1 00:00:01,200 --> 00:00:06,880 Speaker 1: The volume. It's the best gambling show ever presented by 2 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:10,000 Speaker 1: Fan Duel. Football season is here and there's no better 3 00:00:10,080 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: place to get in on the action than fan Tool. 4 00:00:13,160 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: The app is safe, secure, easy to use. FanDuel always 5 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:20,439 Speaker 1: has exclusive offers. When you win, you'll get paid fast. 6 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:24,000 Speaker 1: Dandul was also a ton of ways to play. Got 7 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 1: to spread the money line, the over unders, team totals, 8 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 1: player props, and so much more. Jump into the action 9 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 1: at any time during the game. With live betting, you 10 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:35,400 Speaker 1: can combine multiple bets from the same game in the 11 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:39,920 Speaker 1: same game parlay, and even try out same game parlay plus. 12 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 1: So use promo code Monaco and download the fan Duel 13 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 1: app today to make every moment more this football season. 14 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:52,280 Speaker 1: Disclaimer twenty one plus in select states called one Gambler 15 00:00:52,320 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 1: or visit FanDuel dot com, forward slash RG Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, 16 00:00:56,760 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Virginia one next step or text 17 00:01:01,640 --> 00:01:05,680 Speaker 1: next step to five three three four to Arizona seven 18 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 1: eight nine seven seven seven seven, or visit c CpG 19 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:12,399 Speaker 1: dot org for its last chat Connecticut one nine with 20 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:16,640 Speaker 1: it Indiana. Visit k S Gambling Help dot com Kansas 21 00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:21,040 Speaker 1: one eight seven seven seven seven Oh Stop Louisiana one 22 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:23,640 Speaker 1: eight seven seven eight Hope, New York or texts Hope, 23 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 1: New York four six seven three six nine Tennessee red 24 00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 1: Line one eight eight nine nine seven eight nine one 25 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 1: eight hundred five to two four seven O O Yoming 26 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 1: or visit www dot one gambler dot net, West Virginia. Yeah, 27 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:12,800 Speaker 1: welcome me to another episode of sports Gambling with money 28 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 1: Line Monica. I'm your host, Alex Monica. Happy NFL Week four, 29 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:24,040 Speaker 1: Let's cook. We are looking to stay above five on 30 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 1: the pod through three weeks. We are cash and tickets 31 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 1: this week another fascinating slate. I got a dog, I 32 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:35,360 Speaker 1: got a couple of humble favorites. I'm thinking about giving 33 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 1: you a little hail Merry Dog, parlay Little Dog day 34 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 1: at the end. Because we've seen so many trap beds 35 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 1: already through three weeks, I'll let you know what the 36 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: numbers are. I'm firing on what to take if you 37 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:53,880 Speaker 1: like what I'm laying down, and of course will always 38 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:56,760 Speaker 1: break down where the money is in Vegas. Vegas inside 39 00:02:56,800 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: a great source among others. Don't forget to subscribe, rate review. 40 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,960 Speaker 1: I'm on all social media at money Line Monico on Twitter, 41 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:07,080 Speaker 1: Alex Monico, and we get into it here all picks 42 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:12,120 Speaker 1: posted on Action Network. What's here? Well you go. We're 43 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:15,840 Speaker 1: starting out with the Marquis, a f C matchup. This 44 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 1: is send sational. Here we go. Bills on the road, 45 00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 1: awful loss against the Ravens, awful win. And the line 46 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:33,680 Speaker 1: on FanDuel is minus three for the Bills, and I 47 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:37,480 Speaker 1: am jumping on it like I haven't backed the Ravens 48 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:39,720 Speaker 1: for three weeks in a row. If you've been rocking 49 00:03:39,720 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 1: with me since Week one, took the Ravens over the Jets, 50 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 1: took the Ravens Week two, sick about it over the Fins. 51 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 1: I joined the Fins on a betting bandwagon. We cash 52 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: last week on the Show Over the Bills took the 53 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: Ravens again on the Show Over. The Patriots loved it, 54 00:03:56,560 --> 00:04:00,040 Speaker 1: Sharps loved New England. I did not. I off and 55 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: look where the money is sharp versus square, sharp versus 56 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 1: your average public lad. I gotta be honest this week, 57 00:04:11,360 --> 00:04:15,839 Speaker 1: I simply cannot justify taking the Baltimore Ravens at home. 58 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:18,640 Speaker 1: And it starts out with one betting trend that I 59 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:22,600 Speaker 1: love and it cash, I believe over six last year. 60 00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:26,040 Speaker 1: You take a team blindly, and we're getting the best 61 00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:29,240 Speaker 1: NFL team in the league right now, as far as 62 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:33,600 Speaker 1: I'm concerned. When healthy a team off a loss not covering, 63 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:38,880 Speaker 1: verse a team the week prior covering going against one another, 64 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 1: you take the team that didn't cover. You're cashing more 65 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:44,279 Speaker 1: times than you didn't. On top of that, the Bills 66 00:04:44,279 --> 00:04:47,480 Speaker 1: are six one and one against the spread in their 67 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:52,400 Speaker 1: last eight games. Following a straight up lost six one 68 00:04:52,560 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 1: and one. You may be wondering, what are the Baltimore 69 00:04:56,600 --> 00:05:01,839 Speaker 1: Ravens after a cover two and nine against the spread 70 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:06,840 Speaker 1: in their last eleven games two and nine Verse six 71 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:10,760 Speaker 1: one and one. And we get in to our talking points, 72 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:14,160 Speaker 1: and it starts out with this Buffalo defense giving up 73 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:20,280 Speaker 1: the least amount of yards on defense in the league 74 00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:24,680 Speaker 1: with two and fourteen going against a Ravens defense who 75 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 1: gives up the most at four fifty eight. Ironic that 76 00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:34,120 Speaker 1: the Bills hung almost five hundred yards of offense on 77 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 1: Miami down in South Florida. This is a top two 78 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:41,800 Speaker 1: past defense in Buffalo at one fifty six a game. 79 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:46,160 Speaker 1: Imagine giving up only a hundred and fifty six yards 80 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:51,680 Speaker 1: of passing offense. Don't y'all can do that in two drives. 81 00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:56,400 Speaker 1: Two drives, Ravens give up the most passing yards through 82 00:05:56,480 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 1: three weeks. Three fifty three. Bills are a top two 83 00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 1: runde giving up fifty seven on the ground. Where is 84 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 1: Baltimore gonna go if they cannot take deep shots? Did 85 00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 1: you see Waddle and Tyreek Hill balling all over the field? No, 86 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:16,120 Speaker 1: you barely saw on the field because they got a victory. 87 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:19,599 Speaker 1: If you're with me on the Wednesday Pod, Miami did 88 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:23,360 Speaker 1: that hasn't happened in forty years. As far as under 89 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:26,200 Speaker 1: twenty minutes of possession, they barely ran twenty five plays 90 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:32,120 Speaker 1: of offense. Now you could argue, Josh Allen, this offense 91 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 1: comes in a little fatigued. But let me remind you 92 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:37,919 Speaker 1: that what happens in South Florida, which was part of 93 00:06:37,920 --> 00:06:39,760 Speaker 1: my thinking last week when we got the points in 94 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 1: the divisional doog at home plus the added home field 95 00:06:43,680 --> 00:06:46,920 Speaker 1: advantage of Miami covering six of the last seven, you 96 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: had the factor that and they look gas. You had 97 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 1: multiple Bills players in and out for cramps. It is 98 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:55,240 Speaker 1: a real not only adult Disney Land off the field, 99 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:59,120 Speaker 1: but on the field, heat, humidity, I work with my 100 00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:03,960 Speaker 1: guy Eric Coleman, shout New York Jets e C. He 101 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:06,680 Speaker 1: tells me it's even more narrowly to play down there 102 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:09,640 Speaker 1: in December than September. He played him once a year. 103 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: I mean down there once a year. Unbelievable. So I 104 00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:16,120 Speaker 1: look at this game in a couple of ways. The 105 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 1: trends they're lean us. The Buffalo offense, who, by the way, 106 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:27,840 Speaker 1: Josh Allen came in career high with completions forty two 107 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 1: last week against a very stingy Miami defense. But ben 108 00:07:31,480 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 1: but don't break, I should say defense. He completed his 109 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:42,480 Speaker 1: first eleven balls of the day. This Ravens d last 110 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 1: weekend gave up twenty six points to Mac Jones and 111 00:07:46,680 --> 00:07:50,240 Speaker 1: the Patriots offense, who looked at next in week one 112 00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 1: in next previously averaging twelve points per game. I do 113 00:07:56,760 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 1: not feel confident in Lamar at home without proving you 114 00:08:02,960 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 1: us with J. K. Dobbins still on the mend, that 115 00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 1: they have a real run game. Now Lamar has been 116 00:08:08,840 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 1: stretching the field and throwing deep balls. What does Buffalo 117 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:14,240 Speaker 1: do very well on offensive? They don't do on defense. 118 00:08:14,320 --> 00:08:20,280 Speaker 1: They give up very little big plays and they stretched 119 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 1: the field on offense. If you go position by position 120 00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:30,000 Speaker 1: right now and what kind of form these two teams 121 00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 1: are in right now, you have to lean and Colin 122 00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:35,600 Speaker 1: does this. It's a great theory. Take the best players 123 00:08:35,640 --> 00:08:38,760 Speaker 1: on the field, the top five or the top ten. 124 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:43,440 Speaker 1: If it's football. You cannot argue that the Bills have 125 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:48,320 Speaker 1: six or seven of the better players on the field. 126 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 1: Can Lamar Jackson beat the Bills by himself? I simply 127 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:55,720 Speaker 1: don't think so. The Bills off a loss, you're talking 128 00:08:55,720 --> 00:08:58,760 Speaker 1: to a guy listening to a man that has faded 129 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 1: the Bills for three weeks. I'm one and two a 130 00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:05,760 Speaker 1: t S fading Buffalo. I couldn't be higher. We know 131 00:09:05,880 --> 00:09:09,160 Speaker 1: the stat Colin talked about it this week, the Bills 132 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:12,720 Speaker 1: in one possession games oh and seven against the spread. 133 00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:16,000 Speaker 1: When they beat you, they run you out of the building. 134 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 1: I'm not backing a Baltimore team that gave up a 135 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:24,400 Speaker 1: historic number in a fourth quarter against the Dolphins up 136 00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:28,520 Speaker 1: one and let Matt Jones throw all over him. Lamar 137 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:30,520 Speaker 1: had to continue to make plays. There were a lot 138 00:09:30,520 --> 00:09:34,440 Speaker 1: of sharps on the under in that game. We have 139 00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:41,440 Speaker 1: Josh Allen awful loss, angry snickers, hankry and you have 140 00:09:41,520 --> 00:09:45,920 Speaker 1: Baltimore awful win. I think Baltimore is lucky right now 141 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:49,240 Speaker 1: to be honest, that they got away with a New 142 00:09:49,240 --> 00:09:53,719 Speaker 1: England win because a couple of flukey plays in that 143 00:09:53,760 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 1: one and it goes the other way. The tickets in 144 00:09:58,360 --> 00:10:01,080 Speaker 1: the public, as we said, way to pick number two 145 00:10:02,080 --> 00:10:04,720 Speaker 1: if you're curious right now. As far as against the 146 00:10:04,760 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 1: spread with minus three fifty two per cent of the bets, 147 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:17,280 Speaker 1: that's the slips are on the ravens of the money, 148 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:24,280 Speaker 1: that is some big discrepancy. That tells me Sharps already 149 00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 1: made a purchase at ravens plus three and a half. 150 00:10:27,600 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 1: It does eight four per cent of the money compared 151 00:10:30,200 --> 00:10:35,280 Speaker 1: to just fIF split. As far as tickets, public is 152 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:39,160 Speaker 1: split on this. Sharps are on the ravens. Your boys 153 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:44,520 Speaker 1: on the bills, Mafiahi, how you doing pick number two? 154 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:50,520 Speaker 1: Dog dancing in Philly? This number is way too big 155 00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:53,360 Speaker 1: and I cannot wait to take it. And I've backed 156 00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:56,080 Speaker 1: Jacksonville as a dog. I thought it was a hustle 157 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:59,080 Speaker 1: on a trap play by Vegas moving the lining against 158 00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:03,040 Speaker 1: the Chargers. Jack and Bill goes in and routs Herbie 159 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 1: Hancock routes the l A Chargers former San Diego and 160 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:12,560 Speaker 1: I'm staring at it right now. Why are we getting 161 00:11:12,640 --> 00:11:17,199 Speaker 1: six and a half points. We're getting six and a 162 00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:22,679 Speaker 1: half points for the Jacksonville Jaguars. And I can't wait 163 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:25,360 Speaker 1: to get into my rationale here because if you listen 164 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:29,520 Speaker 1: to the best gamily show ever would live, I am 165 00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:34,160 Speaker 1: simply saying we are crowning the Eagles way too early. 166 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:40,520 Speaker 1: We're crowning them way too early. They've beaten the Commanders, 167 00:11:41,080 --> 00:11:47,120 Speaker 1: the Lions, and Kirk non prime time cousins whooped Dee 168 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:55,840 Speaker 1: du Basil whooped the two. Here's a scary thought. If 169 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:59,440 Speaker 1: you want to sit there and say that the Eagles 170 00:11:59,440 --> 00:12:01,720 Speaker 1: are the greatest, thinks and slice spread. I'm not sitting 171 00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 1: here saying the Eagles aren't good. I'm not saying they're 172 00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:06,600 Speaker 1: not a double digit win team, a playoff team at 173 00:12:06,640 --> 00:12:12,040 Speaker 1: that go back and look against the Lions. The Eagles 174 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:15,800 Speaker 1: allowed fourteen points in the fourth quarter, a backdoor cover 175 00:12:15,880 --> 00:12:23,040 Speaker 1: to happen, and outside of a very prominent point quarter 176 00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:27,439 Speaker 1: in that second quarter against the Lions, fourteen points in 177 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:31,560 Speaker 1: the third goose egg, and two of those quarters didn't score, 178 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:37,640 Speaker 1: didn't score. Now we're talking Monday night against Kirk Cousins 179 00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:42,679 Speaker 1: didn't score in the second half last week against the Commanders. 180 00:12:42,720 --> 00:12:45,880 Speaker 1: Do we know this because I'm watching the games? Didn't 181 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:51,720 Speaker 1: score in the second half either. We have to two 182 00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:56,920 Speaker 1: out of three games and five out of six quarters 183 00:12:56,960 --> 00:13:00,840 Speaker 1: in the second half, where the Philadelphia Eagles haven't scored 184 00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:05,480 Speaker 1: a point, and we are getting a Jacksonville defense that 185 00:13:05,640 --> 00:13:08,040 Speaker 1: is top four in points per game right now giving 186 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:12,040 Speaker 1: up a humble twelve point seven. Oh yeah, held, yes, 187 00:13:12,120 --> 00:13:15,319 Speaker 1: they hurt Justin Herbert and I banged up Keenan Allen 188 00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:20,199 Speaker 1: not playing, but a Charger's offense otherwise top ten to 189 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:26,360 Speaker 1: ten points. They're the number one runde in the NFL, 190 00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:30,440 Speaker 1: right giving up fifty five yards on the ground Number one. 191 00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:34,440 Speaker 1: They are number one in turnovers, had three turnovers week one, 192 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:39,320 Speaker 1: three turnovers week to six interceptions, their top twelve in sacks. 193 00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:44,600 Speaker 1: Let's go the offensive side. Trevor Lawrence six tugs, one pick, 194 00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:50,160 Speaker 1: leading a top six in yards and top seven in 195 00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:55,080 Speaker 1: points per game offense that is incredibly well balanced. Kirk 196 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:58,040 Speaker 1: scored three times. Ingram looks better than he did in 197 00:13:58,040 --> 00:14:02,200 Speaker 1: New York after three games. James Robinson has Hitten paid 198 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:07,840 Speaker 1: her three times. Lawrence is spreading the rock. This is 199 00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 1: only the third time in team history the Jaguars have 200 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:13,040 Speaker 1: put up eighty four points or more through three games. 201 00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 1: The previous two times they were a playoff club. The 202 00:14:18,280 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 1: market hasn't caught up to the Jacksonville Jaguars yet we're 203 00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:26,360 Speaker 1: getting six and a half. Both these teams are top 204 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:31,080 Speaker 1: five in total first towns. Now, the Eagles held their 205 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:35,120 Speaker 1: last two opponents to under ten points. Excellent defense, phenomenal 206 00:14:35,560 --> 00:14:40,800 Speaker 1: defensive ackfield, incredible front seven. But the last time Philly 207 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 1: helped three teams to under ten was nineteen eighty. So 208 00:14:46,320 --> 00:14:49,320 Speaker 1: two elements a trend that's going to be broken with 209 00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 1: a top defense, top four defense here Jacksonville and a 210 00:14:55,040 --> 00:15:02,400 Speaker 1: top six offense. Is Jalen her Hurts going to throw 211 00:15:02,520 --> 00:15:05,920 Speaker 1: all over this Jacksonville defense? And let's let's look at 212 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 1: it two ways. Let's call it an offense about six 213 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 1: and a half too big for me. Let's call it 214 00:15:12,400 --> 00:15:15,400 Speaker 1: a defensive chess match. Six and a half is too 215 00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 1: big for him. We're taking a number here. I am 216 00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:26,400 Speaker 1: sitting on a Cowboys plus six fifty to win the 217 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:30,680 Speaker 1: NFC East ticket. I'm off the Philly bandwagon. As far 218 00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:34,280 Speaker 1: as crowning him through three weeks. What does Bill Belichick 219 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:39,960 Speaker 1: famously said, We'll see after the real season, which is 220 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:44,960 Speaker 1: after Thanksgiving Phillia belly to a first trimester Dad bod, 221 00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 1: and then make your assessment on the Philadelphia equals. Taylor 222 00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:52,560 Speaker 1: Hurts is your NFL m v poo Who wants that action? 223 00:15:52,800 --> 00:15:57,440 Speaker 1: Who wants to take money with me? On Jalen Hurts 224 00:15:57,440 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 1: to win m v P It ain't happen If I'm wrong, 225 00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 1: I'm wrong. Jacksonville Jaguars shock the world. Let's stay in 226 00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:10,640 Speaker 1: the NFC East and segue to a bet that I 227 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 1: love and I didn't believe in this team Monday Night. 228 00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:20,360 Speaker 1: Couldn't do it. Couldn't have been more wrong. But I 229 00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:23,640 Speaker 1: am loving what I'm seeing because I'm actually on a 230 00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:28,560 Speaker 1: plus six fifty Dallas Cowboys to win the NFC East 231 00:16:28,560 --> 00:16:32,240 Speaker 1: ticket and it is already appreciated on Fando. I could 232 00:16:32,280 --> 00:16:34,840 Speaker 1: cash out for a profit right now. Dallas is minus 233 00:16:34,920 --> 00:16:37,920 Speaker 1: three hosting the Washington Commanders mis six four on the 234 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 1: money line. Washington just doesn't play Dallas well three and 235 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:44,560 Speaker 1: nine in their last twelve How is this seven to 236 00:16:44,640 --> 00:16:48,120 Speaker 1: know against the spread and their last seven games within 237 00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 1: the division. If there's one thing we know about this club. 238 00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:56,520 Speaker 1: They play in Division very very well. And I look 239 00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:59,720 Speaker 1: at Washington and this to me, this game it's about 240 00:16:59,760 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: bull defenses. Washington has given up twenty two to Jacksonville, 241 00:17:03,280 --> 00:17:05,840 Speaker 1: thirty six to the Lions for goodness sake and of loss, 242 00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 1: and twenty four of the Eagles. Their best half of 243 00:17:09,040 --> 00:17:11,520 Speaker 1: defensive football was the second half against the Eagles. But 244 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:15,439 Speaker 1: I got a weird, weird thing on Philly with what 245 00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:18,280 Speaker 1: they're doing in the second half. You just heard it. Dallas. 246 00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:26,040 Speaker 1: They come in. They've given up seventeen points through three weeks. 247 00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:31,200 Speaker 1: They held Tom Brady to eighteen two, twelve and a pick. 248 00:17:31,240 --> 00:17:36,320 Speaker 1: They held Burrow to one and only one touchdown. Riddally 249 00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:40,159 Speaker 1: yourself this. No one's even scored twice on the Cowboys 250 00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:44,920 Speaker 1: in a quarter. In a quarter except for the Giants 251 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:47,800 Speaker 1: Monday night. They hung a ten piece on them in 252 00:17:47,840 --> 00:17:54,720 Speaker 1: the third. So not Brady, not Burrow, but Danny Nichols 253 00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:57,879 Speaker 1: get you ten points against this Cowboys d as the 254 00:17:58,040 --> 00:18:02,080 Speaker 1: best costco sample of what any team offensively has done 255 00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:04,960 Speaker 1: against this Dallas d We get home field advantage here. 256 00:18:06,080 --> 00:18:08,280 Speaker 1: The Cowboys are six in NFL d v O A 257 00:18:08,280 --> 00:18:16,120 Speaker 1: against the past they've consistently consistently bothered. The quarterback Carson 258 00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:23,440 Speaker 1: Wentz that was just sacked nine times against the Eagles. 259 00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:29,320 Speaker 1: Cooper Rush is no interseption. We got a game manager 260 00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:32,400 Speaker 1: with an excellent defense and a serviceable run game. Pollards 261 00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 1: better than Zeke. Figure it out, McCarthy, and we have 262 00:18:36,600 --> 00:18:39,399 Speaker 1: a Dallas d I mean Michael Parson's was sick. The 263 00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:44,320 Speaker 1: Marcus Lawrence had three sacks alone Monday night. Short week. Yes, 264 00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:49,320 Speaker 1: but we have everything on our side here. We have 265 00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:53,280 Speaker 1: the better defense, home field advantage, the better run game, 266 00:18:53,840 --> 00:18:57,160 Speaker 1: the better coaching staff not by a ton, but by 267 00:18:57,200 --> 00:19:00,320 Speaker 1: a little, the more stable organization, not by a lot, 268 00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:04,399 Speaker 1: by a little, and a team that in the last 269 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:06,840 Speaker 1: two weeks in this style of play, as far as 270 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:11,160 Speaker 1: I'm concerned, has proven that they can win football games 271 00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:17,840 Speaker 1: in different ways. You could even make the case that 272 00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:24,399 Speaker 1: Dallas is best version of themselves has come out after 273 00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:32,320 Speaker 1: the Dock injury. They look very poised, They look in 274 00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:37,120 Speaker 1: control of the game. They don't look panicked, and that's 275 00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:42,359 Speaker 1: where I also see value in this game. Washington, they 276 00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:47,640 Speaker 1: were an unstable organization and unfit for stability. They don't 277 00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:50,600 Speaker 1: have any stability in any of these three games. All 278 00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 1: these games were crazy that they were in. I remember 279 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:58,800 Speaker 1: they beat Jacksonville. You could have got Jacksonville or the 280 00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:02,439 Speaker 1: Commanders in double digits at one point in that game. 281 00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:09,440 Speaker 1: They I don't believe fully know who they are yet 282 00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:12,320 Speaker 1: identity wise. In Washington, they're just kind of banking on 283 00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:16,119 Speaker 1: Carson Wentz to make place flashes of early Carson Wentz. 284 00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,200 Speaker 1: But when you put that in a Ruckets environment against 285 00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:24,000 Speaker 1: a top Dallas, if they're not top five, they are 286 00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:28,040 Speaker 1: un phisically top ten. And that's why I like a 287 00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:30,359 Speaker 1: minus three And we wrap up with a pick that 288 00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:34,680 Speaker 1: I hate. I hate it, I hate it, I hate 289 00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:39,800 Speaker 1: and the public is with me on I gotta take 290 00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:42,920 Speaker 1: the Las Vegas Raiders that minus two and a half 291 00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 1: against the Denver Brown cust. I have to do it. 292 00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:48,840 Speaker 1: I have to do it. I'm sorry the Raiders of 293 00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 1: one four straight. In this matchup, we're watching just the 294 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:55,680 Speaker 1: second time ever a team come off in a leven 295 00:20:55,880 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 1: ten yacht outing on prime time that looked like and 296 00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:07,600 Speaker 1: a l Central Baseball score. I'm concerned with the Broncos 297 00:21:07,640 --> 00:21:12,159 Speaker 1: offense forty three points this season. The last time the 298 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:18,400 Speaker 1: Broncos had fewer than fifty points and two wins. Was 299 00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:23,439 Speaker 1: was pretty much when my space was still cooking. Dating 300 00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:28,760 Speaker 1: back to last season, Week ten on Russell Wilson has 301 00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:34,399 Speaker 1: four games with no touchdowns. Four games with no touchdowns 302 00:21:34,560 --> 00:21:41,080 Speaker 1: only had four in the previous sixty eight, so one 303 00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:45,480 Speaker 1: out of every three in the last dozen games russ blanks. 304 00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:50,880 Speaker 1: Yet at the beer pong table, this Raiders team hasn't 305 00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:54,440 Speaker 1: figured it out. Yes, as dysfunctional as they are, it's 306 00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:57,719 Speaker 1: on week their third oh and three start since oh 307 00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:00,480 Speaker 1: seven for the Raiders in my millen the old life, 308 00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:04,040 Speaker 1: that ain't that bad. They're just also if you want 309 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:09,520 Speaker 1: any confidence, just the second team this century to begin 310 00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 1: a season with three losses by six points or fewer. 311 00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:15,800 Speaker 1: I mean this team lost to the Chargers by five. 312 00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:18,800 Speaker 1: Never should have lost Arizona twenty nothing that happened lost, 313 00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:22,280 Speaker 1: and then they lost a Tennessee by two. The only 314 00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:26,359 Speaker 1: team that has four losses by six or less n 315 00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:33,160 Speaker 1: fifty two. You have to go back to fifty two. 316 00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:39,760 Speaker 1: If there's a bright spot here. The Raiders at halftime, 317 00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:46,240 Speaker 1: on halftime on minus what happened in Arizona have looked 318 00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:49,880 Speaker 1: very very good. In two of the three games they 319 00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:53,280 Speaker 1: out gained the Chargers in the second half, and the 320 00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 1: Titans only gave up seven points to the Chargers Week 321 00:22:57,119 --> 00:23:01,399 Speaker 1: one in the second half blinked, blinks the Titans in 322 00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:04,239 Speaker 1: the second half. If there is such a thing as 323 00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:08,480 Speaker 1: momentum off of a loss, it is that Tennessee second 324 00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:11,720 Speaker 1: half where it was all Raiders, where they had a 325 00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 1: little bit of dog and they had a lot of fight. 326 00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:18,879 Speaker 1: And as far as where they've been at in two 327 00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:22,480 Speaker 1: of these three games at half, they've been in rough spots. 328 00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:24,280 Speaker 1: They've been trailing, they've been having to come back and 329 00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:30,240 Speaker 1: play shotgun NFL blitz two thousand offense, dub bomb. The 330 00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:34,000 Speaker 1: Broncos haven't had a lead at half time yet. Two 331 00:23:34,280 --> 00:23:40,960 Speaker 1: l's at half, one time, one time. What do we 332 00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:44,239 Speaker 1: feel good about the Raiders with Well, Adams has got 333 00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:51,440 Speaker 1: a touchdown three straight. Car is still putting up I 334 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:53,159 Speaker 1: mean he's turning the ball over, but he's putting up 335 00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:56,240 Speaker 1: serviceable numbers. I got twenty one points a game. The 336 00:23:56,280 --> 00:24:00,480 Speaker 1: Broncos are thirty one in the league in offense. So 337 00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:03,960 Speaker 1: it's a top two defense and a bottom to offense. 338 00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:09,159 Speaker 1: Verse a mediocre offense and a pretty bad defense. But 339 00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:15,520 Speaker 1: the angle here, it's a divisional game at home, and 340 00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:19,480 Speaker 1: it's a must win. They're already had and I'm already right. 341 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:22,520 Speaker 1: I already said Josh McDaniels is not a leader of men. 342 00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:25,919 Speaker 1: I've been saying it for three weeks. I was on 343 00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:30,080 Speaker 1: the charters week one. I've been saying it since he 344 00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:34,399 Speaker 1: was hired. He is not a leader of men. But 345 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:40,960 Speaker 1: in this instance, the Broncos, they're not going to figure 346 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:44,960 Speaker 1: it out in a week. And if it becomes a shootout, 347 00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:47,560 Speaker 1: which it could, how do you not take the Raiders. 348 00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:53,240 Speaker 1: They have the absolutely better offense right now. And if 349 00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:57,320 Speaker 1: it becomes about moving the ball, which let's be honest, 350 00:24:57,359 --> 00:24:59,919 Speaker 1: the Broncos haven't had to go against any one offense 351 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:04,440 Speaker 1: of Lee yet at all. That is a true offense. 352 00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:10,520 Speaker 1: They've gone against the Seahawks, the Texans, the Seahawks, the Texans, 353 00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:13,560 Speaker 1: and then it in nept As you saw Jimmy G's 354 00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:18,119 Speaker 1: lip sync nine years offense and their play called I 355 00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:20,040 Speaker 1: Really like the Raiders in the spot could be the 356 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:24,040 Speaker 1: Joe side, I know him on the public side here, 357 00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:28,880 Speaker 1: I cannot The Raiders are too talented to go down. 358 00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:32,080 Speaker 1: Oh on four, So we wrap up the show. I 359 00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:34,159 Speaker 1: got the Bills minus three. I got the Jags with 360 00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:38,040 Speaker 1: the point six and a half. I have with confidence 361 00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:41,159 Speaker 1: the Cowboys minus three, and I have with confidence the 362 00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 1: Raiders minus two and a half. We take two home 363 00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:47,440 Speaker 1: divisional winners a field goal under. We have the best 364 00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 1: team in football on the road, and we have an 365 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:55,520 Speaker 1: underrated hasn't caught up to the market yet. Jaguars team first. 366 00:25:55,520 --> 00:26:00,640 Speaker 1: A hot take city, everyone crowning Jalen Hurt. They're good. 367 00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:05,560 Speaker 1: They're very good. Come seeing me when it's cold now, 368 00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:11,280 Speaker 1: my guys, thank you for tuning into sports gambling with 369 00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:13,640 Speaker 1: the money Linemlico, we're holding off on a parlay. I'll 370 00:26:13,680 --> 00:26:15,879 Speaker 1: tease it with go to my Action network. I'll go 371 00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:19,480 Speaker 1: with a dog day parlay. I did flirt with throwing 372 00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,520 Speaker 1: the Titans in with the points if it gets a 373 00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:24,520 Speaker 1: three and a half on the road against the Colts. 374 00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:27,439 Speaker 1: If you're you're curious about another dog that I like, 375 00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:32,879 Speaker 1: I do like them. I really wanted to take the 376 00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:39,480 Speaker 1: Bucks this week. Prayers to Florida and everyone in the 377 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:42,440 Speaker 1: Tampa area and around the surrounding area. There's a hurricane, 378 00:26:43,280 --> 00:26:45,879 Speaker 1: so this game may be played in Minnesota. We're seeing 379 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,000 Speaker 1: live movement. I can't give you a pick on that 380 00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:50,040 Speaker 1: we don't even know where the game is gonna be played, 381 00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:54,359 Speaker 1: so I'm off the box, but I do think the 382 00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:56,760 Speaker 1: Titans three and a half decent play cults are terrible 383 00:26:56,840 --> 00:26:59,520 Speaker 1: right now? Is Matt Ryan a top five worst quarterback 384 00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:03,199 Speaker 1: in the league. We're out of here. Those are my picks. 385 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:06,159 Speaker 1: Thank you for tuning in as always, don't forget to 386 00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:09,600 Speaker 1: hug your mother's real smooth. And we get out here 387 00:27:09,600 --> 00:27:16,240 Speaker 1: with this NFL one thousand dollar no sweat first bet. 388 00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:18,600 Speaker 1: Here we go. Football seasons underway. So now is the 389 00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:21,640 Speaker 1: perfect time of download FanDuel America's number one sports book 390 00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:24,400 Speaker 1: because right now new customers getting no sweat first bet 391 00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:27,680 Speaker 1: up to one thousand dollars. That's free bets back. If 392 00:27:27,760 --> 00:27:31,479 Speaker 1: your first bet doesn't work, just sign up with promo 393 00:27:31,560 --> 00:27:35,800 Speaker 1: code Monaco so they know I sent you favorite bets 394 00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:38,359 Speaker 1: for the upcoming NFL games. Oh, if you listen to 395 00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:40,480 Speaker 1: the pot, you heard a baby give me the Bills 396 00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,120 Speaker 1: mafia and a bounce back on a t S after 397 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:46,560 Speaker 1: a loss. The Raymond defense isn't there? Best player props 398 00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:50,679 Speaker 1: to the weekend. I mean, my goodness, gracious, I feel 399 00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:57,879 Speaker 1: sensational about what Cooper Rush is doing with Ceedee Lamb 400 00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:00,560 Speaker 1: and Noah Brown. I think those two men, as long 401 00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:05,399 Speaker 1: as they're receiving yards and reception numbers are low and 402 00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:08,280 Speaker 1: the market hasn't caught up, I love a little Lamb 403 00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:11,680 Speaker 1: and I love a little Brown on some player props, 404 00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:16,400 Speaker 1: same game parlay, Josh Allen, any kind tug bills, Mafia 405 00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:21,720 Speaker 1: money line. I'll go Lamar over rushing yards. I love it, 406 00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 1: so sign up today because this promo co Monico is 407 00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:29,480 Speaker 1: perfect for your no sweat first bet, and this is 408 00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:31,640 Speaker 1: the best platform to bet on it. If Van Duel 409 00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:34,320 Speaker 1: has so many betting options, you can combine your bets 410 00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:35,760 Speaker 1: for a chance to win in a bigger payout. 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