1 00:00:03,200 --> 00:00:07,520 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York Bloomberg eleven, Rio to Washington, 2 00:00:07,600 --> 00:00:11,719 Speaker 1: d C Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg Well under It to 3 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 1: San Francisco Bloomberg nine six to the country sis XM 4 00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:19,440 Speaker 1: Channel one nineteen, and around the globe the Bloomberg Radio 5 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:23,680 Speaker 1: plus Appen Bloomberg dot Com. This is taking Stock. I'm 6 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: Kathleen Hayes, my co host Pim Fox on vacation. This week, 7 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: we're gonna be taking a look at oil. The prices 8 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 1: down about forty seven bucks of barrel after being firmly 9 00:00:33,520 --> 00:00:38,040 Speaker 1: above fifty bucks for just a few weeks. Will uh 10 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:42,040 Speaker 1: kind of bottlenet caused by oil field services help boost 11 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:44,239 Speaker 1: that oil price again? While our guests coming up on 12 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 1: the show now, Sean Heinrath from a t Kearney in 13 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 1: Houston says, don't count out. He's got a very fascinating explanation. 14 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 1: And we're gonna take a look at the breaking news 15 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 1: in the last half hour. Apple facing a potential tax 16 00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 1: bill running into billions of euros as the EU poises 17 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 1: to release of finding into its dealings with Ireland as 18 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 1: soon as tomorrow. Well, we don't have to wait tomorrow 19 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 1: for this Charlie Pelletts in the news room, and he's 20 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:08,520 Speaker 1: got a Bloomberg business flash, and I think of Kathleen Hayes. 21 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 1: Let's begin with Apple shares now trading unchanged one oh 22 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 1: six ninety six on shares of Apple. You were mentioning 23 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:18,319 Speaker 1: crude oil West Texas Intermediate down one and a half percent, 24 00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:21,679 Speaker 1: falling seventy cents of barrel on w t I forty 25 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:25,440 Speaker 1: ninety three. Right now, Brent crew down one point one percent, 26 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:29,240 Speaker 1: down fifty six cents thirty seven. Natural gas heading the 27 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 1: other direction, off now by three tenths of one percent 28 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:34,880 Speaker 1: to eighty eight per million bt us on natural gas. 29 00:01:35,200 --> 00:01:38,119 Speaker 1: Oil is declining them with doubts that producers will agree 30 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: on a deal to stabilize the market when global suppliers 31 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:45,960 Speaker 1: meet next month for informal talks. Jason Schenker is chief 32 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:49,000 Speaker 1: economists at Prestige Economics. He was interviewed this morning on 33 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:52,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Television. A town of this is very different than 34 00:01:52,400 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 1: anything we've seen in a while from OPEC. Uh. You know, 35 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 1: they've had side meetings before, but they haven't been formally announced. 36 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:03,320 Speaker 1: Uh of the press release directly from the OPEC secretariat, 37 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:05,560 Speaker 1: and you've got different members saying they might do this, 38 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 1: they might do this. Uh, you know, and I don't 39 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:11,920 Speaker 1: think personally that they're going to change their production levels, 40 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:14,560 Speaker 1: but the fact that that could be on the table 41 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:17,960 Speaker 1: if prices fall further is something that has stemmed prices. 42 00:02:18,040 --> 00:02:20,240 Speaker 1: Here man, we will have more on oil coming up 43 00:02:20,320 --> 00:02:23,600 Speaker 1: right here on taking stock. Herbal Life shares trading higher 44 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:26,640 Speaker 1: after billionaire Carly Com bought more than two point three 45 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:30,320 Speaker 1: million shares in the embattled nutrition company that has the 46 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:33,080 Speaker 1: high profile that that is the high profile target of 47 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:37,440 Speaker 1: fellow billionaire activist investor Bill Ackman. Herbal Life up now 48 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: by three point nine two thirty two on Wall Street. Now, 49 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:43,720 Speaker 1: let's take a look at other news from around the world. 50 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: Thank you, Charlie from the Bloomberg Newsroom. I'm Matt Miller. 51 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 1: One of Hillary Clinton's closest aids, Huma abbot In, said 52 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 1: she's separating from her scandal plagued husband. Former Congressman Anthony 53 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 1: Weiner ween to resigned from Congress in two thousand eleven 54 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:03,359 Speaker 1: after he was caught texting intimate pictures of himself to women. 55 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 1: There's now a report that he again exchanged sexually charged 56 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:11,239 Speaker 1: messages with another woman the White House says the United 57 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 1: States today is meeting President Obama's goal of admitting ten 58 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 1: thousand Syrian refugees during the current fiscal year. After a 59 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: slow start, the administration was able to hit the goal 60 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:24,919 Speaker 1: a month ahead of schedule. Brazil's suspended president has made 61 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:29,200 Speaker 1: an emotional appeal to keep her job. Joe Marussa urged 62 00:03:29,240 --> 00:03:32,519 Speaker 1: senators today to vote against her impeachment. She said it 63 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 1: would amount to her death sentence and would put Brazil's 64 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:40,520 Speaker 1: democracy at risk. Julia l Chi, Bloomberg's Salpoulo bureau chief, 65 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 1: spoke with Bloomberg Television. She mentioned that a few times 66 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 1: people people kept asking her, will your resign? Will you resign? 67 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 1: And she says, it's just not in me. I don't 68 00:03:50,600 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 1: give up, I don't fight, And she kept saying she's 69 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 1: not fighting for her terms, she's fighting for democracy and 70 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:59,560 Speaker 1: justice and just reiterated that she is innocent of the 71 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 1: crime he's being accused of. Businesses on North Carolina's outer 72 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 1: banks are watching tropical weather systems that could rain out 73 00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:09,240 Speaker 1: one of the last busy weeks of the summer tourist season. 74 00:04:09,680 --> 00:04:13,120 Speaker 1: One tropical depression is about three hundred miles southeast of 75 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:16,719 Speaker 1: the Cape Hatteras Beaches and is moving northeast. In the 76 00:04:16,720 --> 00:04:20,279 Speaker 1: Gulf of Mexico. Another tropical depression is churning west of 77 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 1: Key West Global News twenty four hours a day, powered 78 00:04:23,000 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 1: by over twenty hundred journalists and analysts and more than 79 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 1: one twenty countries. I'm Matt Miller. This is Bloomberg, and 80 00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 1: we thank you what again recapping The stocks are rallying 81 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:36,920 Speaker 1: with the SMP five hundred index up twelve, a gain 82 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:40,400 Speaker 1: of six tenths of one percent of ten year up seconds, 83 00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 1: the yield one point five six. I'm Charlie Platon. That's 84 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:49,159 Speaker 1: a Bloomberg business flash. You're listening to taking stock with 85 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:54,400 Speaker 1: bim box at Kathleen Hayes on Bloomberg Radio. Taking stock 86 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 1: of the energy market. We step back. Two big forces 87 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:02,760 Speaker 1: at work of You say a global supply glut uh 88 00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:05,960 Speaker 1: that has not been sufficient and reduced. Others say, well, 89 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:08,480 Speaker 1: global demand that keeps rising. Sooner or later that all 90 00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 1: price will not on lea surpass fifty bucks of barrowbable 91 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:15,039 Speaker 1: head to sixties seventy even higher. Our next guest is 92 00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 1: looking at oil field services. This may be key this 93 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:22,719 Speaker 1: part of the industry to how prices performed. Next, Sean 94 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 1: Heinroth is a principal oil and gas at the consulting 95 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 1: from A. T. Kearney and he's joining us from Houston, Texas, 96 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:32,599 Speaker 1: the heart of US oil country. Shaun, welcome, Hey, thank 97 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 1: you very much. Kathleen, happy to be here. So, UH, 98 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 1: tell us broadly how the oil field services fits into 99 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 1: the industry right now and why it's so important to 100 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 1: your outlook for how quickly oil prices can rise and 101 00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:50,719 Speaker 1: how long they can stay at higher levels A couple 102 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:53,159 Speaker 1: of things, Kathleen, I think that the oil field service 103 00:05:53,200 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 1: industry as a whole is a very complementary piece to 104 00:05:56,560 --> 00:06:00,800 Speaker 1: what determines ultimately what we're able to supply UH in 105 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:03,599 Speaker 1: the energy side of the equation. So they work with 106 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 1: operators and provide a lot of the technology and and 107 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:11,599 Speaker 1: frankly just the labor that goes into UH providing the 108 00:06:11,640 --> 00:06:15,120 Speaker 1: oil and gas that UH is ultimately consumed in the 109 00:06:15,120 --> 00:06:19,800 Speaker 1: petrochemical and refining industries. And so UH they are one 110 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:23,200 Speaker 1: half of that equation in a sense. Okay, And so 111 00:06:23,279 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 1: what is the state of the oil field services, What's 112 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:28,880 Speaker 1: what's the struggle? Why is this going to be so 113 00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 1: important to the outlook for oil I think a couple 114 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:35,440 Speaker 1: of things that have gone on here. As we entered 115 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 1: into late two thousand and fourteen, we had a very 116 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:42,880 Speaker 1: typical oversupply in the industry that we see periodically on 117 00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:45,679 Speaker 1: the order of every five to ten years. A couple 118 00:06:45,680 --> 00:06:48,720 Speaker 1: of things that were different that happened back in two 119 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:52,440 Speaker 1: thousand and fourteen and continue today. One is UH with 120 00:06:52,560 --> 00:06:54,919 Speaker 1: the oversupply, it came at a time when there were 121 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 1: a couple of sluggish economies both throughout Asia and Europe, 122 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:02,040 Speaker 1: so we did and get that normal response to lower 123 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 1: fuel prices that come with an oversupply situation. The second 124 00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 1: that's more interesting and more specific to oil field services 125 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:16,320 Speaker 1: is this promise of unconventionals here in North America, and 126 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:19,120 Speaker 1: we're beginning to see evidence of another regions of the 127 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:24,240 Speaker 1: world has begun to take full effect. And with that, 128 00:07:24,320 --> 00:07:26,840 Speaker 1: the oil field service companies have been at the forefront 129 00:07:26,960 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 1: really of defining UH that promise through the technology and 130 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:35,000 Speaker 1: through the capital investments that they've made on their half 131 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 1: UH that are really complementary to a lot of the 132 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:42,160 Speaker 1: funds that the operators were pushing into the industry. UH. 133 00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:45,200 Speaker 1: And I'll say, for instance, if we look just at 134 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:47,400 Speaker 1: the permium base in here out in West Texas and 135 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:52,320 Speaker 1: New Mexico. Uh, compared to two years ago, well, activity 136 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:56,040 Speaker 1: is determined by oil field services companies is down almost 137 00:07:56,040 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 1: seventy yet production is almost flat. It's it's roughly percent down. 138 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 1: And a lot of that, uh efficiency or productivity growth 139 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 1: has really been enabled through advancements at the oil field 140 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:12,760 Speaker 1: service companies have been able to create through R and 141 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 1: D programs and through efficiency programs that really the operators 142 00:08:17,360 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 1: are standing to benefit from. So, in other words, people 143 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 1: have been kind of worried about the energy market being 144 00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: you know, somebody layoffs under maintain ascids, that the oil 145 00:08:29,080 --> 00:08:31,920 Speaker 1: field services be this big bottleneck as demand for crude 146 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:34,960 Speaker 1: begins to pick up and that could cause prices to 147 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 1: your rise. You're kind of letting us know maybe not, 148 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:44,960 Speaker 1: maybe probably not. Uh. What about Also though the OPEC meeting, 149 00:08:45,240 --> 00:08:48,120 Speaker 1: you know, next month, informal talks for all these big 150 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:50,679 Speaker 1: global suppliers are going to be taking place. How's that 151 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:53,480 Speaker 1: going to enter into what's the key question to the 152 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 1: price of oil? Ahead of that? I think when I 153 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 1: think about what OPEC is able to do, certainly the 154 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:02,400 Speaker 1: decisions that come out of those meetings have the potential 155 00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:06,360 Speaker 1: to create an uptick in the market. Uh maybe through 156 00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 1: just the shifting of uh kind of the depression that's 157 00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:12,160 Speaker 1: taken place in the market. I think a lot of 158 00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:14,480 Speaker 1: people have, you know, thought a year ago this market 159 00:09:14,520 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 1: would already have begun its recovery, and here we are 160 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:20,200 Speaker 1: a year later, effectively below or or at where we 161 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:24,800 Speaker 1: were this time last summer. Um. But frankly, any decision 162 00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 1: that's made by OPEC and in some of the other 163 00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 1: large producing companies, I have a feeling will be more 164 00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 1: temporary in nature and really delay the inevitable. Uh. When 165 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:39,079 Speaker 1: I look at the numbers and and the reserve potentials. Uh, 166 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:42,720 Speaker 1: you know, the the unconventional base that's here in North 167 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:46,120 Speaker 1: America and other regions around the world has the potential 168 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:50,599 Speaker 1: to really disrupt OPEC and other large producing nations ability 169 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 1: to really regulate and control the market. Maybe they can 170 00:09:53,920 --> 00:09:56,400 Speaker 1: do it in the next couple of years, but I 171 00:09:56,440 --> 00:09:58,880 Speaker 1: think they're reaching the end of their rope in terms 172 00:09:58,920 --> 00:10:02,080 Speaker 1: of overall demand and what percentage they control of that. 173 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:04,720 Speaker 1: Where's the price of oil going next? Are you suggesting 174 00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 1: maybe it's going down because there's not going to be 175 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:10,640 Speaker 1: this bottleneck or where do you see what we're all 176 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:12,760 Speaker 1: going from here? I think there'll be some short term 177 00:10:12,840 --> 00:10:16,480 Speaker 1: volatility of it, depending on what happens in next month's meetings, 178 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:19,200 Speaker 1: But when I look at the fundamentals, it supports a 179 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:22,920 Speaker 1: more moderate growth position UH in terms of pricing over 180 00:10:22,960 --> 00:10:25,720 Speaker 1: the next several years, and so we will get back 181 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:29,000 Speaker 1: to those seventy and eighty dollar pricing levels, but that 182 00:10:29,080 --> 00:10:33,040 Speaker 1: will come partly through inflation and partly through increase demand 183 00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:36,080 Speaker 1: over an extended period of time. Sean Heyra, thank you 184 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 1: so very much for joining us principle for oil and 185 00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:44,320 Speaker 1: gas at a consulting company A T. Kearney in Houston, Texas. 186 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 1: So up next, we are going to be taking a 187 00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:50,079 Speaker 1: look at a couple of very big stories. In particular Apple, 188 00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:53,559 Speaker 1: it may be facing billions of euros in tax arreers 189 00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:56,240 Speaker 1: according to an EV decision pending that we don't know 190 00:10:56,320 --> 00:11:03,080 Speaker 1: for sure yet. This is Bloomberg Caesar's entertainment. Can it 191 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:06,760 Speaker 1: remove one more log jam ahead of the road to 192 00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:10,360 Speaker 1: getting out of bankruptcy? Another big story today coming up 193 00:11:10,400 --> 00:11:11,960 Speaker 1: on taking stock Bloomberg Radio