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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network

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Speaker 1: or as I have officially renamed this podcast the greatest

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Speaker 1: and the fastest growing and the one that gives away

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Speaker 1: the most literal money. I'm not just talking about dollars

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Speaker 1: through picks. I'm talking actual dollars. That's this podcast the

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Speaker 1: greatest of all these things of all time. Because we

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Speaker 1: have strund there are another big winning week I am

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Speaker 1: Chad Moman from the Action Network and I am joined

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Speaker 1: as I am every week by Professional Better, Simon Hunter.

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Speaker 1: Simon say Hello, take about brother, Hello, chat and listeners,

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Speaker 1: how are you good? Buddy? That was and that was

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Speaker 1: painful for some of our listeners without Browns game, that

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Speaker 1: was a fun weekend for me. Oh my god, it was.

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Speaker 1: It was definitely a good weekend, buddy. We dodged some bullets,

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Speaker 1: we stepped into some traps, but overall we had a

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Speaker 1: winning weekend. We did, and I'm gonna I'm gonna remind

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Speaker 1: everybody that you Professional Better you're joining the podcast every

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Speaker 1: single week we have entered the Draft Kings Pro Football

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Speaker 1: Pick Up National Championship. We will decide what picks we

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Speaker 1: are going to put in together. We gotta pick five

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Speaker 1: games every every week. Quite frankly, we are still goddamn geniuses.

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Speaker 1: As everybody knows. We went five last week. Before we

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Speaker 1: get to the to the recap, We're gonna get to

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Speaker 1: the recap. Before we get there, a reminder that we

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Speaker 1: are bringing back the cash fueled phrase that pays contest.

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Speaker 1: What does that mean? Simon and I are doing so

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Speaker 1: well and we just went three and two. From now

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Speaker 1: out through the end of the season, we are giving

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Speaker 1: one lucky listener one hundred dollars for every game we

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Speaker 1: win each week. Last week we want three games. Here's

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Speaker 1: the special trick. The special bonus for one of the

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Speaker 1: games we lost was that Browns game that you just mentioned,

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Speaker 1: Simon including me, I will tell a story about that

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Speaker 1: because an extra point was missed and it did not

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Speaker 1: cover the three and a half point spread. So our winner,

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Speaker 1: which we will announce at the end of the show,

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Speaker 1: is getting four hundred dollars. That's how kind we are.

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Speaker 1: That was a Matt producer, Matt mitchell uh special request

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Speaker 1: that I granted, being the benevolent leader that I am,

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Speaker 1: to be eligible for our phrase that pays contest to

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Speaker 1: be eligible for the cash. Go review the podcast using

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Speaker 1: the phrase. Simon says, we love winning and if we

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Speaker 1: like it and randomly choose it, you will win the money.

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Speaker 1: That's it. We will announce last week's winner at the

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Speaker 1: end of the show. You so you gotta stick around,

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Speaker 1: all right. As I said, we went three and two

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Speaker 1: in the contest. I think we're twenty two and thirteen

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Speaker 1: last week on the on the podcast, Simeon, we were

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Speaker 1: committed to sticking with our early instincts and it worked mostly.

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Speaker 1: Why did you think it was such a good weekend? Um,

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Speaker 1: it was such a good weekend because I trusted myself

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Speaker 1: and um, there was a lot of line movement and

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Speaker 1: money coming on certain games that really scared the hell

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Speaker 1: out of me. Like I made a decent amount of

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Speaker 1: bets on green Bay on Tuesday and Wednesday, and then

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Speaker 1: come Saturday. Um, I think our good friend Dan rabelt

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Speaker 1: to it was like of the money was on green

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Speaker 1: Bay and of the tickets were on green Bay. And

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Speaker 1: if you've been if you gambled long enough, especially bet

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Speaker 1: on football, you know that a road team that's a

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Speaker 1: favorite getting over nine of the money, you might only

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Speaker 1: win one of five, like one out of every five

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Speaker 1: of those kind of situations. It's it's just not it's

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Speaker 1: a rare it's a rare time where the book is

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Speaker 1: just really misread the situation and they left a ton

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Speaker 1: of points out there and the public. I know they're

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Speaker 1: getting smarter, but this is one of those where the

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Speaker 1: public was just coming in so heavy. So I end

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Speaker 1: up switching out Green Bay for US, and I end

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Speaker 1: up switching out the bills when Sam Donald came back,

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Speaker 1: and I ended up switching out Pittsburgh because basically, there's

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Speaker 1: there's a couple of really sharp groups that are well known,

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Speaker 1: and especially in Vegas, it all depends on what group

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Speaker 1: we're talking about. There's there's, there's some of there are

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Speaker 1: four or five people and they only make maybe one

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Speaker 1: or two bets a weekend, and they're good. And I

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Speaker 1: got word that this group was coming in on Tennessee

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Speaker 1: and I was just not really worried about it. I

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Speaker 1: was just giving me a little hesitation, and then I

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Speaker 1: checked in the morning. It was like sevent of the

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Speaker 1: money was on Tennessee, even though all these tickets were

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Speaker 1: written for Pittsburgh. So even though I loved Pittsburgh and

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Speaker 1: I had a lot of money on my backed out

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Speaker 1: of it. Because I was just like, like, these dudes

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Speaker 1: are pros, Like I'm also pro I read it right obviously,

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Speaker 1: like Green Bay. I mean, Pittsburgh won by the skin

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Speaker 1: of their teeth. But that was still a good number.

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Speaker 1: But it was one of those where, Yeah, I got

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Speaker 1: a little scared about the professionalism the public and a

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Speaker 1: couple of these spots this week that kind of heard

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Speaker 1: us because we end up taking a public team in

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Speaker 1: Cleveland and it burned us. It burned us. Yeah, here's

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Speaker 1: the thing, Simon, you're the fucking professional, Like, why are

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Speaker 1: you letting any of this bullshit get into your head?

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Speaker 1: Because it's costing us fucking games. And I'll tell you

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Speaker 1: what else. I'll tell you what else. As everybody knows,

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Speaker 1: I uh was let's say I was giving advice to

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Speaker 1: a buddy and we had decided, you and I decided

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Speaker 1: together that the best bet for the early games, the

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Speaker 1: best bet for the early games was the Browns. Even

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Speaker 1: though during the week, during the week on this podcast,

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at my notes from last week, I'm seeing like,

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Speaker 1: oh my god, we love the Steelers. Oh my god,

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Speaker 1: we love the Packers, Like, oh my god, oh my god,

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Speaker 1: I have like exclamation points in my notes from last week,

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Speaker 1: Redskins money line, Redskins money Line? How is it possible?

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Speaker 1: How is it possible that we end up thinking the

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Speaker 1: best better the week is the Browns. And I will

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Speaker 1: tell you my buddy, you know, he might have gone

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Speaker 1: pretty big on the Browns and maybe or maybe not,

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Speaker 1: like you know, I was influencing him in a pretty

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Speaker 1: big way. It's the first time. So the end of

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Speaker 1: that game, like Baker Mayfield makes the touchdown pass that

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Speaker 1: are up by three, it's the extra point. I'm standing

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Speaker 1: next to my fourteen year old son, arms wrapped around

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Speaker 1: each other, were so excited, and like as as Cody Parkey,

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Speaker 1: who's already broken my heart once because of the double

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Speaker 1: doink by egg he as he is lining up stick

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Speaker 1: the kick, I get a text from my buddy and

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Speaker 1: it just says, oh ship, and he's a couple of

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Speaker 1: seconds ahead of me. So I look at the text

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Speaker 1: and by the time I look up, Cody Parky's kick

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Speaker 1: is sailing wide left and my kid is like, oh

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Speaker 1: my god. And then I took my phone and I

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Speaker 1: just lightly sort of just tossed it. I'm and I screamed,

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Speaker 1: oh my god. It's the first time, like my kid

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Speaker 1: has ever heard me in anger after a bet? And

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Speaker 1: then I'm thinking to myself, like the Lions we loved

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Speaker 1: on the money line, the Steelers we loved, The Packers

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Speaker 1: we love like all the games that we loved. And

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Speaker 1: I went all in and every way on the Browns.

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Speaker 1: I texted you like I am leveraged to the hilt

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Speaker 1: on the Browns. When we read the Steelers game spot

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Speaker 1: on on Tuesday. Yeah, also I did, and fantish to me,

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Speaker 1: I did text you famous last words and you said

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Speaker 1: you were all in on the Browns as soon as

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Speaker 1: all the like Green bagg cover. And I think, because

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Speaker 1: all these games have finished before all these big favorites,

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Speaker 1: I go all right, mean chatter, give me the ones

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Speaker 1: that can get the raw deal here. But no, it's

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Speaker 1: a man, but all us. At the same time, that

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Speaker 1: was brutal, but it was like the worst one has

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Speaker 1: to be that New England, but that that that one's

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Speaker 1: not that bad because it's a clean death where it's

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Speaker 1: like that Cleveland when we were in it the whole time,

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Speaker 1: we thought we had a chance. In the New England

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Speaker 1: one I knew it. Probably I would say three drives

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Speaker 1: in for New England. That game was over for Newland

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Speaker 1: just Cam Newton's easy either injured or he's just done.

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Speaker 1: But like, well we'll talk. I'm just done with New

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Speaker 1: England for at least the next couple of weeks until

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Speaker 1: they figure out that whole situation, because they just looked

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Speaker 1: broken right now. So it was a good weekend where

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Speaker 1: we had three. Three games are pretty pretty damn easy, man.

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Speaker 1: That Washington one that was an easy no sweat, the

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Speaker 1: Bucks was an easy no sweat and you never really

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Speaker 1: doubted the Carolina one because it was seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: As long as we had to hook even if they

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Speaker 1: would have kicked, got a touchdown or field goal there

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Speaker 1: at young we're gonna be good. So oh A was

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Speaker 1: a good weekend. It was a good weekend. It could

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Speaker 1: have been a five no weekend if we had gone

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Speaker 1: with the Steelers in the pack. Story of my life, right,

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Speaker 1: story everything, it's the story of every better's life. You know. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's that's a cracking up. You're like, how can you

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Speaker 1: react to that Cleveland miss And it's like this is

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Speaker 1: another Tuesday for me, buddy. It's just like that's just

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Speaker 1: how it is. Once you do this enough, you're kind

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Speaker 1: of not numb to it, but you're like, all right,

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Speaker 1: I was on the wrong side onto the next one.

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Speaker 1: That's why I never really get too high or too low.

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Speaker 1: It's just you're always thinking about the next one. So

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Speaker 1: it was funny where you were just like, how is

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Speaker 1: this kind of being so relaxed about the Browns here

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Speaker 1: or no? Man? I was. I literally got up to

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Speaker 1: my buddy I said, I'm dead inside. So I'm with

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Speaker 1: you on that one. Well I'm glad you said that

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Speaker 1: you're dead inside, because I will tell you that. Like

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Speaker 1: that was one of the first games where I could

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Speaker 1: barely function after. Um, Like I almost always feel okay

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Speaker 1: after a game, like a loss is a loss, but

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Speaker 1: that Cleveland one, that that took the wind out of me.

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Speaker 1: Like my buddy was texting me. He was texting me

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Speaker 1: and he's like, hello, are you there? Hello? And I

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Speaker 1: just texted back like I need a minute, And like

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Speaker 1: three hours later, three hours later, I hadn't texted him

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Speaker 1: back and he is just like at this point he's

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Speaker 1: just going in on me. Nice pick. I can't believe.

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Speaker 1: I can't believe you do this for a living. What

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Speaker 1: is going on? Like he was, you know, completely just

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Speaker 1: fucking with me because he knew how like devastated I was,

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Speaker 1: because I like, just to lose it that way, that

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Speaker 1: that extra point. It just yeah, and it's uh, it's

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Speaker 1: one of those where like you're you're sitting there, you're

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Speaker 1: thinking the whole time, even though during the game, like

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Speaker 1: what was it a minute in Baker threw a pick,

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Speaker 1: I was just thinking, holy crap, man and mean, and

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Speaker 1: I'd rather lose on Green Bay than lose on Baker. Here.

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Speaker 1: What were we doing? What were we thinking? Honest to god?

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Speaker 1: What were Yeah, well, you know we're not We're not

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Speaker 1: going to think about Let's get into um, let's get

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Speaker 1: into the Thursday night games. Uh, Thursay night game. It's

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Speaker 1: the Panthers are three point favorites. Opened his two and

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Speaker 1: a half, it's gone up to three. Um. That's because

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Speaker 1: most of the bets are coming in on the Panthers,

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Speaker 1: a little bit of a money edge right now on

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Speaker 1: the Falcons. Um hat uh hat tip her through h

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Speaker 1: G NFL memes, only the Falcons could score a game

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Speaker 1: losing touchdown. Yeah, and the worst part about that was,

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Speaker 1: I've so this is three times now Todd Gurley has

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Speaker 1: had these situations he had a twice with the Rams

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Speaker 1: and then with this Atlanta and all three times his

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Speaker 1: play involved his team not covering. It's like this guy,

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Speaker 1: oh Man Todder Gurley, those Rams ones. Like literally I

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Speaker 1: had like a night where like I woke up to

216
00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:01,199
Speaker 1: like a dream of him laying down from the end zone.

217
00:12:01,240 --> 00:12:02,400
Speaker 1: I was like, I can't releave. I just had a

218
00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:05,959
Speaker 1: nightmare about a sports bet. So I had flashbacks to

219
00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:08,720
Speaker 1: him when he ran over the open field um and

220
00:12:08,760 --> 00:12:11,720
Speaker 1: scored that. But yeah, we fet a point now where

221
00:12:12,280 --> 00:12:16,360
Speaker 1: the sharp play is to take Atlanta. But I'm not

222
00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:18,840
Speaker 1: I'm not doing it. I can't. I can't keep back

223
00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:21,000
Speaker 1: in this Atlanta team. I know they're a smart play.

224
00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:24,640
Speaker 1: And the Panthers, you like to take them as a dog.

225
00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:26,520
Speaker 1: We like Teddy as a dog here. That's when we

226
00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:31,400
Speaker 1: like taking Teddy Bridgewater. But on Thursday night at home, um,

227
00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:34,360
Speaker 1: I saw some crazy staff with these dogs, these road

228
00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:36,520
Speaker 1: dogs that are plus two and a half. They're covering

229
00:12:36,559 --> 00:12:40,040
Speaker 1: it or like less are covering at a clip right

230
00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:44,080
Speaker 1: now this season. That's insanity. So this feels like an

231
00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:46,480
Speaker 1: even outspot where the Carolina maybe get down to two

232
00:12:46,480 --> 00:12:48,360
Speaker 1: and a half. I think they'll cover so I like

233
00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:52,720
Speaker 1: the Panthers here, all right, then let's get into But

234
00:12:53,280 --> 00:12:57,440
Speaker 1: you like the Panthers. We don't like panthers like in

235
00:12:57,559 --> 00:13:00,560
Speaker 1: a contest kind of way. We just like that. I

236
00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:03,120
Speaker 1: keep winning these Thursday bets and you keep not letting

237
00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:04,959
Speaker 1: me put them in. I hit on the Bears, and

238
00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:09,679
Speaker 1: I hit on the fine. Fine, no no, no, no, no, no, no,

239
00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:17,880
Speaker 1: no no, no, let's do it. I don't want to

240
00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:21,640
Speaker 1: because I'm too I'm probably like five and one on

241
00:13:21,679 --> 00:13:24,320
Speaker 1: Thursdays or six and one, like, I don't wanna I'm

242
00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:26,319
Speaker 1: due for some else here. But now you don't want

243
00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:30,280
Speaker 1: to jinx it. Now you're afraid that if we say yes,

244
00:13:30,520 --> 00:13:35,080
Speaker 1: it's gonna jinx, they really will Atlantic Like Matt Ryan

245
00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:37,160
Speaker 1: is just smiling and laying in his bed right now

246
00:13:37,200 --> 00:13:39,720
Speaker 1: thinking about it. Goes this is the week Simon finally

247
00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:42,959
Speaker 1: goes against me, and I'm gonna just cover this one easily.

248
00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:44,520
Speaker 1: So I don't want to do it. I don't want

249
00:13:44,520 --> 00:13:47,959
Speaker 1: to put it in. Alright, Fine, we're not gonna put

250
00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:49,040
Speaker 1: it in, you know what. I don't even want to

251
00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:51,200
Speaker 1: talk about this game anyways, because I want to talk

252
00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:58,319
Speaker 1: about Let's get to the early Sunday games. The undefeated Steelers,

253
00:13:58,360 --> 00:14:01,120
Speaker 1: who we probably should have had in our contest this

254
00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:05,640
Speaker 1: past week visiting the Baltimore Ravens. To me, this game

255
00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:10,040
Speaker 1: is massive, you know why Right now the Ravens open

256
00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:12,160
Speaker 1: to five and a half. They are currently three and

257
00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:15,680
Speaker 1: a half. Bets coming in on the Steelers, money coming

258
00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:18,760
Speaker 1: in on the Steelers. You and I both bet on

259
00:14:18,800 --> 00:14:21,080
Speaker 1: the Steelers to win the a f C North because

260
00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,920
Speaker 1: of advice that you gave. I have the Steelers forty

261
00:14:23,920 --> 00:14:27,880
Speaker 1: one to win Super Bowl. Um, Like, there's a lot

262
00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:30,480
Speaker 1: on the line in this game. Steelers win this game,

263
00:14:30,520 --> 00:14:32,080
Speaker 1: and they've got a two game lead in the division,

264
00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:33,720
Speaker 1: and that's looking very good for our a f C

265
00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:37,040
Speaker 1: North bet. Yeah, I gotta love it for that value.

266
00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:40,440
Speaker 1: And we've now hit a point where I think this

267
00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:43,920
Speaker 1: is a letdown spot for the Steelers. They played just

268
00:14:44,040 --> 00:14:47,720
Speaker 1: an insane game last week and it was an incredible win. Um,

269
00:14:47,880 --> 00:14:50,360
Speaker 1: they got the lead and then the Titans kept coming back,

270
00:14:50,400 --> 00:14:53,280
Speaker 1: but the Steelers didn't enough to get that one. And

271
00:14:53,360 --> 00:14:55,440
Speaker 1: now the public's all over them. Like you just said,

272
00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:58,600
Speaker 1: the numbers down to three and a half, and the

273
00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:00,560
Speaker 1: smart side is just the raven is off of by

274
00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:03,200
Speaker 1: in a divisional game. You're hoping this number goes down

275
00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:08,280
Speaker 1: to three. Um, but you really can't take the Steelers here.

276
00:15:08,400 --> 00:15:11,240
Speaker 1: It's just back to back road games now in a

277
00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:14,600
Speaker 1: divisional game, it's it's tough for me to take the

278
00:15:14,600 --> 00:15:18,240
Speaker 1: Steelers here. It feels like not a letdown spot for them,

279
00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:19,560
Speaker 1: but it just feels like one of these games that

280
00:15:19,640 --> 00:15:21,680
Speaker 1: the Ravens they're gonna they're gonna win by a touchdown.

281
00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:24,520
Speaker 1: So I would take the Ravens here, but we don't

282
00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:25,840
Speaker 1: have to put it in because this is such a

283
00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:29,280
Speaker 1: not a coin flip game. But we've seen with the

284
00:15:29,360 --> 00:15:32,280
Speaker 1: Ravens in these big time games, Lamar has a letdown.

285
00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:34,600
Speaker 1: I mean that Chiefs game on Prime Time. He really

286
00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:37,000
Speaker 1: let down in that spot. So in a big game

287
00:15:37,040 --> 00:15:39,080
Speaker 1: like this, I don't want to do it. I don't

288
00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:41,040
Speaker 1: want to take the Ravens in our competition, but I

289
00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:44,560
Speaker 1: do like them betting style. I like it, Like I

290
00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:47,200
Speaker 1: wouldn't be averse to putting him in the competition if

291
00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:52,920
Speaker 1: we got the number of three. You don't hate that everything.

292
00:15:53,280 --> 00:15:55,920
Speaker 1: I agree with everything you just said, Like this is

293
00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:59,040
Speaker 1: a letdown spot. And the Steelers, by the way, look

294
00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:01,560
Speaker 1: they got up big against the Titans, but if we

295
00:16:01,600 --> 00:16:04,120
Speaker 1: had bet that, and I will admit that, like, because

296
00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:06,400
Speaker 1: we didn't bet that, I was actually rooting for the

297
00:16:06,440 --> 00:16:09,560
Speaker 1: Titans to come back and win that game, um, just

298
00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:11,520
Speaker 1: because I didn't want to feel even worse about not

299
00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:14,120
Speaker 1: having bet it. But they let the They let the

300
00:16:14,120 --> 00:16:17,400
Speaker 1: Titans back in that game. They let the Eagles back

301
00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:20,840
Speaker 1: in the game. They have consistently sort of let teams

302
00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:23,640
Speaker 1: stay close. They're undefeated, and they went to do an

303
00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:27,960
Speaker 1: undefeated again against another undefeated team and the Titans, but

304
00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:30,800
Speaker 1: they were both like teams that we're lucky to get there.

305
00:16:30,840 --> 00:16:32,240
Speaker 1: I think the Steelers are a little bit better than

306
00:16:32,280 --> 00:16:34,520
Speaker 1: the Titans, but I think the Ravens are probably better

307
00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:37,080
Speaker 1: than the Steelers. And if this number gets even lower,

308
00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:40,880
Speaker 1: we gotta take that bet. Yeah, And especially you're just

309
00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:42,520
Speaker 1: saying all these teams are these close games, and the

310
00:16:42,560 --> 00:16:46,000
Speaker 1: Steelers like they almost let DEM's back up QB coming

311
00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:48,640
Speaker 1: and beat them at home. So like you're saying, they

312
00:16:48,720 --> 00:16:50,280
Speaker 1: they've had a lot of these games and they pulled

313
00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:52,480
Speaker 1: out and they have won, and I'm with you, I

314
00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:54,520
Speaker 1: just feel like they're due for a letdown. The laws here,

315
00:16:57,560 --> 00:17:01,480
Speaker 1: all right, the Chiefs right now open to twenty one

316
00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:07,000
Speaker 1: over the Jets favorites. Uh, it's been bent down to

317
00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:10,920
Speaker 1: nineteen and a half fifty six, no sixty of the

318
00:17:10,960 --> 00:17:15,760
Speaker 1: money coming in on the Jets right now. Uh, it's absurd,

319
00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:18,600
Speaker 1: It's totally absurd. We're not going to bet this game

320
00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:22,879
Speaker 1: because I refuse to need the Jets in any way.

321
00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:26,280
Speaker 1: I don't care what the value is. What a magical

322
00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:28,520
Speaker 1: gift the Jets have been this year. They really have

323
00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:31,600
Speaker 1: just every week you can tease the team against them,

324
00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:34,199
Speaker 1: you can put their money line against them. We're just

325
00:17:34,320 --> 00:17:37,680
Speaker 1: riding them and survivor Pool. It's just we're all so

326
00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:40,640
Speaker 1: blessed that Adam Gates. They're just keeping them to get

327
00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:43,679
Speaker 1: the tank trank for tank for Trevor. So it's just

328
00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:48,160
Speaker 1: a wonderful year of these Jets and everything you said,

329
00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:50,800
Speaker 1: it's true. I mean this is a pro pro line.

330
00:17:50,840 --> 00:17:53,760
Speaker 1: Pros are gonna take this big number. But I'm happy

331
00:17:53,800 --> 00:17:55,280
Speaker 1: to be on the their side. I'll take whatever the

332
00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:58,560
Speaker 1: Chiefs closed out there in nineteen and a half. I'm

333
00:17:58,600 --> 00:18:01,360
Speaker 1: good with it. Uh. Maybe I'll get back door here

334
00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:03,800
Speaker 1: on the Jets and like, I'll live with that. But

335
00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:06,520
Speaker 1: it's it's impossible not to take the Chiefs are I

336
00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:09,840
Speaker 1: can just see the Chiefs getting points like the Bills.

337
00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:12,400
Speaker 1: They just kicked field goals last week. I can't compare

338
00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:14,720
Speaker 1: the Bills offense the Chiefs of offense. The Chiefs are

339
00:18:14,760 --> 00:18:17,280
Speaker 1: gonna get in the red zone, They're gonna score, and

340
00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:19,680
Speaker 1: what we've seen from the Jets offense is they can't score.

341
00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:21,639
Speaker 1: They I think they had four total yards in the

342
00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:24,760
Speaker 1: second half something crazy like that in that game. So

343
00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:28,480
Speaker 1: I'm done with the Jets. I bet them last week

344
00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:30,240
Speaker 1: in the spread and when they're when the Sam Donald

345
00:18:30,280 --> 00:18:32,200
Speaker 1: got put back into like plus eleven, plus two and

346
00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:34,200
Speaker 1: a half, and I'm good now for the year. I

347
00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:36,200
Speaker 1: don't I don't care about taking the Jets again. I'm

348
00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:38,359
Speaker 1: gonna ride the Chiefs here and picks and I like

349
00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:42,840
Speaker 1: betting wives, you will bet the Chiefs you will lay

350
00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:48,080
Speaker 1: twenty points in this game. Yeah, And I'm like, I'm

351
00:18:48,119 --> 00:18:50,080
Speaker 1: sure it could bite me in the ass, But like

352
00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:53,520
Speaker 1: the percentage is saying that this line should be twenty

353
00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:55,320
Speaker 1: three and a half, So like, I think I'm getting

354
00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:57,440
Speaker 1: good number here, So I'm happy to take the Chiefs.

355
00:18:58,600 --> 00:19:01,920
Speaker 1: All right. Reminder, you mentioned Survivor. We took the Bills

356
00:19:02,080 --> 00:19:05,720
Speaker 1: last week in our Survivor pool. Yeah, and so we

357
00:19:05,800 --> 00:19:07,880
Speaker 1: will have to come up with the survivor pool pick.

358
00:19:09,560 --> 00:19:11,520
Speaker 1: It's the easiest thing ever. The Chiefs. I mean, if

359
00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:14,600
Speaker 1: you don't take the Chiefs this week, you're terrible survived.

360
00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:19,920
Speaker 1: I'm laying the suspense track. That's it. I was gonna

361
00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:22,320
Speaker 1: let people know at the end of the show, we're

362
00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:25,320
Speaker 1: gonna have to announce our survivor pool pick, and it

363
00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:27,679
Speaker 1: was gonna be the Chiefs. They should still listen just

364
00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:32,120
Speaker 1: to hear the giveaway. That's true. We're giving away That's

365
00:19:32,160 --> 00:19:36,919
Speaker 1: that's true. We gotta give away cash for the winner. Alright,

366
00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:38,960
Speaker 1: So we're gonna like the Chiefs and Survivor. We're gonna

367
00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:41,360
Speaker 1: like the Chiefs. We're not gonna put a no way

368
00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:44,320
Speaker 1: we put them in the contest. No. Here's this next

369
00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:47,000
Speaker 1: game is so interesting because the Bengals are hosting the Titans.

370
00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:49,360
Speaker 1: This game opened at three and a half and it's

371
00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:51,840
Speaker 1: been bed up to six. Not just all the bets

372
00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:54,919
Speaker 1: are coming into the Titans, but a crapload of money

373
00:19:54,960 --> 00:19:56,760
Speaker 1: is coming into the Titans. Still early in the week.

374
00:19:56,760 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 1: It's Tuesday afternoon. Um, but I would I would be

375
00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:03,439
Speaker 1: dissuaded from betting this game and putting this in the

376
00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:07,440
Speaker 1: contest because we're not getting the best of the number,

377
00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:09,280
Speaker 1: Like it's just too big of a delta. It's gone

378
00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:12,639
Speaker 1: through four, which really is like a key number these days,

379
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:15,119
Speaker 1: and so I don't want anything to do with this

380
00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:17,760
Speaker 1: game right now. I'm so bad with the Bengals. Man

381
00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:20,000
Speaker 1: every every week Joe Burrow has been burning. I'm either

382
00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:21,960
Speaker 1: taking him and he lets down or he plays good.

383
00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:24,920
Speaker 1: I'm going against them. So I'm probably going to take

384
00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:27,480
Speaker 1: the Titans just because they're offense. I think they could

385
00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:30,119
Speaker 1: not outscore this team, but they're gonna put up enough

386
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:32,160
Speaker 1: points where I'm I wouldn't be worried about the back door.

387
00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:34,960
Speaker 1: But that's the exact reason we wouldn't put the Titans

388
00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:37,880
Speaker 1: in our pickpool, because it's at the point now where

389
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,720
Speaker 1: the Titans defense I can never trust them to get

390
00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:43,720
Speaker 1: to stop. So I can already see it now. They're

391
00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:47,399
Speaker 1: they're up thirteen, Joe Burrow comes down the field score somehow,

392
00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:49,520
Speaker 1: it goes for two and they don't cover the six.

393
00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:53,080
Speaker 1: So I'm happy to stay away from this one the competition.

394
00:20:53,119 --> 00:20:55,840
Speaker 1: I don't like this game at all. Joe Burrow is

395
00:20:55,920 --> 00:21:01,080
Speaker 1: becoming a back door killer. He really is just like,

396
00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:05,479
Speaker 1: he's not someone I want to have the ball. If

397
00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:08,400
Speaker 1: I'm betting against him at the end of the game, Yeah,

398
00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:11,720
Speaker 1: win your game right now, but certainly gonna lose your bets.

399
00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:14,640
Speaker 1: This is it's starting to remind me, we'll see what's

400
00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:17,919
Speaker 1: the deal with to uh, but we've been due for

401
00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:23,320
Speaker 1: an Eli Rivers Roethlisberger draft of just three really good

402
00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:26,520
Speaker 1: quarterbacks you'd want on your team, and it's starting to

403
00:21:26,560 --> 00:21:28,439
Speaker 1: feel like this might be that draft class where Joe

404
00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:30,400
Speaker 1: he's really showing me. This kid is tough as hell

405
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,160
Speaker 1: and he's good like his some of his passes are

406
00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:36,800
Speaker 1: just really sharp. And we've seen with Herbert over in

407
00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:41,240
Speaker 1: California where he's really carrying in San Diego. So I'm really,

408
00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 1: I'm really have high hopes for to hopefully played as

409
00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:45,879
Speaker 1: well with Miami because I love all these rookies this

410
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:51,679
Speaker 1: year so far. That is a professional transition, Simon Hunter,

411
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:54,840
Speaker 1: because the next game we're talking about Los Angeles rams

412
00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:58,960
Speaker 1: on the road in Miami, uh four three and a half.

413
00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:00,840
Speaker 1: Let's say it's there three and a half point favorites

414
00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:04,040
Speaker 1: right now, which is where it opened against two up

415
00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:09,960
Speaker 1: for the first time. What a charming, lovely moment that

416
00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:13,080
Speaker 1: was a couple of weeks ago where someone caught that

417
00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:15,960
Speaker 1: image of him sitting on the spot on the field

418
00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:19,040
Speaker 1: where he took his first snapped and his parents. How

419
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:26,480
Speaker 1: Ryan Fitzpatrick has handled this Fits magic magic magic, and

420
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:28,199
Speaker 1: the way he was cheering people on. I know that

421
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:30,840
Speaker 1: he's bummed he's getting pulled when he's having a top

422
00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:33,560
Speaker 1: ten season and playing really well and the team is

423
00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:37,159
Speaker 1: in playoff contention. But I don't mind the move, and

424
00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:40,560
Speaker 1: I'm super excited to see what TA can do. Yeah,

425
00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:43,760
Speaker 1: it's the right move. Though, Um, we all feel bad

426
00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 1: for Fits and we love the guy. He's he's fun,

427
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:50,720
Speaker 1: he takes hits, he never leaves games, and he's just

428
00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:55,560
Speaker 1: tough as hell. But to his upside is just so high.

429
00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:57,960
Speaker 1: But they've kind of hit a point where they're looking

430
00:22:57,960 --> 00:22:59,480
Speaker 1: at their team and saying, you know, maybe we could

431
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:03,760
Speaker 1: win this to vision, and I'm agreeing with them. I

432
00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:05,679
Speaker 1: think two gives him the best chance of doing that

433
00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:07,919
Speaker 1: because if he is what they think he is gonna be,

434
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:10,440
Speaker 1: like what they've seen in practice, this kid is gonna

435
00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:12,920
Speaker 1: be the real deal in the NFL. I mean, his

436
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 1: his past in Alabama was incredible. So I'm coming to

437
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:20,199
Speaker 1: a game here where you're asking me to take a

438
00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:23,160
Speaker 1: rookie at home when his first start after a buy,

439
00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:26,520
Speaker 1: I don't love it. I just feel like it's too

440
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:29,399
Speaker 1: much time to think about this moment and it worries

441
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:34,280
Speaker 1: me a little bit, where um, he might just let

442
00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:37,800
Speaker 1: down here and I know the Rams just had a

443
00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:39,920
Speaker 1: huge win in prime time and these are usually teams

444
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:42,639
Speaker 1: I like fath especially the fact they're traveling across country

445
00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:46,639
Speaker 1: to Florida. But it makes me just nervous where it's

446
00:23:46,680 --> 00:23:48,520
Speaker 1: to his first start and he's had a lot of

447
00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:51,080
Speaker 1: time to think about it, and he might overdo it,

448
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,959
Speaker 1: not just play like free and be overthinking every situation.

449
00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:59,040
Speaker 1: So I wouldn't put this one in. I'm probably gonna

450
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:02,360
Speaker 1: end up taking the Ram um, but I don't want

451
00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:07,000
Speaker 1: to go against this Dolphins team or competition. I don't

452
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:10,240
Speaker 1: either like forget about two of for a second. I

453
00:24:10,280 --> 00:24:12,880
Speaker 1: love Brian Floores as a coach. He always has them

454
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:17,439
Speaker 1: ready to play. They play so freaking hard and with

455
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:21,520
Speaker 1: two weeks rest coming off a bye against a short

456
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:26,080
Speaker 1: week for the Rams traveling across country Like this Rams team,

457
00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:29,080
Speaker 1: they're not world beaters, like they beat up on a

458
00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:32,160
Speaker 1: bad Bears team that like, if you think about the Bears,

459
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 1: Chad guy, come on, they're they're not a bad team.

460
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:42,600
Speaker 1: That was just a trap spot. We we saw it

461
00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:44,800
Speaker 1: coming last week. We talked about last week. That was

462
00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:48,080
Speaker 1: just a bad spot. No, they're just a bad team.

463
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:51,760
Speaker 1: Is there anybody on that team, anybody in any position

464
00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:56,240
Speaker 1: of skill on that team that frightens you? Is Nick Foles? Guy?

465
00:24:56,400 --> 00:25:00,399
Speaker 1: Like right now? Right now, here's the guys who like

466
00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:06,760
Speaker 1: might be a value in a tradeable market. Allen Robinson

467
00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:13,480
Speaker 1: and Allen Robinson, you're not gonna trade. You don't care

468
00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:16,119
Speaker 1: about Anthony Miller. You don't I'm talking about offense. You

469
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:19,720
Speaker 1: don't care about Poles. You don't care about David Montgomery,

470
00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:23,600
Speaker 1: who like scatters around instead of running north and south.

471
00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:26,200
Speaker 1: And like and by the way, like last night I

472
00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:29,600
Speaker 1: wunnay to night football. They were talking about this Bears

473
00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:32,359
Speaker 1: defense like they were so great. All they did was

474
00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:36,399
Speaker 1: rack up penalties Like this, This team last night was

475
00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:39,960
Speaker 1: the team that I always worried they would be, and

476
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:43,280
Speaker 1: that from a statistical perspective, they might have shown they

477
00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 1: really are throughout the year. Only they've gotten lucky in

478
00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 1: some spots um. So yeah, it was a bad spot

479
00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:54,159
Speaker 1: for the Bears, but the Rams also beat up on

480
00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:56,720
Speaker 1: a bad team. Chad's taken this well. Chad, who was

481
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:58,639
Speaker 1: the quarterback when you guys went to Super Bowl a

482
00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:02,439
Speaker 1: couple of years ago. You mean when we went to

483
00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:06,400
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl fourteen years ago? Yeah, who's that quarterback?

484
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:12,200
Speaker 1: Rex Grossman? Okay, say that one more time, Tony. Listen,

485
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:15,600
Speaker 1: don't try to make me prove my point. Here's my

486
00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:19,000
Speaker 1: bigger point about that Super Bowl. Rex Grossman wasn't the

487
00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:21,840
Speaker 1: problem in that game. The problem was Ron Turner, the

488
00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:25,000
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator, decided the better bet was to put the

489
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:27,920
Speaker 1: ball in Rex Grossman's hands instead of giving the ball

490
00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:30,479
Speaker 1: of Thomas Jones, who had an incredible year. And so

491
00:26:30,560 --> 00:26:33,719
Speaker 1: the Bears ended up losing because they didn't use their

492
00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:36,119
Speaker 1: best offensive weapons in a game in which there was

493
00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:39,240
Speaker 1: a freaking downpour. And the only thing anyone remembers is

494
00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:42,399
Speaker 1: that Peyton Manning used to practice with wet balls and

495
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:44,600
Speaker 1: that makes him a genius. And Prince had the greatest

496
00:26:44,600 --> 00:26:47,639
Speaker 1: halftime show in the history of the Super Bowl. Chad,

497
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:50,639
Speaker 1: you're a habitual line step from my front. But yeah,

498
00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:54,600
Speaker 1: I love I'm I'm I'm such a Barris fan this year.

499
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 1: I just love their defense so much. Everything you said

500
00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:59,159
Speaker 1: it's true, but I just had faith that Naggy and

501
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:02,160
Speaker 1: Nick Foles are two veteran guys. They'll make adjustments because

502
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:04,639
Speaker 1: the offense he's running is if you guys have a

503
00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:07,399
Speaker 1: world class offensive line. You don't have that. You have

504
00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:10,760
Speaker 1: a banged up, not that good offensive line. So once

505
00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:12,720
Speaker 1: they figure out these quick passes and just getting the

506
00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:14,479
Speaker 1: ball out Nick's hands, I'm telling you, I still got

507
00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:16,520
Speaker 1: high hopes for this Barras team, so unlike you, I

508
00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:19,399
Speaker 1: haven't given up yet. Well, we do have them to

509
00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 1: win the NFC North and we do have them to

510
00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:23,720
Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl, so you know, we still got

511
00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:25,800
Speaker 1: some money there. We still got some money and play

512
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:28,639
Speaker 1: all right. Let's all right, So we're gonna skip on

513
00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:31,280
Speaker 1: the Rams and and the Dolphins by the way. At

514
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:35,800
Speaker 1: this point, like we got one game that we might like,

515
00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:39,120
Speaker 1: which is the Ravens if they get to minus three.

516
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:41,680
Speaker 1: We were not finding a lot of takers here. Let's

517
00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:45,000
Speaker 1: talk about the Colts. They are three point favorites on

518
00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:49,359
Speaker 1: the road at Detroit, getting all the money and majority

519
00:27:49,440 --> 00:27:53,800
Speaker 1: of the bets. Oh Man I'm probably gonna fall into

520
00:27:53,800 --> 00:27:56,160
Speaker 1: this trap then, because I love the Colts. I think

521
00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 1: this is such a great, great, great position for the cold.

522
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:03,399
Speaker 1: So they're getting healthy off of bye two two straight

523
00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:06,639
Speaker 1: road winds for the lines, and that last one was

524
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:10,439
Speaker 1: an epic fashion that's like the high of highs. This

525
00:28:10,520 --> 00:28:13,640
Speaker 1: is just great where the Colts. I'm not worried about

526
00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:15,320
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers here because I'm not gonna be relying on

527
00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:18,160
Speaker 1: I'm relying on the Colts defense, and I think they

528
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:20,560
Speaker 1: match up really well with Detroit and the fact that

529
00:28:20,600 --> 00:28:24,200
Speaker 1: the culture gonna be healthy. They needed time for their

530
00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:26,840
Speaker 1: just the D line linebacking court to get right with

531
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:30,399
Speaker 1: the Colts, so blind, you're gonna run on them Colts.

532
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 1: They love to run the ball. I'm with the public here,

533
00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:36,520
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Colts. You know what, You and me

534
00:28:36,600 --> 00:28:42,400
Speaker 1: both brother both love the Colts for all the reasons

535
00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:46,080
Speaker 1: you just said. Ay, the Colts defense was the best

536
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:49,200
Speaker 1: defense in the NFL before they went into the bye

537
00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:52,120
Speaker 1: and before they started getting really injured. Right, So now

538
00:28:52,160 --> 00:28:55,560
Speaker 1: they've had this two weeks to get better. The Lions,

539
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:59,120
Speaker 1: like they've always been a cardiac team, but it's one

540
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 1: thing to be a Cardiac team. When you're playing against

541
00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:05,080
Speaker 1: the Falcons. It's one thing to go on the road

542
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:08,880
Speaker 1: and blow out the Jaguars. It's another thing to host

543
00:29:09,040 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 1: a really good team and also at home. But also

544
00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:17,480
Speaker 1: this is a coaching matchup. And at the end of

545
00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 1: the day, Frank Reich is just a much better coach

546
00:29:22,080 --> 00:29:25,880
Speaker 1: than Matt Patricia. Matt Patricia is is out of his

547
00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:28,600
Speaker 1: league when it comes to coaching. And I know we

548
00:29:28,680 --> 00:29:32,480
Speaker 1: don't give value to coaches from a point spread perspective,

549
00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:37,280
Speaker 1: but I am behind Frank Reich in this game. Yeah,

550
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:41,680
Speaker 1: let's put it in boom. We got the Indianapolis Colts

551
00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:45,360
Speaker 1: as three point favorites on the road at the lines,

552
00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:47,000
Speaker 1: and you know what, I don't care what happens over

553
00:29:47,040 --> 00:29:48,880
Speaker 1: the course of the week. I don't care how much

554
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:51,080
Speaker 1: more money comes in. I don't care how many syndicates

555
00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:55,800
Speaker 1: come in. Dude, we are locking it in the Colts,

556
00:29:56,080 --> 00:29:58,760
Speaker 1: all right? Should we make it to bet your balls?

557
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:01,160
Speaker 1: Are we? Is this to bet your ball? No? Because

558
00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 1: I like doing I like fading the public on those

559
00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:05,120
Speaker 1: that we're three and now I want to keep it winning,

560
00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:08,239
Speaker 1: all right. We need to bet our balls. We need

561
00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:10,960
Speaker 1: to find a hornet's nest. I don't think we're walking

562
00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 1: into a Hornets nest with the Patriots and the Bills

563
00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:17,400
Speaker 1: right now. Patriots four point dogs on the road in Buffalo,

564
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:22,480
Speaker 1: game open to three. Yeah, I mean I'm done. I'm

565
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:25,480
Speaker 1: done back in the Patriots. I feel like a soldier

566
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 1: that just fought on the front line and just walk

567
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:30,080
Speaker 1: back home. I'm just like, I'm done. I'm done fighting

568
00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:34,240
Speaker 1: for this team. Where I get what people are saying

569
00:30:34,280 --> 00:30:36,640
Speaker 1: that was a bad matchup with the same frame because

570
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,959
Speaker 1: the forty niners O line and D line is restraints

571
00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:43,240
Speaker 1: and that's what the biggest weakness is right now for

572
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:46,600
Speaker 1: New England. But from what I saw with Kim, he's

573
00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:49,320
Speaker 1: just hitting, He's throwing balls into the turf, and he's

574
00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:52,479
Speaker 1: just not He doesn't seem right. He seems hurt or

575
00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:54,760
Speaker 1: maybe he's still have an effection from COVID. Who really knows.

576
00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:58,080
Speaker 1: But I came back him again. I know the Bills

577
00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:01,440
Speaker 1: have been bad. Josh Allen's not was not scoring touchdowns

578
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 1: against the Jets, and he made a sweat that whole

579
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:08,000
Speaker 1: survivor pool because he couldn't turn these great drives and

580
00:31:08,040 --> 00:31:10,560
Speaker 1: the touchdowns, which is I mean, something's not right with

581
00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:12,920
Speaker 1: the Bills, so I wouldn't put this in, but I'm

582
00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 1: gonna be betting the Bills this week. I'm not. I'm

583
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 1: not back in the Patriot until they get right consistently

584
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:20,760
Speaker 1: for a couple of weeks in a row. I take

585
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 1: Cam Newton's career in the NFL as a regular QB

586
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:28,360
Speaker 1: one is over. I think you're right, and I think

587
00:31:28,520 --> 00:31:32,080
Speaker 1: it's it's funny where all of us a couple of

588
00:31:32,120 --> 00:31:35,040
Speaker 1: weeks in, we're like, oh my god, Bill does it again.

589
00:31:35,120 --> 00:31:38,400
Speaker 1: He gets camped for nothing. All these teams like can walk.

590
00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:40,480
Speaker 1: I mean, you Bear fans were killing yourselves because you're like,

591
00:31:40,520 --> 00:31:42,600
Speaker 1: we paid Nick Foles a ton of money to come here,

592
00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:44,400
Speaker 1: and we could have camp for a million dollars. But

593
00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:47,160
Speaker 1: I think we're just seeing the wear and tear of

594
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:50,160
Speaker 1: a running quarterback. He's just he's just beat up. So

595
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:52,840
Speaker 1: I'm with you. I don't, I don't. I don't see

596
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:56,360
Speaker 1: him being a starter next year for any teams. The

597
00:31:56,560 --> 00:32:04,600
Speaker 1: Raiders are visiting the Cleveland Browns two and a half

598
00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:07,400
Speaker 1: point favorites. Right now. The Browns are at home. Money

599
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:10,960
Speaker 1: and bets have all come in on the Raiders. It

600
00:32:11,080 --> 00:32:16,680
Speaker 1: seems interesting to me that the Raiders who didn't play

601
00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 1: very well this past week. Uh getting the money and

602
00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:25,800
Speaker 1: the bets? Are we thinking like wise? Guys are playing

603
00:32:25,840 --> 00:32:30,960
Speaker 1: against public perception here. Maybe I think it's just a

604
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:34,040
Speaker 1: public in general. We just most people just lost money

605
00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:36,320
Speaker 1: in the Browns. Why are they gonna come the next

606
00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:38,280
Speaker 1: day and go, yeah, I'm gonna double down the Browns

607
00:32:38,320 --> 00:32:40,600
Speaker 1: this week just because I lost that hook last week

608
00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:42,840
Speaker 1: with the Browns. Most of must sit here thinking ourselves.

609
00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:48,400
Speaker 1: Browns aren't good, their defense can't stop anybody. And the Raiders.

610
00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:51,400
Speaker 1: That was just insane. The NFL made them play that game.

611
00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:53,560
Speaker 1: Like I was so happy when I woke up Sunday

612
00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 1: morning that game was still on. I was like, we

613
00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:57,920
Speaker 1: can get this in our competition and it's still under

614
00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:02,720
Speaker 1: a touchdown. Like this, Their whole offensive line left in

615
00:33:02,760 --> 00:33:04,520
Speaker 1: the middle of the week and then come back to

616
00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 1: the facility until like Saturday or Sunday. It's it's just crazy.

617
00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:09,480
Speaker 1: The NFL was like, yeah, we'll push all these other

618
00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:11,680
Speaker 1: games on Tuesday, but instead we're gonna move this game

619
00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:14,280
Speaker 1: from prime time to four o'clock and give them less

620
00:33:14,280 --> 00:33:18,160
Speaker 1: time to be prepared so I can't fault the sharps

621
00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:20,560
Speaker 1: or the public for coming in on the Raiders here

622
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:23,440
Speaker 1: like it's someone that is back the Browns and lost.

623
00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:26,920
Speaker 1: It's they can't trust their defense. But I'm gonna take

624
00:33:26,920 --> 00:33:29,720
Speaker 1: the Browns here again at home against the Raiders team

625
00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:33,320
Speaker 1: that they just seem like something's missing with them, where

626
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 1: Like they're getting healthy, they're getting guys back, they put

627
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:40,000
Speaker 1: good drives together, but they don't finish games. And I

628
00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:43,680
Speaker 1: still think that the way the Browns are, they should

629
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:46,000
Speaker 1: be able to win this game at home, the way

630
00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:49,080
Speaker 1: they designed their offense just to run the ball, not

631
00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:51,280
Speaker 1: asking Baker do too much. This this should be an

632
00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:53,560
Speaker 1: easy one for the Raiders. Again. The Browns against the

633
00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:55,760
Speaker 1: Raiders team they really can't stop the run. Yeah, but

634
00:33:55,800 --> 00:33:57,840
Speaker 1: you gotta hope they actually do that. Like that's why

635
00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:00,400
Speaker 1: we liked the Browns so much against Cincinnat Eddie is

636
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:03,080
Speaker 1: because they're gonna keep the ball out of Baker's hands.

637
00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:05,080
Speaker 1: They're gonna give it to Kareem Hunt. They're gonna run

638
00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:08,560
Speaker 1: through with Swiss Cheese Bengals defense and everything's gonna be

639
00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:11,040
Speaker 1: glorious and we're gonna win that game by twenty two points.

640
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 1: And instead, like they made bad calls in the beginning,

641
00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:17,640
Speaker 1: they let Baker throw the ball downfield, which led to turnovers,

642
00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:21,560
Speaker 1: and then their defense, as you noted, played terribly. So

643
00:34:22,680 --> 00:34:26,280
Speaker 1: can we trust Kevin Stefanski to make the right calls

644
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:28,719
Speaker 1: against the defense that is as tattered as the Raiders? Is?

645
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:30,960
Speaker 1: I feel like everything you just said, like, I don't

646
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:33,040
Speaker 1: I don't want to put the Browns and I can't

647
00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:35,680
Speaker 1: go through it again with them. I can't do it. No,

648
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:38,000
Speaker 1: I can't do it. But here's the problem. We're like

649
00:34:38,040 --> 00:34:39,680
Speaker 1: getting down to the end and we got one freaking

650
00:34:39,719 --> 00:34:42,600
Speaker 1: game that we like. All right, we got we got

651
00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:45,640
Speaker 1: the Vikings visiting the Packers, the Packers of touchdown favorites,

652
00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:48,960
Speaker 1: still very early, too early to to put any credence

653
00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 1: behind any of the percentages, with money and bets both

654
00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:55,040
Speaker 1: being on the Packers right now? Is are we walking

655
00:34:55,080 --> 00:34:57,520
Speaker 1: into a hornet's nest? Are we betting our balls here?

656
00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:03,239
Speaker 1: What are we gonna do? God? And it's brutal because

657
00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:08,080
Speaker 1: I had this number at seven? Um, what side do

658
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:15,280
Speaker 1: you like? Chad? Just looking at this? Yeah, I probably

659
00:35:15,360 --> 00:35:18,680
Speaker 1: like the Vikings at plus seven? Right, this is such

660
00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:21,680
Speaker 1: a pro play. It's like we have to take the Vikings,

661
00:35:21,680 --> 00:35:24,759
Speaker 1: saying I hate it. I hate it because the Green

662
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,400
Speaker 1: Bay they're just good all around. They're just solid, they

663
00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:32,960
Speaker 1: got good defense. The reason I got to do it

664
00:35:33,040 --> 00:35:35,880
Speaker 1: is because the number is going to move up because

665
00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:38,640
Speaker 1: of all the public action, or at least the number

666
00:35:38,680 --> 00:35:41,799
Speaker 1: the number PRIBB stay at seven. But the public will

667
00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:43,799
Speaker 1: be all in on the Vikings. I mean on the

668
00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:46,960
Speaker 1: Packers and the Vikings and the Vikings like they're coming

669
00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:50,080
Speaker 1: off a bye like that. That's you know, and I

670
00:35:50,120 --> 00:35:52,319
Speaker 1: do think that Mike Zimmer is good coach and and

671
00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:54,680
Speaker 1: my feeling on the Vikings is gonna has been that

672
00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:59,160
Speaker 1: they were going to need to get through some time

673
00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:01,759
Speaker 1: for their defense to figure it out because they lost

674
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:04,799
Speaker 1: so many players. And this is something that like on

675
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:07,839
Speaker 1: the Action Network podcast, Stucky has been saying all year,

676
00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:11,560
Speaker 1: like this defense, we'll need to figure out who they are.

677
00:36:12,440 --> 00:36:15,080
Speaker 1: And I'm gonna bank on the fact that they're coming

678
00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:19,000
Speaker 1: out of a bye and have had that opportunity. Yeah,

679
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:21,719
Speaker 1: they like the biggest thing here is this is the

680
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:25,480
Speaker 1: Vikings season pretty much, either you win this game, you

681
00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:29,399
Speaker 1: get back in your division or race well, you'll lose

682
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:31,400
Speaker 1: and the season is over. They're already trading out on

683
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:35,800
Speaker 1: their defense for draft picks and it is one of

684
00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:37,440
Speaker 1: those where it's just a back against the wall for

685
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:39,399
Speaker 1: the Vikings. I like them to keep it close. I'm

686
00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:42,799
Speaker 1: gonna take the Vikings here, but like I said it, like,

687
00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:44,520
Speaker 1: do we want to put this in? Because this this

688
00:36:44,560 --> 00:36:47,400
Speaker 1: would honestly be like I got your Balls pick of

689
00:36:47,440 --> 00:36:49,240
Speaker 1: the week if we really wanted to take the Vikings.

690
00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:51,200
Speaker 1: But I like a different game better for that one.

691
00:36:52,440 --> 00:36:55,120
Speaker 1: All right, well, i'll i'll, I'll put a question mark

692
00:36:55,160 --> 00:36:57,840
Speaker 1: here because I don't wanna, you know, steal your thunder.

693
00:36:59,560 --> 00:37:02,520
Speaker 1: I'm not to steal your thunder. A reminder to everybody,

694
00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:05,120
Speaker 1: go rate and review the podcast. Simon and I are

695
00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:08,040
Speaker 1: giving away a hundred dollars for every game we win

696
00:37:08,120 --> 00:37:09,880
Speaker 1: this week from the five that we choose for the

697
00:37:09,920 --> 00:37:12,680
Speaker 1: Draft Kings pick up contest, and um, all you have

698
00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:15,319
Speaker 1: to do is use the phrase to pace. Simon says,

699
00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:20,720
Speaker 1: we love winning. So, by the way, also another plug.

700
00:37:21,040 --> 00:37:24,200
Speaker 1: Everything we're talking about, every stat I'm talking about, every

701
00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:27,640
Speaker 1: ticket count, every betting percentage. Oh that's available for free

702
00:37:27,640 --> 00:37:31,280
Speaker 1: in the Action Network gap. Go check it out. Let's

703
00:37:31,280 --> 00:37:35,640
Speaker 1: head into the late games. First one up, Chargers visiting

704
00:37:35,680 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 1: the Broncos. Justin Herbert playing like the sixth overall pick

705
00:37:42,120 --> 00:37:46,080
Speaker 1: just really a laser Drew Lock looking really uncomfortable in

706
00:37:46,080 --> 00:37:50,120
Speaker 1: the snow against the Chiefs. The Broncos are three point dogs. This,

707
00:37:50,360 --> 00:38:00,239
Speaker 1: my friend, is my god. I know, I I was

708
00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 1: thinking Saints Bears. I was thinking nine or Seahawks. Yeah,

709
00:38:04,680 --> 00:38:07,279
Speaker 1: I know, I know. This is this, This is so

710
00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:09,480
Speaker 1: I love this game. I love that like I had

711
00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:12,400
Speaker 1: this had to pick the fact that the public is

712
00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:14,960
Speaker 1: coming down and bet this Chargers team up that I

713
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:18,320
Speaker 1: get it plus three with the Broncos. I just everything

714
00:38:18,320 --> 00:38:20,439
Speaker 1: you said so true. Lock has not been good, even

715
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:23,960
Speaker 1: that Patriots game, he was not good. And I might

716
00:38:23,960 --> 00:38:27,680
Speaker 1: be really misreading this one with the Broncos team, but

717
00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:31,520
Speaker 1: I love that It's the Chargers coming off Herbert's first

718
00:38:31,560 --> 00:38:35,080
Speaker 1: win at home, now traveling for a divisional game against

719
00:38:35,120 --> 00:38:37,560
Speaker 1: the team that just got blown out in the divisional game.

720
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:40,719
Speaker 1: It just feels like this is a smart number and

721
00:38:40,760 --> 00:38:42,920
Speaker 1: a smart play and the right the right side is

722
00:38:42,920 --> 00:38:47,239
Speaker 1: gonna be the Broncos. I'm on the Broncos here, okay,

723
00:38:49,040 --> 00:38:51,600
Speaker 1: you know, I like I didn't have to read on it,

724
00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:57,320
Speaker 1: and if you do, you're the professional. Here's my only ask.

725
00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:02,839
Speaker 1: We're not fucking walking it back Sunday morning. Like even

726
00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:08,359
Speaker 1: this game right now, this is what we're doing. I'm

727
00:39:08,360 --> 00:39:11,560
Speaker 1: with you, man, I'm with you. Ad where you go,

728
00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:20,160
Speaker 1: I go together forever. Schlamizel schlamazel. Okay, that's it. Okay,

729
00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:23,440
Speaker 1: here we go, Broncos plus three. That, my friends, is

730
00:39:23,480 --> 00:39:29,640
Speaker 1: your bet, your balls of the week, bets, big ball

731
00:39:30,040 --> 00:39:33,480
Speaker 1: the week. That's what I'm talking about, the big balls,

732
00:39:33,520 --> 00:39:38,799
Speaker 1: better the week. All right, this one is a hornets nest.

733
00:39:39,200 --> 00:39:41,480
Speaker 1: I'm walking to a fucking hornets nest. All right, I'll

734
00:39:41,520 --> 00:39:46,520
Speaker 1: be my companion. Saints minus four on the road against Chicago,

735
00:39:47,360 --> 00:39:51,479
Speaker 1: Like game opened at plus three by the Bears plus three.

736
00:39:52,960 --> 00:39:57,080
Speaker 1: It's an interesting one like this is where like you

737
00:39:57,160 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 1: kind of have to bet on the Bears because it

738
00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:02,319
Speaker 1: you love the Bears. Here, come on, I kind of

739
00:40:02,360 --> 00:40:05,400
Speaker 1: do love the Bears here, like losing by fourteen, like

740
00:40:05,520 --> 00:40:09,000
Speaker 1: last night, by by way, losing by four, team they

741
00:40:09,080 --> 00:40:11,440
Speaker 1: might as well have lost by forty because they were

742
00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 1: never in that game and that was garbage at the end,

743
00:40:15,080 --> 00:40:19,560
Speaker 1: and like this is the this is a spot for

744
00:40:19,600 --> 00:40:23,200
Speaker 1: the Bears like that, you know, bad bad performance on

745
00:40:23,239 --> 00:40:27,480
Speaker 1: Monday night. What what scares me is, I know there

746
00:40:27,560 --> 00:40:30,800
Speaker 1: is going to be a stat that stuck your raybon

747
00:40:30,880 --> 00:40:34,120
Speaker 1: are going to bring out on their podcast about you know,

748
00:40:34,600 --> 00:40:39,719
Speaker 1: teams being favorites on the road on Monday Night against

749
00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:43,520
Speaker 1: bad teams, which is what the Bears are. So it's

750
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:45,279
Speaker 1: gonna scare me, but I think we go with the

751
00:40:45,320 --> 00:40:48,799
Speaker 1: Bears here. Yeah, this is an auto play even if

752
00:40:48,840 --> 00:40:50,880
Speaker 1: you lose this bet. This is when you always have

753
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:54,520
Speaker 1: to play a team losing in prime time that they're good,

754
00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:56,920
Speaker 1: they're coming back home and they're dog at home. You

755
00:40:57,040 --> 00:41:02,000
Speaker 1: just we're been on the defense here. Now the Saints

756
00:41:02,080 --> 00:41:04,799
Speaker 1: the way they play, If Michael Thomas is in this game, yeah,

757
00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:06,879
Speaker 1: that makes you a little little word. Maybe we'll get

758
00:41:06,880 --> 00:41:09,560
Speaker 1: more value on the Bears number. So you could wait

759
00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:11,880
Speaker 1: to make that play. But if he's out again, I

760
00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:13,640
Speaker 1: can see this number coming back down to three and

761
00:41:13,640 --> 00:41:16,560
Speaker 1: a half three. So I'm gonna play the Bears number

762
00:41:16,600 --> 00:41:18,120
Speaker 1: here today at four, but I'm gonna wait to bet

763
00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:21,759
Speaker 1: more this weekend. All right, me too, That's exactly what

764
00:41:21,840 --> 00:41:24,520
Speaker 1: I'm gonna do. And then we're gonna put it in

765
00:41:24,560 --> 00:41:26,800
Speaker 1: the contest and then I'm gonna text you one Sunday

766
00:41:26,800 --> 00:41:29,040
Speaker 1: morning and I'm gonna be like Oh my god, I'm

767
00:41:29,120 --> 00:41:34,879
Speaker 1: leveraged to the hilt on the Bears. I'm just saying

768
00:41:34,920 --> 00:41:39,279
Speaker 1: that's what's gonna happen. But I'm glad that, like, I

769
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:41,080
Speaker 1: don't have to worry about it. With the Seahawks and

770
00:41:41,120 --> 00:41:44,240
Speaker 1: the Niners, which is the next game up. The Seahawks

771
00:41:44,280 --> 00:41:46,200
Speaker 1: are three and a half point favorites in this game.

772
00:41:46,840 --> 00:41:49,879
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm also glad. Look, the Seahawks for us

773
00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:52,279
Speaker 1: were the last game out on Sunday. We put the

774
00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:56,200
Speaker 1: Patriots in instead, like, and I went to bed at like,

775
00:41:56,480 --> 00:41:59,239
Speaker 1: I was like, I'm done my I was like, I

776
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:01,640
Speaker 1: had a headache. The Browns thing was lingering. I just

777
00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:05,440
Speaker 1: wanted to be done with the day. And so um,

778
00:42:05,480 --> 00:42:07,080
Speaker 1: I was glad to not watch the end of the

779
00:42:07,080 --> 00:42:09,319
Speaker 1: Seahawks game. I was also glad to not have this

780
00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:14,480
Speaker 1: Seahawks game. Yeah, and we talked like anytime. As soon

781
00:42:14,520 --> 00:42:16,399
Speaker 1: as that game got moved to prime time, That's when

782
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:18,239
Speaker 1: I was like, all right, I'm off the Seahawks. Because

783
00:42:18,320 --> 00:42:20,839
Speaker 1: Russ just keeps these games close in prime time. It's

784
00:42:20,880 --> 00:42:23,759
Speaker 1: really weird. Where when he's a dog, I love having

785
00:42:23,840 --> 00:42:26,920
Speaker 1: Rust in prime time. Whenever he's a favorite, there's always

786
00:42:26,960 --> 00:42:28,600
Speaker 1: something weird. Going on the end of games where they

787
00:42:28,600 --> 00:42:31,840
Speaker 1: almost lose. I mean, we look back now, the fact

788
00:42:31,840 --> 00:42:35,040
Speaker 1: of the Patriots put over thirty points up on them

789
00:42:35,080 --> 00:42:37,320
Speaker 1: is insane. I mean, that's like terrifying to think that

790
00:42:37,360 --> 00:42:39,520
Speaker 1: the Patriots scored thirty points on the road against the

791
00:42:39,560 --> 00:42:42,640
Speaker 1: Seahawks team. So I'm with you. I've been wrong in

792
00:42:42,680 --> 00:42:44,200
Speaker 1: the forty nine is a couple of times this year,

793
00:42:44,200 --> 00:42:47,600
Speaker 1: but I'm still up just because the games they've lost

794
00:42:47,640 --> 00:42:50,959
Speaker 1: they were huge favorites. But this is one of those

795
00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:54,120
Speaker 1: where Sea just lost on the road. I'm gonna happily

796
00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:56,600
Speaker 1: take them at home here, especially if the line gets

797
00:42:56,600 --> 00:42:58,880
Speaker 1: down to minus three, like I'm gonna take the Seahawks.

798
00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:02,120
Speaker 1: So this will be a close one, but I'm happy

799
00:43:02,160 --> 00:43:05,480
Speaker 1: to take the Seahawks. Well, look, right now, the money

800
00:43:06,480 --> 00:43:09,640
Speaker 1: is the bets are coming in on Seattle and the

801
00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:14,759
Speaker 1: money is coming in on San Francisco. It's very good

802
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:18,560
Speaker 1: possibility that we will get the Seahawks and minus three

803
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:23,000
Speaker 1: because all that sharp money is coming in on San Francisco.

804
00:43:23,360 --> 00:43:26,200
Speaker 1: And by the way, like look, San Francisco has been

805
00:43:26,200 --> 00:43:29,080
Speaker 1: pulling miracles out right, and no matter how many players

806
00:43:29,080 --> 00:43:31,200
Speaker 1: are getting injured now, Deebo Samuel is going to be

807
00:43:31,239 --> 00:43:33,600
Speaker 1: out for a couple of weeks, Kyle Shanahan proving what

808
00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:36,879
Speaker 1: a good coach he really is. Um, but I don't mind.

809
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:38,719
Speaker 1: I don't mind being on the Seahawks and minus three

810
00:43:38,760 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 1: here we need I see why they're playing it too.

811
00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:44,880
Speaker 1: If you look at the numbers, like the the Seahawks

812
00:43:44,920 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 1: front line is just bad, like they can get moved around.

813
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:49,920
Speaker 1: They don't really have anyone that d line that scares you.

814
00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:52,400
Speaker 1: So I think these guys who are just thinking in

815
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:55,000
Speaker 1: a close game like this, like Russels keep it close

816
00:43:55,080 --> 00:43:57,759
Speaker 1: at San Francis, the forty nine will mainly just be

817
00:43:57,920 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 1: running the ball against this kind of front of the

818
00:44:00,640 --> 00:44:04,000
Speaker 1: Seahawks have set up. But I just feel way more

819
00:44:04,080 --> 00:44:07,719
Speaker 1: carmful taken u Seattle after their first loss at home here,

820
00:44:07,760 --> 00:44:09,480
Speaker 1: and I would take in the forty nine ers after

821
00:44:09,560 --> 00:44:12,479
Speaker 1: a big win coming across country again to play another

822
00:44:12,560 --> 00:44:15,920
Speaker 1: road game. So I'm with you on the Seahawks, all right.

823
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:19,960
Speaker 1: Uh Cowboys Eagles, Cowboys seven and a half point dogs

824
00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:28,839
Speaker 1: at Philly. Oh God, be back again. You can't. I mean,

825
00:44:30,320 --> 00:44:33,720
Speaker 1: you're supposed to take the Cowboys here, but I cannot

826
00:44:33,840 --> 00:44:38,319
Speaker 1: do it. Like it's the same thing as last week

827
00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:41,920
Speaker 1: where it's just the Cowboys offensive line is and it

828
00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:44,239
Speaker 1: is just bad. I know they're getting their center back

829
00:44:44,320 --> 00:44:47,640
Speaker 1: this week and Martin is a great player, but I

830
00:44:47,840 --> 00:44:50,400
Speaker 1: just I cannot do it. I mean, the kid is

831
00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:52,879
Speaker 1: a is a seventh round pick or sixth round pick

832
00:44:53,040 --> 00:44:57,120
Speaker 1: at a gam use their quarterback now playing against the Eagles,

833
00:44:57,200 --> 00:44:59,239
Speaker 1: team that's coming off long rest, has a really good

834
00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:03,320
Speaker 1: d line. It's just there's too many, too many variables

835
00:45:03,400 --> 00:45:06,520
Speaker 1: for me to take um Dallas here, Like I'll take

836
00:45:06,640 --> 00:45:08,520
Speaker 1: the seven and a half or seven with the Eagles

837
00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:13,239
Speaker 1: and it's just one of those I wouldn't put in though,

838
00:45:13,239 --> 00:45:15,359
Speaker 1: because it scares me off for it's a divisional game.

839
00:45:15,440 --> 00:45:19,319
Speaker 1: But I cannot bet the Cowboys, Like I know they

840
00:45:19,400 --> 00:45:22,480
Speaker 1: have not covered yet this season, but I feel like

841
00:45:22,560 --> 00:45:25,240
Speaker 1: the books haven't adjusted to not be in deck anymore.

842
00:45:25,680 --> 00:45:27,800
Speaker 1: And I still think you're getting a good number. He

843
00:45:27,880 --> 00:45:32,200
Speaker 1: arrived this at ten, So I'm happy to take the Eagles. Wow,

844
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:35,000
Speaker 1: do you want to take the Eagles in the contest?

845
00:45:36,160 --> 00:45:37,919
Speaker 1: I don't because I know it's gonna blow up my face.

846
00:45:38,000 --> 00:45:40,719
Speaker 1: I just had like this feeling in like gut right now,

847
00:45:40,840 --> 00:45:42,680
Speaker 1: like I want to do it so bad because it's

848
00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:46,440
Speaker 1: just it's just such a bad number. But I can't.

849
00:45:46,600 --> 00:45:52,239
Speaker 1: I can't pull the trigger. Listen, we got let's let's

850
00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:55,960
Speaker 1: put it on there right now there, because we got

851
00:45:56,000 --> 00:45:58,080
Speaker 1: a lot of maybes, so this can be in the

852
00:45:58,120 --> 00:46:01,440
Speaker 1: maybe list. Bucketeer is on Monday Night football tendant half

853
00:46:01,440 --> 00:46:05,640
Speaker 1: point favorites over the Giants on the road. This is like, look,

854
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:10,040
Speaker 1: this is gonna fall into every bet the dog category

855
00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:14,000
Speaker 1: that there is. You're gonna have a double digit road

856
00:46:14,120 --> 00:46:19,719
Speaker 1: favorite on Monday Night with that favorite getting of the money, Like,

857
00:46:20,239 --> 00:46:23,680
Speaker 1: there's gonna be no reason to take the Buccaneers. So

858
00:46:23,960 --> 00:46:27,120
Speaker 1: it's either Giants or skip. Yeah, I ought to play

859
00:46:27,160 --> 00:46:29,000
Speaker 1: on the Giants even if you don't cover this. Like

860
00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:31,399
Speaker 1: everything you just said it so true. A prime time game.

861
00:46:33,239 --> 00:46:34,680
Speaker 1: All the money in the world has been coming on

862
00:46:34,719 --> 00:46:39,200
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers, um, all the teasers, everything's gonna be tied

863
00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:44,360
Speaker 1: into this. But I cannot put the Giants in our pickpool. Okay,

864
00:46:44,560 --> 00:46:46,080
Speaker 1: I've been taking them off the list because I had

865
00:46:46,080 --> 00:46:47,880
Speaker 1: just written them down. I'll take them off. Yeah, we

866
00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:52,080
Speaker 1: can't do it. It's it's too much the risk with

867
00:46:52,160 --> 00:46:54,400
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones, like last week, I felt comfortable with it

868
00:46:54,440 --> 00:46:56,440
Speaker 1: against the Eagles because I was a divisional game. That

869
00:46:56,600 --> 00:47:00,280
Speaker 1: number kind of inflated. Were this week this number? Fields

870
00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:02,520
Speaker 1: are right, I had it at ten. That's the public

871
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:04,560
Speaker 1: has comed in. I got some sharps and some time

872
00:47:04,560 --> 00:47:09,239
Speaker 1: and a half now, um, but yeah, you have like

873
00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:11,160
Speaker 1: I will play. I'm gonna end up playing the Giants

874
00:47:11,160 --> 00:47:13,160
Speaker 1: plus two and a half just because of the primetime game.

875
00:47:13,239 --> 00:47:16,439
Speaker 1: But yeah, I can't put it in. All right, We'll listen.

876
00:47:16,800 --> 00:47:19,360
Speaker 1: We're we're down to it now. We're down to this

877
00:47:19,640 --> 00:47:23,400
Speaker 1: these this is what we are choosing from over the

878
00:47:23,440 --> 00:47:25,800
Speaker 1: weekend when we text each other on Saturday and Sunday,

879
00:47:26,200 --> 00:47:29,040
Speaker 1: We're gonna choose like the Ravens if we can get

880
00:47:29,120 --> 00:47:33,239
Speaker 1: them at minus three. We are definitely not walking it back,

881
00:47:33,640 --> 00:47:37,920
Speaker 1: definitely taking the Colts. I would say, let's take the

882
00:47:38,000 --> 00:47:43,840
Speaker 1: Vikings of plus seven. I don't hate it, okay, Colts

883
00:47:44,120 --> 00:47:48,280
Speaker 1: minus three at the Lions, Vikes plus seven at Green

884
00:47:48,320 --> 00:47:52,400
Speaker 1: Bay Broncos. The what was it? The big bet ball?

885
00:47:52,640 --> 00:47:57,279
Speaker 1: The bet bet your balls that your big balls. It's

886
00:47:57,320 --> 00:47:59,799
Speaker 1: the big bet the big bet balls of the week,

887
00:48:01,000 --> 00:48:03,399
Speaker 1: The big balls, the big balls better the week. That's

888
00:48:03,400 --> 00:48:05,840
Speaker 1: what big ball is better than we on the Broncos

889
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:11,560
Speaker 1: plus three, that's definitely in. Colts minus three, Broncos plus three,

890
00:48:11,800 --> 00:48:18,600
Speaker 1: Bears plus four is definitely in. So now, then the

891
00:48:18,680 --> 00:48:20,719
Speaker 1: Seahawks were at minus If we can get them at

892
00:48:20,719 --> 00:48:22,840
Speaker 1: minus three against the Niners at home, we like that.

893
00:48:23,080 --> 00:48:24,680
Speaker 1: Would you like the Seahawks at minus three and a

894
00:48:24,719 --> 00:48:29,680
Speaker 1: half too? I don't love it because even though I

895
00:48:29,719 --> 00:48:32,160
Speaker 1: startling here, I hate pushing, Like I just feel more

896
00:48:32,200 --> 00:48:34,720
Speaker 1: comfortable with three because it's just the way the Seahawks

897
00:48:34,760 --> 00:48:38,759
Speaker 1: defense is. It's just scary with their their defense that

898
00:48:38,840 --> 00:48:41,560
Speaker 1: feel like the back door is always open. But yeah,

899
00:48:42,080 --> 00:48:44,839
Speaker 1: you're right, you want to put them on the side. Still, Yeah,

900
00:48:44,920 --> 00:48:47,200
Speaker 1: let's let's leave them out. And like, if if it

901
00:48:47,280 --> 00:48:48,920
Speaker 1: comes down to it, I'm probably gonna end up on

902
00:48:49,080 --> 00:48:50,960
Speaker 1: the Bills, I'll be honest. So like we can put

903
00:48:51,040 --> 00:48:52,800
Speaker 1: that in as a holding right now. But the Bills

904
00:48:52,840 --> 00:48:57,480
Speaker 1: minus four. There was minus four against the Pats. And

905
00:48:57,560 --> 00:48:59,439
Speaker 1: I also have the Eagles on the list, Eagles minus

906
00:48:59,480 --> 00:49:02,319
Speaker 1: seven and a half, right, And that's that's what we're

907
00:49:02,320 --> 00:49:04,360
Speaker 1: gonna text about, because like I want to see first

908
00:49:04,440 --> 00:49:06,399
Speaker 1: what the deals with the Eagles injuries, because we still

909
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:09,560
Speaker 1: have a couple of guys coming back so I want

910
00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:10,800
Speaker 1: to wait and see what the deal is with a

911
00:49:10,800 --> 00:49:12,600
Speaker 1: couple of guys on the Egos defense before I locked

912
00:49:12,640 --> 00:49:16,799
Speaker 1: that one in. Alright, So for sure we are doing

913
00:49:17,239 --> 00:49:21,160
Speaker 1: Colts minus three in Detroit Broncos, plus three at home

914
00:49:21,200 --> 00:49:25,480
Speaker 1: against the Chargers, Bears plus four at home against the Saints,

915
00:49:25,800 --> 00:49:30,400
Speaker 1: and then like, we gotta wait and see on the Ravens,

916
00:49:30,560 --> 00:49:34,120
Speaker 1: on the Seahawks, on the Eagles, and on the Bills. Yeah,

917
00:49:34,200 --> 00:49:35,680
Speaker 1: we have a couple of options here to switch in

918
00:49:35,719 --> 00:49:37,960
Speaker 1: and out. So we're gonna talk Friday and Saturday. We'll

919
00:49:38,160 --> 00:49:41,960
Speaker 1: we'll finish the last two, all right, And everybody should

920
00:49:41,960 --> 00:49:44,640
Speaker 1: follow Simon Hunter in the Action Network app to get

921
00:49:44,719 --> 00:49:48,120
Speaker 1: the most updated picks we are thinking about, and I

922
00:49:48,200 --> 00:49:51,680
Speaker 1: will put those into the app on Sunday morning once

923
00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:56,160
Speaker 1: Simon and I have locked it in. But now it

924
00:49:56,400 --> 00:50:02,160
Speaker 1: is time to review our winner. Last week, we asked

925
00:50:02,200 --> 00:50:04,480
Speaker 1: fans to rate and review the podcast. Those who did

926
00:50:04,560 --> 00:50:07,640
Speaker 1: and use the winning phrase of the phrase that pays

927
00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:10,160
Speaker 1: in the review were eligible to win up to five

928
00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:13,399
Speaker 1: dollars because we're giving away a hundred dollars for every

929
00:50:13,440 --> 00:50:17,680
Speaker 1: game Simon and I choose correctly. This week, we went

930
00:50:17,719 --> 00:50:19,960
Speaker 1: three and two this winner is winning three hundred dollars.

931
00:50:20,160 --> 00:50:23,080
Speaker 1: We did have a ridiculous amount of reviews, so thank

932
00:50:23,120 --> 00:50:25,320
Speaker 1: you for that. Keep them coming, keep them coming. We

933
00:50:25,440 --> 00:50:28,279
Speaker 1: got to move this podcast up in the rankings. I

934
00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:31,560
Speaker 1: know Matt Mitchell is spending nights thinking about that. So

935
00:50:32,719 --> 00:50:38,640
Speaker 1: here we go the winner. Oh wait, no, first, go

936
00:50:38,800 --> 00:50:41,720
Speaker 1: rate and review the podcast. This week's phrase that pays

937
00:50:42,560 --> 00:50:46,120
Speaker 1: Simon says, we love winning. That's what it is. We

938
00:50:46,280 --> 00:50:49,239
Speaker 1: love winning. Simon says, we love winning. Put it in there.

939
00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:52,400
Speaker 1: We will randomly choose the winner to get that cash.

940
00:50:52,960 --> 00:50:55,719
Speaker 1: As Chris Raybund says, let's get that money and the

941
00:50:55,800 --> 00:51:00,800
Speaker 1: winner of last week's contest winning before were a hundred dollars.

942
00:51:00,800 --> 00:51:03,759
Speaker 1: Because we're giving a good comma payout to anybody. Uh,

943
00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:10,040
Speaker 1: because we had the browns um is from sell a

944
00:51:10,239 --> 00:51:15,840
Speaker 1: dragna A d r A g n A. This podcast

945
00:51:15,880 --> 00:51:17,440
Speaker 1: has come a long way. I used to listen to

946
00:51:17,560 --> 00:51:19,640
Speaker 1: Chat and Bob Scucci on my commute to the office.

947
00:51:20,200 --> 00:51:22,440
Speaker 1: Now I listened to Chat and Simon Hunter on my

948
00:51:22,600 --> 00:51:25,919
Speaker 1: commute from my bed to the kitchen. Like Simon says,

949
00:51:26,160 --> 00:51:28,759
Speaker 1: we worked it out. Even though life is much different now,

950
00:51:28,800 --> 00:51:31,560
Speaker 1: football and sports gambling is still the same. Having these

951
00:51:31,600 --> 00:51:33,560
Speaker 1: two guys break down the games before I make my

952
00:51:33,680 --> 00:51:36,240
Speaker 1: picks for the week has made all the difference. Huge

953
00:51:36,280 --> 00:51:39,520
Speaker 1: fan of the show. Keep up the great work. Why

954
00:51:39,840 --> 00:51:43,120
Speaker 1: thank you, sal And I gotta say you gotta put

955
00:51:43,200 --> 00:51:45,200
Speaker 1: your real name in the reviews because there was another

956
00:51:45,239 --> 00:51:47,879
Speaker 1: review that Matt Mitchell and I loved and we can't

957
00:51:47,960 --> 00:51:50,480
Speaker 1: have the winner because like, we don't know how to

958
00:51:50,560 --> 00:51:54,320
Speaker 1: contact the guy. So sell you gotta contact Matt Mitchell

959
00:51:54,440 --> 00:51:58,080
Speaker 1: Matt dot Mitchell at Action network dot com to get

960
00:51:58,280 --> 00:52:02,279
Speaker 1: your cash four ours. How great is that? Simon Hunter?

961
00:52:02,920 --> 00:52:05,640
Speaker 1: Just a man of the people. You are, Chad, That's

962
00:52:05,680 --> 00:52:07,960
Speaker 1: what I do. That's why everybody likes me. I said

963
00:52:07,960 --> 00:52:11,120
Speaker 1: it last time in the podcast. Everybody likes me? All right.

964
00:52:11,360 --> 00:52:13,719
Speaker 1: This has been the favorites from the Action Network. I

965
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:17,800
Speaker 1: am Chad Mollman. He is Simon Hunter. Download from Apple,

966
00:52:18,040 --> 00:52:22,080
Speaker 1: from Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts. Until next time,

967
00:52:22,920 --> 00:52:23,480
Speaker 1: I Love me.