WEBVTT - Dolphins Bills Week 15 Preview

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Miami Dolphins podcast Network. This is

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<v Speaker 1>Drive Time with Travis Wingfield. Back to throw to a

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<v Speaker 1>looking Gipstla water Dolph, touchtop, ton Rick, call that there man.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to help you soon. Look up on the

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<v Speaker 1>vanway Wattle, waddle to a shotguns back that's throw looking

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<v Speaker 1>stumps up fires, touchtop again, it's waddle. It's six touchdowns

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<v Speaker 1>to Drive Time with Travis Wingfield begins. Now let me

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<v Speaker 1>check your pulse if what is up? Dolphins And welcome

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<v Speaker 1>to the Drivetime Podcast, part of the Miami Dolphins podcast

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<v Speaker 1>network covering your team, your Miami Dolphins. How's it going everybody?

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<v Speaker 1>I am your host, Travis Wingfield. And on today's show,

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<v Speaker 1>it's time for another preview edition of the DP pod

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<v Speaker 1>for a game tomorrow, the shortest turnaround time we've had

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<v Speaker 1>from preview podcast to game the entire season, Primetime in

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<v Speaker 1>Buffalo for a huge a f C East clash in

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<v Speaker 1>prime time nighttime cold snow, the only game on at

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<v Speaker 1>the time. Look at the matchups, position by position through

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<v Speaker 1>the tape and the stats will tell you what's at

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<v Speaker 1>stake with this week's game. The three keys to win

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<v Speaker 1>the game and pick the Week fifteen contest around the

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<v Speaker 1>National Football League from somewhere in South Florida. This is

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<v Speaker 1>it feels this week like you probably don't need that

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<v Speaker 1>much of an introduction a division opponent who, unlike the

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<v Speaker 1>Bait Patriots, Patriots and Jets, haven't undergone a whole lot

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<v Speaker 1>of change in recent years. The other two have seen

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<v Speaker 1>their longtime quarterback depart and the other have a new

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<v Speaker 1>coaching staff in the last couple of years. But the

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<v Speaker 1>Buffalo Bills have kind of become not just the stable

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<v Speaker 1>force within the division, but the conference in the entire league.

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<v Speaker 1>The Cliffs notes on Buffalo and how they got here

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<v Speaker 1>Sean McDermott and I almost said Billy Bean. Brandon Bean

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<v Speaker 1>arrived at the exact same time start building a culture

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<v Speaker 1>of tough, smart players with more of a focus on

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<v Speaker 1>the some of the parts opposed to the star player

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<v Speaker 1>by trading away some of their name talent for draft

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<v Speaker 1>picks and getting Sean McDermott type of players in there.

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<v Speaker 1>And that really began back in seventeen where they also

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<v Speaker 1>in that same process developed their own stars. And it

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<v Speaker 1>began that year by remaking the secondary with Micah Hide,

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<v Speaker 1>Jordan Poyer and tradabus White then team with Josh Allen

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<v Speaker 1>with Stefon Diggs. This year they go out and they

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<v Speaker 1>add Von Miller, who is out for the year, but

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<v Speaker 1>you can argue it's the best roster in the National

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<v Speaker 1>Football League when fully healthy. There's a reason they were

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<v Speaker 1>these overwhelming Super Bowl favorites coming into the season. They

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<v Speaker 1>can beat you and they don't play well. They can

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<v Speaker 1>vote ratio when they do, and they sure know how

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<v Speaker 1>to play within the elements that they deal with almost

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<v Speaker 1>on weekly basis, pretty much after Halloween up there in Buffalo.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think it needs much more set up than that.

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<v Speaker 1>This is the team that, for all intents and purposes,

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<v Speaker 1>kept the Dolphins from championships in the nineties. Losing to

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<v Speaker 1>Buffalo was the difference between making and missing the playoffs

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<v Speaker 1>and a lot of those eight and eight, nine and

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<v Speaker 1>seven type of years, and the odds hell, the two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand two Ray Lucas game was the difference in playoffs

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<v Speaker 1>and not we don't like them. They don't like us.

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<v Speaker 1>They want to get Osha involved. Whether there's a game

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<v Speaker 1>in South Florida. We have the heat, they have the snow.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a great rivalry that pits the two most polarizing

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<v Speaker 1>towns in the National football against one another, and there's

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<v Speaker 1>a good history of some bad blood here. I would say,

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<v Speaker 1>let's go ahead and get into the matchup of Dolphins

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<v Speaker 1>offense first, the Bill's defense and the quarterback of Miami

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<v Speaker 1>and their offensive system versus the safeties of the Buffalo

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<v Speaker 1>Bills and their defense. And this is the most unique

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<v Speaker 1>defense in the NFL in terms of their personnel deployment,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's really built around the presence of one player

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<v Speaker 1>sort of. Tehron Johnson is one of their best players,

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<v Speaker 1>and calling him a nickel or slot cornerback is entirely

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<v Speaker 1>disingenuous because he plays every snap and we'll cover his

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<v Speaker 1>game in the Cornerbacks edition of this pod, but his

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<v Speaker 1>name is required here because of this. They play the

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<v Speaker 1>nickel five point five percent of their snaps. They're a

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<v Speaker 1>one package defense. Nothing else eclipses one point seven percent.

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<v Speaker 1>That's their three four base look, which makes you wonder,

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<v Speaker 1>makes you wonder about the running game because that's you

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<v Speaker 1>go back over the tape. What's one thing that teams

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<v Speaker 1>have been able to consistently do against the Buffalo Bills

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<v Speaker 1>this year? Weekend and week out, it's run the football.

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<v Speaker 1>If you can go to two tight ends, if you

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<v Speaker 1>can get a second full back into the game, obviously

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<v Speaker 1>like Miami has, that's gonna put them a man down

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of their box count in terms of guys

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<v Speaker 1>that can compete with heavier personnel. But tarn Johnson has

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<v Speaker 1>the ability to do that. So that's kind of why

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<v Speaker 1>they feel comfortable in that. They also can get out

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<v Speaker 1>to big leads and that allows me to play from,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a position where the nickel is the primary

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<v Speaker 1>package as teams throw a catch up on them. But

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<v Speaker 1>the three or four base they run is one point

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<v Speaker 1>seven percent. They do run a four, three or verse

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<v Speaker 1>one percent at the time, so it's like a drop

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<v Speaker 1>in the bucket and then one point two percent dime

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<v Speaker 1>defense and a fraction of others. But as far as

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<v Speaker 1>where they align with their safeties pre snap, that's changed

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<v Speaker 1>a lot this year because of the injury to Micah Hyde,

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<v Speaker 1>and so has the way they've deployed the safeties as

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<v Speaker 1>a result of that. More on that just a second,

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<v Speaker 1>but single high coverage is forty three and a half

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<v Speaker 1>percent too high as fifty three percent, and they've ran

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<v Speaker 1>cover zero thirty plays this year. That's three point five

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<v Speaker 1>percent of their defense. It's a good mix of man

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<v Speaker 1>and zone. There was more man with Von Miller in

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<v Speaker 1>the lineup. But I also wonder if Trey whitebus White

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<v Speaker 1>starts to increase that again because he played a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>snaps in a game for the first time last week.

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<v Speaker 1>Since one, they've also been on and off with rookie

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<v Speaker 1>cornerback Kayer Elam, who's been a healthy scratch at times

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<v Speaker 1>this year and given way in a platoon role with

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<v Speaker 1>six round draft pick Christian Benford, who was on the

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<v Speaker 1>I R. And I think ideally when they have White

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<v Speaker 1>and Elam up to full speed together, they do become

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<v Speaker 1>a man coverage primary team. But I don't know if

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<v Speaker 1>you can expect that in this game because it is

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<v Speaker 1>still a little bit green, and because well Elam is

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<v Speaker 1>not playing over the rest of the guys they have

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<v Speaker 1>in that secondary on a week to week basis. But

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<v Speaker 1>as always, you want to be prepared for both. So

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<v Speaker 1>if it's man coverage, Mesh routes and rubs man, have

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<v Speaker 1>you seen Mesh one time this year? I think if

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<v Speaker 1>they're gonna go man coverage, i'd love to see, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a combination of players that includes either Tyreek or Jalen

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<v Speaker 1>or both of them. With mesh which is basically either

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<v Speaker 1>side of the formation, and you cross right in front

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<v Speaker 1>of the middle linebacker, right behind the middle linebacker and

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<v Speaker 1>create conflict for him. Might be a nice offset some

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<v Speaker 1>of the r p oh look some of the play

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<v Speaker 1>action game in terms of guys priest nap motion in

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<v Speaker 1>one direction, I think you could get you know, some

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<v Speaker 1>with with your priest nap motions and then run mesh

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<v Speaker 1>in behind that linebacker and keep him conflicted in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of well, I either I'm downhill or that deep you know,

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<v Speaker 1>fifteen yard hook drop that we saw San Francisco and

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<v Speaker 1>l A have success with. But now if I'm contending

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<v Speaker 1>with the potential run game of my eyes taking the

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<v Speaker 1>candy into the backfield, if I get that deep drop

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<v Speaker 1>and they're gonna mesh right in front of me, well,

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<v Speaker 1>all of a sudden, that changes things. Then you can

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<v Speaker 1>run things off of that. And I just really, I

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<v Speaker 1>really have faith that this offensive staff is gonna come

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<v Speaker 1>up with something to counter what could potentially be coming

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<v Speaker 1>to the pike as a sort of blueprint plan. Right

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<v Speaker 1>everyone's talking about the teams throughout the last couple of

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<v Speaker 1>weeks and if it goes back to more of that zone,

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<v Speaker 1>that kind of inside triangle with or I should say

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<v Speaker 1>triangle with inside leverage. You know some smash concepts where

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<v Speaker 1>you have the outside receiver run like a hook or

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<v Speaker 1>a little you know, in breaking route with the flag

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<v Speaker 1>route in behind that. Some whips are jerk routes whatever

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<v Speaker 1>you call those that I think I've heard it called

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<v Speaker 1>China inside to the outside. You know, you set up

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<v Speaker 1>for the slant or for the little skinny post, put

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<v Speaker 1>that foot in the ground, pivot back to the outside.

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<v Speaker 1>It was basically West Welker's primary route his entire career. Speedouts,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, five yards pressed the inside shoulder, breakback across

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<v Speaker 1>the outside, and those flag routes back to the corner.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think there's some opportunities from Miami here. We'll

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<v Speaker 1>see if they can get to it. The weather might

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<v Speaker 1>have an impact on that. As far as the Buffalo defense,

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<v Speaker 1>they blitz eight teen point eight percent of the time,

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<v Speaker 1>which is the tenth lowest rate in the National Football League.

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<v Speaker 1>But their pressure rates, and we talked about that in

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<v Speaker 1>the podcast every week. If you can get a higher

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<v Speaker 1>pressure rate than your blitz percentage, then you're probably a

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<v Speaker 1>pretty good pass rush and that pressure rate is twelve

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<v Speaker 1>best in the NFL, and those numbers have fluctuated with

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<v Speaker 1>the loss of von Miller because they're book see Moore

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<v Speaker 1>and haven't generated as much pressure from their fore man

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<v Speaker 1>fronts without him, but it's still a key piece to

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<v Speaker 1>their defense with Gregory Rousseau a j F Banessa at all.

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<v Speaker 1>Over All, those guys are so damn good. They need

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<v Speaker 1>pressure with the front four to really maximize what they

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<v Speaker 1>do best in their system, which is a complex zone

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<v Speaker 1>scheme that can man the can man match when it

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<v Speaker 1>it's required certain formations, certain checks. They can disguise very well,

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<v Speaker 1>and they have a bunch of guys who have played

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<v Speaker 1>together for a super long time in that back end,

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<v Speaker 1>which gives you that smooth pattern matching. Not really many

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<v Speaker 1>coverage bus They communicate well, and you heard head coach

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<v Speaker 1>Mike McDaniel talked about how there just wasn't really any

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<v Speaker 1>bus in the Chargers game, which is rare. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>I know NFL teams are supposed to be the cream

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<v Speaker 1>of the crop, but they still happen on a weekly

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<v Speaker 1>basis across the National Football League. Now as far as

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<v Speaker 1>the blitz rate against the Dolphins last time around, and

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<v Speaker 1>this is our first repeat opponent of the year, which

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<v Speaker 1>is crazy to me. In Week fifteen, most teams get

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<v Speaker 1>two division games out of the way, usually by Halloween,

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<v Speaker 1>but they only blitz to on ten percent of his

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<v Speaker 1>dropbacks in that Week three victory for the Miami Dolphins

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<v Speaker 1>in the sun and if you recall all he only

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<v Speaker 1>had nineteen dropbacks in that game, so that meant just

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<v Speaker 1>two bits of the entire time. If that's the plan

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<v Speaker 1>again to what is gonna have to be sharp finding

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<v Speaker 1>openings and attacking the opportunities against man coverage when they

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<v Speaker 1>are there. If the weather is bad in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>the snow and the wind, you have to imagine the

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<v Speaker 1>Bills probably want to clamp a little bit and see

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<v Speaker 1>if Miami can win vertically because it's tougher to throw

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<v Speaker 1>the ball for the on the field when there's bad weather, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and they've shown their ability to do that this year,

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<v Speaker 1>have the Dolphins. And you hit a couple of deep

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<v Speaker 1>balls in this one. In any game, really it changes

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<v Speaker 1>the entire complexion not just of the scoreboard, but also

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<v Speaker 1>the way the game unfolds from there. From a strategy

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<v Speaker 1>and schematic standpoint. In that game back in the Hot

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<v Speaker 1>Hot Sunshine that was so illegal two was three for three,

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<v Speaker 1>last time, throwing the ball twenty plus yards down the

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<v Speaker 1>field for nine three passing yards, including what served essentially

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<v Speaker 1>as the game winner with that forty five yard dime

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<v Speaker 1>to Jaitleen Waddle on third and twenty two. Like the

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<v Speaker 1>last couple of teams we face, they are super athletic

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<v Speaker 1>at the linebacker position. And if if the Bills operate

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<v Speaker 1>in the same style as the Niners and Chargers, where

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<v Speaker 1>they deepen that hook's oone drop and don't really take

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<v Speaker 1>much of the cheese on play action, than the Dolphins

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<v Speaker 1>must get the running game going and have quick answers

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<v Speaker 1>in the checkdown game. I was looking at some old

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<v Speaker 1>Dolphins and Bills games. The last two times Miami one

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<v Speaker 1>in Buffalo was eleven. They ran for two hundred yards

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<v Speaker 1>in both those games. J Ji and Reggie Bush the

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<v Speaker 1>primary culprits there, and more on that in the running

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<v Speaker 1>back section. Let's go ahead and cover the quarterback safety

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<v Speaker 1>match up here real quick. In this portion it's different

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<v Speaker 1>without Micah Hide, but Jordan Poyer is still They're doing

0:10:26.920 --> 0:10:28.600
<v Speaker 1>great things every single week. He's one of the best

0:10:28.600 --> 0:10:30.960
<v Speaker 1>players in the NFL. He's gonna make plays too. It

0:10:31.000 --> 0:10:33.160
<v Speaker 1>has to be sharp. You have to identify him, not

0:10:33.320 --> 0:10:35.680
<v Speaker 1>lock onto a target and hold him. You have to

0:10:35.760 --> 0:10:37.959
<v Speaker 1>really respect where Jordan Poyer is on a given play.

0:10:38.200 --> 0:10:40.400
<v Speaker 1>He's got four more picks this year. That's pretty much

0:10:40.840 --> 0:10:42.480
<v Speaker 1>run of the mill for him, four or five six

0:10:42.480 --> 0:10:44.920
<v Speaker 1>picks a year, another handful of pass breakups and that's

0:10:44.920 --> 0:10:47.240
<v Speaker 1>in just nine games for him played this year. Now

0:10:47.280 --> 0:10:49.640
<v Speaker 1>he is playing the deep center field more often this

0:10:49.720 --> 0:10:52.160
<v Speaker 1>year without Micah Hide back there, and that speaks to

0:10:52.200 --> 0:10:54.760
<v Speaker 1>his versatility to basically change his role kind of like

0:10:54.800 --> 0:10:57.400
<v Speaker 1>Javon Holland has in some ways. And I think that

0:10:57.440 --> 0:10:59.600
<v Speaker 1>limits the true strength of the defense with both of

0:10:59.640 --> 0:11:02.520
<v Speaker 1>them and that they are virtually interchangeable. Because now in

0:11:02.720 --> 0:11:05.680
<v Speaker 1>Hide's place is a very smart player in DeMar Hamlin,

0:11:06.160 --> 0:11:08.920
<v Speaker 1>who's got twenty three pass rush reps two players ten

0:11:09.080 --> 0:11:10.520
<v Speaker 1>And that's a bit of a flip from what you

0:11:10.559 --> 0:11:13.079
<v Speaker 1>would see with high employers. So there you go. But

0:11:13.120 --> 0:11:16.840
<v Speaker 1>you'll see Tomar Hamlin come down and insert himself in

0:11:16.880 --> 0:11:19.960
<v Speaker 1>the running game. Eighteen run stops to Powyers ten and

0:11:20.000 --> 0:11:21.880
<v Speaker 1>on that third and twenty two. He was a big

0:11:21.880 --> 0:11:23.640
<v Speaker 1>part of that play to have moved him out of

0:11:23.640 --> 0:11:26.199
<v Speaker 1>that lane to create that throw. Do that again, that

0:11:26.240 --> 0:11:28.520
<v Speaker 1>will be nice to see. All things told, we've seen

0:11:28.520 --> 0:11:30.440
<v Speaker 1>to a. Continue to throw with confidence, and for me,

0:11:30.520 --> 0:11:32.880
<v Speaker 1>that's my key for two in this game. Keep trusting

0:11:32.960 --> 0:11:35.000
<v Speaker 1>the eyes. He's so good in that certain area of

0:11:35.000 --> 0:11:37.720
<v Speaker 1>the field. Trust what you see, Trust the plan that

0:11:37.760 --> 0:11:40.200
<v Speaker 1>Mike and the coaches have given you, and attack this

0:11:40.280 --> 0:11:42.400
<v Speaker 1>defense the way you have all year long. Don't lose

0:11:42.400 --> 0:11:44.680
<v Speaker 1>that confidence, don't change who you are. You beat this

0:11:44.720 --> 0:11:47.800
<v Speaker 1>team once, you can do it again. Wide receivers and

0:11:47.840 --> 0:11:50.600
<v Speaker 1>tight ends against the Buffalo corners. We mentioned to Ron

0:11:50.679 --> 0:11:53.079
<v Speaker 1>Johnson in the open one of the true Jeana pieces

0:11:53.120 --> 0:11:56.080
<v Speaker 1>in the national football He's just so important. I imagine

0:11:56.120 --> 0:11:58.560
<v Speaker 1>he'll match up with Tyreek and Jalen a lot, especially

0:11:58.600 --> 0:12:00.880
<v Speaker 1>when they kick inside and back in Week three he

0:12:00.920 --> 0:12:03.240
<v Speaker 1>only saw two targets against the two of them, and

0:12:03.280 --> 0:12:05.280
<v Speaker 1>it made sense because you know they were short some

0:12:05.360 --> 0:12:07.959
<v Speaker 1>players in the secondary. Why attack the lone remaining starter

0:12:08.000 --> 0:12:09.760
<v Speaker 1>they had in the line up back then. But he

0:12:09.840 --> 0:12:13.000
<v Speaker 1>will key their disguises, He'll switch his role to line scrimmage,

0:12:13.000 --> 0:12:15.240
<v Speaker 1>he'll rush, he'll enter it against the run, He'll blow

0:12:15.280 --> 0:12:17.439
<v Speaker 1>up the screen. He's a great, great player in a

0:12:17.480 --> 0:12:20.600
<v Speaker 1>secondary that has been banged up all year. He's leading

0:12:20.600 --> 0:12:22.559
<v Speaker 1>them in coverage snaps by quite a big margin five

0:12:22.640 --> 0:12:24.800
<v Speaker 1>hundred and twelve. The next one is four hundred and

0:12:25.120 --> 0:12:27.600
<v Speaker 1>it's not that big. Seventy five. He has allowed just

0:12:27.760 --> 0:12:30.559
<v Speaker 1>fifty nine yards with twenty eight run stops. I'm sorry,

0:12:30.559 --> 0:12:32.800
<v Speaker 1>five hundred ninety six yards. That six got cut off.

0:12:32.840 --> 0:12:35.160
<v Speaker 1>There it is again with twenty eight run stops. Dane

0:12:35.240 --> 0:12:38.160
<v Speaker 1>Jackson's on the other side at the cornerback position as

0:12:38.160 --> 0:12:40.680
<v Speaker 1>Trey White. He missed last game, but he's back. He's

0:12:40.679 --> 0:12:42.439
<v Speaker 1>been the starter when he's been healthy, and it's been

0:12:42.480 --> 0:12:44.719
<v Speaker 1>five hundred and twenty five yards on four hundred and

0:12:44.760 --> 0:12:48.600
<v Speaker 1>seventy five coverage snaps, but two picks, nine pass breakups. Then,

0:12:48.640 --> 0:12:51.120
<v Speaker 1>of course White, who's one of the most competitive players

0:12:51.120 --> 0:12:54.000
<v Speaker 1>you'll find. He wants to play physical and challenge you.

0:12:54.080 --> 0:12:57.080
<v Speaker 1>But he's so dang adept at falling off his man

0:12:57.120 --> 0:12:59.000
<v Speaker 1>and winding up in a place that he's not supposed

0:12:59.040 --> 0:13:01.440
<v Speaker 1>to be in to take the football away. I'm curious

0:13:01.440 --> 0:13:04.400
<v Speaker 1>how comfortable he'd feel doing that given his limited work

0:13:04.400 --> 0:13:06.520
<v Speaker 1>coming back from the injury, but a player of his caliber,

0:13:06.760 --> 0:13:09.319
<v Speaker 1>I'd never account him out for that. Now in terms

0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:11.800
<v Speaker 1>of their movement to match the Miami speed and we

0:13:11.960 --> 0:13:14.120
<v Speaker 1>look at the r S scorecards usually weekly here on

0:13:14.160 --> 0:13:16.679
<v Speaker 1>this portion of the podcast. For Dane Jackson, and this

0:13:16.760 --> 0:13:19.520
<v Speaker 1>is across the board, they're not like a super athletic

0:13:19.559 --> 0:13:22.480
<v Speaker 1>bunch compared to you know, other NFL cornerbacks. I would

0:13:22.480 --> 0:13:24.960
<v Speaker 1>never call an NFL player and not athletic, that's crazy.

0:13:25.240 --> 0:13:28.760
<v Speaker 1>But compared to their peers, Yeah, Dane Jackson less than

0:13:28.800 --> 0:13:31.959
<v Speaker 1>fifty percentile and it's three cone, tense split, twenty split,

0:13:32.040 --> 0:13:35.640
<v Speaker 1>forty yard dash, short shuttle, and his overall relative athletics

0:13:35.640 --> 0:13:38.560
<v Speaker 1>score card. To me, this is the guy like, if

0:13:38.600 --> 0:13:40.640
<v Speaker 1>you get one on one matchups here, go after him,

0:13:40.679 --> 0:13:43.800
<v Speaker 1>especially with tenants seventeen tradevious White. The only stat that

0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:46.640
<v Speaker 1>he's better than seventy percentile in is the forty yard

0:13:46.720 --> 0:13:51.640
<v Speaker 1>dash He's sixty percentile and three cone and shuttle and

0:13:51.720 --> 0:13:55.800
<v Speaker 1>the broad and sixteenth percentile on the vertical jump. This

0:13:55.840 --> 0:13:58.280
<v Speaker 1>is why I think Tyreek Hills the Bills killer. If

0:13:58.320 --> 0:13:59.959
<v Speaker 1>that's how they want to play it, we need Tyree

0:14:00.080 --> 0:14:02.600
<v Speaker 1>to have that, you know, ten for one fifty type

0:14:02.600 --> 0:14:04.400
<v Speaker 1>of game and go win it for us, and Trey

0:14:04.400 --> 0:14:07.200
<v Speaker 1>White is better to me suited playing guys like Davante Parker.

0:14:07.360 --> 0:14:10.160
<v Speaker 1>Now to Ron Johnson, it's the same story. Forty percentile

0:14:10.280 --> 0:14:13.040
<v Speaker 1>or lower and three cone shuttle, broad and vertical. To me,

0:14:13.360 --> 0:14:16.559
<v Speaker 1>you candense things close to the quarterback and create easy

0:14:16.679 --> 0:14:19.360
<v Speaker 1>natural rubs against man. You force them to want to

0:14:19.360 --> 0:14:21.240
<v Speaker 1>play inside that box if they want to press up

0:14:21.240 --> 0:14:23.680
<v Speaker 1>and challenge the area, because it then creates more with

0:14:23.920 --> 0:14:26.440
<v Speaker 1>on the outside, and you candense them pre snap and

0:14:26.440 --> 0:14:29.120
<v Speaker 1>expand it post snap to open up those windows more

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:31.640
<v Speaker 1>so than you would previously because if they want to

0:14:31.720 --> 0:14:34.480
<v Speaker 1>charge on that outside breaking route from their inside leverage,

0:14:34.880 --> 0:14:37.320
<v Speaker 1>then that creates chances to make moves off of that

0:14:37.440 --> 0:14:38.720
<v Speaker 1>or they just give it to you and you take

0:14:38.760 --> 0:14:41.640
<v Speaker 1>what's there and it can create some matchups I think

0:14:41.680 --> 0:14:44.200
<v Speaker 1>are not as easily dictated pre snap. When you play

0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:47.520
<v Speaker 1>from that condensed formation, we have their defense killed in

0:14:47.680 --> 0:14:50.240
<v Speaker 1>overall speed and if it's a slippery track, that could

0:14:50.240 --> 0:14:53.400
<v Speaker 1>potentially be beneficial for the Dolphins offense because the receiver

0:14:53.480 --> 0:14:55.480
<v Speaker 1>knows what they're going right, get the ball out hot

0:14:55.480 --> 0:14:57.720
<v Speaker 1>when after the catch, that's the route to victory for

0:14:57.760 --> 0:15:00.040
<v Speaker 1>me here, both at receiver and the running backs. We

0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:02.720
<v Speaker 1>should get tons of touches in this game quickly in space,

0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:04.600
<v Speaker 1>in the short areas of the field, and let's get

0:15:04.600 --> 0:15:06.440
<v Speaker 1>some yack going on this offense. Really for the first

0:15:06.480 --> 0:15:08.640
<v Speaker 1>time all year now, I'm really curious to see how

0:15:08.640 --> 0:15:11.680
<v Speaker 1>they aligned priests now because again, teams have kind of

0:15:11.680 --> 0:15:14.560
<v Speaker 1>shown you a way to slow this offense for the

0:15:14.600 --> 0:15:17.600
<v Speaker 1>first time really since before TWA came back and I

0:15:17.680 --> 0:15:20.800
<v Speaker 1>leaned towards a zone heavy plan for them. I'm wondering

0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:23.520
<v Speaker 1>if they'll change that and what they really do after.

0:15:23.640 --> 0:15:27.480
<v Speaker 1>You know, we saw the reroute have effect last couple

0:15:27.480 --> 0:15:30.000
<v Speaker 1>of weeks, but on the season, they play off sixty

0:15:30.000 --> 0:15:31.640
<v Speaker 1>two percent of the time and they pressed thirty eight

0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:34.320
<v Speaker 1>percent of the time, which is pretty common across the league.

0:15:34.440 --> 0:15:36.200
<v Speaker 1>The biggest thing to me here is how do they

0:15:36.200 --> 0:15:38.560
<v Speaker 1>defend Tyreek killed because they gave him all the attention

0:15:38.560 --> 0:15:40.840
<v Speaker 1>of the world back in Week three and Waddle rose

0:15:40.880 --> 0:15:43.000
<v Speaker 1>to the occasion. But last year in the playoffs with

0:15:43.040 --> 0:15:46.040
<v Speaker 1>the Chiefs, Tyreek caught eleven of twelve targets for a Buck,

0:15:46.080 --> 0:15:48.880
<v Speaker 1>Fitty and a Tuddy. And if the attention does go

0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:50.480
<v Speaker 1>back to ten, then you have to have a big

0:15:50.560 --> 0:15:52.680
<v Speaker 1>day from seventeen and really all the guys like and

0:15:52.720 --> 0:15:54.920
<v Speaker 1>I think you've seen Trent Sherfield's role expans since that

0:15:54.960 --> 0:15:57.240
<v Speaker 1>Week three game. So for him if he can win

0:15:57.440 --> 0:16:00.000
<v Speaker 1>someone on one matchups, especially if he gets matched up

0:16:00.000 --> 0:16:02.800
<v Speaker 1>on a linebacker or a safety, and they'll do that sometimes,

0:16:02.880 --> 0:16:05.160
<v Speaker 1>whether it's sacrificing guys in the rush game or doubling

0:16:05.200 --> 0:16:07.320
<v Speaker 1>or bracketing somebody else with their zones and you know,

0:16:07.440 --> 0:16:10.000
<v Speaker 1>trail technique into this funnel zone. That could be a

0:16:10.040 --> 0:16:12.360
<v Speaker 1>key matchup here to steal some first downs and yards.

0:16:12.840 --> 0:16:14.720
<v Speaker 1>And like we say every week, it starts up front

0:16:14.720 --> 0:16:16.200
<v Speaker 1>in the trenches. Let's go ahead and take our first

0:16:16.200 --> 0:16:17.760
<v Speaker 1>break and come back on the other side and get

0:16:17.840 --> 0:16:21.240
<v Speaker 1>to the Dolphins offensive line versus the Buffalo Bill's defensive line.

0:16:21.440 --> 0:16:25.280
<v Speaker 1>Dolphins and Bills preview Saturday night in Buffalo, December seventeenth.

0:16:25.440 --> 0:16:28.360
<v Speaker 1>That's next Drivetime Podcast, your host Travis Wingfield, brought to

0:16:28.360 --> 0:16:37.080
<v Speaker 1>you by Auto Nation. Back here on a Friday on

0:16:37.120 --> 0:16:41.520
<v Speaker 1>the Drivetime Podcast, previewing Dolphins at Bills from what is

0:16:41.560 --> 0:16:44.400
<v Speaker 1>it called down New I don't even know the stadium

0:16:44.400 --> 0:16:47.200
<v Speaker 1>in Buffalo. H Yeah, let's pick it up back with

0:16:47.240 --> 0:16:50.280
<v Speaker 1>the Dolphins offensive line versus the Bills defensive line. It's

0:16:50.320 --> 0:16:52.560
<v Speaker 1>been a big area of contention in this rivalry in

0:16:52.600 --> 0:16:55.440
<v Speaker 1>recent years and it's impacted you know, our quarterback with

0:16:55.480 --> 0:16:57.960
<v Speaker 1>some injuries last couple of seasons, and how the Dolphins

0:16:58.000 --> 0:17:00.160
<v Speaker 1>are able to you know, rally back this year year

0:17:00.240 --> 0:17:02.200
<v Speaker 1>in that game after he exited for a little bit.

0:17:02.520 --> 0:17:04.600
<v Speaker 1>But uh, this is kind of what they do is

0:17:04.640 --> 0:17:07.240
<v Speaker 1>they put a big hurt on Mike White last week.

0:17:07.280 --> 0:17:09.439
<v Speaker 1>He was came out of that game and took a

0:17:09.440 --> 0:17:11.440
<v Speaker 1>bunch of big shots and his questionable heading into this week.

0:17:11.720 --> 0:17:14.920
<v Speaker 1>And it starts off the edge really with von Miller

0:17:15.000 --> 0:17:17.000
<v Speaker 1>was the guy, but now it's kind of pivoted and

0:17:17.040 --> 0:17:19.399
<v Speaker 1>they have more guys in that arena that can step up.

0:17:19.400 --> 0:17:23.119
<v Speaker 1>Gregory Russo has taken a massive step forward with von Miller.

0:17:23.200 --> 0:17:25.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, he had forty five pressures to lead the team.

0:17:25.520 --> 0:17:27.440
<v Speaker 1>They were tough to stop and they still are with

0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:31.080
<v Speaker 1>without Von Miller. Um. But it's obviously impossible replays a

0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:33.320
<v Speaker 1>talent like that guy, But you don't get it twisted.

0:17:33.560 --> 0:17:35.240
<v Speaker 1>You still have to have your best and it sounds

0:17:35.240 --> 0:17:37.000
<v Speaker 1>like Toron Arms that will play in the game which

0:17:37.080 --> 0:17:39.639
<v Speaker 1>is gonna be a big key for Miami. Pressures and

0:17:39.720 --> 0:17:42.760
<v Speaker 1>run stops among their edge defenders Rousseau thirty one and

0:17:42.800 --> 0:17:45.600
<v Speaker 1>third team. He's got a great get off. You Hurricanes

0:17:45.640 --> 0:17:47.800
<v Speaker 1>fans know all about him. Got a good arsenal of

0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:51.120
<v Speaker 1>pass rush moves. A j Eponessa was a five star

0:17:51.240 --> 0:17:55.200
<v Speaker 1>freaking at Iowa with insane length and flexibility and played

0:17:55.240 --> 0:17:57.760
<v Speaker 1>like every damn snap they played for the Hawkeyes, and

0:17:57.760 --> 0:18:00.200
<v Speaker 1>he just had production on top of production. He's coming

0:18:00.240 --> 0:18:02.760
<v Speaker 1>into his own twenty one pressures, eleven run stops for him.

0:18:03.040 --> 0:18:05.720
<v Speaker 1>Y'all know about Shack Lawson seven team pressures and eleven

0:18:05.760 --> 0:18:09.680
<v Speaker 1>run stops. And then Carlos Boogie Basham length, strength, heavy hands,

0:18:09.720 --> 0:18:13.560
<v Speaker 1>sixteen pass pressures and seven run stops for him this

0:18:13.600 --> 0:18:16.840
<v Speaker 1>season among the interior, I think this is the strength

0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:18.520
<v Speaker 1>of this football team. And I was talking about the

0:18:18.520 --> 0:18:20.280
<v Speaker 1>interior when I wrote it down, really the edge and

0:18:20.400 --> 0:18:23.360
<v Speaker 1>interior in general. When you consider the front seven, maybe

0:18:23.359 --> 0:18:25.680
<v Speaker 1>just the entire front seven, because those linebackers as well,

0:18:25.680 --> 0:18:29.159
<v Speaker 1>with Tremaine Edmunds and Matt Lano. But at Oliver, he's

0:18:29.240 --> 0:18:32.639
<v Speaker 1>a man. He could play anywhere from defensive tackle to

0:18:32.680 --> 0:18:34.359
<v Speaker 1>off ball linebacker. And that was kind of what he

0:18:34.400 --> 0:18:36.080
<v Speaker 1>did back at the at Houston, which made him a

0:18:36.119 --> 0:18:38.000
<v Speaker 1>top you know five potential pick. And he winds up

0:18:38.000 --> 0:18:40.760
<v Speaker 1>going I think it was nine to Buffalo, twenty six pressures,

0:18:40.800 --> 0:18:43.040
<v Speaker 1>fourteen run stops. He is a menace man. He can

0:18:43.040 --> 0:18:45.320
<v Speaker 1>beat you with length, he can kind of, you know,

0:18:45.440 --> 0:18:47.439
<v Speaker 1>pin you and do a dipping rip and swim over

0:18:47.440 --> 0:18:49.399
<v Speaker 1>the top of you and beat you with quickness. And

0:18:49.440 --> 0:18:51.600
<v Speaker 1>he can play off of your pads and redirect. He's

0:18:51.600 --> 0:18:54.200
<v Speaker 1>just got He's got the entire arsenal Man de Kwon

0:18:54.280 --> 0:18:56.159
<v Speaker 1>Jones is one of the most underrated players in football

0:18:56.200 --> 0:18:59.240
<v Speaker 1>twenty six and sixteen for him, great numbers there. Jordan

0:18:59.240 --> 0:19:01.080
<v Speaker 1>Phillips is gonna the game I had in my notes,

0:19:01.119 --> 0:19:03.440
<v Speaker 1>but then I've learned later that he wasn't gonna play.

0:19:03.880 --> 0:19:06.680
<v Speaker 1>Then Tim settled ten pressures and ten run stuffs all

0:19:06.760 --> 0:19:08.679
<v Speaker 1>those guys. Man, you lose Phillips and Miller out of

0:19:08.680 --> 0:19:11.800
<v Speaker 1>those groups. But that's as good as it gets. You know, inside,

0:19:12.119 --> 0:19:14.760
<v Speaker 1>our power and ability to stay on blocks will be tested.

0:19:15.040 --> 0:19:17.840
<v Speaker 1>Oliver is a complete specimen that you have to basically

0:19:17.960 --> 0:19:20.560
<v Speaker 1>account for with probably double teams throughout most of the game.

0:19:20.840 --> 0:19:23.040
<v Speaker 1>That length and get off and counter move and spin move.

0:19:23.040 --> 0:19:25.800
<v Speaker 1>He just he's really good man. He challenges in every way.

0:19:25.800 --> 0:19:28.439
<v Speaker 1>And Connor Williams has been tremendous this year. Now Oliver

0:19:28.520 --> 0:19:30.359
<v Speaker 1>didn't play back in Week three, so to me, this

0:19:30.400 --> 0:19:33.400
<v Speaker 1>is the biggest test of the season for Connor Williams. Inside,

0:19:33.840 --> 0:19:36.080
<v Speaker 1>we know about Phillips. I wrote a whole thing on him,

0:19:36.119 --> 0:19:38.680
<v Speaker 1>but we'll take him out of the notes. Settle is

0:19:38.680 --> 0:19:40.760
<v Speaker 1>a great space eater. And then Da Kwon Jones is

0:19:40.760 --> 0:19:42.639
<v Speaker 1>one of the most underrated players in the NFL. To me,

0:19:42.680 --> 0:19:45.480
<v Speaker 1>he's there. Zach Seeler consistent, tough to move, makes a

0:19:45.480 --> 0:19:48.000
<v Speaker 1>splash player to every single game. And then off the edge,

0:19:48.040 --> 0:19:50.680
<v Speaker 1>they certainly have a type here, heavy handed long pass

0:19:50.760 --> 0:19:53.760
<v Speaker 1>rushers who can collapse the pocket by playing through you

0:19:54.200 --> 0:19:55.639
<v Speaker 1>and kind of playing the run on the way to

0:19:55.680 --> 0:19:57.560
<v Speaker 1>the quarterback. And they asked those guys up front to

0:19:57.600 --> 0:19:59.480
<v Speaker 1>do so much in terms of that. So for Miami,

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:03.840
<v Speaker 1>if they can keep those guys eyes occupied, or maybe

0:20:03.960 --> 0:20:06.560
<v Speaker 1>execute some wham and trap and counter and things that

0:20:06.640 --> 0:20:09.760
<v Speaker 1>get them, you know, taking lateral steps and following the

0:20:09.760 --> 0:20:11.760
<v Speaker 1>outside zone, hit a big run off the outside, get

0:20:11.800 --> 0:20:13.560
<v Speaker 1>some jet suite, maybe your reverse that gets them off

0:20:13.560 --> 0:20:15.359
<v Speaker 1>balance like those are the types of things I think

0:20:15.359 --> 0:20:17.440
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna have to do to get this defensive line,

0:20:17.760 --> 0:20:19.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, not settled into the flow of the game,

0:20:19.760 --> 0:20:21.680
<v Speaker 1>because once they start kind of getting downhill on you,

0:20:21.920 --> 0:20:24.160
<v Speaker 1>they are tough to stop. And if you let them

0:20:24.160 --> 0:20:26.440
<v Speaker 1>do that, it just opens up their coverage to really

0:20:26.440 --> 0:20:29.320
<v Speaker 1>take the football away and be almost impossible to move

0:20:29.359 --> 0:20:31.400
<v Speaker 1>the ball on without turning it over, you know, because

0:20:31.400 --> 0:20:33.159
<v Speaker 1>they don't give up big plays and they keep you

0:20:33.200 --> 0:20:34.760
<v Speaker 1>on the field and eventually you make a mistake and

0:20:34.800 --> 0:20:37.000
<v Speaker 1>they turn you over to a has to be privy

0:20:37.040 --> 0:20:39.840
<v Speaker 1>to this style of football and recognize the escape hatches

0:20:39.840 --> 0:20:42.200
<v Speaker 1>are not always gonna be there for the scrambles probably

0:20:42.240 --> 0:20:43.960
<v Speaker 1>won't be like they were last week against that man

0:20:44.000 --> 0:20:45.960
<v Speaker 1>coverage of the Chargers. We need to have our best

0:20:46.080 --> 0:20:48.240
<v Speaker 1>efforts from everyone in a big game off the edge,

0:20:48.240 --> 0:20:52.000
<v Speaker 1>from to Ron Armstead to handle Rousso hopefully Miami speed

0:20:52.000 --> 0:20:54.239
<v Speaker 1>off the edges can help neutralize these guys a bit,

0:20:54.280 --> 0:20:56.320
<v Speaker 1>which I think the running game is going to be

0:20:56.320 --> 0:20:58.560
<v Speaker 1>critical this week as as well as you know the

0:20:58.560 --> 0:21:02.000
<v Speaker 1>short passing game too. But Connor Williams big test to

0:21:02.080 --> 0:21:04.680
<v Speaker 1>run Armstead, big test, and you gotta have some one

0:21:04.680 --> 0:21:07.240
<v Speaker 1>on one win somewhere, but just being able to consistently

0:21:07.240 --> 0:21:09.199
<v Speaker 1>blow guys off the football and treading space in the

0:21:09.240 --> 0:21:12.000
<v Speaker 1>running game. Other teams have done that, Ken Miami, it's

0:21:12.000 --> 0:21:13.919
<v Speaker 1>a big key this week. We finished up on the

0:21:13.960 --> 0:21:16.760
<v Speaker 1>offense here with the running backs versus linebackers, and sounds

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:18.439
<v Speaker 1>like Matt Mulona is going to play the game. He's

0:21:18.480 --> 0:21:21.200
<v Speaker 1>a legit defensive Player of the Year candidate. He keys

0:21:21.280 --> 0:21:23.720
<v Speaker 1>everything and kind of is your disguise buster, as it were.

0:21:23.760 --> 0:21:26.600
<v Speaker 1>He's a critical piece of that defense, especially against an

0:21:26.600 --> 0:21:29.639
<v Speaker 1>offense that wants to create hesitation through the conflict defenders.

0:21:29.840 --> 0:21:31.760
<v Speaker 1>We saw him jump on for a near pick six

0:21:31.760 --> 0:21:34.080
<v Speaker 1>back in Week three and shut down his fair share

0:21:34.080 --> 0:21:36.560
<v Speaker 1>of run plays. You gotta find Matt Mulona out there.

0:21:36.680 --> 0:21:39.479
<v Speaker 1>Tremaine Edmonds has built like Fred Warren and that he's lengthy,

0:21:39.520 --> 0:21:43.160
<v Speaker 1>he's fast, and he's explosive. That's said, he's not as instinctive.

0:21:43.240 --> 0:21:46.720
<v Speaker 1>So hopefully Miami can give him enough I candy and

0:21:46.800 --> 0:21:49.639
<v Speaker 1>utilize alec ingold Enough, who you know has kind of

0:21:49.680 --> 0:21:51.480
<v Speaker 1>grown his role in this offense and maybe this is

0:21:51.560 --> 0:21:53.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of the game where he puts a stamp on

0:21:53.520 --> 0:21:56.239
<v Speaker 1>the Dolphin's offense, if you can give him, you know,

0:21:56.320 --> 0:21:58.359
<v Speaker 1>something to look at, maybe you can delay the traits

0:21:58.400 --> 0:22:00.560
<v Speaker 1>that he offers a little bit. I'm so curious to

0:22:00.600 --> 0:22:03.240
<v Speaker 1>see not just our plan, but there's like do they

0:22:03.280 --> 0:22:05.359
<v Speaker 1>sell out to defend those deep hook drops. If so,

0:22:05.480 --> 0:22:07.199
<v Speaker 1>can we run the football or do they not? And

0:22:07.240 --> 0:22:08.879
<v Speaker 1>if so, can we get back to just pumping the

0:22:08.880 --> 0:22:12.240
<v Speaker 1>ball in behind those linebackers for chunk after chunk. Either way,

0:22:12.560 --> 0:22:14.440
<v Speaker 1>I think the backs need a big game, both from

0:22:14.440 --> 0:22:17.159
<v Speaker 1>the passing game and a ball carriers. We saw Miami

0:22:17.200 --> 0:22:19.280
<v Speaker 1>get the run game going a little bit of times

0:22:19.359 --> 0:22:20.880
<v Speaker 1>last week and then it just would kind of shut

0:22:20.920 --> 0:22:22.360
<v Speaker 1>down and then all of a sudden second and nine

0:22:22.400 --> 0:22:25.240
<v Speaker 1>second eleven. They need to be more consistent, more committed.

0:22:25.480 --> 0:22:27.959
<v Speaker 1>And we mentioned the minimal blitz is like see that

0:22:28.040 --> 0:22:29.920
<v Speaker 1>and get out into the pattern and make yourself available

0:22:29.920 --> 0:22:32.359
<v Speaker 1>to catch the football or if they come, help to

0:22:32.400 --> 0:22:34.720
<v Speaker 1>buy that extra half second and find the holes left

0:22:34.720 --> 0:22:36.960
<v Speaker 1>and coverage from the blitz. Big, big game, and I

0:22:36.960 --> 0:22:39.520
<v Speaker 1>cannot wait to see either side's plan in this one.

0:22:39.680 --> 0:22:41.280
<v Speaker 1>Let's go ahead and go to the other side with

0:22:41.359 --> 0:22:44.240
<v Speaker 1>Dolphins defense versus the Bill's offense and the quarterback and

0:22:44.320 --> 0:22:47.200
<v Speaker 1>offense versus the safety in the defense. Starting with their personnel.

0:22:47.280 --> 0:22:53.160
<v Speaker 1>A big change from years past, sixty eleven personnel nice

0:22:53.680 --> 0:22:57.240
<v Speaker 1>from twelve personnel just four percent, twenty one personnel is

0:22:57.320 --> 0:23:00.600
<v Speaker 1>fifteen percent, and twenty two personnel's three percent. And the

0:23:00.600 --> 0:23:02.800
<v Speaker 1>reason I say a big change there, it's an interesting

0:23:02.840 --> 0:23:06.160
<v Speaker 1>adaptation from Brian Dabal to Ken Dorsey and the complete

0:23:06.200 --> 0:23:08.879
<v Speaker 1>absence of ten personnel. They haven't ran one four wide

0:23:08.920 --> 0:23:11.400
<v Speaker 1>receivers set this year. That's one back, no tight ends,

0:23:11.760 --> 0:23:14.639
<v Speaker 1>and four receivers. That's a grouping that almost nobody in

0:23:14.680 --> 0:23:17.800
<v Speaker 1>the league eclipses one percent because it's just not many

0:23:17.800 --> 0:23:19.399
<v Speaker 1>teams have four receivers that can run out there all

0:23:19.440 --> 0:23:21.280
<v Speaker 1>the time. But the last couple of years it was

0:23:21.320 --> 0:23:24.520
<v Speaker 1>always that way for all but two teams, Cliff Kingsbury's

0:23:24.520 --> 0:23:28.800
<v Speaker 1>Cardinals and the Buffalo Bills. But they're incorporating a fullback

0:23:28.880 --> 0:23:30.879
<v Speaker 1>and kind of going the complete opposite direction now and

0:23:30.960 --> 0:23:33.040
<v Speaker 1>Dawson Knox is a big part of that too. That's

0:23:33.080 --> 0:23:34.679
<v Speaker 1>kind of the counter to how teams have played the

0:23:34.680 --> 0:23:36.840
<v Speaker 1>Bills this season and a big part of that, and

0:23:36.880 --> 0:23:39.640
<v Speaker 1>it helps them get digs into one on one situations

0:23:39.760 --> 0:23:41.040
<v Speaker 1>or you can get a double on him. Then you

0:23:41.119 --> 0:23:44.800
<v Speaker 1>get mismatches on explosive running backs or Dawson Knox. It's

0:23:44.800 --> 0:23:47.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot to deal with. Josh Allen's time to throw

0:23:47.400 --> 0:23:49.840
<v Speaker 1>his two point eight two seconds, he holds the ball

0:23:50.119 --> 0:23:52.320
<v Speaker 1>and looks to hunt for big play, So tackling him

0:23:52.400 --> 0:23:55.000
<v Speaker 1>is always a key. Nobody really does it that well.

0:23:55.160 --> 0:23:57.520
<v Speaker 1>He has forty seven scrambles and that's where most the

0:23:57.520 --> 0:24:00.439
<v Speaker 1>big plays in this offense comes from scrambles from Shallon

0:24:00.560 --> 0:24:04.119
<v Speaker 1>or broken pockets where he throws deep. Now, how you

0:24:04.119 --> 0:24:06.280
<v Speaker 1>want to defend him, Frankly, I have no idea, and

0:24:06.320 --> 0:24:09.560
<v Speaker 1>I'll talk about that throughout this podcast. When he's been

0:24:09.600 --> 0:24:12.280
<v Speaker 1>blitz this year, it's thirty percent of his dropbacks, he's

0:24:12.320 --> 0:24:15.040
<v Speaker 1>fifty seven percent with a six point one y p

0:24:15.160 --> 0:24:18.880
<v Speaker 1>A and he has seven touchdowns and three picks. When

0:24:18.880 --> 0:24:21.680
<v Speaker 1>he's not blitzed, that's sevent of the dropbacks, he's sixty

0:24:21.720 --> 0:24:24.919
<v Speaker 1>seven percent completion, eight point two yards per tenth, nineteen

0:24:24.960 --> 0:24:28.520
<v Speaker 1>touchdowns and eight picks. He's not ineffective against pressure whatsoever.

0:24:28.600 --> 0:24:31.720
<v Speaker 1>He's eight point four yards per pass with nine touchdowns

0:24:31.720 --> 0:24:35.240
<v Speaker 1>and three picks, but just fifty completion. But that's always

0:24:35.280 --> 0:24:37.439
<v Speaker 1>been Josh Allen you can win on first and second

0:24:37.440 --> 0:24:39.680
<v Speaker 1>down and he can miss both of those throws even

0:24:39.720 --> 0:24:41.639
<v Speaker 1>but then on third down he'll absorb, you know, a

0:24:41.680 --> 0:24:44.480
<v Speaker 1>squared up shot from your linebacker, stay on his feet,

0:24:44.520 --> 0:24:47.199
<v Speaker 1>break the pocket, have a guy hanging off his shoulder pads,

0:24:47.359 --> 0:24:49.719
<v Speaker 1>and rip a forty yard dot to Stefon digs down

0:24:49.800 --> 0:24:52.680
<v Speaker 1>the field right on his face mask. It's insane. He's

0:24:52.720 --> 0:24:55.200
<v Speaker 1>the best playmaker the sport has. And that's the book

0:24:55.240 --> 0:24:57.280
<v Speaker 1>from his time at Wyoming right, he was always fun

0:24:57.320 --> 0:24:59.920
<v Speaker 1>to watch just carry that offense despite drops and breakdown

0:25:00.000 --> 0:25:02.760
<v Speaker 1>and protection, no run game, and they still found themselves

0:25:02.800 --> 0:25:05.760
<v Speaker 1>like competing with much better Mountain West teams and he's

0:25:05.840 --> 0:25:09.280
<v Speaker 1>just willing to kind of willing his way to big

0:25:09.280 --> 0:25:10.680
<v Speaker 1>place to get points on the board. He's done it

0:25:10.680 --> 0:25:13.200
<v Speaker 1>as a pro at times two and when he dials

0:25:13.240 --> 0:25:15.199
<v Speaker 1>it in, this offense is unstoppable. Now, he's had his

0:25:15.400 --> 0:25:18.000
<v Speaker 1>slumps this year as well, even though he's taken his

0:25:18.040 --> 0:25:21.119
<v Speaker 1>game to a different level in terms of taking what's

0:25:21.160 --> 0:25:24.000
<v Speaker 1>there and playing the position. He's been more patient this

0:25:24.080 --> 0:25:26.000
<v Speaker 1>year than a year's pass and reflected by a career

0:25:26.040 --> 0:25:28.600
<v Speaker 1>low average depth of target. It's still nine point oh,

0:25:28.640 --> 0:25:31.359
<v Speaker 1>which is super high, but he literally was eleven point

0:25:31.400 --> 0:25:34.040
<v Speaker 1>five as a rookie, ten point three and twenty nineteen

0:25:34.040 --> 0:25:36.520
<v Speaker 1>and always in the high nine since then. His deep

0:25:36.520 --> 0:25:38.639
<v Speaker 1>percentage throws twelve point eight percent of the throws go

0:25:38.680 --> 0:25:41.280
<v Speaker 1>twenty plus yards down the field. They average fifteen point

0:25:41.359 --> 0:25:44.119
<v Speaker 1>nine yards per pop with eight touchdowns and three picks. Remember,

0:25:44.160 --> 0:25:46.720
<v Speaker 1>the last two teams we play never hit the deep

0:25:46.720 --> 0:25:49.240
<v Speaker 1>shot per our preview, they just didn't do it. They

0:25:49.240 --> 0:25:51.199
<v Speaker 1>both threw under ten percent of their balls deep and

0:25:51.440 --> 0:25:53.480
<v Speaker 1>y p A s under ten yards per pass. But

0:25:53.560 --> 0:25:55.159
<v Speaker 1>this is a team that will force you to defend

0:25:55.200 --> 0:25:58.440
<v Speaker 1>every single blade of artificial turf on Saturday Now, having

0:25:58.440 --> 0:26:00.439
<v Speaker 1>watched a ton of Bills games all ease, but this

0:26:00.520 --> 0:26:03.640
<v Speaker 1>year in particular, there's been bad weather. They're seemingly every

0:26:03.680 --> 0:26:05.639
<v Speaker 1>home game for the last month, and that's how it

0:26:05.680 --> 0:26:08.159
<v Speaker 1>should be Saturday night, and we've seen it impact Allen's

0:26:08.160 --> 0:26:10.600
<v Speaker 1>accuracy at times. Like we said in the scouting report,

0:26:10.600 --> 0:26:13.439
<v Speaker 1>there are throws he will miss. Every quarterback does, but

0:26:13.520 --> 0:26:16.200
<v Speaker 1>he's over the league average in that regard. He's fourth

0:26:16.240 --> 0:26:19.240
<v Speaker 1>on PF and off target throws. But again, he's like

0:26:19.280 --> 0:26:22.080
<v Speaker 1>Steph Curry and just needs one quarter to drop thirty

0:26:22.080 --> 0:26:25.199
<v Speaker 1>points on you. My key here is this, nobody has

0:26:25.240 --> 0:26:27.840
<v Speaker 1>thrown more picks or has more turnover worthy throws than

0:26:27.920 --> 0:26:31.240
<v Speaker 1>Josh Allen. And again it's most of the time doesn't

0:26:31.240 --> 0:26:33.359
<v Speaker 1>matter because they can make so much with the rest

0:26:33.400 --> 0:26:35.320
<v Speaker 1>of the plays and drives they have in a given game.

0:26:35.560 --> 0:26:38.720
<v Speaker 1>But we have seen them seemingly each week going back.

0:26:39.960 --> 0:26:42.879
<v Speaker 1>You must intercept the ball when you get the chance.

0:26:43.200 --> 0:26:46.880
<v Speaker 1>Good offenses plus more opportunities equals disaster, right, simple formula

0:26:46.920 --> 0:26:49.360
<v Speaker 1>we discussed here on the podcast talking about a good

0:26:49.359 --> 0:26:51.720
<v Speaker 1>team in baseball can't give him four outs. That Week

0:26:51.760 --> 0:26:54.919
<v Speaker 1>three game did not feature an interception, but that's not

0:26:55.040 --> 0:26:56.840
<v Speaker 1>a script. I think you can count on with those

0:26:56.880 --> 0:26:59.480
<v Speaker 1>two late stops, a clock that expires, a spiked fourth

0:26:59.520 --> 0:27:02.720
<v Speaker 1>down throwing the end zone. Rather, Jalen Phillips comes up

0:27:02.760 --> 0:27:05.600
<v Speaker 1>with that tipped interception or Javon Holland when he jumps

0:27:05.600 --> 0:27:07.359
<v Speaker 1>that route to the pylon, he makes the play and

0:27:07.400 --> 0:27:09.760
<v Speaker 1>finishes the pick. We have to make those plays in

0:27:09.760 --> 0:27:11.960
<v Speaker 1>this game to win this game. The Dolphins need to

0:27:12.000 --> 0:27:14.600
<v Speaker 1>find some positives in the margins. And I'm not counting

0:27:14.600 --> 0:27:16.720
<v Speaker 1>on special teams for that because we lose so many

0:27:16.760 --> 0:27:19.400
<v Speaker 1>yards and special teams every single week, flipping the field

0:27:19.440 --> 0:27:22.199
<v Speaker 1>with the key takeaway, this is the way. On the

0:27:22.240 --> 0:27:25.120
<v Speaker 1>topic of Javon Holland, he's often a catalyst. He does

0:27:25.160 --> 0:27:28.160
<v Speaker 1>a great job of limiting opposing teams deep passing, inserts

0:27:28.200 --> 0:27:29.920
<v Speaker 1>off the edge as a rusher and against the run.

0:27:30.160 --> 0:27:32.840
<v Speaker 1>And I think this game is his biggest test, well

0:27:32.920 --> 0:27:35.679
<v Speaker 1>since Week three, when you played one of the best

0:27:36.280 --> 0:27:38.640
<v Speaker 1>and most impressive games by any player on this team

0:27:38.680 --> 0:27:41.560
<v Speaker 1>all season. The ability of the Bills to get anything

0:27:41.640 --> 0:27:44.880
<v Speaker 1>from any personnel, deep shots from twenty two, run game

0:27:44.920 --> 0:27:48.000
<v Speaker 1>from ten, and everything in between. That's the modern style

0:27:48.080 --> 0:27:50.320
<v Speaker 1>offense that Javan has built their fend. It's a fun

0:27:50.400 --> 0:27:53.680
<v Speaker 1>test for the snowman in frigid weathers. That part has

0:27:53.680 --> 0:27:55.879
<v Speaker 1>me perplexed and the part I'll leave to coach Boyer.

0:27:55.920 --> 0:27:57.680
<v Speaker 1>And I want to add a parenthetical here that Josh

0:27:57.720 --> 0:28:00.000
<v Speaker 1>Bowyer solutions are the ones that matter in my podcast

0:28:00.040 --> 0:28:02.600
<v Speaker 1>US is just one opinion and for fun discussions from

0:28:02.640 --> 0:28:04.960
<v Speaker 1>some goofball here on the podcast. But the part that

0:28:05.000 --> 0:28:08.200
<v Speaker 1>I really just throw my hands up with no idea.

0:28:08.600 --> 0:28:11.200
<v Speaker 1>So like in the current NFL, blitzing top of the

0:28:11.240 --> 0:28:14.359
<v Speaker 1>line quarterbacks is instant death right. They'll find it, and

0:28:14.359 --> 0:28:16.560
<v Speaker 1>they'll carve you up before you can even get pressured

0:28:16.560 --> 0:28:18.720
<v Speaker 1>by finding the vacancy that you brought with that zone

0:28:18.800 --> 0:28:21.400
<v Speaker 1>with that blitz. And we saw that back in week

0:28:21.480 --> 0:28:24.160
<v Speaker 1>three when now granted it was sixty three pass attempts

0:28:24.200 --> 0:28:27.240
<v Speaker 1>and seventy five dropbacks in total, so right in line

0:28:27.240 --> 0:28:30.320
<v Speaker 1>with our thirty percent blitz, right, but it was seventeen

0:28:30.359 --> 0:28:32.639
<v Speaker 1>of twenty two for two oh two and two touchdowns

0:28:32.680 --> 0:28:35.960
<v Speaker 1>against the blitz. That's that's really, really good. I'm gotta

0:28:35.960 --> 0:28:37.879
<v Speaker 1>tell you that pretty par for the course what you

0:28:37.920 --> 0:28:39.920
<v Speaker 1>get this quarterback, right, And I'm not saying you shouldn't

0:28:39.960 --> 0:28:41.840
<v Speaker 1>have done that, because you can't just give him the

0:28:41.880 --> 0:28:43.960
<v Speaker 1>same look over and over. But listen to this. Since

0:28:44.000 --> 0:28:46.960
<v Speaker 1>week nine verse the blitz, he's thirty of fifty two.

0:28:47.120 --> 0:28:50.360
<v Speaker 1>That's fifty percent with five yards per passing, no touchdowns.

0:28:50.360 --> 0:28:53.120
<v Speaker 1>That's not productive at all, And given the potential elements,

0:28:53.400 --> 0:28:55.320
<v Speaker 1>speeding up the clock might be a good way to

0:28:55.360 --> 0:28:58.200
<v Speaker 1>manufacture more of those misses we talked about earlier. I

0:28:58.240 --> 0:28:59.600
<v Speaker 1>don't know something to think about, and I won't be

0:28:59.680 --> 0:29:02.680
<v Speaker 1>once the format pressure package as the primary rush all

0:29:02.680 --> 0:29:06.040
<v Speaker 1>season long. I laugh while saying I really don't know, man,

0:29:06.080 --> 0:29:08.440
<v Speaker 1>because it's like you put the pros and cons up there,

0:29:08.840 --> 0:29:10.960
<v Speaker 1>and there are plenty of both against this team. It's

0:29:10.960 --> 0:29:13.080
<v Speaker 1>a tough, tough decisions. While you pay the coaches the

0:29:13.120 --> 0:29:15.280
<v Speaker 1>big books to come up with plans against the guy

0:29:15.360 --> 0:29:17.360
<v Speaker 1>like this, Let's go ahead and take that last break

0:29:17.360 --> 0:29:19.440
<v Speaker 1>and come back on the other side and talk about

0:29:19.440 --> 0:29:22.120
<v Speaker 1>the rest of the Dolphins defense versus the Bill's offense.

0:29:22.160 --> 0:29:25.600
<v Speaker 1>That's next Drivetime Podcast, your host, Travis Wingfield, brought to

0:29:25.600 --> 0:29:33.560
<v Speaker 1>you by Auto Nation. It's a Friday here a preview

0:29:33.720 --> 0:29:36.320
<v Speaker 1>edition of the Drivetime Podcast, and we pick it back

0:29:36.400 --> 0:29:39.040
<v Speaker 1>up with the Bills receivers and tight ends versus the

0:29:39.080 --> 0:29:43.080
<v Speaker 1>corners of Miami. And I want to touch on something here,

0:29:43.120 --> 0:29:46.080
<v Speaker 1>a bit of a breaking point. Personally, I don't think

0:29:46.080 --> 0:29:49.920
<v Speaker 1>it's reparable reparable this season. I know there are a

0:29:49.960 --> 0:29:52.280
<v Speaker 1>few accounts out there telling you that pressures and are

0:29:52.320 --> 0:29:54.040
<v Speaker 1>meaningless stat and I'm here to tell you they should

0:29:54.040 --> 0:29:56.840
<v Speaker 1>pay no mind to that, because the Dolphins pass rush

0:29:56.880 --> 0:29:58.600
<v Speaker 1>has been really, really good this year. It's third in

0:29:58.640 --> 0:30:01.920
<v Speaker 1>the NFL and past rush win rate per ESPN. There's

0:30:01.960 --> 0:30:04.760
<v Speaker 1>also a cool graph that's put together. It's a pff

0:30:04.840 --> 0:30:08.600
<v Speaker 1>plot of rushers on an X access of expected average

0:30:08.680 --> 0:30:11.560
<v Speaker 1>raw pass rush grade which is difficulty of assignment and

0:30:11.680 --> 0:30:15.680
<v Speaker 1>grade over expectation on the Y access quality of pass rushing,

0:30:15.880 --> 0:30:18.080
<v Speaker 1>and Phillips and Ingram are four and five in the

0:30:18.160 --> 0:30:21.200
<v Speaker 1>grade over expectation among edge rushers, and Chubb is on

0:30:21.240 --> 0:30:23.520
<v Speaker 1>the positive side in the top twenty player in that regard.

0:30:23.760 --> 0:30:25.440
<v Speaker 1>He's cooled off a bit, but he's still up in

0:30:25.440 --> 0:30:27.680
<v Speaker 1>that area. All of this is to say the pass

0:30:27.760 --> 0:30:30.560
<v Speaker 1>rush is really freaking good man, especially when you factor

0:30:30.600 --> 0:30:33.120
<v Speaker 1>in Christian Wilkins checking in a fifteenth among the interior

0:30:33.160 --> 0:30:35.800
<v Speaker 1>rush list. But the truth is that he's getting better

0:30:35.840 --> 0:30:37.960
<v Speaker 1>and better. Stut number just keeps increasing the last couple

0:30:38.000 --> 0:30:40.840
<v Speaker 1>of weeks. But because the back end hasn't been holding up,

0:30:41.080 --> 0:30:43.560
<v Speaker 1>you're not seeing the impact of those pass rush wins,

0:30:43.720 --> 0:30:45.560
<v Speaker 1>and it's going to be incumbent on the staff to

0:30:45.600 --> 0:30:48.160
<v Speaker 1>find a way to mask that fact. I mean, Byron

0:30:48.240 --> 0:30:51.560
<v Speaker 1>Jones was always a massive loss. Then Nick need Hum Well,

0:30:51.640 --> 0:30:53.640
<v Speaker 1>luckily we've got catered there to kind of fill that

0:30:53.760 --> 0:30:56.040
<v Speaker 1>role a little bit. But Shrill Williams was the top

0:30:56.040 --> 0:30:58.760
<v Speaker 1>backup for Byron Jones in my opinion, and then to

0:30:58.840 --> 0:31:01.720
<v Speaker 1>lose Brandon Jones who create even more flexibility, and now

0:31:01.880 --> 0:31:03.480
<v Speaker 1>Eric row in this game, who's gonna be out for

0:31:03.480 --> 0:31:05.840
<v Speaker 1>the game. It's just the type of attrition you cannot

0:31:05.880 --> 0:31:08.160
<v Speaker 1>expect to survive. You have to scheme around it. And

0:31:08.200 --> 0:31:11.000
<v Speaker 1>the biggest impact we've seen is a dominant pass rush

0:31:11.040 --> 0:31:13.480
<v Speaker 1>that gets not a lot of payoff. This is probably

0:31:13.480 --> 0:31:15.600
<v Speaker 1>the toughest matchup against this Bill's team because they are

0:31:15.640 --> 0:31:17.920
<v Speaker 1>top heavy, they are deep, and they are diverse, and

0:31:17.920 --> 0:31:20.680
<v Speaker 1>they match the play style of their quarterback. It's super

0:31:20.720 --> 0:31:23.720
<v Speaker 1>intriguing because Alan holds the ball in big play hunts

0:31:23.720 --> 0:31:26.080
<v Speaker 1>more than any quarterback in the league. But Miami has

0:31:26.080 --> 0:31:28.160
<v Speaker 1>been getting home with pressure among the best teams in

0:31:28.200 --> 0:31:30.800
<v Speaker 1>the league. So does Alan follow Herbert's plan from last

0:31:30.800 --> 0:31:33.320
<v Speaker 1>week and take those quick hitters and just eat up

0:31:33.320 --> 0:31:35.800
<v Speaker 1>the short completions with the occasional deep shot built in,

0:31:36.200 --> 0:31:38.440
<v Speaker 1>or does he play true to his style and bank

0:31:38.520 --> 0:31:40.560
<v Speaker 1>on making rushers miss like he is wont to do.

0:31:41.000 --> 0:31:42.840
<v Speaker 1>Stefon Diggs is one of the best receivers in the

0:31:42.960 --> 0:31:45.479
<v Speaker 1>entire National Football League. There aren't many corners who can

0:31:45.520 --> 0:31:48.120
<v Speaker 1>match up one on one and remove him from the game.

0:31:48.400 --> 0:31:51.160
<v Speaker 1>Exhabing Howard probably came the closest earlier this season because

0:31:51.200 --> 0:31:54.200
<v Speaker 1>Diggs had seven for seventy four in that game. But again,

0:31:54.560 --> 0:31:56.760
<v Speaker 1>if you consider just ten point six yards per catch

0:31:56.800 --> 0:31:59.840
<v Speaker 1>on eleven targets, that's less than seven yards per target,

0:31:59.840 --> 0:32:02.160
<v Speaker 1>a great number against the guy who averages over ten

0:32:02.240 --> 0:32:04.760
<v Speaker 1>this season. And there was the one long play to

0:32:04.760 --> 0:32:06.560
<v Speaker 1>open the game was twenty eight yards, so after that

0:32:06.640 --> 0:32:10.240
<v Speaker 1>just six forty six fantastic. Now, he did get routes

0:32:10.280 --> 0:32:14.000
<v Speaker 1>on six players, but only X saw more than one target.

0:32:14.040 --> 0:32:16.120
<v Speaker 1>They were three for five for forty seven yards throwing

0:32:16.120 --> 0:32:17.600
<v Speaker 1>the ball against X, and one of those was that

0:32:17.640 --> 0:32:19.760
<v Speaker 1>spike at the end of the half. To that feels

0:32:19.800 --> 0:32:21.600
<v Speaker 1>like the play here to me in a game that

0:32:22.520 --> 0:32:24.640
<v Speaker 1>you need your best to beat their best. But again,

0:32:24.680 --> 0:32:26.720
<v Speaker 1>matchups like this are never one pcent of the game.

0:32:26.800 --> 0:32:29.480
<v Speaker 1>So we saw Xavian Howard Chattle Mike Williams for a

0:32:29.680 --> 0:32:31.840
<v Speaker 1>two percent of the game last week, and given all

0:32:31.880 --> 0:32:34.080
<v Speaker 1>the injuries at corner, that might just be the best

0:32:34.080 --> 0:32:36.080
<v Speaker 1>bet there. But Buffalo is deep, man, So you need

0:32:36.080 --> 0:32:39.240
<v Speaker 1>an answer for Gabe Davis, who offers size, tremendous field

0:32:39.240 --> 0:32:41.680
<v Speaker 1>and an excellent route runner in terms of setting guys

0:32:41.720 --> 0:32:44.160
<v Speaker 1>up with double moves and precise movement to get the

0:32:44.160 --> 0:32:46.480
<v Speaker 1>action on that first move and then spring to the

0:32:46.520 --> 0:32:49.160
<v Speaker 1>second level. And when Alan breaks the pocket, he loves

0:32:49.200 --> 0:32:52.360
<v Speaker 1>to find both Digs and Davis getting vertical. So for him,

0:32:52.480 --> 0:32:54.320
<v Speaker 1>I think Cater is the one that has brought the

0:32:54.320 --> 0:32:57.440
<v Speaker 1>most physicality all year long. Those seem like the right

0:32:57.520 --> 0:33:00.760
<v Speaker 1>man matchups, but again it varies because there's also plenty

0:33:00.800 --> 0:33:03.040
<v Speaker 1>of zone match and we'll see about all that. But

0:33:03.160 --> 0:33:05.680
<v Speaker 1>plastering is the key this week. When he breaks the pocket,

0:33:05.760 --> 0:33:07.800
<v Speaker 1>you have to plaster and get on your guy. Isaiah

0:33:07.840 --> 0:33:09.800
<v Speaker 1>mackenzie does a lot of the creative stuff with jet

0:33:09.840 --> 0:33:12.479
<v Speaker 1>sweeps and screens and catching the football and running on

0:33:12.560 --> 0:33:15.680
<v Speaker 1>mesh routes and concepts. He's kind of a glue piece

0:33:15.720 --> 0:33:18.480
<v Speaker 1>and that nobody does what he can. The Chargers caught

0:33:18.520 --> 0:33:21.320
<v Speaker 1>us on some rubs with pre stnap motion against our

0:33:21.360 --> 0:33:23.280
<v Speaker 1>man look, so you can almost bank on the Bills

0:33:23.280 --> 0:33:26.160
<v Speaker 1>doing similar stuff with McKenzie here. Then there's Dawson Knox

0:33:26.200 --> 0:33:28.040
<v Speaker 1>and it might be you know it's not gonna be

0:33:28.160 --> 0:33:29.640
<v Speaker 1>Eric roheos a tied any race for this week and

0:33:29.680 --> 0:33:31.800
<v Speaker 1>low Elijah Campbell, So that's a matchup to really look

0:33:31.840 --> 0:33:34.560
<v Speaker 1>at Clayton Federalum or I don't know how you handle

0:33:34.680 --> 0:33:37.280
<v Speaker 1>with more guys than that, but uh, that's a big

0:33:37.320 --> 0:33:39.560
<v Speaker 1>matchup there. He's a productive, versatile tight end. I was

0:33:39.600 --> 0:33:42.200
<v Speaker 1>hoping we'd have Eric row for we do not. It's

0:33:42.200 --> 0:33:44.120
<v Speaker 1>a tall order. You're gonna have to You're gonna give

0:33:44.160 --> 0:33:46.680
<v Speaker 1>up plays these guys. But I cannot emphasize enough the

0:33:46.720 --> 0:33:49.239
<v Speaker 1>importance of capitalizing on plays that are there for you.

0:33:49.280 --> 0:33:52.680
<v Speaker 1>And the recent Bills losses, that's been the difference really.

0:33:52.680 --> 0:33:54.560
<v Speaker 1>The Browns alliones had them on the ropes and back

0:33:54.600 --> 0:33:56.800
<v Speaker 1>to back games and some missed opportunities. To me, where

0:33:56.840 --> 0:33:58.719
<v Speaker 1>the difference in those games. But if you look at

0:33:58.720 --> 0:34:01.120
<v Speaker 1>the Vikings and the Jets games or this year, two

0:34:01.120 --> 0:34:03.000
<v Speaker 1>picks in both of those games and two losses for

0:34:03.040 --> 0:34:06.440
<v Speaker 1>the Bills, So big matchup out their offensive line versus

0:34:06.480 --> 0:34:09.960
<v Speaker 1>defensive line. Spoiler. One of the keys to the game

0:34:10.280 --> 0:34:13.880
<v Speaker 1>will be finishing the potential splash players You create create negatives,

0:34:13.880 --> 0:34:16.240
<v Speaker 1>and that always starts up front, doesn't it. The Dolphins

0:34:16.280 --> 0:34:18.040
<v Speaker 1>passed for us, just really getting after it, but the

0:34:18.080 --> 0:34:20.360
<v Speaker 1>finishing element hasn't been there. It's hard to do that

0:34:20.400 --> 0:34:21.960
<v Speaker 1>when the balls out in two and a half seconds.

0:34:22.200 --> 0:34:24.839
<v Speaker 1>Quarterbacks are mitigating that by getting to the open guy early.

0:34:24.920 --> 0:34:28.200
<v Speaker 1>But they've been relentless all year. Phillips has been tremendous,

0:34:28.200 --> 0:34:31.160
<v Speaker 1>Wilkins has been so good, and my goodness, has he

0:34:31.200 --> 0:34:33.120
<v Speaker 1>turned down the last couple of weeks a different level

0:34:33.160 --> 0:34:35.520
<v Speaker 1>of play we haven't seen from him before. Ingram has

0:34:35.560 --> 0:34:37.759
<v Speaker 1>been as efficient as anybody, and Chubb was bubbling up

0:34:37.760 --> 0:34:39.360
<v Speaker 1>towards a big game. You can kind of sense it

0:34:39.360 --> 0:34:42.160
<v Speaker 1>with his ability to get by his man the arrival point.

0:34:42.160 --> 0:34:44.120
<v Speaker 1>The quarterback just is not always married up on those

0:34:44.160 --> 0:34:47.440
<v Speaker 1>particular plays, like he'll jump inside the quarterbacks booting against him.

0:34:47.480 --> 0:34:50.440
<v Speaker 1>It's just hasn't worked out quite yet. They had Alan

0:34:50.520 --> 0:34:52.520
<v Speaker 1>under constant darrest in that Week three game, and it

0:34:52.640 --> 0:34:55.080
<v Speaker 1>just forced the ball out all game long. And at

0:34:55.080 --> 0:34:56.640
<v Speaker 1>the end of it, it was too much for the

0:34:56.680 --> 0:34:59.239
<v Speaker 1>Bills to muster up more than seventeen offensive points. I mean,

0:34:59.280 --> 0:35:01.440
<v Speaker 1>they scored nineteen total, But man, if you do that

0:35:01.480 --> 0:35:03.480
<v Speaker 1>in this game, you have to get out of there

0:35:03.480 --> 0:35:05.800
<v Speaker 1>with a win like you have to. And their offensive

0:35:05.800 --> 0:35:08.680
<v Speaker 1>line pressure allowed and pass blocking snaps, it's pretty good

0:35:08.719 --> 0:35:11.279
<v Speaker 1>across the board. Dawkins twenty four on five oh two,

0:35:11.600 --> 0:35:14.680
<v Speaker 1>staffled on five seventy four. That's kind of the spot

0:35:14.920 --> 0:35:18.719
<v Speaker 1>to look at there on the offensive line. Mitch Morris six.

0:35:18.840 --> 0:35:20.799
<v Speaker 1>Ryan Bates is out for this game. We'll see who

0:35:20.800 --> 0:35:23.800
<v Speaker 1>they replace him with. Probably David Kessonberry. He's been twelve

0:35:23.880 --> 0:35:25.840
<v Speaker 1>on just two hundreds. That's a kind of area to

0:35:25.880 --> 0:35:28.120
<v Speaker 1>look out as well. And then Spencer Brown thirty five.

0:35:30.040 --> 0:35:32.160
<v Speaker 1>The offensive line has been their achilles heel this year.

0:35:32.200 --> 0:35:35.160
<v Speaker 1>It's we we have to beat them consistently with the

0:35:35.200 --> 0:35:37.719
<v Speaker 1>injuries they've had, and that right side of the offensive line.

0:35:38.040 --> 0:35:40.920
<v Speaker 1>Force Alan to move, hit him, turn him over, and

0:35:40.960 --> 0:35:43.720
<v Speaker 1>just keep him uncomfortable. The Jets did it in both games.

0:35:43.800 --> 0:35:45.840
<v Speaker 1>We have to do it here. Dawkins is one of

0:35:45.880 --> 0:35:48.360
<v Speaker 1>the best left tackles in football. He missed one game

0:35:48.400 --> 0:35:50.680
<v Speaker 1>and some change and it was a noticeable difference without

0:35:50.719 --> 0:35:52.719
<v Speaker 1>him on the field. Any wins you get against him

0:35:52.760 --> 0:35:54.640
<v Speaker 1>or a bonus, but for a guy like Bradley Chub

0:35:54.680 --> 0:35:56.720
<v Speaker 1>that's why you go out and get him big matchup

0:35:56.760 --> 0:35:59.319
<v Speaker 1>this week. On the other side, Phillips has been so

0:35:59.360 --> 0:36:02.239
<v Speaker 1>good and getting better all year long. Point blank is this.

0:36:02.280 --> 0:36:04.360
<v Speaker 1>We need him to kick Spencer Brown's but you have to.

0:36:04.640 --> 0:36:06.719
<v Speaker 1>He gave up seven pressures against the Jets last week.

0:36:06.760 --> 0:36:09.160
<v Speaker 1>Six in the game versus the Lions earlier and as

0:36:09.160 --> 0:36:11.160
<v Speaker 1>well as in the game because the Vikings. We need

0:36:11.200 --> 0:36:13.560
<v Speaker 1>that a seven pressure day, a two sack day from Phillips,

0:36:13.600 --> 0:36:15.839
<v Speaker 1>maybe force a fumble. I think it's a big game

0:36:15.880 --> 0:36:17.919
<v Speaker 1>for him. He made some plays back in that Week

0:36:17.960 --> 0:36:20.239
<v Speaker 1>three game, but I think he's improved a lot since them.

0:36:20.480 --> 0:36:22.600
<v Speaker 1>So finishing with those sacks that near I n t

0:36:22.840 --> 0:36:24.759
<v Speaker 1>he had make those plays and we could come out

0:36:24.760 --> 0:36:27.560
<v Speaker 1>of this one victorious, and then Wilkins just winning regardless

0:36:27.560 --> 0:36:29.560
<v Speaker 1>of who's across from him right now, Hopefully his pass

0:36:29.640 --> 0:36:32.480
<v Speaker 1>rush wins pair with someone like JP or Melvin or

0:36:32.560 --> 0:36:35.240
<v Speaker 1>Chubb or Gink getting home off the edge because Alan's

0:36:35.280 --> 0:36:37.440
<v Speaker 1>so damn good at making one man miss. If the

0:36:37.440 --> 0:36:39.880
<v Speaker 1>Dolphins are going to slow the Bills, it'll be because

0:36:39.880 --> 0:36:43.080
<v Speaker 1>to me, Phillips and Wilkins gave Brown and Keston Burry

0:36:43.120 --> 0:36:45.680
<v Speaker 1>the replacement right guard all they could handle all game long.

0:36:46.160 --> 0:36:49.120
<v Speaker 1>Our last position group running backs and linebackers, a position

0:36:49.160 --> 0:36:52.239
<v Speaker 1>where the Bills are extremely multiple. James Cook is explosive

0:36:52.239 --> 0:36:55.399
<v Speaker 1>as all get out, and Devin's singletary is just such

0:36:55.440 --> 0:36:58.200
<v Speaker 1>a reliable option. They're both right around three yards average

0:36:58.239 --> 0:37:01.839
<v Speaker 1>after initial contact. Twenty five miss tackles force for Singletary

0:37:01.880 --> 0:37:04.719
<v Speaker 1>fifteen for Cook. They're both dynamic in the passing game

0:37:04.760 --> 0:37:07.720
<v Speaker 1>and good outlets when Alan gets that multiple rusher pressure

0:37:07.760 --> 0:37:09.160
<v Speaker 1>that he looks at and can flip the ball up

0:37:09.239 --> 0:37:11.440
<v Speaker 1>to those guys when they play patient get the ball

0:37:11.520 --> 0:37:12.960
<v Speaker 1>to the backs in the passing game and run the

0:37:12.960 --> 0:37:15.680
<v Speaker 1>ball effectively. Man, they are tough to stop and they

0:37:15.680 --> 0:37:17.560
<v Speaker 1>shorten the game by doing so, so it's really tough

0:37:17.560 --> 0:37:19.080
<v Speaker 1>to beat them when they can do that. I've been

0:37:19.120 --> 0:37:22.200
<v Speaker 1>so impressed by Jerome Baker playing both that stacked linebacker

0:37:22.239 --> 0:37:24.680
<v Speaker 1>position off the ball, but also coming down off the

0:37:24.760 --> 0:37:26.520
<v Speaker 1>edge and making an impact there in the running game

0:37:26.760 --> 0:37:29.480
<v Speaker 1>to meet his speed out wide with Duke inside as

0:37:29.480 --> 0:37:32.160
<v Speaker 1>a must against this offense and Ken Dorris, He's offense

0:37:32.280 --> 0:37:34.799
<v Speaker 1>is creative, has false keys. It can pump the ball

0:37:34.840 --> 0:37:37.359
<v Speaker 1>to any of the eligible so we need Jerome, Duke,

0:37:37.719 --> 0:37:40.640
<v Speaker 1>Landon Roberts All to be firing on all cylinders here.

0:37:40.880 --> 0:37:43.479
<v Speaker 1>Special Teams d v l A ranks Miami's thirty second

0:37:43.520 --> 0:37:47.000
<v Speaker 1>Buffaloes third Tyler bass is twenty nine, with the three

0:37:47.040 --> 0:37:50.840
<v Speaker 1>misses coming from one apiece from fifty plus nine and

0:37:51.000 --> 0:37:53.640
<v Speaker 1>under forty. He's missed one of his thirty eight p

0:37:53.800 --> 0:37:56.200
<v Speaker 1>e t s and then Sam Martin averages forty two

0:37:56.239 --> 0:37:58.600
<v Speaker 1>yards of gross with an inside the twenty yard line

0:37:58.680 --> 0:38:01.040
<v Speaker 1>rate of thirty five percent and a touchback rate of

0:38:01.080 --> 0:38:04.480
<v Speaker 1>fIF Jason Sanders hit his first fifty yard of the

0:38:04.520 --> 0:38:07.359
<v Speaker 1>season on Sunday night. That's great to see. He looks

0:38:07.400 --> 0:38:10.200
<v Speaker 1>really good lately. Eighteen twenty two and more stads gross

0:38:10.239 --> 0:38:12.879
<v Speaker 1>is forty point three with an inside the twenty yard

0:38:12.880 --> 0:38:15.200
<v Speaker 1>line rate of thirty eight percent and a touchback rate

0:38:15.239 --> 0:38:19.279
<v Speaker 1>of just four what's at stake here? Any hope when

0:38:19.360 --> 0:38:21.680
<v Speaker 1>the division starts to win this football game control our

0:38:21.719 --> 0:38:25.640
<v Speaker 1>own destiny is now gone that that's a foreign concept.

0:38:25.880 --> 0:38:28.080
<v Speaker 1>If Miami wins, they'll still need help to capture the

0:38:28.080 --> 0:38:31.520
<v Speaker 1>a f C East crown. Now that's hardly possible, but

0:38:31.600 --> 0:38:33.680
<v Speaker 1>winning this game is no small task, so we'll see

0:38:33.680 --> 0:38:36.960
<v Speaker 1>about that after the conclusion. Moreover, there's a chance the

0:38:36.960 --> 0:38:39.160
<v Speaker 1>Dolphins are on the outside looking at the conclusion of

0:38:39.160 --> 0:38:40.879
<v Speaker 1>this game if they lose, and that's a tough pill

0:38:40.960 --> 0:38:42.800
<v Speaker 1>to swallow when you were competing for the one seed

0:38:42.840 --> 0:38:45.200
<v Speaker 1>just three weeks ago. If the Jets and Patriots get

0:38:45.200 --> 0:38:47.560
<v Speaker 1>wins and the Dolphins lose, they'll be back in that

0:38:47.719 --> 0:38:50.120
<v Speaker 1>in the hunt column with the Jets home for the

0:38:50.160 --> 0:38:53.000
<v Speaker 1>Lions and Patriots home for the Raiders. I think confidence

0:38:53.040 --> 0:38:55.239
<v Speaker 1>could be just as big as securing a win in

0:38:55.280 --> 0:38:58.040
<v Speaker 1>the win lost column here with a positive result. To

0:38:58.080 --> 0:39:00.239
<v Speaker 1>go into a place that you have struggled to work

0:39:00.320 --> 0:39:04.080
<v Speaker 1>le just one win sinceleven the last playoff year in

0:39:04.840 --> 0:39:07.120
<v Speaker 1>Christmas Eve, to stop the streak, to win a cold

0:39:07.160 --> 0:39:09.160
<v Speaker 1>weather game against a team that has had your number

0:39:09.239 --> 0:39:11.319
<v Speaker 1>at least prior to the September game, and put a

0:39:11.400 --> 0:39:13.800
<v Speaker 1>race for the division back on over the final three weeks.

0:39:14.000 --> 0:39:16.520
<v Speaker 1>To me, that would mean everything. Right, All this, you know,

0:39:16.600 --> 0:39:18.439
<v Speaker 1>sick to your stomach feeling you've had the last couple

0:39:18.440 --> 0:39:22.600
<v Speaker 1>of weeks, I think goes away social media being unbearable

0:39:22.600 --> 0:39:24.799
<v Speaker 1>to me personally and about you guys. Uh, that goes

0:39:24.840 --> 0:39:26.520
<v Speaker 1>away a little bit for a week at least. Then

0:39:26.520 --> 0:39:28.239
<v Speaker 1>you get to come home for a long week and

0:39:28.280 --> 0:39:30.800
<v Speaker 1>welcome a team who's currently five and eight in the Packers.

0:39:31.080 --> 0:39:34.160
<v Speaker 1>The win, the confidence, the standings impact. It's a huge game,

0:39:34.200 --> 0:39:36.919
<v Speaker 1>not to mention another chance in prime time to show

0:39:36.960 --> 0:39:39.480
<v Speaker 1>what you're all about to the entire country. As for

0:39:39.520 --> 0:39:42.480
<v Speaker 1>the playoff, odds numbers we introduced last week, let's go

0:39:42.520 --> 0:39:46.280
<v Speaker 1>ahead and update that. With a win, Miami's playoff odds

0:39:46.280 --> 0:39:49.360
<v Speaker 1>increased to eighties six p six percent chance and a

0:39:50.120 --> 0:39:53.440
<v Speaker 1>chance to win the division. With a loss, sixty playoff

0:39:53.520 --> 0:39:55.560
<v Speaker 1>chances in less than one percent to win the division.

0:39:56.000 --> 0:40:00.200
<v Speaker 1>It's a big game. My expectations honestly, like uh, I

0:40:00.200 --> 0:40:01.839
<v Speaker 1>do think Miami is gonna win the last three games

0:40:01.880 --> 0:40:03.799
<v Speaker 1>the year, and the playoff odds in that scenario are

0:40:03.920 --> 0:40:07.120
<v Speaker 1>nine eight percent. So regardless, it's not the end of

0:40:07.120 --> 0:40:09.239
<v Speaker 1>the world. I know we all want to feel better,

0:40:09.280 --> 0:40:11.839
<v Speaker 1>but a loss and I think it's fair to reevaluate

0:40:11.880 --> 0:40:14.640
<v Speaker 1>your expectations as to what would the Dolphins do in

0:40:14.640 --> 0:40:18.080
<v Speaker 1>the postseason. Back after a three game slide with without

0:40:18.080 --> 0:40:21.280
<v Speaker 1>our quarterback, my expectation was the five seed and hopefully

0:40:21.320 --> 0:40:23.240
<v Speaker 1>a trip to the a f C South winning the playoffs.

0:40:23.400 --> 0:40:25.560
<v Speaker 1>That's kind of my new hope and expectation. Win or

0:40:25.600 --> 0:40:27.840
<v Speaker 1>lose this game, get that five seed and get the

0:40:27.840 --> 0:40:30.440
<v Speaker 1>a f C South game on the road in the postseason.

0:40:30.600 --> 0:40:33.080
<v Speaker 1>The three keys of the game convert quarterback pressures into

0:40:33.120 --> 0:40:35.000
<v Speaker 1>sacks and negative players you cannot miss when they have

0:40:35.040 --> 0:40:37.280
<v Speaker 1>the opportunities have to make the most of it. Number

0:40:37.280 --> 0:40:39.360
<v Speaker 1>two a big game for the running backs, both to

0:40:39.440 --> 0:40:42.320
<v Speaker 1>run the football against the defense that plays exclusively almost

0:40:42.480 --> 0:40:45.200
<v Speaker 1>nickel defense and doesn't want to bring the linebackers up.

0:40:45.200 --> 0:40:47.719
<v Speaker 1>Against this vaunted middle of the field passing game. Run

0:40:47.719 --> 0:40:50.240
<v Speaker 1>the ball opens up everything else, especially in the weather,

0:40:50.440 --> 0:40:53.240
<v Speaker 1>and the number three prevent pressure against four man rushes.

0:40:53.440 --> 0:40:55.680
<v Speaker 1>If they bring four, we have to keep two upright.

0:40:55.960 --> 0:40:57.640
<v Speaker 1>It's the biggest key of the game to me. Week

0:40:57.719 --> 0:41:00.920
<v Speaker 1>fifteen picks, once again we are asking for your faith

0:41:00.960 --> 0:41:03.680
<v Speaker 1>on the Thursday night football pick. Hopefully I earned that

0:41:03.760 --> 0:41:06.000
<v Speaker 1>last week with the loss thanks to the heroics of

0:41:06.000 --> 0:41:08.000
<v Speaker 1>Baker Mayfield, which I thought was awesome. How do you

0:41:08.080 --> 0:41:10.239
<v Speaker 1>not feel great for Baker Mayfield after that game? But

0:41:10.280 --> 0:41:12.399
<v Speaker 1>in Week fourteen, that loss made US nine and four

0:41:12.680 --> 0:41:15.720
<v Speaker 1>one forty two and sixty five and two on the season.

0:41:16.000 --> 0:41:18.920
<v Speaker 1>That's sixty eight point five percent. I'm taking the Niners

0:41:18.960 --> 0:41:21.200
<v Speaker 1>over the Seahawks. Probably not a surprised there. Give me

0:41:21.239 --> 0:41:24.480
<v Speaker 1>the Vikings over the Colts, the Ravens over the Browns.

0:41:24.480 --> 0:41:26.160
<v Speaker 1>That's a tough one to pick. I don't have a

0:41:26.200 --> 0:41:28.080
<v Speaker 1>ton of faith in the Ravens right now, but Cleveland

0:41:28.120 --> 0:41:30.800
<v Speaker 1>can't do anything like that new quarterback. They've got Buffalo

0:41:30.880 --> 0:41:33.759
<v Speaker 1>over Miami. I'm sorry, that's your Saturday night games. Uh,

0:41:33.840 --> 0:41:36.720
<v Speaker 1>Philly over Chicago. On Sunday, the Jets over the Lions.

0:41:36.719 --> 0:41:38.359
<v Speaker 1>That's the toughest one for me to pick this week.

0:41:38.560 --> 0:41:40.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm taking the Jets because Jared Goff has struggled in

0:41:40.920 --> 0:41:44.160
<v Speaker 1>the cold, you know, historically, and I think the Lions

0:41:44.160 --> 0:41:47.319
<v Speaker 1>had a very big emotional win the Jets let down

0:41:47.360 --> 0:41:50.080
<v Speaker 1>game on Sunday. I think tent things tend to kind

0:41:50.080 --> 0:41:54.400
<v Speaker 1>of correct themselves after that. Pittsburgh over Carolina, Casey over Houston.

0:41:54.680 --> 0:41:57.760
<v Speaker 1>Give me the Saints over the Falcons. Give me the

0:41:57.800 --> 0:42:02.160
<v Speaker 1>Cowboys over the Jaguars, the Broncos of the Cardinals, Las

0:42:02.239 --> 0:42:04.439
<v Speaker 1>Vegas over New England. Don't feel confident in that one.

0:42:04.520 --> 0:42:06.640
<v Speaker 1>I'll take the Titans over the Chargers. Don't feel confident

0:42:06.640 --> 0:42:08.719
<v Speaker 1>in that one at all. Give me the Bengals over

0:42:08.760 --> 0:42:11.120
<v Speaker 1>the Bucks. Give me the Giants over the Commanders, and

0:42:11.200 --> 0:42:13.520
<v Speaker 1>the Packers over the Rams. I'm gonna go ahead and

0:42:13.520 --> 0:42:15.279
<v Speaker 1>get out of here because Carolina is screaming her head

0:42:15.320 --> 0:42:17.440
<v Speaker 1>off right now. My wife is currently playing zone defense

0:42:17.480 --> 0:42:19.760
<v Speaker 1>against the two kids. In the meantime, you all Please

0:42:19.760 --> 0:42:22.640
<v Speaker 1>be sure to subscribe to the podcast on Apple Podcast,

0:42:22.840 --> 0:42:24.760
<v Speaker 1>leave us a rating, and leave us a review. Follow

0:42:24.800 --> 0:42:28.279
<v Speaker 1>me on Twitter at Wingfield NFL. Follow the team at

0:42:28.320 --> 0:42:30.480
<v Speaker 1>Miami Dolphins. Check out The Fish Tank with Seth and

0:42:30.560 --> 0:42:33.400
<v Speaker 1>Juice the postgame show as well. Check out Miami Dolphins

0:42:33.480 --> 0:42:36.200
<v Speaker 1>dot com, the YouTube channel for media availabilities and Dolphins

0:42:36.200 --> 0:42:39.920
<v Speaker 1>Today Caroline and Camera and Daddy's coming upstairs for right

0:42:39.960 --> 0:42:40.120
<v Speaker 1>now