1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:07,280 Speaker 1: The volume football basketball season is here and there's no 2 00:00:07,360 --> 00:00:10,640 Speaker 1: better place to get in on the action than fan Duel. 3 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:14,240 Speaker 1: The app is safe, secure, easy to use. Fan Duel 4 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:18,119 Speaker 1: always has exclusive offers. When you win, you'll get paid fast, 5 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 1: and there's tons of ways to play. You got to 6 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 1: spread the money line over under his team, totals, player props, 7 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:27,480 Speaker 1: and so much more. Jump into the action at any 8 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 1: time during the game. With live betting, you can buy 9 00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:32,600 Speaker 1: multiple bets from the same game, in the same game 10 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:37,320 Speaker 1: parlay and try out the same game parlay plus. So 11 00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 1: use promo code Monaco and download the fan Duel app 12 00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 1: today to make every moment more this football and basketball season. 13 00:00:58,920 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 1: We are a lot. I've at the Breeders Cup in Kentucky. 14 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:06,280 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Sports Gambling with money Line Monico podcast. 15 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:10,520 Speaker 1: Alex Monico here live on Radio row at Keen Wind. 16 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:13,399 Speaker 1: Shout out to those catching us live on AMP and 17 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 1: the Special Things to my Heart and TVG for hooking 18 00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 1: us up this weekend. The Breeders Cup is here. You 19 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 1: can bet horses with FanDuel Racing, official wagering partner of 20 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 1: the Breeders Cup. Right now, new players can bet the 21 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:28,759 Speaker 1: Breeders Cup. They know sweat bet up to one back 22 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:32,240 Speaker 1: on your first bet for a horse to win. Plenty 23 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 1: more here with our tv G expert Mike Joyce in 24 00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:38,320 Speaker 1: the building. Mike, thank you so much for coming on. 25 00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 1: Thanks for having me on. All right, it's your professional 26 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 1: you have an unbelievable bio. I just want to spend 27 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: a second on. So you got into the horse racing 28 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 1: space as early as four or five years old. Yeah, 29 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 1: when you get to write it down on paper, you 30 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:51,800 Speaker 1: can make it sound a little bit better than it is. Um, 31 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: it wasn't like, oh I was born into this sport. 32 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:56,480 Speaker 1: It was more like a failure to launch situation. I 33 00:01:56,520 --> 00:01:59,440 Speaker 1: was in never in danger of becoming a doctor. So yeah, 34 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: I just grew up at the track and I never left. 35 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 1: So I just it's the only thing I've ever done. 36 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 1: I love it. Well, your first bet, it says, was 37 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:08,639 Speaker 1: it four? You got me? I threw some bar missfil 38 00:02:08,680 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 1: money away on accident in college. You got me by 39 00:02:10,880 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: a few years, but four years old? What is your 40 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:17,239 Speaker 1: first bet? So? Yeah, So what happened was my dad 41 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 1: used to run Arlington Park and um, they had the 42 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:21,680 Speaker 1: Arlington Million there, which was my dad's idea, and it 43 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:24,480 Speaker 1: was the first million dollar Thirdbred race. So we would 44 00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 1: spend the weekends and I was the baby of the 45 00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 1: family at the track and in the director's room where 46 00:02:29,560 --> 00:02:31,680 Speaker 1: my dad and some of the other exact was very small, 47 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 1: you know, like intimate setting but very nice, and I 48 00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:36,000 Speaker 1: was the only kid running around there. Well, I started 49 00:02:36,040 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: getting the waiters. There's the two waiters, Wally, Big Wally 50 00:02:38,480 --> 00:02:42,160 Speaker 1: and Little Wally. Big Wally was actually bigger than smaller 51 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 1: than little Wally. Little Wally was huge as a weird situation. 52 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 1: But Little Wally would run my bets, so I would 53 00:02:47,880 --> 00:02:49,200 Speaker 1: ask him to make so it was like two dollars 54 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:50,519 Speaker 1: here and they would make bets for me on a 55 00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:54,080 Speaker 1: hold the tickets. So um my dad found out about it, 56 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 1: and he got so pissed he banned me from the 57 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:57,400 Speaker 1: director's room at Arlington, and he told my mom, you 58 00:02:57,400 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 1: can't bring Michael up here. He's like, I'm running the track. 59 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:02,920 Speaker 1: I can't have a underage kid of mine making bets 60 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:04,640 Speaker 1: through the waiters. He wanted to fire the waiters, but 61 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:07,240 Speaker 1: my mom wouldn't let him. So yeah, so I was 62 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: so I it was you know, eighty one was the 63 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 1: first million. I was four years old and that was 64 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:13,919 Speaker 1: John Henry and that's he's my favorite horse of all time. 65 00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:15,440 Speaker 1: He won the million and eighty one eighty four and 66 00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:17,680 Speaker 1: could have won it in eighty three. Um, didn't have 67 00:03:17,720 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 1: the best of trips, but yeah, he was. He was 68 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:21,920 Speaker 1: an all time great. Well let's get into all things 69 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 1: Keenland here. So this Breeder's Cup is getting bigger and 70 00:03:24,040 --> 00:03:27,359 Speaker 1: bigger every year, just as you've watched the maturation of 71 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 1: this weekend. Talk to us a little bit about what's 72 00:03:30,480 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 1: special this particular weekend and and anything for people out 73 00:03:33,560 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 1: there listening looking to learn more about horse racing and 74 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 1: the breeders. It's truly a world class international event. You know, 75 00:03:38,920 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 1: we have all the Euros coming over and we see 76 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 1: the best of you know, both sides of the Atlantic. UM. 77 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 1: And in recent years we've had a lot of involvement 78 00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 1: from Japanese. There's a case to be maybe the best 79 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 1: horse in the world are in Japan right now. UM. 80 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 1: But you know, the US has always had the best 81 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 1: dirt horses in the world, and the best turf runners 82 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 1: in the world have been in Europe. But you know, 83 00:03:57,160 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 1: we hold our own against the Euros on the turf 84 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 1: as well. So it's two days of racing. There's fourteen 85 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:04,480 Speaker 1: championship races today. All the championship races are for two 86 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 1: year olds UM and they're in all divisions. You have 87 00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:08,800 Speaker 1: turf horses, dirt horses, sprinters, but your horses that run 88 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 1: less than a mile uh distance horses which run a 89 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 1: mile and further. And then the heavyweight division in this 90 00:04:14,280 --> 00:04:17,920 Speaker 1: country UM is the older horse division on the main 91 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:19,920 Speaker 1: track on a mile in a quarter uh. And that's 92 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:21,840 Speaker 1: the Breeders Cup Classic. That's the six million dollar race 93 00:04:21,880 --> 00:04:24,600 Speaker 1: anchors the card tomorrow. Yeah, let's let's get into the 94 00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:27,039 Speaker 1: Breeders Cup. Let's get into the main event, the super Bowl. 95 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:32,560 Speaker 1: Fascinating numbers here. Let's start out with flight Line, the 96 00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:36,479 Speaker 1: heavy favorite here, coming in undefeated, five straight, three to five, 97 00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:41,720 Speaker 1: which in the horse racing world is is pretty pretty 98 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 1: pretty rare, right, Well, it's an obscenely low price. It's 99 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:47,839 Speaker 1: not that it's a rare price to see in racing. 100 00:04:47,839 --> 00:04:49,599 Speaker 1: You will get horses at at low odds here and 101 00:04:49,600 --> 00:04:51,920 Speaker 1: there in a race of this caliber, when you're running 102 00:04:51,920 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 1: against Grade one horses in the best in the world, 103 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:57,760 Speaker 1: to be that much of a favorite over such horses 104 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:00,280 Speaker 1: is absurd. There's a chance that flight Line was off 105 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:05,160 Speaker 1: as the lowest price in the history the breeders have started. Um, 106 00:05:05,240 --> 00:05:06,920 Speaker 1: he's three to five on the morning line. I don't 107 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 1: know if you're even gonna get that. You might get 108 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:11,240 Speaker 1: two to five, which are terrible, terrible odds. But he's 109 00:05:11,279 --> 00:05:13,159 Speaker 1: that much better than than everybody else. And it's not 110 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:17,000 Speaker 1: that he's five for five. Um, it's it's a talent separation, 111 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 1: the likes of which you just don't see very often. 112 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:20,720 Speaker 1: It's like Will Chamberlain when he came into the NBA, 113 00:05:20,760 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 1: they had had to change the rules for him because 114 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:24,880 Speaker 1: he was that that much better than everybody else. And 115 00:05:24,960 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 1: his most recent start was the TVG Pacific Classic. He 116 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 1: won that by nineteen and three quarter lengths. Um. The 117 00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:34,720 Speaker 1: horse that finished second has made ten million dollars. So 118 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:36,480 Speaker 1: the horse that finished second one the Dubui World Cup, 119 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:37,800 Speaker 1: which is a twelve million dollar race and one of 120 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 1: the most important races in the World's actually double the 121 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:43,719 Speaker 1: purse of this, and he's an excellent horse. And Bob Bafford, 122 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 1: who trains Country Grammar, the horse that was the runner 123 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:47,280 Speaker 1: up the flight Line, he came out of the stands laughing, 124 00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 1: he goes, my horse thinks he won because because flight 125 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:52,600 Speaker 1: Line was that much far ahead of him. It was absurd. 126 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:54,800 Speaker 1: It was an utterly absurd performance. And what makes it 127 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:56,840 Speaker 1: even more absurd, it was the first time he had 128 00:05:56,839 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 1: ever gone two turns. It was the first time he 129 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:01,280 Speaker 1: had ever gone a mile on court. Usually when horses 130 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 1: go a mile a quarter, they build up to that 131 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:06,040 Speaker 1: through a series of races. You know, the Derby trails 132 00:06:06,040 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 1: are very you know, relatable road where these horses will 133 00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 1: go a mile quarter for the first time in their 134 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 1: life is three year olds in the Kentucky Derby. They 135 00:06:14,680 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 1: work their way up to that. You know, they're they're 136 00:06:16,240 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: running around one turn in their first few starts. Then 137 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 1: they go two turns at a mile in the sixteen 138 00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 1: sometimes there's a two turn mile and there most of 139 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:23,920 Speaker 1: our mile in sixteen. They'll work up and then usually 140 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 1: their last race before the Derby is a mile and 141 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 1: an eighth or a mile in three sixteenth, but they 142 00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:30,040 Speaker 1: never get to that mile in a quarter until the Derby, 143 00:06:30,320 --> 00:06:32,120 Speaker 1: and it's you have to work your way up to that. 144 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:34,160 Speaker 1: For him to do what he did the first time, 145 00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 1: going to mile a quarter and his first time around 146 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:39,360 Speaker 1: two turns is just another absurdity. And how how talented 147 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:42,160 Speaker 1: he really is. So when looking at this race for 148 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:45,039 Speaker 1: me again, and I'm on the novices of course, But 149 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:47,560 Speaker 1: when I go to Delmar and you know, we we 150 00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 1: look at jockeys, we look at trainers, and we look 151 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 1: at horses. In this particular Breeders Cup. Just for for 152 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 1: rookies out there looking to get better. Where do you 153 00:06:57,600 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 1: place value on horse, trainer, jockey? It is horse racing, 154 00:07:01,839 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 1: So that's the most important thing. Uh. The old adage 155 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:06,400 Speaker 1: of loaded good is dangerous in anybody's hand. If you 156 00:07:06,480 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 1: have the horse, it doesn't matter who the people are involved. Jockeys, 157 00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 1: more often than not, um, are a detriment than an addition. 158 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:15,200 Speaker 1: There are very few riders in the history of this 159 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 1: game that could step on a horse and improve them. 160 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:20,240 Speaker 1: There they they have existed, right, They are some of 161 00:07:20,240 --> 00:07:23,160 Speaker 1: those out there. But for the most part, um, jockeys 162 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,640 Speaker 1: and trainers. You know, a trainer's job is playing defense. 163 00:07:25,880 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 1: Get out of the horse's way, don't let anything go wrong. Um. 164 00:07:29,200 --> 00:07:31,520 Speaker 1: And there's more than one way to train to train 165 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:34,280 Speaker 1: a horse, and it's more art and science, and they 166 00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:36,640 Speaker 1: all do it differently. But for the most part, you 167 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 1: just don't want anything to go wrong, get that horse 168 00:07:38,920 --> 00:07:41,240 Speaker 1: to the peak ability on the right day and make 169 00:07:41,280 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 1: sure nothing goes wrong. And for a jockey, it's get 170 00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:45,040 Speaker 1: out of the horse's way and make sure they said 171 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 1: a good trip, put the horse where they're going to excel. Um. Yeah, 172 00:07:48,160 --> 00:07:50,119 Speaker 1: there's a lot of tactics that go into race riding. 173 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 1: But these jockeys are all professionals. These are all riders 174 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:56,680 Speaker 1: that um are exceptionally elites in their in their field, 175 00:07:56,800 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 1: and on a day like today, there's gonna be more 176 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:03,080 Speaker 1: are impact by mistakes than Why what a brilliant thing 177 00:08:03,080 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 1: he did? And just as a sports federal, it's looking 178 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:09,200 Speaker 1: for an edge. How can you find an edge in 179 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 1: a Breeders Cup classic like this? So in the classic 180 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:13,800 Speaker 1: it's hard. I mean, the beautiful, beautiful thing about the 181 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 1: Breeders Cup is it's two days of racing and there 182 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:18,400 Speaker 1: are races you know, today and tomorrow leading up to it. 183 00:08:18,400 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 1: There's fourteen championship races. Yes, that's the biggest one, but um, 184 00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 1: there's great value in some of these other races. I 185 00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:26,560 Speaker 1: mean there's horses. You will see horses win over the 186 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:28,480 Speaker 1: next couple of days at odds of twenty and thirty 187 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:30,880 Speaker 1: two one so order of Australia who was in the 188 00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 1: Breeders Cup turf. I think he's twenty two one morning line. 189 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:36,960 Speaker 1: He won the Breeders Cup mile two years ago. I 190 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 1: believe it odds of sixty eight to one. Holy um, 191 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 1: and those things happen, and then I mean, this is 192 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:43,760 Speaker 1: a waiter. You can get sixty two one return on 193 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 1: your investment if you're right in a matter of a 194 00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:50,080 Speaker 1: minute and thirty four seconds. So it's it's a little 195 00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:52,839 Speaker 1: bit different than betting sports. Right When betting sports, you're 196 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:55,800 Speaker 1: sweating out, you know, plus one sixty five because you 197 00:08:55,880 --> 00:08:57,520 Speaker 1: got the best of it, and it takes three hours 198 00:08:57,600 --> 00:08:59,360 Speaker 1: for you to see if that you know, see if 199 00:08:59,360 --> 00:09:02,199 Speaker 1: that game goes, you're way. Whereas in horse racing, you 200 00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:05,240 Speaker 1: know you're playing race to race. You have opportunity after opportunity. 201 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:10,200 Speaker 1: And most people who bet this game are trying to 202 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:12,760 Speaker 1: get value on their plays. So I mean there's people 203 00:09:12,800 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 1: that you know, four or five to one might not 204 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:17,200 Speaker 1: be enough, and there's worse is that It just you know, 205 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:18,560 Speaker 1: it depends on how you look at it. If you think, 206 00:09:18,640 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 1: look if if flight line, he should be two to 207 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:22,559 Speaker 1: five in this field if he went off at eight 208 00:09:22,559 --> 00:09:25,520 Speaker 1: to five, that's great value. That's great value. It's never 209 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:27,880 Speaker 1: gonna happen, but um, it's how you look at it. 210 00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:30,520 Speaker 1: There could be horses that are thirty to one on 211 00:09:30,559 --> 00:09:32,640 Speaker 1: a daylight today that have just come off of like 212 00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:35,280 Speaker 1: graded or Group one victories, which are the highest level 213 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:36,959 Speaker 1: of racing, that are the you know, the best in 214 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 1: their stable, the best in their trainer, And it's just 215 00:09:39,000 --> 00:09:43,120 Speaker 1: the fields are so deep. When you're right, you get rewarded. Um. 216 00:09:43,160 --> 00:09:45,720 Speaker 1: You know the pick sixes, there's two pick sixes for 217 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:48,080 Speaker 1: a dollar in either day they're gonna play. For them 218 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: to pay six figures on a one dollar wager is 219 00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:53,040 Speaker 1: not uncommon, um, And there's always the potential they could 220 00:09:53,040 --> 00:09:54,720 Speaker 1: pay over a million. The pools are gonna be huge. 221 00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 1: Pick five, same thing I mean with the opening day 222 00:09:57,520 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 1: at del Mar this year is the regular race day. 223 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:01,880 Speaker 1: The for pick five through the first five races paid 224 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 1: over seven fifty dollars. All right, well, I know, busy man. 225 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 1: One more question before we get into my picks. Is 226 00:10:08,280 --> 00:10:12,320 Speaker 1: there such a thing there's momentum in sports of horse football, basketball? 227 00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:17,400 Speaker 1: Is there a momentum in horse race? Absolutely? So? From 228 00:10:17,440 --> 00:10:20,760 Speaker 1: that from that thought, outside of the heavy Chalk here 229 00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:24,079 Speaker 1: flight Line, who who else has momentum coming in? So 230 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:26,800 Speaker 1: in that race, this is how you're gonna look at it. 231 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:29,959 Speaker 1: I personally don't recommend betting against flight Line. Something really 232 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 1: bizarre would have to happen for him to lose um, 233 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:34,680 Speaker 1: and that's why they run the race. And do you 234 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:36,439 Speaker 1: say that a lot just from those out there listening, 235 00:10:36,720 --> 00:10:38,680 Speaker 1: that's a rare thing. And I hate betting Chalk and 236 00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:42,800 Speaker 1: I hate being unfavorites, but you have to be realistic. Um, 237 00:10:42,840 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 1: what a lot of people think is gonna happen is 238 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:46,640 Speaker 1: Life is Good, who's exceptionally fast. They think he could 239 00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:49,400 Speaker 1: give him a tussle on the front end. I was 240 00:10:49,440 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 1: in Dubai when Life is Good went postward as a 241 00:10:51,920 --> 00:10:53,679 Speaker 1: favorite in the Dubai World Cup, and we thought he 242 00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:55,240 Speaker 1: was going to be the second coming of Man of War. 243 00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:58,520 Speaker 1: He was as highly touted there as any horse going 244 00:10:58,520 --> 00:10:59,760 Speaker 1: into it. We thought he was going to take the 245 00:10:59,720 --> 00:11:01,360 Speaker 1: man of the best older horse in the country. And 246 00:11:01,360 --> 00:11:03,320 Speaker 1: at that line, flight Line hadn't made a start this year. 247 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:05,040 Speaker 1: You only had one race, and Heed won the Malibu, 248 00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:06,320 Speaker 1: which is a seven for a long race for three 249 00:11:06,400 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 1: year olds, impressively. But he hadn't he hadn't run yet 250 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:13,719 Speaker 1: in the Metropolitan, which is when he really announced himself. Um, 251 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:15,440 Speaker 1: life is good. Couldn't get the mile on a quarter 252 00:11:15,440 --> 00:11:17,160 Speaker 1: that day and he got beat by Country Grammar. And 253 00:11:17,200 --> 00:11:19,600 Speaker 1: I was all over Country Grammar that day. So I 254 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:23,080 Speaker 1: you know, I I don't get I don't get wooed 255 00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:25,080 Speaker 1: easily by the short prices. I'm trying to So there's 256 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:27,200 Speaker 1: a very short price today in the juvenile Cave Rock 257 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:29,679 Speaker 1: for Bob Bafford, talented two year old. He's gonna be 258 00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:31,720 Speaker 1: odds on, he'll be less than even money. I'm trying 259 00:11:31,760 --> 00:11:35,120 Speaker 1: to beat him. And look, Bob Bafford is perhaps the 260 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:37,080 Speaker 1: greatest dirt trainer in the history of this game. He's 261 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:40,280 Speaker 1: exceptional with two year olds. But um, I feel like 262 00:11:40,280 --> 00:11:41,959 Speaker 1: that's a place where I gotta beat him. So I 263 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:45,080 Speaker 1: am not swayed easily by the hype. But I don't 264 00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:46,720 Speaker 1: know that I've ever seen a horse like flight line before. 265 00:11:46,760 --> 00:11:49,040 Speaker 1: So it's one of those things. And if you want 266 00:11:49,040 --> 00:11:51,439 Speaker 1: to if you want to get value, if you want 267 00:11:51,440 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 1: to try to make some money out of the out 268 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:57,839 Speaker 1: of the Breeders Cup Classic, I would think betting a horse. 269 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 1: I would think betting a horse like life as good 270 00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:01,760 Speaker 1: as a folly, because he'll be the second choice and 271 00:12:01,800 --> 00:12:04,079 Speaker 1: everyone's gonna try to beat him with that. UM. I 272 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:05,800 Speaker 1: would use a horse who's game like a hot rod 273 00:12:05,880 --> 00:12:09,360 Speaker 1: charlie underneath. UM. I would use a horse to try 274 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:11,160 Speaker 1: and get a piece at a little bit more of 275 00:12:11,160 --> 00:12:13,599 Speaker 1: a number, um, and try to make it. What the 276 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:15,600 Speaker 1: way I'm gonna be playing it is, I'm gonna try 277 00:12:15,640 --> 00:12:18,000 Speaker 1: and play some crazy pick five and use them as 278 00:12:18,000 --> 00:12:19,720 Speaker 1: a free square in the pick six, just try to 279 00:12:19,760 --> 00:12:22,040 Speaker 1: get there. Uh, and then in the pick five same thing, 280 00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:26,040 Speaker 1: but I'm using gigantic prices in the earlier races. I 281 00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:29,160 Speaker 1: love the wall, I'm I'm I'm putting together a little 282 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:31,640 Speaker 1: exact the box here. I'm gonna go flight line, especially 283 00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:34,240 Speaker 1: after what you said and you took the words out 284 00:12:34,280 --> 00:12:36,400 Speaker 1: of my mouth with life is good. But doing the 285 00:12:36,480 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 1: research the great debut at the dol't mar what I 286 00:12:38,960 --> 00:12:41,080 Speaker 1: wanted to ask you, though. This horse had an ankle chip. 287 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:45,520 Speaker 1: When horses get banged up like that, does that affect 288 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:48,960 Speaker 1: your capping at all? Chips are not chips are when 289 00:12:49,040 --> 00:12:52,200 Speaker 1: they when they remove a chip it if they come 290 00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:55,480 Speaker 1: back racing, fine, that's They're nothing. It's it's at this 291 00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:58,440 Speaker 1: point it's such a minor procedure. It just takes time, 292 00:12:58,520 --> 00:13:00,160 Speaker 1: you know, Like you get the procedure, you got, let 293 00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:03,160 Speaker 1: him heal. But that's about it. Now with with ortiz 294 00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:05,480 Speaker 1: As as the jockey and and Tad as a trainer. 295 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:09,480 Speaker 1: Do you like that combo for for this particular horse. Um, yeah, 296 00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:12,040 Speaker 1: I mean, I know you mentioned earlier it doesn't matter 297 00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:14,600 Speaker 1: too much. Well, I read I read the best rider 298 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:15,920 Speaker 1: in the world in top Ledger is the best trainer 299 00:13:15,920 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 1: in the world, So the connections are never really in question. 300 00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 1: If I was, if I was really going to try 301 00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:22,920 Speaker 1: to blow up the exact I would use Taba. I 302 00:13:22,960 --> 00:13:26,960 Speaker 1: think he is a horse with um a higher ceiling 303 00:13:26,960 --> 00:13:28,880 Speaker 1: because we've seen so little of him. He's only made 304 00:13:28,920 --> 00:13:31,439 Speaker 1: five starts. When he won the Santino Derby's second time out, 305 00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:34,920 Speaker 1: that was an unbelievable mind blowing performance and accomplishment for 306 00:13:34,920 --> 00:13:36,680 Speaker 1: a horse to do that in just a second career start. 307 00:13:36,920 --> 00:13:39,840 Speaker 1: I think he's he's sexier, he's more flashy. He doesn't 308 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:42,280 Speaker 1: have the substance of a life is good uh and 309 00:13:42,320 --> 00:13:43,960 Speaker 1: life is good as very fast, so he's got that. 310 00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:46,240 Speaker 1: But I think if you're going to be Life is 311 00:13:46,280 --> 00:13:48,400 Speaker 1: Good as gonna have to out out foot flight Line 312 00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:50,319 Speaker 1: early and people think, well, he can get the lead, 313 00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:51,800 Speaker 1: and then he's gonna have to stay the mile the quarter. 314 00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:53,440 Speaker 1: He's not doing both of those things. He might not 315 00:13:53,520 --> 00:13:56,120 Speaker 1: even be faster than flight Line. So that's like I'm 316 00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:58,959 Speaker 1: I'm very against Life is Good UM in this spot. 317 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:01,080 Speaker 1: And then you know, like hot Rod Charlie is just 318 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:02,840 Speaker 1: so game. He always fires his shot. So I would 319 00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:08,199 Speaker 1: use Taban and hot Rod Charlie underneath UM as as 320 00:14:08,240 --> 00:14:11,720 Speaker 1: my show. We all remember the Churchill Downs debut, but 321 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:15,520 Speaker 1: it's a name, you know, for a fair Weather he 322 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:18,760 Speaker 1: was supposed to be Steve Asking seen his first Derby 323 00:14:18,800 --> 00:14:21,160 Speaker 1: winner UM, and he's been very good in his last two. 324 00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:24,600 Speaker 1: I'm not sold that Epicenter has to run that Travers 325 00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:26,680 Speaker 1: back he ran. He ran a race in the Travers 326 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:28,280 Speaker 1: that's better than just about anybody else on the page 327 00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:31,320 Speaker 1: except for flight Line. But even with what he ran 328 00:14:31,400 --> 00:14:33,200 Speaker 1: that day, I don't think that puts him in front 329 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:36,720 Speaker 1: of of hot Rod Charlie's most recent effort in Lucas Classic, 330 00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:38,920 Speaker 1: and I think Rich Strike, who finished second. He's twenty 331 00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:41,080 Speaker 1: two one boy, he really, I mean he hasn't one 332 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 1: since the Derby, but that Lucas Classic really franked his 333 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:44,920 Speaker 1: form in that race. It wasn't a fluke. And if 334 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,160 Speaker 1: you watched the Derby, it was a brilliant race from 335 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 1: a horse and a brilliant ride by Sunny Leone. And 336 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:53,120 Speaker 1: I don't think it was a fake Derby win. I 337 00:14:53,400 --> 00:14:55,440 Speaker 1: think there's very few fake Derby winners like oh that 338 00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 1: horse was no good even mind that bird. Back in 339 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,320 Speaker 1: two thousand nine he ran second of the Preaknesster Rachel Alexander, 340 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:02,000 Speaker 1: who's a Hall of Fame Philly, and he was third 341 00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 1: in the Belmont when Calvin moved to early on him. 342 00:15:04,080 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 1: So you know, rich Strike a big number. I would 343 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:09,520 Speaker 1: throw those horses underneath. I would take the stand against 344 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:11,320 Speaker 1: life is good and not take the stand against flight 345 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 1: A flight line all right, and just getting you out 346 00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:15,000 Speaker 1: of here with a with a long shot. You you're 347 00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:17,840 Speaker 1: liking hot Rod Charlie fifteen one hot yeah, I mean 348 00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:20,480 Speaker 1: I don't like anybody over flight line here. Rich Strike, 349 00:15:20,520 --> 00:15:22,360 Speaker 1: hot Rod, Charlie and Taba would be the horses that 350 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:25,400 Speaker 1: you use underneath them, um, just because they're they all 351 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:27,960 Speaker 1: have a reason. Taba's sexier and flash here hot Rod. 352 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:31,400 Speaker 1: Charlie is just super consistent and rich strike is I 353 00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:34,080 Speaker 1: think forgotten people to dis think it was Flukey Epicenter. 354 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:36,800 Speaker 1: He's fine. He could run as well as those horses, 355 00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 1: but he'll probably be second choice, second or third choice 356 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 1: with life is good, So I'm gonna there's no value 357 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 1: in there, so I'm gonna fade the second and third 358 00:15:43,320 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 1: choices and use those other ones underneath. If I'm playing 359 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:46,640 Speaker 1: and exactly like that. I love well, Mike, thanks so 360 00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 1: much for spending some time with us. Where can everyone 361 00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:51,320 Speaker 1: listen and check you out? And anything else you want 362 00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:53,160 Speaker 1: to plug? Yeah, you can watch all of the Breeders 363 00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:55,600 Speaker 1: Cup races on FanDuel TV today and all the Breeders 364 00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:57,640 Speaker 1: Cup races on FanDuel TV tomorrow, except for the Breeders 365 00:15:57,680 --> 00:16:01,080 Speaker 1: Cup Classic. You can watch that on NBC. There you go, 366 00:16:01,240 --> 00:16:03,800 Speaker 1: Mike Joyce, Remember tv G as he just alluded to 367 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:06,400 Speaker 1: in the FanDuel Racing app, is the best way to 368 00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:08,560 Speaker 1: bet races this weekend. Just sign up and you'll get 369 00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:10,880 Speaker 1: a no sweat first bet up to one hundred dollars 370 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:15,000 Speaker 1: back if your horse doesn't win. Exclusively on Racing Dot, 371 00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 1: FanDuel dot Com or the Fan Duel Racing app Now 372 00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:21,920 Speaker 1: make sure to check out Mike Joyce man got me better? 373 00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 1: All right, Hey, thanks man, I appreciate you. Thank you. 374 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:29,760 Speaker 1: Part two of the Breeders Cup at Keenland Money Line 375 00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 1: Monico Podcast. I got my guy, Simon Hunter, a real 376 00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:37,800 Speaker 1: pro part of the Huge Favorites podcast on the Volume 377 00:16:37,800 --> 00:16:39,440 Speaker 1: Sports Simon right to see you in the flesh Man 378 00:16:39,440 --> 00:16:42,040 Speaker 1: Man Man Lexion. What are we doing here? Let's go. 379 00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 1: We're going a little degender and the pro here talking 380 00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:48,480 Speaker 1: some shop little NFL Week nine. You know I fire 381 00:16:48,640 --> 00:16:53,680 Speaker 1: on everything and you are a true, true sharp. I'm 382 00:16:54,320 --> 00:16:56,080 Speaker 1: fired up to talk to you here. All right. I 383 00:16:56,120 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 1: got a few games I want to throw. Do you 384 00:16:57,440 --> 00:16:59,040 Speaker 1: even do a little favor following and give me a 385 00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:02,320 Speaker 1: little insight. I'm going down to Tommy Tampa Land first. 386 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:06,119 Speaker 1: I'm loving the bucks. I'm loving the Bucks. And this 387 00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:08,679 Speaker 1: is what I want to ask you, because I know 388 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:11,679 Speaker 1: you guys talk trends sometimes, but I know you you 389 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:15,720 Speaker 1: can you can laugh at the trend sometimes professional standpoint. 390 00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:18,880 Speaker 1: But the facts I'm in that Brady hasn't lost three 391 00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:21,600 Speaker 1: straight since the O O since pre my space. That 392 00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:24,679 Speaker 1: has the matter for something. Combined with the fact that 393 00:17:24,720 --> 00:17:26,880 Speaker 1: McVeigh and this offense. I haven't run the football all year. 394 00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:30,040 Speaker 1: I mean these offenses statistical categories thirty one and rushing 395 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:32,960 Speaker 1: and scoring thirties and sacks allowed twenty nine and turnovers. 396 00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:36,840 Speaker 1: You want to talk about a Gallafanakas Super Bowl hangover. 397 00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:39,520 Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm on the bucks man, But talk to 398 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:42,080 Speaker 1: me about this game in and the combo of just 399 00:17:42,160 --> 00:17:45,040 Speaker 1: the timing of Brady and the Bucks losing three straight 400 00:17:45,080 --> 00:17:46,919 Speaker 1: and then also just where the Rams are at. Yeah, Bro, 401 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:49,240 Speaker 1: I would say the oldest same in the book is 402 00:17:49,480 --> 00:17:52,320 Speaker 1: Father Time's undefeated, right, and who knows if Father Time's 403 00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:54,920 Speaker 1: called the Brady. But these trends haven't been hitting brother, 404 00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:56,919 Speaker 1: like he just lost three straight, which, again, like you 405 00:17:56,960 --> 00:17:58,920 Speaker 1: just said, I've never happen before. So you just dropped 406 00:17:58,960 --> 00:18:01,720 Speaker 1: the game of Pittsburgh, dropped the game that again, we 407 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 1: all can't believe it. That Baltimore game was crazy, like 408 00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:07,119 Speaker 1: they are we dominating that game, the injuries on the 409 00:18:07,119 --> 00:18:09,840 Speaker 1: Baltimore side, and they still couldn't beat them. So I 410 00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:11,680 Speaker 1: kind of see you're coming from, right. This is the spot. 411 00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:14,399 Speaker 1: Do you take Brady at home short home dog, I 412 00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:17,120 Speaker 1: mean short home favorite against the Rams team that's just bad, 413 00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:20,120 Speaker 1: like they are bad, simply bad. You can say it's 414 00:18:20,119 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 1: a Super Bowl hangover. To me, it's like, Okay, you 415 00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:24,399 Speaker 1: guys sold your soul for the Ring, right you. You 416 00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 1: you gotta rid all the draft picks you paid big money, 417 00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:30,400 Speaker 1: toss like four or five players, Your old lines bad, 418 00:18:30,760 --> 00:18:32,960 Speaker 1: Your defense is not good like it was last year. 419 00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:36,040 Speaker 1: So yeah, I would see the pros are with you, right. 420 00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:39,280 Speaker 1: The pros have been backing Tom. They backed him last week. Right. 421 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 1: We saw that number of open at one and a 422 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:42,800 Speaker 1: half against Raven and short closed the minus two and 423 00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:47,160 Speaker 1: a half for the Bucks. That's pro money. They got spanked, right, 424 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:50,800 Speaker 1: the Ravens killed him. So I think you're riding the 425 00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:52,800 Speaker 1: pros are with you, like you're riding that wave of 426 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: Brady is gonna get it right. They're gonna figure it 427 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:57,280 Speaker 1: out and against the Rams. It don't get much easier 428 00:18:57,320 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 1: at home in this situation. So it won't be one 429 00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:01,479 Speaker 1: of my go bets this week. I can tell you 430 00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:03,280 Speaker 1: pros have hit it and they're hitting it big with 431 00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:04,919 Speaker 1: the public. To me, they'll be on the Rams, right, 432 00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:07,200 Speaker 1: they'll take the points in the worst team. So interesting 433 00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:08,760 Speaker 1: game that you like that one though? Yeah, well, I 434 00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 1: like it. Also, just from a football perspective, do the 435 00:19:12,080 --> 00:19:14,480 Speaker 1: Bucks have this game circled because of the divisional round 436 00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:17,280 Speaker 1: last year? I mean three they almost come back? Like, 437 00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:20,320 Speaker 1: is there anything from a capping standpoint where you factor 438 00:19:20,400 --> 00:19:25,160 Speaker 1: in beer uttle game? Because it's like Brady does forty five, 439 00:19:25,160 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 1: Brady is mad, Brady. Brady is eating avocado ice cream 440 00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:31,720 Speaker 1: party at once. That's what I'm saying though, Like he 441 00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 1: doesn't need an edge because he's already pissed us out. 442 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:36,960 Speaker 1: He's like, I really lose my marriage to go three 443 00:19:37,040 --> 00:19:39,199 Speaker 1: and five? Is this really happen in my life? So 444 00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:41,240 Speaker 1: to me, you're not lying. He's he doesn't even worry 445 00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:43,120 Speaker 1: about last year. To Tim, he's pissed this hell anyway. 446 00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:45,600 Speaker 1: So yeah, Like, if you want an angry Brady, this 447 00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:47,960 Speaker 1: is angry. It's gonna get like they need this game bad. 448 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:49,880 Speaker 1: So I'm with you on that. All right, let's get 449 00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:53,040 Speaker 1: into interesting slate. Not a ton of Marquete games here, 450 00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:56,320 Speaker 1: but Titans chiefs. I'm I'm kind of perplexed to a 451 00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:58,840 Speaker 1: double digit number here Titans have lost in a month? 452 00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:03,600 Speaker 1: Is this Andy reid Off a by number? It could be, 453 00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:06,680 Speaker 1: And it's just also the Chief's respect right like the Chiefs, 454 00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:09,439 Speaker 1: not that they were looked down upon coming to the season, 455 00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:12,800 Speaker 1: but the Chargers hype was out of control. Denver's hype 456 00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,000 Speaker 1: was just next level, and the Chiefs were just like 457 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 1: the ugly old girl friend. It was like, no one's 458 00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:19,879 Speaker 1: talking about them, she's still smoking hot. Everyone just like 459 00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 1: was like, oh Tyreek is gone. To me, I never 460 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:23,520 Speaker 1: really let that phase me. It's like, I love the 461 00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:26,119 Speaker 1: Chiefs coming into the year, nothing changed about that. I 462 00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:29,120 Speaker 1: love the offense. This is such a letdown spot for them. 463 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:31,480 Speaker 1: Like the Tennessee thing makes sense where I mean, we're 464 00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:32,919 Speaker 1: gonna bet it and we're gonna be pissed this out 465 00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:36,560 Speaker 1: where it's twenty four and nothing Chiefs, but Derrick Henry 466 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:38,960 Speaker 1: get right against a run defense that can't stop the 467 00:20:39,040 --> 00:20:41,520 Speaker 1: run and the Chiefs we gotta take the number here 468 00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:43,680 Speaker 1: and the tough it just oozes of a close game. 469 00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:45,359 Speaker 1: So to me, I like the twelve of twelve and 470 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:48,240 Speaker 1: a half h Tennessee. But like you just said, Andy 471 00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:50,000 Speaker 1: reid offf a bye. That's always good. I know. But 472 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,479 Speaker 1: also the Titans does it factor and they beat him 473 00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:56,680 Speaker 1: four out the last five. That's amazing. That's unbelievable. That's 474 00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:59,800 Speaker 1: why I'm sitting here going why Simon and you from 475 00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:02,080 Speaker 1: a essual standpoint, do you look at the number? Are 476 00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:04,280 Speaker 1: you scratching your head? No? Because I thought that was 477 00:21:04,320 --> 00:21:06,200 Speaker 1: a fair number of the sense that Tanniell just missed 478 00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,760 Speaker 1: a week with an injury. Right, their backup quarterback through 479 00:21:08,800 --> 00:21:11,760 Speaker 1: for fifty five yards. So that's one of those where 480 00:21:11,760 --> 00:21:14,440 Speaker 1: it's like, yeah, we're kind of buying buying low here 481 00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:17,080 Speaker 1: on the Tennessee team. And also just one more thing 482 00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,359 Speaker 1: on that thought, the Chiefs three of their five wins 483 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:23,560 Speaker 1: over forty points. When you look at that, knowing that 484 00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:26,120 Speaker 1: rabel in this team is that they run, they muck 485 00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:30,200 Speaker 1: it up, they played d Is that to me? Seeing 486 00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:32,360 Speaker 1: that the Chiefs have one shootouts three out their five, 487 00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:36,040 Speaker 1: this doesn't scream like a shootout games. Screams like really 488 00:21:36,080 --> 00:21:39,719 Speaker 1: a playoff game that starts out slow and offensively it's 489 00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:42,119 Speaker 1: slow as well. Yeah, you know, honestly, I expect Rabels 490 00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:44,399 Speaker 1: defense played better than what you know, the fourty niners. 491 00:21:44,440 --> 00:21:46,119 Speaker 1: That was just a whirlwind, right, They just could not 492 00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:48,760 Speaker 1: stop them. Same thing with the Raiders. Raiders have not 493 00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:50,240 Speaker 1: been that good of a defense. So the teams that 494 00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:52,439 Speaker 1: they put up a ton of yards on just aren't 495 00:21:52,520 --> 00:21:55,040 Speaker 1: that great of defense? We're Tennessee. This year they've been really, 496 00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:57,359 Speaker 1: like really based on their defense, like then leading the 497 00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:00,679 Speaker 1: NFC South. I can't believe it, but to their defense. 498 00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:02,560 Speaker 1: So to me, that's what you're back, and you're back 499 00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:04,320 Speaker 1: in the strong defense with a strong run game. Will 500 00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:07,800 Speaker 1: you ever back a stat like this under Vrabel twenty 501 00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:10,280 Speaker 1: four and two and d Henry King, Henry goes for 502 00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:13,200 Speaker 1: over a hundred, they're under five hundred when he doesn't 503 00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:17,120 Speaker 1: this serviceable Chiefs run d he gets over a hunter? 504 00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:19,600 Speaker 1: Can they win the game? I mean I always throw 505 00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:21,520 Speaker 1: a little bit on the money with Vrabel Historically he's 506 00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:23,720 Speaker 1: great and on the return value of him betting a dog, 507 00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:27,680 Speaker 1: So yeah, I would throw it on there. Uh the 508 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:29,400 Speaker 1: value is good. I'm betting him as a dog there. 509 00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:31,840 Speaker 1: But to me, it's like what I put more than 510 00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:34,560 Speaker 1: a hundred bucks now, like that's just that's a scary dog. 511 00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:36,840 Speaker 1: He went out right, because we've seen Andy Reid when 512 00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:38,359 Speaker 1: his team's down just a couple of points, you know 513 00:22:38,359 --> 00:22:39,960 Speaker 1: what's about to happen, right, My mome is probably gonna 514 00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:41,639 Speaker 1: drive that field, get that touch in our field goal, 515 00:22:41,760 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 1: so like like the number of way more than the 516 00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:45,880 Speaker 1: money line. All right, I'm I'm getting emotional here because 517 00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:49,040 Speaker 1: I'm a recovering San Diego Charger from Ron Burgundy Land 518 00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:51,639 Speaker 1: the charge. I just I said it all that. If 519 00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:56,680 Speaker 1: the Chargers cannot off of bar beat Atlanta, just beat him. 520 00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,159 Speaker 1: I'm off. I'm off. I'm done with Staley already. But 521 00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:05,920 Speaker 1: this to me under under Herbert on the road doesn't 522 00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:09,960 Speaker 1: throw a pick their six and one. This pasty for 523 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:13,720 Speaker 1: Atlanta is abysmal, but the run d for the Chargers 524 00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:15,880 Speaker 1: is unwatched there and then you got a top three 525 00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:19,440 Speaker 1: Falcons rush team or run team when all that's a fact. 526 00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:21,320 Speaker 1: You've got a great passing team verus a bad passing 527 00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:23,240 Speaker 1: team and a good running team verus a bad rush d. 528 00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:26,520 Speaker 1: How do you capt this? Honestly, the fat of the 529 00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:28,840 Speaker 1: chagter has been really profitable to me. And it's honestly 530 00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:31,760 Speaker 1: because the head coach is killing him. Yeah, and he's 531 00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:34,080 Speaker 1: just not smart. He's not putting Herbert in the best position. 532 00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:35,639 Speaker 1: That's what you need. With a lot of these coaches. 533 00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:38,680 Speaker 1: It's like, again, Mike McDaniels, the head coach of the Dolphins, 534 00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:41,280 Speaker 1: who knows if two is this great, he's putting him 535 00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:43,080 Speaker 1: in the best position every game, and that's what you're 536 00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:45,800 Speaker 1: looking for these head coaches. So looking at this matchup, man, 537 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:48,240 Speaker 1: I get where you're coming from. This Chargers hype two 538 00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:51,000 Speaker 1: weeks to prepare. Yeah, but that doesn't even matter where 539 00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:55,360 Speaker 1: it's like yeah, but it's it's it's not even that either. 540 00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:58,360 Speaker 1: It's just your guys, system is not working. Like Herbert, 541 00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:00,600 Speaker 1: You'll have a streak where that have one quarter to 542 00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:02,840 Speaker 1: have fourteen points, right and they have three quarters. We 543 00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:05,159 Speaker 1: can't pick up a first down. That should not be 544 00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:06,840 Speaker 1: the like, that should not be what you're getting with 545 00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,320 Speaker 1: Herbert because he's everyone. I think he's a top ten quarterback. 546 00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,200 Speaker 1: So the fact you run in Atlanta's run defense, that's 547 00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:14,000 Speaker 1: too much of a good matchup for me to pass up. 548 00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:17,080 Speaker 1: Where I see Atlanta taking away the run of the Charges, 549 00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:20,080 Speaker 1: making that one dimensional where Atlantic and ball control against 550 00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:22,840 Speaker 1: the Chargers. So that number, you know, it stinks. Do 551 00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,320 Speaker 1: you think they're doing you a favoriteiving you minustering their chargers? No, 552 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:28,440 Speaker 1: they're sucking you in. So why why am I thinking 553 00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:33,240 Speaker 1: like a public lead? I can't. I can't get out 554 00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:36,000 Speaker 1: of my head that the Falcons are gonna win this game, 555 00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:38,399 Speaker 1: especially with how I would say, and I don't know 556 00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:40,080 Speaker 1: if this matters that all the Panthers took him a 557 00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:43,720 Speaker 1: true sixty. Yeah, so can't. I mean, can they come 558 00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:46,280 Speaker 1: in a little with argic? They could? They could, But 559 00:24:46,400 --> 00:24:47,760 Speaker 1: like to me, that's one of those wins that kind 560 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:49,600 Speaker 1: of propels you in the season. Like they are now 561 00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:52,280 Speaker 1: in first place in their division. That's good moji right there, 562 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:54,280 Speaker 1: Like that's the team that's gonna start believing in themselves. 563 00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:56,520 Speaker 1: Where the Chargers, that's a lot of self doubt. Brother, 564 00:24:56,560 --> 00:24:58,879 Speaker 1: they've been sliding a lot this year. And to your credit, 565 00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:05,600 Speaker 1: you have a Falcon NFC South future. Correct. The one 566 00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:09,320 Speaker 1: span is incredible. I wish I could brag, but that 567 00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:11,720 Speaker 1: was truly just throwing darts, brother, But I just believed 568 00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:13,879 Speaker 1: in that division that they were the biggest slept on 569 00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:16,680 Speaker 1: two right, all right, just just one more for you 570 00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:19,600 Speaker 1: here real quick, and I hear you you and chat 571 00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:21,879 Speaker 1: talk about it often home divisional dog, you take the 572 00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:25,800 Speaker 1: number love the Browns Monday and I took him twelve 573 00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 1: and a half now moving around eleven ish on FanDuel 574 00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:32,680 Speaker 1: for the Bills and the Jets. Simon, I mean, we 575 00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:35,359 Speaker 1: know the Bills routed him twice last year covered that 576 00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:37,920 Speaker 1: number easily. It's now it's down to eleven and a 577 00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:41,720 Speaker 1: half on anything on this game. To me, the Jets 578 00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:45,280 Speaker 1: look completely different with no with no Breeze Hall and 579 00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:50,760 Speaker 1: Zack Wilson. I'm sorry, man, a little unwatchable. And I'm 580 00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:52,159 Speaker 1: hosted in New York show, so that not need for 581 00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:55,440 Speaker 1: me to say. But I'm leaning Bills here just because 582 00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,280 Speaker 1: when they win, they blow teams out. Is that the 583 00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:01,080 Speaker 1: proper side? I take it again because last week I 584 00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:02,640 Speaker 1: was on the Bills in screen Bay and that back 585 00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:04,480 Speaker 1: door hurt. We all saw it coming to they were 586 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:06,920 Speaker 1: up seventeen, he had the ball. You're like, okay, this 587 00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:09,040 Speaker 1: is laying on ten and it did. So this this 588 00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:12,320 Speaker 1: week's kind of same thing where it's like, okay, green 589 00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:14,480 Speaker 1: Bay needed three turnovers, one of them was in the 590 00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:17,200 Speaker 1: red zone from Josh Allen just to get that comeback. 591 00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:19,600 Speaker 1: We've seen Josh. He doesn't have back to back back games. 592 00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:21,600 Speaker 1: Usually he has a bad game, and that's the crest 593 00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:23,000 Speaker 1: part about this team. They've had a bad game. He 594 00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:25,720 Speaker 1: still put up twenty seven and dominated green Bay. The 595 00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:27,600 Speaker 1: same thing were there the Jets the Jets, like you 596 00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:29,359 Speaker 1: just talked about, they've kind of lost our identity here 597 00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:31,720 Speaker 1: and now they're plutting too much on Zach Wilson. I 598 00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:33,720 Speaker 1: don't like that matchup for him, right. We just don't 599 00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:35,440 Speaker 1: like him having to be passing the ball a lot, 600 00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:37,440 Speaker 1: so in the game you expect him that to be 601 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:40,879 Speaker 1: coming behind against the dominant Bills team. I like it, 602 00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:42,439 Speaker 1: but the scary part for me is I've heard two 603 00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:45,440 Speaker 1: really smart groups coming on the Jets. They're clearly taking 604 00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:47,880 Speaker 1: a stand on it. So say, earlier in the week, 605 00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:49,639 Speaker 1: one of my bigger bets was gonna be the Bills. 606 00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:53,880 Speaker 1: I've tailed it back a little bit just because again, 607 00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:56,160 Speaker 1: these guys move big money, they move lines. I've seen 608 00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:57,520 Speaker 1: this line dropped to eleven and a half and a 609 00:26:57,560 --> 00:27:00,000 Speaker 1: couple of books. Clearly that's off of the books getting 610 00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,200 Speaker 1: hit by these sharp groups. So to me, I like 611 00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:03,879 Speaker 1: the Bills, but I might be stepping in one like 612 00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:06,919 Speaker 1: I was last night with the Eagles, just just because 613 00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:11,640 Speaker 1: we're about mid midweek through the season here, any value 614 00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:14,760 Speaker 1: on any futures that you're staring at. Anything you like 615 00:27:14,920 --> 00:27:18,320 Speaker 1: out there, NFC Salth smooth lines are moving of course, 616 00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:21,600 Speaker 1: NFC North any value. Yeah, hackers and and any teams 617 00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:23,119 Speaker 1: that started out with a ton of chalk that you 618 00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:25,080 Speaker 1: might want to fire run for the playoffs. Honestly, think 619 00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:26,879 Speaker 1: there's still great value on the four nine ers to 620 00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:29,280 Speaker 1: win it all for the NFC. To me, I know, 621 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:31,160 Speaker 1: the Eagles are getting all the hype right now. Again, 622 00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,159 Speaker 1: I'm an Eagles fan. I love it. But at the 623 00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,040 Speaker 1: same time, it's like, that's gonna be a real test 624 00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,359 Speaker 1: and you've got McCaffrey coming in that run blocking scheme 625 00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:39,400 Speaker 1: against an Eagles defense that really can't stop the run. 626 00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:42,640 Speaker 1: That's an advantage with Dallas as biggest weakness. Can't stop 627 00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:44,560 Speaker 1: the run, that's another advantage of the four ninier. So 628 00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:46,920 Speaker 1: to me, the team's got all the smoke blown up there. 629 00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:49,800 Speaker 1: You know what, right now, it's the Cowboys, it's the Eagles, 630 00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:52,640 Speaker 1: it's the Vikings. I'll think people are gonna start catch 631 00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:54,560 Speaker 1: up with the four Nite RCA's gonna start getting healthy here. 632 00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:57,040 Speaker 1: So that's a future where like, if you're already invested 633 00:27:57,080 --> 00:27:58,720 Speaker 1: on the Eagles and win it all, if you already 634 00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:00,760 Speaker 1: have a future on the Cowboys looking for another team 635 00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:03,040 Speaker 1: to pair up, I wouldn't do the Vikings again, I 636 00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:05,440 Speaker 1: don't really believe in the Giants, but the four nineers, 637 00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:07,880 Speaker 1: that's a team that's like turning around here. They're gonna 638 00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:09,680 Speaker 1: be battling with Seahawks in that division. I like that 639 00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:11,360 Speaker 1: for them, like I like that they have a team 640 00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:13,119 Speaker 1: that's gonna be going pushing them this whole year. So 641 00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:15,480 Speaker 1: to me, a good value still is the fourty niners 642 00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:17,720 Speaker 1: divisionally and Super Bowl futures. I'll get you out of 643 00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:19,880 Speaker 1: here with us one more. I can't. I cannot ask 644 00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:23,240 Speaker 1: you going against the three and a half at home. 645 00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:28,080 Speaker 1: There's no way Rogers and the Packers lo. There's just 646 00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:30,359 Speaker 1: there's no way. I don't care that it is the 647 00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:34,800 Speaker 1: public side. If it is, that's not Manus Srina I 648 00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:36,919 Speaker 1: got I have to take. I'm living a dying by 649 00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:38,960 Speaker 1: the captain. I'm dying with TV this week now. I 650 00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:41,400 Speaker 1: think the public is finally like they cashed their tickets 651 00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:43,640 Speaker 1: last week. They were on Green Bay, they came through. 652 00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:45,160 Speaker 1: That was too much for them. They're like, you know what, 653 00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:48,120 Speaker 1: I'm often. Let me take the home dog, Detroit, who 654 00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,320 Speaker 1: they've been moving the ball right, and that's something green 655 00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:51,920 Speaker 1: Ba hasman doing. Detroit has been able to move the 656 00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,920 Speaker 1: ball and score points at home, especially right. It's just 657 00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:56,800 Speaker 1: interesting this line just sitting at three and a half 658 00:28:56,840 --> 00:28:59,000 Speaker 1: and the public has just been pounding. Hasn't moved at all. Yeah, 659 00:28:59,000 --> 00:29:00,880 Speaker 1: they've just been pounding to right and the book is 660 00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:02,880 Speaker 1: just slaying and saying, yes, bet the money line. At 661 00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:04,960 Speaker 1: the Troit three and a half go ahead, they're still 662 00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,080 Speaker 1: back in Green Bay. So that was one of those 663 00:29:07,080 --> 00:29:10,280 Speaker 1: where I wanted to take Detroit was Swift out, I'm out, Like, 664 00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:12,320 Speaker 1: to me, that's that's the magic piece of that team. 665 00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:13,640 Speaker 1: Like early in the year when they were playing so 666 00:29:13,760 --> 00:29:16,760 Speaker 1: well and they were covering, Swift was healthy. We've seen 667 00:29:16,840 --> 00:29:18,520 Speaker 1: since he's been out, they've just been on a slide. 668 00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:20,479 Speaker 1: Even last week when he got out, he got hurt. 669 00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:22,080 Speaker 1: They didn't scored to go point in the second half. 670 00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:24,239 Speaker 1: So I can't back to Troy. That looks like an 671 00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:26,120 Speaker 1: offense that's just reeling right now. I like you're at 672 00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:28,040 Speaker 1: with Green Bay? Are you off GB though for for 673 00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:32,120 Speaker 1: a playofform? Yeah? Now Green Bay is dead. They are 674 00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:34,920 Speaker 1: making the playoffs. No, they literally they They've dropped the 675 00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:36,760 Speaker 1: easy games with their schedule. It's about to get a 676 00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:38,920 Speaker 1: lot tough for them down the road, especially where teams 677 00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:41,040 Speaker 1: like I think Chicago's gonna better as year goes along, 678 00:29:41,520 --> 00:29:44,240 Speaker 1: Like that's that's a big that's a big knock to them. 679 00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:45,920 Speaker 1: With Green Bay they have to play them coming up, 680 00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:48,040 Speaker 1: So there's a couple more games I see them dropping 681 00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:50,360 Speaker 1: where I can just still see the Giants getting in. 682 00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:52,360 Speaker 1: I can still see the Cowboys getting in, and I 683 00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:54,200 Speaker 1: see the Seahawks making it. Man, I know it's crazy 684 00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:55,920 Speaker 1: to think, but I see the Seahawks getting that wild 685 00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:59,080 Speaker 1: card spot. Um, I know the public's hammer and Seahawks 686 00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:03,479 Speaker 1: plus two? Is that? Is that? Is that a mouse trap? Honestly, 687 00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:06,440 Speaker 1: let's let's that together. Brother, got it? They literally give 688 00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:08,600 Speaker 1: him nine points to the Cardinals team ninan three weeks ago. 689 00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:11,520 Speaker 1: I think they're actually gonna play better in Arizona right 690 00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:13,520 Speaker 1: because the weather was crap up there into the Seattle 691 00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:15,880 Speaker 1: when they played that game. We've seen Gino play well 692 00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:18,480 Speaker 1: when it's indoor controlled environments. He can pass the ball 693 00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:20,880 Speaker 1: well and Kenneth Walker, man, that's the X factor for 694 00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:22,880 Speaker 1: that offense right now, run the ball. So I like 695 00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:24,800 Speaker 1: everything on the Syhawks have done, like they really become 696 00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:26,680 Speaker 1: a complete team, and yere we all thought they were 697 00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:28,479 Speaker 1: gonna tank for a quarterback. It's crazy, man, You never 698 00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:31,800 Speaker 1: know it's crazy. Simon Hunter, the Favorites killing it pro 699 00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:34,320 Speaker 1: on and off the court. Thank you so much for 700 00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:36,080 Speaker 1: taking some time. Thanks brother all R. I'm gonna get 701 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:38,880 Speaker 1: out of here with a quick fan duel ad read here. 702 00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:41,720 Speaker 1: Now is the perfect time to download FanDuel America's number 703 00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:44,320 Speaker 1: one sports book because right now new customers get a 704 00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:47,640 Speaker 1: no sweat first bet up to one thousand dollars. 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Don't forget the 715 00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:20,240 Speaker 1: hug your mothers. We'll see you back in the studio. 716 00:31:22,960 --> 00:31:23,600 Speaker 1: The volume