Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.
Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,
Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation,
Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now,
Speaker 1: here's your host, Paul. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I
Speaker 1: am Paul Chargi and co host today Matt Harrison. I
Speaker 1: am Matt Harrison. Yes, I think I think you were up.
Speaker 1: I think it was your turn in the order, the
Speaker 1: batting order. Yeah, we've been we've been rotating around fairly
Speaker 1: well this summer, I think. Yeah. Actually, I mean Brian,
Speaker 1: Brian had all of last summer. He did, he was
Speaker 1: a Warrior last year. But we've been we've been kind
Speaker 1: of doing a good job of rotating it. Yeah, for sure.
Speaker 1: For sure, we're going to break down the key things
Speaker 1: you need to know about every team in the a
Speaker 1: f C West today. Yes, and we hext. We did
Speaker 1: all of the We've done all all the other divisions,
Speaker 1: and you can find those on previous episodes of Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly, and we encourage you to go back and
Speaker 1: delve into the archives of Fantasy Football Weekly. So we'll
Speaker 1: hit Raiders, Charges Broncos Chiefs, and you know, break down
Speaker 1: the the offseason moves, the things you need to know.
Speaker 1: Just some of the refresher stuff is we're starting to
Speaker 1: get into the draft season and really, I've said this
Speaker 1: now for two straight weeks, really optimistic by the time
Speaker 1: you hear the skillotine leagues dot Com will be I've been.
Speaker 1: I've just been refreshing it over and over. Control of five,
Speaker 1: control of five, and a bore people with all the
Speaker 1: little details. But yeah, it hasn't just trying to get
Speaker 1: all the just sharpening the blade. Yeah, that's right with that.
Speaker 1: All right, let's start with you if you don't mind Raiders,
Speaker 1: How does you want to start with Raiders? Okay, let's
Speaker 1: start with the Raiders, a team that I think everybody
Speaker 1: feels like is on an uptick right now based on
Speaker 1: is there any team in the a f C West
Speaker 1: that doesn't feel like they're on kind of an uptick?
Speaker 1: I mean, Kansas City can't be on the uptick since
Speaker 1: they've been they've been up there so long and they
Speaker 1: lost Tyreek kill. Um. So we'll start with Derek carr Uh.
Speaker 1: He seems very secure in his position, so much so
Speaker 1: that he said Colin Kaepernick would fit really well in Vegas.
Speaker 1: I mean, if Cars given that endorsement, that's kind of cool. Um.
Speaker 1: He had the best passing year of his eight year
Speaker 1: career last season, just over forty hundred yards, but only
Speaker 1: twenty three touchdowns Through seventeen games. His a DP has
Speaker 1: shot up to QB fourteen, which is about as high
Speaker 1: as it's ever been, just behind Aaron Rodgers on the list.
Speaker 1: It is as high as it's ever been, no doubt
Speaker 1: about it. But you know, you look at that lacking
Speaker 1: passing score total and if you want to emulate what
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers does, you go get Aaron Rodgers favorite receiver.
Speaker 1: And they traded for Davante Adams, who is the wide
Speaker 1: receiver who's had the most receiving scorers in the league
Speaker 1: over the last handful of years, twenty nine in the
Speaker 1: last two years alone. Uh five different double digit receiving
Speaker 1: touchdown campaigns in his career. Oh, by the way, he
Speaker 1: was cars teammate at Fresno State. Both entered the league
Speaker 1: in both were second round picks. But Derek Carr's just
Speaker 1: not Aaron Rodgers. And this is Davante Adams entering his
Speaker 1: age thirties season so despite this shotguns since City Wedding,
Speaker 1: I'd scale back my expectations on Adams just a little bit.
Speaker 1: He's an Alpha, but there's a couple other players there
Speaker 1: who really need the ball, and they're good enough that
Speaker 1: he's got the best supporting cast around him. As far
Speaker 1: as other options, including Hunter Renfrow, who they liked enough
Speaker 1: to resign to a brand new deal this week, Yeah,
Speaker 1: let's go to him. He was kind of thought going
Speaker 1: into last Seaons maybe the third, fourth, fifth option in Vegas,
Speaker 1: and he really took over that team starting in training camp,
Speaker 1: held Brian Edwards off the field, was really better than
Speaker 1: Henry Ruggs when he was still a part of the team,
Speaker 1: and out of the eighteen games last year including the playoffs,
Speaker 1: Renfro had six or more catches in eleven and he
Speaker 1: scored an eight different games. So he was very consistent.
Speaker 1: I mean kind of like the the poor Man's Cooper Cup. Really,
Speaker 1: Renfro was a third tier fantasy asset prior to the
Speaker 1: second half of last year when everybody else went down
Speaker 1: and that offense had to funnel through him. And so
Speaker 1: the question in my mind is healthy Darren Waller Adams
Speaker 1: Now there what do you know where does that leave
Speaker 1: Hunter Renfro in the pecking order when Derek car goes back.
Speaker 1: I mean, is he is he number three of three here?
Speaker 1: Or is he the guy who developed such a rapport
Speaker 1: with David Carr over the last year that he's still
Speaker 1: number one in David Carr's eyes? Could be? Could be
Speaker 1: a little bit of both, um, I mean Renfro and Adams?
Speaker 1: What a what a tandem? Adams has never had as
Speaker 1: good of a wide receiver on the other side since
Speaker 1: Jordy Nelson. Did they play together? Yeah, like in his
Speaker 1: first cup? Okay, I mean Adams Adams then there was
Speaker 1: a ball dropping fool back in those days. So I
Speaker 1: mean and then you he's never Adams has never had
Speaker 1: a tight end as good as Darren Waller, who was
Speaker 1: injured for most one. Even when he did play, he
Speaker 1: was kind of a shell of his Those were two
Speaker 1: yards seasons. He also scored nine times in Yep, that's it.
Speaker 1: I should have warned. All we need is a piece
Speaker 1: of tape and abe maker I need. I need to
Speaker 1: do this. I'll just talk the rest of the time.
Speaker 1: Go get the label maker. Don't tap me if you're
Speaker 1: worrying In the background. That's the label maker snip. All right,
Speaker 1: Waller seemed like the only option in nineteen and twenty
Speaker 1: though from getting the label maker. You keep talking, are you?
Speaker 1: This is this is great podcasting here. Um, he might
Speaker 1: be the third fiddle in this offense. And he's sure
Speaker 1: a top five tight end on draft day. Really has
Speaker 1: the potential to finish in the top three if a
Speaker 1: few touchdowns break right for him. Here comes charged back
Speaker 1: into the room with the label maker. I'm so impressed,
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna move on to Josh Jacobs. He just
Speaker 1: had his fifth year option declined by the Raiders. He's
Speaker 1: in a contract here, it's likely his last year in
Speaker 1: Las Vegas. And I haven't even mentioned yet that he's
Speaker 1: got a new head coach in Josh McDaniels, who fell
Speaker 1: out of the Bill Belichick tree, which means Shenanigans could
Speaker 1: be afoot with the running backs. Kenyan Drake is back
Speaker 1: in Las Vegas. Brandon Bolden came over with McDaniels, and
Speaker 1: Bolden was used a lot in the passing game in
Speaker 1: New England last year. Amir Abdullah is still there. I
Speaker 1: heard the snip. There was the snip of that. That's right.
Speaker 1: That was the snip of my label maker, got right here,
Speaker 1: nine nine x UM. The Raiders also drafted Zamir White
Speaker 1: in the fourth round and Brittain Brown a little bit later.
Speaker 1: Zamir White could be a factor in Las Vegas this year.
Speaker 1: Jacobs was already coming off his lowest touch total season
Speaker 1: in his three year career. So there's not a lot
Speaker 1: of confidence here in Jacobs wouldn't surprise me at all
Speaker 1: if he was held under the two touch mark this year,
Speaker 1: with Drake Bolden and Zamir White all factoring into the city.
Speaker 1: Now I agree with all that, but let me throw
Speaker 1: this out, okay throwing Is there any chance that, especially
Speaker 1: with Sam the draft pick is a mere White, they
Speaker 1: already know that they are likely to move on from
Speaker 1: him and they just use Josh Jacobs up. Yeah, they could.
Speaker 1: They could definitely do that. But just knowing how McDaniels
Speaker 1: operated the offense in New England last year, you had
Speaker 1: Damien Harris for some games, you had Romandre Stevenson for
Speaker 1: some games, really a factor in the passing game. He
Speaker 1: had like forty eight catches last year unbeknownst to most.
Speaker 1: So UM, I just think that it's probably a three
Speaker 1: headed monster here. At the minimum I think it is,
Speaker 1: I'm not touching Josh Jacobs in uh, other than he's
Speaker 1: a real do the opposite guy this year, right, I mean,
Speaker 1: you know you're gonna be able to get Josh Jacobs
Speaker 1: in the fifth, sixth round and at that point he
Speaker 1: starts to make a little more sound. I believe his
Speaker 1: a DP is in the sixth Right now, that's all
Speaker 1: I got for theaters if you want to YEA, let's
Speaker 1: talk Chargers right now. Uh, the beginning with Justin Herbert,
Speaker 1: the air Bear, the air Bear. Oh why didn't I
Speaker 1: wear my air Bear T shirt? Available Chuck Fantasy dot com.
Speaker 1: He Justin Herbert. You know, I knew he had a
Speaker 1: good season, but you kind of forget all the details.
Speaker 1: Sometimes he went back and dug back in pretty much
Speaker 1: in any scoring system. He ended up being the second
Speaker 1: highest scoring fantasy quarterback last year, aided by five thousand
Speaker 1: passing yards and thirty eight passing touchdowns. Helps a lot.
Speaker 1: But here's the one thing you may not realize. Herbert's
Speaker 1: a sneaky, reliable rushing threat. Last year he ran for
Speaker 1: three hundred yards and three touchdowns. Uh, A very mobile
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray as a comparable, ran four only one hundred
Speaker 1: more yards and two more rushing touchdowns, And we think
Speaker 1: of Murray as being high Lee mobile. You on had
Speaker 1: a hundred more yards and two more rushing touchdowns, and
Speaker 1: two years ago Herbert ran for the same five touchdowns
Speaker 1: I'm talking about. So uh and Herbert was six and
Speaker 1: rushing attempts last year. So the mobility really, it's just
Speaker 1: it's like the cherry on top of the Justin Herbert
Speaker 1: Sunday that you get when you invest a high draft
Speaker 1: pick in him. Let's go to the running game. Austin
Speaker 1: Ekeler current ADP is second overall. I know that's um, yeah,
Speaker 1: in the league obviously the league player. He was touted
Speaker 1: by you and I Matt for a long time. No,
Speaker 1: that's a sad trump bone. Where's the peacock? Where it is? Labelmaker?
Speaker 1: Should I label it massy or cock? P cock? The
Speaker 1: letter p cock? Um? So you and I have we
Speaker 1: were we were Austin Ekeler believers for a couple of
Speaker 1: years and it really took until this coaching administration to
Speaker 1: let him be a full time player. But how much
Speaker 1: weight do you put into the draft acquisition of idea
Speaker 1: Isaiah Spiller, because I'm nervous about it. He is a
Speaker 1: talented back who could easily siphon off enough carries to
Speaker 1: make it almost impossible for Eckler to make good on
Speaker 1: that to a DP. It's just the ADP is so high,
Speaker 1: and I love the guy, but he has to have
Speaker 1: another workhorse year and he's only ever had one of those. Yeah,
Speaker 1: And I think it was the last time I was
Speaker 1: on the show, I was talking a little bit about
Speaker 1: Spiller and how I was a little nervous about Ekeler,
Speaker 1: and you were even surprised that I was like, maybe
Speaker 1: it's time to jump off the Eckler bandwagon then, rather
Speaker 1: than a year two late at his ADP, there's I
Speaker 1: think there's some concern for that. Still love him as
Speaker 1: a player and everything. And remember one other thing. Ovin's coordinator,
Speaker 1: Joe Lombardi has always used shared back fields in New Orleans, right,
Speaker 1: and you know he has no last year was a
Speaker 1: was the off was the weird workhorse year for Ekeler,
Speaker 1: the weird workhorse year for Joe Lombardi. They didn't have
Speaker 1: anybody else that was it. I don't think that anybody
Speaker 1: else they wanted to get the ball. Larry Roundtree. They
Speaker 1: you know, Justin Jackson is not even in the NFL
Speaker 1: right now, So roll all that together. I'm nervous about Ekeler.
Speaker 1: Let's talk about Spiller for a minute. Most services had
Speaker 1: Spiller rated as a third round talent. He ended up
Speaker 1: going fourth round um and it was the third uh
Speaker 1: it Most had him as the third running back up
Speaker 1: the board. I think he went like fourth or fifth
Speaker 1: running back up the board. Very good all purpose back,
Speaker 1: creates his own yards, patient runner, punishing, punishing for opposing tacklers.
Speaker 1: And he's got good hands and that's very important for
Speaker 1: a Joe Lombardi offense. Very productive at Texas A and
Speaker 1: M So there's a lot to like about Spiller, and
Speaker 1: I do believe he will end up being a uh.
Speaker 1: He'll be more of a factor this year than any
Speaker 1: one other running back was in the Chargers offense. I
Speaker 1: agree with that. Let's talk Mike william Uh. Just last episode,
Speaker 1: I discussed his downside in great details, so I'm not
Speaker 1: gonna spend a lot more time on it. But Matt,
Speaker 1: I will just tell you, although I know you listened
Speaker 1: to last week's I am nervous about any player who
Speaker 1: puts up by far their best season in their contract year,
Speaker 1: and that's what he just did. ADP is expensive right
Speaker 1: now for Mike Williams, so I'm I have some hesitation
Speaker 1: on him. Keenan Allen no real changes here. At least
Speaker 1: a hundred thirty six targets in five straight years, which
Speaker 1: is amazing. The model of consistency at the wide receiver,
Speaker 1: it really is. It really is. If you have Keenan
Speaker 1: Allen as your second wide receiver on your fantasy team,
Speaker 1: I'm showing you a great fantasy team. You really are
Speaker 1: and just ideal for Guillotine League US because he just
Speaker 1: doesn't give you dud games. Get this, Over the last
Speaker 1: three years, Keenan Allen has had three total dud games
Speaker 1: where he failed to hit four catches or fifty receiving
Speaker 1: yards for three years. All the rest of them have
Speaker 1: been at least the four catches and over fifty yards.
Speaker 1: It's it's amazing consistent, Pop. You just avoided the dud game. Uh.
Speaker 1: Josh Palmer's fascinating. I hadn't realized how much he stepped
Speaker 1: up at the end of the season, and I believe
Speaker 1: he will walk into the number three receiving role in
Speaker 1: an offense in which your quarterback just through for five
Speaker 1: thousand yards. Right, there's there's yardage to go around. I
Speaker 1: loved a sleeper Josh Palmer. Here. Get this before and
Speaker 1: after December twelfth. The game on December twelve, for Josh Palmer,
Speaker 1: his snaps went from eighteen per game to forty eight
Speaker 1: per game. That's a tripling. His targets went from two
Speaker 1: per game to six per game. That's a tripling. His
Speaker 1: yards went from fourteen to thirty seven. His touchdowns went
Speaker 1: from one touchdown before December twelve to three touchdowns after
Speaker 1: December twelve. It's it's triple Palmer. It is Fantasy points
Speaker 1: per game went from two to seven. That's more than triple.
Speaker 1: It is a little bit more than triple Josh Palmer.
Speaker 1: If that if those last five games that we saw
Speaker 1: at the end of the year, or any indication of
Speaker 1: what's coming this year, Josh Palmer is going to be
Speaker 1: a sneaky draft pick. I would like to extrapolate all
Speaker 1: those and makes him like wide receiver, and I'm not
Speaker 1: ready to quite do that, not on seven fantasy points
Speaker 1: per game. But I think it showed where a young
Speaker 1: receiver had earned the trust of the coaching staff, and
Speaker 1: he rolls into a much bigger role this year tight end.
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna spend a lot of time on Gerald
Speaker 1: Everett and Donald Parham, but I'm only gonna mention this.
Speaker 1: Evert's on his third team in three years. He doesn't
Speaker 1: interest me at all. He's just a guy. Parham, however,
Speaker 1: is very interesting. Is a last pick of the draft
Speaker 1: dart throw. He's entering his pivotal third year. Is a
Speaker 1: tight end, gigantic. He's six ft eight, two hundred forty pounds,
Speaker 1: and he's fast, athletic, has just one drop in two years.
Speaker 1: His season last year got cut short on a on
Speaker 1: a big time SUPERSTI ay hit, Yeah, the souper you
Speaker 1: remember it so but part him. I think it is
Speaker 1: a fascinating dart throw tight end, and I'd keep an
Speaker 1: eye on Donald parm offensive line game first rounder Zion
Speaker 1: Johnson for the Chargers. Let's take a break, Matt. When
Speaker 1: we come back, let's talk through Broncos and Chiefs Segment
Speaker 1: number two Fantasy Football Weekly, breaking down the teams of
Speaker 1: the a f C West, and we now pivot to
Speaker 1: the Denver Broncos home of Denver, home of Mary's Mountain Cookies,
Speaker 1: which I could not recommend more highly. You had me
Speaker 1: at cookies. I'm in Where when are we going? Uh,
Speaker 1: they'll ship road trip, Yeah, they'll ship him. I've got
Speaker 1: some of my freezer. I shipped them here after I
Speaker 1: was in Fort Collins in Colorado Springs and found in
Speaker 1: this place because they're sprinkled throughout the Greater Colorado area. Uh,
Speaker 1: And I'm like, um, these are amazing. So then I
Speaker 1: came home and I shipped had them ship a dozen
Speaker 1: to me, and I ate a bunch of them when
Speaker 1: they got here, and then I froze the rest. How
Speaker 1: do they compare to the Crumble cookies? Crumble is straight
Speaker 1: garbage compared to these. I knew you'd have a strong opinion.
Speaker 1: Crumble cookies are so sweet you can't eat them. By
Speaker 1: the way, awful, my teeth are. My teeth hurt with
Speaker 1: every chocolate chip cookie is really good. Though I'm not
Speaker 1: a big fan of all their crazy flavors and stuff.
Speaker 1: Their chocolate chip is solid. But I heard you. I
Speaker 1: heard you in fish talking last week about five guys,
Speaker 1: and you were bashing five guys. Five guys isn't about
Speaker 1: the fries. Five guys is about the burger and that
Speaker 1: they only have three things on the menu and fries
Speaker 1: is one of them. You better do it well, you know.
Speaker 1: And I disagree on the fries too. I think when
Speaker 1: they get them right and they're nice and crispy, they're not,
Speaker 1: but they're so oh you gotta get him on him.
Speaker 1: Oh they're they're they're delightful, and the burger is not
Speaker 1: that great. Dan Ver Broncos, I have I have reason
Speaker 1: to believe Russell Wilson is your new starting quarterback. Yeah.
Speaker 1: I can't talk about that without talking about the offseason
Speaker 1: trade that landed them dangerous Wilson. You get to pair
Speaker 1: him with a new head coach and play caller, Nathaniel Hackett,
Speaker 1: who comes over from Green Bay. By the way, all
Speaker 1: my intel and on Hackett, he's really good, yeah, really good. Well.
Speaker 1: He brought in offensive coordinator Pat Shermer as well, who, uh,
Speaker 1: we've seen have some some good success in the past,
Speaker 1: not great success as a head coach, but as an
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator he's been above average. So they're guiding the offense,
Speaker 1: which kind of feels like it's a totally different outlook
Speaker 1: for Wilson. Getting out of the Seattle mode where Pete
Speaker 1: Carroll wants to run the ball. But I looked back
Speaker 1: on it, um, all of the Wilson, Hackett and Shermer
Speaker 1: offense is in the last three years. We're all between
Speaker 1: fifty four and fifty seven passing right in the middle
Speaker 1: of the pack. So fundamentally, it doesn't look like there's
Speaker 1: going to be some major shift. Russell Wilson's not going
Speaker 1: to pass a heck of a lot more um, But
Speaker 1: that doesn't mean that people aren't drafting these wide receivers
Speaker 1: like really high. And I'm gonna start with Jerry Judy. Uh.
Speaker 1: He had some legal issues this offseason, dinged up a
Speaker 1: bit in mini camp. Everyone is all over Judy as
Speaker 1: a sleeper, which in turn means that he really can't
Speaker 1: be a sleeper anymore because we're all wide awake pushed
Speaker 1: too high. Yeah, he's in the fourth round for ADP
Speaker 1: right now, it's too high. In ten healthy games last year,
Speaker 1: Judy scored zero touchdowns and averaged around four catches for
Speaker 1: forty seven yards per game. Now he will most certainly
Speaker 1: improve upon those numbers with a massive upgrade at quarterback,
Speaker 1: but he's going in the fourth round. Guys right behind
Speaker 1: him include Terry McLaren, DK metcalf, Allen Robinson, A Marii Cooper,
Speaker 1: Chris Godwin, Rashad Bateman, Juju Smith Schuster. I'd rather have
Speaker 1: all of the above over Jerry Judy right now. You're
Speaker 1: you're really when you take Jerry Judy that high, Matt,
Speaker 1: You're doing it all on talent and what we saw
Speaker 1: in college, and we've seen glimpses of with the Broncos,
Speaker 1: but never consistently, and projecting what that could look like
Speaker 1: if it all comes together. With Russell Wilson, You're you're
Speaker 1: betting on him being materially better and that it does
Speaker 1: all come together. You're betting on explosive output from Judy,
Speaker 1: and we just haven't seen that in the pros yet.
Speaker 1: Courtland Sutton did play every game last season. He scored
Speaker 1: two whole touchdowns. So we're drafting him at an ad
Speaker 1: PIE slightly higher than Jerry Judy. Higher. You mean earlier,
Speaker 1: he's earlier. He's earlier in the fourth round. Uh. He
Speaker 1: also had only three games of over ninety yards. I mean, man,
Speaker 1: the Broncos passing game just sucked last year. But um,
Speaker 1: he's He's four or five picks ahead of Judy right now,
Speaker 1: slightly more bankable as we've actually seen him have a
Speaker 1: thousand yards season once in his four year career. But
Speaker 1: to me, if I'm in the fourth round, I don't
Speaker 1: think I'm going to take the variants that could come
Speaker 1: with these wide receivers. And by the way, Tim Patrick,
Speaker 1: the third string wide receiver, had more touchdowns last year
Speaker 1: then Judy and Sutton have combined over the last two years.
Speaker 1: What I don't know if you have Patrick's ADP in
Speaker 1: front of you, but out of the three, I might
Speaker 1: pick Patrick if I had to pick one, I don't.
Speaker 1: I don't have it in front of me, but it's
Speaker 1: probably sixteenth round in there. Um, my favorite little sleeper
Speaker 1: from this offense is Albert aquag Bonam or Albert Oh
Speaker 1: as many like to call him. He's probably the Bronco
Speaker 1: I'll get on most of my rosters. Currently, the sixteenth
Speaker 1: tight end off the board. A twelveth round a DP,
Speaker 1: you get the subtraction of Noah Fan who went over
Speaker 1: to Seattle in the Wilson trade, and Albert Oh seems
Speaker 1: like a prime player to jump into a significantly higher
Speaker 1: target share. Wilson's tight ends have averaged six touchdowns per
Speaker 1: year over the last three and if Albert's looking at
Speaker 1: sixty catches and around six hundred yards, which is kind
Speaker 1: of line, that's probably fair where he was. I think
Speaker 1: greg deals are just gonna be a very good player
Speaker 1: and we'll eat into that, but probably not this year.
Speaker 1: But sixty catches, six hundred yards and five or six scores,
Speaker 1: that's got him at about tight end twelve. So he's
Speaker 1: definitely in play there. Uh. Finally, let's talk the runners,
Speaker 1: and it's Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon, and I'm putting
Speaker 1: them together because they are just a split right down
Speaker 1: the frustrating split or where they were last year, and
Speaker 1: I but suspect they will be this Uh. And Williams
Speaker 1: was electric for most of the year, didn't fair too
Speaker 1: well on the ground in the final three weeks of
Speaker 1: the season, where he ran for only two point six
Speaker 1: yards per carry, kind of wore down. At the end
Speaker 1: of the year, averaged four point eight yards per carry
Speaker 1: and the other four team games, but the biggest issue
Speaker 1: was the near even split, and Gordon outscored Williams ten
Speaker 1: to seven in the touchdown department. Uh. Could the better
Speaker 1: back win out in this new system. Question mark Nathaniel
Speaker 1: Hackett's offense did this last year in Green Bay. Aaron
Speaker 1: Jones had two three touches. A J. Dillon had two
Speaker 1: touches split. You have to take Javonte in the early third.
Speaker 1: He was going almost in the first before Melvin Gordon resigned.
Speaker 1: Melvin Gordon isn't going off the board until the ninth
Speaker 1: round turn. I'll take Melvin Gordon there. It's not exciting.
Speaker 1: It's another dude the opposite running back. Yeah, but round
Speaker 1: and you might get the exact same numbers. Unfortunately, four round.
Speaker 1: We all want Javonte Williams to be the guy, but
Speaker 1: it's not the cards. For the Kansas City Chiefs, we've
Speaker 1: got more change than usual, and we highlighted this in
Speaker 1: last week's show. No team has more vacated targets in
Speaker 1: the NFL by a mile than the Chiefs too, and
Speaker 1: so we do have a lot of change here. Let's
Speaker 1: start with Patrick Mahomes. Obviously, everything runs through him, and
Speaker 1: this could be a year with an unusual amount of
Speaker 1: inconsistency from Mahomes because of all these changes and and
Speaker 1: some other factors too that we'll talk about and you
Speaker 1: may have forgotten. He had a long stretch of mortality
Speaker 1: fantasy wise from mid October to early December, which is
Speaker 1: a long time, mid October to early December, a six
Speaker 1: game stretch in which he had one good game and
Speaker 1: five terrible games. For Patrick Mahomes, he had never had
Speaker 1: a stretch this bad is one good game, by the way,
Speaker 1: fifty attempts five touchdowns. The other five games I'm referring
Speaker 1: to during the six game stretch, he averaged two hundred
Speaker 1: eighteen yards and zero point four touchdowns. It's Teddy Ridgewater
Speaker 1: is looking at that and pointing and laughing. So you
Speaker 1: highlighted just an air bear. You highlighted Patrick Mahomes. Here,
Speaker 1: who's going to be higher on your cheat sheet? It'll
Speaker 1: so you're gonna be the air josh Alan one and
Speaker 1: air air bear. I believe he is too. Yeah, I've
Speaker 1: you know, I've got it done. I just have done
Speaker 1: it in front of me. But I think that's right,
Speaker 1: all right. I love I love passing consistency. Sure, yeah, anyway, okay,
Speaker 1: so let's keep moving on here. So just I think,
Speaker 1: by the way, Mahomes finished very very well. So I
Speaker 1: mentioned the six games where he you know he had
Speaker 1: this long stretcher struggled, but he did finish to get
Speaker 1: finish to your very well, multiple touchdowns in the final
Speaker 1: eight games that you including the playoffs. So you know,
Speaker 1: he's still Patrick Mahomes, but you may have more inconsistency
Speaker 1: than at any any point that we've seen in the past. Still,
Speaker 1: I just want to highlight that for Travis Kelsey turns
Speaker 1: thirty three this year, there's been a lot made of
Speaker 1: that in the off season, some small statistical signs of
Speaker 1: slowing down last year. His lowest target numbers since two
Speaker 1: thousand seventeen, his lowest yards since two thousand and seventeen,
Speaker 1: his lowest average reception distance since um all that last year,
Speaker 1: and he also had the horrible stretch of games. His
Speaker 1: stretch of bad games was even longer, Matt. Travis Kelsey
Speaker 1: went through a ten game stretch spanning from Week four
Speaker 1: to Week fourteen, almost the entire Fantasy regular season, in
Speaker 1: which he scored two touchdowns. And in that stretch he
Speaker 1: had four absolute dund games with three or four catches
Speaker 1: and less than twenty seven yards in those games. So
Speaker 1: we another player that we have been used to, Travis
Speaker 1: Kelsey being just a consistent producer. Last year, we saw
Speaker 1: that start to change. He's gonna be a year older.
Speaker 1: I think you have to build in some variants into
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey's probable outcome this year. He also broke up
Speaker 1: with his girlfriend and she revealed that she he was
Speaker 1: charging her half of the rent. Good. I love that
Speaker 1: you're back to number one. That's fantastic. Can't freeload off
Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey. I like it. He's had his own house
Speaker 1: though he doesn't pay rent, he owns a house. But
Speaker 1: I like that he's rent renting to his girlfriend. He's
Speaker 1: teaching her a lesson up front. I like that. Well there,
Speaker 1: it's his X now girlfriend. Kansas City's wide receivers as
Speaker 1: a position group, let me ask you this, Matt. If
Speaker 1: you think Patrick Mahomes is gonna throw for let's say
Speaker 1: thirty touchdowns, right you know, so you know that's less
Speaker 1: than he had and he's had in any healthy season
Speaker 1: old downticks from where he's been the last few years,
Speaker 1: one or more of his receivers is sitting on a
Speaker 1: pretty big years, probably double digits, right, Kelsey Kelsey, Kelsey
Speaker 1: takes ten right exactly? If Kelsey takes ten, I got
Speaker 1: twenty five un accounted four touchdowns. Most of them are
Speaker 1: going to go to wide receivers. Yes, six probably going
Speaker 1: to running backs, leaves nineteen for wide receivers. That's Juju
Speaker 1: smith Schuster territory right there. Let's talk about him. You're
Speaker 1: more optimistic Abottom than I am. Returns from his shoulder
Speaker 1: injury that cost him almost all of last season, did
Speaker 1: not score his four healthy games last year and averaged
Speaker 1: his average game last year, went healthy, three catches, thirty
Speaker 1: two yards. I'm not sure Ben Roethlisberger could get him
Speaker 1: the ball last year, though he's got a little bit
Speaker 1: more of a strong armed quarter was pretty good. It's true. Uh,
Speaker 1: Juju ran seventy of his snaps from the slot over
Speaker 1: the last two years, and you figure he'll take over
Speaker 1: a lot of those Tyreekill slot routes. Uh, they can't
Speaker 1: run him the same way because nobody else's Tyreek Hill,
Speaker 1: but uh he'll He'll ran about half his total routes
Speaker 1: from the slot. I think, I think, I think Juju
Speaker 1: ends up being a slot receiver in this sense. Marcus
Speaker 1: Velda scantling good reports out of mini camps. Um Normally
Speaker 1: you might say that moving to a Patrick Mahomes offense
Speaker 1: from anybody else means you're gonna get an automatic uptick.
Speaker 1: But he's coming from Aaron Rodgers, So you know. Eron
Speaker 1: throws a great deep ball. So does Patrick Mahomes. It's
Speaker 1: you know what you're gonna get with him. He's the
Speaker 1: really the team's only deep speed threat. Now the Tyreek
Speaker 1: Hill is gone, and this team loves to challenge deep.
Speaker 1: But you're gonna have the games where those deep balls connect,
Speaker 1: and you're gonna have games when they do not connect.
Speaker 1: It feels like it's going to be impossible to start
Speaker 1: Marquees Veldez. It'll take some guts, yeah, and I feel
Speaker 1: like you'll guess wrong more often than not. You certainly
Speaker 1: that was certainly the case in Green Bay. Usage probably
Speaker 1: goes up here, I think because this team does want
Speaker 1: to throw deep, and he's the obvious guy to do
Speaker 1: that too. Then let's go to Sky Moore, who I
Speaker 1: also talked about extensively last week. I love him. I
Speaker 1: want to reiterate that. I think there's a very good
Speaker 1: chance that right this minute, today, at this second, look
Speaker 1: at the clock, like your watch, your your iPhone, watch, whatever.
Speaker 1: He's the best receiver on the team. Sky Moore right
Speaker 1: now as a rookie could be the best receiver on
Speaker 1: that team by the end of the year. I feel
Speaker 1: even more strongly that by the end of your sky
Speaker 1: Moore will be the best receiver on this team. There's
Speaker 1: there's some confidence in that. Like it. Kole Hardman. I
Speaker 1: I don't see any obvious reason to believe that Hardman's
Speaker 1: role is gonna be any different in your four, except
Speaker 1: that there's more available routes to run with all these
Speaker 1: players gone. Pring gone and Robinson gone and tyreek Kill gone.
Speaker 1: Clyde Edwards Hilaire took a massive step back in year two,
Speaker 1: but his ADP suggests that people should you know, is
Speaker 1: suggest that people are bullish on him rebounding. I was surprised.
Speaker 1: I was thinking to myself going into this exercise, you know,
Speaker 1: we don't like Clyde Edwards layer, but he's gonna be
Speaker 1: so cheap. He's not that cheap. He's running back twenty
Speaker 1: five in the fifth round. That's not that cheap. That's
Speaker 1: not the discount I expected. That's not where I'm taking him.
Speaker 1: I I need a bigger discount before I'm gonna I'm
Speaker 1: gonna go move on, Clyde Edwards Hlayer. If you distill
Speaker 1: a lot of negative factors, it really gives you a
Speaker 1: clear portrait of a deeply unreliable fantasy producer in Clyde
Speaker 1: Edwards a layer. Injuries, the few goal line carries, the
Speaker 1: modest number of carries, and a bewildering lack of usage
Speaker 1: in the passing game. You put all the together, Clyde
Speaker 1: Edwards a layer, it's he's got to make good on
Speaker 1: his uh running back a DP is gonna have to
Speaker 1: be a materially different and better player than he has been.
Speaker 1: Andy Reid was known for years and years for having,
Speaker 1: you know, great running backs that caught passes and everything
Speaker 1: like that. But as soon as Patrick Mahomes arrived on
Speaker 1: the scene, it seems it seems like those running backs
Speaker 1: have just disappeared. And it's interesting to me that maybe
Speaker 1: Andy Reid just shifted his complete focus by having a
Speaker 1: weapon like and he's like, I, I just am not
Speaker 1: going to do this anymore. It's easier to pack. I
Speaker 1: could dump the ball off a bunch of times to
Speaker 1: my running backs, or I could throw four yard lasers
Speaker 1: with Patrick Mahomes. That's I think you're right let's talk
Speaker 1: Ronald Jones, presumed to be taking over the Darryl Williams role,
Speaker 1: is reflected by another healthy ADP. He's running back forty
Speaker 1: one in the ninth round. I don't love it. I
Speaker 1: just don't know that he's any good. You know, the
Speaker 1: Bucks certainly don't think he was. You know, it's it's
Speaker 1: been two years since they've given him any kind of
Speaker 1: meaningful role with Tampa Bay and they just let him walk. Yeah,
Speaker 1: you're not gonna have a Kansas City running back on
Speaker 1: your roster charge. Probably you won't. I won't. There's one guy, really,
Speaker 1: So then let's talk about Derek Gore or average five
Speaker 1: yards carry last year, but didn't impress Andy Reid enough
Speaker 1: to get any kind of role in the postseason, in
Speaker 1: which he had a three carry game, a zero carry
Speaker 1: game in an inactive game in the in the postseason.
Speaker 1: Um and so I I'm not that I'm not that
Speaker 1: intrigued by Derek Gore, honestly. Rookie Isaiah Paschico, on the
Speaker 1: other hand, so he was a seventh round draft pick
Speaker 1: out of Rutger's horrible offensive line, but he somehow managed
Speaker 1: to still be productive and he showed some real moments
Speaker 1: of explosiveness, good speed, good footwork, really good. He's got
Speaker 1: four three eight right, a four three at forty um
Speaker 1: and he's he's gonna win the Jussical build. I like another.
Speaker 1: I've already recommended another player. Donald Parham is the last
Speaker 1: pick in your draft, Isaiah Pascheko, Let's watch him in
Speaker 1: the prese. You're going to trade down for multiple last
Speaker 1: round picks. I'm you're gonna get a whole bunch of
Speaker 1: first and a whole bunch of lasts. I like that idea.
Speaker 1: All right, thanks for listening to our breakdown to the
Speaker 1: a f C West. Next week NFC West, and then
Speaker 1: we've done all the teams. Yeah, I'll come back and
Speaker 1: do the NFC West with you. How about that would be?
Speaker 1: That would be fantastic. Talk to you in a week. Everybody.
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