Speaker 1: You're listening to the Miami Dolphins podcast Network. This is
Speaker 1: Drive Time with Travis Wingfield. Back to throw to a
Speaker 1: looking Gipstla water Dolph, touchtop, ton Rick, call that there man.
Speaker 1: I want to help you soon. Look up on the
Speaker 1: vanway Wattle, waddle to a shotguns back that's throw looking
Speaker 1: stumps up fires, touchtop again, it's waddle. It's six touchdowns
Speaker 1: to Drive Time with Travis Wingfield begins. Now let me
Speaker 1: check your pulse if what is up? Dolphins And welcome
Speaker 1: to the Drivetime Podcast, part of the Miami Dolphins podcast
Speaker 1: network covering your team, your Miami Dolphins. How's it going everybody?
Speaker 1: I am your host, Travis Wingfield. And on today's show,
Speaker 1: it's time for another preview edition of the DP pod
Speaker 1: for a game tomorrow, the shortest turnaround time we've had
Speaker 1: from preview podcast to game the entire season, Primetime in
Speaker 1: Buffalo for a huge a f C East clash in
Speaker 1: prime time nighttime cold snow, the only game on at
Speaker 1: the time. Look at the matchups, position by position through
Speaker 1: the tape and the stats will tell you what's at
Speaker 1: stake with this week's game. The three keys to win
Speaker 1: the game and pick the Week fifteen contest around the
Speaker 1: National Football League from somewhere in South Florida. This is
Speaker 1: it feels this week like you probably don't need that
Speaker 1: much of an introduction a division opponent who, unlike the
Speaker 1: Bait Patriots, Patriots and Jets, haven't undergone a whole lot
Speaker 1: of change in recent years. The other two have seen
Speaker 1: their longtime quarterback depart and the other have a new
Speaker 1: coaching staff in the last couple of years. But the
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills have kind of become not just the stable
Speaker 1: force within the division, but the conference in the entire league.
Speaker 1: The Cliffs notes on Buffalo and how they got here
Speaker 1: Sean McDermott and I almost said Billy Bean. Brandon Bean
Speaker 1: arrived at the exact same time start building a culture
Speaker 1: of tough, smart players with more of a focus on
Speaker 1: the some of the parts opposed to the star player
Speaker 1: by trading away some of their name talent for draft
Speaker 1: picks and getting Sean McDermott type of players in there.
Speaker 1: And that really began back in seventeen where they also
Speaker 1: in that same process developed their own stars. And it
Speaker 1: began that year by remaking the secondary with Micah Hide,
Speaker 1: Jordan Poyer and tradabus White then team with Josh Allen
Speaker 1: with Stefon Diggs. This year they go out and they
Speaker 1: add Von Miller, who is out for the year, but
Speaker 1: you can argue it's the best roster in the National
Speaker 1: Football League when fully healthy. There's a reason they were
Speaker 1: these overwhelming Super Bowl favorites coming into the season. They
Speaker 1: can beat you and they don't play well. They can
Speaker 1: vote ratio when they do, and they sure know how
Speaker 1: to play within the elements that they deal with almost
Speaker 1: on weekly basis, pretty much after Halloween up there in Buffalo.
Speaker 1: I don't think it needs much more set up than that.
Speaker 1: This is the team that, for all intents and purposes,
Speaker 1: kept the Dolphins from championships in the nineties. Losing to
Speaker 1: Buffalo was the difference between making and missing the playoffs
Speaker 1: and a lot of those eight and eight, nine and
Speaker 1: seven type of years, and the odds hell, the two
Speaker 1: thousand two Ray Lucas game was the difference in playoffs
Speaker 1: and not we don't like them. They don't like us.
Speaker 1: They want to get Osha involved. Whether there's a game
Speaker 1: in South Florida. We have the heat, they have the snow.
Speaker 1: It's a great rivalry that pits the two most polarizing
Speaker 1: towns in the National football against one another, and there's
Speaker 1: a good history of some bad blood here. I would say,
Speaker 1: let's go ahead and get into the matchup of Dolphins
Speaker 1: offense first, the Bill's defense and the quarterback of Miami
Speaker 1: and their offensive system versus the safeties of the Buffalo
Speaker 1: Bills and their defense. And this is the most unique
Speaker 1: defense in the NFL in terms of their personnel deployment,
Speaker 1: and it's really built around the presence of one player
Speaker 1: sort of. Tehron Johnson is one of their best players,
Speaker 1: and calling him a nickel or slot cornerback is entirely
Speaker 1: disingenuous because he plays every snap and we'll cover his
Speaker 1: game in the Cornerbacks edition of this pod, but his
Speaker 1: name is required here because of this. They play the
Speaker 1: nickel five point five percent of their snaps. They're a
Speaker 1: one package defense. Nothing else eclipses one point seven percent.
Speaker 1: That's their three four base look, which makes you wonder,
Speaker 1: makes you wonder about the running game because that's you
Speaker 1: go back over the tape. What's one thing that teams
Speaker 1: have been able to consistently do against the Buffalo Bills
Speaker 1: this year? Weekend and week out, it's run the football.
Speaker 1: If you can go to two tight ends, if you
Speaker 1: can get a second full back into the game, obviously
Speaker 1: like Miami has, that's gonna put them a man down
Speaker 1: in terms of their box count in terms of guys
Speaker 1: that can compete with heavier personnel. But tarn Johnson has
Speaker 1: the ability to do that. So that's kind of why
Speaker 1: they feel comfortable in that. They also can get out
Speaker 1: to big leads and that allows me to play from,
Speaker 1: you know, a position where the nickel is the primary
Speaker 1: package as teams throw a catch up on them. But
Speaker 1: the three or four base they run is one point
Speaker 1: seven percent. They do run a four, three or verse
Speaker 1: one percent at the time, so it's like a drop
Speaker 1: in the bucket and then one point two percent dime
Speaker 1: defense and a fraction of others. But as far as
Speaker 1: where they align with their safeties pre snap, that's changed
Speaker 1: a lot this year because of the injury to Micah Hyde,
Speaker 1: and so has the way they've deployed the safeties as
Speaker 1: a result of that. More on that just a second,
Speaker 1: but single high coverage is forty three and a half
Speaker 1: percent too high as fifty three percent, and they've ran
Speaker 1: cover zero thirty plays this year. That's three point five
Speaker 1: percent of their defense. It's a good mix of man
Speaker 1: and zone. There was more man with Von Miller in
Speaker 1: the lineup. But I also wonder if Trey whitebus White
Speaker 1: starts to increase that again because he played a hundred
Speaker 1: snaps in a game for the first time last week.
Speaker 1: Since one, they've also been on and off with rookie
Speaker 1: cornerback Kayer Elam, who's been a healthy scratch at times
Speaker 1: this year and given way in a platoon role with
Speaker 1: six round draft pick Christian Benford, who was on the
Speaker 1: I R. And I think ideally when they have White
Speaker 1: and Elam up to full speed together, they do become
Speaker 1: a man coverage primary team. But I don't know if
Speaker 1: you can expect that in this game because it is
Speaker 1: still a little bit green, and because well Elam is
Speaker 1: not playing over the rest of the guys they have
Speaker 1: in that secondary on a week to week basis. But
Speaker 1: as always, you want to be prepared for both. So
Speaker 1: if it's man coverage, Mesh routes and rubs man, have
Speaker 1: you seen Mesh one time this year? I think if
Speaker 1: they're gonna go man coverage, i'd love to see, you know,
Speaker 1: a combination of players that includes either Tyreek or Jalen
Speaker 1: or both of them. With mesh which is basically either
Speaker 1: side of the formation, and you cross right in front
Speaker 1: of the middle linebacker, right behind the middle linebacker and
Speaker 1: create conflict for him. Might be a nice offset some
Speaker 1: of the r p oh look some of the play
Speaker 1: action game in terms of guys priest nap motion in
Speaker 1: one direction, I think you could get you know, some
Speaker 1: with with your priest nap motions and then run mesh
Speaker 1: in behind that linebacker and keep him conflicted in terms
Speaker 1: of well, I either I'm downhill or that deep you know,
Speaker 1: fifteen yard hook drop that we saw San Francisco and
Speaker 1: l A have success with. But now if I'm contending
Speaker 1: with the potential run game of my eyes taking the
Speaker 1: candy into the backfield, if I get that deep drop
Speaker 1: and they're gonna mesh right in front of me, well,
Speaker 1: all of a sudden, that changes things. Then you can
Speaker 1: run things off of that. And I just really, I
Speaker 1: really have faith that this offensive staff is gonna come
Speaker 1: up with something to counter what could potentially be coming
Speaker 1: to the pike as a sort of blueprint plan. Right
Speaker 1: everyone's talking about the teams throughout the last couple of
Speaker 1: weeks and if it goes back to more of that zone,
Speaker 1: that kind of inside triangle with or I should say
Speaker 1: triangle with inside leverage. You know some smash concepts where
Speaker 1: you have the outside receiver run like a hook or
Speaker 1: a little you know, in breaking route with the flag
Speaker 1: route in behind that. Some whips are jerk routes whatever
Speaker 1: you call those that I think I've heard it called
Speaker 1: China inside to the outside. You know, you set up
Speaker 1: for the slant or for the little skinny post, put
Speaker 1: that foot in the ground, pivot back to the outside.
Speaker 1: It was basically West Welker's primary route his entire career. Speedouts,
Speaker 1: you know, five yards pressed the inside shoulder, breakback across
Speaker 1: the outside, and those flag routes back to the corner.
Speaker 1: So I think there's some opportunities from Miami here. We'll
Speaker 1: see if they can get to it. The weather might
Speaker 1: have an impact on that. As far as the Buffalo defense,
Speaker 1: they blitz eight teen point eight percent of the time,
Speaker 1: which is the tenth lowest rate in the National Football League.
Speaker 1: But their pressure rates, and we talked about that in
Speaker 1: the podcast every week. If you can get a higher
Speaker 1: pressure rate than your blitz percentage, then you're probably a
Speaker 1: pretty good pass rush and that pressure rate is twelve
Speaker 1: best in the NFL, and those numbers have fluctuated with
Speaker 1: the loss of von Miller because they're book see Moore
Speaker 1: and haven't generated as much pressure from their fore man
Speaker 1: fronts without him, but it's still a key piece to
Speaker 1: their defense with Gregory Rousseau a j F Banessa at all.
Speaker 1: Over All, those guys are so damn good. They need
Speaker 1: pressure with the front four to really maximize what they
Speaker 1: do best in their system, which is a complex zone
Speaker 1: scheme that can man the can man match when it
Speaker 1: it's required certain formations, certain checks. They can disguise very well,
Speaker 1: and they have a bunch of guys who have played
Speaker 1: together for a super long time in that back end,
Speaker 1: which gives you that smooth pattern matching. Not really many
Speaker 1: coverage bus They communicate well, and you heard head coach
Speaker 1: Mike McDaniel talked about how there just wasn't really any
Speaker 1: bus in the Chargers game, which is rare. I mean,
Speaker 1: I know NFL teams are supposed to be the cream
Speaker 1: of the crop, but they still happen on a weekly
Speaker 1: basis across the National Football League. Now as far as
Speaker 1: the blitz rate against the Dolphins last time around, and
Speaker 1: this is our first repeat opponent of the year, which
Speaker 1: is crazy to me. In Week fifteen, most teams get
Speaker 1: two division games out of the way, usually by Halloween,
Speaker 1: but they only blitz to on ten percent of his
Speaker 1: dropbacks in that Week three victory for the Miami Dolphins
Speaker 1: in the sun and if you recall all he only
Speaker 1: had nineteen dropbacks in that game, so that meant just
Speaker 1: two bits of the entire time. If that's the plan
Speaker 1: again to what is gonna have to be sharp finding
Speaker 1: openings and attacking the opportunities against man coverage when they
Speaker 1: are there. If the weather is bad in terms of
Speaker 1: the snow and the wind, you have to imagine the
Speaker 1: Bills probably want to clamp a little bit and see
Speaker 1: if Miami can win vertically because it's tougher to throw
Speaker 1: the ball for the on the field when there's bad weather, right,
Speaker 1: and they've shown their ability to do that this year,
Speaker 1: have the Dolphins. And you hit a couple of deep
Speaker 1: balls in this one. In any game, really it changes
Speaker 1: the entire complexion not just of the scoreboard, but also
Speaker 1: the way the game unfolds from there. From a strategy
Speaker 1: and schematic standpoint. In that game back in the Hot
Speaker 1: Hot Sunshine that was so illegal two was three for three,
Speaker 1: last time, throwing the ball twenty plus yards down the
Speaker 1: field for nine three passing yards, including what served essentially
Speaker 1: as the game winner with that forty five yard dime
Speaker 1: to Jaitleen Waddle on third and twenty two. Like the
Speaker 1: last couple of teams we face, they are super athletic
Speaker 1: at the linebacker position. And if if the Bills operate
Speaker 1: in the same style as the Niners and Chargers, where
Speaker 1: they deepen that hook's oone drop and don't really take
Speaker 1: much of the cheese on play action, than the Dolphins
Speaker 1: must get the running game going and have quick answers
Speaker 1: in the checkdown game. I was looking at some old
Speaker 1: Dolphins and Bills games. The last two times Miami one
Speaker 1: in Buffalo was eleven. They ran for two hundred yards
Speaker 1: in both those games. J Ji and Reggie Bush the
Speaker 1: primary culprits there, and more on that in the running
Speaker 1: back section. Let's go ahead and cover the quarterback safety
Speaker 1: match up here real quick. In this portion it's different
Speaker 1: without Micah Hide, but Jordan Poyer is still They're doing
Speaker 1: great things every single week. He's one of the best
Speaker 1: players in the NFL. He's gonna make plays too. It
Speaker 1: has to be sharp. You have to identify him, not
Speaker 1: lock onto a target and hold him. You have to
Speaker 1: really respect where Jordan Poyer is on a given play.
Speaker 1: He's got four more picks this year. That's pretty much
Speaker 1: run of the mill for him, four or five six
Speaker 1: picks a year, another handful of pass breakups and that's
Speaker 1: in just nine games for him played this year. Now
Speaker 1: he is playing the deep center field more often this
Speaker 1: year without Micah Hide back there, and that speaks to
Speaker 1: his versatility to basically change his role kind of like
Speaker 1: Javon Holland has in some ways. And I think that
Speaker 1: limits the true strength of the defense with both of
Speaker 1: them and that they are virtually interchangeable. Because now in
Speaker 1: Hide's place is a very smart player in DeMar Hamlin,
Speaker 1: who's got twenty three pass rush reps two players ten
Speaker 1: And that's a bit of a flip from what you
Speaker 1: would see with high employers. So there you go. But
Speaker 1: you'll see Tomar Hamlin come down and insert himself in
Speaker 1: the running game. Eighteen run stops to Powyers ten and
Speaker 1: on that third and twenty two. He was a big
Speaker 1: part of that play to have moved him out of
Speaker 1: that lane to create that throw. Do that again, that
Speaker 1: will be nice to see. All things told, we've seen
Speaker 1: to a. Continue to throw with confidence, and for me,
Speaker 1: that's my key for two in this game. Keep trusting
Speaker 1: the eyes. He's so good in that certain area of
Speaker 1: the field. Trust what you see, Trust the plan that
Speaker 1: Mike and the coaches have given you, and attack this
Speaker 1: defense the way you have all year long. Don't lose
Speaker 1: that confidence, don't change who you are. You beat this
Speaker 1: team once, you can do it again. Wide receivers and
Speaker 1: tight ends against the Buffalo corners. We mentioned to Ron
Speaker 1: Johnson in the open one of the true Jeana pieces
Speaker 1: in the national football He's just so important. I imagine
Speaker 1: he'll match up with Tyreek and Jalen a lot, especially
Speaker 1: when they kick inside and back in Week three he
Speaker 1: only saw two targets against the two of them, and
Speaker 1: it made sense because you know they were short some
Speaker 1: players in the secondary. Why attack the lone remaining starter
Speaker 1: they had in the line up back then. But he
Speaker 1: will key their disguises, He'll switch his role to line scrimmage,
Speaker 1: he'll rush, he'll enter it against the run, He'll blow
Speaker 1: up the screen. He's a great, great player in a
Speaker 1: secondary that has been banged up all year. He's leading
Speaker 1: them in coverage snaps by quite a big margin five
Speaker 1: hundred and twelve. The next one is four hundred and
Speaker 1: it's not that big. Seventy five. He has allowed just
Speaker 1: fifty nine yards with twenty eight run stops. I'm sorry,
Speaker 1: five hundred ninety six yards. That six got cut off.
Speaker 1: There it is again with twenty eight run stops. Dane
Speaker 1: Jackson's on the other side at the cornerback position as
Speaker 1: Trey White. He missed last game, but he's back. He's
Speaker 1: been the starter when he's been healthy, and it's been
Speaker 1: five hundred and twenty five yards on four hundred and
Speaker 1: seventy five coverage snaps, but two picks, nine pass breakups. Then,
Speaker 1: of course White, who's one of the most competitive players
Speaker 1: you'll find. He wants to play physical and challenge you.
Speaker 1: But he's so dang adept at falling off his man
Speaker 1: and winding up in a place that he's not supposed
Speaker 1: to be in to take the football away. I'm curious
Speaker 1: how comfortable he'd feel doing that given his limited work
Speaker 1: coming back from the injury, but a player of his caliber,
Speaker 1: I'd never account him out for that. Now in terms
Speaker 1: of their movement to match the Miami speed and we
Speaker 1: look at the r S scorecards usually weekly here on
Speaker 1: this portion of the podcast. For Dane Jackson, and this
Speaker 1: is across the board, they're not like a super athletic
Speaker 1: bunch compared to you know, other NFL cornerbacks. I would
Speaker 1: never call an NFL player and not athletic, that's crazy.
Speaker 1: But compared to their peers, Yeah, Dane Jackson less than
Speaker 1: fifty percentile and it's three cone, tense split, twenty split,
Speaker 1: forty yard dash, short shuttle, and his overall relative athletics
Speaker 1: score card. To me, this is the guy like, if
Speaker 1: you get one on one matchups here, go after him,
Speaker 1: especially with tenants seventeen tradevious White. The only stat that
Speaker 1: he's better than seventy percentile in is the forty yard
Speaker 1: dash He's sixty percentile and three cone and shuttle and
Speaker 1: the broad and sixteenth percentile on the vertical jump. This
Speaker 1: is why I think Tyreek Hills the Bills killer. If
Speaker 1: that's how they want to play it, we need Tyree
Speaker 1: to have that, you know, ten for one fifty type
Speaker 1: of game and go win it for us, and Trey
Speaker 1: White is better to me suited playing guys like Davante Parker.
Speaker 1: Now to Ron Johnson, it's the same story. Forty percentile
Speaker 1: or lower and three cone shuttle, broad and vertical. To me,
Speaker 1: you candense things close to the quarterback and create easy
Speaker 1: natural rubs against man. You force them to want to
Speaker 1: play inside that box if they want to press up
Speaker 1: and challenge the area, because it then creates more with
Speaker 1: on the outside, and you candense them pre snap and
Speaker 1: expand it post snap to open up those windows more
Speaker 1: so than you would previously because if they want to
Speaker 1: charge on that outside breaking route from their inside leverage,
Speaker 1: then that creates chances to make moves off of that
Speaker 1: or they just give it to you and you take
Speaker 1: what's there and it can create some matchups I think
Speaker 1: are not as easily dictated pre snap. When you play
Speaker 1: from that condensed formation, we have their defense killed in
Speaker 1: overall speed and if it's a slippery track, that could
Speaker 1: potentially be beneficial for the Dolphins offense because the receiver
Speaker 1: knows what they're going right, get the ball out hot
Speaker 1: when after the catch, that's the route to victory for
Speaker 1: me here, both at receiver and the running backs. We
Speaker 1: should get tons of touches in this game quickly in space,
Speaker 1: in the short areas of the field, and let's get
Speaker 1: some yack going on this offense. Really for the first
Speaker 1: time all year now, I'm really curious to see how
Speaker 1: they aligned priests now because again, teams have kind of
Speaker 1: shown you a way to slow this offense for the
Speaker 1: first time really since before TWA came back and I
Speaker 1: leaned towards a zone heavy plan for them. I'm wondering
Speaker 1: if they'll change that and what they really do after.
Speaker 1: You know, we saw the reroute have effect last couple
Speaker 1: of weeks, but on the season, they play off sixty
Speaker 1: two percent of the time and they pressed thirty eight
Speaker 1: percent of the time, which is pretty common across the league.
Speaker 1: The biggest thing to me here is how do they
Speaker 1: defend Tyreek killed because they gave him all the attention
Speaker 1: of the world back in Week three and Waddle rose
Speaker 1: to the occasion. But last year in the playoffs with
Speaker 1: the Chiefs, Tyreek caught eleven of twelve targets for a Buck,
Speaker 1: Fitty and a Tuddy. And if the attention does go
Speaker 1: back to ten, then you have to have a big
Speaker 1: day from seventeen and really all the guys like and
Speaker 1: I think you've seen Trent Sherfield's role expans since that
Speaker 1: Week three game. So for him if he can win
Speaker 1: someone on one matchups, especially if he gets matched up
Speaker 1: on a linebacker or a safety, and they'll do that sometimes,
Speaker 1: whether it's sacrificing guys in the rush game or doubling
Speaker 1: or bracketing somebody else with their zones and you know,
Speaker 1: trail technique into this funnel zone. That could be a
Speaker 1: key matchup here to steal some first downs and yards.
Speaker 1: And like we say every week, it starts up front
Speaker 1: in the trenches. Let's go ahead and take our first
Speaker 1: break and come back on the other side and get
Speaker 1: to the Dolphins offensive line versus the Buffalo Bill's defensive line.
Speaker 1: Dolphins and Bills preview Saturday night in Buffalo, December seventeenth.
Speaker 1: That's next Drivetime Podcast, your host Travis Wingfield, brought to
Speaker 1: you by Auto Nation. Back here on a Friday on
Speaker 1: the Drivetime Podcast, previewing Dolphins at Bills from what is
Speaker 1: it called down New I don't even know the stadium
Speaker 1: in Buffalo. H Yeah, let's pick it up back with
Speaker 1: the Dolphins offensive line versus the Bills defensive line. It's
Speaker 1: been a big area of contention in this rivalry in
Speaker 1: recent years and it's impacted you know, our quarterback with
Speaker 1: some injuries last couple of seasons, and how the Dolphins
Speaker 1: are able to you know, rally back this year year
Speaker 1: in that game after he exited for a little bit.
Speaker 1: But uh, this is kind of what they do is
Speaker 1: they put a big hurt on Mike White last week.
Speaker 1: He was came out of that game and took a
Speaker 1: bunch of big shots and his questionable heading into this week.
Speaker 1: And it starts off the edge really with von Miller
Speaker 1: was the guy, but now it's kind of pivoted and
Speaker 1: they have more guys in that arena that can step up.
Speaker 1: Gregory Russo has taken a massive step forward with von Miller.
Speaker 1: You know, he had forty five pressures to lead the team.
Speaker 1: They were tough to stop and they still are with
Speaker 1: without Von Miller. Um. But it's obviously impossible replays a
Speaker 1: talent like that guy, But you don't get it twisted.
Speaker 1: You still have to have your best and it sounds
Speaker 1: like Toron Arms that will play in the game which
Speaker 1: is gonna be a big key for Miami. Pressures and
Speaker 1: run stops among their edge defenders Rousseau thirty one and
Speaker 1: third team. He's got a great get off. You Hurricanes
Speaker 1: fans know all about him. Got a good arsenal of
Speaker 1: pass rush moves. A j Eponessa was a five star
Speaker 1: freaking at Iowa with insane length and flexibility and played
Speaker 1: like every damn snap they played for the Hawkeyes, and
Speaker 1: he just had production on top of production. He's coming
Speaker 1: into his own twenty one pressures, eleven run stops for him.
Speaker 1: Y'all know about Shack Lawson seven team pressures and eleven
Speaker 1: run stops. And then Carlos Boogie Basham length, strength, heavy hands,
Speaker 1: sixteen pass pressures and seven run stops for him this
Speaker 1: season among the interior, I think this is the strength
Speaker 1: of this football team. And I was talking about the
Speaker 1: interior when I wrote it down, really the edge and
Speaker 1: interior in general. When you consider the front seven, maybe
Speaker 1: just the entire front seven, because those linebackers as well,
Speaker 1: with Tremaine Edmunds and Matt Lano. But at Oliver, he's
Speaker 1: a man. He could play anywhere from defensive tackle to
Speaker 1: off ball linebacker. And that was kind of what he
Speaker 1: did back at the at Houston, which made him a
Speaker 1: top you know five potential pick. And he winds up
Speaker 1: going I think it was nine to Buffalo, twenty six pressures,
Speaker 1: fourteen run stops. He is a menace man. He can
Speaker 1: beat you with length, he can kind of, you know,
Speaker 1: pin you and do a dipping rip and swim over
Speaker 1: the top of you and beat you with quickness. And
Speaker 1: he can play off of your pads and redirect. He's
Speaker 1: just got He's got the entire arsenal Man de Kwon
Speaker 1: Jones is one of the most underrated players in football
Speaker 1: twenty six and sixteen for him, great numbers there. Jordan
Speaker 1: Phillips is gonna the game I had in my notes,
Speaker 1: but then I've learned later that he wasn't gonna play.
Speaker 1: Then Tim settled ten pressures and ten run stuffs all
Speaker 1: those guys. Man, you lose Phillips and Miller out of
Speaker 1: those groups. But that's as good as it gets. You know, inside,
Speaker 1: our power and ability to stay on blocks will be tested.
Speaker 1: Oliver is a complete specimen that you have to basically
Speaker 1: account for with probably double teams throughout most of the game.
Speaker 1: That length and get off and counter move and spin move.
Speaker 1: He just he's really good man. He challenges in every way.
Speaker 1: And Connor Williams has been tremendous this year. Now Oliver
Speaker 1: didn't play back in Week three, so to me, this
Speaker 1: is the biggest test of the season for Connor Williams. Inside,
Speaker 1: we know about Phillips. I wrote a whole thing on him,
Speaker 1: but we'll take him out of the notes. Settle is
Speaker 1: a great space eater. And then Da Kwon Jones is
Speaker 1: one of the most underrated players in the NFL. To me,
Speaker 1: he's there. Zach Seeler consistent, tough to move, makes a
Speaker 1: splash player to every single game. And then off the edge,
Speaker 1: they certainly have a type here, heavy handed long pass
Speaker 1: rushers who can collapse the pocket by playing through you
Speaker 1: and kind of playing the run on the way to
Speaker 1: the quarterback. And they asked those guys up front to
Speaker 1: do so much in terms of that. So for Miami,
Speaker 1: if they can keep those guys eyes occupied, or maybe
Speaker 1: execute some wham and trap and counter and things that
Speaker 1: get them, you know, taking lateral steps and following the
Speaker 1: outside zone, hit a big run off the outside, get
Speaker 1: some jet suite, maybe your reverse that gets them off
Speaker 1: balance like those are the types of things I think
Speaker 1: you're gonna have to do to get this defensive line,
Speaker 1: you know, not settled into the flow of the game,
Speaker 1: because once they start kind of getting downhill on you,
Speaker 1: they are tough to stop. And if you let them
Speaker 1: do that, it just opens up their coverage to really
Speaker 1: take the football away and be almost impossible to move
Speaker 1: the ball on without turning it over, you know, because
Speaker 1: they don't give up big plays and they keep you
Speaker 1: on the field and eventually you make a mistake and
Speaker 1: they turn you over to a has to be privy
Speaker 1: to this style of football and recognize the escape hatches
Speaker 1: are not always gonna be there for the scrambles probably
Speaker 1: won't be like they were last week against that man
Speaker 1: coverage of the Chargers. We need to have our best
Speaker 1: efforts from everyone in a big game off the edge,
Speaker 1: from to Ron Armstead to handle Rousso hopefully Miami speed
Speaker 1: off the edges can help neutralize these guys a bit,
Speaker 1: which I think the running game is going to be
Speaker 1: critical this week as as well as you know the
Speaker 1: short passing game too. But Connor Williams big test to
Speaker 1: run Armstead, big test, and you gotta have some one
Speaker 1: on one win somewhere, but just being able to consistently
Speaker 1: blow guys off the football and treading space in the
Speaker 1: running game. Other teams have done that, Ken Miami, it's
Speaker 1: a big key this week. We finished up on the
Speaker 1: offense here with the running backs versus linebackers, and sounds
Speaker 1: like Matt Mulona is going to play the game. He's
Speaker 1: a legit defensive Player of the Year candidate. He keys
Speaker 1: everything and kind of is your disguise buster, as it were.
Speaker 1: He's a critical piece of that defense, especially against an
Speaker 1: offense that wants to create hesitation through the conflict defenders.
Speaker 1: We saw him jump on for a near pick six
Speaker 1: back in Week three and shut down his fair share
Speaker 1: of run plays. You gotta find Matt Mulona out there.
Speaker 1: Tremaine Edmonds has built like Fred Warren and that he's lengthy,
Speaker 1: he's fast, and he's explosive. That's said, he's not as instinctive.
Speaker 1: So hopefully Miami can give him enough I candy and
Speaker 1: utilize alec ingold Enough, who you know has kind of
Speaker 1: grown his role in this offense and maybe this is
Speaker 1: kind of the game where he puts a stamp on
Speaker 1: the Dolphin's offense, if you can give him, you know,
Speaker 1: something to look at, maybe you can delay the traits
Speaker 1: that he offers a little bit. I'm so curious to
Speaker 1: see not just our plan, but there's like do they
Speaker 1: sell out to defend those deep hook drops. If so,
Speaker 1: can we run the football or do they not? And
Speaker 1: if so, can we get back to just pumping the
Speaker 1: ball in behind those linebackers for chunk after chunk. Either way,
Speaker 1: I think the backs need a big game, both from
Speaker 1: the passing game and a ball carriers. We saw Miami
Speaker 1: get the run game going a little bit of times
Speaker 1: last week and then it just would kind of shut
Speaker 1: down and then all of a sudden second and nine
Speaker 1: second eleven. They need to be more consistent, more committed.
Speaker 1: And we mentioned the minimal blitz is like see that
Speaker 1: and get out into the pattern and make yourself available
Speaker 1: to catch the football or if they come, help to
Speaker 1: buy that extra half second and find the holes left
Speaker 1: and coverage from the blitz. Big, big game, and I
Speaker 1: cannot wait to see either side's plan in this one.
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and go to the other side with
Speaker 1: Dolphins defense versus the Bill's offense and the quarterback and
Speaker 1: offense versus the safety in the defense. Starting with their personnel.
Speaker 1: A big change from years past, sixty eleven personnel nice
Speaker 1: from twelve personnel just four percent, twenty one personnel is
Speaker 1: fifteen percent, and twenty two personnel's three percent. And the
Speaker 1: reason I say a big change there, it's an interesting
Speaker 1: adaptation from Brian Dabal to Ken Dorsey and the complete
Speaker 1: absence of ten personnel. They haven't ran one four wide
Speaker 1: receivers set this year. That's one back, no tight ends,
Speaker 1: and four receivers. That's a grouping that almost nobody in
Speaker 1: the league eclipses one percent because it's just not many
Speaker 1: teams have four receivers that can run out there all
Speaker 1: the time. But the last couple of years it was
Speaker 1: always that way for all but two teams, Cliff Kingsbury's
Speaker 1: Cardinals and the Buffalo Bills. But they're incorporating a fullback
Speaker 1: and kind of going the complete opposite direction now and
Speaker 1: Dawson Knox is a big part of that too. That's
Speaker 1: kind of the counter to how teams have played the
Speaker 1: Bills this season and a big part of that, and
Speaker 1: it helps them get digs into one on one situations
Speaker 1: or you can get a double on him. Then you
Speaker 1: get mismatches on explosive running backs or Dawson Knox. It's
Speaker 1: a lot to deal with. Josh Allen's time to throw
Speaker 1: his two point eight two seconds, he holds the ball
Speaker 1: and looks to hunt for big play, So tackling him
Speaker 1: is always a key. Nobody really does it that well.
Speaker 1: He has forty seven scrambles and that's where most the
Speaker 1: big plays in this offense comes from scrambles from Shallon
Speaker 1: or broken pockets where he throws deep. Now, how you
Speaker 1: want to defend him, Frankly, I have no idea, and
Speaker 1: I'll talk about that throughout this podcast. When he's been
Speaker 1: blitz this year, it's thirty percent of his dropbacks, he's
Speaker 1: fifty seven percent with a six point one y p
Speaker 1: A and he has seven touchdowns and three picks. When
Speaker 1: he's not blitzed, that's sevent of the dropbacks, he's sixty
Speaker 1: seven percent completion, eight point two yards per tenth, nineteen
Speaker 1: touchdowns and eight picks. He's not ineffective against pressure whatsoever.
Speaker 1: He's eight point four yards per pass with nine touchdowns
Speaker 1: and three picks, but just fifty completion. But that's always
Speaker 1: been Josh Allen you can win on first and second
Speaker 1: down and he can miss both of those throws even
Speaker 1: but then on third down he'll absorb, you know, a
Speaker 1: squared up shot from your linebacker, stay on his feet,
Speaker 1: break the pocket, have a guy hanging off his shoulder pads,
Speaker 1: and rip a forty yard dot to Stefon digs down
Speaker 1: the field right on his face mask. It's insane. He's
Speaker 1: the best playmaker the sport has. And that's the book
Speaker 1: from his time at Wyoming right, he was always fun
Speaker 1: to watch just carry that offense despite drops and breakdown
Speaker 1: and protection, no run game, and they still found themselves
Speaker 1: like competing with much better Mountain West teams and he's
Speaker 1: just willing to kind of willing his way to big
Speaker 1: place to get points on the board. He's done it
Speaker 1: as a pro at times two and when he dials
Speaker 1: it in, this offense is unstoppable. Now, he's had his
Speaker 1: slumps this year as well, even though he's taken his
Speaker 1: game to a different level in terms of taking what's
Speaker 1: there and playing the position. He's been more patient this
Speaker 1: year than a year's pass and reflected by a career
Speaker 1: low average depth of target. It's still nine point oh,
Speaker 1: which is super high, but he literally was eleven point
Speaker 1: five as a rookie, ten point three and twenty nineteen
Speaker 1: and always in the high nine since then. His deep
Speaker 1: percentage throws twelve point eight percent of the throws go
Speaker 1: twenty plus yards down the field. They average fifteen point
Speaker 1: nine yards per pop with eight touchdowns and three picks. Remember,
Speaker 1: the last two teams we play never hit the deep
Speaker 1: shot per our preview, they just didn't do it. They
Speaker 1: both threw under ten percent of their balls deep and
Speaker 1: y p A s under ten yards per pass. But
Speaker 1: this is a team that will force you to defend
Speaker 1: every single blade of artificial turf on Saturday Now, having
Speaker 1: watched a ton of Bills games all ease, but this
Speaker 1: year in particular, there's been bad weather. They're seemingly every
Speaker 1: home game for the last month, and that's how it
Speaker 1: should be Saturday night, and we've seen it impact Allen's
Speaker 1: accuracy at times. Like we said in the scouting report,
Speaker 1: there are throws he will miss. Every quarterback does, but
Speaker 1: he's over the league average in that regard. He's fourth
Speaker 1: on PF and off target throws. But again, he's like
Speaker 1: Steph Curry and just needs one quarter to drop thirty
Speaker 1: points on you. My key here is this, nobody has
Speaker 1: thrown more picks or has more turnover worthy throws than
Speaker 1: Josh Allen. And again it's most of the time doesn't
Speaker 1: matter because they can make so much with the rest
Speaker 1: of the plays and drives they have in a given game.
Speaker 1: But we have seen them seemingly each week going back.
Speaker 1: You must intercept the ball when you get the chance.
Speaker 1: Good offenses plus more opportunities equals disaster, right, simple formula
Speaker 1: we discussed here on the podcast talking about a good
Speaker 1: team in baseball can't give him four outs. That Week
Speaker 1: three game did not feature an interception, but that's not
Speaker 1: a script. I think you can count on with those
Speaker 1: two late stops, a clock that expires, a spiked fourth
Speaker 1: down throwing the end zone. Rather, Jalen Phillips comes up
Speaker 1: with that tipped interception or Javon Holland when he jumps
Speaker 1: that route to the pylon, he makes the play and
Speaker 1: finishes the pick. We have to make those plays in
Speaker 1: this game to win this game. The Dolphins need to
Speaker 1: find some positives in the margins. And I'm not counting
Speaker 1: on special teams for that because we lose so many
Speaker 1: yards and special teams every single week, flipping the field
Speaker 1: with the key takeaway, this is the way. On the
Speaker 1: topic of Javon Holland, he's often a catalyst. He does
Speaker 1: a great job of limiting opposing teams deep passing, inserts
Speaker 1: off the edge as a rusher and against the run.
Speaker 1: And I think this game is his biggest test, well
Speaker 1: since Week three, when you played one of the best
Speaker 1: and most impressive games by any player on this team
Speaker 1: all season. The ability of the Bills to get anything
Speaker 1: from any personnel, deep shots from twenty two, run game
Speaker 1: from ten, and everything in between. That's the modern style
Speaker 1: offense that Javan has built their fend. It's a fun
Speaker 1: test for the snowman in frigid weathers. That part has
Speaker 1: me perplexed and the part I'll leave to coach Boyer.
Speaker 1: And I want to add a parenthetical here that Josh
Speaker 1: Bowyer solutions are the ones that matter in my podcast
Speaker 1: US is just one opinion and for fun discussions from
Speaker 1: some goofball here on the podcast. But the part that
Speaker 1: I really just throw my hands up with no idea.
Speaker 1: So like in the current NFL, blitzing top of the
Speaker 1: line quarterbacks is instant death right. They'll find it, and
Speaker 1: they'll carve you up before you can even get pressured
Speaker 1: by finding the vacancy that you brought with that zone
Speaker 1: with that blitz. And we saw that back in week
Speaker 1: three when now granted it was sixty three pass attempts
Speaker 1: and seventy five dropbacks in total, so right in line
Speaker 1: with our thirty percent blitz, right, but it was seventeen
Speaker 1: of twenty two for two oh two and two touchdowns
Speaker 1: against the blitz. That's that's really, really good. I'm gotta
Speaker 1: tell you that pretty par for the course what you
Speaker 1: get this quarterback, right, And I'm not saying you shouldn't
Speaker 1: have done that, because you can't just give him the
Speaker 1: same look over and over. But listen to this. Since
Speaker 1: week nine verse the blitz, he's thirty of fifty two.
Speaker 1: That's fifty percent with five yards per passing, no touchdowns.
Speaker 1: That's not productive at all, And given the potential elements,
Speaker 1: speeding up the clock might be a good way to
Speaker 1: manufacture more of those misses we talked about earlier. I
Speaker 1: don't know something to think about, and I won't be
Speaker 1: once the format pressure package as the primary rush all
Speaker 1: season long. I laugh while saying I really don't know, man,
Speaker 1: because it's like you put the pros and cons up there,
Speaker 1: and there are plenty of both against this team. It's
Speaker 1: a tough, tough decisions. While you pay the coaches the
Speaker 1: big books to come up with plans against the guy
Speaker 1: like this, Let's go ahead and take that last break
Speaker 1: and come back on the other side and talk about
Speaker 1: the rest of the Dolphins defense versus the Bill's offense.
Speaker 1: That's next Drivetime Podcast, your host, Travis Wingfield, brought to
Speaker 1: you by Auto Nation. It's a Friday here a preview
Speaker 1: edition of the Drivetime Podcast, and we pick it back
Speaker 1: up with the Bills receivers and tight ends versus the
Speaker 1: corners of Miami. And I want to touch on something here,
Speaker 1: a bit of a breaking point. Personally, I don't think
Speaker 1: it's reparable reparable this season. I know there are a
Speaker 1: few accounts out there telling you that pressures and are
Speaker 1: meaningless stat and I'm here to tell you they should
Speaker 1: pay no mind to that, because the Dolphins pass rush
Speaker 1: has been really, really good this year. It's third in
Speaker 1: the NFL and past rush win rate per ESPN. There's
Speaker 1: also a cool graph that's put together. It's a pff
Speaker 1: plot of rushers on an X access of expected average
Speaker 1: raw pass rush grade which is difficulty of assignment and
Speaker 1: grade over expectation on the Y access quality of pass rushing,
Speaker 1: and Phillips and Ingram are four and five in the
Speaker 1: grade over expectation among edge rushers, and Chubb is on
Speaker 1: the positive side in the top twenty player in that regard.
Speaker 1: He's cooled off a bit, but he's still up in
Speaker 1: that area. All of this is to say the pass
Speaker 1: rush is really freaking good man, especially when you factor
Speaker 1: in Christian Wilkins checking in a fifteenth among the interior
Speaker 1: rush list. But the truth is that he's getting better
Speaker 1: and better. Stut number just keeps increasing the last couple
Speaker 1: of weeks. But because the back end hasn't been holding up,
Speaker 1: you're not seeing the impact of those pass rush wins,
Speaker 1: and it's going to be incumbent on the staff to
Speaker 1: find a way to mask that fact. I mean, Byron
Speaker 1: Jones was always a massive loss. Then Nick need Hum Well,
Speaker 1: luckily we've got catered there to kind of fill that
Speaker 1: role a little bit. But Shrill Williams was the top
Speaker 1: backup for Byron Jones in my opinion, and then to
Speaker 1: lose Brandon Jones who create even more flexibility, and now
Speaker 1: Eric row in this game, who's gonna be out for
Speaker 1: the game. It's just the type of attrition you cannot
Speaker 1: expect to survive. You have to scheme around it. And
Speaker 1: the biggest impact we've seen is a dominant pass rush
Speaker 1: that gets not a lot of payoff. This is probably
Speaker 1: the toughest matchup against this Bill's team because they are
Speaker 1: top heavy, they are deep, and they are diverse, and
Speaker 1: they match the play style of their quarterback. It's super
Speaker 1: intriguing because Alan holds the ball in big play hunts
Speaker 1: more than any quarterback in the league. But Miami has
Speaker 1: been getting home with pressure among the best teams in
Speaker 1: the league. So does Alan follow Herbert's plan from last
Speaker 1: week and take those quick hitters and just eat up
Speaker 1: the short completions with the occasional deep shot built in,
Speaker 1: or does he play true to his style and bank
Speaker 1: on making rushers miss like he is wont to do.
Speaker 1: Stefon Diggs is one of the best receivers in the
Speaker 1: entire National Football League. There aren't many corners who can
Speaker 1: match up one on one and remove him from the game.
Speaker 1: Exhabing Howard probably came the closest earlier this season because
Speaker 1: Diggs had seven for seventy four in that game. But again,
Speaker 1: if you consider just ten point six yards per catch
Speaker 1: on eleven targets, that's less than seven yards per target,
Speaker 1: a great number against the guy who averages over ten
Speaker 1: this season. And there was the one long play to
Speaker 1: open the game was twenty eight yards, so after that
Speaker 1: just six forty six fantastic. Now, he did get routes
Speaker 1: on six players, but only X saw more than one target.
Speaker 1: They were three for five for forty seven yards throwing
Speaker 1: the ball against X, and one of those was that
Speaker 1: spike at the end of the half. To that feels
Speaker 1: like the play here to me in a game that
Speaker 1: you need your best to beat their best. But again,
Speaker 1: matchups like this are never one pcent of the game.
Speaker 1: So we saw Xavian Howard Chattle Mike Williams for a
Speaker 1: two percent of the game last week, and given all
Speaker 1: the injuries at corner, that might just be the best
Speaker 1: bet there. But Buffalo is deep, man, So you need
Speaker 1: an answer for Gabe Davis, who offers size, tremendous field
Speaker 1: and an excellent route runner in terms of setting guys
Speaker 1: up with double moves and precise movement to get the
Speaker 1: action on that first move and then spring to the
Speaker 1: second level. And when Alan breaks the pocket, he loves
Speaker 1: to find both Digs and Davis getting vertical. So for him,
Speaker 1: I think Cater is the one that has brought the
Speaker 1: most physicality all year long. Those seem like the right
Speaker 1: man matchups, but again it varies because there's also plenty
Speaker 1: of zone match and we'll see about all that. But
Speaker 1: plastering is the key this week. When he breaks the pocket,
Speaker 1: you have to plaster and get on your guy. Isaiah
Speaker 1: mackenzie does a lot of the creative stuff with jet
Speaker 1: sweeps and screens and catching the football and running on
Speaker 1: mesh routes and concepts. He's kind of a glue piece
Speaker 1: and that nobody does what he can. The Chargers caught
Speaker 1: us on some rubs with pre stnap motion against our
Speaker 1: man look, so you can almost bank on the Bills
Speaker 1: doing similar stuff with McKenzie here. Then there's Dawson Knox
Speaker 1: and it might be you know it's not gonna be
Speaker 1: Eric roheos a tied any race for this week and
Speaker 1: low Elijah Campbell, So that's a matchup to really look
Speaker 1: at Clayton Federalum or I don't know how you handle
Speaker 1: with more guys than that, but uh, that's a big
Speaker 1: matchup there. He's a productive, versatile tight end. I was
Speaker 1: hoping we'd have Eric row for we do not. It's
Speaker 1: a tall order. You're gonna have to You're gonna give
Speaker 1: up plays these guys. But I cannot emphasize enough the
Speaker 1: importance of capitalizing on plays that are there for you.
Speaker 1: And the recent Bills losses, that's been the difference really.
Speaker 1: The Browns alliones had them on the ropes and back
Speaker 1: to back games and some missed opportunities. To me, where
Speaker 1: the difference in those games. But if you look at
Speaker 1: the Vikings and the Jets games or this year, two
Speaker 1: picks in both of those games and two losses for
Speaker 1: the Bills, So big matchup out their offensive line versus
Speaker 1: defensive line. Spoiler. One of the keys to the game
Speaker 1: will be finishing the potential splash players You create create negatives,
Speaker 1: and that always starts up front, doesn't it. The Dolphins
Speaker 1: passed for us, just really getting after it, but the
Speaker 1: finishing element hasn't been there. It's hard to do that
Speaker 1: when the balls out in two and a half seconds.
Speaker 1: Quarterbacks are mitigating that by getting to the open guy early.
Speaker 1: But they've been relentless all year. Phillips has been tremendous,
Speaker 1: Wilkins has been so good, and my goodness, has he
Speaker 1: turned down the last couple of weeks a different level
Speaker 1: of play we haven't seen from him before. Ingram has
Speaker 1: been as efficient as anybody, and Chubb was bubbling up
Speaker 1: towards a big game. You can kind of sense it
Speaker 1: with his ability to get by his man the arrival point.
Speaker 1: The quarterback just is not always married up on those
Speaker 1: particular plays, like he'll jump inside the quarterbacks booting against him.
Speaker 1: It's just hasn't worked out quite yet. They had Alan
Speaker 1: under constant darrest in that Week three game, and it
Speaker 1: just forced the ball out all game long. And at
Speaker 1: the end of it, it was too much for the
Speaker 1: Bills to muster up more than seventeen offensive points. I mean,
Speaker 1: they scored nineteen total, But man, if you do that
Speaker 1: in this game, you have to get out of there
Speaker 1: with a win like you have to. And their offensive
Speaker 1: line pressure allowed and pass blocking snaps, it's pretty good
Speaker 1: across the board. Dawkins twenty four on five oh two,
Speaker 1: staffled on five seventy four. That's kind of the spot
Speaker 1: to look at there on the offensive line. Mitch Morris six.
Speaker 1: Ryan Bates is out for this game. We'll see who
Speaker 1: they replace him with. Probably David Kessonberry. He's been twelve
Speaker 1: on just two hundreds. That's a kind of area to
Speaker 1: look out as well. And then Spencer Brown thirty five.
Speaker 1: The offensive line has been their achilles heel this year.
Speaker 1: It's we we have to beat them consistently with the
Speaker 1: injuries they've had, and that right side of the offensive line.
Speaker 1: Force Alan to move, hit him, turn him over, and
Speaker 1: just keep him uncomfortable. The Jets did it in both games.
Speaker 1: We have to do it here. Dawkins is one of
Speaker 1: the best left tackles in football. He missed one game
Speaker 1: and some change and it was a noticeable difference without
Speaker 1: him on the field. Any wins you get against him
Speaker 1: or a bonus, but for a guy like Bradley Chub
Speaker 1: that's why you go out and get him big matchup
Speaker 1: this week. On the other side, Phillips has been so
Speaker 1: good and getting better all year long. Point blank is this.
Speaker 1: We need him to kick Spencer Brown's but you have to.
Speaker 1: He gave up seven pressures against the Jets last week.
Speaker 1: Six in the game versus the Lions earlier and as
Speaker 1: well as in the game because the Vikings. We need
Speaker 1: that a seven pressure day, a two sack day from Phillips,
Speaker 1: maybe force a fumble. I think it's a big game
Speaker 1: for him. He made some plays back in that Week
Speaker 1: three game, but I think he's improved a lot since them.
Speaker 1: So finishing with those sacks that near I n t
Speaker 1: he had make those plays and we could come out
Speaker 1: of this one victorious, and then Wilkins just winning regardless
Speaker 1: of who's across from him right now, Hopefully his pass
Speaker 1: rush wins pair with someone like JP or Melvin or
Speaker 1: Chubb or Gink getting home off the edge because Alan's
Speaker 1: so damn good at making one man miss. If the
Speaker 1: Dolphins are going to slow the Bills, it'll be because
Speaker 1: to me, Phillips and Wilkins gave Brown and Keston Burry
Speaker 1: the replacement right guard all they could handle all game long.
Speaker 1: Our last position group running backs and linebackers, a position
Speaker 1: where the Bills are extremely multiple. James Cook is explosive
Speaker 1: as all get out, and Devin's singletary is just such
Speaker 1: a reliable option. They're both right around three yards average
Speaker 1: after initial contact. Twenty five miss tackles force for Singletary
Speaker 1: fifteen for Cook. They're both dynamic in the passing game
Speaker 1: and good outlets when Alan gets that multiple rusher pressure
Speaker 1: that he looks at and can flip the ball up
Speaker 1: to those guys when they play patient get the ball
Speaker 1: to the backs in the passing game and run the
Speaker 1: ball effectively. Man, they are tough to stop and they
Speaker 1: shorten the game by doing so, so it's really tough
Speaker 1: to beat them when they can do that. I've been
Speaker 1: so impressed by Jerome Baker playing both that stacked linebacker
Speaker 1: position off the ball, but also coming down off the
Speaker 1: edge and making an impact there in the running game
Speaker 1: to meet his speed out wide with Duke inside as
Speaker 1: a must against this offense and Ken Dorris, He's offense
Speaker 1: is creative, has false keys. It can pump the ball
Speaker 1: to any of the eligible so we need Jerome, Duke,
Speaker 1: Landon Roberts All to be firing on all cylinders here.
Speaker 1: Special Teams d v l A ranks Miami's thirty second
Speaker 1: Buffaloes third Tyler bass is twenty nine, with the three
Speaker 1: misses coming from one apiece from fifty plus nine and
Speaker 1: under forty. He's missed one of his thirty eight p
Speaker 1: e t s and then Sam Martin averages forty two
Speaker 1: yards of gross with an inside the twenty yard line
Speaker 1: rate of thirty five percent and a touchback rate of
Speaker 1: fIF Jason Sanders hit his first fifty yard of the
Speaker 1: season on Sunday night. That's great to see. He looks
Speaker 1: really good lately. Eighteen twenty two and more stads gross
Speaker 1: is forty point three with an inside the twenty yard
Speaker 1: line rate of thirty eight percent and a touchback rate
Speaker 1: of just four what's at stake here? Any hope when
Speaker 1: the division starts to win this football game control our
Speaker 1: own destiny is now gone that that's a foreign concept.
Speaker 1: If Miami wins, they'll still need help to capture the
Speaker 1: a f C East crown. Now that's hardly possible, but
Speaker 1: winning this game is no small task, so we'll see
Speaker 1: about that after the conclusion. Moreover, there's a chance the
Speaker 1: Dolphins are on the outside looking at the conclusion of
Speaker 1: this game if they lose, and that's a tough pill
Speaker 1: to swallow when you were competing for the one seed
Speaker 1: just three weeks ago. If the Jets and Patriots get
Speaker 1: wins and the Dolphins lose, they'll be back in that
Speaker 1: in the hunt column with the Jets home for the
Speaker 1: Lions and Patriots home for the Raiders. I think confidence
Speaker 1: could be just as big as securing a win in
Speaker 1: the win lost column here with a positive result. To
Speaker 1: go into a place that you have struggled to work
Speaker 1: le just one win sinceleven the last playoff year in
Speaker 1: Christmas Eve, to stop the streak, to win a cold
Speaker 1: weather game against a team that has had your number
Speaker 1: at least prior to the September game, and put a
Speaker 1: race for the division back on over the final three weeks.
Speaker 1: To me, that would mean everything. Right, All this, you know,
Speaker 1: sick to your stomach feeling you've had the last couple
Speaker 1: of weeks, I think goes away social media being unbearable
Speaker 1: to me personally and about you guys. Uh, that goes
Speaker 1: away a little bit for a week at least. Then
Speaker 1: you get to come home for a long week and
Speaker 1: welcome a team who's currently five and eight in the Packers.
Speaker 1: The win, the confidence, the standings impact. It's a huge game,
Speaker 1: not to mention another chance in prime time to show
Speaker 1: what you're all about to the entire country. As for
Speaker 1: the playoff, odds numbers we introduced last week, let's go
Speaker 1: ahead and update that. With a win, Miami's playoff odds
Speaker 1: increased to eighties six p six percent chance and a
Speaker 1: chance to win the division. With a loss, sixty playoff
Speaker 1: chances in less than one percent to win the division.
Speaker 1: It's a big game. My expectations honestly, like uh, I
Speaker 1: do think Miami is gonna win the last three games
Speaker 1: the year, and the playoff odds in that scenario are
Speaker 1: nine eight percent. So regardless, it's not the end of
Speaker 1: the world. I know we all want to feel better,
Speaker 1: but a loss and I think it's fair to reevaluate
Speaker 1: your expectations as to what would the Dolphins do in
Speaker 1: the postseason. Back after a three game slide with without
Speaker 1: our quarterback, my expectation was the five seed and hopefully
Speaker 1: a trip to the a f C South winning the playoffs.
Speaker 1: That's kind of my new hope and expectation. Win or
Speaker 1: lose this game, get that five seed and get the
Speaker 1: a f C South game on the road in the postseason.
Speaker 1: The three keys of the game convert quarterback pressures into
Speaker 1: sacks and negative players you cannot miss when they have
Speaker 1: the opportunities have to make the most of it. Number
Speaker 1: two a big game for the running backs, both to
Speaker 1: run the football against the defense that plays exclusively almost
Speaker 1: nickel defense and doesn't want to bring the linebackers up.
Speaker 1: Against this vaunted middle of the field passing game. Run
Speaker 1: the ball opens up everything else, especially in the weather,
Speaker 1: and the number three prevent pressure against four man rushes.
Speaker 1: If they bring four, we have to keep two upright.
Speaker 1: It's the biggest key of the game to me. Week
Speaker 1: fifteen picks, once again we are asking for your faith
Speaker 1: on the Thursday night football pick. Hopefully I earned that
Speaker 1: last week with the loss thanks to the heroics of
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield, which I thought was awesome. How do you
Speaker 1: not feel great for Baker Mayfield after that game? But
Speaker 1: in Week fourteen, that loss made US nine and four
Speaker 1: one forty two and sixty five and two on the season.
Speaker 1: That's sixty eight point five percent. I'm taking the Niners
Speaker 1: over the Seahawks. Probably not a surprised there. Give me
Speaker 1: the Vikings over the Colts, the Ravens over the Browns.
Speaker 1: That's a tough one to pick. I don't have a
Speaker 1: ton of faith in the Ravens right now, but Cleveland
Speaker 1: can't do anything like that new quarterback. They've got Buffalo
Speaker 1: over Miami. I'm sorry, that's your Saturday night games. Uh,
Speaker 1: Philly over Chicago. On Sunday, the Jets over the Lions.
Speaker 1: That's the toughest one for me to pick this week.
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Jets because Jared Goff has struggled in
Speaker 1: the cold, you know, historically, and I think the Lions
Speaker 1: had a very big emotional win the Jets let down
Speaker 1: game on Sunday. I think tent things tend to kind
Speaker 1: of correct themselves after that. Pittsburgh over Carolina, Casey over Houston.
Speaker 1: Give me the Saints over the Falcons. Give me the
Speaker 1: Cowboys over the Jaguars, the Broncos of the Cardinals, Las
Speaker 1: Vegas over New England. Don't feel confident in that one.
Speaker 1: I'll take the Titans over the Chargers. Don't feel confident
Speaker 1: in that one at all. Give me the Bengals over
Speaker 1: the Bucks. Give me the Giants over the Commanders, and
Speaker 1: the Packers over the Rams. I'm gonna go ahead and
Speaker 1: get out of here because Carolina is screaming her head
Speaker 1: off right now. My wife is currently playing zone defense
Speaker 1: against the two kids. In the meantime, you all Please
Speaker 1: be sure to subscribe to the podcast on Apple Podcast,
Speaker 1: leave us a rating, and leave us a review. Follow
Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Wingfield NFL. Follow the team at
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins. Check out The Fish Tank with Seth and
Speaker 1: Juice the postgame show as well. Check out Miami Dolphins
Speaker 1: dot com, the YouTube channel for media availabilities and Dolphins
Speaker 1: Today Caroline and Camera and Daddy's coming upstairs for right
Speaker 1: now