1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,199 Speaker 1: Think your team will score more than one hundred points. 2 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:05,160 Speaker 1: How about your favorite point guard scoring more than four 3 00:00:05,480 --> 00:00:08,959 Speaker 1: three pointers. We've partnered with DraftKings to tell you all 4 00:00:09,000 --> 00:00:12,719 Speaker 1: about DraftKings Pick six, the newest way to play fantasy 5 00:00:12,720 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: basketball and win cash with DraftKings. Here's how it works. 6 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:19,239 Speaker 1: You could pick two to six players of the same 7 00:00:19,280 --> 00:00:22,799 Speaker 1: sport and choose if they'll have more or less of 8 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:26,880 Speaker 1: a certain stat such as points, rebounds, assists, and more. 9 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 1: Lock them in compete against opponents for a shot at 10 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: huge cash prizes. 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One per new customer bonus 20 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 1: awarded as non withdrawable Pick six credits that expire in 21 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:18,440 Speaker 1: thirty days, limited time offer terms at pick six dot 22 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:21,720 Speaker 1: draftings dot com slash promos. 23 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 2: The most valuable commodity I know of is information are 24 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:29,880 Speaker 2: five five dollars. 25 00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 3: This is a rat A lesson, hobo the trackleship one. 26 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:40,399 Speaker 1: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable. 27 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:44,480 Speaker 3: Humans need fantasy to be human? 28 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:53,360 Speaker 1: My goodness, mine prone bests, relentless, refusing to give up. 29 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:59,080 Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, very bless what's up, everybody? 30 00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:01,840 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Fantasy Podcast from the Action Network and 31 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 1: Fantasy webs I'm your host, Chris Raybond. This is your 32 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 1: NFL Week eleven Player Projections episode, and as always, I'm 33 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 1: joined by one of the most accurate player projectors and 34 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 1: fantasy rankers in the game, the odds maker, Sean Kerner. Sean, 35 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 1: what's going on? 36 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 2: I can't believe it's already Week eleven? Right? This season 37 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:24,360 Speaker 2: has been just absolutely flying but having a blast. How 38 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 2: about you? Oh? 39 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, it was good to It's good to see Mike 40 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:30,399 Speaker 1: Williams come back from the dead last week. That helped 41 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:31,799 Speaker 1: me come. You asked me what was that? 42 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, you asked me what was the the like the 43 00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:37,359 Speaker 2: most important trade and I couldn't come up with anything. 44 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 2: I said like what happened Jonathan Mingo and I was like, oh, yeah, 45 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 2: I guess Mike Williams going to the Steelers gives them 46 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:46,959 Speaker 2: like another vertical option. It's actually low key, like making 47 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:49,079 Speaker 2: this offense even more explosive going forward. 48 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:53,360 Speaker 1: I think, yeah, Russell Wilson playing well, but we will 49 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:56,480 Speaker 1: get into our top fives at each position. Guys were 50 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:59,800 Speaker 1: high and low on and throw out a prop as well. 51 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:03,600 Speaker 1: But a quick reminder before we get started and talk 52 00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:06,360 Speaker 1: all things NFL. Seawn and I have teamed up with 53 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:08,280 Speaker 1: Draft Kings and they've got a new way to play 54 00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:12,080 Speaker 1: fantasy basketball and win some serious cash prizes. It's called 55 00:03:12,160 --> 00:03:16,160 Speaker 1: Draft Kings. Pick six, Sean, you and I both love 56 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:20,080 Speaker 1: the association, so this is right up our Ali, and 57 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:22,120 Speaker 1: here's how it works. He picked two to six NBA 58 00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 1: players and choose if they'll have more or less than 59 00:03:26,120 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: of a stat stuff like points, assists, rebounds, threes. It's 60 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 1: peer to peers, so you lock in a lineup and 61 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:36,120 Speaker 1: co cuete against opponents for a shot at huge cash prizes. 62 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 1: One of my favorite strategies is to go for less 63 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:41,560 Speaker 1: thans on star players. 64 00:03:41,600 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 2: Sean, what about you. Yeah, no, I love that strategy 65 00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 2: and taking it a step further. Just players that are 66 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 2: maybe like on a heater where they've gone more than 67 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 2: their number and say like five of the last five games, 68 00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 2: because you might see that projection inflated a bit and 69 00:03:57,360 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 2: you know everyone's going to be on there more then, 70 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 2: so there might be value on the left end and 71 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:05,200 Speaker 2: you're going to have a unique you know pick because 72 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 2: not as many people are going to be on it. 73 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 2: So in this format it gives you even more leverage. 74 00:04:09,400 --> 00:04:12,800 Speaker 1: Love it, all right, So a reminder if you all 75 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 1: listening want to play too, all you have to do 76 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:18,560 Speaker 1: is download the DraftKings Pick six app and right now, 77 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 1: new customers can play five dollars on their first pick 78 00:04:21,360 --> 00:04:24,200 Speaker 1: set and get fifty dollars and pick six credits. You 79 00:04:24,320 --> 00:04:27,719 Speaker 1: just download the DraftKings Pick six app and use promo 80 00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 1: code flex six at sign up. That's fl ex and 81 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:34,600 Speaker 1: the number six at sign up. All right, let's get 82 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: into our NFL player projections four week eleven. Sean, who 83 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 1: do you have in the top five at quarterback for 84 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:43,040 Speaker 1: this week? 85 00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:49,719 Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, Josh Allen, brock Purty, and Jayden Daniels. 86 00:04:50,040 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 1: Yep, I got Lamar Hurts Party number three, Allen four, 87 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:57,680 Speaker 1: and Jade Daniels, so same same top five. I think 88 00:04:57,720 --> 00:05:00,360 Speaker 1: that's pretty queer demarcation there. 89 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:05,840 Speaker 2: Who you hire on Geno Smith at the Niners this week, 90 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 2: coming back from his buy, so I have him right 91 00:05:09,240 --> 00:05:11,800 Speaker 2: back in the mid range QB one mix coming off 92 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:15,960 Speaker 2: a massive three hundred and sixty three yard, three touchdowns, 93 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:20,760 Speaker 2: three pick game against the Rams in Week nine, and 94 00:05:20,920 --> 00:05:23,640 Speaker 2: again Leagues that Doc, you know, minus one point for 95 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 2: an interception really doesn't phase me when it comes to 96 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 2: Geno because those interceptions just lead him to, you know, 97 00:05:30,760 --> 00:05:33,239 Speaker 2: throwing more where he can make up for that end more, 98 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:37,120 Speaker 2: you know. So this is a game where it's probably 99 00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:39,400 Speaker 2: going to be a pass heavy game plan either way 100 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:44,160 Speaker 2: at San Francisco, and he might be getting dk Metcalf 101 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 2: back this week, which is huge Jackson Smith and Jigba 102 00:05:48,120 --> 00:05:50,680 Speaker 2: is in the middle of his breakout, I believe, So 103 00:05:50,800 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 2: that's just elevating Gino ceiling even more. And Geno's been 104 00:05:54,680 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 2: you know, tapping into his rushing upside a lot this year, 105 00:05:57,440 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 2: so I just think he's a very high floor high 106 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 2: player right now. Plus this is a great matchup, so 107 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:04,760 Speaker 2: he opens the week as my QB six. 108 00:06:05,240 --> 00:06:08,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like it, gdo. If they're gonna do one 109 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:11,120 Speaker 1: thing in Seattle, they're gonna throw the football. That's what 110 00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:13,160 Speaker 1: they've been doing all year long. Just one of the 111 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 1: highest pass rates over expectation in the league. I'm going 112 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:20,920 Speaker 1: with bow Knicks. He is inside my top ten. He's 113 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:23,960 Speaker 1: the ECRQB twelve this week. He's a QB nine on 114 00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:29,240 Speaker 1: the season and you know, ten touchdowns throwing four more 115 00:06:29,320 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 1: Russian he caught one. He's only got six interceptions, not 116 00:06:32,480 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 1: taking a ton of sacks either, so being able to 117 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:38,159 Speaker 1: limit the negative plays. Now he gets a matchup against 118 00:06:38,200 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons, and we've really seen bow Knicks have 119 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:45,440 Speaker 1: success unless it's been like a really tough matchup. So 120 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 1: I like bow Nicks to keep it going here. I 121 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 1: mentioned him in our waivers pot as well. He should 122 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 1: not be available in half the leagues, but yeah, he's 123 00:06:53,880 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 1: He's the top ten quarterback for me this week against Atlanta. 124 00:06:57,520 --> 00:06:59,720 Speaker 1: All right, who are you low on at QB for 125 00:06:59,800 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 1: week number eleven? 126 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:05,080 Speaker 2: I'm a low on CJ. Stroud looks like ECR I 127 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 2: think has him back in the top twelve. Which you 128 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:10,440 Speaker 2: know he might be. It sounds like he's getting Nico 129 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 2: back this week finally, so that's obviously great for Stroud's 130 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:17,520 Speaker 2: short term and long term value. But this is a 131 00:07:17,560 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 2: matchup against the Cowboys. They probably won't have to throw much. 132 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:23,760 Speaker 2: You know, the Texans probably going to get off to 133 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:25,720 Speaker 2: an early lead here and just lean on the run 134 00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:30,000 Speaker 2: game and lean on their defense, which, as you mentioned earlier, 135 00:07:30,160 --> 00:07:32,400 Speaker 2: is is no joke. This is a very good defense. 136 00:07:32,560 --> 00:07:35,240 Speaker 2: I can't see how Dallas is going to put up 137 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 2: too many points against them and really forced Stroud to 138 00:07:38,200 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 2: throw much. So he might have a very efficient game here, 139 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:43,960 Speaker 2: but again the volume just might not be here to 140 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 2: put him back into the QB mix this week, but 141 00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 2: you know, long term he'll be there again with Nico back, 142 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:52,800 Speaker 2: and you know Tank Dell's still there, so like his 143 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:55,680 Speaker 2: upside going forward, But again this week he's just outside 144 00:07:55,760 --> 00:07:59,320 Speaker 2: my QB one range and opens week as my QB fourteen. 145 00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:02,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, Stroud, it's been a struggle for him this year. 146 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:04,680 Speaker 1: I think the play calling is not helping, and just 147 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:07,840 Speaker 1: his defense is better. Guys have been hurt, so you 148 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:09,520 Speaker 1: don't really know what you're gonna get from from week 149 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:13,000 Speaker 1: to week. You know this year, So yeah, it's better 150 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:17,640 Speaker 1: to lower expectations. Unfortunately, I'm all with Kirk Cousins this 151 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 1: week at Denver. Tough matchup. Denver's number eight in pass 152 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 1: defense DVAA for allowing the eighth fewest fantasy points per 153 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:29,880 Speaker 1: game to quarterbacks, and Kirk Cousins. We know against Tampa 154 00:08:29,920 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 1: Bay he's gonna light it up eight touchdowns in the 155 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:35,320 Speaker 1: two games against Tampa Bay, but just nine touchdowns in 156 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 1: his other eight starts. So now he's going on the 157 00:08:38,600 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 1: road outdoors against a tough Denver defense. He's outside of 158 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:43,760 Speaker 1: my top twenty this week, even though he did throw 159 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:47,040 Speaker 1: four three hundred last week. No touchdowns though. 160 00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:50,679 Speaker 2: Did you see his rushing prop was back up at 161 00:08:51,200 --> 00:08:52,080 Speaker 2: one and a half. 162 00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:54,240 Speaker 1: Oh no, we need to. 163 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 2: Have an alert set up. We have a low product 164 00:08:57,440 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 2: team alert setup for both of us, Like, just let 165 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:05,160 Speaker 2: us know if books open or have or offer his 166 00:09:05,240 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 2: rushing prop anything above what a half. But someone alerted 167 00:09:09,920 --> 00:09:11,720 Speaker 2: me of that in the discord. I said, oh, that 168 00:09:11,840 --> 00:09:14,840 Speaker 2: is an auto play. So we hit that. It was 169 00:09:14,880 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 2: just like minus one twenty. They were just floating one 170 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 2: and a half. So the easiest bet you can make 171 00:09:19,880 --> 00:09:20,720 Speaker 2: right now in my opinion. 172 00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:25,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, no carries for no yards last week, and yeah 173 00:09:25,800 --> 00:09:30,600 Speaker 1: he's gotten over a half a yard once in ten. 174 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:33,559 Speaker 2: Stocks and he blew by it by fifteen yards. 175 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:39,319 Speaker 1: The scramble game. All right, quarterback prop where you going? 176 00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 1: Week eleven? 177 00:09:40,480 --> 00:09:45,640 Speaker 2: Okay, So Jared goff his passing yard projection against the Jaguars. 178 00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:49,520 Speaker 2: I think this is a very tricky one. I'm just 179 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:51,760 Speaker 2: gonna set my number and then we could talk about it. 180 00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:54,959 Speaker 2: But I'm going to go with two hundred and twenty 181 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:56,760 Speaker 2: five and a half passing yards. 182 00:09:57,120 --> 00:10:00,520 Speaker 1: I'll go over. I'll go over that. Still have him, 183 00:10:00,520 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 1: I still have him in the high two forties. Uh, 184 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:06,800 Speaker 1: it's matchup against Jacksonville. I mean it was it was 185 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:10,480 Speaker 1: really odd for the Vikings last week, but that was 186 00:10:10,880 --> 00:10:14,560 Speaker 1: in Jacksonville. You know, probably indoor team, probably not used 187 00:10:14,600 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 1: to playing in the humidity, and just it was just 188 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:21,439 Speaker 1: a slog of a game. But Detroit back at home golf, 189 00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:25,360 Speaker 1: coming off to five picks. U Jamison Williams's back. I 190 00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 1: know the porter's dealing with an injury, but he got 191 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:30,439 Speaker 1: Saint Brown. He got the big play guy in Williams. 192 00:10:30,480 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 1: So yeah, I think I think he ends up clearing it. 193 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:35,400 Speaker 1: But you're it's tough, because you're right, you could just 194 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:39,080 Speaker 1: not have to throw a ton in this matchup, especially 195 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 1: if mac Jones makes another start. But yeah, I still 196 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:44,440 Speaker 1: have them. I still have him to be highly efficient. 197 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:47,160 Speaker 1: Don't think this is another five pick weeks ago. 198 00:10:47,320 --> 00:10:52,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a really tricky projection. Obviously the most important 199 00:10:52,200 --> 00:10:54,959 Speaker 2: one for Fancy, but I think for like betting purposes, 200 00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:58,920 Speaker 2: like his past attempt and his completion prop I'm curious 201 00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:01,200 Speaker 2: to see where those are. Those have been just a 202 00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 2: moneymaker just taking the under. This is one of those games. 203 00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:07,559 Speaker 2: He'll probably complete thirteen passes and throw for two hundred 204 00:11:07,559 --> 00:11:10,559 Speaker 2: and fifty yards. I just think the way to fade 205 00:11:10,600 --> 00:11:14,040 Speaker 2: him in this matchup especially is maybe just take either 206 00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:16,520 Speaker 2: under completions of yards. Once once it come out, I'll 207 00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:19,200 Speaker 2: have a better idea which one. But like, they're probably 208 00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:20,679 Speaker 2: not going to throw much and he's going to be 209 00:11:20,720 --> 00:11:24,520 Speaker 2: extremely efficient, so it kind of just lowers his overall 210 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 2: you know volume that way. 211 00:11:27,360 --> 00:11:31,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, it's it's he's been tricky, but yeah, I 212 00:11:31,240 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 1: still have him as a Where do you have him 213 00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:35,240 Speaker 1: ranked this week? Is he inside your QB one for 214 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 1: you or. 215 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:40,880 Speaker 2: Well not QB one overall? But yeah, I got you. 216 00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:46,160 Speaker 2: I got him QUBIC thirteen, like extremely extremely efficient. Now, 217 00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 2: if you know Montyan Gibbs, you know vulture of these 218 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:53,920 Speaker 2: like short yard or touchdowns, he's screwed. But you know, 219 00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:56,480 Speaker 2: I think he get a long Jmo touch on here, 220 00:11:56,640 --> 00:11:59,080 Speaker 2: things like that. So I think if you have him, 221 00:11:59,120 --> 00:12:01,200 Speaker 2: you got a roll with him. This such a good matchup. 222 00:12:01,559 --> 00:12:03,880 Speaker 2: You got to play him. But just don't be surprised 223 00:12:05,240 --> 00:12:07,120 Speaker 2: if he just doesn't have to throw much. So he's 224 00:12:07,120 --> 00:12:09,719 Speaker 2: a He's a very tricky projection this week. That's why 225 00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:12,640 Speaker 2: I definitely wanted this to be the prop we talked about. 226 00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:14,640 Speaker 2: But yeah, it's it's tough call. Where do you have 227 00:12:14,679 --> 00:12:15,240 Speaker 2: him ranked? 228 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 1: Keep me dying topin week? So? 229 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:20,199 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that's fair, that's fair. Would you rather play 230 00:12:20,240 --> 00:12:21,080 Speaker 2: him or bonus? 231 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:25,480 Speaker 1: I got bony to QB seven, Yeah, but. 232 00:12:25,600 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 2: It's higher four hire four yeah, yeah. 233 00:12:28,400 --> 00:12:31,160 Speaker 1: The rushing. The rushing I think helps with the next 234 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:33,640 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to running back. Who do you 235 00:12:33,679 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: got in the top five for week eleven? 236 00:12:35,400 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 2: Oh, let's see, this is gonna be new for me. 237 00:12:38,280 --> 00:12:42,360 Speaker 2: Uh oh, Alvin Kamara number one, and then Christian McCaffrey 238 00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:46,400 Speaker 2: back inside my top five. Uh, and then I got 239 00:12:46,480 --> 00:12:49,679 Speaker 2: Devon a Chan, Saquon Barkley, and Joe Mixon. 240 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:53,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, I got McCaffrey number one, mix in number two, 241 00:12:53,440 --> 00:12:57,640 Speaker 1: Kyle Williams, Alvin Kamara and and Saqua Nice. Who are 242 00:12:57,679 --> 00:12:58,960 Speaker 1: you hiring it? Running back. 243 00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:05,080 Speaker 2: Spears despite you know, the tougher matchup here against the Vikings, 244 00:13:05,120 --> 00:13:07,680 Speaker 2: but you know, when he was out there for those 245 00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:12,280 Speaker 2: three three games, Tony Pollard was a true workhorse, uh, 246 00:13:13,160 --> 00:13:15,480 Speaker 2: despite being injured. You know, he's been dealing with a 247 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:17,120 Speaker 2: foot injury for a couple of weeks now, and the 248 00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:20,000 Speaker 2: coaching staff even hinted we got to, you know, limit 249 00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:23,319 Speaker 2: his touches somewhat, and you know, sure enough, getting Spears 250 00:13:23,360 --> 00:13:26,680 Speaker 2: back really helped out with that. And we got to remember, 251 00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:29,160 Speaker 2: heading into the season, we expected this to be, you know, 252 00:13:29,240 --> 00:13:32,240 Speaker 2: closer to fifty to fifty backfield, and that's kind of 253 00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 2: what it was last week with Spears returning, really just 254 00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:37,559 Speaker 2: dominating the passing down work. So I think in a 255 00:13:37,600 --> 00:13:40,440 Speaker 2: spot like this, where the Titans will surely be in 256 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:42,959 Speaker 2: a trailing game, script that does set up better for 257 00:13:43,000 --> 00:13:47,080 Speaker 2: Spears could be a nice safety valve for Will Levis 258 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:49,080 Speaker 2: here against the Vikings. I don't know, how he's going 259 00:13:49,160 --> 00:13:52,080 Speaker 2: to handle this, uh for his defense, so I think 260 00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:54,960 Speaker 2: getting some quick dump offs to Spears would make a 261 00:13:54,960 --> 00:13:57,920 Speaker 2: ton of sense. But either way, I think he's back 262 00:13:57,920 --> 00:14:00,720 Speaker 2: in that you know RB three flex mix right now. 263 00:14:01,679 --> 00:14:03,880 Speaker 2: And as my RB thirty two to open the week. 264 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:07,400 Speaker 1: It's Chase Brown. Another guy with a tough matchup, but 265 00:14:07,440 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 1: he's insigne. My top ten against the Chargers ECR is 266 00:14:11,640 --> 00:14:14,240 Speaker 1: RB sixteen, but he had twenty two touches for ninety 267 00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:17,680 Speaker 1: four yards against Ravens in a tough matchup. He's had 268 00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:20,320 Speaker 1: a few extra days to get right, so I think 269 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:23,520 Speaker 1: he could see a big snap workload again. And he 270 00:14:23,560 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 1: played eighty seven percent of the snaps against Baltimore and 271 00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:28,480 Speaker 1: that was only on three days rest, so now he's 272 00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:30,400 Speaker 1: got ten days rest. I think he continues to play 273 00:14:30,440 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 1: a ton of snaps. They got Khalil Herbert behind him 274 00:14:33,560 --> 00:14:37,160 Speaker 1: and Gary Brightwell, I guess, and Trayveon, so not much 275 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:39,360 Speaker 1: there that I think they want to give the ball 276 00:14:39,400 --> 00:14:43,280 Speaker 1: to and give meaningful snaps too, So I think keep 277 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:45,560 Speaker 1: riding the Chase Brown train. 278 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 2: All right? 279 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:48,560 Speaker 1: Who are you low on it? Running back Week eleven. 280 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:53,080 Speaker 2: Raheem moshert despite you know, a great matchup here at 281 00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:54,760 Speaker 2: home against the Raiders, but I don't know if he 282 00:14:54,760 --> 00:14:58,040 Speaker 2: could trust him after last night, where Jalen Wright was 283 00:14:58,080 --> 00:15:01,120 Speaker 2: really operating as the number two back. Most didn't even 284 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:04,320 Speaker 2: see a single carry. Instead, he was operating as the 285 00:15:04,400 --> 00:15:08,160 Speaker 2: receiving back, which is kind of a bizarre turn of events. 286 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:12,240 Speaker 2: And it's a shame because with Tua back under center, 287 00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:15,680 Speaker 2: we thought, you know, Mostart might be a nice RB 288 00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:18,360 Speaker 2: three flex option. He did have that two touchdown game 289 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:21,480 Speaker 2: a few weeks ago against Cardinals when Tua did return, 290 00:15:21,560 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 2: But right now you just cannot trust him with Jalen Wright, 291 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:27,760 Speaker 2: you know, operating as the number two back in eight Chan, 292 00:15:27,920 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 2: you know, clearly the lead back in this offense right now. 293 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 2: So he opens a week as my RB forty one, 294 00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:36,240 Speaker 2: and you know, long term he might need a Chan 295 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:39,160 Speaker 2: and Wright to get hurt to really be trusted. So 296 00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:42,920 Speaker 2: his stock really took a hit last night. Maybe you 297 00:15:42,960 --> 00:15:45,200 Speaker 2: hang on him for one more week just to see 298 00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:48,360 Speaker 2: if this was just a flukey game for him, But 299 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:51,400 Speaker 2: either way, he has been moving down a ton in 300 00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:52,400 Speaker 2: my rankings this week. 301 00:15:52,520 --> 00:15:53,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it was only a matter of time 302 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:56,560 Speaker 1: before Jayalen Wright became more and more involved and it's 303 00:15:56,640 --> 00:15:59,280 Speaker 1: just tough with the three man backfield. And I have 304 00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:02,440 Speaker 1: a similar situation for a guy I'm down on. That's 305 00:16:02,520 --> 00:16:07,520 Speaker 1: Javonte Williams. He's still you know, top thirty six running 306 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:10,680 Speaker 1: back in ECR. I think he's another guy who just 307 00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 1: can't trust. He only had three touches last week for 308 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:18,200 Speaker 1: seven yards, played twenty nine percent of the snaps. Now 309 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:21,560 Speaker 1: Denver was leading for most of that game. But still 310 00:16:21,560 --> 00:16:23,040 Speaker 1: if you can't trust him in you know, as an 311 00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:26,880 Speaker 1: eight point dog against Kansas City or seven whatever it was, 312 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 1: seven and a half, it's gonna be tough to trust 313 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:31,840 Speaker 1: him going forward. Estimate was the guy who got the 314 00:16:31,880 --> 00:16:35,800 Speaker 1: early downwork to Bloughlin still involved. So Javonte, he's gonna 315 00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 1: get passing down snaps, but he's also gonna pass block 316 00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:40,400 Speaker 1: on a lot of those snaps. So really just not 317 00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:44,760 Speaker 1: an ideal situation for Javonte Williams, who's just been struggling 318 00:16:44,920 --> 00:16:48,000 Speaker 1: with the efficiency ever since, you know, his injury a 319 00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:51,240 Speaker 1: couple of years ago. So low on Javonte this week. 320 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:55,840 Speaker 1: All right, let's see running back prop. Let's go with 321 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:59,120 Speaker 1: rhem mosterirt Actually that is that's a really tough one. 322 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 1: Oh go rushing and receiving yards over under twenty two 323 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:07,119 Speaker 1: and a half. 324 00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 2: Ooh, that's a good line. I got it like right 325 00:17:11,760 --> 00:17:17,159 Speaker 2: around twenty four twenty five. I'm gonna say over and 326 00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:19,040 Speaker 2: I hate it. I hate that I'm taking it over, 327 00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:21,359 Speaker 2: but that that is a great line. I think he'll 328 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 2: see a couple of carries this week. It is the raiders. 329 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 2: I'm kicking myself. I was, I was thinking about taking 330 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 2: his rush attempt under. Could you imagine how fun that 331 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:31,760 Speaker 2: would be? I had Javontes under ten and a half 332 00:17:31,840 --> 00:17:34,240 Speaker 2: rush TIMPs. That was fun, But I noticed that most 333 00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:36,480 Speaker 2: are he had like twelve carries a week before, but 334 00:17:37,119 --> 00:17:39,359 Speaker 2: he was only in on like thirteen plays, so there 335 00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:42,240 Speaker 2: was like an over ninety percent run, right. I was like, 336 00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 2: no way they keep that up. But that's a good line. 337 00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 2: I think he does see a few attempts this week, 338 00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:51,960 Speaker 2: but that's a that's probably gonna be his prop that 339 00:17:52,080 --> 00:17:54,199 Speaker 2: books if they offer a prop, that'll probably be it. 340 00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:56,320 Speaker 2: And I hate to do it, but I'm gonna be 341 00:17:56,320 --> 00:17:57,720 Speaker 2: on the over here looking for. 342 00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:00,720 Speaker 1: Week we projected from me and Sean Kerner. Only place 343 00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:04,240 Speaker 1: you'll find them is at Fantasy labs dot com. You'll 344 00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:07,720 Speaker 1: get our weekly player projections every week, plus access to 345 00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:11,640 Speaker 1: a suite of tools, including our lineup Optimizer and our 346 00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:15,280 Speaker 1: all new sim Labs lineup builder that uses the power 347 00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:19,000 Speaker 1: of simulations paired with our award winning projections to deliver 348 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:23,240 Speaker 1: winning lineups in near seconds. Use promo code flex forty 349 00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 1: that's fl e x four zero for forty dollars off 350 00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:31,119 Speaker 1: your first month of Fantasy Labs DFS. We've dropped the 351 00:18:31,160 --> 00:18:34,520 Speaker 1: link in this episode's description. Just remember to use code 352 00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,760 Speaker 1: flex forty at checkout. All right, let's go to Wide 353 00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:39,840 Speaker 1: Receiver Week eleven. Who's in your top five? 354 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:46,040 Speaker 2: Jamar, Chase, Justin, Jefferson, Pooka and Akua, Cooper Cup and 355 00:18:46,119 --> 00:18:47,359 Speaker 2: aman Ra Saint Brown. 356 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:54,400 Speaker 1: I got Chase, Amanra, Jefferson, aj Brown, and Cooper Cup. 357 00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:57,560 Speaker 1: Who are you high on at Wide Receiver eleven? 358 00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:03,040 Speaker 2: Once again, I'm high on Juan at home against the Seahawks. Here, 359 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:07,080 Speaker 2: you know, look great. He finally returned from his hip injury. 360 00:19:07,119 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 2: I figured the bye week would would get him closer 361 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:12,600 Speaker 2: to hund percent, but boy, oh boy, he returned to 362 00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:16,120 Speaker 2: the Brandon Ayuk role. He lined up as the main 363 00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:19,720 Speaker 2: X receiver. Shanahan even said that's the plan going forward, 364 00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:24,600 Speaker 2: so he erupted for seven catches ninety three yards, and 365 00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:27,160 Speaker 2: you know, the role is massive because it led him 366 00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:29,760 Speaker 2: to a ninety two percent routes run rate as well. 367 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:33,919 Speaker 2: Typically he macs out sixty seventy percent routes run rate 368 00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:37,040 Speaker 2: because the Niners are a team that used, you know, 369 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:39,800 Speaker 2: three wide receiver sets at a fairly low rate compared 370 00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:42,960 Speaker 2: to league average. So the fact that he's now in 371 00:19:43,240 --> 00:19:46,440 Speaker 2: on non three wide receiver sets means he's out there 372 00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:49,680 Speaker 2: pretty much every snap brought Perdy's playing well, they're throwing 373 00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:52,080 Speaker 2: it a ton, So I think he's a wide receiver 374 00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:54,640 Speaker 2: two option with this role going forward, and this week 375 00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 2: opens up as my wide receiver nineteen. 376 00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:59,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, Juwan Jennings, he's great on third down. He almost 377 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:01,960 Speaker 1: makes it like maybe they didn't have to sign that 378 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:06,680 Speaker 1: big contract Demo Jennings Pierso might be enough to get 379 00:20:06,720 --> 00:20:10,760 Speaker 1: it down. And of course Kittles and McCaffrey. So yeah, 380 00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:14,520 Speaker 1: it's very interesting, but I guess they have a wealth 381 00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:18,680 Speaker 1: of riches once it comes back. I'm high on Quinton 382 00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:19,639 Speaker 1: Johnson this week. 383 00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:20,359 Speaker 2: He is. 384 00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:25,320 Speaker 1: ECR wide receiver forty. He's the top thirty six guy 385 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:28,240 Speaker 1: for me. This week. He was well over ninety percent 386 00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:30,320 Speaker 1: in his route rate. That's something that we haven't seen 387 00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:33,359 Speaker 1: much from him this year. Is usually around seventy seventy 388 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:36,880 Speaker 1: five percent. But this is a second game back from injury, 389 00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:39,760 Speaker 1: so it's good to see that go up. And didn't 390 00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:42,520 Speaker 1: do much volume wise, but did get a touchdown. And 391 00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:46,920 Speaker 1: this is a game with the Bengals as the opponent 392 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:48,760 Speaker 1: that it's one of the few games where you can 393 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:51,160 Speaker 1: look at it going in and say, Eric, the Charges 394 00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:53,680 Speaker 1: might actually have to throw some You know, their defense 395 00:20:53,720 --> 00:20:56,159 Speaker 1: has been so good, but as we've seen, you're not 396 00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:57,680 Speaker 1: going to throw down Joe Burrow and so I think 397 00:20:57,680 --> 00:20:59,399 Speaker 1: on the other side, you're gonna see a lot of 398 00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:03,280 Speaker 1: throwing for the Chargers who have been as you mentioned 399 00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:05,480 Speaker 1: in our waivers pot, you know they have been throwing 400 00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:08,000 Speaker 1: more anyway. So I think this could be a high 401 00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:10,600 Speaker 1: volume game for him, and he's looks like he's going 402 00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:12,600 Speaker 1: to be out there for every snap. Now, you know, 403 00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,159 Speaker 1: you had DJ Shark back and still didn't make a 404 00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:20,359 Speaker 1: difference in Johnston's playing time, So like him this week 405 00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:23,439 Speaker 1: and going forward as well. All right, who are you 406 00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:25,320 Speaker 1: low and at wide receiver for Week eleven? 407 00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:31,320 Speaker 2: Shoump Jordan Addison at Tennessee, coming off a disappointing to 408 00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:33,959 Speaker 2: catch twenty five yard game and what should have been 409 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:38,439 Speaker 2: a great matchup against the Jaguars, and I figured his 410 00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:41,200 Speaker 2: you know, his target would certainly take a hit with TJ. 411 00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:44,800 Speaker 2: Hawkinson back in action and his roles only expanding, which 412 00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:49,720 Speaker 2: it did last week. But Josh Oliver's usage has gone 413 00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:53,600 Speaker 2: up as well. They had him out there nearly fifty 414 00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:56,000 Speaker 2: percent of the dropbacks and he has just seen a 415 00:21:56,040 --> 00:22:00,760 Speaker 2: massive target rate of thirty three percent the last two games. 416 00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:03,440 Speaker 2: So that's really taking away from Addison as well. And 417 00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:06,119 Speaker 2: you know he's got Justin Jefferson to deal with on 418 00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:09,720 Speaker 2: the other side, So that's just really lowering Addison's projection 419 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:13,119 Speaker 2: for me. And he still has a talent upside to 420 00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:16,399 Speaker 2: maybe make a splash player two, but his floor is 421 00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:19,000 Speaker 2: very very low right now, so you really can't trust 422 00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:22,160 Speaker 2: him in your lineup. So yeah, he opens a week 423 00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:23,520 Speaker 2: as my wide receiver fifty. 424 00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:27,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, that was I mean, Oliver is just where did 425 00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:30,600 Speaker 1: he come from? I think Hackinson gets back and it's 426 00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:34,880 Speaker 1: Oliver that's putting up now too. So yeah, that's it's 427 00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:38,240 Speaker 1: not great for Addison's not great for Jaywen Naylor either. 428 00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:43,000 Speaker 1: I'm on Rashad Bateman. He is the cr wide receiver 429 00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:46,560 Speaker 1: forty five. I just don't think we should trust him. 430 00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:48,800 Speaker 1: I know he's had some good games this year, had 431 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:51,320 Speaker 1: a good one on Thursday Night with six catches fifty 432 00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:53,560 Speaker 1: four yards and a touchdown, but his route rate did 433 00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:57,879 Speaker 1: drop to eighty two percent, and going forward, we just 434 00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:00,600 Speaker 1: don't know when Deontay Johnson is going to see a 435 00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:02,760 Speaker 1: spike that could cut into Bateman because it looks like 436 00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:05,639 Speaker 1: they're still going to use Agalar Tylan Wallace had a 437 00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:08,800 Speaker 1: good game and then you might get it. Isaiah likely 438 00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:11,600 Speaker 1: back at some point too. So there's just a lot 439 00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:13,720 Speaker 1: of mouse to feed on this raven offense, and there's 440 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:17,160 Speaker 1: some weeks where they just end up not really throwing 441 00:23:17,200 --> 00:23:19,200 Speaker 1: it that much period. So you can't even look at, 442 00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:22,320 Speaker 1: you know, a matchup against Cincinnati and say, okay, that's 443 00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:24,600 Speaker 1: going to happen every week. Now you're going up against 444 00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:28,400 Speaker 1: the Steelers, which tends to play Lamar really good and 445 00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:31,520 Speaker 1: really well, you know in the passing game. So not 446 00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:34,520 Speaker 1: a week that I want to be looking at Rashad Bateman. 447 00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:36,000 Speaker 1: He's kind of got to kind of see where he 448 00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:39,719 Speaker 1: ends up turned to playing time as Deonta's snaps increase. 449 00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:43,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's a revenge game for Deontay, so oh yeah, 450 00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:46,080 Speaker 2: already I ever tiring to get him going. This would 451 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:47,640 Speaker 2: be it, all. 452 00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:51,320 Speaker 1: Right, wide receiver prop WEE eleven. Where you're going. 453 00:23:52,960 --> 00:23:55,920 Speaker 2: I've been getting some questions about this guy already open 454 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:57,840 Speaker 2: the week. People are all excited about our week eleven 455 00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:02,320 Speaker 2: projections on Tuesday morning, but been getting asked about this guy, 456 00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:07,840 Speaker 2: DeAndre Hopkins. Let's set a line for him, big big 457 00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:11,720 Speaker 2: game here against the Bills. So I'm gonna set his 458 00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,760 Speaker 2: line at fifty seven and a half receiving yards. 459 00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,280 Speaker 1: I will go under that. I have him right around 460 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:21,680 Speaker 1: fifty five. It's good line. But he still hasn't been 461 00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:26,480 Speaker 1: getting that true wide receiver one playing time yet. Now 462 00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:29,119 Speaker 1: that could change any time. But given his age and 463 00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:32,840 Speaker 1: he's kind of been seventy percent route rate or below. 464 00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:36,360 Speaker 1: Whether he's been on the Titans the Chiefs hasn't really mattered, 465 00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:38,840 Speaker 1: so that might just be the new normal for him. 466 00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:42,480 Speaker 1: He can still produce on that kind of abbreviated snap 467 00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:45,000 Speaker 1: count because he's really good and they're kind of looking 468 00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:48,040 Speaker 1: for him when he's on the field. But yeah, I 469 00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:50,000 Speaker 1: think that's a that's a that's a number where you 470 00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:52,760 Speaker 1: want a guy that's gonna be on the field, you know, 471 00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:55,080 Speaker 1: ninety percent of the time, or you're gonna get a 472 00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:57,480 Speaker 1: lot of variants, and he probably goes under more often 473 00:24:57,480 --> 00:24:59,720 Speaker 1: than not. So yeah, I'm gonna go under fifty seven 474 00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 1: and a half. 475 00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:02,679 Speaker 2: I bet that his line will be very close to that. 476 00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:06,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, Yeah, I think so too. All Right, tight End 477 00:25:06,800 --> 00:25:08,600 Speaker 1: Week eleven, Sean Who you got in the top five? 478 00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:14,800 Speaker 2: Travis Kelcey Brock Bowers, Evan Ingram, George Kittle, and Taysom 479 00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:16,640 Speaker 2: Hill Woo night. 480 00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:21,760 Speaker 1: I had a Kelsey, Kittle, Bowers, David and Joku and 481 00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,840 Speaker 1: Evan Ingram. So Taysum, he's right there there. He's pushing, 482 00:25:25,119 --> 00:25:27,680 Speaker 1: pushing for that top five spot. Who are you hire on? 483 00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:32,280 Speaker 2: Hi on? Will Disley opens the week? Is my tight 484 00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:35,879 Speaker 2: end thirteen? I talked about him on the Waivers Pod, 485 00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:39,159 Speaker 2: but he's just really become the lead tight end for 486 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:43,399 Speaker 2: the Chargers. And you know, despite hayden Hurst returning to 487 00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:46,399 Speaker 2: action a couple weeks ago, still maintaining that you know, 488 00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:50,560 Speaker 2: seventy percent routes run rate has seen a twenty seven 489 00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:53,400 Speaker 2: percent target rate over the last four games. So he's 490 00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:56,159 Speaker 2: caught four more balls in for the last five and 491 00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:59,240 Speaker 2: at the tight end position, what more can you ask for? Really? 492 00:25:59,320 --> 00:26:01,879 Speaker 2: So you know, justin Herbert playing well. This is a 493 00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:04,359 Speaker 2: matchup against the Bengals too, where they might be forced 494 00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:08,280 Speaker 2: to throw even more. So love is upside here. Great 495 00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:10,200 Speaker 2: week to Adam because you know, we got some really 496 00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 2: good tight ends out this week. Trey McBride, Caate Ott 497 00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:17,760 Speaker 2: and are on by daltonk and cad and Samuel Porta 498 00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:19,720 Speaker 2: or banged up, who knows if they're gonna play. So 499 00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:24,560 Speaker 2: Will Disney could be a very sneaky, nearly free Onereek 500 00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:25,920 Speaker 2: Reynold if you can get him this week. 501 00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:29,879 Speaker 1: Yeah, man, he's taken over that. It's been a couple 502 00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:33,240 Speaker 1: of teams. It's been the Chargers, both LA teams. Will 503 00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:35,399 Speaker 1: Dissey's taken over as the Titan, one for Hayden Hurst 504 00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:37,879 Speaker 1: and Davis Avam's taken over as a titand one for 505 00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:41,640 Speaker 1: Kobe Parkinson for the Rams. So you're playing so far 506 00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:42,960 Speaker 1: your job is. 507 00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:47,399 Speaker 2: It was like it was like a couple of seasons 508 00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:49,719 Speaker 2: in a row. I think when Russell Wilson was on 509 00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:54,359 Speaker 2: the Seahawks where Disney would open up the season. It 510 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:56,640 Speaker 2: is like a top tend tight end and then get hurt. 511 00:26:57,040 --> 00:26:59,760 Speaker 2: He's flashed upside in the past. I even I forgot 512 00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:02,840 Speaker 2: about that. But he has been, you know, solid anytime 513 00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:04,320 Speaker 2: he's been given opportunity. 514 00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:07,080 Speaker 1: I believe it was his rookie year he had like 515 00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:09,120 Speaker 1: a long touchdown or two or three. 516 00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:15,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, early locker just just really good overall solid tight end. 517 00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:17,639 Speaker 1: Yeah, he had a sixty six yard or his rookie 518 00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:20,600 Speaker 1: year two touchdowns on eight catches and then he got hurt. 519 00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:26,880 Speaker 1: Hasn't had anything even forty plus since. But he is, uh, 520 00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,320 Speaker 1: he looks pretty reliable and yeah, like we keep saying, 521 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:31,439 Speaker 1: this is a good matchup for the Chargers to finally 522 00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:34,760 Speaker 1: throw it around a little more. I'm Hio Taysom Hill. 523 00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:37,400 Speaker 1: We talked about him, seemed to talk about him every 524 00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:40,679 Speaker 1: week now, but he's out here. You know, he's usually 525 00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:43,760 Speaker 1: getting at least four carries. He caught two passes for 526 00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:48,280 Speaker 1: thirty six yards last week. He's become more involved in 527 00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:51,040 Speaker 1: the past game. And they really have no choice because 528 00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:56,040 Speaker 1: you know, Chris o'lave is in the concussion protocol, he's 529 00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:59,399 Speaker 1: out for the year. You have you know, just just 530 00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:04,119 Speaker 1: kind of volving door receiver. Not nothing much behind Alvin 531 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:06,680 Speaker 1: Kamarat running back. You know, Jamal Williams has been banged 532 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:09,200 Speaker 1: up as well, So Taysom Hill. I think he's gonna 533 00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:13,320 Speaker 1: continue to see a high snapcount in the passing game, 534 00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:16,000 Speaker 1: and last week he had a season high sixty three 535 00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:21,200 Speaker 1: percent route rate against the Falcons. So going up against 536 00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:23,480 Speaker 1: Cleveland not as easy of a match up here, but 537 00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:25,320 Speaker 1: the fact that he's been on the field that much 538 00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:27,600 Speaker 1: in the passing game and he's always getting at least 539 00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:31,120 Speaker 1: four carries or so red zone as well, just gives 540 00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:35,280 Speaker 1: him a lot of different ways to have upside A right, 541 00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:36,520 Speaker 1: who you roll on at tight. 542 00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:40,680 Speaker 2: End Kyle Pitts at Denver, and it's it's really the 543 00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:43,880 Speaker 2: same old story Pits. He's he's playing well, his usage 544 00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:47,640 Speaker 2: is actually where we want it to be lately. But 545 00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:52,480 Speaker 2: I have Bijon, Drake London, and Darnell Mooney all projected 546 00:28:52,560 --> 00:28:56,880 Speaker 2: for four plus receptions this week. Despite the tough matchup, 547 00:28:57,880 --> 00:28:59,640 Speaker 2: you know, it just makes it tougher for Pitts to 548 00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:03,240 Speaker 2: offer really, you know, a solid floor for you. So 549 00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:05,719 Speaker 2: he opens week is my tight end fifteen. You probably 550 00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:08,600 Speaker 2: still have to roll with him. Just giving his upside. 551 00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:10,360 Speaker 2: Same thing with Taysom Hill. You have to play him 552 00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:12,880 Speaker 2: if you haven't because he just has massive upside. And 553 00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:16,080 Speaker 2: this is a very low scoring position, so you know, 554 00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:18,160 Speaker 2: probably still want to roll with Pits, but just got 555 00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:22,200 Speaker 2: a lower expectations. And again, the tight end position is 556 00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:24,959 Speaker 2: one where we've seen Taysom Hill really emerges a solid 557 00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:27,680 Speaker 2: top ten option. So I play him over Kyle Pitts, 558 00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:32,120 Speaker 2: and then stud tight ends like TJ. Hawkinson, Mark Andrews 559 00:29:32,120 --> 00:29:35,600 Speaker 2: are back in the mix. Even Dallas Goddard's back and 560 00:29:35,760 --> 00:29:38,000 Speaker 2: is in the mix. So it just kind of bumped 561 00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:40,000 Speaker 2: Kyle Pitts down to my ranks to ope in the week. 562 00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:43,360 Speaker 2: I am assuming that you know, Dalton Kin Caid and 563 00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:45,120 Speaker 2: Sam a Porter are gonna suit up this week, so 564 00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:47,920 Speaker 2: if either one of those guys are ruled out, you 565 00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:50,200 Speaker 2: know Pitts will rise up my ranks. But as of now, 566 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:51,680 Speaker 2: he's my tight end fifteen. 567 00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:55,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, down on Pits as well. And I think another 568 00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:59,160 Speaker 1: underwook factor overlook factor, excuse me in this matchup is 569 00:29:59,280 --> 00:30:01,960 Speaker 1: Denver likes to play man coverage that usually is not 570 00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:03,680 Speaker 1: a great thing for tight ends. Now, Pits does have 571 00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:06,960 Speaker 1: the talent to be man coverage, but it hasn't happened 572 00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:09,640 Speaker 1: for him this year in this scheme with Kirk Cousins. 573 00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:10,240 Speaker 2: Uh. 574 00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:12,440 Speaker 1: You know, according to PFF, he's averaging under a yard 575 00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:15,680 Speaker 1: per route against man coverage compared to over two yards 576 00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:19,360 Speaker 1: per route against zone coverage. So just not really the 577 00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:23,160 Speaker 1: matchup that you want to test test him out either. 578 00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:27,600 Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm low on Pitts as well. Unfortunately. All right, 579 00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:33,080 Speaker 1: let's close it up with a prop for tight ends. 580 00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:40,000 Speaker 1: Let's go TJ. Hockinson versus Josh Oliver Receiven Young. Oh okay, 581 00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:41,400 Speaker 1: I'm gonna gonna. 582 00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:42,920 Speaker 2: Be spread involved, I'm sure. 583 00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:47,440 Speaker 1: But yes, yes, I'm gonna make Hackinson a twenty nine 584 00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:48,680 Speaker 1: and a half yard favorite. 585 00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:52,360 Speaker 2: It's a good line, you know what. I'm gonna take 586 00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:55,840 Speaker 2: the points here. I'm gonna do the points. Where the 587 00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,240 Speaker 2: hell was this when Hawkinson was out we were dealing 588 00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:03,560 Speaker 2: with Johnny Munt. Yeah, I'm kind of pissed about that, 589 00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:06,680 Speaker 2: but that's a good lie. I have it. I have 590 00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:10,800 Speaker 2: it closer to twenty five, yeah, which is absurd, absurd, 591 00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:14,160 Speaker 2: but he kind of warrants it like this usage is 592 00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:17,960 Speaker 2: scary good. I'm factoring a ton of regression. I don't 593 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:19,480 Speaker 2: think he's going to keep this up. And I still 594 00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:22,080 Speaker 2: have it around twenty five. But that's a good line. 595 00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:26,120 Speaker 2: I'm just thanking my lucky stars. I didn't hit that 596 00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:29,360 Speaker 2: Oliver under ten and a half receiving yard prop. I 597 00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:32,840 Speaker 2: went down to our tool is our tool is shown value? 598 00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:35,640 Speaker 2: I'm like, I could see that. But last week was 599 00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,600 Speaker 2: kind of concerning and this week it like even better. 600 00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:42,200 Speaker 2: So I'm curious to see where his prop is this week. 601 00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:45,040 Speaker 2: Maybe this is the week to fade him, but there's 602 00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:47,640 Speaker 2: no denying the usage has been there for him to 603 00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:49,120 Speaker 2: put up some numbers. 604 00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:51,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, I have it around twenty five too, but I 605 00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:54,760 Speaker 1: think like there's more volatility with yeah, with Oliver, and 606 00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,200 Speaker 1: probably some downside there, you know, if they have to 607 00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 1: go more three wide or just choose to. So it's 608 00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:01,920 Speaker 1: say a really tricky one, but yeah, I think this 609 00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:03,760 Speaker 1: is another one we have to set those alerts. See 610 00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:05,200 Speaker 1: where his process is. 611 00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:07,480 Speaker 2: Well, yeah, I don't know if I went the under, 612 00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:10,960 Speaker 2: the over or under here, but yeah, that's a good point. 613 00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 2: And I would say, let me ask you, like Huckinson's 614 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:18,120 Speaker 2: playing time hasn't peaked yet, right, It's only gonna go up, 615 00:32:18,200 --> 00:32:20,719 Speaker 2: Like where do you think his playing time is going 616 00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:23,240 Speaker 2: to max out at assuming he's fully healthy. 617 00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:26,680 Speaker 1: Typically it maxes out around eighty percent routes eighty five 618 00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:29,760 Speaker 1: first game, sixty second game seventy one for him. So 619 00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:32,840 Speaker 1: you know that's ten percent increase. With eleven percent increase 620 00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:35,840 Speaker 1: between the two. I could see another you know, five 621 00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:40,720 Speaker 1: to ten percent jump this week. But you know, does 622 00:32:40,760 --> 00:32:43,160 Speaker 1: that come at Alver's expenses, is to come at like 623 00:32:43,280 --> 00:32:46,040 Speaker 1: Javid Naylor's expense, and they just go more to tight 624 00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:49,880 Speaker 1: end that that remains to be seen. You know, Donald 625 00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:53,320 Speaker 1: is having some difficulty with turnover, so maybe you go 626 00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:56,040 Speaker 1: heavier and you know, trying to rain him in a 627 00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:59,680 Speaker 1: little bit. It's really it's really tough. But I think, yeah, 628 00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:03,200 Speaker 1: I mean, excuse me, Naylors like unplayable now outside of DFS, 629 00:33:03,240 --> 00:33:06,000 Speaker 1: and and Addison is kind of dropping down the ranks 630 00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:08,600 Speaker 1: as well. Then Hockinson, you know, I think ECR he's 631 00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:10,960 Speaker 1: number five, So that's another guy I'm actually well, I 632 00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:13,400 Speaker 1: still have him, you know, kind of fringe tight end one, 633 00:33:13,840 --> 00:33:15,360 Speaker 1: you know, because I don't know for sure if we 634 00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:19,720 Speaker 1: can expect him to completely just erase out of from 635 00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:22,760 Speaker 1: the equation, which at this point kind of needs, so yeah, 636 00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:25,959 Speaker 1: it's it's a tricky situation. Unfortunately, we just have to 637 00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:28,400 Speaker 1: continue watching. But this is one of the reasons I say, 638 00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:30,360 Speaker 1: you know, like all these guys, you know, coming back 639 00:33:30,360 --> 00:33:32,640 Speaker 1: from injury mid year, it's not always the greatest pick. 640 00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:32,920 Speaker 2: Yeah. 641 00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:35,200 Speaker 1: I mean, he had a good game last last week, 642 00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:38,120 Speaker 1: but still some questions and we got the Brooks and 643 00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:40,840 Speaker 1: still hasn't played a game, you know, Chubb has been 644 00:33:41,600 --> 00:33:44,080 Speaker 1: so Yeah, it's been been tough for some of those guys. 645 00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:47,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, well Naylor's not a play anymore unless you give 646 00:33:47,600 --> 00:33:48,920 Speaker 2: him out as a dart throw on. 647 00:33:49,480 --> 00:33:52,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, I haven't had success at that. You should have 648 00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:56,160 Speaker 1: check out our Fantasy DFS pod here on this channel. 649 00:33:56,760 --> 00:34:00,080 Speaker 1: But yeah, I think that is going to wrap it 650 00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:03,360 Speaker 1: up for us. Here our week eleven player Projection's episode 651 00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:05,680 Speaker 1: here on the Fancy Flex. Be sure to subscribe to 652 00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:08,400 Speaker 1: the Fantasy Flex podcast so you don't miss an episode 653 00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:11,960 Speaker 1: all season long. Fantasylabs dot com for all of our 654 00:34:11,960 --> 00:34:16,040 Speaker 1: fantasy football content. You can find Sean on x at 655 00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:18,960 Speaker 1: the Underscarage Maker. 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