1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:03,240 Speaker 1: At an annual rate of ten point five percent in 2 00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:11,320 Speaker 1: January after ten percent in December. Loan dynamics continued the 3 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 1: path of gradual recovery observed since the beginning of two 4 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:20,239 Speaker 1: thousand fourteen. The annual rate of change of loans to 5 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:25,919 Speaker 1: non financial corporations increased to zero point six percent in 6 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 1: January two thou sixteen, up from zero point one in 7 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 1: December two thou fifteen. Developments in loans to enterprises continue 8 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 1: to reflect the lack of relationship with the business cycle, 9 00:00:43,479 --> 00:00:49,200 Speaker 1: credit risk, and the ongoing adjustment of financial and non 10 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 1: financial sector balance sheets. The annual growth rate of loans 11 00:00:56,200 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 1: two households remained stable at one point percent in January 12 00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 1: two thousand sixteen. Overall, the monetary policy measures in place 13 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:13,520 Speaker 1: since June two fourteen have clearly improved borrowing conditions for 14 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:17,400 Speaker 1: firms and households, as well as credit flows across the 15 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:23,120 Speaker 1: Euro Area. To sum up across check of the outcome 16 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 1: of the economic analysis with the signals coming from the 17 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:32,840 Speaker 1: monetary analysis confirmed the need for further monetary stimulus in 18 00:01:32,959 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 1: order to secure a return of inflation race towards levels 19 00:01:37,160 --> 00:01:44,039 Speaker 1: that are below but close to without undue delay. Monetary 20 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 1: policy is focused on maintaining price stability over the medium term, 21 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 1: and it's accommolative stance supports economic activity. However, in order 22 00:01:56,040 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 1: to rip the full benefits from our monetary policy measures, 23 00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 1: other policy areas must contribute decisively. Given continued high structural 24 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:11,680 Speaker 1: unemployment and low potential output growth in the euro Area, 25 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 1: the ongoing cyclical recovery should be supported by effective structural policies. 26 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:25,560 Speaker 1: In particular, actions to raise productivity and improve the business environment, 27 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:31,120 Speaker 1: including the provision of an adequate public infrastructure, are vital 28 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 1: to increase investment and boost job creation. The swift and 29 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 1: effective implementation and structural reforms in an environment of accommodative 30 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:46,799 Speaker 1: monetary policy will not only lead to higher sustainable economic 31 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:49,880 Speaker 1: growth in the euro Area, but will also make the 32 00:02:49,919 --> 00:02:55,519 Speaker 1: EU Area more resilient to global shocks. As indicated by 33 00:02:55,520 --> 00:03:00,679 Speaker 1: the European Commission, the implementation of countries specific record mandations 34 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 1: continued to be fairly limited in two thousand fifteen. Reform 35 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:10,399 Speaker 1: efforts thus need to be stepped up. In the majority 36 00:03:10,480 --> 00:03:17,239 Speaker 1: of EUROA countries. Phisical policies should support the economic recovery 37 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:20,920 Speaker 1: while remaining in compliance with the fiscal rules of the 38 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:27,320 Speaker 1: European Union. Full and consistent implementation of the Stability and 39 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:32,320 Speaker 1: Growth Pact is crucial to maintain confidence in the fiscal framework. 40 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 1: At the same time, all countries should strive for a 41 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 1: more growth friendly composition of fiscal policies. We are now 42 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 1: at your disposal for questions, Mr SPA, Mr President Alexander, 43 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 1: especially from Bloomer News. Um, my first question is about 44 00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 1: UM the forward guidance that you have given that rates 45 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:07,800 Speaker 1: will be lower for a long time, also after the 46 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 1: end of asset purchases. Is the duration of the new 47 00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 1: t t row to be looked at in this respect 48 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 1: and this will also extend to past the end of 49 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:26,279 Speaker 1: your mondate if I'm not mistaken or almost. And and 50 00:04:26,360 --> 00:04:30,920 Speaker 1: my second question would be when you say lower, UM, 51 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:35,600 Speaker 1: how low can this be? I know that this has 52 00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 1: changed a lot in the past few years as new 53 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:44,480 Speaker 1: horizons have open for monetary policy, But do you have 54 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 1: any idea are you approaching a limit or you still 55 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 1: have an envil room to go? And and that's two 56 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:59,320 Speaker 1: casts ready, Yeah, Well on on the UM on the teltrow, 57 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:02,760 Speaker 1: I just can give you a sort of a brief 58 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:07,159 Speaker 1: overview of what this operation is, keeping in mind that 59 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:10,719 Speaker 1: there's going to be a press briefing at four today 60 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:16,200 Speaker 1: UH four today for all the further technical details that 61 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:23,120 Speaker 1: you may may be interested now. The teltros are refinancing 62 00:05:23,120 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 1: operations that provide loans to banks with a long maturity, 63 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:31,320 Speaker 1: and banks are given additional incentives to land on the 64 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:37,279 Speaker 1: funds received. The key features of our Teltro program are 65 00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 1: the following. We will offer four operations, one each quarter 66 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:49,880 Speaker 1: starting June two thousand and sixteen until March two thousand seventeen. 67 00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:55,239 Speaker 1: The maturity of the operations will be four years each, 68 00:05:56,200 --> 00:06:00,760 Speaker 1: so that the last Teltro two will mature in March 69 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:07,799 Speaker 1: two thousand twenty one. Banks will pay the mr rate 70 00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:12,719 Speaker 1: at the time of bidding, so right now is zero, 71 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:18,359 Speaker 1: and they may even get a reduction on that rate, 72 00:06:19,080 --> 00:06:25,040 Speaker 1: which increases with the amount of loans they grant, so 73 00:06:25,080 --> 00:06:28,799 Speaker 1: the maximum reduction will bring the rate on the Teltro 74 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:34,360 Speaker 1: two to the level of the deposit facility rate at 75 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:40,320 Speaker 1: the time of bidding. The amount that banks can borrow 76 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:44,200 Speaker 1: is linked to the amount of loans they have on 77 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:49,560 Speaker 1: their balance sheet, so a bank that's very active in 78 00:06:49,640 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 1: granting loans to the real economy can borrow more than 79 00:06:53,920 --> 00:07:00,320 Speaker 1: a bank that concentrates on other activities. So the full 80 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 1: list of features is in the press release that will 81 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 1: be published after this press conference. So why did we 82 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 1: decide to have another series of teltros Well. Some of 83 00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:19,400 Speaker 1: the many reasons are long growth in the R area 84 00:07:19,640 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 1: is being recovering now for quite a time, but it's 85 00:07:22,440 --> 00:07:29,320 Speaker 1: still too low. Also, teltro too well, and we had 86 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:32,840 Speaker 1: actually a pretty successful experience with the first tel trow. 87 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 1: So we expect the Teltro too will offer attractive long 88 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: term funding conditions to banks to further ease private sector 89 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 1: credit conditions and to stimulate credit creation. I think this 90 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:50,800 Speaker 1: is quite important now. Also it provides funding certainty. Let's 91 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 1: not forget it's a four years operation at an attractive 92 00:07:56,520 --> 00:08:03,040 Speaker 1: price in an environment of increasing volati reality and also 93 00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 1: an environment of large upcoming bond redemptions bank bond redemptions, 94 00:08:10,800 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 1: so banks face sizeable forthcoming funding needs. And so this 95 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 1: occurs in an environment where the price you know, bank 96 00:08:18,640 --> 00:08:25,080 Speaker 1: debt is volatile and uncertain. So we we think that 97 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 1: in conjunction with all the other measure standard and non 98 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:32,360 Speaker 1: standard in place, this Altro two will contribute to a 99 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 1: returnal inflation rates to an objective of close but below 100 00:08:36,360 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 1: two percent over the medium term. Thank you, I'm sorry, Well, 101 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:56,240 Speaker 1: I yes, well, that's how low can we go? That's 102 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:59,680 Speaker 1: on the um. Let me say that the rates will 103 00:08:59,720 --> 00:09:04,000 Speaker 1: stay a low, very low for a long period of 104 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:10,559 Speaker 1: time and well past the horizon of our purchases. From 105 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:15,680 Speaker 1: today's perspective, and taken into account the support of our 106 00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:21,000 Speaker 1: measures to growth and inflation, we don't anticipate that it 107 00:09:21,080 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 1: will be necessary to reduce rates further. Of course, new 108 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:33,720 Speaker 1: facts can change the situation and the outlook. I mean 109 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:36,880 Speaker 1: also add that the experience we had with negative rates 110 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:41,360 Speaker 1: in our case, at least, it's been very positive in 111 00:09:41,520 --> 00:09:46,200 Speaker 1: easing financing conditions and in the transmission of these better 112 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:54,319 Speaker 1: financing conditions to the real economy. We're also aware that, 113 00:09:55,720 --> 00:09:58,120 Speaker 1: by the way here there are different views about whether 114 00:09:58,440 --> 00:10:01,640 Speaker 1: negative rates have a affected or how they affect the 115 00:10:01,679 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 1: profitability of the banking system. We can discuss this later, 116 00:10:07,520 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 1: but let me ask you, doesn't mean that any negative 117 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:17,120 Speaker 1: rate will be positive, doesn't mean that we can go 118 00:10:17,160 --> 00:10:21,360 Speaker 1: as negative as we want without having any consequence on 119 00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:26,360 Speaker 1: the banking system. Yes, it is now, and you probably 120 00:10:26,400 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 1: know that we've discussed for some time the possibility of 121 00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:35,320 Speaker 1: having a tearing system, so an exemption system from for 122 00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:38,240 Speaker 1: this operation. And in the end the Going Council decided 123 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:44,680 Speaker 1: not to exactly for the purpose of not signaling that 124 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:47,439 Speaker 1: we can go as low as we want on this. 125 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 1: So the Going Council is basically, although it gives a 126 00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:58,080 Speaker 1: positive judgment about the past experience, is increasingly aware of 127 00:10:58,080 --> 00:11:04,560 Speaker 1: the complexities that this measure entails. Uh As as I 128 00:11:04,600 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 1: said before, we think and we have numbers. The Show 129 00:11:09,480 --> 00:11:13,520 Speaker 1: and the Vice Presidence particularly well documented on this that 130 00:11:13,640 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 1: the aggregate profitability