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Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.

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Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,

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Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation,

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Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now,

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Speaker 1: here's your host, Paul. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. It's

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Speaker 1: a divisional round version of Fantasy Football Weekly by co

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Speaker 1: host today Brian Johnson. What's up charged the the best

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Speaker 1: weekend in football? They say, that's what they say, and

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Speaker 1: I think the usually a lot of truth to that. Right,

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Speaker 1: the wild card games can be really bad. Look at

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Speaker 1: Dallas Tampa. You know you've got really all good teams

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Speaker 1: left now for the most part, although I'm expecting some

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Speaker 1: lopsided games. Yeah, we'll get into him, obviously, but I

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Speaker 1: feel like the obvious underdogs have the better chance. It

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Speaker 1: was being the Jaguar, is in the Giants better chance

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Speaker 1: of an upset. M hmm. Well we'll get into each. Well, yeah,

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Speaker 1: we'll talk it through. We're gonna break down all the games.

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Speaker 1: That's that's what we're here to do and offer both

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Speaker 1: some fantasy advice and then because of the just the

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Speaker 1: crossover of UH fantasy and DFF mostly DFS because this week,

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Speaker 1: what are you gonna do draft a new team? DFS

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Speaker 1: makes sense, um, and some proper betting advice because what else.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we're breaking down these games. I mean again,

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Speaker 1: you're not drafting right now. You've already got your playoff rosters.

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Speaker 1: So I think this makes the most sense. I am

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Speaker 1: doing some best ball drafting. Still did some in the

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Speaker 1: divisional round, and then you kind of see where it was.

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Speaker 1: It was tough to get a good amount of Eagles

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Speaker 1: or Chiefs through if when you're drafting them, they're on

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Speaker 1: a bi so you're not getting So there's some high scoring,

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Speaker 1: high scoring players and some big time duds I met

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Speaker 1: justin Jefferson, probably the biggest of them all brutal. But

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Speaker 1: but yeah, like you said, it's really it's daily and

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Speaker 1: it's prop bits and dwindling down sadly. But for you know,

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Speaker 1: it will be drafting for I know we'll be doing

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Speaker 1: that on this show. Before long, you'll be we'll be

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Speaker 1: talking about that. Um. And I'm already starting. I'm starting

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Speaker 1: to prep up on the NFL draft, and so you

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Speaker 1: know off season is it's already starting. But let's focus

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Speaker 1: on these four games this weekend beginning with Jacksonville at

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Speaker 1: Kansas City. You just tipped your hand a little bit.

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Speaker 1: You think Jacksonville can hang in this one. I think

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be closer than than some expect. I don't

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Speaker 1: like how Trevor Lawrence was saying, how paraphrasing that arrowhead

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Speaker 1: is just as loud as uh any other stadium, including Jacksonville.

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Speaker 1: So they're really gonna be given it to him, even

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Speaker 1: more so the than normal there. But these teams did

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Speaker 1: play in week ten, the Chiefs one seventeen. I'm expecting

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Speaker 1: a little more points in this one, hopefully from a

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Speaker 1: fantasy perspective. And I'm not gonna break down every player,

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Speaker 1: but I got a few properly prop uh props I like,

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Speaker 1: and then they kind of spills over into dfs. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna start with Travis E. T N right now is

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Speaker 1: over under it receiving yards set at nineteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: I'm smashing that over right now. KC allowed these second

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Speaker 1: most receiving yards to running backs in the regular season,

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Speaker 1: forty six per game since Week fourteen. Here are the

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Speaker 1: backup running backs who would have hit that ninet sleep

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Speaker 1: yard over Marlon Max sixty two yards, Mike Boone twenty

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Speaker 1: seven receiving yards. DJ Dallas thirty two receiving yards, Chase

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Speaker 1: Edmonds thirty nine. Uh. E t N obviously a great

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Speaker 1: receiving back. He had twenty eight receiving yards in that

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Speaker 1: Week ten match up. I expect more in this one,

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Speaker 1: But from a DFS perspective, I'm fading Travis. E t

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Speaker 1: N projected to be the third highest rostered running back,

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Speaker 1: so he's gonna be somewhat chalky. Uh. He's the third

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Speaker 1: highest priced running back. And Uh. Even though I like

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Speaker 1: the nineteen and a half receiving yards over, just from

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Speaker 1: a DFS perspective, I'm off I'm off e t N.

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Speaker 1: The Chiefs have surrender just ten total touchdowns to running backs.

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Speaker 1: They've yielded the fourth fewest rushing attempts to the position,

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Speaker 1: So I'm not envisioning a balanced bell coue attack from

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Speaker 1: from E. T N here. But I do like that

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Speaker 1: over on the nineteen and a half receiving yards, and

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Speaker 1: another over on receiving yards I like is Evan Engram

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Speaker 1: right now said a forty eight and a half receiving yards.

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Speaker 1: I'll take that over All day, Kansas City has allowed

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Speaker 1: sixty yards per game to tight ends over their last

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Speaker 1: five games as most. No. Angram has been on fire

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Speaker 1: over the last two months. Uh. If you exclude the

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Speaker 1: week seventeen game against Houston where Jacksonville they started their starters,

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Speaker 1: but they didn't really give them a full run in

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Speaker 1: that game. UH. Angram has average nine targets, seven catches,

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Speaker 1: and eighty two yards per game over his last six games.

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Speaker 1: So give me that over on forty eight and a

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Speaker 1: half receiving yards all day, every day. And lastly, for

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Speaker 1: the Jags Jaguars side, I like Trevor Lawrence over two

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Speaker 1: d and sixty five and a half total yards. That's

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Speaker 1: passing and rushing. Of course, in week ten two passing

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Speaker 1: and twenty six rushing, that's two at eight five total yards.

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Speaker 1: If you can't do that in your head, I needed

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Speaker 1: to use a calculator to do that. So don't don't

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Speaker 1: feel bad. UH. The Chief's only fourth highest opponent passing

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Speaker 1: play percentage, which bodes well for Lawrence. Casey has allowed

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Speaker 1: just two passing yards per game, which isn't great when

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Speaker 1: it comes to this. UH. This total, but that average

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Speaker 1: has been sapped big time by some bad opposing passers

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Speaker 1: like Malik Willis twice in the last few weeks, Bryce Perkins,

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Speaker 1: Davis Mills, and the Jeff Driskal combo. Jared Stidham, who

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Speaker 1: had a good game not against the Chiefs the week before,

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Speaker 1: but he's still a backup quarterback. So we expect Keene

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Speaker 1: to see if you put a point. So I think

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Speaker 1: I think Lawrence hits this over. Can I give you

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Speaker 1: another Lawrence angle? Casey is bottom five in quarterback rushing attempts,

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Speaker 1: quarterback rushing yards, quarterback rushing touchdowns. The try the Trevor

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Speaker 1: Lawrence anytime touchdown is plus seven hundred. I'll take that

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Speaker 1: all day. Doesn't that seem like a good bet. But

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Speaker 1: of course that just means rushing that doesn't count for passion.

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Speaker 1: But those odds, I like those odds too. Yeah, nearly

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Speaker 1: nearly six rushing attempts per game. A lot of quarterbacks,

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Speaker 1: like you said, there are allowing five yards per carry

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Speaker 1: the position. So yeah, I like Lawrence. Is there a

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Speaker 1: DFS guy that you like on Jacksonville? It's you gotta

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Speaker 1: like Anger. My full anger will be a little chocolate.

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Speaker 1: I think Christian Kirk is like Kirk the slot cornerback

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Speaker 1: now is is Uh McDuffie. Trent McDuffie, first round pick,

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Speaker 1: but they've just moved him into the slot three games ago. Brian,

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Speaker 1: He's been thrown at fifteen times from the slot. Is

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Speaker 1: a whole NFL career fifteen times. Here comes Christian kirk

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Speaker 1: the you know, the most polished of the Jacksonville receivers.

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Speaker 1: You like the over on yards they're going somewhere, and

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Speaker 1: he had two touchdowns touchdowns in the first game game

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Speaker 1: as well, So yeah, you gotta like Kirk. I think

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Speaker 1: most people are gonna gravitate towards this game, whether it's

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Speaker 1: the Jaguars or the Chiefs from the DFS perspective because

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Speaker 1: it's the highest over under. But yeah, Kirk uh probably

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Speaker 1: the safest play with the highest ceiling for Jacksonville over

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Speaker 1: to the Kansas City side. Starting with Jack McKinnon. I

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Speaker 1: like his over of thirty four and a half receiving yards.

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Speaker 1: Jacksonville has allowed the third most receptions running back to

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Speaker 1: this season, six per game, and the fourth most receiving

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Speaker 1: yards forty four yards per game. McKinnon had six catches

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Speaker 1: for fifty six yards in Week ten and over his

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Speaker 1: last four games, and I'm going to exclude the blowout

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Speaker 1: win at Las Vegas in week eighteen, because again, that

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Speaker 1: wasn't really a full on effort. For Kansas City. McKinnon's

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Speaker 1: average sixty six receiving yards over his last four so

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Speaker 1: the thirty four and a half receiving yards teams pretty

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Speaker 1: low to me. I'll smash that over. And I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: smash the over on a tight end prop for Kansas City.

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Speaker 1: And no, it's not kills you. I'm going Noah Gray

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Speaker 1: fifteen and a half receiving yards high. Here, the Jaguars

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Speaker 1: have allowed the third most receiving yards at tight ends

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Speaker 1: in the regular season. That's sixty four per game. That

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Speaker 1: doesn't include the wild card game where Arld Everett, Donald

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Speaker 1: Parham and Trey mckittie combined for one dred and forty

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Speaker 1: eight yards last week against Jacksonville. And yes, Travis Kelsey

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Speaker 1: is obviously the starter. Yeah, but his line sitting at

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Speaker 1: I'm imagining like eight five yards Kelsey's at eighty five,

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Speaker 1: which she obviously can hit. But I liked his fifteen

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Speaker 1: and a half for Noah Gray. And here here's further

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Speaker 1: reason why. Um, he had two catches for twenty yards

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Speaker 1: when these teams met in week ten, so hit the

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Speaker 1: over there touchdown by the way, We'll get to the

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Speaker 1: touchdown in a second. Why that matters? Uh, But since then,

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Speaker 1: here are some tight end duos that would have smashed

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Speaker 1: this fifteen and a half yard recetiving yard over against

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Speaker 1: the Jaguars since Week ten. Josh Oliver had seventy six

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Speaker 1: yards and Mark Andrews had fifty in the same game.

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Speaker 1: Chigo Konquo had forty five and Austin Hooper had sixty eight.

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Speaker 1: In the same game, Tyler Conklin had thirty four and c.

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Speaker 1: J Uzoma had thirty in the same game. Jordan Aiken's

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Speaker 1: thirty eight, C J O j I'm sorry, O J.

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Speaker 1: Howard twenty six, and BREVN. Jordan had twenty all in

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Speaker 1: the same game. That's a trio four, are you then,

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Speaker 1: Chicko Conquo when Austin Hooper did it again O Conquo

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Speaker 1: And uh, you know, Gray, he sees about three to

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Speaker 1: four targets per game at best. He's but he's on

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Speaker 1: the field for six on the snaps. He really just

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Speaker 1: needs one catch, yeah, basically, and I'll take that. And

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Speaker 1: he he had two for the twenty Uh. And the

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Speaker 1: touchdown in the first meeting. Like I said, so here

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Speaker 1: comes Jodie Fortson. Is he coming back? I don't know,

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Speaker 1: Probably not, Probably, I don't think he is. Gray Gray

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Speaker 1: is the number two guy and a guy like as

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Speaker 1: a punt play in DFS. He's Barren Minimum. Everyone's gonna

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Speaker 1: be on Travis Kelsey. So it's either you know, you

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Speaker 1: fade Kelsey, go Gray or he can. You could use

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Speaker 1: both of them in in pairing with Mahomes. But I

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Speaker 1: think Gray as a Barren Minimum uh Price, and he's

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Speaker 1: gonna He's a great pivot play. Not a pivot play

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Speaker 1: pivot plays at the same price, but a great you know,

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Speaker 1: contrarian angle to uh Kelsey, who will be massively rostered

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Speaker 1: across the board. There we go. All right, let's go

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Speaker 1: to the Giants taking on Philadelphia, your former favorite team,

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Speaker 1: the York Giants, my all my favorite Formers and current

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Speaker 1: Bengals in the playoffs. In yeah, I was rooting for

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Speaker 1: the Vikings. That I'll put it. I want the Vikings

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Speaker 1: fans that we deserve. We deserve good things. It never happens. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna start with and you'll love this angle right

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Speaker 1: off the bat, Dallas Goddard. You were you uh correctly

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Speaker 1: in the preseason called a big season for Dallas Goddard.

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Speaker 1: Now the injury in the middle hurt and then at

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Speaker 1: the end of the year he just got iced out

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Speaker 1: by Gardner Minshew And for reasons I don't understand why

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Speaker 1: Gardner Minshew d prioritize him. So we're gonna talk a

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Speaker 1: little bit about how Dallas Goddard does with Jalen Hurts.

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Speaker 1: And by the way, the over here is forty eight

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Speaker 1: and a half yards. And I would also consider this

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Speaker 1: the plus two ten anytime touchdown on Dallas Goddard, that

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Speaker 1: would give you a combo parlay same game parlay of

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Speaker 1: plus three seventy. Okay, in Goddard's games with Hurts, he

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Speaker 1: averages five catches for sixty yards. I only need him

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Speaker 1: to get to forty eight. That gives me eleven cushion

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Speaker 1: yards right there. Uh. He topped today's line forty eight

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Speaker 1: and a half in two thirds of the Herds Hurts

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Speaker 1: starts this year. So I think there's some history that

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Speaker 1: we like that the Giants bottom ten defense against tight ends,

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Speaker 1: both in yards and receptions. That bodes well. Most importantly,

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Speaker 1: when I went back through the Giants box scores. I'm

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Speaker 1: looking for Dallas Goddard comparable tight ends. What did they do.

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Speaker 1: Here's all four guys that are at Dallas Goddard's level

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Speaker 1: against the Giants. Mark Andrews hundred six yards touchdown, Evan

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Speaker 1: Ingram sixty seven yards, Dalton Schultz two touchdowns. T J.

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Speaker 1: Hockenson thirteen catches hundred nine yards two touchdowns in the

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Speaker 1: first matchup and ten catches hundred twenty nine yards in

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Speaker 1: the second matchup. Those are all of the Goddard level talents.

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Speaker 1: And Ingram's probably not there, but he's still had a

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Speaker 1: good game against the Giants. So and you would envision

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Speaker 1: the Giants are almost gonna have the same high level

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Speaker 1: game plan that had against the Vikings where we're taken

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Speaker 1: out justin Jefferson, someone else is gonna beat us, and

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Speaker 1: they could easily do the same thing with a J.

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Speaker 1: Brown And they have two great receivers on Like, so

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Speaker 1: my DFS play in this game is Dallas Goddard. You

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Speaker 1: said everybody's gonna go to Travis Kelsey. You gotta make

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Speaker 1: this Travis Kelsey, Yes, no binary decision. It's only bucks

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Speaker 1: for Dallas Goddard. I feel like this is like a

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Speaker 1: historic low for him. I get one of the five

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Speaker 1: best tight ends in the league and one of the

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Speaker 1: two three best tight ends left in the playoffs at

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Speaker 1: Bucks reunited with his game breaking quarterback, and he comes

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Speaker 1: in a little higher. He's a little higher price than

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Speaker 1: Evan Engramo. People are gonna love too, so recency recency bias.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I like the Godder place should be relatively low,

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Speaker 1: little rostered. Alright, My next angle is Daniel Jones under

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Speaker 1: two four yards. Now, it was to twenty four yesterday

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Speaker 1: when I prepped for the show. I my understanding is

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Speaker 1: it's it's sliding down, so you want to watch this closely.

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Speaker 1: So the line is to twenty four. Brian Philadelphia played

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Speaker 1: seventeen games. How many games other was seventeen? Did they

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Speaker 1: give up more than two hundred twenty four yards? This

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Speaker 1: is just strictly passing passing yards. Uh. I will say

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Speaker 1: four to Daniel Jones by himself, how many times did

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Speaker 1: he top two four yards? Two four? So that makes

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Speaker 1: him a combined We pushed those two stats together for

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Speaker 1: getting over the two four. That's six overs and twenty

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Speaker 1: nine unders. We're going under the two four line. Uh.

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Speaker 1: The Vikings inept past defense has made the Giants offense

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Speaker 1: look way too good over the past month. This is

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Speaker 1: not the real Giants offense at all. They are gonna

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Speaker 1: know they're gonna face a very good Philly team that,

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Speaker 1: by the way, smoked Daniel Jones in the first game

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Speaker 1: he through for a hundred sixty nine yards. I mean

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Speaker 1: it wasn't even not even in the ballpark of this

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Speaker 1: line in the one game that Daniel Jones played against

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Speaker 1: Philadelphia earlier this year Philadelia. Philadelphia obviously isn't the lead

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Speaker 1: past defense. Yeah, usually the second divisional meeting in the

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Speaker 1: regular season, you usually see a dip in production offensively

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Speaker 1: from both teams. And now this is the third time

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Speaker 1: he play, It's gonna be bad for the Giants. I

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Speaker 1: see this as a one sided game. I do have

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Speaker 1: one giant angle that you can think about here, Richie James,

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Speaker 1: one of your guys, he is your slot receiver for

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Speaker 1: the Giants. Is anytime touchdown as plus three fifty. The

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Speaker 1: Eagles have got elite outside cornerbacks James Bradberry, revenge game

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Speaker 1: James Bradberry and Darius Slay. Nobody wants to slay Ride

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Speaker 1: but those are your outside corners. Why did Detroit give

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Speaker 1: up on Slay so easily? Too? But I know what

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Speaker 1: a what a plunder? Yeah? Um and yeah, And it's

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Speaker 1: not like they've replaced him with anybody good anyway. Um

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Speaker 1: in the slot they with the Eagles normally have a

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Speaker 1: Vonte Maddox who's pretty good, but he's out. The backup

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Speaker 1: is Josiah Scott. He's only started four NFL games in

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Speaker 1: his life and he's given up four touchdowns and he

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Speaker 1: ranks his Pro Football focuses cornerback seventy. I love this

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Speaker 1: matchup for Richie James. Philadelphia allowed sixteen wide receiver touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: Of those sixteen, you know how many went to the

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Speaker 1: slot nine nine of sixteen. Hey, nine times out of

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Speaker 1: sixteen the touchdowns they gave up were the slot receivers.

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Speaker 1: Richie James plus one three fifty anytime touchdown, Let's go

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Speaker 1: to Cincinnati taking a Buffalo. This is the marquee game

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Speaker 1: of the weekend. In a quick Yeah, Eagles. Off the

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Speaker 1: top of my head, you gotta just go with the

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Speaker 1: Boston Scott anytime touchdown. I'm not doing it. I'm not

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Speaker 1: doing it. But I know he's scored a ten of

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Speaker 1: his sixteen career touchdowns or seven. I think it's more.

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Speaker 1: I think it's more than that. It's more than half. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I remember doing before the first meeting on on this show,

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Speaker 1: he'd like nine of seventeen. Yeah, it's ridiculous, he is.

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Speaker 1: It's like too good to be true. I can't do

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Speaker 1: it and I can't either. It doesn't make any sense.

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Speaker 1: But you're right about that. I believe, I'm pretty I

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Speaker 1: looked it up for Mitch Moss. I believe the number

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Speaker 1: is ten out of seventeen career touchdowns. Let's go to

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati Buffalo, as I mentioned, the marquee game of the weekend. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: and of course a rematch of the game that uh

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Speaker 1: unfortunately didn't get to be finished in week seventeen. Uh.

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Speaker 1: Starting on the since he side Joe Burrow, his over

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Speaker 1: under for passing yards is at two seventies seven and

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Speaker 1: a half, which is pretty high considering the Bills I

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Speaker 1: have only allowed two passing yards per game this year,

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Speaker 1: but the list of quarterbacks they faced is pretty gross.

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Speaker 1: The only comparable quarterbacks they faced to Burrow where Patrick

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Speaker 1: Mahomes and Kirk Cousins, who both went over three hundred yards.

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Speaker 1: So I'm going with the over on this two d

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Speaker 1: seventy seven and a half passing yards for Burrow, who

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Speaker 1: only had two hundred nine against Baltimore last week. But

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Speaker 1: the game script should be a whole lot different against

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Speaker 1: the Bills, who have a much high powered offense and

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Speaker 1: the Ravens DOUN defense pretty good probably right now overall

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Speaker 1: better than Buffalo and last week Skyler Thompson two passing

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Speaker 1: yards probably would have hit this over if not for

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Speaker 1: some brutal drops like they were terrible drops, mainly by

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Speaker 1: Jalen Waddle. One was for like forty fifty yards, he

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Speaker 1: would have probably touched over that. UM. So I like

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Speaker 1: Burrow here. Um he got off to the hot start

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Speaker 1: against Buffalo in that week's seventeen game. He had fifty

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Speaker 1: two yards in a touchdown and basically like six plays

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Speaker 1: before the game had to be stopped for we we

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Speaker 1: know why, UM, and I like Burrow a lot. In

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Speaker 1: DFS two, I think he's gonna come in as probably

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Speaker 1: the lowest owned quarterback because people are gonna gravitate to

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Speaker 1: the super high ceilings of Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Patrick

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Speaker 1: Mahomes are gonna go cheap with Brock Purty, Danny Dimes,

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Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. Burrow is right in the middle. He's got

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Speaker 1: like the scary like red number next to his name,

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Speaker 1: like the fifth hardest. But if the Bengals are gonna

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Speaker 1: have any chance in this game, it's Burrow throwing fifty

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Speaker 1: times per game. I know there's offensive line issues, but

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Speaker 1: there were last year. And but this don't trivialize these

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Speaker 1: off I mean it was just as bad last year.

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Speaker 1: They made it to the super Bowl. They listen this,

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Speaker 1: this are these are massive losses that they've that they've

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Speaker 1: taken on two key starters that they don't have an

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Speaker 1: obvious replacement four and they lost Layla Collins or whatever

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Speaker 1: you know, I don't know six weeks ago. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is this line is not in good shape. And

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Speaker 1: that does worry me. It does. It worries me as well.

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Speaker 1: And I think Buffalo wins. But I'm still I'm still

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Speaker 1: liking the I still think he's gonna be airing it

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Speaker 1: out copiously throughout this game. So I'm still sticking with

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Speaker 1: the over. And if if you like Burrows passing yards over,

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Speaker 1: you got at least like one of his receivers, right

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Speaker 1: and I'm going with the lesser obvious Tyler Boyd. Here.

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Speaker 1: Tyler Boyd, who had in that week seventeen, got off hot,

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Speaker 1: started off hot fourteen yard touchdown on the first drive.

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Speaker 1: But this is in a touchdown prop. I'm just going

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Speaker 1: on the over on thirty and a half receiving yards. Again,

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Speaker 1: it was the fourteen yard touched own catch uh on

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Speaker 1: the one of two. It was really like one point

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Speaker 1: two drives. The Bengals had um. But Boyd will run

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Speaker 1: most of his routes against Tehran Johnson of Buffalo, who

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Speaker 1: owns a seventy catch rate and a one oh eight

355
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Speaker 1: passer rating in his coverage, Buffalo is gonna sell out

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Speaker 1: to stop Jamar Chase first and foremost he Higgins second.

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Speaker 1: I think we see boys and they shut down tight

358
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Speaker 1: ends too. I don't think Buffalo is loud like a

359
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Speaker 1: tight end touch and they're really good against last season

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Speaker 1: at the earliest. So I think Boyd will get to

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Speaker 1: hit this thirty eight and a half yard over. So

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Speaker 1: I like that uh for him. Speaking of tight ends,

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Speaker 1: we're not talking about Hayden Hurns, but I will talk

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Speaker 1: about Dawson Knox. I like the over on his three receptions.

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Speaker 1: The Bengals have allowed more than five catches per game

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Speaker 1: to opposing tight ends in the regular season. Last week

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Speaker 1: against Baltimore and the wild card round, Mark Andrews and

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Speaker 1: Josh Oliver combined for seven catches. Knox has had at

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Speaker 1: least three catches and four of his last five games,

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Speaker 1: So I like this over three. And it's for the record. Uh.

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Speaker 1: He scored at each of those five games too, five

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Speaker 1: straight games with a touchdown for Bawston Knox. So another

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Speaker 1: guy that you can definitely look at when when it

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Speaker 1: comes to daily fantasy. I like him if you're gonna

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Speaker 1: pivot away from Kelsey or Engram and or not go

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Speaker 1: with Goddard, but like, maybe you could go double tight

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Speaker 1: end with Knox and gotten really uhentiate yourself. And lastly,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna go with the kicker prop here.

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Speaker 1: I wish we had a Cecily, our elite kicker writer

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Speaker 1: for guillotine leagues. I don't fantastic. He's great, So I

381
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Speaker 1: tried to channel my inter Sicily here. Cecily, excuse me,

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Speaker 1: but I'm not gonna do as good a job as her.

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Speaker 1: But uh she I've learned a lot from reading her

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Speaker 1: rankings every week. I'm going over for Tyler Bass is

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00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:43,159
Speaker 1: one and a half Fueld goals made. Quite simply, the

386
00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:45,960
Speaker 1: Bengals are yielding two point four Fueld goal attempts per game,

387
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Speaker 1: second most in the league. Buffalo is averaging two Fueld

388
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Speaker 1: goal attempts per game. Bass kicked the Fueld goal and

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Speaker 1: Buffalo is loan possession in the week's seventeen game at

390
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Speaker 1: the Bengals, who also own a fifty red zone scoring

391
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Speaker 1: percentage in terms of touchdowns, which is the fifth lowest

392
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Speaker 1: clip in the week, so that that bodes well for

393
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Speaker 1: kickers and bad for the offense wanted to score touchdown.

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Speaker 1: So Tyler Bass over one and a half field goals.

395
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Speaker 1: I bet you somebody out there is making a career

396
00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:18,199
Speaker 1: betting kickers when nobody's betting. Nobody bets kickers, and somebody

397
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Speaker 1: has broken the code on it and is finding all

398
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Speaker 1: because you know, there's so little scrutiny on the on

399
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Speaker 1: the kicker numbers. Somebody is figuring out all the great

400
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Speaker 1: kicker plays and is making a living on kickers. Hopefully

401
00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:35,720
Speaker 1: those people weren't betting the over on Brett Monter's extra

402
00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:41,880
Speaker 1: points made last week was five he missed? He made

403
00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:43,639
Speaker 1: the fifth? Or do you make a fuel goal? He

404
00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:45,960
Speaker 1: made a kick I can't remember, think it was a

405
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Speaker 1: field goal, and then I think he hit an extra

406
00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:51,600
Speaker 1: point after that, if I remember correctly, they scored a

407
00:21:51,640 --> 00:21:53,280
Speaker 1: lot of points and they hang. I saw they brought

408
00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:57,320
Speaker 1: in another Why bringing another kicker's money this year? I

409
00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:59,679
Speaker 1: know he was great. Don't you just go you had

410
00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:02,119
Speaker 1: a bad game. I don't understand why we hold kickers

411
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Speaker 1: the different standards here and in Minnesota. We let Daniel

412
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Speaker 1: Carlson walk after drafting him, and now he's gone on

413
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:09,120
Speaker 1: to be the most, the highest, the most accurate kicker,

414
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Speaker 1: the best kicker in the league since the Vikings let

415
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Speaker 1: him go because he had a he had a bad game.

416
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Speaker 1: I understand why we do that. Quarterbacks have bad games,

417
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Speaker 1: running backs have bad games, tackles have bad games. Whide

418
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Speaker 1: receivers have bad games. We don't just cut them. We

419
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Speaker 1: do it with kickers. If you're listening out there and

420
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Speaker 1: you got a kid with a strong leg, push him

421
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:30,200
Speaker 1: in the path of punting rather than place kicking. Like

422
00:22:30,320 --> 00:22:32,760
Speaker 1: the same money pretty much and much less pressure. It

423
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Speaker 1: is much less pressure, like you name, like a punter

424
00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:38,280
Speaker 1: that blew the soup, like everyone remember Scott and right exactly,

425
00:22:38,359 --> 00:22:42,240
Speaker 1: And they're not gonna make There's no Ray Finkel in

426
00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:46,880
Speaker 1: Hollywood for punters. The I was talking to former Viking

427
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 1: punter Chris Klue once and the the maybe the best

428
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:52,919
Speaker 1: reason to be a punter. I mean, you know, besides,

429
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:55,440
Speaker 1: you know, you're making great money compared to what you do.

430
00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:01,359
Speaker 1: No meetings these guys have, they have like one third

431
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:03,960
Speaker 1: they have no playbook, right they have they do so

432
00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:08,200
Speaker 1: much less work. The when your days his day was

433
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:10,520
Speaker 1: like half a day every day. You know, he was

434
00:23:10,600 --> 00:23:13,679
Speaker 1: painting miniatures for half of his day and playing guitar hero.

435
00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:15,520
Speaker 1: It's that was half of his day at Winner Park.

436
00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:18,320
Speaker 1: It's a good life. It's either kicking as punched as

437
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:20,639
Speaker 1: far as you can or try to get within the twenty.

438
00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:24,440
Speaker 1: It doesn't matter who the opponent is or anything else.

439
00:23:24,520 --> 00:23:27,280
Speaker 1: And just you know, there was or if Devin Hester's

440
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:29,240
Speaker 1: back there, just make sure he doesn't catch the ball.

441
00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:31,000
Speaker 1: Well that was that was a bit of a problem.

442
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:39,640
Speaker 1: Dallas taking at San Francisco will be the final game.

443
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:42,440
Speaker 1: That's the Sunday night game. The Niners are gonna destroy

444
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:48,240
Speaker 1: the Cowboys for the Cowboys. The delta between the eight

445
00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:54,120
Speaker 1: and nine Buccaneers and the forty Niners is gigantic. It's

446
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:57,080
Speaker 1: the Grand Canyon in the delta between talent. Here, the

447
00:23:57,320 --> 00:24:00,520
Speaker 1: Cowboys are gonna be stunned and staggered by what's coming

448
00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:04,439
Speaker 1: at them compared to what they just faced. Let's talk

449
00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:06,520
Speaker 1: about the Niners passing game, because I think on my

450
00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:09,840
Speaker 1: my betting angles, if I could bet to Minnesota, what

451
00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:13,080
Speaker 1: are all on the Niners passing game? So Dallas is

452
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:16,199
Speaker 1: on their fourth and fifth string cornerbacks. They're using street

453
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:19,520
Speaker 1: free agent Xavier Rhodes, who played twenty one snaps on

454
00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:22,359
Speaker 1: Monday after one week with the team. He's a street

455
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:25,399
Speaker 1: free agent. Buffalo cut him like a month earlier or

456
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:30,440
Speaker 1: something after that. They've also got Durron Bland, who last

457
00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:33,520
Speaker 1: week gave up ninety yards in a score in Israel.

458
00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:39,080
Speaker 1: Mook Kuama. Are your cornerbacks outside of Trayvon Diggs and

459
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:43,240
Speaker 1: Trayvon Digs is good. He's not an elite coverage cornerback.

460
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 1: He's merely an okay coverage cornerback who picks off a

461
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:50,879
Speaker 1: lot of passes. Also, Dallas's pass rush, which everybody's all

462
00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:53,960
Speaker 1: nervous about Dallas's pass rush. They've tapered off a ton

463
00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:58,760
Speaker 1: after a fantastic start like through Halloween, they were an

464
00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:02,240
Speaker 1: amazing pass right, they tapered sense over the last six

465
00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:04,080
Speaker 1: games are averaging one and a half sex per game.

466
00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:08,600
Speaker 1: That is just NFL average. That is totally normal pass rushing,

467
00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:11,600
Speaker 1: and the Niners offensive line fully healthy. San Francisco has

468
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,480
Speaker 1: got Pro Football Focus is fourth ranked pass blocking unit.

469
00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:18,680
Speaker 1: I'm everything. All my angles here are gonna be Niners

470
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,280
Speaker 1: passing game. I think they're gonna crush here. So let's

471
00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:23,399
Speaker 1: start with this one. Rock Purty over one and a

472
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:26,280
Speaker 1: half touchdowns I think pretty pretty spent over one a

473
00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:30,320
Speaker 1: half touchdowns every game, so why not this game? You'll

474
00:25:30,560 --> 00:25:33,600
Speaker 1: you'll you'll get paid minus one twelve, so you'll almost

475
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:37,280
Speaker 1: make even money on that deal. Could quit possibly have

476
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:40,480
Speaker 1: two touchdowns on two air yards to McCaffrey and Debo

477
00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:44,760
Speaker 1: Oh speaking to get this, Mitch Moss told me this, Uh,

478
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:52,640
Speaker 1: the stat on plays with Brock Purty, George Kittle, Brandon

479
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:56,879
Speaker 1: a Uk and Deebo Samuel on the field and Christian

480
00:25:56,960 --> 00:26:00,639
Speaker 1: McCaffrey on the field. So your core elite skill players

481
00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:02,760
Speaker 1: um plays in which they are all on the field.

482
00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 1: At the same time, the forty niners are averaging fifteen

483
00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:14,160
Speaker 1: yards per play. That's insane and probably on like five

484
00:26:14,280 --> 00:26:17,400
Speaker 1: air yards base because pretty is he's like a five

485
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:19,520
Speaker 1: and a half six and a half air yard guy.

486
00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 1: He's just got to get in those guys hands. And

487
00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:24,640
Speaker 1: they speaking of which Black Purty over two thirty five

488
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:27,720
Speaker 1: passing yards, um, Deebo Samuel only has to get over

489
00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:30,120
Speaker 1: fifty four and a half yards. That could be one catch.

490
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:33,080
Speaker 1: Brandon Ayouk only has to get over fifty three and

491
00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:35,600
Speaker 1: a half yards and you can get I like the

492
00:26:35,800 --> 00:26:39,119
Speaker 1: value of his any time touchdown for Brandon Ayouk plus two.

493
00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:43,400
Speaker 1: That's a good value on any time touchdown for him.

494
00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:46,240
Speaker 1: And my DFS angle here. Ayou's coming in around five thousand.

495
00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:51,200
Speaker 1: He's five thousand on DraftKings. I like him Joan Jennings.

496
00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:54,159
Speaker 1: He's got a great matchup in the slot. Dallas has

497
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:57,840
Speaker 1: been using their safety uh drunk not you're on curse?

498
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:01,280
Speaker 1: What's curse? His first name starts with Jake Javon jabon curse. Um,

499
00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:04,159
Speaker 1: they've been using him in the slot. That dude is wooden.

500
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:07,800
Speaker 1: He is so stiff. That is a massive plus for

501
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:11,080
Speaker 1: Juan Jennings. He's thirty four hundred bucks, but he's he's

502
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:13,320
Speaker 1: a little dinged up. See if you're ben comfortable with

503
00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:17,080
Speaker 1: his health situation, Joan Jennings has got a really nice

504
00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:19,720
Speaker 1: matchup in the slot. J Ron Curs. I think Jameon

505
00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:24,520
Speaker 1: Curs was the freak that the man. Why did his

506
00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 1: Why was his career shorter? I think he was a

507
00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:30,560
Speaker 1: Why was it shorter than it should have been? Because

508
00:27:30,560 --> 00:27:34,439
Speaker 1: you're right, that dude was he was awesome. This has

509
00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:37,320
Speaker 1: been what this has been like two thousand, four thousand

510
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:41,240
Speaker 1: five something like? What happened? How did it all end fast?

511
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:44,880
Speaker 1: For him? Let's see, he was the edge rusher, right linebacker,

512
00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:48,639
Speaker 1: edge rusher for the Titans, get drafted in nine. It

513
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:52,320
Speaker 1: was a while ago. Let's see, it was just injury.

514
00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:54,080
Speaker 1: I forget what it was. He played from the Titans

515
00:27:54,560 --> 00:27:58,240
Speaker 1: two thousand, two thousand three, then Eagles oh four, oh seven,

516
00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:03,440
Speaker 1: and back with the Titans. I think he he was

517
00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:05,960
Speaker 1: he just he got He just just kept getting injured

518
00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:08,280
Speaker 1: for whatever reason, got his career short. But yeah, he

519
00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:10,280
Speaker 1: was the most feared. It sounds like he was in

520
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:12,240
Speaker 1: the league for the better part of ten years. He was,

521
00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:14,440
Speaker 1: he was He was never quite like he was in

522
00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:20,400
Speaker 1: those early early Titans days, dominating player at one point,

523
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:23,560
Speaker 1: that's for sure. Uh So what I what I was

524
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:27,000
Speaker 1: getting at the opening of the show when I sit up, like, so,

525
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:31,720
Speaker 1: between the the NFC, the Giants and the Cowboys, Who's

526
00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:33,320
Speaker 1: who do you think it's a better chance to upset?

527
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:34,520
Speaker 1: I know you don't think either canna win, but I

528
00:28:34,560 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 1: think the Giants have a better chance than the Cowboys do. Um,

529
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:41,280
Speaker 1: I would say Giants as well because of the divisional familiarity. Um,

530
00:28:41,480 --> 00:28:42,960
Speaker 1: you know they you know I would so I would

531
00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:45,600
Speaker 1: use that. I would agree, I think that a better chance,

532
00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:47,600
Speaker 1: but I think they both get blown out, and I

533
00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:49,400
Speaker 1: think that I think the Jaguars have a better chance

534
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:53,840
Speaker 1: of upset than the Bengals do. Wow. Really, Wow, you're

535
00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:58,400
Speaker 1: Jaguar crazy and you know your nothing to lose credit

536
00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:01,680
Speaker 1: talking up the Jaguar is last May and they ended

537
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:04,520
Speaker 1: up winning their division, So you've you've earned the right

538
00:29:04,600 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 1: to peacock a little bit about your Jaguars. I left

539
00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:13,960
Speaker 1: the Bengals. I did what I needed to do there,

540
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:15,840
Speaker 1: brought them to prominence, and I was like, I gotta

541
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:19,720
Speaker 1: follow Dan Arnold to Jacksonville. His team needs my help,

542
00:29:19,800 --> 00:29:22,280
Speaker 1: and here we are. So what happens if dan Arnold?

543
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:24,880
Speaker 1: Where dan Arnold gonna be next year? He's never on

544
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 1: the same team more than more than a year to well,

545
00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:31,400
Speaker 1: I think that they have to resign Evan Ingram at

546
00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:34,040
Speaker 1: they have to, but I will contest if they did

547
00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 1: not sign Evan Ingram dan Arnold bit ahead of pretty

548
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:38,840
Speaker 1: damn good year because he would have been the past

549
00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:42,600
Speaker 1: catching tight end for the Jaguars. So, oh well, maybe

550
00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:46,280
Speaker 1: next year we'll see. Maybe he's still under contract. You

551
00:29:46,360 --> 00:29:48,960
Speaker 1: have not memorized dan Arnold's contract. Well, I remember the

552
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:52,800
Speaker 1: Panthers signed him to a three year deal M four

553
00:29:52,880 --> 00:29:54,320
Speaker 1: last year and then they traded him. So this was

554
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:56,080
Speaker 1: the second year of that deal. So he's still under

555
00:29:56,120 --> 00:30:00,959
Speaker 1: contracts So see what happens. Okay, thanks for liszt in everybody. Uh,

556
00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:04,200
Speaker 1: thirty minute mark. Not bad. We'll have fewer games to

557
00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:07,920
Speaker 1: break down next week. There's only seven NFL games left. Seven,

558
00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:12,280
Speaker 1: that's it. So you're you're going all favorites this week.

559
00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 1: I'm going all favorites, all favorites, it's all. I know,

560
00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:17,640
Speaker 1: it's chalky, but you know, long time listeners, No, I

561
00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:19,560
Speaker 1: have no problem going against the grain. I just don't

562
00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:22,680
Speaker 1: see it this week. I feel like either the Giants

563
00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:24,440
Speaker 1: or the Jaguars are gonna pull it up. They're just

564
00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:26,640
Speaker 1: hot right now, and I know that. I don't want

565
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:28,200
Speaker 1: to take anything away from what the Giants did, but

566
00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:31,760
Speaker 1: like you said, the Vikings, that defensive, that defense, so

567
00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:35,360
Speaker 1: many bad quarterbacks. I like the Jaguars chances a little more.

568
00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:36,719
Speaker 1: It's gonna take a hell of an effort to win

569
00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:38,800
Speaker 1: that game. But they're they're they're playing with house money

570
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 1: right now. They've got nothing to lose. There is something

571
00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:45,240
Speaker 1: about that is on Kansas City right now, so we'll

572
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:46,959
Speaker 1: see what that. There's something to that. That's why they

573
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:50,640
Speaker 1: play the game. Thanks for listening, everybody. Fantasy Football Weekly

574
00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:53,440
Speaker 1: is a production of I Heart Radio. For more podcasts

575
00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:55,800
Speaker 1: for my heart Radio, visit the i heart Radio app,

576
00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:58,960
Speaker 1: Apple podcast, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.

577
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:02,040
Speaker 1: In the first first p