1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcasts podcast. All right, 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: here we go spreading the corn. 3 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 2: Ten seconds of mating. Just go show off to the basket. 4 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:20,120 Speaker 1: Under the basket, it's the true for the wind. God 5 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:27,479 Speaker 1: make go amarracle. I'm just top the water. Hit that 6 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 1: one from the parking lot. 7 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 3: Shuck it all in Codge basketball. 8 00:00:34,600 --> 00:00:37,640 Speaker 1: It's not the size on the dog in the fight, 9 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 1: it's the size of the fight in the dog. Welcome 10 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 1: to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. I'm your host, 11 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:47,880 Speaker 1: Mike Calabrey's I am joined by Tanner McGrath, and we're 12 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:50,879 Speaker 1: going to get into the four playing games at ud 13 00:00:51,000 --> 00:00:53,880 Speaker 1: Arena in Dayton, Ohio. You can't bet every game of 14 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 1: March Madness unless you bet the playing game. So let's 15 00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 1: get you off to a good start. Get you in 16 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:01,120 Speaker 1: the black, build up a little little bank rolls that 17 00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 1: you can throw your weight arounds on Thursday and Friday. Tanner, 18 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 1: how are you thinking about the first two games that 19 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 1: you're laying out, and really the playing games in general? 20 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 1: How do you go ahead and handicapped these? Is there 21 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:15,760 Speaker 1: anything different from your usual methodology? Do you notice any 22 00:01:15,800 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 1: trends year over year? How do you approach it? 23 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:21,080 Speaker 3: Nope, nothing different. I just come at it like I 24 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:24,200 Speaker 3: come out every other game. I like to look a 25 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 3: bit at playing game history. I mean, Texas Southern playing 26 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:29,160 Speaker 3: in this game last year, so that's something to consider. 27 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:32,119 Speaker 3: But other than that, Nope, just handicap the game and bedded. 28 00:01:32,959 --> 00:01:35,319 Speaker 1: So you bring up Texas Southern, they are locked in 29 00:01:35,400 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 1: the sixteen seed playing game against I'm going to go 30 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 1: out and limb here and say that they're not in 31 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:42,560 Speaker 1: state rivals with Texas and Corpus Christie, but they are 32 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:44,640 Speaker 1: both from the lone star state, so a little bit 33 00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:46,880 Speaker 1: of state bragging rights on the line in addition to 34 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:49,200 Speaker 1: getting into the field of sixty four. How do you 35 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 1: view this game between the Tigers and Islanders? 36 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:54,600 Speaker 3: Well, three is it sure does seemed like everyone is 37 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 3: hopping aboard the Corpus Christian bandwagon. They did go nine 38 00:01:57,760 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 3: and three against the spread as a underdog this season, 39 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 3: and they one seven of their last eight, including a 40 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:05,880 Speaker 3: South end title for the Islanders. 41 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 2: It all starts on the defensive ends. 42 00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:09,040 Speaker 3: They force a lot of turnovers and then they try 43 00:02:09,040 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 3: to get the ball out and transition, something they do 44 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:14,839 Speaker 3: at a top ten frequency nationally per shot quality. That's 45 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 3: gonna be the key to this game because Texas Southern 46 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 3: is an atrocious ball handling team. They're three hundred and 47 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:24,480 Speaker 3: fifty third nationally in offensive turno rate. The Tigers are 48 00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:27,800 Speaker 3: also a defensive minded team. They ended up thirteenth nationally 49 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 3: in defensive EVECT and field goal percentage, but they're not 50 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:32,920 Speaker 3: as aggressive or chaotic, and they said they just can 51 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:35,519 Speaker 3: test shots well, specifically outside the arc. They're one of 52 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:38,800 Speaker 3: the best teams naturally enforcing low quality threes per shot quality, 53 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:41,239 Speaker 3: but now the team cho's a lot of threes either way. 54 00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 3: Both like to run their offense on the interior. They 55 00:02:43,320 --> 00:02:46,919 Speaker 3: attack the rim like Corpus Christi. Transition is gonna be 56 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 3: huge for Texas Southern. They want to get on the 57 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 3: open floor and get the ball to its long wings. 58 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:55,240 Speaker 3: Around fiftieth nationally in transition frequency. When they are in 59 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 3: the half court, you're gonna see a lot of. 60 00:02:56,680 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 2: Pick and roll with a number of different facilitators. 61 00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:01,800 Speaker 3: Texas actually leaves the country in bench mient so you're 62 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 3: gonna see a ton of different players. This is a 63 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 3: good thing for the Islanders because Corpus Christie was top 64 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:08,919 Speaker 3: fifty nationally in pick and roll defensive efficiency and. 65 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:11,280 Speaker 2: Was second in the south line. They're really good against 66 00:03:11,320 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 2: that set. 67 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:15,440 Speaker 3: Texas Southern also crashes the offensive glast, although both teams 68 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:18,640 Speaker 3: do that very well. You're gonna get a bit of 69 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:22,360 Speaker 3: a rock fight. These are two wildly inefficient offenses that 70 00:03:22,720 --> 00:03:24,920 Speaker 3: tend to stall out in the half court. So I 71 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 3: was looking at the under. But the problem is both 72 00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 3: teams want to run a lot, and we're gonna get 73 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:30,079 Speaker 3: North from seventy posessions, so I'm just going to stay 74 00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:34,360 Speaker 3: away instead. I'm going to back Corpus Christie with the points. 75 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:37,120 Speaker 3: It's about three and a half across the market, got 76 00:03:37,160 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 3: pushed down from four. Their defense matches up well and 77 00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 3: they are undersized on the interior, but I expect Steve 78 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 3: Lotz to minimize those issues with this game plan. It's 79 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:49,119 Speaker 3: also super nice that Texas Southern is a putrid free 80 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 3: throw shooting team, so if the game comes down to fouls, 81 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:52,120 Speaker 3: we're in a good spot. 82 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 2: Out or stay inside the number and get a back door. 83 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 3: Outside of that, I think either of these teams, who 84 00:03:59,880 --> 00:04:03,680 Speaker 3: have advances, probably gets blown out by Kansas. Texas Southern 85 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 3: size is probably better suited to stay with the Jayhawks. 86 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:08,080 Speaker 3: They have the jit size and the interior with fresherman 87 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:11,360 Speaker 3: Carl Nichols. But I don't like either going forward. 88 00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 1: I think you basically summed it up in the phrase 89 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:17,680 Speaker 1: rock fight. I think that is exactly what we're in 90 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:20,480 Speaker 1: store for here between the two sixteen seeds. You've seen 91 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:23,600 Speaker 1: some very ugly games over the years since they decided 92 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:26,640 Speaker 1: to expand to sixty eight teams and allowing these head 93 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 1: to head. I don't love the fact that you know 94 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:30,280 Speaker 1: you're an automatic qualifier, then you have to play a 95 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 1: game to get into the field of sixty four. Of 96 00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 1: that being said, if they had to pick some teams, 97 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:38,120 Speaker 1: you know, these two in particular are not exactly begging 98 00:04:38,320 --> 00:04:40,599 Speaker 1: to be in a showdown against a number one seed, 99 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:42,200 Speaker 1: But that's what's going to happen. One of them is 100 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:44,040 Speaker 1: going on to play the Jayhawks, and I agree, I 101 00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:46,040 Speaker 1: think they're going to get fed right into the wood chipper. 102 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:50,880 Speaker 1: Just to keep you know this consistent, keep everything online, 103 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 1: I'm going to say with my sixteen seed matchup, which 104 00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:56,240 Speaker 1: is right State the Raiders playing against the Bryant Bulldogs, 105 00:04:57,080 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 1: I'm not going to pick a side here. I'm going 106 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 1: to go right for the total because I think over 107 00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:02,599 Speaker 1: a one p fifty three is begging to be bet 108 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:06,400 Speaker 1: Let's start with Brian Peter Kiss, nation's leading scorer over 109 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 1: twenty five points per game. He's also just gone nuclear 110 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 1: in the last ten games, close to thirty points per game. 111 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:16,279 Speaker 1: In addition, he's you know that that rising tide lifting 112 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: all of Bryant's boats up to eighty three points per 113 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:22,279 Speaker 1: game in their last ten. They're fourteenth nationally in rim 114 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:24,800 Speaker 1: or three point rate. Eighty nine percent of their shots 115 00:05:24,839 --> 00:05:27,159 Speaker 1: either come right at the rim or from three point range, 116 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:30,280 Speaker 1: which is great from an analytics perspective when you're looking 117 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:32,720 Speaker 1: to push that number over the total, you know, speaks 118 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 1: to their efficiency. And then on right state side, if 119 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 1: they do get in a shootout, can they keep up? Absolutely, 120 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 1: they have a legit big three. You got Tanner Holden, 121 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:43,000 Speaker 1: You've got Grant Vacilly and Trey Calvin average and close 122 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 1: to forty four points per game. It's a trio. Love that. 123 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:48,479 Speaker 1: According to shot quality, they're the fourth most efficient team 124 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 1: when they do get to the rim, so they finish. 125 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:53,320 Speaker 1: And really, if we're talking about it over, I don't 126 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:55,280 Speaker 1: want to run into a team that wants to play slow. 127 00:05:55,279 --> 00:05:57,120 Speaker 1: I don't want to run into either side, you know, 128 00:05:57,120 --> 00:06:00,359 Speaker 1: playing good defense. Both these defenses are not good. Bryan's 129 00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 1: two hundred and eighteenth in a just defensive efficiency Right 130 00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 1: State two hundred and sixty second, So really just comes 131 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 1: down to pace. Bryant is going to want to play 132 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 1: super fast, seventh in adjusted tempo according to Kenpom, and 133 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:14,960 Speaker 1: I think what's going to happen is Peter Kiss has 134 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 1: been waiting for this moment really his entire career, to 135 00:06:18,360 --> 00:06:20,920 Speaker 1: have the center stage to put up a huge game. 136 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:23,360 Speaker 1: I wouldn't be shocked if he went for forty. I 137 00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:25,280 Speaker 1: think he's gonna set the pace in this game. Right 138 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:27,720 Speaker 1: State's gonna fight to catch up, and because of that, 139 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:30,080 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna blow by this one fifty three number. 140 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:31,880 Speaker 1: What do you think about these two teams? They know, 141 00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:33,760 Speaker 1: these are some squads that you've watched this year. 142 00:06:35,400 --> 00:06:38,640 Speaker 3: I think Bryant is probably due for a little bit 143 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 3: of a positive iggresional the offensive. 144 00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:44,880 Speaker 2: Then they actually have gone under in four straight games. Yeah, 145 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 2: I like to play. I love Tanner Holden. 146 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:51,279 Speaker 3: He's a great look for Tanner's everywhere and Brian played 147 00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:52,480 Speaker 3: really really well down the stretch. 148 00:06:52,520 --> 00:06:53,919 Speaker 2: So I'm gonna be on the over with you. 149 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 1: Awesome, all right? How about your playing game between two 150 00:06:57,839 --> 00:06:59,479 Speaker 1: eleven seeds in Dayton. 151 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:01,920 Speaker 2: Rutgers versus Notre Dame. 152 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 3: Rutgers was a buzzsaw at home, but outside the rack 153 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 3: or Jersey Mike's arena, the Scarlet Knights melted. There were 154 00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:13,040 Speaker 3: four and nine straight up away from home this season 155 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 3: that included losses to UMass, to Paul Penn State, Minnesota, 156 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 3: and Northwestern. So I ask you know, how would they 157 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:23,360 Speaker 3: perform in a neutral court setting? I would drop to 158 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 3: one point two four points for possession in the Big 159 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:29,200 Speaker 3: Ten Tournament matchup, convincing ten point Hawkey win. But I 160 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:31,120 Speaker 3: was rolling right now, so I'm not sure if that's 161 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:34,640 Speaker 3: really telling of anything. Recipe for Rutgers is always the same. 162 00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:36,720 Speaker 3: If they play good defense and they run the offense 163 00:07:36,760 --> 00:07:39,440 Speaker 3: to Ron Harper Junior, the Scarlet Knights can beat anyone 164 00:07:39,440 --> 00:07:41,800 Speaker 3: in the country. But I feel like so often they 165 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:44,400 Speaker 3: get away from that. They get caught up in Geo 166 00:07:44,480 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 3: Baker mid rage fadeaways or Paul McKay assist numbers. And yeah, 167 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 3: he dishes out tons of assists, but Harper needs to 168 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 3: be the guy during that stretch. At the beginning of 169 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 3: last season, when Rutgers started seven to one, and we 170 00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 3: were all thinking Rutgers was the best team in the nation. 171 00:07:57,840 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 3: Harper was scoring like twenty six points again, then he 172 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 3: got hurt and everything went to hell. If Cliff Amori 173 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:07,720 Speaker 3: can outplay Atkinson and Nate on the interior, I think 174 00:08:07,800 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 3: Rutgers can win this game. But I'm not super duper 175 00:08:10,880 --> 00:08:13,640 Speaker 3: confident in that happening. And Notre Dame's defense is really efficient, 176 00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:16,360 Speaker 3: especially at the rim, where they're thirteenth nationally in defense 177 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:20,520 Speaker 3: efficiency perkshock quality. So I'll most likely find myself on 178 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:23,120 Speaker 3: Notre Dame in this spot, and looking at the market, 179 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 3: all of the money is coming in on Rutgers, which 180 00:08:25,440 --> 00:08:27,560 Speaker 3: honestly makes me like the less considering the line is 181 00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:30,600 Speaker 3: starting to move the other way. Whoever gets past this though, 182 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:33,560 Speaker 3: I love against the spread and straight up against Alabama. 183 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:37,320 Speaker 3: The Tide have been inconsistent, they're high variants, they just 184 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:39,360 Speaker 3: are downright bad. At worst, they have a twelve and 185 00:08:39,360 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 3: twelve records, it's a Gonzaga win and the defense has 186 00:08:41,280 --> 00:08:44,080 Speaker 3: just been poor. So I'll bet Notre Dame here and 187 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 3: I'll bet whoever against Alabama moving forward. 188 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:48,320 Speaker 1: All right, I'm going to go on the record right 189 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 1: now with Alabama because I agree with you, there's so 190 00:08:50,559 --> 00:08:53,120 Speaker 1: high variants there. In the round of sixty four, whoever 191 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:55,400 Speaker 1: comes out with other it's Rutgers or Notre Dame. Here's 192 00:08:55,400 --> 00:08:57,640 Speaker 1: what we're going to do. There's a middle on this bet. 193 00:08:57,800 --> 00:08:59,720 Speaker 1: They could drive a back truck through. I don't care. 194 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:03,320 Speaker 1: I'm going to go Alabama minus ten, you know, get 195 00:09:03,360 --> 00:09:04,719 Speaker 1: the juice on that, and then I'm going to go 196 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:07,760 Speaker 1: ahead and flip it around and take Notre Dame or 197 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:10,760 Speaker 1: Rutgers minus ten with a huge payout because I just 198 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:13,360 Speaker 1: don't see it being a game that is, you know, 199 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:16,280 Speaker 1: one or two possessions. Either Alabama's threes are falling and 200 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 1: they just blitz whoever they're playing, or they shoot their 201 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:20,480 Speaker 1: way right out of the game. So that's how I'm 202 00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:22,280 Speaker 1: going to play that individual game in the round of 203 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 1: sixty four. That's for thank you. I think I think 204 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 1: it's a good angle listening. There's a few teams in 205 00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:30,839 Speaker 1: the SEC that are jackal and high, but really none 206 00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:33,640 Speaker 1: more so than the Crimson Tide. All right, I'm going 207 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:36,320 Speaker 1: to go ahead and look at the last game of 208 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 1: the play in slate, which is Wyoming against Indiana. I 209 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:40,840 Speaker 1: think the Pokes are a live dog here. I had 210 00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:43,120 Speaker 1: taken plus one fifty five on the money line. There's 211 00:09:43,200 --> 00:09:46,360 Speaker 1: lots of like about Wyoming and really one particular element 212 00:09:46,360 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 1: of how they play their game that I think could 213 00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:51,200 Speaker 1: give Indiana some problem. So we'll start with overall, big 214 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:53,920 Speaker 1: pictures shot quality. There the thirtieth ranked offense in the nation. 215 00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:56,920 Speaker 1: They've also done without being really lucky, you know, two 216 00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:59,040 Speaker 1: hundred and thirty eighth in the nation according to Kenpom, 217 00:09:59,080 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 1: which means that when they're ping other teams, when they 218 00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:03,560 Speaker 1: get open looks, they're making them. They're getting to the 219 00:10:03,559 --> 00:10:06,600 Speaker 1: foul line, they're making their shots. They're not the beneficiaries 220 00:10:06,600 --> 00:10:09,920 Speaker 1: of some fluky you know, play or shooting regression on 221 00:10:09,960 --> 00:10:12,720 Speaker 1: a personnel, you know basis. They got Hunter Maldonado, first 222 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 1: team All Mount and West Conference. They got Graham Eke 223 00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:20,320 Speaker 1: as well, second team All Mound West. And what those 224 00:10:20,360 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 1: two players in particular do is they get into the 225 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:25,640 Speaker 1: half court scenario, and no team in the country posts 226 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:28,760 Speaker 1: up more than Wyoming. So what that does is it 227 00:10:28,760 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 1: puts a lot of pressure on the front line of 228 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:33,680 Speaker 1: their opponents, and it can get people into foul trouble. 229 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:35,719 Speaker 1: They take a lot of foul shots. They take over 230 00:10:35,760 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 1: twenty per game, and in this particular matchup Indiana. For 231 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:43,440 Speaker 1: my money, they're only special when Trace Jackson Davis plays 232 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 1: really well. They are a complete, you know, mediocre pedestrian 233 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:50,319 Speaker 1: team if he is not playing at that twenty to 234 00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 1: ten level, So what can you do? You got to 235 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 1: get him out of the game with fouls. When they 236 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:56,960 Speaker 1: played against teams that like to post up, you know, 237 00:10:57,040 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: top twenty five most posts up in the entire country, 238 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:03,200 Speaker 1: they played five of those opponents over nine games. A 239 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:05,320 Speaker 1: couple of them they played multiple times in the Big Ten. 240 00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 1: They went four and five straight up. But that's not 241 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 1: as much what I'm interested in. What I interested in 242 00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 1: is Trace Jackson Davis averages just about two fouls per game, 243 00:11:13,960 --> 00:11:16,720 Speaker 1: but in those games he averaged three point three fouls 244 00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:18,679 Speaker 1: per game, and in six of the nine he went 245 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,840 Speaker 1: for three plus. So that is what I'm looking for here, 246 00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 1: you know, playing back to the basket, playing a little 247 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:27,640 Speaker 1: bit slower, forcing him to either have to play aggressive 248 00:11:27,640 --> 00:11:30,200 Speaker 1: defense and risk the fouls, or staying on the court 249 00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 1: with fouls and allowing them to you know, back their 250 00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:35,319 Speaker 1: way in and get some quality shots inside of ten 251 00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:38,320 Speaker 1: feet I think this plays well for Wyoming. This number, 252 00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:40,960 Speaker 1: I had it circled anything over, you know, plus one 253 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 1: twenty five. I was going to go ahead and play 254 00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:44,360 Speaker 1: the Pokes, more than happy to get him plus one 255 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:46,440 Speaker 1: fifty five. I'm not sure a lot of people watch 256 00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:48,280 Speaker 1: them play out of the Mountain West this year. It 257 00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 1: was a great league top to bottom. There's some really 258 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:52,200 Speaker 1: good teams, so I think they're tested. I don't think 259 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:54,120 Speaker 1: they're going to be out of their depth against the Hoosiers, 260 00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:56,320 Speaker 1: and I like them to advance here. What are your 261 00:11:56,320 --> 00:11:57,760 Speaker 1: thoughts on the Pokes versus the Hoosiers. 262 00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:00,360 Speaker 3: The first thing I saw was I was surprised that 263 00:12:00,520 --> 00:12:03,719 Speaker 3: Indiana opened at what was it their minus four? Right now, 264 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 3: Ken Pop makes the spread plus one. There's the values 265 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:11,360 Speaker 3: with Wyoming either way. Fading Indiana this year has been 266 00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:13,520 Speaker 3: very painful for me. I always seem to be on 267 00:12:13,520 --> 00:12:16,679 Speaker 3: the wrong side of them, so I don't I'm going 268 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:17,679 Speaker 3: to have to do it again though. 269 00:12:17,720 --> 00:12:18,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna take plus four. 270 00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:22,559 Speaker 1: I'm glad that you're joining me on that one. We're 271 00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:24,720 Speaker 1: going to close it up here with just a quick 272 00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:27,680 Speaker 1: conversation about player pools. I know that there's a million 273 00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:31,000 Speaker 1: different ways to attack your March Madness bracket. Some people 274 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:33,440 Speaker 1: like to do survivor pools, just picking the final four, 275 00:12:33,520 --> 00:12:36,800 Speaker 1: filling out the old school bracket fantasy player points. But 276 00:12:36,920 --> 00:12:39,120 Speaker 1: let's focus in on just the player points, which for 277 00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:41,440 Speaker 1: the audience a quick primer. You're going to go ahead 278 00:12:41,480 --> 00:12:43,800 Speaker 1: and you're going to draft players with the idea of 279 00:12:43,840 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 1: being every single point they accrue on the court throughout 280 00:12:46,200 --> 00:12:49,520 Speaker 1: the tournament is a point to your total. So there's 281 00:12:49,559 --> 00:12:52,000 Speaker 1: a bit of strategy you know that gets played in. 282 00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:53,800 Speaker 1: Like Peter Kiss, for example, I mentioned him at the 283 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:56,560 Speaker 1: top average of twenty five points per game, He's more 284 00:12:56,600 --> 00:12:58,600 Speaker 1: than likely only going to play one game in the 285 00:12:58,600 --> 00:13:00,640 Speaker 1: field of sixty four, so you get that one shot. 286 00:13:00,760 --> 00:13:02,680 Speaker 1: Then they get eliminated by a one seat. So even 287 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:05,360 Speaker 1: if he goes and scores thirty three points, that may 288 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:07,640 Speaker 1: not be as valuable as taking a guy you know 289 00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:11,120 Speaker 1: who's the fourth or fifth scoring option on Gonzaga, or 290 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:13,760 Speaker 1: you know a Kansas or someone who you figure is 291 00:13:13,800 --> 00:13:16,080 Speaker 1: going to have a deep run in the NCAA tournament, 292 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:18,160 Speaker 1: So you have to balance those things out. Are there 293 00:13:18,160 --> 00:13:21,360 Speaker 1: any players to you if you were drafting that are 294 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:24,520 Speaker 1: just absolute must haves, or maybe kind of a diamond 295 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:26,640 Speaker 1: in the rough who you'd consider adding to your squad. 296 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:30,280 Speaker 3: If I had the first overall pick in a player pool, 297 00:13:30,520 --> 00:13:33,439 Speaker 3: I'd go Keegan Murray, one of the highest US players 298 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:36,320 Speaker 3: in the Big Ten on the highest scoring and most 299 00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:40,199 Speaker 3: efficient offense in the Big Ten, and Iowa is primed. 300 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:42,400 Speaker 3: I think to make a run. I have them going 301 00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:43,960 Speaker 3: to Final four in my bracket. I think the draw 302 00:13:44,040 --> 00:13:45,800 Speaker 3: sets up well for them, and I think this offense 303 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 3: is it's just so it's powering right now, and I 304 00:13:48,280 --> 00:13:50,840 Speaker 3: think Murray is going to score thirty points a game, 305 00:13:50,840 --> 00:13:51,840 Speaker 3: and I was going to win a bunch. 306 00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:54,560 Speaker 1: You know. It's interesting a lot of these ratings that 307 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:56,720 Speaker 1: get you know, put out there for free has drew 308 00:13:56,720 --> 00:13:59,320 Speaker 1: Timmy as the number one pick. And I'm always a 309 00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:01,720 Speaker 1: little bit leer of grabbing those bigs to make in 310 00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 1: the foul trouble or may have some issues with, you know, 311 00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:06,640 Speaker 1: double teams on the low block. That's why if I was, 312 00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:09,360 Speaker 1: you know, in possession of the number one overall pick, 313 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:11,800 Speaker 1: I would probably go with chet Holmgren, just because I 314 00:14:11,840 --> 00:14:14,440 Speaker 1: think this is an opportunity not only for him to 315 00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:16,720 Speaker 1: carry them at times, but it's the showcase for him 316 00:14:16,880 --> 00:14:18,720 Speaker 1: to be a lottery pick, you know, is he really 317 00:14:18,720 --> 00:14:21,040 Speaker 1: a top ten guy? You know, with his frame and 318 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,200 Speaker 1: things of that nature, And because he can take you 319 00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 1: out to thirty feet, there's only so many things defensively 320 00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:29,120 Speaker 1: that you can do, so I think his versatility is there. 321 00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:31,720 Speaker 1: I really like, you know, your conversation there on Keegan, 322 00:14:31,800 --> 00:14:34,720 Speaker 1: because Iowa right now is hot as a pistol, and 323 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 1: if they get through Kansas in that's sweet sixteen, then 324 00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 1: you're sitting on probably the best asset for a player 325 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:44,080 Speaker 1: pool pick in the entire field. So I think it's 326 00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:46,360 Speaker 1: a little bit risky, you know, not grabbing a one 327 00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:48,520 Speaker 1: or two seed in that first round, but if you're 328 00:14:48,520 --> 00:14:50,840 Speaker 1: going to go that way, Keegan Murray is someone who 329 00:14:50,880 --> 00:14:54,240 Speaker 1: I could definitely get behind. One final thought on this, 330 00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:58,360 Speaker 1: Jaden Ivy is a player that most people would say 331 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:00,720 Speaker 1: is probably a top fifteen pick in a player pool 332 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:03,600 Speaker 1: scenario like this. I'm worried, you know, coming out of 333 00:15:03,600 --> 00:15:05,880 Speaker 1: that Big ten tournament that he's banged up. He took 334 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:09,240 Speaker 1: a really hard spell in that game. And Purdue, not 335 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:11,200 Speaker 1: only do I think they should be an upset alert 336 00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:13,040 Speaker 1: against Akron, they're also going to be playing against the 337 00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:16,320 Speaker 1: Acron team that wants to really slow it down, so 338 00:15:16,400 --> 00:15:19,040 Speaker 1: you could potentially get burned in two ways in the 339 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:21,040 Speaker 1: first round, which is playing a game in the low 340 00:15:21,120 --> 00:15:23,440 Speaker 1: sixties with a guy who's hurt. So Jay n Ivey's 341 00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 1: just someone I, you know, may want to steer clear of, 342 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:29,600 Speaker 1: at least from a pick at the ten to fifteen 343 00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:30,680 Speaker 1: level in your draft. 344 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:32,840 Speaker 3: I also don't like produced draw at all. I think 345 00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:34,320 Speaker 3: I think that Virginia Tech's going to give them a 346 00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:35,160 Speaker 3: lot of issues. 347 00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:37,480 Speaker 1: For Tana McGrath on Mike Calvary's This has been the 348 00:15:37,520 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 1: Big Bets on Campus podcast. We just did a quick 349 00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:42,880 Speaker 1: overview of the play in games. If you're looking for 350 00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:47,880 Speaker 1: our massive sixty four team preview with every single gambling 351 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:50,520 Speaker 1: angle covered, it's going to drop late on Tuesday night. 352 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 1: We're in the process of cooking it up right now, 353 00:15:52,680 --> 00:15:56,440 Speaker 1: hitting the airwaves late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning, 354 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:57,160 Speaker 1: So check that out.