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Speaker 1: Hey guys, this is the Fantasy Football Podcast and I'm

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Speaker 1: your host, Bobby Sylvesti. Here's a quick note from today's sponsor.

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Speaker 1: Pros All one word. All right, i'mto some football happy

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Speaker 1: Thanksgiving everyone, and welcome to the Fantasy Pros Football Podcast.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Bobby Sylvester. Today we've got a DFS

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Speaker 1: episode for you, and our guest is Jared Core of

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Crunchers dot Com. Hey Jared, how are you doing, Bobby?

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Speaker 1: I'm doing really well. I'm We're recording this on Wednesday night,

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Speaker 1: so Thanksgiving break hasn't even started yet. I'm losing my

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Speaker 1: voice because I had so much fun with my little guys,

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Speaker 1: and man, I'm extremely thankful for my family, my two

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Speaker 1: little boys. My wife is just awesome with the kids,

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Speaker 1: and she deals with me and my parents. My dad

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Speaker 1: listens to the show all the time and is my

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Speaker 1: biggest border. Thanks Dad for listening to the show and

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Speaker 1: for helping me fall in love with baseball and football.

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Speaker 1: I just love sports, and I got my dream job

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Speaker 1: because you kept pushing me. In fantasy terms. I'm really

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Speaker 1: thankful for Sammy Watkins coming back. I've been stashing him

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Speaker 1: all year in several leagues and it's about to pay off.

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Speaker 1: In the important weeks. How about yourself, Charing, Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: kind of gave up on him, especially as a jaded

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Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills fan myself. Um but but yeah, no, it'll

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Speaker 1: be great to get him back on the field for

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Speaker 1: for Buffalo, they definitely need some help, especially with Robert

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Speaker 1: Woods going down to injury. Um. I'm thankful for obviously

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Speaker 1: for the football that we're going to get to enjoy

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Speaker 1: on Thursday just about all day, and even though I

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Speaker 1: do reside in Canada, I definitely work a lot less

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Speaker 1: hours on Thursday, and to take in a lot more

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Speaker 1: more NFL football, especially with how many DFS lineups I

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Speaker 1: was busy creating today. Um so yeah, no, it was

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Speaker 1: really really thankful for for a great, great family time,

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Speaker 1: for great friends and and on the on the football

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Speaker 1: all aside, just just what I think are actually gonna

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Speaker 1: be three very good games. So be honest, Jared, how

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Speaker 1: do Canadians feel about Thanksgiving? Do they think it's just

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Speaker 1: a reason for for Americans to get really fat? We're

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Speaker 1: you know, were they wishing that they were American? No?

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Speaker 1: I mean I'll put myself in you know, maybe it's

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Speaker 1: just a party of one, but I think overall we

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Speaker 1: were really jealous of how big of a um, how

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Speaker 1: big of an event it really is in America because

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Speaker 1: we actually have ours the second week, um, the second

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Speaker 1: week of October every year, so it happens much earlier,

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Speaker 1: um really, So I mean we have we have a

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Speaker 1: long weekend and and you know, it's really more about

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Speaker 1: kind of family traditions, but it's much less um, kind

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Speaker 1: of a national thing, you know, with with all the

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Speaker 1: great you know, retail sales and and uh and and

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Speaker 1: and all the hoopla that comes with it in America.

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Speaker 1: So for me, it's it's total jealousy. And you know,

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Speaker 1: I you know, having some you know, some very close

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Speaker 1: American family, I consider myself kind of a man of

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Speaker 1: the people and uh and kind of put myself in

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Speaker 1: uh in that in those shoes as much as I

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Speaker 1: can to enjoy it, just like I would be an

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Speaker 1: honorary American. So I'm gonna consider myself as much as

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Speaker 1: that as I possibly can this week as I as

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Speaker 1: I leave work early and go watch some football at

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Speaker 1: a friend's house. So I wrote this DFS article today

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Speaker 1: and it wasn't about football, DFS. It was about Thanksgiving food. Yeah, yes,

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Speaker 1: and it was I was a lot of fun to write.

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Speaker 1: I'm really into my food, especially on Thanksgiving, and Vandel

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Speaker 1: gave us this, this big old spreadsheet of what a

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Speaker 1: Thanksgiving plate DFS slate would look like. So I'm pinning

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Speaker 1: this on my Twitter. You guys can all take a

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Speaker 1: look at it. I sent it over to Jared and

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Speaker 1: too JP JP Gale, great producer who I'm also really

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Speaker 1: thankful for. I sent it over to them and they

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Speaker 1: take a look at it. So I want to ask you, guys, Jared, first,

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Speaker 1: who are your two must plays from this Thanksgiving food slate. Well,

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Speaker 1: first of all, I'm so happy that you added this

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Speaker 1: to the to the right at the beginning of our

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Speaker 1: p podcast because I saw this tweet late last night

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Speaker 1: and I had already started thinking about about what I

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Speaker 1: would choose. So I'm really, I'm really, you know, I'm

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Speaker 1: thankful that that that you that you put it on

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Speaker 1: the script. So I mean, for me, let's you know,

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Speaker 1: let's let's get let's get down to the you know,

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Speaker 1: to the to the nuts and bolts here. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I think you gotta go studs and scrub strategy on

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Speaker 1: this on this Thanksgiving slate truly a viable option for me.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I think I think white meat turkey is

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Speaker 1: you know, it's very chalky, but it's important must start

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Speaker 1: for me, you know, as a really key plate anchor

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Speaker 1: in my lineup. So I mean, I actually also see

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Speaker 1: quite a bit of value on this slate, particularly with

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Speaker 1: some of the lower priced sides and desserts. So I

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Speaker 1: would actually go right with with number two um in

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Speaker 1: as a compliment to white meat turkey as the ogreton.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I think it's, you know, it's a must

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Speaker 1: have as you kind of look past some of the

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Speaker 1: more chalky sides like the the the mashed potatoes in

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Speaker 1: the gravy. That's that's not the downplay it at all,

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Speaker 1: but but I think it's a it's a very good

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Speaker 1: mid range pivot. So I'm gonna go with both those

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Speaker 1: two guys, JP. Before we jump over to you, I've

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Speaker 1: got to say, Jared, if those are your two picks,

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Speaker 1: do not read my article because you're gonna have your

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Speaker 1: feelings hurt. I don't hold anything back in this article,

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Speaker 1: like we got to talk some sense into people in

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Speaker 1: putting the right things on the menu for Thanksgiving. Guys.

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Speaker 1: You can find this on my Twitter. I post my

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Speaker 1: whole line up there, all my strategy and I break

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Speaker 1: down my thoughts. It's it's a fun one. So JB,

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Speaker 1: who do you have? I'm going, I'm going cheap. I

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Speaker 1: like I like two cheap plays. I like Brussels sprouts

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Speaker 1: at six thousand dollars. Brussel sprouts are super hip. You

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Speaker 1: find them in all the the brew pubs, the what

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Speaker 1: do they call gastro pubs. It's a popular dish where

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Speaker 1: they roast them with bacon and they get all brown

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Speaker 1: and delicious, and sometimes they use the pulsamic vineger. So

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Speaker 1: wong with you guys. You guys are both just you

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Speaker 1: have terrible taste. Russell Sprouds man, that's like the worst

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Speaker 1: food in the world, and it's expensive correctly, and you

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Speaker 1: cook it with the bacon, which was bacon. I'll just

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Speaker 1: take the bacon off and beat the Brussels broughts to

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Speaker 1: a dog or something. The dog would love it, and

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Speaker 1: so next pick would be And I think it's a

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Speaker 1: great price at forty eight hundred dollars, only five only

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Speaker 1: three hundred dollars more than beats, which I enjoy beats.

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Speaker 1: I'm one of the few people that enjoys beats for

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Speaker 1: forty five hundred dollars. Nobody likes beats for forty eight

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Speaker 1: hundred dollars. You get cranberries, and I'm a big fan

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Speaker 1: of the cranberries. I think that's my cheap acre. That

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Speaker 1: is my my Kent Bay's more. It's a football podcast,

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Speaker 1: So that is my Tim Frasier for football. Who's a

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Speaker 1: cheap player? That is football? This is bad, This is bad.

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Speaker 1: Maybe Ken Thomas Rawls. Thomas Rawls like a cheaper play

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Speaker 1: that everybody's playing. I think I cranberries. So let's let's

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Speaker 1: be honestly like you're gonna have like the most Like

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Speaker 1: you know that that's kind of like your second helping plate.

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Speaker 1: I would hope, right, because like you know, you you're

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Speaker 1: gonna have to, you know, get a little bit more

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Speaker 1: meat and potato there before you go over to the veggies,

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Speaker 1: and Murky's gonna be there and everything. We had to

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Speaker 1: pick two. I just thought those were two at a

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Speaker 1: really good price that'll always be there on the plate.

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Speaker 1: Then they mix, well, take a brand of Brussell sprout

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Speaker 1: by a turkey turkey cranberry. That's the best. Wow, You're

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Speaker 1: just ridiculous. I don't even know if we can talk

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Speaker 1: about football now, because I'm just so disappointed in both

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Speaker 1: of you. What are your picks? Oh, you guys got

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Speaker 1: to read the article. It's way too long. I could

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Speaker 1: talk about this for an hour. All right, Jared, let's

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Speaker 1: jump over to the main slate here for Sunday games

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Speaker 1: and we'll start a the quarterback position. To me, this

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Speaker 1: doesn't really seem like the week to spend up on

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Speaker 1: a Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers. I'm looking at Russell

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Speaker 1: Wilson for more expensive qbs. Where do you stand on

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Speaker 1: these guys? Yeah, I really like Russell Wilson, and I

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Speaker 1: completely agree with that that point. I don't think you

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Speaker 1: need to pay up for a Tom Brady or an

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, although I do think that they could be

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Speaker 1: interesting for tournaments because I don't think their ownership is

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Speaker 1: going to be very high. I actually wrote about this

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Speaker 1: in a couple of my columns this week on Fantacy

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Speaker 1: cruncher dot Com. A few guys that I do like,

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Speaker 1: number one, Honestly, I think Drew Brees is a great

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Speaker 1: play and he's one of the one of the guys

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Speaker 1: that you actually don't necessarily need to stack. But I know,

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Speaker 1: we'll get into that a little bit later. Other two

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Speaker 1: that I like beyond Russell Wilson and Brees are Derek

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Speaker 1: Carr and even Colin Kaepernick. I think that he's a

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Speaker 1: fairly sneaky kind of load of mid range play. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: Kaepernick definitely has GPP upside. I'm avoiding him for sure

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Speaker 1: in cash games. But you know, Russell Wilson to me

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Speaker 1: at Tampa Bay, I feel like this is going to

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Speaker 1: be a game where there's a ton of play plays run.

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Speaker 1: And I was talking to Sean Corner yesterday. He's number

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Speaker 1: one an accuracy expert, and he really talked me down

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Speaker 1: on Aaron Rodgers. He says that game there's really hardly

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Speaker 1: going to be any plays run. Philadelphia stalls the clock

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Speaker 1: at home, and I'm going to be avoiding that one.

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Speaker 1: I think this is definitely gonna be Aaron Rodgers worst game.

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Speaker 1: And while he's been throwing the ball a ton, but

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Speaker 1: probably not this week. And look, Tom Brady, he goes

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Speaker 1: up against the Jets and they want to beat the Jets.

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Speaker 1: It's an important game to them. The Jets secondary is

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Speaker 1: very bad. But I just think Russell Wilson at this

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Speaker 1: price point seventy five hundred. He's playing like a superstar again.

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Speaker 1: I've got to have him in my lineups. Look, he's

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Speaker 1: number fifteen in salary on FanDuel and we project him

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Speaker 1: for the fourth best week at twenty one Fantasy points.

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Speaker 1: That's a great value, tons of value there. He's a

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Speaker 1: very easy guy to stack with Doug Baldwin this week.

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Speaker 1: You know, the value is certainly there. The thing just

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Speaker 1: I like about Kaepernick, honestly, like since he's got since

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Speaker 1: he got the starting gig back just on FanDuel, four

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Speaker 1: to the last five games he's played, he's had eighteen

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Speaker 1: or more points. I mean, that is very serviceable from

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Speaker 1: a guy that's still you know, fairly cheap on both sites.

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Speaker 1: And the other week at seventeen and that's impressive exactly

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Speaker 1: was he was very serviceable. He's had a touchdown in

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Speaker 1: every game. His floor is nice and high because of

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Speaker 1: the rushing contributionists. Well, I know that there's been a

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Speaker 1: lot made about about how Cam Newton's floor is high

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Speaker 1: because of the same the same point, and Kaepernick is

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Speaker 1: really just a poor man's Cam Newton. The other thing

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Speaker 1: to think about in that game is how stout Miami's

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Speaker 1: defense is against the run, so Carlos Hide is really

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Speaker 1: not going to be able to do too much on

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Speaker 1: the ground. They're going to need to rely on Kaepernick

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Speaker 1: to get to get the job done. So quite honestly,

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Speaker 1: I think we could look at a similar type of

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Speaker 1: output that we saw from him in in Arizona when

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Speaker 1: he put up twenty three point nine FanDuel points, or

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Speaker 1: against the Saints when he played at home and had

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Speaker 1: twenty three point two, did a bunch of damage on

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Speaker 1: the ground and still had you know, three touchdowns through

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Speaker 1: the air through through those those two games and through

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Speaker 1: four through for almost six hundred yards combined. So I mean,

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Speaker 1: he's he's He's definitely a very solid play this week,

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Speaker 1: and I think he's going to have really low ownership,

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Speaker 1: which is going to help their tourn him and play.

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Speaker 1: You know, I mentioned this last week as well. Miami

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Speaker 1: gives up the most big plays by percentage of any

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Speaker 1: team in the NFL, and it's really not even close. Now.

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Speaker 1: The defense is getting a lot better, they're on a

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Speaker 1: five game winning street, but they give up a lot

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Speaker 1: of big plays. If Kaepernick can bust one loose for

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Speaker 1: forty yards, that's the same as a passing touchdown. That's

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Speaker 1: really helpful. And also bear in mind Miami's not going

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Speaker 1: to be running the bull quade as much their offensive line.

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Speaker 1: They lost three guys in the past two weeks, and

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Speaker 1: so a Jia might not be the best option. We'll

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Speaker 1: talk about that here in a minute. But I think

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Speaker 1: that this game gets extended a little longer than Miami

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Speaker 1: games tend to go, more plays run, and that's that

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Speaker 1: bodes well for Kaepernick. You're talking me into the pick.

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Speaker 1: I'm talking myself into it too. No, I like that

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Speaker 1: we're on the same page with that. The other guy

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Speaker 1: that we haven't mentioned quite yet actually is Cam Newton.

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Speaker 1: I did want to mention him briefly because I think

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Speaker 1: that he, even though he is a bit pricier than

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Speaker 1: I think he necessarily needs to be. That game should

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Speaker 1: be a shootout, should be a close one, should we

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Speaker 1: get a lot of points scored, and I think he's

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Speaker 1: going to be at the center of it all, and

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Speaker 1: so I feel like that this could be the week where,

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Speaker 1: for whatever reason, he doesn't necessarily get the love that

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Speaker 1: he should. And considering that, there there's a really high

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Speaker 1: potential for you know, fifty five to sixty points he

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Speaker 1: could be a really great another low owned play if

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Speaker 1: you're not playing Russell Wilson or a Derek Carr. Even

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Speaker 1: at Drew brees Man, he has been so disappointed his ownership.

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Speaker 1: Now we're projected to be pretty low as a result

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Speaker 1: of that. But you know that's opportunity goes off and

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Speaker 1: it's a good game for it. But if there's a

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Speaker 1: guy that you want to have exposure to in terms

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Speaker 1: of a ceiling, like you know, there's really nobody better

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Speaker 1: than Cam Newton, Like he's exactly right, one of the

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Speaker 1: few guys that can run for a hundred yards throw

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Speaker 1: for three hundred. I mean, I'm just looking quickly at

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Speaker 1: a game log from from from last year. Do you

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Speaker 1: remember that game he had against the Giants. I'm not

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Speaker 1: sure if if it comes to mind, but let me

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Speaker 1: just throw some numbers at you, Um, three hundred and

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Speaker 1: forty passing yards, five passing tds and one hundred rushing yards,

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Speaker 1: Like there are like him. You were not anywhere close

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Speaker 1: in your GPP exactly, and there aren't very many guys

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Speaker 1: that can do that in the game. And now I'm

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Speaker 1: you know, there's he's only hit the thirty FanDuel point

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Speaker 1: mark once this year, but he's had you know, twenty

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Speaker 1: four or more two other times. And so while he

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Speaker 1: has been disappointing, his price has certainly come down. He's

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Speaker 1: only seventy eight hundred bucks on FanDuel now, which is

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Speaker 1: an absolute great price considering he was you know, mid

290
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Speaker 1: nine thousands earlier this year, and his ceiling is tremendous

291
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Speaker 1: and in a good matchup that should be close, and

292
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Speaker 1: there's plenty to like through the air for both for

293
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Speaker 1: both Calvin Benjamin and Greg Olson. I don't know, guys,

294
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Speaker 1: I think I think that he's looking like a guy

295
00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:25,320
Speaker 1: that you really want to think about having exposure to

296
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Speaker 1: our models. Really high on Jared Golf against New Orleans.

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Speaker 1: Who New Orleans is not a very good defense obviously,

298
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Speaker 1: and Golf's kind of a mystery, But for GPP, it's interesting.

299
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Speaker 1: It's gonna be pretty easy for him to hit value

300
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Speaker 1: against that defense. And then Carson Palmer, same kind of

301
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Speaker 1: deal going up against Atlanta, and Palmer hasn't been great

302
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Speaker 1: this season. I understand he's been a disappointment for fantasy teams,

303
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Speaker 1: but lately he's been throwing the ball a lot forty nine,

304
00:14:49,640 --> 00:14:52,800
Speaker 1: forty six, forty nine pass attempts, three hundred and forty

305
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Speaker 1: plus yards in three straight games until he went into Minnesota.

306
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Speaker 1: I think this would be a great sleeper week for

307
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Speaker 1: Carson Palmer up against Atlanta. Yeah, I like that pick

308
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Speaker 1: a lot. I think his value is excellent on DraftKings

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Speaker 1: And I know we'll get a little bit more into

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Speaker 1: this in a bit, but I think he's he's actually

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Speaker 1: one of the guys that has some of the highest

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Speaker 1: stackability value UM on the slate and and I know

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Speaker 1: we'll we'll talk about that in a minute, but um,

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Speaker 1: that's the game with the highest total on the board.

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Speaker 1: I love his value on DraftKings and and Frankly Vegas

316
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Speaker 1: thinks it's going to be a fairly close one too, So, um,

317
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Speaker 1: wouldn't surprise me to see plenty of points and and

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Speaker 1: and a lot of fancy production there. Jared, are there

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Speaker 1: any other conturing quarterbacks that people should be giving consideration too? Well?

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Speaker 1: I think that the weather is really going to depend

321
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Speaker 1: on kind of or it was really going to affect

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Speaker 1: my answer that question. But assuming that things are kind

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Speaker 1: of going to be the way that they are now,

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Speaker 1: the one other guy beyond Colin Kaepernick who I like

325
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Speaker 1: as as a low own play is actually the guy

326
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Speaker 1: on the other side of the ball um and that's

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Speaker 1: h and that's Ryan Tannehill. Now I feel dirty just

328
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Speaker 1: saying that because he's such a such a good, mediocre quarterback.

329
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Speaker 1: But if you look at the way that that this

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Speaker 1: game stacks up, and to the same point that you

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Speaker 1: mentioned earlier around how it may actually not be a

332
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Speaker 1: great outing for Jgie, it might be a bit of

333
00:16:07,880 --> 00:16:11,200
Speaker 1: a struggle for him. The truth is that this could

334
00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:13,240
Speaker 1: actually become a bit more of an air strike game.

335
00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:16,520
Speaker 1: And if that is the case, it wouldn't shock me

336
00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:19,240
Speaker 1: to see Tannehill be able to exploit that that very

337
00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:22,880
Speaker 1: very mediocre to below average defense. So I mean, I

338
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Speaker 1: think you're again I'm I'm a big game theory guy,

339
00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:28,360
Speaker 1: especially when it comes to larger slates, and and I'll

340
00:16:28,400 --> 00:16:31,000
Speaker 1: be shocked to see Ryan Dannehill's ownership percentage above you know,

341
00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:35,000
Speaker 1: three to four percent on larger field GPPs. So in

342
00:16:35,040 --> 00:16:37,120
Speaker 1: a situation that I think that you could easily see

343
00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:40,200
Speaker 1: them scoring you know, upwards of thirty points and Vegas

344
00:16:40,240 --> 00:16:42,040
Speaker 1: has them at twenty six right now. To be honest,

345
00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:45,720
Speaker 1: there's a lot of value here and and so I mean,

346
00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:49,640
Speaker 1: it's it's it's really you know, one of those dartthrow situations.

347
00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:51,840
Speaker 1: And only a guy that I would play on DraftKings

348
00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:55,680
Speaker 1: and again in larger scale multi entry GBP strategies. But

349
00:16:56,640 --> 00:16:58,400
Speaker 1: don't overlook the fact that they have one of the

350
00:16:58,480 --> 00:17:00,880
Speaker 1: highest point totals on the board. A giant may not

351
00:17:01,000 --> 00:17:02,920
Speaker 1: have as big of a day. And if that's the case,

352
00:17:02,920 --> 00:17:05,119
Speaker 1: and let's say Colin Kaepernick does actually get out to

353
00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:06,960
Speaker 1: a bit of a lead, um, they're gonna have to

354
00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:08,960
Speaker 1: a lit on the arma Tannehill and and and he's

355
00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:12,000
Speaker 1: he's got some weapons in that offense with with Stills,

356
00:17:12,040 --> 00:17:14,879
Speaker 1: Parker and Landry to to get to get some stuff

357
00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:16,720
Speaker 1: done through the air. So I actually think he could

358
00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:19,240
Speaker 1: be a little bit of a sneaky play on draftings. Yeah,

359
00:17:19,280 --> 00:17:21,560
Speaker 1: for what it's worth, we're projecting from one point three

360
00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:24,919
Speaker 1: percent ownership right now, and that's pretty low. If you

361
00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:27,680
Speaker 1: get him, there's a there's a good chance that if

362
00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:29,960
Speaker 1: he goes off, you're gonna be right there at the top.

363
00:17:30,000 --> 00:17:33,080
Speaker 1: It'll be interesting. Yeah, I mean, I'm not excited about

364
00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:34,600
Speaker 1: the play, And like I said, I think I feel,

365
00:17:34,840 --> 00:17:37,040
Speaker 1: you know, a little bit dirty about it. But um,

366
00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:39,720
Speaker 1: think about maybe playing him on the one PM only

367
00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:43,160
Speaker 1: slate for example, UM, which would take guys like like

368
00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:45,639
Speaker 1: like Russell Wilson, Cam Newton, Derek Carr off off the

369
00:17:45,960 --> 00:17:47,919
Speaker 1: and even Tom Brady out of the out of the

370
00:17:47,920 --> 00:17:51,000
Speaker 1: picture UM and and you could have yourself in an

371
00:17:51,000 --> 00:17:53,040
Speaker 1: even more interesting play on a on a shorter slate

372
00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:55,160
Speaker 1: where you're having less exposure to the to the guys

373
00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:57,760
Speaker 1: that are more likely to go off. Now, Jared over

374
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Speaker 1: running back, has there ever been an easier week than

375
00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:04,160
Speaker 1: this week at running back for the Sunday slate? Then

376
00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:09,280
Speaker 1: just chalking in David Johnson and Thomas Rowles, those are

377
00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:12,760
Speaker 1: two tremendous chalk plays. I mean, I originally thought that that,

378
00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:15,480
Speaker 1: you know, Jagi might be a guy that you want

379
00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:18,119
Speaker 1: to have heavy exposure to, considering you know, how it

380
00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:21,640
Speaker 1: actually matches up on paper against against the San Francisco defense.

381
00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:25,200
Speaker 1: But but those two guys are looking like the absolute

382
00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:27,280
Speaker 1: two studs that you need to start. And I know

383
00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:29,760
Speaker 1: that there are quite a few models in value metrics

384
00:18:29,760 --> 00:18:32,960
Speaker 1: that actually put Rashad Jennings in a great spot as well.

385
00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:36,240
Speaker 1: So I feel like, but you know, it's it's really

386
00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:39,000
Speaker 1: really terrifying to say that as well, but I mean,

387
00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:41,159
Speaker 1: if you look at he has the fact he has

388
00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:43,680
Speaker 1: been productive to the the last two games he's played, and

389
00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:47,280
Speaker 1: and Cleveland's rushing defense is absolutely awful, not to mention

390
00:18:47,320 --> 00:18:48,960
Speaker 1: the fact, and like I was getting to this before,

391
00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:52,199
Speaker 1: that the weather is projecting to be very cold, not

392
00:18:52,480 --> 00:18:56,400
Speaker 1: very not very conducive to tremendous passing opportunities. So if

393
00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:59,440
Speaker 1: that is the case, you know, when we head into

394
00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:02,720
Speaker 1: a head into that game, I feel like it'll feel weird.

395
00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:05,560
Speaker 1: But but he's also a very good value option that

396
00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:09,160
Speaker 1: that you want to consider, particularly on FanDuel. That being said,

397
00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:11,520
Speaker 1: I do still think I'm going to have plenty of

398
00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:14,600
Speaker 1: exposure to a gi just because of how committed that.

399
00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:16,760
Speaker 1: You know, the Miami brass has mentioned that they are

400
00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:18,240
Speaker 1: to the run, So I know I'm talking kind of

401
00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:21,119
Speaker 1: out of both sides with the Tannehill and the Giant recommendation,

402
00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:22,800
Speaker 1: but I wouldn't play them in the same lineup, and

403
00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:26,000
Speaker 1: i'mould be perfectly happy with exposure to both in certain situations.

404
00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:29,000
Speaker 1: And how committed San Francisco is to just giving up

405
00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:31,919
Speaker 1: three thousand rushing yards in a season, right, It's it

406
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:35,399
Speaker 1: seems that way. It absolutely does. Can I actually just

407
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:37,040
Speaker 1: go back really quickly, and I'm sorry to do this

408
00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:38,760
Speaker 1: to our listeners. Don't mean to jump all over the place.

409
00:19:38,920 --> 00:19:40,719
Speaker 1: I meant to mention one other guy when we were

410
00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:43,840
Speaker 1: talking about contrarian QBS, and my favorite one actually on

411
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:48,760
Speaker 1: the slate is actually Matt Ryan. Yeah, he's getting no

412
00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,840
Speaker 1: attention in the highest point total game on the board.

413
00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:54,359
Speaker 1: I know that we're talking about Arizona, which is one

414
00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:55,960
Speaker 1: of the reasons why I want to mention him, and

415
00:19:56,200 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 1: he isn't cheap a lot better value on DraftKings, but

416
00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:02,639
Speaker 1: but I mean, honestly, you look at the fact that

417
00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:05,600
Speaker 1: they're projective for twenty seven points. It's going to be

418
00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:09,399
Speaker 1: a close game. Julio Jones is barely you know, a

419
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:11,560
Speaker 1: guy that you can even consider, you know, having a

420
00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:14,359
Speaker 1: quote unquote, you know, unbeatable matchup against. I know we're

421
00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:16,560
Speaker 1: talking with Patrick Peterson all that good stuff, but but

422
00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:19,800
Speaker 1: he's roasted some great defenses before. So I feel like

423
00:20:19,880 --> 00:20:22,560
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan's going to have a sub three percent ownership rate.

424
00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:25,000
Speaker 1: His ceiling is tremendous. He's one of the few guys

425
00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:26,920
Speaker 1: that I do think can have that twenty five to

426
00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:29,200
Speaker 1: thirty five kind of point game, depending on the site

427
00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:31,960
Speaker 1: that you're talking about, and the fact that he is

428
00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:35,240
Speaker 1: very stackable at a low ownership makes him, in my opinion,

429
00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:39,320
Speaker 1: a super low, super high end GPP guy for for

430
00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:41,320
Speaker 1: multi entry purposes. Sorry, I just wanted to get that

431
00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:43,960
Speaker 1: out there because I didn't want to leave that topic

432
00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:46,280
Speaker 1: without getting a chance to talk about him. Yeah, that's

433
00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:49,320
Speaker 1: definitely an intriguing one as well. I'm almost certainly going

434
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:51,480
Speaker 1: to be sticking with Palmer and Wilson though I love

435
00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:53,400
Speaker 1: those two plays so much. I think one of those

436
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:55,320
Speaker 1: two guys is going to end up being the best value.

437
00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:57,399
Speaker 1: But you know, of course, there's always a bunch of

438
00:20:57,440 --> 00:21:00,240
Speaker 1: good options. Yeah, for sure, if you're playing cash games,

439
00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:01,760
Speaker 1: I think he got to go for for a guy

440
00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:04,879
Speaker 1: like Wilson um. But but Palmer and some of the

441
00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,080
Speaker 1: other names we've mentioned for for GPPs have to be

442
00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:09,679
Speaker 1: right there too. Now, how do you feel about James

443
00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:12,720
Speaker 1: Starks or maybe Paul Perkins is a high upside mystery

444
00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:17,439
Speaker 1: guy for GPP this week. I don't necessarily think that

445
00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:20,399
Speaker 1: you actually have to spend down too far at the

446
00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:22,600
Speaker 1: running back position this week, because I think there's going

447
00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:24,639
Speaker 1: to be so much production out of some of the

448
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:26,480
Speaker 1: some of the higher end guys that you're going to

449
00:21:26,560 --> 00:21:29,879
Speaker 1: see the winning lineups um with with some higher spends

450
00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:33,600
Speaker 1: at the position. So I have a tough time seeing

451
00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:36,440
Speaker 1: a guy like Paul Perkins get the touches that he's

452
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 1: going to need to to really go off. I know that,

453
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:40,840
Speaker 1: you know, he's gotten kind of close to double digits

454
00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:42,520
Speaker 1: over the last few weeks, but he's yet to do

455
00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:45,520
Speaker 1: anything to impress me with them. Um and uh and

456
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:47,399
Speaker 1: And though that could easily change in the blink of

457
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:49,359
Speaker 1: an eye, I just don't think you need to need

458
00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:51,400
Speaker 1: to spend down. I think there are quite a few

459
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:54,280
Speaker 1: other guys um in that mid to high end range

460
00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:57,280
Speaker 1: that are likely to be in the conversation um for

461
00:21:57,680 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 1: um for for some productive games. But if you really

462
00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:02,880
Speaker 1: did want to spend down, I feel like a guy

463
00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:04,760
Speaker 1: that that could be flying under the radar this week

464
00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:08,439
Speaker 1: could be a guy like Jeremy Hill, especially though especially

465
00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:10,359
Speaker 1: the price that he is on Draft Kings, which is

466
00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:13,400
Speaker 1: superbly cheap. I think he's under four grand. And now

467
00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:16,320
Speaker 1: that we don't have a Giovanni Bernard in that game,

468
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:20,400
Speaker 1: and yeah, or aj Green exactly, I mean, there's there's

469
00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:22,720
Speaker 1: extra work that's going to be going his way, and

470
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:25,520
Speaker 1: if they have some trouble establishing the pass through guys

471
00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:29,320
Speaker 1: like Brendan LaFell and Tyler Boyd, then the Jeremy Hill

472
00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 1: could be a very busy man and all you want

473
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:36,760
Speaker 1: is opportunities in dfs and SOUM. If you get that,

474
00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:38,760
Speaker 1: then then you could be looking at a good a

475
00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:41,280
Speaker 1: good outing. I mean, he did have in January of

476
00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:44,399
Speaker 1: last year almost twenty draft kings points so against against

477
00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:47,359
Speaker 1: Baltimore on on sixteen carries, including a score, So you

478
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:48,879
Speaker 1: never know what you're gonna get with him, but I

479
00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:50,399
Speaker 1: mean he's he's shown the ability to put up some

480
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:53,000
Speaker 1: big numbers, so don't be shocked. Yeah, Jeremy Hill is

481
00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:54,960
Speaker 1: square on my radar two. He kind of has to

482
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:57,959
Speaker 1: be with Geo Bernard out when Bernard doesn't play, Jeremy

483
00:22:58,040 --> 00:23:00,440
Speaker 1: Hill gets a ton of carries. They're committed to run

484
00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 1: in the ball. And you know, the guy's talented. He

485
00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:05,600
Speaker 1: hasn't really showcased it lately, but there was a reason

486
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:08,880
Speaker 1: he was drafted the top five last year. The guy

487
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 1: can play some football and so maybe this is the

488
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:14,119
Speaker 1: week that he breaks out and re establishes himself as

489
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:17,000
Speaker 1: is one of the top running backs in football. Yeah, totally,

490
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:18,600
Speaker 1: And I mean a low point total in this one,

491
00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:20,840
Speaker 1: there's what is it about about forty or forty one

492
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:23,920
Speaker 1: points projected by Vegas is really going to keep ownership away.

493
00:23:23,960 --> 00:23:26,439
Speaker 1: So I'm I'm more excited about that play than I

494
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 1: am quite frankised some of the other ones that you mentioned,

495
00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 1: But overall, I think you kind of get my point

496
00:23:30,800 --> 00:23:32,720
Speaker 1: that I think you can easily spend up at the

497
00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:35,600
Speaker 1: running back position from a price point perspective and do

498
00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:38,640
Speaker 1: quite well. Now, I'm a big believer in spencer Ware

499
00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,000
Speaker 1: even at Denver this week. Am I onto something? Or

500
00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:43,760
Speaker 1: should we all be avoiding this matchup? No, I'm actually

501
00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:45,919
Speaker 1: really happy you mentioned him because he's one of the

502
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,840
Speaker 1: few guys that I actually think could be a tremendous

503
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:51,520
Speaker 1: low owned GPP play that has the ability to really

504
00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 1: bring home bring home the cake in this one. And

505
00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:59,040
Speaker 1: I say that because they are a fantastic past defense.

506
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:02,359
Speaker 1: Don't get me wrong, but they are ranked twenty fifth

507
00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:06,720
Speaker 1: in DVOA against the rush um and seventeenth and DVOA

508
00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:09,760
Speaker 1: against running backs in the passing game, so both of

509
00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:12,280
Speaker 1: those are below average obviously on the rushing side of things.

510
00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:16,080
Speaker 1: Even more so um, and his price is really really good,

511
00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:20,000
Speaker 1: I mean, especially on FanDuel at only seven thousand dollars um.

512
00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:23,760
Speaker 1: There's a lot to like here considering he's been a

513
00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 1: little bit soft in production the last couple of weeks.

514
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:28,199
Speaker 1: But I mean it wasn't long ago that he was

515
00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:30,919
Speaker 1: he was putting up back to back twenty point weeks

516
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:33,119
Speaker 1: when when he was playing against the Raiders and the

517
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:38,520
Speaker 1: Saints two very very you know, under underachieving, receiving, ascuse me,

518
00:24:38,600 --> 00:24:41,720
Speaker 1: rushing defenses as well. So um could be a week

519
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:43,679
Speaker 1: that he really pays off. So I'm really glad you

520
00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:46,680
Speaker 1: mentioned him because things are are a lot better underneath

521
00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:48,200
Speaker 1: the surface, and it may seem if you just look

522
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:51,520
Speaker 1: at the defensive opponent alone. Are there any forgotten running

523
00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:53,480
Speaker 1: backs that could emerge a the top option this week?

524
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:57,439
Speaker 1: I think you nailed one with Spencer wear Um. I

525
00:24:57,480 --> 00:24:59,399
Speaker 1: think the other one that I would mention is LaShaun

526
00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:03,000
Speaker 1: McCoy um. His ownership is likely to be very low,

527
00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:06,200
Speaker 1: especially because of the fact that that he had that

528
00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 1: kind of midweek surgery on his hand, but all signs

529
00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:12,560
Speaker 1: point to him being at full capacity for this week.

530
00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:16,200
Speaker 1: And so when you look at a defense like Jacksonville

531
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:18,639
Speaker 1: in a game UM in Buffalo that's going to be

532
00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:21,639
Speaker 1: awfully cold. They're projected for over twenty five points in

533
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:24,440
Speaker 1: this matchup. And and you know that offense runs through him,

534
00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:26,920
Speaker 1: so UM if he does find a way to get

535
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:28,879
Speaker 1: you know, twenty two to twenty five carries, which it

536
00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:32,159
Speaker 1: looks like he will. Um, He's a tremendous pivot option

537
00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:35,120
Speaker 1: off of guys like a Jie Johnson and even Melvin Gordon,

538
00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:37,040
Speaker 1: who are going to be way more popular. They're not

539
00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 1: going to throw the ball. I mean, who are they

540
00:25:38,280 --> 00:25:42,560
Speaker 1: going to pass through Percy Harvin exactly? Um unless unless

541
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:44,800
Speaker 1: and I think we're probably looking at what's his name,

542
00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:46,800
Speaker 1: We've talked about him right at the beginning to Sammy

543
00:25:46,800 --> 00:25:49,200
Speaker 1: Watkins probably being more of a decoy UM, at least

544
00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:53,120
Speaker 1: in the returning week. And and and frankly, UM, gameflow

545
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:56,399
Speaker 1: really just feels awesome, um for for for for the

546
00:25:56,440 --> 00:25:59,680
Speaker 1: Sean McCoy's favor UM. And and I'm not really worried

547
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:03,159
Speaker 1: about the about the injury situation and the surgery. I'm

548
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:05,399
Speaker 1: actually looking at that more of it as an opportunity

549
00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:07,520
Speaker 1: to exploit in DFS, To be completely honest with you,

550
00:26:07,760 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 1: interesting so Jared moving over to wide receiver. We already

551
00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:14,360
Speaker 1: talked about Doug Baldwin a little bit. I think he's

552
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:18,480
Speaker 1: a must play in Richard Matthews, do you agree with me? Yeah?

553
00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:21,480
Speaker 1: I mean his his value is still really really good. UM.

554
00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:24,160
Speaker 1: I think it is just a matter of time before

555
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:27,320
Speaker 1: we really see the drop off with with his production.

556
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:29,760
Speaker 1: And wouldn't shock me if that happens in a colder

557
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:32,679
Speaker 1: environment again this week because they're in Chicago. UM. The

558
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,159
Speaker 1: one thing that really frustrates me with a team like

559
00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:37,920
Speaker 1: Tennessee is that they just have so many different targets

560
00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:41,120
Speaker 1: and and uh and and and so many really really

561
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:44,200
Speaker 1: good talents. Um that well, I should I don't say that,

562
00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:45,879
Speaker 1: I'd say really really good talents, but they spread the

563
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,399
Speaker 1: ball around. Let's leave it at that. And uh And

564
00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:49,879
Speaker 1: it's hard to kind of pick the guy that you

565
00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:51,480
Speaker 1: know is going to get it week in week out.

566
00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:53,440
Speaker 1: You know, he was lucky a couple of weeks ago

567
00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:56,399
Speaker 1: at Green Bay UM against Green Based Unity when he

568
00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:58,680
Speaker 1: only was targeted five times, but he did manage to have,

569
00:26:59,040 --> 00:27:01,960
Speaker 1: you know, a big play and a score. But before

570
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:05,120
Speaker 1: that he did have double digit targets, and last week

571
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:08,560
Speaker 1: he did as well, but that was against a much weaker,

572
00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:14,000
Speaker 1: weaker defensive team in Indianapolis, So I'm less optimistic on him.

573
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:15,960
Speaker 1: And frankly, I don't think he's a bad guy to fade,

574
00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:18,600
Speaker 1: because at some point the production is going to kind

575
00:27:18,600 --> 00:27:22,000
Speaker 1: of slow down. But I think that Baldwin is a guy,

576
00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:25,320
Speaker 1: as you mentioned that that has has has even more

577
00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:27,240
Speaker 1: appeal for me, even though he is a bit chalkier.

578
00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:29,800
Speaker 1: Matthews just keeps getting the ball thrown to him, and

579
00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 1: when the ball is thrown to him, there is no

580
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:35,280
Speaker 1: more efficient receiver in the NFL. He's averaging two Fantasy

581
00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:38,560
Speaker 1: points per target. That's just incredible. I mean, I don't

582
00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:40,560
Speaker 1: think of this guy as a wide receiver one, but

583
00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:43,359
Speaker 1: when he gets targets, even last year he had a

584
00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 1: stretch where he was getting a bunch of targets and

585
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:48,240
Speaker 1: he was dominant. So I think it's going to continue

586
00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:50,680
Speaker 1: in as long as his price is depressed like this

587
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:54,399
Speaker 1: sixty two hundred on FanDuel, I'm all over, especially in

588
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:57,359
Speaker 1: this matchup at Chicago. Yeah, just keep in mind the weather,

589
00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:00,760
Speaker 1: right like, he hasn't really played it really hasn't played

590
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:03,359
Speaker 1: in a cold weather environment this year. Last week it

591
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:05,520
Speaker 1: was in a dome. Two weeks ago, he was at home.

592
00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:08,920
Speaker 1: Three weeks ago, he was in San Diego, four weeks ago,

593
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:11,760
Speaker 1: he was in Jacksonville. Before that, he was home again.

594
00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 1: And now we're getting into early October. So I'm not

595
00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:19,639
Speaker 1: terribly optimistic about it, and for the reasons I mentioned.

596
00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:21,800
Speaker 1: So I'm happy to let you play him, but I'm

597
00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:23,320
Speaker 1: not going to be one of those guys. You're making

598
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 1: me nervous, Jared, You're making me really nervous about my friend.

599
00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:29,440
Speaker 1: It's my job. If we're spending up at the position.

600
00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:32,280
Speaker 1: Who do you think the best plays are well? I

601
00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:35,679
Speaker 1: mean I think you know. Again, kind of another weather statement,

602
00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:38,040
Speaker 1: and I could be over analyzing it because not everyone

603
00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:40,760
Speaker 1: believes in kind of taking the weather into account as

604
00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:43,120
Speaker 1: much as I do. But I would have loved Odell

605
00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 1: Beckham if this was a better spot overall. I know

606
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:50,560
Speaker 1: his price is really high, but that matchup is phenomenal

607
00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:53,360
Speaker 1: as well. And then I mentioned him briefly before when

608
00:28:53,360 --> 00:28:55,640
Speaker 1: I talked about Matt Ryan. But but Julio Jones is

609
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:57,840
Speaker 1: a guy that I have no problem having exposure to,

610
00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:00,600
Speaker 1: especially when his ownership rate is going to be a

611
00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 1: lot lower than some of the other guys around his

612
00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:05,160
Speaker 1: price range. This was a similar kind of discussion that

613
00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:08,120
Speaker 1: we were having just a couple weeks ago with that

614
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:11,640
Speaker 1: when David Johnson was playing against the forty nine ers.

615
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 1: I know you and I didn't have this discussion, but

616
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:15,800
Speaker 1: a lot of us in the industry and over at

617
00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:20,240
Speaker 1: Fantasy Cruncher. Um, we're talking about how, on paper, from

618
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:23,680
Speaker 1: a Game three perspective, Julio Jones is actually a better

619
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:27,120
Speaker 1: overall DFS play than David Johnson that week, just based

620
00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 1: on the fact that you know, David Johnson was going

621
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:32,160
Speaker 1: to have like fifty sixty, seventy percent ownership depending on

622
00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:37,240
Speaker 1: depending on the on the contest format. I think that

623
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:40,040
Speaker 1: this is another one of those situations. Um, you know,

624
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:43,600
Speaker 1: David Johnson is going to have probably north of probably

625
00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:46,760
Speaker 1: call it what thirty to forty percent ownership, Julio Jones

626
00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:49,200
Speaker 1: will be sub seven or eight percent. So I mean,

627
00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:52,760
Speaker 1: I'm I'm I'm all over the Julio play, particularly in

628
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:56,680
Speaker 1: matt Ryan Stacks. I'm loving Amari Cooper this week against Carolina.

629
00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:59,280
Speaker 1: I know Carolina's defense has been a lot better lately,

630
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:02,120
Speaker 1: but they still can't stop the pass. And as you mentioned,

631
00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:03,480
Speaker 1: I think this is going to be a shootout of

632
00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 1: a game. I don't think they have an answer for

633
00:30:05,720 --> 00:30:08,080
Speaker 1: Mari Cooper. This could be one of those classic weeks

634
00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:09,840
Speaker 1: where he goes for one hundred and twenty one hundred

635
00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:12,560
Speaker 1: and fifty. He had one hundred and seventy three yards

636
00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:15,320
Speaker 1: three weeks ago for twenty three points. Maybe he'll get

637
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:18,680
Speaker 1: multiple touchdowns and I just love him for GPP. Now

638
00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:20,720
Speaker 1: I'm not as excited in cash games. There are some

639
00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:23,480
Speaker 1: other plays I like a lot, but GPP a Mari

640
00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:26,400
Speaker 1: Cooper man. If he goes off, then there's a real

641
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:29,720
Speaker 1: chance of it, yep. And he's going to be popular, right,

642
00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:32,120
Speaker 1: So think of him as a fairly chalky option. I

643
00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:34,200
Speaker 1: actually talked about him in my cash game article and

644
00:30:34,280 --> 00:30:37,320
Speaker 1: fancy crunchers, so I think he's a perfect cash game play.

645
00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:41,160
Speaker 1: Completely agree with you there, GPP. His ceiling is super high.

646
00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:42,840
Speaker 1: He could be one of those guys like we talked

647
00:30:42,880 --> 00:30:46,480
Speaker 1: about for that three game slate on Thanksgiving Day that

648
00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:48,160
Speaker 1: you know, he could be one of those quote unquote

649
00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:50,360
Speaker 1: core plays if he goes for you know, one hundred

650
00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:52,680
Speaker 1: and fifty and one or two scores. Excuse me, but

651
00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:54,680
Speaker 1: I mean so can anyone that goes for those kind

652
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,720
Speaker 1: of ridiculous numbers. But um, but he's one of those

653
00:30:57,720 --> 00:31:00,520
Speaker 1: guys where the game three game theory pun would say

654
00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:02,680
Speaker 1: fat him and GPPs because his ownership is just going

655
00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:05,160
Speaker 1: to be so high. Are there any punp plays that

656
00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:08,760
Speaker 1: you think are worth sneaking in your lineup? I actually

657
00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:12,240
Speaker 1: think that you can make a good argument for for

658
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:15,040
Speaker 1: a couple of guys this week, especially with so many

659
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 1: mid and high price guys like at the running back

660
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 1: in wide receiver positions we've talked about. There's four that

661
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:25,800
Speaker 1: I wrote down in my prep. The two on Cincinnati

662
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:28,520
Speaker 1: that I think are interesting are Brandon LaFell and Tyler Boyd.

663
00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:32,240
Speaker 1: They're both going to see continued target opticks considering the

664
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:36,160
Speaker 1: AJ Green injury. I actually don't mind Kendall, right. I

665
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:38,160
Speaker 1: know I mentioned him earlier for JP, but that's because

666
00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:40,480
Speaker 1: I was kind of a little bit primed for that one,

667
00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:42,360
Speaker 1: you know, kind of in lockstep with what you were

668
00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 1: talking about with with Richard Matthews in Tennessee being a

669
00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 1: good situation. Don't love the weather there, but his price

670
00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 1: on FanDuel at forty six hundred bucks is hard to ignore.

671
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:54,480
Speaker 1: You don't often get too many guys that have that

672
00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:58,080
Speaker 1: kind of kind of big, big playability at that price,

673
00:31:58,600 --> 00:32:01,120
Speaker 1: and then another one would. She's actually my favorite of

674
00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:03,200
Speaker 1: the bunch. I played him a lot last week and

675
00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:05,160
Speaker 1: didn't really work out terribly well, but I think it

676
00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:07,160
Speaker 1: could be a bounce back week for him. Is Quentin

677
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:11,840
Speaker 1: Patton and you go, yeah, I actually was was really

678
00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:13,920
Speaker 1: liking what I saw from him from a couple of

679
00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:17,160
Speaker 1: weeks in a row. Super cheap he actually had. He's

680
00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:19,080
Speaker 1: actually had five or more targets and three straight and

681
00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:21,200
Speaker 1: four of his last five, not to mention back to

682
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:24,040
Speaker 1: back nine target performances in week nine in week ten. So,

683
00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:26,480
Speaker 1: considering how much we talked about how much I like Kaepernick,

684
00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:28,400
Speaker 1: I think he's the guy you want to pair him with,

685
00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:32,120
Speaker 1: maybe even advanced McDonald too, But I think that he's

686
00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:35,520
Speaker 1: probably the best cheap play on the board man Kaepernick, Pattning,

687
00:32:35,600 --> 00:32:39,600
Speaker 1: Convince McDonald. That is ugly, Jared. I know, I know

688
00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:42,080
Speaker 1: it's weird. It's so weird it could actually work, and

689
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:44,120
Speaker 1: I think, but if you think, if you think about it,

690
00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:47,560
Speaker 1: I mean, those guys are so cheap collectively on DraftKings

691
00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:50,760
Speaker 1: as a stack that you could have all the goodness

692
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:55,160
Speaker 1: guys like like David Johnson of the even if you

693
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:58,760
Speaker 1: want to go with Jagi or Melvin Gordon, Spencer Ware, etc.

694
00:32:59,080 --> 00:33:01,800
Speaker 1: And then probably even a guy like Julio Jones or

695
00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:04,120
Speaker 1: Odell if you really wanted to, just because they are

696
00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:07,240
Speaker 1: so freaking cheap. And so it's that's the kind of

697
00:33:07,240 --> 00:33:09,800
Speaker 1: low owned stuff that I think could really separate you

698
00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:13,000
Speaker 1: from the pack and keep you in a unique spot.

699
00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:14,640
Speaker 1: But I mean, don't get me wrong, it's it's a

700
00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:18,480
Speaker 1: crazy volatile recommendation. I'm fond of Malcolm Mitchell. I've been

701
00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:20,720
Speaker 1: waiting for him to finally get on the field and

702
00:33:20,760 --> 00:33:22,880
Speaker 1: showcase what he's about. We saw it in the preseason.

703
00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:26,080
Speaker 1: This has been making these being a really good Patriots

704
00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:28,800
Speaker 1: wide receiver. I think he continues to get touches this

705
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:32,400
Speaker 1: week against New Orleans and man, it could be a

706
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:35,960
Speaker 1: beautiful thing at the minimum price on Fandel all right, Jared,

707
00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 1: are there any overlooked wide receivers that kind of intrigue

708
00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:43,120
Speaker 1: this week? Yeah? I mean we've we've really quickly touched

709
00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:45,280
Speaker 1: on Julio and Odell, and I think that those are

710
00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:46,840
Speaker 1: two guys I think that are going to have quite

711
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:50,280
Speaker 1: low ownership and tremendous ceilings the other two that I

712
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:52,480
Speaker 1: would briefly mention. And I don't know why he's not

713
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:55,080
Speaker 1: getting enough public love because he's been awesome this year

714
00:33:55,120 --> 00:34:00,640
Speaker 1: in terms of consistency Larry Fitzgerald. He should, like, in

715
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:02,760
Speaker 1: my opinion, if you kind of boil it down to

716
00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:05,160
Speaker 1: how have you been doing, what's your production been, like,

717
00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:08,120
Speaker 1: what's your role in the offense, etcetera, etcetera. What kind

718
00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:10,480
Speaker 1: of game are you playing in? He's playing in the

719
00:34:10,520 --> 00:34:12,920
Speaker 1: game that has the highest projected total on the board.

720
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:16,240
Speaker 1: The guy has seven or more targets in every single

721
00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:19,080
Speaker 1: game this year, including double digits in three of the

722
00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:22,960
Speaker 1: last four. He's he's just been such a reliable, reliable

723
00:34:23,040 --> 00:34:25,799
Speaker 1: DFS play all season long. And I don't think he's

724
00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:28,319
Speaker 1: going to have more than like maybe eight to ten

725
00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:31,560
Speaker 1: percent ownership. And I mean, he's the kind of guy

726
00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:33,800
Speaker 1: that could easily go for you know, for for twenty

727
00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:38,080
Speaker 1: or more Fantasy points if he if he catches six

728
00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:40,319
Speaker 1: to six to ten balls and gets in the end

729
00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:41,920
Speaker 1: zone once or twice, which he hasn't done in the

730
00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:43,920
Speaker 1: last five games. In my opinion, that's the only thing

731
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:46,960
Speaker 1: that's keeping his value down. But but I absolutely love him.

732
00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:48,680
Speaker 1: I think that you really need to consider him when

733
00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:51,600
Speaker 1: you're especially talking about a Carson Palmer stack. But even

734
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:54,200
Speaker 1: without him, he's he's great. And then the one other

735
00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:56,680
Speaker 1: one that you can also consider, and again another lower

736
00:34:56,719 --> 00:34:59,759
Speaker 1: own play could be Mike Evans. I mean, you know,

737
00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:01,680
Speaker 1: you talked about how much you like Russell Wilson, and

738
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:04,960
Speaker 1: I can't deny that point, But I also can't look

739
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 1: away from the fact that the guy just gets targeted

740
00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:10,920
Speaker 1: so much. It's just it's just so many opportunities, and

741
00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:13,359
Speaker 1: you know, we talk about plays in terms of you know,

742
00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:17,439
Speaker 1: and usage and opportunity in DFS, like there's really nothing

743
00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:20,160
Speaker 1: better than this kind of situation. And he's already put

744
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:24,320
Speaker 1: some good numbers up against some fairly fairly solid defensive

745
00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:28,360
Speaker 1: passing passing teams, so um for a price that's basically

746
00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:30,480
Speaker 1: as low as it's been all season, I think that

747
00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:33,200
Speaker 1: you really got to love him for GPPs as well, Jared.

748
00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:35,160
Speaker 1: Neither of those guys were really on my radar, and

749
00:35:35,200 --> 00:35:38,400
Speaker 1: you nailed the ownership level on Larry Fitzgerald. We're projecting

750
00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:41,520
Speaker 1: at six percent. I like both those plays, now that

751
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:44,399
Speaker 1: you mention it, I can't believe Mike Evans is so cheap.

752
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 1: We're talking about the guy who's lead the NFL and targets. Yeah,

753
00:35:47,640 --> 00:35:49,719
Speaker 1: and it's not even close. I mean, it's it's just

754
00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:52,480
Speaker 1: it's just a great opportunity. And again, I think even

755
00:35:52,520 --> 00:35:56,800
Speaker 1: even with the low price on both sides, particularly on FanDuel,

756
00:35:56,880 --> 00:35:59,239
Speaker 1: just if you look at dollar for dollar, um, his

757
00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:01,160
Speaker 1: ownership is just going to be so much lower than

758
00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:05,080
Speaker 1: it should be. And I think that screams opportunity. All right, Jared,

759
00:36:05,160 --> 00:36:07,320
Speaker 1: let's move over to the tight end position, and Greg

760
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:10,359
Speaker 1: Olson just looks great going against the worst defense at

761
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:12,560
Speaker 1: stopping tight ends. Is he also your top tight end

762
00:36:12,560 --> 00:36:18,200
Speaker 1: of the week. Yes, yes he is. And in cash games,

763
00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:19,920
Speaker 1: if you can make it work, I I you know,

764
00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 1: I love the play. I also think you can make

765
00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:24,400
Speaker 1: a really good argument for him, quite honestly in GPPs

766
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:26,839
Speaker 1: because his price is going to help bring ownership down

767
00:36:27,280 --> 00:36:29,360
Speaker 1: um and uh. And when you look at kind of

768
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:32,360
Speaker 1: how things stack up defensively versus the tight end position

769
00:36:32,520 --> 00:36:36,040
Speaker 1: with Oakland, I mean it's it's an elite situation, all right, Jared,

770
00:36:36,080 --> 00:36:40,799
Speaker 1: So over under on Olsen six hundred yards over? Yeah, Yeah,

771
00:36:40,880 --> 00:36:42,480
Speaker 1: I think so too. It's it's gonna be a good

772
00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:45,920
Speaker 1: week for him. Yeah, no, no question about it all right. Now,

773
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:47,880
Speaker 1: how about contrarian plays that could pop up in the

774
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:50,160
Speaker 1: million dollar lineup this week? There's a couple that are

775
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:51,880
Speaker 1: really interesting to me, but I want to hear who

776
00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:55,799
Speaker 1: you have to say first. Yeah, I mean the one

777
00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:59,760
Speaker 1: that I'm most interested in, quite honestly, is Martellis Bennett.

778
00:37:00,040 --> 00:37:02,120
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know how contraaring he's going to

779
00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:06,600
Speaker 1: be because the price is great. Rob Munkous has been

780
00:37:06,680 --> 00:37:08,880
Speaker 1: ruled out again, but I think that he's going to

781
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:10,840
Speaker 1: be much lower owned than he was last week, just

782
00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:15,160
Speaker 1: based on how significantly he burned everyone. And you know,

783
00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:18,160
Speaker 1: and I, like I've mentioned before, big game theory guy

784
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:22,160
Speaker 1: and negative recency bias is a thing. It's real, and

785
00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:23,759
Speaker 1: and there are so many people that are going to

786
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,720
Speaker 1: shy away from a guy that burned them the week before,

787
00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:30,200
Speaker 1: even though their matchup in situation and outlook is is

788
00:37:30,239 --> 00:37:33,799
Speaker 1: really very good once again. So I feel like he

789
00:37:33,800 --> 00:37:36,240
Speaker 1: could be a guy to come back to. And then

790
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:39,480
Speaker 1: two others for me are and I'd say, you know,

791
00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:41,520
Speaker 1: one of them is a little bit less chalky or

792
00:37:41,680 --> 00:37:44,200
Speaker 1: orch contrarian rather than the other. I think. I think

793
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:46,600
Speaker 1: Jimmy Graham is a nice pairing with with Russell Wilson,

794
00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:49,240
Speaker 1: and he has arguably, you know, some of the highest

795
00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:52,879
Speaker 1: upside at the position. But a guy like Gary Barnage,

796
00:37:52,920 --> 00:37:54,680
Speaker 1: who I know we've talked about a couple of times.

797
00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:57,520
Speaker 1: He finally scored last week, and I know the situation

798
00:37:57,640 --> 00:37:59,880
Speaker 1: is terrible there, but when you look at the you know,

799
00:37:59,880 --> 00:38:02,680
Speaker 1: the matchup, excuse me, on paper and the percentage of

800
00:38:02,719 --> 00:38:06,520
Speaker 1: the hypercentage of snaps he plays, there's plenty of opportunity

801
00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:09,879
Speaker 1: to be had. So I like him as a dart throw.

802
00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:12,920
Speaker 1: And we already mentioned Vance McDonald, who actually think is

803
00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:16,120
Speaker 1: a really nice under the radar play. So I'll leave

804
00:38:16,120 --> 00:38:18,160
Speaker 1: it at that. I say this guy far too often,

805
00:38:18,560 --> 00:38:20,280
Speaker 1: but I'm going to go back to the well again.

806
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:25,239
Speaker 1: Charles Clay for Buffalo, Robert Woods is out, and look,

807
00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:28,080
Speaker 1: Charles Clay led the team in targets last week with seven.

808
00:38:28,320 --> 00:38:31,200
Speaker 1: He's been getting consistent targets and this is a week

809
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 1: that you know, he is super cheap and he's going

810
00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:36,480
Speaker 1: to keep getting a bunch of targets. If he gets

811
00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:39,000
Speaker 1: seven to ten targets, you tell me you're not spending

812
00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:43,560
Speaker 1: money on that guy. Yeah, I again, jaded Buffalo Bill's fan.

813
00:38:43,600 --> 00:38:45,279
Speaker 1: I just have a hard time seeing him actually hit

814
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:47,920
Speaker 1: double digits. But I mean in cash games, I think

815
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 1: it's perfectly fine. All right, Jared hopping over to defense.

816
00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:52,880
Speaker 1: Who's a sneaky play that you think could force a

817
00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:56,320
Speaker 1: bunch of turnovers this week? I think there are actually

818
00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:59,200
Speaker 1: a few that could surprise us. I'd say New England

819
00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:02,320
Speaker 1: versus Ryan fitz Patrick based on gameflow and passing Tennesseees

820
00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:05,040
Speaker 1: could lead to a few picks. I think New Orleans

821
00:39:05,040 --> 00:39:07,759
Speaker 1: actually going against Jared Goff. I know that was one

822
00:39:07,800 --> 00:39:10,520
Speaker 1: of the plays that the model that you mentioned on

823
00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:14,040
Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros has spat them out as a nice play. Um,

824
00:39:14,120 --> 00:39:16,440
Speaker 1: New Orleans is not bad at all getting picks and

825
00:39:16,800 --> 00:39:18,919
Speaker 1: could be a nice under the radar play, especially because

826
00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:21,960
Speaker 1: they're cheap. UM. But more than anything, and and and

827
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:24,839
Speaker 1: they're my favorite overall defensive play on the slate is

828
00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:27,759
Speaker 1: is I absolutely love Seattle. Um. I know that they're

829
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:31,120
Speaker 1: on the road here, um, but they're going against Jamis Winston,

830
00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:37,160
Speaker 1: who who is very very good at throwing interceptions and

831
00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:39,040
Speaker 1: um and and honestly, they're they're some of the most

832
00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:43,879
Speaker 1: consistent performing groups of groups of defensive players. Uh. They

833
00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:46,600
Speaker 1: lead the league in or season that league the league,

834
00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:49,239
Speaker 1: they are second in the league in an interception rate

835
00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:52,480
Speaker 1: UM and they have I believe it's the highest or

836
00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:55,600
Speaker 1: second highest sac rate on the slate as well. So UM,

837
00:39:56,080 --> 00:39:58,320
Speaker 1: when you when you look at defense, you want turnovers

838
00:39:58,360 --> 00:40:02,480
Speaker 1: and sacks, and they're the ones for me. How about

839
00:40:02,560 --> 00:40:05,600
Speaker 1: San Diego? You talk about turnovers, They have been turning

840
00:40:05,640 --> 00:40:08,280
Speaker 1: people over like crazy. I mean they've given up thirty

841
00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:11,279
Speaker 1: twenty seven thirty five thirty one points and in that

842
00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:13,359
Speaker 1: time for him, they've hit double digits twice because they

843
00:40:13,400 --> 00:40:15,839
Speaker 1: just forced so many turnovers. They're coming off the buy.

844
00:40:16,040 --> 00:40:19,239
Speaker 1: Now they get brock Osweiler. I think this one. It

845
00:40:19,560 --> 00:40:22,399
Speaker 1: looks good to me. Yeah, they could be a really

846
00:40:22,400 --> 00:40:26,399
Speaker 1: good tournament one quite frankly, I don't know if I'll

847
00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:28,719
Speaker 1: play them. I mean, I feel like I would rather

848
00:40:28,760 --> 00:40:30,840
Speaker 1: spend a few hundred bucks more and get Seattle, and

849
00:40:30,880 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 1: I'm okay with that being a higher owned play. But

850
00:40:33,640 --> 00:40:36,920
Speaker 1: I certainly respect the point and I would you know,

851
00:40:38,080 --> 00:40:40,279
Speaker 1: I would happily pick on Brock o Ossweiler any day

852
00:40:40,280 --> 00:40:42,080
Speaker 1: of the week just because he's so bad at football.

853
00:40:42,120 --> 00:40:45,360
Speaker 1: So I'll give that to you. Double digit fantasy points

854
00:40:45,640 --> 00:40:48,600
Speaker 1: at least twelve points five weeks so far this season,

855
00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:51,320
Speaker 1: five out of ten. They're a good GP people. I

856
00:40:51,400 --> 00:40:53,600
Speaker 1: like them. Yeah, it's just hard to rely on defensive

857
00:40:53,600 --> 00:40:56,120
Speaker 1: touchdowns and they've they've had what is it for so

858
00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:58,000
Speaker 1: far this year, but they've been getting plenty of picks,

859
00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:02,000
Speaker 1: so I can respect it. All Right. Who's the safest

860
00:41:02,040 --> 00:41:04,040
Speaker 1: defensive play, someone that you think is a sure bet

861
00:41:04,080 --> 00:41:07,200
Speaker 1: to get ten Fantasy points for you? Well, I know

862
00:41:07,239 --> 00:41:10,840
Speaker 1: I mentioned I mentioned Seattle as well. They'd be the

863
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:13,319
Speaker 1: pick for me there if I had to choose one

864
00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:16,440
Speaker 1: other one. Um. Quite frankly, I think that the Bills

865
00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:19,239
Speaker 1: have a great chance to do it this week. Um,

866
00:41:19,320 --> 00:41:23,600
Speaker 1: They're they're at home again, cold weather environment against Blake Bortles,

867
00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:28,520
Speaker 1: who is so bad? Um, And and frankly, you know,

868
00:41:28,560 --> 00:41:30,920
Speaker 1: they are a very solid defensive group as well. I

869
00:41:31,239 --> 00:41:35,120
Speaker 1: expect them. There to be a lot of quite a

870
00:41:35,160 --> 00:41:38,640
Speaker 1: few sacks and turnovers for the Jags and this one,

871
00:41:38,719 --> 00:41:41,919
Speaker 1: so I feel like they're they're a fairly safe play,

872
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:44,080
Speaker 1: and they should be fairly chalky as well. I know

873
00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:45,759
Speaker 1: you're not gonna like to hear this, but for me,

874
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:48,359
Speaker 1: it's the Miami Dolphins. We talked about how hot their

875
00:41:48,360 --> 00:41:51,719
Speaker 1: defense has been lately. And Colin Kaepernick, like it or not,

876
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:55,200
Speaker 1: he knows how to turn the ball over too, And yeah,

877
00:41:55,200 --> 00:41:57,920
Speaker 1: you made a lot of sense. He's a good GPP playum,

878
00:41:58,120 --> 00:42:00,680
Speaker 1: and maybe even a cash game play with how consistent

879
00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:03,359
Speaker 1: he's been. But he's probably going to turn the ball over.

880
00:42:03,400 --> 00:42:06,560
Speaker 1: And I like what Miami's doing lately, so I'm trusting them.

881
00:42:06,600 --> 00:42:08,399
Speaker 1: Even at five thousand, I think they're a safe bet

882
00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:13,360
Speaker 1: to get tim fantasy points. Yeah, you raise some fair points.

883
00:42:13,520 --> 00:42:16,759
Speaker 1: I can't necessarily argue it, but I won't personally be

884
00:42:16,880 --> 00:42:19,720
Speaker 1: playing it. I will say this though, to Kaepernick's credit,

885
00:42:19,760 --> 00:42:22,399
Speaker 1: he's only had two picks so far this year. Yeah,

886
00:42:22,400 --> 00:42:25,040
Speaker 1: it's weird, and yeah, I mean maybe he's playing a

887
00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:28,960
Speaker 1: bit of a slightly more controlled football. I don't know.

888
00:42:29,040 --> 00:42:32,319
Speaker 1: I mean I won't be playing them. I will be

889
00:42:32,320 --> 00:42:34,400
Speaker 1: playing a little Kaepernick. So we'll see what happens at

890
00:42:34,400 --> 00:42:35,520
Speaker 1: the end of the week and we can have a

891
00:42:35,560 --> 00:42:37,719
Speaker 1: little bit of a recap. Now, is it fair to

892
00:42:37,760 --> 00:42:40,640
Speaker 1: say that your favorite contrarian stack is the forty nine ers?

893
00:42:40,680 --> 00:42:43,120
Speaker 1: There's there someone else that stands out to you this week? Now?

894
00:42:43,239 --> 00:42:47,640
Speaker 1: They're they're definitely the weirdest and craziest favorite contrarian stack.

895
00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:50,160
Speaker 1: The other one that I really like, and I only

896
00:42:50,160 --> 00:42:55,120
Speaker 1: think it's contrarian because ownership level of the receiving core

897
00:42:55,360 --> 00:42:57,320
Speaker 1: is not going to be super high. But it's it's

898
00:42:57,360 --> 00:43:00,279
Speaker 1: how are you going to also go in stack drewes

899
00:43:00,640 --> 00:43:03,160
Speaker 1: like that. That's always a bit of a challenging, you know,

900
00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:06,640
Speaker 1: recipe to figure out. But I've I've got Brandon Cooks,

901
00:43:06,640 --> 00:43:09,240
Speaker 1: Michael Thomas, and Kobe Fleaner all high on my list,

902
00:43:09,600 --> 00:43:12,760
Speaker 1: um for for kind of bringing into my multi entry strategy,

903
00:43:12,800 --> 00:43:15,600
Speaker 1: because I think that that Breeze has a really really

904
00:43:15,640 --> 00:43:18,399
Speaker 1: good chance at finishing with with a with a top

905
00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:22,479
Speaker 1: three finish in overall fantasy points at the position. So um,

906
00:43:22,520 --> 00:43:24,200
Speaker 1: if that's the case, I want to exposure to the

907
00:43:24,239 --> 00:43:25,759
Speaker 1: guys that are going to be playing a key role

908
00:43:25,800 --> 00:43:29,640
Speaker 1: there and and quite frankly, I think I think that

909
00:43:29,640 --> 00:43:32,839
Speaker 1: that Michael Thomas, as you mentioned, and Kobe Cleaner at home,

910
00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:35,200
Speaker 1: who tends to produce quite well and and be a

911
00:43:35,280 --> 00:43:37,919
Speaker 1: nice red zone threat, could be could be a couple

912
00:43:37,920 --> 00:43:40,320
Speaker 1: of nice loaned pieces to h to bring in a

913
00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:42,480
Speaker 1: little bit more contrarian love as well. You know, Jared,

914
00:43:42,480 --> 00:43:45,560
Speaker 1: I'm fond of Tyrod Taylor paired with a running back

915
00:43:45,600 --> 00:43:48,520
Speaker 1: and a tight end. Lashaw McCoy and Charles Clare already

916
00:43:48,520 --> 00:43:51,480
Speaker 1: talked about Charles Clay, who I'm fond of this week,

917
00:43:51,520 --> 00:43:53,480
Speaker 1: And though that's a that's a cheap combo, and you

918
00:43:53,640 --> 00:43:56,279
Speaker 1: usually don't go quarterback, running back, tight end, but the

919
00:43:56,280 --> 00:43:57,800
Speaker 1: fact of the matter is Buffalo is going to be

920
00:43:57,840 --> 00:44:00,719
Speaker 1: running the ball ton and Tyrod's a part of that equation.

921
00:44:01,040 --> 00:44:03,279
Speaker 1: And then if you pencil in Charles Clay being near

922
00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:06,320
Speaker 1: minimum price, all he has to do is hit value

923
00:44:06,320 --> 00:44:07,800
Speaker 1: and then, like you said, you can spend up on

924
00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:10,640
Speaker 1: those big guys. So the Buffalo stack, to me is

925
00:44:10,680 --> 00:44:14,080
Speaker 1: really intriguing. I have a hard time seeing it put

926
00:44:14,200 --> 00:44:16,040
Speaker 1: up the points that you'd need to really hit on

927
00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:18,480
Speaker 1: the GPP. And I think you could also argue the

928
00:44:18,520 --> 00:44:20,560
Speaker 1: same thing with what I mentioned on Kaepernick side, So

929
00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:23,080
Speaker 1: I I totally will meet you in the middle. There.

930
00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:25,400
Speaker 1: The other contrarian one I know I mentioned before, just

931
00:44:25,440 --> 00:44:28,160
Speaker 1: to reiterate, it is the Matt Jones Julio Matt Jones,

932
00:44:28,320 --> 00:44:31,000
Speaker 1: the Matt Ryan Julio Jones stack. I don't think anyone

933
00:44:31,040 --> 00:44:34,560
Speaker 1: wants a Matt Jones. Yeah, Matt Jones Julio stack. That

934
00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:37,560
Speaker 1: would be really ballsy. That is that is that is

935
00:44:37,600 --> 00:44:41,560
Speaker 1: bringing a healthy scratch player from Thursday night and and

936
00:44:41,600 --> 00:44:45,160
Speaker 1: a wide receiver without his back on Sunday, just to

937
00:44:45,280 --> 00:44:47,160
Speaker 1: just to go a little bit crazy. Now, I'm just

938
00:44:47,200 --> 00:44:50,960
Speaker 1: to reiterate, that's hum, that's Matt Ryan and Julio. I

939
00:44:51,280 --> 00:44:53,200
Speaker 1: think that those guys are both going to have very

940
00:44:53,239 --> 00:44:56,120
Speaker 1: low ownership. I'm talking like sub five percent for both

941
00:44:56,239 --> 00:44:59,359
Speaker 1: and h And we know that the ceiling is tremendous. Now,

942
00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:00,839
Speaker 1: I think we're going to come up with the same

943
00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:03,920
Speaker 1: safe stack stack that if you had to trust for

944
00:45:04,000 --> 00:45:06,400
Speaker 1: one cash game, who would it be that you trust

945
00:45:06,400 --> 00:45:10,040
Speaker 1: the most? For me, it's Seattle, Russell Wilson, Doug Baldwin,

946
00:45:10,200 --> 00:45:12,760
Speaker 1: Jimmy Graham. Are you with me? Yeah? I am, because

947
00:45:12,800 --> 00:45:14,800
Speaker 1: I also love the value for both of those guys,

948
00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:16,960
Speaker 1: um And And, honestly, I don't even think you need

949
00:45:17,000 --> 00:45:19,480
Speaker 1: to go all three. I think a Baldwin Russell Wilson

950
00:45:19,560 --> 00:45:22,239
Speaker 1: stack as a as a good baseline for cash it's

951
00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:24,680
Speaker 1: perfectly fine. The other one I was thinking you might

952
00:45:24,760 --> 00:45:28,680
Speaker 1: mention actually was the Derek Carr Amari Cooper combination. Um

953
00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:31,600
Speaker 1: And And I think that that one is also perfectly viable.

954
00:45:31,880 --> 00:45:35,120
Speaker 1: And I have no problem honestly going Cooper Crabtree and

955
00:45:35,280 --> 00:45:38,239
Speaker 1: car just considering, um, you know, they're both good, they're

956
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:39,879
Speaker 1: you know, both those receivers are going to get plenty

957
00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:44,360
Speaker 1: of action and and the Carolina past events is just

958
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:47,480
Speaker 1: absolutely terrible. So you know what's crazy, I'm sorry, No,

959
00:45:47,560 --> 00:45:48,920
Speaker 1: it's okay. I would just I would just I think

960
00:45:48,960 --> 00:45:50,680
Speaker 1: that they're they're the other one you can think of too.

961
00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:54,479
Speaker 1: You know what's absolutely crazy is we haven't even talked

962
00:45:54,480 --> 00:45:56,920
Speaker 1: about the best quarterback in football at least over the

963
00:45:57,000 --> 00:46:00,320
Speaker 1: last seven weeks. It's Marcus Mariota. He gets Chicago, who's

964
00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:02,760
Speaker 1: not a very good defense, and Mariot has just been

965
00:46:02,920 --> 00:46:07,359
Speaker 1: raking in the points thirty twenty eight, eighteen, nineteen, twenty nine,

966
00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:11,600
Speaker 1: twenty eight, twenty two. Is it happening in this week? No?

967
00:46:11,760 --> 00:46:13,239
Speaker 1: And I think I just have to stick to my

968
00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:17,160
Speaker 1: guns and say I'm gonna say no because of the

969
00:46:17,200 --> 00:46:19,640
Speaker 1: weather impact and the fact that I think it's going

970
00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:23,000
Speaker 1: to be a DeMarco Marie week. I also do think

971
00:46:23,080 --> 00:46:27,439
Speaker 1: that this is a classic situation where you could find

972
00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:32,040
Speaker 1: yourself chasing, you know, a previous production, especially for a

973
00:46:32,080 --> 00:46:34,880
Speaker 1: guy that's seen his price rise so significantly in that

974
00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:37,480
Speaker 1: hot streak that he's had, so I think he's fine

975
00:46:37,600 --> 00:46:39,960
Speaker 1: to to fade. And he's another guy that hasn't had

976
00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 1: to play in cold weather like we mentioned about, so

977
00:46:43,280 --> 00:46:46,799
Speaker 1: I'm not really I'm not really interested in in dealing

978
00:46:46,880 --> 00:46:48,239
Speaker 1: with that, even though I mean, you got to, you

979
00:46:48,320 --> 00:46:50,399
Speaker 1: gotta marvel and give credit where it's due in terms

980
00:46:50,440 --> 00:46:52,840
Speaker 1: of his past production. But I think this is the

981
00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:54,359
Speaker 1: week that you come off of him and just kind

982
00:46:54,360 --> 00:46:57,279
Speaker 1: of let let those that chase do as they wish.

983
00:46:57,840 --> 00:46:59,560
Speaker 1: All right, Jared, Well, that's all the questions we have

984
00:46:59,640 --> 00:47:02,520
Speaker 1: read this week. Thank you for coming on, and Happy Thanksgiving.

985
00:47:03,000 --> 00:47:06,920
Speaker 1: Same to you. Enjoy the enjoy the turkey or the

986
00:47:06,960 --> 00:47:09,280
Speaker 1: desserts or the desserts, which I think that you'll probably

987
00:47:09,280 --> 00:47:12,319
Speaker 1: be doing more. So that's right, That's exactly right. All right,

988
00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:14,239
Speaker 1: take care and for those of you listening, that's the

989
00:47:14,320 --> 00:47:16,279
Speaker 1: less show of the week. We've got three more coming

990
00:47:16,320 --> 00:47:19,320
Speaker 1: up next week with Justin McMahan of Daily Fantasy Insider

991
00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:21,759
Speaker 1: coming on to talk about dfs. Make sure to tune

992
00:47:21,760 --> 00:47:23,840
Speaker 1: in for those, and if you haven't already, please do

993
00:47:23,880 --> 00:47:26,120
Speaker 1: us a big favor subscribe on iTunes. Leave us a

994
00:47:26,200 --> 00:47:29,600
Speaker 1: rating and review really helps us out. Thanks for listening

995
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:32,440
Speaker 1: and enjoy your football. I just wanted you to watch

996
00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:44,280
Speaker 1: I don't even know how again