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Speaker 1: What's up, guys. How are you welcome into a Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me on my socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt. That's the same handle to follow

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Speaker 1: me on the Betting pros app as well. And we

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Speaker 1: are back after a two and two day. But it

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Speaker 1: is a winning day because the parlay was only a

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Speaker 1: half a unit and then Atlanta lost outright, those were

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Speaker 1: our two losers, but Florida was plus money. What a game.

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Speaker 1: What a performance by Brad mar shand first player ever

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Speaker 1: to have a shorthanded goal and an overtime game winning

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Speaker 1: goal in Stanley Cup Finals history. And then Brabrovski flew

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Speaker 1: over on those saves because again overtime. He got it

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Speaker 1: in regulation too, but way over there for that. So

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Speaker 1: that's good. So we got two and two day APPA

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Speaker 1: Happy Unit. The Play of the Day hits again. We

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Speaker 1: are now six and oh in the month of June

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Speaker 1: and we have hit nine consecutive Plays of the Day.

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Speaker 1: This is a really good run. It's been a good

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Speaker 1: run here in the first full week of June, and

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Speaker 1: it's always really fun when the play of the day

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Speaker 1: gets this hot now for today, I don't know what

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Speaker 1: the pick's going to be because I am going exotic today.

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Speaker 1: This is going to be a different type of podcast.

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Speaker 1: I'll do my best to explain what I am betting today.

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Speaker 1: But we are betting the Belmont. We are betting UFC

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Speaker 1: three sixteen, and we are betting a baseball game. There's

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Speaker 1: no basketball today. I don't understand why, but I've been

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Speaker 1: doing work on the Belmont. So I got a play

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Speaker 1: for you guys. I'm gonna I'm hopeful that I'm explaining

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Speaker 1: the bet correctly. I am not a horse guy, but

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Speaker 1: I am hopefully going to explain a bet that I

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Speaker 1: am going to make. I've not made it today yet.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna make it today later today. I've not made

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Speaker 1: it overnight because I want the best odds, so we're

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Speaker 1: going to wait till kind of closer to post time.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna tell you what I am planning on

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Speaker 1: betting for the Belmont. So you'll have a horse race

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Speaker 1: bet if you want to trail it. You have a

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Speaker 1: couple of plays at UFC three sixteen, and you have

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Speaker 1: a major League baseball bet to make. If you would like,

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Speaker 1: you can go and make those plays at novig if

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Speaker 1: you would like. If you haven't taken advantage of this,

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Speaker 1: Novig is legal in most states. It is peer to peer.

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Speaker 1: It means you're competing against other users, not the house.

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Speaker 1: Now they have sports prediction markets as well, so and

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Speaker 1: they have a way where you're gonna buy coins, so

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Speaker 1: they are kind of in the realm of social sports

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Speaker 1: books prediction markets, but it is legal in most states.

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Speaker 1: There's no commission, there's no hidden fees. You can set

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Speaker 1: your own lines at times, which gives you the control

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Speaker 1: for more sports books for certain markets or plays or

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Speaker 1: prices that other books don't offer. If you're going to

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Speaker 1: use the coin system that they have, it is real

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Speaker 1: money and you can use the code daily Juice for

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Speaker 1: fifty percent off your first coin purchase up to twenty

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Speaker 1: five dollars. So go and check it out now at

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash juice. That's Bettingpros dot com slash juice. Now.

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Speaker 1: It is an off day for the NBA, but don't

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Speaker 1: forget about the NBA prop contest going on right now.

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Speaker 1: We have a grand prize jersey of the Allen Iverson

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Speaker 1: signed Sixers jersey to be given away, but the finals

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Speaker 1: in itself, we're giving away a signed Yannis jersey for

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Speaker 1: the best most points accumulated in just the NBA Finals.

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Speaker 1: You make picks and compete for great prizes like that

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Speaker 1: signed Yannis jersey. It's all for free on the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros app or by going to Bettingpros dot com slash playoffs.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's break this down. There's a full video

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Speaker 1: out right now on the Betting Pros YouTube channel with

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Speaker 1: myself and a couple of my Betting Pros colleagues breaking

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Speaker 1: down Belmont. Okay, so if you want a more in

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Speaker 1: depth explanation is to the Belmont Stakes today running in Saratoga.

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Speaker 1: Go watch that video on the Betting Pros YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: But this is a chalky race, all right. This is

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Speaker 1: not a race where you're gonna make a ton of money.

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Speaker 1: So I have no idea what this ticket will pay out.

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Speaker 1: But I have a three dollars four horse exact a

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Speaker 1: box that's top two one to two. Okay, this is

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Speaker 1: most likely gonna come down to two horses, Sovereignty who

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Speaker 1: won the Derby, and Journalism who won the Preakness. Most

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Speaker 1: likely that's your one two finish. All right, A three

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Speaker 1: dollars box with four horses is a thirty six dollars ticket.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what it pays out, but you can

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Speaker 1: expand it if you want. But I think this is

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Speaker 1: a two horse race Sovereignty and journalism. Now, about forty

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Speaker 1: five percent of the time this race goes chocked. Except

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Speaker 1: this race is not at the Belmont. This is not

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Speaker 1: a mile and a half. This is a mile and

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Speaker 1: a quarter. We've already seen this race at a mile

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Speaker 1: and a quarter. We know what these horses are capable

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Speaker 1: of doing. Sovereignty beat journalism at the Derby, Now that

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Speaker 1: was a twenty horse field. This is an eight horse field. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so it's different. It could be an off track, which

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Speaker 1: also could be different, but I don't think that's going

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Speaker 1: to affect the horses all that much here for today.

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Speaker 1: A couple of other horses, though, are worth taking a

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Speaker 1: look at. Baiaeza and hill Road. All right. Baeza is

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Speaker 1: a horse that I've been looking at in reading about

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Speaker 1: and it's pretty interesting to see the pedigree here for Baiaza,

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Speaker 1: third in the Kentucky Derby, did not raise the Preakness.

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Speaker 1: Half brother of the twenty twenty three Derby winner in

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Speaker 1: Maje and half brother of the twenty twenty four Belmont

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Speaker 1: Stakes winner Dorknock. Some good pedigree there. Flavin Pratt the

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Speaker 1: jockey good jockey there as well, and from the first

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Speaker 1: post position on the rail hill Road hill Road won

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Speaker 1: the Peter Pan Steaks, which is oftentimes a precursor to

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Speaker 1: the Triple Crown as to what may happen in one

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Speaker 1: or more of these races. Hill Road did not run

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Speaker 1: in the Derby and had a fever before the Preakness

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Speaker 1: and was a scratch. So this is an interesting race.

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Speaker 1: This is one of those horses with Irad Ortiz Junior

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Speaker 1: as the jockey that's picking up a lot of steam

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Speaker 1: and a lot of people like this horse. So the

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Speaker 1: way you're gonna bet this, okay, is and again I'm

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Speaker 1: not a horse guy, so like, if I'm saying this wrong,

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Speaker 1: if you're a horse guy, I apologize. But it's a

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Speaker 1: three dollars exact a box. It should be a thirty

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Speaker 1: six dollars ticket. Okay, you're gonna say, I want the two,

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Speaker 1: the seven, the six in the one in the Belmont Stakes.

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Speaker 1: Three dollars exact a box, number two, number seven, number six,

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Speaker 1: and number one, what does that pay I have no idea.

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Speaker 1: I have absolute idea. We're going to use one hundred

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Speaker 1: dollars units, okay for that bet, so let's see how

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Speaker 1: much we wind up winning. So we're putting down point

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Speaker 1: three to six units on that. If you want to

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Speaker 1: go buy the official record. But that's what that I mean.

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Speaker 1: You may not want to buy that. It may be

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Speaker 1: too expensive for you. You may want to do a

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Speaker 1: one dollar box if you want, that should cost twelve dollars,

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Speaker 1: all right, I'm doing a three dollar box, which will

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Speaker 1: be three times that, which would be thirty six dollars, okay,

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Speaker 1: so it would pay out. When you see the posting,

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Speaker 1: it's going to say exact a box one dollar. Let's

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Speaker 1: see what the payout is. So again I'm going with sovereignty,

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Speaker 1: who won the Derby, journalism, who won the Preakness, Hill Road,

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Speaker 1: and Baeza as the four horses in a two A

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Speaker 1: three dollars exact top two, one to two. It very

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Speaker 1: well could be the top two horses, okay, Journalism, sovereignty, sovereignty, journalism.

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Speaker 1: If either of those scenarios happen, we're good. If we

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Speaker 1: have journalism. Third and he'll rode seconds or journalism first,

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Speaker 1: and he'll and Baeza second. Were covered. Okay, that's why

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Speaker 1: the three dollars box costs thirty six dollars. We're covering

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Speaker 1: all those different tickets. Okay. So there's your Belmont ticket

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Speaker 1: that I am playing four horses that we are jumping

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Speaker 1: in with the two, the seven, the six, and the

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Speaker 1: one thirty six dollars, three dollars bucks two UFC three sixteen.

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Speaker 1: We go. Boy, what an interesting fight card this is

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Speaker 1: going to be. So here's some interesting things about the

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Speaker 1: Morob O'Malley fight. So when you look at Morob's record

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Speaker 1: nineteen and four, he's on a massive one win streak

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Speaker 1: in the UFC. Okay, this guy has the last time

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Speaker 1: he lost a fight in the UFC was twenty eighteen.

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Speaker 1: He just mauling people. But basically every fight goes to

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Speaker 1: the carts. He just doesn't beat people up. He beats

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Speaker 1: them with points. He just doesn't beat people up. Fight

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Speaker 1: against O'Malley, that fight went the distance, five rounds, went

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Speaker 1: the distance. Against Umar nogri Medov, fight went the distance,

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Speaker 1: five rounds. He wins on points. So Hudo one by decision.

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Speaker 1: Petri Yan one by decision, Jose Aldo one by decision.

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Speaker 1: You gotta go back to twenty twenty one was the

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Speaker 1: last time you want to fight by knockout, and he

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Speaker 1: did it against Marlon Morais. Before that, he had had

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Speaker 1: six fights all by decision, So over four and a half.

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Speaker 1: If you're going to bet Morob, most likely Morob's gonna

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Speaker 1: win on the cards. If he's gonna win it, but

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Speaker 1: maybe O'Malley can outpoint him. Okay, So I don't want

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Speaker 1: to totally sleep on the idea that O'Malley could win

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Speaker 1: his belt back because this is a different Sugar Sean O'Malley.

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Speaker 1: No pot, no cannabis, no social media, he is off

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Speaker 1: all of that. He has focused entirely on getting his

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Speaker 1: belt back. He has had surgery on his labrum, he

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Speaker 1: got his shoulder fixed, he got his hip fixed. He's

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Speaker 1: not banged up. He's in the best shape of his life,

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Speaker 1: both physically and mentally. You're going to get the best

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Speaker 1: out of Sugar Sean O'Malley. The question will be nobody

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Speaker 1: has ever knocked out Morob in the UFC. Can it

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Speaker 1: be this guy, Can it be the Sugar Show, or

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Speaker 1: could he win the fight on the cards. He's a

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Speaker 1: massive dog plus two forty five. That's a little crazy

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Speaker 1: to me, to be quite honest, more than that here

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Speaker 1: in just one second. But to bet the over four

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Speaker 1: and a half rounds, I think is a good play.

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Speaker 1: But it's expensive as holy hell. We aren't going to

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Speaker 1: lay over two dollars on a fight to go over,

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Speaker 1: so we have to parlay it with something. And so

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Speaker 1: we're going to go to the other title fight that

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Speaker 1: we're gonna watch here tonight at UFC three sixteen, and

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Speaker 1: that's Juliana Pina against Harrison. Kayla. Harrison used to fight

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Speaker 1: at one fifty five. The question would be could she

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Speaker 1: make one thirty five? She made one thirty five. She

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Speaker 1: looked ridiculously scary. Now, if we remember back in the day,

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Speaker 1: the way that Connor McGregor used to look when Connor

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Speaker 1: was making one thirty five, he looked emaciated, like a

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Speaker 1: different fighter, but he bloomed back up after the way

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Speaker 1: in rehydrated and looked dangerous. This is probably the last

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Speaker 1: time that Harrison will fight at this weight class, in

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Speaker 1: particular because we know who's coming back. The UFC made

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Speaker 1: a big announcement and they've got big plans coming down

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Speaker 1: the pike with big fighters potentially going to be on

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Speaker 1: the card. Amanda Nunez is back, all right, that's huge

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Speaker 1: for the company. How long she fights, we'll see. But

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Speaker 1: the idea is that Kayla Harrison versus Amanda Nunez fight

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Speaker 1: is the next mega fight for women. But Harrison needs

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Speaker 1: to beat Julianna Piney. You first, she's over five dollars

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Speaker 1: for a favorite. Okay, the question was if she makes weight.

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Speaker 1: It's just when, not if. It's when she beats Juliana Pania.

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Speaker 1: It's fighting. Anything can happen, crazy things can happen. But

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Speaker 1: she lost to Amanda Nunez. I mean this is a fighter.

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Speaker 1: She beat Raquel Pennington. I mean I don't know she

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Speaker 1: was able to submit Amanda, you know, very crazy, wild

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Speaker 1: like how did that happen? Type of fight. But I

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Speaker 1: mean Payne is lost to Valentine Shevchenko, you know her

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Speaker 1: her main Derondome, she lost to her. I mean this

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Speaker 1: is a fighter that has a lot of losses on

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Speaker 1: her on her resume. Juliana Paia, Okay, it's been a

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Speaker 1: great run for you, but she hasn't exactly been like

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Speaker 1: a popular champion. Folks, aren't like really running to support

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Speaker 1: her and be in her corner. She's a huge dog

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Speaker 1: for a reason. Harrison money line for the bantamweight title

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Speaker 1: to go to Harrison, But we're not laying that. We're

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Speaker 1: parlaying that with over four and a half rounds in

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Speaker 1: the main event between Arob and O'Malley at minus one

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Speaker 1: for five. We're going to take that for one point

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Speaker 1: one one point four to five units. Now Arob by

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Speaker 1: decision or O'Malley by knockout. Just in case that's wrong,

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Speaker 1: because everyone's on that. Okay, just in case that's wrong.

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Speaker 1: Maybe O'Malley wins three rounds and he wins the fight,

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Speaker 1: I'll take a half a unit. I'll take the half

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Speaker 1: unit there that's lying there from laying one forty five,

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Speaker 1: there's a half a unit there. We don't leave half

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Speaker 1: units behind. Take the half a unit and throw it

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Speaker 1: on O'Malley to win the fight on the money line. Okay,

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Speaker 1: on Sean, just to shock everybody in a show, he's back.

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Speaker 1: This is a big price on a guy who has

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Speaker 1: legitimate knockout power in a division that's not known for knockouts.

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Speaker 1: So let's see, no one's ever done it. But I

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Speaker 1: think either by money line or by knockout, I think

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Speaker 1: Male could shock some people just given them where he is,

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Speaker 1: So I don't want to get burned here by O'Malley

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Speaker 1: on the cards and all of a sudden, it's like

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Speaker 1: O'Malley gets his belt back and it sets up a

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Speaker 1: trilogy fight with Morob, and all of a sudden, you know,

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Speaker 1: we lose that because we took knockout. So just money line.

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Speaker 1: It money line in any form, even crazy submission, but

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Speaker 1: money line for O'Malley at plus two forty five for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit. All right, So two bets on

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Speaker 1: UFC three sixteen tonight. The parlay is over in the

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Speaker 1: main event in Harrison money line and then my O'Malley

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Speaker 1: to win any which way he can his belt back

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Speaker 1: against Morob for a half a unit. Now one more

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Speaker 1: baseball bet, and this was the only base but more

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Speaker 1: bet being in baseball, And this very well could be

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Speaker 1: the bet that we use for the play of the

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Speaker 1: day because those three bets are pretty exotic and tough

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Speaker 1: to get into. So I wanted to give a shot

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Speaker 1: at a play of the day Baseball. Late baseball has

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Speaker 1: been wonky as holy hell, But Charlie Morton goes for

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Speaker 1: the Orioles. Charlie Morton lost every single start that he

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Speaker 1: made until the last two. Charlie Morton has been bad

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Speaker 1: two and seven with a six point two zero ERA. However,

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Speaker 1: dating back till May one the starts he has made

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Speaker 1: now he went one inning, gave up two earned runs

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Speaker 1: against Kansas City in eleven to six loss. Not great,

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Speaker 1: but he's been getting stretched out. He's been starting to

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Speaker 1: go deeper into games. He's been giving up against the Twins.

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Speaker 1: It was three runs against the Angels, zero earn runs

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Speaker 1: against the Twins, one arn run against Washington one arn run.

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Speaker 1: Went six innings against the Cardinals in his last start

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Speaker 1: five to two win, two earn runs, and he went

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Speaker 1: six and two thirds against the White Sox last time out,

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Speaker 1: zero earned runs in a three to two win. He's

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Speaker 1: going up against well, the guy that we've been fading

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Speaker 1: quite a bit, and that is Luis Severino for the

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Speaker 1: Sacramento Ace. The a's one game one of this series

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Speaker 1: last night, five to four, by the way, but at home.

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Speaker 1: Luis Severino has a six point nine to nine ERA

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Speaker 1: in zero to five record, thirty six earned runs in

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Speaker 1: forty six and a third innings worth of work. In

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Speaker 1: his last start at home against the Twins, he went

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Speaker 1: five and two thirds and gave up eight earned runs.

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Speaker 1: He gave up nine hits in that game and they

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Speaker 1: left him out there for five and two thirds, which

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Speaker 1: is insane. In the game before that at home, he

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Speaker 1: had he pitched six innings two earned runs in a

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Speaker 1: ten to five loss to the Angels, and the time

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Speaker 1: before that, against the Yankees at home, he pitched four innings.

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Speaker 1: He gave up eight earned runs. Morten's pitching better. Sever

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Speaker 1: Reno is awful. It's only minus one twenty now. The

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Speaker 1: Orioles stink. I'm not debating that the Orioles are awful.

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Speaker 1: They just lost five to four in Game one of

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Speaker 1: this series to the A's. That's embarrassing enough as is.

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Speaker 1: They're thirteen and twenty on the road. The A's are

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Speaker 1: eleven and twenty two now at home, and they've been

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Speaker 1: just the absolute laughing stock. They've won two games in

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Speaker 1: a row though, Okay, after losing nineteen of sorry, twenty

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Speaker 1: of twenty one games, they've won two games in a row.

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Speaker 1: Beat the Twins fourteen to three, beating Now they beat

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Speaker 1: the Orioles five to four. I think it ends here, okay,

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Speaker 1: with Severarino going, I'm gonna take the Orioles on the

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Speaker 1: money line at MIUS one twenty for one point two units.

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Speaker 1: All right, So are plays for today. Three dollars exactive

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Speaker 1: box for the Belmont the two seven, six and one

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Speaker 1: horse to come in some order one to two at

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Speaker 1: the Belmont Harrison money line parlayd with the over in

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Speaker 1: the main event for the Sugar Show in marob at

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Speaker 1: MIUS one forty five for one point four to five units,

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Speaker 1: Sugar money line half a unit down at plus two

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Speaker 1: forty five, and the Orioles money line against the Sacramento

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Speaker 1: A's at MIUS won twenty for one point two units.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me

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Speaker 1: across all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt every

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Speaker 1: morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice