1 00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:05,160 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network podcast, the number one show 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:09,760 Speaker 1: for the invested sports fann to. 3 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 2: Trick your down. You got real telling, don't concentrate on golf. 4 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 2: Hello and welcome back to the Action Network podcast. This 5 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 2: is our PGA Betting Preview. I'm your host, Peter Jennings, 6 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 2: and as always I'm joined by our golf analyst here 7 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 2: at the Action Network. He wears a lot of hats, Jason, 8 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 2: sobel Jason, how you doing man? 9 00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:42,800 Speaker 1: I am fired up, Peter. I am ready to get 10 00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:44,920 Speaker 1: this thing go. And I know that we're a couple 11 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:47,840 Speaker 1: of weeks into the golf year already. The golf season, 12 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:50,040 Speaker 1: of course started back in September, but the golf year 13 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 1: started with the Hawaii swing, so we're getting things started. 14 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:57,000 Speaker 1: We're only mainland guys. Know, we're not Hawaii guys. We're 15 00:00:57,040 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 1: not out here in the Hawaiian shirts, in the laser 16 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 1: or anything that kind of stuff, eating pineapple and look 17 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:03,520 Speaker 1: at rainbows. So you know, we get started with the 18 00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:04,400 Speaker 1: mainland stuff. 19 00:01:04,520 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 2: On this podcast. You know, we're gonna be talking about 20 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:11,080 Speaker 2: the PGA Tour, mostly focusing on betting as well as 21 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:14,280 Speaker 2: golf dfs, and we'll be back every single week. So 22 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:17,440 Speaker 2: I want to talk American Express Championship, and then at 23 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:19,759 Speaker 2: the end I have a little bit of a fun 24 00:01:19,880 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 2: I think we can go through on players that will 25 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:24,720 Speaker 2: win a major this year, have some fun placing on that. 26 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 2: We'll discuss some guys we like to win a major 27 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:30,839 Speaker 2: after we talk about the American Express Championship. But let's 28 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:33,479 Speaker 2: dive into that because that is what's on tap this week. 29 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:36,679 Speaker 2: So they keeps on. California at the Championship course had 30 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:39,440 Speaker 2: a long one last year at twenty six under. I mean, 31 00:01:39,480 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 2: these guys just absolutely destroyed this course to par seventy two. 32 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:46,040 Speaker 2: It's seventy three hundred yards, there's four par fives obviously, 33 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 2: and Birdie's have been flowing historically. Here. What are your 34 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 2: thoughts on the course and what are you expecting this week? Jason? 35 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, So for those who are maybe new to betting 36 00:01:55,240 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: golf or just kind of getting back into it and don't 37 00:01:57,440 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 1: really recall what we're kind of working with here, First 38 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:02,480 Speaker 1: of all, the American Express and there's no Championship, there's 39 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: no Classic, then there's no Open on the end of 40 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 1: it. It sounds really weird we say the American Express, that 41 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 1: that's the name of the tournament. Now that's the title sponsor, 42 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:11,959 Speaker 1: and there's no suffix to it, which I think is 43 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 1: a little weird, But in any case, it's the old Humana, 44 00:02:15,639 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 1: the old Bob Hope, the old Chrysler Classic. We can 45 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:24,359 Speaker 1: go on and on, the Career Builder Championship, the Desert Classic. 46 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 1: This has been through a lot of generations of names 47 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:30,160 Speaker 1: over the years, but is now being called the American 48 00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 1: Express this year. That said, it's the same old tournament, 49 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 1: and we know what to expect. It's a three round, 50 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 1: no matter what, fifty four hole kind of event. It 51 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 1: used to be. This used to be a five round 52 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 1: event and you were guaranteed four rounds and the players 53 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 1: used to love it. I remember talking to Joey Sindelar 54 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 1: back in the day who lived in upstate New York, 55 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:50,920 Speaker 1: and he'd say, I don't even take out my clubs 56 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 1: until I get off the plane in California, and then 57 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: I said, Okay, I got four rounds, no matter what. 58 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:57,400 Speaker 1: In seventy two holes. I can go figure it out 59 00:02:57,440 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 1: and then I can move on with my season. You're 60 00:02:59,480 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 1: going to see some players gotta shake it off the 61 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:05,320 Speaker 1: rust this week, and guys that know they're going to 62 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:08,560 Speaker 1: get fifty four holes in of competitive golf. No matter 63 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 1: what that said, it's a pro am. I always think 64 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:12,920 Speaker 1: of these pro am deals like this, and like at 65 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:16,240 Speaker 1: Pebble Beach, patience is a virtue. I know it sounds 66 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 1: like a cliche, but you've got to look at guys 67 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:22,120 Speaker 1: and there's no PGA Tour statistic, there's no analytic for 68 00:03:22,400 --> 00:03:25,120 Speaker 1: figuring out patients. But you've got to look for the 69 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:27,920 Speaker 1: guys that you know they can kind of ride the 70 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 1: ebb and flow. Look, you, your sixteen handicapped partner is 71 00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 1: gonna hit one way left in the desert and you 72 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: have to go over there and look for it for 73 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 1: a few minutes. They's gonna hit one way right. You 74 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 1: have to go over there. It's gonna take a while. 75 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:42,520 Speaker 1: There's gonna be some five and a half six hour 76 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:45,560 Speaker 1: rounds out there. The guys that can weather the storm 77 00:03:46,120 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 1: metaphorically are going to be the guys that find themselves 78 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:51,960 Speaker 1: on the leaderboard. So it's an event where over the 79 00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 1: last decade we've seen the cream of the crop. We've 80 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 1: seen John Rahm and Patrick Reid win this golf tournament. 81 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 1: We've seen kind of no names unknowns, Adam Long It 82 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:04,120 Speaker 1: was a great story last year. But he beats Adam 83 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 1: Hadwin and Phil Micholson on the last hole to win 84 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: this golf tournament. No one really knew much about Adam 85 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 1: long before that. We've seen long hitters like Jonathan Vegas. 86 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:16,279 Speaker 1: We've seen short hitters like Brian Gay and Mark Wilson. 87 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:19,800 Speaker 1: We've seen Billy Haas twice win this golf tournament. He's 88 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:24,440 Speaker 1: the all time leading money winner at this one. So really, 89 00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:27,840 Speaker 1: there's no sort of set type of player that can 90 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:30,600 Speaker 1: go out and win this golf tournament. I start looking 91 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:32,680 Speaker 1: down the list. There's some good players in the field 92 00:04:32,720 --> 00:04:34,919 Speaker 1: this year. Phil Micholson, who I mentioned a runner up 93 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:37,280 Speaker 1: finished last year, is one year before. He's now the 94 00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 1: official Ornament host. Maybe that helps him, maybe that hurts him. 95 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 1: I'm kind of sitting the fence. I'm straddling right now 96 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:47,919 Speaker 1: on Phil. I'm not really all in. I'm certainly not 97 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:50,479 Speaker 1: out on Phil. If you happen to like Phil this week, 98 00:04:50,520 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 1: I'm okay with it. I think he's going to sway 99 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:55,360 Speaker 1: a lot of people based on his social media posts saying, hey, 100 00:04:55,400 --> 00:04:57,880 Speaker 1: I'm hitting bombs. It's only fifty two degrees out here, 101 00:04:57,920 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 1: but look at me, people are like, oh, I'll fill 102 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:02,159 Speaker 1: on social media. I think I'm going to pick them. 103 00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:05,440 Speaker 1: I don't know that's necessarily the way or the reason 104 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:09,039 Speaker 1: you want to start picking guys for whether it's for 105 00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:12,160 Speaker 1: outright bits, for top tens, top twenties, for DFS lineup, 106 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:15,320 Speaker 1: so you know, make sure you look at everybody's Instagram 107 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 1: and Twitter before you start picking guys that way. But 108 00:05:17,720 --> 00:05:21,720 Speaker 1: that said, there is no profile for winning this golf tournament, 109 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 1: which I think makes it one of the more difficult 110 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 1: ones on the annual schedule. 111 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:28,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, it is tricky, you know, looking at this. I mean, 112 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:31,320 Speaker 2: I do think par five scoring is really important, specifically 113 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:34,320 Speaker 2: in that championship course and people they have just torn 114 00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:37,040 Speaker 2: it up with the three different courses. So that's something 115 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 2: I'm looking at, as well as birdie making obviously in DFS, 116 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 2: which is always important. But certain weeks like last week, 117 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:44,720 Speaker 2: you know, at the Sony, given that it was a 118 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 2: par seventy and we had some weather conditions, I really 119 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:51,039 Speaker 2: focused on trying to find guys that I thought would 120 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:55,240 Speaker 2: you know, basically make the cut and avoid the disaster, 121 00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:58,200 Speaker 2: because that's really what it was about last week. I mean, 122 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:01,320 Speaker 2: there's obviously the two par five where everyone was eating 123 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 2: those up. But outside of that, it was really about 124 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:06,680 Speaker 2: avoiding the big number. And the weather certainly played a 125 00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 2: big factor, and I think that's something really important to 126 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:11,839 Speaker 2: take into account every week, is analyzing the weather. We'll 127 00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 2: talk about that. Obviously, we're recording this podcast before it 128 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:18,560 Speaker 2: happens the event, so Wednesday night Thursday morning. If you 129 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:21,320 Speaker 2: can take additional looks at the weather, that's a big factor. 130 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:24,160 Speaker 2: I'm not seeing too much this week, but we will 131 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 2: address that. Obviously, there's huge angles and edges to be had, 132 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 2: especially at events like the Open Championship, and a little 133 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 2: bit of a weather angle came to fruition last week. 134 00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:35,840 Speaker 2: Looking specifically at this tournament, we do have a decent 135 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:39,360 Speaker 2: field here, you know, headlined by Ricky Fowler. Who's the favorite. 136 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 2: I actually think the favorite should be some JM who's 137 00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:45,520 Speaker 2: been just dynamite and you know, outside of a triple 138 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:47,800 Speaker 2: bogie I believe he had in his last round and 139 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:49,560 Speaker 2: one of the last couple of holes was looking pretty 140 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 2: good last week. If Paul Casey, Tony Fenow, Young Huan On, 141 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 2: Billy Horschel, Cameron Champ, Charles Howell out of the favorite, 142 00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:00,920 Speaker 2: soable who would you feel most comfortable locking in as 143 00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 2: like your top enda best player or a guy that 144 00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:05,839 Speaker 2: you're looking at matchups of the top end guys. 145 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 1: So I really don't love a lot of the top 146 00:07:08,880 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 1: end guys. And first, before I get into this, there 147 00:07:11,040 --> 00:07:14,320 Speaker 1: are some definite edges here. First of all, I like 148 00:07:14,400 --> 00:07:16,520 Speaker 1: guys who are coming over from the Sony. I like 149 00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:20,160 Speaker 1: guys who at least have a tournament under their belts 150 00:07:20,200 --> 00:07:23,600 Speaker 1: this year, who have played already, gotten those competitive juices flowing. 151 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:25,440 Speaker 1: That's it. I just don't love a lot of the 152 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:27,720 Speaker 1: guys coming over from Sony. So it's sort of a 153 00:07:27,760 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: catch twenty two just a little bit. But I feel 154 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 1: like the low end wins and where it's at most 155 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:37,520 Speaker 1: it looks like a one club win throughout the week, 156 00:07:37,560 --> 00:07:40,280 Speaker 1: and maybe not even so. I think these guys are 157 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:42,920 Speaker 1: almost going to feel like they're taking the doughnut off 158 00:07:42,960 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 1: the bat just a little bit where they go. Man, 159 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: last week was really tough conditions. Now we come here, 160 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:51,320 Speaker 1: it just feels a lot easier. No winner over the 161 00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 1: last ten years has been worse than twenty under par 162 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 1: at this event, and the best has been thirty under par. So, 163 00:07:58,080 --> 00:08:00,640 Speaker 1: like you said earlier, birdies are going to in bunches. 164 00:08:00,640 --> 00:08:02,920 Speaker 1: If you're looking at the DFS lineup, as I mentioned, 165 00:08:03,080 --> 00:08:05,920 Speaker 1: I think obviously you want guys that are playing four rounds, 166 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:08,400 Speaker 1: but you get at least three rounds from everybody, So 167 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:12,640 Speaker 1: I think making burdie's is a bigger decision maker than 168 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:15,640 Speaker 1: in most other weeks. And granted that's hard to figure out. 169 00:08:15,760 --> 00:08:17,520 Speaker 1: You know who's making a lot of burdies. Granted, those 170 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:18,960 Speaker 1: are going to be the players who are on the 171 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 1: leaderboard no matter what. But if you can find guys 172 00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:24,480 Speaker 1: who have a higher birdy average, I really like those 173 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:27,200 Speaker 1: guys at the top end play is Frankly, I just 174 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 1: don't love a whole lot of them. Ricky, you start 175 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:34,320 Speaker 1: out okay, Hawaii. I don't necessarily mind Ricky. Francesco Molinari 176 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 1: is not a guy that I really like it this 177 00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:40,600 Speaker 1: golf course. One guy struck me, especially with the wins 178 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:42,640 Speaker 1: not being what they've been here in the past, is 179 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 1: Paul Casey, and not necessarily for an outright bet, but 180 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:48,200 Speaker 1: I have him on my weekly column as what I 181 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 1: call the DFS free Bingo Square, and that's a safe 182 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:55,160 Speaker 1: plug and play option for your lineups this week. And 183 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:58,240 Speaker 1: that's because since last year's Masters, he's only missed the 184 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:00,600 Speaker 1: cut once. That was at the Italian Open, and over 185 00:09:00,640 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: on the European too, already had one in his last 186 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:07,200 Speaker 1: start before that. So he's playing well and just happen 187 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:09,560 Speaker 1: to miss a cut. But other than that, Paul Casey's 188 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:12,520 Speaker 1: usually around it. At least, you know, we're looking at 189 00:09:12,600 --> 00:09:16,280 Speaker 1: a top twenty, top twenty five low end for Paul Casey, 190 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:18,040 Speaker 1: So I think that he's a guy that can come 191 00:09:18,080 --> 00:09:20,000 Speaker 1: out and at least play well. At least if you're like, hey, 192 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 1: I'm looking for an anchor for my lineup this week, 193 00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:24,160 Speaker 1: I can plug in Paul Casey. As far as my 194 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 1: favorite this week, it's not a name that you mentioned. 195 00:09:26,640 --> 00:09:29,960 Speaker 1: I've been banging the drum for a while for Scotti Scheffler. 196 00:09:30,120 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 1: I get it, he's a rookie. I get he hasn't 197 00:09:32,400 --> 00:09:36,080 Speaker 1: been around much, and quite frankly, i'd really prefer a 198 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:39,960 Speaker 1: guy who's played this tournament before. It's hard to get 199 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 1: a grasp of three different tournament host venues as opposed 200 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:45,959 Speaker 1: to just one. I mean, if he was coming to 201 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 1: this event and they said, hey, we just played PGA 202 00:09:47,880 --> 00:09:50,959 Speaker 1: West four straight days, I said, okay, we'll practice round 203 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:53,520 Speaker 1: on Monday, playing it on Tuesday, pro am on Wednesday. 204 00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 1: By the time he gets a Thursday morning, he said, yeah, 205 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:57,880 Speaker 1: I know the course, no problem. But the fact that 206 00:09:57,880 --> 00:10:01,440 Speaker 1: they play the Nicholas Tournament course and Lakinta as well, 207 00:10:01,840 --> 00:10:04,199 Speaker 1: says to me that, you know, it's at some point 208 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 1: he's going to get to a course, he's going to 209 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:07,240 Speaker 1: get to a shot, he's going to get somewhere and 210 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:08,880 Speaker 1: he's going to say, what do I do here? I 211 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:10,920 Speaker 1: don't quite get it. That said, I think he's good 212 00:10:11,000 --> 00:10:12,720 Speaker 1: enough that he can go out and win on any 213 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:15,280 Speaker 1: given week. I've been banging the drum for him for 214 00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:17,760 Speaker 1: a while now. If you think it's a shot in 215 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 1: the dark, how about this fact Scotti Scheffler right now 216 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:23,320 Speaker 1: is a rookie on the PGA Tour is ranked thirteen 217 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:26,440 Speaker 1: spots higher on the world ranking than some guy named 218 00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:28,280 Speaker 1: Phil Mickelson, the tournament host this week. 219 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:30,679 Speaker 2: I like that call. I think that's a sharp call, 220 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:34,120 Speaker 2: and he's definitely getting respect in the industry, especially in 221 00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:37,559 Speaker 2: the betty markets. He's not near the favorites like you mentioned, 222 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:40,120 Speaker 2: but you know, he's like anywhere in the thirty three 223 00:10:40,160 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 2: to fifty to one, and as matchups come out, I 224 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 2: do think he'll be a favorite depending on who he's 225 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:47,360 Speaker 2: matched up against. You know, I think he's been like 226 00:10:47,400 --> 00:10:49,680 Speaker 2: that fifteen to twentieth ranked player in the field, maybe 227 00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:51,920 Speaker 2: even a little bit higher depending where you're looking. So 228 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:54,839 Speaker 2: I think that's a really sharp call. At the top end. 229 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 2: I still think some Jay might be a smidge undervalue. 230 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:01,160 Speaker 2: He's been so consistent and I'm looking at here is 231 00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:04,880 Speaker 2: Part five scoring, and based on last year in twenty nineteen, 232 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:08,200 Speaker 2: some JM has the best Part five scoring of anyone 233 00:11:08,240 --> 00:11:10,120 Speaker 2: in the field, so I think that's something to pay 234 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:13,360 Speaker 2: attention to. I think he's capable of rattling off a 235 00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 2: ton of birdies. He's one of the best ball strikers 236 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:15,680 Speaker 2: out there. 237 00:11:15,880 --> 00:11:16,080 Speaker 1: Really. 238 00:11:16,160 --> 00:11:17,679 Speaker 2: The only thing that kind of has held him back 239 00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 2: is putting a little bit, and I think that'll be 240 00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:24,480 Speaker 2: neutralized here around these courses. So he's my favorite top end. 241 00:11:24,720 --> 00:11:26,720 Speaker 2: As we get down to the cheap guys, or some 242 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 2: of the cheap guys, specifically on DraftKings, one guy stands 243 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 2: out to me in a big way, and that's Aaron Wise, 244 00:11:32,800 --> 00:11:36,400 Speaker 2: who is the perfect DraftKings playing. He'll probably end up 245 00:11:36,440 --> 00:11:39,079 Speaker 2: being really chalky so in DFS golf, if someone ends 246 00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 2: up being really chocky, there's a lot of merit and 247 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:43,880 Speaker 2: fading them. But just from an equity standpoint, maybe more 248 00:11:43,880 --> 00:11:47,439 Speaker 2: cash game formats, Aaron Wise makes a ton of sense 249 00:11:47,480 --> 00:11:49,680 Speaker 2: to me, and to your point about you know, Birdie 250 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:53,040 Speaker 2: Scotti Scheffler made a ton of birdies relatively last year, 251 00:11:53,080 --> 00:11:55,719 Speaker 2: and I think coming into this tournament, you know you 252 00:11:55,760 --> 00:11:59,480 Speaker 2: can look to Aaron Wise, who last year was top 253 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:02,320 Speaker 2: five and waited Birdie average. You know the other guys 254 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:05,920 Speaker 2: in that list where justin Thomas Rory McElroy, Patrick Cantley 255 00:12:06,120 --> 00:12:09,680 Speaker 2: and Gary Woodland. So Aaron Wise is a DFS dream. 256 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:12,200 Speaker 2: He makes a ton of birdies, makes a lot of bogies, 257 00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:14,920 Speaker 2: but given the format and the scoring on DraftKings, I 258 00:12:14,920 --> 00:12:16,560 Speaker 2: think he makes a ton of sense. And he's also 259 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:19,360 Speaker 2: you know, a really talented player who bombs it, who 260 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:21,800 Speaker 2: I think can heat up these par fives. Downside is 261 00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:23,920 Speaker 2: just the variants in this game. But he's one of 262 00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:25,160 Speaker 2: my favorite cheap guys. 263 00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 1: What about you, Soilbil Jennings, you're speaking my language. I 264 00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:30,720 Speaker 1: am so bullish on Aaron Wise this year. In fact, 265 00:12:30,760 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 1: I ran an annual column yearly preview called the Leap. 266 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:36,440 Speaker 1: I've been doing it for probably fifteen years now, where 267 00:12:36,440 --> 00:12:38,920 Speaker 1: I pick guys sort of A guy can go from 268 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:41,080 Speaker 1: a very good player to a major champion. Guy can 269 00:12:41,120 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 1: go from a you know, journeym into a PGA Tour winner. 270 00:12:44,559 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 1: Aaron Wise I've got as a major championship contender. And 271 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:50,520 Speaker 1: I said, look, this is kind of twofold because right 272 00:12:50,520 --> 00:12:53,480 Speaker 1: now Aaron Wise isn't in any of the four majors. 273 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 1: So not only do I think he's going to play 274 00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:57,360 Speaker 1: well to get into the majors, I think at some 275 00:12:57,400 --> 00:12:59,800 Speaker 1: point he's going to contend for a major. This guy 276 00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:03,160 Speaker 1: all everything as a collegiate player, already has a couple 277 00:13:03,160 --> 00:13:05,280 Speaker 1: of wins on the PGA Tour, did not play his 278 00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:08,559 Speaker 1: best golf last season, but I am very bullish on him. 279 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:10,880 Speaker 1: In fact, I've got him in my column this week, 280 00:13:10,920 --> 00:13:14,240 Speaker 1: my preview column for the American Express as first round leader. 281 00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:17,480 Speaker 1: That said, first of all, as we tape right now, 282 00:13:17,520 --> 00:13:19,120 Speaker 1: the tea times are not out, so you probably want 283 00:13:19,120 --> 00:13:21,640 Speaker 1: to look at Lakita had a first round scoring average 284 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 1: of sixty nine zero point four to two three last year. 285 00:13:24,920 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 1: The Nicholas Tournament course sixty nine point seven to one 286 00:13:27,280 --> 00:13:30,680 Speaker 1: to two seventy point eighty eighty five the PGA West 287 00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 1: Stadium course. So it kind of depends which players playing 288 00:13:34,400 --> 00:13:36,800 Speaker 1: where you want to get guys at Lakinta probably which 289 00:13:36,840 --> 00:13:39,080 Speaker 1: is the easiest of the three courses. But I do 290 00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:41,400 Speaker 1: like Aaron Wise, not just for our first round leader, 291 00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:45,200 Speaker 1: but I think he plays really well, not only this week, 292 00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:47,120 Speaker 1: but like I said, throughout the season, He's a guy 293 00:13:47,160 --> 00:13:50,480 Speaker 1: that I'm going to mention his name a multitude of times. 294 00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 1: So I really like him. I'm going to go through 295 00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 1: a little rapid fire format getting through a bunch of 296 00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:57,439 Speaker 1: other guys. I like. Adam Hadwin is sort of the 297 00:13:57,520 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 1: nuts play at this place. He has a second, a third, 298 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 1: and a second in the last three years. This guy 299 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 1: absolutely creams this tournament. You know what, He's going to 300 00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 1: kill some oad pools because he is not in the 301 00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:12,560 Speaker 1: field this week. His wife, Jessica just had a baby 302 00:14:12,640 --> 00:14:15,920 Speaker 1: this past week. Congratulations to the Hadwin family. But all 303 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 1: of a sudden, Adam had Win maybe the favorite, at 304 00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:21,240 Speaker 1: least based on course history over the last couple of years, 305 00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 1: he's not there. I'm gonna look at another Canadian. Nick Taylor, 306 00:14:24,480 --> 00:14:27,000 Speaker 1: has been playing some good golf lately trending in the 307 00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:29,320 Speaker 1: right directions. Struck the ball really well at the Sony 308 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:32,240 Speaker 1: Open last week. I like Nick Taylor, another guy who 309 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 1: I was on. I almost had him as my guy 310 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:36,520 Speaker 1: to win, but his ball striking was really poor on 311 00:14:36,560 --> 00:14:40,080 Speaker 1: the weekend at Wiley. Andrew Putnam plays really well in 312 00:14:40,200 --> 00:14:43,840 Speaker 1: West Coast events. Man, if he didn't strike the ball 313 00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 1: so poorly this past weekend, he might have been my 314 00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:48,760 Speaker 1: guy this week. I do think that he can figure 315 00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:52,160 Speaker 1: it out pretty quickly, but my confidence is waning just 316 00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: a little bit based on how he played. Jason Kokrach 317 00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 1: is a guy another name You're gonna hear a lot 318 00:14:57,360 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 1: of out of my mouth over the next six months, because, 319 00:15:00,800 --> 00:15:02,520 Speaker 1: first of all, he plays a lot of golf. Secondly, 320 00:15:02,520 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 1: he plays really consistent golf, which is impressive for a 321 00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:07,440 Speaker 1: guy who's sort of a bomb and gouge type of 322 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 1: player that hits it a long way and then kind 323 00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:11,720 Speaker 1: of wedges his way into the greens. But I think 324 00:15:11,800 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 1: co Crack's a guy that can make some noise. Harris 325 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:17,440 Speaker 1: English is sort of a pseudo doppelganger for his good 326 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:20,240 Speaker 1: buddy Hudson Swaftford, who won here three years ago. If 327 00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:23,000 Speaker 1: Hudson Swafford can do it, Harris English can do it. 328 00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:26,160 Speaker 1: He had three top fives and one sixth place finish 329 00:15:26,440 --> 00:15:29,560 Speaker 1: back in the false start of this season, so I 330 00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:32,200 Speaker 1: really like English for another top five. I think that's 331 00:15:32,240 --> 00:15:35,120 Speaker 1: a nice bet. Scott Harrington a guy that plays a 332 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:36,960 Speaker 1: lot of desert golf, a guy who's one of the 333 00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 1: best stories in golf. I think this should suit his 334 00:15:40,400 --> 00:15:44,240 Speaker 1: game really well. I like Scott Harrington to play well. 335 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 1: Taylor Gooch is a ball striker, a young ball striker 336 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:50,280 Speaker 1: whose name I never hear get mentioned. He was fifteenth 337 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:53,080 Speaker 1: on the PGA Tour in strokes gained approach shots. He 338 00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:55,640 Speaker 1: was fourth at this event last year, and then followed 339 00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 1: up with a third place finish at the Farmers Insurance 340 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:01,240 Speaker 1: Open before getting injured and dealing with that for a 341 00:16:01,280 --> 00:16:04,160 Speaker 1: little bit. But Taylor Gooch is better than most people realized. 342 00:16:04,160 --> 00:16:06,240 Speaker 1: And the last guy in this rapid fire, the guy 343 00:16:06,280 --> 00:16:08,720 Speaker 1: who finished runner up this past week, Brandon Steel. He's 344 00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:12,040 Speaker 1: played some really strong golf in the desert before t 345 00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:16,960 Speaker 1: two back in twenty fifteen, thirty, fourth in twenty sixteen, sixth, 346 00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:20,280 Speaker 1: and seventeen, twentieth and eighteen. I would ignore that T 347 00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:22,960 Speaker 1: fifty seven from last year he missed the cut. He 348 00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:25,160 Speaker 1: he had three rounds in the sixties and then shot 349 00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:27,760 Speaker 1: seventy two on the final day, but wasn't playing his 350 00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 1: best golf at that point. I think again, coming off 351 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 1: the momentum of this week's playoff loss, I think Steele 352 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:35,840 Speaker 1: he's going to have another really good week. 353 00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 2: Yeah. I love it's current form and his ball striking 354 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 2: was looking really nice. Watch a lot of his drives. 355 00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:41,800 Speaker 2: I don't know how long he's been doing this, but 356 00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 2: he hit a lot of fades off the tee, which 357 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 2: I see a lot of pros going for. I remember 358 00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:47,880 Speaker 2: he used to hit a lot. I mean, he's always 359 00:16:47,880 --> 00:16:49,720 Speaker 2: had a ton of power off the tee, a lot 360 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:52,240 Speaker 2: more big draws, and maybe that's something that he's been 361 00:16:52,280 --> 00:16:54,360 Speaker 2: working on that looked really really good to me. Some 362 00:16:54,400 --> 00:16:57,880 Speaker 2: really nice better fades. And obviously his current form is great. 363 00:16:57,920 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 2: And you know this is more of a local spot 364 00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:03,440 Speaker 2: like you mentioned, and of course always going to be 365 00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:06,760 Speaker 2: excited about Brendan Steele. He's seventy five hundred on DraftKings, 366 00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:08,520 Speaker 2: which I think is a really nice price. A lot 367 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:10,600 Speaker 2: of guys that I like are kind of in this range. 368 00:17:10,960 --> 00:17:13,399 Speaker 2: I mentioned Aaron Wise, he's only seventy three hundred. I 369 00:17:13,440 --> 00:17:17,040 Speaker 2: think he's an absolute standout value of Adam Long who 370 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:20,359 Speaker 2: won last year seventy two hundred, and granted his play 371 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:24,399 Speaker 2: hasn't been as good lately, but he's still certainly interesting 372 00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:27,119 Speaker 2: to me. At that price tag, we'll see that people 373 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:29,240 Speaker 2: will be on him since he won their last year. 374 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:32,560 Speaker 2: Sebastian Munos at seventy four hundred is another player that 375 00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:35,240 Speaker 2: I think is just really underrated. Did miss the cut 376 00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:37,520 Speaker 2: of the Sony I was playing well before that, played 377 00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:38,440 Speaker 2: well at the RSM. 378 00:17:38,520 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 1: That was all over him last week. Peter I loved 379 00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:41,200 Speaker 1: him last week. 380 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:43,439 Speaker 2: I had him in cash game, so I thought he 381 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:45,600 Speaker 2: was a really good play. And then someone who I 382 00:17:45,680 --> 00:17:49,600 Speaker 2: normally like to play, Von Taylor at more accuracy driven courses, aw. 383 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:52,000 Speaker 2: I mean, you look at his last three finishes. You know, 384 00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:55,160 Speaker 2: he goes ty second at Mayacoba, tenth at the RSM, 385 00:17:55,200 --> 00:17:57,680 Speaker 2: and then twelfth last week and he shot sixty six 386 00:17:57,800 --> 00:18:01,280 Speaker 2: sixty seven on the weekend, which I actually buy into that. 387 00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:04,040 Speaker 2: I think, you know, the most recent form, including the 388 00:18:04,040 --> 00:18:06,680 Speaker 2: weekend stuff, is something to take into account from the 389 00:18:06,960 --> 00:18:10,280 Speaker 2: previous week. And you had a couple other guys for DFS. 390 00:18:10,320 --> 00:18:12,280 Speaker 2: I think co Crack makes a ton of sense with 391 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:15,000 Speaker 2: his power, He's someone who can just absolutely destroy these 392 00:18:15,040 --> 00:18:17,760 Speaker 2: par fives. And at ninety one hundred, you might be 393 00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:19,720 Speaker 2: a little more expensive than some other guys who could 394 00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:22,880 Speaker 2: end up being chalk, like Matt Wolf or Phil Michelson. 395 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:25,320 Speaker 2: So that's something I'm always trying to do in DFS 396 00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:27,600 Speaker 2: is fine guys who are in that same price range 397 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:30,480 Speaker 2: as some chalkier options. So I'm with you on a 398 00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:33,119 Speaker 2: lot of those calls. I think it should set up 399 00:18:33,119 --> 00:18:35,440 Speaker 2: for a really good week, and I hope Steely comes 400 00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:38,479 Speaker 2: down wins. That would be absolutely awesome if you had 401 00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:40,600 Speaker 2: to pick a winner this week, just one guy, who 402 00:18:40,640 --> 00:18:41,040 Speaker 2: would it be? 403 00:18:41,359 --> 00:18:43,560 Speaker 1: Well. First of all, Brendan Steel has already promised that 404 00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:45,159 Speaker 1: he would be on the pod. He was going to 405 00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 1: come on the pod for this one, but he was 406 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:50,520 Speaker 1: traveling at the time we're taping, so I gave him 407 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:52,480 Speaker 1: a free pass. But he will be on the pod soon, 408 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:55,879 Speaker 1: especially after he wins this week. We will definitely have 409 00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:58,760 Speaker 1: an exclusive pod with him next week. And then as 410 00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:00,280 Speaker 1: far as winner, it's the guy that I'm in. Right 411 00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:03,520 Speaker 1: off the top, I'm going with Scotti Scheffler as my winner. Oh, 412 00:19:03,600 --> 00:19:05,399 Speaker 1: on a scale of one to ten, I'm somewhere in 413 00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:08,240 Speaker 1: a five to six confidence level with that. You know, 414 00:19:08,320 --> 00:19:10,880 Speaker 1: we're never totally confident. Sometimes you just kind of feel 415 00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:12,600 Speaker 1: a guy, even if it doesn't happen, You're like, man, 416 00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:14,720 Speaker 1: I really think it's going to be this guy's week. 417 00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:17,080 Speaker 1: Like I said, I'd like to take a guy who's 418 00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:19,480 Speaker 1: played this golf course or played this tournament before and 419 00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 1: knows all three golf course. I'd like to take a 420 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:24,159 Speaker 1: guy that played the sony and it's kind of battle 421 00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:26,800 Speaker 1: tested just a little bit as opposed to coming in 422 00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:30,679 Speaker 1: cold off practice rounds back at home. That said, I 423 00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:33,480 Speaker 1: just think Scheffler is so good. I think he's primed 424 00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:36,440 Speaker 1: and ready to win at some point very soon. Had 425 00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:38,439 Speaker 1: a great record back in the fall. I mean, this 426 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:42,520 Speaker 1: is a guy who had I believe what four top 427 00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:46,560 Speaker 1: seven finishes or three top seven finishes during the fall 428 00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:51,520 Speaker 1: start to the season. So you know, I hesitate to 429 00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 1: sort of bring these guys up who were young players 430 00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:58,480 Speaker 1: and you know, try to raise the bar of expectations 431 00:19:58,480 --> 00:20:00,760 Speaker 1: for them too high. But Beer's a guy that you 432 00:20:00,840 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 1: have to do it for. In fact, one cat he 433 00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:05,040 Speaker 1: told me on the PJ Tour it was not Schefler's caddy. 434 00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:07,520 Speaker 1: He was at Byron Nelson last year. He said, look, 435 00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:10,840 Speaker 1: Bruce Keepka is playing in this field, the best player 436 00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 1: in this field, the second best player at the Byron Nelson. 437 00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:15,800 Speaker 1: He didn't have a card at that point. He said 438 00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:19,040 Speaker 1: was Scotty Scheffler. So that spoke volumes for me, and 439 00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:23,119 Speaker 1: that really sort of started the alarms ringing for me 440 00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,359 Speaker 1: that Scotty Scheffler is going to be a force to 441 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:27,720 Speaker 1: be reckoned with. Is your guy saying this week is 442 00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:28,199 Speaker 1: a young guy? 443 00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:30,640 Speaker 2: If you had to pick to win, yeah, I'm taking 444 00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:32,480 Speaker 2: some day. I had to pick one guy, which is 445 00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 2: a chalky answer. He's the number two favorite in the 446 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:37,399 Speaker 2: field right now, but I think he is going to 447 00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:40,240 Speaker 2: have an incredible year and this is a perfect situation 448 00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:40,800 Speaker 2: for him. 449 00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:42,640 Speaker 1: Do we have a problem if a guy has never 450 00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:44,800 Speaker 1: won before and is the second favorite in the field. 451 00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:47,560 Speaker 1: That's I love picking guys who have never won, because 452 00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:49,520 Speaker 1: at some point, if you're good enough, you're going to win. 453 00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:51,880 Speaker 1: On the PGA Tour, I've always just had a little problem. 454 00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:53,919 Speaker 1: We've had a couple of times when in sort of 455 00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:57,120 Speaker 1: lower end PGA tour events. Tony Feenow has been right 456 00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,440 Speaker 1: up there. All he's won so far is an alternate 457 00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:03,200 Speaker 1: field event against some guys who aren't necessarily the best 458 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:06,159 Speaker 1: of the best. I just have a little bit of 459 00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:08,359 Speaker 1: a problem when a guy hasn't won and his odds 460 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:11,280 Speaker 1: are that low against an entire field, for sure. 461 00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:15,879 Speaker 2: And I one advocate for going with the outright winners. 462 00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:19,720 Speaker 2: I think there's seldom good value on outright winners. I 463 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:21,399 Speaker 2: know it's a lot of fun and in generally you 464 00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:25,639 Speaker 2: want to pack underdogs, so and that mold. I wouldn't 465 00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:27,280 Speaker 2: actually fire on that, but that's just the guy. If 466 00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:30,040 Speaker 2: I had to pick someone that I take some day to. 467 00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:33,439 Speaker 1: Win a Jennings outright winners and twelve team parlays, that's 468 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:34,399 Speaker 1: what we're all about. 469 00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:37,160 Speaker 2: Here, Yeah, all the really fun bets. I guess i'd 470 00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:40,000 Speaker 2: take Aaron Wise as one. He's anywhere from eighty to 471 00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:42,080 Speaker 2: one hundred to one. And if you are betting these outrights, 472 00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:44,600 Speaker 2: make sure whatever options you have in terms of books, 473 00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 2: you are shopping for the best price. Especially in these outrights, 474 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:50,120 Speaker 2: you can see some pretty wild discrepancies between the prices. 475 00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:53,400 Speaker 2: So that's something I'm always trying to do and Aaron 476 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,040 Speaker 2: Wise on the places I'm looking, he's anywhere from like 477 00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:58,240 Speaker 2: seventy five to one hundred to one. So at one 478 00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:00,760 Speaker 2: hundred to one, I actually like Aaron and that would 479 00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:04,720 Speaker 2: be my outright winner. Any final thoughts on the American 480 00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:08,560 Speaker 2: Express Championship before we dive into some bigger predictions and 481 00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:10,720 Speaker 2: futures on the PGA Tour this year. 482 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:13,640 Speaker 1: I was just gonna suggest, if you got it readily available, 483 00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:15,880 Speaker 1: we've made in a staple of this pod to go 484 00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 1: through that week's event and make our own DFS lineup. 485 00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:19,520 Speaker 1: You want to go through it with me. 486 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:21,560 Speaker 2: Oh, that's a great idea. Let's make it. Let's make 487 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:22,520 Speaker 2: a DFS lineup? 488 00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:23,240 Speaker 1: All right? 489 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:25,000 Speaker 2: You got the first pick? All right? 490 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:27,440 Speaker 1: Well, I'm going with my boys, Scotti Scheffer on DraftKings. 491 00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:30,520 Speaker 1: He's well ninety five hundred. He's about the what ninth 492 00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:33,320 Speaker 1: guy on the list right there, which right between Billy 493 00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:36,320 Speaker 1: Horschell and Cameron Champa. I still feel like, Okay, it's 494 00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:38,960 Speaker 1: a little expensive, but you're hardly breaking the bank and 495 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:41,520 Speaker 1: put your lineup over with Scotti Scheffler. So I'm starting 496 00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:42,480 Speaker 1: with my guy this week. 497 00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:45,400 Speaker 2: Okay. I like that call. I'm gonna go with Aaron Wise, 498 00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:47,560 Speaker 2: who I do think has a chance to be chock. 499 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,199 Speaker 2: But I love that price tag at seventy three hundred, 500 00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:52,160 Speaker 2: and I'm just gonna fit them in for now. 501 00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:55,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, my favorite low price guy, man is he low priced? 502 00:22:55,800 --> 00:22:59,280 Speaker 1: I love how low Scott Harrington is this week. Thirty 503 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,800 Speaker 1: eight years old, forty two years old. I know it 504 00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,640 Speaker 1: is exactly agent in any case, he's he's an advanced 505 00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:07,639 Speaker 1: age for a PGA Tour rookie. We all know the story. 506 00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:10,720 Speaker 1: His wife battled through cancer. She's doing much better now. 507 00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:13,399 Speaker 1: He is going to be a really good story to 508 00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:15,320 Speaker 1: watch on the PGA Tour this year, and I think 509 00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:18,639 Speaker 1: he's going to contend for at least a couple of 510 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:20,760 Speaker 1: titles out there. And I think this could be the 511 00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:23,480 Speaker 1: one where playing in the desert, he plays a lot 512 00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:26,359 Speaker 1: out in Scottsdale in that area. I think this is 513 00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:28,760 Speaker 1: right up his alley at sixty five hundred. I love 514 00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:29,960 Speaker 1: Scott Herriton. 515 00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:31,639 Speaker 2: This week, Okay. I love that that leaves us a 516 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:33,639 Speaker 2: lot of salary. And I'll go with someone right in 517 00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:36,240 Speaker 2: the range. We have eighten nine hundred per player left. 518 00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:38,440 Speaker 2: I think we both love co Crack this week, and 519 00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:41,240 Speaker 2: I think he can really get it start lining it 520 00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:44,240 Speaker 2: up in terms of par five scoring and making birdie. 521 00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:47,159 Speaker 2: So love co crack on DraftKings at ninety one hundred. 522 00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:48,000 Speaker 2: Who's your next pick? 523 00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:50,520 Speaker 1: If we don't put Brendan Steele in this lineup, we're 524 00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:53,480 Speaker 1: doing something wrong. Friend of the pod, seventy five hundred, 525 00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:54,480 Speaker 1: that's too low. 526 00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:56,720 Speaker 2: He's in, all right? I love that call. 527 00:23:57,080 --> 00:23:59,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, ten one hundred and oh, by the way, I 528 00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:01,560 Speaker 1: know we don't like spending the full value, but there's 529 00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:04,080 Speaker 1: a guy at ten thousand and one hundred. He makes 530 00:24:04,080 --> 00:24:04,800 Speaker 1: some cuts once. 531 00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:07,879 Speaker 2: In a while. Charles Howe is actually someone I wanted 532 00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:11,320 Speaker 2: to mention and done a little digging heard this. He 533 00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:14,720 Speaker 2: has been one of the best golfers in January, which 534 00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:18,399 Speaker 2: makes sense intuitively given how he plays. A guy that 535 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:21,680 Speaker 2: clearly is just a grinder plays throughout the year historically 536 00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:25,399 Speaker 2: has been better relative to his average in January. So 537 00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:28,040 Speaker 2: really like Charles Howell at ten to one, and I 538 00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:30,520 Speaker 2: think we have an awesome lineup here. Definitely a mix 539 00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:32,720 Speaker 2: of types of players and a lot of upside. 540 00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:34,840 Speaker 1: So I founded Howell in my column last week, my 541 00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:37,119 Speaker 1: preview column for the Sony Open, I found that of 542 00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:39,920 Speaker 1: the tournaments being played from January through the end of 543 00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:41,640 Speaker 1: August through the end of the playoffs. I went through 544 00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:44,479 Speaker 1: all of them and I looked at the career money leaders, 545 00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:47,480 Speaker 1: the all time money winners at each event. At every 546 00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:50,760 Speaker 1: single event, the money leader understandably is a guy who 547 00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:53,320 Speaker 1: has won that event at least once and many times. 548 00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:56,320 Speaker 1: You know, Tiger Woods is one event, six, seven, eight times, 549 00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:58,600 Speaker 1: whatever the case might be. The only one who had 550 00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:00,720 Speaker 1: never won the event was Charles ha And I put 551 00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:03,160 Speaker 1: it on Twitter. I said, it's amazing that Charles Howell 552 00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:05,160 Speaker 1: is the all time money leader at the Sony Open. 553 00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:07,560 Speaker 1: And I had him down for a top twenty finish 554 00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:09,800 Speaker 1: at the Sony last week. He started out a little 555 00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:11,840 Speaker 1: slow and fished T. Twelve. I mean that was like, 556 00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:14,800 Speaker 1: it's like taking money. It's it's just an easy bet 557 00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:17,600 Speaker 1: Charles Howell for a top twenty. Love him again for 558 00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:19,760 Speaker 1: a top twenty this week. Oh by the way, he's 559 00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:22,800 Speaker 1: finished top twenty only three of the last four years 560 00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,120 Speaker 1: at this tournament, So you've only got a seventy five 561 00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:27,480 Speaker 1: percent chance of hitting based on those numbers. 562 00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:29,640 Speaker 2: Yeah. I had a bet on Howl as well, and 563 00:25:29,840 --> 00:25:32,680 Speaker 2: boy did I get lucky as hell. I had Charles 564 00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:36,480 Speaker 2: Howell over some JM wins by one, and yeah, looking 565 00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:39,520 Speaker 2: back at the scorecard, SOMEJY made us seven on the 566 00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:42,760 Speaker 2: par four sixteenth, so really ran hot there. But I 567 00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:44,679 Speaker 2: was all on Charles Howell last week. I thought he 568 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 2: was a really strong play, specifically because of the January 569 00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:49,800 Speaker 2: stuff and just you know, with the wind and everything. 570 00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:51,920 Speaker 2: I thought he really made a lot of sense at 571 00:25:51,920 --> 00:25:54,720 Speaker 2: his price point. So I love Charles Howell. Our lineup 572 00:25:54,760 --> 00:25:57,280 Speaker 2: to recap is Charles Holle at ten to one, Guy 573 00:25:57,320 --> 00:26:00,720 Speaker 2: Scheffler at ninety five hundred, co Crack at ninety, and 574 00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:04,040 Speaker 2: then Steele at seventy five, Aaron Wise at seventy three, 575 00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:08,000 Speaker 2: and Harrington at sixty five hundred spending all the salary. 576 00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:10,000 Speaker 2: I think that's a really good lineup we just made. 577 00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:11,760 Speaker 1: So I really like that. And by the way, speaking 578 00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:15,080 Speaker 1: to DFS, I was in a small I'm not playing 579 00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:17,159 Speaker 1: Jennings type money lineups, but you know I was in 580 00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:20,800 Speaker 1: a tournament a GPP where I did not even though 581 00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:22,520 Speaker 1: I picked him to win in this specific line I 582 00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:24,960 Speaker 1: took Colin Morrikawa almost everywhere, and I just didn't have 583 00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:27,720 Speaker 1: him in my best lineup, right, Kissner and I had 584 00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:30,240 Speaker 1: Cameron Smith and I had Graham McDowell. It was a 585 00:26:30,320 --> 00:26:33,040 Speaker 1: nice lineup otherwise. And I was in ninth place with 586 00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:35,920 Speaker 1: a couple holes left to play, and I'm okay, I'm 587 00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:38,439 Speaker 1: cashing some money, no big deal. All of a sudden, 588 00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:42,920 Speaker 1: Colin Morrikawa bogeyed three butt bogie the last hole from 589 00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:44,639 Speaker 1: five feet away. I mean all of a sudden. He 590 00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:45,919 Speaker 1: just looked like he wanted to get out of there 591 00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:48,960 Speaker 1: and the putter wasn't working. He bogies. Everybody in front 592 00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:51,400 Speaker 1: of me had Colin Morricawa. I shot up without doing 593 00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:53,160 Speaker 1: a thing. I shot up from ninth place to third 594 00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:55,840 Speaker 1: place and made myself some extra money based on Colin 595 00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:58,760 Speaker 1: Morricow's bogey, ironically from the guy that I had picked 596 00:26:58,760 --> 00:26:59,520 Speaker 1: to win last week. 597 00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:02,600 Speaker 2: Wow, well yeah, that Mark Kaala miss actually helped me 598 00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:04,800 Speaker 2: quite a bit. And that was an ugly, ugly three 599 00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:07,800 Speaker 2: butt from Mari Kawa. But it is what it is. 600 00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:10,840 Speaker 2: He has a bright future in front of him, and yeah, 601 00:27:10,840 --> 00:27:13,119 Speaker 2: it just seems like a great guy. The future of 602 00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:15,480 Speaker 2: golf is going to be awesome. And with that, let's 603 00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:18,440 Speaker 2: let's transition into some futures. I think one thing. A 604 00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:20,520 Speaker 2: lot of people, right now are looking at are these 605 00:27:20,560 --> 00:27:22,919 Speaker 2: major futures? Well, we'll go through the big names and 606 00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:24,800 Speaker 2: we can talk some more long shots. But it's an 607 00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:28,480 Speaker 2: interesting pricing here on majors. Tell me which side you 608 00:27:28,680 --> 00:27:30,960 Speaker 2: would like, and then I'll give my opinion. Will Rory 609 00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:34,080 Speaker 2: McElroy win a major in twenty twenty? Yes? This plus 610 00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:36,879 Speaker 2: two point fifty No is minus three fifty. Where are 611 00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:37,439 Speaker 2: you going with that? 612 00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:39,919 Speaker 1: Well, I sure as hell not betting No, it MIGHTUS 613 00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:42,159 Speaker 1: three fifty. I mean that just seems like a suckers 614 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:44,359 Speaker 1: by who wants to spend the next few months rooting 615 00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:47,120 Speaker 1: against Rory mclory to win a major. I definitely don't 616 00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:49,960 Speaker 1: like that. I'd probably stay away. The plus money isn't 617 00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:53,000 Speaker 1: quite enough to get me too excited I do. I mean, look, 618 00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:55,000 Speaker 1: first of all, I think Rory will win a major 619 00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:58,199 Speaker 1: at some point very soon. That said, the one of 620 00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:01,840 Speaker 1: my biggest pet peeves for golf media is when you 621 00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:04,800 Speaker 1: get a bunch of people together. Happens on that channel 622 00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:07,040 Speaker 1: that covers golf. I can't remember the name of it, 623 00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:09,840 Speaker 1: but they get a bunch of their panelists together and 624 00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:11,960 Speaker 1: they talk golf a while. They say, Hey, how many 625 00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:14,240 Speaker 1: majors do you think Rory wins this year. They go, oh, 626 00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:16,480 Speaker 1: I think I'll win too. Okay, how about Brooks. Brooks 627 00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:18,720 Speaker 1: is gonna get one? What about DJ He'll get one? 628 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:21,120 Speaker 1: How about Tiger? Oh, maybe two for Tiger this year. 629 00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:22,960 Speaker 1: And they go through the list and next thing you know, 630 00:28:23,040 --> 00:28:27,760 Speaker 1: they've plotted out twenty seven majors and twenty season. You go, 631 00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:30,760 Speaker 1: you guys understand that there's only four of them, right, Like, 632 00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:34,800 Speaker 1: those guys can't all win major championships. And so one 633 00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:36,680 Speaker 1: of my biggest pet peeves that I really want to 634 00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,040 Speaker 1: make sure that I don't do that here. Obviously they 635 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:40,920 Speaker 1: can't all do it, and obviously you're gonna lose money 636 00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:42,800 Speaker 1: if you do that, unless you happen to back some 637 00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:45,880 Speaker 1: real long shots and they wind up coming through for you. So, yes, 638 00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 1: do I think Rory will or at least can win 639 00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:51,480 Speaker 1: a major this year? Absolutely do? I like them at 640 00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:54,960 Speaker 1: to fifty, I still would probably stay away. That's not 641 00:28:55,120 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 1: enough to get me too excited. 642 00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:58,520 Speaker 2: Okay, I'm going to take the yes on that one. 643 00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:01,320 Speaker 2: At plus two fifty love Rory this year. I'm not 644 00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:04,520 Speaker 2: saying anything new. I thought he was by far the 645 00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:07,160 Speaker 2: best golfer last year, didn't win a Major, but won 646 00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:09,840 Speaker 2: the players and had one of the best statistical years. 647 00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:12,240 Speaker 2: You know, basically a Tiger ESQ year. He was a 648 00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:15,040 Speaker 2: top ten machine. And I think Rory gets it done 649 00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:17,360 Speaker 2: this year. Next one is brooks Kepka, who has the 650 00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:20,360 Speaker 2: same exact odds all just started off. I would take 651 00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:23,520 Speaker 2: the no. At minus three fifty and just basically go 652 00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:26,360 Speaker 2: against the trend that we saw. You know, he shows 653 00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:29,200 Speaker 2: up at majors, he's won there. I'll take some regression 654 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:32,000 Speaker 2: on brooks Kepka. I think there's a lot of stayaways 655 00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:35,120 Speaker 2: in these But of all the no's, brooks Kepka here 656 00:29:35,320 --> 00:29:37,960 Speaker 2: probably is my favorite. And I know the narrative, he 657 00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:40,640 Speaker 2: really picks it up, and I know he's training specifically 658 00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:44,320 Speaker 2: for the Majors and probably mitigates pressure better than any 659 00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:47,760 Speaker 2: golfer out there. But still minus three fifty, with how 660 00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:50,760 Speaker 2: great the tour is, I will take no on brooks Kepka. 661 00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:53,400 Speaker 1: Totally with you on that, and a couple of things here. 662 00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:55,720 Speaker 1: First of all, it's a lot of averages. I mean, 663 00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:57,280 Speaker 1: brooks Kepka is not going to win one or two 664 00:29:57,320 --> 00:29:59,480 Speaker 1: Majors every single year for the next fifteen year. It's 665 00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:01,719 Speaker 1: just it's point he's just going to go a year 666 00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:03,440 Speaker 1: or two without winning a major, and I would think 667 00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:05,800 Speaker 1: that this could be the year that said, I'm not 668 00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:08,880 Speaker 1: betting minus three fifty. You know, I'm not that confident 669 00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:12,360 Speaker 1: in it. And again, a couple of the course we're 670 00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:14,440 Speaker 1: gonna see wing Foot for the US Open, We're gonna 671 00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:17,480 Speaker 1: see Harding Park for the PGA Championship. These are courses 672 00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:20,240 Speaker 1: where you can't really overpower them. These are going to 673 00:30:20,280 --> 00:30:23,200 Speaker 1: be ball striker type courses. Even though the US Open 674 00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:26,160 Speaker 1: has changed, The US Open has completely changed over the 675 00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 1: last few years, where it's been DJ and Kepka and 676 00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:31,160 Speaker 1: Gary Woodland. All of a sudden, you're big bombers. The 677 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 1: guys that can muscle it out of the thick rough 678 00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:35,680 Speaker 1: are the guys who have the best chance to win. 679 00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:38,840 Speaker 1: I just think that they're going to scale back wingfoot. 680 00:30:38,840 --> 00:30:41,800 Speaker 1: Not the wing foot won't be unbelievably tough, but I 681 00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:43,680 Speaker 1: just don't think it's going to play into the hands 682 00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:46,760 Speaker 1: of the big bombers as much as the last few 683 00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:49,440 Speaker 1: of them have. So yeah, I'm fading Kepka as well. 684 00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:53,040 Speaker 2: Okay, we're on the same page there. This next one 685 00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:55,520 Speaker 2: is very intriguing. Well, Tiger Woods with a major in 686 00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:58,440 Speaker 2: twenty twenty plus five hundred on the yes, minus eight 687 00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,440 Speaker 2: hundred on the no. Of these in general, you're probably 688 00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:04,520 Speaker 2: better off just waiting till the actual tournament. There's obviously 689 00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:08,719 Speaker 2: a lot of hold here. There's a big discrepancy. But 690 00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:11,920 Speaker 2: on Tiger, he has really short odds basically every tournament 691 00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:14,440 Speaker 2: because he's Tiger. If you're a big Tiger fan, I 692 00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:17,680 Speaker 2: actually think this is not an awful value at plus 693 00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:20,040 Speaker 2: five hundred. So what are your thoughts on this one? 694 00:31:20,280 --> 00:31:23,200 Speaker 1: No, I mean, look, if you're doing this, if you're 695 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:26,000 Speaker 1: doing this because hey, you're a pro and you're trying 696 00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:30,360 Speaker 1: to make money, this is man. Plus five hundred doesn't 697 00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:32,400 Speaker 1: seem like I feel like there are other things you 698 00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:34,840 Speaker 1: can make money on a little bit easier than betting 699 00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:37,080 Speaker 1: Tiger to win a major this year. If you're saying, hey, 700 00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:39,040 Speaker 1: I'm a big Tiger fan, I want if you put 701 00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:40,800 Speaker 1: a few bucks on Tiger and be able to root 702 00:31:40,840 --> 00:31:44,480 Speaker 1: for him for four straight months, go ahead, and absolutely, 703 00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:47,160 Speaker 1: I think that's a decent number to get Tiger at. 704 00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:50,160 Speaker 1: He's got a chance at basically every major he tees 705 00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:52,000 Speaker 1: it up in. By the way, Peter I love and 706 00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:54,600 Speaker 1: I'm filling out these oad pools right now, the one 707 00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:56,680 Speaker 1: and done's, And I know that a lot of people 708 00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:59,280 Speaker 1: like taking the best players the major championships. I like 709 00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:01,200 Speaker 1: spreading it out a little bit. If you've got guys 710 00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:03,200 Speaker 1: who are the elite players and you want to kind 711 00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:04,760 Speaker 1: of move them over and slide them away. You know, 712 00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:06,720 Speaker 1: if you don't want to take Tiger, it's okay, Well 713 00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:09,080 Speaker 1: I can't use defending champion at the Masters. Well I've 714 00:32:09,080 --> 00:32:11,160 Speaker 1: got to take Tiger at the Open or the US 715 00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:13,520 Speaker 1: Open or the pg It. No, you don't Tiger Woods 716 00:32:13,520 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 1: of the Arnold Palmer invitation. I'm saying right now on 717 00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:19,160 Speaker 1: the pod, he gets number eighty three at bay Hill. Oh, 718 00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:21,160 Speaker 1: by the way, where I happen to play golf today. 719 00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:22,480 Speaker 2: Oh how'd you shoot today? 720 00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:25,240 Speaker 1: I shot just a little bit higher than Tiger's wind 721 00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:26,840 Speaker 1: number is going to be when he gets there in 722 00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:27,360 Speaker 1: mar shows. 723 00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:29,920 Speaker 2: That sound that sounds about what I would shoot plus 724 00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:32,000 Speaker 2: a couple more. Was what I'd have a nine in 725 00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:35,520 Speaker 2: front of my My thing probably tough conditions. Here's another one, 726 00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:37,160 Speaker 2: and I guess my Tiger thing is. I think it's 727 00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:39,400 Speaker 2: a stay away. But if you are going to do it, 728 00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:41,400 Speaker 2: I don't hate it. I think his best chance by 729 00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:43,880 Speaker 2: far is going to be the Masters every single year 730 00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:46,760 Speaker 2: going forward, just given the shortened field, and the problem 731 00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:48,840 Speaker 2: with the Masters is Tiger's always going to be juiced up. 732 00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:51,719 Speaker 2: So if you're a huge Tiger fan, I don't hate this, 733 00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:54,160 Speaker 2: and I do think Tiger is primed for a really 734 00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:56,520 Speaker 2: really good year, looks healthy and just has a lot 735 00:32:56,560 --> 00:32:59,680 Speaker 2: of things going in his direction. It's just a really 736 00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:04,160 Speaker 2: really deep PJ tour and again steep price here, Well, 737 00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:07,000 Speaker 2: John Rahm win a Major plus three point fifty on 738 00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:09,320 Speaker 2: the yes, minus five hundred on the no. 739 00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:14,320 Speaker 1: Give me all that plus money. I am all in 740 00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:17,360 Speaker 1: on John Ram right now. I think that by the 741 00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:20,480 Speaker 1: end of the season, by the time the FedEx Cup 742 00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:23,160 Speaker 1: playoffs roll around, we're through all four Majors. We're going 743 00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:26,240 Speaker 1: to be sitting here having a conversation about whether John 744 00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:28,240 Speaker 1: Rahm is the best golfer in the world. And I 745 00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:30,880 Speaker 1: don't know that he'll necessarily be number one in the 746 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:33,240 Speaker 1: world ranking. I don't know that he'll necessarily be the 747 00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:36,240 Speaker 1: prohibitive favorite in any field in which he teas it up, 748 00:33:36,440 --> 00:33:38,400 Speaker 1: but he's at least going to be in the conversation. 749 00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:42,280 Speaker 1: I think that it might be Rory and JT and 750 00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:44,120 Speaker 1: John Rahm is the three. And if you look at 751 00:33:44,120 --> 00:33:46,480 Speaker 1: it over the last six, eight, ten, twelve months, and 752 00:33:46,520 --> 00:33:48,840 Speaker 1: you look at the best players who have played the 753 00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:53,760 Speaker 1: most consistent golf, the combination of elite play and consistency, 754 00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:57,160 Speaker 1: it's those three guys. And I don't see any reason 755 00:33:57,200 --> 00:34:01,240 Speaker 1: why that won't continue over the next six to eight months. 756 00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:04,080 Speaker 1: And I think John ram is just about as good 757 00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:06,720 Speaker 1: as anybody else out there. Rory might have another gear, 758 00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:09,879 Speaker 1: but I think John Rahm all the things about, oh well, 759 00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:12,200 Speaker 1: he's got a temper on the golf course and he 760 00:34:12,280 --> 00:34:15,240 Speaker 1: can't handle this, and he can't do John Rahm's got 761 00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:17,799 Speaker 1: everything you need to go out there and win big 762 00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:20,879 Speaker 1: time championships. I think it starts happening for him very 763 00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:22,000 Speaker 1: very soon, all right. 764 00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:24,080 Speaker 2: I like that He's the other guy that I would 765 00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:27,440 Speaker 2: take the yes on if I had to pick out 766 00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:29,239 Speaker 2: of this group. I like Rory and Rahm to have 767 00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:32,400 Speaker 2: awesome years. There's also some out there on Dustin Johnson, 768 00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:35,840 Speaker 2: Justin Thomas Xander Schoffley, who I really like. There's some 769 00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:38,759 Speaker 2: interesting futures out there, so definitely take a look. I 770 00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:41,520 Speaker 2: think DJ is going to be underrated in DFSSCRE relative 771 00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:44,040 Speaker 2: the other big guys. I think the injury really hurt him. 772 00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:46,360 Speaker 2: Any final thoughts before we get out of here on 773 00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:49,360 Speaker 2: the upcoming season. Obviously we're already in the you know, 774 00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:51,680 Speaker 2: the swing of things here, you know, in the twenty 775 00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:54,759 Speaker 2: nineteen or twenty twenty season, I should say any final 776 00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:57,640 Speaker 2: thoughts in our predictions, so just that I. 777 00:34:57,560 --> 00:35:00,880 Speaker 1: Can't wait for everything to continue in you moving on. 778 00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:03,680 Speaker 1: I mean, I was fired up for the Century Tournament 779 00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:05,920 Speaker 1: champions at Capellou a couple of weeks ago, and then 780 00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:08,239 Speaker 1: even so that's only like a little taste, Like you 781 00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:10,120 Speaker 1: don't get everybody, You get a small field of end 782 00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:11,560 Speaker 1: You're like, man, I want more. I want more. I 783 00:35:12,120 --> 00:35:14,120 Speaker 1: want to bet some underdogs. And then we get the 784 00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:16,319 Speaker 1: Sony Open this past week. I'm like, all right, my 785 00:35:16,360 --> 00:35:19,200 Speaker 1: wheelhouse is what I like. Now we're going into the desert, 786 00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:22,120 Speaker 1: I'm telling you, and I hope that there are a 787 00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:23,719 Speaker 1: lot of people out there listening and say, you know, 788 00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:25,600 Speaker 1: I bet golf a little bit. I like golf, and 789 00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:27,239 Speaker 1: I'm gonna start getting into it a little bit more 790 00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:30,320 Speaker 1: for those of you who aren't necessarily die hard, so 791 00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:32,560 Speaker 1: who listen to the Action Network podcast, who have been 792 00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,120 Speaker 1: keyed in on everything we do in football and the 793 00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:37,719 Speaker 1: NBA and all the great work that so many of 794 00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:41,120 Speaker 1: our content providers have done over the last year. I'm 795 00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:43,839 Speaker 1: telling you stick with the golf stuff. It's as much 796 00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:46,640 Speaker 1: fun as you can have following the sport as there is. 797 00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:49,600 Speaker 1: There's so much out there, whether you're betting guys outright, 798 00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:52,960 Speaker 1: whether you're betting matchups, whether you're playing DFS. I promise, 799 00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:55,240 Speaker 1: maybe not this week, but I promise at some point 800 00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:57,000 Speaker 1: we will get a few right. We will help you 801 00:35:57,040 --> 00:35:59,479 Speaker 1: out and you will have more fun. I mean, hey, look, 802 00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:02,319 Speaker 1: there's four days in every single golf tournament. There's seven 803 00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:04,239 Speaker 1: days in the week, more than fifty percent of the 804 00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:06,399 Speaker 1: days there's golf being played. You might want to get 805 00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:07,640 Speaker 1: in on that if you like a little action. 806 00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:10,560 Speaker 2: Well said Jason, and I'm so stoked for the year. 807 00:36:10,800 --> 00:36:13,920 Speaker 2: I'll make one push for DraftKings. DFS as a whole 808 00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:17,919 Speaker 2: has remained somewhat flat, but the golf contests are growing exponentially. 809 00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:19,959 Speaker 2: You can play for the whole week, you can play 810 00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:23,520 Speaker 2: day by day with their showdown slates, just so much fun. 811 00:36:23,640 --> 00:36:27,000 Speaker 2: There's gonna be millionaire makers for the majors, and I'm 812 00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:31,680 Speaker 2: anticipating the growth of DraftKings Golf's to really skyrocket this year. 813 00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:34,520 Speaker 2: Now they're actually partnered with the PGA Tour, so we 814 00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:36,960 Speaker 2: should see more and more stuff out of DraftKings and 815 00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:39,800 Speaker 2: should be a lot of fun. Specifically this week, I 816 00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:42,200 Speaker 2: think there's some really nice tournaments that I was looking at. 817 00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:44,800 Speaker 2: You know, we have some brief prize pools. As always, 818 00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:47,080 Speaker 2: the one nice thing with golf specifically if you're not 819 00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:49,000 Speaker 2: like a hardcore person but want a little bit of 820 00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:51,520 Speaker 2: a sweat, these low dollar buy ins that they have. 821 00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:53,319 Speaker 2: For instance, they have a three hundred and twenty five 822 00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:56,880 Speaker 2: thousand dollars tournament, five dollars to enter, one hundred thousand 823 00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:58,960 Speaker 2: to first. If you want to go up in higher states, 824 00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:01,520 Speaker 2: you can play the four four two hundred thousand dollars 825 00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:04,120 Speaker 2: pressure putt. There's just a ton of really really good contests. 826 00:37:04,160 --> 00:37:05,440 Speaker 2: Of course you can go all the way up to 827 00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:08,919 Speaker 2: like the five kate Thunderdome, but it's a lot of fun. 828 00:37:09,080 --> 00:37:12,480 Speaker 2: I hope you guys enjoyed this podcast. He's Jason Soble, 829 00:37:12,600 --> 00:37:28,680 Speaker 2: I'm Peter Jennings. Good luck this week. We're finished talking