WEBVTT - 20 League Winners For 2024 (EP. 774)

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros. This is the Fantasy

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<v Speaker 1>Baseball Podcast and it's made Joey p Joe pe Zapia,

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<v Speaker 1>and today we're gonna take a look at what you

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<v Speaker 1>really want to know, league winners and probably Welsh's hair.

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<v Speaker 1>If you're watching on YouTube, you'll look at the hair.

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<v Speaker 1>You look at the league winners. Nothing else matters at

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<v Speaker 1>the end of the day. So we're gonna be taking

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<v Speaker 1>a look here. Welsh has a list of ten. I

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<v Speaker 1>have a list of ten, and we're gonna go through

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<v Speaker 1>them here for you. Some of these players we've talked

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<v Speaker 1>about before, some really not so much. And we've got

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<v Speaker 1>a really interesting way of breaking this down. So all

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<v Speaker 1>of my players are going to be post one fifty

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<v Speaker 1>ADP and above. I'm talking about the guys that could

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<v Speaker 1>win you a league that you really don't see coming.

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<v Speaker 1>But Welsh is starting his somewhere around pick one hundred,

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<v Speaker 1>but he's going even deeper than mine mine stopping about

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<v Speaker 1>two seventy five. His are going well into the four hundreds.

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<v Speaker 1>So between the two of us, these are gonna be

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<v Speaker 1>twenty names that you should be targeting in your drafts.

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<v Speaker 1>Varying ADPs but really post one hundred, this is where

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<v Speaker 1>you could potentially win your league. In Welsh what we

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<v Speaker 1>always say, right, it's easy to draft, like the first

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<v Speaker 1>ten rounds, it's pretty simple. It's when we get to

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<v Speaker 1>the back end of the draft, the last six seven rounds,

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<v Speaker 1>where you could really make a difference if you're willing

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<v Speaker 1>to be patient, willing to put in the work, or

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<v Speaker 1>at the very least have us do the work for you. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>And also the idea behind league winners was very specific

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<v Speaker 2>to me and how I order these players because we've

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<v Speaker 2>done lots of varying degrees of these episodes of breakouts sleepers.

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<v Speaker 2>I would say league winners in my mind probably is

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<v Speaker 2>the close cousin to sleepers, but I have to be

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<v Speaker 2>very distinctive about it. I'll give you a prime example,

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<v Speaker 2>a player that I almost put on this when I

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<v Speaker 2>was doing it, was like Michael Waka. But Michael Waka

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<v Speaker 2>is not a league winner. I do think he can

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<v Speaker 2>be a sleeper based on his ADP. He's a player

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<v Speaker 2>that I'm drafted. There's another episode, you know, the players

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<v Speaker 2>that are on every player that's on our team. We're

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<v Speaker 2>drafting a ton of shares up. That's different. Michael Waka

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<v Speaker 2>is not a league winner, so you're going for really

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<v Speaker 2>big upside. You're going for cost that can equate to

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<v Speaker 2>this player absolutely going nuts, but it also could blow

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<v Speaker 2>up in your face a little bit. The league winner

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<v Speaker 2>is a do or die situation. And I will tell

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<v Speaker 2>you you said I have varying degrees. I probably have

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<v Speaker 2>a three hundred eightyp difference between the number one guy,

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<v Speaker 2>which we sorted this by ADP and the furthest back player.

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<v Speaker 2>But a lot of these guys are younger players, and

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<v Speaker 2>it's probably no shock that league winning players are going

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<v Speaker 2>to be players that are just buried down there that,

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<v Speaker 2>given the opportunity, without a big track record, could absolutely explode.

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<v Speaker 2>So lots of different names popped up on this list,

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<v Speaker 2>but I tried to be very specific because this guy

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<v Speaker 2>has to win me my league, So how do they

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<v Speaker 2>win the league? Right, it's no expectation to absolute blow up.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's the absolute potential for blow up, which is

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<v Speaker 1>why they're on the list now. And that we're not

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<v Speaker 1>saying all these guys are going to blow up, because

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<v Speaker 1>we've been around way too long to know that that's

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<v Speaker 1>not going to be the case. But it's about the

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<v Speaker 1>potential for that, which is really exciting. And again I

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<v Speaker 1>want to thank everybody's watched all of our coverage and

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<v Speaker 1>listen to all the shows and watch us over on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube if you haven't already subscribed to fans of ros

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<v Speaker 1>MLB Welsh. It's such a great audience we have that

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<v Speaker 1>joins us all the time. I want to tell a

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<v Speaker 1>quick story here at the top. I want to shout

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<v Speaker 1>out a buddy of mine, Jim pal of mine, who

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<v Speaker 1>was also the bus driver for my youngest daughter for

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<v Speaker 1>a few years, who is a huge fan of the

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<v Speaker 1>show and the day he put it together that I

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<v Speaker 1>was the one waiting outside the bus stop with my

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<v Speaker 1>daughter every morning, he shows me. He says, hey, is

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<v Speaker 1>this you shows me you and me on an episode

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<v Speaker 1>of Leading Off. He says, I love this show. I

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<v Speaker 1>watched the show every day. I ran to him in

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<v Speaker 1>the gym today. Guess what. He was literally watching the

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<v Speaker 1>draft between you, Me, Bogman and Kelly Kirby from the

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<v Speaker 1>Fantasy Pest Wilson, You're the best and I know a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of folks out there, and he said something to me.

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<v Speaker 1>He says, like, you guys are the most fun there

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<v Speaker 1>is in fantasy baseball, and we try to do that.

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<v Speaker 1>We try to be fun but also informative. But we're

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<v Speaker 1>trying to give you a little bit of fun because

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<v Speaker 1>the fun is important. It's fantasy baseball. It's supposed to

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<v Speaker 1>be a good time. So that's what Welsh and I

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<v Speaker 1>are here to give you. So shout out to my

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<v Speaker 1>buddy Milsa Wilson, and shout out to all the folks,

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<v Speaker 1>the Peanuts and the cracker Jacks. Because guess what. Leading

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<v Speaker 1>Off Live starts Thursday the twenty eighth. We're gonna be

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<v Speaker 1>wigging out. We cross seventeen thousand subscribers. So opening day,

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<v Speaker 1>you're getting the wigs, You're getting the mustaches. I know

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<v Speaker 1>you keep saying, and you were really excited about the muskle.

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<v Speaker 2>I like the look of the mustache. I actually gotta

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<v Speaker 2>be honest with you. I kind of like my mustache mustache, Like,

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<v Speaker 2>lie here, this is causing strife in my house and

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<v Speaker 2>this is being.

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<v Speaker 1>Saved looking sexy with the beard. Baby.

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<v Speaker 2>Ask my wife the same thing. I was like, isn't

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<v Speaker 2>this a good look? She's like no, I don't know.

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<v Speaker 1>I think she's wrong, But then again, I do have

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<v Speaker 1>to see your face in person. All right, let's get

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<v Speaker 1>to the top ten league winners and Welsh. Let's start

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<v Speaker 1>with ten through eight. The guys that made your list,

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<v Speaker 1>the ADP and why they're on this list for you.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, So here are the three players at ten. Again,

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<v Speaker 2>this is a descending ADP. This is the only player

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<v Speaker 2>outside the four hundreds. I've got Matt Manning. Now, Matt

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<v Speaker 2>Manning has increased his fastball velocity. He's finally healthy. That's

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<v Speaker 2>kind of the big key has had a phenomenal spring.

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<v Speaker 2>That's really the other thing. He's had a really great spring.

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<v Speaker 2>His fastball usually sitting around ninety three, it's been up

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<v Speaker 2>to ninety four. I think I've even seen the reports.

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<v Speaker 2>Maybe there's a splitter that's going on there. But we're

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<v Speaker 2>we're hoping that we are going to get the return

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<v Speaker 2>the thirty five percent fifth percentage slider player in twenty

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<v Speaker 2>twenty two. Everything decreased last year, but the fastball is

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<v Speaker 2>more effective. He looks more effective, and he is free.

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's him or Casey Myz that are going

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<v Speaker 2>to be the player that's going to break back out.

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<v Speaker 2>And I'm getting Casey mis had a little bit of

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<v Speaker 2>a rough spring. Ton of walks. That's not been Matt

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<v Speaker 2>Manning over eleven k per nine. He came in at

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<v Speaker 2>number ten, number eight. As a player I have talked

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<v Speaker 2>about a decent amount. It's Michael Busch with the Chicago Cubs,

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<v Speaker 2>and Michael Busch has had a decent spring. The average

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<v Speaker 2>has not been there, the strikeouts have been a little

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<v Speaker 2>bit up, but he's got two homers and two stolen bases.

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<v Speaker 2>And here's been the big key that I've been talking about.

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<v Speaker 2>Would he be able to keep his spot? Pete ko

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<v Speaker 2>Armstrong was sent down to me. That is Cody Bellinger

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<v Speaker 2>in centerfield. It's not gonna be Mike Talkman. They also

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<v Speaker 2>don't have a bunch of lefties with Michael Busch. They

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<v Speaker 2>have four lefties on the active hitting roster, so Michael

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<v Speaker 2>Bush is even more valuable there between DH and first.

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<v Speaker 2>He's going to continue to keep going. The homers are

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<v Speaker 2>going to be there. I think you can get twenty

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<v Speaker 2>five homers and is ADP eighty right now according to

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<v Speaker 2>Fantasy Pros. And I will tell you this, we are

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<v Speaker 2>doing descending order, but this player actually might be one

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<v Speaker 2>of the top league winners in all of baseball. If

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<v Speaker 2>the best case scenario works out. Victor Scott the second

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<v Speaker 2>with the Saint Louis Cardinals. Victor Scott having a great

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<v Speaker 2>spring as we're recording this, still vying for an opportunity

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<v Speaker 2>to break with the camp three point sixty seven in

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<v Speaker 2>spring an only twelve percent k rate. He's already stolen

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<v Speaker 2>four bases. Victor Scott could even lead baseball in stolen

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<v Speaker 2>bases if he starts from day one with that batting average.

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<v Speaker 2>So that's why I say you want to talk about

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<v Speaker 2>league winners. Victor Scott, if from at least day one

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<v Speaker 2>and hits around two fifty two to sixty, is going

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<v Speaker 2>to steal probably no less than fifty stolen bases. There's

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<v Speaker 2>even some home run potential in there. Victor Scott one

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<v Speaker 2>of the best league winning potential players you could draft.

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<v Speaker 2>And his ADP I actually screwed it up. He is

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<v Speaker 2>the second highest ADP three eighty seven of all players.

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<v Speaker 2>Get him. On the back end, we talk about the

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<v Speaker 2>bench player. What's the perfect bench player to take it's

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<v Speaker 2>Victor Scott especially. We all need some for stolen bases.

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<v Speaker 1>And Steve Gardner on the Fantasy Fest. You can go

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<v Speaker 1>back and listen or watch. We have all the segments

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<v Speaker 1>segmented out see what I did. They're over on YouTube,

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<v Speaker 1>from Steve Gardner to Pinowski to Ino Saras, and Steve

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<v Speaker 1>was talking about Victor Scott too for the same thing too, Hey,

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<v Speaker 1>look for cheap steals the end of the draft. You

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<v Speaker 1>don't want to go with a Sturry Ruiz or somebody

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<v Speaker 1>like that and waste draft capital. There's Victor Scott ten

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<v Speaker 1>through eight. For me, I'm gonna start with number two,

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<v Speaker 1>seventy four on the big board right now. He just

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<v Speaker 1>got sent down, but I don't care. It's Paul Skeens,

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<v Speaker 1>and I love the fact he just got sent down.

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<v Speaker 1>I didn't think it was gonna make the team. But

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<v Speaker 1>there's always that collective. Oh no, Paul Skeen's got sent down.

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<v Speaker 1>The season is six months long, Folks went back to

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<v Speaker 1>twenty ten because I think the only thing that we

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<v Speaker 1>have in recent memory that reminds me of this Paul

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<v Speaker 1>Skean situation is Steven Strasbourg. Now, I hope that Skeens

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<v Speaker 1>has a better path in his future than Steven Strasburg

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<v Speaker 1>gat However, well hope he makes as much money. I

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<v Speaker 1>that you go. But at the same point, he made

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<v Speaker 1>his debut in June that year, right, he threw sixty

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<v Speaker 1>eight innings a two ninety one era. He struck out

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<v Speaker 1>ninety two guys and walked seventeen. Now, if you're talking

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<v Speaker 1>about Layton drafts, in those you know, fifteen, sixteen, seventeen

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<v Speaker 1>rounds where people drafting Scherzer, people drafting Kershaw. Now just

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<v Speaker 1>think about this. If Paul Skeenes comes up at the

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<v Speaker 1>end of June and gives you these kind of numbers

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<v Speaker 1>down the stretch here and then eventually gets shut down

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<v Speaker 1>in September, So it might hurt you when you get

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<v Speaker 1>to playoff situations. But Welsh, those are some incredible stats

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<v Speaker 1>to give you in a sixty seventy inning span, which

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<v Speaker 1>I think he can give you elite level numbers there,

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<v Speaker 1>and much cheaper ADP than the other guys that I mentioned,

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<v Speaker 1>those veterans that are already hurt. So Skeens is a

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<v Speaker 1>guy I just took him in our last draft we

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<v Speaker 1>did live with Michael Goovier. You can watch out on

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<v Speaker 1>the channel as well. Mason Miller at two fifty nine

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<v Speaker 1>is number nine for me. I don't see why he

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<v Speaker 1>would not be the closer. It is the best way

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<v Speaker 1>I've said this before, I'm going to say one last

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<v Speaker 1>time for everybody to hear. This is what you want

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<v Speaker 1>to do with Mason Miller. Give him a clean ninth

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<v Speaker 1>inning budget his innings. Give him non stress. One, two, three,

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<v Speaker 1>You sit back down. You're not getting up and down

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<v Speaker 1>the bullpen a million times. You're not having this guy

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<v Speaker 1>warm up. That's a recipe for disaster with Mason Miller.

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<v Speaker 1>You figure the a's, you keep it simple, stupid, and

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<v Speaker 1>all you do is you make him the closer. You

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<v Speaker 1>let him pitch no more than two days in a row.

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<v Speaker 1>If it has to be a save for three days

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<v Speaker 1>in a row and the Oakland Days are winning three games,

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<v Speaker 1>you should dance a jig and be very happy Oakland.

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<v Speaker 1>But somebody else can shut it down that day. Mason

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<v Speaker 1>Miller is a guy you can get some saves and

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<v Speaker 1>strikeouts later. And the only way to really make sure

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<v Speaker 1>you put him in plastic is to make him the closer.

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<v Speaker 1>Number two eighteen, Number eight for me, another guy just

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<v Speaker 1>drafted in the last draft. We just wrapped up Logan Ohapi,

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<v Speaker 1>the catcher of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. Love

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<v Speaker 1>this guy. Last year. I know Frank Stamfle one of

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<v Speaker 1>our guys again on fest talked about this guy. We

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<v Speaker 1>talked about him last year, A love o Hoppy. I

0:09:48.840 --> 0:09:51.200
<v Speaker 1>think he's got power. I think he's got the ability

0:09:51.200 --> 0:09:53.040
<v Speaker 1>to hit somewhere in that two to fifty range. And

0:09:53.280 --> 0:09:55.280
<v Speaker 1>for me, this is a player that I'm very excited

0:09:55.320 --> 0:09:57.320
<v Speaker 1>to draft everywhere, and I think you should be too.

0:09:57.360 --> 0:09:59.199
<v Speaker 1>I think this is an opportunity here with Ohapi to

0:09:59.559 --> 0:10:01.800
<v Speaker 1>make up some ground here in two catcher leagues. I

0:10:01.800 --> 0:10:04.560
<v Speaker 1>think's extremely valuable. And he's going right now on that

0:10:04.600 --> 0:10:07.480
<v Speaker 1>fringe of catcher one, if you will, in those two

0:10:07.480 --> 0:10:10.040
<v Speaker 1>catcher leagues, which I think is just absurd. So ten

0:10:10.320 --> 0:10:13.800
<v Speaker 1>schemes nine Mason Miller and at two eighteen Logan Ohoppy.

0:10:13.920 --> 0:10:15.400
<v Speaker 1>Let's take a quick break in the action and tell

0:10:15.400 --> 0:10:19.160
<v Speaker 1>you about underdog Fantasy. MLB draft season is here, and

0:10:19.200 --> 0:10:22.560
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0:10:22.600 --> 0:10:25.720
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0:10:25.920 --> 0:10:28.040
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0:10:28.080 --> 0:10:31.600
<v Speaker 1>best score from your team that you drafted becomes your

0:10:31.640 --> 0:10:34.439
<v Speaker 1>score for each week in the MLB season. Drafts are

0:10:34.520 --> 0:10:37.880
<v Speaker 1>constantly filling each and every day. So go to Underdog

0:10:37.920 --> 0:10:41.520
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0:10:41.679 --> 0:10:44.920
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0:10:45.240 --> 0:10:49.560
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0:10:49.600 --> 0:10:51.920
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0:10:52.000 --> 0:10:55.080
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0:10:55.160 --> 0:10:59.199
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0:10:59.640 --> 0:11:03.720
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0:11:03.720 --> 0:11:07.400
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0:11:07.440 --> 0:11:11.440
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0:11:11.559 --> 0:11:15.400
<v Speaker 1>today and get drafting in the upcoming MLB season. And

0:11:15.480 --> 0:11:18.600
<v Speaker 1>now back to the action Welsh seven through five for

0:11:18.679 --> 0:11:20.280
<v Speaker 1>you on the league winners, who do you have?

0:11:20.640 --> 0:11:22.880
<v Speaker 2>I will tell you one thing. Had I gotten to

0:11:22.960 --> 0:11:25.840
<v Speaker 2>this sheet first, you have about half of the players

0:11:25.880 --> 0:11:26.720
<v Speaker 2>I would have put on.

0:11:27.400 --> 0:11:31.440
<v Speaker 1>That's good because agreeing on these guys, because we sometimes

0:11:31.440 --> 0:11:33.400
<v Speaker 1>disagree on players, the fact that we agree on as

0:11:33.440 --> 0:11:35.640
<v Speaker 1>many as we do on this list, I think that's

0:11:35.679 --> 0:11:38.040
<v Speaker 1>worthy of note for the people watching and listening today.

0:11:38.200 --> 0:11:40.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and Mason Miller was the one of that group

0:11:40.559 --> 0:11:42.880
<v Speaker 2>that you just said that instantly was like, Oh, I

0:11:42.920 --> 0:11:45.040
<v Speaker 2>got to put him on there because of where his

0:11:45.160 --> 0:11:48.440
<v Speaker 2>draft value is. Also a sneaky starting pitcher that could

0:11:48.440 --> 0:11:50.120
<v Speaker 2>have closers. So I like that, all right. So going

0:11:50.120 --> 0:11:54.200
<v Speaker 2>to mind seven, six, and five, these are all young

0:11:54.240 --> 0:12:00.440
<v Speaker 2>guys and they're upside to varying degrees, Sinai, Rafaela is

0:12:00.760 --> 0:12:03.120
<v Speaker 2>number seven on the list at three point thirty two,

0:12:03.280 --> 0:12:05.720
<v Speaker 2>and I say, like the varying degrees of upside people

0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:09.040
<v Speaker 2>are getting at, they're so cheap that the impact that

0:12:09.120 --> 0:12:11.360
<v Speaker 2>I believe they're gonna get to, whether you agree or not,

0:12:11.960 --> 0:12:14.400
<v Speaker 2>is why these guys can be league winners. In Rafaela

0:12:14.920 --> 0:12:17.319
<v Speaker 2>really could be a uniquely special guy. He's a guy

0:12:17.360 --> 0:12:19.319
<v Speaker 2>that could go twenty twenty. He's had a solid spring

0:12:19.400 --> 0:12:22.520
<v Speaker 2>three homers, two stolen bases, hitting two seventy nine. Strike

0:12:22.600 --> 0:12:24.880
<v Speaker 2>up rate hasn't been a problem. He's actually walked more,

0:12:25.120 --> 0:12:27.720
<v Speaker 2>which isn't crazy. But if he plays in the middle infield,

0:12:27.760 --> 0:12:29.959
<v Speaker 2>there's some talk about him maybe playing some second, some

0:12:30.040 --> 0:12:31.720
<v Speaker 2>short while also playing outfield.

0:12:31.960 --> 0:12:32.200
<v Speaker 1>Eight.

0:12:32.840 --> 0:12:36.160
<v Speaker 2>The batex projections have event nine homers with fourteen stolen

0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:39.440
<v Speaker 2>bases in a two fifty six average in ninety nine games.

0:12:39.480 --> 0:12:41.360
<v Speaker 2>You span that out you could be looking at a

0:12:41.360 --> 0:12:43.680
<v Speaker 2>fifteen twenty five guy, and if you wanted to play

0:12:43.679 --> 0:12:47.120
<v Speaker 2>the Steamer numbers, by the way, fourteen homers, seventeen stolen

0:12:47.160 --> 0:12:49.679
<v Speaker 2>bases in one hundred and twenty games. You're closing in

0:12:49.720 --> 0:12:52.439
<v Speaker 2>on a twenty twenty bat that could have in and

0:12:52.559 --> 0:12:55.840
<v Speaker 2>outfield eligibility, Saidani Rafaela at three thirty two. I love

0:12:56.240 --> 0:12:58.679
<v Speaker 2>coming in at number six with an ADP of two

0:12:58.840 --> 0:13:02.559
<v Speaker 2>ninety nine. Is the San Diego Padres new center fielder

0:13:02.640 --> 0:13:03.760
<v Speaker 2>has to say short stop because.

0:13:03.559 --> 0:13:07.640
<v Speaker 1>He does qualify in some leagues. There, so's Jackson Merril.

0:13:07.800 --> 0:13:10.600
<v Speaker 2>I love Jackson Merrill. We talked about him on the

0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:12.520
<v Speaker 2>fan Fest with Steve Gardner. I think he is a

0:13:12.600 --> 0:13:15.680
<v Speaker 2>sneaky rookie of the year bet Now, his counting stats

0:13:15.720 --> 0:13:19.400
<v Speaker 2>don't pop necessarily even projections. The bat X is eight

0:13:19.600 --> 0:13:22.280
<v Speaker 2>and eight in ninety six games, so you're probably closing

0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:25.920
<v Speaker 2>in on fifteen to fifteen. But at almost free with

0:13:26.040 --> 0:13:28.559
<v Speaker 2>a high batting average, they've got him at two fifty seven.

0:13:28.720 --> 0:13:31.440
<v Speaker 2>He legit might hit twot eighty for this team, score

0:13:31.520 --> 0:13:33.920
<v Speaker 2>decent amount of runs. The power is starting to go,

0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:36.000
<v Speaker 2>and I think he could steal a little bit more

0:13:36.040 --> 0:13:38.600
<v Speaker 2>than he had in the minor leagues in twenty twenty three,

0:13:38.720 --> 0:13:42.160
<v Speaker 2>he did steal fifteen bases in around one hundred and

0:13:42.160 --> 0:13:44.880
<v Speaker 2>ten games. On a full season, he can steal twenty.

0:13:45.000 --> 0:13:46.680
<v Speaker 2>He can hit between ten and fifteen. I think he

0:13:46.720 --> 0:13:48.360
<v Speaker 2>can score a bunch of runs, and he's got middle

0:13:48.400 --> 0:13:51.760
<v Speaker 2>infield eligibility. Jackson Merrill could be one of those league

0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:55.000
<v Speaker 2>winning guys because of his flexibility in the numbers. And

0:13:55.080 --> 0:13:59.280
<v Speaker 2>then coming in at number five is Colt Keith with

0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:02.240
<v Speaker 2>the Detroit Tighs, who looks like he is locked into

0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:04.600
<v Speaker 2>that middle endfield spot so much so that roster resource

0:14:04.600 --> 0:14:06.720
<v Speaker 2>has moved him closer to the middle of the lineup

0:14:06.840 --> 0:14:09.480
<v Speaker 2>where he can qualify at second and third base. He

0:14:09.559 --> 0:14:11.880
<v Speaker 2>hit two eighty seven in triple A last year with

0:14:11.960 --> 0:14:16.040
<v Speaker 2>thirteen homers in sixty seven games. Projections are pretty friendly.

0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:19.320
<v Speaker 2>You've got steamer with fourteen homers with a two to

0:14:19.320 --> 0:14:21.560
<v Speaker 2>sixty one batting average a one hundred and seventeen. His

0:14:21.720 --> 0:14:24.280
<v Speaker 2>power is being under sold right now, as long as

0:14:24.320 --> 0:14:26.280
<v Speaker 2>the strikeouts don't become an issue, which by the way,

0:14:26.280 --> 0:14:29.200
<v Speaker 2>he's only got a eighteen percent strikeout rate in spring training.

0:14:29.440 --> 0:14:31.640
<v Speaker 2>He can hit twenty five plus. He is a guy

0:14:31.640 --> 0:14:33.680
<v Speaker 2>that can push top one hundred value. All three of

0:14:33.720 --> 0:14:36.760
<v Speaker 2>these players with the stolen base and power potential, they

0:14:36.800 --> 0:14:40.600
<v Speaker 2>can be top one hundred fantasy bets that are almost free,

0:14:40.720 --> 0:14:43.520
<v Speaker 2>especially in like twelve man leagues. So I think Colt

0:14:43.600 --> 0:14:46.120
<v Speaker 2>Keith has a chance, especially from the power department, to

0:14:46.160 --> 0:14:47.040
<v Speaker 2>be a league winner.

0:14:47.360 --> 0:14:50.040
<v Speaker 1>I think there's a lot of value late in the

0:14:50.080 --> 0:14:53.000
<v Speaker 1>middle infield especially, I mean anywhere from Zach Gehloff all

0:14:53.040 --> 0:14:56.720
<v Speaker 1>the way down to what was it three eighty right,

0:14:57.160 --> 0:15:00.280
<v Speaker 1>we're three thirty two for Rafaela, right. I mean there's

0:15:00.400 --> 0:15:02.160
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of value here late. So if you

0:15:02.200 --> 0:15:04.320
<v Speaker 1>have to make up ground, you know, I mean, Volpi's

0:15:04.320 --> 0:15:06.480
<v Speaker 1>been a guy that we've talked about before, you know,

0:15:06.560 --> 0:15:08.160
<v Speaker 1>some of the guys that I'm gonna talk about next. Like,

0:15:08.200 --> 0:15:10.040
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of these guys that were floating out

0:15:10.040 --> 0:15:11.880
<v Speaker 1>there that have a lot of upsides. So if you're

0:15:11.880 --> 0:15:15.160
<v Speaker 1>playing in those middle infield leagues, don't freak out if

0:15:15.200 --> 0:15:17.360
<v Speaker 1>the board doesn't go your way. Early on, I.

0:15:17.240 --> 0:15:20.200
<v Speaker 2>Almost put Volpy on this and I didn't even I

0:15:20.200 --> 0:15:22.960
<v Speaker 2>didn't even actually get my connection until you just said

0:15:22.960 --> 0:15:24.680
<v Speaker 2>that that all three of those players that I just

0:15:24.720 --> 0:15:28.720
<v Speaker 2>gave you are middle infield options. Because Rafaela looks like

0:15:28.760 --> 0:15:32.000
<v Speaker 2>he's gonna get that qualification. You've already got Jackson Merrill

0:15:32.120 --> 0:15:33.960
<v Speaker 2>who's got it, and Colt Keith has got it, and

0:15:33.960 --> 0:15:37.160
<v Speaker 2>you're gonna get extra qualifications with all those players. That

0:15:37.320 --> 0:15:40.160
<v Speaker 2>is what is unique about those three players. But there's

0:15:40.280 --> 0:15:42.680
<v Speaker 2>handfuls of middle infielders that you like to make bets on.

0:15:43.080 --> 0:15:47.000
<v Speaker 2>These are the guys though, with sky high upside and

0:15:47.080 --> 0:15:49.040
<v Speaker 2>I didn't even get that middle infield catch. All right,

0:15:49.040 --> 0:15:50.440
<v Speaker 2>what do you got in your group?

0:15:50.520 --> 0:15:52.640
<v Speaker 1>Well, I'm sticking with the theme here starting at number

0:15:52.640 --> 0:15:55.120
<v Speaker 1>seven for me, Junior kemen Aro. I've talked about them

0:15:55.120 --> 0:15:57.000
<v Speaker 1>all the time. I'm gonna keep talking about them. Qualifies

0:15:57.040 --> 0:15:58.800
<v Speaker 1>at third and shortstop. I don't think it's gonna be

0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:00.600
<v Speaker 1>very long. I think this guy's ready go. And even

0:16:00.600 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 1>if it's not till let's say Memorial Day, that still

0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:05.920
<v Speaker 1>gives you two thirds of the season of Camonaro. And

0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:08.560
<v Speaker 1>if he is as advertised, which I believe he is,

0:16:09.080 --> 0:16:11.440
<v Speaker 1>he could make a huge impact. I like the bat.

0:16:11.560 --> 0:16:13.040
<v Speaker 1>I think the bat is a little bit more ready

0:16:13.040 --> 0:16:15.120
<v Speaker 1>than Jackson Cherio, who's gonna start from day one. That's

0:16:15.160 --> 0:16:18.360
<v Speaker 1>my opinion. Some people don't share that opinion, but I

0:16:18.480 --> 0:16:21.000
<v Speaker 1>do from all the film I've been able to watch

0:16:21.040 --> 0:16:23.560
<v Speaker 1>on camon Aro. He's somebody that I kept in my

0:16:23.640 --> 0:16:26.080
<v Speaker 1>home league for a couple bucks. I can only keep

0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:28.120
<v Speaker 1>eight guys, and I kept him because he was a buck.

0:16:28.160 --> 0:16:30.080
<v Speaker 1>And you know what, I'm keeping that guy because the

0:16:30.160 --> 0:16:32.520
<v Speaker 1>upside is just far too much. So even though I

0:16:32.520 --> 0:16:35.880
<v Speaker 1>have to be patient, I'm gonna practice what I'm preaching

0:16:35.920 --> 0:16:38.320
<v Speaker 1>here when it comes to Camonaro. So I'm telling everybody again,

0:16:38.640 --> 0:16:40.240
<v Speaker 1>I just drafted him in the last draft we just

0:16:40.280 --> 0:16:43.240
<v Speaker 1>did on Fantasy Bros. I drafted Jackson Merril too much

0:16:43.280 --> 0:16:46.600
<v Speaker 1>to Welsh's chagrin. I drafted Skeins, I drafted a hoppy.

0:16:47.040 --> 0:16:49.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm showing you these are the guys that I'm targeting

0:16:49.240 --> 0:16:50.720
<v Speaker 1>late that I think could make a huge impact. And

0:16:50.760 --> 0:16:53.560
<v Speaker 1>if Cameron Aro ends up hitting somewhere around like six

0:16:53.600 --> 0:16:55.360
<v Speaker 1>in that order, which I think is very possible, that

0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:57.120
<v Speaker 1>could be a great spot for him, and he could

0:16:57.120 --> 0:17:00.920
<v Speaker 1>be exactly what they're missing trying to solve the problem

0:17:00.920 --> 0:17:02.760
<v Speaker 1>with Wander Franco not being there anymore, and that's a

0:17:02.760 --> 0:17:04.960
<v Speaker 1>big problem for this offense, and Campanio is the solution

0:17:05.040 --> 0:17:08.320
<v Speaker 1>at number six, Ezekiel Tovar at two to oh one.

0:17:08.880 --> 0:17:11.040
<v Speaker 1>Tovar is a player Welsh and I have talked about,

0:17:11.080 --> 0:17:13.000
<v Speaker 1>and I know Welsh is excited just the way I am.

0:17:13.200 --> 0:17:15.280
<v Speaker 1>He's having a really good spring. Just to recap those

0:17:15.359 --> 0:17:19.600
<v Speaker 1>numbers in the spring, he is slashing currently pretty well there,

0:17:19.760 --> 0:17:21.640
<v Speaker 1>he's actually up to right now. I'm going to bring

0:17:21.680 --> 0:17:23.399
<v Speaker 1>up those numbers in a second here, but in spring

0:17:23.440 --> 0:17:26.600
<v Speaker 1>training he is a two ninety four, three twenty four,

0:17:26.760 --> 0:17:30.040
<v Speaker 1>five eighty eight slugging. Again, spring doesn't mean everything, but

0:17:30.600 --> 0:17:33.119
<v Speaker 1>Tovar looks a little stronger in the lower half. You

0:17:33.160 --> 0:17:34.879
<v Speaker 1>could see he's put some work in there. He is

0:17:34.920 --> 0:17:36.919
<v Speaker 1>a very young player still. I mean keep that in

0:17:36.960 --> 0:17:39.439
<v Speaker 1>mind too. These guys are only twenty one twenty two

0:17:39.520 --> 0:17:42.840
<v Speaker 1>years old. So Tovar is a player. Great environment, the

0:17:42.880 --> 0:17:45.440
<v Speaker 1>OBP probably gonna lag behind a little bit, but I

0:17:45.440 --> 0:17:47.280
<v Speaker 1>think there's a lot of room to improve in banning average.

0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:48.600
<v Speaker 1>I think there's a lot of room for him to

0:17:48.680 --> 0:17:51.439
<v Speaker 1>improve as well in the power departments. At two oh one,

0:17:51.840 --> 0:17:54.800
<v Speaker 1>I think Tovar is now more ready for year two,

0:17:55.119 --> 0:17:58.040
<v Speaker 1>whereas some guys tend to have that sophomore slump. I

0:17:58.080 --> 0:18:01.000
<v Speaker 1>think Tovar came in uged a little bit as a rookie,

0:18:01.040 --> 0:18:02.399
<v Speaker 1>and I think the second year for him is going

0:18:02.480 --> 0:18:04.639
<v Speaker 1>to be much improved. At two hundred and one, he

0:18:04.760 --> 0:18:07.159
<v Speaker 1>is a complete value. And then at one ninety four

0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:11.719
<v Speaker 1>at number five, showed up Imanaga, pitcher for the Chicago Cubs.

0:18:11.760 --> 0:18:13.719
<v Speaker 1>At one ninety four, Welsh, this is a guy that

0:18:13.760 --> 0:18:16.720
<v Speaker 1>if he is right at that two spot for the

0:18:16.720 --> 0:18:19.360
<v Speaker 1>Cubs behind Justin Steele, I think the Cubs can win

0:18:19.400 --> 0:18:22.160
<v Speaker 1>this division. I really do. I think they are right there.

0:18:22.200 --> 0:18:24.679
<v Speaker 1>They're ready to compete. Bellinger coming back is huge. But

0:18:24.720 --> 0:18:27.720
<v Speaker 1>while everybody's chasing Yamamoto up top, I'm looking at this

0:18:27.760 --> 0:18:30.200
<v Speaker 1>guy going around two hundred, I'm saying, give me Imanaga.

0:18:30.200 --> 0:18:32.520
<v Speaker 1>He's just a better return on my draft capital. I'm

0:18:32.560 --> 0:18:35.439
<v Speaker 1>not saying he's the same pitcher as Yamamoto. He's not necessarily,

0:18:35.800 --> 0:18:38.199
<v Speaker 1>but he handled major league hitters in the WBC a

0:18:38.200 --> 0:18:41.040
<v Speaker 1>couple of years ago. His stats are impeccable. He's thirty

0:18:41.119 --> 0:18:43.800
<v Speaker 1>years old. I think he is ready for the major leagues,

0:18:44.040 --> 0:18:46.600
<v Speaker 1>and I think, especially in the first half of the year,

0:18:47.160 --> 0:18:49.399
<v Speaker 1>I think hitters are going to struggle to pick him

0:18:49.480 --> 0:18:51.720
<v Speaker 1>up and figure out exactly what's going on there. Now,

0:18:51.720 --> 0:18:53.760
<v Speaker 1>we'll see what the second half brings. But if he

0:18:53.800 --> 0:18:56.000
<v Speaker 1>can give you great stats in the first half and

0:18:56.080 --> 0:18:58.240
<v Speaker 1>then just kind of continue to build on that in

0:18:58.280 --> 0:19:01.480
<v Speaker 1>the second, that is league win potential with the starting pitcher.

0:19:01.480 --> 0:19:03.720
<v Speaker 1>Now you likeke Minauga as well? Is that a guy

0:19:03.800 --> 0:19:05.520
<v Speaker 1>you've been targeting and gotten any shares of.

0:19:06.000 --> 0:19:08.520
<v Speaker 2>One hundred thousand percent? I will tell you those three

0:19:08.560 --> 0:19:11.440
<v Speaker 2>guys you just listed off to me are a murderer's

0:19:11.600 --> 0:19:14.719
<v Speaker 2>row of players that can win your leagues. I've been

0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:17.480
<v Speaker 2>a little bit less dern, but I have of Ezekiel

0:19:17.480 --> 0:19:20.520
<v Speaker 2>tow Far. I'm sorry I have moved in a more

0:19:20.520 --> 0:19:23.240
<v Speaker 2>positive direction. But Junia Camenero is at the tippy top

0:19:23.240 --> 0:19:27.240
<v Speaker 2>of the list, and Chota Imanaga absolutely is that player.

0:19:27.280 --> 0:19:29.680
<v Speaker 2>I mean the WBC stuff plus fastball was at the

0:19:29.720 --> 0:19:33.200
<v Speaker 2>tippy top. His command has been on point this year.

0:19:33.440 --> 0:19:35.640
<v Speaker 2>His release point is going to screw up a whole

0:19:35.640 --> 0:19:38.440
<v Speaker 2>lot of hitters, as it has done in spring. This

0:19:38.480 --> 0:19:41.440
<v Speaker 2>is a guy that has probably been criminally underrated. And

0:19:41.480 --> 0:19:43.880
<v Speaker 2>it's funny I've had like him and Brandon Fought moving

0:19:43.960 --> 0:19:46.080
<v Speaker 2>up and up, and just recently on my ranks, I

0:19:46.200 --> 0:19:50.000
<v Speaker 2>moved Imanaga quite a bit up. He is a absolute

0:19:50.119 --> 0:19:52.119
<v Speaker 2>target you've got to have simply for the upside. And

0:19:52.359 --> 0:19:54.080
<v Speaker 2>this isn't me, but I know a lot of people

0:19:54.119 --> 0:19:56.320
<v Speaker 2>like to do this. If what you're saying is is

0:19:56.480 --> 0:19:58.320
<v Speaker 2>you'll see a lot of these guys that come over

0:19:58.800 --> 0:20:01.240
<v Speaker 2>that will dominate for a month or two, and then

0:20:01.240 --> 0:20:02.919
<v Speaker 2>when the league starts to catch up a little bit

0:20:02.960 --> 0:20:05.159
<v Speaker 2>and teams have better game plans, maybe they can you know,

0:20:05.359 --> 0:20:06.159
<v Speaker 2>get on with it.

0:20:06.280 --> 0:20:08.200
<v Speaker 1>Singa Like Singa came over and it was kind of

0:20:08.240 --> 0:20:09.639
<v Speaker 1>the opposite. He kind of struggled a little bit with

0:20:09.640 --> 0:20:12.000
<v Speaker 1>the controller early on, and then something really clicked. I

0:20:12.000 --> 0:20:13.520
<v Speaker 1>don't know it was a confidence, I don't know what

0:20:13.560 --> 0:20:15.600
<v Speaker 1>it was, but man, towards a lot of part of

0:20:15.640 --> 0:20:17.080
<v Speaker 1>the year, he really settled.

0:20:16.720 --> 0:20:18.399
<v Speaker 2>In well the command, the command stuck in, and the

0:20:18.480 --> 0:20:19.320
<v Speaker 2>k's came down.

0:20:19.440 --> 0:20:21.360
<v Speaker 1>I think Single was a player on this list last

0:20:21.400 --> 0:20:24.159
<v Speaker 1>year for us, if memory serves, and it's that same logic. Now,

0:20:24.200 --> 0:20:26.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm not saying he's got the same strikeout upside of

0:20:26.880 --> 0:20:30.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, Senga, but think about how many leagues code

0:20:30.680 --> 0:20:32.480
<v Speaker 1>I Single won people last year of being a guy

0:20:32.480 --> 0:20:34.400
<v Speaker 1>that you drafted a fourth or a fifth starter who

0:20:34.400 --> 0:20:36.560
<v Speaker 1>performed like a one for most of the season in

0:20:36.640 --> 0:20:37.840
<v Speaker 1>terms of strikeouts especially.

0:20:37.960 --> 0:20:39.600
<v Speaker 2>And the thing I was gonna say is the thing

0:20:39.680 --> 0:20:42.400
<v Speaker 2>I don't do that I think some people could look

0:20:42.720 --> 0:20:45.320
<v Speaker 2>with him and IgA is if he dominates in that

0:20:45.359 --> 0:20:48.240
<v Speaker 2>first month, you could move him until the league starts

0:20:48.280 --> 0:20:48.720
<v Speaker 2>to catch up.

0:20:48.760 --> 0:20:50.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean that can win you're your league two because

0:20:50.520 --> 0:20:53.920
<v Speaker 1>when somebody overpays, that's an opportunity for you to take

0:20:53.960 --> 0:20:56.600
<v Speaker 1>more talent, more players and win your league. So there's

0:20:56.680 --> 0:20:58.720
<v Speaker 1>more reasons why guys are on this list. And that's

0:20:58.760 --> 0:21:00.840
<v Speaker 1>a great point that you just made. If this guy

0:21:00.920 --> 0:21:04.359
<v Speaker 1>is above your expectations and you're worried about regression, guess

0:21:04.400 --> 0:21:06.960
<v Speaker 1>what turn him into something else or more than he's worth.

0:21:07.040 --> 0:21:08.760
<v Speaker 1>And next thing you know, you might be in a

0:21:08.800 --> 0:21:12.440
<v Speaker 1>really good spot there potentially spring training for him. So far,

0:21:12.760 --> 0:21:15.760
<v Speaker 1>again a bit of a mixed bag. But the strikeout

0:21:15.760 --> 0:21:18.800
<v Speaker 1>potential welsh for Imanaga. By the way, should we talk

0:21:18.840 --> 0:21:22.760
<v Speaker 1>about that. Nineteen strikeouts to two walks so far. I mean,

0:21:22.760 --> 0:21:25.400
<v Speaker 1>that's pretty good last time I checked in. Oh wait,

0:21:25.440 --> 0:21:28.600
<v Speaker 1>how many innings up? Nine nine innings. It's a lot

0:21:28.600 --> 0:21:30.120
<v Speaker 1>of us we get missed there for me and Naga.

0:21:30.119 --> 0:21:32.320
<v Speaker 1>All right, let's get to three more guys on Welsh's

0:21:32.320 --> 0:21:34.760
<v Speaker 1>list here, let's get to four to three and two

0:21:34.880 --> 0:21:37.000
<v Speaker 1>and then we'll announce our number ones after this. So

0:21:37.119 --> 0:21:40.240
<v Speaker 1>who's number four. It's a favorite of Welsh's, a favorite

0:21:40.240 --> 0:21:42.080
<v Speaker 1>of mine. A guy at one p seventy six.

0:21:42.160 --> 0:21:45.600
<v Speaker 2>His name is Jared Duran. As a matter of fact,

0:21:45.680 --> 0:21:48.280
<v Speaker 2>you cannot be four to three or two on my

0:21:48.320 --> 0:21:50.800
<v Speaker 2>list unless your first name starts with Jay. So this

0:21:50.840 --> 0:21:53.800
<v Speaker 2>is triple J. Not any Jeff Jarrett stuff in here.

0:21:53.840 --> 0:21:57.400
<v Speaker 2>It's Jared Duran coming in at four, who I love,

0:21:57.440 --> 0:21:59.919
<v Speaker 2>and he is one of the big massive targets for me.

0:22:00.200 --> 0:22:02.640
<v Speaker 2>Twenty four stolen bases, eight homers, and one hundred games

0:22:02.720 --> 0:22:06.400
<v Speaker 2>last year, hitting two ninety five in spring, he's hitting

0:22:06.440 --> 0:22:09.720
<v Speaker 2>three twenty. His strikeouts are under twenty percent in spring.

0:22:09.800 --> 0:22:11.159
<v Speaker 2>You don't take that for whatever it is, but you

0:22:11.200 --> 0:22:14.240
<v Speaker 2>love to I love to see strikeout numbers, specifically, more

0:22:14.280 --> 0:22:16.240
<v Speaker 2>than I care about like counting stats, like I love

0:22:16.280 --> 0:22:18.520
<v Speaker 2>Boneo Cruz, but everyone's like seven homers in spring. I

0:22:18.520 --> 0:22:20.720
<v Speaker 2>don't really care about that. I care about some of

0:22:20.760 --> 0:22:24.120
<v Speaker 2>the intangibles. Strikeouts are those big hard hit number. Last year,

0:22:24.400 --> 0:22:26.480
<v Speaker 2>I'm hoping the barrel percentage is going to increase like

0:22:26.520 --> 0:22:29.359
<v Speaker 2>his launch angle did. But this is a guy in

0:22:29.400 --> 0:22:32.439
<v Speaker 2>a friendly ballpark who can be a fifteen to thirty

0:22:32.800 --> 0:22:36.760
<v Speaker 2>twenty thirty five type of player with his EIGHTYP at

0:22:36.800 --> 0:22:40.080
<v Speaker 2>one seventy six outside the top one fifty. If Duran

0:22:40.560 --> 0:22:42.600
<v Speaker 2>becomes let's just say, on the high end, a twenty

0:22:42.720 --> 0:22:45.480
<v Speaker 2>thirty player, he's gonna be like a top fifty player.

0:22:45.600 --> 0:22:49.440
<v Speaker 2>And that is three hundred x you know on your value.

0:22:49.480 --> 0:22:52.119
<v Speaker 2>That's huge on Jared Durant. So I think Jared Durant

0:22:52.119 --> 0:22:53.600
<v Speaker 2>is one of the players you've got to target. He

0:22:53.600 --> 0:22:56.439
<v Speaker 2>could be a league winner. He's cheap stolen bases, getting

0:22:56.600 --> 0:22:58.960
<v Speaker 2>you know, twenty to thirty stolen or plus stolen bases

0:22:59.000 --> 0:23:01.399
<v Speaker 2>outside the top one fifty. He is key. I love

0:23:01.800 --> 0:23:07.000
<v Speaker 2>Jaron Durant. Next up these two Jackson Holiday So this

0:23:07.119 --> 0:23:09.680
<v Speaker 2>is the second of the Jays. Looks like he is

0:23:09.840 --> 0:23:13.440
<v Speaker 2>locked in to be the second base slash shortstop. However,

0:23:13.440 --> 0:23:15.639
<v Speaker 2>this team ends up wanting to move him around, but

0:23:15.760 --> 0:23:17.840
<v Speaker 2>all indications are he is going to break camp with

0:23:17.880 --> 0:23:21.440
<v Speaker 2>this team. He's hit three hundred in spring, couple stolen bases, homers,

0:23:21.640 --> 0:23:24.720
<v Speaker 2>We've also seen that warning track power start to commit.

0:23:24.840 --> 0:23:26.960
<v Speaker 2>He just launched. I think it was a double against

0:23:26.960 --> 0:23:28.960
<v Speaker 2>Spencer Strider the other day, so you could really see

0:23:28.960 --> 0:23:31.920
<v Speaker 2>the contact skills. The strikeout numbers in spring don't matter.

0:23:31.960 --> 0:23:33.520
<v Speaker 2>This is a guy walked one hundred times in the

0:23:33.560 --> 0:23:37.480
<v Speaker 2>spring and his ADP is still far back one seventy two.

0:23:38.320 --> 0:23:41.160
<v Speaker 2>You're not getting that with Jackson Cherio. You're not getting

0:23:41.160 --> 0:23:42.920
<v Speaker 2>that with White Langford. You're not getting with any of

0:23:42.960 --> 0:23:46.840
<v Speaker 2>those rookies that have a locked in spot. People keep

0:23:46.880 --> 0:23:50.399
<v Speaker 2>talking about I don't know about Jackson Holidays potential for power.

0:23:50.440 --> 0:23:53.080
<v Speaker 2>Well guess what. The guy might steal thirty to forty

0:23:53.119 --> 0:23:55.240
<v Speaker 2>bases this year, play all season long, hit for a

0:23:55.320 --> 0:23:59.160
<v Speaker 2>high average score runs and there is twenty home run

0:23:59.200 --> 0:24:01.480
<v Speaker 2>potential in that back. Now, it might not materialize this year,

0:24:01.520 --> 0:24:05.320
<v Speaker 2>but the guy might hit forty doubles. Jackson Holiday is

0:24:05.359 --> 0:24:08.800
<v Speaker 2>the type of player that can be a league winner

0:24:09.160 --> 0:24:12.159
<v Speaker 2>simply off of the eligibility and the return on value,

0:24:12.240 --> 0:24:14.119
<v Speaker 2>and that leads to number two on the list. It

0:24:14.160 --> 0:24:17.680
<v Speaker 2>should be a pretty obvious one. It's Jackson Churio. Now

0:24:17.720 --> 0:24:21.360
<v Speaker 2>I mentioned you know the cost is different, but it's

0:24:21.400 --> 0:24:24.440
<v Speaker 2>not astronomical. In some cases, we've seen Churio go inside

0:24:24.480 --> 0:24:26.960
<v Speaker 2>the top one hundred, but the ADP across sites have

0:24:27.040 --> 0:24:29.400
<v Speaker 2>them on average at one thirty four, and I think

0:24:29.440 --> 0:24:32.720
<v Speaker 2>you can understand why. Jackson Churio is a league winner.

0:24:32.960 --> 0:24:36.280
<v Speaker 2>Forty three stolen bases, twenty two homers last year in

0:24:36.359 --> 0:24:39.040
<v Speaker 2>Double A. He's hit two eighty three this spring. His

0:24:39.080 --> 0:24:41.800
<v Speaker 2>strikeout rate has actually stayed around twenty percent in spring,

0:24:41.840 --> 0:24:46.080
<v Speaker 2>which is phenomenal. Projections fourteen homers, eighteen stolen bases by

0:24:46.080 --> 0:24:49.120
<v Speaker 2>the Batex, fifteen homers, twenty one stolen bases by ATC

0:24:49.240 --> 0:24:51.960
<v Speaker 2>with a two to fifty batting average. They don't project

0:24:52.000 --> 0:24:54.800
<v Speaker 2>all the games as long as Pat Murphy doesn't do

0:24:54.880 --> 0:24:57.280
<v Speaker 2>the old school thing like he mentioned, like he's still

0:24:57.359 --> 0:25:00.439
<v Speaker 2>in the mix. We see Jackson Turio every day. Jackson

0:25:00.440 --> 0:25:05.119
<v Speaker 2>Trio is a legit thirty thirty potential, probably more realistically

0:25:05.440 --> 0:25:08.159
<v Speaker 2>in the twenties. He's gonna steal a bunch into the

0:25:08.200 --> 0:25:10.440
<v Speaker 2>thirties or forties. I mean, I'm looking at Jaron Duran

0:25:10.480 --> 0:25:12.800
<v Speaker 2>maybe putting up some of those numbers. Trio costs more,

0:25:13.080 --> 0:25:16.120
<v Speaker 2>but this is a superstar in the making. It's outside

0:25:16.119 --> 0:25:18.440
<v Speaker 2>the top one hundred, and usually we are paying sky

0:25:19.000 --> 0:25:21.560
<v Speaker 2>high prices. Corbyn Carroll went up into the top fifty

0:25:21.640 --> 0:25:25.640
<v Speaker 2>last year. There's more risk, but Jackson Holiday and Jackson

0:25:25.720 --> 0:25:29.400
<v Speaker 2>Turio are two of the most obvious league winning names

0:25:29.520 --> 0:25:32.360
<v Speaker 2>that don't come at the costs that we're used to

0:25:32.600 --> 0:25:34.520
<v Speaker 2>for some of the most hyped up prospects.

0:25:34.640 --> 0:25:36.800
<v Speaker 1>Thirty percent of the names in your listener named Jackson too,

0:25:36.920 --> 0:25:40.120
<v Speaker 1>Jackson Merril as well, So pretty much just good guy Jackson's.

0:25:40.359 --> 0:25:41.959
<v Speaker 1>You know you're in your draft too, and you look

0:25:42.040 --> 0:25:44.560
<v Speaker 1>at search bar, you looking for somebody draft Danny Jackson.

0:25:44.920 --> 0:25:47.320
<v Speaker 2>It's like, you know, like there's like baby names like

0:25:47.400 --> 0:25:49.920
<v Speaker 2>Aiden was super popular like five years ago, just like

0:25:49.960 --> 0:25:50.920
<v Speaker 2>this year there it's Al.

0:25:50.880 --> 0:25:53.920
<v Speaker 1>Jackson's all Jackson's this year. I love Duran. I've tried

0:25:53.920 --> 0:25:55.680
<v Speaker 1>to take as many shares as i can. Holiday is

0:25:55.680 --> 0:25:57.399
<v Speaker 1>a player for me that I feel is going to

0:25:57.480 --> 0:26:00.400
<v Speaker 1>be more valuable in head to head points and people

0:26:00.440 --> 0:26:03.399
<v Speaker 1>realize too because of that doubles gap hitter that he

0:26:03.480 --> 0:26:05.560
<v Speaker 1>is the contact you mentioned too, a guy that walked

0:26:05.560 --> 0:26:08.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot in the minor leagues. I'm not concerned at

0:26:08.560 --> 0:26:10.520
<v Speaker 1>all about the contact. I'm not concerned at all about

0:26:10.520 --> 0:26:12.720
<v Speaker 1>the hit tool. The power I do think is going

0:26:12.800 --> 0:26:16.000
<v Speaker 1>to drag. But in points league specifically, which is where

0:26:16.040 --> 0:26:18.760
<v Speaker 1>I prefer to play. He's more of I think, an

0:26:18.760 --> 0:26:21.480
<v Speaker 1>appealing player early on than he would be necessarily in

0:26:21.560 --> 0:26:23.840
<v Speaker 1>some of those rotal formats where you're looking for the

0:26:23.880 --> 0:26:26.359
<v Speaker 1>power speed combination, although the speed's there as well for him.

0:26:26.400 --> 0:26:27.919
<v Speaker 2>But you know what's funny is like I kind of

0:26:27.960 --> 0:26:31.000
<v Speaker 2>see him similar to Bobby Witt in his rookie year,

0:26:31.000 --> 0:26:34.159
<v Speaker 2>and production wise, Bobby Wit like twenty homers, thirty stolen

0:26:34.160 --> 0:26:36.760
<v Speaker 2>bases and he was going inside the top seventy five.

0:26:37.240 --> 0:26:40.880
<v Speaker 2>I think Holiday is like a fifteen thirty stolen based

0:26:40.880 --> 0:26:42.439
<v Speaker 2>guy with a bunch of runs. So it's like a

0:26:42.520 --> 0:26:45.600
<v Speaker 2>tiny bit different but not much yet. It's like sixty

0:26:45.640 --> 0:26:48.119
<v Speaker 2>to seventy spots lower in eightyp So that's how I'm

0:26:48.160 --> 0:26:51.520
<v Speaker 2>approaching Jackson Holiday because I think his hit floor is

0:26:51.560 --> 0:26:53.439
<v Speaker 2>maybe as low as any of the players. I know

0:26:53.440 --> 0:26:55.320
<v Speaker 2>we're going to talk about one of the most exciting

0:26:55.359 --> 0:26:59.800
<v Speaker 2>rookies here shortly, but I mean from a pure batted

0:26:59.800 --> 0:27:02.600
<v Speaker 2>ball skills and their approach at the play, Jackson Holliday

0:27:02.680 --> 0:27:04.080
<v Speaker 2>might be the best beat of all of them, which

0:27:04.119 --> 0:27:06.639
<v Speaker 2>I think gives him a floor of stolen bases and

0:27:06.680 --> 0:27:08.399
<v Speaker 2>the power will be in question if he if he

0:27:08.480 --> 0:27:12.159
<v Speaker 2>hits eight homers and steals thirty five bases, he's Nico

0:27:12.280 --> 0:27:14.520
<v Speaker 2>Horner in the out and at short stops. I was

0:27:14.600 --> 0:27:17.760
<v Speaker 2>essentially the same player. But guess what sixteen to seventy

0:27:17.800 --> 0:27:19.600
<v Speaker 2>spots lower than Nico Horner.

0:27:19.760 --> 0:27:22.600
<v Speaker 1>A lot different. Adp all right, number four through two

0:27:22.640 --> 0:27:25.240
<v Speaker 1>on my list, starting at one eighty two at Twartal Rodriguez.

0:27:25.680 --> 0:27:28.160
<v Speaker 1>Not every guy is, you know, youthful here on this list,

0:27:28.200 --> 0:27:31.480
<v Speaker 1>But EDWARDO. Rodriguez is a player that last year's first

0:27:31.520 --> 0:27:34.159
<v Speaker 1>twelve starts were incredible. Just a recap in case you

0:27:34.240 --> 0:27:37.040
<v Speaker 1>forgot two sixty four ERA over seventy one innings, seventy

0:27:37.040 --> 0:27:39.560
<v Speaker 1>four strikeouts, sixteen walks for the Tigers. He had a

0:27:39.600 --> 0:27:43.439
<v Speaker 1>one point zero one whip over that span. Now I

0:27:43.480 --> 0:27:46.480
<v Speaker 1>understand second half wasn't as good. Things actualize a little

0:27:46.480 --> 0:27:49.520
<v Speaker 1>bit to that three eighty nine mark, But Edward Rodriguez

0:27:49.560 --> 0:27:51.639
<v Speaker 1>is as a track record of always being a solid

0:27:51.640 --> 0:27:54.880
<v Speaker 1>strikeout picture when he was with Boston Red Sox and

0:27:55.000 --> 0:27:57.520
<v Speaker 1>now he finds himself in Arizona, I think that he

0:27:57.640 --> 0:27:59.040
<v Speaker 1>is going to be a guy that's going to give

0:27:59.080 --> 0:28:01.760
<v Speaker 1>you a sub four er again. I don't anticipate it

0:28:01.840 --> 0:28:04.000
<v Speaker 1>being as good as it was though the first twelve

0:28:04.040 --> 0:28:06.399
<v Speaker 1>starts last year. But he's a guy that's going to

0:28:06.440 --> 0:28:08.640
<v Speaker 1>win I think thirteen to fifteen games for you. He's

0:28:08.680 --> 0:28:10.560
<v Speaker 1>going to be competitive. He's going to give you somewhere

0:28:10.560 --> 0:28:13.240
<v Speaker 1>on a strikeout per nine at least. And to get

0:28:13.280 --> 0:28:17.240
<v Speaker 1>a player like that at an ADP somewhere around one

0:28:17.480 --> 0:28:19.640
<v Speaker 1>eighty is nuts to me. Welsh Like, I just think

0:28:19.680 --> 0:28:22.879
<v Speaker 1>that's an incredible value that people are just overlooking. So

0:28:23.280 --> 0:28:24.879
<v Speaker 1>this is a player that's been around a while. He's

0:28:24.920 --> 0:28:27.240
<v Speaker 1>also been very durable, which I think is something outside

0:28:27.240 --> 0:28:29.399
<v Speaker 1>of last year where he did miss some time up

0:28:29.480 --> 0:28:32.880
<v Speaker 1>until then. You know, he did have an issue back

0:28:32.920 --> 0:28:34.720
<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty where he ended up not playing, and

0:28:34.720 --> 0:28:36.959
<v Speaker 1>that was all fair. He had some issues there post COVID.

0:28:37.359 --> 0:28:40.280
<v Speaker 1>But outside of that, he has given you innings before

0:28:40.280 --> 0:28:41.800
<v Speaker 1>in the past, in fact that he had thrown two

0:28:41.880 --> 0:28:44.440
<v Speaker 1>hundred innings in twenty nineteen, just one hundred and fifty

0:28:44.440 --> 0:28:46.800
<v Speaker 1>two last year unfortunately. But you know, there is a

0:28:46.840 --> 0:28:48.720
<v Speaker 1>track record of this guy going out there and giving

0:28:48.760 --> 0:28:51.320
<v Speaker 1>you mornings than you realize. Also, I'd like to see

0:28:51.400 --> 0:28:52.720
<v Speaker 1>him get back to that this year. I think he

0:28:52.800 --> 0:28:55.680
<v Speaker 1>Can with the Arizona Diamondbacks, and I think he's a

0:28:55.680 --> 0:28:58.440
<v Speaker 1>great value, a great roll of the dice two where again,

0:28:58.480 --> 0:29:00.840
<v Speaker 1>he's basically a free pitcher who I think would be

0:29:00.840 --> 0:29:03.120
<v Speaker 1>more like a middle rotation starter, but he's being drafted.

0:29:03.120 --> 0:29:05.320
<v Speaker 1>It's like a back end guy. Eloya men Is at

0:29:05.360 --> 0:29:08.840
<v Speaker 1>number three at one seventy eight. This takes a lot

0:29:08.880 --> 0:29:11.040
<v Speaker 1>of courage for me, Welsh, but there's money on the line.

0:29:11.480 --> 0:29:14.520
<v Speaker 1>Whenever there's money on the line with a player, I'm listening,

0:29:14.560 --> 0:29:17.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm paying attention. It's not that Eloya Menez isn't a

0:29:17.960 --> 0:29:22.000
<v Speaker 1>good player one hundred and twenty games last year, eighteen homers,

0:29:22.040 --> 0:29:25.600
<v Speaker 1>sixty four RBI, two seventy. The problem is it's constant

0:29:25.680 --> 0:29:29.360
<v Speaker 1>injury issues incomplete seasons. Only eighty four games in twenty

0:29:29.360 --> 0:29:32.479
<v Speaker 1>twenty two, one hundred and twenty last year before that

0:29:32.520 --> 0:29:35.000
<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty one, fifty five games, so lots of

0:29:35.040 --> 0:29:38.920
<v Speaker 1>issues there. However, projections for him are still relatively mild.

0:29:39.000 --> 0:29:42.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean, twenty five homers eighty RBI right now on

0:29:42.160 --> 0:29:44.520
<v Speaker 1>Fantasy pros to the two seventy five batting average. If he

0:29:44.560 --> 0:29:48.280
<v Speaker 1>gives you just that at an ADP again of one

0:29:48.480 --> 0:29:51.400
<v Speaker 1>seventy eight, Welsh, that's a steal in when we're looking

0:29:51.400 --> 0:29:53.720
<v Speaker 1>for outfielder, especially late in drafts, and if he ends

0:29:53.760 --> 0:29:55.680
<v Speaker 1>up playing more like one hundred and fifty five games,

0:29:55.760 --> 0:29:57.000
<v Speaker 1>he's gonna crush those numbers.

0:29:57.000 --> 0:29:58.600
<v Speaker 2>He's gonna almost put him on this list. By the way,

0:29:58.600 --> 0:30:00.520
<v Speaker 2>I started typing him, and then I was like, ah,

0:30:00.680 --> 0:30:02.320
<v Speaker 2>Joe has them so well.

0:30:02.320 --> 0:30:03.920
<v Speaker 1>Again, I'm glad we see eye to eye. And at

0:30:03.960 --> 0:30:06.840
<v Speaker 1>one seventy five another guy too that I think I'm

0:30:06.880 --> 0:30:08.760
<v Speaker 1>gonna give another shot to. I was very high on

0:30:08.840 --> 0:30:12.400
<v Speaker 1>Hunter Brown last year, and Hunter Brown did not live

0:30:12.480 --> 0:30:14.720
<v Speaker 1>up to my expectations and or any of our expectations

0:30:14.720 --> 0:30:17.080
<v Speaker 1>for that matter, and that happens sometimes with young pitchers.

0:30:17.520 --> 0:30:19.880
<v Speaker 1>But I think there's reasons to be excited about him

0:30:19.920 --> 0:30:22.920
<v Speaker 1>because Brown is another player too having a good spring.

0:30:23.400 --> 0:30:25.400
<v Speaker 1>That goes a long way, because the player like him

0:30:25.440 --> 0:30:27.719
<v Speaker 1>needs to have a good spring. The projections for him

0:30:27.760 --> 0:30:29.840
<v Speaker 1>right now in Fantasy Pros one hundred and fifty three strikeouts,

0:30:29.880 --> 0:30:32.560
<v Speaker 1>A three nine four, ERA one two seven, whip eleven wins.

0:30:32.640 --> 0:30:36.520
<v Speaker 1>Pitch is on a great team. So just that alone. Welsh, again,

0:30:36.600 --> 0:30:39.040
<v Speaker 1>if that's the baseline and he doesn't make any real

0:30:39.600 --> 0:30:43.760
<v Speaker 1>giant leaps forward past that, it's still a good value. However,

0:30:44.000 --> 0:30:46.280
<v Speaker 1>it's hard not to get really excited right now for

0:30:46.440 --> 0:30:48.560
<v Speaker 1>what the upside isn't a player who's pitching for the

0:30:48.600 --> 0:30:51.560
<v Speaker 1>Houston Astros so far, in the seven innings so far

0:30:51.600 --> 0:30:54.280
<v Speaker 1>in spring training, seven strikeouts, just one walk. It's nice

0:30:54.280 --> 0:30:56.880
<v Speaker 1>to see him getting efficient again. That's important. The five

0:30:57.120 --> 0:30:59.280
<v Speaker 1>ra is gonna scare people away. That's why he's buried

0:30:59.280 --> 0:31:01.960
<v Speaker 1>in ADP. But Hunter Brown pitches for a great team.

0:31:02.360 --> 0:31:05.600
<v Speaker 1>He has a rotation spot, and to me, that is

0:31:05.640 --> 0:31:07.920
<v Speaker 1>a huge win where you're looking for some starter pitching

0:31:07.960 --> 0:31:10.880
<v Speaker 1>when you're getting past that group of Michael Kings and

0:31:10.880 --> 0:31:12.760
<v Speaker 1>Bailey OBErs that we like so much. Brown's in that

0:31:12.800 --> 0:31:14.360
<v Speaker 1>next grouping and I think he might be the best

0:31:14.360 --> 0:31:15.920
<v Speaker 1>one of that lot. What do you think about Hunter Brown?

0:31:16.000 --> 0:31:19.240
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I'm down with that one. He had a tremendous

0:31:19.320 --> 0:31:21.720
<v Speaker 2>start to the year last year and then really fell off,

0:31:21.800 --> 0:31:25.160
<v Speaker 2>kind of as you would expect with rookie pitchers, you know.

0:31:25.160 --> 0:31:28.360
<v Speaker 2>I mean, it's gonna fall apart a little bit. It's

0:31:28.400 --> 0:31:31.400
<v Speaker 2>outside the norm for these guys that can continuously maintain it.

0:31:31.480 --> 0:31:33.760
<v Speaker 2>But so far the spring has been good. Strikeouts have

0:31:33.800 --> 0:31:35.880
<v Speaker 2>been down, but he hasn't been walking at one point

0:31:35.880 --> 0:31:38.640
<v Speaker 2>one to seven walk per nine, which is one, he's

0:31:38.640 --> 0:31:41.400
<v Speaker 2>only walked one in seven and two thirds. He's also

0:31:41.640 --> 0:31:44.360
<v Speaker 2>strikeouts are back there. Era has been maintained. He's only

0:31:44.360 --> 0:31:47.280
<v Speaker 2>given up two earned runs no homer so far this spring,

0:31:47.480 --> 0:31:50.000
<v Speaker 2>and he's been out there three different times. I think

0:31:50.080 --> 0:31:52.880
<v Speaker 2>Hunter Brown is a great bet, especially if he can

0:31:52.920 --> 0:31:55.960
<v Speaker 2>find more consistency, because really it was just about I

0:31:56.000 --> 0:31:58.200
<v Speaker 2>think everything catching up to him at the back end

0:31:58.200 --> 0:32:00.600
<v Speaker 2>of last season and just throwing the out there too.

0:32:01.480 --> 0:32:03.880
<v Speaker 2>If the Astros do make a bid, if they were

0:32:04.120 --> 0:32:08.360
<v Speaker 2>really truthfully after a guy like Blake Snell, and as

0:32:08.360 --> 0:32:10.440
<v Speaker 2>we're recording this, god knows what can happen, but they

0:32:10.480 --> 0:32:13.960
<v Speaker 2>beef up that rotation. Hunter Brown moving you know, to less,

0:32:14.040 --> 0:32:16.400
<v Speaker 2>higher leverage situations is not the worst thing in the

0:32:16.400 --> 0:32:18.680
<v Speaker 2>world because he might be the best pitcher going up

0:32:18.680 --> 0:32:21.600
<v Speaker 2>against other fives out there. So I'm down with this one.

0:32:21.680 --> 0:32:24.280
<v Speaker 2>Projections over nine k per nine. If he keeps those

0:32:24.320 --> 0:32:27.040
<v Speaker 2>walks under two, watch out he'll make a huge jump

0:32:27.120 --> 0:32:27.480
<v Speaker 2>this year.

0:32:28.200 --> 0:32:30.000
<v Speaker 1>All right, So all that's left is the number one

0:32:30.040 --> 0:32:32.520
<v Speaker 1>for each one of us Welsh Let's start with you

0:32:32.520 --> 0:32:35.200
<v Speaker 1>your number one potential league winner of twenty twenty four.

0:32:35.440 --> 0:32:38.560
<v Speaker 2>All Right, these are buzzy guys that we're both gonna

0:32:38.600 --> 0:32:41.520
<v Speaker 2>mention to you, and I want to preface this that

0:32:41.960 --> 0:32:45.480
<v Speaker 2>the varying degrees of where they are drafted could affect this,

0:32:45.720 --> 0:32:47.800
<v Speaker 2>and because I don't want anyone to roll their eyes

0:32:47.840 --> 0:32:49.680
<v Speaker 2>at these type of things. These guys we're both going

0:32:49.760 --> 0:32:54.080
<v Speaker 2>to talk about have higher ADPs, but based on where

0:32:54.120 --> 0:32:56.560
<v Speaker 2>some of the ADP is and where I continuously get

0:32:56.560 --> 0:33:02.080
<v Speaker 2>this player, Cole Reagan's maybe the league winner. Now if

0:33:02.120 --> 0:33:03.880
<v Speaker 2>you listen to our friends of our pitcher, list of

0:33:03.920 --> 0:33:05.920
<v Speaker 2>the people that love Cole Reagans, Cole Reagan's is getting

0:33:05.920 --> 0:33:08.120
<v Speaker 2>pushed up. Our boy, Vlad saidther was talking about the

0:33:08.240 --> 0:33:11.120
<v Speaker 2>NFBC main event and said, hey, don't be surprised when

0:33:11.160 --> 0:33:14.840
<v Speaker 2>you see Cole Reagans go at three because buzz generates

0:33:14.880 --> 0:33:16.719
<v Speaker 2>a whole lot of the crazy stuff third round, by

0:33:16.720 --> 0:33:19.880
<v Speaker 2>the way, you see the buzz kind of generate a

0:33:19.920 --> 0:33:22.520
<v Speaker 2>whole lot of the upside play that people want to do.

0:33:22.920 --> 0:33:24.640
<v Speaker 2>But in a lot of your guys' drafts out there,

0:33:24.720 --> 0:33:27.680
<v Speaker 2>Cole Reagans is still going outside the top twenty sps.

0:33:27.720 --> 0:33:30.120
<v Speaker 2>He's still going in the eighties or nineties, people aren't

0:33:30.160 --> 0:33:32.840
<v Speaker 2>watching it. This spring, he has an almost eleven k

0:33:32.880 --> 0:33:34.960
<v Speaker 2>per nine. He's gotten hit up a little bit, but really,

0:33:35.000 --> 0:33:38.280
<v Speaker 2>who cares about the actual runs when his walks are

0:33:38.320 --> 0:33:41.280
<v Speaker 2>at about two per nine right now, he's not giving

0:33:41.360 --> 0:33:43.920
<v Speaker 2>up homers and he's gotten over an eleven k per nine.

0:33:43.960 --> 0:33:48.080
<v Speaker 2>We've seen the fastball increase. Cole Reagan's has the stuff

0:33:48.600 --> 0:33:50.920
<v Speaker 2>to be one of the top pitchers in baseball. We

0:33:50.920 --> 0:33:53.880
<v Speaker 2>saw Spencer Strider take the jump of jump. His situation

0:33:53.960 --> 0:33:55.400
<v Speaker 2>is a little bit different because some people are worried

0:33:55.400 --> 0:33:57.920
<v Speaker 2>about him being relieved. We're not worried about that with Reagans.

0:33:57.960 --> 0:34:00.680
<v Speaker 2>But what we've seen is him carry over where he

0:34:00.760 --> 0:34:02.960
<v Speaker 2>was one of the most elite pitchers in the second

0:34:03.000 --> 0:34:05.440
<v Speaker 2>half of last year. He's carried that over into this

0:34:05.520 --> 0:34:08.360
<v Speaker 2>spring where we're seeing the stuff continue to go. Royals

0:34:08.440 --> 0:34:11.200
<v Speaker 2>might be kind of a sneaky team run support and

0:34:11.320 --> 0:34:13.399
<v Speaker 2>wins might be a kind of big key about how

0:34:13.480 --> 0:34:16.600
<v Speaker 2>valuable he can be. But I don't think it's out

0:34:16.640 --> 0:34:19.000
<v Speaker 2>of the realm with possibility to see that Cole Reagan's

0:34:19.000 --> 0:34:22.000
<v Speaker 2>could be a top eight starting pitcher this year. So yes,

0:34:22.080 --> 0:34:25.200
<v Speaker 2>this isn't a two hundred eight or three hundred overall player.

0:34:25.360 --> 0:34:27.439
<v Speaker 2>This is a player as an ADP of ninety six

0:34:27.480 --> 0:34:31.120
<v Speaker 2>according to Fantasy Pros consensus ADP across all the sites.

0:34:31.320 --> 0:34:33.800
<v Speaker 2>That doesn't dictate the one person that listens to a

0:34:33.880 --> 0:34:37.640
<v Speaker 2>certain podcast or whatever. And Jen snags Cole Reagan's up.

0:34:37.640 --> 0:34:41.080
<v Speaker 2>But Reagans could go from SP twenty five to five

0:34:41.520 --> 0:34:44.680
<v Speaker 2>and getting him as your SP three or four could

0:34:44.760 --> 0:34:48.000
<v Speaker 2>make him an absolute league winner this year. So he

0:34:48.200 --> 0:34:50.840
<v Speaker 2>was my definitive number one league winner.

0:34:51.840 --> 0:34:53.960
<v Speaker 1>I love it and I love being aggressive on him,

0:34:53.960 --> 0:34:55.799
<v Speaker 1>and I also agree with you about the Royals too.

0:34:55.840 --> 0:34:57.600
<v Speaker 1>I just talked about them the Sunday TV show on

0:34:57.640 --> 0:34:59.800
<v Speaker 1>Sports Greed. I said, you know, don't be surprised that

0:34:59.880 --> 0:35:02.040
<v Speaker 1>the Royals are kind of like the Pirates of last year.

0:35:02.080 --> 0:35:04.040
<v Speaker 1>They get out of the gate pretty quick and everyone's like,

0:35:04.160 --> 0:35:06.360
<v Speaker 1>where are the Royals coming from? Top half of the

0:35:06.360 --> 0:35:08.360
<v Speaker 1>lineup is good. Bottom half is still a little suspect

0:35:08.400 --> 0:35:11.440
<v Speaker 1>for me once you get past Renfro. But if the

0:35:11.440 --> 0:35:14.000
<v Speaker 1>bottom half that lineup performs and you get Waka and

0:35:14.080 --> 0:35:16.719
<v Speaker 1>Lugo looking like they did anything close to last year.

0:35:16.800 --> 0:35:19.240
<v Speaker 1>On top of Brady Singer, who's made improvements, and Reagan's

0:35:19.239 --> 0:35:22.200
<v Speaker 1>at the top of this rotation that's four starters deep.

0:35:22.239 --> 0:35:23.920
<v Speaker 1>There's not a lot of teams right now they can

0:35:23.920 --> 0:35:26.040
<v Speaker 1>go four starters deep in the American League and they can.

0:35:26.239 --> 0:35:27.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean there's a few at the top of that board.

0:35:27.880 --> 0:35:30.920
<v Speaker 1>But with every day, another pitching injury gets us closer

0:35:30.960 --> 0:35:33.600
<v Speaker 1>and closer to you know, that not being the case.

0:35:33.640 --> 0:35:35.480
<v Speaker 1>So Reagan's is a guy you probably have to be

0:35:35.520 --> 0:35:37.279
<v Speaker 1>a little bit more aggressive on. So if he's going

0:35:37.320 --> 0:35:40.120
<v Speaker 1>as an average ADP of ninety six, i'd move that

0:35:40.200 --> 0:35:41.919
<v Speaker 1>up in your brains. If you want him this year, Welsh,

0:35:41.960 --> 0:35:43.759
<v Speaker 1>I feel like that's you know, if you're drafting this

0:35:43.800 --> 0:35:45.080
<v Speaker 1>last weekend, you have to.

0:35:45.080 --> 0:35:47.520
<v Speaker 2>You have to reach, you know, get your guys Like

0:35:47.560 --> 0:35:50.320
<v Speaker 2>I'm not I don't care about like what the ADP says.

0:35:50.719 --> 0:35:53.680
<v Speaker 2>I'm placing him in that general space where I want

0:35:53.719 --> 0:35:55.600
<v Speaker 2>those big strike up pictures, Like when I get to

0:35:55.680 --> 0:35:58.680
<v Speaker 2>Bobby Miller world, I'm looking at Reagan's and Bobby Miller

0:35:58.719 --> 0:36:00.440
<v Speaker 2>and that tends to get into the city, the your

0:36:00.480 --> 0:36:03.160
<v Speaker 2>seventies overall and the great thing. Now obviously this.

0:36:03.080 --> 0:36:05.080
<v Speaker 1>Camply I would still say Miller over him. I'm more

0:36:05.120 --> 0:36:08.359
<v Speaker 1>confident in the six months when I'm gonna get out

0:36:08.360 --> 0:36:11.640
<v Speaker 1>of Bobby Miller better team, you know, all that stuff.

0:36:11.680 --> 0:36:13.560
<v Speaker 1>But I get it. That's the range now.

0:36:13.600 --> 0:36:15.160
<v Speaker 2>And some of these things can blow up. But the

0:36:15.200 --> 0:36:17.480
<v Speaker 2>thing about you know, putting league winners in here is

0:36:17.520 --> 0:36:19.520
<v Speaker 2>I think the floor all the players we've talked about

0:36:19.520 --> 0:36:22.200
<v Speaker 2>the floor versus the cost is different than us talking

0:36:22.239 --> 0:36:24.759
<v Speaker 2>about breakouts. You know, the next breakout player blah blah blah.

0:36:24.800 --> 0:36:27.880
<v Speaker 2>Now this is like Cole Reagans. Some things could fall apart,

0:36:27.920 --> 0:36:30.359
<v Speaker 2>and guess what he could return back to his normal value.

0:36:30.400 --> 0:36:32.480
<v Speaker 2>I think it's going to be hard, based on what

0:36:32.480 --> 0:36:34.600
<v Speaker 2>we're seeing from his stuff in his strikeout numbers for

0:36:34.760 --> 0:36:38.680
<v Speaker 2>him to have a negative return. But the odds are

0:36:38.960 --> 0:36:42.360
<v Speaker 2>so big for a positive return, and there's pretty solid odds,

0:36:42.400 --> 0:36:44.480
<v Speaker 2>especially if you're looking from overall players near the top

0:36:44.520 --> 0:36:48.600
<v Speaker 2>one hundred, for him to have a massive, massive return

0:36:48.680 --> 0:36:50.880
<v Speaker 2>based on his stuff. So you know, it might be

0:36:50.960 --> 0:36:53.680
<v Speaker 2>kind of eye rolly because oh, Cole Reagan's is buzzy, but.

0:36:54.000 --> 0:36:56.479
<v Speaker 1>He's a league winner, right, Sometimes it's right. Just because

0:36:56.480 --> 0:36:58.040
<v Speaker 1>it's buzzy, he doesn't mean it's wrong. In this year.

0:36:58.080 --> 0:36:59.799
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it's wrong either. Before I get to

0:36:59.800 --> 0:37:01.799
<v Speaker 1>mind number one too. Just a reminder, make sure you

0:37:01.840 --> 0:37:04.600
<v Speaker 1>sink your leagues for free of Fantasy Pros. Make sure

0:37:04.600 --> 0:37:07.440
<v Speaker 1>you're using all the draft tools, use Draft Wizard, use

0:37:07.480 --> 0:37:09.759
<v Speaker 1>the draft sing technologies, sinks up to your league. But

0:37:09.760 --> 0:37:12.560
<v Speaker 1>also if you've already done all your drafts, then use

0:37:12.640 --> 0:37:15.600
<v Speaker 1>my playbook too to manage all year long. Again, it's free,

0:37:15.640 --> 0:37:17.839
<v Speaker 1>seeing it's not gonna cost anything to find out how

0:37:17.880 --> 0:37:19.640
<v Speaker 1>great the tools are here at Fantasy pro So go

0:37:19.680 --> 0:37:22.480
<v Speaker 1>sink your leagues for free today. Get my playbook, download

0:37:22.480 --> 0:37:24.760
<v Speaker 1>the app, go to fantasypros dot com, slash my playbook

0:37:24.800 --> 0:37:28.560
<v Speaker 1>and use the tools to manage to get your lineups right,

0:37:28.560 --> 0:37:30.360
<v Speaker 1>you could set all your lineups from there. Not to

0:37:30.400 --> 0:37:33.239
<v Speaker 1>mention all of the trade analyzer tools you have, all

0:37:33.239 --> 0:37:36.160
<v Speaker 1>of the waiver wire pickups, all the news personalized just

0:37:36.200 --> 0:37:38.480
<v Speaker 1>for all of your teams and your players. You know.

0:37:38.520 --> 0:37:40.440
<v Speaker 1>Oh wait, I had this player on which two teams?

0:37:41.360 --> 0:37:44.000
<v Speaker 1>They know? My playbook knows. So make sure you sink

0:37:44.000 --> 0:37:46.560
<v Speaker 1>your league today for free. Okay, everybody, here we go.

0:37:46.719 --> 0:37:49.560
<v Speaker 1>My number one league winner potentially in twenty twenty four.

0:37:49.920 --> 0:37:52.440
<v Speaker 1>Another buzzy guy, but I don't care. It's wyat Langford,

0:37:52.440 --> 0:37:54.760
<v Speaker 1>who's leading the planet in everything so far this spring,

0:37:55.239 --> 0:37:59.760
<v Speaker 1>one sixty one overall ADP the outfielder for the Texas Rangers.

0:37:59.760 --> 0:38:02.800
<v Speaker 1>Who I mean, this guy has so much upside Welsh

0:38:02.840 --> 0:38:06.400
<v Speaker 1>forty four minor league games, elite level, slash three sixty

0:38:06.600 --> 0:38:11.680
<v Speaker 1>four eighty OBP six seventy seven slugging percentage. It's eleven

0:38:11.719 --> 0:38:14.319
<v Speaker 1>fifty seven ops in case you can do with the

0:38:14.320 --> 0:38:17.040
<v Speaker 1>math at home so far this spring. I'm looking at

0:38:17.080 --> 0:38:20.080
<v Speaker 1>my notes. He is number one in the league in ops,

0:38:20.520 --> 0:38:24.239
<v Speaker 1>RBI slugging percentage. He is number two, tied for number

0:38:24.239 --> 0:38:26.240
<v Speaker 1>two in home runs as of us recording this today.

0:38:26.480 --> 0:38:29.440
<v Speaker 1>He is third in batting average, third and hits. Wyatt

0:38:29.520 --> 0:38:34.520
<v Speaker 1>Langford is destroying baseballs everywhere. He's destroyed baseballs in college,

0:38:34.560 --> 0:38:37.080
<v Speaker 1>he's destroyed baseballs in the minor leagues, and he's going

0:38:37.120 --> 0:38:39.160
<v Speaker 1>to destroy baseball's at the major league level. I'm not

0:38:39.200 --> 0:38:41.279
<v Speaker 1>saying he's a perfect player, but when you're getting a

0:38:41.280 --> 0:38:44.280
<v Speaker 1>player of this magnitude at this stage, at one sixty

0:38:44.520 --> 0:38:46.120
<v Speaker 1>or you know, in this range again, if you have

0:38:46.160 --> 0:38:48.160
<v Speaker 1>to be more aggressive, and you know, I know in

0:38:48.200 --> 0:38:50.800
<v Speaker 1>some spots he's already moved up to the one fifty range.

0:38:50.800 --> 0:38:52.239
<v Speaker 1>I think it's going to be even more than that.

0:38:52.520 --> 0:38:56.000
<v Speaker 1>The Fantasy pros projections seventy one runs, twenty homers, seventy

0:38:56.040 --> 0:38:58.320
<v Speaker 1>three RBI, fourteen stone bases, and a two to sixty

0:38:58.360 --> 0:39:01.920
<v Speaker 1>batting average. Welsh. If that's the floor, I want to

0:39:01.920 --> 0:39:03.800
<v Speaker 1>be walking on it because I think the upside is

0:39:03.840 --> 0:39:07.120
<v Speaker 1>even more. But just that alone, a player of that

0:39:07.200 --> 0:39:10.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of magnitude, of that kind of return on investment,

0:39:10.520 --> 0:39:12.640
<v Speaker 1>You're gonna give me a twenty fourteen player with a

0:39:12.680 --> 0:39:15.200
<v Speaker 1>two to sixty batting average at one point fifty even,

0:39:15.680 --> 0:39:18.120
<v Speaker 1>I'll take that to the bank. White Langford is special.

0:39:18.440 --> 0:39:20.560
<v Speaker 1>He is my preference over Evan Carter. I said it

0:39:20.560 --> 0:39:22.760
<v Speaker 1>way back in February, and I'm gonna say it again.

0:39:23.440 --> 0:39:25.480
<v Speaker 1>White Langford is a guy I want. White Langford, I

0:39:25.480 --> 0:39:27.240
<v Speaker 1>think is the impact player and I think White Langford

0:39:27.320 --> 0:39:29.320
<v Speaker 1>can win people leagues. What do you think about Langford?

0:39:29.560 --> 0:39:32.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? I bet him months ago for Rookie of the

0:39:32.920 --> 0:39:35.120
<v Speaker 2>Year over Evan Carter when he was six to one.

0:39:35.120 --> 0:39:37.000
<v Speaker 2>I think it's moved up to like around three and

0:39:37.000 --> 0:39:38.839
<v Speaker 2>a half or three to one or somewhere in there.

0:39:38.960 --> 0:39:40.400
<v Speaker 2>I'm a little I mean, he's hit a lot of

0:39:40.400 --> 0:39:42.560
<v Speaker 2>ground balls in spring, so it's gonna be something to watch.

0:39:42.560 --> 0:39:45.240
<v Speaker 2>But when you were reading off those projections, I legit

0:39:45.280 --> 0:39:47.719
<v Speaker 2>think he can beat at least four of those. I'm

0:39:47.760 --> 0:39:49.799
<v Speaker 2>a little dicey on where the stolen bases are gonna

0:39:49.800 --> 0:39:52.600
<v Speaker 2>go and how the Rangers approach massive stolen bases with him.

0:39:52.760 --> 0:39:55.680
<v Speaker 2>But here's the big positive. He's been hitting like three

0:39:55.840 --> 0:39:58.120
<v Speaker 2>or four in that lineup all season long.

0:39:59.080 --> 0:40:01.880
<v Speaker 1>Of course is not there, so like when Seger comes in,

0:40:01.920 --> 0:40:04.000
<v Speaker 1>I know it's gonna change the dynamic, but if he

0:40:04.040 --> 0:40:04.960
<v Speaker 1>keeps hitting it might not.

0:40:05.480 --> 0:40:09.279
<v Speaker 2>But it changes the dynamic in Carter versus him because

0:40:09.320 --> 0:40:12.359
<v Speaker 2>Seger is their number two and Simeon is their lead

0:40:12.360 --> 0:40:14.959
<v Speaker 2>off guy. That's how they like to roll. So would

0:40:15.000 --> 0:40:18.200
<v Speaker 2>they want to go, you know, maybe versus rightys they

0:40:18.239 --> 0:40:22.640
<v Speaker 2>go Carter Adoles and then Langford, and then versus lefties.

0:40:22.960 --> 0:40:26.239
<v Speaker 2>Carter hits three adulas, maybe the Doles hits three. I mean,

0:40:26.360 --> 0:40:28.680
<v Speaker 2>he's got an opportunity to hit in the top five

0:40:28.719 --> 0:40:31.440
<v Speaker 2>of the order all year long, worst case at six,

0:40:31.680 --> 0:40:35.160
<v Speaker 2>but you're hitting behind guys like Garcia and Seeger. I

0:40:35.239 --> 0:40:38.560
<v Speaker 2>love the floor. He walks a ton, He's got a

0:40:38.680 --> 0:40:40.879
<v Speaker 2>great presence at the plate. You do have to watch

0:40:40.960 --> 0:40:43.040
<v Speaker 2>and make sure that he's got really good quality of

0:40:43.080 --> 0:40:45.080
<v Speaker 2>contact at the major league level, and that's gonna be

0:40:45.200 --> 0:40:47.359
<v Speaker 2>the thing. But I've been at Rangers camp a ton

0:40:47.440 --> 0:40:49.560
<v Speaker 2>and he is always working with the starters at every point.

0:40:49.600 --> 0:40:53.240
<v Speaker 2>He's locked in with Evan Carter and Garcia. He's gonna

0:40:53.280 --> 0:40:55.560
<v Speaker 2>break camp. He's gonna be the guy, and he legit

0:40:55.840 --> 0:40:57.360
<v Speaker 2>could be a league winner. And I think it's a

0:40:57.360 --> 0:40:59.680
<v Speaker 2>good bet. And guess what, like if you want to

0:40:59.760 --> 0:41:03.440
<v Speaker 2>like an him to last year's guy in Corbyn Carroll

0:41:03.480 --> 0:41:06.440
<v Speaker 2>in the cost, it's half as much. I mean, Carol

0:41:06.480 --> 0:41:08.799
<v Speaker 2>was a top forty player. Langford is still going off

0:41:08.840 --> 0:41:10.360
<v Speaker 2>around seventy or eighty in.

0:41:10.360 --> 0:41:11.680
<v Speaker 1>A lot of suns. I don't think it's got a

0:41:11.680 --> 0:41:15.000
<v Speaker 1>lot less impactful as Carol. Carol was everything and more

0:41:15.080 --> 0:41:17.439
<v Speaker 1>and we were aggressive and it still wasn't aggressive enough

0:41:17.719 --> 0:41:20.279
<v Speaker 1>considering if you even more aggressive, you still got more

0:41:20.320 --> 0:41:23.399
<v Speaker 1>than you asked for. So to recap here, Welsh's ten,

0:41:23.719 --> 0:41:27.400
<v Speaker 1>Matt Manning, Michael Bush, Victor Scott, Rafaela Jackson, Merrill, Colt, Keith,

0:41:27.680 --> 0:41:31.120
<v Speaker 1>Jaron Duran, Jackson, Holiday Jackson, Curio and Cole Riggans. My

0:41:31.280 --> 0:41:35.520
<v Speaker 1>top ten Paul Skeins, Mason Miller, Logan, o'happy Junior, Kemnarozekiel Tovar,

0:41:35.800 --> 0:41:40.160
<v Speaker 1>Shota Imanaga, Eduardo Rodriguezeloja Menez, Hunter Brown, and Wyatt Langford.

0:41:40.160 --> 0:41:42.120
<v Speaker 1>But we want to hear from you. Drop your comments

0:41:42.160 --> 0:41:45.920
<v Speaker 1>below on the YouTube channel. Who are your league winners?

0:41:46.000 --> 0:41:48.239
<v Speaker 1>These are ours. We love to hear from our people here.

0:41:48.280 --> 0:41:51.680
<v Speaker 1>Don't forget Leading Off Live twelve thirty Eastern Ring the

0:41:51.719 --> 0:41:54.080
<v Speaker 1>belt to it goes Dang. For notifications on Fantasy Ros MLB,

0:41:54.160 --> 0:41:56.759
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0:41:56.800 --> 0:41:59.360
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0:41:59.480 --> 0:42:02.040
<v Speaker 1>part of the show. We're part of the show. You're

0:42:02.120 --> 0:42:04.120
<v Speaker 1>part of the show. That's how things work here Fantasy

0:42:04.120 --> 0:42:07.120
<v Speaker 1>Pros MLB. We are all one big community and we

0:42:07.160 --> 0:42:09.759
<v Speaker 1>love the big community here that we have grown. I

0:42:09.840 --> 0:42:11.960
<v Speaker 1>want to thank everybody who's been with us here all

0:42:11.960 --> 0:42:14.400
<v Speaker 1>off season, and it'll just joined us too. Welcome to

0:42:14.440 --> 0:42:17.840
<v Speaker 1>the show, baby, because this is the show, so leading

0:42:17.840 --> 0:42:19.640
<v Speaker 1>off just around the corner. Don't forget. The draft kit

0:42:19.719 --> 0:42:22.880
<v Speaker 1>on Fantasy Pros is free. Check that out, use my playbook,

0:42:22.960 --> 0:42:26.080
<v Speaker 1>use draft Wizard, get ready, finish your draft strong and

0:42:26.120 --> 0:42:28.839
<v Speaker 1>strap in folks because the baseball season starts in less

0:42:28.880 --> 0:42:30.640
<v Speaker 1>than ten days. That'll do it for us, But the

0:42:30.640 --> 0:42:32.680
<v Speaker 1>story of the game goes on for the Welsh. I'm

0:42:32.760 --> 0:42:51.279
<v Speaker 1>Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids, my friends,