1 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: Hey there, everybody. Welcome back to the Betting Pros NFL Podcast. 2 00:00:17,480 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 1: I'm your host, Dan Harris. You can find me on 3 00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:22,120 Speaker 1: Twitter at Dan Harris Ady. We are back and better 4 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 1: than ever for the twenty twenty NFL season. Today, we 5 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 1: are going to be talking about some AFC futures, next week, 6 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 1: some NFC futures, and then boom, we are into week 7 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:33,640 Speaker 1: one with me. To break it all down is Matt Parral, 8 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: host of the Betting Pros very own Daily Juice podcast 9 00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 1: and pushing the Odds over at sports Map Radio. You 10 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 1: can find them on Twitter at sports Talk Matt, Matt, 11 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:42,560 Speaker 1: What's up? 12 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:43,239 Speaker 2: What's up? 13 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 3: This is our what officially? This is our first time 14 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:48,120 Speaker 3: doing a pod together since I've joined Betting Pros. 15 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 1: Right, so this is Are you excited, m break? Are 16 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:51,000 Speaker 1: you excited? 17 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 2: Because I'm excited. I'm excited. It's great. It's so fun. 18 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 2: It's football, man, We're talking football. How about that? 19 00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 1: Thank goodness. I'm not kidding. I need some football and 20 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:01,960 Speaker 1: I need it right now. Before we get into it, 21 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:04,400 Speaker 1: can you talk a little bit about the Deli Juice podcast, 22 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 1: because I mean, I know that obviously, you know I 23 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 1: let's do it every day and it's done for betting pros, 24 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:13,520 Speaker 1: but it's awesome. Tell everybody a little bit about it. 25 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:15,520 Speaker 3: Sure, we do it every day. It's a fifteen minute 26 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 3: podcast that drops. I'm on the West Coast, so I 27 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:20,440 Speaker 3: drop it at about eleven eleven thirty every night, so 28 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:21,800 Speaker 3: if you're on the East coast when you get up 29 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 3: in the morning, it'll be there right there for you. 30 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 3: And it's essentially a breakdown of games that I like 31 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:30,040 Speaker 3: each and every day, and we're making plays. Normally there's 32 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 3: three to five plays in every podcast that we're making, 33 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 3: and we bounce around. It's not geared towards one sport, 34 00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:38,119 Speaker 3: it's not geared towards one type of betting. It's kind 35 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:40,160 Speaker 3: of all over the place, so we have kind of 36 00:01:40,160 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 3: the whole field to go run around in. We can 37 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:44,679 Speaker 3: do like first five unders in baseball, or we can 38 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 3: do you know, hockey overs, or we can play individual periods. 39 00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 3: And it's just been really fun because August has been 40 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 3: such an incredible run with so many sports to bet 41 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 3: on that it's been great. I mean when we started 42 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 3: in July, it was a little slim pickings with just 43 00:01:57,360 --> 00:02:00,120 Speaker 3: like UFC and NASCAR and golf and now We've got 44 00:02:00,240 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 3: just everything. So it's been really fun. The response has 45 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:05,800 Speaker 3: been incredible. I can't believe how many different people are 46 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:07,040 Speaker 3: listening and writing your. 47 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:08,880 Speaker 1: You're international man everything. 48 00:02:09,040 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 3: That's crazy, all right, so many international listeners and whatnot. 49 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 3: So it's been the most rewarding thing I've done in 50 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:18,239 Speaker 3: my now six year career in sports gambling and with 51 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:20,600 Speaker 3: content creation. It's been the most rewarding thing I've done 52 00:02:20,639 --> 00:02:22,520 Speaker 3: so far, getting it off the ground as quickly as 53 00:02:22,520 --> 00:02:25,040 Speaker 3: it's just exploded in eight weeks. We just did our 54 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 3: fiftieth episode and it's been it's been so fun. So 55 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 3: it's a huge compliment to you guys. You know, you've 56 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 3: done a great job of publicizing it and making it 57 00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 3: so accessible to people who go to betting pros dot com. 58 00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 2: So it's been super fun. 59 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: That's true. I do deserve all the credit. Yeah, you 60 00:02:38,480 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 1: appreciate I appreciate you. It was your idea, it was 61 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:43,360 Speaker 1: my idea, You're right, but I was smart enough to 62 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 1: have you hosted. And yeah, it is really great. And 63 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: again it touches on all sports UFC. You know, you've 64 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 1: been ingrained in the sports betting universe for forever, for 65 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 1: you know, most of your adult life, So you really, 66 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, I don't know anything about betting 67 00:02:57,600 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 1: on the UFC, but it's great to listen to and 68 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:01,440 Speaker 1: I feel like, just whatever it is, I'm so much 69 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,639 Speaker 1: more informed generally, like regardless binding. So it's great, And 70 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:07,000 Speaker 1: I'm sure you'll be talking about NFL during the year, 71 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 1: but we are going to be talking about the NFL 72 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:11,000 Speaker 1: on this podcast. We'll get into a little bit more 73 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:13,040 Speaker 1: about what we're going to be doing during the season 74 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:14,920 Speaker 1: next week when we break down the NFC, but for now, 75 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:17,359 Speaker 1: we're going to do the AFC preview. Now, we did 76 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:19,680 Speaker 1: do an AFC preview, not me and Matt, but I 77 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:23,079 Speaker 1: did an AFC preview several months ago, well before the draft. 78 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 1: Even so some things might have changed a little bit, 79 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:27,799 Speaker 1: including the actual numbers that we're going to be looking at. 80 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: So we'll go division by division here, we'll talk about 81 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 1: what we like, what we don't like with regard to 82 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:34,239 Speaker 1: the over unders. Now, we're going to be using the 83 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 1: consensus odds over at bettingpros dot com. That is the 84 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:40,240 Speaker 1: aggregate of the odds that are available in the market. 85 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 1: You can see the individual odds at the various sports 86 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 1: books that make up the consensus odds, so you can 87 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 1: shop around always, but those are the numbers that we're 88 00:03:46,960 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: going to be doing. Those are over at bettingpros dot 89 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 1: com slash NFL hyphen Wins. You can find everything on 90 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:53,840 Speaker 1: that page. If you look on the left, you can 91 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 1: find Team Futures, Player, props, et cetera. Now, like I said, 92 00:03:58,480 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 1: you're going to be able to see a bunch of 93 00:03:59,760 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 1: different books. For example, I'm in New Hampshire. The only 94 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 1: book I can actually bet on is DraftKings, which you 95 00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:06,920 Speaker 1: will see the odds there, but you're also going to 96 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 1: see bet mgm odds. Those are one of the odds 97 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 1: that make up the consensus odds. And what you really 98 00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:14,720 Speaker 1: should do is go to bettingpros dot com slash bet MGM. 99 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:16,600 Speaker 1: When you go there, you can sign up for a 100 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:19,720 Speaker 1: bet mgm account and they're have this great offer right 101 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 1: now where they're going to match your first deposit for 102 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 1: new sign ups up to five hundred dollars in free bets. 103 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 1: That's free money. That's not how gambling it's supposed to work, 104 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:31,159 Speaker 1: but that's exactly what it is with betmgm. Remember bettingpros 105 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 1: dot Com slash bet mgm sign up for an account, 106 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:37,920 Speaker 1: get a first deposit match up to five hundred dollars. 107 00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:40,840 Speaker 1: Visit betemgm dot com for the terms and conditions. Got 108 00:04:40,880 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 1: to be twenty one years or older and physically located 109 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:47,680 Speaker 1: in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, Nevada, or West Virginia. Please 110 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:50,279 Speaker 1: gamble responsibly if you've got a gambling problem called one 111 00:04:50,320 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 1: eight one hundred and five to two forty seven hundred 112 00:04:52,920 --> 00:04:55,360 Speaker 1: in Colorado and Nevada, one in one hundred gambler in 113 00:04:55,400 --> 00:04:57,720 Speaker 1: New Jersey and West Virginia, or one eight hundred and 114 00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:01,640 Speaker 1: nine with it. Okay, Hey, let's go here. Start with 115 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:05,160 Speaker 1: the AFC East. This is our division. Okay. Matt is 116 00:05:05,240 --> 00:05:09,400 Speaker 1: a Patriots fan. I am a Jets fan. Matt despises 117 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 1: the bills and thinks they are overrated completely if you 118 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:14,600 Speaker 1: have ever listened to him talk about anything, So Matt, 119 00:05:14,800 --> 00:05:16,719 Speaker 1: let's talk about it. Consent to so odds over here. 120 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:19,040 Speaker 1: I'll just go one by one. Then you're gonna tell 121 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 1: me which one of them, if any, the over under 122 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 1: you like, Patriots are over under nine and a half. Now, 123 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:25,839 Speaker 1: this is obviously moved up since when we first said 124 00:05:25,839 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 1: it because the signing of Cam Newton chamesinks even with 125 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:30,400 Speaker 1: all the losses on defense nine and a half, it 126 00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:32,479 Speaker 1: is juice to the over at minus one forty three 127 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 1: even on the under. Bills are over under nine juice 128 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 1: towards the over at minus one forty three plus one 129 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:40,159 Speaker 1: eighteen on the under. Jets are at over under six 130 00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:42,760 Speaker 1: and a half juice toward the under and minus one 131 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 1: twenty five over at plus one ten, and the Dolphins 132 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 1: are over under at six even for the under, plus 133 00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:49,560 Speaker 1: one ten for the over. So Matt other than you've 134 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:52,320 Speaker 1: gotta certainly hate the Bills, right because no matter what 135 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:54,120 Speaker 1: the over under would be on the Bills, you'd be 136 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:55,600 Speaker 1: like under under, it would be like four and a 137 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 1: half wins under. Don't like them, don't like them? What's 138 00:05:58,000 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 1: your play here? 139 00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:00,800 Speaker 2: Look for me the Jets. 140 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:05,040 Speaker 3: And I think the Jets that I know people might go, well, 141 00:06:05,080 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 3: it's a low number. I think the Jets are going 142 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 3: to be really bad, and I think they're okay with 143 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 3: being really bad. And I think when you look at 144 00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:15,280 Speaker 3: the defense and you look at the schedule, I see 145 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:17,520 Speaker 3: four wins on that schedule for the New York Jets, 146 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:19,720 Speaker 3: and so I'm not I mean, this is a big 147 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 3: year for Sam Donald. They got a bunch of first 148 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:23,280 Speaker 3: round picks coming up in the next couple of years 149 00:06:23,279 --> 00:06:25,320 Speaker 3: that they could use on a quarterback if they want to. 150 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:27,840 Speaker 3: Donald needs to stop throwing interceptions, and I look, I 151 00:06:27,839 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 3: think Adam Gase is a horrible coach. So I'm very 152 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:33,520 Speaker 3: much down on the New York Jets. I'm on the 153 00:06:33,640 --> 00:06:35,920 Speaker 3: under for the Jets. That was a pick on the 154 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 3: Daily Juice we gave out that. I think if you 155 00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:40,280 Speaker 3: can find six and a half, I go under on 156 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:41,360 Speaker 3: the on the Jets. 157 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:41,599 Speaker 2: Here. 158 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 3: I just think they're gonna be They'll be towards the bottom. 159 00:06:45,440 --> 00:06:47,279 Speaker 3: They'll probably be a little bit better than the Dolphins, 160 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:48,839 Speaker 3: but not a whole lot better than the Dolphins. 161 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:50,960 Speaker 1: Does it change your mind to the fact that they 162 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:52,480 Speaker 1: traded for Kaalin Blaje? 163 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:57,159 Speaker 2: Oh totally yes. I look out wins huge, So. 164 00:06:58,080 --> 00:07:00,600 Speaker 1: I'm actually surprised this doesn't move from It might have 165 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:02,159 Speaker 1: been seven, I guess at one point, but I've seen 166 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:04,400 Speaker 1: it six and a half pretty much rout. I kind 167 00:07:04,400 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 1: of liked them a little bit, but not anymore. But 168 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:11,360 Speaker 1: before sort of all everything that's happened lately, I kind 169 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:13,200 Speaker 1: of liked them. I mean, they were seven and nine 170 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:16,640 Speaker 1: last year and they were terrible. They weren't as good 171 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:19,120 Speaker 1: as a seven to nine team. They had no offensive 172 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:23,000 Speaker 1: line whatsoever. Last year they played three games without Darnold 173 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:25,840 Speaker 1: at all. And this year, you know, they obviously rebuilt 174 00:07:25,840 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 1: the offensive line, you know, when they drafted Beckton and 175 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:31,679 Speaker 1: Greg Van Rotten and McGovern and George Fant. Chris Herndon 176 00:07:31,880 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 1: is a player I really like at tight end. I 177 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:36,400 Speaker 1: like Jameson Crowder. They lost Robby Anderson, they replaced him 178 00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 1: with Brashad Perman. They drafted Denzel Mims, but again, Mims 179 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:42,000 Speaker 1: now is dealing with a hamstring. And that was all 180 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:45,040 Speaker 1: before they traded Jamal Adams, which, by the way, they 181 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 1: did get a pretty good haul concerning they you know, 182 00:07:47,520 --> 00:07:49,920 Speaker 1: they you know, he was in a point where they 183 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:51,679 Speaker 1: really could have held him and done whatever they wanted. 184 00:07:51,680 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 1: But they got a pretty good haul for him. But 185 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:57,160 Speaker 1: then you know CJ. Moseley opted out. It's it's just 186 00:07:57,240 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 1: no good. It's no good. And they have, you know, 187 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:02,200 Speaker 1: a side, but they're not going to be a good team. 188 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 1: They have a terrible schedule, as you mentioned. They're out 189 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:08,280 Speaker 1: West two straight weeks, by the way, in Seattle and 190 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:11,400 Speaker 1: Los Angeles, Like that's just like a I don't know, 191 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 1: it's a shot at them, it's I'm surprised that hasn't 192 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:16,120 Speaker 1: moved much. I get that it's juiced. You know that 193 00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:19,600 Speaker 1: they're trying to get you. Actually, yeah, they're trying to 194 00:08:19,600 --> 00:08:21,080 Speaker 1: get you. Take the over it's plus one ten ye, 195 00:08:21,480 --> 00:08:25,320 Speaker 1: you know, I get it. But yeah, that's my favorite 196 00:08:25,320 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 1: one too. And the guy, you know, my boss is 197 00:08:27,440 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 1: listening to this because he's like a closet Jets fan, 198 00:08:29,400 --> 00:08:32,320 Speaker 1: and he's definitely gonna be mad at me. But I agree. 199 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:34,120 Speaker 1: I liked him kind of At the over, I thought 200 00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:36,599 Speaker 1: they get seven eight wins, But now I'm firmly on 201 00:08:36,640 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 1: the underrege. 202 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:39,000 Speaker 3: Well, look, I mean I think that the popular play 203 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:40,559 Speaker 3: is the Patriots on the under right. I think a 204 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:42,439 Speaker 3: lot of people have faded the Patriots with nine and 205 00:08:42,480 --> 00:08:44,600 Speaker 3: a half wins, and I don't really hate that play. 206 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 3: If I was going to take a second play to 207 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:47,440 Speaker 3: bet on, I think it would be the Patriots at 208 00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:49,280 Speaker 3: nine wins nine and a half. 209 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 2: That hulk I think matters. 210 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:53,200 Speaker 3: I think nine and seven is legitimate record for the Patriots, 211 00:08:53,200 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 3: given the number of people who have opted out on 212 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:58,080 Speaker 3: that defense. Don't a high tower and whatnot. They've drafted well, 213 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:01,120 Speaker 3: but historically speaking, Patriot players don't step in right away 214 00:09:01,160 --> 00:09:03,760 Speaker 3: and contribute, in particular on the offense side of the football. 215 00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:05,320 Speaker 2: But you know, they've got Damien. 216 00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:07,080 Speaker 3: Harris who's been getting more and more reps, who seems 217 00:09:07,080 --> 00:09:09,000 Speaker 3: to be taking the place of Tony Michelle, who has 218 00:09:09,040 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 3: been sort of the bane of Patriot fans for a 219 00:09:11,160 --> 00:09:14,120 Speaker 3: long time about his inability to break tackles. And you 220 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 3: have a big home run hitter at the running back spot, 221 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:18,959 Speaker 3: so you know, maybe it's an Alabama back that will 222 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:20,960 Speaker 3: come in here and help that Patriot offense out. But 223 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:23,080 Speaker 3: I think the biggest X factor is just the play calling. 224 00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 3: With Cam Newton at the quarterback spot. Jared Stindham was 225 00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:27,000 Speaker 3: never going to start for the Patriots. It was always 226 00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:28,880 Speaker 3: going to be Cam Newton. So I think the play 227 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 3: calling is going to look a lot like when they 228 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:33,800 Speaker 3: had Jimmy Garoppolo back in the deflate eight years, when 229 00:09:33,840 --> 00:09:35,160 Speaker 3: you had a chance to roll them out to get 230 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:37,119 Speaker 3: him on the edge, get him up against a linebacker 231 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 3: or a cornerback and let him go make a play. 232 00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 3: So I do expect the offense to be a little 233 00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:44,720 Speaker 3: bit better than people think, But the defense. I'm worried 234 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:46,600 Speaker 3: about the defense with the Patriots because of the number 235 00:09:46,640 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 3: of players that they've lost due to COVID nineteen opt out. 236 00:09:49,040 --> 00:09:51,600 Speaker 3: So I think the Patriots going nine and seven and 237 00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 3: either tying for the division or winning the division is 238 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:57,400 Speaker 3: very likely. But that's why people liking Buffalo to win 239 00:09:57,440 --> 00:09:59,600 Speaker 3: ten games potentially and win the division at ten and 240 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,079 Speaker 3: six not a crazy statement. I just I don't like 241 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 3: Josh Allen at all. So I mean, to me, Patriots 242 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:07,320 Speaker 3: under nine and a half is not a horrible play either. 243 00:10:07,800 --> 00:10:10,079 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not going to touch the Patriots. I think 244 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:13,439 Speaker 1: if I look at the you know, all of their parts, 245 00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:15,720 Speaker 1: it's not a ten win team. So I would be 246 00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:18,199 Speaker 1: fine to go under. But I'm just I'm not gonna 247 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:20,679 Speaker 1: do it. Like I'm not I'm not going to bet 248 00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:24,360 Speaker 1: against Belichick or McDaniel's figuring out a way to max 249 00:10:24,480 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 1: and they have the maybe from top to bottom, the 250 00:10:27,600 --> 00:10:29,960 Speaker 1: worst group of pass catchers in the NFL when you 251 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:32,160 Speaker 1: really sort of look at it, you know, considering everything, 252 00:10:32,360 --> 00:10:34,400 Speaker 1: But I don't know how much any of that matters, 253 00:10:34,440 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 1: Like it really, you know, the hits that their defense 254 00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 1: took and everything like that, I don't know, I. 255 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:40,960 Speaker 3: Know they're going to run the ball. I mean, they're 256 00:10:40,960 --> 00:10:42,480 Speaker 3: not gonna throw the ball much with Cam. That's why 257 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:44,000 Speaker 3: they brought Cam in. I mean that they're gonna throw. 258 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:45,920 Speaker 3: I mean Edelman will get his catches, and they like 259 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:47,800 Speaker 3: the two tight ends they drafted, you know who are 260 00:10:47,800 --> 00:10:50,440 Speaker 3: coming in. But I mean, I think that Nikhil Harry 261 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:52,520 Speaker 3: might take a big step forward in year two. You hope, 262 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 3: he was the first round pick up wide receiver, so 263 00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 3: you hope with Cam Newton maybe you know, there's more 264 00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:58,760 Speaker 3: trust there. Bradie didn't trust him at all, so maybe 265 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 3: there's a step forward him in his career. But they're 266 00:11:02,120 --> 00:11:04,320 Speaker 3: going to try to beat people, you know, twenty three 267 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:06,599 Speaker 3: twenty they're just not going to be the Chiefs. You know, 268 00:11:06,640 --> 00:11:08,640 Speaker 3: they're not gonna try to run. I mean unders on 269 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 3: Patriot games probably are going to be pretty successful to 270 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 3: bet on, just because of the way they're gonna try 271 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 3: to play this year. 272 00:11:13,360 --> 00:11:15,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I like it. So I think the one 273 00:11:15,920 --> 00:11:17,599 Speaker 1: play that we both really like is under on the 274 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:20,960 Speaker 1: Jets sixty and a half wins. I'm surprised, like I'll 275 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 1: be on this, Matt, like, I you know, I you know, 276 00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:25,240 Speaker 1: not that I monitor sort of the market. But you know, 277 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:28,000 Speaker 1: I follow chart betters and you're pretty intune. Do you 278 00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:31,160 Speaker 1: know anybody, anybody who knows what they're doing, who's on 279 00:11:31,280 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 1: the over on the Jets, Because I just hear not 280 00:11:33,880 --> 00:11:35,120 Speaker 1: everybody is on the under. 281 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's either no play or an underplay. I don't 282 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:40,080 Speaker 3: think you can realistically bet the over on the Jets, 283 00:11:40,160 --> 00:11:42,760 Speaker 3: just given what we're talking about. And look, Adam Gase 284 00:11:42,880 --> 00:11:46,280 Speaker 3: Le'Veon bell on Twitter being angry about practices and I'm 285 00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:48,200 Speaker 3: used to go go go type stuff. I mean, it's 286 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:50,560 Speaker 3: just there's a whole lot of problems in red flags 287 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:51,760 Speaker 3: around for coach. 288 00:11:51,600 --> 00:11:54,560 Speaker 1: Matt he's a terrible, terrible coach. And I said this, 289 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 1: and I joke not to get an intangent. We'll move 290 00:11:56,400 --> 00:11:59,439 Speaker 1: on now. But I said this when they were considering 291 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:02,120 Speaker 1: who to hire, and it was between him and Mike McCarthy. Now, 292 00:12:02,160 --> 00:12:05,559 Speaker 1: to Mike McCarthy's absolute credit, he has gone into Dallas 293 00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 1: and he has said I'm not implementing my own system. 294 00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:10,080 Speaker 1: I'm gonna trust what Kellen Moore is doing and I'm 295 00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:13,320 Speaker 1: leaving that there. That's to his credit, But I knew 296 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:17,199 Speaker 1: if they signed McCarthy, that's like a four year higher minimum. Right, 297 00:12:17,280 --> 00:12:18,839 Speaker 1: he can't tank for a year or two and you 298 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:21,600 Speaker 1: can be like on with Gas. I was like, okay, fine, 299 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:24,240 Speaker 1: try it with Gaye. See what happens. He brought the 300 00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:26,720 Speaker 1: Dolphins to the playoffs that one time. If he's terrible, 301 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:28,920 Speaker 1: you can ditch him after a year and a half, 302 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:30,719 Speaker 1: which is exactly what they're gonna do, right, I mean 303 00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:33,080 Speaker 1: if he maybe he survives this season, but he's not 304 00:12:33,080 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 1: gonna be the coach of the Jets next season. 305 00:12:34,480 --> 00:12:35,800 Speaker 2: Yeah. No, I agree, he's fine. 306 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:38,320 Speaker 1: Letting him burn this whole thing to the ground. I 307 00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:40,319 Speaker 1: do like Darnold. I'm a low bullshanam. I think he's 308 00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:42,320 Speaker 1: been put in a tough situation for a long time, 309 00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:44,760 Speaker 1: but hopefully he can at least show some promise with 310 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:46,960 Speaker 1: the ofvinsive line. All right, let's move to the north here. 311 00:12:47,320 --> 00:12:50,240 Speaker 1: Raven's over under eleven and a half even on the 312 00:12:50,280 --> 00:12:52,480 Speaker 1: over minus one of six on the ender Steelers over 313 00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 1: under nine. Both sides are even. Brown's over under eight 314 00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:56,640 Speaker 1: and a half juice to over a bit mice one 315 00:12:56,640 --> 00:12:58,719 Speaker 1: twenty five even on the under, and the Bengals over 316 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:01,800 Speaker 1: under five and a half over is minus one thirty 317 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:03,960 Speaker 1: four under at plus one ten. So who do you 318 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:04,839 Speaker 1: like in the North? 319 00:13:05,320 --> 00:13:09,599 Speaker 3: Look, I understand that people think that Zach Taylor is 320 00:13:09,600 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 3: going to be a good coach, But I covered Zach 321 00:13:12,679 --> 00:13:15,360 Speaker 3: Taylor at Nebraska. He's a very smart dude. Dad's a 322 00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:18,480 Speaker 3: coach football mind, not a head coach. Not right now, 323 00:13:18,600 --> 00:13:21,360 Speaker 3: too young, too much, too early, and now you're giving 324 00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:22,520 Speaker 3: him a quarterback he has. 325 00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:24,200 Speaker 2: To play in Joe Burrow? Who I like? 326 00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:26,840 Speaker 3: Who will be a good quarterback down the road? I'm 327 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:28,600 Speaker 3: on the under five and a half wins with the Bengals. 328 00:13:28,600 --> 00:13:30,319 Speaker 3: I think they're going to be terrible. I mean, you 329 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:33,760 Speaker 3: can't work the way you normally would work with a rookie, 330 00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:36,320 Speaker 3: and you still have the number one pick, so you 331 00:13:36,360 --> 00:13:38,439 Speaker 3: have to play the number one pick, and you must 332 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:40,520 Speaker 3: put him in a position against NFL defenses where he 333 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:41,559 Speaker 3: must read defenses. 334 00:13:42,040 --> 00:13:43,559 Speaker 2: I think this is going to be a bad year 335 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:44,760 Speaker 2: for the Bengals. I don't know. 336 00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:48,600 Speaker 3: In that division, playing the Steelers and the Ravens, I mean, 337 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:51,679 Speaker 3: where are the wins coming for that team? I just 338 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,840 Speaker 3: I don't think. I think everyone's expecting Joe Burrow to 339 00:13:54,880 --> 00:13:57,079 Speaker 3: be lsu Joe Burrow, and I don't see it. I 340 00:13:57,120 --> 00:13:59,480 Speaker 3: don't think it's going to happen. I'm on the under 341 00:13:59,520 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 3: for the Bengals. 342 00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:02,760 Speaker 1: I can see four games, right, four games kind of 343 00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:05,560 Speaker 1: hit me. The Redskins, the Jaguars, Oh not the Redskins, sorry, 344 00:14:05,520 --> 00:14:09,960 Speaker 1: the Washington football Sorry, my mistake. The Washington football team, 345 00:14:10,080 --> 00:14:12,600 Speaker 1: the Jaguars, the Dolphins, and the Giants. I don't really 346 00:14:12,640 --> 00:14:15,160 Speaker 1: know what else they do to get some wins there. 347 00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 1: It's not a good team now, you know, especially this year. 348 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:20,760 Speaker 1: This is a year where when you don't have the 349 00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:23,760 Speaker 1: preseason games, right, you got a rookie quarterback coming in 350 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:26,880 Speaker 1: learning it. It's really tough. It is really really tough. 351 00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:29,320 Speaker 1: They have, you know, getting Jonah Williams back is going 352 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:32,120 Speaker 1: to help the offensive line. They spend a lot of 353 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:34,640 Speaker 1: money on their defense coming in. But again, this is 354 00:14:34,680 --> 00:14:37,560 Speaker 1: a this is a just a terrible division for them 355 00:14:37,600 --> 00:14:39,840 Speaker 1: to be playing in because you have at least two 356 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:44,200 Speaker 1: really strong teams, maybe a third with the Browns. So yeah, 357 00:14:44,400 --> 00:14:46,880 Speaker 1: I like it out of curiosity because I do have 358 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:49,200 Speaker 1: leans on each of the other one. The Bengals, I 359 00:14:49,320 --> 00:14:51,720 Speaker 1: lean under, but it's not one all right, let's go 360 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:53,760 Speaker 1: one by one. Ravens over under eleven and a half. 361 00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:54,600 Speaker 1: How do you feel about it. 362 00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:57,800 Speaker 3: Look, I think because of the continuity that the Ravens have, 363 00:14:57,880 --> 00:15:00,400 Speaker 3: you play the over there. But it's so steep. I mean, 364 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:02,400 Speaker 3: it's just so tough. I mean twelve games, I mean, 365 00:15:02,440 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 3: could I see them go eleven and five? Absolutely? I 366 00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:07,400 Speaker 3: just think when you have you know, hardball, and you 367 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:09,920 Speaker 3: have the reigning MVP, and you've got that running game 368 00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 3: and they got deeper at running back in the draft, 369 00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:15,280 Speaker 3: that's a really scary team to go up against. I mean, 370 00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:19,640 Speaker 3: they're gonna in particular in this given pandemic year, the 371 00:15:19,720 --> 00:15:21,840 Speaker 3: Ravens are really scary to bet the under there, So 372 00:15:22,120 --> 00:15:24,040 Speaker 3: it's a no play, but I would go over if 373 00:15:24,080 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 3: I had to. 374 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:26,680 Speaker 1: I'm okay to go over on This was just crazy 375 00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:29,240 Speaker 1: because you're like, great, I'm betting on this team to 376 00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:32,320 Speaker 1: win twelve ons. They obviously had four team last year. 377 00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:35,920 Speaker 1: But yeah, like you said, they got better everywhere pretty much. 378 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:38,480 Speaker 1: They addressed their deficiencies even that they had their devents. 379 00:15:38,520 --> 00:15:40,040 Speaker 1: I think their defense is going to be even better. 380 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:42,280 Speaker 1: And you mentioned it as the continuity. There are four 381 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:46,760 Speaker 1: teams in the AFC who have the same head coach, 382 00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:50,040 Speaker 1: the same offensive coordinator, the same quarterback, the same top 383 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:52,760 Speaker 1: two wide receivers, the Ravens are one of them. It's 384 00:15:52,800 --> 00:15:55,920 Speaker 1: a team. Look, even if you know Jackson got injured, 385 00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:58,120 Speaker 1: like you know obviously you know you don't you're not 386 00:15:58,160 --> 00:16:01,320 Speaker 1: excited about Robert Griffin the third, but he could run 387 00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 1: that offense pretty well in terms of knowing exactly how 388 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:06,160 Speaker 1: to do these the same style of quarterbacks. So I 389 00:16:06,240 --> 00:16:08,280 Speaker 1: just think in the end there would be something where 390 00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:09,720 Speaker 1: I'd be willing to go. How do you feel about 391 00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:11,600 Speaker 1: the Steelers at over under nine? 392 00:16:11,680 --> 00:16:13,800 Speaker 3: You know, it's interesting because the receiving corps, you know, 393 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 3: they had a couple of guys last year didn't perform 394 00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:17,600 Speaker 3: because of the injury with Ben Roethlisberger that they thought 395 00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:20,120 Speaker 3: would step up and be bigger weapons inside that offense. 396 00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 2: And you look at the running game and you know 397 00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:23,040 Speaker 2: the defense. 398 00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 3: I really have a tough time with this team because 399 00:16:25,400 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 3: if Roethlisberger comes back in plays at you know, vintage Ben. 400 00:16:28,560 --> 00:16:31,800 Speaker 2: Roethlisberger, they could be really difficult to go up against. 401 00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:35,080 Speaker 3: It's just I don't know what Ben's got left in 402 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:37,360 Speaker 3: the tank, and I don't know about the arm. I mean, 403 00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 3: the arm was pretty serious. That injury was pretty serious 404 00:16:40,240 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 3: to him. So I'm staying away until I see what 405 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 3: Ben Roethlisberger looks like. I guess if I had to 406 00:16:45,560 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 3: bet it, i'd bet the under to have them go 407 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:47,840 Speaker 3: eight to eight. 408 00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:48,960 Speaker 2: But I don't. 409 00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:51,800 Speaker 3: I really that's a until we see Roethlisberger, I've got 410 00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:53,360 Speaker 3: no clue what that team's gonna look like. 411 00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:56,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean they went eight and eight last year. Man, 412 00:16:56,440 --> 00:16:58,000 Speaker 1: I mean, and you and I could have been playing 413 00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 1: quarterback and probably would have been just fine. So I 414 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:02,600 Speaker 1: agree this is one where I would love to be 415 00:17:02,680 --> 00:17:05,240 Speaker 1: able to see a preseason game, right. I would love 416 00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 1: to be able to see what it looks like when 417 00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:10,800 Speaker 1: Roethlisberger throws the football. But I don't know, man. I'm 418 00:17:10,840 --> 00:17:14,400 Speaker 1: with that defense, strong offensive line again, continuity, right. Other 419 00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:16,920 Speaker 1: than the fact that Roethlisberger only started the one game 420 00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:19,720 Speaker 1: last year, it really is something where this is a 421 00:17:19,720 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 1: team where I think they could really make some noise 422 00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:23,879 Speaker 1: if Roethlisberger he doesn't have to be what he was, 423 00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:25,439 Speaker 1: And my guess is they are not going to be 424 00:17:25,520 --> 00:17:27,879 Speaker 1: this team that throws it a million times and airs 425 00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:30,119 Speaker 1: it out like crazy quite as much because, yeah, that 426 00:17:30,200 --> 00:17:32,840 Speaker 1: elbow injury, that's a serious injury. But you know, Connor 427 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:35,480 Speaker 1: is great in the passing game too. You can see dumpoffs. 428 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:37,520 Speaker 1: I think, you know, Juju Smith Schuster. People are kind 429 00:17:37,560 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 1: of like, oh, I don't know, last year, throwout last year. 430 00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:42,760 Speaker 1: You know, I really like Deanta Johnson. He's a great 431 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:45,639 Speaker 1: route runner, and James Washington there. I kind of like 432 00:17:45,680 --> 00:17:47,760 Speaker 1: the addition of Eric Ebron. He's not my favorite tight end, 433 00:17:47,800 --> 00:17:49,359 Speaker 1: but I do think that adds a little dimension. And 434 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:52,080 Speaker 1: they still events McDonald so again, strong defense. That's a 435 00:17:52,080 --> 00:17:54,399 Speaker 1: team that I kind of like to go over the 436 00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:56,560 Speaker 1: nine wins. I don't love it, but I lean that way. 437 00:17:56,560 --> 00:17:58,199 Speaker 1: And I do want to touch on the Browns eight 438 00:17:58,240 --> 00:18:00,840 Speaker 1: and a half because people are excited about the Browns 439 00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:03,680 Speaker 1: right now and not as excited as they were last year. 440 00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:06,080 Speaker 1: But you know, obviously Kevin Stefanski coming in, he's a 441 00:18:06,080 --> 00:18:08,560 Speaker 1: first year head coach, but he ran the offense in 442 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:11,720 Speaker 1: Minnesota last year, and you know it works the type 443 00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:13,919 Speaker 1: of things he's going to do for Mayfield. They've rebuilt 444 00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:15,399 Speaker 1: the offensive line a bit, They're going to be a 445 00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:17,520 Speaker 1: lot of play action passes. They've got a lot of 446 00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:20,159 Speaker 1: good things going on. Are you in on over on 447 00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:21,640 Speaker 1: the eight and a half of the Browns? 448 00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:23,960 Speaker 3: I would bet the over if I had to, it's 449 00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:25,760 Speaker 3: a no play because of the fact that there's a 450 00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:28,919 Speaker 3: brand new coaching staff and it's Mayfield's third new offense 451 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:31,480 Speaker 3: right already. Yeah, him coming in third new head coach. 452 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:33,960 Speaker 3: So I mean this is really a lot of turnover. 453 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:37,000 Speaker 3: It's a lot of changes for a young quarterback who 454 00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:39,280 Speaker 3: has to prove it this year. I mean, he's got 455 00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:41,520 Speaker 3: a lot of attention on him because well, he likes 456 00:18:41,560 --> 00:18:43,639 Speaker 3: the attention, but also because of how badly things went 457 00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 3: last year for them. So I mean Obj is going 458 00:18:45,840 --> 00:18:47,400 Speaker 3: to have a big year. I really do think he's 459 00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:49,679 Speaker 3: going to step out and really show out and play well. 460 00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:52,000 Speaker 3: I think the addition of an offensive minded coach to 461 00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:54,399 Speaker 3: be the head coach is really going to work better. 462 00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:56,439 Speaker 3: I think a guy who's got more respect in the 463 00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:58,719 Speaker 3: locker room also, I think will work out better. The 464 00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:01,760 Speaker 3: defensive line for the brown They've invested so much draft 465 00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:04,560 Speaker 3: capital on that defensive line. Those guys have got to 466 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:06,320 Speaker 3: play better. They've got to be the leader of that 467 00:19:06,359 --> 00:19:08,880 Speaker 3: defense and really reek havoc this year. And they might 468 00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:10,600 Speaker 3: be able to do that given the fact that teams 469 00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:13,439 Speaker 3: aren't able to practice. So I'm expecting the Browns to 470 00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:17,400 Speaker 3: be better. But it's mayfield and injuries and the division, right, 471 00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:19,960 Speaker 3: I mean, you're playing the Browns, You're playing the Steelers twice, 472 00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:22,960 Speaker 3: in the Ravens twice, so that's that's difficult, and you 473 00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:24,840 Speaker 3: could go technically zero to four in those games and 474 00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:27,399 Speaker 3: really put your bet in jeopardy with the road games 475 00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:29,960 Speaker 3: and the other non division games that they've got. So 476 00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:32,440 Speaker 3: I would bet the over, but I'm not. I wouldn't 477 00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:34,080 Speaker 3: do it just because I'm I'm concerned about a new 478 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:36,160 Speaker 3: head coach coming in and not having his system in place. 479 00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:38,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, again, it's a lean over for me. I'm not 480 00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:40,919 Speaker 1: super excited about it. And obviously they're already dealing with 481 00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:43,280 Speaker 1: a pretty big injury in their secondary with Greedy Williams. 482 00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:46,679 Speaker 1: So it is something though, where you know, I'm I'm 483 00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:49,400 Speaker 1: I was optimistic lass Yard. I was kind of buying 484 00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:53,480 Speaker 1: into it, and obviously it was a complete disaster. I 485 00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:55,680 Speaker 1: like the addition of Austin Hooper too. I don't think 486 00:19:55,760 --> 00:19:58,879 Speaker 1: Hooper is really an elite tight end athletically at the 487 00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:01,280 Speaker 1: very least, but I think adding him within Joker, you 488 00:20:01,280 --> 00:20:03,200 Speaker 1: know they're gonna run a lot of two tight end sets, 489 00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:04,480 Speaker 1: So I do think that the offense is going to 490 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,480 Speaker 1: be pretty efficient and it's gonna suit Baker well. If 491 00:20:07,520 --> 00:20:10,120 Speaker 1: again he can everybody can focus, and they can get 492 00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:11,720 Speaker 1: off to a good start again. It's one of these 493 00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:13,720 Speaker 1: teams where if you get off to a bad start 494 00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:16,320 Speaker 1: like last year, things could just go south really quickly. 495 00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:18,520 Speaker 1: So I think getting off to a fast start is 496 00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:21,119 Speaker 1: important for them. Let's go into the south here. This 497 00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:25,080 Speaker 1: is an interesting division. Colts over under nine just toward 498 00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:27,679 Speaker 1: the over minus one seventeen even on the under, Titans 499 00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:30,680 Speaker 1: over under eight and a half over is minus one 500 00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:34,080 Speaker 1: thirty plus one oh seven on the under, Texans over 501 00:20:34,160 --> 00:20:35,840 Speaker 1: under seven and a half, minus one oh six on 502 00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:38,080 Speaker 1: the over, minus one fifteen on the under, and the 503 00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:41,359 Speaker 1: Jaguars over under four and a half, minus one thirty 504 00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:43,080 Speaker 1: on the over even on the ender. What do you 505 00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:43,480 Speaker 1: think here? 506 00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:43,840 Speaker 2: All right? 507 00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:44,960 Speaker 3: I think you and I might be on the same 508 00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,399 Speaker 3: page here because this was another Daily Juice gave a 509 00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:50,040 Speaker 3: couple of weeks ago. I love the Titans here and 510 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,320 Speaker 3: the Titans over eight and a half wins. I just 511 00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:54,560 Speaker 3: think this is a team that, after they got the 512 00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:57,200 Speaker 3: taste of it last year, going on a deep playoff run. 513 00:20:57,480 --> 00:20:59,679 Speaker 3: I think Henry getting his new contract is big. He 514 00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:01,679 Speaker 3: wants to out there and prove it. I like the 515 00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:04,120 Speaker 3: receiving corps a lot. The defense is Stiller and Mike 516 00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:05,960 Speaker 3: Vrabel I think is coming into his own. 517 00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:07,000 Speaker 2: He might be the. 518 00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:11,160 Speaker 3: Best Patriot Tree Belichick Tree disciple. And he didn't coach 519 00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:13,000 Speaker 3: at a Belichick he played under him, which is the 520 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,479 Speaker 3: big difference between him and everybody else that's come through 521 00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:18,439 Speaker 3: the Belichick tree in the Belichick regime. 522 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,959 Speaker 2: If you will. In New England, I am bullish on 523 00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:21,920 Speaker 2: the Titans this year. 524 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:23,520 Speaker 1: Yeah. I like him too. 525 00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:24,480 Speaker 2: I do. 526 00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:26,640 Speaker 1: And again, this is one of these teams where you've 527 00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:29,440 Speaker 1: got continuity, and that is a huge thing coming in. 528 00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:33,160 Speaker 1: Same head coach, offensive coordinator, quarterback, wide receiver one, wide 529 00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:36,119 Speaker 1: receiver two. I love AJ Brown. I really let you know. 530 00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:38,800 Speaker 1: We do fantasy obviously, so AJ Brown is one of 531 00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:41,960 Speaker 1: my guys. Another guy that we work with loves John 532 00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:44,800 Speaker 1: new Smith, who I agree. He's very athletic, talented. They 533 00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:47,000 Speaker 1: made Henry happy. He's going to be able, you know 534 00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:48,840 Speaker 1: with the deal, they're going to run it. I like 535 00:21:48,920 --> 00:21:51,640 Speaker 1: Ryan Tannell, you know, is he going to be as 536 00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:54,720 Speaker 1: efficient as he was last year? No, because you can't 537 00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:57,480 Speaker 1: possibly be that efficient as he was last year. But 538 00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:00,840 Speaker 1: he's a very solid NFL quarterback, can do what they 539 00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:03,160 Speaker 1: want to do. So I do like them a lot, 540 00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:05,000 Speaker 1: especially at eight and a half now. The Colts were 541 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,639 Speaker 1: at eight and a half earlier in the offseason. I 542 00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:10,080 Speaker 1: like that. What do you think about the Colts because 543 00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:12,520 Speaker 1: I'm I'm pretty bullish on the Colts prospects this here 544 00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:12,800 Speaker 1: as well. 545 00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:13,840 Speaker 2: So yeah, all right, so look at you. 546 00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,080 Speaker 3: You're bringing in Philip Rivers to come in to replace 547 00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:18,679 Speaker 3: a quarterback that Jacoby Brissett was they thought was going 548 00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:19,879 Speaker 3: to be the answer, and he turned out to be 549 00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:21,600 Speaker 3: not the answer. He was good in the beginning and 550 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:22,960 Speaker 3: then not very good at the end. So they bring 551 00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:24,639 Speaker 3: in a guy who has one or two years left. 552 00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:27,879 Speaker 3: But Rivers is going to play because he wants to 553 00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:29,720 Speaker 3: keep going and he wants to prove he's got a 554 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:31,639 Speaker 3: lot left in the tank. It's much similar to Brady 555 00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:33,840 Speaker 3: and where Brady is in terms of okay, it's a 556 00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:36,280 Speaker 3: proven year, right, Okay, how good were you? He? I mean, 557 00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:38,080 Speaker 3: Rivers has a Hall of Fame career, He's got a 558 00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:40,399 Speaker 3: Hall of Fame resume, but he doesn't have that championship 559 00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:43,199 Speaker 3: on his finger and he wants it desperately. This is 560 00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:45,680 Speaker 3: a team with an insane offensive line, a very good 561 00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:48,920 Speaker 3: running game, a good receiving corps, and I mean, you 562 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:51,399 Speaker 3: look at some of the games. The Colts are very 563 00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:53,199 Speaker 3: fun team to bet on every week because they do 564 00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:55,479 Speaker 3: a great job of covering the spread. They're very good 565 00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:57,040 Speaker 3: against the spread. And this is supposed to be Andrew 566 00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,520 Speaker 3: Luck's team, so it was built for a passing quarterback 567 00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:02,159 Speaker 3: like Philip Rivers, and the defense took a couple of 568 00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:05,280 Speaker 3: nine steps forward last year. I love the coaching staff. 569 00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:07,760 Speaker 3: The continuity is there from the coaching staff perspective, even 570 00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:10,040 Speaker 3: though it's a new team, a new quarterback for this team. 571 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:11,639 Speaker 3: But I mean, if I had to bet it, I 572 00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:13,880 Speaker 3: would bet the over. And I can't wait to watch 573 00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:16,440 Speaker 3: these Titans and Colts games because I think the Texans 574 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:18,159 Speaker 3: are in trouble and I think these two teams are 575 00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:19,920 Speaker 3: going to do war this year for this division. 576 00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:22,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, I love the Colts. I really did I have 577 00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:25,720 Speaker 1: all off season. I very much. You know, we joked 578 00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:27,680 Speaker 1: about it a lot over on the fantasy prost side 579 00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:31,320 Speaker 1: about what does Rivers have left? I'm firmly I don't 580 00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:34,359 Speaker 1: think that mid year came last year and he just 581 00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:37,480 Speaker 1: suddenly fell apart. It does happen. You saw Peyton Manning 582 00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:39,760 Speaker 1: obviously fall apart towards the end of his second to 583 00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:41,440 Speaker 1: last year, and then he just rolled right in and 584 00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:43,920 Speaker 1: was terrible for his final year. I don't think that's Rivers. 585 00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:45,920 Speaker 1: I think it was the offensive line. I've mentioned it before. 586 00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,720 Speaker 1: He was just getting bruised and battered. He can't escape 587 00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:51,360 Speaker 1: from anybody because the guy can barely move. The offensive 588 00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:55,080 Speaker 1: line is just it's built for him. What they are, 589 00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:58,159 Speaker 1: the offensive line they have. You know, I love Jonathan 590 00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:01,280 Speaker 1: Taylor and again Marlon Mack. He's a quality back. They 591 00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:03,320 Speaker 1: still have Naim Hines. You know how Rivers likes to 592 00:24:03,359 --> 00:24:06,400 Speaker 1: pass to the running backs. I like their receiving core. 593 00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:09,439 Speaker 1: I like adding Michael Pittman Junr a lot. You know, 594 00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:11,639 Speaker 1: you've got that Mike Williams big receiver that you can 595 00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:12,200 Speaker 1: sort of use. 596 00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:12,960 Speaker 2: I'm real. 597 00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:15,240 Speaker 1: I'm a fan of Paris Campbell as well. Like I realized, 598 00:24:15,240 --> 00:24:16,879 Speaker 1: he's already kind of dealing with injury, but I think 599 00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:18,720 Speaker 1: this could be a big year for him. I like 600 00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:21,840 Speaker 1: Uy Hilton everything about them. They traded for the Forest 601 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:25,840 Speaker 1: Buckner Rivers. There's no preseason games. Rivers is familiar with 602 00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 1: the system right because Nick Sirianni and Frank Reich, He's 603 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:31,600 Speaker 1: played under them. He knows that this is a team 604 00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:33,640 Speaker 1: that I really really like. So I think I leaned. 605 00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:36,280 Speaker 1: I mean ten wins is a big number, like that 606 00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:38,600 Speaker 1: is something that I think casual betters don't really think 607 00:24:38,600 --> 00:24:41,000 Speaker 1: about that much. They're like, oh yeah, sure, ten wins, 608 00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:42,920 Speaker 1: Like a lot of things have to go right for 609 00:24:43,000 --> 00:24:44,920 Speaker 1: you to getst ten wins necessarily, but I do. 610 00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:46,359 Speaker 2: I'm really I like you. 611 00:24:46,400 --> 00:24:47,760 Speaker 1: I'm excited to see the cults on the time. 612 00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:49,280 Speaker 3: Well the running game too. I mean, I mean, I 613 00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:51,520 Speaker 3: think through the draft they added talent. I mean I 614 00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:54,439 Speaker 3: just think early they may not need much at a 615 00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:57,159 Speaker 3: Rivers right just to turn the ball over, just you know, 616 00:24:57,200 --> 00:24:59,720 Speaker 3: pick up third and sixes and let you know, get 617 00:24:59,760 --> 00:25:01,760 Speaker 3: get to get the team in the right play, you know, 618 00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:04,000 Speaker 3: be able to recognize defenses, which you know he can do, 619 00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:07,040 Speaker 3: you know, switch into running plays and find the gaps 620 00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:09,840 Speaker 3: and find the place to put the football with you know, 621 00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:12,920 Speaker 3: your talented offensive line. I just think that that's why 622 00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:15,080 Speaker 3: early they could get off to a very quick start, 623 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:16,800 Speaker 3: a very good stot because of their running game. 624 00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's not the greatest schedule that they have. I mean, 625 00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:21,639 Speaker 1: I don't really think anybody in the South has it, 626 00:25:21,720 --> 00:25:24,240 Speaker 1: But yeah, I really think they can go to toe 627 00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:26,359 Speaker 1: to toe with anyone. They're not as good as the Ravens, 628 00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:28,400 Speaker 1: They're not as good as the Chiefs, but really other 629 00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:30,480 Speaker 1: than that, especially again, Taylor is going to be an 630 00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:32,480 Speaker 1: absolute monster. I mean, I don't know when that's gonna 631 00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:33,960 Speaker 1: happen this year, but by the end of the year 632 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:35,360 Speaker 1: running behind that offensive line. 633 00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:36,560 Speaker 2: Do you like him Rookie of the Year? 634 00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:40,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I think I do. It's either him 635 00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:43,439 Speaker 1: or you know, Clyde Edwards Hilaire, who's now got the 636 00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:46,680 Speaker 1: clear road to go in Kansas City because of Damian 637 00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:50,080 Speaker 1: Williams opting out. But yeah, I don't know, man, I 638 00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:51,760 Speaker 1: think in the beginning, I think what could hold him 639 00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:53,119 Speaker 1: back is at in the beginning, I do think that 640 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:55,639 Speaker 1: Marlon Mack is going to factor in more than people realize. 641 00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:57,400 Speaker 1: Now there are these reports going out and be like, oh, 642 00:25:57,400 --> 00:25:58,960 Speaker 1: he looks really good in camp and stuff like that. 643 00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:00,199 Speaker 1: I always thought that's what was. 644 00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:00,480 Speaker 2: Going to be. 645 00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 1: You're not going to turn it over immediately, You're just 646 00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:05,280 Speaker 1: not now with no preseason games. But I do think 647 00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:06,800 Speaker 1: that by the end of the year, Taylor is going 648 00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:10,119 Speaker 1: to be an absolute monster. I have futures on Kishan 649 00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:12,520 Speaker 1: Vaughn winning Rookie of the Year, so I think those 650 00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:14,600 Speaker 1: are not no, not nice. That's not gonna work out 651 00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:17,000 Speaker 1: for us. I don't think giving the Bucks and given 652 00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:20,240 Speaker 1: how Rojo is looking, you mentioned the Texans, the Texans 653 00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:23,120 Speaker 1: to me are a team. I always think that Texans 654 00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:25,760 Speaker 1: should go under and then they somehow managed to sort 655 00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:27,280 Speaker 1: of pull it out. Are you on the under here 656 00:26:27,280 --> 00:26:28,240 Speaker 1: on seven and a half or. 657 00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:29,959 Speaker 3: Yeah, if I had to be, I mean, look at 658 00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:33,480 Speaker 3: so you have a quarterback and head coach Continuity's standpoint, right, 659 00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:36,520 Speaker 3: But I think there's some real problems inside that locker room. 660 00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:39,720 Speaker 3: And Bill O'Brien, he's from my hometown, so I always 661 00:26:39,760 --> 00:26:42,119 Speaker 3: preference this because I hate crapping on the guy, so 662 00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:44,320 Speaker 3: I want him to do well, and I've followed him 663 00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:46,040 Speaker 3: for years, whether it be with the quarterback coach of 664 00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:48,119 Speaker 3: the Patriots and now head coach of the of the 665 00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:50,320 Speaker 3: Houston Texans. I just think the move to get rid 666 00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,520 Speaker 3: of Nuke Edwards Newtonuk Hopkins was a huge mistake, and 667 00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:56,880 Speaker 3: I just think you don't trade away a DeAndre Hopkins ever, 668 00:26:57,320 --> 00:27:00,159 Speaker 3: and you are. You have a quarterback that wants a 669 00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:03,080 Speaker 3: new contract who's watching everyone else get paid, and he 670 00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:06,000 Speaker 3: wants to get paid, and there's questions as to whether 671 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:09,040 Speaker 3: or not your coach, slash GM wants to pay him. 672 00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:11,680 Speaker 3: And I think that's a huge issue and a huge problem. 673 00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:15,119 Speaker 3: I just think JJ Watt getting hurt too consistently. You know, 674 00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:17,800 Speaker 3: every year he's getting banged up. He's getting older as well. 675 00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:20,800 Speaker 3: I don't like the Texans this year at all. 676 00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:23,400 Speaker 1: Neither do I. And it's gonna really piss me off 677 00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:25,160 Speaker 1: when they go ten and six and win the division. 678 00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:28,080 Speaker 3: It happened, right, It's not happened. Not going ten and six. 679 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:29,760 Speaker 3: They're not going to be in this division. They're not 680 00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:33,600 Speaker 3: good enough to contend with both the Texans, the Titans 681 00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:34,560 Speaker 3: or the Cult. 682 00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:37,280 Speaker 2: So right there, that's why they're not going ten and six. 683 00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:40,560 Speaker 1: And tell you right now, I completely believe you, and 684 00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:42,360 Speaker 1: I think that every year that's some other good out 685 00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:45,439 Speaker 1: of curiosity. Four and a half a ridiculous number for 686 00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:47,920 Speaker 1: the Jaguars under or over if you had to go, If. 687 00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:49,679 Speaker 3: I had to go, I'd go over just because it's 688 00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:52,880 Speaker 3: you never know. It's pro football, so it's it's hard 689 00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:56,320 Speaker 3: to go, you know, four and twelve. But I mean 690 00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:59,320 Speaker 3: I wouldn't bet it. I mean, who's their quarterback? You know, 691 00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:02,199 Speaker 3: is Ardner Minshew actually a good quarterback or not? 692 00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:02,760 Speaker 2: I don't know. 693 00:28:02,800 --> 00:28:05,200 Speaker 1: I like him, I'll be honest. I kind of like him. 694 00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:07,480 Speaker 1: I really do. And not just because he dresses like 695 00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:09,640 Speaker 1: the way I feel inside, you know what I mean? 696 00:28:09,680 --> 00:28:14,000 Speaker 1: I really I do like him. Again, he was quietly quality. 697 00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:16,119 Speaker 1: What I like about him again, really really good on 698 00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:18,479 Speaker 1: deep passing. He was the best deep passer, even though 699 00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:20,080 Speaker 1: he doesn't have that strong of an army. He was 700 00:28:20,080 --> 00:28:22,760 Speaker 1: the best deep passer in the NFL last year, the best. 701 00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:24,840 Speaker 1: He had the best passer rating on passes that traveled 702 00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:26,800 Speaker 1: over twenty yards. And I like, you know, he can 703 00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:29,800 Speaker 1: he can extend plays with his leg. I'm not saying 704 00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:32,080 Speaker 1: I would hitch my wagon, you know, to him for 705 00:28:32,119 --> 00:28:34,760 Speaker 1: the rest of my franchise, but in terms of what 706 00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:36,200 Speaker 1: he's able to do. And that's one of the reasons 707 00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:38,120 Speaker 1: why I think I lean towards the over. Maybe I 708 00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:40,200 Speaker 1: don't like their defense, but I do think that their 709 00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:43,200 Speaker 1: offense is going to be fairly capable under minshe you. 710 00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:45,600 Speaker 3: Know, yeah, run the ball more hopefully. I mean I 711 00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:48,240 Speaker 3: hate the coaching staff. I just I just think that 712 00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:52,040 Speaker 3: there's so many issues there. And you know, did they 713 00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:54,479 Speaker 3: three years ago? That team was tremendous. I mean, there 714 00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:56,280 Speaker 3: was just so many talented guys on that roster when 715 00:28:56,320 --> 00:28:58,000 Speaker 3: we thought the Jaguars finally were going to make some 716 00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:00,560 Speaker 3: real noise, and then just you know, so many players 717 00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:02,360 Speaker 3: were either cut or let go or got hurt. So 718 00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:05,360 Speaker 3: it's tough to be a Jaguar fan. And I still 719 00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:07,560 Speaker 3: think that one day that team's playing in London. So 720 00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:10,280 Speaker 3: you know, if I had to bet it, i'd bet 721 00:29:10,280 --> 00:29:12,600 Speaker 3: the over, just because it's hard to go four and twelve. 722 00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:14,920 Speaker 1: And again the Dolphins, the Bengals, the Lions, the Bears, 723 00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:17,400 Speaker 1: they're winnable games there right for them. So and it's 724 00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:19,160 Speaker 1: the NFL, like you said, above them all right, let's 725 00:29:19,200 --> 00:29:21,680 Speaker 1: hit our last division here. The Chiefs over under eleven 726 00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,240 Speaker 1: and a half over at minus one thirty even on 727 00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:26,960 Speaker 1: the under. The Broncos are over under seven and a 728 00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:28,880 Speaker 1: half minus one twenty five on the over, even on 729 00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:31,920 Speaker 1: the under, Chargers over under eight minus one twenty five 730 00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:34,040 Speaker 1: on the over, even on the under, and the Raiders 731 00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:36,800 Speaker 1: over under seven even on the over minus one oh 732 00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:38,640 Speaker 1: six on the under. So you made one of the 733 00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:41,720 Speaker 1: easier futures play I believe in like an early episode 734 00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:44,440 Speaker 1: of The Juice. But you like the Raiders, is that right? 735 00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:48,440 Speaker 3: I like the Raiders over seven wins. And after I 736 00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:51,120 Speaker 3: made that bet, I was talking to a sports book 737 00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:54,200 Speaker 3: friend of mine and I said, so, how do I feel, like? 738 00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:56,600 Speaker 3: How do you feel about me betting on the Raiders over? 739 00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:58,760 Speaker 3: And he said, what you and the rest of the town. 740 00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:01,840 Speaker 3: He said, oh really, he said, put it this way. 741 00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:05,520 Speaker 3: As of August the first, there was one book here 742 00:30:05,520 --> 00:30:08,120 Speaker 3: in Vegas who had not taken a single under bet 743 00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:11,960 Speaker 3: on the Raiders for their win total. Every single bet 744 00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:14,280 Speaker 3: was on the over. So when you're running with the 745 00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:16,840 Speaker 3: masses like that, I can't stand it, but I'm not 746 00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:18,840 Speaker 3: going to back off of it. Look, I think this 747 00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:21,640 Speaker 3: is a big year for Derek Carr. This is a 748 00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:23,560 Speaker 3: chance for him to show he can play inside of 749 00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:25,800 Speaker 3: this offense. Henry Ruggs is coming in. You have a 750 00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:27,760 Speaker 3: guy who could take the top off the defense. Running 751 00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:30,560 Speaker 3: game with Josh Jacobs is tremendous, maybe the best offensive 752 00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:32,960 Speaker 3: line in football. They've got a defense that needs to 753 00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:35,040 Speaker 3: step up and play better. But I think this is 754 00:30:35,080 --> 00:30:37,920 Speaker 3: a team that is poised with the talent. Look, Mike 755 00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:40,240 Speaker 3: Mayock is on a very good job drafting the last 756 00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:42,120 Speaker 3: two years. You can hate on the guy and not 757 00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:44,160 Speaker 3: like him. I'm a big fan. I think he's done 758 00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:46,920 Speaker 3: a great job. You could hate on Gruden, fine, but 759 00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:49,520 Speaker 3: this team just to go eight and eight. Yeah, I'm 760 00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:50,760 Speaker 3: going over Raiders eight and eight. 761 00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:54,960 Speaker 1: I mean, I can't get there like I'm not going 762 00:30:55,040 --> 00:30:58,280 Speaker 1: under because I don't necessarily think they're going to win six. 763 00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:00,600 Speaker 1: But you know, this is a you know, we Tyra 764 00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:02,840 Speaker 1: Williams is not as if he was a dominant person, 765 00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:04,840 Speaker 1: but he's already dealing with the labor impair. I like 766 00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:07,760 Speaker 1: Hunter Renfro, but again, you've got rookies coming in. Rugs 767 00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:10,760 Speaker 1: Is are the type of rookie rookie wide receivers, by 768 00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:14,120 Speaker 1: the way, are they make me particularly nervous as to 769 00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:15,760 Speaker 1: how they're going to be able to divorce in this 770 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:18,560 Speaker 1: environment right, especially because you just don't have time. Ruggs 771 00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:21,520 Speaker 1: is the one guy of all the rookie receivers that 772 00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:24,720 Speaker 1: I don't really worry about, just because again, you can 773 00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:26,280 Speaker 1: be like, hey, here's what we're going to do. Run 774 00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:28,240 Speaker 1: a five yard slant and then just go to the house. 775 00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:28,440 Speaker 2: Right. 776 00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:30,760 Speaker 1: You scort a touchdown on a quarter of his receptions 777 00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:33,040 Speaker 1: in college, so he is there. But you know, this 778 00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:36,080 Speaker 1: is a tough division man and their schedule. It's not 779 00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:40,560 Speaker 1: that great. It's just something where, Yeah, I don't really 780 00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:42,680 Speaker 1: love him. Is there anybody in the West then who 781 00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:44,560 Speaker 1: you think is not going to be as good as expected? 782 00:31:44,600 --> 00:31:44,719 Speaker 2: Then? 783 00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:46,240 Speaker 1: Do you like the unders on any of the teams? 784 00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:48,840 Speaker 3: You know, I'm seeing more and more hype on the Broncos, 785 00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:51,840 Speaker 3: and I understand that the Broncos have drafted, but like 786 00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:54,520 Speaker 3: you mentioned about rookie wide receivers, you know, I think 787 00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:56,719 Speaker 3: the Broncos eventually might be really good. Yeah, but how 788 00:31:56,760 --> 00:31:59,560 Speaker 3: good is Drew Locke and you're asking him to play 789 00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:01,120 Speaker 3: with a bunch of guys he hasn't had a chance 790 00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:01,600 Speaker 3: to play in. 791 00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:03,520 Speaker 2: A real game with right out of the gate. Yep, 792 00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:04,760 Speaker 2: So that's my worry. 793 00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:07,440 Speaker 3: On everyone's like, oh, Broncos over, Broncos over, and look 794 00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:09,000 Speaker 3: at the defense and von Miller and Bubble. 795 00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:10,120 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know. 796 00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:12,360 Speaker 3: I mean, to me, I would lean under on the 797 00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:15,240 Speaker 3: Broncos simply because you have to ask. You're asking Drew 798 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:17,280 Speaker 3: Locke to get to know these guys very fast and 799 00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:18,480 Speaker 3: to be able to get on the same plan. 800 00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:18,920 Speaker 2: Noah faint. 801 00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:20,240 Speaker 3: I know there's some guys up there who put up 802 00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:21,920 Speaker 3: some big numbers and they got some guys coming back. 803 00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:25,840 Speaker 3: But I just I'm curious about continuity for that offense 804 00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:27,360 Speaker 3: and if you need that offense to score a bunch 805 00:32:27,360 --> 00:32:28,760 Speaker 3: of points, which you're going to if look at the 806 00:32:28,760 --> 00:32:31,960 Speaker 3: offense with the division, with the Chargers, Chiefs and the Raiders, 807 00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:34,720 Speaker 3: you got to score to be in contention in this division. 808 00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:37,120 Speaker 3: I just I don't think the I don't think the 809 00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:39,760 Speaker 3: Broncos are there yet. I mean eventually if Lock's the 810 00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:42,360 Speaker 3: guy the next year, but I would go under this year. 811 00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:46,040 Speaker 1: Could not agree more. It's not something where I'm running 812 00:32:46,080 --> 00:32:47,320 Speaker 1: out to be like, oh, give me the give me 813 00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:49,680 Speaker 1: the under on the Broncos because they could easily surprise. 814 00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:53,200 Speaker 1: Their defense is legitimate. I love Jerry Judy, I really do. 815 00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:55,600 Speaker 1: I think he's gonna have an incredibly bright future and 816 00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:58,800 Speaker 1: he could be great this year. It is Lock for me, 817 00:32:59,040 --> 00:33:00,800 Speaker 1: and I don't want to say that he'll never develop 818 00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:03,120 Speaker 1: into you know, Areas only won four and one last year. 819 00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:05,840 Speaker 1: I mean, he didn't do anything to really get there. 820 00:33:05,840 --> 00:33:08,000 Speaker 1: I was not impressed with them. And again continuity. It's 821 00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:11,360 Speaker 1: a new offensive coordinator coming in here, right with Pat Trummer. 822 00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:15,040 Speaker 1: You've you've got a new system. You've got rookie wide 823 00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:17,080 Speaker 1: receivers that are already dealing with an injury to Hamdler. 824 00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:20,080 Speaker 1: Melvin Gordon. Fine, but their running game was you know, 825 00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:22,280 Speaker 1: I don't know, it's I'm not Melvin Gordon doesn't move 826 00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:24,080 Speaker 1: the needle for me. And obviously, you know, when you're 827 00:33:24,120 --> 00:33:26,440 Speaker 1: talking over unders, you don't really care that much about 828 00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:28,320 Speaker 1: running backs. That's not really what does it? But you know, 829 00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:31,320 Speaker 1: to me, I don't know, man, I'm not buying this either. 830 00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:33,600 Speaker 1: It's just not a team that I really want to 831 00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:36,200 Speaker 1: invest in. What about the Chargers though, because the Chargers 832 00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:39,240 Speaker 1: are an interesting team to me? I love their defense. 833 00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:42,640 Speaker 1: I think to Rod Taylor, not a great quarterback, but 834 00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:46,080 Speaker 1: certainly more than capable twenty two and twenty as a starter. 835 00:33:46,480 --> 00:33:49,760 Speaker 1: They're gonna have a good running game with Austin Eckler. 836 00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:53,520 Speaker 1: They've got they drafted Kelly, they've got Jackson. Their receivers 837 00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:56,120 Speaker 1: still are there with you know, Mike Williams now dealing 838 00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:58,560 Speaker 1: with an injury. But Keenan Allen got Hunter Henry is 839 00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:00,680 Speaker 1: a good head end. I think they're gonna be able 840 00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:03,720 Speaker 1: to play conservatively, lean on their defense, lean on their 841 00:34:03,800 --> 00:34:05,880 Speaker 1: run game. Get enough there. I kind of like the 842 00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:07,760 Speaker 1: Chargers going over the eight wins. What are you think? 843 00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:08,000 Speaker 2: Right? 844 00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:10,600 Speaker 3: If you could tell me the Chargers stay healthy, I'll 845 00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:13,319 Speaker 3: buy it. This team can't stay healthy. I mean they 846 00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:17,000 Speaker 3: get hurt every year. They have catastrophic injuries, massive injuries. 847 00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:20,040 Speaker 3: I just every time I feel like I'm backing the Chargers, 848 00:34:20,600 --> 00:34:23,640 Speaker 3: they something really horrible happens and they lose a player, 849 00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:26,200 Speaker 3: or they lose the you know, a quarterback or starting 850 00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:28,400 Speaker 3: left tackle or you know, strong safety. 851 00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:29,760 Speaker 2: It's just it's really. 852 00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:32,520 Speaker 1: An amazing Like, Well, I like the Chargers, but the 853 00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:35,440 Speaker 1: Chargers are an injury team. So you're gonna have seventy injuries. 854 00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:37,520 Speaker 3: So I mean, so I can't bet the over because 855 00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:39,279 Speaker 3: I don't trust it. I mean I would lean towards 856 00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:41,920 Speaker 3: the over, but they've got the talent Tyrod. I mean, 857 00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:44,360 Speaker 3: here's the other question. How many games is Tyrod Taylor 858 00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:47,839 Speaker 3: playing this year? Because if they lose Herbert, there's gonna 859 00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:50,080 Speaker 3: be a lot of pressure to play Herbert. So I 860 00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:52,520 Speaker 3: don't know in terms of like if you're zero and 861 00:34:52,640 --> 00:34:55,600 Speaker 3: four to start hypothetically, like just say the awful start, Well, 862 00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:57,800 Speaker 3: then why are you playing Tyrod Taylor? Just play Herbert? 863 00:34:57,800 --> 00:34:59,719 Speaker 3: I mean the year's lost anyway. Just give him a 864 00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:02,320 Speaker 3: year to get ready, to get used to playing NFL football, 865 00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:04,120 Speaker 3: and then have him good to go for next year 866 00:35:04,120 --> 00:35:06,680 Speaker 3: when there's fans and stands and whatnot. So, I mean 867 00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:10,359 Speaker 3: it's interesting watching hard knocks and watching how how tough 868 00:35:10,400 --> 00:35:12,480 Speaker 3: of a time he's having adapting to the NFL and 869 00:35:12,520 --> 00:35:14,640 Speaker 3: taking you know, snaps under center, and the fact that 870 00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:18,200 Speaker 3: he can't his cadence is wrong, like right, getting scolded 871 00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:20,040 Speaker 3: about not being able to hike the football. Right, He's 872 00:35:20,080 --> 00:35:22,000 Speaker 3: a little scary for a guy with a first round pick. 873 00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:25,359 Speaker 3: But I don't know how long that job is going 874 00:35:25,400 --> 00:35:27,320 Speaker 3: to be Tyrod Taylor's. So that's why I'm also a 875 00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:28,560 Speaker 3: little afraid of betting the over. 876 00:35:28,880 --> 00:35:31,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I honestly I think he starts the whole year. 877 00:35:31,200 --> 00:35:33,520 Speaker 1: I mean, yes, you are correct. If he starts owing four, 878 00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:35,440 Speaker 1: you know, I don't think they're going to If he 879 00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:37,319 Speaker 1: starts owned four, then maybe you could see it. But 880 00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:40,359 Speaker 1: I think I think, really, it's just not a good 881 00:35:40,360 --> 00:35:44,120 Speaker 1: idea to throw a guy or whatever you know, the 882 00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:46,719 Speaker 1: team is doing for that year, to throw him into 883 00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:50,080 Speaker 1: an NFL team when he's not ready to go. And 884 00:35:50,120 --> 00:35:51,920 Speaker 1: I think that Herbert is not ready to go. I 885 00:35:51,920 --> 00:35:53,239 Speaker 1: don't think he's going to be ready to go by 886 00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:54,759 Speaker 1: week five. I don't think he's going to be ready 887 00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:55,480 Speaker 1: to go by week eight. 888 00:35:55,560 --> 00:35:57,640 Speaker 2: I know he's a project, right. 889 00:35:57,520 --> 00:36:00,279 Speaker 1: He's a project. So let him sit on the on 890 00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:03,160 Speaker 1: the bench for a year and learn. And yeah, obviously 891 00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:05,360 Speaker 1: if they get injured like they do every year, of course, 892 00:36:05,520 --> 00:36:06,960 Speaker 1: like what are you gonna do about that? They got 893 00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:09,239 Speaker 1: a lot of winnable games. And remember, even with how 894 00:36:09,280 --> 00:36:11,560 Speaker 1: bad they were last year, even with how bad Philip 895 00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:16,000 Speaker 1: Rivers played, very easily could have had a decent year 896 00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:18,239 Speaker 1: if they just flipped the script a little bit on 897 00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:20,719 Speaker 1: the one score games. Right, they just lost tons of 898 00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:23,440 Speaker 1: one score games. So you know, to me, with that defense, 899 00:36:23,480 --> 00:36:26,480 Speaker 1: you know you've got botha and you've got Ingram Lamal Joseph. 900 00:36:26,800 --> 00:36:29,279 Speaker 1: You know, yeah, right now, I think to Rod, Teller 901 00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:31,120 Speaker 1: is going to start the whole year, and I think 902 00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:32,319 Speaker 1: that in the end they're going to be a pretty 903 00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:34,319 Speaker 1: decent team, so I kind of like them. Well, on 904 00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:35,880 Speaker 1: the over, I do get the concern. 905 00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:38,560 Speaker 3: Noow, your point about losing one score games is interesting 906 00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:40,320 Speaker 3: because if you remember a couple of years ago, the 907 00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:42,840 Speaker 3: Raiders won a bunch of one score games and that 908 00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:44,759 Speaker 3: caused everyone to kind of hammer on the under the 909 00:36:44,840 --> 00:36:46,080 Speaker 3: under for their winteral I think it was like seven 910 00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:47,720 Speaker 3: and a half or eight and a half, and they 911 00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:49,759 Speaker 3: didn't come in everything in six and ten because of 912 00:36:49,800 --> 00:36:51,680 Speaker 3: all the one score games they had won the year before. 913 00:36:52,040 --> 00:36:53,360 Speaker 3: And I think you can You're right. I think you 914 00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:55,520 Speaker 3: go the other way here, where if you lose a 915 00:36:55,520 --> 00:36:58,719 Speaker 3: bunch of one score games, just math, just odds, just 916 00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:01,359 Speaker 3: you know the way sports work, that it evens out. 917 00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:03,560 Speaker 3: And so next year, this coming year, they win a 918 00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:05,680 Speaker 3: bunch of those games, they win a bunch of those games. 919 00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:08,280 Speaker 3: Most likely they're sitting right behind the Chiefs and probably 920 00:37:08,360 --> 00:37:10,680 Speaker 3: in a wildcard spot and playing in a wildcard game, 921 00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:13,680 Speaker 3: and we'll see what happens with how they'll perform in 922 00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:16,600 Speaker 3: the playoffs. But either it's Tyrod or some Herbert or whatnot. 923 00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:20,640 Speaker 3: But right, I think this team. This is why I 924 00:37:20,680 --> 00:37:23,160 Speaker 3: like Hard Knocks, because I wasn't sure about Anthony Lennon, 925 00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:25,200 Speaker 3: and I wasn't sure if the team liked him all 926 00:37:25,239 --> 00:37:27,279 Speaker 3: that much and wanted to play hard for him. And 927 00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:29,960 Speaker 3: watching Hard Knocks really has changed my opinion about him 928 00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:33,400 Speaker 3: in Los Angeles, and I do think that team is 929 00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:36,400 Speaker 3: all in on him, and I do think if they're healthy, 930 00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:37,640 Speaker 3: there'll be a team to watch. 931 00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:39,600 Speaker 1: Yeah. I kind of like what they're doing. And again, 932 00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:42,040 Speaker 1: remember they were losing those games. They weren't healthy, and 933 00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:44,319 Speaker 1: they're never healthy, as you sort of mentioned. So now 934 00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:46,560 Speaker 1: you combine health, you flip the script a little bit. 935 00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:48,120 Speaker 1: I think they can get past hay Wins. Let's finish 936 00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:51,120 Speaker 1: up with the Chiefs again, like the Ravens. Another big number, 937 00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:54,239 Speaker 1: like the Ravens, another team that's just like, okay, you 938 00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:57,880 Speaker 1: want continuity. I mean, the Chiefs are legitimately identical the 939 00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:01,200 Speaker 1: last year, except that they've basically replaced Damian Williams with 940 00:38:01,239 --> 00:38:03,840 Speaker 1: Clyde Edwards Hilaire. So eleven and a half. Is this 941 00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:06,160 Speaker 1: one where you'd be like, if you are forcing me 942 00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:08,959 Speaker 1: to bet, you'd go over or is this one if 943 00:38:09,040 --> 00:38:10,960 Speaker 1: you'd you know, shyway, given. 944 00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:13,840 Speaker 3: The number, look in the pandemic, they may go fifteen 945 00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:15,680 Speaker 3: and one, right, I mean they might. 946 00:38:15,920 --> 00:38:17,000 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't. 947 00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:19,960 Speaker 3: This is I look at this team and I see 948 00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:22,799 Speaker 3: the Patriots of two thousand and seven, and I just 949 00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:27,840 Speaker 3: see an absolute offensive buzz saw that it doesn't really 950 00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:31,120 Speaker 3: matter until the playoffs to expose some of their weaknesses. 951 00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:33,760 Speaker 3: And I think there are weaknesses Like the seven Patriots, 952 00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:36,239 Speaker 3: there were weaknesses on that defense, and there are weaknesses 953 00:38:36,239 --> 00:38:38,759 Speaker 3: on that defense still for the Chiefs. And I do 954 00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:41,399 Speaker 3: think they're going to be in salary cap jail very 955 00:38:41,440 --> 00:38:43,399 Speaker 3: soon for all the big deals that they have done. 956 00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:45,319 Speaker 3: And I do think that if there is a drop 957 00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:47,719 Speaker 3: in the salary cap due to the COVID in the 958 00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:49,879 Speaker 3: pandemic and they have to drop it down, that they'll 959 00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:54,000 Speaker 3: be cutting or trading players. But for twenty twenty, they're 960 00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:55,960 Speaker 3: the best team in football and it's not even a debate. 961 00:38:56,400 --> 00:38:59,560 Speaker 3: And I don't really see you know, they may drop 962 00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:02,359 Speaker 3: a game or two games, but yeah, they're going over 963 00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:03,319 Speaker 3: that number in my mind. 964 00:39:03,560 --> 00:39:06,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean too, I don't think they've gone under 965 00:39:06,360 --> 00:39:09,000 Speaker 1: their win total under Andy Reid. I think I saw 966 00:39:09,080 --> 00:39:11,040 Speaker 1: that stat somewhere. I can't remember where it is whoever 967 00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:12,839 Speaker 1: put it out, Sorry about that, But I think since 968 00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:14,719 Speaker 1: Andy Reid got to the Chiefs. They've gone over their 969 00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:16,680 Speaker 1: win total every year. I can't verify that, but I 970 00:39:17,080 --> 00:39:19,879 Speaker 1: read that somewhere. Here's you know, for me, the one 971 00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:21,440 Speaker 1: thing that we didn't talk about, by the way, with 972 00:39:21,680 --> 00:39:24,839 Speaker 1: the Ravens and the Chiefs, there's one by this year, Matt, right, 973 00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:27,480 Speaker 1: there's one playoff by you don't have the top two seats, 974 00:39:27,560 --> 00:39:29,919 Speaker 1: right right, So if you've got the Ravens and you've 975 00:39:29,960 --> 00:39:32,040 Speaker 1: got the Chiefs, even if they win their division, and 976 00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:34,719 Speaker 1: even if they're cruising to the top two seats, they 977 00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:36,839 Speaker 1: got to keep going, you know what I mean. They 978 00:39:36,840 --> 00:39:39,600 Speaker 1: may be thirteen, you know, thirteen to two heading into 979 00:39:39,640 --> 00:39:41,840 Speaker 1: that final week and be like, shoot, we don't have 980 00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:43,480 Speaker 1: the buy right now, you know what I mean. They 981 00:39:43,520 --> 00:39:45,680 Speaker 1: may be going full boar the entire year just to 982 00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:47,000 Speaker 1: get that one locked up. So I think that's a 983 00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:49,279 Speaker 1: little extra motivation when you're going. But I agree, I 984 00:39:49,280 --> 00:39:50,160 Speaker 1: think it's over you know. 985 00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:54,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, Look, I just think it's a team where they 986 00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:58,680 Speaker 3: are doing things offensively. In bringing in Edwards Hilaire as 987 00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:01,200 Speaker 3: well is going to be another addition, I mean, another 988 00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:03,800 Speaker 3: step forward for that offense. Young guy with tons of 989 00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:06,040 Speaker 3: tread on the tire and catch the football and a bowling 990 00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:08,319 Speaker 3: ball to run through that offensive line. I just think 991 00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:10,160 Speaker 3: that they are doing things right now that it's going 992 00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:12,200 Speaker 3: to make it so difficult for teams to stop them. 993 00:40:12,239 --> 00:40:14,560 Speaker 3: And look, Terry Kill's injury is a little scary, and 994 00:40:14,600 --> 00:40:17,080 Speaker 3: I was going to recommend on betting pros. I need 995 00:40:17,120 --> 00:40:19,799 Speaker 3: to see him if I can, like run a play 996 00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:23,560 Speaker 3: a game because Week one, on Thursday Night against the Texans, 997 00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:26,279 Speaker 3: the Chiefs are laying ten and I think they're going 998 00:40:26,360 --> 00:40:28,320 Speaker 3: to destroy the Texans by like thirty. 999 00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:31,000 Speaker 2: But to me, Tery Kill to be healthy in those games. 1000 00:40:31,120 --> 00:40:33,200 Speaker 3: But I think folks are going to be coming in 1001 00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:34,959 Speaker 3: and I think the sports books are going to need 1002 00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:37,919 Speaker 3: whoever the Chiefs are playing every single week this year. 1003 00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:41,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, no, absolutely, They're going to be an incredibly public team. 1004 00:40:41,680 --> 00:40:43,920 Speaker 1: And you know the thing is, again you saw sharing 1005 00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:47,399 Speaker 1: the playoffs. That was my favorite live betting experience, by 1006 00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:49,560 Speaker 1: the way, is when they fell behind the Texans and 1007 00:40:49,640 --> 00:40:52,520 Speaker 1: just waiting for both games. You knew, you knew what 1008 00:40:52,560 --> 00:40:54,040 Speaker 1: was going to happen in game. You're just no, no, no, no, 1009 00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:55,480 Speaker 1: wait for it, wait for it, wait for it. You 1010 00:40:55,520 --> 00:40:57,520 Speaker 1: knew the odds. Eventually we're going to go where you 1011 00:40:57,520 --> 00:41:00,440 Speaker 1: could sort of Fire one off and yeah, man, I 1012 00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:03,480 Speaker 1: don't know this. I gotta be honest by see you 1013 00:41:03,560 --> 00:41:06,480 Speaker 1: talk betting every day on the podcast and on your 1014 00:41:06,560 --> 00:41:08,719 Speaker 1: radio show. This is like my first chance to have 1015 00:41:08,760 --> 00:41:10,600 Speaker 1: really gotten into a discussion about it. This is again 1016 00:41:10,680 --> 00:41:12,120 Speaker 1: the juice is flowing, you know what I mean? We 1017 00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:14,799 Speaker 1: get two weeks from today, recording this on Thursday, two 1018 00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:17,720 Speaker 1: weeks from today opening night. I'm so excited. 1019 00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:19,759 Speaker 2: Thank you, Chiefs playing ten, Chiefs laying ten. 1020 00:41:19,880 --> 00:41:22,000 Speaker 1: Dude, come on, Tyreek, Hi'll be healthy so we could 1021 00:41:22,040 --> 00:41:24,279 Speaker 1: go all in on it. Thanks for coming on, man. 1022 00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:26,000 Speaker 1: I can't wait to talk about it more. Next week 1023 00:41:26,040 --> 00:41:27,680 Speaker 1: we'll talk about what we're gonna be doing in season, 1024 00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:30,319 Speaker 1: but for now, I really appreciate you joining me for 1025 00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:32,080 Speaker 1: this one and it was a good time. Man. 1026 00:41:32,560 --> 00:41:33,440 Speaker 2: Can't wait for next. 1027 00:41:33,320 --> 00:41:35,279 Speaker 1: Week, all right, don't forget to go head over to 1028 00:41:35,280 --> 00:41:38,160 Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com check out all our consensus lines, and 1029 00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:41,440 Speaker 1: do not forget to check out the Daily Juice podcast, 1030 00:41:41,520 --> 00:41:43,960 Speaker 1: hosted by Matt Parlt, who you heard here today. It 1031 00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:47,000 Speaker 1: is a really, really good listen. I would listen to 1032 00:41:47,080 --> 00:41:49,640 Speaker 1: it even if I didn't invent the concept and have 1033 00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:52,680 Speaker 1: to get that feedback it's really great. It's every single 1034 00:41:52,760 --> 00:41:55,640 Speaker 1: day and Matt, you know, offers a lot of insight. 1035 00:41:55,680 --> 00:41:58,200 Speaker 1: We will be back next week talking about the NFC 1036 00:41:58,239 --> 00:42:01,200 Speaker 1: and then man, we are talking about Week one, ready 1037 00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:21,600 Speaker 1: to go. We'll talk to them