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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: Podcas All right, here we go right in the court,

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Speaker 2: ten seconds remaining, so just go show up to the basket.

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Speaker 3: Under the basket, it's the true for the.

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Speaker 4: Wind God.

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Speaker 3: A miracle.

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Speaker 5: Water hit that one.

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Speaker 6: From the parking lot.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 2: DraftKings on My Calbary's. I'm joined by Josh nun Aka

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Speaker 2: Duck and christian O Jack Gean again for some midweek

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Speaker 2: college hoops action. We're gonna be with you every single

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Speaker 2: Wednesday all the way through the end of the season,

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Speaker 2: so you're gonna always come to us for kind of a.

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Speaker 3: Broader look at college hoops.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna give you look at its for Thursday, Friday

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Speaker 2: and Saturday games, but we also want to get you

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Speaker 2: in a position where you can add to your futures portfolio.

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Speaker 2: That's conference titles, final four, national title making, the tournament odds,

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Speaker 2: all kinds of you know, interesting markets that open through

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Speaker 2: out the regular season and start to pick up a

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Speaker 2: little bit more volume in terms of sports betters at

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Speaker 2: this time of year as college well winds down and

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Speaker 2: there's more interest on the college hardwood. All right, let's

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Speaker 2: just jump right into it here, Doc, I want to

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Speaker 2: hear something that's been interesting you A trend a conference

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Speaker 2: that over archingly is either piuking your interest from a

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Speaker 2: gambling perspective or just the brand of basketball that's being played.

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Speaker 6: Well, I think the MAC is such a fun league

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Speaker 6: this year and competitive at the top, and is the

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Speaker 6: MAC a two big league? That's the question that I

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Speaker 6: would have. Miami of Ohio has been a big surprise

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Speaker 6: this season, sixteen and zero, Travis Steele, a true program build.

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Speaker 6: We haven't seen a lot of that with the one

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Speaker 6: and done era and teams just reloading. But when you

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Speaker 6: get a real program rebuild, this is a really cool

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Speaker 6: story to see. We saw it back in twenty twenty

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Speaker 6: four where it kind of started with the RedHawks finish

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Speaker 6: fifteen and seventeen, but much more competitive in league play,

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Speaker 6: and then last year they really turned the corner, finished

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Speaker 6: twenty five and nine and so so close to making

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Speaker 6: the NCAA tournament. If you look back to that MAC

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Speaker 6: championship game and how that ended, and now these guys

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Speaker 6: are rolling a I look at Miami of Ohio. They

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Speaker 6: are incredibly fun to watch and their efficient offensively They're

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Speaker 6: top twenty five per Ken Palm in two point, three

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Speaker 6: point and foul shooting, and they just don't turn the

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Speaker 6: ball over. They got five guys that average double figures.

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Speaker 6: Seven players have made at least ten three point shots

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Speaker 6: this year. Shooters everywhere for the RedHawks, and you know,

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Speaker 6: some projections have them as an eleven seed in the tournament.

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Speaker 6: So it begs the question that if this team keeps

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Speaker 6: rolling and we get another team in the MAC Ackron,

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Speaker 6: I mean, John Gross has this bunch playing really really

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Speaker 6: good basketball right now. I would expect the Zips to

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Speaker 6: rack up the MAC wins in bunches this year, and

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Speaker 6: we could have two teams that have less than four

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Speaker 6: or five losses now that are square possibly a destiny

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Speaker 6: and a square enough for the MAC championship run. I

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Speaker 6: wonder if these two teams continue to take care of business,

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Speaker 6: if we don't see a two bid league here out

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Speaker 6: of the MAC this season.

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Speaker 2: Christian, what are your thoughts on a potential to two

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Speaker 2: bid at the Mid American. It'll probably require thirty plus

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Speaker 2: wins out of the at large bid team.

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Speaker 3: But Miami's churning along.

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Speaker 2: You know, they held their own against the best in

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Speaker 2: the conference thus far, and it seems as though they're

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Speaker 2: shooting is bulletproof, Like whether they're on the road, home,

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Speaker 2: neutral floor, they're just knocking down shots all over the place.

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Speaker 1: I know they got hurt by the bid Steelers, but

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Speaker 1: I'm still mad about Indiana State two years ago.

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Speaker 4: That team went twenty eight and six.

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Speaker 1: You know, you lose Adrake, at Michigan State, at Alabama,

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Speaker 1: at Southern Illinois. If they don't drop that home went

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Speaker 1: to Illinois State, maybe that's the deal breaker.

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Speaker 4: But really low.

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Speaker 1: Margin beara for Miami Ohio. They'd have to I think

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Speaker 1: three games they're probably in. But even if you start

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Speaker 1: to lose four, I'm thinking back to teams like New

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Speaker 1: Mexico State or Stephen of Austin. You know in the

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Speaker 1: last half decade that you know, with the four loss

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Speaker 1: team was a twelve seed, and it's like they're probably

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Speaker 1: not getting in with a loss in the conference championship.

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Speaker 1: But when I watched that Miami Agron games Saturday, I

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Speaker 1: was way more impressed with Acron. If I'm being honest,

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Speaker 1: I think Miami really struggling from that loss of Ipsara

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Speaker 1: the point guard. They're still a really good team, like

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Speaker 1: as Doug said, Travis Steel's done an incredible job.

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Speaker 4: You can't argue with the results.

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Speaker 1: But I'm looking at Akron as like a team that

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Speaker 1: would be potentially the best, you know, not counting like

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Speaker 1: Saint Mary's, like the best mid major team in the

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Speaker 1: tournament should they get in. So I'm sneaky rooting for

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Speaker 1: I would just love a two bid Max. So I

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Speaker 1: hope Miami loses like one or two games and can

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Speaker 1: get it at large or something. But Akron is the

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Speaker 1: best team in this league. I agree with the metrics.

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Speaker 1: They shot what eight of thirty two from deep and

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Speaker 1: the lost Miami, and they're a great three point shooting team.

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Speaker 4: They had a lot of open looks.

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Speaker 1: Nothing easy for Miami at the ram Acrons got you know,

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Speaker 1: much more athletic guys, more guys you can can create.

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Speaker 4: I love the way they play.

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Speaker 2: Tafari, their point guard, by the way, one of three

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Speaker 2: players in the entire country twenty points per game, five

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Speaker 2: assists per game. It's Cruz Davis from Hofstra and then

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Speaker 2: file On from Alabama.

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Speaker 3: That's it. That's the entire list.

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Speaker 4: Oh and one other thing Miami is.

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Speaker 1: What is it Miami's fourth nationally in minutes, constinuity acrons eighteenth.

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Speaker 1: What happens when you can keep players and they can develop.

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Speaker 1: Vari Johnson's gone better all four years. Like I hope

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Speaker 1: guys around college basketball and in high school kids are

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Speaker 1: going I can have a good career if I go

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Speaker 1: to a good coach and stick it out and get better.

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Speaker 2: One thing I want to talk about in terms of

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Speaker 2: the national landscape is so we have some kind of

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Speaker 2: ratings inflation problem going on, because let's just look at

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Speaker 2: Kenpom for a second, and twenty twenty three, Yukon won

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Speaker 2: the national title with a net rating of twenty nine

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Speaker 2: point eighty six.

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Speaker 3: This was the same Husky team that stumbled.

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Speaker 2: Apen in January that year and then one twelve thirteen

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Speaker 2: down the stretch covered every single game in March Madness.

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Speaker 2: Yet there are eight eight teams right now in Division

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Speaker 2: one basketball with a higher net rating according to Kenpom.

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Speaker 3: So I have to pose this question to the group.

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Speaker 2: It's unlikely that the majority of those teams are going

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Speaker 2: to finish truly better than that Yukon national championship team.

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Speaker 2: It bears to reason that it's going to be one,

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Speaker 2: maybe two three max that are actually better on the

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Speaker 2: floor than the Yukon team. But you go through at Arizona, Michigan,

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Speaker 2: Iowa State, Purdue, Gonzaga, Vanderbilt, Yukon Duke. Of this group,

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Speaker 2: who do you think is the potential fraud at least

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Speaker 2: from a super high end ceiling perspective, it's the Zags.

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Speaker 2: For me, I don't think they deserve to be in

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Speaker 2: this mega elite conversation.

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Speaker 3: They just needed overtime to beat Seattle.

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Speaker 2: Seattle's a pretty good low major team, actually a very

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Speaker 2: good low major team.

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Speaker 3: I'll give them their flowers.

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Speaker 2: But at the same time, that's more the Bulldogs kind

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Speaker 2: of not being focused for forty minutes of basketball. They

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Speaker 2: needed to have a comeback just to get it to overtime.

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Speaker 2: They lose by forty points to Michigan. And you know,

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Speaker 2: I also just think from a March Madness perspective, their

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Speaker 2: point guard situation does not fill me with confidence in

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Speaker 2: you know, previous years, what was Nebhard or the guys

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Speaker 2: running the point.

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Speaker 3: I knew who was going to have the ball in

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Speaker 3: crunch time.

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Speaker 2: And if you told me that Braden Smith had seized

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Speaker 2: the point guard you know role and was playing, you know,

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Speaker 2: thirty minutes a game and was dished out close to

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Speaker 2: Tennis's I'd feel better about this team. He's barely on

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Speaker 2: the floor for eighteen minutes a game. They have Warley,

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Speaker 2: they sometimes it's Miller. I know they share the basketball

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Speaker 2: incredibly well, but to win four or five games in

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Speaker 2: the turn, I'm a little bit skittish on this mark

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Speaker 2: few team at least being in the neighborhood with some

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Speaker 2: of these other teams. Christian, do you agree with that

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Speaker 2: or is there another team on this list that you

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Speaker 2: think is a little bit overrated at this.

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Speaker 3: Point in the season.

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Speaker 1: That Yukon net rating stat is insane, by the way,

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Speaker 1: like they were number one in Kimpong by the end

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Speaker 1: of non conference player. Obviously they tripped up in the

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Speaker 1: Big East, but you'd think after all that they finished

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Speaker 1: with that they would have top thirty. I totally agree

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Speaker 1: with your knock on Gonzaga.

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Speaker 4: I just think there's you can put him in pen

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Speaker 4: in the sweet sixteen.

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Speaker 1: So it's like, I don't know, matchup dependent, but I

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Speaker 1: definitely agree that you know, after playing in the WCC

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Speaker 1: for a couple months that they could definitely run into

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Speaker 1: a team ranked lower than them. On Kempon right now,

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Speaker 1: that that is a better team come March. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if there's really I'm like super high on Vanderbilt.

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Speaker 1: Do I think that they're necessarily a two seed come March?

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Speaker 1: Not No, just because the SEC is so tough, Like

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Speaker 1: I think they're probably a top four seed, and then

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Speaker 1: Duke had a great win at Louisville. But in their

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Speaker 1: resume is so good that they could get tripped up

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Speaker 1: in the a SEC and still be a one or

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Speaker 1: two seed. But they definitely have things to figure out

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Speaker 1: in some weaknesses that we've seen too, so wanting to

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Speaker 1: see I'm definitely tracking Duke to see if they're trending upward.

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Speaker 4: As AC player was on, I.

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Speaker 2: Know we talked offline Duck about Duke's issues, you know,

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Speaker 2: recently against Georgia Tech Florida State in the defensive end,

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Speaker 2: do you think they'll get that? You know, buttoned up

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Speaker 2: Shire certainly in years past has made his bones as

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Speaker 2: a defensive coach, being able to really lock things down

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Speaker 2: in the half court. Some of their metrics are incredible,

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Speaker 2: you know, how they defend the three point arc for example,

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Speaker 2: But the Florida State and Georgia Tech game, was it

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Speaker 2: more so playing down to the opponent not taking it seriously.

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Speaker 2: I know the Yellow Jacket shot like seventy five percent

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Speaker 2: in that game, at least in the first half, so

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Speaker 2: that was kind.

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Speaker 3: Of a bit of an outlier. But where do you

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Speaker 3: come down on the Blue Devils at this point?

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Speaker 6: I mean that was in my notes to talk about Duke.

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Speaker 6: Are we sure that this grew is in another stratosphere

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Speaker 6: in terms of their talent, their cohesiveness, and being to

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Speaker 6: be considered a team that should be rated at this

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Speaker 6: sort of statistical outlier threshold.

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Speaker 3: I don't know that we should.

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Speaker 6: You talked about some of the results, but being tested

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Speaker 6: by Florida, Michigan State, Louisville, Florida State, Arkansas, the list

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Speaker 6: goes on and on a good team, and I think

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Speaker 6: when you look at the lack of continuity, they haven't

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Speaker 6: played a lot of basketball together. So I think you

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Speaker 6: see some things on the defensive end when the offense

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Speaker 6: gets rolling with Duke, sometimes the defense takes the night off,

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Speaker 6: and days where their defense really steps up, we see

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Speaker 6: them struggle on the offensive end. So I think the

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Speaker 6: second half of the season, specifically in this case, is

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Speaker 6: really important for Duke so they can continue to gel

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Speaker 6: as a team. And I mean they don't have to

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Speaker 6: win the ACC title to do some noise in the tournament.

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Speaker 6: But I just think this group needs to play more.

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Speaker 6: They need more time in the seat, They need to

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Speaker 6: go through some of these pressure situations and ultimately that'll

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Speaker 6: help them in late March.

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Speaker 1: One other Duke love how much Malik Brown and Dame

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Speaker 1: Saw we got against Louisville because those are their two

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Speaker 1: best defenders outside of you know, Cam Boozer, but only

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Speaker 1: ten minutes Forre gong By. I understand it was infalligible,

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Speaker 1: but I think the five of especially I kill Foster

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Speaker 1: is gonna be aggressive getting to the basket like he was. Foster, Evans, Boozer,

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Speaker 1: Brown and Sar is the line up that I want

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Speaker 1: to see. Why I know people are throwing gong Buta

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Speaker 1: and the lottery. I understand he can do some fun

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Speaker 1: things back to the basket and as a passer, but

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Speaker 1: like I don't want him shooting threes.

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Speaker 4: That's the five that I want to see more out

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Speaker 4: of Duke.

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Speaker 3: From now as we get into conference play.

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Speaker 2: Obviously, the grinds, the travel, you know, it can be

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Speaker 2: difficult in these power conferences, and when you fast forward

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Speaker 2: to selection Sunday and when the brackets revealed, I really

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Speaker 2: do care about road performance, neutral site performance. You know

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Speaker 2: a lot of teams can get up and play their

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Speaker 2: best basketball on their home court. You're clearly not doing

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Speaker 2: that in the Big Dance. So that's something that you've

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Speaker 2: zeroed in on right now with some teams struggling a

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Speaker 2: little bit more than you expect.

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Speaker 4: A Christian Yeah, I feel like this happens every year.

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Speaker 1: Where where I start, there's teams that I know, I like,

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Speaker 1: and then I'm like looking at some lines, I'm like, ooh,

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Speaker 1: this is you.

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Speaker 4: Know, they're only two point favorites on the road in

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Speaker 4: this spot.

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Speaker 1: But like one of my example from last night, or

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Speaker 1: you see f Oklahoma State, like you see it finally

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Speaker 1: enters the rankings. They're playing great, But there's just something

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Speaker 1: intuitively in my in my body that's just like Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: State's gonna win this game. Like they're coming off a loss,

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Speaker 1: right and this is just the it just sets up

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Speaker 1: the spot. After this big home win at Kansas, everyone's

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Speaker 1: run on the court. Now you got to go play

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Speaker 1: this fast paced team comfortable on their home court.

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Speaker 4: And another example of this was and I know.

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Speaker 1: Nebraska beat Ohio State, right, but in that second half

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Speaker 1: the way Ohio State defended, right, that's like the worst

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Speaker 1: I had seen Nebraska's offense. Look, because you know this

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Speaker 1: building's going nuts. There's all this ball pressure and all

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Speaker 1: of a sudden, you can't get into your sets. You're

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Speaker 1: asking for mass to kind of be a hero ball,

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Speaker 1: or you've got these Lawrence was on the bench and

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Speaker 1: it was Hoiberg and Jacobson having and they weren't able

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Speaker 1: to create off the bounce, which isn't what they're supposed

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Speaker 1: to do.

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Speaker 4: Like, they just weren't able.

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Speaker 1: To function highly in just these these environments, especially at

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Speaker 1: the beginning you've got freshmen. We've had some weird layoffs

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Speaker 1: of course around the holidays. These next two weeks, it's

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Speaker 1: really I have to have a really strong reason for

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Speaker 1: why I'm backing at a road team. It doesn't mean

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Speaker 1: always back the home team. It just means you have

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Speaker 1: to take some of these spots seriously and take into

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Speaker 1: accounts things like this game will have happened by the

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Speaker 1: time this podcast comes out, But I'll be on Virginia

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Speaker 1: Tech and at against Stanford. This is Abuco Cory's first

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Speaker 1: road game he missed the one at San Jose State.

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Speaker 4: He was out for that.

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Speaker 1: And in your traveling cross country off this loss Forlouival,

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Speaker 1: you know, Virginia Tech just played way close, tough loss.

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Speaker 4: There, you're getting Toby la Wall back.

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Speaker 1: I'm just taking a lot into account, but definitely leaning

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Speaker 1: towards home teams and looking more for home teams to back.

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Speaker 1: But then at the end of the day, there's some

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Speaker 1: really good values you're getting on await teams if you

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Speaker 1: just think they're a way better basketball team and they

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Speaker 1: match up, well, it's like you're getting great prices for

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Speaker 1: road teams too.

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Speaker 2: So speaking of home away splits, I'm gonna put you

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Speaker 2: on the spot right now, Nebraska against Indiana. Do you

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Speaker 2: think that's going to be the first loss the season.

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Speaker 4: For the Corn Yes? I do.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the analytics community is with you there, Duck.

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Speaker 6: Do you agree get I would guess so that they

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Speaker 6: might be an environment they struggle in.

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Speaker 3: All right, let's switch up to any rants that we have.

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Speaker 3: You know, we've been burning on a little bit.

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Speaker 2: Shout out to the Jim Room Show and what was

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Speaker 2: at ESPN two back in.

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Speaker 3: The day, Duck.

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Speaker 2: This is an issue we've all been there as college

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Speaker 2: basketball betters. You absolutely nail a bet for thirty eight

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Speaker 2: thirty nine minutes and then something falls apart, slips through

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Speaker 2: your fingers in the final sixty seconds, whether it's late

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Speaker 2: game coaching management or defensive letdowns.

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Speaker 3: What has you ticked off coming into this episode? Remember

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Speaker 3: this is a safe space.

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Speaker 2: You know what pisses me off most of all.

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Speaker 4: Okay, you're randing now, baby, I ran?

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Speaker 5: Why not?

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Speaker 4: You've got to let it out somehow.

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Speaker 6: Well, it happened twice to me in the recent days.

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Speaker 6: Georgia State goes out and score sixty seven points in

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Speaker 6: the second half against Coastal Carolina. Not on my bingo

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Speaker 6: card on Saturday of last week. You look at Georgia State,

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Speaker 6: they were three fifteenth in the most recent ken Pum

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Speaker 6: offensive efficiency metrics. You look at how the game finished

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Speaker 6: in their shot selection. If you look at a site

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Speaker 6: like sq bets, which will grade games based on shots

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Speaker 6: that a team takes, how likely those shots are to

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Speaker 6: go in whatever else. While that game should have finished

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Speaker 6: sixty nine to sixty one and Georgia State should have lost,

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Speaker 6: it was just incredible to see. When you play in

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Speaker 6: under and you've got a game that is trending under

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Speaker 6: the entire time and it's just one small stretch that

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Speaker 6: defense is optional. That's all happened to me last night

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Speaker 6: too with Minnesota and Iowa. You get some fluky late

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Speaker 6: game stuff where a team that hasn't made a shot

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Speaker 6: all night suddenly buries a deep three triggers the fowling.

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Speaker 6: So that is, yeah, just part of working through that.

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Speaker 6: That's the variance in a highly variant sport. And another

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Speaker 6: thing I'll say too, part of anyone's handicapping. Those road

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Speaker 6: spots that we just talked about are so tricky. We've

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Speaker 6: seen teams like North Texas Irvine almost lost a Bakersfield

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Speaker 6: in one of their recent conference openers. You see San

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Speaker 6: Diego got burned down the road, Michigan State, Louisville, Quinnipiac

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Speaker 6: losing to Manhattan. I mean, it's just tough to go

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Speaker 6: win on the road, and so oftentimes when you've got

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Speaker 6: the presume it better more superior team laying a short

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Speaker 6: number on the road, that is so tricky to want

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Speaker 6: of lay points on the road in league play. So

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Speaker 6: it was a good lookout. So for anyone, for anyone

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Speaker 6: betting with us, make sure to keep that in mind.

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Speaker 2: For your rant, Kristian looks like you were the ghost

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Speaker 2: rader for John kell party. He just went off on

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Speaker 2: this with you know, twenty six year old semi pros,

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Speaker 2: full time pros coming in playing, they got first and

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Speaker 2: second wives in the crowd, they got kids, you know,

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Speaker 2: all of his jokes aside, it's interesting that of all

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Speaker 2: people when it comes to paying players or having you know,

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Speaker 2: players come in and out in a turnstile, Calipari doesn't

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Speaker 2: have a whole you know, lot to stand on.

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Speaker 3: But at the end of the day, he is right.

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Speaker 3: And it's just interesting.

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Speaker 2: You know, at least in the SEC a lot of

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Speaker 2: people would use the meme of like the worst person

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Speaker 2: you know just made a really good point, and it's

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Speaker 2: that at this point, these mid season transfers are just

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Speaker 2: throwing off competitive balance. Potentially. There's a couple that you

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Speaker 2: want to highlight, and I just want to hear your

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Speaker 2: thoughts overall on roster building when you can bring in

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Speaker 2: grown ass men who've been playing overseas or getting paychecks

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Speaker 2: in the G League.

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Speaker 1: The community of our beautiful sports seems very aligned on this,

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Speaker 1: not only that we need the framework, but like that's

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Speaker 1: ridiculous that a James Naji is added to Baylor, but

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Speaker 1: Kyrie Walker is even worse than James Nag.

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Speaker 4: Like I have a.

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Speaker 1: Ounce of you know, I have a tiny bit of

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Speaker 1: empathy towards the James Nagy in the sense that he

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Speaker 1: never signed the contract and like he was playing for

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Speaker 1: Barcelona like the whole time. He's from like this small

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Speaker 1: village in Nigeria, and like he wasn't ready for the

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Speaker 1: NBA whatever, And it's not like he's going to go

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Speaker 1: and dominate, which maybe would help the case honestly if

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Speaker 1: some guy joins midseason and does dominate. But Kyrie Walker

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Speaker 1: was on the Capital City go go with like Cashus

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Speaker 1: Winston and Pat Spencer. Like five years ago, dude was

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Speaker 1: a five star crew. He thought that he could make

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Speaker 1: the NBA after you're in the G League, and he

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Speaker 1: was wrong. He's been to Greece, Canada, Mongolia, He's been

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Speaker 1: all over the place. He thought he was too good

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Speaker 1: for college basketball. It's been five years, dude, let it go.

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Speaker 1: Have a little bit of pride. Maybe I don't know,

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Speaker 1: Like obviously this is the NCAA's ball, but I just

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Speaker 1: think this is absolutely embarrassing on Kyrie Walker's part.

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Speaker 2: And.

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Speaker 1: I mean, who even knows how good he is because

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Speaker 1: he's with in Mongoli and Canada the last weeks.

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Speaker 4: But like, I think that it's.

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Speaker 1: Such a mind meld because I want the you know,

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Speaker 1: if one of these guys comes in and dominates, it

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Speaker 1: just makes it so so ridiculous that they're here. But

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Speaker 1: if they come in and they're not good, it's not

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Speaker 1: helping the case. So I'm in this thing where I

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Speaker 1: don't want them to succeed, but if it succeeds, it

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Speaker 1: kind of helps prove the point. So I'm interested to

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Speaker 1: see who grabs him, and you know they're gonna get

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Speaker 1: booted in shame. Like Scott, people are not happy to

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Speaker 1: Scott Dregger on college basketball. I'm talking like his peers.

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Speaker 2: Now, Duck, I know that you live in FCS football

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Speaker 2: at the college football so sometimes when those transfers come up,

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Speaker 2: you have some kind of rubric or some kind of

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Speaker 2: formula to be able to say success at the FCS level.

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Speaker 2: What could we expect in the transfer portal any Mongolian

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Speaker 2: basketball pipeline to college hoops? Like, does seventeen points per

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Speaker 2: game against Mongolians translate to seven and a half in

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Speaker 2: a major conference, Like, what are your thoughts on this

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Speaker 2: whole thing.

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Speaker 6: I don't know how those ratios would play out. I'd

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Speaker 6: say probably divide by twelve. And that's the production we're

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Speaker 6: going to see here, But who really knows. Every case

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Speaker 6: is different. I mean, is this where we're at with

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Speaker 6: it now, where you can just grab these cast offs

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Speaker 6: that it didn't pan out? I mean there were guys

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Speaker 6: that were being talked about that had actually played in

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Speaker 6: the NBA and never made it, and now they want

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Speaker 6: to go back to college. I just cannot believe that

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Speaker 6: this has exposed such a loophole in the eligibility, in

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Speaker 6: the eligibility kind of criteria and what you have to

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Speaker 6: be what you don't have to be. And I think

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Speaker 6: it really the people who pay the price the worst

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Speaker 6: are high school athletes and athletes that want to stick,

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Speaker 6: get out at a school and compete for a position.

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Speaker 6: Very few kids have to really compete anymore. They don't

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Speaker 6: have to battle for their spot, they don't have to

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Speaker 6: battle for playing time, they don't have to earn it

438
00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:10,720
Speaker 6: in practice, because if they're not getting what they want,

439
00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:13,040
Speaker 6: they're just going to transfer someplace else. So there's no penalty,

440
00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:15,080
Speaker 6: so something needs to be done.

441
00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:17,400
Speaker 2: All right, speaking of having a bit of pride, I'm

442
00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:20,360
Speaker 2: gonna throw this out there for my quick rant, Micaeh Shrewsbury.

443
00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:21,800
Speaker 3: What are you doing? Man?

444
00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:24,159
Speaker 2: I know that you were mad, but what do you

445
00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:26,280
Speaker 2: like the way that he charged at that ref after

446
00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:27,800
Speaker 2: the game? What are you gonna knock his teeth out

447
00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:30,560
Speaker 2: like he's got four assistants and players holding him back.

448
00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:32,639
Speaker 2: Was it a bad call on the four point play?

449
00:19:33,080 --> 00:19:35,920
Speaker 2: I've certainly seen worse calls. I would also point out

450
00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:38,040
Speaker 2: that the kids out of position, you probably don't want

451
00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:40,520
Speaker 2: to foul in that situation, not giving up a three,

452
00:19:40,560 --> 00:19:42,480
Speaker 2: setting him the line for two up by three, you

453
00:19:42,520 --> 00:19:44,320
Speaker 2: don't want to foul right at the three point straight

454
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:46,360
Speaker 2: and instead of keeping him in front of him, he's

455
00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:47,080
Speaker 2: reaching out.

456
00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:49,000
Speaker 3: I still think, yes, it.

457
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:51,000
Speaker 2: Probably should have been a foul on the floor, but

458
00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:53,160
Speaker 2: like for him to explode like that and then also

459
00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:55,919
Speaker 2: just get like a ridden reprimand from the acc and

460
00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:58,480
Speaker 2: not get suspended by Notre Dame. You represent Notre Dame.

461
00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:00,240
Speaker 2: You want to pretend at least.

462
00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:01,760
Speaker 3: That you have more class in the situation.

463
00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:04,160
Speaker 2: You're making what three or four million dollars a year

464
00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:06,440
Speaker 2: you have to be at a higher level. At least

465
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:08,239
Speaker 2: in my opinion, we're now at the point where all

466
00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:10,920
Speaker 2: these players are making millions of dollars in nil money,

467
00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:12,840
Speaker 2: and we're starting to hold them to a higher threshold

468
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:14,679
Speaker 2: and a higher standard saying.

469
00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:16,680
Speaker 3: That you know, you guys have to conduct yourself as professionals.

470
00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:17,760
Speaker 3: The same goes for coaches.

471
00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:21,680
Speaker 2: I thought it was embarrassing that reaction, just quick around

472
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:23,840
Speaker 2: the horn. What do you think of that endgame sent

473
00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:25,439
Speaker 2: a scenario against cal Berkeley?

474
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:30,679
Speaker 1: I mean, you obviously can't do that, and it's I

475
00:20:30,760 --> 00:20:35,520
Speaker 1: just think coaches are such role models right in terms

476
00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:38,560
Speaker 1: of how they impact young lives and like their respect

477
00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:40,359
Speaker 1: that they're given. And it's like we give them such

478
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 1: leeway to just act like complete maniacs, even like a

479
00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:47,200
Speaker 1: Dan Hurley who got flamed for his behavior at times.

480
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:49,360
Speaker 1: I know it hasn't been as much in the headlines,

481
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:50,600
Speaker 1: like I don't want.

482
00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:53,639
Speaker 4: To, you know, be knocking those guys. I would probably

483
00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:54,320
Speaker 4: be pretty.

484
00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:57,320
Speaker 1: Psycho in that moment too, But I think there needs

485
00:20:57,359 --> 00:21:00,119
Speaker 1: to be more than a public reprimand when you no

486
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:03,160
Speaker 1: matter what the call is, if you bull charge at

487
00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:03,800
Speaker 1: a ref.

488
00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:08,840
Speaker 6: Duck, do you agree, you know, part of me really

489
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:10,520
Speaker 6: wishes he would have been able to get there, just

490
00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:12,280
Speaker 6: so we could know what he said to him. I mean,

491
00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:14,159
Speaker 6: I really want to know what he was planning to

492
00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:15,920
Speaker 6: say or planning to do, what was his next move

493
00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:16,920
Speaker 6: if he would have reached him.

494
00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:18,960
Speaker 4: I think it's a bad look.

495
00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:22,240
Speaker 6: I think it's the guy cares and the guy wants

496
00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:25,080
Speaker 6: an explanation, and I think people want refereeing to be

497
00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:29,600
Speaker 6: held to some sort of accountability standard. So I can

498
00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:32,600
Speaker 6: appreciate the passion. I know that, you know, all three

499
00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:34,800
Speaker 6: of us here really care about what we're doing, and

500
00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:38,680
Speaker 6: our craft is important to us, and if you experience

501
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:40,639
Speaker 6: a bad beat, it really can stick with you and

502
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,439
Speaker 6: it's not fun. So I in his mind, he probably

503
00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:45,880
Speaker 6: felt like he experienced a bad beat. He probably wanted

504
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:49,120
Speaker 6: an explanation for it. He was trying to go about

505
00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:51,880
Speaker 6: getting an answer quickly and went about it the wrong way.

506
00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:54,160
Speaker 6: But I kind of like the passion.

507
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:56,240
Speaker 1: Well, I want to ask you guys this, Do you

508
00:21:56,280 --> 00:22:00,400
Speaker 1: think that that the way that that was handled I'm

509
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:02,439
Speaker 1: talking now from a basketball perspective of the way that

510
00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:05,840
Speaker 1: continuation was called. Do you think that impacts the way

511
00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:08,679
Speaker 1: that coaches are looking at fouling up three late in

512
00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:11,040
Speaker 1: games now, like and do you kind of like that,

513
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 1: even whether it was the correct call or not. Do

514
00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:16,960
Speaker 1: you like this idea of you're really playing with firepower?

515
00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:19,560
Speaker 1: Because last year I remember Brooks Barnheiser against Butler, there

516
00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:21,560
Speaker 1: were a couple examples where it.

517
00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:22,760
Speaker 4: Looked like you could have given it to him on

518
00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:24,000
Speaker 4: the continuation and they didn't get it.

519
00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:25,840
Speaker 1: And part of me is kind of like, good, that's

520
00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:27,360
Speaker 1: what you get for filing up three if you don't

521
00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:29,560
Speaker 1: do it right, you know in the backcourt, like that

522
00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:30,359
Speaker 1: can happen.

523
00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:31,720
Speaker 3: That last point you made.

524
00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:34,000
Speaker 2: I'm in that camp where it's like, if you foul

525
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:37,480
Speaker 2: that close, if you're talking, it's a bang bang Like

526
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:40,119
Speaker 2: in this case, by the way, I think it should

527
00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:41,679
Speaker 2: have been a foul on the floor, but it was

528
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 2: razor close and you allowed him to get to where

529
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:47,280
Speaker 2: he wanted to be on the floor for his shot.

530
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,040
Speaker 2: I think you're playing with fire in that situation, and

531
00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:52,560
Speaker 2: you have to take some responsibility on your own, both

532
00:22:52,600 --> 00:22:55,160
Speaker 2: the coaching of it exactly when you're trying next toek

533
00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:57,560
Speaker 2: at the foul, and the player's performance on the floor.

534
00:22:57,600 --> 00:22:58,639
Speaker 3: So I agree with you.

535
00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:01,240
Speaker 2: I think you know you know, people don't like to

536
00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:03,640
Speaker 2: say this in basketball because we end up always looking

537
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,080
Speaker 2: at reviews and it's down to the hundredths of a second,

538
00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:08,119
Speaker 2: like that Auburn shot against A and M.

539
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:10,919
Speaker 3: The bottom line for me is it's a little bit

540
00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:12,680
Speaker 3: closer to baseball, where it's like the tie goes to

541
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:14,560
Speaker 3: the runner. I think the tie should go to the shooter.

542
00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:16,520
Speaker 2: I think the tie should go to the offensive player

543
00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:18,720
Speaker 2: and get the continuation. If it's really that close, what

544
00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:19,240
Speaker 2: do you think, Douck?

545
00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:21,520
Speaker 6: I think it would help to have a little bit

546
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:23,760
Speaker 6: more of a defined parameter around it. You know, the

547
00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:26,040
Speaker 6: way that this situation played out is very similar to

548
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:28,520
Speaker 6: bang bang pass interference or holding.

549
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:30,560
Speaker 3: There is a case to be made.

550
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:32,320
Speaker 6: That the foul should remain on the floor, There's a

551
00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:34,440
Speaker 6: case to be made that it was continuation, and the

552
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:36,720
Speaker 6: truth probably lies someplace in the middle. So how do

553
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:39,560
Speaker 6: you define what that looks like and then get it

554
00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:41,199
Speaker 6: to the coaches who can get it to the players

555
00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:42,920
Speaker 6: so we all know what the same rules are.

556
00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:43,600
Speaker 3: I mean, my.

557
00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:47,720
Speaker 6: Personal preference is you foul up three, but you don't

558
00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,000
Speaker 6: want to leave it to the ref's discretion either. Just

559
00:23:50,080 --> 00:23:51,800
Speaker 6: foul at the right spot. Make sure you do it

560
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:54,359
Speaker 6: in the back court. Make sure you are smart about

561
00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:56,080
Speaker 6: what you're trying to do so that way it doesn't

562
00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:59,200
Speaker 6: come down to somebody else's discretion rather than your own.

563
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:01,840
Speaker 2: All right, before we get into best bets, I have

564
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:03,600
Speaker 2: one future that I'm going to bring to the table

565
00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:06,280
Speaker 2: and officially put out there. Duck and I were discussing

566
00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:09,600
Speaker 2: it beforehands Houston win the national title as.

567
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:10,600
Speaker 3: Seventeen to one.

568
00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 2: I've seen enough, you know, Kingston Fleming, the way that

569
00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 2: he's taking over the shot making the no fear laden games.

570
00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 3: I think it was the missing piece.

571
00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:21,320
Speaker 2: I was surprised that they made it all the way

572
00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:23,560
Speaker 2: to the title game last year because I thought some

573
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,520
Speaker 2: of their late game issues or who was being the

574
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:30,080
Speaker 2: primary ball handler may have bit them earlier in that run.

575
00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:32,320
Speaker 2: I was more enamored with their teams when they had

576
00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:34,480
Speaker 2: shed At least I knew that he was going to

577
00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:36,840
Speaker 2: be somebody who could not only make shots late, but

578
00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:38,240
Speaker 2: also just handle the pressure.

579
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:43,800
Speaker 3: That Kingston is just an absolute dog. This kid is unbelievable,

580
00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:44,120
Speaker 3: and you.

581
00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:47,080
Speaker 2: Saw it earlier in the season. You know, Samson went

582
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,040
Speaker 2: to the media and basically said, if he can play

583
00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 2: harder and more consistently on defense. I'm never going to

584
00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:53,320
Speaker 2: take this kid off the floor. And what has he done.

585
00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:55,800
Speaker 3: He's done exactly that and now he's knocking.

586
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,360
Speaker 2: Down big shots to take down Texas Tech seventeen to one.

587
00:24:58,400 --> 00:24:59,639
Speaker 2: I think this is the last time we're going to

588
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:02,320
Speaker 2: get the worth of fifteen to one this season. I

589
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 2: think their ceiling is absolutely national title. I feel very

590
00:25:05,080 --> 00:25:07,800
Speaker 2: comfortable depending on the seating. A big part of this

591
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:09,560
Speaker 2: is like which region do they end up being in,

592
00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:11,639
Speaker 2: But if they're in a region with Arizona as a

593
00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:14,160
Speaker 2: one or two flip flops, I feel great about them

594
00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:16,720
Speaker 2: winning and getting to the final four. Christian, what are

595
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:18,879
Speaker 2: your thoughts at this price point on the Houston.

596
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,000
Speaker 4: Cougers love it? My bags already packed.

597
00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:23,880
Speaker 1: My bags have been packed since July, like twelve to one,

598
00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:27,280
Speaker 1: So maybe I'll add a little sprinkle at seventeen to one.

599
00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:30,680
Speaker 4: But you saw and like the TEXTA Tech was awesome

600
00:25:30,720 --> 00:25:31,240
Speaker 4: in that game.

601
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,600
Speaker 1: You know Houston will lose between two and four Big

602
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:37,840
Speaker 1: twelve games, Max like it is. There is a standard

603
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:40,560
Speaker 1: at that program in under coach Sampson that is so

604
00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:43,720
Speaker 1: consistent on a nightly basis that is not replicated anywhere else.

605
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:47,040
Speaker 1: And now that you're seeing that ceiling being unlocked with Plumbings,

606
00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:48,640
Speaker 1: I want more from Sinac, by the way, I think

607
00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:50,360
Speaker 1: that there's times when he has small defenders on him

608
00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:52,080
Speaker 1: and I want to see him be aggressive, and he's

609
00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:52,639
Speaker 1: never doing it.

610
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:54,400
Speaker 4: So I'm hoping we get that out of him.

611
00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:57,160
Speaker 1: But this is a one or two seed, most likely

612
00:25:57,160 --> 00:25:59,000
Speaker 1: a one seed, depending on if they can pass high

613
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:01,320
Speaker 1: with State or Arizona win this league in the regular season.

614
00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:06,239
Speaker 1: But I mean, the floor is so so high for

615
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:06,880
Speaker 1: a second weekend.

616
00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:08,399
Speaker 4: The ceiling is at the moon right now.

617
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:12,240
Speaker 2: When you have that firepower, the mental fortitude of that team,

618
00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:14,720
Speaker 2: you know, watching the second half, Texas Tech made some

619
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:16,920
Speaker 2: big boy three pointers where it's like, all right, they're

620
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:17,679
Speaker 2: gonna pull away.

621
00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:18,840
Speaker 3: It's just their night.

622
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:21,800
Speaker 2: They're making contested threes and Houston just has no quit

623
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:22,600
Speaker 2: in them whatsoever.

624
00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:25,600
Speaker 3: They're just such a tough out, so hard to kill. Duck.

625
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:27,159
Speaker 2: Do you think seventeen to one is too good to

626
00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:28,920
Speaker 2: pass up? Or is there a reason to keep money

627
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:29,960
Speaker 2: on the sideline at this point?

628
00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:31,800
Speaker 3: No? I like Houston.

629
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:33,560
Speaker 6: I liked them last year. I like them this year too.

630
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:35,800
Speaker 6: You look at Flemings as just such a player and

631
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:38,600
Speaker 6: add such a unique element for them. We haven't seen

632
00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 6: Houston play their best offensive basketball either. They have struggled

633
00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:44,879
Speaker 6: for long stretches this year to knock down shots, and

634
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:48,120
Speaker 6: the way that they control the terms is it's such

635
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 6: a contagious and infectious attitude with the way that their

636
00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:55,840
Speaker 6: defense plays. When they're up twenty, up thirty, last five minutes,

637
00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:58,960
Speaker 6: you're closing things out, nothing cheap, everyone's playing into the whistle,

638
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:03,080
Speaker 6: everybody is contesting shots. I mean, these guys are so

639
00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:07,120
Speaker 6: buttoned up defensively, and really even in these situations where

640
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:11,400
Speaker 6: they've played these closer than expected games, the run always comes. Defensively,

641
00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:13,920
Speaker 6: they shut you down for five or six minutes where

642
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:16,639
Speaker 6: you go one of nine, two points and five minutes

643
00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 6: and that's where the real, really the run kicks in. Well,

644
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:24,480
Speaker 6: that's that's NCAA tournament basketball. That's quintessential Calvin Sampson coach

645
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:28,320
Speaker 6: basketball from Houston. I think this team is still has

646
00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:30,640
Speaker 6: a ways to go to kind of prop their ceiling up.

647
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:33,520
Speaker 6: If they start knocking down open jumpers, which they again,

648
00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:35,520
Speaker 6: they've got a long stretch this year where they haven't.

649
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:37,400
Speaker 6: This team could be really dangerous.

650
00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:40,440
Speaker 1: Last note, real quick, they got no bench points last night.

651
00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:42,160
Speaker 1: He wasn't really trusting a lot those guys. But there's

652
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:45,879
Speaker 1: still five guys that can make an impact, and Harwell's

653
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:47,320
Speaker 1: the guy that I've circled because he can be the

654
00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:49,200
Speaker 1: guy who can hit multiple threes and like ask some

655
00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:51,879
Speaker 1: pop off the bounce too. But just hoping that you

656
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:54,119
Speaker 1: know more, trust a guy like Socco too to be

657
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:56,600
Speaker 1: able to rotate in and get some big man minutes as well.

658
00:27:56,920 --> 00:27:59,320
Speaker 2: Before we get into some of our actual bets for Thursday,

659
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:02,040
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660
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Speaker 2: All right time for the reason that you're all here

690
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:30,200
Speaker 2: some best bets, We're going to go around the horn

691
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 2: and give out our top plays for Thursday Friday, and

692
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:35,760
Speaker 2: a few looks at the Saturday slate as well. Douc,

693
00:29:35,880 --> 00:29:39,160
Speaker 2: let's get started out west. You're looking Weeper State Northern

694
00:29:39,240 --> 00:29:42,120
Speaker 2: Arizona looking for a total here projected in the one

695
00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:43,120
Speaker 2: to fifty range.

696
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:45,960
Speaker 6: Yeah, Weaver States really drop the hammer on their pace

697
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:49,000
Speaker 6: the last three games, playing seventy five possessions against non

698
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:53,080
Speaker 6: Division one Lincoln University. They played eighty four possessions against

699
00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 6: Portland State and seventy seven possessions against sax State in

700
00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:59,840
Speaker 6: recent games, and all these games have had a ton

701
00:29:59,880 --> 00:30:02,560
Speaker 6: of points, as has their game against Utah Valley and

702
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:04,480
Speaker 6: Utah tex So it can be hard to bet the

703
00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:06,760
Speaker 6: under here. But I'm looking at this next stretch of

704
00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:10,560
Speaker 6: games being played in Flagstaff, Arizona and Greeley, Colorado, and

705
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:13,240
Speaker 6: playing two games in a forty eight hour stretch. Yet

706
00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:15,400
Speaker 6: elevation is going to be really tough on these guys.

707
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:19,120
Speaker 6: So I can see coach Eric Duff really just being

708
00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:22,560
Speaker 6: a little bit more comfortable operating at the pace Northern

709
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:26,480
Speaker 6: Arizona wants to play at. NAU has really throttled down

710
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:30,920
Speaker 6: the tempo since hitting league play, and I look at

711
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 6: both of these teams being methodical in their shot process here.

712
00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:40,360
Speaker 6: Northern Arizona and Weber are both sub three hundred level

713
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:43,960
Speaker 6: and three point shooting and are both poor foul shooting teams.

714
00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:47,000
Speaker 6: So I think with Weber knowing what they're up against

715
00:30:47,560 --> 00:30:50,600
Speaker 6: going to Greeley to play Northern Colorado, I think this

716
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:52,600
Speaker 6: is the time to throttle down the tempo. I think

717
00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:56,960
Speaker 6: this one will probably be played sixty four sixty five

718
00:30:57,000 --> 00:30:59,600
Speaker 6: possessions with the projected total of one fifty or so.

719
00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:01,200
Speaker 6: I think we should go under here.

720
00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:05,560
Speaker 2: Let's stick on Thursday night another under and Liberties involved.

721
00:31:05,560 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 2: So you have my attention because they are an absolute snail.

722
00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:12,400
Speaker 6: Yeah, three thirty fourth and adjusted tempo. Louisiana Tech is

723
00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:15,720
Speaker 6: three point fifty third nationally. Louisiana Tech three fortieth in

724
00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 6: effective field goal percentage and absolutely cannot shoot the three ball,

725
00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:23,000
Speaker 6: nearly last in all of college basketball in three point

726
00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:25,480
Speaker 6: percentage and made three point shots. And if you can't

727
00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 6: shoot the ball from outside against this Liberty team, you're

728
00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:29,880
Speaker 6: going to be in some big time trouble. They're not

729
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:32,560
Speaker 6: going to get to the line. Their interior offense should

730
00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:36,280
Speaker 6: get nothing cheap inside. But both of these defenses are

731
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 6: top seventy level, enforcing low percentage or poor shots. I

732
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:43,120
Speaker 6: look at the games they played against each other last year,

733
00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:46,200
Speaker 6: kind of a familiar opponent. Last year, one stayed under

734
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 6: and the other went over, but it took a one

735
00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:50,800
Speaker 6: hundred point second half to get there. I don't think

736
00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:54,280
Speaker 6: we see the scoring outburst here anything one thirty three,

737
00:31:54,360 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 6: one thirty four. I'm diving in on the under, all right.

738
00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:57,400
Speaker 3: I'm going to stick.

739
00:31:57,440 --> 00:32:00,320
Speaker 2: On Thursday, Santa Clara catch a double digit at the

740
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:03,120
Speaker 2: kennel against the Zags. I'm hoping to get thirteen and

741
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 2: a half fourteen in this spot. Of the three hundred

742
00:32:05,520 --> 00:32:08,120
Speaker 2: and sixty plus Division one teams, the Zags are thirteenth

743
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:11,120
Speaker 2: worst in terms of playing down to their competition per

744
00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:15,200
Speaker 2: evan Mia. They get up for the big ones like Bama, Oregon, UCLA,

745
00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:17,560
Speaker 2: but then they needed overtime to take out Seattle. As

746
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:19,560
Speaker 2: I mentioned earlier in the show, Mark few two and

747
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:21,920
Speaker 2: five against the spread in his last seven and that

748
00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:26,360
Speaker 2: San Diego performance from gu show their disinterest.

749
00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:26,360
Speaker 3: In winning big.

750
00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:28,480
Speaker 2: They're up twenty one with seven to go in that game,

751
00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 2: they allowed the Trero's to cut it to five in

752
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:31,760
Speaker 2: the closing seconds.

753
00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:33,520
Speaker 3: This Broncos team of other side.

754
00:32:33,520 --> 00:32:36,040
Speaker 2: For Santa Clara, they have the scoring at least in

755
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:38,400
Speaker 2: my opinion, to keep pace here, particularly if they have

756
00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:40,720
Speaker 2: a big night on the glass. Their fifth in offensive

757
00:32:40,760 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 2: rebounding percentage and freshman Allan Graves gives them a big

758
00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 2: shot on the arm. Off the bench, he does most

759
00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:48,920
Speaker 2: of his work on the offensive glass. Christian Hammonds, by

760
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:51,800
Speaker 2: the way, now averaging seventeen points per game, one of

761
00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:53,360
Speaker 2: the best players on the West Coast, one of the

762
00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:56,520
Speaker 2: biggest glow ups from a freshman a sophomore season perspective

763
00:32:56,680 --> 00:32:59,080
Speaker 2: in the entire country. But this really comes down to

764
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:02,040
Speaker 2: my trust of herbs. In the last five full seasons,

765
00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:05,680
Speaker 2: he's hit twenty or more wins every single time, seven

766
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:08,440
Speaker 2: wins in March Madness in his career. He's not afraid

767
00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:10,640
Speaker 2: of the Zags. Beat them last year at the Kennel,

768
00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:12,680
Speaker 2: beat them at home the year before that. So the

769
00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:15,280
Speaker 2: aura that gu usually has when they roll out the

770
00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:18,160
Speaker 2: balls and teams are just terrified, it doesn't apply to

771
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:19,760
Speaker 2: the Broncos. So I'm going to go ahead and take

772
00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:21,520
Speaker 2: the points. Like I said, I'm hoping to get north

773
00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:24,240
Speaker 2: of thirteen here. That's kind of my cutoff, and then

774
00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:26,560
Speaker 2: I'm going to go even lower, from a mid major

775
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:29,640
Speaker 2: league to a low major league Binghamton traveling up to

776
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:32,600
Speaker 2: Burlington to take on the Vermont Catamounts. I would lay

777
00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 2: this one all the way up to twenty two with Vermont,

778
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:38,000
Speaker 2: and it's pretty simple in terms of the projection. Coming

779
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:41,360
Speaker 2: into the year, it looked like Binghamton could finally break through,

780
00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 2: not necessarily buy for a conference title or to get

781
00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:46,200
Speaker 2: back to the tournament for the first time since two

782
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,720
Speaker 2: thousand and nine, but finally get a winning season on

783
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:51,280
Speaker 2: the books, be competitive throughout the year, and a big

784
00:33:51,320 --> 00:33:54,520
Speaker 2: part of that was on the shoulders of Demetrius Lilly.

785
00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:57,080
Speaker 2: He was somebody who was an elite rebounder. He was

786
00:33:57,120 --> 00:33:59,960
Speaker 2: going to bring in a lot of post presence for them,

787
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:03,880
Speaker 2: and without him in the lineup, he's still sidelined with

788
00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:06,959
Speaker 2: his shoulder injury. They've lost six straight to Division One teams.

789
00:34:07,120 --> 00:34:09,440
Speaker 2: Most of that losing streak was with him on the bench.

790
00:34:10,520 --> 00:34:12,360
Speaker 2: I think without him in this lineup though, one of

791
00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:14,640
Speaker 2: the worst teams in the entire sport, bottom ten and

792
00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:17,560
Speaker 2: turnover margin, and without Lily, they cannot get an offensive

793
00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:20,120
Speaker 2: rebound to save their life. So what that creates is

794
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:24,200
Speaker 2: so many extra possessions, extra scoring opportunities for their opponents.

795
00:34:24,680 --> 00:34:26,440
Speaker 2: And it's time to get on the gusbus here because

796
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:29,919
Speaker 2: with Lily also gone, you look at Yolden, He's gonna

797
00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:32,080
Speaker 2: kill these guys. I expect twenty five and eight from

798
00:34:32,080 --> 00:34:35,000
Speaker 2: the seton Hall transfer. He's someone who's so dynamic, and

799
00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:37,440
Speaker 2: I think he's only going to get better in AE play.

800
00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:39,360
Speaker 2: And then Becker of the final piece of the puzzle

801
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:41,319
Speaker 2: for me. When you look at the best coaches to

802
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:44,120
Speaker 2: back in low major basketball on their home floors, you

803
00:34:44,160 --> 00:34:46,120
Speaker 2: could do a lot worse than Becker. Since he took over,

804
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:48,480
Speaker 2: he's covered fifty six percent of the time on his

805
00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:52,120
Speaker 2: home floor and almost sixty percent of his conference games.

806
00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:54,320
Speaker 2: Both of those rates are the best in the America

807
00:34:54,360 --> 00:34:56,359
Speaker 2: East since he showed up. So I'm gonna go ahead

808
00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:59,480
Speaker 2: and lay the big number with Vermonts. All right, gonna

809
00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:02,359
Speaker 2: kick it now for some plays on Saturday that you're

810
00:35:02,520 --> 00:35:04,440
Speaker 2: Saturday that you're interested in, Christian.

811
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:09,279
Speaker 4: I'll start with Indiana. You mentioned it before. Nebraska is.

812
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:15,480
Speaker 1: Very legit. You don't start the season this well. Fifteen

813
00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:17,560
Speaker 1: and HL with a you know, a road wind at Illinois,

814
00:35:17,640 --> 00:35:22,360
Speaker 1: take care of Michigan State at home. Even in noncarm Creighton, Wisconsin, Oklahoma,

815
00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:25,120
Speaker 1: Kansas State, New Mexico. It's a lot of good wins

816
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:27,879
Speaker 1: and they do it on both ends. I know their

817
00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:30,360
Speaker 1: offense can be really fun at times, but they just

818
00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:34,640
Speaker 1: you know, gritted out a couple wins. Defensively, they're awesome

819
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:38,080
Speaker 1: just with the no middle. They don't foul, they're they're disciplined,

820
00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:43,320
Speaker 1: and that's all great. But Indiana at home is a

821
00:35:43,400 --> 00:35:45,759
Speaker 1: really good offensive team. And I didn't even realize how

822
00:35:45,800 --> 00:35:49,000
Speaker 1: good of a defensive team they are. They thirty first

823
00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:51,680
Speaker 1: in Keempon defensively, ninth in effective field goal percentage allowed.

824
00:35:52,040 --> 00:35:54,640
Speaker 1: And what do they do offensively that suits this match

825
00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:57,320
Speaker 1: up against Nebraska? They take a ton of threes and

826
00:35:57,360 --> 00:35:59,400
Speaker 1: they're seventh in the country in it sistrate fifteenth or

827
00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:02,360
Speaker 1: three point times great. We saw Lamar Wilkerson breaking Indiana

828
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:05,560
Speaker 1: record at home shooting the three ball. I think that

829
00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:08,800
Speaker 1: they have the spacing and the discipline and Darren Devreze,

830
00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:12,680
Speaker 1: I trust him. He's kind of a psycho film guy,

831
00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:14,560
Speaker 1: and I think that he will have his guys in

832
00:36:15,400 --> 00:36:20,640
Speaker 1: advantageous positions to just take advantage of the way Nebraska

833
00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:22,919
Speaker 1: really loads up the ball side and just be able

834
00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:27,120
Speaker 1: to find open threes. So I think Indiana will hand

835
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:29,799
Speaker 1: Nebraska their first loss the season in front of a

836
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:31,920
Speaker 1: packed home gym.

837
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:35,040
Speaker 3: Anything else on Saturday that you're leaning towards, Yes.

838
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:37,080
Speaker 1: This one's kind of gross. But how about the pitt

839
00:36:37,080 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 1: Panthers against Syracuse. They swept them last year pit seven

840
00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:43,680
Speaker 1: and eight. On the season, they just played two top

841
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:45,880
Speaker 1: thirty five AC teams really tight. You know, they were

842
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:48,640
Speaker 1: up double digits in the first half against Miami, ended

843
00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:51,080
Speaker 1: up losing by seven. Leek Reno was just kind of

844
00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:53,279
Speaker 1: too much on the inside and they went really cold

845
00:36:53,280 --> 00:36:54,600
Speaker 1: shooting the ball in second half.

846
00:36:54,719 --> 00:36:57,239
Speaker 4: And then Clemson, who's maybe the second best team in

847
00:36:57,239 --> 00:36:57,600
Speaker 4: this league.

848
00:36:57,600 --> 00:37:00,480
Speaker 1: We don't really know at this point, but that's a

849
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:03,000
Speaker 1: team that really plays inside out, has a lot of

850
00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:05,600
Speaker 1: bigs and they only allowed four offensive rebounds and they

851
00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:07,680
Speaker 1: hung really tight in that five point loss.

852
00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:09,120
Speaker 4: Now you get a week off, no game in the

853
00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:10,040
Speaker 4: middle of the week, and you.

854
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:12,359
Speaker 1: Play a Syracuse team that you know, you get Donny

855
00:37:12,400 --> 00:37:15,120
Speaker 1: Freeman back in the mix. They're really good defensively, they

856
00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:19,480
Speaker 1: they're awful free throw shooting team.

857
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:20,920
Speaker 4: And I just love Pitt's guards like this.

858
00:37:21,080 --> 00:37:23,120
Speaker 1: This is a team that has some fun, talented guards

859
00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:26,000
Speaker 1: that can create off the dribble, and I think that

860
00:37:26,440 --> 00:37:29,040
Speaker 1: suits you well, the way that they can shoot the

861
00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:31,040
Speaker 1: ball and space you out against the defense that you

862
00:37:31,040 --> 00:37:34,040
Speaker 1: know has elite rim protection with William Kyle and with

863
00:37:34,080 --> 00:37:36,520
Speaker 1: the Donnie Freeman. So I like Pitt, love the spot,

864
00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:39,760
Speaker 1: Love how they competed against two teams that are better

865
00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:41,960
Speaker 1: offensively and are kind of built similarly.

866
00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:45,280
Speaker 4: This is a good spot to back Jeff Capole's boys.

867
00:37:45,400 --> 00:37:47,920
Speaker 3: All right, we have a trio of picks on Friday.

868
00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:49,000
Speaker 3: Let me get it kick started.

869
00:37:49,080 --> 00:37:51,040
Speaker 2: In the Mid American we talked about how great the

870
00:37:51,080 --> 00:37:54,120
Speaker 2: point guard play across this conference has been. Akron Bowling Green.

871
00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:56,000
Speaker 2: I'm going to go over all the way up to

872
00:37:56,080 --> 00:37:58,040
Speaker 2: the edge of one hundred and seventy and I just

873
00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:00,200
Speaker 2: want to treat myself to an up tempo game with

874
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:00,959
Speaker 2: great guard play.

875
00:38:01,120 --> 00:38:02,160
Speaker 3: The Zips are thirty.

876
00:38:01,960 --> 00:38:03,919
Speaker 2: Second in tempo, and when you dig into Bowling Green,

877
00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:06,480
Speaker 2: yes they're outside the top one hundred in tempo, but

878
00:38:06,640 --> 00:38:09,359
Speaker 2: they can't resist playing faster if their opponents, you know,

879
00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:11,480
Speaker 2: essentially challenge them and try to have an up and

880
00:38:11,520 --> 00:38:13,480
Speaker 2: down game. Just look at their last three games, all

881
00:38:13,520 --> 00:38:16,880
Speaker 2: top fifty tempo opponents in Miami, UMass, and Kent. The

882
00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:19,600
Speaker 2: average points scored in those games total one hundred and

883
00:38:19,640 --> 00:38:23,040
Speaker 2: eighty nine points. I mentioned the guard play Tavari Johnson,

884
00:38:23,080 --> 00:38:27,240
Speaker 2: but also Bowling Greens Joonce Campbell. Campbell is somebody who

885
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:30,040
Speaker 2: you know he can get hot from just about anywhere

886
00:38:30,040 --> 00:38:32,120
Speaker 2: on the floor. He hit forty seven against UMass in

887
00:38:32,280 --> 00:38:35,120
Speaker 2: you know the past two weeks. He took twenty seven

888
00:38:35,200 --> 00:38:37,640
Speaker 2: foul shots in that game. And that's what I'm kind

889
00:38:37,640 --> 00:38:40,400
Speaker 2: of looking for in terms of stability of high end scoring.

890
00:38:40,480 --> 00:38:42,319
Speaker 2: Sometimes you can have those nights where you're not going

891
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:44,880
Speaker 2: to drop fifteen three pointers, but if you have somebody

892
00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:48,040
Speaker 2: who's consistently stopping the game getting to the charity stripe,

893
00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:51,000
Speaker 2: I think that certainly benefits us. Tavari Johnson, as I mentioned,

894
00:38:51,080 --> 00:38:53,680
Speaker 2: one of the rare unicorns in the sport that can

895
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:56,800
Speaker 2: impact the game from a playmaker perspective. At such a

896
00:38:56,880 --> 00:38:59,360
Speaker 2: high level, scoring over twenty and given out five dimes

897
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:00,640
Speaker 2: per game, Bowling Green, by the.

898
00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:02,120
Speaker 3: Way, has fallen off a cliff defensively.

899
00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:04,120
Speaker 2: An Acrons transition game I think is going to eat

900
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:06,920
Speaker 2: them up they're averaging over seventeen points per game in

901
00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:09,840
Speaker 2: transition those fast break opportunities, which is top thirty in

902
00:39:09,920 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 2: the sport. So, like I said, I'll go all the

903
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:13,680
Speaker 2: way up to the verge of one to seventy. I'm

904
00:39:13,680 --> 00:39:15,759
Speaker 2: hoping to get something in the one sixties. I think

905
00:39:15,800 --> 00:39:18,279
Speaker 2: this is a dead overshot. All right, Duck, can you

906
00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:20,799
Speaker 2: back involved here talking to me about Marist on Friday night?

907
00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:21,439
Speaker 5: Yeah?

908
00:39:21,560 --> 00:39:24,440
Speaker 6: Really, Marius needs to wash the road stink off of

909
00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:26,680
Speaker 6: whom in their first two league games on the road

910
00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:29,720
Speaker 6: edited defeat, they lost to Quinnipiac, they lost to Saint Peter's,

911
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:33,279
Speaker 6: and those two teams are significantly stronger defensive and more

912
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 6: talented teams than Sacred Heart. So I really think this

913
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:39,560
Speaker 6: matchup is going to favor John Dunn and the Maris defense.

914
00:39:39,840 --> 00:39:42,040
Speaker 6: I worry about Sacred Heart being able to hold onto

915
00:39:42,040 --> 00:39:46,120
Speaker 6: the basketball here. This defense is just so nasty, really

916
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:50,080
Speaker 6: a quintessential example of a defense that defends for the

917
00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:53,760
Speaker 6: entire shot clock. They've done well to defend without fouling.

918
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:56,360
Speaker 6: They don't give up a lot of cheapies in close.

919
00:39:57,280 --> 00:39:59,359
Speaker 6: And if you look at Sacred Heart, who has lost

920
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:02,439
Speaker 6: four in a row, they're leading score and Kwon Hill

921
00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:05,719
Speaker 6: hasn't played since December thirteenth, and their offense has just

922
00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:08,680
Speaker 6: looked so jerky without him in the fold. I mean,

923
00:40:08,719 --> 00:40:11,600
Speaker 6: as long as we don't get a reserve bench guy

924
00:40:11,719 --> 00:40:14,320
Speaker 6: going for thirty or Maris shooting two out of twenty

925
00:40:14,320 --> 00:40:16,400
Speaker 6: seven from three, I think that the Fox has win

926
00:40:16,520 --> 00:40:19,440
Speaker 6: this one going away. So with a projected line of

927
00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:21,440
Speaker 6: about six six and a half, I'm.

928
00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:22,960
Speaker 3: Going to lay it with Marist now.

929
00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:25,560
Speaker 2: Christian, I'm glad that you're bringing up Minnesota a potential

930
00:40:25,600 --> 00:40:28,879
Speaker 2: money line play against USC because in the transfer portal era,

931
00:40:28,960 --> 00:40:32,400
Speaker 2: everyone's looking for instant gratification, and sometimes when those players

932
00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:35,120
Speaker 2: from mid major levels transfer up and it doesn't work,

933
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:37,920
Speaker 2: people write them off entirely. Cade Tyson is one of

934
00:40:37,920 --> 00:40:41,120
Speaker 2: those guys going from Belmont to UNC. He was invisible.

935
00:40:41,200 --> 00:40:43,840
Speaker 2: He didn't impact the game whatsoever for the tar Heels.

936
00:40:44,040 --> 00:40:46,000
Speaker 2: Maybe some people wrote him off that was a mistake.

937
00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:49,000
Speaker 2: He's closing in on fifty forty eighty kind of shooting.

938
00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:51,920
Speaker 2: He's someone that has elevated this team, and you like

939
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:52,480
Speaker 2: them against the.

940
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:55,600
Speaker 4: Trojans absolutely real quick.

941
00:40:55,640 --> 00:40:57,560
Speaker 1: From my other two plays, those are spots where I'm

942
00:40:57,560 --> 00:40:59,920
Speaker 1: expecting close to a pick them or a small num

943
00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:02,160
Speaker 1: run the home team, and I'm willing to play that

944
00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:04,840
Speaker 1: up to a possession. This is another spot where I

945
00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:06,720
Speaker 1: think it's really important to be on the opener because

946
00:41:06,800 --> 00:41:10,280
Speaker 1: USC is forty sixth on kempom Minnesota's ninety first USC

947
00:41:10,640 --> 00:41:13,640
Speaker 1: was they won Maui. You know, they were a different

948
00:41:13,640 --> 00:41:16,680
Speaker 1: team than they were. They had way more players they had.

949
00:41:17,280 --> 00:41:19,800
Speaker 3: They had right at least for a portion of MAUI.

950
00:41:20,480 --> 00:41:22,680
Speaker 4: Yes, yes, true, that's when Rice did go down.

951
00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:25,640
Speaker 1: But Ryan Cornish coming over from Dartmouth was a guy

952
00:41:25,719 --> 00:41:27,319
Speaker 1: that you know, I know he was a good player

953
00:41:27,360 --> 00:41:29,040
Speaker 1: at Dartmouth and he came here and he was supposed

954
00:41:29,080 --> 00:41:30,840
Speaker 1: to be what ninth or tenth man. He started against

955
00:41:30,880 --> 00:41:34,000
Speaker 1: Michigan State Chad Baker Mazzara. I don't have all the details,

956
00:41:34,000 --> 00:41:37,040
Speaker 1: but him coming off the bench not playing well, clearly

957
00:41:37,080 --> 00:41:39,080
Speaker 1: something going on there. They're not getting much out of

958
00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:42,200
Speaker 1: Jordan marsh five scoreless minutes against Michigan State. He's the

959
00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:46,000
Speaker 1: guy whoit the buzzer beater against Troy. It's really weak

960
00:41:46,040 --> 00:41:48,920
Speaker 1: outside of a star and KOFE, and there's just a

961
00:41:48,960 --> 00:41:52,200
Speaker 1: lot of pressure on them now schedule wise, you just

962
00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:55,400
Speaker 1: got your asses kicked by Michigan and Michigan State Friday. Monday,

963
00:41:55,440 --> 00:41:57,719
Speaker 1: you go back to I assume you're going back to

964
00:41:57,760 --> 00:42:00,480
Speaker 1: California for a couple days. Befo're coming back out to

965
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:03,640
Speaker 1: the Midwest to go play at Minnesota. Really sucky spot

966
00:42:03,719 --> 00:42:07,400
Speaker 1: in Minnesota. You know, cade Tyson under the radar, like

967
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:12,200
Speaker 1: you said in the portal post hype sleeper playing really well.

968
00:42:12,239 --> 00:42:15,040
Speaker 1: But it's this top seven for Minnesota. I just medved

969
00:42:15,120 --> 00:42:16,000
Speaker 1: is just a sick coach.

970
00:42:16,040 --> 00:42:16,160
Speaker 2: Man.

971
00:42:16,200 --> 00:42:18,520
Speaker 1: They're number one in the country in assistory, like they

972
00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:22,040
Speaker 1: just know how to play basketball together and defensively up

973
00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:24,040
Speaker 1: to sixty third on kemp.

974
00:42:23,920 --> 00:42:26,680
Speaker 4: Pom, and a lot of that is just coaching in discipline.

975
00:42:26,680 --> 00:42:31,720
Speaker 1: They don't really have anything crazy like athletically or personnel wise.

976
00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:33,480
Speaker 1: But I just love the way they're playing there in

977
00:42:33,560 --> 00:42:37,040
Speaker 1: rhythm and this USC team. Man, it's just a hard

978
00:42:37,120 --> 00:42:39,040
Speaker 1: sell for me. So this is a line that could

979
00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:41,719
Speaker 1: come in and move a lot. This could go from

980
00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 1: like a pick them to like Minnesota minus five or six.

981
00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:46,280
Speaker 1: So I would love to get in on this early

982
00:42:46,560 --> 00:42:49,200
Speaker 1: at a small number. I have money line down now

983
00:42:49,239 --> 00:42:50,959
Speaker 1: just because I I mean.

984
00:42:50,880 --> 00:42:53,640
Speaker 4: Kempom has us as a favorite. So we'll see how

985
00:42:53,640 --> 00:42:54,680
Speaker 4: sharp the market is here.

986
00:42:54,960 --> 00:42:56,359
Speaker 2: Now, before we get out of here, we're gonna put

987
00:42:56,360 --> 00:42:59,200
Speaker 2: together a quick three leg parlay over on DraftKings with

988
00:42:59,239 --> 00:43:02,040
Speaker 2: their favorite play from this episode. Obviously, we don't have

989
00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:03,920
Speaker 2: all of the numbers in front of us right now,

990
00:43:03,920 --> 00:43:04,960
Speaker 2: so we'll try to give a range.

991
00:43:05,160 --> 00:43:05,359
Speaker 3: Duck.

992
00:43:05,440 --> 00:43:07,759
Speaker 2: You like Marist, what number would you bet it up to?

993
00:43:07,920 --> 00:43:09,640
Speaker 2: You're hoping to get them laid six and a half?

994
00:43:09,880 --> 00:43:11,560
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'd lay up to eight and a half. I

995
00:43:11,719 --> 00:43:14,439
Speaker 6: just think this is a spot. Last year they went

996
00:43:14,560 --> 00:43:16,879
Speaker 6: to Sacred Heart and lost, and it triggered a four

997
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:19,720
Speaker 6: game losing streak to conclude the regular season, which carried

998
00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:22,600
Speaker 6: into postseason play. And I would imagine that Marist has

999
00:43:22,600 --> 00:43:24,520
Speaker 6: a pretty bad taste in their mouth left from that.

1000
00:43:24,640 --> 00:43:26,760
Speaker 6: So I think they're really locked in here and focused

1001
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:28,640
Speaker 6: on wanting to beat this team. I'd lay up to

1002
00:43:28,640 --> 00:43:29,160
Speaker 6: eight and a half.

1003
00:43:29,520 --> 00:43:32,400
Speaker 2: Now, the Golden Gophers at this point five wins in

1004
00:43:32,440 --> 00:43:35,080
Speaker 2: a row. If the secret is out, if there's any

1005
00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 2: steam on this, what would you play.

1006
00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:37,920
Speaker 3: It up to? If they end up laying points in

1007
00:43:37,960 --> 00:43:38,719
Speaker 3: this spot.

1008
00:43:39,040 --> 00:43:40,600
Speaker 4: I'd go to like four and a half.

1009
00:43:41,440 --> 00:43:41,720
Speaker 2: Five.

1010
00:43:43,120 --> 00:43:45,839
Speaker 1: I feel really confident in them, but like I said,

1011
00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:49,080
Speaker 1: I think this is one that Thursday early afternoon. I

1012
00:43:49,080 --> 00:43:50,719
Speaker 1: would be looking to get into this number as as

1013
00:43:50,719 --> 00:43:51,480
Speaker 1: soon as possible.

1014
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:54,280
Speaker 2: This is my shout out to Tanner McGrath, our America

1015
00:43:54,360 --> 00:43:56,759
Speaker 2: East expert. Always go and check out his right up

1016
00:43:56,800 --> 00:43:58,640
Speaker 2: seat also interviews all the coaches.

1017
00:43:59,440 --> 00:43:59,919
Speaker 3: At this point.

1018
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:02,160
Speaker 2: I think he's like an assistant coach at some one

1019
00:44:02,160 --> 00:44:04,239
Speaker 2: of these programs because the insight that he has, the

1020
00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:06,960
Speaker 2: cut ups, the film work, everything. I made sure to

1021
00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:08,920
Speaker 2: vet this pick with him. I was like, we're on

1022
00:44:09,040 --> 00:44:11,359
Speaker 2: Vermont and this spot He's like absolutely without Lily. He

1023
00:44:11,400 --> 00:44:13,640
Speaker 2: confirmed that Lily's shoulder injury is going to keep him

1024
00:44:13,640 --> 00:44:16,839
Speaker 2: sidelined for that reason. I'll go one point further on

1025
00:44:16,880 --> 00:44:18,719
Speaker 2: the tickup you know here, I'll go Vermont all the

1026
00:44:18,760 --> 00:44:21,840
Speaker 2: way up to minus twenty two here at home against

1027
00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:26,400
Speaker 2: the Bearcats to complete our DraftKings three leg parlay. All right,

1028
00:44:26,480 --> 00:44:30,160
Speaker 2: that's it for the DraftKings College Hoops Parlay this week.

1029
00:44:30,360 --> 00:44:32,640
Speaker 2: The crown is yours and they'll do it for our

1030
00:44:32,680 --> 00:44:35,840
Speaker 2: episode here, the Big Bets on Campus podcast presented by DraftKings.

1031
00:44:35,840 --> 00:44:38,120
Speaker 2: My thanks to Duck and to Christian for joining me.

1032
00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:40,279
Speaker 2: As always, you know you can do us a big

1033
00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:44,799
Speaker 2: favor by subscribing on YouTube, by you know, liking by commenting.

1034
00:44:44,960 --> 00:44:47,040
Speaker 2: It always helps in terms of engagement to make sure

1035
00:44:47,080 --> 00:44:49,640
Speaker 2: that we're discoverable for other people out there, as well

1036
00:44:49,680 --> 00:44:52,520
Speaker 2: as your five star ratings and review the next five

1037
00:44:52,560 --> 00:44:55,239
Speaker 2: star rating that shouts at this particular show. Duck and

1038
00:44:55,280 --> 00:44:58,680
Speaker 2: I are going to give out a futures ticket for now.

1039
00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:01,520
Speaker 2: Whatever you'd like, We'll go ten to bucks depends you

1040
00:45:01,560 --> 00:45:02,200
Speaker 2: know how much we.

1041
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:05,280
Speaker 3: Like your play. Final four national title wouldn't award.

1042
00:45:05,440 --> 00:45:07,080
Speaker 2: We just want you guys to get some skin in

1043
00:45:07,120 --> 00:45:09,520
Speaker 2: the game, and you are what makes the show possible.

1044
00:45:09,520 --> 00:45:12,439
Speaker 2: So we appreciate you listening, engaging with us out there

1045
00:45:12,560 --> 00:45:15,239
Speaker 2: on Twitter and in the comments section as well. Thanks

1046
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:17,360
Speaker 2: again for listening to the Big Bets on Campus podcast

1047
00:45:17,440 --> 00:45:18,560
Speaker 2: presented by DraftKings.

1048
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:39,040
Speaker 7: Best of luck with all your bets. Action Network reminds

1049
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:42,919
Speaker 7: you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care

1050
00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:46,080
Speaker 7: about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty four

1051
00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:48,160
Speaker 7: to seven at one eight hundred Gambler