WEBVTT - Colin Cowherd Podcast - Russ Cringe + Week 8 ‘Sharp’ or ‘Square’ 0:00:01.240 --> 0:00:08.399 The volume. It's the Colin Coward Podcast presented by fan 0:00:08.520 --> 0:00:12.200 Duel Football Seasons. Here no better place to get in 0:00:12.280 --> 0:00:15.520 on the action. FanDuel app is safe. You get paid fast, 0:00:16.200 --> 0:00:18.760 lot of ways to play to spread the money line, 0:00:18.880 --> 0:00:22.959 team totals, players, props, a lot of stuff over unders, 0:00:23.360 --> 0:00:26.799 jump into the action. Same game. Parlays are my favorite. 0:00:26.880 --> 0:00:29.720 Just use the promo code Colin and download the fan 0:00:29.760 --> 0:00:33.840 Duel app today. Listen. These days, every new potential hire 0:00:34.479 --> 0:00:37.360 can feel like a high stakes wager for your small business. 0:00:37.479 --> 0:00:40.720 Right the margins have never been tighter. You want to 0:00:40.720 --> 0:00:43.080 be one hundred percent certain you have access to the 0:00:43.080 --> 0:00:47.000 best qualified candidates and fast. That's why you should check 0:00:47.000 --> 0:00:53.239 out LinkedIn Jobs number one in delivering quality hires in America. 0:00:53.440 --> 0:00:58.040 LinkedIn Jobs listen never been easier to create a free 0:00:58.160 --> 0:01:01.800 job post on LinkedIn and find a great employee. Add 0:01:01.960 --> 0:01:04.840 your job and the purple hashtag hiring frame to your 0:01:04.880 --> 0:01:09.800 LinkedIn profile. By the way, spread the word faster screening questions, 0:01:09.800 --> 0:01:12.240 simple tools make it easy to focus on candidates with 0:01:12.280 --> 0:01:16.320 the right skills. Every business owner knows how important it 0:01:16.400 --> 0:01:19.520 is to finish the year out strong. You need the 0:01:19.600 --> 0:01:23.720 right team members. LinkedIn Jobs go there right now, post 0:01:23.760 --> 0:01:27.560 your job for free LinkedIn dot com slash colin LinkedIn 0:01:28.760 --> 0:01:41.520 dot com slash colin. Terms and conditions apply. All right, 0:01:41.600 --> 0:01:49.000 Welcome in Friday Morning. Heard podcast Chad Milman Sharper Square 0:01:49.040 --> 0:01:51.760 in ten minutes. But first, I have things on my mind. 0:01:51.920 --> 0:01:56.880 So there's a trend in sports where instead of a 0:01:56.960 --> 0:02:00.160 great athlete talking to the owner man to man, or 0:02:00.200 --> 0:02:02.800 talking to the GM or talking to the coach, they 0:02:02.920 --> 0:02:07.200 rush to their social media. I'm not into this trend 0:02:07.320 --> 0:02:12.880 at all. Maybe it's generational, but that said, it is newsworthy. 0:02:12.960 --> 0:02:16.200 So Lebron James went to his Instagram after the Owen 0:02:16.320 --> 0:02:21.240 four start, showed a picture of him dunking and wrote 0:02:21.720 --> 0:02:25.880 how long are you going to take me for granted? 0:02:26.840 --> 0:02:31.160 And then he put a king crown. Not a lot 0:02:31.200 --> 0:02:35.920 of subtlety with that one, but Lebron is right. This 0:02:36.160 --> 0:02:41.040 is what the Tampa Bay Buccaneers did. They seized on 0:02:41.120 --> 0:02:44.000 an older Tom Brady. He wants Gronk, get him. Gronk 0:02:44.080 --> 0:02:46.480 wants Letty Furnett get him. Lenny Fernette wants a B, 0:02:46.680 --> 0:02:49.200 Get him a B. You knew you had about a 0:02:49.240 --> 0:02:52.200 two to three year window with Tom. Get him. Help 0:02:53.440 --> 0:02:56.800 what's Green Bay down with Aaron Rodgers in the last 0:02:56.880 --> 0:03:04.680 two years, saddle him with rookie receivers. Lebron is, of 0:03:04.720 --> 0:03:10.720 course right. The greatest thing about Lebron James has always been, 0:03:11.120 --> 0:03:14.600 and this goes for Phil Jackson, the best coach in 0:03:14.680 --> 0:03:20.560 league history, the ability to elevate others Phil Jackson, and 0:03:21.320 --> 0:03:25.799 it's arguable, but I think it's true. Never had at 0:03:25.880 --> 0:03:30.359 least a borderline All Star level player that didn't play 0:03:30.480 --> 0:03:36.720 his best basketball when coached under Phil Jackson. It's a psychology, 0:03:36.840 --> 0:03:43.480 it's a style. Phil Jackson got the best out of everybody. 0:03:43.520 --> 0:03:46.880 Now Lebron's not always that way. I mean, Chris Bosh 0:03:46.920 --> 0:03:51.640 and Kevin Love gave up statistics to play with Lebron. 0:03:51.760 --> 0:03:54.000 Bosh could have remained a twenty five point game guy 0:03:54.040 --> 0:03:56.280 for the Raptors. Kevin Love could have remained a twenty 0:03:56.360 --> 0:03:59.480 five point game guy for the t Wolves. But Lebron 0:03:59.680 --> 0:04:05.400 does elevate. If not your stats, your stature. His games 0:04:05.440 --> 0:04:12.040 are widely viewed, his teams usually win. They have not 0:04:12.240 --> 0:04:17.960 given Lebron James. The Lakers haven't winning players. I mean 0:04:18.000 --> 0:04:22.919 even Anthony Davis was talented, but he couldn't win. He 0:04:23.000 --> 0:04:25.680 wasn't a winning player in New Orleans. He has never 0:04:25.720 --> 0:04:29.480 seen as somebody totally passionately in love with the sport. 0:04:30.600 --> 0:04:39.159 Russell Westbrook talented, not a winning player. Patrick Beverly annoying, disruptive. 0:04:39.320 --> 0:04:41.839 You don't view him as a winning player. You think 0:04:41.839 --> 0:04:52.600 of disruptive Anthony Davis. Talented Westbrook athletic. Get Lebron winning players. 0:04:53.040 --> 0:04:56.960 Kendrick Nunn, he was in the G League system for 0:04:57.000 --> 0:05:00.320 the Warriors. They let him go. They're pretty good at 0:05:00.320 --> 0:05:03.600 spotting talent. He was with Eric Spoelstra in Miami. Pat 0:05:03.680 --> 0:05:08.479 Riley let him go because none is considered again, another 0:05:08.640 --> 0:05:12.360 talented player, but not a winning player. That's why the 0:05:12.400 --> 0:05:17.000 Warriors and the Heat let him go. They have winning players. 0:05:17.880 --> 0:05:20.480 So Lebron's right, How long are you going to take 0:05:20.560 --> 0:05:25.000 him for granted? As a front office and an ownership group, right, 0:05:25.080 --> 0:05:26.800 you have to This is what the Warriors have done 0:05:26.839 --> 0:05:30.320 so well. You have to identify your best player, Lebron 0:05:30.880 --> 0:05:37.479 Steph and then fill in assets to protect his weak spots. 0:05:37.520 --> 0:05:42.839 In Golden State, Draymond can defend, Clay defends, Andrew Wiggins defends. 0:05:44.360 --> 0:05:48.480 Curry's not a great defender with Lebron James Lebron James 0:05:48.680 --> 0:05:53.000 isn't a great three point shooter. So the teams he 0:05:53.080 --> 0:05:56.560 has been on that have been great. Miami they got 0:05:56.600 --> 0:06:00.320 him Ray Allen, they got him, Shane Battier, they got him, 0:06:00.360 --> 0:06:03.360 Mike Miller, they got him, Chris Bosh an excellent shooting 0:06:03.360 --> 0:06:08.320 big see pat Riley identified who's our best player? Lebron. 0:06:09.520 --> 0:06:13.080 Let's surround him with what he elevates and protect him 0:06:13.200 --> 0:06:18.120 from what he doesn't do. At his highest level, Lebron 0:06:18.760 --> 0:06:22.159 is a winner with a high IQE that gets the 0:06:22.160 --> 0:06:25.440 ball the shooters, and the Lakers have a chance to 0:06:25.480 --> 0:06:32.120 be now the worst shooting team in league history. This 0:06:32.240 --> 0:06:36.520 is a failure from Genie Buss. This is a failure 0:06:36.839 --> 0:06:41.360 from Rob Polenka. Lebron's right got a couple of years left. 0:06:41.839 --> 0:06:46.640 Stopped taking me for granted. You know, the Russell Wilson 0:06:46.760 --> 0:06:50.680 story is obviously interesting to me because I think he's 0:06:50.680 --> 0:06:53.760 a really, really talented guy. But a lot of the 0:06:53.839 --> 0:06:59.000 criticisms of Russell Wilson are he's inauthentic. Two other players 0:06:59.200 --> 0:07:04.280 come to mind for me, two utter quarterbacks. When I 0:07:04.320 --> 0:07:08.280 hear the word inauthentic, they're labeled is inauthentic do Gooders, 0:07:08.400 --> 0:07:13.760 Goody two shoes, Tim Tebow and Kirk Cousins. Russell Wilson 0:07:13.960 --> 0:07:20.280 Cousins Tebow are probably the three most religious quarterbacks in 0:07:20.320 --> 0:07:25.240 the last decade. They're labeled inauthentic, and my takeaway has been, 0:07:25.280 --> 0:07:28.440 I'm agnostic, but I have seen the power of religion 0:07:28.600 --> 0:07:31.040 and the power of faith in my life from others. 0:07:31.760 --> 0:07:37.000 I think religion at its best is optimistic, not pessimistic, 0:07:37.800 --> 0:07:42.520 is hopeful, is glass half full, not snarky. For the record, 0:07:42.560 --> 0:07:47.440 Aaron Rodgers leans toward the less religious side, has struggled 0:07:47.480 --> 0:07:52.720 with his family very religious, That's okay. I'm I'm agnostic. 0:07:52.760 --> 0:07:55.160 I tend to be a little cynical, a little skeptical 0:07:55.440 --> 0:08:00.240 of faith. Maybe I wouldn't be a good quarterback right 0:08:00.840 --> 0:08:04.040 But when I hear the inauthentic claims, I heard him 0:08:04.040 --> 0:08:07.000 for Tebow, I hear him for Russ and I've heard 0:08:07.080 --> 0:08:10.240 him for Kirk Cousins, and I think they're just very 0:08:10.320 --> 0:08:17.720 faith based, very hopeful, very optimistic, and that sure beats 0:08:18.600 --> 0:08:20.600 what I see with a lot of people out there. 0:08:20.640 --> 0:08:24.360 I don't think snarky is great for religion. I don't 0:08:24.360 --> 0:08:30.000 think pessimistic super cool. Russell Wilson isn't washed. You may 0:08:30.080 --> 0:08:33.559 think he is, but I think when I watch Russell Wilson, 0:08:34.920 --> 0:08:38.640 I think he really believes in what he's selling. Now, 0:08:39.240 --> 0:08:42.440 what he's selling can come off as a tad cringe ee. 0:08:43.520 --> 0:08:47.280 But you know, not everybody's cool, right, Like a lot 0:08:47.320 --> 0:08:50.360 of people think they're cool. A lot of people want 0:08:50.360 --> 0:08:53.480 to be cool. Not that many people are cool. I 0:08:53.480 --> 0:08:56.080 don't think Russell's cool. I mean, I'll be honest with you. 0:08:56.160 --> 0:08:59.720 I don't think Brady's cool. I never thought Peyton Manning 0:08:59.840 --> 0:09:03.560 was cool. Most of the great quarterbacks in my life. 0:09:03.559 --> 0:09:06.440 Troy Aikman was a little cool, a little bit cool, 0:09:06.600 --> 0:09:10.400 good looking guy, Dallas Cowboys. I don't think that's a 0:09:11.920 --> 0:09:17.400 beneficial asset. Because I said this years ago when I 0:09:17.440 --> 0:09:22.720 was talking to a college class, I said, I'm not 0:09:22.880 --> 0:09:27.599 cool either. Is my audience go to a mall or 0:09:27.640 --> 0:09:30.600 a bowling alley? That's who listens to sports talk radio. 0:09:31.200 --> 0:09:35.280 If I'm cool, I'm not of my audience, right, So 0:09:35.320 --> 0:09:38.200 I said, I wouldn't waste a lot of time trying 0:09:38.200 --> 0:09:41.439 to be the hippiest guy on social media because most 0:09:41.480 --> 0:09:46.960 people aren't hip. Think about this quarterback NFL Mahomes is cool. 0:09:47.640 --> 0:09:50.520 I think that's fair to say Troy Aikman was cool. 0:09:52.160 --> 0:09:57.400 The Mannings weren't. Brady isn't, Russell isn't, Andrew Luck wasn't. 0:09:58.640 --> 0:10:02.040 I never thought Big Ben was. I don't think Herbert 0:10:02.160 --> 0:10:07.120 is Joe Burrows got some cool and exclusively on the volume. 0:10:07.920 --> 0:10:13.880 But I don't think it's an asset necessarily in a 0:10:13.960 --> 0:10:18.040 group setting to be the coolest guy. So I'm okay 0:10:18.160 --> 0:10:21.480 with a little cringey because it's really relatable. And how 0:10:21.480 --> 0:10:26.240 do I know that because in a recent poll of 0:10:26.280 --> 0:10:31.320 American adults, Russell Wilson was voted tied for the most 0:10:31.760 --> 0:10:36.480 popular player in the NFL. Twitter and social media are 0:10:36.480 --> 0:10:41.440 not real life cringey, it's real life. Dad jokes are 0:10:41.520 --> 0:10:46.960 real life. Listen. These days, every new potential hire can 0:10:47.000 --> 0:10:49.959 feel like a high stakes wager for your small business. Right, 0:10:49.960 --> 0:10:53.120 the margins have never been tighter. You want to be 0:10:53.120 --> 0:10:55.640 one hundred percent certain you have access to the best 0:10:55.720 --> 0:10:59.480 qualified candidates and fast. That's why you should check out 0:10:59.480 --> 0:11:05.640 LinkedIn Jobs number one in delivering quality hires in America. 0:11:05.720 --> 0:11:10.360 LinkedIn Jobs Listen never been easier to create a free 0:11:10.440 --> 0:11:14.119 job post on LinkedIn and find a great employee. Add 0:11:14.240 --> 0:11:17.160 your job and the purple hashtag hiring frame to your 0:11:17.160 --> 0:11:21.520 LinkedIn profile. By the way, spread the word faster screening questions. 0:11:22.120 --> 0:11:24.559 Simple tools make it easy to focus on candidates with 0:11:24.600 --> 0:11:28.640 the right skills. Every business owner knows how important it 0:11:28.679 --> 0:11:31.800 is to finish the year out strong. You need the 0:11:31.880 --> 0:11:36.040 right team members. LinkedIn jobs go there right now. Post 0:11:36.080 --> 0:11:39.840 your job for free LinkedIn dot com slash colin LinkedIn 0:11:41.080 --> 0:11:49.920 dot com slash colin. Terms and conditions apply. College football 0:11:50.040 --> 0:11:52.280 is back, baby, and now is the perfect time to 0:11:52.360 --> 0:11:56.760 download fan Duel, America's number one sportsbook. Right now, new 0:11:56.880 --> 0:11:59.679 customers get a no sweat first bet up to a 0:11:59.760 --> 0:12:05.320 thousand dollars. That's free bets back if your first bet 0:12:05.320 --> 0:12:09.360 doesn't win. The promo code Zoa's colin. FanDuel has tons 0:12:09.360 --> 0:12:12.720 of betting options. I like the same game, parlay, bet, 0:12:12.720 --> 0:12:16.400 a little, win a lot. FanDuel's app is safe, secure, 0:12:16.640 --> 0:12:20.200 easy to use, and you get paid your winnings really fast. 0:12:20.800 --> 0:12:23.959 The nose sweat first bet up to a thousand bucks 0:12:24.840 --> 0:12:28.640 promo code Colin make every moment more this season with 0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:32.480 FanDuel twenty one plus in present in Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Indiana, 0:12:32.520 --> 0:12:36.000 and Louisiana. 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With Chad Millman's c CEO Action network, 0:13:31.840 --> 0:13:34.200 all of our odds provided by fan Duel. I had 0:13:34.200 --> 0:13:37.040 another winning week. You talked me into a couple of games, 0:13:37.080 --> 0:13:39.880 and I like that. So let's start with my favorite picks. 0:13:41.160 --> 0:13:44.560 I am a huge fan of Minnesota, but they don't 0:13:44.600 --> 0:13:49.319 blow anybody away. I've said before, Arizona is too talented 0:13:49.679 --> 0:13:52.520 not to be competitive. They get extra time to prep. 0:13:52.600 --> 0:13:56.560 They're getting now four. I'm going to take Arizona plus 0:13:56.640 --> 0:13:59.960 four against a team I like a lot. Minnesota's sharper square. 0:14:01.280 --> 0:14:05.560 So this is generally sharp. Let me give you some background. 0:14:06.080 --> 0:14:08.440 The Wise guys do like the Cardinals. The Blind actually 0:14:08.480 --> 0:14:11.440 moved from four to three and a half, and there 0:14:11.600 --> 0:14:16.960 are reasons related to the Vikings that they don't necessarily 0:14:17.080 --> 0:14:18.880 like Minnesota. But a lot of this is about the 0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:22.320 return of DeAndre Hopkins. We saw it last week. Kyler 0:14:22.400 --> 0:14:24.680 Murray and this offense, they are just a different team 0:14:25.160 --> 0:14:29.600 when DeAndre Hopkins plays. When he has When Kyler Murray 0:14:29.720 --> 0:14:32.800 has DeAndre Hopkins, he's seventeen and ten as a starter. 0:14:32.920 --> 0:14:36.400 Without him, he's six thirteen and one. Last week, Hopkins 0:14:36.480 --> 0:14:38.520 plays for the first time in the early year, ten 0:14:38.640 --> 0:14:41.240 catches for more than a hundred yards. But then there 0:14:41.360 --> 0:14:44.240 is the part that is about the Vikings. This defense 0:14:44.360 --> 0:14:48.560 is dreadful like they allow the NFL's highest percentage of 0:14:48.720 --> 0:14:52.720 explosive pass plays. They're thirty first in DVOA. They are 0:14:53.240 --> 0:14:57.080 against against wide receiver number one, which is what Hopkins is. 0:14:57.640 --> 0:15:00.600 He could have a massively huge day. And this is 0:15:00.640 --> 0:15:02.800 what's interesting about the Vikings. You know, they're on this 0:15:02.920 --> 0:15:04.960 hot streak right now and they're five and one. They're 0:15:05.000 --> 0:15:10.080 leading the division. They're consistently outgained on a yard per 0:15:10.200 --> 0:15:13.840 play basis, and that is a huge Wise guys stat 0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:17.480 That is a signal that they're not winning because they're better, 0:15:17.760 --> 0:15:20.760 but because they've been luckier. Wise guys are betting on regression. 0:15:21.800 --> 0:15:27.040 Detroit plus three and a half at home against Miami. Okay, interesting, 0:15:28.240 --> 0:15:32.120 Jared Goffin. Detroit are a different team at home. If 0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:35.520 you really watch the Cowboy game, that thing was like 0:15:35.680 --> 0:15:38.320 ten to six late and Detroit should have been leading. 0:15:39.800 --> 0:15:43.760 I like Miami, They're very good on script, often limited 0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:46.480 off it. I'm going to take the points. Detroit plus 0:15:46.560 --> 0:15:51.760 three and a half. Sharper square. I love this. It 0:15:52.000 --> 0:15:55.480 is my favorite pick of the week. It was the 0:15:55.600 --> 0:15:58.920 first bet I made. The Wise guys love this game. 0:15:59.040 --> 0:16:02.280 This is a bylo sell High. Everyone hates the Lions 0:16:02.320 --> 0:16:05.400 after two bad weeks. Everyone loves Miami with two of 0:16:05.520 --> 0:16:08.680 back they won in prime time. But like you said, 0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:13.320 Detroit is back at home. Detroit is in desperation mode. 0:16:13.960 --> 0:16:15.920 The world is a better place when we can root 0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:18.080 for Dan Campbell as an NFL head coach and they 0:16:18.240 --> 0:16:21.280 need this game to save their season and for him 0:16:21.320 --> 0:16:24.200 to save his job. The good news Amanra st Brown 0:16:24.600 --> 0:16:28.440 should be back. DeAndre Swift full practice this week, not 0:16:28.640 --> 0:16:32.600 on the injury list. Teams off of bad losses like 0:16:32.800 --> 0:16:35.760 the Lions, who the public is fading like? The Lions 0:16:36.440 --> 0:16:39.360 cover eighty sixty one percent clip since two thousand and five, 0:16:39.440 --> 0:16:41.840 so the Lions are in a favorable situation as far 0:16:41.880 --> 0:16:44.800 as precedent, and also the Dolphins just from an injury 0:16:44.840 --> 0:16:46.560 point of view and playing a lot of third four 0:16:46.600 --> 0:16:49.240 stringers on the defensive side of the ball. Love the 0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:54.680 Lions here, love love love them. Third favorite game is 0:16:54.800 --> 0:16:57.720 Cleveland Monday night plus three and a half. Here's why. 0:16:58.400 --> 0:17:01.360 Not only is Jamar Chase excellent, he may be as 0:17:01.560 --> 0:17:05.000 valuable as any singular a wide receiver to a team. 0:17:05.040 --> 0:17:08.120 He can play multiple wide receiver slots. He is now 0:17:08.200 --> 0:17:12.200 out it's a divisional game. Outside of last week, Cincinnati 0:17:12.320 --> 0:17:15.240 does get into a bad trend of falling behind. Also, 0:17:15.320 --> 0:17:17.600 a Monday night football game in a lot of cities 0:17:17.720 --> 0:17:21.120 is no big deal. In Cleveland, this is a big deal. 0:17:21.240 --> 0:17:23.720 The Browns don't get home Monday night football games much. 0:17:23.800 --> 0:17:27.840 It'll be a wild scene divisional game. Since he may win, 0:17:28.359 --> 0:17:32.120 I'll take the three and a half sharper square, Yeah, 0:17:32.280 --> 0:17:35.399 totally sharp. And this is by Monday night. You know 0:17:35.480 --> 0:17:37.879 this game's at three and a half by Monday night, 0:17:37.960 --> 0:17:39.480 or it'll be down to three. The wise guys are 0:17:39.560 --> 0:17:43.200 just going to hammer that hook. The Browns they don't 0:17:43.200 --> 0:17:45.400 look very good right now, but they have been losing 0:17:45.440 --> 0:17:48.920 a lot of close games, only one loss by more 0:17:49.000 --> 0:17:51.440 than a field goal this year. And that's what happens 0:17:51.480 --> 0:17:53.920 when you have the best running back in football and 0:17:54.000 --> 0:17:56.119 Nick Chubb, and you're going to play a conservative game 0:17:56.160 --> 0:17:59.320 plan because Jocoby Brissette is proving to be who Jacoby 0:17:59.400 --> 0:18:01.560 Brissette is and not the guy who started the year 0:18:02.000 --> 0:18:05.200 really really hot. The Bengals have looked like they were back. 0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:07.680 They beat up on the Falcons, but the Falcons in 0:18:07.760 --> 0:18:10.520 that game lost aj Terrell and they ended up not 0:18:10.640 --> 0:18:13.520 being able to cover anyone, so the Bengals got the 0:18:13.560 --> 0:18:15.720 benefit of the doubt to be more explosive. You mentioned 0:18:16.119 --> 0:18:19.600 Jamar Chase, but this is going to be a spot 0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:23.440 where the wise guys and you and me are on 0:18:23.480 --> 0:18:25.960 the Browns. All right, let's go to the favorites. I 0:18:26.040 --> 0:18:28.040 like the Jags minus two and a half in London 0:18:28.080 --> 0:18:30.760 against the Denver Broncos. They had the Colts beaten to 0:18:30.800 --> 0:18:36.800 the last play. They played straight up against the Giants. 0:18:38.080 --> 0:18:40.879 I do feel it's a young team. Young teams can 0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:45.399 ascend overcome injuries faster. I think Denver's a mess. I 0:18:45.600 --> 0:18:50.080 think when you're in crisis, traveling is not the greatest thing. 0:18:50.240 --> 0:18:52.320 We saw Green Bay a little bit in crisis. Go 0:18:52.400 --> 0:18:56.160 on the road and play worse. I'm going to take 0:18:56.160 --> 0:18:59.040 the Jags minus two and a half sharper square, So 0:18:59.200 --> 0:19:03.680 that's square. The line opened at three, it's moved down 0:19:03.720 --> 0:19:05.399 to two and a half. The money has come in 0:19:05.480 --> 0:19:08.440 on the Broncos. The tickets are on the Jaguars. That 0:19:08.680 --> 0:19:12.560 is always a signal that the professionals like the team 0:19:12.920 --> 0:19:14.920 where the money is moving in their direction, that is 0:19:14.960 --> 0:19:17.480 the Broncos. When the tickets are on one side that 0:19:17.680 --> 0:19:20.320 is the public side, that is the Jaguars. In this case, 0:19:22.240 --> 0:19:25.720 it's the Jaguars are a challenging team. They're one of 0:19:25.760 --> 0:19:28.840 those teams that the wise guys have loved the entire season. 0:19:29.480 --> 0:19:33.240 But Travis Lawrence is missing receivers consistently on the most 0:19:33.280 --> 0:19:38.800 important plays, red zone throws, deep throws. He's been incredibly 0:19:38.920 --> 0:19:41.920 inaccurate on the classes that he has to make. And 0:19:42.080 --> 0:19:43.840 then because they are a young team you mentioned it, 0:19:44.119 --> 0:19:47.000 they are just consistently making crucial mistakes in the most 0:19:47.080 --> 0:19:50.200 important moments. You can see it. There's there's a false start. 0:19:50.440 --> 0:19:53.080 They are not converting when it's fourth and short, third 0:19:53.119 --> 0:19:55.040 and short, you know when they're on the goal line. 0:19:55.760 --> 0:19:58.560 The Broncos are a train wreck on offense, but their 0:19:58.640 --> 0:20:00.960 defense is fierce and I think there's a lot of 0:20:01.000 --> 0:20:03.400 fear of what they can do to this very young 0:20:03.640 --> 0:20:07.040 offense led by Trevor Lawrence. So you're not on the 0:20:07.160 --> 0:20:11.440 right side here. I'm going to take another favorite, Bill Belichick. Humiliated. 0:20:11.680 --> 0:20:14.000 They'll come back cover the spread minus two and a 0:20:14.040 --> 0:20:16.440 half against the Jets. I do not trust the Jets 0:20:16.480 --> 0:20:18.720 in a big spot. The Jets lost their best and 0:20:18.880 --> 0:20:22.760 most versatile offensive Lineman. The Jets lost their best running back. 0:20:22.880 --> 0:20:25.960 They bring in Greg James Robinson, but it's late in 0:20:26.040 --> 0:20:28.600 a week. They're not going to use him much. This 0:20:28.800 --> 0:20:33.600 is a classic take the team that looked awful last 0:20:33.640 --> 0:20:38.480 week in a standalone game. The public is fleeing the Patriots. Therefore, 0:20:39.640 --> 0:20:43.160 I'm on the sharp side, am I not? You are 0:20:43.359 --> 0:20:46.320 on the sharp side, Colin. And it's rare for the 0:20:46.440 --> 0:20:51.240 sharp side to be a road favorite when the team 0:20:51.359 --> 0:20:54.480 is not very good. But for the things you just said, 0:20:54.680 --> 0:20:57.840 you are getting a Patriots team that, gosh shall act 0:20:58.040 --> 0:21:00.760 by a really bad team. So there's going to be 0:21:00.840 --> 0:21:03.800 a little bit of a discount. And what the line is? 0:21:04.160 --> 0:21:06.480 It opened it about one one and a half, It 0:21:06.600 --> 0:21:08.440 moved up to two. Now it's a two and a half. 0:21:08.760 --> 0:21:11.200 The money is coming in on the Patriots. The flip side, 0:21:11.240 --> 0:21:13.920 you are getting a Jets team that has been winning, 0:21:14.119 --> 0:21:15.359 is starting to get a little bit more of a 0:21:15.400 --> 0:21:18.000 public profile. But they didn't lose their best player in 0:21:18.080 --> 0:21:20.600 Breece Hall. And so how what kind of impact is 0:21:20.680 --> 0:21:22.680 going to have on Zach Wilson, who if you ask 0:21:22.720 --> 0:21:25.440 a lot of people how they are grading quarterbacks, he 0:21:25.720 --> 0:21:28.720 is below number thirty two like, there are quarterbacks who 0:21:28.720 --> 0:21:30.720 are not even playing at this point who are still 0:21:30.800 --> 0:21:34.000 great at higher than what Zach Wilson is doing. You 0:21:34.040 --> 0:21:36.520 would have talked about this. We've talked about this. Robert 0:21:36.560 --> 0:21:39.800 Solo basically said, I don't know what's going to happen 0:21:39.800 --> 0:21:42.000 to me in the future with this team. But about 0:21:42.040 --> 0:21:44.560 two weeks into this year, he just decided, we're going 0:21:44.640 --> 0:21:46.320 to be a running football team and we're going to 0:21:46.359 --> 0:21:48.200 be a defensive football team. I don't care who my 0:21:48.280 --> 0:21:51.679 quarterback is. That's how they've been winning. How did they 0:21:51.840 --> 0:21:54.119 overcome the loss of Bruce Hall, who probably would have 0:21:54.160 --> 0:21:55.800 been a Rookie of the Year. So that is a 0:21:55.920 --> 0:21:58.399 big factor for the wise guys. All right now a 0:21:58.480 --> 0:22:01.520 couple of games. You may be convince me you turn 0:22:01.640 --> 0:22:04.080 me last week on the Seahawks, and I do appreciate 0:22:04.160 --> 0:22:06.800 that I bought myself a brand new No, I didn't. 0:22:06.840 --> 0:22:09.680 I just won. Okay, I'm going to ask you one 0:22:09.840 --> 0:22:12.639 that's a popular bet. I think Buffalo is going to 0:22:12.960 --> 0:22:15.840 clawber Green Bay, but I think the first quarter to 0:22:15.960 --> 0:22:19.080 the first quarter and a half is going to be competitive. 0:22:19.200 --> 0:22:22.240 I think Matt Lafleur on script will come out with 0:22:22.320 --> 0:22:25.360 some tricks, be clever, and they'll hang around. I think 0:22:25.400 --> 0:22:29.120 the second half is all Buffalo. It's ten and a half, 0:22:29.240 --> 0:22:32.680 eleven and a half, all odds provided by FanDuel. I 0:22:32.840 --> 0:22:36.200 could never give Aaron Rodgers eleven and a half. But 0:22:36.320 --> 0:22:40.359 what do the sharps say, Well, look, this is a 0:22:40.440 --> 0:22:44.280 really tough one and there's sort of a cowardly move 0:22:44.480 --> 0:22:46.600 that a lot of wise guys will make when they 0:22:46.680 --> 0:22:50.800 can't really come to a consensus on a game. They'll 0:22:50.840 --> 0:22:54.200 bet a half, right, And so you see that with 0:22:54.440 --> 0:22:59.680 like on Thursday Night Football, oftentimes they are betting the 0:22:59.720 --> 0:23:01.600 first half on a game. You see it a lot 0:23:01.640 --> 0:23:03.520 with the Ravens because the Ravens have been one of 0:23:03.560 --> 0:23:06.359 those teams where they can't close people out, but they 0:23:06.400 --> 0:23:10.200 are amazing in the first half. Also betting against the Cardinals, 0:23:10.280 --> 0:23:13.240 betting on the Eagles first half, first half. This is 0:23:13.280 --> 0:23:14.560 a game where the wise guys are going to be 0:23:14.640 --> 0:23:17.200 looking at this and saying, Okay, what is the opening 0:23:17.240 --> 0:23:20.440 line for the second half, and probably going to play Buffalo. 0:23:20.760 --> 0:23:24.000 Because Josh Allen is a primetime player. He who loves 0:23:24.080 --> 0:23:27.560 to show up big in games that are against the 0:23:27.720 --> 0:23:31.440 other prime time quarterbacks. Aaron Rodgers obviously in this scenario. 0:23:32.119 --> 0:23:33.560 So I think what they're probably going to look for 0:23:33.720 --> 0:23:36.200 is to see how is this game shaping up? What 0:23:36.440 --> 0:23:37.879 is the line in the second half, and how can 0:23:37.920 --> 0:23:39.680 they hit the how can they hit Buffalo in the 0:23:39.720 --> 0:23:42.680 second half? All right, time for the game you like, 0:23:42.920 --> 0:23:46.680 I haven't brought up. Well, listen, you hit like dude. 0:23:47.520 --> 0:23:49.840 You were all over the lines, which I loved. You 0:23:49.920 --> 0:23:53.240 were all over the Cardinals, which I loved. I will 0:23:53.280 --> 0:23:55.280 tell you that this week. You know, in the podcast 0:23:55.840 --> 0:23:58.320 the favorites that me and my bff Simon Hunter do 0:23:59.280 --> 0:24:01.560 the most as we got. You know, we'll do the 0:24:01.720 --> 0:24:05.399 podcast on Tuesday. We'll talk about every game. Professional betters 0:24:05.400 --> 0:24:06.960 will hit us up and say these are the games 0:24:07.040 --> 0:24:08.800 that we sort of agreed with and didn't agree with, 0:24:08.880 --> 0:24:11.080 and they will critique our answers, and then we'll talk 0:24:11.080 --> 0:24:13.199 about it on Thursday when we do the second podcast 0:24:13.280 --> 0:24:17.159 of the week. Everyone was talking about the Saints. The 0:24:17.240 --> 0:24:19.320 Saints plus one and a half. Yeah, And I was 0:24:19.400 --> 0:24:23.040 surprised because I'll show the audience I put little boxes 0:24:23.080 --> 0:24:25.960 by games that I like, and that is the one 0:24:26.080 --> 0:24:32.119 game I went back and forth on. The Raiders have 0:24:32.280 --> 0:24:34.720 really kind of changed their offense in the last several weeks. 0:24:34.800 --> 0:24:37.840 They are now just a running team, so I don't 0:24:37.880 --> 0:24:39.600 want to bet against them. But it feels like the 0:24:39.720 --> 0:24:43.360 Saints is the right side, doesn't it. Yeah, And that's 0:24:43.400 --> 0:24:45.840 what the wise guys are saying right now. They're not 0:24:45.920 --> 0:24:48.200 too worried about who's going to be playing quarterback. A 0:24:48.280 --> 0:24:50.720 lot of this is about the Saints just got blown 0:24:50.760 --> 0:24:53.280 out by the Cardinals, so there's a little bit of 0:24:53.320 --> 0:24:56.000 a discount because that's what the public last saw. The 0:24:56.160 --> 0:24:59.720