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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast named vest Vetting Podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: To trick your dot you got real telling, don't concentrate

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Speaker 2: on golf. What's up, everybody, and welcome once again to

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Speaker 2: the Action Network Podcast, the Golf Edition sponsored by bet MGM.

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Speaker 2: As a reminder, all odds courtesy of bet MGM, the

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Speaker 2: official odds provider of the Action Network Podcast. I'm Jason

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Speaker 2: Soble from Golf Bet. Along with me, as always, my

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Speaker 2: friend Peter Jennings, we are going to go through everything

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Speaker 2: this week's c J Cup at Shadow Creek. Man. I

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Speaker 2: can't wait to get into what should be a really

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Speaker 2: fun week with a whole bunch of the world's best

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Speaker 2: player competing in a course where we haven't really seen

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Speaker 2: a whole lot of golf being played. So the match

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Speaker 2: a couple of years ago between Tiger and Phil, but

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Speaker 2: we've not seen all of these guys at once. Before

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Speaker 2: we get to that, let's break down a little bit

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Speaker 2: from last week Shriner's Hospitals for Children open. It was

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Speaker 2: fun and Peter, I'm telling you, it was just good

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Speaker 2: to see a CSU ram come through in the clutch.

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Speaker 3: It was great to see Martin Laird come through in

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Speaker 3: the clutch, making cso proud and what a cool story.

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Speaker 3: Great for Martin Laird, you know, got the sponsors exemption.

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Speaker 3: He's actually been out here in Colorado grinding a bunch

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Speaker 3: of my buddies that played with him, and really really cool,

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Speaker 3: life changing moment for him.

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Speaker 4: So I did not have a great DFS week.

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Speaker 3: I was Oliver mount Siama from a betting perspective, but

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Speaker 3: Martin Laird bailed me out big time. So I was

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Speaker 3: thrilled to see Martin Laird win for a variety of reasons.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's funny because you and I are usually on

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Speaker 2: the same side of things, and last week we were

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Speaker 2: pretty much in agreement on most things, and yet I

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Speaker 2: had a terrible betting week. But the DFS continues to roll.

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Speaker 4: In.

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Speaker 2: DFS was really good for week. Nieman and Answer were

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Speaker 2: two guys that I believe I took on the pod

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Speaker 2: when we make our ultimate DFS lineup, and those were

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Speaker 2: guys that I really liked last week fourth and thirteenth, respectively.

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Speaker 2: I'll admit that there are certain Sundays, especially during the

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Speaker 2: fall during football season, when It's like I just I can't.

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Speaker 2: I can't spend the entire afternoon watching every single shot.

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Speaker 2: This past Sunday, I watched a whole lot more golf

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Speaker 2: than anything else. I'm not sure I missed many shots

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Speaker 2: on the back nine and into the playoff from these guys,

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Speaker 2: it was a pretty entertaining watch. By the way, Matthew

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Speaker 2: Wolf ain't going anywhere for a long time.

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Speaker 4: This kid's legit, Wolf, more Kawa, and Hovelin all had

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Speaker 4: really interesting starts. I've been the biggest more Cower promoter.

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Speaker 4: I love Wolf as well, and Hoveland I mean he

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Speaker 4: started off like lightning hot during the COVID swing. So

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Speaker 4: what do you think right now? You have to pick

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Speaker 4: one for their career.

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Speaker 2: You know, it's really funny because they're all grouped together,

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Speaker 2: and Justin Suh, by the way, was the fourth member

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Speaker 2: of that group who I was very high on last

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Speaker 2: week and finished in the top ten. Watch out for him.

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Speaker 4: He is.

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Speaker 2: You know, it's not like just because the other three

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Speaker 2: took the higher road, the fast road to superstardom, like

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Speaker 2: he's gonna be, you know, nothing good in his career.

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Speaker 2: He's an up and comer and just taking him a

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Speaker 2: year longer than the other guys in any case, when

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Speaker 2: they all first turned pro. I'd watched him play in college,

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Speaker 2: watched him play some events as amateurs. I said, you know,

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Speaker 2: Victor Hobland, I think has another gear that the other

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Speaker 2: guys don't. His floor might be lower, but I think

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Speaker 2: his ceiling is higher than Morikawa and Wolf. And then

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Speaker 2: Morikawa became more Kawa, Markowa became a major champion, and

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Speaker 2: you look at more Cow and he said, Okay, well,

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Speaker 2: now you know that's a silly question. We can't really

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Speaker 2: ask that question because it's obvious it's Colin Markawa. That

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Speaker 2: was just what a month and a half ago, And

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Speaker 2: now we're sitting here going who is it? And you know, boy,

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Speaker 2: Matthew Wolf is up to twelfth in the world. Look

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Speaker 2: at well he played you know, two majors where he's

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Speaker 2: top four in each of those majors, just had a

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Speaker 2: runner up finished in Vegas. I will still go with

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Speaker 2: Colin Morricawan right now. He's the most accomplished of the three,

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Speaker 2: and I will put more weight into winning a major

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Speaker 2: championship than coming close a couple of times. But which

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Speaker 2: one do you go with? I know you're a big

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Speaker 2: more cow guy.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm the more accowend guy, but I think Wolf

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Speaker 3: has like the most upside, Like he's hits the ball

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Speaker 3: freaking mile and he gets really really hot. And the

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Speaker 3: US Open, I mean, Bryson putting an all time performance,

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Speaker 3: he's right there to win. But yeah, I still give

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Speaker 3: the lean to Morikawa. You know, he's still the best

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Speaker 3: iron player of the three. But we're not talking about

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Speaker 3: Hoblin now. And I feel like Hoveln's gonna win something

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Speaker 3: here soon and it's gonna be like, oh, Hoveln's the

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Speaker 3: best of the three. So Golf's in a great place,

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Speaker 3: so many great young players. I throw Zaladrus, who also

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Speaker 3: played well, we've been talking a bunch. Obviously, it's a

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Speaker 3: different you know, he's not in that same crew from

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Speaker 3: a college perspective, and those three are hyped together. But

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Speaker 3: Salatorus is a young up and comber to really keep

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Speaker 3: your eye on. I'm so impressed looking at his stats now,

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Speaker 3: Like I mean at the Cornferry, who was tearing it up,

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Speaker 3: but what he's done so far in the PGA Tour,

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Speaker 3: Like his.

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Speaker 4: Ball striking is as good as anyone out there.

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Speaker 2: If we're doing this basing it on age. We better

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Speaker 2: throw some JM and we better throw Joaquin Neeman, two

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Speaker 2: of my favorite guys to bet on on a regular basis,

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Speaker 2: and two guys who I really like a lot this week,

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Speaker 2: coming off some good ball striking weeks last week. We

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Speaker 2: better throw them in the conversation as well, because I

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Speaker 2: believe some of those names we mentioned are actually older

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Speaker 2: than those two players, even though they've been out there

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Speaker 2: and been pro a little bit longer. So yeah, the

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Speaker 2: game is in good hands. And one last note that

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Speaker 2: I'd like to make on Wolf Peter is that golf

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Speaker 2: is a copycat game. I mean, you know, whether it's

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Speaker 2: a piece of equipment that you know, Hey, everyone started

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Speaker 2: using this putter grip and all of a sudden, some

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Speaker 2: guy won with it, and everyone else. A week later,

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Speaker 2: fifty more guys are using it. Whether it's you know,

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Speaker 2: a certain you know becoming more fit, but everyone's gonna

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Speaker 2: try it. Everyone talks about trying to copycat Bryson right now. Okay, well,

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Speaker 2: you know, let's just swing as hard as we can.

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Speaker 2: The analytics tell us that it's better to be three

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Speaker 2: eighty off the tee in the roof it is to

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Speaker 2: be two eighty in the middle of the fairway, So

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Speaker 2: let's all try to bulke up and be Bryson. I'm

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Speaker 2: not gonna get into the whole Bryson conversation right now.

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Speaker 2: It's you know, conversation. We've had a million times already.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna have a million more times. If players out

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Speaker 2: there want a copycat, the guy who's running hot right

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Speaker 2: now and a guy who's seeing a lot of success,

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Speaker 2: why don't you go copycat? Matthew wolf who walks around

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Speaker 2: the golf course with a huge smile on his face

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Speaker 2: talking to his caddy, looks like he's playing a Tuesday

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Speaker 2: practice round for twenty bucks. When they picked numbers out

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Speaker 2: of a hat to determine the tea order in the

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Speaker 2: playoff the other day, Wolf goes, man, that's cool. Can

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Speaker 2: I keep that? Who's thinking about that in a playoff?

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Speaker 2: Especially when you're what twenty two years old and you're

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Speaker 2: still an up and comber like that and having won

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Speaker 2: a whole bunch of times. I just thought that was

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Speaker 2: awesome from Wolfe. I love his attitude. I'm telling you,

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Speaker 2: Sometimes the wagon that leads the cart has a cart

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Speaker 2: before the horse, horse before the cart. The tail wags

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Speaker 2: the dog I don't give me one of your your

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Speaker 2: old seventeen hundred axioms here, but smile a little bit,

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Speaker 2: maybe you play better. There's my point.

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Speaker 3: Be everything I've heard about Matthew Wolfe is he is

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Speaker 3: the best kid. I think he is a superstar. Hits

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Speaker 3: the ball of country mile and could have usually had

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Speaker 3: four eagles on a night and a nine oer stretch,

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Speaker 3: which just shows how much freaking upside he has. And

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Speaker 3: that's a great transition into this week. Matthew wolf On

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Speaker 3: bet MGM twenty to one, cap Gun Canley twenty two

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Speaker 3: to one, hatt In twenty two to one, Mark how

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Speaker 3: A twenty five to one, Maziama twenty five to one,

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Speaker 3: Final twenty five to one.

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Speaker 2: Markets a reflection of the public. You know that better

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Speaker 2: than anybody.

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Speaker 4: I'm not I agree with it.

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Speaker 2: No, it's very viable. I believe wolf is sixth on

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Speaker 2: the board. Is that correct? On betmg correct? He's worthy

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Speaker 2: of it because he's shown not only is he in

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Speaker 2: good form, but he's been playing really good golf against

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Speaker 2: really good fields. I mean, that's two major championships this

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Speaker 2: year so far, in the last couple of months, and

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Speaker 2: he's been fourth and second at those two.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, top of the board though, Jason. I mean we

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Speaker 3: got some really good players. We got DJ Rahm, jt

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Speaker 3: Rory Xander. I've played Shadow Creek a bunch. I don't

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Speaker 3: think any golf course has more gambling done on it

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Speaker 3: than Shadow Creek. It's an amazing place. Tiger jam every

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Speaker 3: year there. I've had some unbelievable experiences. It's one of

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Speaker 3: my favorite places on Earth. It's just an amazing, amazing spot.

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Speaker 3: The one thing I do know, from a course history perspective,

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Speaker 3: anythink DJ might be their rightful fear because he does

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Speaker 3: have the course record and he went Berty Bertie Eagle

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Speaker 3: and there's like a scorecard and like the story because

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Speaker 3: he was with Wayne Gretzky in the bathroom. So DJ's

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Speaker 3: got a little course history. I'm doing some digging. You

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Speaker 3: and I both know Monty have a lot of friends

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Speaker 3: who play out at Shadow a lot, So trying to

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Speaker 3: get the down law and on who might have the

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Speaker 3: most course history. And there's other epic gambling stories there.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, it's a really really interesting week and it's

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Speaker 3: gonna be fun to watch. I mean, Shadow Creek is gorgeous.

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Speaker 3: It's gonna be really really cool, great time of the

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Speaker 3: year in Vegas. So Shadow Creek the best players in

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Speaker 3: the world. I can't wait to watch this weekend.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be a fun watch. Adam Scott is not

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Speaker 2: in the field this week, but when I did one

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Speaker 2: of my PJ Tour player's favorite betting story series a

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Speaker 2: couple of years ago, Scott's favorite story was he and

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Speaker 2: Couples Freddie. Couples were playing with Phil Ivy, the legendary

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Speaker 2: poker star, and they didn't have enough action going for Ivy.

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Speaker 2: Ivy wanted a little more action out there, and basically

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Speaker 2: I might get this a little wrong. I haven't looked

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Speaker 2: at the story in a little bit, but with I

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Speaker 2: think five holes left to play, Ivy said, I bet

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Speaker 2: you guys don't make six birdies or something like that.

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Speaker 2: And you know between the two of you and I'll

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Speaker 2: bet you ten grand each or whatever it was. And

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Speaker 2: you know, people can go back Google story. It's you know,

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Speaker 2: Adam Scott, Phil Ivy, Jason Solbile, I wrote it. Whatever

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Speaker 2: you can figure it out. It was at Shadow and

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Speaker 2: so the punchline of the story is Freddie failed to

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Speaker 2: make a birdie that he could have made. Adam Scott

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Speaker 2: failed to make a Bernie and phil Ivey walked away

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Speaker 2: with all their money. So yes, you're right, it's a

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Speaker 2: place where the bets do get pretty steep out there.

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Speaker 2: For everything I've seen, and I was out there for

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Speaker 2: the match two years ago, it's really hard to walk

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Speaker 2: around and watch two guys play golf and say, well,

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Speaker 2: this is a ball striker's course. But from everything you

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Speaker 2: see and everything you hear at about seventy five hundred

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Speaker 2: yards even though there's elevation, this should be a tee

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Speaker 2: to green kind of week. And these are the guys

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Speaker 2: with you, and I usually look for the guys who

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Speaker 2: are really good ball strikers.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, we got to drive. Part four.

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Speaker 3: The par fives are very gettable at this course, specifically eighteen.

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Speaker 3: You've seen me play golf. I don't make many eagles ever.

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Speaker 3: One of my first in a betting game was actually

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Speaker 3: at Shadow Creek, so lions growth finds a not very

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Speaker 3: lucky moment. But if I'm making and obviously play different teas,

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Speaker 3: but the par fives are extremely gettable, especially with distance,

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I think tea green guys definitely, some of

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Speaker 3: these bombers, and the fairways are pretty open. I mean,

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Speaker 3: if you do get offline, trees will become a problem.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, I think it should favor the ball strikers.

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Speaker 3: The greens are quick, but I think this is a

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Speaker 3: ball striker's course. You moved that to move the ball

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Speaker 3: a little bit in certain spots, but for the most

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Speaker 3: part it's in front the end. If you have the distance,

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Speaker 3: your able to eat this course alive. I think I

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Speaker 3: think we'll see some low scores.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think so too. Spoke with one player today

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Speaker 2: who's in the field hadn't been to the course yet

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Speaker 2: and text me and said, yeah, you know, it's they

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Speaker 2: just overseeded. The course was closed until Monday. There's no

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Speaker 2: there's no member play or anything like that before this,

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Speaker 2: and so it's supposed to be like really soft, and

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Speaker 2: they're gonna shoot the lights out. They're gonna shoot some

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Speaker 2: really low scores. And then that same player text me

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Speaker 2: later in the day said, I'm still not there, but

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Speaker 2: from what I'm hearing, it's fast and firm. It's gonna

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Speaker 2: be really hard, and the scores might be higher than

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Speaker 2: we thought. So it's somewhere between high scoring and low

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Speaker 2: scoring and somewhere between fast and firm and really soft.

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Speaker 2: And so I don't know exactly how that's supposed to

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Speaker 2: help us this week, other than we may have to

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Speaker 2: take a little bit of a wait and see approach.

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Speaker 2: And of course we're recording this on Monday evening, you

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Speaker 2: and I.

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Speaker 4: So there's a lot and there's a lot of water.

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Speaker 4: That's the one thing we'll say.

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Speaker 3: And obviously PGA to players, wires more in play for

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Speaker 3: all the amateurs, and that's what makes it kind of

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Speaker 3: fun from a gambling perspective. But that will be interesting

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Speaker 3: to see how that plays out. And if it plays

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Speaker 3: firm and fast, that would be the defense of the

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Speaker 3: course for sure, because there's certain collection areas and if

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Speaker 3: they're not able to stick the ball on the greens

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Speaker 3: as much could get tricky.

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Speaker 5: I hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I

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Speaker 5: want to make sure you know about the Locked On

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Speaker 5: podcast network. Locked On as a daily podcast on your

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Speaker 5: favorite team.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

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Speaker 2: You are locked Down of the Dallas Matrick Well came

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Speaker 2: everybody for the Locked On Lakers podcast. Let's Go.

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Speaker 2: Let's start at the top of that list. You mentioned

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Speaker 2: Matthew Wolf, who's sixth on the board. He's right behind

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Speaker 2: Dustin Johnson, John Rahm, Justin Thomas, Rory McElroy, Xander Schoffley.

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Speaker 2: So sort of the usual suspects. No Bryson this week,

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Speaker 2: no Web Simpson, no Patrick Reid. But other than that,

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Speaker 2: we've got pretty much the top players in the game

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Speaker 2: playing there this week. And so where do you start

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Speaker 2: looking Dustin with the course record. I mean, it sounds

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Speaker 2: like you kind of leaning towards Dustin a little bit.

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Speaker 2: I will, and this is based on not a whole lot,

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Speaker 2: but Xander Schoffley we all know, I mean it tends

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Speaker 2: to be a cliche these days, but plays his best

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Speaker 2: golf in limited field events with no cut and big

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Speaker 2: boy fields, you know, against some of the best players.

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Speaker 2: He's won at Kapello, he's won the Tour Championship, he's

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Speaker 2: won a WGC event. So you start looking at Shaffley

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Speaker 2: and just based on that, and based on the fact

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Speaker 2: that he loves Vegas, his girlfriend's parents live there. He's

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Speaker 2: talked about very seriously moving out to Vegas at some point,

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Speaker 2: So it's a place where he's got a comfort level

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Speaker 2: in the type of event that he's got a comfort level.

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Speaker 2: And for those reasons, which might I'll be saying much,

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Speaker 2: I do like Xander from that top tier.

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Speaker 3: I mean, you're not gonna get any arguments from me

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Speaker 3: and Xander. I think he's underrated. Still Phil tweeting out

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Speaker 3: they think he's the best player in the world, does

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Speaker 3: everything exceptionally well, like DJ just with the what I

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Speaker 3: you know, the little nugget. But you know, I'm a

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Speaker 3: rom guy. I think he's the best player in the world.

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Speaker 3: And at some point Rory's really going to turn it on.

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Speaker 3: So this entire top of the board is intriguing. And

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Speaker 3: you know JT is the best iron player in the world,

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Speaker 3: So can't go wrong with any of those top guys.

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Speaker 3: Tough to find value and you know in that that

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Speaker 3: top group, but from a best perspective, I'll have to

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Speaker 3: wait and see to see who I think is going

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Speaker 3: to be shock and I think you go with whoever's

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Speaker 3: not chock out of that group because you can make

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Speaker 3: compelling arguments for all of them. So yeah, I like,

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Speaker 3: I mean hard to poke holes in any of those guys,

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Speaker 3: and I do think Wolf, even though I don't might.

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Speaker 3: I think he's maybe properly priced. I would definitely buy

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Speaker 3: all the guys ahead of Wolf for sure, rather than

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Speaker 3: buying a Wolf.

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Speaker 2: Speaking of all these top players, we are one month

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Speaker 2: away for from the first ever November Masters, and if

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Speaker 2: you want to get a little bit of a peak

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Speaker 2: into the window of who might contend at the Masters,

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Speaker 2: and who we're liking and who we might be fading

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Speaker 2: a little bit, this week and next week's Zozo Championship

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Speaker 2: at Sherwood Country Club in LA those are going to

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Speaker 2: be the two events where I look at them and say,

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Speaker 2: all right, give me some clues, give me some hints

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Speaker 2: into who might be able to get after this green

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Speaker 2: jacket this year, and who's sort of a pretender, who's

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Speaker 2: not quite ready to be there yet and whose game

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Speaker 2: is not peaking around this time of year. So I

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Speaker 2: will be looking closely at a lot of those ball

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Speaker 2: striking numbers, not only for this week, but for down

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Speaker 2: the road, and looking at that as to how it

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Speaker 2: will work for Augusta and who might be ready to

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Speaker 2: win there.

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Speaker 4: I'm with you. I think that there's a lot of

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Speaker 4: signal and who plays well here.

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Speaker 3: For a lot of guys, this will be there's not

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Speaker 3: many events that you want to play after this one,

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Speaker 3: so you know, I think LA has a pretty good field.

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Speaker 4: But after that we'll probably see these guys.

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Speaker 2: In Bermuda and then Houston, So I mean, you know,

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Speaker 2: there might be some guys playing Houston as far as

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Speaker 2: the upper tower players. But yeah, for the most part,

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Speaker 2: I think we're gonna we're gonna get our biggest glimpse

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Speaker 2: into how the top players are playing over the next

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Speaker 2: fourteen days or so.

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Speaker 1: Right, Gidia, let's bet horses for courses.

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Speaker 4: They're next on the board.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I think Keopka is an easy fade in

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Speaker 3: this mid tier and we'll have to wait to see

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Speaker 3: what happens.

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Speaker 4: But so many compelling guys.

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Speaker 3: I mean, Fleetwood's been hitting the ball amazing in Europe, struggling.

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Speaker 4: A little bit with the butter Burger.

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Speaker 3: Has been on fire. Masiama just really let me down.

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Speaker 3: Fitzpatrick played really well over in Europe. I mean, Sergio's

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Speaker 3: coming off win. You got Paul Casey, rose Nieman, your guy,

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Speaker 3: Brian Harbon coming off a really good performance.

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Speaker 4: What do you like in the mid tier?

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Speaker 2: Jason, Okay, so I'll give you four names, one of

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Speaker 2: a couple of which you just mentioned there With Daniel Berger.

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Speaker 2: Berger just feels like a Vegas guy to make, doesn't he.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I know he's a South Florida kid, but

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Speaker 2: so much swagger. I mean, he's just he's gonna have

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Speaker 2: He's gonna have a good time in Vegas this week,

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Speaker 2: but not a good time like, oh man, he's not

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Speaker 2: even gonna care about what he's He's just like this

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Speaker 2: is just so right up his alley, playing shadow and

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Speaker 2: playing for big money. It's it's just a Daniel Berger

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Speaker 2: vibe this week, straight vibing in Sin City this week

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Speaker 2: for Burger, so I like him a lot. And then

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Speaker 2: three guys that I liked last week a lot that

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Speaker 2: I'm tearing it over this week because all their numbers

378
00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:43,280
Speaker 2: look pretty good some JM, Joaque, Neeman, Abraham answer. All

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Speaker 2: three of those guys really like three of my favorite

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Speaker 2: guys that I look at on a regular basis for

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Speaker 2: top tens and DFS plays and things like that. So

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Speaker 2: I think they're all very very worthy candidates and guys

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Speaker 2: who maybe a little bit more motivation than some of

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Speaker 2: the top players. Maybe coming down out and saying, hey,

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Speaker 2: you know, I'm you know, a good young player. Want

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Speaker 2: to go out there and win this thing would be

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Speaker 2: you know, sort of the biggest thing on my resume.

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Speaker 2: And so that's not to say that a guy like

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Speaker 2: rom or JT or Rory wouldn't want to win this one.

390
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Speaker 2: Of course they do. But I think it's a little

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Speaker 2: bit bigger for one of those guys who, you know,

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Speaker 2: they can look at it and say, hey, this is

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Speaker 2: you know, this guy the feather in my cap at

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Speaker 2: this point in my career. This shows that I can

395
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Speaker 2: beat a field of the best players in the world.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I like all the names you just mentioned, and I

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Speaker 3: think there's some interesting guys a little bit farther down.

399
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Speaker 3: One guy stands out just from odds to DFS prices,

400
00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:39,400
Speaker 3: Billy Horsechell, who's seventy two hundred. He's seventy to one

401
00:18:39,800 --> 00:18:42,080
Speaker 3: and kind of in this mid to upper tier and

402
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Speaker 3: he's not priced like that.

403
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Speaker 4: So that's something to pay attention to.

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Speaker 3: I really like co Crack if you're going a little

405
00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:52,159
Speaker 3: bit farther down, Total Bomber, who's gotten massive upside playing

406
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Speaker 3: pretty well too. I like this course a lot for

407
00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:57,960
Speaker 3: him and Brian Harmon. He really impressed me last week.

408
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Speaker 3: We were both on him as one of the other

409
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Speaker 3: spots last week. So I like Brian Harmon a lot.

410
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Speaker 4: And then I actually have more guys kind of.

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Speaker 3: Towards the bottom relatively than I normally do anyone else

412
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Speaker 3: in this midyear before we get to the kind of

413
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Speaker 3: the bottom tier here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's about it for the mid tier for me.

415
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Speaker 2: I agree on Cokerack. I think Cokerack could have a

416
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Speaker 2: really nice week this week. Especially. It depends on what

417
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Speaker 2: you're looking at. Of course, if you're looking at betting, okay, well,

418
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Speaker 2: I love top twenty bets. I will put it out

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Speaker 2: there that in a what is it seventy four seventy

420
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Speaker 2: six man field, when you're looking at top twenty bets,

421
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Speaker 2: you're saying, okay, well, the guy only has to beat

422
00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:37,679
Speaker 2: seventy seventy three percent of the field, whatever it might be.

423
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Speaker 2: That's that's a lot better for picking a guy to

424
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Speaker 2: get top twenty than it normally is. And so if

425
00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:48,320
Speaker 2: you can find guys at plus two fifty plus three

426
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Speaker 2: hundred plus three fifty right around there, and there are

427
00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:54,520
Speaker 2: some pretty good options in there where you say, okay,

428
00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 2: it only has to beat fifty five guys or so,

429
00:19:57,400 --> 00:19:58,479
Speaker 2: you know, it's all like he has to go out

430
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Speaker 2: there and win, but top twenty bets this week in

431
00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:04,160
Speaker 2: these limited fields I really like, so co Crack is there.

432
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:06,640
Speaker 2: We go a little bit further down and maybe more

433
00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:11,800
Speaker 2: so for DFS purposes than Betts. But some of the

434
00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:14,120
Speaker 2: guys are like Cam Smith who played really well last week.

435
00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:17,560
Speaker 2: We both liked him, Ryan Palmer, who's just been super

436
00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:21,439
Speaker 2: solid throughout this entire year, Dylan for Telly, if it

437
00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:24,000
Speaker 2: plays tough, and we'll find this out over the next

438
00:20:24,040 --> 00:20:26,359
Speaker 2: forty eight hours or so before they tee off from

439
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:29,800
Speaker 2: the time we're recording. But if it plays tough, Dylan

440
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:32,639
Speaker 2: for Telly, who plays better on tougher golf courses. If

441
00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:34,199
Speaker 2: it looks like it's gonna play easy and could be

442
00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:37,040
Speaker 2: a birdie fest, Adam Long. Adam Long plays better at

443
00:20:37,080 --> 00:20:39,639
Speaker 2: those types of tournaments. So if you're torn between a

444
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:43,040
Speaker 2: guy on DraftKings at sixty six hundred, give it a

445
00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:44,960
Speaker 2: day or two. Figure out if this is gonna be,

446
00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:47,080
Speaker 2: you know, one of those where hey, everyone shoots six

447
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:49,800
Speaker 2: under every day and that's gonna be the scoring average

448
00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:51,920
Speaker 2: or whether it's like, hey, it's gonna be pretty tough,

449
00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:54,280
Speaker 2: it's gonna be closer to bar So I think you

450
00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:57,360
Speaker 2: can either go for Telly or along based on that

451
00:20:57,440 --> 00:21:00,640
Speaker 2: and a couple other names. Brendan Steele friend of the pod,

452
00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:03,560
Speaker 2: guy that we always like, but I especially like him

453
00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:06,320
Speaker 2: this week, and I'm usually pretty good calling my Brendan

454
00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:09,000
Speaker 2: Steel picks. And then Joel Damon is one last guy

455
00:21:09,040 --> 00:21:13,520
Speaker 2: that I think is probably a bit undervalued and underrated

456
00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:14,600
Speaker 2: in that marketplace.

457
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:18,920
Speaker 3: YEP like that call specifically, and Brendan Steel the most.

458
00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:20,880
Speaker 3: Corey Connor is kind of at the top of this range.

459
00:21:20,920 --> 00:21:22,639
Speaker 3: I'm always going to be interested in a ball striker.

460
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:25,360
Speaker 3: And then maybe my two favorites of the long shots

461
00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:29,040
Speaker 3: are Keegan Bradley and Kevin Streelman. So Streelman missed the

462
00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 3: cut last week, but was right there. I think missed

463
00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:32,680
Speaker 3: the cut on the number made Birdie on a teen

464
00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:34,159
Speaker 3: d at the six under, which looked like it is

465
00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:36,000
Speaker 3: for sure going to get in and pour one out.

466
00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:38,440
Speaker 3: Imaginehuating six under in two days and not making it that.

467
00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:41,159
Speaker 3: I know it's all relative. Everyone made a lot of

468
00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:44,760
Speaker 3: arguments on Twitter, but Streelman right there. Kind of the thing.

469
00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:46,680
Speaker 3: I like, you see a miss cut, but he shot

470
00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:49,600
Speaker 3: six under. He missed it by one. I think he's,

471
00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:51,400
Speaker 3: you know, West Coast guy plays a lot of golf

472
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:53,240
Speaker 3: in Arizona. That should be set up well for him.

473
00:21:53,520 --> 00:21:56,480
Speaker 3: And then Keegan. I actually haven't confirmed this, but it

474
00:21:56,600 --> 00:21:58,040
Speaker 3: has to be true, and maybe you can do a

475
00:21:58,080 --> 00:22:00,760
Speaker 3: little digging. I mean, Keegan's got you know, obviously, the

476
00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:04,760
Speaker 3: Jordan relationship close with Michael, and Jordan has a custom

477
00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:06,560
Speaker 3: golf cart and you to spend a ton of time

478
00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:10,960
Speaker 3: at Shadow. There's a cool North Carolina blue golf cart

479
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:13,719
Speaker 3: that Jordan's son uses a lot. But Jordan I think probably.

480
00:22:13,800 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 3: I mean, I imagine he's played hundreds and hundreds of rounds here.

481
00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:19,199
Speaker 3: Obviously likes to spend time in Vegas and this was

482
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,880
Speaker 3: his go to spot. I've heard many stories about him

483
00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:24,360
Speaker 3: playing forty five holes in a day at Shadow.

484
00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:27,720
Speaker 4: Keegan's gotta have joined him for some of those rounds, right,

485
00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:29,680
Speaker 4: I might know some things.

486
00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:33,680
Speaker 3: Okay, Well, I think this is a good mit. I

487
00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:36,120
Speaker 3: think this is a good course for Keegan. I imagine

488
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:38,520
Speaker 3: he has a lot of experience on this course. I

489
00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:41,000
Speaker 3: really like Keegan Bradley this week yeah.

490
00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:43,800
Speaker 2: I do too, And we've done this before. Before we

491
00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:46,239
Speaker 2: get to our ultimate DFS lineup and you I'll go

492
00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:49,760
Speaker 2: through the through DraftKings and make a six player lineup

493
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:52,120
Speaker 2: here in a second. But before we do that, we've

494
00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:54,480
Speaker 2: talked about this with limited field events before, with no

495
00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:58,119
Speaker 2: cut How do you approach no cut events from a

496
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:03,080
Speaker 2: DFS perspective when you're looking at guys who are all

497
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:05,960
Speaker 2: gonna play four rounds? Do we want to put more

498
00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:09,880
Speaker 2: of an emphasis on those who have higher birdy averages?

499
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 2: Do we want to put more of an emphasis on

500
00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:16,480
Speaker 2: those with I don't know how we have analytics to

501
00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:20,440
Speaker 2: quantify this, but a little more in the give a Meet,

502
00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:24,240
Speaker 2: give a heck meter, guys who tend to not mail

503
00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:25,960
Speaker 2: it in in the last couple of rounds, because we

504
00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 2: see that, and especially in Vegas, we're gonna see guys

505
00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:32,440
Speaker 2: who are in forty third place going into the final

506
00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:34,480
Speaker 2: two rounds and go, you know what, I'm just like,

507
00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:36,840
Speaker 2: I'm gonna have fun this weekend and I'll play some

508
00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:38,719
Speaker 2: golf and I'll get a paycheck, but I ain't too

509
00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 2: worried about it, whereas other guys are gonna say, I'm

510
00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:44,560
Speaker 2: forty third going into this weekend. But I'm gonna bear

511
00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:46,560
Speaker 2: down because I know that if I move from forty

512
00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:49,119
Speaker 2: third to nineteenth at the end of the week, that

513
00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:51,160
Speaker 2: can mean something for me down the road. I can

514
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:53,879
Speaker 2: get some meaningful points, I can get some move up

515
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:55,800
Speaker 2: in the world ranking a little bit. You know that

516
00:23:55,840 --> 00:23:58,560
Speaker 2: could be a big deal for me. So you want

517
00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:00,960
Speaker 2: to look at players, and you know, again no real

518
00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:02,720
Speaker 2: analytics to show you this, but you want to look

519
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 2: at players that you think, uh might step on the

520
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:07,000
Speaker 2: gas pedal a little bit on the weekend, even if

521
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:09,320
Speaker 2: they're out of contention. So how do you approach this

522
00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:10,520
Speaker 2: from a DFS standpoint?

523
00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:13,720
Speaker 3: So two things I think are really well, I guess three.

524
00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 3: One leave money on the table more important than ever

525
00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:20,000
Speaker 3: for tournaments. We've talked about that extensively, just having any

526
00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:24,800
Speaker 3: clients critical. Two, birdie making is imperative. But people know

527
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,720
Speaker 3: bertie making is imperative. So now you're going to get

528
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:31,080
Speaker 3: into like the art of DFS where Okay, I know

529
00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 3: this guy's too cheap relative to his odds and his

530
00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 3: birdie making, he's gonna be really popular, So there's that

531
00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:39,080
Speaker 3: whole element of his as well.

532
00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:41,359
Speaker 2: I like this guy, but I know everyone else is

533
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:43,760
Speaker 2: gonna like this. I I'm gonna fade this guy because

534
00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:44,879
Speaker 2: no one else is gonna you know.

535
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:48,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, you totally get into that. And h yeah, I

536
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:51,119
Speaker 3: do think there's something to you know, who does this

537
00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:54,440
Speaker 3: matter to? Because it does show up more in these

538
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:57,040
Speaker 3: type of events and certain guys are willing to grind

539
00:24:57,119 --> 00:24:59,160
Speaker 3: and you know the devastating thing. I mean, I don't

540
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:01,480
Speaker 3: think people a gonna be drap, but if if any

541
00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:04,720
Speaker 3: sense that someone's just you know, not, their heart's not there,

542
00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:07,800
Speaker 3: they don't want to be there, that's always a really.

543
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:10,399
Speaker 4: Good reason to fade that player, I mean, especially in

544
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 4: these type of situations.

545
00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:14,280
Speaker 3: So, uh, those are those are the things that obviously

546
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:17,800
Speaker 3: one and two matter more. And uh yeah, though the

547
00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:19,840
Speaker 3: other main point that I was trying to make, uh,

548
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,280
Speaker 3: stars and Scrubs has much more about and I don't

549
00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:24,960
Speaker 3: want to use word scrubs, stars and whatever word we're

550
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:29,359
Speaker 3: gonna use going forward, as yeah, has way more value

551
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:31,920
Speaker 3: in this format. The balanced lineups that you know are

552
00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:34,920
Speaker 3: more likely to have six guys through the cut, you know,

553
00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:38,159
Speaker 3: have value in normal weeks, but you want to maximize

554
00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:40,040
Speaker 3: your win equity, which is going to be taking the

555
00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:41,000
Speaker 3: guys at the top of the board.

556
00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:44,320
Speaker 2: I've made a few lineups already, Peter, and I can

557
00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:46,400
Speaker 2: tell you that based on some of the names, and

558
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,320
Speaker 2: some of the names we just mentioned, from Keegan Bradley

559
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:52,159
Speaker 2: to Brendan Steel, the Joel Damon to Ryan Palmer, I mean,

560
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:56,280
Speaker 2: these guys are priced pretty low for guys of their caliber.

561
00:25:56,320 --> 00:26:00,360
Speaker 2: I mean they're they are down there. And so if

562
00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:04,880
Speaker 2: you want to go three stars and three whatever, we're

563
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:07,800
Speaker 2: gonna call them guys cheaper guys down towards the bottom.

564
00:26:08,640 --> 00:26:10,639
Speaker 2: You can certainly do that this week, and you can

565
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:13,720
Speaker 2: have a very viable lineup knowing that those guys near

566
00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:15,920
Speaker 2: the bottom, you know, just because they're near the bottom

567
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:18,240
Speaker 2: doesn't mean they can't play golf. And even if you

568
00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:21,800
Speaker 2: get a couple of top twenties out of those guys

569
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:24,080
Speaker 2: near the bottom, and you get the right guys from

570
00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:25,800
Speaker 2: the top tier, you're gonna have a really good week

571
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:30,440
Speaker 2: doing this stuff. So let's get into our own lineup

572
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:33,159
Speaker 2: that we make every single week in just a second.

573
00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:36,520
Speaker 2: But first we are extremely excited to announce that the

574
00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:40,320
Speaker 2: Action Pods Tournament of Champions presented by Bett MGM is

575
00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:44,840
Speaker 2: now live. Is a free weekly Yahoo DFS tournament specifically

576
00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:47,919
Speaker 2: for our podcast listeners, and you can join by simply

577
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:51,440
Speaker 2: clicking on the link in our episode description. The top

578
00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:54,480
Speaker 2: ten finishers each week receive over one thousand dollars worth

579
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:57,400
Speaker 2: of Action Network prizes. In the top five each week

580
00:26:57,480 --> 00:27:00,880
Speaker 2: punch their ticket to the wild Card Weekend Grand Finale,

581
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:03,720
Speaker 2: where they will compete for the grand prize. That's Vegas

582
00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:06,960
Speaker 2: trip for two, valued it over five thousand dollars courtesy

583
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:10,520
Speaker 2: of bet MGM. Again, listeners can join this tournament every

584
00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:13,159
Speaker 2: week at the NFL regular season. Just click on the

585
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:15,600
Speaker 2: link in our episode description.

586
00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:20,399
Speaker 1: I want to be a DFS millionaire. You're just one

587
00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:21,280
Speaker 1: lineup away.

588
00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:24,240
Speaker 2: We're gonna go nose with him, and you're gonna play

589
00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:27,480
Speaker 2: better than you ever dreamed of. God be it. That's

590
00:27:27,480 --> 00:27:28,359
Speaker 2: what I amard of you.

591
00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:30,880
Speaker 1: So let's get drafting.

592
00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:34,639
Speaker 2: Peter with our first pick of the draft, would you

593
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,320
Speaker 2: like to pick first or defer to the second half.

594
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:38,240
Speaker 4: I'll defer.

595
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:41,679
Speaker 2: I'm taking Xander ten three hundred block him in.

596
00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:45,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I absolutely love Xander this week. I think that's

597
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:48,119
Speaker 3: a really sharp call. I'll save some money so we

598
00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:51,879
Speaker 3: can come back to spending money down the road. The

599
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:53,800
Speaker 3: one guy, for sure want our lineup is Keith and

600
00:27:53,800 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 3: Bradley at sixty five hundred. The narrative take, but he's

601
00:27:57,280 --> 00:27:59,120
Speaker 3: also playing really well. If you're gonna take the ball

602
00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:03,960
Speaker 3: striker angle, love Keegan and he's been playing really well

603
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:05,720
Speaker 3: and the putter is going to be in the big

604
00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:06,159
Speaker 3: part of it.

605
00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:08,920
Speaker 4: But really strong. Finished two weeks ago, could have easily

606
00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:11,680
Speaker 4: won the golf tournament, just had a really bad Saturday round.

607
00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:14,840
Speaker 4: So Keegan Bradley sixty five hundred. I think he's strong

608
00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:15,359
Speaker 4: this week.

609
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:17,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's a good call. It makes a

610
00:28:17,680 --> 00:28:19,679
Speaker 2: lot of birdies and I think he'll be good on

611
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:23,040
Speaker 2: this golf course. I'm gonna go We've got eighty three

612
00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:25,440
Speaker 2: hundred per player left to spend for the last four

613
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:26,880
Speaker 2: and I'm gonna take a guy right in the middle

614
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:29,800
Speaker 2: of that eighty two hundred. Abraham answer to me is

615
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:33,320
Speaker 2: just he's ready to pop. And I say this a

616
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:36,040
Speaker 2: lot because I'm a big fan of this guy's game,

617
00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:40,120
Speaker 2: but tends to be a momentum type guy. When he

618
00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:42,800
Speaker 2: gets hot. He gets pretty hot for a few weeks

619
00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:44,560
Speaker 2: in a row. And he's coming off that fourth place

620
00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 2: finish last week. By the way, that birdie on the

621
00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 2: final hole. They weren't showing very much Abraham Answer on

622
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:51,560
Speaker 2: the telecast whatsoever. And all of a sudden, I'm sitting

623
00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:55,160
Speaker 2: there with a really good DFS lineup with Abraham Answer

624
00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 2: in there, and they cut to him on the fairway

625
00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:02,360
Speaker 2: on eighteen, and I'm like, is really good or really bad?

626
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 4: No, it's ninety percent really good, So you're just yeah.

627
00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:07,520
Speaker 2: I mean, he could shank one into the water, he

628
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:09,760
Speaker 2: could hit one into the trees. It's like, oh, and

629
00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:13,720
Speaker 2: then he hit this laser beam to the front middle

630
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:15,840
Speaker 2: of the green that just kept bouncing and rolling and

631
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,440
Speaker 2: got to about five feet and he made the putt

632
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:21,440
Speaker 2: for Birdie and I was jumping around my house. So uh,

633
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,520
Speaker 2: Abraham Answer is, U has gotten onto my good side

634
00:29:24,560 --> 00:29:24,880
Speaker 2: right now?

635
00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 4: He usually is, but even sorry to even talk over you.

636
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:32,400
Speaker 3: But yeah, that same situation, like when they cut to

637
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 3: a guy that they haven't been showing. You know, it's

638
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:39,440
Speaker 3: good like so often ninety but occasionally it's bad. What

639
00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:41,840
Speaker 3: I find the most tilting is when they show the

640
00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:45,000
Speaker 3: guy and he hits like a very mediocre and a

641
00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:47,480
Speaker 3: bad shot. It's like, why are you showing this guy

642
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:49,480
Speaker 3: just like put it to fifty feet on the green

643
00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:52,640
Speaker 3: or something. Like that, and that that occasionally happens, and

644
00:29:52,680 --> 00:29:54,480
Speaker 3: my hopes always get so high when it's one of

645
00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:56,880
Speaker 3: my guys, and then when it's an average shot, I

646
00:29:57,240 --> 00:29:58,840
Speaker 3: just I'm I'm confused.

647
00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:05,040
Speaker 2: They're very feelings in gambling, in in DFS. Then the

648
00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:08,240
Speaker 2: feeling of the golf telecast all of a sudden, going

649
00:30:08,280 --> 00:30:10,480
Speaker 2: to your guy who they haven't been showing, he's not

650
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:13,840
Speaker 2: in the lead, and now let's let's got an Abraham

651
00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:17,160
Speaker 2: answer on eighteen, and you're like, well, that's my guy. Whoa, whoa.

652
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:19,600
Speaker 2: It's like, you know, that's my music. I just started out.

653
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:23,600
Speaker 2: They hold I mean, but but you never know, there's

654
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:26,600
Speaker 2: always that chance that like, oh my god, you'll never

655
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:30,880
Speaker 2: believe what he just did. Hit the ball backwards into

656
00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:32,920
Speaker 2: the one. That's the worst shot I've ever seen from

657
00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:35,520
Speaker 2: a pro. He's gonna make a twelve from there, and

658
00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:38,000
Speaker 2: you know, you're just like, oh my god, what is it?

659
00:30:38,040 --> 00:30:40,960
Speaker 2: What is it? And even when answer hit that shot,

660
00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:43,040
Speaker 2: the first thing out of the announcer's mouth I think

661
00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:45,360
Speaker 2: it was rich lerne I said, ooh caught that one

662
00:30:45,360 --> 00:30:47,440
Speaker 2: a little fin Oh that one, you know, took a

663
00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:49,960
Speaker 2: low trajectory, and it's like, ah, man, this is good.

664
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:51,680
Speaker 2: They're just gonna show like how some shot, if you

665
00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,120
Speaker 2: don't hit the right shot in eighteen could bounce over

666
00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:56,520
Speaker 2: the green, go forty yards past or something like that

667
00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:59,520
Speaker 2: instead rolled right up there. So you know, good things

668
00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 2: you guys.

669
00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 3: I love at seventy two hundred Brian Harmon and Billy Horswell.

670
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:04,920
Speaker 3: And I don't have to figure out who's chalk here,

671
00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:07,680
Speaker 3: but I'll go with Brian Harmon for now. Really good

672
00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:09,680
Speaker 3: for him. We were on him last week. I like

673
00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:12,640
Speaker 3: both those guys a ton. I imagine if exposure to both,

674
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:15,400
Speaker 3: but I'm gonna go with with Brian Harmon.

675
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:17,800
Speaker 4: It's coming off some good form and we were both

676
00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:18,560
Speaker 4: on him last week.

677
00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:21,560
Speaker 2: Okay, So I'm gonna ask you this question, if you're

678
00:31:21,560 --> 00:31:24,600
Speaker 2: going between the two of those guys, if it's are

679
00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:27,160
Speaker 2: we looking for ball strikers? Are we looking for guys

680
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:29,080
Speaker 2: who can get it up and down from everywhere? And

681
00:31:29,080 --> 00:31:31,640
Speaker 2: I think that comes down to what kind of course

682
00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:33,640
Speaker 2: is this gonna be. Is it gonna play soft with

683
00:31:34,640 --> 00:31:37,360
Speaker 2: lower scoring? If that's the case, I want Horsehell, he's

684
00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:39,640
Speaker 2: gonna play fast and firm, where you're gonna miss a

685
00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:41,000
Speaker 2: bunch of greens and you're gonna have to get up

686
00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:42,640
Speaker 2: down a whole lot during the course of a round.

687
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:44,680
Speaker 2: Then I want Brian Harmon. Brian Harmon is one of

688
00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:46,920
Speaker 2: the best chippers in the game. Billy Horshell one of

689
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 2: the better iron players. So I think it just comes

690
00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:50,960
Speaker 2: down to what kind of course it is we can

691
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,920
Speaker 2: put Harmon down for now, and by the way, right

692
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 2: below them at seventy one hundred, see who Kim watch out.

693
00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:57,680
Speaker 2: We didn't mention that.

694
00:31:57,680 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 4: Name yet, but these guys a massive upside.

695
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:04,960
Speaker 2: Watch out Seawoo Kim. That's a name that. Don't let

696
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:08,080
Speaker 2: that name sort of sneak past you at seventy one

697
00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:10,960
Speaker 2: hundred this week, because this is a lot of upside

698
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:11,560
Speaker 2: on that one.

699
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:13,840
Speaker 4: Not when he's the favorite, by him, when he's down

700
00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:14,880
Speaker 4: here exactly.

701
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:16,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, we had him as a favorite or close to

702
00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 2: it a few weeks together. Like I'm not doing Seawoo there,

703
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:22,040
Speaker 2: but see Wou here this week and watch out for

704
00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:24,920
Speaker 2: Sea Wu. I like that. Okay, we've got eighty nine

705
00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:27,680
Speaker 2: hundred per man left. I'm going to make a move,

706
00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:29,800
Speaker 2: and I know exactly where you're going to make a move.

707
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:30,760
Speaker 2: Right after I make.

708
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:33,240
Speaker 4: My move, perfect, I'm going to go with my.

709
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,479
Speaker 2: Boy JOAQI neieman at seventy five hundred.

710
00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 4: That is interesting. That leaves us ten to three, right, correct.

711
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:42,400
Speaker 4: I'm actually confused that you think that you know, because

712
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:44,080
Speaker 4: that leaves me in a weird spot. Leaves me. I mean,

713
00:32:44,120 --> 00:32:44,520
Speaker 4: I want to go.

714
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:47,560
Speaker 3: I like Matthew Wolf and DFS, but I kind of

715
00:32:47,560 --> 00:32:48,720
Speaker 3: want to go more kala here.

716
00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:49,360
Speaker 4: Where do you think?

717
00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:51,640
Speaker 2: WHOA? I thought you were jumping at Wolf.

718
00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:54,480
Speaker 3: I love and I love Matthew Wolf for DFS so

719
00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:55,880
Speaker 3: much upside Birdie making.

720
00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:57,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that's a really sharp plan.

721
00:32:58,040 --> 00:33:00,440
Speaker 3: I actually I don't like him in betting, but I

722
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 3: think he'll catch much lower ownership than the other guys.

723
00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 2: By the way, and I did really well last year

724
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:08,520
Speaker 2: with kind of catching on to the fact that Victor

725
00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:11,400
Speaker 2: Hovland had this great record when he first turned pro.

726
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 2: On the weekends, especially the final rounds, he was just

727
00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:17,840
Speaker 2: on fire. He's shooting sixty five every single Sunday. And

728
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:20,560
Speaker 2: Matthew Wolf is the kind of guy that if you're

729
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:23,920
Speaker 2: playing showdown lineups, if you're playing weekend lineups in DFS,

730
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:27,560
Speaker 2: and Matthew Wolf is sitting there in thirty fifth place

731
00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:30,040
Speaker 2: and he's not really doing a whole lot. He's the

732
00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:32,760
Speaker 2: kind of guy. He's exactly what we talked about when

733
00:33:32,800 --> 00:33:35,480
Speaker 2: we say find a guy who's not just gonna pack

734
00:33:35,520 --> 00:33:37,640
Speaker 2: it in on the weekend, to find a guy who

735
00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:39,800
Speaker 2: wants to go out there and makes some eagles. He's

736
00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:42,960
Speaker 2: gonna get aggressive and fire it pins And that's Matthew

737
00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:46,240
Speaker 2: Wolf to me, that's exactly what he will do if

738
00:33:46,280 --> 00:33:50,160
Speaker 2: he's mired in the middle of the pack. And so

739
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:53,200
Speaker 2: for me, yes, he's a really good play pre tournament

740
00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:55,640
Speaker 2: in these lineups. You're smirking at me a little bit,

741
00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:59,680
Speaker 2: Peter as if no, No, I think for those showdown

742
00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:02,880
Speaker 2: lineup later in the weekend. I love playing Matthew Wolf

743
00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:03,720
Speaker 2: on a regular basis.

744
00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:05,080
Speaker 4: I mean, that's why I just did this last week.

745
00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:06,640
Speaker 4: I mean, he just went nuclear on the weekend.

746
00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:09,960
Speaker 3: I mean, the guy has got some serious firepower and

747
00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:12,680
Speaker 3: he's way longer than people realize, and he's hitting it

748
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:16,000
Speaker 3: like right there with Bryson. I love Matthew Wolf, and

749
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:18,799
Speaker 3: I think DFS wise, I'm happy that you put us

750
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:21,400
Speaker 3: there because he's a perfect pay up to be contrarian.

751
00:34:21,520 --> 00:34:23,279
Speaker 3: All the guys above him are being more popular I

752
00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:25,279
Speaker 3: think in DFS this week, and Wolf of ten k

753
00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:27,399
Speaker 3: is a payup to be contrarian play which I love.

754
00:34:29,360 --> 00:34:32,040
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764
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766
00:35:08,200 --> 00:35:12,080
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769
00:35:16,640 --> 00:35:18,799
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770
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772
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:27,480
Speaker 2: Is it worth doing a couple of lineups this week

773
00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:29,520
Speaker 2: where you're basically tay? I mean, kind of what we

774
00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:32,760
Speaker 2: said earlier, taking guys you don't like. You don't like Kepka,

775
00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:34,480
Speaker 2: but you know what, no one else is gonna like

776
00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:38,680
Speaker 2: Kepka either. Jason Day, who looked unbeatable, who looked great

777
00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:41,160
Speaker 2: for about a month and a half, has now looked

778
00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:43,000
Speaker 2: not so good for a month and a half coming

779
00:35:43,040 --> 00:35:45,480
Speaker 2: off of misscut. Throw Jason Day in there. I mean,

780
00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:47,960
Speaker 2: just guys who you know they can play well. I mean,

781
00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:50,480
Speaker 2: they're not scrubs, They're not guys who aren't good players.

782
00:35:50,520 --> 00:35:52,839
Speaker 2: But is it worth making some lineups out of guys who,

783
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:54,920
Speaker 2: you know what, I don't really like them, but I

784
00:35:54,920 --> 00:35:57,160
Speaker 2: don't think a lot of the general public likes me there,

785
00:35:57,160 --> 00:35:59,759
Speaker 2: so might as well take these guys at some lower ownership.

786
00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:01,759
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, if there's a week to do it,

787
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:02,200
Speaker 4: it's this week.

788
00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:04,680
Speaker 3: Keptka, Jason, Dave, Jordan Speed all kind of fit that

789
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:08,239
Speaker 3: that mold, so uh it doesn't feel great clicking them,

790
00:36:08,239 --> 00:36:11,600
Speaker 3: But yeah, and Kepka probably the most out of this today.

791
00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:15,799
Speaker 3: I'm worried about Jason Days back, and hopefully Speed can

792
00:36:15,800 --> 00:36:18,520
Speaker 3: find some positive momentum. How fun would it be if Speed,

793
00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:21,080
Speaker 3: you know, was first round leader or something like that.

794
00:36:21,120 --> 00:36:25,919
Speaker 3: And Augusta, I'm rooined for Jordan just he just listened

795
00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:29,839
Speaker 3: to a podcast reads to Jordan. He's a thoughtful, amazing guy,

796
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:32,120
Speaker 3: and I know I bet against him a lot, but

797
00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:36,200
Speaker 3: I'm genuinely rooting for him. So uh yeah, all those

798
00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:38,600
Speaker 3: guys are interesting, and this is the week to take

799
00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:39,600
Speaker 3: shots on ownership.

800
00:36:39,760 --> 00:36:40,920
Speaker 4: Maybe not put all of them together.

801
00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:42,640
Speaker 3: You only need a couple guys to get leverage versus

802
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:45,200
Speaker 3: the field, but I do think this week, more than others,

803
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:46,919
Speaker 3: ownership matters a ton.

804
00:36:47,440 --> 00:36:49,319
Speaker 2: By the way, I'm gonna I don't do this often.

805
00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 2: I'm gonna read one of my tweets and it's not

806
00:36:51,160 --> 00:36:55,239
Speaker 2: because of the entertainment value, but the informational value. How

807
00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:58,279
Speaker 2: deep is this week's CJ Cup field. These guys all

808
00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:02,319
Speaker 2: needed sponsor exemptions this week. Tommy Fleetwood, Brooks, kept Ga,

809
00:37:02,400 --> 00:37:06,320
Speaker 2: Shane Lowry, Justin Rose, Ricky Fowler, Sergio Garcia, Ian Poulter,

810
00:37:06,680 --> 00:37:11,480
Speaker 2: Jordan's Beith, and Keegan Bradley. I naively, maybe ideally picture

811
00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:14,880
Speaker 2: these guys Brooks Kepka sitting down at his desk at home,

812
00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:18,680
Speaker 2: taking out pen and a piece of loose leaf paper, Like,

813
00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:22,759
Speaker 2: dear tournament director, I would really love to get a

814
00:37:22,880 --> 00:37:25,959
Speaker 2: chance to play in your tournament this year. It would

815
00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:28,640
Speaker 2: be a really fun experience. I mean, can you just

816
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:31,600
Speaker 2: imagine like these guys, like the letter writing campaign. I mean,

817
00:37:31,600 --> 00:37:33,000
Speaker 2: that's what you have to do. If you're you know,

818
00:37:33,120 --> 00:37:36,239
Speaker 2: you want a sponsor attemption into a regular PGA Tour event.

819
00:37:36,320 --> 00:37:39,480
Speaker 2: You're some journeyman, you're a young player, you basically have

820
00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:41,040
Speaker 2: to write a letter. You have to write a letter

821
00:37:41,040 --> 00:37:44,920
Speaker 2: of the tournament director and whoever else the sponsor around

822
00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:46,920
Speaker 2: the tournament and try to get them on your side.

823
00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:50,320
Speaker 2: Can you imagine guys like brooks Kepka and Tommy Fleewood

824
00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:53,560
Speaker 2: and Jordan Speith writing letters to get an exemption into

825
00:37:53,600 --> 00:37:54,760
Speaker 2: a golf tournament this week?

826
00:37:55,040 --> 00:37:58,880
Speaker 3: Crazy crazy times we're living in and happy they're all in.

827
00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:01,080
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be awesome Shadow Creek. If you

828
00:38:01,120 --> 00:38:02,640
Speaker 3: ever have an experience, I ever have the chance in

829
00:38:02,719 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 3: Las Vegas to go out and play it. It is

830
00:38:04,680 --> 00:38:08,040
Speaker 3: an ultimate treat and it's gonna be fun to just

831
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:09,920
Speaker 3: see that the course on display this weekend.

832
00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:12,560
Speaker 2: You guys all heard that next time you're in Vegas,

833
00:38:12,719 --> 00:38:14,840
Speaker 2: just head over to Shadow, drop jennings name and they

834
00:38:14,840 --> 00:38:16,480
Speaker 2: will get you right out to the first team, no

835
00:38:16,640 --> 00:38:17,759
Speaker 2: questions asked.

836
00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:19,680
Speaker 4: Or right out of the parking lot and say see it.

837
00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:23,799
Speaker 2: This has been fun, buddy. Any final thoughts before we

838
00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:24,480
Speaker 2: get going.

839
00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:27,040
Speaker 3: Say leave money on the table in DFS PAV to

840
00:38:27,040 --> 00:38:31,319
Speaker 3: p Contrarian and yeah, hopefully Keegan Bradley. He's the guy

841
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:33,520
Speaker 3: I'm really looking at right now, So hopefully Keegan with

842
00:38:33,560 --> 00:38:34,520
Speaker 3: a strong finish.

843
00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:36,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm looking at a lot of these mid tier

844
00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:42,080
Speaker 2: guys Nieman answer, m Berger, Sea Wu guys of that ILK,

845
00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:45,640
Speaker 2: along with the Xander Schoffley pick that I mentioned as well,

846
00:38:45,719 --> 00:38:48,719
Speaker 2: So it should be a great week for Peter Jennings.

847
00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:52,040
Speaker 2: I'm Jason Sobell. Thanks so much for listening to the

848
00:38:52,080 --> 00:38:55,799
Speaker 2: Action Network podcast presented by Bett MGM, who's open all

849
00:38:55,840 --> 00:39:09,800
Speaker 2: your bets hit the Green this week. We're finished talking