1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,840 Speaker 1: It's sponsorship time. But you know what, it's really great 2 00:00:02,880 --> 00:00:06,040 Speaker 1: when you get a sponsor that you already use. And 3 00:00:06,120 --> 00:00:09,119 Speaker 1: guess what. Quint's is something that in the Todd household 4 00:00:09,200 --> 00:00:10,920 Speaker 1: we already go to. Why do we go to Quint's 5 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:13,160 Speaker 1: Because it's a place you go where you can get 6 00:00:13,200 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 1: some really nice clothes without the really expensive prices. And 7 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 1: one of the things I've been going through is I've 8 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:22,120 Speaker 1: transitioned from being mister cot and ty guy to wanting 9 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:25,360 Speaker 1: a little more casual but to look nice doing it. 10 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 1: Is I've become mister quarter zip guy. Well guess what. 11 00:00:28,040 --> 00:00:31,920 Speaker 1: Guess who's got amazing amounts of quarter zips? It is Quints. 12 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 1: I have gotten quite a few already from there. The 13 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 1: stuff's really nice. They have Mongolian cashmere sweaters for fifty dollars. 14 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 1: I just know, hey, cashmere, that's pretty good. You don't 15 00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 1: normally get that for fifty bucks or less. Italian wool 16 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:49,279 Speaker 1: coats that look and feel like designer the stuff. I'll 17 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:51,160 Speaker 1: be honest, right, you look at it online, you think, okay, 18 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 1: is this really as nice as it looks? Well, when 19 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 1: I got it, I was like, oh, this is real quality. 20 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm going to end up making sure I 21 00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 1: take it to my dry cleaner so I don't screw 22 00:00:59,080 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 1: it up when I clean it. But I've been quite impressed. 23 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:05,560 Speaker 1: In Hey, it's holiday season. It is impossible to shop 24 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:08,760 Speaker 1: for us middle aged men. I know this well. Tell 25 00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:12,480 Speaker 1: your kids, tell your spouses, tell your partners. 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Use 36 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 1: that code. Hello there, I'm Chuck Todd. Welcome to another 37 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 1: episode of the Chuck Podcast. So got another pack show 38 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 1: for you. Got a top five list that's come up. 39 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: I think you'll be intrigued by that. I let's just 40 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 1: say I enjoyed putting that one together. I want to 41 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 1: talk a little bit about an interesting phenomenon that I 42 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:12,520 Speaker 1: think is developing on the democratic side of the aisle. 43 00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:16,919 Speaker 1: It's the subject of my substack this week. Again, I 44 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 1: have a free substack. I'm not going to charge you 45 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:21,720 Speaker 1: because I don't want to paywall here. This is why 46 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:25,919 Speaker 1: I've paid advertising on this and why you know trust me, 47 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:27,720 Speaker 1: I get fun little emails from you. I'm like, oh, 48 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:30,639 Speaker 1: why are you advertising this? Why are you I'm taking 49 00:02:30,680 --> 00:02:35,119 Speaker 1: advertising money so I can make this paywall free if 50 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 1: you will so. But I think you'll be intrigued by 51 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 1: a thesis that I've developed on my substack this week 52 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 1: that involves Gavin Newsom, Mark Kelly, and Jasmine Crockett. All 53 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:47,640 Speaker 1: three of them walk into a bar. No, but the 54 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:49,480 Speaker 1: three of them have something in common. I want to 55 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 1: get into that. But before we then, look, let's this 56 00:02:52,440 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 1: appears to be the week that Donald Trump wants to 57 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:56,760 Speaker 1: deal with the economy, or wants to show that he's 58 00:02:56,760 --> 00:03:00,440 Speaker 1: dealing with the economy. A trip to Pennsylvania Monday, he 59 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 1: announces the big Farmer bailout, does an interview with political saying, hey, 60 00:03:07,160 --> 00:03:09,799 Speaker 1: he thinks his economy the stamp he's putting on the 61 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:14,120 Speaker 1: economy is a plus plus plus. Look, here's the good 62 00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 1: news for Republicans that are going to be on the 63 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:18,640 Speaker 1: ballot in twenty twenty six. The president's finally talking about 64 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 1: the economy. Here's the bad news for Republicans on the 65 00:03:21,200 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: ballot in twenty twenty six. He doesn't seem to accept 66 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:26,360 Speaker 1: the premise that this isn't a troubling economy. That this 67 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:29,640 Speaker 1: is and anything that people feel negative. Of course, he 68 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:31,440 Speaker 1: wants you to say, hey, blame my predecessor. You know, 69 00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 1: that's not it. I'm creating this golden age. But the 70 00:03:36,080 --> 00:03:37,880 Speaker 1: fact that he had to do a bailoff for farmers 71 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 1: is a cell phone, right, This is why do we 72 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 1: have this? Because China's boycotting soybeans from the United States 73 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:50,000 Speaker 1: and it's just a double whamming on our farmers. This 74 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 1: is not a Biden policy. This was Liberation Day that 75 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 1: Donald Trump did. And I think that that's you know, 76 00:03:57,280 --> 00:04:01,800 Speaker 1: it's interesting with presidents and how they try to blame, 77 00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 1: particularly first year presidents always want to keep the predecessor 78 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 1: in the news long enough to have them still be 79 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:13,480 Speaker 1: seen as the foil if things aren't quite working out. Right. 80 00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:17,480 Speaker 1: I mean, Barack Obama seemed to go almost four years 81 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:20,359 Speaker 1: convincing the public that he was dealing with this Bush 82 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:22,680 Speaker 1: economy that he inherited, and for the most part, the 83 00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 1: voters gave him that benefit of the doubt. I mean, 84 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 1: he did the unique trick of changing the question of 85 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:33,000 Speaker 1: are you better off than you were four years ago? 86 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:34,560 Speaker 1: To are you going to be better off four years 87 00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 1: from now? He flipped the question and that met Romney 88 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:42,080 Speaker 1: race and pulled it off. But for them, and for 89 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 1: his most of his first term, he was able to 90 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 1: convince the public this was Bush's economy, and we had 91 00:04:47,240 --> 00:04:51,359 Speaker 1: the Great Recession, and something that catastrophic is not something 92 00:04:51,400 --> 00:04:54,159 Speaker 1: that happens overnight. So there was certainly a public that 93 00:04:54,279 --> 00:04:58,840 Speaker 1: was believe that it was that was Bush policies, and 94 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:05,680 Speaker 1: perhaps Clinton policies Bush policies coupled together. Right, So, but 95 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 1: Trump is is not succeeding with that. When you actually 96 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 1: look at polling pluralities, say this is Trump's economy, say 97 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 1: that it's on him. The costs haven't gone down, And 98 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,000 Speaker 1: of course, you know, Trump only has himself to blame, right, 99 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:21,279 Speaker 1: his typical bravado, this will be easy, I'll fix this 100 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:24,360 Speaker 1: right away, the Golden Age starts YadA YadA, YadA, bing 101 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:28,360 Speaker 1: bang boom. Right. Well, it ain't a boom right. That's 102 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 1: the situation he's in. What's fascinating is is how he 103 00:05:33,440 --> 00:05:36,240 Speaker 1: keeps claiming he's going to pay for this bailout of 104 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 1: the farmers. Right. It's a twelve billion dollars in bailout money. 105 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: That's he's announced. He says he's going to use the 106 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:44,360 Speaker 1: tariff money. Now he's also said he's going to use 107 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 1: the tariff money to give relief checks for middle and 108 00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:51,719 Speaker 1: lower income folks who have been hit hard by the terriffs. 109 00:05:51,960 --> 00:05:53,839 Speaker 1: And then he also thinks the tariffs are going to 110 00:05:53,880 --> 00:05:56,640 Speaker 1: replace the income tax. We just do a little mass 111 00:05:56,640 --> 00:06:00,160 Speaker 1: reality check because this is in some ways this is 112 00:06:00,200 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 1: Donald Trump, right, this is the developer in him. You know, 113 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:07,280 Speaker 1: he promises the world and then let somebody else finance 114 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:09,920 Speaker 1: it or pay the bill. So far, the US is 115 00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:13,480 Speaker 1: collected approximately two hundred and fifty billion dollars in tariff 116 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:17,520 Speaker 1: revenue this year. Let's just say that's just a tag 117 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:22,359 Speaker 1: shive of the two point six six trillion dollars the 118 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 1: Internal Revenue Service collects. So two hundred and fifty billion 119 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 1: doesn't quite replace two point sixty six trillion. So if 120 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 1: Donald Trump does plan to have tariff revenue replace income 121 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:42,599 Speaker 1: the income tax, let me just tell you the dollar 122 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:46,080 Speaker 1: store will become the five hundred dollars store. I mean, 123 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:50,479 Speaker 1: if we go to a consumption tax, which many there's 124 00:06:50,520 --> 00:06:52,920 Speaker 1: always been this movement of some on the right who 125 00:06:53,040 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 1: hate the income tax and want to repeal the constitutional 126 00:06:56,560 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 1: amendment that allowed the income tax. You know, they push 127 00:06:59,839 --> 00:07:02,800 Speaker 1: what they call a fair tax or a consumption tax. 128 00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:06,480 Speaker 1: The Europeans call it a vat tax of value added tax. Literally, 129 00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 1: what it does is double, triple, quadruple the price of 130 00:07:09,720 --> 00:07:15,280 Speaker 1: a common consumer good. You know, the argument goes, hey, 131 00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:17,120 Speaker 1: if a rich person buys a yacht, they're going to 132 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 1: pay an exorbitant tax, and that will be good for 133 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 1: the coffers. But the problem is it is it is 134 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 1: going to be lower and middle income that end up 135 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: paying a bigger chunk of their income to taxes than 136 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:35,120 Speaker 1: upper income will. So it is a totally regressive tax 137 00:07:35,160 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 1: system punishes middle and lower the middle and the lower class, 138 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:47,120 Speaker 1: and rewards and rewards the wealthy. It's interesting to me 139 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:50,440 Speaker 1: how often Trump hints at wanting to get rid of 140 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:54,440 Speaker 1: the income tax, which is ultimately it is. To me, 141 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 1: it's sort of a very fringe thing to believe when 142 00:07:57,080 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 1: you consider sort of how our system works. But he's 143 00:08:01,320 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 1: trying to mainstream the idea. But again, his plan is 144 00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 1: to I think he called it once, the external revenue 145 00:08:08,040 --> 00:08:11,960 Speaker 1: service will replace the internal revenue service. But guess what, folks, 146 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:15,800 Speaker 1: The American consumer would pay the taxes just like the 147 00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:19,760 Speaker 1: American taxpayer pays. But there's a little bit more fairness 148 00:08:19,800 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 1: in our tax code. It could be a little more fair, 149 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:23,920 Speaker 1: and it's not. But at least the tax code as 150 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 1: it stands a heck of a lot more fair than 151 00:08:25,600 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 1: doing some sort of consumption tax, which would just be 152 00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:34,800 Speaker 1: a punishing and talk about exasperating income inequality. It would 153 00:08:34,800 --> 00:08:40,880 Speaker 1: do so in a heartbeats. But in some ways I'm 154 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:44,920 Speaker 1: burying the lead here. The fact that Trump is talking 155 00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:48,880 Speaker 1: about two things regarding his tariff policy right. One is 156 00:08:48,880 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 1: to bail out the farmers, and then two is to 157 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:55,920 Speaker 1: use tariff income to cut a government check to anybody, 158 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 1: as he called it, not including high income people, but 159 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:02,440 Speaker 1: a two thousand dollars check for every for every taxpayer. 160 00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:04,680 Speaker 1: I don't think that's going to pass Congress. You already 161 00:09:04,679 --> 00:09:09,120 Speaker 1: have some deficit hawks, and again sometimes want to be 162 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:12,520 Speaker 1: careful using the phrase deficit hawks. There are no deficit 163 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:17,040 Speaker 1: hawks in Washington. What you have is you have partisans 164 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:20,319 Speaker 1: who care about the deficit when the other parties in charge. Right, 165 00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:22,960 Speaker 1: there are chunks, and that is a fact. There's a 166 00:09:23,000 --> 00:09:26,320 Speaker 1: handful of Democrats and a handful of Republicans that do 167 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:30,480 Speaker 1: talk about the debt and deficit. Usually they care about 168 00:09:30,480 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 1: it more when the other party's in charge. Yes, there's 169 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:37,240 Speaker 1: one or two, and I think on the Republican side 170 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:39,800 Speaker 1: there's enough that don't want to look like hypocrites that 171 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:44,720 Speaker 1: they're not going to be for writing these writing these checks. 172 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:48,839 Speaker 1: But again I go back. The real headline is Donald 173 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 1: Trump admits his economy isn't working, so he's desperately trying 174 00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:54,720 Speaker 1: to throw money at the problem. Right, That's what's really 175 00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:57,920 Speaker 1: happening here. And if they feel like they have to 176 00:09:57,920 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 1: go down that road, they're in big trouble. Now, let's 177 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 1: talk about out, just very quickly, sort of how the 178 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:07,079 Speaker 1: economy plays in a campaign. There's sort of a traditional 179 00:10:07,080 --> 00:10:12,000 Speaker 1: measurement here and sort of there's sort of a running 180 00:10:12,040 --> 00:10:16,840 Speaker 1: theory this has gotten there's been studies among political scientists 181 00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:20,120 Speaker 1: on this. This isn't just sort of sort of speculation, 182 00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:26,640 Speaker 1: but basically, what the economy actually is in May June 183 00:10:26,800 --> 00:10:30,560 Speaker 1: of an election year is what that economy is will 184 00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:32,959 Speaker 1: be the perception of the economy that the voter thinks 185 00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:37,480 Speaker 1: of going into November. The point being is that if 186 00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:40,840 Speaker 1: we in a recovery in August, September, October, the voter 187 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 1: isn't going to feel it by election day. This happened. 188 00:10:44,400 --> 00:10:47,120 Speaker 1: This happened to George HW. Bush in nineteen ninety two. 189 00:10:47,920 --> 00:10:49,840 Speaker 1: The economy wasn't doing well. It was starting to recover 190 00:10:49,880 --> 00:10:51,760 Speaker 1: in the fall of ninety two, but by that point 191 00:10:51,800 --> 00:10:54,680 Speaker 1: it was too late. Clinton had already won the argument 192 00:10:54,720 --> 00:10:57,439 Speaker 1: that Bush had taken his eye off the ball in 193 00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:59,319 Speaker 1: the economy, and then it was up to him to 194 00:10:59,320 --> 00:11:01,600 Speaker 1: turn it around. Why did he get a quick turnaround 195 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 1: the economy because it was already kind of turning around, right. 196 00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:09,280 Speaker 1: It's like how Donald Trump inherited a healing economy from 197 00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:12,000 Speaker 1: Barack Obama. So suddenly it was, but he got all 198 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 1: the credit when we had a sort of an economy 199 00:11:15,720 --> 00:11:19,680 Speaker 1: that actually started to hum in twenty seventeen until he 200 00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:23,319 Speaker 1: did the tax the tax cut, which in a weird 201 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:27,280 Speaker 1: way sort of caused a lot more long term deficit 202 00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:31,080 Speaker 1: issues and such. But that's the big headline out of 203 00:11:31,080 --> 00:11:34,240 Speaker 1: this is that he's at least, if you're an elected 204 00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:36,520 Speaker 1: Republican and Capitol Hill, you've got to be relieved they're 205 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:39,960 Speaker 1: at least trying, or at least there's an attempt to try. Now, 206 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:43,679 Speaker 1: you know, he undermines himself on his economic argument when 207 00:11:43,720 --> 00:11:46,040 Speaker 1: he'll you know, he doesn't want to he calls affordability 208 00:11:46,080 --> 00:11:48,600 Speaker 1: a con job, or you know, he says, yes, I 209 00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:50,400 Speaker 1: know things need to go lower, but hey, that was 210 00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:53,000 Speaker 1: the previous one and we're making you know, this is 211 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:56,480 Speaker 1: going to be amazing. And you know, he talks about 212 00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:58,840 Speaker 1: things that aren't happening yet, all this manufacturing that he's 213 00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:01,800 Speaker 1: bringing back. In theory, he's hoping to bring back some manufacturing, 214 00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:05,240 Speaker 1: but as we've seen, this economy actually has been punished 215 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:08,400 Speaker 1: on the manufacturing front, more so with these tariffs. But 216 00:12:08,440 --> 00:12:12,240 Speaker 1: that to me is the biggest To me, the really 217 00:12:12,280 --> 00:12:16,280 Speaker 1: big headline is Donald Trump acknowledges his economy's terrible, and 218 00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:18,400 Speaker 1: he's trying to throw money at the problem to try 219 00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:23,920 Speaker 1: to to try to buy some call right and Frankly, 220 00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 1: I think any president in this position would be looking 221 00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:30,320 Speaker 1: for some way to do this. Trump being a you know, 222 00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 1: he's sort of a non ideologic, you know, sort of 223 00:12:34,920 --> 00:12:37,200 Speaker 1: his version of populism is chicken in every pot. Let 224 00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:38,720 Speaker 1: me write a check, let me do this, let me, 225 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:43,320 Speaker 1: you know, you throw money today and worry about tomorrow tomorrow. Right. 226 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:45,680 Speaker 1: That is the philosophy of Donald Trump, which is why 227 00:12:45,920 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 1: when he leaves the presidency, whoever's his successor is going 228 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:50,600 Speaker 1: to have a total and complete s show to deal 229 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:54,600 Speaker 1: with because he will not care of the situation he leaves. 230 00:12:54,840 --> 00:12:57,720 Speaker 1: He will do everything he can to push any problem 231 00:12:57,800 --> 00:13:01,440 Speaker 1: off on his successor, no matter who his successor is. 232 00:13:01,920 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 1: A quick little update on Obamacare before I get to 233 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:07,480 Speaker 1: the sort of the main my main monologue topic for 234 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:10,920 Speaker 1: the day, keep an eye out on the following compromise. 235 00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:13,679 Speaker 1: Punchball had this, and I thought it was an important compromise. 236 00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:17,120 Speaker 1: It's a bipartisan group of House members are introducing a 237 00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:21,280 Speaker 1: bill to extend the Obamacare subsidies. They would extend them 238 00:13:21,320 --> 00:13:24,200 Speaker 1: for two years. They would add income limits so there'd 239 00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 1: be some sort of essentially means test of some sort, 240 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:30,760 Speaker 1: and put in some anti fraud measures, which is usually 241 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 1: code for, you know, waste fraud and abuse. Frankly, anytime 242 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:37,920 Speaker 1: you know each party claims that they're always worried about it, 243 00:13:37,960 --> 00:13:40,000 Speaker 1: I think they generally are worried about it, but they 244 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 1: always put a higher price on what waste croad of 245 00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:44,680 Speaker 1: abuse is going to deliver than it actually does. Just 246 00:13:44,720 --> 00:13:47,600 Speaker 1: so you know this is true, whether it's Democrats doing 247 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:50,240 Speaker 1: it or Republicans doing it. I'm just telling you whenever 248 00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:52,040 Speaker 1: you hear, oh, we're going to get what waste froed 249 00:13:52,040 --> 00:13:54,080 Speaker 1: and abuse is going to count for x percent, Okay, 250 00:13:54,080 --> 00:13:57,440 Speaker 1: good luck with that. You know that those are not 251 00:13:57,559 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 1: real dollars to be counting on. But the I find 252 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:04,760 Speaker 1: this bill to be the potential starting point of a 253 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 1: healthcare compromise. Number One. I just think the politics are 254 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:09,960 Speaker 1: so bad right now in healthcare for Republicans that they're 255 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:12,000 Speaker 1: looking for an exit ramp. This seems like a reasonable 256 00:14:12,000 --> 00:14:14,880 Speaker 1: exit ramp. Again, it's bipartisan House members. The Republicans are 257 00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 1: Brian Fitzpatrick Swing district in Pennsylvania, Don Bacon who's retiring, 258 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:24,400 Speaker 1: Rob Resdahan Swing District in Pennsylvania. Nicole Maliotakis in New York, 259 00:14:24,440 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 1: another swing district on the Democratic sidey of Jared Golan 260 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:31,800 Speaker 1: retired Golden retiring Tom Swazi Swingish district in New York, 261 00:14:31,840 --> 00:14:35,480 Speaker 1: though safer under this, Don Davis in North Carolina. They're 262 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:37,440 Speaker 1: in the middle of a new Jerry Mander and then 263 00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:39,840 Speaker 1: sort of the queen of the Blue Dogs these days, 264 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:43,480 Speaker 1: Marie Glusen camp Perez. So it is sort of on 265 00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:45,880 Speaker 1: the conservative side, on the Democratic side, on the sort 266 00:14:45,880 --> 00:14:49,360 Speaker 1: of very centrist side on the Republican side. In theory, 267 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:52,520 Speaker 1: in the pre Trump era, this is how compromises were struck. 268 00:14:52,960 --> 00:14:56,520 Speaker 1: This is how you got out of this situation. I 269 00:14:56,560 --> 00:15:00,440 Speaker 1: think this is chance. This is the framework threatening a 270 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:02,600 Speaker 1: discharge petition if they can't get a vote. We know 271 00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:05,520 Speaker 1: where Johnson is on this. He doesn't want to. But 272 00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:08,040 Speaker 1: the point is is if you told me senators sort 273 00:15:08,040 --> 00:15:12,600 Speaker 1: of took up this framework as a framework, it wouldn't 274 00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:16,520 Speaker 1: surprise me. Now, look, let's be realistic here. If we're 275 00:15:16,560 --> 00:15:18,880 Speaker 1: going to get an extension of the Obamacare subsidies, a 276 00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:22,200 Speaker 1: couple things have to happen. Number One, Trump has to 277 00:15:22,280 --> 00:15:28,240 Speaker 1: endorse this in some form or another, either say won't 278 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:30,880 Speaker 1: veto it, he's not against it, you know something, And 279 00:15:31,280 --> 00:15:34,120 Speaker 1: sort of there's different levels of him supporting it. He 280 00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:37,640 Speaker 1: can sort of grudgingly promise he'll sign the bill into law, 281 00:15:38,040 --> 00:15:41,960 Speaker 1: which is code for let Democrats carry most of the water, 282 00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:44,440 Speaker 1: provide just enough Republicans to get it passed. So in 283 00:15:44,480 --> 00:15:47,200 Speaker 1: the Senate that would mean you go find thirteen Republicans. 284 00:15:47,560 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 1: In the House, I'm guessing it would be sort of, 285 00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:54,520 Speaker 1: you know, two thirds of the Democratic House and one 286 00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:56,920 Speaker 1: third of the Republican House. So something something that can 287 00:15:57,400 --> 00:15:59,760 Speaker 1: to that. Obviously, I still think there's a chance to 288 00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 1: try just says no, extend it. Maybe he does one 289 00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:04,440 Speaker 1: year or whatever, and he sort of dictates the terms 290 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:07,880 Speaker 1: of the debate. But I still think it made you know, 291 00:16:07,920 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 1: in that sense, then maybe it will be more Republicans 292 00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:15,320 Speaker 1: than Democrats. But I think where things stand now in 293 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:18,600 Speaker 1: the House, what I don't envision is a bill that 294 00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:22,920 Speaker 1: passes the House with more Republicans than Democrats to extend 295 00:16:22,920 --> 00:16:27,160 Speaker 1: Obamacare subsidies. That I don't quite see. But the point 296 00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:29,360 Speaker 1: is pay attention to that one. It seemed to be 297 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 1: the most reasonable compromise that's making the rounds. You know, 298 00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:37,920 Speaker 1: two years sort of takes it out of the political 299 00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:40,160 Speaker 1: you know, sort of does throw it back into the 300 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:44,760 Speaker 1: twenty twenty eight political stream if you will, but maybe 301 00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:48,800 Speaker 1: there should be a presidential fight, if you will. 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Finally, I just want to 328 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 1: it's sort of my way of dealing with what's going 329 00:18:23,800 --> 00:18:29,480 Speaker 1: on in Texas and the primary situation. But it's more 330 00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:33,360 Speaker 1: of a you know, the world of journalism. When you're 331 00:18:33,359 --> 00:18:37,520 Speaker 1: a reporter, we all operate under the rule of three, right, 332 00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:41,320 Speaker 1: which is three's a trent, two's interesting, But three's a trent. 333 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:45,600 Speaker 1: And I'd been stewing on an idea that it had 334 00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:50,679 Speaker 1: two being interesting. And that was how Gavin Newsome and 335 00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:56,520 Speaker 1: Mark Kelly both successfully used fights with Donald Trump to 336 00:18:56,760 --> 00:19:00,760 Speaker 1: sort of vault themselves into the zeitgeist of democratic chatter, 337 00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:06,280 Speaker 1: particularly twenty twenty eight presidential chatter, right, you know, and 338 00:19:06,359 --> 00:19:09,399 Speaker 1: how it wasn't it's not being done with ideology, not 339 00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:11,520 Speaker 1: being done with an issue. It's being just shown as 340 00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:15,840 Speaker 1: being willing to fight Trump. Right, So Gavin Newsom has 341 00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 1: been willing to fight back at Trump re redistricting debating 342 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:23,200 Speaker 1: Ron Decantis last year. Right, he is he has not 343 00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:26,800 Speaker 1: been an ideologue. I mean, if you know Gavin Newsom 344 00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:31,280 Speaker 1: and you're honest about where his place in the California 345 00:19:31,280 --> 00:19:34,359 Speaker 1: Democratic Party, you know he's the business friendly Democrat and 346 00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:37,760 Speaker 1: always has been business friendly Democrat. When Jerry Brown was governor, 347 00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:41,280 Speaker 1: who was lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom hanging out with then 348 00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:46,040 Speaker 1: lieutenant Governor Rick Perry excuse me, governor Texas Governor Rick Perry, 349 00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:52,080 Speaker 1: talking up, you know, admitting that sometimes California made it hard, 350 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:54,520 Speaker 1: a little bit harder to do business than Texas. I 351 00:19:54,520 --> 00:19:57,479 Speaker 1: don't know those of you and have a memory that 352 00:19:57,520 --> 00:19:59,879 Speaker 1: goes back that far. I know, anything pre COVID, all 353 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:01,760 Speaker 1: of our brains get a little mushy. But this was 354 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:06,000 Speaker 1: sometime in like you know, twenty eleven, twenty twelve, when 355 00:20:06,160 --> 00:20:10,639 Speaker 1: Gavin was sort of the lieutenant governor with nothing to do, 356 00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:13,399 Speaker 1: which most lieutenant governors have nothing to do. And he 357 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:15,440 Speaker 1: wasn't always very close with Jerry Brown, so he was 358 00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:16,960 Speaker 1: kind of in no man's land and he had it 359 00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:19,520 Speaker 1: just sort of make his own way. So, you know, 360 00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:23,840 Speaker 1: he's not a left winger. I know, the perception of 361 00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:27,200 Speaker 1: California Democratic politics is is all liberal and left wing. 362 00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:30,800 Speaker 1: He really is sort of considered a business friendly Democrat. 363 00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:32,719 Speaker 1: I think on social issues you could certainly call him 364 00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:37,359 Speaker 1: a big liberal, but it's one of those. But it's 365 00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:42,120 Speaker 1: been interesting to me how he's become essentially their early 366 00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:45,480 Speaker 1: front runner for twenty twenty eight and it's not due 367 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:50,280 Speaker 1: to anything. He's no big policy proposals that he's rolled out, nothing, 368 00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:52,800 Speaker 1: no big policy that he wants to run on in California. 369 00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:55,320 Speaker 1: If anything, his job approval ratings them when California voters 370 00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:58,920 Speaker 1: been middling at best, kind of underwater during twenty twenty four. 371 00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:03,359 Speaker 1: But what really jump started him was a fight with Trump, 372 00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:09,520 Speaker 1: a fight with Mega right. Take Mark Kelly uh and 373 00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:13,760 Speaker 1: the and the and the video. Well, Mark Kelly had 374 00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:16,119 Speaker 1: a nice little run here for the last couple of weeks. 375 00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:21,040 Speaker 1: In fact, I got to read you, uh, I got 376 00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:23,320 Speaker 1: to read you this, Uh, you know, he's become such 377 00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:28,600 Speaker 1: a darling if you will, Uh after this fight over 378 00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:32,160 Speaker 1: following you know, over not following illegal orders where Pete 379 00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:37,359 Speaker 1: Hegseth sort of threatened to bring charges against him. Well, 380 00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:41,000 Speaker 1: he's he's become something that we hadn't seen for you know, 381 00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:45,919 Speaker 1: Kelly has this. His bio has more charisma at times 382 00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:49,480 Speaker 1: than Kelly comes across. Right, And he's not alone John GLENNO. 383 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:53,280 Speaker 1: This always hung over John Glenn's head, like I've always 384 00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:57,719 Speaker 1: wanted to write a book of a collection of essays 385 00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:01,960 Speaker 1: on I can't believe they never became president. When you 386 00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,000 Speaker 1: look at the resumes of some people that ran for 387 00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:06,480 Speaker 1: president but never became president. Bill Bradley and John Glenn 388 00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:08,719 Speaker 1: are two people I've always in Bob Dole, right, those 389 00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:10,879 Speaker 1: would be the three you'd put the cover. You're like, 390 00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:16,240 Speaker 1: given everything they did and accomplished in the world of 391 00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:20,760 Speaker 1: in Bill Bradley's case, sports, you know, and academia versus 392 00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:28,480 Speaker 1: the world of you know, a hero an American hero, astronaut, 393 00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:32,639 Speaker 1: and John Glenn an American hero in the battlefield in 394 00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:38,800 Speaker 1: Bob Dole. But Glenn always had this, and I think 395 00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:40,879 Speaker 1: if you know, if you're going to orbit the Earth 396 00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 1: by yourself, you kind of have to be pretty good 397 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:45,399 Speaker 1: at being a loner. But that doesn't always make you 398 00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:49,280 Speaker 1: the most charismatic figure. And Glenn's resume was always more 399 00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:55,640 Speaker 1: charismatic than the person himself. And that's been whispered about 400 00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:57,440 Speaker 1: about Mark Kelly. And you know, a lot of people 401 00:22:57,520 --> 00:22:59,040 Speaker 1: know he's kind of interested, he might be interested in 402 00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:02,280 Speaker 1: running for president. He was on the shortlist for Kamala 403 00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:05,240 Speaker 1: Harris when she was interviewing VP candidates. But there's always 404 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:07,879 Speaker 1: been whispers of you know, he's got the astronaut personality, 405 00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:10,320 Speaker 1: which means you know, when you're when you're going up 406 00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:14,359 Speaker 1: and staying in space for a while, whatever it is, 407 00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:18,480 Speaker 1: you just you it is. It's just it takes a 408 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:21,199 Speaker 1: different type of personality to to do that. It's not 409 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:28,280 Speaker 1: always the most outgoing personality, if you will. But boy 410 00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:32,480 Speaker 1: have Pete Hegsith, you know, threatened court martial after you, 411 00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:36,640 Speaker 1: and it first of all really fired up. I saw 412 00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:39,480 Speaker 1: a version of Mark Kelly I hadn't seen before on television, 413 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:43,320 Speaker 1: and he's taken advantage of the moment. He did doing 414 00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:45,199 Speaker 1: fundraising emails. Let me read you this one that he 415 00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:48,199 Speaker 1: did for Katie Obbs, the governor of Arizona, and it 416 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:51,000 Speaker 1: begins You've been hearing a lot from me lately about 417 00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:53,399 Speaker 1: the threats and attacks made against me from Donald Trump 418 00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:55,600 Speaker 1: and his administration, what they represent, and why this is 419 00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:57,920 Speaker 1: such uncharted territory for all of us. I can't thank 420 00:23:57,920 --> 00:23:59,560 Speaker 1: you enough for all the support you've shown me, my team, 421 00:23:59,600 --> 00:24:01,520 Speaker 1: and my family. But today I'm writing you to urge 422 00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:04,800 Speaker 1: you to support Katie Hobbs's reelection campaign. The point is 423 00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:07,560 Speaker 1: is that you know, Mark Kelly is also considered to 424 00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:10,800 Speaker 1: be somewhat of a centrist. He taught he himself riges 425 00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:15,440 Speaker 1: about being a former Republican. He's not, you know, he's 426 00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:17,840 Speaker 1: not going to be mistaken for AOC or Bernie Sanders. 427 00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:24,280 Speaker 1: But he got some juice because he he picked a 428 00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:27,479 Speaker 1: fight with Donald Trump, right. It gave him some energy, 429 00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:29,320 Speaker 1: It gave him juice. It allowed him to stand out 430 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:31,560 Speaker 1: in a way he hadn't been able to stand out 431 00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:38,240 Speaker 1: yet among those that are pondering twenty eight. So that 432 00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:40,560 Speaker 1: was what I was hanging by. I was like, Okay, 433 00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,600 Speaker 1: this is interesting. There's two but I wasn't ready to 434 00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:46,080 Speaker 1: write about it until I saw the announcement video for 435 00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:50,920 Speaker 1: Jasmine Crockett. She, of course, is the Dallas congresswoman I've 436 00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:54,359 Speaker 1: interviewed here. I really encourage anybody who didn't catch that 437 00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:56,560 Speaker 1: interview I did with her a few months ago to 438 00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:59,600 Speaker 1: go back and listen to that interview with Jasmine Crockett, 439 00:24:59,600 --> 00:25:01,320 Speaker 1: because I can I tell you I went into it 440 00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:03,440 Speaker 1: with one idea of who she is, and I came 441 00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:06,680 Speaker 1: out of it with a totally different idea. I think 442 00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:11,400 Speaker 1: people underestimate her at your own peril. I think this 443 00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:15,040 Speaker 1: is somebody who might be too quick. So maybe she 444 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:18,440 Speaker 1: speaks too quick, maybe she speaks faster than she thinks sometimes, 445 00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:22,080 Speaker 1: But the point is she's always thinking and she's very 446 00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:26,400 Speaker 1: savvy and she doesn't make the same mistake twice, which 447 00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:30,280 Speaker 1: is always interesting with with smart politicians. But her announcement 448 00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:33,720 Speaker 1: video was even more It was sort of even more 449 00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:38,919 Speaker 1: grounded in fight if you will, with Trump, it's just 450 00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:42,720 Speaker 1: her in silence. You know that she doesn't say a word. 451 00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:47,000 Speaker 1: All you do is hear every Donald Trump insult against Crockett. 452 00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:52,520 Speaker 1: So it's just Donald Trump's voiceover insulting Jasmine Crockett in 453 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:55,960 Speaker 1: all sorts of ways or intellect, et cetera. How about 454 00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:58,399 Speaker 1: this new one. They have their new star, Crocket. How 455 00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:02,080 Speaker 1: about her, She's the new star of the Democrat Party, 456 00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:06,479 Speaker 1: Jasmine Crockett. They're in big trouble, but you have this 457 00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:09,960 Speaker 1: woman Crockett. She's a very low IQ person. I watched 458 00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:14,919 Speaker 1: her speak the other day. She's definitely a low IQ person. Crocket. 459 00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:17,080 Speaker 1: Oh man, oh man. 460 00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,200 Speaker 2: She's a very low IQ person. 461 00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:24,720 Speaker 1: And it's just first it's a stone faced Crockett and 462 00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:30,480 Speaker 1: then at the end she smiles. But it's so there's 463 00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:34,760 Speaker 1: my trend, right, which is are you going to run 464 00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:38,360 Speaker 1: on something, are you going to run on an ideology, 465 00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:40,639 Speaker 1: or are you going to run as a fighter? And 466 00:26:40,760 --> 00:26:45,800 Speaker 1: right now, the fastest way to get traction in democratic 467 00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:48,960 Speaker 1: politics is to be a fighter. It's more than being 468 00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:53,080 Speaker 1: left or right. It really is fight versus unite. Right, 469 00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:55,639 Speaker 1: there's I've said there's sort of there are multiple divides 470 00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:59,600 Speaker 1: inside each party. The two biggest in the Democratic side 471 00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:02,920 Speaker 1: are the agressives and the sort of centrist. That's a 472 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:05,919 Speaker 1: big one and not insignificant, and certainly one that is 473 00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:13,200 Speaker 1: that could hold Democrats back from having a massive successful 474 00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:15,560 Speaker 1: election Night twenty twenty six, depending on how these primaries 475 00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:18,600 Speaker 1: pay out. But the problem is the primary voter wants 476 00:27:18,600 --> 00:27:23,240 Speaker 1: a fighter. Now they'll take a centrist if you're a fighter. 477 00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:26,880 Speaker 1: And that's the point I'm making here. I think it's 478 00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:33,560 Speaker 1: fascinating to watch, particularly with Newsom and Kelly, because having 479 00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:38,360 Speaker 1: the fighter sort of picking a fight with Trump avoids 480 00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:45,400 Speaker 1: the progressive litmus tests, and in some ways you can 481 00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:51,639 Speaker 1: you can connect with progressives on emotion rather than on substance, 482 00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:57,840 Speaker 1: and you can and that look, Bill Clinton, I would argue, 483 00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:02,040 Speaker 1: was able to win over the base of the party 484 00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:05,000 Speaker 1: when he showed himself to be a fighter. He never 485 00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:10,680 Speaker 1: changed his ideology, he never sort of veered left on ideology, 486 00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:12,720 Speaker 1: you know, he was always sort of very much in 487 00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:15,879 Speaker 1: the center left, but he showed he was willing to 488 00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:19,480 Speaker 1: punch back and so and certainly when he took a 489 00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:23,320 Speaker 1: hit with impeachment, that's when the base really finally fell 490 00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:26,359 Speaker 1: in love with him, because again, he showed himself to 491 00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:28,760 Speaker 1: be a fighter. So I think there's I'm not saying 492 00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:32,159 Speaker 1: that this might not you know, that this might be 493 00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:34,159 Speaker 1: a necessity if you want to run for office in 494 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:38,480 Speaker 1: twenty six or twenty eight, but I will lament that. 495 00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:42,960 Speaker 1: You know, if I could argue that Democrats are going 496 00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:45,360 Speaker 1: down the same road that Republicans have been on for 497 00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:48,560 Speaker 1: the last decade, which is Republicans don't run on anything. 498 00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:51,440 Speaker 1: They don't run on any big ideas. What they really 499 00:28:51,520 --> 00:28:55,000 Speaker 1: run on is owning the lips, right, Like that's the 500 00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:59,240 Speaker 1: cohesive messaging, which is fight back, right, it's been I've 501 00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:02,160 Speaker 1: heard it from conservatives. So you got to fight back, 502 00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,680 Speaker 1: and you know there's not enough fight. I mean, you know, 503 00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:06,680 Speaker 1: in fact, it gets me to one more item. I 504 00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:08,680 Speaker 1: want to get to get to you guys here in 505 00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:11,840 Speaker 1: a minute. That kind of fits this sometimes where the 506 00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:14,800 Speaker 1: where the left and the right aren't very self aware 507 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:21,960 Speaker 1: of their own of their own behavior sometimes. But Republicans 508 00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:24,320 Speaker 1: have been running on this sort of just looking for fighters, 509 00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:29,120 Speaker 1: and in some ways you can overcome certain you know, 510 00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:37,480 Speaker 1: old stances, whether it's neocon stuff or it's formally democratic 511 00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:41,719 Speaker 1: ideas or quote unquote woke things if you bring the 512 00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:45,120 Speaker 1: fight to owning the libs right, and now you really 513 00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:49,120 Speaker 1: have a democratic party that may be more animated by 514 00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:51,480 Speaker 1: looking for those that are willing to quote unquote own 515 00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:57,280 Speaker 1: the magas right, you know, own the right. The downside 516 00:29:57,280 --> 00:30:02,480 Speaker 1: to this is you don't stand for anything, and I 517 00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:05,120 Speaker 1: think there's a little more risk there for Republicans, for 518 00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 1: Democrats on that than republicans. I think there's a chunk 519 00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:10,720 Speaker 1: of voters that do expect Democrats to stand for something, 520 00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:15,040 Speaker 1: do expect a lot of issue papers and white papers, 521 00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:18,959 Speaker 1: and there could be some disappointment in that when that's missing, 522 00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:24,640 Speaker 1: And I could argue that, you know, I wish you know. 523 00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:27,880 Speaker 1: Another part of my sub stack is, you know, we've 524 00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:29,960 Speaker 1: got a lot of important issues we should be debating, 525 00:30:31,400 --> 00:30:33,840 Speaker 1: but even on the even if we debate the right issue, 526 00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:37,480 Speaker 1: we debate it the wrong way. Let me give you 527 00:30:37,520 --> 00:30:46,720 Speaker 1: an example. Take take immigration. Right we fight it is 528 00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:50,239 Speaker 1: kind of an eighty twenty issue as if it is 529 00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:58,000 Speaker 1: xenophobia versus open borders, when really what we should be 530 00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:02,040 Speaker 1: debating is what does a functional citizenship pathway look like? 531 00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:05,840 Speaker 1: What do modernized worker visas look like? How do you 532 00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:11,120 Speaker 1: increase strong border security in addition to having more legal immigration. 533 00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:15,240 Speaker 1: These are fifty one to forty nine issues, meaning you know, 534 00:31:15,560 --> 00:31:19,320 Speaker 1: the country's pretty divided on these solutions. They're not divided 535 00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:22,720 Speaker 1: on the big ticket ideas, but they we really should 536 00:31:22,760 --> 00:31:25,040 Speaker 1: have a debate on, Okay, how would we do this? 537 00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:28,320 Speaker 1: And we're not going to have that debate public education 538 00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:30,440 Speaker 1: is another one. We just us you know, school choices 539 00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:35,360 Speaker 1: just shorthand for conflict. It isn't for the debate. If 540 00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:38,080 Speaker 1: if you look at it as a fifty one forty 541 00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:41,640 Speaker 1: nine problem, then we would be having a debate about 542 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:46,600 Speaker 1: teacher retention, funding formulas. How would we teach ai in classrooms? 543 00:31:47,560 --> 00:31:49,400 Speaker 1: What is the purpose of high school in the twenty 544 00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:51,520 Speaker 1: first century versus what it was in the twentieth century 545 00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:55,400 Speaker 1: versus what it was in the nineteenth century. But that's 546 00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:58,840 Speaker 1: not sexy, that's not viral. So it's like the only 547 00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:00,600 Speaker 1: time we have a debate substance is when we have 548 00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:04,440 Speaker 1: we sort of create straw men about the other side. Right, 549 00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:06,600 Speaker 1: each side creates an eighty twenty straw man that doesn't 550 00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:10,800 Speaker 1: really exist in the real electorate. The real electorate is divided, 551 00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:15,040 Speaker 1: you know, is actually more in general agreement, but divided 552 00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:19,360 Speaker 1: on the implementation of those solutions. There's general agreement that 553 00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:23,440 Speaker 1: immigration is a net positive in this country. There's general 554 00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:28,160 Speaker 1: agreement that there should be reasonable pathways to citizenship, but 555 00:32:28,240 --> 00:32:31,880 Speaker 1: some of the details we genuinely disagree on. But we 556 00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:34,880 Speaker 1: don't have those debates, So that to me is the 557 00:32:35,040 --> 00:32:37,880 Speaker 1: risk here. But make no mistake we are seeing. And 558 00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:42,880 Speaker 1: I think the fact is, I think you're going to 559 00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:45,240 Speaker 1: have I don't think you're Look, do I think one 560 00:32:45,280 --> 00:32:46,720 Speaker 1: or two Democrats are going to try to be the 561 00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:49,280 Speaker 1: issue candidates? I do that's going to happen in twenty twenty. 562 00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:52,280 Speaker 1: Someone always tries to play that role. Bruce Babbott was 563 00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:54,720 Speaker 1: that guy in ninety two, Elizabeth Warren was that person 564 00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:57,160 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty. You know, there's always a version of 565 00:32:57,160 --> 00:33:00,959 Speaker 1: that candidate. They don't always do as well as they 566 00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:05,520 Speaker 1: might in political science classes on that front. But I 567 00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:10,040 Speaker 1: think you're going to see. You know, am I skeptical 568 00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:12,600 Speaker 1: that Krockt can win that senen see? I am, But 569 00:33:12,640 --> 00:33:15,360 Speaker 1: I'm not skeptical that she can win the primary if 570 00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:18,600 Speaker 1: she shows, you know, especially because she's positioning herself as 571 00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:21,440 Speaker 1: I'm the one that's taken the fight to him and 572 00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:24,640 Speaker 1: James Tallerico is more of the hey, let can't we 573 00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:26,600 Speaker 1: all a little bit of the can't we all just 574 00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:29,000 Speaker 1: get along? So we're going to have an interesting fight 575 00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:31,320 Speaker 1: where two people who I think both would describe themselves 576 00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:34,000 Speaker 1: as progressive, but you're going to have a divide a 577 00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:38,720 Speaker 1: fight versus unite And what's the attitude of the Democratic 578 00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:43,280 Speaker 1: Party in going to be in the spring of twenty six. 579 00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:46,240 Speaker 1: It's possible by the spring of twenty eight, when we're 580 00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:50,440 Speaker 1: having the presidential primary fight that Democrats are looking for 581 00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:53,240 Speaker 1: a uniter by then, because maybe they've won both Houses 582 00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:56,760 Speaker 1: of Congress in the twenty six midterms. But until they 583 00:33:56,760 --> 00:34:01,840 Speaker 1: have some power, I think it's pretty clear that the 584 00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:07,000 Speaker 1: fighting that the litmus test for a Democratic candidate for office, 585 00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:10,200 Speaker 1: at least right now, appears to be are you willing 586 00:34:10,239 --> 00:34:12,920 Speaker 1: to have a fight with the Trump administration? Have you 587 00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:14,880 Speaker 1: picked a fight with the Trump administration? Or will the 588 00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:17,640 Speaker 1: Trump administration pick a fight with you that will be 589 00:34:17,680 --> 00:34:23,200 Speaker 1: seen as an asset not a liability. One more nugget. 590 00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:29,120 Speaker 1: I'm sure some of you caught Nancy Mace's abed in 591 00:34:29,160 --> 00:34:33,280 Speaker 1: the New York Times. I found it hilarious because it's 592 00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:38,080 Speaker 1: sort of a I can't tell you how often each 593 00:34:38,800 --> 00:34:41,319 Speaker 1: there are members of each party that really believe this 594 00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:45,920 Speaker 1: about the other party. Here's what she writes, Here's a 595 00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:48,320 Speaker 1: hard truth Republicans don't want to hear. Nancy Pelosi was 596 00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:50,680 Speaker 1: a more effective House speaker than any Republican the century. 597 00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:53,480 Speaker 1: I agree with her on essentially nothing but she understood 598 00:34:53,520 --> 00:34:55,839 Speaker 1: something we don't. No majority is permanent. When Democrats hold 599 00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:58,160 Speaker 1: the majority, they ran through the most progressive policies they can. 600 00:34:58,200 --> 00:35:00,279 Speaker 1: They delivered for the colders and elected them while they 601 00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:03,799 Speaker 1: are in power. Let me stop her right there. So 602 00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:07,360 Speaker 1: I promise you if you survey House Democrats who have 603 00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:09,920 Speaker 1: been in Congress as long as Nancy Mays, if not longer, 604 00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:13,120 Speaker 1: many of them would say the following. When Republicans hold 605 00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:16,239 Speaker 1: the majority, they ran through the most conservative policies they can. 606 00:35:16,640 --> 00:35:19,600 Speaker 1: They deliver for their coalition that elected them while they 607 00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:22,439 Speaker 1: are in power. But Democrats don't ever do it. Ask 608 00:35:22,480 --> 00:35:26,280 Speaker 1: a progressive if they think Democrats know how to use power, 609 00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:28,799 Speaker 1: they will tell you that Republicans are better at using power. 610 00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:31,879 Speaker 1: And here's Nancy May saying, No, Republicans suck at using power. 611 00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:35,560 Speaker 1: It's the Democrats that know to use power. It's astonishing 612 00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:37,799 Speaker 1: that we all live in the same country, right like 613 00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:43,360 Speaker 1: that we are seeing this. The bottom line is is 614 00:35:43,400 --> 00:35:46,279 Speaker 1: that you you know, if you look at at Democrats, 615 00:35:47,400 --> 00:35:51,920 Speaker 1: they ended up you know, they were sort of they 616 00:35:51,960 --> 00:35:55,120 Speaker 1: took a haircut, right, Joe Mansion made Joe Biden take 617 00:35:55,120 --> 00:35:58,239 Speaker 1: a haircut. Right. They didn't get to jam everything through. 618 00:35:59,120 --> 00:36:01,719 Speaker 1: Barack Obama's down on trying to do cap and trade 619 00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:05,480 Speaker 1: after he did Obamacare. It's actually Trump and the Republicans 620 00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:08,799 Speaker 1: that seem to at least keep pushing the out. They're 621 00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:11,480 Speaker 1: willing to take a bad vote to fulfill a promise 622 00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:14,839 Speaker 1: in a way that Democrats aren't always willing to do. 623 00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:17,840 Speaker 1: And I think part of that is this version of 624 00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:21,520 Speaker 1: the Republican Party won because they effectively made the argument 625 00:36:21,560 --> 00:36:24,600 Speaker 1: that the previous leadership regime of the Republican Party, sort 626 00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:29,880 Speaker 1: of the Bush Romney era, didn't fight hard enough, didn't 627 00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:34,400 Speaker 1: try to push conservative principles compromise, and always threw the 628 00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:37,239 Speaker 1: right under the bus. But I just found the op 629 00:36:37,360 --> 00:36:41,680 Speaker 1: ed amusing to me because that phrase when she when 630 00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:44,000 Speaker 1: she claimed when Democrats hold the majority, they ran through 631 00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:47,000 Speaker 1: the most progressive policies they can. Literally half the Democratic 632 00:36:47,040 --> 00:36:49,799 Speaker 1: Caucus believes when Republicans hold the majority, they ran through 633 00:36:49,800 --> 00:36:55,480 Speaker 1: the most conservative policies that they can. This is the 634 00:36:55,520 --> 00:37:00,720 Speaker 1: world we live in right where it's a lot easier 635 00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:03,920 Speaker 1: to portray yourself or your party as a victim of 636 00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:08,160 Speaker 1: some sort rather than acknowledging the actual reality of the 637 00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:13,560 Speaker 1: actual situations that we're in. There's a reason results matter 638 00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:16,239 Speaker 1: more than promises, just like there's a reason Morgan and 639 00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:19,799 Speaker 1: Morgan is America's largest injury law firm. For the last 640 00:37:19,840 --> 00:37:23,080 Speaker 1: thirty five years, they've recovered twenty five billion dollars for 641 00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:26,360 Speaker 1: more than half a million clients. It includes cases where 642 00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:29,879 Speaker 1: insurance companies offered next to nothing, just hoping to get 643 00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:32,520 Speaker 1: away with paying as little as possible. Morgan and Morgan 644 00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:35,759 Speaker 1: fought back ended up winning millions. In fact, in Pennsylvania, 645 00:37:35,800 --> 00:37:38,960 Speaker 1: one client was awarded twenty six million dollars, which was 646 00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:42,480 Speaker 1: a staggering forty times the amount that the insurance company 647 00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:45,640 Speaker 1: originally offered. That original offer six hundred and fifty thousand 648 00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:48,640 Speaker 1: dollars twenty six million, six hundred fifty thousand dollars. So 649 00:37:48,680 --> 00:37:51,000 Speaker 1: with more than one thousand lawyers across the country, they 650 00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:53,480 Speaker 1: know how to deliver for everyday people. If you're injured, 651 00:37:53,600 --> 00:37:56,160 Speaker 1: you need a lawyer. You need somebody to get your back. 652 00:37:56,560 --> 00:37:59,319 Speaker 1: Check out for the People dot com, Slash podcast or 653 00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:04,920 Speaker 1: Doubt Pound Law, Pound five to nine Law on your 654 00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:07,560 Speaker 1: cell phone. And remember all law firms are not the same, 655 00:38:07,600 --> 00:38:09,760 Speaker 1: So check out Morgan and Morgan. Their fee is free 656 00:38:10,040 --> 00:38:16,920 Speaker 1: unless they win, all right, let's get some questions. We'll 657 00:38:16,920 --> 00:38:18,560 Speaker 1: get to a little last Chuck, then I'll get to 658 00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:24,680 Speaker 1: my top five list. Ask Chuck. First question comes from 659 00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:27,719 Speaker 1: Tyler and he asks, with all the ice raids and 660 00:38:27,760 --> 00:38:29,720 Speaker 1: that economy for working class, do you think Trump support 661 00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:32,120 Speaker 1: with Latinos will start to go down drastically? If yes, 662 00:38:32,160 --> 00:38:33,719 Speaker 1: do you think states like Florida and Texas could be 663 00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:37,200 Speaker 1: in play for Democrats in twenty twenty eight. Well, first, Tyler, 664 00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:40,640 Speaker 1: the numbers have already softened a great deal. And I 665 00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:42,839 Speaker 1: have to tell you one of the weirdest things that 666 00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:45,320 Speaker 1: took place in twenty twenty four in the post election 667 00:38:45,760 --> 00:38:50,960 Speaker 1: analysis was assuming that every voter that voted for Trump 668 00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:54,719 Speaker 1: is suddenly a Trump voter, meaning like they're suddenly part 669 00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:59,120 Speaker 1: of the Trump coalition and like a base and sort 670 00:38:59,120 --> 00:39:00,839 Speaker 1: of talked about as a vag voter. And so there 671 00:39:00,880 --> 00:39:03,279 Speaker 1: was this, hey, look, you know to me, you know, 672 00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:07,200 Speaker 1: we used to have a rule in and I think 673 00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:09,440 Speaker 1: they still do at the NBC News poll. But the 674 00:39:09,520 --> 00:39:12,560 Speaker 1: rule was when you saw a trend in a demographic, 675 00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:15,280 Speaker 1: don't report on a trend that you'd never seen before, 676 00:39:15,320 --> 00:39:18,240 Speaker 1: you know, a dramatic spike or drop, you know, among 677 00:39:18,280 --> 00:39:21,040 Speaker 1: the specific demographic group could be men, could be women, 678 00:39:21,080 --> 00:39:25,320 Speaker 1: could be Latinos, could be African Americans. Cutter, don't report 679 00:39:25,320 --> 00:39:28,400 Speaker 1: it until we see it. Two poles in a row. Well, 680 00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:33,000 Speaker 1: I think that applies to elections, which is now there 681 00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:38,880 Speaker 1: had been some softening among Latino support for Democrats for 682 00:39:38,920 --> 00:39:41,759 Speaker 1: the last couple of cycles. Then we had the dramatic 683 00:39:42,200 --> 00:39:45,879 Speaker 1: swing in twenty twenty four, led by what we saw 684 00:39:45,920 --> 00:39:49,400 Speaker 1: in South Texas. But that was a dramatic swing. And 685 00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:52,440 Speaker 1: it's arguably when you see a swing like that, you 686 00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:55,480 Speaker 1: wait one more cycle before you declare that voting group 687 00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:59,800 Speaker 1: a part of a semi at least Nope, no members 688 00:39:59,800 --> 00:40:02,440 Speaker 1: per of any coalition, but a you know, fairly consistent 689 00:40:02,520 --> 00:40:06,040 Speaker 1: member of said coalition. Well, we've only had one election 690 00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:12,799 Speaker 1: with Latino's decidedly leaning Republican. But I just simply think 691 00:40:13,160 --> 00:40:15,600 Speaker 1: that Latino working class voters are swing voters. They're no 692 00:40:15,680 --> 00:40:19,000 Speaker 1: different than white working class swing voters and black working 693 00:40:19,040 --> 00:40:24,799 Speaker 1: class swung voters. And we saw all working class voters, black, brown, 694 00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:28,640 Speaker 1: or why all lean Trump and in some cases swung 695 00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:32,120 Speaker 1: Trump very hard. And all of them have already swung back. 696 00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:35,840 Speaker 1: And if either some of them are already voting Democratic. 697 00:40:35,840 --> 00:40:38,680 Speaker 1: On the generic, some are simply expressing disapproval of Trump 698 00:40:38,680 --> 00:40:41,320 Speaker 1: and are sitting and undecided. Others are sitting in independent. 699 00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:46,960 Speaker 1: So we've already seen the erosion. It's pretty it's pretty 700 00:40:47,040 --> 00:40:49,480 Speaker 1: dramatic if you compare it to his success of twenty four. 701 00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:51,960 Speaker 1: I don't find it very dramatic. I kind of see 702 00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:56,040 Speaker 1: it as expected. But it was treated his twenty twenty 703 00:40:56,040 --> 00:40:59,040 Speaker 1: four success was treated as if it was permanent. And 704 00:40:59,080 --> 00:41:02,920 Speaker 1: you know, one of the things I remember, not every member, 705 00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:06,440 Speaker 1: not everybody who votes for president, does so enthusiastically. Right, 706 00:41:06,440 --> 00:41:08,840 Speaker 1: there's a lot of people that do this. Oh A, 707 00:41:08,840 --> 00:41:11,600 Speaker 1: by voting for right, you're holding your nose and you're going, 708 00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:13,960 Speaker 1: all right, I guess I'm gonna go here. And it's 709 00:41:14,040 --> 00:41:16,719 Speaker 1: usually more because you can't bring yourself to vote for 710 00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:19,560 Speaker 1: the other person. It's less about it is it is, 711 00:41:20,120 --> 00:41:25,080 Speaker 1: you know, the the Maybe it's the devil, you know, 712 00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:28,440 Speaker 1: maybe it's the least of the two worst options. Whatever. 713 00:41:30,000 --> 00:41:32,120 Speaker 1: What did south Park one year? I think did an 714 00:41:32,120 --> 00:41:38,239 Speaker 1: election between a tird sandwich and I can't remember what 715 00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:39,840 Speaker 1: it was. It was like a tird sandwich and a 716 00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:43,480 Speaker 1: shit sandwich or something like that. Pardon my French. That's 717 00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:45,560 Speaker 1: kind of the same thing. I kind of they had it. 718 00:41:45,640 --> 00:41:49,320 Speaker 1: I think I'm getting it. I apologize for mangling, and 719 00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:51,399 Speaker 1: as a proud member of gen X, I should never 720 00:41:51,440 --> 00:41:53,920 Speaker 1: get any South Park references wrong. So my apologies for there. 721 00:41:53,960 --> 00:41:55,840 Speaker 1: But it was it was one of their better episodes, 722 00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:57,960 Speaker 1: and it was like, oh, it was a giant douche 723 00:41:57,960 --> 00:41:59,600 Speaker 1: and a tird sandwich. That's what it was. It was 724 00:41:59,640 --> 00:42:01,880 Speaker 1: a giant a tird sandwich. But what I love is 725 00:42:01,920 --> 00:42:04,960 Speaker 1: at the end is like, you don't understand sometimes that's 726 00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:07,040 Speaker 1: your choice, but you've got to make a choice because 727 00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:10,600 Speaker 1: in America sometimes your only choice is a giant douche 728 00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:13,520 Speaker 1: or a turd sandwich, and you got to pick one, 729 00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:15,640 Speaker 1: and you got to decide which one's going to do 730 00:42:15,680 --> 00:42:21,839 Speaker 1: the least amount of damage. So I think we now 731 00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:24,319 Speaker 1: you're asking which states. I think it's more likely to 732 00:42:24,360 --> 00:42:27,120 Speaker 1: have an impact in Texas than Florida. Florida's the Florida 733 00:42:27,200 --> 00:42:31,720 Speaker 1: Latino voter is slightly different. In Central Florida, there's there's 734 00:42:32,640 --> 00:42:35,719 Speaker 1: the Central Florida Latino voters more likely to behave like 735 00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:38,799 Speaker 1: a South Texas Latino voter. But in South Florida it's 736 00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:41,440 Speaker 1: a different it's a different Hispanic voter. A lot of 737 00:42:41,440 --> 00:42:43,879 Speaker 1: Cuban Americans Venezuela and a lot of Central and South 738 00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:47,480 Speaker 1: Americans who are there who came to this country sort 739 00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:52,480 Speaker 1: of escaping communism in the case of the Cubans, or 740 00:42:52,600 --> 00:42:58,480 Speaker 1: escaping authoritarianism in the case of the Venezuelans and the Nicaraguans, 741 00:42:58,520 --> 00:43:08,600 Speaker 1: et cetera. So it's now if he botches this Venezuela 742 00:43:11,000 --> 00:43:14,680 Speaker 1: build up and lets down a whole, you know, there's 743 00:43:14,719 --> 00:43:19,880 Speaker 1: a scenario where he decides not decides to cut a 744 00:43:19,880 --> 00:43:25,560 Speaker 1: deal with Maduro that maybe popular, maybe the thing that 745 00:43:26,040 --> 00:43:27,840 Speaker 1: is the right thing to do for the Mega movement, 746 00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:31,320 Speaker 1: but actually will alienate Cubans and Venezuelan's and South Florida, 747 00:43:31,320 --> 00:43:35,000 Speaker 1: and that could really scramble Florida politics. But I'm not 748 00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:37,880 Speaker 1: quite ready to say that that that shift's going to 749 00:43:37,920 --> 00:43:40,080 Speaker 1: happen in Florida. I think it has a bigger impact 750 00:43:40,120 --> 00:43:45,440 Speaker 1: in Texas and a bigger impact in Arizona also, you know, 751 00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:50,680 Speaker 1: with a and even in basically everywhere except South Florida. 752 00:43:51,520 --> 00:43:54,279 Speaker 1: That's probably the way to put it. Next question comes 753 00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:56,960 Speaker 1: from Matt and Chesterfield, Virginia. Matt writes, Hey, check longtime 754 00:43:57,000 --> 00:43:59,480 Speaker 1: fan of both you and Krystaliza. Your weekly conversations and 755 00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:01,359 Speaker 1: election live shows, They've been a breath of fresh air. 756 00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:03,760 Speaker 1: As a JMU grad, Hey, all right, let's go Dukes. 757 00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:06,319 Speaker 1: I'm on cloud nine about crashing the playoffs. It's how 758 00:44:06,360 --> 00:44:08,560 Speaker 1: you grow the sport, even if it won't impact the champion. 759 00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:10,799 Speaker 1: Nd haad a case, But it's not Jamu's fault that 760 00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:13,960 Speaker 1: the ACC messed up. It's tiebreaker. You got that right. Well, 761 00:44:13,960 --> 00:44:15,560 Speaker 1: you and Chris have a bet on that game. Far 762 00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:18,080 Speaker 1: look ahead feels like the next open VA Senate races 763 00:44:18,120 --> 00:44:22,759 Speaker 1: prime to be Spamberger versus Youngkin. Ooh, that's I've heard 764 00:44:22,800 --> 00:44:25,120 Speaker 1: that before. I think Youngkin runs for president before he 765 00:44:25,160 --> 00:44:27,240 Speaker 1: runs for Senate next. I'm not saying you won't eventually 766 00:44:27,320 --> 00:44:29,400 Speaker 1: run for Senate, but I think he wants to. He 767 00:44:29,440 --> 00:44:31,600 Speaker 1: wants to take twenty twenty eight for a test ride 768 00:44:31,880 --> 00:44:35,960 Speaker 1: first before he runs for Senate. If he's a Senate candidate, 769 00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:38,760 Speaker 1: my guess would be not till not till twenty thirty 770 00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:42,200 Speaker 1: he goes. Go Dukes and Reds. How about that? Baseball 771 00:44:42,200 --> 00:44:44,520 Speaker 1: economics are bad, But like my Duke's was happy to 772 00:44:44,520 --> 00:44:50,400 Speaker 1: be part of the party this year. Matt from Chestfield. Actually, 773 00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:52,440 Speaker 1: Silis and I are going to have a bet because 774 00:44:52,760 --> 00:44:55,840 Speaker 1: silisam married into a Texas A and M family. He 775 00:44:56,000 --> 00:44:58,439 Speaker 1: is if you know the Modello ads that talks about 776 00:44:58,440 --> 00:45:01,200 Speaker 1: the different fans that they're looking they're looking to reward, 777 00:45:01,239 --> 00:45:04,520 Speaker 1: and he says, there's the fan that married into the 778 00:45:04,560 --> 00:45:07,440 Speaker 1: married into the family, you know, married in to the fandom. 779 00:45:08,080 --> 00:45:12,120 Speaker 1: Well that's Elizabeth Texas A and M. So we're gonna 780 00:45:12,120 --> 00:45:14,319 Speaker 1: have a little Miami v. Texas A and M bet 781 00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:19,280 Speaker 1: and then we're probably going to tailgate together in College station. 782 00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:23,840 Speaker 1: We'll see if the Gighams and the Todds can get along. 783 00:45:25,520 --> 00:45:31,600 Speaker 1: But in all seriousness, I'm looking forward to that. But 784 00:45:31,719 --> 00:45:33,879 Speaker 1: to go back to your Senate race, far look ahead 785 00:45:33,880 --> 00:45:39,080 Speaker 1: Spamberger versus Youngin. Like I said, both of them could 786 00:45:39,120 --> 00:45:40,759 Speaker 1: be on it. Both of them could be on the 787 00:45:40,800 --> 00:45:43,520 Speaker 1: ballot in twenty eight for a little bit of a 788 00:45:43,600 --> 00:45:51,280 Speaker 1: higher office. Spamberger as the VP Youngkin running for president 789 00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:54,319 Speaker 1: for the Republican nomination. Just have something to think about, 790 00:45:54,800 --> 00:45:58,600 Speaker 1: all right. Next question comes from George and the Twin Cities. Hey, Chuck, 791 00:45:58,600 --> 00:46:01,720 Speaker 1: thanks for the great programming lately. The Iowacentic candidate MS 792 00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:05,040 Speaker 1: Esker and others have been terrific. As someone who grew 793 00:46:05,120 --> 00:46:06,640 Speaker 1: up on a farm in East Central I would love 794 00:46:06,680 --> 00:46:09,440 Speaker 1: to hear debate on reforms like electing the Attorney General independently, 795 00:46:09,520 --> 00:46:13,160 Speaker 1: requiring timely congressional votes on confirmations and emergencies, and clarifying 796 00:46:13,200 --> 00:46:16,520 Speaker 1: presidential immunity, which the founders were largely silent on. These 797 00:46:16,600 --> 00:46:19,240 Speaker 1: changes could up restore balance and accountability across the branches. 798 00:46:19,320 --> 00:46:20,960 Speaker 1: Thoughts I like them. On a lighter note, glad to 799 00:46:20,960 --> 00:46:22,719 Speaker 1: see Miami made the playoffs. Had the head should have 800 00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:24,719 Speaker 1: always mattered, and I thought Notre Dame's reaction was a 801 00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:27,040 Speaker 1: bit much. George and the Twin Cities, well, look, my 802 00:46:27,080 --> 00:46:28,640 Speaker 1: top five list is going to be a little bit 803 00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:33,040 Speaker 1: about that, just to give people a sneak preview that, man, 804 00:46:32,719 --> 00:46:34,719 Speaker 1: I'm in playoff Heaven, So I'm going to have a 805 00:46:34,719 --> 00:46:38,880 Speaker 1: little bit too much football over the next couple of programs. 806 00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:41,919 Speaker 1: I'm just trying to spare those that roll their eyes 807 00:46:41,960 --> 00:46:44,440 Speaker 1: about it and put it at the end so that 808 00:46:44,600 --> 00:46:46,799 Speaker 1: you know, hey, you don't have to listen to that 809 00:46:46,840 --> 00:46:48,600 Speaker 1: part of the podcast if you're burned out on it. 810 00:46:49,239 --> 00:46:50,759 Speaker 1: But I'd like to think I've turned some of you 811 00:46:50,840 --> 00:46:56,160 Speaker 1: into at least semi interested college football fans. So let 812 00:46:56,160 --> 00:47:00,759 Speaker 1: me tick through your reforms very quick. So obviously we 813 00:47:00,760 --> 00:47:03,400 Speaker 1: don't elect that attorney it's interesting, would you like to 814 00:47:03,480 --> 00:47:05,359 Speaker 1: see us an elect I think you're asking we should 815 00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:10,440 Speaker 1: elect the attorney general independently. I've you know, you saw that, 816 00:47:10,480 --> 00:47:12,319 Speaker 1: Sarah Skar and I I threw that ad R as 817 00:47:12,360 --> 00:47:14,200 Speaker 1: sort of we got to come up maybe a federal 818 00:47:14,200 --> 00:47:17,839 Speaker 1: reserve way. If the Supreme Court is going to rule 819 00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:20,600 Speaker 1: in such a way that all anybody in the executive 820 00:47:20,600 --> 00:47:22,920 Speaker 1: branch is an at will employee of the President of the 821 00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:26,680 Speaker 1: United States, regardless of whether it's a quasi independent commission 822 00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:32,600 Speaker 1: versus one that is directly appointed by the president, does 823 00:47:32,760 --> 00:47:35,800 Speaker 1: sort of shake up this. I do think we either 824 00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:41,600 Speaker 1: need either Congress has to be more specific on which 825 00:47:41,760 --> 00:47:45,359 Speaker 1: agencies are independent and which aren't, which I do think 826 00:47:45,400 --> 00:47:48,480 Speaker 1: they could designate on their own and just say, hey, 827 00:47:48,480 --> 00:47:52,600 Speaker 1: they're operating under the branch, but as written into law. 828 00:47:52,680 --> 00:47:55,319 Speaker 1: This is I think, and this has been sort of 829 00:47:56,400 --> 00:48:01,000 Speaker 1: essentially the philosophy of John Roberts, which is thinks Congress 830 00:48:01,040 --> 00:48:05,520 Speaker 1: needs to be more specific in their intent and that 831 00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:09,000 Speaker 1: the executive you know, you're if you're not, then you're 832 00:48:09,280 --> 00:48:12,680 Speaker 1: just making it giving the courts no choice but to 833 00:48:12,760 --> 00:48:16,600 Speaker 1: give the executive branch defference. But you know, if you 834 00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:19,719 Speaker 1: look at where he's always at, it's always he's essentially 835 00:48:19,840 --> 00:48:23,920 Speaker 1: trying to get Congress to do its job. And on 836 00:48:23,960 --> 00:48:27,120 Speaker 1: that score, you know, I think he's right. I think 837 00:48:27,120 --> 00:48:29,640 Speaker 1: he's He sometimes leans on it as a crutch to 838 00:48:29,719 --> 00:48:34,759 Speaker 1: sort of avoid ideological fights sometimes or try to rationalize 839 00:48:34,840 --> 00:48:40,439 Speaker 1: certain ideological outcomes, but largely I don't disagree with him. Look, 840 00:48:40,680 --> 00:48:43,160 Speaker 1: you got a lot of members of Congress that want 841 00:48:43,280 --> 00:48:47,719 Speaker 1: legislation to be as as as ambiguous as possible so 842 00:48:47,760 --> 00:48:51,000 Speaker 1: that they can they can sort of claim credit for 843 00:48:51,040 --> 00:48:53,640 Speaker 1: the good stuff, but keep their hands clean if things 844 00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:56,520 Speaker 1: get dirty, right and say, oh, it's how it was implemented. 845 00:48:57,480 --> 00:48:59,960 Speaker 1: They don't want to take responsibility for the implementation, which 846 00:49:00,080 --> 00:49:02,520 Speaker 1: is why there's such a light on specifics on how 847 00:49:02,520 --> 00:49:06,920 Speaker 1: to implement these things. Which what they've done is that 848 00:49:06,960 --> 00:49:10,759 Speaker 1: they've essentially just handed the executive branch more power. And 849 00:49:10,800 --> 00:49:15,919 Speaker 1: that's the you know, you're saying, you know, we should 850 00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:19,799 Speaker 1: have timely Congression votes and confirmations emergencies, yes, which you're 851 00:49:19,840 --> 00:49:22,160 Speaker 1: basically asking, can't we just have Congress to it's job. 852 00:49:22,200 --> 00:49:27,400 Speaker 1: The answer is yes. Now on presidential immunity, I disagree 853 00:49:27,440 --> 00:49:30,920 Speaker 1: that the Founders were silent. I think what the Founders 854 00:49:31,760 --> 00:49:34,919 Speaker 1: really believed in was a robust legislative branch that would 855 00:49:35,000 --> 00:49:37,560 Speaker 1: have no problem holding the executive to account via the 856 00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:41,479 Speaker 1: impeachment process. Right, that is why they wrote it into 857 00:49:41,520 --> 00:49:46,080 Speaker 1: the Constitution. They saw it as an important check, you know, 858 00:49:46,200 --> 00:49:48,400 Speaker 1: one of the things you have to you know that 859 00:49:48,440 --> 00:49:51,719 Speaker 1: I've had pounded in my head by Founder scholars, and 860 00:49:51,760 --> 00:49:53,560 Speaker 1: I think I want to pound in everybody ahead here. 861 00:49:53,920 --> 00:49:56,319 Speaker 1: If they didn't write, if they wrote it, if they 862 00:49:56,360 --> 00:49:58,920 Speaker 1: wrote a specific in the Constitution, they did it for 863 00:49:58,920 --> 00:50:01,520 Speaker 1: a reason, and if they didn't. So take the issue 864 00:50:01,520 --> 00:50:04,040 Speaker 1: of super majorities. I'm a big fan of supermajorities for 865 00:50:04,200 --> 00:50:09,680 Speaker 1: judicial picks, but it's notable. And as those that have 866 00:50:09,719 --> 00:50:11,719 Speaker 1: pushed back on me through the lens of sort of 867 00:50:11,719 --> 00:50:15,560 Speaker 1: originalists or sort of what what Founders intent, I don't 868 00:50:15,680 --> 00:50:18,080 Speaker 1: like originalism. I like sort of founders intent, which I 869 00:50:18,120 --> 00:50:20,520 Speaker 1: think sort of is a way to is a way 870 00:50:20,560 --> 00:50:24,400 Speaker 1: to both sort of honor the original intent and at 871 00:50:24,440 --> 00:50:31,120 Speaker 1: the same time modernize it. Right, when the Founders thought 872 00:50:31,120 --> 00:50:35,120 Speaker 1: supermajorities were necessary. They wrote that into the Constitution. So 873 00:50:35,160 --> 00:50:37,799 Speaker 1: the fact that they didn't in certain places means they 874 00:50:37,920 --> 00:50:40,920 Speaker 1: know they were you know, they thought fifty There's a 875 00:50:40,960 --> 00:50:44,359 Speaker 1: reason they thought fifty plus one could work. I still, 876 00:50:44,400 --> 00:50:47,279 Speaker 1: like I said, I still think when it comes to judiciary, 877 00:50:47,360 --> 00:50:50,319 Speaker 1: if you if you want an impartial judiciary, then you 878 00:50:50,400 --> 00:50:52,279 Speaker 1: have to raise the limits. You have to raise the 879 00:50:52,320 --> 00:50:57,600 Speaker 1: vote threshold to sixty, sixty six or seventy five. You know, 880 00:50:57,920 --> 00:51:02,640 Speaker 1: you know, essentially sixty votes do thirds or three quarter. Now, 881 00:51:03,160 --> 00:51:05,720 Speaker 1: some argue that that would just there would be gridlock 882 00:51:05,760 --> 00:51:07,600 Speaker 1: all the time. I disagree. I think you'd get a 883 00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:11,000 Speaker 1: different type of nominee. I just I do. For the 884 00:51:11,000 --> 00:51:16,640 Speaker 1: most part, you get those, You get those nominees. So, 885 00:51:18,040 --> 00:51:21,120 Speaker 1: but ultimately, what I find interesting about your email is 886 00:51:21,480 --> 00:51:24,799 Speaker 1: what you're really asking is, hey, converse, can you make 887 00:51:24,840 --> 00:51:28,279 Speaker 1: the legislative branch great again? And it's really what all 888 00:51:28,280 --> 00:51:31,720 Speaker 1: of us are asking. Right, they have the authority on tariffs. 889 00:51:31,719 --> 00:51:35,759 Speaker 1: They just need to to remind the executive branch on 890 00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:39,359 Speaker 1: that they have the authority to rescind these emergencies. They 891 00:51:39,400 --> 00:51:50,280 Speaker 1: have the authority to re sind this nebulous, ambiguous aum 892 00:51:50,480 --> 00:51:53,520 Speaker 1: F which allows for the use of military force to 893 00:51:53,600 --> 00:51:58,919 Speaker 1: go after designated terrorists, whoever the President and the State 894 00:51:58,960 --> 00:52:04,799 Speaker 1: Department define as terrorists, and they've invented this narco terrorist category, 895 00:52:05,600 --> 00:52:08,680 Speaker 1: which is really not an accepted category and not quite Again, 896 00:52:08,760 --> 00:52:11,400 Speaker 1: I go back to the only, the only directly narco 897 00:52:11,520 --> 00:52:16,400 Speaker 1: terrorists that by by the definition that I think of 898 00:52:16,480 --> 00:52:20,480 Speaker 1: terrorism as was was among the Taliban in Afghanistan who 899 00:52:20,520 --> 00:52:25,640 Speaker 1: were using the poppies and heroin essentially to fund to 900 00:52:25,760 --> 00:52:31,239 Speaker 1: fund their extremism. That's not what's happening here in Venezuela. 901 00:52:32,560 --> 00:52:35,040 Speaker 1: But that's to me, that's the question I really took away, 902 00:52:35,040 --> 00:52:38,200 Speaker 1: which goddamn Congress, do your fing job all right, Sorry, George, 903 00:52:38,239 --> 00:52:42,120 Speaker 1: didn't mean to put add those flourishes in your voice. 904 00:52:42,800 --> 00:52:44,520 Speaker 1: Last question before I get to my top five list 905 00:52:44,640 --> 00:52:45,520 Speaker 1: is Matthew. 906 00:52:45,400 --> 00:52:52,400 Speaker 2: M He said, Hey, I'm concerned about Senator Morenos Bernie 907 00:52:52,400 --> 00:52:55,799 Speaker 2: marinos proposed Exclusive Citizenship Act and what it says about 908 00:52:55,840 --> 00:52:56,560 Speaker 2: Magas America. 909 00:52:56,560 --> 00:52:59,360 Speaker 1: First mentality is a dual citizen of Luxembourg in the 910 00:52:59,520 --> 00:53:02,399 Speaker 1: US Army veteran. I find the implication implication that dual 911 00:53:02,440 --> 00:53:05,000 Speaker 1: citizens are less American to be offensive than historically misguided, 912 00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:07,319 Speaker 1: especially given how many Americans, including the first Lady whold 913 00:53:07,400 --> 00:53:10,080 Speaker 1: dual citizenship, do you think this bill has any legal 914 00:53:10,120 --> 00:53:13,520 Speaker 1: traction or political upside, particularly in diverse states like Florida 915 00:53:13,560 --> 00:53:16,239 Speaker 1: and Texas. Thanks for very great work. So you know, 916 00:53:16,280 --> 00:53:18,879 Speaker 1: we've always had this weird relationship with dul says, we don't. 917 00:53:19,000 --> 00:53:21,200 Speaker 1: We've never I don't think the United States ever recognized 918 00:53:21,280 --> 00:53:25,920 Speaker 1: dual citizens. Other countries are the ones that allow somebody 919 00:53:26,000 --> 00:53:29,279 Speaker 1: to be a citizen of of their country and as 920 00:53:29,320 --> 00:53:34,759 Speaker 1: citizen in the United States. So and I do think 921 00:53:34,800 --> 00:53:39,759 Speaker 1: it would I don't think that I don't think that 922 00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:44,200 Speaker 1: that would pass at all. I mean, because of all 923 00:53:44,239 --> 00:53:47,719 Speaker 1: the examples you cite, there's quite a few members in 924 00:53:47,760 --> 00:53:52,640 Speaker 1: the I think what is it isn't it isn't the 925 00:53:52,719 --> 00:53:57,360 Speaker 1: current the current head of the Center for Medicare and 926 00:53:57,560 --> 00:54:02,920 Speaker 1: Medicaid Services right at CMS, doctor Oz, I believe he's 927 00:54:02,920 --> 00:54:06,240 Speaker 1: a dual citizen of Turkey and of the United States. 928 00:54:06,280 --> 00:54:09,040 Speaker 1: So the point is is that there's quite a few 929 00:54:09,160 --> 00:54:14,759 Speaker 1: people in power that have that. I don't think that's 930 00:54:14,960 --> 00:54:19,080 Speaker 1: I really don't think that's going anywhere. I understand why 931 00:54:19,120 --> 00:54:22,400 Speaker 1: why it offends you. I get it, but it is 932 00:54:22,440 --> 00:54:25,560 Speaker 1: not like you know it is not uncommon, especially ironically, 933 00:54:25,640 --> 00:54:29,120 Speaker 1: especially among some of the wealthier allies of the president. 934 00:54:29,680 --> 00:54:33,399 Speaker 1: Many of them have a second citizenship somewhere for tax 935 00:54:33,440 --> 00:54:40,440 Speaker 1: purposes and all sorts of things. So I doubt it, 936 00:54:40,480 --> 00:54:44,120 Speaker 1: But you know, I don't want to rule anything out 937 00:54:44,160 --> 00:54:47,000 Speaker 1: that suddenly gets traction. What does the how do the 938 00:54:47,640 --> 00:54:51,279 Speaker 1: how does the court? I'm pretty convinced they're not going 939 00:54:51,360 --> 00:54:54,880 Speaker 1: to somehow get, you know, grant Donald Trump the authority 940 00:54:55,000 --> 00:54:59,319 Speaker 1: to sort of negate birthright citizenship. It's in the constitution. 941 00:55:02,440 --> 00:55:04,960 Speaker 1: But if you told me they did a stricter definition 942 00:55:05,080 --> 00:55:10,200 Speaker 1: of what qualified as birthright citizenship, I don't want to 943 00:55:10,280 --> 00:55:15,760 Speaker 1: rule anything out. I don't think they will, but think 944 00:55:16,320 --> 00:55:21,360 Speaker 1: maybe you know, it feels like I don't think anything's 945 00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:24,120 Speaker 1: a given anymore, And if something like that gets redefined, 946 00:55:24,200 --> 00:55:30,160 Speaker 1: then maybe something like this gets real traction. Having good 947 00:55:30,200 --> 00:55:34,280 Speaker 1: life insurance is incredibly important. I know from personal experience. 948 00:55:34,480 --> 00:55:36,799 Speaker 1: I was sixteen when my father passed away. We didn't 949 00:55:36,800 --> 00:55:39,960 Speaker 1: have any money. He didn't leave us in the best shape. 950 00:55:40,000 --> 00:55:44,239 Speaker 1: My mother, single mother, now widow, myself sixteen trying to 951 00:55:44,239 --> 00:55:45,840 Speaker 1: figure out how am I going to pay for college? 952 00:55:46,360 --> 00:55:49,400 Speaker 1: And lo and behold, my dad had one life insurance 953 00:55:49,440 --> 00:55:52,360 Speaker 1: policy that we found wasn't a lot, but it was 954 00:55:52,440 --> 00:55:55,520 Speaker 1: important at the time, and it's why I was able 955 00:55:55,600 --> 00:55:58,960 Speaker 1: to go to college. Little did he know how important 956 00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:02,799 Speaker 1: that would be in that moment. Well, guess what. That's 957 00:56:02,840 --> 00:56:05,200 Speaker 1: why I am here to tell you about Ethos Life. 958 00:56:05,520 --> 00:56:07,919 Speaker 1: They can provide you with peace of mind knowing your 959 00:56:07,920 --> 00:56:11,240 Speaker 1: family is protected even if the worst comes to pass. 960 00:56:11,600 --> 00:56:14,840 Speaker 1: Ethos is an online platform that makes getting life insurance 961 00:56:14,880 --> 00:56:17,960 Speaker 1: fast and easy, all designed to protect your family's future 962 00:56:18,000 --> 00:56:21,560 Speaker 1: in minutes, not months. There's no complicated process, and it's 963 00:56:21,680 --> 00:56:25,879 Speaker 1: one hundred percent online. There's no medical exam require you 964 00:56:25,960 --> 00:56:28,400 Speaker 1: just answer a few health questions online. 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Application times may vary and the rates 975 00:57:01,719 --> 00:57:05,080 Speaker 1: themselves may vary as well, but trust me, life insurance 976 00:57:05,120 --> 00:57:07,839 Speaker 1: is something you should really think about it, especially if 977 00:57:07,880 --> 00:57:13,799 Speaker 1: you've got a growing family. All Right, I'm gonna get 978 00:57:13,800 --> 00:57:20,360 Speaker 1: to my top five list, top five, top topest top. 979 00:57:22,480 --> 00:57:26,840 Speaker 1: My top five list is going to be five bowl 980 00:57:26,840 --> 00:57:30,520 Speaker 1: games that are not playoff games. The top five bowl 981 00:57:30,600 --> 00:57:34,800 Speaker 1: games that if we played them as the first in 982 00:57:34,840 --> 00:57:39,240 Speaker 1: the first two weeks of August next year, would be 983 00:57:39,280 --> 00:57:41,920 Speaker 1: some of the most would be some of the great 984 00:57:42,000 --> 00:57:45,479 Speaker 1: games that the entire college football season could give us. 985 00:57:46,240 --> 00:57:50,520 Speaker 1: Because a I have a proposal that I know I'm 986 00:57:50,520 --> 00:57:53,200 Speaker 1: in the minority on with some of my college football 987 00:57:53,640 --> 00:57:57,320 Speaker 1: fanatic fellow fanatic friends. I've I've pitched this for a while. 988 00:57:57,360 --> 00:57:59,360 Speaker 1: Some of you have heard me on my hobby horse before. 989 00:57:59,400 --> 00:58:02,360 Speaker 1: But I think we're at a moment where I think 990 00:58:02,360 --> 00:58:05,120 Speaker 1: there's going to be there's going to be some openness 991 00:58:05,120 --> 00:58:09,000 Speaker 1: to doing something different with the non playoff connected college 992 00:58:09,000 --> 00:58:13,800 Speaker 1: bowl games. And that is, you know, with the opt outs, 993 00:58:13,840 --> 00:58:17,480 Speaker 1: with the transfer portal, with coaches taking other jobs, the 994 00:58:17,720 --> 00:58:21,200 Speaker 1: number of teams that have opted out of these of 995 00:58:21,240 --> 00:58:24,240 Speaker 1: these bowl contracts that the Big twelve, the ACEC. In fact, 996 00:58:24,360 --> 00:58:26,520 Speaker 1: what is it, two teams opted out in the Big 997 00:58:26,560 --> 00:58:29,640 Speaker 1: twelve and they were fined because you know the money 998 00:58:29,720 --> 00:58:32,880 Speaker 1: that the bowl money is pooled, right usually you know, 999 00:58:33,120 --> 00:58:35,040 Speaker 1: the team that earns the bull band gets to keep 1000 00:58:35,120 --> 00:58:36,840 Speaker 1: you know, a big chunk of that money. But like 1001 00:58:36,960 --> 00:58:38,560 Speaker 1: it's like half goes to the school and half goes 1002 00:58:38,600 --> 00:58:41,360 Speaker 1: to the conference. So suddenly you know, this is denying 1003 00:58:41,400 --> 00:58:43,320 Speaker 1: everybody money when you choose not to go to a 1004 00:58:43,360 --> 00:58:46,240 Speaker 1: bowl game. Notre Dame is not in a conference, although 1005 00:58:46,280 --> 00:58:48,760 Speaker 1: they selectively want to be a member of the ACC, 1006 00:58:48,920 --> 00:58:54,160 Speaker 1: when when when it's convenient, they suddenly felt as if 1007 00:58:54,200 --> 00:58:57,000 Speaker 1: the ACC were burning a bridge with them when they 1008 00:58:57,320 --> 00:59:02,000 Speaker 1: ACC promoted their football member over their football member. I 1009 00:59:02,000 --> 00:59:05,800 Speaker 1: don't know what Notre Dame expected there. When you humiliate 1010 00:59:05,840 --> 00:59:08,760 Speaker 1: the ACC by refusing by sort of treating the ACC 1011 00:59:08,880 --> 00:59:12,280 Speaker 1: as a minor league scheduling assistant, which is what you've 1012 00:59:12,280 --> 00:59:15,280 Speaker 1: done for all your other sports, don't be shocked when 1013 00:59:15,320 --> 00:59:18,640 Speaker 1: the ACC isn't there to have your back in football. 1014 00:59:18,760 --> 00:59:20,720 Speaker 1: You want the ACC to have your back in football, 1015 00:59:21,120 --> 00:59:26,000 Speaker 1: join full time rather than just using the ACC as 1016 00:59:26,040 --> 00:59:31,880 Speaker 1: a minor league scheduling system. But the point is, I 1017 00:59:31,880 --> 00:59:34,520 Speaker 1: think by them pulling out of a bowl in some 1018 00:59:34,560 --> 00:59:37,200 Speaker 1: ways they could this could It feels like this is 1019 00:59:37,240 --> 00:59:39,520 Speaker 1: the year the death knell of the non playoff bowles. 1020 00:59:40,000 --> 00:59:42,560 Speaker 1: I don't want to see these balls go away. I 1021 00:59:42,680 --> 00:59:46,480 Speaker 1: love the theory of these matchups. What I'd like is 1022 00:59:46,520 --> 00:59:49,880 Speaker 1: these matchups to mean something. Well, you know, one hope 1023 00:59:49,920 --> 00:59:51,520 Speaker 1: I had a few years ago is at the advent 1024 00:59:51,560 --> 00:59:55,480 Speaker 1: of nil that you'd actually see bonus money being paid 1025 00:59:55,520 --> 00:59:57,360 Speaker 1: to players to play in a bold game. Hey, if 1026 00:59:57,400 --> 01:00:00,160 Speaker 1: you play, here's an extra two hundred three thousand dollars. 1027 01:00:00,160 --> 01:00:03,760 Speaker 1: There's an extra fifty thousand dollars whatever, Right, if you 1028 01:00:03,800 --> 01:00:06,960 Speaker 1: agree to play in this meaningless bowl game, that that 1029 01:00:07,000 --> 01:00:09,440 Speaker 1: maybe would improve things like I don't know this, but 1030 01:00:09,520 --> 01:00:12,280 Speaker 1: I'm guessing Cam Wore got compensated for playing the first 1031 01:00:12,280 --> 01:00:14,640 Speaker 1: half of the Pop Darts bawl that you know, he 1032 01:00:14,720 --> 01:00:17,240 Speaker 1: got extra money somehow, which is why I only played 1033 01:00:17,280 --> 01:00:20,320 Speaker 1: one half. Maybe it was part of the deal. I 1034 01:00:20,360 --> 01:00:23,400 Speaker 1: don't know anything, but it certainly that's what it smells like. 1035 01:00:23,440 --> 01:00:26,360 Speaker 1: Travis Hunter did similar things. I mean, and by the way, 1036 01:00:26,440 --> 01:00:30,439 Speaker 1: it's an exhibition game. I mean, you know, the entire 1037 01:00:30,440 --> 01:00:34,040 Speaker 1: World of tennis operates on appearance fees, right, and in 1038 01:00:34,080 --> 01:00:36,880 Speaker 1: some ways it's a quote unquote appearance fee. But I 1039 01:00:36,880 --> 01:00:38,600 Speaker 1: don't think we want that. I think we want real 1040 01:00:38,880 --> 01:00:42,440 Speaker 1: competitive games. Here's what I'd like to see is you 1041 01:00:42,560 --> 01:00:46,520 Speaker 1: take all these incredible bowl matchups that we have and 1042 01:00:46,640 --> 01:00:50,800 Speaker 1: instead of having meaningless games that we that we yes, 1043 01:00:50,880 --> 01:00:53,920 Speaker 1: it's nice to have on a Tuesday afternoon in the 1044 01:00:53,920 --> 01:00:56,720 Speaker 1: week between Christmas and the years, because it's nice to 1045 01:00:56,720 --> 01:00:58,600 Speaker 1: have something on the air. Don't get me wrong, I 1046 01:00:58,960 --> 01:01:02,680 Speaker 1: will miss that one and it's gone. Maybe we can 1047 01:01:02,720 --> 01:01:06,080 Speaker 1: move the FCF playoffs to the middle of the week 1048 01:01:06,120 --> 01:01:07,919 Speaker 1: and we can all start getting into South Dakota State. 1049 01:01:08,560 --> 01:01:13,600 Speaker 1: But I digress. I'd like to see essentially use the 1050 01:01:13,640 --> 01:01:17,880 Speaker 1: ball matchups that you have, but you'll play the following year. Now. 1051 01:01:17,920 --> 01:01:21,000 Speaker 1: I know I've pitched this around to various folks, and 1052 01:01:21,120 --> 01:01:23,800 Speaker 1: the pushback I've gotten is, well, what about the reward 1053 01:01:23,840 --> 01:01:25,720 Speaker 1: for a good season? Well, in this case, the playoff 1054 01:01:25,760 --> 01:01:27,160 Speaker 1: is the reward, and if you don't make the playoff, 1055 01:01:27,160 --> 01:01:30,760 Speaker 1: it doesn't feel like you had a good season. Well, 1056 01:01:31,160 --> 01:01:33,000 Speaker 1: the players that earn the good season won't be there 1057 01:01:33,000 --> 01:01:36,200 Speaker 1: to play. Well, a lot of them opt out anyway. 1058 01:01:36,280 --> 01:01:39,480 Speaker 1: So in the hot light of that, here are the 1059 01:01:39,520 --> 01:01:44,400 Speaker 1: top five incredible games that would start in my By 1060 01:01:44,400 --> 01:01:47,160 Speaker 1: the way, if you earn a bull bid, then you 1061 01:01:47,200 --> 01:01:52,000 Speaker 1: get an extra thirteenth game and you get thirteen games 1062 01:01:52,600 --> 01:01:56,040 Speaker 1: to deliver on your resume for the playoff committee rather 1063 01:01:56,120 --> 01:01:59,720 Speaker 1: than twelve, which having an extra win could be a 1064 01:01:59,720 --> 01:02:05,120 Speaker 1: big deal. Having an extra loss could be diluted. So 1065 01:02:05,520 --> 01:02:10,439 Speaker 1: I just think that there's and again, it'd be great 1066 01:02:10,440 --> 01:02:13,720 Speaker 1: if people showed up in Frisco, Texas in August. By 1067 01:02:13,760 --> 01:02:16,280 Speaker 1: the way, school hasn't started in a lot of the country. 1068 01:02:16,320 --> 01:02:19,080 Speaker 1: You could still have family trips, you could have more 1069 01:02:19,160 --> 01:02:22,880 Speaker 1: places hosting outdoor bowl games across the country rather just 1070 01:02:22,920 --> 01:02:26,560 Speaker 1: in the South or the Sunbelt. So, without further to doo, 1071 01:02:27,800 --> 01:02:31,200 Speaker 1: my top five games that we'd all be looking forward 1072 01:02:31,240 --> 01:02:35,680 Speaker 1: to in week zeros in the first. And by the way, 1073 01:02:35,720 --> 01:02:37,880 Speaker 1: college football would own the month of August. It would 1074 01:02:37,920 --> 01:02:40,720 Speaker 1: be theirs right now, they own Labor Day weekend. That's good, 1075 01:02:41,360 --> 01:02:44,439 Speaker 1: own the entire month of August. Nobody will care about 1076 01:02:44,520 --> 01:02:47,560 Speaker 1: NFL preseason. You guys will step on all of that. 1077 01:02:48,120 --> 01:02:50,880 Speaker 1: Baseball's in a weird lull in that moment in time 1078 01:02:52,600 --> 01:02:55,480 Speaker 1: because of you know, before the Pennant Race heats up 1079 01:02:55,480 --> 01:02:59,600 Speaker 1: in September. I think it would be good for the sport. 1080 01:03:00,200 --> 01:03:05,919 Speaker 1: And look at these matchups. Okay, Number one, how would 1081 01:03:05,960 --> 01:03:12,880 Speaker 1: you like for an Opening week Bowl game in the 1082 01:03:13,000 --> 01:03:16,080 Speaker 1: cheese at Citrus Bowl between the Texas Longhorns and the 1083 01:03:16,160 --> 01:03:19,360 Speaker 1: Michigan Wolverines Arch Manning and Bryce Underwood. Do we really 1084 01:03:19,360 --> 01:03:21,760 Speaker 1: think we're going to get the best versions of Arch 1085 01:03:21,800 --> 01:03:25,160 Speaker 1: Manning and Bryce Underwood in this matchup when they play? 1086 01:03:25,480 --> 01:03:27,160 Speaker 1: How many of the teams or are we going to 1087 01:03:27,240 --> 01:03:30,880 Speaker 1: have people that really care about winning this game come 1088 01:03:31,000 --> 01:03:34,000 Speaker 1: August of next year? So that's number one? What a game? 1089 01:03:34,360 --> 01:03:38,920 Speaker 1: What a terrific game? All right? Number two on my 1090 01:03:39,080 --> 01:03:44,480 Speaker 1: list to me, that would be the among the most watchable. 1091 01:03:44,600 --> 01:03:46,640 Speaker 1: This is a fun one and it's because it's my 1092 01:03:46,720 --> 01:03:49,800 Speaker 1: way of it's what I call the Smart Bowl. It's 1093 01:03:49,840 --> 01:03:52,000 Speaker 1: what is going to be the pop Tarts Bowl this year, 1094 01:03:52,040 --> 01:03:54,439 Speaker 1: which should be BYU and Notre Dame, which, by the way, 1095 01:03:54,760 --> 01:03:57,600 Speaker 1: what an amazing Week one game that would be or 1096 01:03:57,680 --> 01:04:01,960 Speaker 1: Week zero game b YU and Notre Dame in the 1097 01:04:02,000 --> 01:04:06,120 Speaker 1: pop Tarts Preseason Bowl. Right, it's a game that counts. 1098 01:04:06,160 --> 01:04:08,680 Speaker 1: You get all the pop Tart bs that you can 1099 01:04:08,720 --> 01:04:12,200 Speaker 1: get your that your heart desires, and you'd get this 1100 01:04:12,240 --> 01:04:15,600 Speaker 1: great matchup of the Mormons and the Catholics. Okay, we 1101 01:04:15,640 --> 01:04:17,840 Speaker 1: could call it, you know, the super Holy War, right? 1102 01:04:17,920 --> 01:04:22,040 Speaker 1: I know Utah and BYU already has the Holy War. Sorry, Lauren, 1103 01:04:22,080 --> 01:04:24,200 Speaker 1: I don't want to steal the great rivalry name there, 1104 01:04:24,840 --> 01:04:27,000 Speaker 1: but you could have called it the Crusades. I don't 1105 01:04:27,000 --> 01:04:30,680 Speaker 1: know if I've offended somebody. I wasn't intending to offend 1106 01:04:31,120 --> 01:04:35,800 Speaker 1: on that. But what a much better game going into 1107 01:04:35,800 --> 01:04:37,439 Speaker 1: the season. Now, let me give you my number three. 1108 01:04:38,440 --> 01:04:42,960 Speaker 1: How about a little Penn State, Clemson and Yankee Stadium. 1109 01:04:43,120 --> 01:04:46,080 Speaker 1: How cool would that be in August rather than some 1110 01:04:46,200 --> 01:04:48,959 Speaker 1: frigid game that nobody cares about with the interim coach 1111 01:04:49,000 --> 01:04:52,960 Speaker 1: at Penn State. Right, But instead it's the debut of 1112 01:04:53,040 --> 01:04:56,680 Speaker 1: Matt Campbell's Penn State Nitney Lyons playing Dabo Sweeney on 1113 01:04:56,720 --> 01:05:02,000 Speaker 1: the hot seat and Clemson that's really into interesting Unfortunately 1114 01:05:02,200 --> 01:05:07,280 Speaker 1: not an interesting bowl game. Let's see. So there's three 1115 01:05:07,360 --> 01:05:10,120 Speaker 1: number four on my list at this point, I'm going 1116 01:05:10,200 --> 01:05:15,120 Speaker 1: to go with Arizona State and Duke. You'd have the 1117 01:05:15,240 --> 01:05:18,960 Speaker 1: party crashers from two years ago versus the near party crashers, right, 1118 01:05:19,000 --> 01:05:22,160 Speaker 1: Arizona State wins, the Big twelve gets into the tournament, 1119 01:05:22,520 --> 01:05:25,280 Speaker 1: Duke wins. The ACC tried to talk its way into 1120 01:05:25,320 --> 01:05:28,040 Speaker 1: the tournament, but this would be an El Paso that 1121 01:05:28,600 --> 01:05:31,440 Speaker 1: one of my favorite bowl nicknames that Tony the Tiger 1122 01:05:31,520 --> 01:05:35,280 Speaker 1: Sun Bowl. Give me some Arizona State and Duke then 1123 01:05:36,880 --> 01:05:39,680 Speaker 1: versus whatever middling game that no one's going to care 1124 01:05:39,720 --> 01:05:46,240 Speaker 1: about this year other than the fine folks that go 1125 01:05:46,240 --> 01:05:49,480 Speaker 1: go to the game in El Paso. And then fifth 1126 01:05:49,520 --> 01:05:51,680 Speaker 1: on my list, number five on my list is simply 1127 01:05:51,720 --> 01:05:57,880 Speaker 1: because I think it would become a super popular bowl 1128 01:05:57,920 --> 01:06:01,120 Speaker 1: game in the preseason and a much more desirable bowl 1129 01:06:01,200 --> 01:06:04,640 Speaker 1: to make, and that is the shared in Hawaii Bowl 1130 01:06:04,960 --> 01:06:08,480 Speaker 1: between Cal and Hawaii. It's probably going to be the 1131 01:06:08,560 --> 01:06:11,360 Speaker 1: one of the more watchable bowl games in this exhibition 1132 01:06:11,440 --> 01:06:14,240 Speaker 1: season that we're about to embark on. But imagine this 1133 01:06:14,320 --> 01:06:16,680 Speaker 1: is week zero, I'd be a little nervous with Cal 1134 01:06:16,720 --> 01:06:19,720 Speaker 1: as a member of the ACC, Tommy Changs putting together 1135 01:06:19,880 --> 01:06:22,720 Speaker 1: bringing trying to make Hawaii football great again. I still 1136 01:06:23,200 --> 01:06:25,640 Speaker 1: I have a memory of their incredible run that got 1137 01:06:25,640 --> 01:06:27,440 Speaker 1: into the Sugar Bowl one year where they were just 1138 01:06:28,000 --> 01:06:30,920 Speaker 1: out playing out of their minds and such an exciting 1139 01:06:30,960 --> 01:06:33,600 Speaker 1: team to play. There was nothing like that run and 1140 01:06:33,640 --> 01:06:37,560 Speaker 1: gun team of Hawaii when your midnight nothing else is 1141 01:06:37,600 --> 01:06:39,800 Speaker 1: on and you're watching them win a game sixty five 1142 01:06:39,880 --> 01:06:43,360 Speaker 1: sixty four. Right. The point is all five of those 1143 01:06:43,400 --> 01:06:45,560 Speaker 1: Bowl games I told you nobody's going to give a 1144 01:06:45,600 --> 01:06:49,760 Speaker 1: darn about over the next four weeks. Everybody would be 1145 01:06:49,840 --> 01:06:52,160 Speaker 1: glued to any of those games if they were being 1146 01:06:52,160 --> 01:06:55,960 Speaker 1: played in the first two weeks of August week thirteen. Anyway, 1147 01:06:57,600 --> 01:07:00,240 Speaker 1: Hey man, I'm just here to solve problems. That's what 1148 01:07:00,280 --> 01:07:02,360 Speaker 1: the Chuck Podcast is about. We're just trying to figure 1149 01:07:02,400 --> 01:07:04,640 Speaker 1: out how can we solve problems? So, how do we 1150 01:07:04,680 --> 01:07:09,480 Speaker 1: solve polarization? How do we solve the bold mess? All 1151 01:07:09,560 --> 01:07:11,440 Speaker 1: right with that, I'll see you in twenty four hours. 1152 01:07:11,560 --> 01:07:13,240 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening, and until we upload again.