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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how w are you welcome into a Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daly Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. We are here on bettingpros dot Com, always

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by BETMGM. You guys can find

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Speaker 1: this podcast on YouTube anywhere you get your podcasts, and

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Speaker 1: every morning you'll get it on bettingpros dot com as well.

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Speaker 1: You guys who are watching on YouTube, you see our little, fun,

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Speaker 1: little new layout we got going on here, including that

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Speaker 1: BETMGM offer which is always available. You bet twenty dollars

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Speaker 1: to win one hundred bucks at any event using that

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Speaker 1: promo code Juice one hundreds. If you ever are wondering, man, Matt,

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Speaker 1: what's that promo code? I don't know what that promo

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Speaker 1: code is. Well just go to YouTube search betting pros

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Speaker 1: and you will see it right on the actual layout.

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Speaker 1: Now for our podcast for the Daly Juice video. All right,

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Speaker 1: good night, last night. Gotta love them. They're a lot

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Speaker 1: of fun. And look the Vegas gold Knights one. So

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Speaker 1: I don't care about losing that half unit. Okay, and

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Speaker 1: you might go, ah, Matt, you lost to bet I

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Speaker 1: don't care. I am gladly to go what we went

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Speaker 1: five and one. I will be in love with that

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Speaker 1: two and zer one the player props. Finally, we have

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Speaker 1: been searching for a two and oh night with the

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Speaker 1: player props. Marcus Morris and John Collins both go over

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Speaker 1: their point totals, so that was nice. We get the

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Speaker 1: Atlanta Hawks in a laugher, which was awesome. Atlanta minus four.

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Speaker 1: They took care of business. I did take the Knicks

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Speaker 1: in the first half though my own personal bet that

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Speaker 1: was wrong. We took the Boston Celtics. I did in

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Speaker 1: the first half that cash to make up for that

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Speaker 1: Knicks bet, and then the over goes for Boston and Brooklyn,

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Speaker 1: and the cherry on top is that Boston won the game. Now,

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Speaker 1: I didn't bet aside in that game, just the total.

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Speaker 1: And here's the fun thing. If you are the books man,

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Speaker 1: I've been posting in the Discord channel the mostly they're

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Speaker 1: coming from DraftKings. Vanduel gives them to me too, but

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Speaker 1: FANDOL and DraftKings both send out their data in very

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Speaker 1: pretty graph form before these games are going off, and

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Speaker 1: some of you are recognizing what I've been talking about

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Speaker 1: for a long time. And if you are new to this,

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Speaker 1: you vets know this, and you've heard me say this

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Speaker 1: a lot, but fade the public. Fading the public is

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Speaker 1: not always going to win, all right, But there are

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Speaker 1: certain games where ninety percent, ninety five percent. You start

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Speaker 1: to see everyone being on one side and the number

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Speaker 1: not changing dramatically. As you get used to watching this stuff,

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Speaker 1: and as you get used to seeing the numbers, you're

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Speaker 1: going to go, oh, wait a second, that's not nah,

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Speaker 1: I don't want to be on that side, which was

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Speaker 1: Brooklyn laying eight or Brooklyn on the money line. The

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Speaker 1: books got a gift from the Boston Celtics. Not only

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Speaker 1: did they clean up on the money line bets, not

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Speaker 1: only did they clean up on the laying eight Brooklyn

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Speaker 1: nets bet, but they also cleaned up in all the

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Speaker 1: parlays because everybody he had Brooklyn minus eight or Brooklyn

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Speaker 1: money line in every parlay last night. So the books

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Speaker 1: that Celtics win was enormous for the sports books. I'm

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Speaker 1: glad I didn't get involved. Just took Boston the first

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Speaker 1: half in that cast, and we took the over, so

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Speaker 1: that was nice. So we got that right. And so look,

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Speaker 1: it was a good day. I mean, it was really

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Speaker 1: it was a strong day. It was a fun day.

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Speaker 1: And the over for the Vegas gold Knights that came

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Speaker 1: in easily, So that's always fun when you've got a

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Speaker 1: kind of a walker, a walk to five over. Everyone thought,

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Speaker 1: the books thought that that was going to be a

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Speaker 1: low scoring game, and it was not. Vegas came out

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Speaker 1: quickly for the most part the wild We're trying to

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Speaker 1: match Vegas, but then the second period Vegas took over.

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Speaker 1: In the third period, Vegas dominated as well, which was

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Speaker 1: really nice. So we go five and one on the day,

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Speaker 1: which is awesome, and I will take those every single time.

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Speaker 1: And we're back here on a Saturday morning with a

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Speaker 1: bunch of picks. All right, I've got two NBA plays,

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Speaker 1: I've got one NHL play, and I have a boxing

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Speaker 1: fight tonight. I don't know if you guys know much

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Speaker 1: about Devin Haney, but I'll tell talk a little bit

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Speaker 1: about them here as we have a play on that

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Speaker 1: fight coming up tonight here in Vegas, and I'm looking

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Speaker 1: forward to watching it. And Jorge Lenares is a VET

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Speaker 1: and we'll get into a little bit of that fight more.

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Speaker 1: But you know, these are one of the benefits of

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Speaker 1: being at the boxing gym. That I am at. If

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Speaker 1: you ever come to Vegas and you're you're a boxer

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Speaker 1: and you want to train it like a legitimate gym.

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Speaker 1: My friends at d X Boxing are brand new. They're

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Speaker 1: a gorgeous gym. It's small, but there are some real

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Speaker 1: pros who come through there, and people who work at

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Speaker 1: top rank and people who are who have been around

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Speaker 1: the boxing game for a really long time. And I'm

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Speaker 1: learning a ton and it's great because I get tips,

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Speaker 1: and I got a tip last night as I was

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Speaker 1: talking to somebody about the David Handy fight. So we'll

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Speaker 1: get into that coming up here a little bit later on.

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Speaker 1: All right, so let's start here with the NHL and

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Speaker 1: Boston taking on the New York Islanders. These two teams

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Speaker 1: are basically mirrors of each other, but Boston's the better team. Okay, However,

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Speaker 1: I think the numbers are all out of whack here

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Speaker 1: for this series and for this game, and I think

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Speaker 1: if you're looking for value, I think there's real value

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Speaker 1: on betting the Islanders to win this series. I don't

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Speaker 1: think Boston's gonna walk over New York. I just don't

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Speaker 1: see it. Game one here in Boston. There's gonna be

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Speaker 1: a pretty big crowd. I think they're gonna have near

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Speaker 1: capacity for this, so it's gonna be really big. But

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Speaker 1: the Islanders are not going to play the same way

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Speaker 1: they played against the Philadelphia Sorry, the Pittsburgh Penguins, it's

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Speaker 1: not happening, all right. They're gonna go into a shell.

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Speaker 1: Boston equally goes into a shell. The total is five. Okay.

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Speaker 1: You guys have been talking and hearing me talk about five.

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Speaker 1: Bet the over, five bet the over, and I came

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Speaker 1: really close to betting five and the over. However, I'm

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Speaker 1: going to try something here, and I found five under

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Speaker 1: at plus money. There's a chance we push, Just like

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Speaker 1: when I talk about betting overs at five, there is

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Speaker 1: a chance we could push with five and the under.

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Speaker 1: I haven't had one of these real brutal sweats in

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Speaker 1: a while, and so it's plus money at plus one twenty.

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Speaker 1: There's a chance we push and it's a three to

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Speaker 1: two win. That's probably what's gonna happen here. It's gonna

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Speaker 1: be three to two, somebody two to two, and then

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Speaker 1: it'll be a third goal and it will be a

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Speaker 1: push three to two win for somebody. Hopefully we don't

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Speaker 1: get burned by an open net goal. Okay, hopefully that's

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Speaker 1: not gonna happen. But at plus one twenty to bet

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Speaker 1: five and go under five. The under is six one

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Speaker 1: and two in the last nine meetings between Boston and

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Speaker 1: the Islanders. Normally it's five and a half. That's the

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Speaker 1: normal under. If the number does go up to five

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Speaker 1: and a half, bet the under, and I think you're

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Speaker 1: gonna you won't be getting plus money. But I think

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Speaker 1: in a very similar way you may cast your bet

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Speaker 1: and I might wind up pushing with five being the total.

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Speaker 1: But I think Sir Roken's in net for the Islanders.

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Speaker 1: Rask is a net for the Bruins. These teams, you know,

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Speaker 1: Boston at home, the home team is seven and one

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Speaker 1: in the last eight meetings between these two teams. Islanders

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Speaker 1: are two and six in the last eight meetings in Boston.

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Speaker 1: They haven't played all that well there. But the last

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Speaker 1: sixty five games for the Islanders as a road dog,

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Speaker 1: the under is forty two eighteen and five. It's a

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Speaker 1: pretty big trend, right. I mean, these are just numbers, right,

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Speaker 1: But you have to think about the way the Islanders

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Speaker 1: are gonna play. They can't go up and down the

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Speaker 1: ice with Boston, and Boston doesn't want to do that anyway.

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Speaker 1: Boston doesn't play with explosive offenses. They don't. You know.

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Speaker 1: Boston can score, and they've got some good lines, but

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Speaker 1: their top two lines have not been good, to be

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Speaker 1: quite honest. The Islanders are coming in off of a

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Speaker 1: really hard series. They got a big victory, but they're

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Speaker 1: on the road, and again Boston has been resting, and

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Speaker 1: Boston has a chance here. I think I think Boston

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Speaker 1: will win Game one. I'm just gonna take the a

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Speaker 1: role the dice here. I want Boston to win. I'll

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Speaker 1: have a personal play on the Bruins to win this

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Speaker 1: game on the money line, but I'm not gonna for

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Speaker 1: the podcast purposes. The official play is going to be

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Speaker 1: under five at plus one twenty for the Bruins in

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Speaker 1: the Islanders, we might push, but we might also cash

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Speaker 1: with some plus money. So one NHL bet tonight Bruins

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Speaker 1: Islanders under five at plus one twenty. Okay, two NBA plays.

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Speaker 1: Let's start talking about Memphis and the Utah Jazz. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so against the spread this year Utah forty two and

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Speaker 1: thirty two, Memphis forty four and thirty two. So far

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Speaker 1: in this series, one in one on both sides. Utah

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Speaker 1: in Game one was favored by seven and a half,

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Speaker 1: they lost by three. In Game two they won. They

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Speaker 1: were ten point favorites. They won by twelve, so they've covered.

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Speaker 1: Here's the thing about Memphis. This team is really, really gritty.

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Speaker 1: They're two and three over the last five to the number,

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Speaker 1: four and six over the last ten. But at home

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Speaker 1: they're twenty and seventeen and the Utah Jazz are eighteen

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Speaker 1: and eighteen against the number. This is going to be

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Speaker 1: a rocking environment for Memphis here against Utah. They're in

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Speaker 1: this series. I was dead wrong about this Utah Jazz team, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I will admit it. I'll raise my hand. Absolutely dead

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Speaker 1: wrong about what they're capable of doing. And I'm getting

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Speaker 1: five points here. I got five points for the home team. Man,

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Speaker 1: I know everyone's gonna go Ah, Utah take you to

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Speaker 1: I don't think so, Okay. I think Memphis is alive

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Speaker 1: to win this game. I think they've got some real

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Speaker 1: big matchups. Fallaciunis is a big problem. They can get

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Speaker 1: him going, and John Morant is playing some of the

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Speaker 1: best basketball of his life. And Utah, really they don't

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Speaker 1: have an answer for John Morant. They just don't. And

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Speaker 1: he's shooting the three really well. Dylan Brooks is playing

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Speaker 1: great defense. I'm not so sure that we've seen, you know,

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Speaker 1: the best of Utah yet in this series. And I

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Speaker 1: know you're gonna have Donovan Mitchell at some point when

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Speaker 1: he gets healthier and healthier, it's going to go off.

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Speaker 1: I just don't know how healthy he is. Even if

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Speaker 1: the game too didn't look perfect, didn't look great, I'll

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Speaker 1: take the five points. I got a home dog with

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Speaker 1: Memphis with the way they scrap. Give me the five.

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Speaker 1: Memphis plus five up begins Utah for a half a

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Speaker 1: unit for the first NBA play, second play of the night.

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Speaker 1: And then let's talk about the over between the Nuggets

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Speaker 1: and the Portland Trailblazers. So Here in Vegas, it was

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Speaker 1: two twenty six at the Westgate Circa was at two

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Speaker 1: twenty seven and a half. That's a pretty big discrepancy,

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Speaker 1: a pretty big difference between books in Vegas. You rarely

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Speaker 1: ever see that. So I jumped on the over to

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Speaker 1: twenty six so far this year Denver's forty two and

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Speaker 1: thirty three to the under. Sorry, the over Portland is

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Speaker 1: forty one and thirty four to the over. Both teams

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Speaker 1: have a four game streak going to the over four

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Speaker 1: and one the last five, seven and three for Denver

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Speaker 1: in the last ten to the over in Portland is

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Speaker 1: six and four to the over over the last ten

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Speaker 1: in this series so far, you look at the way

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Speaker 1: these teams have played. They've now played fourcative games against

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Speaker 1: each other. In all four games have gone over. We

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Speaker 1: bet the previous the first two. Let's bet it again

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Speaker 1: here because why would we fade this trend here with

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Speaker 1: what we're looking at so far? At two twenty nine

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Speaker 1: went over by nineteen. Two twenty six and a half

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Speaker 1: went over by five and a half, two twenty five

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Speaker 1: went over by twelve, and two twenty seven went over

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Speaker 1: by eight. I have two twenty six and we're going over.

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Speaker 1: Damian Lillard cannot really be stopped. You know, they're going

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Speaker 1: to be angry here. They lost home court. They're going

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Speaker 1: to be mad. They want to win Game four here.

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Speaker 1: Laying the fourth Portland is a little scary because I

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Speaker 1: do think Denver is playing some really good basketball, and

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Speaker 1: Yokich is a problem for them. I don't think they've

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Speaker 1: got an answer. Ers can't handle it. They don't have

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Speaker 1: a post player who can defend. And then other guys

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Speaker 1: got going. And do I think Austin Rivers has another

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter like he had in Game three? No scored

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Speaker 1: sixteen points in the fourth quarter of his twenty one points,

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Speaker 1: hit five of four or five three pointers in the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter. I don't think that happens again, but maybe

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Speaker 1: I want him to because I need points. So we're

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Speaker 1: going over over too, twenty six dender in Portland for

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Speaker 1: the second NBA Play of the Night. Okay, and I've

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Speaker 1: got one boxing bet to tell you about. Okay. So

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Speaker 1: Devin Haney at twenty two years of age is fighting

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Speaker 1: Jorge Lenaries at thirty five years of age. It's a

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Speaker 1: twelve round fight. Okay, twelve round fight. If you look

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Speaker 1: at the last two fights for Devin Haney, both have

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Speaker 1: gone to the cards. Knockout win over Colls Morales for

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Speaker 1: Jorge Lenaries put him into this position to get a

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Speaker 1: fight to get a the World Boxing Council WBC World

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Speaker 1: lightweight title. Here and in the previous fight it was

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Speaker 1: a unanimous decision win for Hory Lenaris, but he's lost

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Speaker 1: two of his previous five fights. Okay. The only knockout

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Speaker 1: that we've seen so far for Devin Haney since going

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Speaker 1: back over the last five fights was back in twenty nineteen,

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Speaker 1: back in May of twenty nineteen. So two years ago

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Speaker 1: was the last time that Devin Haney knocked out somebody.

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Speaker 1: There are so many people with so much riding on

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Speaker 1: Devin Haney. Okay, Devin Haney is based here in Vegas.

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Speaker 1: Devin Haney has a whole production company. He has Devin Haity,

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Speaker 1: Devin Haney Productions and Promotions. They've got vans all over town.

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Speaker 1: He's twenty two years of age. He's supposed to fight

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Speaker 1: Ryan Garcia in the future. He is supposed to supposed

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Speaker 1: to fight forced to fight Errol Spence Junior in the future.

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Speaker 1: But he's got to win this fight and he has

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Speaker 1: to do it with somewhat impressive fashion. So, as I mentioned,

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Speaker 1: I'm at my gym having a conversation talking about this

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Speaker 1: fight with a bunch of people. Lenar is. The only

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Speaker 1: way he wins this fight is if he clips Haney early.

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Speaker 1: He has to hurt him early. Now, can he do it? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: he can do it. So here's what's going to happen.

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Speaker 1: Devin Haney is not going to go gangbusters early. Now

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Speaker 1: this is what I was told. Okay, I could be

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Speaker 1: dead wrong about this, but the total for this fight

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Speaker 1: is eight and a half eight and a half round,

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Speaker 1: twelve round fight. Devin Haney is going to try to

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Speaker 1: not survive, but he's gonna try to make sure he

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Speaker 1: doesn't get clipped early by Lenaries, who's a thirty five

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Speaker 1: year old veteran's been around for a long time, former champion.

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Speaker 1: He knows that Haney is stronger, in better shape, younger,

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Speaker 1: all the things that you'd want to take him to

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Speaker 1: deep water and then go after him and maybe knock

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Speaker 1: him out in the later rounds. That pretty much is

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Speaker 1: going to be the strategy. Hani is a monster favorite,

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Speaker 1: and I mean just a crazy, crazy favorite minus fourteen

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Speaker 1: hundred here in Vegas to win this fight. He's not losing,

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Speaker 1: it's just a matter of and if he does lose,

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Speaker 1: there are so many people who are going to be

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Speaker 1: in real trouble because they've invested so much money in

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Speaker 1: Devin Haney to be a monster superstar in boxing. He's

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Speaker 1: only twenty two. This is the first time they're actually

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Speaker 1: putting him in a ring with a legitimate former champion

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Speaker 1: and somebody who has been through the wars. This guy's

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Speaker 1: thirty five years old, he's been through the wars. He's

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Speaker 1: been hit, he's been knocked down, he's been hurt before.

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Speaker 1: He really hasn't ever really been hurt by a guy

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Speaker 1: like this before. So they know this, so expect him

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Speaker 1: to be a little bit off the gas in the

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Speaker 1: first couple of rounds and that leads to the over

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Speaker 1: rounds nine, rounds, ten, rounds eleven. Hany goes to work.

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Speaker 1: He may knock out Lenaris in a later round, So

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Speaker 1: I don't want to go and bet to the decision

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Speaker 1: because and you can get some good plus money on that.

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Speaker 1: But there is a chance that he does knockout Lenaris late,

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Speaker 1: as Lenaris will fade, he'll get tired, his age will

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Speaker 1: come into play, and then Haney just steps on the

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Speaker 1: gas and goes round nine, round ten, nine to eleven.

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Speaker 1: Eight and a half is the total we're betting over

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Speaker 1: eight and a half half a unit for Devin Haney

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Speaker 1: and Hoary Lenaris. Minus one thirty five is the odds

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Speaker 1: that I got on this. I think we go into

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Speaker 1: the ninth or the tenth rounds, maybe we see a

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Speaker 1: knockout there in the tenth, eleventh, or twelfth in the

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Speaker 1: later rounds in the championship rounds of the fight. But

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Speaker 1: it would be very surprising to see unless Lenaris knocks

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Speaker 1: out Hany and again. If he does, that's a plus

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Speaker 1: eight hundred win and the boxing world will be stunned.

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Speaker 1: The most logical thing is Hany wins on the cards. However,

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Speaker 1: he needs a knockout. He needs to start to build

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Speaker 1: up his overall persona. He needs to make people to

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Speaker 1: pay attention to him, and frankly, he just has not

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Speaker 1: been all that impressive his last two fights. He needs this.

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Speaker 1: He needs to show everybody that this is he is

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Speaker 1: going to be a legitimate player in this division for

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Speaker 1: a long time to come. Hani Lenaris over eight and

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Speaker 1: a half rounds at mass one thirty five is the

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Speaker 1: is the only boxing fight that we'll play here coming

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Speaker 1: up tonight Michelobe Alter Arena, Mandalay Bay here in Las

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Speaker 1: Vegas for that fight. Okay, in that fight probably starts

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Speaker 1: somewhere on ten o'clock Eastern time for that fight here

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Speaker 1: in Vegas. So to recap the place, Boston under five

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Speaker 1: at plus one twenty Boston, the Islanders Grizzlies, plus the

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Speaker 1: five at home taking on the Portland Trailblazers over Portland

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Speaker 1: and the Nuggets two twenty six at MIS one ten

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Speaker 1: and Devin Haney over eight and a half rounds against

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Speaker 1: Jorge Lenaris. Four plays for you guys coming up here tonight,

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Speaker 1: and the two player props that will hit you on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel. If you guys are not in the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel, you will see all my other plays, personal

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Speaker 1: plays and whatnot that I'm make you go check those

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00:17:17,080 --> 00:17:19,639
Speaker 1: out that haven't made the podcast that or just plays

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Speaker 1: I like it that I've put into motion, Betting pros

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00:17:22,800 --> 00:17:25,440
Speaker 1: dot coms last Chat to get in bettingpros dot Com,

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00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:27,760
Speaker 1: Betting Pros dot Coms Last Chat to get into that

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00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:30,520
Speaker 1: as well. Or you guys can go and on YouTube.

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00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:32,720
Speaker 1: There's everything underneath me, all these links you guys can

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Speaker 1: click to get into the YouTube channel for that. Always

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Speaker 1: remember the bet MGM offer juice one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 1: bucks to win one hundred dollars. The parlay, by the way,

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Speaker 1: was scrapped due to I think two games were rained out.

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Speaker 1: One was for sure, but two games are rained out,

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Speaker 1: so we're still fourteen and four on the parlay, so

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Speaker 1: we just don't even count it because it did not

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Speaker 1: qualify once we wound up seeing the weather come in.

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Speaker 1: So we'll be back next Friday for another one of those.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Paroltic. Can follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. Every single morning, it's the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast, being brought to you by Bett MGM right

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Speaker 1: here on bettingpros dot com