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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Friday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Peralt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt in. This podcast being brought to

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Speaker 2: you by our friends at DraftKings. All Right, winning Tuesday,

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Speaker 2: winning Wednesday, winning Thursday. Three consecutive winning days for us. Here,

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Speaker 2: very good week going for the Daily Juice. We get

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Speaker 2: everything in the football game right except for Denver plus

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Speaker 2: three in Courtland Sutton over he got fifty yards, didn't

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Speaker 2: go over sixty one and a half unfortunately, but the

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Speaker 2: teaser did hit. So if you bet the teaser that

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Speaker 2: made up for the Denver plus three, the overcomes in easily.

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Speaker 2: Bo Nix goes over his ushing lad McConkey flies over

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Speaker 2: his receiving yardage and the magic win on the hook.

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Speaker 2: We were lucky there with the magic on the hook.

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Speaker 2: They will a loss by six. They covered the six

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Speaker 2: and a half point line and we go four and

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Speaker 2: two on the day, up one point three five units

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Speaker 2: on the day, So four and two we'll take it.

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Speaker 2: Two and one, two and one, four and two over

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Speaker 2: the last three days. Okay, the College football playoffs begin tonight.

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Speaker 2: I'm only going to bet the college football playoff game.

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Speaker 1: That's it.

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Speaker 2: Why Because Tomorrow Saturday has the potential to be one

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Speaker 2: of the biggest betting days of the last decade. I mean,

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Speaker 2: we have three college football playoff games, we have two

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Speaker 2: massive NFL games, we have all NBA, we have all

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Speaker 2: college basketball, all the NHL, and we have a heavyweight

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Speaker 2: fight at six pm Eastern time, the heavyweight Championship of

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Speaker 2: the World between Usk and Tyson Fury. So I'm going

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Speaker 2: light two bets for us here today on a Friday.

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Speaker 2: That's it, because tomorrow is going to be our last

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Speaker 2: major card of twenty twenty four. We're talking six plays

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Speaker 2: probably coming at you tomorrow on Saturday's Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 2: So light today, make sure you listen tomorrow and watch

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Speaker 2: tomorrow because it's going to be a gigantic day for

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Speaker 2: betting on Saturday, the last Saturday before Christmas. This podcast

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Speaker 2: is being brought to you by our friends at DraftKings.

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Speaker 2: six dot DraftKings dot com slash promos. All right, let's

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Speaker 2: talk about Indiana on the road at Notre Dame. Most

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Speaker 2: books are at seven fanduels at seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: I want seven and a half. Here is why when

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Speaker 2: you look at Indiana and you look at their schedule

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Speaker 2: as to who they played, it is not impressive to me.

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Speaker 2: I've said publicly, I do not believe Indiana belongs in

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Speaker 2: the playoff. But they got a tremendously favorable matchup taking

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Speaker 2: on their in state rival in Notre Dame. It's a

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Speaker 2: rivalry game. This is going to be a lot of

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame. Obviously they're at home, but they'll be Indiana

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Speaker 2: red in that building. One hundred percent. That will be

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Speaker 2: Hoosier fans in that building. You have a nine to

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Speaker 2: three ATS team for Indiana against a nine to two

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Speaker 2: one ATS team for Notre Dame. The Irish have covered

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Speaker 2: seven straight games. The Irish have won every game that

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Speaker 2: be this year but one. The game they lost was

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Speaker 2: at home to Northern Illinois, a team they paid one

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Speaker 2: point five million dollars to to walk in there and

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Speaker 2: beat them. Home wins this year for Notre Dame. They

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Speaker 2: beat Miami of Ohio, didn't cover, they beat Louisville, didn't cover.

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Speaker 2: They beat Florida State, they covered, They beat Virginia, they covered.

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Speaker 2: They played Stanford and they covered. But a home schedule

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Speaker 2: of Northern Illinois, Louisville, Miami of Ohio, Stanford, Florida State

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Speaker 2: in Virginia. Are you impressed by that? Because I'm not.

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Speaker 2: I've been pretty negative on Indiana, but it kind of

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Speaker 2: saved me, or saved my negativity on the Irish as well.

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Speaker 1: Now, Notre Dame played really well down the stretch.

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Speaker 2: They won by forty two, eighteen, thirty seven, forty nine,

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Speaker 2: twenty one, thirty five and fourteen. They killed everybody they played,

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Speaker 2: So that's very impressive. You can't get away from that. However,

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Speaker 2: Indiana on the road played at Ohio State in their

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Speaker 2: last road game and they got killed. They got killed,

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Speaker 2: but I think they learned a little bit about playing

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Speaker 2: on the road. I think they learned a little bit

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Speaker 2: about what it's going to take to win away from home.

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Speaker 2: They beat Michigan State on the road, they beat Northwestern

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Speaker 2: on the road, and they beat UCLA on the road.

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Speaker 2: In fact, they covered in all those games. They did

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Speaker 2: not cover against Ohio State. They were catching ten and

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Speaker 2: a half and they lost by twenty three. I believe

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Speaker 2: Ohio State is way better than Notre Dame. And I

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Speaker 2: don't think Indiana is going to be intimidated about walking

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Speaker 2: in here. And I do think that Indiana's speed of

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Speaker 2: play here could come in to play could really factor

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Speaker 2: in with this a couple of things. Indiana is a

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Speaker 2: team that I think could get out to a really

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Speaker 2: fast start. So I think Indiana might be up after

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Speaker 2: the first quarter. Indiana might be up at the half.

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Speaker 2: I just think that Notre Dame's offense is good enough

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Speaker 2: to come back against Indiana, and if the Hoosiers get up,

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Speaker 2: I still think the Irish will win this game and

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Speaker 2: they will advance but I think seven is the right number.

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Speaker 2: I think Notre Dame by seven is the correct play.

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Speaker 2: Once you give me the hook, even at minus one twenty,

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Speaker 2: I think that's the right move. It's to take the

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Speaker 2: dog at plus seven and a half here against Notre Dame.

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Speaker 2: Fandos got it tonight at minus one twenty. You're paying

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Speaker 2: a little extra due for it, but I think it's

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Speaker 2: worth it. It's the number two and number three rated

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Speaker 2: scoring offenses in college football facing off against each other

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Speaker 2: against the number three and number six scoring defenses in

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Speaker 2: college football.

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Speaker 1: But again it comes back to who.

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Speaker 2: They have played four point four yards per play overall

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Speaker 2: for the Irish, that's fifth best in college football. For

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Speaker 2: Indiana four point one. That's third best in college football.

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Speaker 2: They're number two against the run, giving up just two

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Speaker 2: point six yards per rush. The Irish are number two

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Speaker 2: in college football running the full football, including their quarterback,

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Speaker 2: at six point three yards per rush. Indiana throws the

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Speaker 2: ball four point two yards. Sorry, they're four point two

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Speaker 2: yards per rush. That's seventy first. Irish give up three

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Speaker 2: point seven that's twenty ninth. Indiana top five passing offense

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Speaker 2: nine point two yards per pass play, fifth against the

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Speaker 2: Irish five point six yards given up defensively, that's number two.

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Speaker 2: Throwing Irish seven point two yards sixty fifth up against

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Speaker 2: the ninth best five point eight yards per pass play

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Speaker 2: given up for Indiana. I mean a lot of this

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Speaker 2: is strength on strength here. A lot of these teams.

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Speaker 2: They kind of mimic each other in a lot of ways.

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Speaker 2: Indiana is fifth in turnover margin. That probably determines the

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Speaker 2: football game. The Irish their second in turnover margin. I

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Speaker 2: mean one point one to one point three be on

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Speaker 2: the plus side for turnovers takeaways, taking the ball away

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Speaker 2: about two point three times per game. That's third best

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Speaker 2: in the country. For Notre Dame one point eight takeaways.

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Speaker 2: For the Indiana Hoosiers that's twenty first best in the country.

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Speaker 2: They force turnovers. They're very similar teams. They I think

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Speaker 2: both the Irish and Notre Dame. I think the Irish

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Speaker 2: could blow out Indiana. I do, but I actually think

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Speaker 2: Indiana may get off to a fast start here and

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Speaker 2: then the Irish come back.

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Speaker 1: Think Notre Dame wins the game.

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Speaker 2: Indiana plus seven and a half is the bet at

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Speaker 2: one point two units. I think Indiana is gonna hang around.

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Speaker 2: Think they could get up. Like I mentioned, Irish come back,

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Speaker 2: use the home crowd. Notre Dame wins, but I think

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame most likely Notre Dame doesn't cover enough to

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Speaker 2: I'm going to bet it Indiana plus seven and a

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Speaker 2: half for one point two units bet.

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Speaker 1: Number two, same game.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna stay with the total at fifty two nine

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Speaker 2: and three Indiana to the over this year, including four

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Speaker 2: and zero away from home to the over the Irish

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Speaker 2: seven and five, but seven and three over their last

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Speaker 2: ten games, and four and one to the over over

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Speaker 2: their last five against USC over by thirty one points

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Speaker 2: against Army eighteen points. Their last home game wasn't under

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Speaker 2: against Virginia, but they scored thirty five points. Went under

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Speaker 2: by two points five fourteen of Florida State. It was

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Speaker 2: forty four. It flew over by eleven on the flip

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Speaker 2: side against Ohio State. Indiana lost the game thirty eight

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Speaker 2: to fifteen. Game went over fifty two, same score as

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Speaker 2: this one one point over landed fifty three on the ringainst.

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Speaker 2: Michigan State fifty three and a half forty seven to ten.

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Speaker 2: Game went over against Northwestern forty and a half over

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Speaker 2: by twenty four and a half even against UCLA forty

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Speaker 2: two thirteen forty seven total went over by eight points

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Speaker 2: at home the Irish three and three to the over, however,

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Speaker 2: four and one over the last five and seven and

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Speaker 2: three over the last ten. Like I mentioned, they opened

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Speaker 2: up three of the first four games to the under

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Speaker 2: and then overs. Only two games after that went under

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Speaker 2: on a neutral against Georgia Tech thirty three thirteen went

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Speaker 2: under by five and a half points, and the Virginia

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Speaker 2: game that went under by two points. So it was

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Speaker 2: right there, just one score away from going over. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna play the over Indiana Notre Dame over fifty two.

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Speaker 2: And I know it's a playoff game. I know we're

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Speaker 2: looking at weather here. I don't think it's gonna matter

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Speaker 2: to Indiana, Okay, I don't think they care about the temperature.

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Speaker 2: It's going to be somewhere in the neighborhood of thirty

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Speaker 2: two degrees down to twenty two degrees by the end

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Speaker 2: of the game. Snow flurries are in the forecast, but

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Speaker 2: nothing too crazy. It's you know, you're probably gonna get

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Speaker 2: a you know, a dusting if anything. But the wind

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Speaker 2: is what we care about. Eight mile prior winds. As

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Speaker 2: we say, don't bet the wet, bet the wind. There's

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Speaker 2: no wind. Over fifty two Indiana and Notre Dame. All right,

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Speaker 2: that's it for today. You're on a Friday Monster schedule. Tomorrow,

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Speaker 2: Monster Monster schedule for tonight on a Friday, Indiana plus

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Speaker 2: seven and a half for one point two units and

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Speaker 2: over fifty two for Notre Dame in Indiana for one

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Speaker 2: point one unit. Here on a Friday. My name is

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Speaker 2: Matt Paroltz, following across all socials at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: Every morning it's the Daily Juice podcast, presented by DraftKings