1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:04,520 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 2 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:10,000 Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 3 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, 4 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 5 00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:23,239 Speaker 1: here's your host, Paul. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I 6 00:00:23,280 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 1: am Paul Chargi and co host today Matt Harrison. I 7 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 1: am Matt Harrison. Yes, I think I think you were up. 8 00:00:31,760 --> 00:00:33,199 Speaker 1: I think it was your turn in the order, the 9 00:00:33,200 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 1: batting order. Yeah, we've been we've been rotating around fairly 10 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 1: well this summer, I think. Yeah. Actually, I mean Brian, 11 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:42,519 Speaker 1: Brian had all of last summer. He did, he was 12 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:45,360 Speaker 1: a Warrior last year. But we've been we've been kind 13 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:47,840 Speaker 1: of doing a good job of rotating it. Yeah, for sure. 14 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:52,200 Speaker 1: For sure, we're going to break down the key things 15 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:53,560 Speaker 1: you need to know about every team in the a 16 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 1: f C West today. Yes, and we hext. We did 17 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:59,280 Speaker 1: all of the We've done all all the other divisions, 18 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:02,080 Speaker 1: and you can find those on previous episodes of Fantasy 19 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 1: Football Weekly, and we encourage you to go back and 20 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 1: delve into the archives of Fantasy Football Weekly. So we'll 21 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 1: hit Raiders, Charges Broncos Chiefs, and you know, break down 22 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: the the offseason moves, the things you need to know. 23 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:16,920 Speaker 1: Just some of the refresher stuff is we're starting to 24 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:20,760 Speaker 1: get into the draft season and really, I've said this 25 00:01:20,840 --> 00:01:24,320 Speaker 1: now for two straight weeks, really optimistic by the time 26 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:27,759 Speaker 1: you hear the skillotine leagues dot Com will be I've been. 27 00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 1: I've just been refreshing it over and over. Control of five, 28 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 1: control of five, and a bore people with all the 29 00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 1: little details. But yeah, it hasn't just trying to get 30 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:44,320 Speaker 1: all the just sharpening the blade. Yeah, that's right with that. 31 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 1: All right, let's start with you if you don't mind Raiders, 32 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 1: How does you want to start with Raiders? Okay, let's 33 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 1: start with the Raiders, a team that I think everybody 34 00:01:51,800 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 1: feels like is on an uptick right now based on 35 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: is there any team in the a f C West 36 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 1: that doesn't feel like they're on kind of an uptick? 37 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 1: I mean, Kansas City can't be on the uptick since 38 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 1: they've been they've been up there so long and they 39 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:09,960 Speaker 1: lost Tyreek kill. Um. So we'll start with Derek carr Uh. 40 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:12,839 Speaker 1: He seems very secure in his position, so much so 41 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:15,840 Speaker 1: that he said Colin Kaepernick would fit really well in Vegas. 42 00:02:15,919 --> 00:02:19,520 Speaker 1: I mean, if Cars given that endorsement, that's kind of cool. Um. 43 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:21,680 Speaker 1: He had the best passing year of his eight year 44 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 1: career last season, just over forty hundred yards, but only 45 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:29,960 Speaker 1: twenty three touchdowns Through seventeen games. His a DP has 46 00:02:30,000 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 1: shot up to QB fourteen, which is about as high 47 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: as it's ever been, just behind Aaron Rodgers on the list. 48 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:38,800 Speaker 1: It is as high as it's ever been, no doubt 49 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 1: about it. But you know, you look at that lacking 50 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,680 Speaker 1: passing score total and if you want to emulate what 51 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers does, you go get Aaron Rodgers favorite receiver. 52 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 1: And they traded for Davante Adams, who is the wide 53 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 1: receiver who's had the most receiving scorers in the league 54 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:57,200 Speaker 1: over the last handful of years, twenty nine in the 55 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:02,079 Speaker 1: last two years alone. Uh five different double digit receiving 56 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:05,960 Speaker 1: touchdown campaigns in his career. Oh, by the way, he 57 00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:09,040 Speaker 1: was cars teammate at Fresno State. Both entered the league 58 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:13,360 Speaker 1: in both were second round picks. But Derek Carr's just 59 00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:17,080 Speaker 1: not Aaron Rodgers. And this is Davante Adams entering his 60 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:20,919 Speaker 1: age thirties season so despite this shotguns since City Wedding, 61 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:24,480 Speaker 1: I'd scale back my expectations on Adams just a little bit. 62 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:27,600 Speaker 1: He's an Alpha, but there's a couple other players there 63 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:30,080 Speaker 1: who really need the ball, and they're good enough that 64 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 1: he's got the best supporting cast around him. As far 65 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 1: as other options, including Hunter Renfrow, who they liked enough 66 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 1: to resign to a brand new deal this week, Yeah, 67 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 1: let's go to him. He was kind of thought going 68 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:44,160 Speaker 1: into last Seaons maybe the third, fourth, fifth option in Vegas, 69 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 1: and he really took over that team starting in training camp, 70 00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:50,800 Speaker 1: held Brian Edwards off the field, was really better than 71 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 1: Henry Ruggs when he was still a part of the team, 72 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:56,600 Speaker 1: and out of the eighteen games last year including the playoffs, 73 00:03:57,160 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 1: Renfro had six or more catches in eleven and he 74 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 1: scored an eight different games. So he was very consistent. 75 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 1: I mean kind of like the the poor Man's Cooper Cup. Really, 76 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 1: Renfro was a third tier fantasy asset prior to the 77 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: second half of last year when everybody else went down 78 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 1: and that offense had to funnel through him. And so 79 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 1: the question in my mind is healthy Darren Waller Adams 80 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:25,719 Speaker 1: Now there what do you know where does that leave 81 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 1: Hunter Renfro in the pecking order when Derek car goes back. 82 00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 1: I mean, is he is he number three of three here? 83 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 1: Or is he the guy who developed such a rapport 84 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:38,280 Speaker 1: with David Carr over the last year that he's still 85 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:40,440 Speaker 1: number one in David Carr's eyes? Could be? Could be 86 00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: a little bit of both, um, I mean Renfro and Adams? 87 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:47,240 Speaker 1: What a what a tandem? Adams has never had as 88 00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:48,840 Speaker 1: good of a wide receiver on the other side since 89 00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:52,440 Speaker 1: Jordy Nelson. Did they play together? Yeah, like in his 90 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 1: first cup? Okay, I mean Adams Adams then there was 91 00:04:56,600 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 1: a ball dropping fool back in those days. So I 92 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:01,720 Speaker 1: mean and then you he's never Adams has never had 93 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 1: a tight end as good as Darren Waller, who was 94 00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 1: injured for most one. Even when he did play, he 95 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:11,160 Speaker 1: was kind of a shell of his Those were two 96 00:05:11,960 --> 00:05:17,720 Speaker 1: yards seasons. He also scored nine times in Yep, that's it. 97 00:05:20,160 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 1: I should have warned. All we need is a piece 98 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:29,320 Speaker 1: of tape and abe maker I need. I need to 99 00:05:29,360 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 1: do this. I'll just talk the rest of the time. 100 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 1: Go get the label maker. Don't tap me if you're 101 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 1: worrying In the background. That's the label maker snip. All right, 102 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 1: Waller seemed like the only option in nineteen and twenty 103 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:46,760 Speaker 1: though from getting the label maker. You keep talking, are you? 104 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:51,839 Speaker 1: This is this is great podcasting here. Um, he might 105 00:05:51,880 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 1: be the third fiddle in this offense. And he's sure 106 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:57,680 Speaker 1: a top five tight end on draft day. Really has 107 00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:00,279 Speaker 1: the potential to finish in the top three if a 108 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 1: few touchdowns break right for him. Here comes charged back 109 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 1: into the room with the label maker. I'm so impressed, 110 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:11,159 Speaker 1: but I'm gonna move on to Josh Jacobs. He just 111 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:14,600 Speaker 1: had his fifth year option declined by the Raiders. He's 112 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:17,279 Speaker 1: in a contract here, it's likely his last year in 113 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:20,280 Speaker 1: Las Vegas. And I haven't even mentioned yet that he's 114 00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 1: got a new head coach in Josh McDaniels, who fell 115 00:06:22,640 --> 00:06:26,240 Speaker 1: out of the Bill Belichick tree, which means Shenanigans could 116 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:29,360 Speaker 1: be afoot with the running backs. Kenyan Drake is back 117 00:06:29,400 --> 00:06:33,839 Speaker 1: in Las Vegas. Brandon Bolden came over with McDaniels, and 118 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:36,359 Speaker 1: Bolden was used a lot in the passing game in 119 00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:39,880 Speaker 1: New England last year. Amir Abdullah is still there. I 120 00:06:39,960 --> 00:06:42,840 Speaker 1: heard the snip. There was the snip of that. That's right. 121 00:06:42,960 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 1: That was the snip of my label maker, got right here, 122 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:52,720 Speaker 1: nine nine x UM. The Raiders also drafted Zamir White 123 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 1: in the fourth round and Brittain Brown a little bit later. 124 00:06:55,800 --> 00:06:59,120 Speaker 1: Zamir White could be a factor in Las Vegas this year. 125 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:02,679 Speaker 1: Jacobs was already coming off his lowest touch total season 126 00:07:02,760 --> 00:07:05,160 Speaker 1: in his three year career. So there's not a lot 127 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:07,920 Speaker 1: of confidence here in Jacobs wouldn't surprise me at all 128 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 1: if he was held under the two touch mark this year, 129 00:07:10,680 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 1: with Drake Bolden and Zamir White all factoring into the city. 130 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:16,240 Speaker 1: Now I agree with all that, but let me throw 131 00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 1: this out, okay throwing Is there any chance that, especially 132 00:07:20,640 --> 00:07:22,560 Speaker 1: with Sam the draft pick is a mere White, they 133 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 1: already know that they are likely to move on from 134 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 1: him and they just use Josh Jacobs up. Yeah, they could. 135 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:34,160 Speaker 1: They could definitely do that. But just knowing how McDaniels 136 00:07:34,200 --> 00:07:37,120 Speaker 1: operated the offense in New England last year, you had 137 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:39,960 Speaker 1: Damien Harris for some games, you had Romandre Stevenson for 138 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:43,680 Speaker 1: some games, really a factor in the passing game. He 139 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:46,960 Speaker 1: had like forty eight catches last year unbeknownst to most. 140 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 1: So UM, I just think that it's probably a three 141 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 1: headed monster here. At the minimum I think it is, 142 00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:57,720 Speaker 1: I'm not touching Josh Jacobs in uh, other than he's 143 00:07:57,760 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 1: a real do the opposite guy this year, right, I mean, 144 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:01,760 Speaker 1: you know you're gonna be able to get Josh Jacobs 145 00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:03,880 Speaker 1: in the fifth, sixth round and at that point he 146 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:05,560 Speaker 1: starts to make a little more sound. I believe his 147 00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 1: a DP is in the sixth Right now, that's all 148 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 1: I got for theaters if you want to YEA, let's 149 00:08:11,680 --> 00:08:15,000 Speaker 1: talk Chargers right now. Uh, the beginning with Justin Herbert, 150 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,680 Speaker 1: the air Bear, the air Bear. Oh why didn't I 151 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:21,280 Speaker 1: wear my air Bear T shirt? Available Chuck Fantasy dot com. 152 00:08:22,880 --> 00:08:25,120 Speaker 1: He Justin Herbert. You know, I knew he had a 153 00:08:25,120 --> 00:08:27,360 Speaker 1: good season, but you kind of forget all the details. 154 00:08:27,400 --> 00:08:30,160 Speaker 1: Sometimes he went back and dug back in pretty much 155 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:32,360 Speaker 1: in any scoring system. He ended up being the second 156 00:08:32,440 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 1: highest scoring fantasy quarterback last year, aided by five thousand 157 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: passing yards and thirty eight passing touchdowns. Helps a lot. 158 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:45,240 Speaker 1: But here's the one thing you may not realize. Herbert's 159 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:49,360 Speaker 1: a sneaky, reliable rushing threat. Last year he ran for 160 00:08:49,400 --> 00:08:52,960 Speaker 1: three hundred yards and three touchdowns. Uh, A very mobile 161 00:08:53,040 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray as a comparable, ran four only one hundred 162 00:08:56,400 --> 00:08:58,719 Speaker 1: more yards and two more rushing touchdowns, And we think 163 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:01,520 Speaker 1: of Murray as being high Lee mobile. You on had 164 00:09:01,559 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: a hundred more yards and two more rushing touchdowns, and 165 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:05,640 Speaker 1: two years ago Herbert ran for the same five touchdowns 166 00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:08,640 Speaker 1: I'm talking about. So uh and Herbert was six and 167 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 1: rushing attempts last year. So the mobility really, it's just 168 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 1: it's like the cherry on top of the Justin Herbert 169 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:18,640 Speaker 1: Sunday that you get when you invest a high draft 170 00:09:18,679 --> 00:09:21,960 Speaker 1: pick in him. Let's go to the running game. Austin 171 00:09:21,960 --> 00:09:28,320 Speaker 1: Ekeler current ADP is second overall. I know that's um, yeah, 172 00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:30,959 Speaker 1: in the league obviously the league player. He was touted 173 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:34,880 Speaker 1: by you and I Matt for a long time. No, 174 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 1: that's a sad trump bone. Where's the peacock? Where it is? Labelmaker? 175 00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:50,960 Speaker 1: Should I label it massy or cock? P cock? The 176 00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:55,439 Speaker 1: letter p cock? Um? So you and I have we 177 00:09:56,160 --> 00:09:59,240 Speaker 1: were we were Austin Ekeler believers for a couple of 178 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:03,280 Speaker 1: years and it really took until this coaching administration to 179 00:10:03,360 --> 00:10:07,160 Speaker 1: let him be a full time player. But how much 180 00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:10,800 Speaker 1: weight do you put into the draft acquisition of idea 181 00:10:11,000 --> 00:10:13,680 Speaker 1: Isaiah Spiller, because I'm nervous about it. He is a 182 00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:16,640 Speaker 1: talented back who could easily siphon off enough carries to 183 00:10:16,720 --> 00:10:20,440 Speaker 1: make it almost impossible for Eckler to make good on 184 00:10:20,520 --> 00:10:24,480 Speaker 1: that to a DP. It's just the ADP is so high, 185 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:26,200 Speaker 1: and I love the guy, but he has to have 186 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 1: another workhorse year and he's only ever had one of those. Yeah, 187 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:33,200 Speaker 1: And I think it was the last time I was 188 00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:35,079 Speaker 1: on the show, I was talking a little bit about 189 00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:37,680 Speaker 1: Spiller and how I was a little nervous about Ekeler, 190 00:10:38,440 --> 00:10:40,640 Speaker 1: and you were even surprised that I was like, maybe 191 00:10:40,720 --> 00:10:45,280 Speaker 1: it's time to jump off the Eckler bandwagon then, rather 192 00:10:45,320 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 1: than a year two late at his ADP, there's I 193 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:49,640 Speaker 1: think there's some concern for that. Still love him as 194 00:10:49,640 --> 00:10:53,240 Speaker 1: a player and everything. And remember one other thing. Ovin's coordinator, 195 00:10:53,280 --> 00:10:57,760 Speaker 1: Joe Lombardi has always used shared back fields in New Orleans, right, 196 00:10:57,920 --> 00:11:01,480 Speaker 1: and you know he has no last year was a 197 00:11:02,280 --> 00:11:05,240 Speaker 1: was the off was the weird workhorse year for Ekeler, 198 00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:08,400 Speaker 1: the weird workhorse year for Joe Lombardi. They didn't have 199 00:11:08,440 --> 00:11:10,640 Speaker 1: anybody else that was it. I don't think that anybody 200 00:11:10,640 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 1: else they wanted to get the ball. Larry Roundtree. They 201 00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:16,240 Speaker 1: you know, Justin Jackson is not even in the NFL 202 00:11:16,360 --> 00:11:20,560 Speaker 1: right now, So roll all that together. I'm nervous about Ekeler. 203 00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 1: Let's talk about Spiller for a minute. Most services had 204 00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:25,880 Speaker 1: Spiller rated as a third round talent. He ended up 205 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 1: going fourth round um and it was the third uh 206 00:11:28,920 --> 00:11:30,840 Speaker 1: it Most had him as the third running back up 207 00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:32,400 Speaker 1: the board. I think he went like fourth or fifth 208 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:35,000 Speaker 1: running back up the board. Very good all purpose back, 209 00:11:35,240 --> 00:11:40,040 Speaker 1: creates his own yards, patient runner, punishing, punishing for opposing tacklers. 210 00:11:40,200 --> 00:11:42,800 Speaker 1: And he's got good hands and that's very important for 211 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:46,040 Speaker 1: a Joe Lombardi offense. Very productive at Texas A and 212 00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:48,560 Speaker 1: M So there's a lot to like about Spiller, and 213 00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:51,959 Speaker 1: I do believe he will end up being a uh. 214 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:54,720 Speaker 1: He'll be more of a factor this year than any 215 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:57,960 Speaker 1: one other running back was in the Chargers offense. I 216 00:11:58,000 --> 00:12:01,720 Speaker 1: agree with that. Let's talk Mike william Uh. Just last episode, 217 00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:03,800 Speaker 1: I discussed his downside in great details, so I'm not 218 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:05,480 Speaker 1: gonna spend a lot more time on it. But Matt, 219 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:07,320 Speaker 1: I will just tell you, although I know you listened 220 00:12:07,320 --> 00:12:10,040 Speaker 1: to last week's I am nervous about any player who 221 00:12:10,040 --> 00:12:13,040 Speaker 1: puts up by far their best season in their contract year, 222 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:15,800 Speaker 1: and that's what he just did. ADP is expensive right 223 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:18,480 Speaker 1: now for Mike Williams, so I'm I have some hesitation 224 00:12:18,520 --> 00:12:21,920 Speaker 1: on him. Keenan Allen no real changes here. At least 225 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 1: a hundred thirty six targets in five straight years, which 226 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:30,320 Speaker 1: is amazing. The model of consistency at the wide receiver, 227 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:33,040 Speaker 1: it really is. It really is. If you have Keenan 228 00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:35,600 Speaker 1: Allen as your second wide receiver on your fantasy team, 229 00:12:35,679 --> 00:12:38,360 Speaker 1: I'm showing you a great fantasy team. You really are 230 00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:41,520 Speaker 1: and just ideal for Guillotine League US because he just 231 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:44,160 Speaker 1: doesn't give you dud games. Get this, Over the last 232 00:12:44,200 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 1: three years, Keenan Allen has had three total dud games 233 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:53,440 Speaker 1: where he failed to hit four catches or fifty receiving 234 00:12:53,520 --> 00:12:57,200 Speaker 1: yards for three years. All the rest of them have 235 00:12:57,400 --> 00:13:01,000 Speaker 1: been at least the four catches and over fifty yards. 236 00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:06,920 Speaker 1: It's it's amazing consistent, Pop. You just avoided the dud game. Uh. 237 00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:10,920 Speaker 1: Josh Palmer's fascinating. I hadn't realized how much he stepped 238 00:13:10,960 --> 00:13:12,600 Speaker 1: up at the end of the season, and I believe 239 00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:14,600 Speaker 1: he will walk into the number three receiving role in 240 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:16,719 Speaker 1: an offense in which your quarterback just through for five 241 00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:20,320 Speaker 1: thousand yards. Right, there's there's yardage to go around. I 242 00:13:20,360 --> 00:13:23,080 Speaker 1: loved a sleeper Josh Palmer. Here. Get this before and 243 00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:27,559 Speaker 1: after December twelfth. The game on December twelve, for Josh Palmer, 244 00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:32,199 Speaker 1: his snaps went from eighteen per game to forty eight 245 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:35,800 Speaker 1: per game. That's a tripling. His targets went from two 246 00:13:35,800 --> 00:13:39,760 Speaker 1: per game to six per game. That's a tripling. His 247 00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:48,080 Speaker 1: yards went from fourteen to thirty seven. His touchdowns went 248 00:13:48,160 --> 00:13:52,520 Speaker 1: from one touchdown before December twelve to three touchdowns after 249 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:56,840 Speaker 1: December twelve. It's it's triple Palmer. It is Fantasy points 250 00:13:56,840 --> 00:14:01,200 Speaker 1: per game went from two to seven. That's more than triple. 251 00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:03,800 Speaker 1: It is a little bit more than triple Josh Palmer. 252 00:14:03,880 --> 00:14:06,720 Speaker 1: If that if those last five games that we saw 253 00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:09,120 Speaker 1: at the end of the year, or any indication of 254 00:14:09,200 --> 00:14:12,679 Speaker 1: what's coming this year, Josh Palmer is going to be 255 00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:17,040 Speaker 1: a sneaky draft pick. I would like to extrapolate all 256 00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:20,640 Speaker 1: those and makes him like wide receiver, and I'm not 257 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:23,240 Speaker 1: ready to quite do that, not on seven fantasy points 258 00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:25,920 Speaker 1: per game. But I think it showed where a young 259 00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:28,520 Speaker 1: receiver had earned the trust of the coaching staff, and 260 00:14:28,560 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 1: he rolls into a much bigger role this year tight end. 261 00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna spend a lot of time on Gerald 262 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:35,280 Speaker 1: Everett and Donald Parham, but I'm only gonna mention this. 263 00:14:35,320 --> 00:14:36,960 Speaker 1: Evert's on his third team in three years. He doesn't 264 00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:39,000 Speaker 1: interest me at all. He's just a guy. Parham, however, 265 00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:41,840 Speaker 1: is very interesting. Is a last pick of the draft 266 00:14:41,880 --> 00:14:44,800 Speaker 1: dart throw. He's entering his pivotal third year. Is a 267 00:14:44,880 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 1: tight end, gigantic. He's six ft eight, two hundred forty pounds, 268 00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:54,920 Speaker 1: and he's fast, athletic, has just one drop in two years. 269 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 1: His season last year got cut short on a on 270 00:14:57,760 --> 00:15:01,280 Speaker 1: a big time SUPERSTI ay hit, Yeah, the souper you 271 00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:04,400 Speaker 1: remember it so but part him. I think it is 272 00:15:04,400 --> 00:15:07,480 Speaker 1: a fascinating dart throw tight end, and I'd keep an 273 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:11,520 Speaker 1: eye on Donald parm offensive line game first rounder Zion 274 00:15:11,840 --> 00:15:15,200 Speaker 1: Johnson for the Chargers. Let's take a break, Matt. When 275 00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:32,720 Speaker 1: we come back, let's talk through Broncos and Chiefs Segment 276 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:35,480 Speaker 1: number two Fantasy Football Weekly, breaking down the teams of 277 00:15:35,560 --> 00:15:38,840 Speaker 1: the a f C West, and we now pivot to 278 00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 1: the Denver Broncos home of Denver, home of Mary's Mountain Cookies, 279 00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 1: which I could not recommend more highly. You had me 280 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:52,040 Speaker 1: at cookies. I'm in Where when are we going? Uh, 281 00:15:52,120 --> 00:15:54,400 Speaker 1: they'll ship road trip, Yeah, they'll ship him. I've got 282 00:15:54,400 --> 00:15:58,080 Speaker 1: some of my freezer. I shipped them here after I 283 00:15:58,120 --> 00:16:00,400 Speaker 1: was in Fort Collins in Colorado Springs and found in 284 00:16:00,480 --> 00:16:05,040 Speaker 1: this place because they're sprinkled throughout the Greater Colorado area. Uh, 285 00:16:05,160 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 1: And I'm like, um, these are amazing. So then I 286 00:16:07,200 --> 00:16:09,320 Speaker 1: came home and I shipped had them ship a dozen 287 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:11,640 Speaker 1: to me, and I ate a bunch of them when 288 00:16:11,680 --> 00:16:13,520 Speaker 1: they got here, and then I froze the rest. How 289 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 1: do they compare to the Crumble cookies? Crumble is straight 290 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 1: garbage compared to these. I knew you'd have a strong opinion. 291 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:26,520 Speaker 1: Crumble cookies are so sweet you can't eat them. By 292 00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 1: the way, awful, my teeth are. My teeth hurt with 293 00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:33,120 Speaker 1: every chocolate chip cookie is really good. Though I'm not 294 00:16:33,160 --> 00:16:35,440 Speaker 1: a big fan of all their crazy flavors and stuff. 295 00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:38,680 Speaker 1: Their chocolate chip is solid. But I heard you. I 296 00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:41,960 Speaker 1: heard you in fish talking last week about five guys, 297 00:16:42,440 --> 00:16:46,680 Speaker 1: and you were bashing five guys. Five guys isn't about 298 00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:49,200 Speaker 1: the fries. Five guys is about the burger and that 299 00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:51,560 Speaker 1: they only have three things on the menu and fries 300 00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:53,960 Speaker 1: is one of them. You better do it well, you know. 301 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:56,360 Speaker 1: And I disagree on the fries too. I think when 302 00:16:56,400 --> 00:16:58,960 Speaker 1: they get them right and they're nice and crispy, they're not, 303 00:16:59,240 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: but they're so oh you gotta get him on him. 304 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:06,240 Speaker 1: Oh they're they're they're delightful, and the burger is not 305 00:17:06,280 --> 00:17:09,439 Speaker 1: that great. Dan Ver Broncos, I have I have reason 306 00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:12,640 Speaker 1: to believe Russell Wilson is your new starting quarterback. Yeah. 307 00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:15,080 Speaker 1: I can't talk about that without talking about the offseason 308 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:19,600 Speaker 1: trade that landed them dangerous Wilson. You get to pair 309 00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:24,120 Speaker 1: him with a new head coach and play caller, Nathaniel Hackett, 310 00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:26,040 Speaker 1: who comes over from Green Bay. By the way, all 311 00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:30,520 Speaker 1: my intel and on Hackett, he's really good, yeah, really good. Well. 312 00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:34,359 Speaker 1: He brought in offensive coordinator Pat Shermer as well, who, uh, 313 00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:37,080 Speaker 1: we've seen have some some good success in the past, 314 00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:39,280 Speaker 1: not great success as a head coach, but as an 315 00:17:39,320 --> 00:17:44,760 Speaker 1: offensive coordinator he's been above average. So they're guiding the offense, 316 00:17:45,040 --> 00:17:47,680 Speaker 1: which kind of feels like it's a totally different outlook 317 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:50,600 Speaker 1: for Wilson. Getting out of the Seattle mode where Pete 318 00:17:50,600 --> 00:17:53,040 Speaker 1: Carroll wants to run the ball. But I looked back 319 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:59,400 Speaker 1: on it, um, all of the Wilson, Hackett and Shermer 320 00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:04,360 Speaker 1: offense is in the last three years. We're all between 321 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:08,440 Speaker 1: fifty four and fifty seven passing right in the middle 322 00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:11,960 Speaker 1: of the pack. So fundamentally, it doesn't look like there's 323 00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:14,800 Speaker 1: going to be some major shift. Russell Wilson's not going 324 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:17,760 Speaker 1: to pass a heck of a lot more um, But 325 00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:21,840 Speaker 1: that doesn't mean that people aren't drafting these wide receivers 326 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:25,600 Speaker 1: like really high. And I'm gonna start with Jerry Judy. Uh. 327 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 1: He had some legal issues this offseason, dinged up a 328 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:32,520 Speaker 1: bit in mini camp. Everyone is all over Judy as 329 00:18:32,560 --> 00:18:35,800 Speaker 1: a sleeper, which in turn means that he really can't 330 00:18:35,840 --> 00:18:39,520 Speaker 1: be a sleeper anymore because we're all wide awake pushed 331 00:18:39,560 --> 00:18:42,160 Speaker 1: too high. Yeah, he's in the fourth round for ADP 332 00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:45,440 Speaker 1: right now, it's too high. In ten healthy games last year, 333 00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:50,720 Speaker 1: Judy scored zero touchdowns and averaged around four catches for 334 00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:53,639 Speaker 1: forty seven yards per game. Now he will most certainly 335 00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:56,800 Speaker 1: improve upon those numbers with a massive upgrade at quarterback, 336 00:18:57,240 --> 00:19:00,399 Speaker 1: but he's going in the fourth round. Guys right behind 337 00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 1: him include Terry McLaren, DK metcalf, Allen Robinson, A Marii Cooper, 338 00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 1: Chris Godwin, Rashad Bateman, Juju Smith Schuster. I'd rather have 339 00:19:12,720 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 1: all of the above over Jerry Judy right now. You're 340 00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:19,000 Speaker 1: you're really when you take Jerry Judy that high, Matt, 341 00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:22,360 Speaker 1: You're doing it all on talent and what we saw 342 00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:24,840 Speaker 1: in college, and we've seen glimpses of with the Broncos, 343 00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:28,280 Speaker 1: but never consistently, and projecting what that could look like 344 00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:31,480 Speaker 1: if it all comes together. With Russell Wilson, You're you're 345 00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:34,680 Speaker 1: betting on him being materially better and that it does 346 00:19:34,760 --> 00:19:37,720 Speaker 1: all come together. You're betting on explosive output from Judy, 347 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:39,840 Speaker 1: and we just haven't seen that in the pros yet. 348 00:19:40,320 --> 00:19:44,360 Speaker 1: Courtland Sutton did play every game last season. He scored 349 00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:47,480 Speaker 1: two whole touchdowns. So we're drafting him at an ad 350 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:51,920 Speaker 1: PIE slightly higher than Jerry Judy. Higher. You mean earlier, 351 00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:55,280 Speaker 1: he's earlier. He's earlier in the fourth round. Uh. He 352 00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:59,360 Speaker 1: also had only three games of over ninety yards. I mean, man, 353 00:19:59,440 --> 00:20:03,240 Speaker 1: the Broncos passing game just sucked last year. But um, 354 00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:05,840 Speaker 1: he's He's four or five picks ahead of Judy right now, 355 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:08,720 Speaker 1: slightly more bankable as we've actually seen him have a 356 00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 1: thousand yards season once in his four year career. But 357 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:14,600 Speaker 1: to me, if I'm in the fourth round, I don't 358 00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:16,600 Speaker 1: think I'm going to take the variants that could come 359 00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:19,760 Speaker 1: with these wide receivers. And by the way, Tim Patrick, 360 00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:24,080 Speaker 1: the third string wide receiver, had more touchdowns last year 361 00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:29,400 Speaker 1: then Judy and Sutton have combined over the last two years. 362 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:32,760 Speaker 1: What I don't know if you have Patrick's ADP in 363 00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 1: front of you, but out of the three, I might 364 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:36,560 Speaker 1: pick Patrick if I had to pick one, I don't. 365 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:38,000 Speaker 1: I don't have it in front of me, but it's 366 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:43,199 Speaker 1: probably sixteenth round in there. Um, my favorite little sleeper 367 00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:47,719 Speaker 1: from this offense is Albert aquag Bonam or Albert Oh 368 00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:50,399 Speaker 1: as many like to call him. He's probably the Bronco 369 00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:53,560 Speaker 1: I'll get on most of my rosters. Currently, the sixteenth 370 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:55,760 Speaker 1: tight end off the board. A twelveth round a DP, 371 00:20:56,760 --> 00:20:59,160 Speaker 1: you get the subtraction of Noah Fan who went over 372 00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:02,800 Speaker 1: to Seattle in the Wilson trade, and Albert Oh seems 373 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:05,480 Speaker 1: like a prime player to jump into a significantly higher 374 00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:09,800 Speaker 1: target share. Wilson's tight ends have averaged six touchdowns per 375 00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:12,840 Speaker 1: year over the last three and if Albert's looking at 376 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,840 Speaker 1: sixty catches and around six hundred yards, which is kind 377 00:21:15,840 --> 00:21:19,159 Speaker 1: of line, that's probably fair where he was. I think 378 00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:20,960 Speaker 1: greg deals are just gonna be a very good player 379 00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:23,440 Speaker 1: and we'll eat into that, but probably not this year. 380 00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:27,040 Speaker 1: But sixty catches, six hundred yards and five or six scores, 381 00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,480 Speaker 1: that's got him at about tight end twelve. So he's 382 00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:33,439 Speaker 1: definitely in play there. Uh. Finally, let's talk the runners, 383 00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:36,320 Speaker 1: and it's Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon, and I'm putting 384 00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:42,200 Speaker 1: them together because they are just a split right down 385 00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:45,080 Speaker 1: the frustrating split or where they were last year, and 386 00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:47,600 Speaker 1: I but suspect they will be this Uh. And Williams 387 00:21:47,680 --> 00:21:49,920 Speaker 1: was electric for most of the year, didn't fair too 388 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:51,879 Speaker 1: well on the ground in the final three weeks of 389 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:54,080 Speaker 1: the season, where he ran for only two point six 390 00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:56,520 Speaker 1: yards per carry, kind of wore down. At the end 391 00:21:56,520 --> 00:21:59,240 Speaker 1: of the year, averaged four point eight yards per carry 392 00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:01,760 Speaker 1: and the other four team games, but the biggest issue 393 00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:04,560 Speaker 1: was the near even split, and Gordon outscored Williams ten 394 00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:08,439 Speaker 1: to seven in the touchdown department. Uh. Could the better 395 00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:13,480 Speaker 1: back win out in this new system. Question mark Nathaniel 396 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:17,160 Speaker 1: Hackett's offense did this last year in Green Bay. Aaron 397 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:20,520 Speaker 1: Jones had two three touches. A J. Dillon had two 398 00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:27,800 Speaker 1: touches split. You have to take Javonte in the early third. 399 00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:31,320 Speaker 1: He was going almost in the first before Melvin Gordon resigned. 400 00:22:31,960 --> 00:22:34,639 Speaker 1: Melvin Gordon isn't going off the board until the ninth 401 00:22:35,320 --> 00:22:40,160 Speaker 1: round turn. I'll take Melvin Gordon there. It's not exciting. 402 00:22:41,840 --> 00:22:45,760 Speaker 1: It's another dude the opposite running back. Yeah, but round 403 00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:50,800 Speaker 1: and you might get the exact same numbers. Unfortunately, four round. 404 00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:53,800 Speaker 1: We all want Javonte Williams to be the guy, but 405 00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:57,960 Speaker 1: it's not the cards. For the Kansas City Chiefs, we've 406 00:22:58,040 --> 00:23:01,760 Speaker 1: got more change than usual, and we highlighted this in 407 00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,800 Speaker 1: last week's show. No team has more vacated targets in 408 00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:08,120 Speaker 1: the NFL by a mile than the Chiefs too, and 409 00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:09,920 Speaker 1: so we do have a lot of change here. Let's 410 00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:13,080 Speaker 1: start with Patrick Mahomes. Obviously, everything runs through him, and 411 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:16,679 Speaker 1: this could be a year with an unusual amount of 412 00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:21,399 Speaker 1: inconsistency from Mahomes because of all these changes and and 413 00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:23,480 Speaker 1: some other factors too that we'll talk about and you 414 00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:27,200 Speaker 1: may have forgotten. He had a long stretch of mortality 415 00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:30,520 Speaker 1: fantasy wise from mid October to early December, which is 416 00:23:30,560 --> 00:23:34,080 Speaker 1: a long time, mid October to early December, a six 417 00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 1: game stretch in which he had one good game and 418 00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:42,280 Speaker 1: five terrible games. For Patrick Mahomes, he had never had 419 00:23:42,320 --> 00:23:44,160 Speaker 1: a stretch this bad is one good game, by the way, 420 00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:48,359 Speaker 1: fifty attempts five touchdowns. The other five games I'm referring 421 00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:52,720 Speaker 1: to during the six game stretch, he averaged two hundred 422 00:23:52,720 --> 00:24:00,520 Speaker 1: eighteen yards and zero point four touchdowns. It's Teddy Ridgewater 423 00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:03,560 Speaker 1: is looking at that and pointing and laughing. So you 424 00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:07,400 Speaker 1: highlighted just an air bear. You highlighted Patrick Mahomes. Here, 425 00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:15,360 Speaker 1: who's going to be higher on your cheat sheet? It'll 426 00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:21,040 Speaker 1: so you're gonna be the air josh Alan one and 427 00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:24,200 Speaker 1: air air bear. I believe he is too. Yeah, I've 428 00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:25,560 Speaker 1: you know, I've got it done. I just have done 429 00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:26,919 Speaker 1: it in front of me. But I think that's right, 430 00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:31,639 Speaker 1: all right. I love I love passing consistency. Sure, yeah, anyway, okay, 431 00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 1: so let's keep moving on here. So just I think, 432 00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:37,840 Speaker 1: by the way, Mahomes finished very very well. So I 433 00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:39,600 Speaker 1: mentioned the six games where he you know he had 434 00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,240 Speaker 1: this long stretcher struggled, but he did finish to get 435 00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:44,280 Speaker 1: finish to your very well, multiple touchdowns in the final 436 00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:46,199 Speaker 1: eight games that you including the playoffs. So you know, 437 00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:49,159 Speaker 1: he's still Patrick Mahomes, but you may have more inconsistency 438 00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:51,600 Speaker 1: than at any any point that we've seen in the past. Still, 439 00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:54,080 Speaker 1: I just want to highlight that for Travis Kelsey turns 440 00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:55,760 Speaker 1: thirty three this year, there's been a lot made of 441 00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:59,320 Speaker 1: that in the off season, some small statistical signs of 442 00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:03,440 Speaker 1: slowing down last year. His lowest target numbers since two 443 00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:06,960 Speaker 1: thousand seventeen, his lowest yards since two thousand and seventeen, 444 00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:12,800 Speaker 1: his lowest average reception distance since um all that last year, 445 00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:15,480 Speaker 1: and he also had the horrible stretch of games. His 446 00:25:15,560 --> 00:25:19,159 Speaker 1: stretch of bad games was even longer, Matt. Travis Kelsey 447 00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:22,280 Speaker 1: went through a ten game stretch spanning from Week four 448 00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:26,760 Speaker 1: to Week fourteen, almost the entire Fantasy regular season, in 449 00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:30,000 Speaker 1: which he scored two touchdowns. And in that stretch he 450 00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 1: had four absolute dund games with three or four catches 451 00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:40,960 Speaker 1: and less than twenty seven yards in those games. So 452 00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:43,760 Speaker 1: we another player that we have been used to, Travis 453 00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:48,280 Speaker 1: Kelsey being just a consistent producer. Last year, we saw 454 00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:50,679 Speaker 1: that start to change. He's gonna be a year older. 455 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:54,280 Speaker 1: I think you have to build in some variants into 456 00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:57,920 Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey's probable outcome this year. He also broke up 457 00:25:57,920 --> 00:26:00,840 Speaker 1: with his girlfriend and she revealed that she he was 458 00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:05,520 Speaker 1: charging her half of the rent. Good. I love that 459 00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:11,640 Speaker 1: you're back to number one. That's fantastic. Can't freeload off 460 00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:15,800 Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey. I like it. He's had his own house 461 00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:18,320 Speaker 1: though he doesn't pay rent, he owns a house. But 462 00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:22,120 Speaker 1: I like that he's rent renting to his girlfriend. He's 463 00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:25,479 Speaker 1: teaching her a lesson up front. I like that. Well there, 464 00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:30,840 Speaker 1: it's his X now girlfriend. Kansas City's wide receivers as 465 00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:33,840 Speaker 1: a position group, let me ask you this, Matt. If 466 00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:36,240 Speaker 1: you think Patrick Mahomes is gonna throw for let's say 467 00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:39,680 Speaker 1: thirty touchdowns, right you know, so you know that's less 468 00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:42,000 Speaker 1: than he had and he's had in any healthy season 469 00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:44,160 Speaker 1: old downticks from where he's been the last few years, 470 00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:48,040 Speaker 1: one or more of his receivers is sitting on a 471 00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:52,879 Speaker 1: pretty big years, probably double digits, right, Kelsey Kelsey, Kelsey 472 00:26:52,960 --> 00:26:55,359 Speaker 1: takes ten right exactly? If Kelsey takes ten, I got 473 00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:58,560 Speaker 1: twenty five un accounted four touchdowns. Most of them are 474 00:26:58,560 --> 00:27:01,080 Speaker 1: going to go to wide receivers. Yes, six probably going 475 00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:04,480 Speaker 1: to running backs, leaves nineteen for wide receivers. That's Juju 476 00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:07,760 Speaker 1: smith Schuster territory right there. Let's talk about him. You're 477 00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:10,439 Speaker 1: more optimistic Abottom than I am. Returns from his shoulder 478 00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:13,440 Speaker 1: injury that cost him almost all of last season, did 479 00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:16,800 Speaker 1: not score his four healthy games last year and averaged 480 00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 1: his average game last year, went healthy, three catches, thirty 481 00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:24,040 Speaker 1: two yards. I'm not sure Ben Roethlisberger could get him 482 00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:26,360 Speaker 1: the ball last year, though he's got a little bit 483 00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:30,280 Speaker 1: more of a strong armed quarter was pretty good. It's true. Uh, 484 00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:35,040 Speaker 1: Juju ran seventy of his snaps from the slot over 485 00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:38,520 Speaker 1: the last two years, and you figure he'll take over 486 00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:41,440 Speaker 1: a lot of those Tyreekill slot routes. Uh, they can't 487 00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:43,399 Speaker 1: run him the same way because nobody else's Tyreek Hill, 488 00:27:43,520 --> 00:27:46,560 Speaker 1: but uh he'll He'll ran about half his total routes 489 00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:48,480 Speaker 1: from the slot. I think, I think, I think Juju 490 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:51,959 Speaker 1: ends up being a slot receiver in this sense. Marcus 491 00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:55,640 Speaker 1: Velda scantling good reports out of mini camps. Um Normally 492 00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:57,800 Speaker 1: you might say that moving to a Patrick Mahomes offense 493 00:27:57,840 --> 00:27:59,960 Speaker 1: from anybody else means you're gonna get an automatic uptick. 494 00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:02,440 Speaker 1: But he's coming from Aaron Rodgers, So you know. Eron 495 00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:05,440 Speaker 1: throws a great deep ball. So does Patrick Mahomes. It's 496 00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:07,600 Speaker 1: you know what you're gonna get with him. He's the 497 00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:11,600 Speaker 1: really the team's only deep speed threat. Now the Tyreek 498 00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:14,400 Speaker 1: Hill is gone, and this team loves to challenge deep. 499 00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,439 Speaker 1: But you're gonna have the games where those deep balls connect, 500 00:28:17,440 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 1: and you're gonna have games when they do not connect. 501 00:28:19,440 --> 00:28:22,440 Speaker 1: It feels like it's going to be impossible to start 502 00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:26,560 Speaker 1: Marquees Veldez. It'll take some guts, yeah, and I feel 503 00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:28,959 Speaker 1: like you'll guess wrong more often than not. You certainly 504 00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:31,480 Speaker 1: that was certainly the case in Green Bay. Usage probably 505 00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:34,720 Speaker 1: goes up here, I think because this team does want 506 00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:36,480 Speaker 1: to throw deep, and he's the obvious guy to do 507 00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:38,560 Speaker 1: that too. Then let's go to Sky Moore, who I 508 00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:40,880 Speaker 1: also talked about extensively last week. I love him. I 509 00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:42,720 Speaker 1: want to reiterate that. I think there's a very good 510 00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:45,640 Speaker 1: chance that right this minute, today, at this second, look 511 00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:48,480 Speaker 1: at the clock, like your watch, your your iPhone, watch, whatever. 512 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:52,320 Speaker 1: He's the best receiver on the team. Sky Moore right 513 00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:54,480 Speaker 1: now as a rookie could be the best receiver on 514 00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:56,680 Speaker 1: that team by the end of the year. I feel 515 00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:58,480 Speaker 1: even more strongly that by the end of your sky 516 00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:00,440 Speaker 1: Moore will be the best receiver on this team. There's 517 00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:03,360 Speaker 1: there's some confidence in that. Like it. Kole Hardman. I 518 00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:05,320 Speaker 1: I don't see any obvious reason to believe that Hardman's 519 00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:07,720 Speaker 1: role is gonna be any different in your four, except 520 00:29:07,800 --> 00:29:10,440 Speaker 1: that there's more available routes to run with all these 521 00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:13,760 Speaker 1: players gone. Pring gone and Robinson gone and tyreek Kill gone. 522 00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:17,240 Speaker 1: Clyde Edwards Hilaire took a massive step back in year two, 523 00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:20,840 Speaker 1: but his ADP suggests that people should you know, is 524 00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:23,920 Speaker 1: suggest that people are bullish on him rebounding. I was surprised. 525 00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:26,600 Speaker 1: I was thinking to myself going into this exercise, you know, 526 00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:29,560 Speaker 1: we don't like Clyde Edwards layer, but he's gonna be 527 00:29:29,560 --> 00:29:32,040 Speaker 1: so cheap. He's not that cheap. He's running back twenty 528 00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:35,320 Speaker 1: five in the fifth round. That's not that cheap. That's 529 00:29:35,320 --> 00:29:38,600 Speaker 1: not the discount I expected. That's not where I'm taking him. 530 00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:40,680 Speaker 1: I I need a bigger discount before I'm gonna I'm 531 00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:44,360 Speaker 1: gonna go move on, Clyde Edwards Hlayer. If you distill 532 00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:47,160 Speaker 1: a lot of negative factors, it really gives you a 533 00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:51,480 Speaker 1: clear portrait of a deeply unreliable fantasy producer in Clyde 534 00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:54,800 Speaker 1: Edwards a layer. Injuries, the few goal line carries, the 535 00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:58,440 Speaker 1: modest number of carries, and a bewildering lack of usage 536 00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:01,480 Speaker 1: in the passing game. You put all the together, Clyde 537 00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:04,520 Speaker 1: Edwards a layer, it's he's got to make good on 538 00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:07,600 Speaker 1: his uh running back a DP is gonna have to 539 00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:10,120 Speaker 1: be a materially different and better player than he has been. 540 00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:13,440 Speaker 1: Andy Reid was known for years and years for having, 541 00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:16,480 Speaker 1: you know, great running backs that caught passes and everything 542 00:30:16,520 --> 00:30:19,440 Speaker 1: like that. But as soon as Patrick Mahomes arrived on 543 00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:22,160 Speaker 1: the scene, it seems it seems like those running backs 544 00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:26,880 Speaker 1: have just disappeared. And it's interesting to me that maybe 545 00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:30,200 Speaker 1: Andy Reid just shifted his complete focus by having a 546 00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:33,160 Speaker 1: weapon like and he's like, I, I just am not 547 00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:35,600 Speaker 1: going to do this anymore. It's easier to pack. I 548 00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:37,400 Speaker 1: could dump the ball off a bunch of times to 549 00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:40,920 Speaker 1: my running backs, or I could throw four yard lasers 550 00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:44,560 Speaker 1: with Patrick Mahomes. That's I think you're right let's talk 551 00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:48,040 Speaker 1: Ronald Jones, presumed to be taking over the Darryl Williams role, 552 00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:51,160 Speaker 1: is reflected by another healthy ADP. He's running back forty 553 00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:54,160 Speaker 1: one in the ninth round. I don't love it. I 554 00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:55,960 Speaker 1: just don't know that he's any good. You know, the 555 00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:58,520 Speaker 1: Bucks certainly don't think he was. You know, it's it's 556 00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:01,160 Speaker 1: been two years since they've given him any kind of 557 00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:04,000 Speaker 1: meaningful role with Tampa Bay and they just let him walk. Yeah, 558 00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:09,000 Speaker 1: you're not gonna have a Kansas City running back on 559 00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:14,160 Speaker 1: your roster charge. Probably you won't. I won't. There's one guy, really, 560 00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:17,000 Speaker 1: So then let's talk about Derek Gore or average five 561 00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:21,040 Speaker 1: yards carry last year, but didn't impress Andy Reid enough 562 00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:23,000 Speaker 1: to get any kind of role in the postseason, in 563 00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,720 Speaker 1: which he had a three carry game, a zero carry 564 00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:28,960 Speaker 1: game in an inactive game in the in the postseason. 565 00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:33,600 Speaker 1: Um and so I I'm not that I'm not that 566 00:31:33,680 --> 00:31:39,080 Speaker 1: intrigued by Derek Gore, honestly. Rookie Isaiah Paschico, on the 567 00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:43,160 Speaker 1: other hand, so he was a seventh round draft pick 568 00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:47,920 Speaker 1: out of Rutger's horrible offensive line, but he somehow managed 569 00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:50,680 Speaker 1: to still be productive and he showed some real moments 570 00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:55,280 Speaker 1: of explosiveness, good speed, good footwork, really good. He's got 571 00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:57,920 Speaker 1: four three eight right, a four three at forty um 572 00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:03,920 Speaker 1: and he's he's gonna win the Jussical build. I like another. 573 00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:07,480 Speaker 1: I've already recommended another player. Donald Parham is the last 574 00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:11,160 Speaker 1: pick in your draft, Isaiah Pascheko, Let's watch him in 575 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,600 Speaker 1: the prese. You're going to trade down for multiple last 576 00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:17,239 Speaker 1: round picks. I'm you're gonna get a whole bunch of 577 00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:20,040 Speaker 1: first and a whole bunch of lasts. I like that idea. 578 00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:22,400 Speaker 1: All right, thanks for listening to our breakdown to the 579 00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:24,760 Speaker 1: a f C West. Next week NFC West, and then 580 00:32:24,800 --> 00:32:27,120 Speaker 1: we've done all the teams. Yeah, I'll come back and 581 00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:29,600 Speaker 1: do the NFC West with you. How about that would be? 582 00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:31,840 Speaker 1: That would be fantastic. Talk to you in a week. Everybody. 583 00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:36,000 Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of I Heart Radio. 584 00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:38,280 Speaker 1: For more podcasts from my heart Radio, visit the I 585 00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:41,600 Speaker 1: heart Radio app, Apple podcast, or wherever you listen to 586 00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:42,480 Speaker 1: your favorite shows.