1 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:12,760 Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Friday morning 2 00:00:12,840 --> 00:00:15,040 Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perott. 3 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt, 4 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:20,320 Speaker 1: and we are here thanks to our friends at bet 5 00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:23,279 Speaker 1: MGM used that promo co juice one hundred when you 6 00:00:23,320 --> 00:00:26,120 Speaker 1: sign up for a new account with bet MGM. Okay, 7 00:00:26,360 --> 00:00:28,800 Speaker 1: So at three and two night last night, we came 8 00:00:28,920 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 1: close to a four and one night, but unfortunately it's 9 00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 1: pretty much a flat three and two because we'd be 10 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 1: down the juice and then we got the player prop 11 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 1: right in Jason Tatum for a quarter unit, so that. 12 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:44,599 Speaker 2: Pretty much covers the juice. 13 00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:47,199 Speaker 1: So it's kind of a zero out night three and two, 14 00:00:47,280 --> 00:00:49,560 Speaker 1: but again kind of flat. Just the way the week's 15 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:52,600 Speaker 1: been going. It's been a very very flat week and 16 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:55,080 Speaker 1: just kind of we're slogging along here for the first 17 00:00:55,120 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 1: week of March, and look, it's better than losing. Okay, 18 00:00:57,840 --> 00:01:00,200 Speaker 1: I'm not complaining, but I'm hoping that we pay up 19 00:01:00,240 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 1: some steam here on a Friday endo Saturday, try to 20 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:04,640 Speaker 1: end the game or end the week with some strong 21 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 1: plays and some strong wins. So I'm taping this on 22 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 1: YouTube like we always do, and so I'm wearing the 23 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:13,640 Speaker 1: new Daily Juice Trucker hat that I got in the 24 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:15,760 Speaker 1: mail today. It's very very cool. You can go buy 25 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:18,039 Speaker 1: one of these if you want for yourself by going 26 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 1: to fantasypros dot COM's last shop click on hats and 27 00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 1: you'll see the Daily Juice Trucker hat. But it's got 28 00:01:24,080 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 1: the whole lighting kit in here all messed up. So 29 00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:29,960 Speaker 1: I need some tutorials from our friends at Betting Pros 30 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 1: on how to get the lights right, because I look 31 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 1: totally washed out and you can't really see the hat. 32 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 1: And you can see the hat when I go forward 33 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:37,680 Speaker 1: and kind of give you a look, so you can 34 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 1: see the hat on YouTube, but you can't really see 35 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 1: the hat otherwise. I'm like, I'm all washed out. So 36 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 1: it's just I don't know, it's just one of these days. 37 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 1: It's been one of these weeks, you know, it's just 38 00:01:49,200 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 1: one of these weeks. Just kind of go all right, Yeah, 39 00:01:52,080 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 1: it's March. We're into March madness, and you know you 40 00:01:56,600 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 1: want to end the week really strong, and you want 41 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 1: to be hot. Right now, I'm kind of I'm mediocre. 42 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:04,520 Speaker 1: I'm not warm, i'm not cold. I'm just kind of 43 00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 1: that I'm just kind of there, so hopefully things turn 44 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 1: for us here today. Today is what I am calling 45 00:02:11,240 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 1: Square Friday. This is I'm just playing my teams. Man, 46 00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 1: I'm playing my teams. I'm betting favorites, and we're just 47 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 1: gonna be I don't know, We're not getting too exotic. 48 00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 2: I do have the parlay. 49 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 1: It's a three teamer, three leg college basketball parlay that 50 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 1: I have not played. But there are games that almost 51 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 1: made These are three games that almost made it onto 52 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 1: the official list. 53 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:39,760 Speaker 2: So I thought, okay, let's take those three. Let's parlor 54 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:40,280 Speaker 2: them together. 55 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 1: Because more often than not, when I think a play 56 00:02:43,639 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 1: is only okay and I cross it off, I get 57 00:02:45,880 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 1: it right. So it's how it kind of goes right 58 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 1: when you're like, eh, maybe you won't hit, then it 59 00:02:49,919 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 1: hits so. 60 00:02:51,160 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 2: Three plays to give you. 61 00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 1: Coming up here for the parlay, I've got two NBA 62 00:02:55,840 --> 00:02:57,720 Speaker 1: player props that I go want to get into. So 63 00:02:58,080 --> 00:02:59,640 Speaker 1: I want to move quickly. I don't want to be 64 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:01,919 Speaker 1: over over fifteen minutes. This is like a new goal 65 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:04,359 Speaker 1: of mine, trying to keep the actual name of this podcast, 66 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:06,960 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice to go fifteen minutes. I'm gonna try 67 00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:09,080 Speaker 1: to go fifteen minutes if I can hear. Okay, So 68 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:12,919 Speaker 1: the golf bets are all still alive, even though they're 69 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 1: not great, and Web Simpson's okay maas one even par 70 00:03:17,120 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 1: I think for John Rahm, and I don't think Patrick 71 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:24,399 Speaker 1: can't Lay is doing all that well at two over. 72 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:25,520 Speaker 2: But we'll see. It's early. 73 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:27,359 Speaker 1: Hopefully all three make the cut and we can watch 74 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:28,880 Speaker 1: it for the weekend and see how they go. But 75 00:03:29,560 --> 00:03:33,200 Speaker 1: a tough day for some. Sergio was unbelievable, but a 76 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: tough day for some, especially on that seventeenth hole when 77 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 1: you're seeing quads and quintuple bogies. Oh boy, Well we've 78 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 1: all been there, right, if you've golfed, you've been there. 79 00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:43,760 Speaker 1: But those are some pretty rough scores, guys. Shooting eighty 80 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 1: five eighty six is due to the course conditions which 81 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 1: were by the way, the course was really hard, but 82 00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 1: the weather was fine. 83 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 2: It was gorgeous. 84 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:54,600 Speaker 1: This's the course was a beast tpc sawgrass was really 85 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:58,000 Speaker 1: hard yesterday so or today or yesterday right into today. 86 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 1: So hopefully we can want all three golfers make the 87 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 1: weekend and then try to make it into the top ten, 88 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 1: top twenty, like we've got for Patrick Kentley coming up 89 00:04:06,560 --> 00:04:09,080 Speaker 1: for this today. All right, let's start with Michigan in 90 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 1: Missouri here, and as I mentioned, we're just going with 91 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:13,880 Speaker 1: my teams here. Okay, these are teams we have bet 92 00:04:13,920 --> 00:04:17,839 Speaker 1: consistently throughout the year, and I think teams much like 93 00:04:17,880 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 1: the Creighton Blue Jays teams coming off of a bye 94 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:25,920 Speaker 1: who haven't played yet. This is a significant deal to me. Okay, 95 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:29,960 Speaker 1: you've been watching, you've been waiting, You've watched a team play, 96 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:33,760 Speaker 1: and you are by far a better basketball team. 97 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 2: And you know it. You know you're a better basketball team. 98 00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:37,480 Speaker 2: And look it. 99 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 1: I get that Maryland needs this game more than Michigan does. 100 00:04:42,400 --> 00:04:42,719 Speaker 2: Okay. 101 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:46,600 Speaker 1: In Michigan is a team that just lost to Michigan 102 00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:49,679 Speaker 1: State by six. They lost to Illinois by twenty three, 103 00:04:50,040 --> 00:04:53,560 Speaker 1: sandwiched in between a win over Michigan by nineteen. I 104 00:04:53,640 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 1: know there are some injury concerns here for Michigan, and 105 00:04:57,240 --> 00:04:59,360 Speaker 1: you're like, hmm, you know, are you going to be 106 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:00,600 Speaker 1: one hundred percent healthy? 107 00:05:01,320 --> 00:05:01,839 Speaker 2: Probably not. 108 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:04,800 Speaker 1: We'll see where they are come game time. But the 109 00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:08,520 Speaker 1: line is eight a little heavy. But Michigan is sixteen 110 00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 1: and six to. 111 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:12,080 Speaker 2: The number and Maryland is twelve and five. To the number. 112 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 1: They haven't played since the loss to Michigan State, and 113 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 1: I am guessing that Michigan has been stewing unlosing two 114 00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:21,680 Speaker 1: of three going into the postseason, and maybe. 115 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:22,360 Speaker 2: They just got bored. 116 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:26,520 Speaker 1: Okay, maybe they just didn't really have much upstairs clicking. 117 00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:31,000 Speaker 1: Maryland's gonna have no answer for the inside postplay for 118 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 1: Michigan today. 119 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:32,400 Speaker 2: Okay. 120 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:37,720 Speaker 1: When they played in ann Arbor, eleven point line, Michigan 121 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 1: won by twenty four over Maryland. When they played in 122 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:45,080 Speaker 1: Maryland at Maryland and College Park, the line was three 123 00:05:45,560 --> 00:05:46,680 Speaker 1: and they won by eleven. 124 00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:49,520 Speaker 2: I think this is a double digit win for Michigan. 125 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 1: Okay, think Michigan's just gonna go and go to work 126 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:56,039 Speaker 1: and get ready for the NAA Tournament. But on the way, 127 00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:58,680 Speaker 1: they would love to win a Big Ten tournament. Maryland 128 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:01,159 Speaker 1: on there. You know in their path, they just beat 129 00:06:01,160 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 1: Penn State, they just beat Michigan State, or sorry, they 130 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:05,720 Speaker 1: lost them to Penn State and lost in Northwestern. If 131 00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 1: they did just beat Michigan State in their first game 132 00:06:08,120 --> 00:06:12,000 Speaker 1: in the Big Ten tournament, I'm laying the eighth Michigan 133 00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 1: big here over Maryland. I think they come out and 134 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:17,680 Speaker 1: have a really big victory and look like the Michigan 135 00:06:17,720 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 1: of old. They flex their muscles a bit much like 136 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:23,120 Speaker 1: Creighton did, you know, sitting and waiting and watching and 137 00:06:23,160 --> 00:06:25,120 Speaker 1: then playing. I just I think this is a big 138 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:27,479 Speaker 1: opportunity in a big game for them. I don't like 139 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:29,799 Speaker 1: the start time, Okay, I'm gonna be honest. I don't 140 00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 1: like the fact that it's a mid day start time. 141 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:37,960 Speaker 1: That can lead to some sleepy legs and not great starts. 142 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:40,040 Speaker 1: So I'm a little concerned. It wouldn't shock me if 143 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:41,960 Speaker 1: Maryland comes out and plays well in the first half. 144 00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:43,799 Speaker 1: So I thought about taking Maryland in the first half, 145 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 1: you know, plus the four, and I was like, and 146 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:49,320 Speaker 1: that's just not enough points to take Maryland. Here. If 147 00:06:49,320 --> 00:06:51,280 Speaker 1: Michigan comes out and shoots really well and plays the 148 00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:54,200 Speaker 1: way they're capable of, I'm laying the eight Michigan against 149 00:06:54,200 --> 00:07:00,400 Speaker 1: Maryland minus eight Wolverines, laying it half a unit second play. 150 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:02,800 Speaker 2: As I told you, these are our guys. 151 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 1: Alabama Againstssissippi State the lines eight and a half. So 152 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 1: Alabama ended the year by beating beating up on Georgia 153 00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:13,960 Speaker 1: by ten as seven point favorites. They beat Auburn by 154 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 1: twelve as ten point favorites that snapped a streak in 155 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 1: which they covered once over six games, and I and 156 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 1: like everybody else was scratching their heads, going what is 157 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 1: going on with Alabama? Well, the rest I think is 158 00:07:27,200 --> 00:07:29,640 Speaker 1: going to do them a ton of good to sit 159 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:32,800 Speaker 1: back and wait and get their legs back and refocus 160 00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 1: and get Nate Oates's team righted. They've got the conference 161 00:07:36,600 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 1: player of the year, they've got the coach of the year, 162 00:07:39,640 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 1: they've got a defense that should really translate well into March. 163 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 1: And if this game is close, there's something really wrong 164 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 1: with Alabama. There's supposed to be a two seed. It's 165 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:55,320 Speaker 1: time to start going and playing like it. Here against 166 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 1: a team in Mississippi State that scratched and clawed its 167 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 1: way past Kentucky. 168 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:02,720 Speaker 2: They were up big, they. 169 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:05,520 Speaker 1: Blew the lead to Kentucky to finally hang on for 170 00:08:05,600 --> 00:08:08,200 Speaker 1: a one point victory. They're up by fourteen at the 171 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 1: break and then they just they nearly lost it. They 172 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:14,560 Speaker 1: came from behind, But that takes a lot out of 173 00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 1: a team, both emotionally psychologically, and Alabama's just a beast 174 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 1: sitting there waiting all right. The line when they played 175 00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:26,520 Speaker 1: in Tuscaloosa was nine and a half Alabama one by eight. 176 00:08:27,040 --> 00:08:28,960 Speaker 2: The line when they played in. 177 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:32,439 Speaker 1: Starkville was five and a half Alabama one by five. 178 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:36,679 Speaker 1: Bama hasn't covered yet against Missippi State, and that's gonna 179 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:39,440 Speaker 1: lean some people to say, Okay, I'm taking Mississippi State 180 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:43,959 Speaker 1: for a third time to not to cover against Alabama. 181 00:08:44,040 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 1: Give them the point, it's plus eight and a half. 182 00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:48,360 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna do this like I did it with 183 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:50,840 Speaker 1: the Creighton Blue Jays yesterday. Okay, and not everything is 184 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:52,480 Speaker 1: gonna be the same. I understand that, but these are 185 00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:56,160 Speaker 1: one of my teams, and I expect Alabama to play 186 00:08:56,520 --> 00:09:01,679 Speaker 1: like Alabama and let's go Crimson Todd. Okay, this play 187 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: worries me. I'm not gonna be on. I'm not gonna lie. 188 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:06,880 Speaker 1: This plays a little bit shaky because of the way 189 00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:09,680 Speaker 1: Alabama has played down the stretch and how they've played 190 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:14,160 Speaker 1: against Mississippi State, neutral floor this time and an eight 191 00:09:14,200 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 1: and a half point line elimination game. A lot of 192 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:22,000 Speaker 1: those upperclassmen and seniors for Alabama, maybe some tired legs late, 193 00:09:22,120 --> 00:09:24,000 Speaker 1: maybe they hang around for a little while, and then 194 00:09:24,000 --> 00:09:26,880 Speaker 1: the second half Alabama just goes to work. The Tide 195 00:09:26,880 --> 00:09:30,199 Speaker 1: need to rebound and hit their threes. They do that. 196 00:09:30,320 --> 00:09:34,360 Speaker 1: They have more talent, they are deeper, they are better coached. 197 00:09:34,880 --> 00:09:36,240 Speaker 1: I'm going to lay the eight and a half here, 198 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 1: Alabama minus eight and a half against Mississippi State for 199 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 1: a half a unit. I told you we're going this 200 00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:45,720 Speaker 1: is a whole favorites and all chalk. One more college 201 00:09:45,720 --> 00:09:47,880 Speaker 1: game and then a game I can't play yet because 202 00:09:48,040 --> 00:09:50,040 Speaker 1: I'll explain why I can't play it yet here in 203 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 1: just one second, let's talk about Arkansas and Missouri. Arkansas 204 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 1: is a team that we have not played much this year, 205 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 1: and that's on me. Okay, They're seventeen and eight to 206 00:09:58,440 --> 00:10:01,400 Speaker 1: the number. Missouri is a eleventh and thirteen to the number. 207 00:10:02,520 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 1: Arkansas has been over the last month. You could make 208 00:10:06,880 --> 00:10:09,120 Speaker 1: a case that Arkansas has been the best team against 209 00:10:09,120 --> 00:10:12,720 Speaker 1: the number in college basketball. Arkansas has only covered two 210 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:16,679 Speaker 1: times on the road. At Oklahoma State, there were there 211 00:10:16,679 --> 00:10:18,760 Speaker 1: were one and a half point Dogs lost by four. 212 00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:21,120 Speaker 1: In the last game of the year, they were fourteen 213 00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:23,560 Speaker 1: and a half point favorites and they won by seven 214 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:27,360 Speaker 1: Senior Day distractions and whatnot. But before that, they covered 215 00:10:27,400 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 1: seven times, and they covered nine of ten games Before 216 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:34,160 Speaker 1: the game against A and M, which they won, they 217 00:10:34,200 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 1: just didn't cover. So yesterday Missouri was favored by six 218 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:41,280 Speaker 1: and a half. One of my guys on my radio 219 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:45,600 Speaker 1: show had them to win and cover. They won, but 220 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:49,280 Speaker 1: they hung on for dear life against a really bad 221 00:10:49,400 --> 00:10:52,040 Speaker 1: Georgia team that should not have been as close as 222 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 1: it was. Three point win at six and a half 223 00:10:55,200 --> 00:10:59,640 Speaker 1: point favorites, and now Arkansas is only minus three here. 224 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:03,080 Speaker 1: That's a little bit surprising to me, to be quite honest, 225 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:05,559 Speaker 1: And partly the reason why is because early in the 226 00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 1: year Missouri beat Arkansas by thirteen points when Arkansas was 227 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:13,640 Speaker 1: a six and a half point favorite. That's a difference 228 00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 1: nineteen and a half points. Then in the rematch, they 229 00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:19,760 Speaker 1: were on the road at Missouri as two and a 230 00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:22,439 Speaker 1: half point dogs and they won by five. That was 231 00:11:22,520 --> 00:11:24,040 Speaker 1: right in the middle of the seven game in a 232 00:11:24,120 --> 00:11:29,439 Speaker 1: row run for Arkansas where they beat Missippi State, Kentucky, Missouri, Florida, Alabama, 233 00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 1: LSU in South Carolina. They won all the games and 234 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:36,319 Speaker 1: they covered in every game as well. Eric Musselmans got 235 00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:40,040 Speaker 1: this team playing really, really well. Arkansas is a sleeper 236 00:11:40,080 --> 00:11:42,360 Speaker 1: team to make a run in the Dance. They're not 237 00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:44,760 Speaker 1: going to win the National Championship. Okay, but I saw 238 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:46,320 Speaker 1: a lot of people pop on it was forty to 239 00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:48,319 Speaker 1: one or fifty to one for Arkansas to win it 240 00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:49,560 Speaker 1: all about two and a half weeks ago, and I 241 00:11:49,559 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 1: stuck into a guy on Twitter that I know a 242 00:11:50,920 --> 00:11:52,720 Speaker 1: lot and was like, he bought in. He threw one 243 00:11:52,760 --> 00:11:55,240 Speaker 1: hundred bucks down on a fifty to one long shot 244 00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 1: for Arkansas, and he was like, look, you know, I'm 245 00:11:57,360 --> 00:11:58,920 Speaker 1: just gonna go ahead and buy this. And then if 246 00:11:59,000 --> 00:12:01,640 Speaker 1: Arkansas makes the final four or Warksom makes the lead eight, 247 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:03,360 Speaker 1: you can turn around and try to sell it on 248 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:05,800 Speaker 1: prop swap or just to have some value and hedge 249 00:12:05,840 --> 00:12:08,120 Speaker 1: off the value and try to see how you can 250 00:12:08,160 --> 00:12:08,440 Speaker 1: get it. 251 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:11,360 Speaker 2: I mean, I get the the. 252 00:12:10,760 --> 00:12:14,200 Speaker 1: Strategy there with Arkansas, but I mean they are a 253 00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:15,199 Speaker 1: gritty team. 254 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:17,000 Speaker 2: They're tough to play against. 255 00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:18,960 Speaker 1: And I'm just I mean, this is this Missouri team 256 00:12:19,000 --> 00:12:22,760 Speaker 1: is okay, they're not great. And then after playing yesterday again, 257 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:27,120 Speaker 1: this is Michigan, Alabama, Arkansas, they all haven't played yet. Okay, 258 00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:29,679 Speaker 1: this is all coming into their first game against the 259 00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:32,440 Speaker 1: team that's not that great, that had to scrap and 260 00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:35,200 Speaker 1: claw to get there to this game. It's all the 261 00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:39,520 Speaker 1: same with Maryland, Mississippi State, and Missouri. They've all played, 262 00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:42,400 Speaker 1: but they all got pushed in their first game. And 263 00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:45,200 Speaker 1: now they're coming in here, you know, up against a 264 00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:48,560 Speaker 1: big boy, and I think Goliath takes care of business. 265 00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:53,280 Speaker 1: Arkansas MIAs three against Missouri. Okay, So Michigan State minus 266 00:12:53,280 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 1: eight Alabama is eight and a half in Arkansas iss three. 267 00:12:57,120 --> 00:13:00,199 Speaker 1: Here's the last play that I can't make in college basketball. 268 00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:03,880 Speaker 1: Creighton against Yukon. This isn't the game of the day 269 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:05,600 Speaker 1: for me, man, this is going to be a barn burner. 270 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:08,600 Speaker 1: I've already told you the winner of this game wins 271 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:12,599 Speaker 1: the Missouri the biggiest conference tournament. And we have the 272 00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:15,560 Speaker 1: plus two to fifty on Yukon. Okay, So either Yukon 273 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:19,920 Speaker 1: wins and we're really happy, or Creighton wins and I'm 274 00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:20,600 Speaker 1: really happy. 275 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:23,320 Speaker 2: So one of the two. There is no number for this. 276 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:26,720 Speaker 1: Why because book Knight left the game and didn't come back. 277 00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:32,880 Speaker 1: They're calling it cramps. Okay, if he's out, we're betting Creighton, 278 00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:38,080 Speaker 1: like immediately we're on the Jays. So the books aren't 279 00:13:38,080 --> 00:13:40,360 Speaker 1: putting numbers up til they know what's going on with him, 280 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:44,120 Speaker 1: and rightfully so, because it changes everything. With him, they 281 00:13:44,160 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 1: are a legitimate threat to make a run into the 282 00:13:46,880 --> 00:13:51,080 Speaker 1: n SAA tournament in Deep. Without him, I think they're done. 283 00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:56,720 Speaker 1: So that one injury is everything. So if book Knight plays, okay, 284 00:13:57,280 --> 00:14:00,559 Speaker 1: if he doesn't play, we're all over Creighton and we'll 285 00:14:00,600 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 1: wait and see what the number is well full find 286 00:14:03,200 --> 00:14:05,960 Speaker 1: out I mean relatively early. I'm assuming we're gonna find 287 00:14:05,960 --> 00:14:07,959 Speaker 1: out what's gonna go on with that game in the 288 00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:09,800 Speaker 1: day as to whether or not he's gonna play, or 289 00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:12,840 Speaker 1: a game time decision or what. But we can't make 290 00:14:12,840 --> 00:14:15,960 Speaker 1: that play without finding out the status of the best 291 00:14:16,000 --> 00:14:17,960 Speaker 1: player for Yukon and maybe the best player in the 292 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:18,839 Speaker 1: entire Big East. 293 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 2: So we got to wait. 294 00:14:21,040 --> 00:14:25,840 Speaker 1: And if he's in, we could be taking the Yukon Huskies. 295 00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:29,200 Speaker 1: If he's out, we may be riding the Creighton Blue Jays. 296 00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:34,840 Speaker 1: Both teams had big wins. But man, that's a major, 297 00:14:34,960 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 1: major concern right now for the Yukon Huskies. 298 00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:40,920 Speaker 2: So that's a question mark. 299 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:43,440 Speaker 1: That's a half unit play that's hanging out there that 300 00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 1: I will tell you about later in the Discord channel 301 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:48,960 Speaker 1: or on Twitter one other two hashtag Daily Juice, or 302 00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:53,120 Speaker 1: on the Discord Bettingpros dot Com slast chat for the discord. Okay, 303 00:14:53,440 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 1: so let's do a couple of quick player props. Here 304 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:59,400 Speaker 1: we went on to be the Betting Pros prop bet 305 00:14:59,520 --> 00:15:02,480 Speaker 1: cheats sheet NBA prop bet cheat sheet. The number one 306 00:15:02,520 --> 00:15:04,480 Speaker 1: at the time of taping, the number one prop is 307 00:15:04,560 --> 00:15:08,640 Speaker 1: Dylan Brooks against Memphis for Memphis up against the Denver Nuggets. 308 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 1: So they have it FanDuel at fourteen and a half. 309 00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:12,760 Speaker 1: Other books around to have it. 310 00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 2: At fourteen and a half. 311 00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:17,160 Speaker 1: They're projecting sixteen point eight points at seventeen points, basically 312 00:15:17,440 --> 00:15:19,280 Speaker 1: projecting you're going to get about two and a half 313 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:21,760 Speaker 1: points of value here for Dylan Brooks. So when you 314 00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:23,480 Speaker 1: look at Dylan Brooks and what he has done so 315 00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:26,440 Speaker 1: far this year, he's averaging fifteen points seven points per game. Now, 316 00:15:26,760 --> 00:15:29,400 Speaker 1: Dylan Brooks in the game up against Washington, he only 317 00:15:29,440 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 1: scored ten points in the first game back after the 318 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:35,080 Speaker 1: All Star Break. The two games before the All Star 319 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:38,400 Speaker 1: Break he scored twenty three and twenty. But the interestant 320 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 1: thing was that Dylan Brooks is a dynamic defender and 321 00:15:41,400 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 1: he really took offense to some of the comments that 322 00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:49,040 Speaker 1: were being said by Bradley Beale about the defensive talent 323 00:15:49,200 --> 00:15:53,360 Speaker 1: in what really Dylan Brooks was, and Dylan Brooks got 324 00:15:53,360 --> 00:15:55,280 Speaker 1: pretty upset about it, and he didn't like the fact 325 00:15:55,280 --> 00:15:57,760 Speaker 1: that he was called being called just a defender and 326 00:15:57,760 --> 00:16:00,120 Speaker 1: that's all he can do because he believes he's he's 327 00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:02,040 Speaker 1: got a lot more offensive firepower. 328 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:02,720 Speaker 2: He's averaging. 329 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:05,200 Speaker 1: I mean, he's been pretty good so far this year 330 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:09,080 Speaker 1: at fifteen point nine fifteen point seven points per game, 331 00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:11,480 Speaker 1: a guy who's averaging a couple of assists a game. 332 00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 1: He's been a nice player for playing all thirty games, 333 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 1: a nice player for Memphis. And so we're not going 334 00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 1: to take John Morant today, but we're gonna look at 335 00:16:20,960 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 1: an off guard and somebody that may be a little 336 00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:25,440 Speaker 1: more fired up to go out there and put up 337 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 1: a big number. 338 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:26,400 Speaker 2: Here. 339 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 1: Dylan Brooks's number is fourteen and a half points. We're 340 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 1: going over fourteen and a half for Dylan Brooks here 341 00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 1: up against Denver. And we know what Denver does, right, 342 00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:39,920 Speaker 1: Denver doesn't play any defense. Denver just wants to run 343 00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:42,080 Speaker 1: up and down like everybody else. So this total is 344 00:16:42,080 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 1: pretty high. It's two twenty eight for the total. So, 345 00:16:45,280 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 1: I mean, John Murant may have a big game, but 346 00:16:47,320 --> 00:16:49,360 Speaker 1: we're gonna go. It's an easier number to get to 347 00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:51,360 Speaker 1: for Dylan Brooks, who went scored ten points in his 348 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:53,960 Speaker 1: last game, and then I think he's got a chip 349 00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 1: on his shoulder, probably wants to go out and prove 350 00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:57,920 Speaker 1: somebody that you know what, I can score. Don't say 351 00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:00,200 Speaker 1: Bradley Beal. Don't tell me I can't score. I'm not 352 00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:03,400 Speaker 1: a good offensive player. We're going Dylan Brooks over fourteen 353 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:05,679 Speaker 1: and a half points for a quarter unit. And the 354 00:17:05,840 --> 00:17:09,840 Speaker 1: other prop that they like is and I don't bet unders. 355 00:17:09,840 --> 00:17:11,119 Speaker 1: By the way, there's a couple on the prop bet 356 00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 1: cheat sheet at the time of taping here that talks 357 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:15,920 Speaker 1: about like Rudy Gobert under points. I don't put unders 358 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:19,199 Speaker 1: in props, just no way. I'm only betting overse Malcolm 359 00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:22,920 Speaker 1: Brogden right now, his number is nineteen and a half. 360 00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:26,400 Speaker 1: Also at FanDuel being projected at twenty one and a half. 361 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:28,600 Speaker 1: So two points of value from Malcolm Brogden, who had 362 00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:34,280 Speaker 1: a horrific game before the All Star Break scored ten points. Okay, 363 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:36,920 Speaker 1: this is a guy who averages twenty one point two 364 00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:37,680 Speaker 1: points per game. 365 00:17:37,840 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 2: He scored ten in the game before the All Star break. 366 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:43,280 Speaker 1: He missed the game against the Knicks, and some are 367 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:45,000 Speaker 1: saying maybe he was nursing a bit of an injury, 368 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:47,919 Speaker 1: but he scored twenty and twenty nine points after he 369 00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:50,399 Speaker 1: came back from that one game off, So the rest 370 00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:51,560 Speaker 1: really helped him. 371 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:52,680 Speaker 2: So here's what I think. 372 00:17:52,920 --> 00:17:55,879 Speaker 1: The rest during the All Star Break will also really 373 00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:59,560 Speaker 1: help him. And first game back, teams aren't playing defense 374 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:02,879 Speaker 1: right now, really at all Brognen's numbers at nineteen and 375 00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:05,520 Speaker 1: a half, I'm gonna take Brogden to go off here, 376 00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:06,520 Speaker 1: and I am the. 377 00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:09,040 Speaker 2: Only thing that makes me a little bit hesitant here. 378 00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:10,560 Speaker 1: The only thing that can give me a little bit 379 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:12,760 Speaker 1: of pause was the Pacers are playing at the Lakers 380 00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:15,239 Speaker 1: and the number is two seventeen and a half. You 381 00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:17,879 Speaker 1: know that the Lakers defensively, like if Lebron wants to 382 00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:20,679 Speaker 1: shut somebody down, Lebron can shut somebody down. And this 383 00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:24,120 Speaker 1: is the leading scorer here for the Indiana Pacers, right 384 00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:26,760 Speaker 1: Malcolm Brogden's score as it played in thirty four games 385 00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 1: started all over and plays thirty five minutes a game, 386 00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:30,680 Speaker 1: averaging twenty one point two points per game. 387 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:34,119 Speaker 2: So we're getting a number below his average, which is good. 388 00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:36,879 Speaker 1: Okay, the Lakers are a good defensive team, but know 389 00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:40,560 Speaker 1: Anthony Davis. So without Anthony Davis. Yeah, Lebron's coming back, 390 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:42,600 Speaker 1: and Lebron rested before the All Star break and Lebron 391 00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:44,840 Speaker 1: played in the All Star Game a little bit. But 392 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:48,320 Speaker 1: I think Brogden bounces back. Here, I'm gonna go over 393 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:51,760 Speaker 1: Malcolm Brogden over nineteen and a half points at a 394 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:55,639 Speaker 1: quarter unit as well here for today. Okay, so the 395 00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 1: place again real fast. Michigan min is eight, Alabama is 396 00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:00,960 Speaker 1: eight and a half. Areks on my US three. We're 397 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:03,200 Speaker 1: holding off on creating ucon until we find out about 398 00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:05,879 Speaker 1: the injury Dylan Brooks over fourteen and a half in 399 00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:08,720 Speaker 1: Malcolm Brogden over nineteen and a half for the two 400 00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:11,200 Speaker 1: player props each for a quarter unit. Other three bets 401 00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:14,159 Speaker 1: are at a half of units. Okay, whoops, I forgot 402 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:16,120 Speaker 1: about the don't play a parlay parlay. 403 00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:16,760 Speaker 2: Sorry. 404 00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:18,800 Speaker 1: Let me jump in here real quick and tell you 405 00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:22,320 Speaker 1: the three plays for six to one Toledo minus three 406 00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:26,920 Speaker 1: and a half Okie State plus nine against Baylor in Houston, 407 00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,640 Speaker 1: minus seventeen and a half against two lane. Okay, those 408 00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:31,879 Speaker 1: are the three plays that did not make the list, 409 00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:35,400 Speaker 1: But those are the three plays for the Don't Play 410 00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:38,960 Speaker 1: a Parlay Parlay. Last week COVID canceled it, so still 411 00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:41,240 Speaker 1: a two and seven record for us on this Don't 412 00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:42,520 Speaker 1: Play a Parlay parlay. 413 00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:43,760 Speaker 2: Toledo mins three and. 414 00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:47,399 Speaker 1: A half, Okie State plus nine, and Houston Mine is 415 00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:49,800 Speaker 1: seventeen and a half. Now back to the normal end 416 00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:52,159 Speaker 1: of the podcast minus Matt Parreltz. Every morning it's the 417 00:19:52,280 --> 00:19:55,399 Speaker 1: Daily Juice Podcast. Hopefully we get some winners. Here always 418 00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:57,560 Speaker 1: being brought to you by bet MGM. Always found right 419 00:19:57,600 --> 00:20:07,960 Speaker 1: here on Betting Pros dot com.