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Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Melman and I am going to be

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Speaker 1: joined by my best friend and professional better Simon Hunter.

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Speaker 1: In a moment Simon and I haven't spoken since Sunday afternoon,

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Speaker 1: when Simon heard me maybe in one of my most

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Speaker 1: vulnerable moments ever. Simon, you know exactly what I'm talking about. Uh,

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Speaker 1: it's a moment in which he heard me go from

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Speaker 1: euphoric to flum mixed to purely despondent and then basically

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Speaker 1: unable to speak. Um. It was just it was totally devastating.

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Speaker 1: And I'm talking, of course about us having Arizona minus

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Speaker 1: two and a half in the Draft Kings pick up contest,

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Speaker 1: watching Kyler Murray's mirror touchdown pass to DeAndre Hopkins to

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Speaker 1: give them a two point lead with two seconds left,

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Speaker 1: only to realize when I was on the phone with

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Speaker 1: Simon Hunter that they were not going to kick the

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Speaker 1: extra point. Simon, I think it was when I called

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Speaker 1: you and you said, A, I can't believe we're calling

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Speaker 1: me and be they still got to kick the extra point.

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Speaker 1: When I realized they weren't going to kick the extra point. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that was They'll go down as a minute of hell

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Speaker 1: in my life. They mixed the extra point and then

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Speaker 1: Nick Mullen's driving the field through a pick all in

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Speaker 1: that one minute span up two of the games. So

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Speaker 1: we're looking at four and one to two and three

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Speaker 1: in a matter of one minute. That was brual Man.

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Speaker 1: So yesterday I got a text from my buddy uh Sylvie.

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Speaker 1: He is the host of co host of The Waddle

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Speaker 1: and Sylvie Show UH in Chicago on ESPN Radio in Chicago,

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Speaker 1: and he asked me, he goes, does the Cardinals game

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Speaker 1: count as a bad beat because in reality, like they

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Speaker 1: never should have been in it? And my answer was yes,

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Speaker 1: because what happened before the extra point was miraculous and

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Speaker 1: it's not a bad beat like because of But that's

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Speaker 1: not what makes it the bad beat. The bad beat

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Speaker 1: is that something pro forma, something that is just completely

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Speaker 1: standard that should happen didn't happen. And that's what makes

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Speaker 1: it the bad beat, because the expectation at that point

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Speaker 1: you're gonna cover and then you didn't. Missing the not

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Speaker 1: having the extra point kicked is what makes it a

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Speaker 1: bad beat. You don't get to not feel like you

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Speaker 1: never were gonna win the game to begin with, because

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Speaker 1: the touchdown was miraculous, right. That's like my buddy text

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Speaker 1: me the same thing goes, how is that a bad being?

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Speaker 1: I'm like, can you name me the other time team

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Speaker 1: kneeled down an extra point instead of kicking the extra

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Speaker 1: point because I can't so to me, if I can't

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Speaker 1: think of it, that's a bad beat. Like the same

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Speaker 1: thing where people are complaining so hard about the Cleveland line.

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Speaker 1: Of course bad beat man. The guy stepped out the one,

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Speaker 1: but at the same time he was calling the backfield.

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Speaker 1: He broke a couple of tackles, and he broke it

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Speaker 1: down the sideline and he stepped out. It's like, that's

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Speaker 1: what I get when people say there's some little guy

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Speaker 1: in some basement in Switzerland that makes up these lines,

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Speaker 1: who has the ultimate computer system. That's like the theory

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Speaker 1: in Vegas. There's some guy in the middle of the

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Speaker 1: mounds of Switzerland who puts these lines up, and that's

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Speaker 1: who they steal these lines for it these sports books

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Speaker 1: and off shore. I believe it. Man, this dude whoever

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Speaker 1: makes these lines, he's the goat. We had so many

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Speaker 1: good middle middle opportunities this week where like that Arizona game.

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Speaker 1: We're talking about you got the best of the number

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Speaker 1: at one and a half. A lot of the people

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Speaker 1: listen to this podcast and their competitions too. They had

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Speaker 1: one and a half with the Cardinals. That's a winner.

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Speaker 1: You took two and a half of the Bills, that's

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Speaker 1: a winner. Like the fact that they're off on these

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Speaker 1: lines by half a point, it just shows we're like

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Speaker 1: we're in the dog days of football or the Vegas

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Speaker 1: is really sharp with these lines, and if you're not

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Speaker 1: getting the best of the number, it has a scary

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Speaker 1: off where Cleveland you're the wrong side the three and

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Speaker 1: a half. We talked about it that they don't cover hooks.

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Speaker 1: You're on the wrong side. Houston was the right side,

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Speaker 1: so it was bad luck. But Scooch says, the right

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Speaker 1: side the winning side, my friend. As Scoot Chez. By

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Speaker 1: the way, you mentioned, when's the last time someone didn't

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Speaker 1: kick an extra point? As Matt Mitchell, our producer, knows

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Speaker 1: this past week. But last week we had a video

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Speaker 1: go up. We do these videos called Great Moments in

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Speaker 1: Gambling History. You put them on at Action Network HQ

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Speaker 1: and UH. They're they're presented by DraftKings and um. We

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Speaker 1: did one last week, which was the most viewed one

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Speaker 1: we've done so far this year. We've done four of them,

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Speaker 1: which was the Bills were three and a half point

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Speaker 1: dogs against the Patriots. The Bills were up twenty one

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Speaker 1: seventeen with six seconds left, Drew Bledsoe through a hail

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Speaker 1: mary into the end zone. The refs called past interference,

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Speaker 1: so there was no time left on timed down from

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Speaker 1: the one yard line. The Patriots scored a touchdown. There

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Speaker 1: are u those betters are still like, well, it doesn't matter,

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Speaker 1: we got three and a half. They're going to kick

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Speaker 1: the extra point. It's over. In protest, the Bills walk

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Speaker 1: off the field. Adam Vintary, the kicker for the Patriots

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Speaker 1: at the time, gets a direct snap, walks into the

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Speaker 1: end zone. Patriots win by four, and that forever We'll

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Speaker 1: leave Pete Carroll to be the gambling gods. People love

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Speaker 1: Pete Carroll just because of that moment. If you're exactly

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Speaker 1: you remember it. Yeah, it's legendary. Hey, quick note from

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Speaker 1: the producer here. That is the only time in NFL

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Speaker 1: history a pastor appearance call has been called im a

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Speaker 1: hail mary. And as a builds fan, funk that game,

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Speaker 1: funk the Patriots, and fuck Pete Carroll al right before

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Speaker 1: we get to the recap. Before we get to the recap,

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Speaker 1: I just want to remind everybody, as you've heard professional Better,

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Speaker 1: Simon Hunter is joining the pod every week and together

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Speaker 1: we have entered the Draft Kings Pro Football pick Up

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Speaker 1: National Championship. We will decide what picks we should put

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Speaker 1: in five picks every week before we get to that

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Speaker 1: re cap. Though of this past week. One more thing,

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Speaker 1: another reminder. We are bringing back the cash fee will

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Speaker 1: phrase that pays contest. We got a lot so many

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Speaker 1: good reviews to talk about at the other show. From

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Speaker 1: now through the end of the season, we are giving

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Speaker 1: a lucky listener one dollars for every game we win

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Speaker 1: each week, which means everybody should root for us every

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Speaker 1: week and review the podcast because they can win up

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Speaker 1: to five and we're giving an equal amount to the

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Speaker 1: charity of the winner's choice. We have been giving away

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Speaker 1: money to charity to be eligible. Go review the podcast

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Speaker 1: using the phrase Simon says, every point matters, and if

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Speaker 1: we like it, Matt Mitchell will randomly choose it. You

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Speaker 1: will win the money and your charity will win some money.

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Speaker 1: Every pick we make, every data point we discuss. It's

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Speaker 1: all available in the Action network Gap. It's free, it's

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Speaker 1: award winning. Go downloaded. Follow at Simon Hunter. Get all

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Speaker 1: of our picks every single Sunday. By noon, you will

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Speaker 1: know what we're going to be betting on in the

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Speaker 1: draft Kings Pro Football, pick him National Championship. I went

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Speaker 1: over our notes, Simon, because we ended up going too

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Speaker 1: and three this week. Okay, I went over our notes because,

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Speaker 1: like I was so broken up on Sunday. You mentioned

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Speaker 1: that Niners game as well, like they were on the

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Speaker 1: verge of covering the back door and then they throw

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Speaker 1: that interception in the end zone. The games we loved,

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Speaker 1: we loved the Bucks left out the Fins. I can't

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Speaker 1: remember why. Oh, we left out the Fins because we

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Speaker 1: liked him. At two and a half, the line got

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Speaker 1: to three, so it was a coin flip. Then in

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Speaker 1: the end between Washington and Denver for our last game,

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Speaker 1: what happened here? This is your job. You gotta be

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Speaker 1: my savior. You said there was no way we'd put

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Speaker 1: Denver in. You somehow let me course into put in

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Speaker 1: Denver in. We lost because I am an idiot man

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Speaker 1: I just Denver just always has so much value. But

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Speaker 1: Drew lock is just crap man throwing four interceptions in

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Speaker 1: that game after the game he had against Atlanta. Kid

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Speaker 1: is not a pro quarterback. You will not be in

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Speaker 1: this league. The Broncos are hoping they can go maybe

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Speaker 1: three and thirteen now and get a top pick because

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Speaker 1: he's not the answer. So it definitely hurt. And the

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Speaker 1: funniest part was you texting me about the Washington That's

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Speaker 1: what I'm saying, Chat, you're cursing my friend. I'm telling

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Speaker 1: you you have the power. You text me about Washington.

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Speaker 1: They're down twenty four to three. Guess what Washington does.

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Speaker 1: I scored twenty one straight points and cover that number

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Speaker 1: that we would have got four and a half. So yeah, man,

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Speaker 1: it was brue especially when we talked to the fund.

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Speaker 1: I said, we literally went five and on the one pms.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be tough run here the four pms to

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Speaker 1: get wins, and yeah, it didn't break our way. But

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Speaker 1: at the same time, man, we went two and three.

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Speaker 1: The best bets in the competition went one and four,

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Speaker 1: So overall we lost a little bit. We're still in

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Speaker 1: the top fifties. We didn't lose that much ground luckily.

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Speaker 1: All Right, So right now, at what place are we in?

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Speaker 1: I'll have to look. We're fifty four last night, and

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Speaker 1: I know a decent amount of people have the Bears.

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Speaker 1: Because the Bears, I think we're three and a half

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Speaker 1: in the pickpool. So I'll have to look again. Jesus Christ,

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Speaker 1: we dropped from too. Yeah, but that's what I'm saying.

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Speaker 1: We're only four behind the lead. That's what it's just,

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Speaker 1: so everything so close every week it counts, man, that's

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Speaker 1: why we're like, yeah, that that hurts these we keep

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Speaker 1: losing these games by half a point. Like if you

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Speaker 1: just add those three games this year we've lost by

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Speaker 1: half a point, we'd be literally back one game of

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Speaker 1: the lead. So we just gotta keep dodging these really

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Speaker 1: bad weeks. As long as we'renna have own five, one

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Speaker 1: and four, we're gonna be in the money come the end.

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Speaker 1: So I still got high hopes. I just had a

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Speaker 1: sip of water and it was delicious. Uh. Last night

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Speaker 1: last night I went downstairs and my wife said to me,

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Speaker 1: can you make it's a dickie sauce, you know, like

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Speaker 1: the Greek yogurt sauce, and I'm like, I can do that.

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Speaker 1: So I I got out the Greek yogurt, and I

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Speaker 1: got out of cucumber, and I got out the lemon

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Speaker 1: and the garlic, and I like graded the cucumber and like,

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Speaker 1: you gotta squeeze out the wa or the cucumber, and

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Speaker 1: I did in a bowl, and afterwards I put that

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Speaker 1: water in a picture and then put water and lemon

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Speaker 1: in there. So today I'm having cucumber, lemon, lemon water,

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Speaker 1: and it's like it's it's healing. It's almost taking away

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Speaker 1: the sting from the cardinals not covering that bet. What

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Speaker 1: a breakdown that was, Oh my god, and I don't

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Speaker 1: know how to handle it. It's like I want to

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Speaker 1: come at you for being such a nerd, but it

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Speaker 1: sounds amazing and delicious and I might have to make

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Speaker 1: some after we get done here. It's so refreshing and

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Speaker 1: it was so easy. All right, all right, listen, we

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Speaker 1: are in fifty four place. We got a lot to

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Speaker 1: look forward to, we got a lot of ground to

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Speaker 1: make up. We're only four games out of first. We're

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Speaker 1: still gonna make some money. And this thing, we got

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Speaker 1: our big balls better the week we got our Hornets

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Speaker 1: nest better the week, we got a Survivor Pick of

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Speaker 1: the week. We had the Packers last week. I was

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Speaker 1: never worried about it. It looked fantastic. I was mostly

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Speaker 1: worried that game was gonna go over. It did not, Simon,

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Speaker 1: Bears did not come through for you last night. We're

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Speaker 1: going to move on from that. The Cardinals are visiting

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks, and right now on DraftKings, the Cardinals are

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Speaker 1: three and a half point road dogs. What do we

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Speaker 1: think of that? Right now? You don't think about it.

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Speaker 1: You just take the Seahawks. It's annoying that it's three

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Speaker 1: and a half, um, but I'll take it. I got

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Speaker 1: this at five and a half, so in my mind,

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Speaker 1: I think I'm getting good value. I like the opening

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Speaker 1: number of four and a half. I took that. Now

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Speaker 1: it's down to three and a half, I'll take Seahawks again.

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Speaker 1: It's just a situational play where the Seahawks. About two weeks,

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Speaker 1: they've they've looked terrible. They've had two close games with

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals. The Cardinals lost the game by three points,

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Speaker 1: and then they just won a game in dramatic fashion,

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Speaker 1: and a lot of people think This is gonna be

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Speaker 1: like a spark to me. It's one of these the

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Speaker 1: Cardinals players today on Tuesday, you think they're really thinking

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Speaker 1: about the Seahawks. You still think they're thinking about Sunday,

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Speaker 1: and they already beat the Seahawks. The Seahawks need this

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Speaker 1: game desperately, especially on a two game slide. I'm happy

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Speaker 1: to take the Seahawks here and back Russell Wilson. I

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Speaker 1: know that the defense is played terrible for the Seahawks,

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Speaker 1: but this just seems like a situational play where you

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Speaker 1: have to take the Seahawks at home here, and I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take them. You bet the Seahawks at five and

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Speaker 1: a half. You bet him again at four and a half. No,

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Speaker 1: I bet him at four and a half. I said,

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Speaker 1: I had him at five and a half. Of my Yeah, okay,

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Speaker 1: you've got empower later to five and a half five

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Speaker 1: and a half as well. Uh, you're listen, you're against

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Speaker 1: the wise guys in this. The money has been coming

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Speaker 1: in obviously. You can see that the money came in

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Speaker 1: on this on the Cardinals at five and a half

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Speaker 1: and four and a half. So you bet the Seahawks

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Speaker 1: at the middle of the number. Yeah, I'm just I

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Speaker 1: just wanted to get it early because I was worried

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Speaker 1: the public is gonna come in on it. But that's fine, man,

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Speaker 1: It's not even the sharp money. If you just look

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Speaker 1: at the numbers. It's every week these Thursday road teams

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Speaker 1: have been covering, and I think people are just riding

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Speaker 1: the trend and they're thinking themselves, I'm getting three and

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Speaker 1: a half, four and a half, five and a half

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Speaker 1: with a road team here, why wouldn't I take it?

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Speaker 1: So that's why to me, it feels like this is

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Speaker 1: the sharp side taking the Seahawks. It is not everyone's

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Speaker 1: gonna take this side just because they've been so bad.

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Speaker 1: I think I'm with you. I'm with the Seahawks in mind,

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Speaker 1: if I can get the Seahawks, like if this continues

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Speaker 1: to move down, and it could with the money and

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Speaker 1: the and the best coming in on the Cardinals, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna wait and see if I can get the Seahawks

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Speaker 1: at minus three. And I mean you could buy right now.

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Speaker 1: Wouldn't be terrible value, Probably be minus one at minus three,

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Speaker 1: which isn't terrible. Um. In my mind, if this goes

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Speaker 1: to my student competition, this might be our first Thursday

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Speaker 1: Play of the Year. We might have to take this one.

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Speaker 1: I'm with you, man, you know what, We're in fifty

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Speaker 1: four place, there's six weeks left in the competition. It's

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Speaker 1: trying to make some It's time for the game theory

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Speaker 1: to reveal itself. I'm with you. Were are We're playing

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Speaker 1: a little bit of The Queen's Gambit. Oh, Chad, my man.

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Speaker 1: I finally watched it. So good, right, so good. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I don't want to ruin the ending for people, but

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Speaker 1: that whole thing was kind of corny where it was like, oh,

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Speaker 1: the Americans are helping each other. This is so wonderful.

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Speaker 1: It was like this, chicks, hey, don't ruin it. Don't

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Speaker 1: ruin it. But I gotta tell you, that's exactly what

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Speaker 1: I said to my wife. We were sipping our cucumber

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Speaker 1: and lemon water. We're watching The Queen's Gambit on Netflix,

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Speaker 1: and I said to her, this, this ending is so

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Speaker 1: not in line with the spirit of the show. Like

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Speaker 1: the show like had an edge and it was dark

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Speaker 1: and like like it wasn't a show in which it

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Speaker 1: had naturally happy endings, and like for this to be

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Speaker 1: the ending of the show, it almost like she went soft.

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Speaker 1: Everybody in the show went soft, Like it just sort

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Speaker 1: of it disappointed me. It totally disappointed me. But I

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Speaker 1: love this show regardless. She's amazing. You know, the actress game,

289
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Speaker 1: but she was amazing. Stories were amazing. The obsessiveness, I

290
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Speaker 1: gotta tell you, the obsessiveness with chess reminded me a

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Speaker 1: lot about like people's obsessiveness with gambling and like gambling

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Speaker 1: culture and sort of how you think about the moves

293
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Speaker 1: and the maneuvers and all that kind of stuff. It

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Speaker 1: was fascinating. Yeah, and it's one of those where we

295
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Speaker 1: all went through a chess phase. I don't know if

296
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Speaker 1: you either went to summer camp or you and your

297
00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:17,720
Speaker 1: friends used to just when you're in like six seventh

298
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Speaker 1: grade just played chess for like two months straight. We

299
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Speaker 1: all went through that phase. When you're watching, it just

300
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Speaker 1: brings it back where it was like, man, this is

301
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Speaker 1: just it is such a beautiful, simple game. And the

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Speaker 1: fact that they nerd out on the show where they're

303
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Speaker 1: breaking it down, which is like hilarious. Listen to their like,

304
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Speaker 1: oh and in nineteen thirty three he moved to queen

305
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Speaker 1: square four and it's like what is happening? But like

306
00:15:39,600 --> 00:15:42,160
Speaker 1: the problem with gambling. It's been underground for so long,

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Speaker 1: we don't really we have a couple of legends, like guys,

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Speaker 1: we've written books Legends of the sports betting world. Well

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Speaker 1: we don't have it because it's been underground for so

310
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Speaker 1: long that like we don't have these guys. So now

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Speaker 1: that's what's cool about nowadays it's becoming legalize. You're starting

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Speaker 1: to hear more names, and it is cool here in

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Speaker 1: all these like old legendary stories and you're definitely right

314
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Speaker 1: where the following the exact same people obsess about people

315
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Speaker 1: really good at sports betting, So it's it's pretty pretty

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Speaker 1: cool mixing the two and talking about that. I mean,

317
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Speaker 1: some people would say, you're talking to one of the

318
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Speaker 1: legends who's sort of defined sports betting from mainstream culture,

319
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Speaker 1: apprecially saying that about me chat, you're a minch. You're

320
00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:26,240
Speaker 1: a real minch. Like looking in the mirror, the Titans

321
00:16:26,280 --> 00:16:29,560
Speaker 1: on the road at the Ravens six and a half

322
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Speaker 1: point dogs, the bets of the money coming in on

323
00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:41,640
Speaker 1: the Tennessee Titans smash the Ravens, smash the Ravens under

324
00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:44,920
Speaker 1: a touchdown in this game, Go talk me off it.

325
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Speaker 1: I hate it because he has looked bad Lamar and

326
00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:51,200
Speaker 1: their offense looks so staggnant right now. But this is

327
00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:54,120
Speaker 1: this we have to play the situation. Will buy low

328
00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:59,560
Speaker 1: team and the Ravens that they've played two road games

329
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Speaker 1: that won one, they look terrible the other one just

330
00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:05,879
Speaker 1: because of the mon soon, and we've seen it. I

331
00:17:05,880 --> 00:17:07,720
Speaker 1: feel like Tannehill and not that he's turned back into

332
00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:10,960
Speaker 1: a pumpkin, but like I don't have faith in him

333
00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:14,080
Speaker 1: putting putting money behind him anymore. Where Lamar, I still

334
00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:16,680
Speaker 1: have the idea that back my mind this this guy,

335
00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:19,639
Speaker 1: if he has a lead, he's gonna win. But the

336
00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:22,240
Speaker 1: statistic I saw he's oh and six now when he's

337
00:17:22,280 --> 00:17:24,880
Speaker 1: down ten in any game. So that's one of those

338
00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:26,840
Speaker 1: where I'm happy to take the Ravens. And if you're

339
00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:29,520
Speaker 1: if you're a lot better, as soon as the Ravens

340
00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:31,919
Speaker 1: get down ten, you have to ride the train. You

341
00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:35,000
Speaker 1: have to take the Titans live. Because this is this

342
00:17:35,040 --> 00:17:36,760
Speaker 1: is getting to a point now with Lamar that we

343
00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:40,680
Speaker 1: he's had real stinker games and he loses the good

344
00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:43,280
Speaker 1: teams that that one we have to kind of throughout

345
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Speaker 1: the Patriots because of the weather. This is not a

346
00:17:46,080 --> 00:17:48,919
Speaker 1: good team in my mind the Titans, and I'm happy

347
00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:50,840
Speaker 1: riding with you and taking the mind the six and

348
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Speaker 1: a half. Alright, I have no concern like that to

349
00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:58,439
Speaker 1: me is a locket in pick right now. All right,

350
00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:03,000
Speaker 1: I'll put it in. Well, let's talk about on Sunday.

351
00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:06,520
Speaker 1: Panthers minus one, minus one and a half right now

352
00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:12,080
Speaker 1: at DraftKings at home against the Lions. Christian McCaffrey doubtful.

353
00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:16,720
Speaker 1: Teddy Bridgewater uh left the game with a right knee injury.

354
00:18:17,280 --> 00:18:21,159
Speaker 1: I don't know his status right now. Um, there's no

355
00:18:21,280 --> 00:18:23,600
Speaker 1: fucking way I'm taking the Lions on the road like

356
00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:28,280
Speaker 1: in a gaming which is essentially winner wins. Yeah, I'm

357
00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:30,879
Speaker 1: cool with pass and I'm definitely going to line side

358
00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:34,600
Speaker 1: in this where you're you're exactly right that the they're

359
00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:37,000
Speaker 1: finally banged up. The Panthers, they have too many injuries

360
00:18:37,000 --> 00:18:38,720
Speaker 1: for me to back. I would love to take them

361
00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:41,800
Speaker 1: here as a home team, but I can't do it.

362
00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:45,000
Speaker 1: And if they're gonna have Golladay back on Detroit, I'm

363
00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:47,879
Speaker 1: happy to take Detroit. So I'm with you. Let's just

364
00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:49,360
Speaker 1: put let's put on the side. I want to put

365
00:18:49,359 --> 00:18:53,159
Speaker 1: this one in. Well, it's interesting to me that you

366
00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:57,440
Speaker 1: like the Lions though, Yeah, it's just situational, where like

367
00:18:58,320 --> 00:19:01,200
Speaker 1: if I want to back and banged up Anthers team,

368
00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:03,520
Speaker 1: It's just it doesn't feel like it's smart form. Where

369
00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:05,880
Speaker 1: I had this line of minus two and a half

370
00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:08,080
Speaker 1: for the Detroit I thought this was gonna hang when

371
00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:10,960
Speaker 1: they put it up just because of the injury. It's

372
00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 1: interesting where I feel like they're saying here that Bridgewater

373
00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:15,240
Speaker 1: is probably gonna play, or maybe there's not that much

374
00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:19,160
Speaker 1: difference between Bridgewater and the backup QB. But I can't

375
00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:21,080
Speaker 1: do I would have to take the lines here, especially

376
00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:26,080
Speaker 1: if Teddy's not gonna practice in all week. Oh my god,

377
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:28,639
Speaker 1: you know what's going to happen. I know we're putting

378
00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:31,679
Speaker 1: them there. I hate it. Fucking Sunday is gonna come

379
00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:34,080
Speaker 1: around and you're gonna text me and lie by the way,

380
00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:37,040
Speaker 1: here's what happens on Sunday. On Sunday morning, when you

381
00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:39,520
Speaker 1: usually texted me, I met my kitchen counter and I'm

382
00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:42,320
Speaker 1: getting ready for the eleven am show that we do

383
00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:45,679
Speaker 1: on at Action Network HQ called The Innvinced Me, Convince Me,

384
00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:50,040
Speaker 1: where like Chris Raybon and from the Action Network podcast

385
00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:52,960
Speaker 1: and Action Network Senior writer and Matthew Friedman from the

386
00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:55,600
Speaker 1: Action Network and Sean Corner from the Action Network. They

387
00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:57,480
Speaker 1: all try to convince me of the side the total

388
00:19:57,480 --> 00:19:59,760
Speaker 1: in the player prop I should make. It's a great show, right,

389
00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:02,159
Speaker 1: So I'm usually prepping when you're doing that, And the

390
00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:04,600
Speaker 1: mistake I make is I don't bring my notes from

391
00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:07,120
Speaker 1: my office down to the third down to the first floor,

392
00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:09,240
Speaker 1: and so when you're texting me these things, I don't

393
00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:11,919
Speaker 1: remember everything we talked about my notes in front of me,

394
00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:13,960
Speaker 1: so I know, like the lions are gonna be there.

395
00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:15,639
Speaker 1: I'm gonna like, yeah, that sounds good, let's do it.

396
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:18,359
Speaker 1: And I'm gonna forget how much I hate the lines

397
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,960
Speaker 1: in this game. Yeah, you should just change my name

398
00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,320
Speaker 1: in your context to have a chance to win a

399
00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:26,160
Speaker 1: million dollars. So every time I call you a text

400
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:28,199
Speaker 1: you you'll be like, Okay, let me go get everything

401
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,080
Speaker 1: in place here so I can give my best chance

402
00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,800
Speaker 1: to win a million dollars. Yeah, like that time we

403
00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:36,120
Speaker 1: went one and fourth. Hey, now the Steelers are on

404
00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:40,520
Speaker 1: the road at the Jaguars nine and a half point favorites.

405
00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:44,600
Speaker 1: This is an ugly number for me. Um, I'd like

406
00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:46,840
Speaker 1: to hear what you have this power rated at bets

407
00:20:46,880 --> 00:20:50,159
Speaker 1: and money all coming in on the Steelers, but like,

408
00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:53,720
Speaker 1: this team hasn't looked good. I had this at ten,

409
00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:56,000
Speaker 1: it's ten and a half, so I'm getting value on

410
00:20:56,000 --> 00:20:58,480
Speaker 1: the Jags. The thing that worries me is I've had

411
00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:00,840
Speaker 1: two straight weeks now. I took the jag Is against Houston,

412
00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:04,080
Speaker 1: they covered that on a little back door. Took them

413
00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:06,120
Speaker 1: against green Bay because we talked about on the show

414
00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:08,840
Speaker 1: the fourteen that's a lot of points and it ended

415
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:10,679
Speaker 1: up coming down to the wire. I think that what

416
00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:15,080
Speaker 1: they lose by four and again, like I don't want

417
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:17,159
Speaker 1: to do it, but we gotta take the Jacks here

418
00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:20,360
Speaker 1: time and a half against the Pittsburgh team that if

419
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:22,760
Speaker 1: we just go through the history of them and the Jacks,

420
00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:25,240
Speaker 1: why does it feel like every time something happens with

421
00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:27,399
Speaker 1: the Jags either beat him or keep the games close.

422
00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:30,720
Speaker 1: I mean, we all remember that Bordles year, that Bortles

423
00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,440
Speaker 1: is not a good quarterback. He went to Pittsburgh against

424
00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:37,639
Speaker 1: Levian Bell and Antonio Brown and he outscored him. I

425
00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:40,720
Speaker 1: think they beat the Pittsburgh that you're like forty four

426
00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:43,800
Speaker 1: to like thirty three or something crazy like that. So

427
00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:45,560
Speaker 1: on my mind, it just seems like it's one of

428
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:48,000
Speaker 1: those teams that they just the Patriots of the Pittsburgh

429
00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:50,959
Speaker 1: always has problems with the Patriots and the Jaguars, And

430
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:53,320
Speaker 1: in my mind, I'll take the ten and a half

431
00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:55,000
Speaker 1: of the Jacks. But I don't feel great about it.

432
00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:57,919
Speaker 1: But it's just a situational play. But it's also like

433
00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:03,800
Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin as a coach, his team's underperformed when they

434
00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:06,600
Speaker 1: are going against really bad teams. We saw it against

435
00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:11,440
Speaker 1: the Cowboys. Yeah, it's you're so right where maybe we

436
00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:13,160
Speaker 1: should just put it in because we've been missing out

437
00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:14,920
Speaker 1: in the Jackson. We've been getting good numbers and we've

438
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:16,800
Speaker 1: just been too scared to put him in. So maybe

439
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:18,440
Speaker 1: we put down the side as and maybe play with

440
00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:24,000
Speaker 1: the Sunda. Patriots UH on the road two point favorites

441
00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 1: all of a sudden, Not of a sudden, the Patriots

442
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:30,080
Speaker 1: are a juggernaut. UH. Two point favorites at the Texans.

443
00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:34,199
Speaker 1: The only reason against me, pause is the Patriots have

444
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:36,760
Speaker 1: had the Texas number number for I can't remember how

445
00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:40,000
Speaker 1: many years. But how do we not take the Texas

446
00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:42,520
Speaker 1: as a home dog here against the Patriots team coming

447
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:44,760
Speaker 1: off a huge prime time win in a game that

448
00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:48,560
Speaker 1: who knows, maybe the weather wasn't the big factor in it,

449
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:52,679
Speaker 1: but I can't see New England stringing together a lot

450
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:54,640
Speaker 1: of wins here that like this would be their third

451
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:58,080
Speaker 1: win in a row. I know that Technas are horrible

452
00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:01,879
Speaker 1: and they've played horrible against Cleveland, but it's hard for

453
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:04,160
Speaker 1: me not to take the Texans here. And I'm hoping

454
00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:06,480
Speaker 1: this number gets the three because then it's an automatic

455
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:08,280
Speaker 1: play in with Texans. If this is plus three, you

456
00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:10,920
Speaker 1: have to take the Texans. I think my challenge with

457
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:15,160
Speaker 1: the Texans this year is they're awful. Well, yeah, they're

458
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:17,280
Speaker 1: just a bad football team. They're bad, Yeah, They're just

459
00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:20,240
Speaker 1: all around bad. And it's like I've always been a

460
00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:25,080
Speaker 1: huge Texans backer and and like aired on the side

461
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:27,720
Speaker 1: of misery when it comes to betting on the Texans,

462
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,120
Speaker 1: But this year I've been avoiding it and my Sundays

463
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:33,920
Speaker 1: have been a lot more pleasant. I'm with you on that.

464
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:35,840
Speaker 1: That's the hardest part about that division is they have

465
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 1: the Jags in the Houston and it they're both like

466
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:41,119
Speaker 1: one and seven, Like, how do we know the Culture

467
00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:43,479
Speaker 1: Titans are even good teams? It's like in that division,

468
00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:47,240
Speaker 1: it's it's brutal, right now, you know what, Well, obviously

469
00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:52,160
Speaker 1: set me up for the transition. Here the Philadelphia Eagles

470
00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 1: on the road at the Browns. The Browns are three

471
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:58,359
Speaker 1: point favorites. Numbers gone down from three and a half

472
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:03,080
Speaker 1: to three. The Eagles are dreadful. The Browns could barely

473
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 1: beat the Texans, like we got bad and worse. Here

474
00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:12,320
Speaker 1: Eagles are awful. And this is the classic situational play

475
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:15,280
Speaker 1: where you take the Eagles there. Whenever they play good

476
00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:17,280
Speaker 1: teams on the road where everyone leaves it for dead,

477
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:21,119
Speaker 1: they somehow when these games outright. So in my mind,

478
00:24:22,119 --> 00:24:23,840
Speaker 1: taking the Eagles here, I loved it. At three and

479
00:24:23,840 --> 00:24:26,439
Speaker 1: a half the sharpest. Obviously come in because I'm the

480
00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 1: public is going to be all over the Browns this week,

481
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:31,880
Speaker 1: and I have to take the Eagle. Especially if it's

482
00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:34,399
Speaker 1: three and a half. You're setting us up for the

483
00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:39,440
Speaker 1: most miserable Sunday before Thanksgiving. Ever, like this day is

484
00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:43,720
Speaker 1: gonna fucking suck. We're gonna bet the Jags, the Texans

485
00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:47,000
Speaker 1: the Eagles. Are you kidding me? This is how we're

486
00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:49,560
Speaker 1: gonna win a million dollars. This is how we're going

487
00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:52,960
Speaker 1: into It's it's game theory season. Man, we gotta be

488
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:55,880
Speaker 1: playing some fucking chess while everyone else is playing checkers.

489
00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 1: And if chess means like the Jags, the Texans, and

490
00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:03,199
Speaker 1: the Eagles are gonna be our pawn, our rook, and

491
00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 1: our night, I don't know if I can live with that.

492
00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:08,679
Speaker 1: That's why this game is a fucking hornet and us.

493
00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:12,000
Speaker 1: My friend, you gotta walk in there with me. WHOA, whoa?

494
00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 1: Did we walk into the hornets nest? I'm walking to

495
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:17,919
Speaker 1: a fucking hornets nest? All right? Now, be my companion.

496
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:20,399
Speaker 1: No one's walking in with us. No one wants to

497
00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:22,840
Speaker 1: bet on the Eagles here, and we're due for a

498
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:26,240
Speaker 1: week of these ugly dogs like winning and covering out right.

499
00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 1: There's it's been too steady of these favorites just winning

500
00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:31,680
Speaker 1: out right, like the Joe Schmo betters, the guy that

501
00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,160
Speaker 1: do these ten team parlays, of all the money lines

502
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,240
Speaker 1: they've been cashing, because these favorites have just been winning

503
00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:40,000
Speaker 1: out right. So I'm ready for an ugly week. This

504
00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:41,440
Speaker 1: is gonna be a good dog week. I got a

505
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:43,640
Speaker 1: good feeling. I feel like this is the week where

506
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,159
Speaker 1: we're putting our chips on the table. We're just going

507
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 1: all in and we're saying we are going for the

508
00:25:48,200 --> 00:25:51,159
Speaker 1: win this week, and we're gonna choose all the teams

509
00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:53,440
Speaker 1: that we know everyone ahead of us is not gonna pick,

510
00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:55,720
Speaker 1: and we're trying to make up. It's like we're going

511
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:57,080
Speaker 1: for the home run. We are trying to make it

512
00:25:57,119 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 1: all up in one week. Not at all. These are

513
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:01,480
Speaker 1: just you're in good value here. This is this is

514
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:04,240
Speaker 1: how it gets late in the season where you gotta

515
00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:07,920
Speaker 1: fade public perception. You can't really play what happened last week.

516
00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:09,560
Speaker 1: You got to think about the whole piece and the

517
00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:12,720
Speaker 1: team we're looking at. And in my mind, everyone this

518
00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 1: week in our competition, they're all going to be on

519
00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:16,800
Speaker 1: the Browns, They're all gonna be on the Patriots. So

520
00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:19,000
Speaker 1: it is game three where if we hit these ones,

521
00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:21,240
Speaker 1: these are double ups where we can get good gaining

522
00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:23,280
Speaker 1: on these guys ahead of us. So I'm with you.

523
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:25,879
Speaker 1: It's it's ugly. I don't feel great about it, but

524
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:27,920
Speaker 1: I have to play these numbers because they're good lines.

525
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:31,720
Speaker 1: What you're saying is we got to see the whole board.

526
00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:35,800
Speaker 1: Gotta little West wing reference for the fans out there.

527
00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:40,080
Speaker 1: Next up Atlanta at New Orleans. I mean who knows

528
00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:43,040
Speaker 1: what's happening with Drew Brees. So let's assume that he's

529
00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:45,359
Speaker 1: not gonna be playing for the next two weeks. That's

530
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:49,480
Speaker 1: actually information that we know. The question is Sean Payton

531
00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:52,160
Speaker 1: has said he won't say who's starting, Jamis or Taysom Hill.

532
00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 1: How do you rate this game? Let's assume it's gonna

533
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:58,840
Speaker 1: be Jamis who gets the majority of the snaps? What

534
00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,080
Speaker 1: do you have this number at? How can I power

535
00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:03,159
Speaker 1: rate this? It's impossible to know without the quarterback, the

536
00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:05,320
Speaker 1: most important position on the field. When I had to

537
00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:08,159
Speaker 1: sign with Drew Brees, I had at minus seven. This

538
00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:10,919
Speaker 1: is always a battle. I would have been really happy

539
00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:12,800
Speaker 1: to take the Falcons because I probably would have been

540
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:15,200
Speaker 1: up there. But with Winston, if he's really gonna be

541
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:18,040
Speaker 1: the starter, we know what Jamis is. Jamis is terrible.

542
00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 1: He might have these moments of brilliance where he throws

543
00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:23,680
Speaker 1: a deep ball that's really good, and hey, maybe he'll

544
00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:25,639
Speaker 1: show up in this game his first game as a starter,

545
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:28,800
Speaker 1: and play well. But in my mind, I had to

546
00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:32,480
Speaker 1: take the Falcons here. It's a divisional game. Winston is

547
00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:34,800
Speaker 1: the quarterback that should be minus three. I'm happy to

548
00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:37,359
Speaker 1: take the plus five right now. Well, now you just

549
00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:39,400
Speaker 1: kind of convinced me and maybe think maybe we gotta

550
00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:41,600
Speaker 1: put the Falcons in here too. We might have to.

551
00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:45,280
Speaker 1: We'll keep it on the list here, but I'm excited

552
00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:47,480
Speaker 1: to have a Sunday where we get to add the Falcons,

553
00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:51,440
Speaker 1: my least favorite team in NFL history, uh to our

554
00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:54,960
Speaker 1: quest to win one million dollars. Nothing would make me

555
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:58,679
Speaker 1: happier than a sunday on the couch sitting with my

556
00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:03,439
Speaker 1: fourteen year old son, with him watching me breakdown in

557
00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:07,080
Speaker 1: ways that you cannot possibly conceive and would never want

558
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:10,040
Speaker 1: one of your children to see. Bye bye. I was

559
00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:12,720
Speaker 1: betting on the Falcons. I'll give you one good team

560
00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:15,960
Speaker 1: this week. I can promise you that you can, yeah,

561
00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:17,800
Speaker 1: one good team that you're just like, Okay, at least

562
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:20,320
Speaker 1: I have this one good team this week. A big

563
00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:23,720
Speaker 1: balls better the week now because it's gonna it's not

564
00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:25,440
Speaker 1: gonna take that much ball is the better? That's how

565
00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:27,840
Speaker 1: good this team is. How are the Jags not our

566
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:30,000
Speaker 1: big balls better the week? Did we skip over that?

567
00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:32,480
Speaker 1: Should we be making because I want to give a winner.

568
00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,080
Speaker 1: I feel bad for the people like that. I don't

569
00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:36,439
Speaker 1: want to say how much money I lost in that

570
00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:40,360
Speaker 1: forty nine years game, buddy, But like truth, that was

571
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:44,920
Speaker 1: a big bet for your your guy here, and situationally

572
00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:48,560
Speaker 1: it was smart. But the referees, the special teams. I mean,

573
00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:51,640
Speaker 1: I can't believe how many games got dictated by special

574
00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:53,720
Speaker 1: teams last week. And it feels like three different games

575
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,680
Speaker 1: dictated by special teams. And we're like, we haven't really

576
00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:59,880
Speaker 1: had any of that this whole year. So yeah, you

577
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:01,920
Speaker 1: can read it all right, man, you can read it

578
00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:04,440
Speaker 1: all right. It doesn't matter. It's gambling. Well listen, if

579
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 1: you don't want to make the Jags the big balls

580
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:08,120
Speaker 1: better the week, we gotta we gotta come up with one. Soon.

581
00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:12,160
Speaker 1: We got the Bengals on the road, one and a

582
00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:15,720
Speaker 1: half point dog to the Washington football team. I spoke

583
00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:19,600
Speaker 1: too soon, Alex Smith came back to bite me. What

584
00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:22,239
Speaker 1: did you take the ugly game? This is like, might

585
00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:24,200
Speaker 1: be on a few games I don't bet this year, Like,

586
00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:26,320
Speaker 1: if I'm gonna end up betting it, I'll probably end

587
00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:31,040
Speaker 1: up on the Bengals. But man, I hate both both

588
00:29:31,120 --> 00:29:34,960
Speaker 1: these teams. I just like there's just so many holes

589
00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:38,280
Speaker 1: in different spots. And we talked about last week. I

590
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:40,600
Speaker 1: talked about Burrow hitting a rookie wall and it looked

591
00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:43,000
Speaker 1: like him and Herbert both hit one last week, And

592
00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:46,440
Speaker 1: in my mind, you really shouldn't take a rookie on

593
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:50,720
Speaker 1: the road. But I don't know. I would stay away,

594
00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:52,440
Speaker 1: like I can't. I can't give an US an opinion

595
00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:54,080
Speaker 1: on it because I honestly had it that minus two

596
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:58,080
Speaker 1: for Washington, they're the better team. They're probably the right side.

597
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:02,040
Speaker 1: But after after last week with Alex Smith, and I

598
00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:03,800
Speaker 1: don't like ben on Alex Smith. That's why I don't

599
00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:05,000
Speaker 1: want to do it again because it was just so

600
00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:08,240
Speaker 1: unenjoyable last week betting on him. Alex Smith, I think

601
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:12,240
Speaker 1: is a professional quarterback and he has succeeded in every

602
00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:15,360
Speaker 1: single spot he's been in. He just came out of

603
00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:19,680
Speaker 1: a game where he threw passes and brought his team

604
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:26,320
Speaker 1: back from down. The Washington football team has an incredibly

605
00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:29,720
Speaker 1: good defensive line. They have a good enough running game

606
00:30:29,800 --> 00:30:33,040
Speaker 1: to control the line of scrimmage. Joe Burrow looked like

607
00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:35,960
Speaker 1: a wreck against the Steelers, and he was a little

608
00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:39,680
Speaker 1: big kimpy exactly, So why wouldn't you take Everyone's gonna

609
00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:41,240
Speaker 1: take washing that? So to make me nervous, it's like

610
00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:43,440
Speaker 1: do I want it back? Yeah, but right they're not

611
00:30:43,440 --> 00:30:45,160
Speaker 1: going to take washing it right now and telling you

612
00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 1: the money and the bets are coming in on the Bengals.

613
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:50,400
Speaker 1: Gonna why because everyone is still thinking about Washington as Washington.

614
00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:52,960
Speaker 1: They're not thinking about then it's the team that could

615
00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:56,040
Speaker 1: be sort of playing its way into the playoffs in

616
00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:59,720
Speaker 1: the second half of the year. Whereas everybody else is thinking, Oh,

617
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:02,440
Speaker 1: it's Joe Burrow and like he might be Rookie of

618
00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:04,240
Speaker 1: the year. They're not. They didn't watch that game against

619
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:06,880
Speaker 1: the Steelers. That game didn't get any time, So like

620
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:09,280
Speaker 1: they're just thinking Joe Burrow came back and it is

621
00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 1: like the best quarter best young quarterback in the game.

622
00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:15,280
Speaker 1: I like. I like Washington here, all right, that's chats,

623
00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:16,840
Speaker 1: that's chat. You want to make that the big balls

624
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:18,440
Speaker 1: better the week because that takes some balls to bet

625
00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:21,440
Speaker 1: on the pirate the one legged man. Alex Smith, Oh,

626
00:31:21,560 --> 00:31:25,000
Speaker 1: that is not right. This man, this man is courage

627
00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:30,400
Speaker 1: big balls better the week. We're going with Washington. I

628
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:32,560
Speaker 1: can't believe I just talked to myself into Washington. I

629
00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:38,160
Speaker 1: hate this team. Something's in that water man. We're doing it.

630
00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:41,520
Speaker 1: We're doing it, Washington, don't take it out. Oh my god,

631
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:43,320
Speaker 1: that was a mistake and we're gonna have like the

632
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:48,400
Speaker 1: worst Sunday. Ever. Let's get to the late games. We

633
00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 1: got a slate of late games, and we got my

634
00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:53,840
Speaker 1: favorite quarterback on my favorite team to bet in the

635
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 1: NFL too, and the Dolphins three and a half point

636
00:31:56,800 --> 00:32:00,520
Speaker 1: favorite on the road against the Broncos. We gotta pass

637
00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:04,080
Speaker 1: on this game. This is a because A. It's a

638
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:06,120
Speaker 1: Bilow Cell high, which means we have to take the

639
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:09,480
Speaker 1: Broncos and we're not allowed to take the Broncos. So

640
00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:13,880
Speaker 1: this is a no brainer. Everything says take to take

641
00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:16,240
Speaker 1: the Dolphins in this game. I mean take the Broncos

642
00:32:16,280 --> 00:32:19,440
Speaker 1: in this game, and we're not allowed to. Yeah, in

643
00:32:19,520 --> 00:32:22,760
Speaker 1: my own pos, my own pickpoles, all this to the Dolphins.

644
00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:25,440
Speaker 1: I don't care that it's a trap and that all

645
00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:27,200
Speaker 1: the money will be coming on the Dolphins and this

646
00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:30,080
Speaker 1: is the worst time to battle the Dolphins. Uh, as

647
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:32,000
Speaker 1: long as Drew lock is the quarterback, I'm with you.

648
00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:34,600
Speaker 1: I will not be putting money on Denver, but this

649
00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:38,080
Speaker 1: you're on with that. This is you gotta play the

650
00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:40,280
Speaker 1: Broncos here, but we're not touching it. Because we're both

651
00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:46,800
Speaker 1: on Miami. We're we're done, We're done. What do you

652
00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:49,080
Speaker 1: think of the Jets visiting the Chargers and the fact

653
00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 1: that the Jets we're ten point dogs when the line opened,

654
00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:56,640
Speaker 1: and the money has come in on the Jets and

655
00:32:56,680 --> 00:33:02,600
Speaker 1: it's been moved to eight and a half. Those idiots, now,

656
00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:06,080
Speaker 1: I'm kidious. I don't know they're they're probably just thinking themselves.

657
00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:10,360
Speaker 1: It's Joe Flacco verse, a rookie QB who who looked

658
00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:13,360
Speaker 1: like he said that wall. But in my mind, if

659
00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:16,240
Speaker 1: boasts back him and Ingram on those two d n s,

660
00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:20,560
Speaker 1: Flacco is going to be a statue back there. Um,

661
00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:22,479
Speaker 1: I'm happy to take the Chargers, but I would not

662
00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:25,040
Speaker 1: put this in the competition. It's just a lot of

663
00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:30,240
Speaker 1: points to be laying with them. But this year we've

664
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:33,880
Speaker 1: we've talked about with Joe Flacco. We just don't think

665
00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 1: he's a good quarterback. I think he had his game

666
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:38,040
Speaker 1: of the year last week and he still couldn't win

667
00:33:38,080 --> 00:33:40,840
Speaker 1: that game. So I'm happy to take the Chargers this week.

668
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 1: Oh no, no, we're not doing We're not putting this

669
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:46,800
Speaker 1: game in the contest. No, I'm just saying Betton Wise

670
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:51,520
Speaker 1: all right, you can take the Chargers. We listen if

671
00:33:51,560 --> 00:33:53,000
Speaker 1: you have. By the way, if you have a better

672
00:33:53,040 --> 00:33:56,520
Speaker 1: big balls better the week than Washington, feel free to

673
00:33:56,560 --> 00:34:03,479
Speaker 1: overrule me. That's I'm a benevolent leader that way. That's fair. Yeah,

674
00:34:03,520 --> 00:34:06,320
Speaker 1: But I don't know, Like, if you're telling me that

675
00:34:06,360 --> 00:34:09,360
Speaker 1: it's going to be the Cowboys at plus seven and

676
00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:12,440
Speaker 1: a half against the Vikings, then I might have to reconsider.

677
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:16,040
Speaker 1: The Packers are plus two and a half on the

678
00:34:16,120 --> 00:34:23,680
Speaker 1: road at Indie. M m uh ah. How do we

679
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:26,160
Speaker 1: not take the Packers? Oh? I was just gonna say,

680
00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:29,160
Speaker 1: you gotta take the Colts. I can't. I can't do it, man.

681
00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:31,560
Speaker 1: After that, because they had such a big win and

682
00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:36,240
Speaker 1: the Packers played so bad that situational it just feels

683
00:34:36,280 --> 00:34:38,399
Speaker 1: like this is gonna be a really easy bounce back

684
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 1: game for Green Bay where they line up right against

685
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:44,719
Speaker 1: the Colts. Coults are good against the run. I think

686
00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:47,120
Speaker 1: the Green Bay scheme is gonna do well against this

687
00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:49,239
Speaker 1: cold front scheme, and I think they'll be able to

688
00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:51,279
Speaker 1: run it on and I think Roger's able to pass

689
00:34:51,320 --> 00:34:53,759
Speaker 1: it on. So in my mind, I think I'm buying

690
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:55,239
Speaker 1: low here on the Packers. I think I'm getting a

691
00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:58,160
Speaker 1: good number of plus two and a half. I hate

692
00:34:58,160 --> 00:35:01,480
Speaker 1: betting against the home team at less than three. It's

693
00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:03,160
Speaker 1: been good to you this year though, like this year

694
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:05,920
Speaker 1: has been weird with the COVID where there hasn't been

695
00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:07,920
Speaker 1: a home field. So these road teams under two and

696
00:35:07,920 --> 00:35:11,239
Speaker 1: a half, they've been winning and covering. So it's one

697
00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:13,200
Speaker 1: of those where I'm with you. Normally i'd probably play

698
00:35:13,239 --> 00:35:15,160
Speaker 1: the Colts here, but I have to play the Packers

699
00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:20,799
Speaker 1: after last week. I also you mentioned the matchup. The

700
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:23,880
Speaker 1: Colts defense can fly around, the Colts defense can get

701
00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:29,279
Speaker 1: to the quarterback, and they created a lot of turnovers. Yeah,

702
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:32,399
Speaker 1: I can't doubt that. But at the same time, it's

703
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,400
Speaker 1: Rivers man like. He played really well last week, so

704
00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:37,480
Speaker 1: I'm expecting this week he'll play the crap because he's

705
00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:39,000
Speaker 1: been doing it all year. He'll have a good week

706
00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:41,000
Speaker 1: that a bad week. What do you have a power

707
00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 1: rated at? Had a power rate of minus one Packers,

708
00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:47,680
Speaker 1: So that's what I mean. I think that. Yeah, I

709
00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:49,680
Speaker 1: had them at a road favorite, so I think I'm

710
00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:53,040
Speaker 1: getting good value on the Packers, all right. Would this

711
00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:56,120
Speaker 1: be the Cowboys at the Vikings seven and a half

712
00:35:56,160 --> 00:36:01,799
Speaker 1: point underdogs? Would this be balls better the week if

713
00:36:01,840 --> 00:36:08,200
Speaker 1: I hadn't preempted you with the Washington football team. No, honestly,

714
00:36:08,239 --> 00:36:09,359
Speaker 1: I was gonna make it. At the end of the show.

715
00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:11,200
Speaker 1: It was probably gonna do it. Make it Houston because

716
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:14,640
Speaker 1: it's it's so ugly, everyone's gonna hate it. That's why

717
00:36:14,640 --> 00:36:16,400
Speaker 1: I was gonna take such big balls and make that

718
00:36:16,440 --> 00:36:20,040
Speaker 1: bet with Houston. But I'm cool with it being Washington

719
00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:22,359
Speaker 1: because like in my in my mind, you're you're exactly right,

720
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:24,440
Speaker 1: like my numbers are saying that's the right side, and

721
00:36:24,520 --> 00:36:26,680
Speaker 1: I'm I'm overthinking where I don't want to take them

722
00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:29,000
Speaker 1: because I just say back in Alex Smith. So I'm

723
00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:31,719
Speaker 1: good with that. But this game here, I can't do it.

724
00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:34,920
Speaker 1: I cannot take the Cowboys. They they had their everything

725
00:36:34,960 --> 00:36:39,239
Speaker 1: game against Pittsburgh. They've had a bye week now most

726
00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:41,640
Speaker 1: people are gonna think they're gonna they'll be they'll help

727
00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:43,960
Speaker 1: the young QB having more time getting right, getting us

728
00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:47,440
Speaker 1: to the offense. I can't do it. I just I

729
00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:50,399
Speaker 1: could see Dalvin Cook just destroying one of the worst

730
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:54,000
Speaker 1: run defenses in football in the Cowboys. So I'll take

731
00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:55,680
Speaker 1: the high number of the Vikings and I know they're

732
00:36:55,680 --> 00:36:58,279
Speaker 1: trying to scare me off with it, but I'm gonna

733
00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:01,200
Speaker 1: take this one with the Vikings. At home, we look there,

734
00:37:01,360 --> 00:37:05,919
Speaker 1: cowboys are saying that Andy Dalton might play. That's even

735
00:37:05,960 --> 00:37:12,040
Speaker 1: worse for them. He's horrible. So you you like it

736
00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:15,480
Speaker 1: even more Dalton plays, You like the Vikings even more.

737
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:17,880
Speaker 1: I would that guy as soon as a little thing

738
00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:19,759
Speaker 1: goes wrong. We've all seen her for all these years.

739
00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:23,840
Speaker 1: He just falls apart and they're old lines, still has

740
00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:27,360
Speaker 1: ton of issues, and I just I can't back the Cowboys.

741
00:37:27,680 --> 00:37:30,120
Speaker 1: I know it's it's a smart side to take it

742
00:37:30,120 --> 00:37:32,200
Speaker 1: because it's such a big number, and Kirk Cousins really

743
00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:34,960
Speaker 1: can't cover big numbers like this, But this is more

744
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:36,960
Speaker 1: of a bet on Minnesota control in the game of

745
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,520
Speaker 1: the run game. So I like Dalvin Cook to get

746
00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 1: right in this game. I like the Vikings here. We

747
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:45,560
Speaker 1: have a text chain a bunch of us at the

748
00:37:45,560 --> 00:37:49,400
Speaker 1: Action Network. Matt Mitchell's on it, and last night we

749
00:37:49,400 --> 00:37:52,319
Speaker 1: were texting about the Bears game. The Bears were up

750
00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:56,680
Speaker 1: thirteen ten, and someone said to me, what the fund

751
00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:59,319
Speaker 1: is wrong with this team? And I said, bet the

752
00:37:59,440 --> 00:38:03,239
Speaker 1: Viking is live right now, because they're gonna win this

753
00:38:03,280 --> 00:38:05,960
Speaker 1: game by ten, and they came close to ten. They

754
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:08,759
Speaker 1: certainly want enough to cover up by I think in

755
00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:14,560
Speaker 1: that moment they were they were half a point underdog,

756
00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:18,360
Speaker 1: so you clearly would have won. Um. I like this

757
00:38:18,480 --> 00:38:21,479
Speaker 1: Vikings team. This Viking seems to me, and we've talked

758
00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:23,600
Speaker 1: a lot about this. Actually, Stucky and Raybond on the

759
00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:25,920
Speaker 1: Action Network NFL podcast have talked a lot about this,

760
00:38:26,480 --> 00:38:29,000
Speaker 1: Like the Vikings were gonna be one of those teams

761
00:38:29,040 --> 00:38:32,520
Speaker 1: that early in the year, it was gonna be sort

762
00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:34,920
Speaker 1: of training camp because Mike Zimmer didn't know what he

763
00:38:34,960 --> 00:38:36,879
Speaker 1: had on defense. He needed time to figure it out.

764
00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:39,759
Speaker 1: Now we's had that four weeks they went into the bye.

765
00:38:39,840 --> 00:38:42,680
Speaker 1: Since the bye, they've won three straight games there, four

766
00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:46,000
Speaker 1: and five. You and I talked about betting them for

767
00:38:46,120 --> 00:38:48,080
Speaker 1: the super Bowl, and I believe we both got a

768
00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:50,400
Speaker 1: future on them. I don't know if they're gonna win

769
00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:52,120
Speaker 1: the super Bowl, but I certainly liked their chances to

770
00:38:52,160 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 1: make the playoffs right now. Yeah, And that was actually funny.

771
00:38:56,280 --> 00:38:59,319
Speaker 1: Someone sent me a photo from I guess we'd like

772
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:02,360
Speaker 1: posted up and maybe it was like May and we

773
00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:06,279
Speaker 1: gave out a bunch of bets and the comments are

774
00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:09,560
Speaker 1: hilarious because people are just so stupid on Twitter. They're

775
00:39:09,640 --> 00:39:11,520
Speaker 1: like yelling at us about how don't we worry about

776
00:39:11,600 --> 00:39:14,200
Speaker 1: talking about the Ravens like under win total and the

777
00:39:14,280 --> 00:39:16,919
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh to win that division because I think we gave

778
00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:19,600
Speaker 1: out a plus like four plus four fifty maybe Pittsburgh

779
00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:23,720
Speaker 1: to win that division. And it's just like funny where

780
00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:26,200
Speaker 1: now we're at this point the season. I think we

781
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:28,400
Speaker 1: both got Cardinals a like fifty to one or forty

782
00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:30,600
Speaker 1: five to want to win the Super Bowl. We've never

783
00:39:30,640 --> 00:39:33,319
Speaker 1: felt better. It's like that's a live that's a live

784
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 1: team in the NFC where all these teams, they all

785
00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:38,120
Speaker 1: have so many glaring weaknesses. It's such a toss up

786
00:39:38,200 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 1: year that I'm really hoping they don't do these playoff

787
00:39:42,160 --> 00:39:45,000
Speaker 1: formats because there's some of these tickets you have to

788
00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:47,440
Speaker 1: read or find print. Say they do move it to

789
00:39:47,520 --> 00:39:49,680
Speaker 1: eight teams make the playoffs or whatever weird thing they

790
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:52,480
Speaker 1: might do, they might cancel some of your future bets.

791
00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:55,200
Speaker 1: And this is something people need to be aware of

792
00:39:55,239 --> 00:39:58,239
Speaker 1: that it depends on the casino and where you bet it.

793
00:39:59,080 --> 00:40:01,000
Speaker 1: Some of them might cancer your future. But if they

794
00:40:01,120 --> 00:40:04,560
Speaker 1: change the playoffs, because that technically changes what they gave

795
00:40:04,640 --> 00:40:07,440
Speaker 1: out and changes the odds. So it'll be something to

796
00:40:07,520 --> 00:40:09,359
Speaker 1: keep your eye on. But I'm feeling good right now.

797
00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:12,000
Speaker 1: There are futures, but are Bears. I bet they're over

798
00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:15,640
Speaker 1: of wins. What the hell? Man, they're five and two, now,

799
00:40:15,680 --> 00:40:18,160
Speaker 1: they're five and five. Now I gotta sweat the seven

800
00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:20,240
Speaker 1: and seven and a half. This is this is brutal

801
00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:22,400
Speaker 1: with these Bears. Man, I don't I said to my

802
00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:25,880
Speaker 1: in a different text change last night when minting the Bears,

803
00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:30,480
Speaker 1: I was texting with my buddy Matt, and uh, I said,

804
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:33,239
Speaker 1: this is a five and eleven team that's gonna go

805
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:36,960
Speaker 1: higher air at the enemy. I actually want to hate

806
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:38,960
Speaker 1: that move. I just I just love imagining you like

807
00:40:39,000 --> 00:40:41,400
Speaker 1: stopping up your stairs, going into your little office here

808
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:44,480
Speaker 1: and ripping down your Bears flag and being like, that'll

809
00:40:44,480 --> 00:40:50,440
Speaker 1: show them. I believe the text The text last night was, uh,

810
00:40:50,480 --> 00:40:53,320
Speaker 1: you know, we're like, is this is this the worst

811
00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:58,960
Speaker 1: offense that we've ever seen in our history of Bears fandom?

812
00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:01,560
Speaker 1: And I wrote that one first down since the second

813
00:41:01,600 --> 00:41:04,439
Speaker 1: quarter and fourteen total yards, it could be. And then

814
00:41:04,640 --> 00:41:07,600
Speaker 1: the next text is after Nick Foles went down, he

815
00:41:07,719 --> 00:41:12,239
Speaker 1: just wrote back, I think he's dead, and I wrote back,

816
00:41:12,360 --> 00:41:15,799
Speaker 1: I wrote back, seriously, look, his foot is twitching like

817
00:41:15,840 --> 00:41:20,440
Speaker 1: he's dead. And and then we were like, this is

818
00:41:20,480 --> 00:41:25,080
Speaker 1: the most Bears thing ever to actually kill their quarterback

819
00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:27,840
Speaker 1: at the end of the game, in which they're like

820
00:41:27,960 --> 00:41:32,000
Speaker 1: flailing away. Um. Yeah, And then we were glad he

821
00:41:32,040 --> 00:41:33,960
Speaker 1: was alive. I watched the second like I passed out

822
00:41:33,960 --> 00:41:35,280
Speaker 1: early because I had to get up to do stuff

823
00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:39,120
Speaker 1: this morning for obviously the podcast, And like, I watched

824
00:41:39,160 --> 00:41:41,520
Speaker 1: the second half this morning. How do you not get

825
00:41:41,560 --> 00:41:45,440
Speaker 1: an offensive touchdown at home against the Vikings defense that

826
00:41:46,040 --> 00:41:48,200
Speaker 1: has no names on the d line, They got no

827
00:41:48,360 --> 00:41:49,920
Speaker 1: names in the secondary, and they might have like one

828
00:41:49,960 --> 00:41:53,880
Speaker 1: good safety who's been in the league forever. It's oh

829
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:57,600
Speaker 1: Man Bears, Bears, Bears, because that defense is such a waste,

830
00:41:57,960 --> 00:42:00,879
Speaker 1: like one of the best defenses in league and it's

831
00:42:00,880 --> 00:42:04,080
Speaker 1: just wasted away. But we can we can move on, buddy,

832
00:42:04,080 --> 00:42:06,520
Speaker 1: I want to keep reliving the pain with you. That

833
00:42:06,680 --> 00:42:12,400
Speaker 1: is a generational comment right there, all right, Chiefs at Raiders.

834
00:42:13,280 --> 00:42:16,239
Speaker 1: Chiefs are six and a half point favorites on the

835
00:42:16,320 --> 00:42:19,600
Speaker 1: road in Las Vegas. Speaking of Eric b Enemy, future

836
00:42:19,640 --> 00:42:23,600
Speaker 1: coach of the Chicago Bears, I don't care that it's

837
00:42:23,600 --> 00:42:25,960
Speaker 1: the public play of the week. I want to thank

838
00:42:26,040 --> 00:42:28,240
Speaker 1: Vegas ahead of time for moving this down from seven.

839
00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:31,480
Speaker 1: Give me the Chiefs. Give it to me, Give it

840
00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:33,360
Speaker 1: to me, Give it to me. I love it. After

841
00:42:33,400 --> 00:42:35,600
Speaker 1: a bye week we talk all the time, Andy Reid.

842
00:42:35,640 --> 00:42:38,880
Speaker 1: After a bye week, he just cover his baby. Don't

843
00:42:38,920 --> 00:42:41,880
Speaker 1: think about it. Six and a half Chiefs already lost

844
00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:44,319
Speaker 1: the Raiders. The Raiders that supposedly that a victory lapse

845
00:42:44,360 --> 00:42:47,759
Speaker 1: around their stadium and busses. Give it to me, the Chiefs, man,

846
00:42:47,840 --> 00:42:50,120
Speaker 1: I'm taking the adjusted line to I'll take down mind's

847
00:42:50,120 --> 00:42:52,800
Speaker 1: tend and a half them. I love this with the Chiefs,

848
00:42:54,040 --> 00:42:56,120
Speaker 1: they're gonna it feels like they're gonna beat the crap

849
00:42:56,160 --> 00:43:01,680
Speaker 1: out of this Raiders team. That's an interesting play. Would

850
00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:04,640
Speaker 1: you want this to be in the contest over the

851
00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:09,200
Speaker 1: crap tactics selection we have so far? I promise you won't.

852
00:43:09,239 --> 00:43:11,759
Speaker 1: Good team. This is it, baby, this is the best

853
00:43:11,760 --> 00:43:14,640
Speaker 1: team in football. We're gonna have to decide, like who

854
00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:18,240
Speaker 1: who's potentially in our top five? Then? Uh Rams visiting

855
00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:22,120
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers. The Rams are three three and a half

856
00:43:22,160 --> 00:43:29,880
Speaker 1: point underdogs in Tampa. Monday Night Football gotta play the

857
00:43:29,920 --> 00:43:33,960
Speaker 1: Bucks here. Looking at this game, these teams match up well,

858
00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:37,160
Speaker 1: but the Rams just lost their all pro left tackle

859
00:43:37,760 --> 00:43:41,719
Speaker 1: and what do we know about golf. Golf cannot handle pressure,

860
00:43:42,080 --> 00:43:44,239
Speaker 1: and in that game, after that tackle went down, they

861
00:43:44,280 --> 00:43:47,600
Speaker 1: really didn't do much on offense. So in my mind,

862
00:43:47,680 --> 00:43:50,000
Speaker 1: I know the Buccaneers just played the perfect game and

863
00:43:50,080 --> 00:43:52,080
Speaker 1: all offense, but I think this is gonna be more

864
00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:55,319
Speaker 1: of a defensive game for the Buccaneers. So promptime game,

865
00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:59,120
Speaker 1: Tom Brady against Golf. We all know the history here.

866
00:43:59,640 --> 00:44:01,799
Speaker 1: We all we're all gonna be taking the Tampa Bay.

867
00:44:01,840 --> 00:44:03,279
Speaker 1: So I'm sure to be a public play by the

868
00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:05,439
Speaker 1: end of the week. But as long as it stays

869
00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:09,080
Speaker 1: under five, I'm happy to take the Buccaneers. Are we

870
00:44:09,160 --> 00:44:12,000
Speaker 1: Are we ready to commit to a Monday night game?

871
00:44:12,040 --> 00:44:15,000
Speaker 1: If we're ready to commit to a Thursday night game, Yeah,

872
00:44:15,040 --> 00:44:17,440
Speaker 1: that's Is that too much for us in one week? Yeah?

873
00:44:17,520 --> 00:44:20,120
Speaker 1: It's uh, that's a lot. I mean that basically means

874
00:44:20,120 --> 00:44:26,320
Speaker 1: we're in agony from Thursday until Monday. Yeah, so we'll

875
00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:28,560
Speaker 1: text about it. But I can't see us fund the

876
00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:30,279
Speaker 1: Monday because I like that we're done on Sundays. I

877
00:44:30,600 --> 00:44:33,680
Speaker 1: prefer it honestly. All right, so right now the games

878
00:44:33,719 --> 00:44:39,360
Speaker 1: that we love and and and again all subject to change. Seahawks,

879
00:44:39,400 --> 00:44:41,560
Speaker 1: if we can get it minus three, we are willing

880
00:44:41,600 --> 00:44:45,040
Speaker 1: to bet a Thursday night game Ravens minus six and

881
00:44:45,040 --> 00:44:50,520
Speaker 1: a half Jags plus ten Texans plus three, which would

882
00:44:50,520 --> 00:44:57,440
Speaker 1: be our alternative big Balls Better the Week if if

883
00:44:57,480 --> 00:45:00,400
Speaker 1: I'll get to it. We also like the Eagles plus

884
00:45:00,640 --> 00:45:04,200
Speaker 1: three against the Browns. That is our hornets nest. We

885
00:45:04,239 --> 00:45:07,279
Speaker 1: are walking right into it. The Big Balls Better the

886
00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:11,880
Speaker 1: Week courtesy of Chad Millman, Washington minus one and a half.

887
00:45:14,280 --> 00:45:16,200
Speaker 1: We also like the Chiefs minus six and a half.

888
00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:19,120
Speaker 1: So and then we got the box. But you know what,

889
00:45:19,120 --> 00:45:20,560
Speaker 1: I'm taking the bucks out because we don't want to

890
00:45:20,600 --> 00:45:24,920
Speaker 1: bet Monday Night. And we finally come to everyone's favorite segment,

891
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:30,240
Speaker 1: Our Survivor, Pick Survivor Pick. Oh god, this is a

892
00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:34,440
Speaker 1: tough week man, where they're begging us to take the

893
00:45:34,560 --> 00:45:38,600
Speaker 1: Vikings and they're begging us to take the Chargers, and

894
00:45:38,840 --> 00:45:42,520
Speaker 1: there's zero chance to use either of them. Yet what

895
00:45:42,560 --> 00:45:44,000
Speaker 1: do you want to do? Many? We want to keep

896
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:46,080
Speaker 1: our trend going where we just fade like the Jets.

897
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:48,279
Speaker 1: We know for a fact they're trying to tank. They're

898
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:50,239
Speaker 1: trying to get this normal and pick. There's no doubt

899
00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:53,800
Speaker 1: in my mind, especially after watching that Patriots game. They

900
00:45:54,200 --> 00:45:57,239
Speaker 1: had that game every which way and they completely gave

901
00:45:57,280 --> 00:46:00,279
Speaker 1: it to him at the m there. So I don't

902
00:46:00,280 --> 00:46:02,040
Speaker 1: hate taking the Chargers. This is a week we have

903
00:46:02,080 --> 00:46:06,279
Speaker 1: to get ready using them. It's a little scary, but

904
00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:09,360
Speaker 1: in my mind it's one of those we have to

905
00:46:09,400 --> 00:46:15,880
Speaker 1: go against Flaccus though, right, you like the Vikings better.

906
00:46:17,480 --> 00:46:21,120
Speaker 1: I have so much more faith in the Vikings. All right,

907
00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:23,719
Speaker 1: that should be all right. Everyone going bet Cowboys moneyline

908
00:46:23,920 --> 00:46:29,600
Speaker 1: and we'll take the Chargers in our pitful. I'm just kidding.

909
00:46:29,640 --> 00:46:33,480
Speaker 1: You are cursed. That you are cursed. I'm not cursed.

910
00:46:33,520 --> 00:46:37,200
Speaker 1: I live a fantastic life. You know what it is.

911
00:46:37,920 --> 00:46:43,120
Speaker 1: It's not cursed. It's it's like I've been so lucky

912
00:46:43,160 --> 00:46:47,040
Speaker 1: in every other way that the betting gods. This is

913
00:46:47,080 --> 00:46:49,160
Speaker 1: how they choose that, This is how they choose to

914
00:46:49,200 --> 00:46:53,440
Speaker 1: inflict pain on me. No, No, that's the bearst QB. Yeah,

915
00:46:53,640 --> 00:46:57,040
Speaker 1: that's how they gets you. That's that's right. Well, that's

916
00:46:57,040 --> 00:46:59,239
Speaker 1: been a lifetime of pain and agony, and now I

917
00:46:59,239 --> 00:47:01,799
Speaker 1: feel badly I've passed it onto my My fourteen year

918
00:47:01,840 --> 00:47:04,560
Speaker 1: old was watching the game and like than just being

919
00:47:04,640 --> 00:47:08,400
Speaker 1: on third and long, He's like, what the fuck are

920
00:47:08,160 --> 00:47:12,640
Speaker 1: you doing? So yeah, all right, we can just send

921
00:47:12,640 --> 00:47:14,360
Speaker 1: it out to the Twitter folks and we'll put the

922
00:47:14,440 --> 00:47:16,560
Speaker 1: vikings of their chargers because everyone's gonna be in between

923
00:47:16,560 --> 00:47:20,120
Speaker 1: these two and that we're so do for people to

924
00:47:20,120 --> 00:47:22,239
Speaker 1: get knocked out these survivor pools. Man, this is like

925
00:47:22,280 --> 00:47:25,760
Speaker 1: getting crazy at this point. So we're gonna coin flip.

926
00:47:26,600 --> 00:47:28,239
Speaker 1: One of these teams is losing. I feel like we

927
00:47:28,280 --> 00:47:30,720
Speaker 1: know that for a fact. We gotta go with the vikings.

928
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:36,720
Speaker 1: All right. We'll making an executive decision right now, putting

929
00:47:36,760 --> 00:47:38,560
Speaker 1: all the blame one chat. I like this feeling. I

930
00:47:38,600 --> 00:47:42,680
Speaker 1: feel I feel right now I'm taking full responsibility perfect

931
00:47:43,560 --> 00:47:47,200
Speaker 1: I can own it, all right. So I gave everybody

932
00:47:47,200 --> 00:47:49,799
Speaker 1: our picks once again, running them down. These are the games.

933
00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:52,520
Speaker 1: We're gonna choose our five from seas that we can

934
00:47:52,560 --> 00:47:54,640
Speaker 1: get at minus three Ravens minus six and a half

935
00:47:54,719 --> 00:47:58,640
Speaker 1: Jacks plus ten Texans plus three Equals plus three Washington

936
00:47:58,680 --> 00:48:00,480
Speaker 1: minus one and a half Chiefs in the six and

937
00:48:00,520 --> 00:48:04,160
Speaker 1: a half, that's what we will choose our five front Simon,

938
00:48:04,800 --> 00:48:07,359
Speaker 1: we got to get to our reviews because this one

939
00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:09,560
Speaker 1: is so nice and I'm so excited for this person,

940
00:48:10,040 --> 00:48:12,399
Speaker 1: and people are asking you can if we don't pick,

941
00:48:12,480 --> 00:48:15,560
Speaker 1: you can write another review. It doesn't you can keep

942
00:48:15,640 --> 00:48:17,279
Speaker 1: right now. You can write a new one every week

943
00:48:17,320 --> 00:48:19,759
Speaker 1: of whatever suits you, man, But eventually you'll get picked.

944
00:48:19,800 --> 00:48:22,240
Speaker 1: The numbers work out. Well. Why do people I feel

945
00:48:22,239 --> 00:48:24,160
Speaker 1: like nobody asked me these questions on Twitter? I feel

946
00:48:24,160 --> 00:48:26,320
Speaker 1: like everyone d ms you on Twitter. I don't get anything.

947
00:48:26,680 --> 00:48:28,759
Speaker 1: I'm I'm pretty cool, man. I don't know if you've

948
00:48:28,800 --> 00:48:32,600
Speaker 1: noticed by doing this, but I'm pretty pretty cool. So yeah, man,

949
00:48:32,640 --> 00:48:34,600
Speaker 1: people are just always d m in the Simon, you know,

950
00:48:35,640 --> 00:48:40,799
Speaker 1: O Jesus the Simon now now is the Simon al

951
00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:44,279
Speaker 1: right here? We got fans. We have fans to rate

952
00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 1: and review the podcast. Those who did and use the

953
00:48:47,200 --> 00:48:49,960
Speaker 1: winning phrase in the review were eligible to win up

954
00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:53,520
Speaker 1: to five dollars. We have loads and loads of reviews.

955
00:48:53,560 --> 00:48:57,000
Speaker 1: In a second, we will reveal this week's winner, but

956
00:48:57,120 --> 00:48:59,320
Speaker 1: first we are doing another phrase to pay his contest

957
00:48:59,320 --> 00:49:02,000
Speaker 1: From now through the of the year. The winner earns

958
00:49:02,080 --> 00:49:06,080
Speaker 1: one for every win Simon and I have in that

959
00:49:06,239 --> 00:49:09,880
Speaker 1: week's contest. We will match that number with the donation.

960
00:49:09,960 --> 00:49:12,360
Speaker 1: The Action Network will match that number with the donation

961
00:49:12,719 --> 00:49:15,360
Speaker 1: to the winner's favorite charity. Go rate and review the

962
00:49:15,400 --> 00:49:19,760
Speaker 1: pod using the phrase this week's phrase the pace, Simon says,

963
00:49:19,800 --> 00:49:23,560
Speaker 1: every point matters, and we will randomly choose the winner

964
00:49:23,560 --> 00:49:26,640
Speaker 1: to get that cash. And by the way, Matt Mitchell

965
00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:29,520
Speaker 1: informed me this this morning. A lot of times people

966
00:49:29,520 --> 00:49:32,239
Speaker 1: are putting in their reviews, but they have to go

967
00:49:32,280 --> 00:49:35,920
Speaker 1: through a approval, an approval process through Apple. So you

968
00:49:36,000 --> 00:49:38,000
Speaker 1: might put it in a review this week using Simon

969
00:49:38,040 --> 00:49:40,600
Speaker 1: says every point matters, it might not show up until

970
00:49:40,600 --> 00:49:43,200
Speaker 1: the week after. So like we have some reviews for

971
00:49:43,440 --> 00:49:48,799
Speaker 1: previous phrases that pay and UM that are showing up

972
00:49:48,880 --> 00:49:52,080
Speaker 1: like a week later, so we are giving people credit

973
00:49:52,120 --> 00:49:55,759
Speaker 1: for that UM. But go rate, go review, you know,

974
00:49:56,040 --> 00:49:59,320
Speaker 1: hope that it hope that it wins. Like this week's winner,

975
00:50:00,239 --> 00:50:04,600
Speaker 1: kolbe Jasper Hall starts celebrating brother, you just heard your

976
00:50:04,680 --> 00:50:13,040
Speaker 1: name on a national podcast diaper money. Let's see uh. Simon,

977
00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:16,560
Speaker 1: with the whole hearted support of Chad, says you win.

978
00:50:16,680 --> 00:50:18,680
Speaker 1: We give and thank goodness for that, because if I

979
00:50:18,719 --> 00:50:21,719
Speaker 1: had to pay fair market for their collective wisdom, I

980
00:50:21,840 --> 00:50:25,520
Speaker 1: probably wouldn't have anything left to bet Karma pays it forward.

981
00:50:25,560 --> 00:50:28,239
Speaker 1: Isn't that exactly? That is exactly what this podcast does

982
00:50:28,680 --> 00:50:32,800
Speaker 1: each and every week. Just like super producer Matt Mitchell

983
00:50:32,840 --> 00:50:35,760
Speaker 1: gave up his previous life for an audio storytelling degree,

984
00:50:36,719 --> 00:50:40,800
Speaker 1: Chad and Simon give up their privacy to UH invite

985
00:50:40,840 --> 00:50:45,759
Speaker 1: listeners in as they navigate the NFL slate, whether you

986
00:50:45,800 --> 00:50:48,520
Speaker 1: are faced with the uncertainty of fitting the chiefs or

987
00:50:48,640 --> 00:50:51,480
Speaker 1: betting actual money and the falcons, They talked through the

988
00:50:51,560 --> 00:50:55,200
Speaker 1: chaos in a way that is intelligent, practical, and relatable.

989
00:50:57,200 --> 00:50:59,759
Speaker 1: With ten week twin old girl, ten week old twin

990
00:50:59,800 --> 00:51:02,520
Speaker 1: girl is in our household, This possible podcast blah blah

991
00:51:02,560 --> 00:51:06,400
Speaker 1: blah has basically become a weekly gift card for diapers.

992
00:51:06,840 --> 00:51:11,239
Speaker 1: Guess what, buddy, guess what, Colby You're getting two because

993
00:51:11,280 --> 00:51:13,279
Speaker 1: that's the number of games we won last week, and

994
00:51:14,200 --> 00:51:16,480
Speaker 1: we're given two hundred dollars to your favorite charity. You're

995
00:51:16,520 --> 00:51:20,120
Speaker 1: gonna buy a whole lot of diapers with that money.

996
00:51:20,280 --> 00:51:23,720
Speaker 1: Kolbe Jasper Hall, you are the phrase the pays winner.

997
00:51:24,160 --> 00:51:26,279
Speaker 1: He said some nice things. Yeah, it sounds like a

998
00:51:26,360 --> 00:51:28,160
Speaker 1: nice guy, and I'm happy we can buy more diapers

999
00:51:28,160 --> 00:51:30,600
Speaker 1: for him. We're buying us some diapers. And by the way,

1000
00:51:30,920 --> 00:51:34,800
Speaker 1: thank you, thank you for mentioning Matt Mitchell. He loves that.

1001
00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:40,080
Speaker 1: It's true. I do totally alright, folks, this has been

1002
00:51:40,080 --> 00:51:42,399
Speaker 1: the podcast. Make sure you download the app, follow out

1003
00:51:42,440 --> 00:51:45,360
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter. That's where we will put our final picks

1004
00:51:45,440 --> 00:51:48,719
Speaker 1: of the week, So go check it out. This has

1005
00:51:48,719 --> 00:51:52,120
Speaker 1: been the favorite podcast from the Action Network. Download from Apple,

1006
00:51:52,160 --> 00:51:57,400
Speaker 1: podcast from Spotify, wherever you get your podcast. Until next time,

1007
00:51:58,320 --> 00:52:02,560
Speaker 1: I love you.