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Speaker 1: Hey Marlins fans, Welcome to a breaking news edition of

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Speaker 1: Big Fish Small Pod. You're on the Fish on first

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Speaker 1: podcast Channel. I am Eli Sussman. The pod presented by

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Speaker 1: our partners at About the Fans. Go to About theefans

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Speaker 1: dot com promo code fo F ten fo F one

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Speaker 1: zero for a ten percent discount on our merchandise every weekday.

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Speaker 1: I've been trying to do these pods, and this one

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Speaker 1: I was waiting around just for confirmation about Jonah Bride

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Speaker 1: him being an odd man out as the Marlins bring

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Speaker 1: back Jesus Scianchez from the injured list, coming back from

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Speaker 1: his Openleague strain, and Bride is the one to go.

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Speaker 1: One of the really bright spots during the entire second

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Speaker 1: half of the twenty twenty four season. He was as

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Speaker 1: encouraging as that was, he was even more of a

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Speaker 1: liability through the first few weeks of twenty twenty five,

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Speaker 1: and the Marlins are cutting bait after a relatively brief

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Speaker 1: slump despite the success previously. Had I want to dive

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Speaker 1: into why and a long story short, I probably would

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Speaker 1: have done the same thing under these particular circumstances. First off,

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Speaker 1: to be clear, he was out of minor league options.

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Speaker 1: That's why they had to take this drastic step when

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Speaker 1: somebody struggles like this for a couple of weeks at

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Speaker 1: a time. Bride was in a four for forty slump

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Speaker 1: to begin the regular season, and we'll dive into exactly

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Speaker 1: the underlying numbers weren't much prettier than that. When he's

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Speaker 1: in his lump like that, your natural thought is send

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Speaker 1: him down to the miners. Well, every player has a

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Speaker 1: certain number of option years available. He had exhausted all

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Speaker 1: three of his option years heading into twenty twenty five,

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Speaker 1: which means that he has to pass through waivers in

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Speaker 1: order for them to outride him for the miners. We

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Speaker 1: will find out in the coming days whether or not

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Speaker 1: that's gonna happen, or whether he gets claimed off waivers,

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Speaker 1: or whether the Marlins work out a tiny trade. That's

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Speaker 1: how they acquired him in the first place. They gave

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Speaker 1: up cash considerations to the Athletics to acquire Bride during

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Speaker 1: the twenty twenty three twenty twenty four off season. To

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Speaker 1: be blunt, I just wasn't a bit believer in Bride's

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Speaker 1: breakout season to begin with. Last year. Here we had

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Speaker 1: a side by side for those watching on YouTube of

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Speaker 1: his stat cast percentile rankings available on baseball Savant from

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Speaker 1: both last season and this season so far, and they're

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Speaker 1: actually kind of similar. So even though the results have

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Speaker 1: been drastically different, last year he was a well above

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Speaker 1: league average hitter OPS of eight eighteen and this year,

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Speaker 1: of course, was just as awful. On the other end,

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Speaker 1: a three hundred OPS a WRC plus below zero one

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Speaker 1: hundred represents the league average, and he was below zero.

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Speaker 1: That's how unproductive he was. The results were a lot different,

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Speaker 1: but the underlying numbers were some similarities right there. Or

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Speaker 1: even last year. He was not a guy that hit

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Speaker 1: the ball particularly hard. He made a good amount of contact,

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Speaker 1: and the one strength of his game that did carry

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Speaker 1: over from one year to the next is that he

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Speaker 1: makes good swing decisions. He doesn't chase outside the zone

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Speaker 1: very often. Even this year, seventy ninth percent tile among

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Speaker 1: NLB hitters in chasing out of the zone in terms

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Speaker 1: of having one of the lowest chase rates. But you

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Speaker 1: see the strikeout rate went up considerably. He was better

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Speaker 1: than the league average had avoiding strikeouts last year. This

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Speaker 1: year he was striking out in one out of every

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Speaker 1: three played. Appearances. That is pretty extreme and you need

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Speaker 1: to do a lot to make up for that. He

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Speaker 1: certainly wasn't to this point in the year. It goes

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Speaker 1: back to spring training where he wasn't all that impactful

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Speaker 1: then either. You don't want to judge the results on that,

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Speaker 1: but just by the eye test, yeah, it was hard

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Speaker 1: to really make sense of why he was so good

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Speaker 1: last year, although I did isolate one thing that stood out.

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Speaker 1: Get briefly to touch on the other aspects of the game.

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Speaker 1: There's a lot of pressure on Bride's bat just because

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Speaker 1: he doesn't add defensive value or base running value. He

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Speaker 1: has versatility. This is a guy that as recently as

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Speaker 1: a few years ago was even catching on an occasional

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Speaker 1: basis in the minors, and he has experience at first base,

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Speaker 1: second base, third base, maybe even tiny bit in the

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Speaker 1: corner outfield spots during his minor league career. So we

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Speaker 1: had the versatility, but he's somebody that I would put

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Speaker 1: more so in the positionless bucket than the utility bucket,

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Speaker 1: where he can fake it at several different spots. Wasn't

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Speaker 1: really an asset. As last season went on, he got

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Speaker 1: most of his regular playing time at first base, she

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Speaker 1: was not a good defensive first baseman, just doesn't really

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Speaker 1: have the hands or some of the general awareness of

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Speaker 1: the fine details of that position. It just put a

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Speaker 1: lot of pressure on his bat to produce. So even

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Speaker 1: in a small slump like this, he was a big

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Speaker 1: liability to the team during that period of time, and

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Speaker 1: with the guy's coming back from the il and the

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Speaker 1: fact that so many other players on this roster had

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Speaker 1: been performing significantly better, the Marlins make this choice to

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Speaker 1: squeeze out the guy, even though they risk losing him altogether.

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Speaker 1: Fish On First has partnered with About the Fans to

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Speaker 1: percent discount. I want to get into what I feel

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Speaker 1: was his superpower last year, which was the reason why

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Speaker 1: he was able to hit for a decent amount of

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Speaker 1: power despite not being hitting the ball hard in the

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Speaker 1: first place, is that he was really consistent about pulling

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Speaker 1: the ball in the air. He actually now tried to

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Speaker 1: approximate this pretty closely on Baseball Savant. His pull air

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Speaker 1: percentage last year twenty five percent. One quarter of every

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Speaker 1: ball that he put in play was pulled and hits

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Speaker 1: the air, It was hit to left field, and it

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Speaker 1: was in the air, so eleven of those went over

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Speaker 1: the wall, which is more than you would expect from

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Speaker 1: less than half a season of a guy that doesn't

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Speaker 1: hit the ball hard. That is a pace of close

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Speaker 1: to twenty five homers over the course of an entire

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Speaker 1: full length season if he was able to keep it up.

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Speaker 1: There were a cup that were impressive to the eye,

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Speaker 1: but a lot of wallscrapers. So he's a guy that

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Speaker 1: hit more home runs than you would expect because of that,

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Speaker 1: because he was able to get just enough of the ball,

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Speaker 1: and because he strategically hit it in places of the

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Speaker 1: ballpark where it's easiest to get a home run, the

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Speaker 1: ones where the distance to the fence is shortest, so

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Speaker 1: that has been increasingly popular across baseball. Even so, he

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Speaker 1: was really high up the list in terms of the

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Speaker 1: frequency that he hit balls in the air, and then

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Speaker 1: this year, again tiny tiny sample, but it is still

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Speaker 1: glaring how his profile changed so much this year. Four

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Speaker 1: percent pull air percentage. I think that's just one ball

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Speaker 1: if I have that right, one ball all year to

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Speaker 1: this point that he has pulled and hid into the air.

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Speaker 1: Forget that used to do that almost on a daily basis,

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Speaker 1: once a game. He's now done it just once through

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Speaker 1: close to three weeks of the regular season. That's a

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Speaker 1: big red flag to me. So he's not hitting the

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Speaker 1: ball quite as hard as he did last year, and

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Speaker 1: he's not hitting it to the right spots. So his

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Speaker 1: I think that's a pretty clear indication that his timing

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Speaker 1: was off mechanically. Again, for the YouTube audience, I had

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Speaker 1: this side by side look at his swings from twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty four on the left twenty twenty five on the right.

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Speaker 1: Both these pitches ninety four mile per hour fastballs from

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Speaker 1: right handed pitchers, basically in the same spot like bellt

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Speaker 1: high over the middle fastballs, and one of them he

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Speaker 1: pulled for a home run last year where you could

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Speaker 1: see his bad angle he's able to get it out

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Speaker 1: in front of the plate, and then this year just

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Speaker 1: a tiny bit late by the just a few milliseconds,

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Speaker 1: and that's the difference in terms of hitting the ball

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Speaker 1: the other way for a flyout instead of a home

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Speaker 1: run that he's able to pull to left field. The

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Speaker 1: way he's finishing his swing looks really similar to me.

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Speaker 1: It's just about the timing that was a little off

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Speaker 1: by enough consistently in a way that led to more

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Speaker 1: strikeouts and we're used to sing. And then even when

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Speaker 1: he put the ball in play, he wasn't giving himself

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Speaker 1: a chance to do damage because he and hit it

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Speaker 1: all that hard in the first place. And then if

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Speaker 1: he's not pulling it, then his efforts are mostly wasted.

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Speaker 1: A lot of these balls just are going to hang

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Speaker 1: in the air long enough or not get into the

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Speaker 1: air at all for the defenders to make plays on it.

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Speaker 1: One last thing to look at here, cool animation again

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Speaker 1: from Baseball Savant that shows positioning in the batter's box

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Speaker 1: has changed. I think I got a click play on this. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: there we go. Where his setup at the plate was

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Speaker 1: a little bit different this year than it was last year.

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Speaker 1: He was finishing in about the same position, but his

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Speaker 1: feet were a lot wider apart in the batter's box

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Speaker 1: by more than four inches compared to last season. His

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Speaker 1: stance a little bit more closed than it was last year.

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Speaker 1: Really subtle differences, but in a way that I wonder

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Speaker 1: how that was affecting the way that he was actually

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Speaker 1: seeing the ball coming out of a pitcher's hands, because

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Speaker 1: this year there just were times where he was chasing

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Speaker 1: out of the zone a little bit more often, especially

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Speaker 1: on breaking balls that went from strikes to balls. So

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Speaker 1: I just feel like little adjustments like that may have

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Speaker 1: culminated in a big difference in terms of his results

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Speaker 1: as a guy that just doesn't have much margin for error.

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Speaker 1: Just to be more specific on the batted ball quality,

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Speaker 1: because I think that was probably the biggest driver of

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Speaker 1: this that he's There was even a drop off from

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Speaker 1: where he was last year from an average exit velocity

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Speaker 1: of eighty seven to eighty four and a half, and

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Speaker 1: also the max exit velocity, where last year, when he

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Speaker 1: really scored up a ball, it got to about one

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Speaker 1: to oh five off the bat. This year, his hardest

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Speaker 1: hit ball in these first few weeks under any condition

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Speaker 1: was only one hundred miles per hour. That is just

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Speaker 1: that's the kind of figure that you just don't see

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Speaker 1: from major league hitters, where they max out at one

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Speaker 1: hundred when everything goes right. I think this sends a

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Speaker 1: pretty strong message to Bride that it's his conditioning or

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Speaker 1: just some time away to work on his mechanics. That's

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Speaker 1: going to be pretty big in terms of making him

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Speaker 1: a viable big league player anymore. Because when you're across

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Speaker 1: the board just not hitting the ball that hard, and

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Speaker 1: you're somebody that, to be blunt, isn't a particularly good athlete,

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Speaker 1: You're just not going to get a whole lot of

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Speaker 1: hits out of that. And he's somebody that needs to

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Speaker 1: hit for a high average and draw a lot of

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Speaker 1: walks in order to be a productive big league player

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Speaker 1: the way that he was in twenty twenty four. So

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Speaker 1: all things considered, the Marlins only give up cash considerations

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Speaker 1: to acquire him in the first place. You'd like to

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Speaker 1: see him be on a longer leash under different circumstances.

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Speaker 1: He would be if there were several other players on

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Speaker 1: this roster who were struggling at a comparable level, then

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Speaker 1: you option one of those guys and you give Bride

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Speaker 1: time to turn it around. From my perspective, I think,

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Speaker 1: well from the front office is perspective, I don't think

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Speaker 1: they were eager to make this move. In an ideal world,

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Speaker 1: when somebody's this out of sync, it would be great

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Speaker 1: to put him on the phantom IL to frankly make

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Speaker 1: up an injury for them and give them a few

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Speaker 1: days away to get their head straight to work on

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Speaker 1: these things, and then come back hopefully rejuvenated. They tried

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Speaker 1: to do the same thing with Tim Anderson early on

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Speaker 1: last year. Remember when Tim Anderson got off to a

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Speaker 1: bad start, They put him on the IL with a

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Speaker 1: back injury that I'm not convinced was an actual injury

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Speaker 1: that required significant time away because he returned after the

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Speaker 1: minimum IL absence. The league enforces that it's not easy

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Speaker 1: to do, and I imagine that they looked into it

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Speaker 1: to just give them a chance to get back on

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Speaker 1: track a little bit as somebody that could still a

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Speaker 1: value to the team as a platoon option at first

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Speaker 1: base DH and somebody that as a situational pinch hitter

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Speaker 1: might be able to help as well. But ultimately they

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Speaker 1: had a good problem to have with Sanchez coming back

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Speaker 1: from the IL. Connor Norby is just a couple of

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Speaker 1: days away from rejoining the team as well, and the

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Speaker 1: team itself is above five hundred as of this recording,

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Speaker 1: So this is the kind of the move that they

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Speaker 1: had to make. When you really look at it and

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Speaker 1: we'll get more into that on Fish on First dot com,

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Speaker 1: on Fish on First Live coming up before the Diamondback series.

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Speaker 1: We appreciate everybody that ingests all of our content in

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Speaker 1: many different forms, so as we cover news like this,

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Speaker 1: especially this early in the season for a team that

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Speaker 1: is still relevant, I'm Eli Shusman. Hope you check back

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Speaker 1: for the next Small Pod as we continue to break

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Speaker 1: down the news of the day and sometimes just matters

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Speaker 1: that are top of mind for me. Yeah, So please

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Speaker 1: keep coming back supporting what we do. Check out our

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Speaker 1: partners About the Fans at About the Fans dot com

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