WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: The Greatest Show on Earth 0:00:00.680 --> 0:00:01.440 Cutbooms. 0:00:02.279 --> 0:00:05.360 If you thought four hours a day, twelve hundred minutes 0:00:05.400 --> 0:00:09.200 a week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants 0:00:09.200 --> 0:00:12.480 of the old republic, a sol fashion of fairness. He 0:00:12.560 --> 0:00:15.480 treats crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the 0:00:15.600 --> 0:00:19.439 rich pill poppers in the penthouse. Wow to clearing House 0:00:19.520 --> 0:00:23.200 of hot takes, break free for something special. The Fifth 0:00:23.200 --> 0:00:30.680 Hour with Ben Maller starts right now. 0:00:29.000 --> 0:00:32.280 In the air everywhere. 0:00:32.479 --> 0:00:36.040 The Fifth Hour with me, Ben Mahler and Danny g Radio, 0:00:36.200 --> 0:00:39.320 who is producing this podcast, and he'll be with me 0:00:39.360 --> 0:00:43.239 hopefully over the weekend for the Saturday and Sunday podcast. 0:00:43.280 --> 0:00:47.919 But happy Friday. It is day two of the Major 0:00:48.000 --> 0:00:48.920 League Baseball season. 0:00:48.920 --> 0:00:51.000 But you knew that already. The twenty seventh day of 0:00:51.040 --> 0:00:51.720 the month of March. 0:00:51.760 --> 0:00:56.080 The final Fifth Hour podcast here in the month of March. 0:00:56.120 --> 0:00:58.520 And the thing that I always get a kick out 0:00:58.560 --> 0:01:01.440 of is we spend so much time us with opening 0:01:01.560 --> 0:01:04.160 Day in Major League Baseball. If you heard the Overnight Show, 0:01:04.160 --> 0:01:06.920 we talked a lot of ball, a lot of baseball 0:01:07.400 --> 0:01:11.880 on the Overnight Show. And today it's like, yes, it's 0:01:11.959 --> 0:01:13.840 the day after, it's like the second day of school. 0:01:13.840 --> 0:01:14.679 You get all worked up. 0:01:15.040 --> 0:01:17.479 I remember as a kid, my mom would Every mom 0:01:17.560 --> 0:01:19.800 is pretty much the same, right, or your dad or whatever. 0:01:19.840 --> 0:01:21.600 Maybe you have an uncle whoever you're with when you 0:01:21.600 --> 0:01:24.520 were a kid, and they take you out shopping. You 0:01:24.600 --> 0:01:26.720 got the clothes, you got the backpack, you got all 0:01:26.760 --> 0:01:29.640 the crap for school back when we had backpacks. 0:01:29.640 --> 0:01:31.399 I think some schools band backpacks. 0:01:31.840 --> 0:01:33.840 And then you get all worked up all and I 0:01:33.920 --> 0:01:35.760 never liked school, but you get all worked up for 0:01:35.760 --> 0:01:38.040 the first day of school. And the first day of 0:01:38.080 --> 0:01:40.680 school is usually pretty easy. The teachers are trying to 0:01:40.680 --> 0:01:42.120 get on your good side. There's not a lot of 0:01:42.120 --> 0:01:45.319 work to do. And then where the rubber meets the 0:01:45.360 --> 0:01:48.960 road is day two. And in Major League Baseball, I 0:01:49.000 --> 0:01:52.800 know the Dodgers and Cubs played those fugazy games in Japan, 0:01:52.840 --> 0:01:55.640 which Baseball sold to Japan and they made a lot 0:01:55.680 --> 0:01:58.600 of money on that. But the US opener and Day 0:01:58.680 --> 0:02:02.440 two and then baseball falls off a cliff. Now I'm 0:02:02.520 --> 0:02:05.440 still watching. I'll watch the game today. I don't know obviously, 0:02:05.440 --> 0:02:08.480 March Madness. I don't know how much of that I'm 0:02:08.520 --> 0:02:12.120 gonna watch actually today because by the time I get 0:02:12.200 --> 0:02:19.120 back on the regular radio show on Sunday night in 0:02:19.200 --> 0:02:23.560 the Monday. The games that are played tonight, I don't 0:02:23.560 --> 0:02:25.880 think are going to be really that much to talk about. 0:02:25.919 --> 0:02:27.520 Now I might if something's crazy going on, I might 0:02:27.520 --> 0:02:30.840 flip over. So anyway, this's day two of the baseball 0:02:30.880 --> 0:02:34.920 season today. It is also one of my favorite characters 0:02:34.960 --> 0:02:36.600 in American history. 0:02:36.720 --> 0:02:39.360 It is a day for them. And you say, well, 0:02:39.639 --> 0:02:40.160 what is that. 0:02:40.600 --> 0:02:44.200 It's Barnum and Bailey Day, which is actually two people. 0:02:44.240 --> 0:02:46.080 It's not one. It's not one. 0:02:47.040 --> 0:02:51.880 And and that's to appreciate the day Barnum and Bailey 0:02:51.919 --> 0:02:59.480 Day for Phineas Barnum and James Bailey of the Barnum 0:02:59.480 --> 0:03:04.360 and Bailey circus that thrilled millions and millions of our 0:03:04.400 --> 0:03:08.480 relatives back in the day and came up with one 0:03:08.560 --> 0:03:13.440 of the wonderful marketing terms of all time. That marketing 0:03:13.520 --> 0:03:18.160 term the Greatest Show on Earth, which has been ripped 0:03:18.160 --> 0:03:20.079 off by NFL teams. 0:03:19.840 --> 0:03:20.639 Who were the Rams. 0:03:20.680 --> 0:03:23.320 If you're old enough, when they had some really high 0:03:23.360 --> 0:03:26.640 powered teams in Saint Louis, they called themselves the greatest 0:03:26.639 --> 0:03:30.480 show on turf, which was which was pretty cool. But 0:03:31.200 --> 0:03:34.320 Barnum and Bailey, the Barnum and Bailey circus which later 0:03:34.400 --> 0:03:37.320 became known. When I was a kid growing up, I 0:03:37.760 --> 0:03:40.840 remember coming to town it was the Ringling Brothers and 0:03:40.960 --> 0:03:45.120 Barnum and Bailey Circus. They these two big circus outfits 0:03:45.160 --> 0:03:50.240 combined together. But that actually went back to eighteen eighty one, 0:03:51.240 --> 0:03:55.640 the Barnum and Bailey Ringling Brothers Circus eighteen eighty one, 0:03:56.680 --> 0:03:57.840 and it ran for. 0:03:57.880 --> 0:04:00.000 Over a century. In fact, it in and that's been 0:04:00.200 --> 0:04:01.080 been a few years since. 0:04:01.080 --> 0:04:05.720 It ended twenty seventeen, and they had the title they 0:04:05.760 --> 0:04:10.680 were self proclaimed the greatest show on Earth, and that 0:04:11.200 --> 0:04:13.200 was back back. And then the only reason they got 0:04:13.320 --> 0:04:17.560 rid of that, well, there were two reasons. First was 0:04:18.120 --> 0:04:22.960 sales weren't great. People's taste changed people because of social 0:04:23.000 --> 0:04:26.600 media and things. Not just social media, but people were 0:04:26.640 --> 0:04:30.320 not going out as much and they just weren't into it. 0:04:30.360 --> 0:04:32.719 They could see any kind of animal they wanted, do 0:04:32.800 --> 0:04:34.920 any kind of stupid trick they wanted, and they could 0:04:34.920 --> 0:04:38.800 see clowns at a moment's notice, and their attention span 0:04:38.920 --> 0:04:43.839 was pretty short, so attendance started away. And then you 0:04:43.880 --> 0:04:48.240 also had these activists, these wackadoodles that were going crazy 0:04:48.440 --> 0:04:50.760 about oh my hear abusing the animals. This, that and 0:04:50.839 --> 0:04:53.560 the other thing, and so you can buy those two 0:04:53.640 --> 0:05:00.240 things and that's it. And usually in business. I was 0:05:00.279 --> 0:05:02.880 reading about this the other day, I fell down a 0:05:03.000 --> 0:05:06.720 rabbit hole. It actually started on. 0:05:08.560 --> 0:05:08.920 AI. 0:05:09.240 --> 0:05:11.920 I was on one of the search engines that uses AI, 0:05:13.360 --> 0:05:14.880 and I was, I. 0:05:14.839 --> 0:05:16.359 Fell down this rabbit hole. I was like, I was. 0:05:16.520 --> 0:05:21.279 It started out with second generation sports ownership, because we 0:05:21.320 --> 0:05:23.280 have a lot of that. We have we have families 0:05:23.320 --> 0:05:28.039 that got into the NFL or Major League Baseball eighty 0:05:28.120 --> 0:05:31.200 years ago or whatever it was, and then they just. 0:05:31.279 --> 0:05:34.120 Keep passing the team down to generation to generation. 0:05:34.839 --> 0:05:37.599 Great examples of that would be the Raiders, the Las 0:05:37.680 --> 0:05:40.880 Vegas Raiders, right Mark Davis who just happened to win 0:05:40.920 --> 0:05:45.320 the genetic lottery and he happens to run. 0:05:45.120 --> 0:05:47.479 The Raiders, even though he has no business running the Raiders. 0:05:47.480 --> 0:05:51.400 But his father Al actually had some some perseverance and 0:05:51.440 --> 0:05:54.479 some gusto and made something for himself. And then Mark 0:05:54.520 --> 0:05:57.160 Davis just got to ride the gravy train. Same thing 0:05:57.160 --> 0:05:59.280 about the Steinrenner family in New York. And you know 0:05:59.279 --> 0:06:01.920 there's a bunch of teams Genie Buss with the Lakers, 0:06:02.920 --> 0:06:07.640 people that are in the right position because of genetics, 0:06:07.720 --> 0:06:09.680 not necessarily anything that they did. 0:06:09.680 --> 0:06:12.280 So I fell down this rabbit hole. 0:06:13.440 --> 0:06:19.000 And most businesses do not make it to the third generation. 0:06:20.240 --> 0:06:20.560 Second. 0:06:20.680 --> 0:06:25.520 Yeah, but normally in sports are a little different because 0:06:26.040 --> 0:06:29.360 it's a fool proof business. It's a fool proof business. 0:06:29.360 --> 0:06:31.440 You're guaranteed to make money. Now you're not gonna make 0:06:31.440 --> 0:06:31.720 as much. 0:06:31.760 --> 0:06:31.880 Men. 0:06:31.920 --> 0:06:34.920 I got a call a couple of nights ago from 0:06:35.000 --> 0:06:40.039 a guy in Cleveland who was ranting and raving about 0:06:40.080 --> 0:06:40.960 another caller. 0:06:41.279 --> 0:06:43.120 You know, this being the first week of baseball. 0:06:43.320 --> 0:06:46.919 Yeah, was going on and on, ranting and raving about 0:06:47.360 --> 0:06:51.159 the salary structure and it's not fair, you know, this 0:06:51.200 --> 0:06:51.839 whole thing. 0:06:51.720 --> 0:06:53.520 Going on and on and on and on and on. 0:06:54.360 --> 0:06:57.240 And he annoyed me because I thought a lot of 0:06:57.279 --> 0:07:00.240 what he was saying was just talking points from teams 0:07:00.279 --> 0:07:01.000 that don't want to spend a. 0:07:00.960 --> 0:07:01.800 Lot of money. 0:07:02.240 --> 0:07:06.960 But if you own a professional sports team, you're making money. 0:07:06.960 --> 0:07:08.520 Now you might not be making a lot of money. 0:07:08.680 --> 0:07:11.920 And I've heard from people that work in the business 0:07:12.240 --> 0:07:15.000 who have told me they make projections. Every business makes projections. 0:07:15.880 --> 0:07:19.240 We're going to sell this many cans a soup now. Obviously, 0:07:19.240 --> 0:07:22.280 it's a lot different when you run a professional sports team. 0:07:22.320 --> 0:07:25.160 There's a lot of hidden costs. There's also a lot 0:07:25.200 --> 0:07:29.320 of hidden revenue that you can make. And if you 0:07:29.520 --> 0:07:32.920 say your team X and you're projecting, you're going to 0:07:33.000 --> 0:07:35.640 make and we do last year as an example, because 0:07:36.120 --> 0:07:39.600 this year's who knows. But in twenty twenty four, at 0:07:39.640 --> 0:07:41.880 the end of twenty twenty three, going into twenty twenty four, 0:07:42.120 --> 0:07:45.640 you did the books and you looked at everything. You 0:07:45.640 --> 0:07:48.360 had your spreadsheet out, and you said, listen, if we 0:07:48.400 --> 0:07:54.320 take the TV revenue, the national money, the merchandise opportunities, 0:07:54.760 --> 0:07:58.120 and we put all of these things together, we are 0:07:58.160 --> 0:08:02.240 going to make profit. Once we give out all the expenses, 0:08:03.280 --> 0:08:06.960 we're going to be sitting on a pile of ten 0:08:07.440 --> 0:08:11.800 million ten million in profit, which. 0:08:11.640 --> 0:08:13.520 Is not that much. That's not that much. 0:08:13.960 --> 0:08:16.920 So then they play out the twenty twenty four season 0:08:17.720 --> 0:08:22.239 and a few things go wrong and you only make 0:08:22.440 --> 0:08:27.520 a profit of six million dollars. You then announced that 0:08:27.880 --> 0:08:31.720 you lost four million dollars, that you're in. 0:08:31.480 --> 0:08:34.240 The red for the year twenty twenty four. 0:08:34.280 --> 0:08:37.520 When you actually made money, you just didn't make enough 0:08:37.600 --> 0:08:40.520 gemstones because you thought you were going to make more 0:08:40.559 --> 0:08:43.360 gemstones and you didn't. And so therefore you say well, 0:08:43.400 --> 0:08:45.160 we were supposed to. I looked at the spreadsheet and 0:08:45.160 --> 0:08:47.880 I crunched the numbers and I used the math, and 0:08:47.920 --> 0:08:50.360 the math ain't mathing. And we were supposed to make 0:08:50.360 --> 0:08:51.000 this amount of money. 0:08:51.000 --> 0:08:51.360 We did not. 0:08:51.920 --> 0:08:56.400 And so there you go. So again, boy, I went 0:08:56.480 --> 0:09:00.240 way off, way off the reservation. But Wringling Brothers, Arnham 0:09:00.240 --> 0:09:05.280 and Bailey circus lasted from eighteen eighty one all the way. 0:09:05.160 --> 0:09:07.840 To twenty seventeen. Amazing. 0:09:07.880 --> 0:09:12.679 Now, the modern circus began in the seventeen hundreds in England. 0:09:13.480 --> 0:09:18.160 A guy named Philip Astley is the first person to 0:09:18.200 --> 0:09:22.600 create a one stop show. And the original circus in 0:09:22.640 --> 0:09:26.439 England had horseback riding or tricks. 0:09:26.520 --> 0:09:29.400 Rather that riding. You watch people write horses anywhere. 0:09:30.080 --> 0:09:33.679 The automobile was not a thing in the seventeen hundreds, 0:09:33.840 --> 0:09:37.120 but they had horse riding tricks, so like some dude 0:09:37.160 --> 0:09:38.120 on a horse juggling. 0:09:38.760 --> 0:09:44.880 They had acrobats, clowns and other entertainment. And so that 0:09:45.840 --> 0:09:49.199 was back in the seventeen hundreds and then P. T. 0:09:49.400 --> 0:09:54.320 Barnum and Bailey got together and the circus started. 0:09:54.360 --> 0:09:56.800 The US version of the circus. The PD. 0:09:56.920 --> 0:10:00.080 Barnum was the first ever freak show and that that 0:10:00.240 --> 0:10:04.959 is a wild story. P. T. Barnum figuring out that 0:10:05.200 --> 0:10:09.760 people would pay good money to watch things that were different, 0:10:10.480 --> 0:10:13.200 things that were different and whatnot. 0:10:13.240 --> 0:10:14.240 But P. T. 0:10:14.360 --> 0:10:20.840 Barnum he partnered with William Cameron Coop after he retired. 0:10:20.920 --> 0:10:24.120 After his retirement and the P. T. Barnum Museum. 0:10:25.640 --> 0:10:29.520 Menageree and circus, and that was where they came up 0:10:29.559 --> 0:10:33.320 with the marketing term the greatest show on turf, and 0:10:33.400 --> 0:10:37.280 so a major tip of the cap. And that actually 0:10:37.360 --> 0:10:42.040 leads us to the word of the week. That's right, 0:10:42.080 --> 0:10:43.680 the word of the week. We'll do it earlier this week, 0:10:43.679 --> 0:10:46.280 on this Friday. So the word of the week is 0:10:46.960 --> 0:10:51.920 circus in honor of P. T. Barnum and the Barnum 0:10:51.920 --> 0:10:55.680 and Bailey circus and all of that in the Hippodrome. 0:10:56.080 --> 0:10:58.600 But the word of the week is, as we said, circus. 0:10:58.600 --> 0:11:03.560 The word circus, if you go way back in the 0:11:03.600 --> 0:11:06.040 hot tip time machine, the roots of the word circus, 0:11:06.600 --> 0:11:11.079 it's Latin and Old English mixed together, but it comes 0:11:11.120 --> 0:11:17.960 from the Latin word of circus, which means circle or ring. 0:11:19.040 --> 0:11:25.360 But in ancient Rome, the term circus cir cus it 0:11:25.440 --> 0:11:30.040 referred to a large open air venue used for public events. Now, 0:11:30.200 --> 0:11:36.000 back in ancient Rome they had chariot races and gladiators 0:11:36.040 --> 0:11:37.400 in combat. 0:11:37.280 --> 0:11:39.080 Who were slaves, by the way, gl ideas were. 0:11:38.960 --> 0:11:45.360 Slaves, and they also had the circus maximus, and so 0:11:45.559 --> 0:11:50.440 those those venues in ancient Rome were typically circular oval. 0:11:50.800 --> 0:11:54.920 Thus the origin of the word. Now we move ahead 0:11:55.480 --> 0:11:59.520 in this Word of the week word circus. So by 0:11:59.520 --> 0:12:05.880 the late fourteenth century the term entered what was English, 0:12:05.920 --> 0:12:10.559 but now we call it Old English, and it evolved 0:12:10.679 --> 0:12:13.880 from the fourteenth century further on in the late eighteenth century, 0:12:14.520 --> 0:12:19.160 the modern concept of what you and I call a circus, right, 0:12:19.200 --> 0:12:26.439 it is a circus in that modern version of circus, 0:12:26.440 --> 0:12:33.240 which features the clowns, the acrobats and the animals, all 0:12:33.280 --> 0:12:36.640 of that. That was pioneered by someone named Philip Astley 0:12:37.720 --> 0:12:39.800 in England. Now most people don't know who that is 0:12:39.840 --> 0:12:42.160 because he's not as famous as P. T. 0:12:42.400 --> 0:12:44.520 Barnum and the Barnum and Bailey circus and all that. 0:12:44.559 --> 0:12:49.560 But Philip Astley in that period in England was the 0:12:49.559 --> 0:12:52.160 first one to use that term in relation to what 0:12:52.480 --> 0:12:57.120 is still known as what we think of as a circus. Right, 0:12:57.160 --> 0:13:02.040 and so this usage hating the idea that the circular performances. 0:13:02.040 --> 0:13:03.439 Remember that you go to you used to go to 0:13:03.480 --> 0:13:08.800 the circus. You had round tents or rings and under 0:13:08.840 --> 0:13:10.040 the big top and all that. 0:13:10.120 --> 0:13:10.679 So there you go. 0:13:10.760 --> 0:13:14.520 The word of the week. The word of the week 0:13:14.880 --> 0:13:20.640 is circus. I know, so exciting, all right, So turning 0:13:20.679 --> 0:13:23.920 the page from the word of the week, we go, 0:13:24.000 --> 0:13:25.440 I want to go back to baseball. 0:13:25.960 --> 0:13:27.400 And I didn't mention this. 0:13:27.480 --> 0:13:32.080 I did the Bennies Baseball Bonanza, the big opening Day 0:13:32.160 --> 0:13:35.320 show the other night, did a monologue about baseball and 0:13:35.440 --> 0:13:38.400 the storylines of baseball. One thing I did not get 0:13:38.400 --> 0:13:40.120 into that I wanted to do here on the pod 0:13:40.840 --> 0:13:44.000 is the exotic player prop bets. Now I love these, 0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:48.559 absolutely love them. And the twenty twenty five season is 0:13:48.600 --> 0:13:52.000 now underway. We're off to the races and you can 0:13:52.040 --> 0:13:56.800 bet the normal thing. You should not gamble. You should 0:13:56.800 --> 0:13:58.880 not gamble if you can't control yourself, right, it's obvious, 0:13:58.960 --> 0:13:59.400 right A lot. 0:13:59.280 --> 0:13:59.840 Of people can't. 0:14:00.120 --> 0:14:03.920 Many of us can, and like anything everything within moderation, 0:14:04.080 --> 0:14:07.240 even moderation. But in honor of the start of the 0:14:07.240 --> 0:14:10.559 baseball season on this State two today, I thought we'd 0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:14.000 look at some of the more interesting exotic player prop bets. 0:14:14.559 --> 0:14:18.080 And again not your normal over under or strikeouts or 0:14:18.080 --> 0:14:21.280 any of that stuff. So we'll start with the face 0:14:21.360 --> 0:14:27.720 of Major League Baseball show, Hey Otani, So Otani the 0:14:27.760 --> 0:14:30.400 one prop bet. There's a bunch of Otani prop bets, 0:14:30.440 --> 0:14:32.560 because you gotta get that money. You gotta get that money. 0:14:33.480 --> 0:14:35.840 The one that I'm gonna use for this is will 0:14:35.880 --> 0:14:42.000 Otani hit forty or more home runs and pitch enough 0:14:42.000 --> 0:14:43.800 to win ten or more games? 0:14:45.560 --> 0:14:47.240 So that is the question. 0:14:47.280 --> 0:14:49.520 Now Otani, keep in mind, is not even yet in 0:14:49.640 --> 0:14:52.120 the Dodger pitching staff. 0:14:52.160 --> 0:14:54.560 He's he's coming back. Their slow rolling him. 0:14:54.640 --> 0:14:57.840 He's I think I read the other day Otani's they 0:14:57.880 --> 0:15:01.360 think you'll pitch maybe sometime in May. 0:15:01.600 --> 0:15:05.480 I believe. I mean they're going very slow, very slow. 0:15:05.520 --> 0:15:06.880 I might be wrong on that, but I think I 0:15:06.960 --> 0:15:10.000 read that somewhere anyway, shoe A Otani will he had 0:15:10.040 --> 0:15:12.080 forty or more home runs and pitch ten or more 0:15:12.160 --> 0:15:12.960 wins this year. 0:15:14.480 --> 0:15:17.320 So I would go know on this. I would go 0:15:17.400 --> 0:15:19.640 know on this because you have and I don't know 0:15:19.680 --> 0:15:20.480 if you can bet No. 0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:25.400 All right, Otani is supposed to be pitching, but he 0:15:25.800 --> 0:15:31.760 had major elbow surgery. That is his second major elbow surgery. 0:15:32.520 --> 0:15:36.840 You combine that with the fact that he's likely going 0:15:36.880 --> 0:15:42.720 to pitch maybe once every five every six days, and 0:15:42.760 --> 0:15:44.760 he'll skip some starts, so he's not going to get 0:15:44.760 --> 0:15:45.600 that many starts. 0:15:46.360 --> 0:15:49.400 And when he does pitch, is he going to go 0:15:49.480 --> 0:15:51.480 five six? Now? Is he gonna get enough innings to 0:15:51.520 --> 0:15:52.760 get wins? Now? 0:15:52.880 --> 0:15:57.560 The offensive number, I think it would be surprising assuming 0:15:58.160 --> 0:16:03.840 all these things, Assuming hell, forty home runs. Absolutely, he's 0:16:03.840 --> 0:16:06.520 already got, you know, he's already got a good start 0:16:06.560 --> 0:16:12.520 to that. So he is projected to hit the odds estimate, 0:16:12.560 --> 0:16:16.280 he is projected to hit about forty plus home runs. 0:16:16.080 --> 0:16:19.960 The thing that's the wild card is the ten wins, right, 0:16:20.000 --> 0:16:22.600 because not only do you have to pitch enough, you 0:16:22.680 --> 0:16:23.280 got to be healthy. 0:16:23.320 --> 0:16:24.840 Obviously with all this stuff. 0:16:25.160 --> 0:16:28.360 But Otani's coming off a fifty to fifty season with 0:16:28.480 --> 0:16:32.200 fifty four home runs and fifty nine stolen bases, and 0:16:32.240 --> 0:16:36.400 he's a much better, much better offensive player. Obviously, an 0:16:36.480 --> 0:16:40.240 MVP level offensive player is a generational offensive player. 0:16:40.520 --> 0:16:42.160 He is not a generational pitcher. 0:16:42.720 --> 0:16:48.480 The reason that Otani is so especially he's not terrible, 0:16:49.320 --> 0:16:49.920 but it's. 0:16:49.760 --> 0:16:52.000 The uniqueness of it. Like there have been. 0:16:51.880 --> 0:16:55.400 Players who have futched around with pitching and hitting, and 0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:59.200 they're usually really bad at one and okay at the other. 0:16:59.320 --> 0:17:04.520 Otani is elite. He's omni present when it comes to 0:17:05.000 --> 0:17:09.720 hitting the baseball, but pitching, based on what I saw 0:17:09.840 --> 0:17:14.800 in Anaheim, he was, Okay, there'll be some good starts, 0:17:14.800 --> 0:17:17.040 and there'd be a lot of crappy starts. But the 0:17:17.040 --> 0:17:20.359 fact that he's just doing it at all, it's like, Wow, 0:17:20.440 --> 0:17:21.320 that's like really cool. 0:17:21.359 --> 0:17:21.679 All right. 0:17:21.840 --> 0:17:24.239 Some of the other exotic props for baseball this year, 0:17:24.240 --> 0:17:31.240 how about Elie Dela Cruz, another dynamo for the Cincinnati Reds, 0:17:31.600 --> 0:17:34.520 Elie Dela Cruz, who's now got a real manager in 0:17:34.600 --> 0:17:37.880 Terry Francona. I would keep an eye on the Reds now. 0:17:38.000 --> 0:17:40.960 They don't have enough if you look at a depth 0:17:41.040 --> 0:17:45.640 chart pitching wise. But Terry Francona, and I didn't think 0:17:45.720 --> 0:17:48.239 much of him when he was in Philadelphia and the 0:17:48.280 --> 0:17:52.840 Red Sox had loaded teams when he managed there, they 0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:55.880 with Manny Ramirez and David Ortiz, so I thought, well, 0:17:55.920 --> 0:17:59.159 he's all right, but really they've got tremendous talent. But 0:17:59.520 --> 0:18:03.480 the crafting of Terry Francona managing a team, I thought 0:18:03.480 --> 0:18:06.280 in Cleveland. They used to be just called a team 0:18:06.320 --> 0:18:10.680 called the Indians, and to me, that was where Terry 0:18:10.720 --> 0:18:18.119 Francona just crafted these amazing teams that overachieved. Now, some 0:18:18.200 --> 0:18:18.680 of that was. 0:18:18.640 --> 0:18:21.280 The division and there weren't that many good teams in 0:18:21.280 --> 0:18:21.679 the division. 0:18:21.680 --> 0:18:24.480 But I thought that the Cleveland Indians and now they're 0:18:24.520 --> 0:18:29.560 the Guardians with Francona, overachieved. They in and underachieved. They 0:18:29.640 --> 0:18:33.000 overachieved based on what they I thought the talent level was, 0:18:33.400 --> 0:18:36.200 and they were able to play off the radar. There 0:18:36.240 --> 0:18:39.920 wasn't a lot of hype about their young players, and they. 0:18:39.800 --> 0:18:40.400 Pulled it off. 0:18:40.400 --> 0:18:42.840 And Francona played it off and pulled it off, and 0:18:42.880 --> 0:18:46.439 so now he's in Cincinnati anyway, So this is not 0:18:46.440 --> 0:18:48.840 about Terry Francona, but La did and the Cruz. The 0:18:48.920 --> 0:18:51.159 prop bet is will he lead Major League Baseball in 0:18:51.200 --> 0:18:57.320 stolen bases and triples? So leading the league in two 0:18:57.640 --> 0:19:02.679 categories that involved speed is this is not that easy, 0:19:02.720 --> 0:19:06.280 my friend. Now, last season Dela Cruz led major League baseball. 0:19:07.040 --> 0:19:13.040 He had sixty seven sixty seven stolen bases and he 0:19:13.160 --> 0:19:17.720 had ten triples. That was tied for second. But keep 0:19:17.760 --> 0:19:22.520 in my playing in Cincinnati. That is a band box. 0:19:23.359 --> 0:19:28.119 It's not a great Triples ballpark. You're more likely to 0:19:28.200 --> 0:19:31.640 hit a home run than have the ball bounce off 0:19:31.680 --> 0:19:35.040 the wall at the Great America Ballpark, which I think 0:19:35.080 --> 0:19:39.879 it's still called, and then roll around. In order to 0:19:40.080 --> 0:19:44.400 get that amount of triples, like where you're leading baseball, 0:19:44.480 --> 0:19:48.040 there has to be like weird bounces and yeah, yeah, 0:19:48.480 --> 0:19:50.359 it's like trick shot. 0:19:50.600 --> 0:19:53.639 It's like your trick shot artist when you're doing that. 0:19:53.800 --> 0:19:57.760 And anyway, so I would I would say, yeah, stolen 0:19:57.800 --> 0:20:00.640 bases if you just bet that your eye the triples 0:20:00.720 --> 0:20:04.400 is like total toss up right, You're just you're grabbing 0:20:04.520 --> 0:20:08.960 out of thin air. Another prop bet for the Pittsburgh Pirates. 0:20:08.960 --> 0:20:13.120 It's Paul Skeens and pray for Raid, this phenom who 0:20:13.160 --> 0:20:15.119 will be in Pittsburgh for a couple more years and 0:20:15.119 --> 0:20:17.560 then play for the Yankees or the Dodgers and the 0:20:17.600 --> 0:20:24.120 Red Sox or wherever he's from. Southern California. Actually Paul Skeins. 0:20:24.160 --> 0:20:27.440 Fun fact, fun fact about Paul Skeins. He grew up 0:20:28.400 --> 0:20:32.920 not that far away from where I grew up in 0:20:33.080 --> 0:20:36.480 Orange County. In fact, he went to Eltoral High School 0:20:37.680 --> 0:20:40.920 in Orange County. And when I was in high school, 0:20:40.960 --> 0:20:43.480 we played against his obviously like a. 0:20:43.440 --> 0:20:45.240 Million I'm a dinosaur compared. 0:20:44.960 --> 0:20:47.160 To him, but we played against the high school where 0:20:47.160 --> 0:20:50.959 he went, and so he does have ties to southern California. 0:20:51.040 --> 0:20:54.520 But Paul Skeins pretty straightforward this exotic prop bet for 0:20:54.560 --> 0:20:55.359 the baseball season. 0:20:55.760 --> 0:20:59.640 Will he throw a no hitter? Will Paul Skeins throw 0:20:59.680 --> 0:20:59.960 no hitter? 0:21:01.600 --> 0:21:06.960 So on this one, the odds are plus twenty five hundred, 0:21:08.520 --> 0:21:15.720 and much like leading the league in triples, it's impossible. 0:21:15.760 --> 0:21:20.119 I don't care what kind of algorithm you have. You 0:21:20.200 --> 0:21:24.439 can't just type it into some deep search engines said, well, 0:21:24.440 --> 0:21:27.520 that's going to be the answer. No, because no hitters 0:21:28.320 --> 0:21:35.240 are endangered species. They are a throwback to an era 0:21:35.440 --> 0:21:41.439 when pictures had hair on their chest and the world 0:21:41.520 --> 0:21:44.480 was not run by cowards, and pitchers could stay in 0:21:44.520 --> 0:21:47.440 games and you were actually shamed. It's one of these 0:21:47.600 --> 0:21:50.280 things that's changed in my lifetime. There was a time 0:21:50.320 --> 0:21:53.119 when you were shamed if you came out of a 0:21:53.160 --> 0:21:57.719 game early, and then at some point in the last 0:21:58.080 --> 0:22:03.000 about fifteen years or so, it changed and now, well, 0:22:03.040 --> 0:22:04.840 you're really letting the team down if you go too 0:22:04.840 --> 0:22:06.480 far into the game because you got to save those 0:22:06.520 --> 0:22:07.800 bullets for. 0:22:07.760 --> 0:22:08.280 Later in the year. 0:22:08.359 --> 0:22:11.280 Now, my favorite example of that is a couple of 0:22:11.359 --> 0:22:14.560 years ago, Clayton Kershaw was pitching a perfect game, not 0:22:14.680 --> 0:22:17.520 a no hitter, not a no hitter, a perfect game 0:22:17.520 --> 0:22:19.600 against the Minnesota Twins. It was like it was like 0:22:19.680 --> 0:22:22.840 April or May. It was early in the year. Kershaw 0:22:23.000 --> 0:22:26.800 was dealing and they took him out of the game. 0:22:26.880 --> 0:22:28.840 Dave Roberts took him out. They had a perfect game. 0:22:29.880 --> 0:22:34.280 And the argument the Dodgers made was they had to 0:22:34.320 --> 0:22:37.120 save Kershaw because they're not worried about a perfect game. 0:22:37.160 --> 0:22:41.560 They had to save him for the playoffs. And I 0:22:41.720 --> 0:22:45.000 believe if I'm right, and I know if I'm wrong, 0:22:45.119 --> 0:22:46.159 you'll correct me. 0:22:46.600 --> 0:22:47.879 You'll send me a nast email. 0:22:48.160 --> 0:22:50.520 You said that on the podcast, and you were right, 0:22:50.600 --> 0:22:52.399 and I don't like that you were wrong, and I 0:22:52.440 --> 0:22:53.440 got to correct it. 0:22:53.520 --> 0:22:53.960