1 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday 2 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:20,200 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast with me Matt Perrault. 3 00:00:20,280 --> 00:00:22,200 Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials 4 00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt and we are back. Well kind of. 5 00:00:26,239 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 1: Everything's a mess in my house. I'm not set up 6 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 1: at all. The camera downstairs, the room is not set up. 7 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 1: It's a whole problem. So we are upstairs here in 8 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:42,200 Speaker 1: my house for this Sunday episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. 9 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:45,360 Speaker 1: I will be back with you guys later this morning 10 00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:51,600 Speaker 1: nine am Pacific noon Eastern. For Week three NFL live stream, 11 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:54,360 Speaker 1: Terrelle Furman will stop on Bye. He'll be the guest 12 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 1: with me or the co host with me for week 13 00:00:56,800 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 1: three on the Betting Pros YouTube. We'll go through a 14 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 1: bunch of picks and plays, and I've got a bunch 15 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:06,399 Speaker 1: of leans and games. I'm watching like Patriots, Steelers, I'm 16 00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 1: watching where that number is going to go. I'm watching 17 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 1: where the Packers number is going to go. There's a 18 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:15,319 Speaker 1: bunch of games I'm watching the Chargers and the Broncos, 19 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:18,119 Speaker 1: bunch of games. Those are not games on the Juice 20 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:20,679 Speaker 1: Podcast for today, but those are games I'm going to 21 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 1: be watching closely to see what we're gonna wind up 22 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 1: doing today. So join us noon Eastern time, nine am 23 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:28,520 Speaker 1: Pacific time for Week three NFL live stream on the 24 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 1: Betting Bros. YouTube channel. Yesterday, good, good, good, Yesterday four 25 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:37,399 Speaker 1: and O we sweep the board four and oh. Four 26 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:41,760 Speaker 1: units up for US. Oklahoma was a miracle. Not gonna lie. 27 00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 1: You get a safety there at the end of the game. 28 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:50,400 Speaker 1: Absolute gift, Miami never a doubt, Ku, never a doubt, Nebraska, Michigan, 29 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 1: never a doubt. Those three bets were the three best 30 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 1: bets of the day. We go up four and now. 31 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 1: Now here's the fun thing. So Monday, Tuesday, we lose 32 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:05,760 Speaker 1: seven units. What have we done since we've won seven units? Okay, 33 00:02:05,920 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 1: so we lose seven units. We've won seven units. We 34 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 1: hit Sunday and we are flat. I dug this out 35 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 1: of the hole. We're flat. Now we're heading into the 36 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:18,840 Speaker 1: weekend or into Sunday with the whole week writing on Sunday. 37 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:22,520 Speaker 1: Is that a good thing? Not normally, But we'll see 38 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:25,280 Speaker 1: how we wind up doing normally on a four and 39 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 1: oh Saturday, I go like two and three on Sunday. 40 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:33,240 Speaker 1: Just FYI, as to how we normally roll with the 41 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 1: way things are going to go. But if you want 42 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:37,280 Speaker 1: to make your own bets, picks and plays, and you 43 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 1: want to do it with Betting Pros Premium, well then 44 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:43,720 Speaker 1: why not go an upgrade and get six free months 45 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 1: a seventy five dollars value with Betting Pros Premium. How 46 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:51,359 Speaker 1: to do that, Well, it's pretty easy. 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Okay, I've given you two 57 00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:30,799 Speaker 1: bets already for today we hit when we bet on 58 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 1: what we do Wednesday. On Wednesday, I gave you Thursday, 59 00:03:33,480 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 1: and then I gave you other bets for the weekend. Well, 60 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 1: just to refresh as to what we have played already. 61 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:43,440 Speaker 1: Dallas and Chicago over forty nine and a half. Now 62 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 1: why again, injuries to the secondary. Both defenses can't stop anybody. 63 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 1: Dallas will be able to move the football at will 64 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:53,720 Speaker 1: and the Cowboys win the game outright, But just bet 65 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:58,000 Speaker 1: the over Cowboys and the Bears. I'm stunned that it's 66 00:03:58,040 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 1: only at fifty at the moment, to be quite honest, 67 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 1: there's a thought. I guess that the Cowboys will stop 68 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:05,680 Speaker 1: the Bears, but they're gonna be down digs and bland 69 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 1: and they're banged up. Cowboys secondary is banged up. That's 70 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 1: not good, and you know the Bears will be playing 71 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 1: for their life coming up here today. Second, bet Packers 72 00:04:15,760 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 1: laying one and a half tease down from seven and 73 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:20,800 Speaker 1: a half and the Chiefs at a pick pull it 74 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:24,479 Speaker 1: down to six. Packers one and a half, Chiefs pick 75 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 1: there from as one to twenty three. Go ahead and 76 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:31,640 Speaker 1: jump in with that two leg teaser. You could do, 77 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:34,279 Speaker 1: alternative spreads, whatever you gotta do to get down to 78 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 1: an even Giants beat the Chiefs, beat the Giants and 79 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:42,680 Speaker 1: the Packers to win cover that look the Packers game. 80 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:45,920 Speaker 1: Here Here are some crazy stats for this Packers game. 81 00:04:45,960 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: Matt Lafleur. He is seventeen and six ats in September, 82 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 1: including eight and one against the spread in true road 83 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 1: games since twenty nineteen, Packers are seventeen and three ats 84 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 1: with their firs. There's three games of the season since 85 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:06,359 Speaker 1: twenty nineteen. That's the best of any team. However, and 86 00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 1: this is why I teased it. Lafleur has closed as 87 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 1: a favorite of six points or more twenty eight times 88 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:15,760 Speaker 1: as the coach of the Packers. His teams are twenty 89 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:19,359 Speaker 1: five and three straight up. However, they're just sixteen and 90 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:23,120 Speaker 1: twelve against the number and on the road they're just 91 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:26,800 Speaker 1: two and five against the spread. So they win, but 92 00:05:26,839 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 1: they don't cover. So that's why I like the Packers. 93 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:32,760 Speaker 1: Tease them down Mass one and a half for the Packers. 94 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:34,920 Speaker 1: And then on the other side, I just can't see 95 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:37,240 Speaker 1: the Chiefs going oh in three. I I just can't. 96 00:05:37,560 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 1: I mean, take whatever stats and thoughts and theories, whatever 97 00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 1: you want, I cannot see the Chiefs going oh in three. 98 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:46,240 Speaker 1: Just doesn't make any sense to me. So Chiefs to 99 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:48,080 Speaker 1: win the game against the Giants. They find a way 100 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:51,239 Speaker 1: to win to get in the whim column chiefs pick 101 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 1: packers minus one and a half. Now, if you guys 102 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 1: haven't noticed or checked out hard rock Bet as of yet, 103 00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:02,599 Speaker 1: why not goad and do so. 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Okay, don't lose this. 127 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:25,600 Speaker 1: Don't lose this bet because if all seven Jets on 128 00:07:25,640 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 1: the road against Tampa, I know it's Tyrod Taylor. Okay, 129 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:31,920 Speaker 1: I fully understand it. It's Tyrod Taylor. But Baker Mayfield 130 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:37,040 Speaker 1: is without three starting offensive linemen in this game coming 131 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:42,400 Speaker 1: up against the Jets. Okay, really tough, Baker Mayfield. This 132 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 1: is his eleventh start on short rest since twenty twenty. 133 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 1: They do score a lot in the wake of these things. 134 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:53,760 Speaker 1: But when you combine the short week, the Jets are 135 00:07:53,800 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 1: desperate at zero to two, the fact that the Bucks 136 00:07:57,200 --> 00:08:00,240 Speaker 1: are are banged up with their offensive line, and the 137 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 1: fact that Baker Mayfield, since since he's been drafted number 138 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:06,640 Speaker 1: one by the Browns as a favorite, is only converting 139 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 1: thirty nine percent of the time against the spread. That's brutal. 140 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield is the third least quarterback against the number 141 00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:17,559 Speaker 1: of one hundred and two quarterbacks that have played since 142 00:08:17,560 --> 00:08:21,160 Speaker 1: he's been drafted into the NFL. That is not good 143 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 1: at all. It is a tough situation. But winless road 144 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 1: underdogs like the Jets cover fifty nine percent of the 145 00:08:29,400 --> 00:08:32,400 Speaker 1: time in the last two decades, including going fourteen to 146 00:08:32,440 --> 00:08:38,640 Speaker 1: five against the spread last season. So Baker Mayfield, I 147 00:08:39,120 --> 00:08:41,640 Speaker 1: love Baker, But how about this stat Action Network pointing 148 00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 1: this out? The Bucks are two to zhero straight up, 149 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:46,560 Speaker 1: but they've won both games in weeks one. In Week 150 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:50,239 Speaker 1: two by three points or less. Since two thousand fifteen, 151 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:54,000 Speaker 1: teams one games in the first two weeks by three 152 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 1: points or less in both games in Week three. They're 153 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 1: four and eleven straight up in four and eleven against 154 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 1: the number, including going one in five straight up over 155 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:08,440 Speaker 1: the last decade. Give me the seven points. I think 156 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:10,559 Speaker 1: the Jets can keep it close with their defense. I 157 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:13,440 Speaker 1: think it's a low scoring game. I think Baker Mayfield 158 00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:17,200 Speaker 1: may struggle here. I like the Jets at plus seven. 159 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 1: Jets plus seven. I bought it up mins one thirty five. 160 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:24,719 Speaker 1: You can get it for one thirty one point three 161 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 1: to five units down on that. I think the Jets 162 00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 1: at plus seven. You only pay the juice if you lose. Now, 163 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 1: speaking of backup quarterbacks, let's talk about Washington and the Raiders. 164 00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:38,199 Speaker 1: Good chance that Marcus Mariota is the quarterback for the 165 00:09:38,240 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 1: Commanders here today with Jayden Daniels injury, I doubt they're 166 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 1: going to have him do this. But this is this 167 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:49,800 Speaker 1: is wild. There's some really bad numbers for the Raiders 168 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 1: here as they go from a West Coast team to 169 00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 1: the East Coast in the regular season and they just look, 170 00:09:57,240 --> 00:10:00,679 Speaker 1: you go East coast, West Coast, East coast. For the Raiders, 171 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:03,000 Speaker 1: that's really not going to be easy at all for 172 00:10:03,040 --> 00:10:05,080 Speaker 1: them to do this. And frankly, what I saw at 173 00:10:05,080 --> 00:10:07,240 Speaker 1: a Gino Smith last week is awful. I mean just 174 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 1: absolutely awful dan Quinn with a backup quarterback. I fully 175 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:16,200 Speaker 1: understand that this is not a great situation for the 176 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 1: Commanders to go into it, but the Raiders offense really bad. 177 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:23,599 Speaker 1: Teams that go on the road after scoring no touchdowns 178 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 1: in their previous game are forty nine and eighty six 179 00:10:27,120 --> 00:10:30,400 Speaker 1: straight up in the last decade. That's thirty six percent. 180 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:33,840 Speaker 1: That number drops to twenty six percent when the road 181 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:37,800 Speaker 1: team is also an underdog twenty six and seventy six 182 00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:41,600 Speaker 1: straight up teams there. Look, I liked what the Raiders 183 00:10:41,640 --> 00:10:43,959 Speaker 1: did in week one, but in Week two it all 184 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:46,360 Speaker 1: fell apart against the Commanders. And I think the offensive 185 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 1: line for the Raiders is bad. It's not average, it's 186 00:10:50,240 --> 00:10:53,000 Speaker 1: bad right now. And this defensive front for Washington, I 187 00:10:53,000 --> 00:10:55,240 Speaker 1: think is going to go out there and eat. I 188 00:10:55,280 --> 00:10:57,360 Speaker 1: don't like Gino Smith in this game. I think he 189 00:10:57,400 --> 00:10:59,000 Speaker 1: throws a pick. I think you can go ahead and 190 00:10:59,000 --> 00:11:01,800 Speaker 1: say yes for a pick with Gino Smith. You want 191 00:11:01,840 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 1: to want a prop bet for this game. But I 192 00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:07,160 Speaker 1: just think if it is Jayden and Daniels, this number 193 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:09,040 Speaker 1: is gonna skyrocket. But I don't think it's gonna be 194 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:12,840 Speaker 1: Jayden Daniels. I'm gonna lay the three points Washington minus 195 00:11:12,960 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 1: three to beat the Raiders here today. And finally we 196 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:19,800 Speaker 1: go to the Seahawks, which, if you're looking for another 197 00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 1: game that everybody is teasing, everybody is teasing. This game 198 00:11:22,960 --> 00:11:26,400 Speaker 1: Huge New Orleans is awful. Spencer Ratler has made eight 199 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:28,680 Speaker 1: starts in the NFL. He's oh in eight straight up. 200 00:11:29,360 --> 00:11:33,199 Speaker 1: I mean, that's just that's brutal. Spencer Ratler is trying 201 00:11:33,200 --> 00:11:35,880 Speaker 1: to become you know, he only need two more losses 202 00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:40,560 Speaker 1: to go OH to ten. Since nineteen ninety, Brody Croyle, 203 00:11:40,800 --> 00:11:43,880 Speaker 1: the former Alabama quarterback, was the last quarterback to open 204 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:48,520 Speaker 1: up OH to ten in his career. Look, I think 205 00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:51,880 Speaker 1: Seattle at home against the Saints. I know they've not 206 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:54,440 Speaker 1: been covering much at all, and that's got a lot 207 00:11:54,440 --> 00:11:57,040 Speaker 1: of people worried. But how about Sam Darnold. When he's 208 00:11:57,080 --> 00:12:00,560 Speaker 1: been favored by seven points or more three times his career, 209 00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:04,959 Speaker 1: He's won all three games, and he is covered two 210 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:08,920 Speaker 1: of those three games. Darnold, when he's been six points 211 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:10,839 Speaker 1: or higher as a starter, he is six and oho 212 00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:14,200 Speaker 1: straight up, and in those games he is five and 213 00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:19,240 Speaker 1: one against the number. It's hard to play against Seattle, 214 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:23,200 Speaker 1: but I do understand that Seattle going on the road 215 00:12:23,280 --> 00:12:26,760 Speaker 1: now coming back home, it's tough. But it's the Saints. 216 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 1: Everyone's teasing it down. I'm just going to lay the 217 00:12:29,679 --> 00:12:31,840 Speaker 1: seven points. I don't think the Saints can have anything 218 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 1: forward here on the road. I like Seattle. I'll lay 219 00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 1: the seven Seahawks minus seven for one point one units. 220 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:42,199 Speaker 1: So our play is for today, Dallas over forty nine 221 00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:44,640 Speaker 1: and a half Packers teased down to one and a 222 00:12:44,679 --> 00:12:48,640 Speaker 1: half pick for Kansas City Jets plus seven on the 223 00:12:48,679 --> 00:12:52,400 Speaker 1: road against Tampa Washington, laying three at home against the 224 00:12:52,520 --> 00:12:56,120 Speaker 1: Raiders in Seattle, laying seven at home against the Saints. 225 00:12:56,280 --> 00:12:58,680 Speaker 1: I'll have more picks and prop for you guys on 226 00:12:58,720 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 1: the live stream at noon East time when Trell Firman 227 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:04,160 Speaker 1: joins me later on today on the YouTube channel for 228 00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:06,079 Speaker 1: Petting Pros, my name is Matt Parol. To follow me 229 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:08,760 Speaker 1: across all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning 230 00:13:08,760 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 1: wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is the Daily 231 00:13:11,480 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 1: Juice