1 00:00:01,120 --> 00:00:05,040 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show. 2 00:00:05,320 --> 00:00:08,399 Speaker 1: It's our Week five preview episode. Well, we'll give you 3 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 1: our picks and predictions for the top ten games on 4 00:00:11,840 --> 00:00:14,920 Speaker 1: the slate. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and I'm absolutely 5 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 1: fired up as all roads lead forty five minutes south 6 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,120 Speaker 1: of me to Happy Valley where Penn State host College 7 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:24,279 Speaker 1: Game Day and the Oregon Ducks for the annual Whiteout Game. 8 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 1: We'll certainly chat all about that matchup in the program 9 00:00:27,480 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 1: and help me do it. Are a couple of high 10 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 1: level handicappers, including the Big Game Hunter himself, Trell Firman 11 00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:36,159 Speaker 1: Junior Trell. How are you as a fall espicially in 12 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:36,520 Speaker 1: the air? 13 00:00:37,280 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 2: Oh well, fall came and it came with the force 14 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:45,680 Speaker 2: over there in ut Sah. I mean, this is one 15 00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:48,239 Speaker 2: of the best home field environments in all college football 16 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 2: and they just completely, utterly, totally got destroyed. And honestly, 17 00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 2: it doesn't even matter what I did the rest of 18 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 2: the week because I actually didn't have that bad of 19 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 2: the league. But oh man, you sah, I mean, way 20 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:03,000 Speaker 2: to ruin the past seven days for me, like way 21 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 2: to ruin it. 22 00:01:05,560 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: I'm sorry about your loss for all I try to 23 00:01:07,560 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 1: tell you Barrynmoreton company, they're frisky. They have big paychecks 24 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: and big pockets, and it certainly paid out in dividends 25 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:17,039 Speaker 1: for Texas Tech there on Saturday. Also back in action 26 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: is Scott Bogman versus the world. What's going on today? 27 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:23,119 Speaker 3: Bogs doing much better than last week Man five and two. 28 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 3: On my show six and three, I gave out a 29 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 3: couple conditional picks that were one in one, but over 30 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:31,880 Speaker 3: five hundred on the props too, So feeling much better. 31 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:34,759 Speaker 3: Texas is on a bye week, so I'm just sitting 32 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:37,400 Speaker 3: back relaxing. I'm gonna go to bed early after this 33 00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 3: Georgia Bama and Penn State Oregon game to get up 34 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 3: to watch our Steelers at eight thirty in the morning 35 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 3: on Sunday, seth. So, yeah, Saturday is gonna be a 36 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:49,600 Speaker 3: jam packed one and I'm gonna probably take sleeping mins 37 00:01:49,640 --> 00:01:52,559 Speaker 3: at halftime Bama Georgia so I can wake up because 38 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 3: I am a night owl. I do not wake up early. 39 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 3: So excited for this weekend and to see some of 40 00:01:57,800 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 3: these big matchups. This is this is a huge week 41 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 3: There's a lot of really good games this weekend. 42 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 1: It certainly is, and I'm excited to break it all 43 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 1: down for you guys from a betting perspective. But first 44 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 1: I wanted to remind everyone that today's show is brought 45 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:13,120 Speaker 1: to you by our new presenting sponsor over at hard 46 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:17,680 Speaker 1: Rock Bet. 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If you are something 72 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 4: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 73 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:35,520 Speaker 4: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 74 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:40,160 Speaker 4: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia, and. 75 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:43,120 Speaker 1: Gentlemen, let's go ahead and kick things off on Friday 76 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:46,440 Speaker 1: night in Charlottesville, where we've seen no line movement so 77 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 1: Florida State. There remain a six and a half point 78 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 1: favorite against the three and one Virginia Cavaliers, but the 79 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 1: total has moved to fifty nine and a half at 80 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 1: most sportsbooks. On the injury front, Tennessee transfer and starting 81 00:03:58,760 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 1: wide receiver for Florida State, Squirrel White, he's questionable after 82 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:06,760 Speaker 1: missing week three for he's good yesterday, okay, great, great 83 00:04:06,760 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 1: to hear that. And for UVA right tackle Wallace Unamba, 84 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 1: he is questionable for this game. BP projections have this 85 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:16,880 Speaker 1: line closer to five and a half, showing some slight 86 00:04:17,040 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 1: value actually on the Cavs. So Terrell, are you rolling 87 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:22,200 Speaker 1: with your home state of Virginia here? 88 00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 5: I am. 89 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:25,520 Speaker 2: I think it's a tough spot for FSU in here 90 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:29,840 Speaker 2: three and six straight up to six and one ats 91 00:04:29,839 --> 00:04:34,040 Speaker 2: in the last nine ACC road openers for FSU. They 92 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:37,160 Speaker 2: got a short week here plus travel playing on a Friday, 93 00:04:37,240 --> 00:04:39,159 Speaker 2: so that's not going to help. And then you got 94 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 2: a crazy look ahead coming up next week when they're 95 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:45,080 Speaker 2: going up against Miami at home, so you know that 96 00:04:45,120 --> 00:04:47,880 Speaker 2: they're looking ahead to that spot. There, really big game 97 00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:48,840 Speaker 2: for Florida State. 98 00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:50,239 Speaker 5: And it's just this. 99 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 2: This UVA offense looks really, really solid. They have a 100 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 2: really good offensive line that's been able to protect Shalalen Morris. 101 00:04:57,200 --> 00:04:59,360 Speaker 2: And I'll give Shalen Morris credit. I was not a believer, 102 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:03,120 Speaker 2: but he looks really solid under Tony Elliott here twelve 103 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 2: and seven ats in conference home games for Tony Elliott 104 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 2: with UVA McHale Bowley the left tackle looks amazing NFL talent. 105 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 2: And then Brady Wilson is a really really good center 106 00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 2: for him. He was dealing with the cavstrained last game, 107 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 2: but he's not on the injury report this week. It 108 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 2: looks like he's gonna be good to go. So they 109 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:25,600 Speaker 2: should have that offensive line really really close to full 110 00:05:25,640 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 2: strength there, and I think that's gonna be something that's 111 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:29,960 Speaker 2: gonna challenge the defensive front here of Florida, and then 112 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 2: you could just attack that Florida State defense through the air. 113 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:35,680 Speaker 2: So I like UVA to keep this one close. I 114 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:37,560 Speaker 2: think that it's gonna be a bunch of points and 115 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:39,560 Speaker 2: UVA is gonna be able to keep up that scoring 116 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:40,279 Speaker 2: that they've been doing. 117 00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 1: Bogman, I like Terrell. I really do enjoy what Chandler 118 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:47,160 Speaker 1: Morris has been doing this season for the Calves. You 119 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:49,279 Speaker 1: talked earlier this week that if he could get Florida 120 00:05:49,320 --> 00:05:51,719 Speaker 1: State around, you know, five and a half point favor 121 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 1: so you might jump on it. We haven't gone that far. 122 00:05:54,640 --> 00:05:56,640 Speaker 1: It's now still at six and a half. Is that 123 00:05:56,760 --> 00:05:58,800 Speaker 1: enough for you to get invested with the Seminoles. 124 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 3: No, it's not. I think at seven or seven and 125 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 3: a half. I like UVA. I like UVA at home. 126 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 3: I think all the stuff that Terrell said is absolutely correct. Right, 127 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:10,320 Speaker 3: we have a look ahead spots in Miami here. Also, 128 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:13,119 Speaker 3: this is Virginia's super Bowl. This is their biggest game 129 00:06:13,600 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 3: of the year. They're at home. They definitely are gonna 130 00:06:17,080 --> 00:06:19,160 Speaker 3: give you everything they have in a game like this. 131 00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:22,920 Speaker 3: It's nationally televised, so you have a gigantic audience too, 132 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:27,240 Speaker 3: So I think we're gonna get Virginia's best effort here. Also, 133 00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 3: something that I just haven't seen much anywhere. Tommy c 134 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:33,400 Speaker 3: rolled his ankle a little bit at the end of 135 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:36,280 Speaker 3: Florida State's last game. He says he's one hundred percent. 136 00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:40,559 Speaker 3: I just don't like I don't like a road game 137 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 3: and a weird night and UVA getting up with a 138 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:48,159 Speaker 3: look ahead here. So I'm gonna lean with Virginia with 139 00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:51,960 Speaker 3: you guys. Yeah, you convinced me on this one a 140 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:54,320 Speaker 3: little bit. Seth And and Trell. You make great points 141 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:56,800 Speaker 3: as well. So I do think like, if both teams 142 00:06:56,800 --> 00:06:58,920 Speaker 3: play the best football Florida State, it's more than two 143 00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:01,040 Speaker 3: touchdowns better than the UVA. I just don't think they're 144 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:04,040 Speaker 3: gonna do it this week. So give me, give me 145 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:07,120 Speaker 3: the calves here, and I'll take the points. But that's 146 00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 3: a lean. I is not an official play. 147 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:12,320 Speaker 1: Okay, slightly off topic, but so my college, we were 148 00:07:12,360 --> 00:07:14,120 Speaker 1: a Division two. We didn't have a lot of Friday 149 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 1: night games and not a really big tailgate scene until 150 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: really my senior year when they started to. 151 00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:20,960 Speaker 5: Allow alcoholic You didn't go to Penn State. 152 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:24,200 Speaker 1: No, No, I actually went to a D two school 153 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 1: here about an hour from State College. But I wanted 154 00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 1: to ask you guys, like, if if you had a 155 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 1: Friday night big game like this, Florida State coming to town, 156 00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 1: are you going to class on Friday? Like? Are you there? 157 00:07:36,320 --> 00:07:38,160 Speaker 1: Or is it? Are we pre gaming as soon as 158 00:07:38,200 --> 00:07:39,400 Speaker 1: we wake up in the morning, what's going on? 159 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 3: Hold wasn't going to class when there wasn't a game, 160 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:44,240 Speaker 3: So no, no, thanks, Torell. 161 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:45,920 Speaker 1: What about you? You're going to class on Friday for 162 00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:46,720 Speaker 1: a big game like this? 163 00:07:47,000 --> 00:07:49,560 Speaker 5: Yeah? Man, I was studious. I was always in class. 164 00:07:49,600 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 5: I can. 165 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 2: I can go to class and be a little you 166 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:57,160 Speaker 2: know it, distracted and be perfectly fine, Like that's not 167 00:07:57,160 --> 00:07:57,640 Speaker 2: stopping me. 168 00:07:57,680 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 5: I'm going to class. 169 00:07:59,000 --> 00:08:02,760 Speaker 1: Wow, look at you. Always an overachiever over Thereterrell Firman. 170 00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:05,600 Speaker 1: Junior Ladies and gentlemen staying on Friday night, We've got 171 00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 1: a match up in Tempe with Big twelve championship implications, 172 00:08:09,760 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 1: no line movement on the spread. Arizona State still favored 173 00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:15,840 Speaker 1: by two and a half points over the number twenty 174 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:18,960 Speaker 1: four TCU Hornfrogs, but the total is starting to creep 175 00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 1: up right now. It's around fifty six points is where 176 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 1: you can find it. On the injury report. We have 177 00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:27,880 Speaker 1: TCUs leading rusher Kavorian Barnes, who showed a lot of 178 00:08:27,920 --> 00:08:30,880 Speaker 1: jukes earlier this year, especially against North Carolina. He's going 179 00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:32,600 Speaker 1: to be out of this one. We also have their 180 00:08:32,640 --> 00:08:35,680 Speaker 1: starting kicker and two defenders on the two deep that 181 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:40,360 Speaker 1: are questionable. ASU starting defensive tackle, strong safety, kicker, and 182 00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 1: punter all probable. Their free safety Xaviert Alford he's questionable, 183 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:47,800 Speaker 1: and also starting flanker wide receiver Jalen Moss. He's going 184 00:08:47,880 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 1: to be rolled out of this one. BP projections have 185 00:08:50,440 --> 00:08:53,720 Speaker 1: TCUD favored in this one. Do you feel similarly and 186 00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:55,680 Speaker 1: rolling with the horn Frogs bagman. 187 00:08:56,360 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 3: I think with this one, I'm just gonna stick to 188 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:02,280 Speaker 3: the over call that I had, and that's again it's 189 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:04,400 Speaker 3: a lean. This is not my favorite game, but I 190 00:09:04,559 --> 00:09:06,880 Speaker 3: like the over here because both offenses are headed where 191 00:09:06,880 --> 00:09:09,959 Speaker 3: the defenses are. For these teams, they both throw the 192 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 3: ball over fifty percent of plays. They both gray below 193 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 3: average and pass rushing, but ASU plays at a slow pace, 194 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:20,000 Speaker 3: so it's not my favorite bet. This could be a 195 00:09:20,040 --> 00:09:22,520 Speaker 3: look ahead spot for TCU to get some revenge against 196 00:09:22,559 --> 00:09:25,360 Speaker 3: Colorado next week, because remember the last time they played 197 00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:29,040 Speaker 3: Colorado obviously coming off the National Championship embarrassed, and they 198 00:09:29,040 --> 00:09:32,840 Speaker 3: were embarrassed by Colorado as well, so there's a little 199 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:34,480 Speaker 3: bit of that there that I don't like for this game. 200 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:36,959 Speaker 3: I would probably take the home team in this one 201 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:40,640 Speaker 3: no matter what, so I'm going to pass on that 202 00:09:40,760 --> 00:09:45,199 Speaker 3: as well. Asus just look shakier on the road. They 203 00:09:45,200 --> 00:09:49,640 Speaker 3: didn't meet Mississippi State, they look shaky against Baylor. TCU 204 00:09:49,679 --> 00:09:52,320 Speaker 3: has had a bunch of penalty issues. I just think 205 00:09:52,360 --> 00:09:55,200 Speaker 3: this game ends in a weird bounce, so I don't 206 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:56,840 Speaker 3: want to take a side, but I do think that 207 00:09:56,880 --> 00:09:59,240 Speaker 3: we stack up points here, so I'm going to lean 208 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 3: towards the over. This is another one that I don't 209 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 3: really like. I'll have plays, I swear, but I just 210 00:10:03,800 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 3: don't like these first two on Friday that much. 211 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:08,280 Speaker 1: Charelle any official plays for you in this big twelve spot. 212 00:10:08,679 --> 00:10:11,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, I love Arizona State here. I'm betting Arizona State 213 00:10:11,480 --> 00:10:13,600 Speaker 2: here laying two and a half. I got the number 214 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:16,320 Speaker 2: over there shot at heart Rock Bet for having a 215 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:19,720 Speaker 2: two and a half out there. Still, I'm not concerned. 216 00:10:19,760 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 2: I think ASU is getting better as the season goes on, 217 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:26,000 Speaker 2: and they proved it last week against Baylor and handling 218 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:28,120 Speaker 2: Baylor as a dog on the road. And now you're 219 00:10:28,160 --> 00:10:30,920 Speaker 2: coming back here and you're favored against a ranked team. 220 00:10:31,240 --> 00:10:33,920 Speaker 2: And I've talked about that in years past. These unranked 221 00:10:33,920 --> 00:10:37,120 Speaker 2: home favorites are really good against ranked teams. Since twenty 222 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:39,720 Speaker 2: twenty one, teams that are home favorite of less than 223 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:42,720 Speaker 2: a touchdown versus a top twenty five team sixty five 224 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:45,840 Speaker 2: and thirty one sixty seven point seven percent fifty seven 225 00:10:45,960 --> 00:10:49,680 Speaker 2: thirty seven and two ats as a favorite. Remember, so 226 00:10:49,760 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 2: all those teams are favored sixty point six percent as 227 00:10:53,520 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 2: a favorite in this spot. So again another short week 228 00:10:57,320 --> 00:11:00,480 Speaker 2: plus travel in this spot for TCU here. And then 229 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:02,880 Speaker 2: they dumped the gatorade last week. That was the last 230 00:11:02,920 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 2: Iron Skillet game. Ever, We're not we don't have another 231 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 2: one on the schedule. We don't know when we're gonna 232 00:11:08,240 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 2: see that. We're probably gonna be old and krusty and 233 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 2: we're gonna be about they're playing the Iron Skillet again, 234 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 2: like they just got the last one, and that was 235 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:17,720 Speaker 2: after getting beat the way they did the year before, 236 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:21,600 Speaker 2: Like they dumped the Gatorade. This is a crazy letdown 237 00:11:21,640 --> 00:11:24,439 Speaker 2: for them after that. So I'm out and you got 238 00:11:24,520 --> 00:11:28,120 Speaker 2: one lass day. Absolutely, I'm all over ASU here. I 239 00:11:28,160 --> 00:11:30,000 Speaker 2: think they could it done. The line is telling you 240 00:11:30,040 --> 00:11:31,800 Speaker 2: who's gonna win ASU late two. 241 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:32,000 Speaker 5: And a half. 242 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:36,199 Speaker 1: Okay. 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Learn more at Bettingpros dot com 252 00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:13,440 Speaker 1: Slash Premium. On Saturday in the noonslate, it's a top 253 00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:16,839 Speaker 1: twenty five Big Ten matchup in Champagne, the number twenty 254 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:20,040 Speaker 1: three fighting a lie nine. They are currently seven point 255 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:23,240 Speaker 1: dogs against the USC Trojans, who are coming in ranked 256 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:26,600 Speaker 1: twenty first as well. Most shops still holding this steady 257 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:28,720 Speaker 1: at six and a half, but still can get us 258 00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 1: seven if you'll want it. For injuries. USC's second leading 259 00:12:31,880 --> 00:12:36,600 Speaker 1: wide receiver, Jakobe Lane, he's questionable. Illinois starting nickelback Xavier 260 00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:39,800 Speaker 1: Scott still remains questionable, as does a linebacker in their 261 00:12:39,840 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 1: two deep. BP projections have this at a five and 262 00:12:43,200 --> 00:12:47,400 Speaker 1: a half point line, so showing slight value on Illinois. 263 00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:49,479 Speaker 1: Do you have a play for this game, Trail. 264 00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:51,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, just give me the A line I plus the 265 00:12:51,679 --> 00:12:54,640 Speaker 2: points here. I'm not all the way believer in this 266 00:12:54,880 --> 00:12:59,079 Speaker 2: USC team. I think that last week was just one 267 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:02,439 Speaker 2: of those games where they just got absolutely steamrolled and 268 00:13:02,480 --> 00:13:04,920 Speaker 2: they were on the road and it was a bad spot. Yeah, 269 00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:07,080 Speaker 2: and it just kind of caught away from them. But 270 00:13:07,120 --> 00:13:09,720 Speaker 2: now they're back here at home and you got the travel, 271 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:12,840 Speaker 2: the travel spot of USC all the way over to 272 00:13:13,880 --> 00:13:15,280 Speaker 2: playing this game in Illinois. 273 00:13:15,360 --> 00:13:15,960 Speaker 5: That's tough. 274 00:13:16,160 --> 00:13:18,199 Speaker 2: And so you're looking at all these teams and it 275 00:13:18,280 --> 00:13:21,839 Speaker 2: is on both sides, Like you saw Boston College and 276 00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:24,040 Speaker 2: Stanford having to go all the way out and play 277 00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:26,160 Speaker 2: that game. Like you see the travelin all the different 278 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:29,000 Speaker 2: leagues because super conferences, and you're sitting there looking and 279 00:13:29,000 --> 00:13:31,360 Speaker 2: you're like, oh wait, it is kind of hard to 280 00:13:31,440 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 2: play a football game after, you know, going through three 281 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:38,079 Speaker 2: time zones. So yeah, no, I think that this isn't 282 00:13:38,080 --> 00:13:40,080 Speaker 2: the spot here that I want to go and lay 283 00:13:40,120 --> 00:13:41,840 Speaker 2: this amount of points with USC on the road. 284 00:13:41,840 --> 00:13:42,719 Speaker 5: So I'll take a home dog. 285 00:13:43,320 --> 00:13:45,360 Speaker 1: Okay, bog. So Terrell is rolling with one of the 286 00:13:45,400 --> 00:13:47,880 Speaker 1: ogs of the Big ten Illinois, are you as well? 287 00:13:48,800 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with the over in this game. And 288 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:53,480 Speaker 3: just a couple updates for you. Lane back at practice 289 00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:58,240 Speaker 3: yesterday for USC. Xavier Scott surgery done for so, Okay, 290 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 3: that's their best corner, like potential top ten pick defensive 291 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:06,160 Speaker 3: back as well for Illinois, So I like the over here. 292 00:14:06,400 --> 00:14:10,400 Speaker 3: We do get Jacobe Lane. USC is on fire offensively. 293 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:12,840 Speaker 3: They're fifth in points per game, third and total yards 294 00:14:12,840 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 3: per game, seventh in offensive grade, top twenty in every 295 00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:19,360 Speaker 3: other offensive category from PFF except for run blocking. Illinois 296 00:14:19,400 --> 00:14:22,040 Speaker 3: is going to They got to bounce back. This is 297 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 3: one the reason I don't really like a side in 298 00:14:24,200 --> 00:14:28,840 Speaker 3: this game. Although again, like Terrell said, and like we do, 299 00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:31,240 Speaker 3: I think you take points for a home team, right, 300 00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:32,960 Speaker 3: a team that was ranked in the top ten last 301 00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:35,640 Speaker 3: week and got smacked. Now they're at home and they're 302 00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:38,600 Speaker 3: catching points. Like, give me that all day. But I 303 00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:42,600 Speaker 3: like the over here because I do think USC has 304 00:14:42,640 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 3: a chance to control this game and potentially, you know, 305 00:14:47,400 --> 00:14:49,520 Speaker 3: score a bunch of points. This is what Lane Kiffen does, 306 00:14:49,640 --> 00:14:52,680 Speaker 3: or what Lincoln Riley does. He you know, puts points 307 00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:54,200 Speaker 3: on the board, but he allows a bunch of points 308 00:14:54,240 --> 00:14:56,120 Speaker 3: as well. I just think Luke Altmeyer is gonna be 309 00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:58,160 Speaker 3: able to bounce back a little bit as well. So 310 00:14:58,480 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 3: I like this game to have a lot of points, 311 00:15:00,720 --> 00:15:03,400 Speaker 3: specifically with Xavier Scott being down a lane being back, 312 00:15:03,840 --> 00:15:06,360 Speaker 3: USC let Michigan State score twenty one and the thirty 313 00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:08,720 Speaker 3: one points in the second half as well, So even 314 00:15:08,760 --> 00:15:13,240 Speaker 3: if USC gets up, they let teams come back, and 315 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:17,720 Speaker 3: I think also the other way around if Illinois gets up, 316 00:15:18,160 --> 00:15:20,840 Speaker 3: I don't know that anyone can really slow down USC 317 00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:24,280 Speaker 3: to the huge extent. So I like the over in 318 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:24,880 Speaker 3: this one. 319 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:28,080 Speaker 1: We also have a big one in Oxford getting underway 320 00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:30,840 Speaker 1: at noon. Not much line movement with the number four 321 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 1: LSU Tigers. They're still catching one and a half points 322 00:15:33,920 --> 00:15:36,760 Speaker 1: against the number thirteen All Miss Rebels, but we did 323 00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:40,120 Speaker 1: see one book in particular drop this by a half point. 324 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:44,080 Speaker 1: Injuries for this game include LSU's lead and rusher, Kayden Durham. 325 00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:47,400 Speaker 1: He's questionable with an ankle injury. For ole Miss, it's 326 00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:50,480 Speaker 1: unknown whether it'll be Austin Simmons at quarterback or back 327 00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:54,000 Speaker 1: up Trinidad Chimbliss, who did start the last two games 328 00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:58,040 Speaker 1: in Simmons's place. BP projections surprisingly have this as far 329 00:15:58,040 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 1: as a five point line, so they absolutely lane Kiffin 330 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:02,800 Speaker 1: in this spot. Do use well Bogman. 331 00:16:03,560 --> 00:16:06,280 Speaker 3: I like the under in this game. Another one like, look, 332 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:08,840 Speaker 3: this is just going to be a tight game, right. 333 00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:11,640 Speaker 3: I like ole Miss kind of like if I'm leaning 334 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 3: one way, I'd probably take ole Miss at home. Elis Use, 335 00:16:14,880 --> 00:16:18,120 Speaker 3: a team that that Clemson win. We talked about this 336 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:20,520 Speaker 3: on Monday set. That Clemson win does not look very 337 00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 3: quality no right now. So their offense has not been clicking. 338 00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:26,360 Speaker 3: The only team they scored more than twenty three points 339 00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:30,200 Speaker 3: against was Southeast Louisiana. But that defense, even Lane Kiffin 340 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:32,120 Speaker 3: talked about it this week. He said, this is the 341 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:35,680 Speaker 3: best LSU defense I've seen since we got here. So 342 00:16:36,920 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 3: I think both defenses are going to play better. They're 343 00:16:39,040 --> 00:16:41,800 Speaker 3: going to slow down. The offense is specifically ole Miss 344 00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:44,760 Speaker 3: defense against LSU, but I do think LSU's defense is 345 00:16:44,760 --> 00:16:47,600 Speaker 3: going to stop this crazy attack that we've seen from 346 00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:49,600 Speaker 3: ole Miss. They've had a bad strength of schedule so 347 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:52,480 Speaker 3: far as well, so I think this is more of 348 00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:56,880 Speaker 3: a slower moving nus Meyer's not there yet, Like if 349 00:16:56,960 --> 00:17:00,840 Speaker 3: Shambliss starts, do we see him taking out for Simmons 350 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:02,800 Speaker 3: or Simmons starts to see him taken out if he's 351 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:05,359 Speaker 3: not performing well. So I think there are questions for 352 00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:09,399 Speaker 3: both offenses in this game, and that lc defense is 353 00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:11,600 Speaker 3: for real right now. I just don't know if the 354 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:15,680 Speaker 3: offense is. So I really like the under fifty five 355 00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:17,000 Speaker 3: and a half in this game. 356 00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:20,080 Speaker 1: Trell, you certainly have a complicated pass with Lane Kiffin. 357 00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:21,879 Speaker 1: And this is a guy that we you know, just 358 00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:25,560 Speaker 1: heard in a preview of the feature Ryan McGee was 359 00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 1: doing on him this week that he wants statues built 360 00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:31,440 Speaker 1: around him. He wants, you know, to leave a lasting 361 00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:34,000 Speaker 1: legacy at will Miss. Well, this is the spot you 362 00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:35,840 Speaker 1: do it. So can you come out on top against 363 00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:37,560 Speaker 1: the top five ranked Tigers. 364 00:17:37,880 --> 00:17:37,960 Speaker 3: No. 365 00:17:38,080 --> 00:17:40,680 Speaker 2: I mean it's a reason they haven't built stautches already. 366 00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:44,840 Speaker 2: It's because you know, haven't won. I guess you gotta 367 00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:47,720 Speaker 2: win to get statues. This is not really a fate 368 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:49,760 Speaker 2: of Lang Kiffin, but more of a fate of the defense. 369 00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:51,800 Speaker 2: And I just don't trust the Old Miss defense. I 370 00:17:51,800 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 2: think the Old Miss defense is bad. We saw them 371 00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:57,119 Speaker 2: go toe to toe with that Arkansas team and Arkansas 372 00:17:57,200 --> 00:17:59,480 Speaker 2: was just getting no resistance and constantly be able to 373 00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:01,600 Speaker 2: put up point and kept that on a game. I 374 00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:05,400 Speaker 2: think that Nusmayer can do that here and we've seen 375 00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:07,840 Speaker 2: them play on the road. I understand that we're talking 376 00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:10,240 Speaker 2: down on the Clemson game because it does look a 377 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:12,760 Speaker 2: lot worse now, and I'll give you that, but I 378 00:18:12,800 --> 00:18:14,639 Speaker 2: think that This is gonna be a tough test for 379 00:18:14,800 --> 00:18:17,080 Speaker 2: Old Miss to go up against LSU's defense and to 380 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:18,119 Speaker 2: try to go put points. 381 00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:20,480 Speaker 5: So maybe we'll see some resistance. 382 00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:23,720 Speaker 2: On whether it's lack of talent on LSU side or 383 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:25,679 Speaker 2: the excess of a talent that they have on the 384 00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:27,840 Speaker 2: defensive side. But I do think that this is going 385 00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:29,480 Speaker 2: to be a little bit of a closer game. And 386 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:32,320 Speaker 2: I'm actually on LSU side of this. I think that 387 00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:35,679 Speaker 2: they're just rolling right now. This is the revenge season 388 00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:37,959 Speaker 2: where Brian Kelly's like, Hey, we're finally going to make 389 00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,560 Speaker 2: this work. We've finally gotten off to a hot start. 390 00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:42,720 Speaker 2: Let's try to keep this roll and go on the 391 00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 2: road and beat Lane Kiffin. And I'm sorry, Lane Kiffin 392 00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 2: in big games just doesn't It doesn't make me want 393 00:18:48,280 --> 00:18:48,960 Speaker 2: to bet them. 394 00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:50,440 Speaker 3: Which coach do you dislike? March? 395 00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:54,879 Speaker 5: Oh wow, that's that's actually really hard. Yeah, that's actually uh, 396 00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 5: that's actually. 397 00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:57,680 Speaker 1: As a personality. 398 00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:00,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I was about to say, and Lane Kiffin is 399 00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:02,680 Speaker 2: a man that cares about the spread, and that's one 400 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:04,639 Speaker 2: thing you can't really do nothing here. We're basically going 401 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:08,760 Speaker 2: to pick him here, No fake. I think I hate 402 00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:11,119 Speaker 2: Lang Kiffin a little bit less. But it's because I 403 00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:13,919 Speaker 2: respect him that I know that I don't trust him 404 00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:14,399 Speaker 2: in this spot. 405 00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 5: So give me LSU and that scene. 406 00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:18,600 Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the three point thirty slate 407 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 1: and we'll get it jump started in Johnson County, where 408 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 1: the number eleven Indiana Hoosiers are holding as seven and 409 00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:27,880 Speaker 1: a half point favorites on the road against the Iowa 410 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:31,120 Speaker 1: hawk guys. On the injury report, IU has RB three 411 00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:34,600 Speaker 1: Lee BB Junior, and two players in the secondaries two 412 00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:39,439 Speaker 1: deep who are questionable. Also, I was leading rusher Jazoun Patterson, 413 00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:41,680 Speaker 1: He's out of this one. We also have RB two 414 00:19:41,840 --> 00:19:46,120 Speaker 1: Xavier Williams and their second leading wide receiver Seth Anderson, 415 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:49,840 Speaker 1: both questionable. BP projections set this line at six and 416 00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:53,480 Speaker 1: a half. That said, Terrell, will you again dare to 417 00:19:53,600 --> 00:19:57,000 Speaker 1: fade the almighty and the powerful sig Sagnetty? 418 00:19:58,040 --> 00:20:01,600 Speaker 2: Yes, and we're about to We're about the Arcy. Let's 419 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:03,280 Speaker 2: just go ahead, and let's just go ahead and open 420 00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:05,520 Speaker 2: it up like we're about because I know you guys 421 00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:08,199 Speaker 2: are on Indiana in this spot, but I need you 422 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:12,040 Speaker 2: guys to understand when is the last time that Iowa 423 00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:14,640 Speaker 2: has lost by this margin at home. You haven't seen 424 00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:17,439 Speaker 2: them moves by this number since twenty twenty two when 425 00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:20,240 Speaker 2: they played number four Michigan. In fact, if you look 426 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:24,160 Speaker 2: at the team total for Indiana, no team has put 427 00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:27,080 Speaker 2: up four touchdowns when Iowa. 428 00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:30,159 Speaker 3: What was the final score in Indiana Illinois last week? 429 00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:33,439 Speaker 2: What was the last We could find more times that 430 00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:35,560 Speaker 2: Illinois have gotten blown out than you could see in 431 00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:38,120 Speaker 2: than you could see an Iowa team at home play 432 00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:43,160 Speaker 2: bad defense like that doesn't happen. And Farris has been 433 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:45,800 Speaker 2: there for a million years now, like he's locked into 434 00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:48,000 Speaker 2: this game. He understands how this game goes. This is 435 00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:50,320 Speaker 2: a great home environment. They're gonna be waving to the 436 00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:52,960 Speaker 2: kids after the first quarter. They're gonna be all the 437 00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:55,280 Speaker 2: way locked into this game. I just I don't know 438 00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:59,520 Speaker 2: how Iowa only plays one score games, especially at home, 439 00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:02,240 Speaker 2: even when they lose. They lose one score games at home, 440 00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:05,399 Speaker 2: like you gotta go all the way back. Look, I 441 00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:08,280 Speaker 2: mean to almost the start of the nil Era to 442 00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:11,560 Speaker 2: get some type of bad loss by Iowa at home. Here, 443 00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:14,080 Speaker 2: I think that they're gonna play some really really good defense. 444 00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:15,760 Speaker 2: They're gonna get a lot of pressure up front on 445 00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:21,200 Speaker 2: that Indiana offensive line and We've been talking about Heisman 446 00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:25,720 Speaker 2: all week and with tears goes down and everybody's like, 447 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:30,320 Speaker 2: who's going up for Heisman next? And what happens? What 448 00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,320 Speaker 2: is the jinx that's been happening this season? Every single 449 00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 2: time it was Leonora Sellers, it was Motilla. 450 00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:40,240 Speaker 1: Who's next? Who aren't in the beginning? 451 00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:43,439 Speaker 5: Guess who's next? Like it's literally who's next? 452 00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:47,480 Speaker 3: Like, come on, this is a Heisman curse, a curse. 453 00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:51,040 Speaker 2: This year, Iowa gets it done plus eight and a half, 454 00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:52,320 Speaker 2: I'm sprinkling on the money line. 455 00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 5: I'm actually shocked at you, guys. 456 00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,040 Speaker 2: I mean, I know six sin Netty's gonna give you 457 00:21:56,040 --> 00:21:58,200 Speaker 2: a game and maybe they even win the game outright, 458 00:21:58,359 --> 00:21:59,320 Speaker 2: But Iowa does. 459 00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:02,320 Speaker 5: Not lose by double dishies. This is almost a double 460 00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:04,320 Speaker 5: to just spread. IOUA does not lose games like this 461 00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:06,960 Speaker 5: at home. They barely even lose at home. 462 00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:10,960 Speaker 1: Bogs, I'll give you the floor first man, go ahead. 463 00:22:10,800 --> 00:22:13,520 Speaker 3: Okay, we talked about it on Monday. I haven't changed 464 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:16,040 Speaker 3: my stance. I think Indiana is trying to make statements 465 00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 3: every single week. I think that's what they do. I 466 00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 3: think that's why they kept pouring it on here against 467 00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:24,840 Speaker 3: Illinois and of course I'm going to back them here. 468 00:22:25,280 --> 00:22:27,600 Speaker 3: The one time I backed them this year, they didn't 469 00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:30,800 Speaker 3: beat the spread against old dominions, So just beware. I 470 00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:34,840 Speaker 3: understand that maybe there are teams where I could be 471 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:36,879 Speaker 3: a fade and listen, drell is trying to tell me. 472 00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:41,920 Speaker 3: But I mean, I think that Indiana has become a team, 473 00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:44,639 Speaker 3: and I don't think we can look at them like 474 00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:47,000 Speaker 3: we have in the past. Right, They're just a different 475 00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:49,639 Speaker 3: squad now. But I think this is a team that 476 00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:52,639 Speaker 3: is only going to lose a game against a roster 477 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:54,960 Speaker 3: that is much better than theirs. And in terms of 478 00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:58,080 Speaker 3: roster strength, this is thirteen for Indiana and fifty seven 479 00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:03,640 Speaker 3: for Iowa. Right, I just think that I just think 480 00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:08,560 Speaker 3: that Indiana is rolling right now. I think Signetti wants 481 00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:11,560 Speaker 3: to make statements. I think he wants to break the 482 00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:13,960 Speaker 3: trends that have been happening in the Big Ten where 483 00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:18,120 Speaker 3: it's just Michigan and Ohio State and Penn State and 484 00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:20,040 Speaker 3: you know, well now that Oregon's in there, those are 485 00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:22,879 Speaker 3: the teams that can beat up Iowa. Nobody else in 486 00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:25,800 Speaker 3: the Big Ten can. Traditionally, those teams haven't even beat 487 00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:28,919 Speaker 3: up Iowa at home. I understand that. I get it, 488 00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:31,480 Speaker 3: but I really don't care about trends. The trend that 489 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 3: I saw last week was Indiana just thumping a very 490 00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:37,520 Speaker 3: strong team in Illinois, and I think I think Iowa's 491 00:23:37,560 --> 00:23:40,040 Speaker 3: worse than Illinois. I don't think they're as good as Illinois, 492 00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:41,840 Speaker 3: and I think Indiana is gonna come in here. Maybe 493 00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:43,760 Speaker 3: they're a little too arrogant, maybe they're a little too confident, 494 00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:45,920 Speaker 3: I get it, but I think this is going to 495 00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,560 Speaker 3: be a two touchdown win. I think they're gonna win 496 00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:51,800 Speaker 3: by fourteen here. So I'm gonna take Indiana and lay 497 00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:53,960 Speaker 3: the points, even on the road against a tough Iowa 498 00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:55,800 Speaker 3: team because of the way they've been special. 499 00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:58,680 Speaker 2: Teams, special teams, special teams, special teams, special teams that 500 00:23:58,720 --> 00:23:59,320 Speaker 2: will be to keat. 501 00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:03,640 Speaker 3: But Signetti pays attention to all those details, just like Farence, 502 00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:05,560 Speaker 3: except for he does it on both sides of the ball. 503 00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:08,280 Speaker 3: Farence doesn't do any off. 504 00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:11,160 Speaker 1: To no one's surprise. Lighters in the air, baby, I'm 505 00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:15,560 Speaker 1: smoking SIGs inside this weekend. Look, I'm down on the 506 00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:18,399 Speaker 1: Indiana all minus six and a half. I got that 507 00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:20,320 Speaker 1: boost hit at one of our books as well, and like, 508 00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:22,640 Speaker 1: because I do agree with you to a point. Rail 509 00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:25,800 Speaker 1: I was tough at home. They're always waving to the kids. 510 00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:29,200 Speaker 1: This the rowdy group out there. But I will say, 511 00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:33,119 Speaker 1: like I think Indiana's run defense being the twentieth best 512 00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:36,200 Speaker 1: in the nation, plus I was leading rusher Patterson being out, 513 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,399 Speaker 1: we don't know if Xavier Williams is gonna be out 514 00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 1: there as well. I think that's gonna hurt. Like, I 515 00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:41,240 Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna be able to move the ball 516 00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:45,040 Speaker 1: particularly well. And like if you watch that Friday night 517 00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:49,639 Speaker 1: game last week against Rutgers, I've seen nothing from this 518 00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:52,280 Speaker 1: Iowa defense that tells me they're gonna be able to 519 00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:55,359 Speaker 1: stop Fernando Mendoza. I don't care about the curse. I 520 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:57,600 Speaker 1: care about a guy who just went out put up 521 00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 1: almost six hundred points on a top ten rank. 522 00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:03,880 Speaker 3: Mendoza looks bad, though. We have to admit that Trell 523 00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:06,159 Speaker 3: is right about this Heisman curse and we have to 524 00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:09,040 Speaker 3: fade whoever the Heisman favorite is after this week. If 525 00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:10,720 Speaker 3: Mendoza is bad this week, I. 526 00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:15,120 Speaker 2: Will add we've seen the Iowa defense go out there 527 00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:19,119 Speaker 2: and make the crazy the best teams look elementary and 528 00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:22,040 Speaker 2: pay and force them into an ugly game. I know 529 00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:24,840 Speaker 2: Aulio's offense isn't good. I'm never betting on their offense 530 00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:27,880 Speaker 2: when I'm betting on Iowa. This is purely a defense 531 00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:29,760 Speaker 2: is gonna be able to get this done. This is 532 00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:33,880 Speaker 2: an ugly game, some type of seventeen thirteen type of game. 533 00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:37,920 Speaker 3: Oh man, it could be. I mean, look, stranger things 534 00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:40,720 Speaker 3: have happened, right, That's why we watch the games. But 535 00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:43,120 Speaker 3: I think Indiana's on too high level. 536 00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 1: I'm gonna keep backing it. Let's go ahead, though, gentlemen. 537 00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:48,600 Speaker 1: We've got another big ten matchup out in the Pacific 538 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:52,320 Speaker 1: Northwest where the Lion's actually moving in favor of the 539 00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:55,520 Speaker 1: Washington Huskies, where the top ranked Ohio State Buckeyes went 540 00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:57,960 Speaker 1: from eight and a half point favorites that most books 541 00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:00,440 Speaker 1: down to seven and a half. Ohio State should be 542 00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 1: at full health coming off the buy. Injuries for Washington 543 00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:07,399 Speaker 1: include their starting linebacker, they're starting slot wide receiver Rashid Williams, 544 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:10,520 Speaker 1: and their cornerback to Carrio Davis, who would be the 545 00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:13,200 Speaker 1: one to cover Jeremiah Smith. They're all questionable. We also 546 00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:17,000 Speaker 1: have Nickel Dyson McCutcheon. He will be undergoing surgery on 547 00:26:17,119 --> 00:26:20,000 Speaker 1: that shoulder, so BP projections once again, do you have 548 00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:22,360 Speaker 1: a slight lean to the home dog? Is that where 549 00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:23,080 Speaker 1: you stand? Torrell? 550 00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:25,600 Speaker 5: Yes, I am with the home dog. Here. 551 00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:30,040 Speaker 2: Give me Washington plus points here, plus eight plus eight 552 00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:32,320 Speaker 2: and a half wherever you get it at again, Ohio 553 00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:35,040 Speaker 2: State's coming all the way over here, and everybody wants 554 00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:36,920 Speaker 2: to get on the old Pack twelve scenes with the 555 00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:39,080 Speaker 2: old Pac twelve scenes or the teams that are balling 556 00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:41,720 Speaker 2: when you look across all the conferences, and I think 557 00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:44,199 Speaker 2: that this Washington team is going to be able to 558 00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:46,920 Speaker 2: go out here and get up and well, of course 559 00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:47,919 Speaker 2: Steph's not a real. 560 00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:50,719 Speaker 1: Team or UCLA, but we have this. 561 00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:53,680 Speaker 2: You you don't want to talk about Arizona State. You 562 00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:57,200 Speaker 2: don't talk about Arizona that's been playing like we've got 563 00:26:57,320 --> 00:26:59,639 Speaker 2: Oregon like we've got We've got a lot. And you 564 00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:03,520 Speaker 2: may know of our organ this week we'll talk about it. Yes, 565 00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:07,440 Speaker 2: you want to be shady, nah, But seriously, I'm over 566 00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:09,520 Speaker 2: here and I'm looking at this Washington offense and I 567 00:27:09,600 --> 00:27:11,200 Speaker 2: just think that they're going to be able to compete. 568 00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:11,400 Speaker 5: Man. 569 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:13,440 Speaker 2: I think they're going to go out there. The fact 570 00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:16,919 Speaker 2: that they can perform under pressure, They have a great passer, 571 00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:19,480 Speaker 2: rating under pressure, and I know that pressure is coming 572 00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:21,800 Speaker 2: when you play this Ohio State defense. So the fact 573 00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:23,640 Speaker 2: that I can trust them when things start to get 574 00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:25,679 Speaker 2: ugly in the pocket and be able to still deliver 575 00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:28,320 Speaker 2: throws and make plays is really really big in me. 576 00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:30,600 Speaker 2: And then saying just he doesn't have a lot of 577 00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:32,240 Speaker 2: tests like he got all right, you got the early 578 00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:33,960 Speaker 2: part of the season, you got that big game, and 579 00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:36,399 Speaker 2: you got through it okay, but you didn't look the 580 00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:38,120 Speaker 2: best in that game. And now you're gonna go play 581 00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:40,840 Speaker 2: at UW team that is really kind of licking their 582 00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:41,560 Speaker 2: shops right here, and. 583 00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:43,080 Speaker 5: They're at home. I don't know. 584 00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:45,160 Speaker 2: I don't want to back him in this road spot here, 585 00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:47,200 Speaker 2: so I'll take the points, bog. 586 00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:50,240 Speaker 3: The more I look at this game, the more I 587 00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:54,440 Speaker 3: hate it, right, and I think I gun to my head. 588 00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:57,000 Speaker 3: I would lean towards taking the points as well for 589 00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:00,000 Speaker 3: U DUB at home, but I'm just gonna stay away 590 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:02,440 Speaker 3: from this one. I think there's too many little things 591 00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:05,000 Speaker 3: in this game that I don't like. Number One, the 592 00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:07,560 Speaker 3: first thing Torell mentioned the travel right all the way 593 00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:11,359 Speaker 3: across the country, first big road test. We're saying as well, 594 00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:17,000 Speaker 3: in a weird tough environment at U DUB I don't 595 00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:20,600 Speaker 3: like the fact that Washington's strength matches up with Ohio 596 00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:24,159 Speaker 3: State strength of the defense versus Washington's offense. So I 597 00:28:24,200 --> 00:28:28,600 Speaker 3: don't like that for the Huskies because I just I 598 00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:31,400 Speaker 3: don't Their strength is to score a bunch of points 599 00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:33,960 Speaker 3: and win by leaning on the points and forcing you 600 00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:36,480 Speaker 3: to pass. They're not going to do that to Ohio State, 601 00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:40,080 Speaker 3: so I think Ohio State wins. I think this is 602 00:28:40,080 --> 00:28:45,200 Speaker 3: a low scoring, gross game. But because of one of 603 00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:47,280 Speaker 3: the first things Trell said, neither one of these teams 604 00:28:47,320 --> 00:28:50,080 Speaker 3: has been tested, right, like strength and schedules batter to 605 00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:55,600 Speaker 3: both dayas. That's one really tough game. They played Texas. 606 00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:59,520 Speaker 3: They played Texas, but their offense only put up fourteen 607 00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:02,720 Speaker 3: points in that game, so this is another road game. 608 00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:05,040 Speaker 3: But I also don't think like it's not fair because 609 00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:08,800 Speaker 3: Washington's defense is no one's Texas defense, right their offense 610 00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:11,840 Speaker 3: was bad, so whatever, But uh, I don't know that 611 00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:13,960 Speaker 3: either one of these teams has been properly tested. Again, 612 00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:15,760 Speaker 3: I know Sayan hasn't been tested on the road, and 613 00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:17,840 Speaker 3: I don't know what he has, So I'm just gonna 614 00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:20,960 Speaker 3: skip this game altogether. No bet for me, I don't. 615 00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,640 Speaker 1: Have any props because I don't have anything that resembles 616 00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:26,320 Speaker 1: an Ohio State Buckeye in my house or anywhere near 617 00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:28,520 Speaker 1: my house. But I am going with with the Buckeyes 618 00:29:28,520 --> 00:29:30,280 Speaker 1: here on the alt line minus six and a half, 619 00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:33,680 Speaker 1: got that to minus one nineteen boosted and look man like, 620 00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:36,640 Speaker 1: I just don't think Washington even at full strength with 621 00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:40,480 Speaker 1: a sixty second ranked passing defense against the one hundred 622 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:43,840 Speaker 1: and twenty seventh ranked strength of schedule. Nonetheless, we'll be 623 00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:46,959 Speaker 1: able to keep up with Jeremiah Smith, Carnell Tate, Brandon 624 00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:49,200 Speaker 1: Innis Like this is an elite group of wide receivers. 625 00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:51,560 Speaker 1: Heartline is gonna have him dialed up here two weeks repair. 626 00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:54,720 Speaker 1: And you know, Terrell, you're always, you know, kind of 627 00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:57,680 Speaker 1: fading these young quarterbacks in big spots. I get sayings 628 00:29:57,720 --> 00:29:59,760 Speaker 1: on the road here. But Demon Williams, this is his 629 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:02,520 Speaker 1: just second big ten start. How'd that first one go 630 00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:05,200 Speaker 1: for him? Well, he got blown out face in Oregon 631 00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:08,440 Speaker 1: last year. So I'm just running away from it, man 632 00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:11,280 Speaker 1: like I'm running away from Washington. I'm gonna hold down 633 00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:13,840 Speaker 1: the fort here with Ohio State. I think they're as 634 00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:16,480 Speaker 1: good as they can be so it's Ohio State for me. 635 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:20,120 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead, though, Let's shift to Texas station, where 636 00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:22,760 Speaker 1: we see no line movement on the spread. The number 637 00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:25,040 Speaker 1: nine Texas A and m Aggie's are still favored by 638 00:30:25,040 --> 00:30:27,320 Speaker 1: six and a half points over the Auburn Tigers, and 639 00:30:27,680 --> 00:30:29,959 Speaker 1: the total is starting to push up a little bit, 640 00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,640 Speaker 1: where fifty three points is available if you want that 641 00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:36,200 Speaker 1: under In terms of injuries, though, Auburn's starting cornerback Jay 642 00:30:36,240 --> 00:30:40,400 Speaker 1: Crawford he's questionable. A and M's linebacker Scooby Williams, he's questionable. 643 00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:43,880 Speaker 1: Free safety Bryce Anderson he'll be out after a really 644 00:30:43,960 --> 00:30:47,680 Speaker 1: really scary collision there against Notre Dame. BP projections are 645 00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:50,880 Speaker 1: again shading towards the underdog, putting this line at four 646 00:30:50,960 --> 00:30:53,880 Speaker 1: and a half. Boggs, will you remain fading the Tigers 647 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:54,840 Speaker 1: despite hearing. 648 00:30:54,600 --> 00:30:58,520 Speaker 3: This, I don't really want to sign. I think I 649 00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:01,520 Speaker 3: would actually take the points because because this is like 650 00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:04,800 Speaker 3: the ultimate an M letdown spot of now that everyone 651 00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:08,360 Speaker 3: thinks they're national title contender because they win and beat 652 00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:10,640 Speaker 3: Notre Dame on the road. Now they lose this game. 653 00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:14,560 Speaker 3: That's that's an ultimate an M move if you ask me. 654 00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:17,040 Speaker 3: But I am completely biased, but I like the over 655 00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:19,560 Speaker 3: in this game. This is all about the Texas A 656 00:31:19,600 --> 00:31:21,840 Speaker 3: and M defense to me, and the way they've been playing. 657 00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:26,880 Speaker 3: They're at home here, but the low points allowed is 658 00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:30,520 Speaker 3: twenty two points to Utah State, twenty four to UTSA, 659 00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:33,560 Speaker 3: and then forty to Notre Dame. Maybe two weeks to 660 00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:36,360 Speaker 3: prep for this Auburn team improves the defense, but the 661 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:40,120 Speaker 3: Aggie's grade one hundred and twenty fourth in tackle grade. 662 00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:43,600 Speaker 3: The only P four team worse than them is Northwestern. 663 00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:48,480 Speaker 3: That's it. Nobody tackles worse than Texas A and M 664 00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:51,040 Speaker 3: outside of Northwestern in the power for Tigers are playing 665 00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:52,840 Speaker 3: with a chip after being hosed on a few calls 666 00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:56,200 Speaker 3: last week. Jackson Arnold hasn't been bad, but when is 667 00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,400 Speaker 3: he gonna really start connecting with these weapons. If he 668 00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:01,440 Speaker 3: does it here, we're gonna go way over this total. 669 00:32:01,560 --> 00:32:03,800 Speaker 3: But I just think that this A and M defense 670 00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:06,080 Speaker 3: keeps giving up points to teams that are way worse 671 00:32:06,120 --> 00:32:09,160 Speaker 3: than Auburn on offense, so I think they're going to score. 672 00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:11,320 Speaker 3: I think Auburn's gonna be able to score, so I 673 00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:13,080 Speaker 3: like a high total on this one. It's one of 674 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:14,200 Speaker 3: my favorite ones of the week. 675 00:32:14,080 --> 00:32:17,280 Speaker 1: Would you consider potentially a team over on Auburn as well, 676 00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:20,040 Speaker 1: just because I don't think we really know what A 677 00:32:20,120 --> 00:32:22,880 Speaker 1: and M's offense can do against a pretty good defense 678 00:32:23,280 --> 00:32:25,800 Speaker 1: like Auburn. I mean, obviously Notre Dames defense's cheeks. 679 00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:30,200 Speaker 3: I don't hate it, but I'll say, like, I just 680 00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:32,800 Speaker 3: don't know what is Jackson arl gonna look like in 681 00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:35,680 Speaker 3: college station, right, So that's a tough place to play, 682 00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:37,760 Speaker 3: and he didn't look good at Oklahoma last week. So 683 00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:42,760 Speaker 3: I probably avoid team totals, but I like the over Trell. 684 00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:45,320 Speaker 1: So we know that Arnold does have just a bevy 685 00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:48,200 Speaker 1: of weapons as disupposed, He's got Coleman, He's got Singleton 686 00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:50,360 Speaker 1: Junior as well. Will that be enough to put him 687 00:32:50,520 --> 00:32:52,160 Speaker 1: over the top here against the actions? 688 00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:53,200 Speaker 5: Not at all. 689 00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:56,360 Speaker 2: I have to tell you, I'm very, very disappointed here. 690 00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:58,680 Speaker 2: This is what we like to call a dream crusher 691 00:32:58,720 --> 00:33:02,920 Speaker 2: spot and gave everything they had in that game last week. 692 00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:06,760 Speaker 5: They took the league. They took the league. 693 00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:13,960 Speaker 2: And immediately touchdown giving up I think it was six 694 00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,160 Speaker 2: plays immediate touchdown giving up. 695 00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:18,840 Speaker 5: I mean A and M went on the road. 696 00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:22,280 Speaker 2: First of all, they got the buy afterwards, We're not 697 00:33:22,360 --> 00:33:24,600 Speaker 2: worried about the Notre Dame game. That's over and done with. 698 00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:27,000 Speaker 2: We've partied enough and we've had enough. We are a 699 00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:30,680 Speaker 2: lot back into football right here. Elko's gonna have this 700 00:33:30,800 --> 00:33:33,320 Speaker 2: team ready. I don't think it was more of the 701 00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:35,200 Speaker 2: defense of Texas A and M. And I think it 702 00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:37,960 Speaker 2: was more of the offensive Notre Dame. And the offensive 703 00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:40,080 Speaker 2: Notre Dame was really really good in Texas A and 704 00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:42,280 Speaker 2: M went out there and made plays. Texas A and 705 00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,040 Speaker 2: M makes a lot of big plays. What does Auburn 706 00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:48,160 Speaker 2: have issues doing stopping big plays? That's why Baylor was 707 00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:49,840 Speaker 2: in that game against them in the first game of 708 00:33:49,840 --> 00:33:53,040 Speaker 2: the season because they could not stop big plays. Why 709 00:33:53,040 --> 00:33:55,360 Speaker 2: did they lose that game last week? Because they couldn't 710 00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:58,320 Speaker 2: stop big plays. Like I think that you go out 711 00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:00,000 Speaker 2: here and you have this Texas A and M team 712 00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:02,480 Speaker 2: that is rested, you have an Auburn team that is 713 00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:05,560 Speaker 2: now going back to back road spot to Texas A 714 00:34:05,600 --> 00:34:08,319 Speaker 2: and M. To play this game after having that game 715 00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:12,239 Speaker 2: against Oklahoma the week before, and Arnold playing against his 716 00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:14,280 Speaker 2: old team and all of that, it's too much. 717 00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:15,200 Speaker 5: It's way too much. 718 00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:16,759 Speaker 2: You're gonna look up and by the time you get 719 00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:18,719 Speaker 2: to the fourth quarter, it's gonna be a three score game. 720 00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:21,799 Speaker 2: Give me Texas A and M. I am all over 721 00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:23,719 Speaker 2: Texas A and M. I think Auburn will have some 722 00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:26,879 Speaker 2: fight in them, maybe maybe for three quarters, but by 723 00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:29,600 Speaker 2: the time we're in that fourth quarter, it's over. Texas 724 00:34:29,640 --> 00:34:32,279 Speaker 2: A and M is already rolling the covering. I like 725 00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:33,560 Speaker 2: them laying six and a half? 726 00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:37,400 Speaker 1: Does does Marcel Reed enter the Heisman conversation here? If 727 00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:40,440 Speaker 1: they be next week? 728 00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:43,080 Speaker 2: This is a pleaser situation. If you told me you 729 00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:45,759 Speaker 2: took a six point pleaser here, Texas A and M 730 00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:48,160 Speaker 2: lane twelve and a half. They went by two scores. 731 00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:50,480 Speaker 2: I could see that. I could absolutely see that. So 732 00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:53,440 Speaker 2: maybe maybe Reed is the favorite next week. And then 733 00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:55,560 Speaker 2: you know, I'm looking to fade Texas A and M 734 00:34:55,560 --> 00:34:57,399 Speaker 2: when they go up against Mississippi State. 735 00:34:57,560 --> 00:34:59,839 Speaker 5: But we'll see, all right. 736 00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:01,960 Speaker 1: Well, if you want a chance to score this, signed 737 00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:05,560 Speaker 1: Alvin Kamaras Saints helmet for free courtesy of our friends 738 00:35:05,640 --> 00:35:08,600 Speaker 1: over at Pristineauction dot com, all you need to do 739 00:35:08,680 --> 00:35:12,040 Speaker 1: is head to bettingpros dot com slash contest, complete the 740 00:35:12,120 --> 00:35:15,440 Speaker 1: form and either a download the Betting Pros app b 741 00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:18,480 Speaker 1: leave a review for the betting Pros podcast or see 742 00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:21,759 Speaker 1: subscribe on our socials. We're at Betting Pros on X 743 00:35:21,800 --> 00:35:25,440 Speaker 1: and TikTok and at Betting Pros NFL on the Instagram. 744 00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:28,120 Speaker 1: The more actions you complete, the more entries you're going 745 00:35:28,160 --> 00:35:30,520 Speaker 1: to receive, and we will be announcing a winner right 746 00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:33,040 Speaker 1: here on the program. So make sure you ring that 747 00:35:33,120 --> 00:35:35,319 Speaker 1: bell so you can be alerted when new episodes are 748 00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:37,239 Speaker 1: up and to claim your prize if you are that 749 00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:40,880 Speaker 1: lucky winner. Let's head down to the land of my 750 00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:45,000 Speaker 1: people in Starkville. The line has moved to a point 751 00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:48,200 Speaker 1: where Mississippi State they are now seven and a half 752 00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:52,560 Speaker 1: point home dogs against the number fifteenth ranked Tennessee Volunteers. 753 00:35:52,680 --> 00:35:56,560 Speaker 1: Last week, Tennessee had all three starting defensive linemen and 754 00:35:56,680 --> 00:36:01,560 Speaker 1: two starting cornerbacks out against UA. We have no update 755 00:36:01,640 --> 00:36:03,600 Speaker 1: right now on if they will be up for this 756 00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:08,000 Speaker 1: game Mississippi State. Meanwhile, they have their starting linebacker Darien Goulett. 757 00:36:08,200 --> 00:36:12,279 Speaker 1: He is questionable after missing week four. BP projections are 758 00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:15,239 Speaker 1: really liking Tennessee in the spot, putting this closer to 759 00:36:15,560 --> 00:36:18,000 Speaker 1: a line of nine points. Bogs, do you have a 760 00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:19,960 Speaker 1: play in this SEC clash? 761 00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:22,879 Speaker 3: I tell you what. The more I look at this 762 00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:27,000 Speaker 3: game the more. I kind of like a Mississippi State 763 00:36:27,080 --> 00:36:31,480 Speaker 3: money line is unlike here, and I'm at least gonna 764 00:36:31,520 --> 00:36:33,920 Speaker 3: take the points. I don't think that plus two forty 765 00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:36,759 Speaker 3: is worth it on a money line play for Mississippi 766 00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:39,640 Speaker 3: State against Tennessee. If it got a little bit better, 767 00:36:39,640 --> 00:36:42,760 Speaker 3: I would, but I'll splash the line the money line 768 00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:45,400 Speaker 3: a little bit, maybe a little bit more than a sprinkle, 769 00:36:45,560 --> 00:36:48,759 Speaker 3: just to see. But I think the one thing that 770 00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:52,360 Speaker 3: Mississippi State has shown that they do really well. And again, 771 00:36:52,880 --> 00:36:54,959 Speaker 3: you know this is early in the season. Their strength 772 00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:57,040 Speaker 3: of schedule isn't great. It's been Arizona State and a 773 00:36:57,040 --> 00:36:59,680 Speaker 3: bunch of nobody's right, but they have played in past 774 00:36:59,680 --> 00:37:03,279 Speaker 3: Protech very very well. The coverage is great at Mississippi State. 775 00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:07,560 Speaker 3: So they're eighteenth and ten plus yard passing plays allowed. 776 00:37:08,160 --> 00:37:11,760 Speaker 3: They've only allowed one passing play over thirty yards this season. 777 00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:14,160 Speaker 3: So I think you see a lot of those explosives 778 00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:18,279 Speaker 3: that we've seen from Brazil and Aguilar and all these 779 00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:20,520 Speaker 3: guys kind of mixing here. I think those are just 780 00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:23,560 Speaker 3: lessened a little bit. They've thrived off those big plays. 781 00:37:23,560 --> 00:37:26,799 Speaker 3: Tennessee has fifty four plays of ten plus yards, which 782 00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:29,080 Speaker 3: is tied for fourth in the country. I think this 783 00:37:29,120 --> 00:37:31,640 Speaker 3: is where they're gonna get slowed down. I remember Stockton 784 00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:34,960 Speaker 3: didn't look good until he played Tennessee in Shapin's already 785 00:37:34,960 --> 00:37:38,160 Speaker 3: on fire, So I like this one to be kind 786 00:37:38,200 --> 00:37:41,200 Speaker 3: of a point for points shootout between these teams. I 787 00:37:41,239 --> 00:37:43,560 Speaker 3: love this home field advantage that we saw from Starkville 788 00:37:43,600 --> 00:37:46,560 Speaker 3: against Arizona State. They've already kind of been a little 789 00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:51,160 Speaker 3: tested there. Obviously, Tennessee just lost a close one to Georgia, 790 00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:53,160 Speaker 3: so they really need this game. But this is a 791 00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:55,960 Speaker 3: tough road environment. I'm at least taking the points with 792 00:37:56,080 --> 00:37:59,680 Speaker 3: Mississippi State, and I, like I said, I'm gonna splash 793 00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:02,239 Speaker 3: the money line on Mississippi State and just to see 794 00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:05,680 Speaker 3: so kind of a riskier, all way riskier play there. 795 00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:07,879 Speaker 3: Like I said, I don't really love it at plus 796 00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:10,719 Speaker 3: two forty, but I think there's a chance for Mississippi 797 00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:11,359 Speaker 3: State to win this one. 798 00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:13,680 Speaker 1: Out right troll you missed it on the Early Line 799 00:38:13,719 --> 00:38:16,120 Speaker 1: show this week, but I said, if I ever had 800 00:38:16,120 --> 00:38:17,719 Speaker 1: to go to an SEC school, I think I would 801 00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:19,440 Speaker 1: go to Mississippi State. There are more of the blue 802 00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:23,839 Speaker 1: collar working class of the Southeastern Conference. So these are 803 00:38:23,840 --> 00:38:24,839 Speaker 1: my people don't. 804 00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:30,000 Speaker 2: We should also point out, because we didn't last episode, 805 00:38:30,040 --> 00:38:32,839 Speaker 2: but two episodes ago when I had my Mississippi rant, 806 00:38:32,840 --> 00:38:36,640 Speaker 2: there were Mississippians that were in the Commons that were 807 00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:40,520 Speaker 2: agreeing that there's nothing there and all their people go 808 00:38:41,080 --> 00:38:46,680 Speaker 2: and outsource their talents elsewhere. And so with that, I mean, 809 00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:49,520 Speaker 2: they have nothing else going on, you might as well 810 00:38:49,600 --> 00:38:51,719 Speaker 2: show up for the Tennessee game. What else is going 811 00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:55,440 Speaker 2: on around that time and anywhere near Stark Vegas, Like, 812 00:38:55,520 --> 00:38:58,480 Speaker 2: come on, so I'm all over Mississippi State here. I 813 00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:01,440 Speaker 2: take them plus the points. I'm gonna fade this Tennessee 814 00:39:01,440 --> 00:39:04,120 Speaker 2: team going on the road. You got Agalar first game 815 00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:06,080 Speaker 2: on the road, and I think this is kind of 816 00:39:06,120 --> 00:39:08,920 Speaker 2: a little bit of a spot for them, Like this 817 00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:11,439 Speaker 2: is a really big game and you're trying to set 818 00:39:11,440 --> 00:39:14,640 Speaker 2: yourself right and you're still like two weeks remove, you're 819 00:39:14,680 --> 00:39:17,120 Speaker 2: still kind of feeling that Georgia loss, Like you're still 820 00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:19,080 Speaker 2: really kind of feeling it. Now you're going on the road, 821 00:39:19,440 --> 00:39:22,040 Speaker 2: and like Bob said, the defense from Missippi State has 822 00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:24,800 Speaker 2: been playing really solid. They haven't been allowing a big 823 00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:28,440 Speaker 2: explosive plays. But guess who has Tennessee. Guess who can 824 00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:32,640 Speaker 2: create big plays. Mississippi State four point three two percent 825 00:39:32,719 --> 00:39:36,759 Speaker 2: big time throw percentage opposed to Tennessee only at two 826 00:39:36,800 --> 00:39:39,239 Speaker 2: point four to two percent. So if I'm sitting here 827 00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:41,160 Speaker 2: and I'm looking at it, and I think, hey, this 828 00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:43,759 Speaker 2: Mississippi State team just needs a couple of throws, a 829 00:39:43,760 --> 00:39:46,120 Speaker 2: couple of ball to bounce their way a few times, 830 00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:48,440 Speaker 2: they can find themselves in the game. But to get 831 00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:50,640 Speaker 2: an outright win, they just need the ball to bounce 832 00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:52,959 Speaker 2: their way a few times. And I already was down 833 00:39:53,040 --> 00:39:56,319 Speaker 2: on Tennessee overall this year, so if they take an 834 00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:02,439 Speaker 2: unforetold loss here, I wouldn't be surprised. So yeah, give 835 00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:04,439 Speaker 2: me the Mississippi State team and get it done. Plus 836 00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:06,160 Speaker 2: points sprinkle on the money line. 837 00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:09,040 Speaker 1: Hey, I'd be here for with it. Man, when Niko 838 00:40:09,120 --> 00:40:11,040 Speaker 1: is still on this team. I got a really nice 839 00:40:11,040 --> 00:40:14,440 Speaker 1: plus money Tennessee under nine and a half season win total, 840 00:40:14,719 --> 00:40:16,400 Speaker 1: so I don't need much to get us there. But 841 00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:18,000 Speaker 1: you know, a little bit of an upset here in 842 00:40:18,040 --> 00:40:22,279 Speaker 1: Starkville would certainly pay forward towards that bet. Next up, 843 00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:24,640 Speaker 1: we've got the white Out in Happy Valley where the 844 00:40:24,719 --> 00:40:27,080 Speaker 1: number three Penn State Nitey Lions for main three and 845 00:40:27,120 --> 00:40:30,560 Speaker 1: a half point favorites against the number six Oregon Ducks 846 00:40:30,560 --> 00:40:33,359 Speaker 1: coming to town. Not a ton of injuries to note here. 847 00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:37,080 Speaker 1: Oregon starting running back No Winnington he remains questionable but 848 00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:40,879 Speaker 1: is expected to play after missing last week's contest Penn 849 00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:44,720 Speaker 1: State mostly fully healthy coming off the buye here. BP 850 00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:47,399 Speaker 1: projections have this closer to a pick them and give 851 00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:49,920 Speaker 1: the Ducks a sixty one percent chance to cover this 852 00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:53,200 Speaker 1: spread trail? Are you rolling with Dan Lanning and company 853 00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:56,360 Speaker 1: coming into Happy Valley in a massive road spot? 854 00:40:56,800 --> 00:40:59,400 Speaker 5: All right? Seph? Like if they lose this game, like 855 00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:02,160 Speaker 5: you got it like deer mouse. 856 00:41:02,520 --> 00:41:05,680 Speaker 2: You've got at this point and now I'm learning you 857 00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:06,600 Speaker 2: didn't even go there? 858 00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:09,359 Speaker 5: You really gotta reconsider the fan hoods. 859 00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:12,480 Speaker 1: I worked there? Does that count for anything? I worked? 860 00:41:13,360 --> 00:41:17,239 Speaker 5: Yes? What's the record? What's I didn't even I don't 861 00:41:17,239 --> 00:41:20,080 Speaker 5: even have it? What's James Franklin record in big time games? Again? Oh? 862 00:41:20,080 --> 00:41:21,040 Speaker 5: And a million? Like? 863 00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:23,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's not great? 864 00:41:25,080 --> 00:41:28,200 Speaker 2: How we I? I want to sit here and say 865 00:41:28,239 --> 00:41:30,080 Speaker 2: that Dante More is gonna be like a deer in 866 00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:32,279 Speaker 2: headlights when he goes into Happy Valley and he sees 867 00:41:32,320 --> 00:41:35,479 Speaker 2: the sea of white, just overtaking everything and he goes 868 00:41:35,520 --> 00:41:38,880 Speaker 2: out there and there's a few turnovers, the offense doesn't 869 00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:39,600 Speaker 2: look as good. 870 00:41:40,120 --> 00:41:43,400 Speaker 5: This is gonna be the real, real first push. I 871 00:41:43,600 --> 00:41:44,279 Speaker 5: really have it. 872 00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:49,160 Speaker 2: I mean's been playing all year, they've been dominating all year, 873 00:41:49,239 --> 00:41:52,040 Speaker 2: and I haven't liked anything I've seen from over there. 874 00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:54,240 Speaker 2: It's just a little bit of pit in my stomach 875 00:41:54,320 --> 00:41:56,520 Speaker 2: that says, oh, don't trust Oregon when it gets to 876 00:41:56,560 --> 00:41:59,640 Speaker 2: a big game. But I know not to trust James 877 00:41:59,680 --> 00:42:04,400 Speaker 2: Franklin in a big game. So I'm gonna support you. 878 00:42:04,960 --> 00:42:08,719 Speaker 2: I will because I like you, close your eyes. We 879 00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:13,080 Speaker 2: are take Penn State. But I mean, if Landing comes 880 00:42:13,120 --> 00:42:15,759 Speaker 2: out here and coaches and out coaches Franklin, I'm not 881 00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:17,680 Speaker 2: gonna be surprised. And if people want to listen to 882 00:42:17,719 --> 00:42:20,520 Speaker 2: this and fade it because I don't sound confident in 883 00:42:20,560 --> 00:42:21,480 Speaker 2: this pick, I don't. 884 00:42:22,000 --> 00:42:22,440 Speaker 5: I don't. 885 00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:25,040 Speaker 2: I will never sound confident in a James Franklin pick. 886 00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:28,000 Speaker 2: But unfortunately, the travel spot is a big spot. I 887 00:42:28,040 --> 00:42:30,359 Speaker 2: really do think that this Penn State team is pretty good. 888 00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:32,799 Speaker 2: They're looking for blood from last year. So if they're 889 00:42:32,800 --> 00:42:35,680 Speaker 2: ever gonna win finally a big game, I guess now 890 00:42:35,760 --> 00:42:36,160 Speaker 2: is the time. 891 00:42:36,200 --> 00:42:42,439 Speaker 3: But yeah, box uh, look I was right four and twenty. Yeah, 892 00:42:42,600 --> 00:42:47,319 Speaker 3: against top ten teams. It's James Franklin's record. So everything 893 00:42:47,480 --> 00:42:51,120 Speaker 3: in my gut says Penn State wins this game. They're 894 00:42:51,280 --> 00:42:53,919 Speaker 3: at home, they're coming off a bye, it's a wide out, 895 00:42:53,960 --> 00:42:57,920 Speaker 3: it's a night game, hostile environment. You had your guys 896 00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:00,680 Speaker 3: come back that could have gone to the NFL for 897 00:43:01,160 --> 00:43:06,040 Speaker 3: this game. So I'll pick Penn State. But I am 898 00:43:06,080 --> 00:43:09,560 Speaker 3: picking Penn State with the exact same confidence. 899 00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:13,440 Speaker 5: Has so yeah, I'm not I'm not speaking. I'm not 900 00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:16,840 Speaker 5: letting that way. I was really hoping Bogs will change. 901 00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:18,040 Speaker 5: I'm going to Oregon. 902 00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:19,200 Speaker 1: Do you know who I'm picking? 903 00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:28,839 Speaker 3: Yeah, BP, BP says Oregon straight up, by a lot 904 00:43:28,840 --> 00:43:31,120 Speaker 3: of a lot of the systems I've seen. I've seen 905 00:43:31,120 --> 00:43:34,920 Speaker 3: our taken Oregon too. But like I said, every other 906 00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:38,840 Speaker 3: factor outside of James Franklin pass says Penn State should 907 00:43:38,880 --> 00:43:42,640 Speaker 3: win this game. I will not bet it with my 908 00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:45,759 Speaker 3: money or your money or anybody else's, though. I will 909 00:43:45,800 --> 00:43:49,440 Speaker 3: watch this game, and at the same time I'll be 910 00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:52,080 Speaker 3: putting my game in the Georgia and Bama game. We'll 911 00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:52,799 Speaker 3: get to that side. 912 00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:56,279 Speaker 2: I think if you lose this game, well, because people 913 00:43:56,280 --> 00:43:57,640 Speaker 2: don't fire coaches anymore. 914 00:43:57,680 --> 00:44:02,680 Speaker 3: But like, no, no, because because what is what is the. 915 00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:03,319 Speaker 5: End goal here? 916 00:44:03,480 --> 00:44:05,319 Speaker 2: Is it just to be a really solid team every 917 00:44:05,400 --> 00:44:09,120 Speaker 2: year and you know, give and to give that little 918 00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:11,759 Speaker 2: bit of hope if he loses this game, you you 919 00:44:11,880 --> 00:44:14,719 Speaker 2: know you're not winning a championship, Like you know that's 920 00:44:14,800 --> 00:44:15,440 Speaker 2: not happening. 921 00:44:16,040 --> 00:44:20,279 Speaker 1: Whoa, I mean, it's a long season. We last year. 922 00:44:22,080 --> 00:44:24,120 Speaker 2: We're going to come back in the playoffs and have 923 00:44:24,200 --> 00:44:25,400 Speaker 2: this same discussion. 924 00:44:26,160 --> 00:44:27,319 Speaker 5: He's gonna lose that game. 925 00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:30,799 Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, I keep hearing this saying though, like if 926 00:44:30,800 --> 00:44:33,479 Speaker 3: not now win, if not now win, like what. 927 00:44:33,480 --> 00:44:35,960 Speaker 5: Sometimes it's never like sometimes it's just never. 928 00:44:36,800 --> 00:44:39,080 Speaker 3: Yeah right, sometimes it is never. 929 00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:40,200 Speaker 5: I'm definitely on Oregon. 930 00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:45,160 Speaker 1: So for me, uh fiance out of town this weekend, 931 00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:48,560 Speaker 1: got the boys coming in looking forward to this one. 932 00:44:48,600 --> 00:44:50,319 Speaker 1: A lot of beers will be draink a lot of 933 00:44:50,520 --> 00:44:53,640 Speaker 1: you know, dark years on the porch in anticipation for 934 00:44:53,680 --> 00:44:57,799 Speaker 1: this one. I am taking the Penn State team alt 935 00:44:57,880 --> 00:44:59,879 Speaker 1: line on the over twenty four and a half points, 936 00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:03,840 Speaker 1: this minus one ten boosted. I think this is the 937 00:45:03,840 --> 00:45:06,520 Speaker 1: play here Penn State. While we do have question marks 938 00:45:06,520 --> 00:45:09,520 Speaker 1: about how their defense will hold up against Oregon because 939 00:45:09,520 --> 00:45:12,240 Speaker 1: they have not played anyone. That was my biggest concern 940 00:45:12,440 --> 00:45:15,000 Speaker 1: when we talked talked on Monday about this game. Bogman, 941 00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:17,960 Speaker 1: you know, we've played bottom level FBS teams, a bunch 942 00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:20,600 Speaker 1: of FCS teams coming into this one. But Penn State 943 00:45:20,680 --> 00:45:23,919 Speaker 1: has hit this total in thirteen of sixteen games last 944 00:45:23,920 --> 00:45:26,880 Speaker 1: season and three of three games this season. I also 945 00:45:26,920 --> 00:45:28,960 Speaker 1: think they have two weeks to get prepared. We know 946 00:45:29,200 --> 00:45:31,480 Speaker 1: total Nikki is one of the best play callers and 947 00:45:31,560 --> 00:45:34,759 Speaker 1: scheme preparers in the entire country. I think give them 948 00:45:34,760 --> 00:45:37,360 Speaker 1: two weeks to prepare for this Oregon defense, he'll have 949 00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:39,200 Speaker 1: something up his sleeve. I don't know if it's a 950 00:45:39,200 --> 00:45:41,800 Speaker 1: trick play. I don't know if it's getting Penya a 951 00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:44,000 Speaker 1: little more involved than he's been lately. I don't know 952 00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:46,880 Speaker 1: what it is, but I think Penn State does score 953 00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:49,200 Speaker 1: points in this one. I think they get over that 954 00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:51,160 Speaker 1: twenty four and a half points. So that's where I'm 955 00:45:51,200 --> 00:45:52,880 Speaker 1: going on this one. I don't have to play on 956 00:45:52,920 --> 00:45:55,040 Speaker 1: the official the betting public is I. 957 00:45:55,040 --> 00:45:59,440 Speaker 3: Kind of want to flip to Oregon. Now what I'm 958 00:45:59,480 --> 00:46:01,040 Speaker 3: gonna stick. I'm gonna stick to Penn State. 959 00:46:01,120 --> 00:46:04,280 Speaker 2: Okay, this game, like, is there a lot of people 960 00:46:04,360 --> 00:46:05,960 Speaker 2: that are going out there and putting mening on Penn 961 00:46:06,000 --> 00:46:06,759 Speaker 2: State in a big game. 962 00:46:08,719 --> 00:46:10,880 Speaker 5: Interesting. I would love to see where that where that 963 00:46:11,040 --> 00:46:11,800 Speaker 5: is on Saturday. 964 00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:17,640 Speaker 3: It hasn't moved. I'm gonna guess it's towards towards Oregon. 965 00:46:17,719 --> 00:46:19,400 Speaker 5: Like people have to believe it now. 966 00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:21,520 Speaker 3: Dante Moore's first big game two on the road. 967 00:46:21,560 --> 00:46:23,560 Speaker 1: I bet it's pretty split, man. I mean, this line 968 00:46:23,600 --> 00:46:25,319 Speaker 1: has not moved at all since it opened at three 969 00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:27,600 Speaker 1: and a half, and it opened earlier last week too, 970 00:46:27,680 --> 00:46:30,200 Speaker 1: So like, I just don't think that this is one 971 00:46:30,280 --> 00:46:32,480 Speaker 1: going in in one way or the other. I'll tell 972 00:46:32,480 --> 00:46:34,360 Speaker 1: you right now, every time I get on a sportsbook 973 00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:37,120 Speaker 1: here in Pennsylvania, it wants me to bet this game. 974 00:46:37,200 --> 00:46:39,879 Speaker 1: It is telling me most popular you know game bet 975 00:46:39,920 --> 00:46:42,520 Speaker 1: in your area right now it's Oregon Penn State. So uh, 976 00:46:42,600 --> 00:46:44,200 Speaker 1: I can tell you a lot of money from this 977 00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:47,080 Speaker 1: particular part of the state coming in on Penn State, 978 00:46:47,120 --> 00:46:49,080 Speaker 1: but across the nation couldn't tell you where it's going. 979 00:46:49,360 --> 00:46:51,920 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead, tho. Let's round out the program in Athens, 980 00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:54,600 Speaker 1: where we've seen zero line movement in this game this 981 00:46:54,719 --> 00:46:57,680 Speaker 1: week as well. Oddsmakers currently have the fifth rank Georgia 982 00:46:57,719 --> 00:47:00,440 Speaker 1: Bulldogs as two and a half point favorites over the 983 00:47:00,560 --> 00:47:03,960 Speaker 1: Alabama Crimson Tide, but the total is down to fifty 984 00:47:03,960 --> 00:47:07,319 Speaker 1: two flat as well. Some positive news for Alabama on 985 00:47:07,360 --> 00:47:10,480 Speaker 1: the injury front. They welcome back running back Jam Miller 986 00:47:10,560 --> 00:47:13,640 Speaker 1: and defensive lineman Tim Keenan, who are set to make 987 00:47:13,680 --> 00:47:17,640 Speaker 1: their season debuts on Saturday. Meanwhile, Georgia's right side of 988 00:47:17,680 --> 00:47:21,080 Speaker 1: their offensive line banged up. They got Jan Gatson and 989 00:47:21,360 --> 00:47:25,120 Speaker 1: Ernest Green the third both questionable after not finishing the 990 00:47:25,160 --> 00:47:28,760 Speaker 1: game against Tennessee. BP projections have this as a stay 991 00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:31,720 Speaker 1: away as they're right on the offered line. So Boggs, 992 00:47:31,920 --> 00:47:33,360 Speaker 1: do you have a play in this spot? Or is 993 00:47:33,360 --> 00:47:35,360 Speaker 1: this another one where Hey, let's kick our feed up. 994 00:47:35,400 --> 00:47:37,440 Speaker 1: Let's take that sleeping pill and get to bed early 995 00:47:38,280 --> 00:47:39,720 Speaker 1: for that Steelers game the next morning. 996 00:47:40,239 --> 00:47:43,440 Speaker 3: My favorite bet of the week is going to be 997 00:47:43,520 --> 00:47:47,359 Speaker 3: the over, wow in this Georgia versus Alabama game. And 998 00:47:47,400 --> 00:47:50,040 Speaker 3: you and I spoke about this on Monday, right and 999 00:47:50,080 --> 00:47:52,359 Speaker 3: I said, I think I'm leaning towards the over. And 1000 00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:55,600 Speaker 3: you asked me, which question do you remember, Seth? What 1001 00:47:55,760 --> 00:47:56,920 Speaker 3: is the pass rush grade? 1002 00:47:57,000 --> 00:47:57,280 Speaker 1: Yes? 1003 00:47:57,360 --> 00:48:01,320 Speaker 3: And Sara dog it's one hundred in twenty eight or 1004 00:48:01,360 --> 00:48:03,080 Speaker 3: one and twenty six out of one hundred and thirty 1005 00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:07,600 Speaker 3: six teams. And I was watching PFF a couple days 1006 00:48:07,600 --> 00:48:10,400 Speaker 3: ago and they offered this stat right that George has 1007 00:48:10,400 --> 00:48:13,640 Speaker 3: been getting pressure, but most of their pressure has come 1008 00:48:13,680 --> 00:48:16,680 Speaker 3: at over three seconds, which is not good. If we 1009 00:48:16,760 --> 00:48:19,560 Speaker 3: cut this to how many pressures that they have had 1010 00:48:20,040 --> 00:48:23,440 Speaker 3: that are under three seconds, they are tied for the 1011 00:48:23,560 --> 00:48:28,600 Speaker 3: lowest total in the Power for with UCLA. Neither one 1012 00:48:28,640 --> 00:48:32,000 Speaker 3: of these teams is putting pressure on the passer at 1013 00:48:32,040 --> 00:48:35,880 Speaker 3: all right now, and I think both these defenses are beatable. 1014 00:48:36,040 --> 00:48:38,520 Speaker 3: So I like the over in this game. And I 1015 00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:41,600 Speaker 3: think we saw what happened last season as well with 1016 00:48:41,840 --> 00:48:44,080 Speaker 3: Ryan Williams going crazy in the second half of Milrose 1017 00:48:44,120 --> 00:48:47,160 Speaker 3: not even a big time passer after Georgia got the 1018 00:48:47,160 --> 00:48:50,160 Speaker 3: big lead, and Stockton didn't look good at all until 1019 00:48:50,320 --> 00:48:53,880 Speaker 3: they played Tennessee. So I think Stockton has found his rhythm. 1020 00:48:54,360 --> 00:48:56,640 Speaker 3: I think neither one of these teams is putting pressure 1021 00:48:56,640 --> 00:48:58,839 Speaker 3: on the quarterback at all. I think it's gonna be 1022 00:48:58,880 --> 00:49:00,759 Speaker 3: a high scoring back and forth with the Fairs, So 1023 00:49:00,960 --> 00:49:04,560 Speaker 3: give me the over here I would lean towards Georgia. 1024 00:49:05,120 --> 00:49:08,759 Speaker 3: It is the history of Kirby Smart. It's just too 1025 00:49:08,840 --> 00:49:12,760 Speaker 3: much there, specifically at home. But yeah, I really really 1026 00:49:12,800 --> 00:49:13,719 Speaker 3: like the over in this game. 1027 00:49:13,960 --> 00:49:17,400 Speaker 1: Scott bet the total Bogman back in action. Terrell Divo 1028 00:49:17,440 --> 00:49:18,160 Speaker 1: played for this one. 1029 00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:20,200 Speaker 5: Georgia get it done. 1030 00:49:20,200 --> 00:49:21,640 Speaker 1: Money line or ATS, I. 1031 00:49:21,600 --> 00:49:26,040 Speaker 2: Mean ats, money line everything, They'll cover the number. I'm 1032 00:49:26,120 --> 00:49:29,000 Speaker 2: still at a point where at what point when has 1033 00:49:29,200 --> 00:49:31,319 Speaker 2: Debauer showed us on tape that says that we want 1034 00:49:31,360 --> 00:49:34,640 Speaker 2: to take this Alabama team right now? This Alabama team 1035 00:49:34,719 --> 00:49:36,640 Speaker 2: is just no. This is somebody who I had as 1036 00:49:36,680 --> 00:49:39,359 Speaker 2: a national champion. I said this was the bounce back year. 1037 00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:42,480 Speaker 2: There's no part of me that wants to back Alabama 1038 00:49:42,600 --> 00:49:45,720 Speaker 2: right now. I think that right now they are broken. 1039 00:49:46,440 --> 00:49:48,840 Speaker 2: I think that the morale is low, especially when it 1040 00:49:48,880 --> 00:49:51,880 Speaker 2: comes getting around some big games, because they do this. 1041 00:49:51,880 --> 00:49:54,160 Speaker 2: This is what they did last year. Yeah, they go 1042 00:49:54,280 --> 00:49:58,279 Speaker 2: beat up on ULM. Yeah, they go beat up on Wisconsin. 1043 00:49:58,480 --> 00:50:01,720 Speaker 2: But when they play somebody with some actual substance, somebody 1044 00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:04,239 Speaker 2: that actually sits there and says, hey, I am going 1045 00:50:04,239 --> 00:50:06,279 Speaker 2: to coach this game. I am gonna go out there 1046 00:50:06,320 --> 00:50:09,000 Speaker 2: and battle, they get a game every single time. They 1047 00:50:09,000 --> 00:50:12,520 Speaker 2: even let Georgia back in that game last year, Like yeah, 1048 00:50:12,560 --> 00:50:14,640 Speaker 2: so exactly, like I'm just. 1049 00:50:14,560 --> 00:50:15,120 Speaker 5: Not a believer. 1050 00:50:16,040 --> 00:50:19,000 Speaker 2: I'm actually kind of out with him and this Alabama 1051 00:50:19,080 --> 00:50:21,000 Speaker 2: experience that I'm gonna wait for him to prove me wrong. 1052 00:50:21,160 --> 00:50:24,400 Speaker 5: So until then, give me Georgia. 1053 00:50:24,480 --> 00:50:26,120 Speaker 1: All right, let's go ahead and get out of here. 1054 00:50:26,200 --> 00:50:28,640 Speaker 1: On best bets of the week, Bogs, Is it that 1055 00:50:28,760 --> 00:50:30,040 Speaker 1: totally you just gave us? 1056 00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:33,399 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's that one, man. I really like the lack 1057 00:50:33,440 --> 00:50:36,280 Speaker 3: of passers. Now, maybe Tim Keenan is a huge addition 1058 00:50:36,800 --> 00:50:39,919 Speaker 3: for Alabama, so maybe him coming back makes a big 1059 00:50:39,920 --> 00:50:43,680 Speaker 3: difference on this line. But I don't know, man. I 1060 00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:45,360 Speaker 3: think this is gonna be a high scoring back and 1061 00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:47,120 Speaker 3: forth a fair I think both teams are gonna put 1062 00:50:47,160 --> 00:50:49,800 Speaker 3: up points. So that's my favorite bet. I'm sticking with the. 1063 00:50:49,600 --> 00:50:50,719 Speaker 1: Trail best bet for the week. 1064 00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:53,040 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take you to Friday school ahead and get 1065 00:50:53,080 --> 00:50:55,640 Speaker 2: in and out early. Give me Arizona State lay in 1066 00:50:55,640 --> 00:50:58,120 Speaker 2: two and a half here at home. I think they're 1067 00:50:58,120 --> 00:50:59,680 Speaker 2: gonna get it done. It's a rural game. You got 1068 00:51:00,120 --> 00:51:02,920 Speaker 2: ranked team going up against a ranked opponent, and they 1069 00:51:03,000 --> 00:51:07,120 Speaker 2: are the favorite. Vegas is telling you this Arizona State 1070 00:51:07,160 --> 00:51:09,440 Speaker 2: team is the side everybody's going to be right, over 1071 00:51:09,480 --> 00:51:12,680 Speaker 2: trying to get plus money with CCU. I believe Levitt 1072 00:51:12,680 --> 00:51:14,719 Speaker 2: this is the game where he gets it going on 1073 00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:18,279 Speaker 2: the ground and they are really really able to just 1074 00:51:18,360 --> 00:51:20,759 Speaker 2: impose their will on this CCU team. It's a big 1075 00:51:20,840 --> 00:51:23,240 Speaker 2: letdown spot for TCU have to win the Irish skilet 1076 00:51:23,360 --> 00:51:27,399 Speaker 2: last week, and dylanhim great coach. I think he's got 1077 00:51:27,400 --> 00:51:29,520 Speaker 2: this ASU team Rowland. I think there's still one of 1078 00:51:29,560 --> 00:51:31,759 Speaker 2: the top teams in the Big twelve. So I will 1079 00:51:31,760 --> 00:51:33,200 Speaker 2: take Arizona State Lands two and a. 1080 00:51:33,200 --> 00:51:36,319 Speaker 1: Half, okay for my best bet. I've got a two 1081 00:51:36,360 --> 00:51:39,839 Speaker 1: pack of bets one in the futures market. And we 1082 00:51:39,920 --> 00:51:43,600 Speaker 1: talked about John Mattier just going on this absolutely crazy 1083 00:51:43,680 --> 00:51:45,839 Speaker 1: journey that he's been on here in Oklahoma, that he 1084 00:51:45,880 --> 00:51:48,080 Speaker 1: looks like to be the guy for the Highs On. Well, 1085 00:51:48,120 --> 00:51:49,960 Speaker 1: it turns out not too long after the record of 1086 00:51:49,960 --> 00:51:52,719 Speaker 1: that episode he is undergoing hand surgery. He will be 1087 00:51:52,760 --> 00:51:54,960 Speaker 1: out for the foreseeable future, at least a couple of 1088 00:51:55,000 --> 00:51:57,160 Speaker 1: games here. So I think it's time to take a 1089 00:51:57,239 --> 00:51:59,960 Speaker 1: serious look at Haines king thirty to one to win 1090 00:52:00,160 --> 00:52:03,480 Speaker 1: the Heisman. Georgia Tech will be favored in seven out 1091 00:52:03,480 --> 00:52:05,799 Speaker 1: of eight remaining games. They have a clear path to 1092 00:52:05,960 --> 00:52:09,520 Speaker 1: the ACC Championship game. He is second in the ACC 1093 00:52:09,760 --> 00:52:13,279 Speaker 1: in rushing touchdowns with five in three games played. The 1094 00:52:13,360 --> 00:52:15,560 Speaker 1: Georgia Tech community, you guys have been great online. I 1095 00:52:15,560 --> 00:52:17,920 Speaker 1: tweeted this out a couple of days ago. You' all 1096 00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:22,040 Speaker 1: been fantastic, So you know, consider me here an honorary 1097 00:52:22,160 --> 00:52:25,120 Speaker 1: yellow jacket because I'm also taking the Georgia Tech minus 1098 00:52:25,160 --> 00:52:28,680 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half against Wake Forest. Wake barely beat 1099 00:52:28,719 --> 00:52:31,440 Speaker 1: Kanasas State in Week one. They lost to NC State 1100 00:52:31,760 --> 00:52:34,200 Speaker 1: by ten. Last week. They allowed two hundred and five 1101 00:52:34,280 --> 00:52:37,120 Speaker 1: rushing yards in that game to the wolf Pack, and 1102 00:52:37,120 --> 00:52:40,160 Speaker 1: in week one they also let the OUs quarterback Dexter 1103 00:52:40,160 --> 00:52:43,359 Speaker 1: Williams run fourteen times for forty four yards. I think 1104 00:52:43,400 --> 00:52:45,719 Speaker 1: Wakes defense will not be able to keep up with Tech. 1105 00:52:45,920 --> 00:52:49,239 Speaker 1: Tech is eighteenth in yards per play this season on offense, 1106 00:52:49,640 --> 00:52:51,200 Speaker 1: and when you look at the other side of this 1107 00:52:51,280 --> 00:52:54,160 Speaker 1: Wakes offense, they're one hundred and third in yards per play, 1108 00:52:54,440 --> 00:52:56,239 Speaker 1: So I don't think they can keep up with him 1109 00:52:56,560 --> 00:52:59,879 Speaker 1: any way, shape or form. So they last played into 1110 00:53:00,000 --> 00:53:02,640 Speaker 1: twenty three and met win Georgia Tech one thirty to sixteen. 1111 00:53:02,680 --> 00:53:05,759 Speaker 1: I expect even a bigger margin between these two teams 1112 00:53:05,880 --> 00:53:06,680 Speaker 1: on Saturday. 1113 00:53:07,239 --> 00:53:09,840 Speaker 5: He's buttering up. So he's buttering up to the Georgia 1114 00:53:09,880 --> 00:53:11,399 Speaker 5: Tech fans, that's all it is. 1115 00:53:12,160 --> 00:53:15,520 Speaker 3: Well, if Haines King wins the Heisman, this is going 1116 00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:18,040 Speaker 3: to be the most replayed clip that we've ever had 1117 00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:21,000 Speaker 3: on this show, right Like, if that happens, we're gonna 1118 00:53:21,000 --> 00:53:24,879 Speaker 3: have Seth with his uh you know, Alfonso Ribero dance here. 1119 00:53:24,960 --> 00:53:29,279 Speaker 3: So yeah, I think we're gonna have that everywhere. But 1120 00:53:30,280 --> 00:53:33,200 Speaker 3: look as long odds, I did almost put Georgia Tech 1121 00:53:33,280 --> 00:53:36,239 Speaker 3: in my parlay, so okay, I like that pick. 1122 00:53:36,400 --> 00:53:39,120 Speaker 1: All right, Well, there you have it for this episode 1123 00:53:39,160 --> 00:53:41,560 Speaker 1: of the Betting Pros College Football Show. It's still gonna 1124 00:53:41,560 --> 00:53:44,160 Speaker 1: come later this week and every week right here on 1125 00:53:44,280 --> 00:53:48,240 Speaker 1: the BP YouTube channel and the audio feed Bog's best bets, 1126 00:53:48,320 --> 00:53:51,840 Speaker 1: including player props and our parlay picks. Let us know 1127 00:53:52,040 --> 00:53:54,960 Speaker 1: down in the comments below your favorite week five picks, 1128 00:53:55,160 --> 00:53:57,480 Speaker 1: and while you're here, make sure you're smashing that like 1129 00:53:57,560 --> 00:54:00,520 Speaker 1: bund for more Haines Kings takes and subscribing to the channel. 1130 00:54:00,520 --> 00:54:03,279 Speaker 1: If you're new for Scott Bogman interrel Furman Junior, I'm 1131 00:54:03,320 --> 00:54:04,799 Speaker 1: Jeth Wilcock. Take care of y'all. 1132 00:54:06,000 --> 00:54:08,560 Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 1133 00:54:08,680 --> 00:54:11,000 Speaker 6: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 1134 00:54:11,040 --> 00:54:14,400 Speaker 6: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 1135 00:54:14,719 --> 00:54:17,320 Speaker 6: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 1136 00:54:17,480 --> 00:54:21,120 Speaker 6: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 1137 00:54:21,200 --> 00:54:23,640 Speaker 6: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.