1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:08,600 Speaker 1: Come on, this is becoming a catastrophe. Catastrophe bonn issuance 2 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:12,800 Speaker 1: was at eight point fifteen billion as of June, pushing 3 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 1: the outstanding cat bond market to a new record at 4 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,159 Speaker 1: over twenty nine billion. Here with a look at the 5 00:00:17,480 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 1: catastrophe bond market. Daniel Strander, he standard excuse me, he 6 00:00:21,720 --> 00:00:27,000 Speaker 1: is global Managing director at RMS Risk Management Solutions. It's 7 00:00:27,000 --> 00:00:29,760 Speaker 1: a global catastrophe risk modeling company. He joins us on 8 00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 1: the phone from the UK. Daniel, nice to have you 9 00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:35,760 Speaker 1: here on Bloomberg Radio. Welcome. Talk to us at bit 10 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:39,280 Speaker 1: about the catastrophe book catastrophe bond market and the type 11 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 1: of issuance we've seen, well, we've seen on presidented issuance 12 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:48,560 Speaker 1: this year. It's a market that's been growing considerably over time. 13 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:53,320 Speaker 1: And we saw, if you like, go back to the 14 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 1: nineteen nineties when they first began, they were the preserved 15 00:00:57,640 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 1: really of financial services companies sharing risk with one another UM. 16 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:08,120 Speaker 1: And then more recently was found that public effector entities 17 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:12,000 Speaker 1: to the governments UM and large corporates have been experimenting 18 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:14,320 Speaker 1: with them and they've been catching on and the market 19 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:17,440 Speaker 1: has been increasing. That's interesting. You know, investors who are 20 00:01:17,480 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 1: maybe curious about this market. What is it that they 21 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 1: need to know before kind of venturing in. That's a 22 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 1: really good question actually, because this this market you need 23 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:29,759 Speaker 1: to you need to understand very well. UM. So firstly, 24 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 1: maybe I should just explain what a parametric cat bond 25 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:34,480 Speaker 1: is in case any of your listeners aren't wear UM. 26 00:01:34,600 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 1: So it's essentially a risk linked security on which transfers 27 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 1: a specific set of risks from the issue or to 28 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 1: an investor, and the investors obviously take on the risks 29 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:48,560 Speaker 1: of a specified event occurring in return to a radio return. 30 00:01:49,200 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 1: Should the qualifying event occur, then obviously the investors lose 31 00:01:52,240 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 1: their principle um and that they've invested, and the issuer 32 00:01:55,760 --> 00:02:00,200 Speaker 1: would receive that money to cover their anticipated losses. So 33 00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 1: if you're going to move into this market, you really 34 00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: need to be able to understand the triggers that calls 35 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:10,640 Speaker 1: payouts for these kinds of parametric cat BOMs. What are 36 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:13,359 Speaker 1: the typical kind of parametric cat bonds that are out 37 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 1: there that are issued so that they used to cover 38 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:25,840 Speaker 1: a whole range of different perils risks. Essentially, anything that 39 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 1: you can measure which can act as a reliable proxy 40 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:33,080 Speaker 1: for a loss can be turned into a securitized bond. 41 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 1: So let me give you an example. Um In two 42 00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 1: thousands and three, FIFA, the world governing authority for the soccer, 43 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:45,080 Speaker 1: securitized the risk of the two thousand and six World 44 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:49,320 Speaker 1: Cup not taking place, specifically the final itself not happening, 45 00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 1: and so they essentially bought one of these parametric bombs 46 00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 1: to securitize that risk. But similarly, applicant nations have bought 47 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: cat bombs to cover themselves for the impacts of crops. 48 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:07,000 Speaker 1: Caribbean islands have bought them for for hurricanes and for windstorms. 49 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 1: The country of Turkey buys one to protect itself from 50 00:03:10,480 --> 00:03:14,240 Speaker 1: catastrophic earthquake. The state of California buys them to protect 51 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:16,959 Speaker 1: itself from the earthquake. And we've just seen New York 52 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:21,640 Speaker 1: State renew its cat bond um for UM for it's 53 00:03:21,760 --> 00:03:25,239 Speaker 1: mt A in the in the downtown um um SO 54 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 1: in the Downstate region to cover all of its metro facilities. 55 00:03:29,440 --> 00:03:33,840 Speaker 1: And I should also mention that pandemic infectious disease was 56 00:03:34,160 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 1: recently securitized for the first time. So you have a 57 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:40,600 Speaker 1: whole range of different types of shocks and stresses that 58 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:43,760 Speaker 1: can be securitized through these these these mechanisms. What are 59 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 1: the typical durations on this type of investment UM. I 60 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 1: would say a clippical bond length is about three years UM. 61 00:03:53,440 --> 00:03:57,160 Speaker 1: And what you tend to find is that issuers have 62 00:03:57,640 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 1: a rolling program of them. So I ment and the 63 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 1: State of California, the California Earthquake Authority just UM issued 64 00:04:06,240 --> 00:04:10,440 Speaker 1: a bond for nine twenty five million UM. That wasn't 65 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 1: its first bond. It had a portfolio of that was 66 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 1: in excessive a billion outstanding. And typically they roll around 67 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:19,719 Speaker 1: three years UM. And as one rolls off, you have 68 00:04:19,839 --> 00:04:22,599 Speaker 1: the option to renew or miss out a year and 69 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:26,160 Speaker 1: then come back to the market the year later. So 70 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 1: we we've seen bond transaction links with a but a 71 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:34,600 Speaker 1: short output, but the typical duration is around three years. 72 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 1: Very different though from an insurance policy, right in terms 73 00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:40,600 Speaker 1: of kind of how they work and certainly in terms 74 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 1: of what triggers them. Yes, well there's there's some two differences. Mean, 75 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:50,039 Speaker 1: they are a bit like insurance, but there are probably 76 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 1: four types of key differences. So first of all, it's 77 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:58,840 Speaker 1: the investors UM. It's not your traditional insurance investors. They're 78 00:04:58,839 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 1: what I would call regular in the suspension funds, hedge funds, 79 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:04,920 Speaker 1: those that historically have tended to invest in core assets 80 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:10,120 Speaker 1: for money markets, large cap equities, property, um. But so 81 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 1: so that's the first thing that's different the the investor base, Daniel, 82 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:16,040 Speaker 1: we just have we just have about twenty seconds left here, 83 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:17,200 Speaker 1: so I just want to let you be able to 84 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:20,839 Speaker 1: finish a complete diet. Go ahead, Yeah, sure, So then 85 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:23,919 Speaker 1: I would say, unlike an insurance policy which has an 86 00:05:23,920 --> 00:05:26,480 Speaker 1: annual term, we just covered this the multi year that 87 00:05:26,560 --> 00:05:31,520 Speaker 1: gives the issue some security. Third, importantly, the capital is 88 00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 1: fully collateralized, sitting in the third party account waiting to 89 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:37,120 Speaker 1: be claimed. And finally, make the most interestingly is the 90 00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:39,360 Speaker 1: way the bodies are trigger Have you mentioned this before. 91 00:05:40,200 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 1: Unlike traditional insurance, which is indemnity based, where you have 92 00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:47,320 Speaker 1: to prove that you had a loss, with these paramitric triggers, 93 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:50,159 Speaker 1: you don't necessarily have to prove a loss. Rather, they 94 00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:53,440 Speaker 1: trigger with certain conditions and met when the ground shakes 95 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 1: or when the wind blows. Daniel Standard, thank you so 96 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:58,000 Speaker 1: much for walking us through that. From r M S