:40.840 --> 0:00:44.400 Scott fish Next week we'll get into Scott fish Bowl 0:00:44.400 --> 0:00:45.640 because the drafts are starting. 0:00:45.920 --> 0:00:48.559 Yeah. Are you doing a live draft this year? Are 0:00:48.600 --> 0:00:50.920 you doing the online one live? 0:00:51.000 --> 0:00:54.920 I'm doing live in Minneapolis and live in Boston as well. 0:00:55.000 --> 0:00:56.880 You're doing both live drafts? 0:00:56.960 --> 0:00:57.200 Yes? 0:00:57.240 --> 0:00:57.880 How do you do that? 0:00:57.920 --> 0:00:58.800 They're not the same day. 0:00:58.960 --> 0:01:02.240 That's how kid take two teams though, I can what? 0:01:05.280 --> 0:01:09.720 I don't know. I just I just said, Scott said, 0:01:09.760 --> 0:01:11.400 can you do? Can you do Minneapolis? 0:01:11.920 --> 0:01:12.800 Like? Sure? I don't know. 0:01:12.920 --> 0:01:17.039 Maybe Scott Fishbowl is there is there there is a 0:01:17.080 --> 0:01:20.480 one team cap. Oh, maybe I don't have two teams 0:01:20.880 --> 0:01:22.560 I get maybe for one of them. I don't. I 0:01:22.560 --> 0:01:23.880 don't get a team. I don't know. 0:01:24.200 --> 0:01:27.160 Well, I'll be at the Minneapolis draft. Okay, so I'll 0:01:27.160 --> 0:01:27.640 see you there. 0:01:27.680 --> 0:01:28.920 You want to pick me up on the way. 0:01:29.560 --> 0:01:29.920 I could. 0:01:29.959 --> 0:01:32.280 It's downtown Minneapolis this year. It's not in the middle, 0:01:32.400 --> 0:01:34.560 it's not practically Wisconsin like it was before. 0:01:34.640 --> 0:01:35.320 Yeah, that's true. 0:01:35.360 --> 0:01:37.600 That's exciting stuff. I can't I can't wait for that 0:01:38.280 --> 0:01:41.800 uh plenty to get to in this show. Longtime listeners 0:01:41.840 --> 0:01:45.759 know all about do the Opposite before it was called zero, 0:01:45.800 --> 0:01:48.760 running back a decade before it was called do the Opposite? 0:01:48.800 --> 0:01:51.000 When did you come up with the opposite as a 0:01:51.080 --> 0:01:51.840 draft strategy? 0:01:51.880 --> 0:01:54.520 I've kept that issue with the magazine, and I believe 0:01:54.560 --> 0:01:58.720 it was two thousand and three. Okay, I think Mike 0:01:58.800 --> 0:02:00.800 Vick is on the cover as a falcon. 0:02:01.360 --> 0:02:04.320 I'm pretty sure I have that magazine still somewhere in 0:02:04.360 --> 0:02:07.640 my basement. And and I remember, was it like the 0:02:07.720 --> 0:02:11.760 inconceivable guy from the Princess Bride in that article or 0:02:11.919 --> 0:02:14.160 was it something else? It was, Oh no, it was 0:02:14.160 --> 0:02:15.320 a Seinfeld. 0:02:15.360 --> 0:02:20.760 Because it was George Costanza Seinfeld reference. Longtime listeners, you 0:02:20.800 --> 0:02:23.800 know what this is all about. It is, and especially 0:02:23.840 --> 0:02:27.040 back then, it was all about everybody's taking running backs 0:02:27.080 --> 0:02:28.960 at the top of the draft. You need to you 0:02:29.000 --> 0:02:31.440 need to do the opposite, not just because that's what 0:02:31.480 --> 0:02:33.360 everybody's doing, but there are a bunch of other great 0:02:33.360 --> 0:02:35.600 reasons as well, Matt. You know many of those great 0:02:35.600 --> 0:02:37.799 reasons to is shoe running backs at the top of 0:02:37.840 --> 0:02:38.240 the draft. 0:02:38.280 --> 0:02:41.320 Well, yeah, at that point, everybody was taking two running 0:02:41.360 --> 0:02:43.400 backs with their first two picks, and maybe even three 0:02:43.480 --> 0:02:46.280 running backs with their first three picks. And so you 0:02:46.360 --> 0:02:50.600 came into the forefront and was like, hey, don't do that. 0:02:51.200 --> 0:02:53.840 I'm gonna take two wide receivers and a top quarterback 0:02:53.919 --> 0:02:57.000 or a top tight end, and then I'll fill quantity 0:02:57.040 --> 0:03:00.400 over quality on running backs because we know that it 0:03:00.480 --> 0:03:04.160 flips so often in the running back position. And some 0:03:04.240 --> 0:03:06.480 of the things that I found even just last year, 0:03:06.720 --> 0:03:11.079 only eleven total running backs were able to manage ten 0:03:11.200 --> 0:03:12.400 touchdowns last season. 0:03:12.680 --> 0:03:13.639 Yeah, that seems like. 0:03:13.600 --> 0:03:17.480 A low barrier. That includes receiving touchdown, That includes receiving touchdowns. 0:03:18.600 --> 0:03:21.919 By the way PPR leagues, I mean, they're the popular, 0:03:21.960 --> 0:03:24.919 they're the preferred way to do it. Now, twenty two 0:03:25.040 --> 0:03:27.959 wide receivers had more catches than the top running back 0:03:28.040 --> 0:03:28.800 from last year. 0:03:28.880 --> 0:03:29.480 That's amazing. 0:03:29.520 --> 0:03:31.920 And then for context, in twenty twenty two, just a 0:03:32.000 --> 0:03:34.960 year before, Austin Eckler had one hundred and seven catches. 0:03:34.680 --> 0:03:36.000 Out, which is unusually high. 0:03:36.080 --> 0:03:39.320 That was high, But Christian McCaffrey had eighty five, so 0:03:39.400 --> 0:03:41.640 that was pretty high too. But only three wide receivers 0:03:41.680 --> 0:03:44.600 had more catches than Austin Eckler. And as we're a 0:03:44.800 --> 0:03:49.480 very reactionary society in fantasy football very much, we tried 0:03:49.560 --> 0:03:53.119 to play back last year. So this year is going 0:03:53.160 --> 0:03:56.640 to be the heaviest do the opposite draft year of 0:03:56.680 --> 0:03:58.640 all time. I'm fairly sure. 0:03:58.720 --> 0:04:00.960 I think you're exactly right about that. A couple more 0:04:01.000 --> 0:04:03.720 things here. The core premise of do the opposite zero 0:04:03.800 --> 0:04:06.600 running back is the failure rate of running backs is 0:04:06.760 --> 0:04:09.640 by a margin way higher than all the other positions. 0:04:09.880 --> 0:04:12.240 So why are you putting your most valuable draft capital 0:04:12.760 --> 0:04:16.000 into the position that is the highest failure rate? And 0:04:16.160 --> 0:04:19.120 then you really have to hit, just hit home runs 0:04:19.120 --> 0:04:20.920 through the rest of your draft if those running backs 0:04:20.960 --> 0:04:24.960 don't pan out. Running Backs have the shortest viable career span, 0:04:25.080 --> 0:04:28.679 you know, as we all know, short of Hall of famers, 0:04:28.800 --> 0:04:31.520 ye know, Adrian Peterson, who is viable for like eight years. 0:04:31.839 --> 0:04:34.200 Most running most of the really good running backs from 0:04:34.440 --> 0:04:37.159 from three years ago are not viable this year. 0:04:37.400 --> 0:04:39.400 The cliff is so short. 0:04:39.320 --> 0:04:42.599 It's so short, and it's so severe too, right there, Yes, 0:04:42.680 --> 0:04:45.840 it's so severe. So and then if anything else goes 0:04:45.880 --> 0:04:48.640 wrong with the team, it hurts the running back position. 0:04:48.839 --> 0:04:51.920 Offensive line is bad or injured, hurts the running back. 0:04:52.080 --> 0:04:55.320 Quarterback is bad or injured, hurts. The running back defense 0:04:55.440 --> 0:04:58.159 is bad, hurts the running back because now your teams 0:04:58.160 --> 0:04:59.720 that have deficit all the time and they're not running 0:04:59.760 --> 0:05:03.000 the ball. Yeah, it's it is. There's so many reasons 0:05:03.000 --> 0:05:07.400 to avoid running backs early. And here's a little more data. 0:05:07.400 --> 0:05:08.680 And by the way, I should mention the court. What 0:05:08.720 --> 0:05:11.000 we're going to talk about today is when would you 0:05:11.320 --> 0:05:14.240 do the opposite? When would you undo the opposite? Undo 0:05:14.279 --> 0:05:16.120 the opposite? When would you do the opposite? Of do 0:05:16.160 --> 0:05:19.520 the opposite? Or do undo the opposite? That's a better phrase. Yeah, 0:05:19.640 --> 0:05:24.560 let's do undo the opposite. I've got a couple more stats. Yeah, 0:05:24.720 --> 0:05:27.440 last year, well we want to know them. The average 0:05:27.520 --> 0:05:31.400 non running back drafted in the first two rounds, So 0:05:31.440 --> 0:05:35.000 this would be quarterbacks, tight ends, wide receivers on average 0:05:35.040 --> 0:05:39.000 lost eight positional spots from their draft position to their 0:05:39.000 --> 0:05:42.160 actual position, meaning DeVante Adams was taking his wide receiver eight, 0:05:42.200 --> 0:05:45.280 he finished his wide receiver sixteen. Okay, okay, So that's 0:05:45.320 --> 0:05:50.040 our baseline for non runners. Yeah, how about runners? On average? 0:05:50.120 --> 0:05:55.120 Runners dropped twenty two positional spots god from their draft 0:05:55.160 --> 0:05:57.880 position to their actual position, meaning Tony Pollard was taken 0:05:57.920 --> 0:06:02.160 a RB six, he finished his RB twa. So that's 0:06:02.160 --> 0:06:05.000 a disaster, which is almost exactly where Tony Pollard was, 0:06:05.040 --> 0:06:07.000 and that was almost exactly where Devontay Adam was. As 0:06:07.000 --> 0:06:10.240 a couple of examples, that last year, after Christian McCaffrey, 0:06:10.279 --> 0:06:11.840 who went first and he was a great pack, you 0:06:11.920 --> 0:06:14.080 got exactly what you hope you get out of Christian McCaffrey. 0:06:14.680 --> 0:06:19.560 The next eight runners after Christian McCaffrey that were drafted 0:06:19.600 --> 0:06:23.440 by ADP that was Eckler, Bjon Chubb, Barkley, Pollard, King, 0:06:23.480 --> 0:06:27.560 Henry Jacobs, and Najee finished as an with an average 0:06:28.279 --> 0:06:35.599 of running back twenty eight. I mean, just apocalyptically bad 0:06:36.080 --> 0:06:39.360 if you took any runner other than Christian McCaffrey at 0:06:39.400 --> 0:06:40.479 the top of your draft life. 0:06:40.560 --> 0:06:44.240 So it's not hard to convince people draft wide receivers. Now. 0:06:44.880 --> 0:06:47.040 We've been talking about this for you know, the better 0:06:47.040 --> 0:06:50.839 part of twenty years now, but now everybody is going 0:06:50.839 --> 0:06:53.320 to draft those wide receivers in the first two rounds. 0:06:53.360 --> 0:06:56.320 And what we kind of did today is I'm going 0:06:56.360 --> 0:06:58.800 to kind of pick your brain on this, and we're 0:06:58.839 --> 0:07:02.200 gonna go, at what point for these these running backs 0:07:02.240 --> 0:07:03.920 that are going in the first three rounds. There's ten 0:07:03.960 --> 0:07:06.200 of them exactly that are that are getting an ADP 0:07:06.279 --> 0:07:09.120 of the first three rounds and it's only ten. Yeah, ten, 0:07:09.160 --> 0:07:11.280 We're down to ten. It used to be the first 0:07:11.320 --> 0:07:13.240 round was ten out of the first twelve. Yeah, we're 0:07:13.280 --> 0:07:14.400 running backs exactly. 0:07:14.520 --> 0:07:17.760 So we're gonna look at that, and we're gonna kind 0:07:17.760 --> 0:07:21.200 of go, hey, where do I stop my do the 0:07:21.240 --> 0:07:25.400 opposite plan? Because this running back is is either good 0:07:25.640 --> 0:07:28.600 right right here at ADP and I do love him 0:07:28.600 --> 0:07:31.760 that much, or he fell a few picks down the 0:07:31.800 --> 0:07:34.240 slide and it's like, oh it's too good to pass up. 0:07:34.360 --> 0:07:37.240 Or he fell a few rounds down the slide and 0:07:37.480 --> 0:07:40.280 even though I don't like this running back, I see 0:07:40.280 --> 0:07:41.160 the value here. 0:07:41.440 --> 0:07:44.119 Yes, And that's you know, we're so we'll look at 0:07:44.200 --> 0:07:45.880 these how many running backs do we look at the 0:07:45.920 --> 0:07:49.960 ten ten running backs and you can play long at home. 0:07:50.120 --> 0:07:52.680 At what point would you blink and go, okay, I'm 0:07:52.680 --> 0:07:53.360 taking this guy? 0:07:53.960 --> 0:07:56.080 All right, Well let's start with Christian McCaffrey. 0:07:56.080 --> 0:07:58.440 How about that? In many ways the hardest decision you've got. 0:07:58.480 --> 0:08:01.160 Really, he's going off the board to pick one to one. 0:08:01.240 --> 0:08:04.480 He finished number one in PPR Fantasy points last year, 0:08:04.760 --> 0:08:08.520 had just over two thousand total yards and twenty one touchdowns. Now, 0:08:08.560 --> 0:08:11.360 the year before he had almost nineteen hundred total yards 0:08:11.360 --> 0:08:12.440 and thirteen scores. 0:08:12.560 --> 0:08:12.800 Yep. 0:08:13.400 --> 0:08:15.920 In every year he's been healthy for a full season, 0:08:15.960 --> 0:08:18.880 he's had a minimum of sixty seven receptions, which makes 0:08:18.960 --> 0:08:22.480 him very safe in PPR. But he did miss twenty 0:08:22.480 --> 0:08:25.640 two games in twenty twenty and twenty twenty one with injury. 0:08:25.880 --> 0:08:28.440 That and that's not that was not trivial. Those teams 0:08:28.520 --> 0:08:30.880 that that hurt that did hurt you quite a bit. 0:08:31.000 --> 0:08:34.520 He just turned twenty eight years old. But charge is 0:08:34.559 --> 0:08:36.600 this a player? If you're sitting at one to one 0:08:36.640 --> 0:08:39.160 in a draft, are you still taking Christian McCaffrey or 0:08:39.200 --> 0:08:40.199 are you're going a different direction. 0:08:40.320 --> 0:08:42.640 I don't blame anybody who does take Christian McCaffrey at 0:08:42.640 --> 0:08:44.440 the first overall pick. He was the most valuable player 0:08:44.480 --> 0:08:46.480 last year. And we all, as you mentioned at the outset, 0:08:46.520 --> 0:08:48.400 we all replayed last year. What could you know? Why 0:08:48.440 --> 0:08:51.400 would it be any different next year? Every year it's different. 0:08:51.480 --> 0:08:54.600 It's weird they don't replay the season exactly. 0:08:55.480 --> 0:08:59.640 But for me, I'm there are just there are receivers 0:08:59.640 --> 0:09:02.520 out there that I just know are gonna be great, 0:09:02.679 --> 0:09:05.840 and I'm not passing those receivers. And for me, there's 0:09:05.880 --> 0:09:08.559 six of them that I feel are just too good 0:09:09.120 --> 0:09:11.480 for me, and five for sure maybe six so okay, 0:09:11.840 --> 0:09:15.240 Ceedee Lamb, Tyreek Hill, Jamar Chase, Justin Jefferson, I'm on 0:09:15.360 --> 0:09:18.400 ros Saint Brown. I just don't see scenarios where anything 0:09:18.400 --> 0:09:22.360 goes wrong with those guys in a significant way, even 0:09:22.480 --> 0:09:24.440 Justin Jefferson, although we might touch on him a little 0:09:24.440 --> 0:09:26.599 bit later. I just feel like these I feel like 0:09:26.600 --> 0:09:29.120 they're all safe. After that tier, there's a j Brown, 0:09:29.320 --> 0:09:31.839 there's Pokinakua. They're really tempting to but I think at 0:09:31.840 --> 0:09:34.959 that point I would blink. So for me, I'm at 0:09:35.080 --> 0:09:39.080 I'm at pick six at there's no draft in America where. 0:09:38.960 --> 0:09:39.480 He's not gonna be. 0:09:39.480 --> 0:09:40.120 He's not gonna be there. 0:09:40.160 --> 0:09:41.480 He's not gonna be He's not gonna be there. 0:09:41.520 --> 0:09:44.080 But I just believe that strongly and just in do 0:09:44.200 --> 0:09:47.719 the opposite and taking the sure things with this. And 0:09:48.200 --> 0:09:50.160 I you know, I'm old enough to remember those two 0:09:50.280 --> 0:09:53.920 lost seasons with Christian McCaffrey. Now that puts me in 0:09:53.960 --> 0:09:56.040 the minority. Where would you take him? 0:09:56.160 --> 0:09:58.560 I I think I'd still probably take him at one 0:09:58.720 --> 0:10:01.240 just because of the other world oldly talent that he 0:10:01.360 --> 0:10:04.440 possesses and the artic situation and the offense is just 0:10:04.520 --> 0:10:09.800 absolutely just right for him. So I'm not as invested 0:10:09.920 --> 0:10:13.920 in the DTO strategy as you are, but yeah, it's 0:10:13.960 --> 0:10:16.760 definitely a question mark at some of these places. Let's 0:10:16.760 --> 0:10:19.240 go on to the next running back drafted, and I 0:10:19.240 --> 0:10:21.680 think you've already kind of answered this because Bryce Hall 0:10:21.720 --> 0:10:24.480 has an ADP of five point seven, and you already 0:10:24.559 --> 0:10:28.120 listed five wide receivers that you'd have definitely taking first, 0:10:28.360 --> 0:10:32.160 you'd have over Okay, and then Christian McCaffrey. He finished 0:10:32.200 --> 0:10:35.000 in number two in PPR points last season, which was 0:10:35.040 --> 0:10:38.600 impressive as he was coming off an ACL surgery. 0:10:38.200 --> 0:10:41.160 And his offense was completely broken around him. 0:10:41.200 --> 0:10:44.920 Yeah, Zach Wilson was heading the offense for most of 0:10:44.920 --> 0:10:47.720 the year. He finished with almost sixteen hundred total yards 0:10:47.720 --> 0:10:49.800 and scored nine times last year. 0:10:49.920 --> 0:10:53.560 Charge, why thank you for that opportunity to nine times? 0:10:53.559 --> 0:10:56.960 There it is thank you. He led all running backs 0:10:56.960 --> 0:10:59.960 in the league last year with seventy six receptions as well. 0:11:00.600 --> 0:11:03.360 Yeah, that way better receiver than I think people realize. 0:11:03.440 --> 0:11:06.760 Brice Hall definitely his seven game rookie season in twenty 0:11:06.760 --> 0:11:09.480 twenty two, he showed flashes of brilliance before the knee injury. 0:11:09.760 --> 0:11:13.160 He just turned twenty three years old, and he's got 0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:16.800 Aaron Rodgers back behind center. So Charge, it doesn't sound 0:11:16.840 --> 0:11:19.200 like you're gonna undo the opposite and pick Breese Hall 0:11:19.240 --> 0:11:21.640 pick six. But how far would Breese Hall have to 0:11:21.720 --> 0:11:23.640 fall for you to take him? 0:11:23.880 --> 0:11:27.320 Good player, really good player, But he's also relying on 0:11:27.360 --> 0:11:30.040 Aaron Rodgers bouncing back at age forty. He'll turn forty 0:11:30.080 --> 0:11:34.520 one in season. I still think I want some of 0:11:34.559 --> 0:11:36.800 the sure thing wide receivers that are out there more 0:11:36.840 --> 0:11:38.640 than I want I want to roll the dice on 0:11:38.760 --> 0:11:40.640 any runner, even when I really I like as much 0:11:40.640 --> 0:11:43.680 as Breese Hall, who is really good, But even his 0:11:43.720 --> 0:11:47.959 own teammate Garrett Wilson's really really good, really good. Remember 0:11:48.000 --> 0:11:51.679 he is ADP was what five last year, Yeah, because 0:11:51.679 --> 0:11:53.079 we loved him and he was great, and he was 0:11:53.120 --> 0:11:54.199 gonna have Aaron Rodgers. 0:11:53.960 --> 0:11:56.800 And that's the season it looked like, oh my god, 0:11:56.880 --> 0:11:58.000 this would be amazing. 0:11:58.160 --> 0:12:03.000 Yes, DeVante, Adam, Brandon, Ayuke, Nico Collins, Mike Evans. That's 0:12:03.040 --> 0:12:05.760 the that's the tier. I've got to go drop down 0:12:05.800 --> 0:12:08.880 before I'm considering Brice hall Is into that level, okay, 0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:11.200 and that you know, really that's bringing us into the 0:12:11.320 --> 0:12:13.800 end of the second round. So I'm I'm a full 0:12:14.000 --> 0:12:18.200 round plus later on Breece hall because I you know, 0:12:18.320 --> 0:12:21.480 I just I want I want those kinds of players. 0:12:21.480 --> 0:12:23.880 And I still think there's enough question marks here that 0:12:24.000 --> 0:12:26.440 I would go almost a full round later. You know, 0:12:26.480 --> 0:12:29.200 give me, give me guys like Garrett Wilson ahead of 0:12:29.320 --> 0:12:30.280 ahead of him for sure? 0:12:30.320 --> 0:12:32.600 Is Brice Hallier number two running back right now? 0:12:33.440 --> 0:12:33.760 Yes? 0:12:33.960 --> 0:12:36.439 Yes, okay, you mccaffreams, right now, Okay. 0:12:36.559 --> 0:12:37.640 I like I like him a lot. 0:12:37.760 --> 0:12:39.720 Well, I think we know what you're gonna say about 0:12:39.720 --> 0:12:42.280 Bjon Robinson, who's going off the board at pick six 0:12:42.360 --> 0:12:44.760 point seven. Let's just call it seven. 0:12:44.880 --> 0:12:46.520 Let's do the rounding. Let's do the rounding. 0:12:46.559 --> 0:12:50.360 Phillis okay, picked seven. Bijon finished as the number seven 0:12:50.440 --> 0:12:54.360 ranked PPR back last year fourteen hundred total yards eight scores, 0:12:54.440 --> 0:12:57.240 not bad for a rookie year with Desmond Ritter under center. 0:12:57.559 --> 0:12:59.959 There's a new coaching staff, a new quarterback in Kurt 0:13:00.120 --> 0:13:03.920 Cousins or Michael Pennix. Just kidding, just kidding, it's gonna 0:13:03.920 --> 0:13:08.360 be Kirk Cousins. But Bijon only had four games last 0:13:08.400 --> 0:13:13.000 season with sixteen or more carries and only scored four 0:13:13.120 --> 0:13:17.120 rushing touchdowns last year. And for context, ye Tyler Algier 0:13:17.400 --> 0:13:20.840 had four rushing touchdowns last year and had sixteen or 0:13:20.840 --> 0:13:23.960 more carries in three games. It was more of a 0:13:24.000 --> 0:13:27.559 split than people think. Now. Everybody's picking Bijon at pick 0:13:27.640 --> 0:13:29.880 seven right now, so they think that he's gonna just 0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:33.960 cannibalize all of Algier's carries. But is the upside of 0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:37.280 Bijon enough for you to undo the opposite at any 0:13:37.320 --> 0:13:39.719 point or is he long gone by the. 0:13:39.640 --> 0:13:42.840 Time he's gonna be long gone? But yes, new coaches 0:13:42.960 --> 0:13:45.720 Rahie Morrison and Zach Robinson, the offensive coordinator saying all 0:13:45.760 --> 0:13:47.679 the right things about Jon Robinson, how they want to 0:13:47.760 --> 0:13:50.600 really build an offense around him and utilize his special talents. 0:13:50.640 --> 0:13:54.160 We'd love to hear that talk is cheap in June, right, 0:13:54.240 --> 0:13:56.760 so you know we know talk is cheap in August. 0:13:57.000 --> 0:13:59.840 Well it is. Who's ever had a bad OTAs you know, 0:14:00.000 --> 0:14:02.680 other than Zach Wilson who apparently has been dreadful. But 0:14:03.240 --> 0:14:06.240 you know it's they always say, guys look great. Now, 0:14:06.280 --> 0:14:08.559 we want to utilize this guy's, you know, best shape of. 0:14:08.480 --> 0:14:10.439 His life, don't forget, best shape of his career. 0:14:10.640 --> 0:14:13.320 The one I even love more is we're we're taking 0:14:13.360 --> 0:14:16.200 this insert insert position here. Let's just say running back, 0:14:16.200 --> 0:14:19.120 We're lining them up in the slot. Yeah, that stuff 0:14:19.160 --> 0:14:23.040 never pans out, never pans out in a meaningful way. 0:14:23.280 --> 0:14:28.080 It's all lies, you know. I I we think Bejon 0:14:28.160 --> 0:14:30.640 could be a special talent based what we saw in college. 0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:33.640 We saw a few flashes of it last year, but 0:14:33.720 --> 0:14:38.040 not consistently. Andy that was a very, very run heavy 0:14:38.080 --> 0:14:40.480 offense that he was still playing. Now, granted we hated 0:14:40.520 --> 0:14:43.240 the usage and the the way that Arthur Smith ran 0:14:43.320 --> 0:14:51.000 that offense, but I still feel like there's I still 0:14:51.000 --> 0:14:53.040 feel like there's just too many good wide receivers. Am 0:14:53.080 --> 0:14:55.320 I going to pass by A J. Brown in the 0:14:55.360 --> 0:14:58.560 Eagles offense? No, No, I'm not going to. You're not 0:14:58.680 --> 0:14:59.720 for sure I'm not going to. 0:14:59.840 --> 0:14:59.920 No. 0:15:00.280 --> 0:15:02.560 In fact, there are the running backs I like more 0:15:02.560 --> 0:15:04.560 than Bejon Robbinson. So there's you know, not only is 0:15:04.560 --> 0:15:06.360 it to do the opposite thing, but also you know, 0:15:06.480 --> 0:15:09.440 I'm I think Jonathan Taylor is sitting on a tremendous season. 0:15:09.440 --> 0:15:11.440 We'll talk about him in a minute. So for me, 0:15:11.600 --> 0:15:15.120 I'm still a whole I'm still a whole round lower 0:15:15.160 --> 0:15:18.000 on Bjeon Robinson. I'm middle of the second round because 0:15:18.040 --> 0:15:20.480 I want more of the sure thing, sure thing receivers 0:15:20.520 --> 0:15:21.000 on my team. 0:15:21.080 --> 0:15:24.080 Middle of the second rounds where you're considering b Jeon Robinson. 0:15:24.120 --> 0:15:28.080 All right, same rookie draft class. Jami Gibbs one of 0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:30.160 two running backs going off the board right at the 0:15:30.160 --> 0:15:32.680 first second round turn. He's going off right now at 0:15:32.720 --> 0:15:36.320 about pick twelve. Gibbs finished as RB nine last year, 0:15:36.360 --> 0:15:39.760 had twelve hundred total yards, scored eleven times. Dynamic and 0:15:39.800 --> 0:15:43.120 impressive in just so many ways, but he scored fewer 0:15:43.160 --> 0:15:46.240 touchdowns than his running mate David Montgomery and had about 0:15:46.280 --> 0:15:49.240 forty fewer rushing attempts. He made up for it with 0:15:49.640 --> 0:15:53.560 fifty two catches to Monty's sixteen. So his ADP seems 0:15:53.600 --> 0:15:56.160 to dictate the fact that the fantasy community thinks he'll 0:15:56.200 --> 0:15:59.080 take so much of the workload from Montgomery this year. 0:15:59.080 --> 0:16:01.960 And I even hypot this, it's because Jamior Gibbs has 0:16:01.960 --> 0:16:06.520 a cool name and David is a boring name to say. 0:16:06.560 --> 0:16:09.480 So do you think do you think Gibbs gets more 0:16:09.520 --> 0:16:11.600 of a workhorse role this year? No? 0:16:11.720 --> 0:16:12.080 I don't. 0:16:12.600 --> 0:16:15.200 Is he's not the one to turn for you? Then? No, 0:16:15.720 --> 0:16:16.120 this is. 0:16:16.200 --> 0:16:18.440 This is the easiest guy I'm gonna let slide. And 0:16:18.560 --> 0:16:20.480 I think you'll be stunned at how far I'm gonna 0:16:20.520 --> 0:16:22.440 let Jamiir give you go. Oh really, And it's not 0:16:22.480 --> 0:16:25.200 that he's he's great. Yeah, he's a great talent, But 0:16:25.280 --> 0:16:29.280 Montgomery steals all the easy touchdowns up close. Monty had 0:16:29.680 --> 0:16:33.160 nineteen carries just from inside the five yard line, and 0:16:33.200 --> 0:16:35.800 he converted half of those into touchdowns. This sounds like 0:16:35.880 --> 0:16:40.120 Fantasy Football weeklies training inside. It's gonna it's gonna be 0:16:40.120 --> 0:16:43.160 coming your way, by the way, announcement coming on that 0:16:43.640 --> 0:16:46.000 in the next week. Okay, the way to a fantasy 0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:51.160 football training camp. Gibbs got half of the carries inside 0:16:51.200 --> 0:16:53.560 the five, half of the touchdowns. Guys who have to 0:16:53.600 --> 0:16:57.560 score from distance are a dangerous gamble. Oh yeah, and. 0:16:57.440 --> 0:16:58.240 That's what all this is. 0:16:58.240 --> 0:17:00.440 I mean Jamior Gibbs with an ADP of third, he's 0:17:00.480 --> 0:17:01.360 going at the first. 0:17:01.160 --> 0:17:03.200 Pick of the second round. Yeah, and you're taking. 0:17:02.960 --> 0:17:07.800 Somebody who has to score from distance. That's so dangerous. 0:17:08.280 --> 0:17:08.960 No way am I. 0:17:08.920 --> 0:17:10.320 Doing caught out, It's dumb. 0:17:10.680 --> 0:17:15.040 I'm I would take Gibbs at double his ADP. I'm 0:17:15.080 --> 0:17:17.840 looking at roughly pick thirty. In fact, I would rather 0:17:17.920 --> 0:17:22.600 have his teammates Sam Laporta before Jamiir Gibbs. 0:17:22.800 --> 0:17:25.840 You're taking two lions above Jamiir Gibbs. I'm saying the 0:17:25.880 --> 0:17:26.320 third hour. 0:17:26.520 --> 0:17:26.920 That's right. 0:17:27.080 --> 0:17:30.639 The third lion Jonathan Taylor. You talked about him a 0:17:30.640 --> 0:17:33.720 little bit before. He's going at right about the turn 0:17:33.760 --> 0:17:36.800 as well, one two turn pick thirteen. Taylor missed a 0:17:36.800 --> 0:17:38.800 bunch of times with injury, a bunch of time with 0:17:38.840 --> 0:17:41.000 injuries in twenty twenty two and the first part of 0:17:41.080 --> 0:17:43.200 twenty three, where he spent the first four weeks on 0:17:43.240 --> 0:17:46.520 the pup list. He finished RB thirty three in total 0:17:46.560 --> 0:17:51.160 PPR points, but RB eleven in points per game. Yeah, 0:17:51.200 --> 0:17:54.800 he's two years removed from nearly twenty two hundred total 0:17:54.920 --> 0:17:59.000 yards and twenty touchdowns. Wasn't that that was crazy? Through 0:17:59.080 --> 0:18:01.480 his last six game of twenty twenty three, he did 0:18:01.520 --> 0:18:04.400 score seven times. Yep, but that was two different runs 0:18:04.440 --> 0:18:06.960 of three games as he missed weeks thirteen through fifteen 0:18:07.000 --> 0:18:10.840 with injury. Anthony Richardson back from injury. That offense should improve, 0:18:10.960 --> 0:18:13.040 but will it improve enough for you to undo the 0:18:13.040 --> 0:18:14.840 opposite with Jonathan Taylor? And where? 0:18:15.040 --> 0:18:17.760 Now? Now, this is a guy I'm interested in much 0:18:17.880 --> 0:18:21.919 closer to his ADP because there's nobody else take the 0:18:21.920 --> 0:18:24.240 ball from him at any time. There's no Zach Moss. There, 0:18:24.280 --> 0:18:26.880 there's no Zach Moss. Your back of his even hole. 0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:31.760 That's it. I mean this is they are gonna work tailor, 0:18:32.200 --> 0:18:35.240 and so I get the goal line back, I get 0:18:35.320 --> 0:18:37.440 the players gonna get the ball really all one hundred 0:18:37.520 --> 0:18:40.320 yards of the field. Indy had the sixth best run 0:18:40.359 --> 0:18:43.199 blocking offensive line last year by Pro Football Focus, the 0:18:43.200 --> 0:18:47.639 eleventh best run block win rate by ESPN. I just 0:18:47.800 --> 0:18:49.840 I love I worry a little bit about the hell 0:18:49.920 --> 0:18:51.760 because he does have these nagging injuries which is, by 0:18:51.760 --> 0:18:54.800 the way, welcome to running backs, right, But I would 0:18:54.800 --> 0:18:57.000 take him much closer to ADP I've got him going 0:18:57.080 --> 0:18:59.640 out for me. I would take him at position twenty, 0:19:00.119 --> 0:19:02.720 so he's would you say, thirteen or fourteen. He's the 0:19:02.720 --> 0:19:06.000 second round, mid second round. So that's the point at 0:19:06.000 --> 0:19:08.320 which I'm really I'm interested in Taylor because I just 0:19:08.440 --> 0:19:11.080 I like him. I like his opportunities so much. 0:19:10.920 --> 0:19:13.480 And that'll probably vibe with some of how your do 0:19:13.600 --> 0:19:17.280