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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Monday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. You can follow me on Twitter at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt, a place where I will be probably more

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Speaker 1: than I should be over the next two weeks. So

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Speaker 1: I'm on vacation for my radio show, but you're gonna

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Speaker 1: get the Daily Juice right here on Bettingpros dot Com,

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Speaker 1: always being brought to you by BETMGM. Every day. That

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Speaker 1: means Christmas Eve, that means Christmas Day, that means New

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Speaker 1: Year's Eve, and that means New Year's Day. So really

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Speaker 1: cool things. And since I'm kind of a psycho when

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Speaker 1: it comes to work and I can't stay completely inactive

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Speaker 1: in the middle of this crazy time, Dave Sheriff and

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Speaker 1: I are going to shoot a video today that will

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Speaker 1: hit the YouTube channel for Betting Pros. Today's Monday, so

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Speaker 1: probably maybe Tuesday or Wednesday. We're gonna do a New

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Speaker 1: Year's six Bowl game breakdown from a betting perspective. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so David and I gonna go through all six games,

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Speaker 1: look at sides and totals, give you some recommendations on

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Speaker 1: plays where we think the line's gonna go and when

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Speaker 1: to jump on it, when to bet it. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: that's exciting. We're gonna do that coming up tomorrow or

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Speaker 1: today rather tomorrow. I'm tape this overnight, so today on Monday.

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Speaker 1: But my radio show in case you guys have been

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Speaker 1: listening to my radio show, and I do appreciate you

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Speaker 1: guys who have been tuning into my radio show from

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice. Very nice to you guys to do that.

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Speaker 1: But I will be off, so I'm not there for

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Speaker 1: all of this week and all of next week. I'll

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Speaker 1: be back on January the fourth for the new year,

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Speaker 1: so I get to kind of relax a little bit.

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Speaker 1: I will be back here every single night doing the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast, but you're gonna have to I may

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Speaker 1: not go as heavy as I normally would. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: be a little bit more on the conservative side, just

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Speaker 1: because I'm gonna try to decompress a little bit and

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna be as heavy into research. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: try to get away from sports a little bit. I'll

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Speaker 1: watch all the big games, all the games. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: have action a lot I'm gonna watch and we'll still

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Speaker 1: do obviously Week sixteen for the live streams, and we'll

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Speaker 1: still do all the stuff we've been doing. Dan Harris

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Speaker 1: and I are gonna tape the podcast, making our picks

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Speaker 1: for the DraftKings contest and everything else. So it's just

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Speaker 1: it's getting towards the end, and this is a good

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Speaker 1: time to kind of catch my breath a bit before

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Speaker 1: we go back into the new year and we get

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Speaker 1: to the postseason for the NFL and the NBA starts

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Speaker 1: and everything else. So here's what I've got for you today.

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Speaker 1: I've got one play on the NFL Monday Night football game,

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Speaker 1: and I've got one future to give you guys here today.

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Speaker 1: So just two plays going. I'm gonna skip the college

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Speaker 1: basketball plays for tonight. There's nothing really that jumps off

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Speaker 1: the page for me. I was kind of skipping around

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Speaker 1: and going, all right, let's see, there's nothing really that

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Speaker 1: does it for me. So all eyes are gonna be

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Speaker 1: on the and a Fell game tonight, and I'll give

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Speaker 1: you a couple of prop bets that I'm staring at.

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Speaker 1: I haven't bet it yet, but if you want a

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Speaker 1: couple of props to look at, we'll try to do

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Speaker 1: that a little bit for you guys here. I haven't

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Speaker 1: bet them yet. I probably will bet them, and if

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Speaker 1: I do end up pulling the trigger on it, i'll

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Speaker 1: give them. I'll give them to you in the discord

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Speaker 1: chat bettingpros dot Com slash chat to get into that.

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Speaker 1: So all right, So the recap Sunday Saturday wasn't bad.

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Speaker 1: When three and one on Saturday, okay, so we had

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Speaker 1: a good day on Saturday. Sunday was not good. We

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Speaker 1: turn around after going one in three and one to

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Speaker 1: a one in three day, went three and two on

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Speaker 1: prop bet, so made back a little bit of money there,

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Speaker 1: but pretty much it's a four and five day overall,

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Speaker 1: down two units. It's been sort of this like slow

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Speaker 1: bleed out for the last ten days. So we had

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Speaker 1: ten days of being red hot and now ten days

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Speaker 1: of just kind of giving it back slowly, which is

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Speaker 1: not great, right, not fun, but everyone, not everyone, but

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Speaker 1: a lot of people got hit pretty hard yesterday and

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Speaker 1: the day before for that matter. It's been a rough

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Speaker 1: couple of weeks for the public. It's been a rough

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Speaker 1: couple of weeks for people that like to fade the public.

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Speaker 1: I did have some plays that saved my bank role

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Speaker 1: that I didn't have on the podcast because I didn't

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Speaker 1: trust myself this weekend. I'm mad at myself for a

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Speaker 1: couple of things. And I told you guys, I've been

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Speaker 1: listening and talking to a lot of people. I've had

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Speaker 1: a lot of people in my ear, a lot of

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Speaker 1: people that I've been corresponding with trying to figure out,

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Speaker 1: you know, what side are they going to be on,

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Speaker 1: and you know, the Westgate Super Contest and the Circle

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Speaker 1: million in the DraftKings. My head just started to kind

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Speaker 1: of swim a little bit and I got off track.

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Speaker 1: So this is a great lesson about what happens when

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Speaker 1: you're not seeing the board right. You got to get

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Speaker 1: away from it. Before I was talking about when you're losing,

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Speaker 1: like get away from everything, but when you're just kind

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Speaker 1: of getting confused, you got to go back to the basics.

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Speaker 1: You know, when shooters aren't hitting shots and they're getting

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Speaker 1: all crossed up, they just want to watch the ball

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Speaker 1: go in the basket. Just get them to the free

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Speaker 1: throw line, right, hit a couple of free throws and

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Speaker 1: you kind of feel like, Okay, I feel better about

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Speaker 1: what's happening. I feel like, you know, I watched the

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Speaker 1: ball go in I'm good or a golfer, right, you

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Speaker 1: just want to get one in the fair way. You

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Speaker 1: know you're worrying about your shoulder turn, and you're worried

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Speaker 1: about your elbow being straight and your risk. You know

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Speaker 1: your wristed impact, and you know how quickly you're coming

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Speaker 1: off the top of the swing. All the things that

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Speaker 1: we do to kind of get ourselves crossed up. That's

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Speaker 1: kind of where I am right now with betting. And so,

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Speaker 1: I mean, I had the Saints plus three. I got

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Speaker 1: to push on that. I told you Saints outright. I

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Speaker 1: took the plus three just in case. I was heavy

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Speaker 1: on the Patriots, dead wrong on the Patriots. I had

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Speaker 1: contest plays and picks on the Patriots, dead wrong on

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Speaker 1: the Patriots. I thought the Vikings were gonna clean the

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Speaker 1: clocks of the Bears. Didn't happen. Vikings again, just or

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Speaker 1: a bad football team. I think I am ozering three

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Speaker 1: this year betting on the Vikings. No more. Luckily, I

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Speaker 1: want to worry about it too much. But oh and

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Speaker 1: three on the Vikings. We are done with the Vikings.

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Speaker 1: But I had the Patriots in a teaser, and both

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Speaker 1: teasers would have hit if Belichick had kicked a field

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Speaker 1: goal where Matt Rule kicked the field goal on Saturday night.

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Speaker 1: This is how I'm going right before we got all

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Speaker 1: the breaks. I don't know why Belichick didn't kick the

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Speaker 1: field goal. If he kicks the field goal, the Patriots

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Speaker 1: lose by seven. Matt Ruhle had that logic. He was

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Speaker 1: eight and a half point underdogs. He went ahead and

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Speaker 1: kicked the field goal. His team loses by eight. He covers. Now,

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Speaker 1: I'm not saying Matt Rule was trying to cover, but

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Speaker 1: he did that, and it was huge. Bill Belichick normally

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Speaker 1: an analytical guy gets down inside the thirty yard line

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Speaker 1: and decides not to kick the field goal. I'm staring

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Speaker 1: at my TV set, going, he's gonna kick it right,

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Speaker 1: He's gonna kick it right. He didn't do it. So

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Speaker 1: if he does that, the Saints plus nine that came

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Speaker 1: through that side of the teaser hit, Patriots hit, and

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Speaker 1: we would have gone two and zero one teasers. That

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Speaker 1: would have pretty much saved the day. I mean, Belichick

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Speaker 1: had the chance to pretty much have us be flat

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Speaker 1: and then that lost. Now we got the Saints. No, sorry,

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Speaker 1: we've got the Bucks and the Seahawks. We teased it down.

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Speaker 1: Seahawks win by five. They don't cover for me in

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Speaker 1: the Westgate or the Circa. My Westgate contest was four

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Speaker 1: and one in the West Gate, two and three in

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Speaker 1: the Circa. Yay, not good. So really, when those picks

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Speaker 1: are bad, I'm gonna have a bad weekend. That's pretty

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Speaker 1: much just how it's gonna go. But we get the

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Speaker 1: Bucks and the Parult two team teaser one of the two,

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Speaker 1: so two and one for the Paral two team teaser

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Speaker 1: on the weekend. So we are now officially eleven and

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Speaker 1: six on the Paral two team teasers. I'll probably tease

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Speaker 1: more next weekend. It's just end of the year I do.

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Speaker 1: I like teasing a lot. I like same game teasers.

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Speaker 1: You guys have been around long enough you know where

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Speaker 1: I'm at with that. So that was That was crazy.

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Speaker 1: But maybe the biggest gift of the day, whether it

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Speaker 1: be losing money or not, was the fact that the

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Speaker 1: New York Jets won and the La Rams, which by

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Speaker 1: the way, now my rams bet for the Rams to

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Speaker 1: win the West kind of comes down to next weekend

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Speaker 1: Rams and the Seahawks for the West. Essentially Seahawks win

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Speaker 1: that they win the division, so Rams have got to

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Speaker 1: win next week. They've got the tiebreaker on Seattle, so

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Speaker 1: they end up with the same record. The Rams win

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Speaker 1: the division. But man, it's a big game coming up

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Speaker 1: next weekend that I'll be very invested and very excited for.

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Speaker 1: But you know, the Rams lose to the Jets and

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Speaker 1: now Trevor Lawrence. As long as the Jags don't screw

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Speaker 1: it up, the Jags will get Trevor Lawrence. Comments after

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Speaker 1: the Jags loss on Sunday were really interesting because Doug

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Speaker 1: Morone was asked, who, by the way, probably will not

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Speaker 1: be the coach of the Jaguars. This is the biggest

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Speaker 1: bleep you moment. Let's play this out for a second.

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Speaker 1: Doug Maroon knows he's not going to be the coach

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Speaker 1: of the Jaguars next year. Doug Maroon knows if the

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Speaker 1: Jaguars get Trevor Lawrence, he is one hundred percent not

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Speaker 1: coming back. They're going to bring in a new coach

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Speaker 1: for Trevor Lawrence. The Jags are currently sitting on Trevor

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Speaker 1: Lawrence unless they win. Mitchell Tribitsky and the Bears are

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Speaker 1: the opponent coming up the line and opened at seven.

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Speaker 1: It moved a half a point today, a half a

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Speaker 1: point after the Lions came out, you would figure the

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Speaker 1: lines would just rush. Everyone would rush to bet the Bears. Right,

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Speaker 1: bet the Bears. But the Bears. People have to hold

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Speaker 1: their breadth a little bit on this because of Doug Moron,

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Speaker 1: a good soldier who had a job waiting for him

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Speaker 1: next year. Knowing that Trevor Lawrence would be there to coach,

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Speaker 1: he would tank right, Not Doug Maroon. Doug Moron can

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Speaker 1: win that game against the Bears and screw it up

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Speaker 1: and give the pick back to the Jets. Watch that, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm just telling you watch out for the Jaguars to

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Speaker 1: beat the Bears. You know I hate the Bears, but

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Speaker 1: I hate Trebitsky. Just watch out. All I'm saying is

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Speaker 1: watch out. The Jaguars very well might try to win

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Speaker 1: a game this coming weekend and screw the whole thing up.

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Speaker 1: If I was the owner of the Jaguars, I would

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Speaker 1: fire Doug Moron today. I would install it and cut

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Speaker 1: an entire new DM coaching staff that had no clue

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Speaker 1: what they were doing, no business coaching NFL football, to

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Speaker 1: guarantee me Trevor Lawrence, which will set my franchise up

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Speaker 1: for the next decade. You do not miss on, Trevor Lawrence.

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Speaker 1: You do not blow this opportunity unless you were Doug

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Speaker 1: Marone and you know you're not going to be there

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Speaker 1: next year. Then you do that, then you go to

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Speaker 1: screw it up. Watch. Just watch. That's all I'm saying

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Speaker 1: is just watch this game coming up this weekend. All right,

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Speaker 1: before I give you the picks, You guys know about

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Speaker 1: the bet MGM offer. You guys can bet a one

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Speaker 1: dollar money line wager on the Steelers of the Bengals

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Speaker 1: tonight at BETMGM using the promo code Juice one hundred

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Speaker 1: for new users, and you'll win one hundred dollars in

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Speaker 1: free wagers. If either team scores a touchdown tonight on

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Speaker 1: Monday Night Football. Use that promo code Juice one hundred

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Speaker 1: and visit betmgm dot com for terms and conditions. You

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Speaker 1: must be twenty one years older. You must be physically

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Speaker 1: located in Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, or West Virginia, Pennsylvania.

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Speaker 1: Hold on, Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem called one five

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Speaker 1: two forty seven hundred in Colorado and Nevada one hundred

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Speaker 1: gambler in New Jersey in West Virginia or one eight

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Speaker 1: hundred and nine with it in Indiana. All Right, So,

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Speaker 1: like I said, we're not gonna overthink this. We're just

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Speaker 1: gonna be very click, quick and simple. Here. Pittsburgh teased

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Speaker 1: down to eight, and we're teasing the total up to

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Speaker 1: forty six. And we're taking the under. Why because some

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Speaker 1: guy named Ryan Finley is starting at quarterback for the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: That's why Ryan Finley is horrible. His stats so far

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Speaker 1: this year nineteen pass attempts, ten completions, seventy five yards,

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Speaker 1: two interceptions, and seven sacks. Seven sacks. The Bengals are bad,

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Speaker 1: but Brandon Allen was starting over this guy. So now

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Speaker 1: you don't have Joe Burrow, you don't have Brandon Allen,

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Speaker 1: and now you have Ryan Finley is starting at quarterback

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Speaker 1: for the Bengals tonight against the Pittsburgh Steelers, who, by

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Speaker 1: the way, are really really angry. Sure since he at home. Okay,

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Speaker 1: but the weather's not gonna be nice. It's gonna be cold,

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Speaker 1: forty degrees. There's rain in the forecast, a little you know,

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Speaker 1: ten to fifteen mile pro breeze, nothing serious, but it's

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Speaker 1: not gonna be fun. It's December in Ohio. Do you

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Speaker 1: want to be outside at night playing football? Probably not.

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Speaker 1: Do you want to be playing in a game that

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Speaker 1: means nothing to you? Probably not. But the Pittsburgh Steelers

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Speaker 1: need to write this ship. Ben Roethlisberger needs to get

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Speaker 1: rolling here. I don't think I mean, we're talking ten

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Speaker 1: points here, Okay, that's the maximum. And I'm not in

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Speaker 1: love with this Steelers offense either. I don't think that

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Speaker 1: they're that good either. I think it's just gonna be

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Speaker 1: like a twenty four to ten type of victory. And

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Speaker 1: I'm very concerned about the thirteen and a half in

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Speaker 1: the fourteen. I think the number is right. I think

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Speaker 1: it's too close to call. So I'm gonna same game,

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Speaker 1: tease it like I always do, and just keep on

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Speaker 1: doing the things I've always done. Stick to my guns.

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Speaker 1: You know. It's like fielding the ground ball, right, you know,

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Speaker 1: keep your head down, get your butt down, get your

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Speaker 1: hands down, and just watch the thing into your glove. Okay,

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Speaker 1: We're just trying to go to the free line and

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Speaker 1: knock one down. All right, seven and a half or eight,

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Speaker 1: depending on the number you're gonna get here. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: tease it down. I got eight. I'm comfortable with eight

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Speaker 1: Steelers minus eight and the total to forty six, and

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Speaker 1: we're taking the under. It's gonna be an awful game.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be very much like the Sunday night game

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Speaker 1: in my mind with the Browns on the road at

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Speaker 1: the Giants. I expect kind of a repeat of that.

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Speaker 1: I mean, maybe they score six points. I just I

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Speaker 1: don't think this is gonna be a very good game

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Speaker 1: for Cincinnati's offense, given who's playing at quarterback. Now. I've

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Speaker 1: not bet these two props, but if you want to

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Speaker 1: jump on them, Eric Ebron over thirty six and a

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Speaker 1: half yards receiving that on our prop bet predictor is

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Speaker 1: number three bet MGM's got it at thirty six and

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Speaker 1: a half. The projection is forty seven and at forty

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Speaker 1: seven point one yards receiving for Eric Ebron, I know

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Speaker 1: he drops the ball all the time. However, the Bengals

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Speaker 1: are not a good football team defensively, and Ebron is

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Speaker 1: a guy who's gotten at least thirty yards receiving in

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Speaker 1: ten of his last twelve games, including over forty three

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Speaker 1: yards receiving in seven of them. Again, he has to

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Speaker 1: catch the football. But given that Ben Roethlisberger has not

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Speaker 1: looked great throwing the football deep, the dink and the

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Speaker 1: duncan to Ebron I think will happen. It's not a

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Speaker 1: very high high number. Ebron over thirty six and a

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Speaker 1: half yards receiving tonight against the Bengals. And then this

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Speaker 1: is kind of about you want to flyer prop bet?

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Speaker 1: How about Ryan Finley over one and a half interceptions

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Speaker 1: at plus one point fifty. That's at DraftKings, but you

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Speaker 1: can chop around. I think Ryan Finley may have an

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Speaker 1: awful game. He may just be horrific. I can easily

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Speaker 1: see a couple of interceptions. I just think this guy

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Speaker 1: is going to be in over his head and it's

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Speaker 1: going to be really, really ugly for him. So those

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Speaker 1: are two prop bets I'm staring at. If you want

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Speaker 1: to throw on some extra stuff on this game from

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Speaker 1: Monday Night Football, but the official play is the same

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Speaker 1: game teaser eight minus eight Steelers under forty six four tonight.

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Speaker 1: Now one NBA prop bet I want to tell you about. So,

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Speaker 1: according to a sports talk show host in Houston, Texas

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Speaker 1: who works for the company that I work for, gal

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Speaker 1: Media in Houston, Okay. He put out a tweet on

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Speaker 1: Sunday morning that I think is pretty interesting and I

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Speaker 1: think you're gonna have to pay attention to it. John

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Speaker 1: Gernado is a guy that I've known quite well. John

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Speaker 1: Gernado tweeted yesterday morning. Who does middays for ESPN? I

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Speaker 1: seven five in Houston? The company it's owned by my

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Speaker 1: company that I work for, gal Media, as well as

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Speaker 1: betting pros. I know it's confusing, but Garnado wrote an

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Speaker 1: impeccable source says the Raptors in the Celtics are now

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Speaker 1: the favorites for James Harden. It'll be a package for

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Speaker 1: Pascal Siakam and more, or Jalen Brown and more. The

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Speaker 1: Rocket's number is thirty five wins right now, thirty five

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Speaker 1: wins for the Houston Rockets. If they trade James Harden,

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Speaker 1: They've already traded Russell Westbrook. They're going nowhere, and I

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Speaker 1: don't care who they bring in. They're going nowhere. They

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Speaker 1: have a new head coach, they have a new general manager,

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Speaker 1: and trading James Harden is essentially punting on this season

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Speaker 1: and they will start again. They will start fresh, and

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Speaker 1: they'll look to build around the player that they bring in,

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Speaker 1: whoever that may be. I love Pascal Siakam and I

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Speaker 1: like Jalen Brown. Can they carry teams by themselves. No,

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Speaker 1: not yet. I mean Sackam's developing, he's older. Jalen Brown

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Speaker 1: definitely not, not yet in his career, but he's a

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Speaker 1: very good player. I like Jalen Brown a lot, very

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Speaker 1: smart player, very articulate guy, very socially active. He would

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Speaker 1: fit in very well in the Houston market and you

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Speaker 1: can market around him. He's exciting, he's fun. He's not

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Speaker 1: James Harden. Okay, both the Celtics and the Raptors are

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Speaker 1: petrified that Giannis Antetokoupo just signed the Max Steele and

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Speaker 1: he's sticking around for a long time. So now you've

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Speaker 1: got to contend with that. Whether James Harden blows up

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Speaker 1: your locker room or not, you got to try to

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Speaker 1: figure out and roll the dice and hopefully he fits

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Speaker 1: and it works. The boss until there's have too many wings.

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Speaker 1: They've had too many wings for a while. James Harden

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Speaker 1: and Boston would be really interesting. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: James Harden works with Brad Stevens, but maybe. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if it works with Nick Nurse, But maybe I

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Speaker 1: get why both Boston and Toronto are heavily considering it

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Speaker 1: because they've got to find a way to keep pace.

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Speaker 1: But the win total for the Rockets at thirty five wins,

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Speaker 1: we're going under one fifteen. I got it at Circus

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Speaker 1: Sports of my as one fifteen. You can see where

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Speaker 1: you get it. I'm gonna go a half a unit here.

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go a full unit because Harden's still

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Speaker 1: on this team. So what happens if Harden is not traded?

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Speaker 1: If it doesn't happen, But I think right now it's

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Speaker 1: worth the flyer right now on the under for a

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Speaker 1: half a unit for the Rockets, under thirty five wins

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Speaker 1: for the Houston Rockets, just given the fact that I

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Speaker 1: think this team is going to wind up pretty bad,

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Speaker 1: and I think that they're actually expecting to wind up

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Speaker 1: pretty bad if they trade away James Harden. So again,

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Speaker 1: thirty five wins if you can get low that, if

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Speaker 1: you can get you know, you can get or above that,

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Speaker 1: Rather thirty five and a half thirty six wins. I

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Speaker 1: would jump on that because I think the Rockets are

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Speaker 1: going nowhere fast, and I think they're under thirty five

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Speaker 1: wins is a good number. So that's the second we

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Speaker 1: went over with the Warriors for thirty six and a

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Speaker 1: half for going under with the Rockets at thirty five wins.

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Speaker 1: Remember it's a seventy two game season, okay, so essentially

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Speaker 1: thirty five thirty six wins, it's five hundred without James Harden. Heck,

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Speaker 1: with James Harden, they might wind up going thirty five wins.

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Speaker 1: But without James Harden, that team is not winning thirty

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Speaker 1: five games. Okay, that's not happening. So let's go under

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Speaker 1: Rockets from MIAs one fifteen for half a unit for

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Speaker 1: the Rockets coming up this season. So those are the

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Speaker 1: two plays officially and the two prop bets you can

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Speaker 1: watch coming up here on a Monday. I'm back every day.

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Speaker 1: I will be around. I may not be in the

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Speaker 1: discord chet as much. I'm gonna try to decompress a

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Speaker 1: little bit here on vacation, but you got it every day,

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Speaker 1: even on holidays, even during my vacations. You're gonna get

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast each and every morning right here on

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot Com, Finance map or else. Follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports doc Matt and We're always brought to

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Speaker 1: you by BEDOMGM