1 00:00:02,600 --> 00:00:09,120 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. We've got some aerospace 2 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:12,520 Speaker 1: royalty here in the room, as you say, Larry Culp, 3 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 1: the CEO and chair of General Electric, the world's biggest 4 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:19,000 Speaker 1: jet engine manufacturer. John this is a company that is 5 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 1: newly independent. It's a standalone business. The first time we've 6 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 1: see numbers being reported on that basis, and the numbers 7 00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:28,520 Speaker 1: we've seen being reported look good and being taken well 8 00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 1: by the market. That stock I think is up circa 9 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:32,600 Speaker 1: three percent this morning. It looks like a beat and 10 00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:36,040 Speaker 1: a rays from Larry Culp. Good morning, good afternoons. I 11 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:38,160 Speaker 1: probably should say nice to have you with us, Thanks 12 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: for joining us. 13 00:00:38,960 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 2: I good to be with you. 14 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 1: Talk me through, took me through the strength, taught me 15 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:44,519 Speaker 1: through where it has come from. Where is the strength 16 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:46,199 Speaker 1: of this beaten rays within the business? 17 00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:48,640 Speaker 2: Well, guy, it's really rooted in the demand that we 18 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:51,479 Speaker 2: see both from the airlines and from the airframers for 19 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 2: more of what we do. Seventy percent of Gerospace on 20 00:00:55,080 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 2: a standalone basis comes in the aftermarket, supporting the airlines 21 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 2: with parts, with services of all types to keep today's 22 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 2: fleets in the air and given the activity that they're 23 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:09,679 Speaker 2: seeing with the flying public. It's all we can do 24 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:11,680 Speaker 2: to keep up with what they'd like to see from us. 25 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:15,680 Speaker 2: So the sixty plus percent improvement in earnings, the nearly 26 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:18,960 Speaker 2: twenty percent improvement in free cash we announced today is 27 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 2: really a function of the strength that we're seeing in 28 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:25,040 Speaker 2: our commercial engines and services business in the aftermarket. 29 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 1: Is that sustainable? Does that carry on throughout the rest 30 00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 1: of this year into twenty twenty five? Is that something 31 00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 1: that is here now gone tomorrow? Because we're starting to 32 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:34,680 Speaker 1: see some warnings coming through, particularly from the narrow body 33 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:37,680 Speaker 1: OPERATESUS in the United States, and as of the beginning 34 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:38,919 Speaker 1: of this week with run here. 35 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 2: In Europe, well, we've certainly seen those as well. It 36 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 2: seems like that commentary is really geared more toward pricing 37 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 2: than anything else. But if you look at our order 38 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 2: book in the second quarter alone, nearly forty percent year 39 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:56,440 Speaker 2: every year we see our utilization of the fleets, both 40 00:01:56,480 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 2: the mature fleet which we power with the CFM fifty 41 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:02,240 Speaker 2: six have been steady. An engine that folks might thought 42 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 2: might begin to fade our newer generation technology, the leap 43 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:08,519 Speaker 2: engine on both the seventy three seven Max and the 44 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:15,080 Speaker 2: Neo at Airbus that's probably four points in terms of share, 45 00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:19,079 Speaker 2: so our utilization could not be higher even just looking 46 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:22,680 Speaker 2: at the third quarter here, we have probably ninety percent 47 00:02:22,800 --> 00:02:26,880 Speaker 2: of our third quarter projection in backlog today with respect 48 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 2: to parts. So in terms of the demand signals we're 49 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 2: seeing from our customers, things are strong. 50 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:34,239 Speaker 1: The hours being flown are going to remain consistent, you think. 51 00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:37,520 Speaker 2: We believe so, and going forward they're going to increase. 52 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 1: That's the kind of the oldest story, that's the existing 53 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 1: fleet that's already out there. As you say, the maintenance, 54 00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:46,520 Speaker 1: the maintenance story is very strong. The margin off that 55 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 1: is very very strong. The story sting of the Farmberas 56 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:51,960 Speaker 1: Show and all the air shows recently and throughout this 57 00:02:52,040 --> 00:02:54,800 Speaker 1: industry has been what has been happening with the supply chain. 58 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:58,840 Speaker 1: Ab Bus Learning gets guidance for the year talking about 59 00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 1: engines within that guidance. Is the supply chain story getting 60 00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:04,960 Speaker 1: better or is it getting worse? 61 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 2: Guy, I'm strongly of the view it's getting better. It's 62 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 2: really all about the rate of improvement. And what we 63 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 2: shared earlier today with investors is that we didn't have 64 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,359 Speaker 2: the output that we had anticipated in the second quarter 65 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 2: with our newest generation engine in particular with our Leap engine. 66 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:27,960 Speaker 2: But we're going in using our flight deck, our lean 67 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 2: operating model to help our suppliers help us jointly problem 68 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:35,680 Speaker 2: solving YEP, really understanding constraints at the point of impact, 69 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 2: and we saw tremendous results from that in the second quarter. 70 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 2: Didn't translate into as many deliveries, perhaps as our frame 71 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 2: or customers would have liked, but we saw two thirds 72 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 2: of the suppliers that we worked with improve their output 73 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 2: to us by nearly twofold. It's discouraging. 74 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 1: Just kind of told me through what's happening. So originally 75 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 1: the guidance was for twenty five percent improvement for that engine. 76 00:03:58,960 --> 00:04:00,120 Speaker 1: Then you went, I think it was an eight. You 77 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 1: are kind of ten to fifteen. Now you're a kind 78 00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:04,480 Speaker 1: of flat to five exactly. That feels like it's not 79 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 1: getting better. You're telling me that it is below the 80 00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:07,880 Speaker 1: surface is getting better. 81 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 2: It's not getting better at the rate that we had anticipated, 82 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:13,680 Speaker 2: but it's getting better. If you look at the sequential 83 00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 2: trends and that from an operating perspective, that's all that 84 00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 2: really matters. Week in week out, quarter in quarter out. 85 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,719 Speaker 2: Are we seeing more and are we seeing more predictably. Okay, 86 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 2: we're getting better in that regard. I'm encouraged by what 87 00:04:24,880 --> 00:04:26,680 Speaker 2: I've seen here just in the first three weeks of July. 88 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:29,160 Speaker 2: A lot of work not only in the second half 89 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:31,120 Speaker 2: still in front of us, but as we think about 90 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 2: twenty five and twenty six, but working in that way, 91 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 2: yielding those sorts of results will I think put us 92 00:04:36,880 --> 00:04:37,839 Speaker 2: all on the ramp. 93 00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 1: So the benefit comes next year. That's when we start 94 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 1: to see the big benefit coming through. 95 00:04:41,680 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 2: I think some of the actions that we took in 96 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 2: the second quarter will help us in the third quarter 97 00:04:46,440 --> 00:04:47,920 Speaker 2: and in the fourth quarter of this year. 98 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:50,480 Speaker 1: Why is it taking this is a question I put 99 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 1: the gill four you. Why is it taking so long 100 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:55,119 Speaker 1: to resolve this issue within the supply chain? 101 00:04:55,680 --> 00:04:58,680 Speaker 2: Well, I saw a gillom yesterday. We talk about this 102 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 2: every time we're together. I think it's important for everyone 103 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:04,360 Speaker 2: to remember, guy, that we turned the industry down to 104 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 2: almost zero during the pandemic, and what we're trying to 105 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:10,159 Speaker 2: do now is turn it all the way back on. 106 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:14,720 Speaker 2: And that's hard. We lost not only people during the pandemic, 107 00:05:14,800 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 2: we lost a tremendous amount of experience technical people throughout 108 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 2: the supply chain. In GIMP's facilities, at Boeing, at g 109 00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 2: Eero space and throughout the supply chain. We're building all 110 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:31,040 Speaker 2: of that capability back and because those roles are filled 111 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:33,040 Speaker 2: now not by a fifty eight year old, but perhaps 112 00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:35,680 Speaker 2: by a twenty eight year old, there's a lot we 113 00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:38,160 Speaker 2: have to do in terms of not only adding capacity 114 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 2: but capability to meet the ramp that we all marked upon. 115 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 1: He told me this one. He thinks we've already got 116 00:05:45,400 --> 00:05:47,919 Speaker 1: another couple of years Togo though, until we resolved some 117 00:05:47,960 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 1: of these issues. Does that timeline feel kind of about 118 00:05:50,640 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 1: right to you as well? 119 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:54,680 Speaker 2: We're trying to make progress every week, but I think 120 00:05:54,680 --> 00:05:57,680 Speaker 2: this is a multi year effort that the industry faces. 121 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:01,479 Speaker 1: In terms of what we bring up gilforty. How is 122 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:05,840 Speaker 1: your relationship changing with their bus? You traditionally be really 123 00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 1: tight with Boeing, tom Endos, I know, well, you know, well, 124 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:13,159 Speaker 1: now is now on your board? Does that does that 125 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 1: signal to change in relationship with that bus? Well? 126 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:18,480 Speaker 2: I think we have served both of the major air 127 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:23,120 Speaker 2: framers well over time. Right we don't have over two 128 00:06:23,200 --> 00:06:26,600 Speaker 2: thirds of the departures in the narrow body space serving 129 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:29,920 Speaker 2: Boeing alone. We're very excited about the news we put 130 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:32,800 Speaker 2: out last week with the A three twenty one xl 131 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 2: R now approved but only proved with the GDE Leap 132 00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:40,359 Speaker 2: one A right our engine. So there's a lot that 133 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:42,480 Speaker 2: we're doing with Airbus, not only in terms of the 134 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:46,599 Speaker 2: ramp but next generation technology as well, and we're trying 135 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:48,839 Speaker 2: to be as strong and as good a partner to 136 00:06:49,120 --> 00:06:52,919 Speaker 2: Gillom and Christian and their teams as we possibly can be. 137 00:06:53,440 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 2: We want to do the same thing with the folks 138 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,800 Speaker 2: at Boeing. Of course, yep, we can do that as 139 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:02,039 Speaker 2: long as we invest into technology, use flight deck to 140 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:06,240 Speaker 2: deliver safety, quality, delivery and cost to their requirements and 141 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 2: jointly serve the airlines. 142 00:07:08,520 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 1: Defense and just spend a moment if we can as 143 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:13,680 Speaker 1: we conclete things. Talking about defense, do you think spend 144 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 1: spending is going up? Do you think that Trump presidency 145 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:18,160 Speaker 1: would mean great to defense spending? Do you see defense 146 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:21,640 Speaker 1: spending going up in Europe in a Trump presidency because 147 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:24,680 Speaker 1: of the requirements in terms of that's GDP not that's 148 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 1: GDP spending to GDP. How do you see that story 149 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 1: progressing and what does it mean ultimately for Ge? 150 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 2: Well, I think on both sides of the Atlantic. Given 151 00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 2: the authorities that I speak with, spending will be paced 152 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:43,360 Speaker 2: by the threat, and the threat is only increasing. Therefore, 153 00:07:43,960 --> 00:07:46,880 Speaker 2: be it in combat aircraft, be it in rotary craft. 154 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 2: The two areas that we serve most directly, we think 155 00:07:50,440 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 2: we will see looking out over the next five to 156 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:54,680 Speaker 2: ten years, have sustained growth. 157 00:07:55,520 --> 00:07:57,720 Speaker 1: Just one final quick question before I'm full of throw 158 00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:00,200 Speaker 1: banks at this GDA. Was it an easy decision to 159 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:02,480 Speaker 1: continue your contract? Can I one hundred percent rule you 160 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 1: out as a Boeing job? 161 00:08:04,160 --> 00:08:05,400 Speaker 2: How about one hundred and one percent? 162 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:07,080 Speaker 1: One hundred and one percent, There you go, one hundred 163 00:08:07,080 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 1: and one percent. I know the guys in the studio 164 00:08:08,280 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 1: were talking about this a little bit earlier on. So 165 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:12,680 Speaker 1: one hundred and one percent, there you go, John, Lisa, 166 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:15,520 Speaker 1: one hundred and one percent. Larry Kulp is staying at 167 00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 1: GE and a fantastic set of numbers delivered earlier on today. 168 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:20,400 Speaker 1: Looks like the market likes what it hears.