WEBVTT - Live from QEF: Finance Titans Descend on Doha

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome to you in this city.

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<v Speaker 1>Now each week we unpack a story that's crucial to

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<v Speaker 1>the world's financial capitals.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm from sin.

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<v Speaker 1>Laclaw and this week we're recording the show from the

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<v Speaker 1>fifth edition of the Qatari Economic Forum in Doa. So

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<v Speaker 1>it only seems appropriate to zero in on this massive

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<v Speaker 1>wave of deal making emerging from the Middle East. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>following President Trump's recent high profile visit to the region,

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<v Speaker 1>the White House claims that Saudi Arabia, CATTER and the

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<v Speaker 1>United Arab Emirates have made over trillion dollars in new

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<v Speaker 1>economic commitments.

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<v Speaker 3>Now.

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<v Speaker 1>These deals, of course, span a range of key sectors, defense, aviation,

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<v Speaker 1>artificial intelligence, really signaling this major push towards strategic partnerships

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<v Speaker 1>and long term diversification. Now, in this episode will take

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<v Speaker 1>the pulse of the forum. You can see it's very

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<v Speaker 1>noisy as people also talk around me. We explore how

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<v Speaker 1>business leaders are reacting to the latest deals and what

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<v Speaker 1>it could mean for the region's investment landscape going forward. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>to unpack all of this, and there's a lot to unpack.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm delighted to be joined by Matthew Martin, Bloomberg's chief

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<v Speaker 1>correspond for MINA Sovereign Wealth Funds and Nationnaire Bloomberg's chief

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<v Speaker 1>correspondent for Global Deals.

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome to the City of London, the city of the

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<v Speaker 2>City of London. Please mind the gap between the tree

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<v Speaker 2>and the financial hearts of the country, the city, the city.

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome in the city.

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<v Speaker 1>Bend care of the doors. So good to have you

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<v Speaker 1>on the podcast. We can hear each other. But the

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<v Speaker 1>buzz is incredible actually here at the Catar Economic Forum.

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, itcuse and it's great to see so many people

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<v Speaker 4>lining up and do this and more than two thousand,

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<v Speaker 4>fiveundred delegates. It's a lot of excitement, a lot of

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<v Speaker 4>vibe in the region, which is what you kind of

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<v Speaker 4>see whenever you come to the Middle East and know

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<v Speaker 4>in the last few years that's been the big change.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but then with President Trump noither actually showing up

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<v Speaker 1>last week, I mean it's incredible people talk about deals, right,

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<v Speaker 1>Is this real money?

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<v Speaker 2>Is this real deals?

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<v Speaker 1>Or is this you know more terms of understanding? Is like, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll work on it, We'll work on AI. Or is

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<v Speaker 1>this region going to get a lot of flows quite quickly?

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<v Speaker 5>Well, I think I was at the Trump's visit to

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<v Speaker 5>read last week, and there was a whole host of

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<v Speaker 5>numbers that were being thrown out by people. You know,

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<v Speaker 5>Initially they said that there was six hundred billion dollars

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<v Speaker 5>of investments. Then there was announce from the stage there

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<v Speaker 5>was three hundred billion dollars. Then the Crown Prince and

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<v Speaker 5>President Trump as well said that there was a plan

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<v Speaker 5>to get to a trillion dollars.

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<v Speaker 2>So you know where this number actually is going to

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<v Speaker 2>end up. I think it's going to be anyone's guests

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<v Speaker 2>over the next few years.

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<v Speaker 5>But I think what's what's what's clear is there is

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<v Speaker 5>this very real change in mood between the region and

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<v Speaker 5>the US. Relations under the Biden administration were strained at times.

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<v Speaker 5>The region was sort of flirting with China and boosting

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<v Speaker 5>trade and investment flows with China. Now I think that,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, following Trump's visit, it's really sort of said that,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, this money, they want it to be flowing

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<v Speaker 5>into the US. They really value that partnership, and particularly

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<v Speaker 5>around those things you mentioned, like diversifying the economy, going

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<v Speaker 5>into technology, and to defence. All these areas are definitely

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<v Speaker 5>going to be sucking up a huge amount of capital

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<v Speaker 5>out of this region.

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<v Speaker 1>And I mean they all lead money, right, So it's basically,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the GCC countries cat are saying, we have money,

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<v Speaker 1>but we'd probably like it to be more invested in

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<v Speaker 1>the region rather than going abroad. But the US also

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<v Speaker 1>trying to attract funds. So it's like they're they're you know,

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<v Speaker 1>friendly but competing.

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, it is, and it's actually quite an exciting, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>interesting mix of the needs of different countries. If you

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<v Speaker 4>look at Saudi Abia for instance, they need a lot

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<v Speaker 4>of capital in the country. They're going through a big

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<v Speaker 4>interest such as spending boom, they're creating the city as

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<v Speaker 4>we know from scratch, so there's a lot of money

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<v Speaker 4>required in the country itself. So this the number which

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<v Speaker 4>has been put out, has raised some question marks on

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<v Speaker 4>whether where is that money going to come from because

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<v Speaker 4>you're spending so much in your domestic economy.

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<v Speaker 3>I think Cutter and UA are a bit different.

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<v Speaker 4>If you look at UA for instance, you know the

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<v Speaker 4>infrastructures already in place and their big ambition is to

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<v Speaker 4>diversify the economy and so they have a huge requirement

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<v Speaker 4>you know, to get access into chips and also like

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<v Speaker 4>build out their artificial intelligence industry in Cutter even it's

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<v Speaker 4>kind of remains similar. They're going to get huge inflows

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<v Speaker 4>in the next couple of years, you know, from the

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<v Speaker 4>LNG at sports and it's a small country, so why

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<v Speaker 4>do you deploy that? And US becomes a natural home

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<v Speaker 4>for them. So I think the dynamics are a bit

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<v Speaker 4>mixed for different countries here.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm actually I've.

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<v Speaker 1>Been thinking about Salt because it feels like, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>you have president of the United States that wants to

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<v Speaker 1>do deals, so this is not only about money. This

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<v Speaker 1>is almost like a strategic geopolitical alliance. So how much

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<v Speaker 1>were the deals announced in the region last week about

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<v Speaker 1>keeping President Trump on side and how much of it

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<v Speaker 1>is actually just pop point in cabro and putting it

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<v Speaker 1>to work.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, there's clearly a very real part of this.

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<v Speaker 5>And the sort of announcement inflation that you saw of

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<v Speaker 5>each of the countries that he visited around the region

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<v Speaker 5>wanting to one up the previous one and announce more

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<v Speaker 5>and more. Yeah, I think a lot of that is about,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, understanding a very transactional US administration and knowing

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<v Speaker 5>that they can they can play that game to their

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<v Speaker 5>advantage because they often have these big sobign mode funds

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<v Speaker 5>that can deploy capital and can make these big long

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<v Speaker 5>term commitments. So look, some of that is going to

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<v Speaker 5>be a bit nebulous and is possibly not going to

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<v Speaker 5>see the light of day. But you know, I think

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<v Speaker 5>as well, they see that diversifying their economies. They see

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<v Speaker 5>that building an AI industry, becoming hobs for these sorts

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<v Speaker 5>of things, you have to partner with the US for it.

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<v Speaker 5>And as much as there has been all the noise

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<v Speaker 5>around sort of deep seek and how much that sort

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<v Speaker 5>of changes the equation around AI investments, ultimately I think

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<v Speaker 5>everybody sees the future of AI has come out of

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<v Speaker 5>the US, and so that's where they want to build

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<v Speaker 5>those partnerships. And also, you know, linking into that, the

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<v Speaker 5>region has been very keen on getting defense agreements and

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<v Speaker 5>security pats with the US, and so buying a lot

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<v Speaker 5>of American hardware helps knit them into that American defense

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<v Speaker 5>complex to set the ground for trying to do those

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<v Speaker 5>broader geopolitical deals over the course of this administration, which

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<v Speaker 5>I think is going to be one of the big goals.

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<v Speaker 1>But also if you look at some of the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>sovereign wealth funds in the world. They sit in this region,

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<v Speaker 1>and this is because of the revenue from more oil

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<v Speaker 1>and gas, which will probably only increase. We heard also

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<v Speaker 1>here from Katar that will increase. We spoke to the

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<v Speaker 1>Kuwaiti Southern Wealth Fund. How much more money will they

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<v Speaker 1>have to put to work in the coming years thanks

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<v Speaker 1>to revenue?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I think and as Danish was hinting at this

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<v Speaker 5>a bit earlier on, you know, and we had a

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<v Speaker 5>story the other week that Saudi Arabia has got about

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<v Speaker 5>two trillion dollars worth of domestic commitments that it's on

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<v Speaker 5>the hook for make and space.

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<v Speaker 2>Some of that out maybe, but clearly.

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<v Speaker 5>The big push within Saudi Arabia is gonna be domestic investments,

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<v Speaker 5>and so the amount of capital that can go outside

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<v Speaker 5>of the country is going to be more limited compared

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<v Speaker 5>to a place like Doha where we are, where they've

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<v Speaker 5>got these big gas fields coming on stream in the

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<v Speaker 5>sort of year or two ahead. That's going to be

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<v Speaker 5>giving the Qia this massive new war chest that they're

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<v Speaker 5>going to have to deploy. And you know, they're talking

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<v Speaker 5>about a five hundred billion dollar commitment into the US

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<v Speaker 5>over the course of the next five years or so.

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<v Speaker 5>And that's I mean that probably has some sense of

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<v Speaker 5>reality to it. You know, they are going to be

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<v Speaker 5>having to digest more and more capital coming into the

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<v Speaker 5>fond and the US is going to be a great

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<v Speaker 5>place to try and digest some of that.

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<v Speaker 2>Similarly in Kuwait as well.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, we had the head of the Kia on

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<v Speaker 5>the stage earlier on today.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, he was talking.

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<v Speaker 5>He was less effusive about making big commitments and pledges

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<v Speaker 5>to the US, but you know he was clearly saying

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<v Speaker 5>that you are underweight the US at your peril, and

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<v Speaker 5>so you know this is a sign that you So

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<v Speaker 5>I think both of these funds.

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<v Speaker 2>And also Abbadabi as well, are going to.

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<v Speaker 5>Be continuing to look to put lots and lots of

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<v Speaker 5>money at work into the US.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, how do they put that capital actually to work?

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<v Speaker 2>And again in the US.

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<v Speaker 1>Given the volatility that we've seen, you know, and the

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<v Speaker 1>valuations that have been frankly all over the place, like

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<v Speaker 1>what is our natural home for this capital to end

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<v Speaker 1>up in the US.

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<v Speaker 4>So I think a lot of them actually put money

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<v Speaker 4>into public equities and I would think that will continue.

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<v Speaker 4>So if you think about cutoff, for instance, saying find

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<v Speaker 4>it billion dollars of commitments over the next ten years.

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<v Speaker 4>That's fifty billion on average every year. And if you

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<v Speaker 4>buy the SNP some of the biggest companies that you

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<v Speaker 4>can deploy quite a billion a few billion dollars into that.

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<v Speaker 3>That will continue, But I think.

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<v Speaker 4>They're also looking at into the AI infrastructure space. A

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<v Speaker 4>lot of them are interested in healthcare, so that's a

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<v Speaker 4>big sector that they're focused on. Is to understand, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>and develop their own industry back home. You know, you

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<v Speaker 4>need to kind of invest in that sector. So it's

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<v Speaker 4>quite a lot of money going to that. Power is

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<v Speaker 4>a big space because it's obviously powering. You know, you

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<v Speaker 4>need electricity to and me the AI demand. So there's

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<v Speaker 4>quite a few areas that would invest in. But if

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<v Speaker 4>you think about someone like a Qia of for instance,

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<v Speaker 4>a Abadla, you'll see potentially it's been a bit more

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<v Speaker 4>direct investments, which they've not been doing in the past,

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<v Speaker 4>so that thing, I think that that would go up

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<v Speaker 4>a little bit. And then you know the normal cost

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<v Speaker 4>of business investing in the treasuries and public equities that

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<v Speaker 4>which they've been doing for a few years. That will

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<v Speaker 4>continue as well, but still a big number. I think

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<v Speaker 4>for me, what is kind of interesting is that if

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<v Speaker 4>they're all chasing the same assets from the same region,

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<v Speaker 4>trying to kind of lobby the same person in the administration,

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<v Speaker 4>do they end up paying a little bit more like,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, is we're going to be competition from this

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<v Speaker 4>region for the same assets. You know, that's something which

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<v Speaker 4>will be interesting to watch in the coming years.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's interesting because there's also a new head

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<v Speaker 1>of the QIA that's much more familiar actually with US, thankulity.

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<v Speaker 1>So I wonder whether that changes the investment profile of

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<v Speaker 1>the cybern Mouth Fund.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I think you're clearly from the comments about the

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<v Speaker 5>commitments that they're willing to make into the US and

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<v Speaker 5>a lot of the talk around the event today has

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<v Speaker 5>been very uh, there's been a very America first agenda,

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<v Speaker 5>I think among a lot of the panelists, and I think,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, if you look at the QIA, they're clearly

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<v Speaker 5>buying into a lot of that trumpanomics, looking at investing

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<v Speaker 5>not just into some of these things that the sort

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<v Speaker 5>of the the stuff we've talked about around AI and

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<v Speaker 5>those sorts of technology and the sort of you know,

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<v Speaker 5>the future industries, they're also talking about investing into the

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<v Speaker 5>reindustrialization of the US, which is you know that that

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<v Speaker 5>whole Trump goal of bringing manufacturing and bringing those jobs

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<v Speaker 5>back into the US and bringing the supply chain for

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<v Speaker 5>American goods back into America, so that they sound very

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<v Speaker 5>optimistic about wanting to play that trade as well, which

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<v Speaker 5>you know is something that people have had some concerns

0:10:50.400 --> 0:10:54.079
<v Speaker 5>about how how realistic that might be. But yeah, I

0:10:54.080 --> 0:10:55.640
<v Speaker 5>think you know, the fact that the head of the

0:10:55.679 --> 0:10:59.160
<v Speaker 5>QIA now had spent years and years running the US

0:10:59.200 --> 0:11:02.040
<v Speaker 5>means he's obviously very familiar with the economy, very familiar

0:11:02.040 --> 0:11:03.760
<v Speaker 5>with the investment scene there and all the people that

0:11:03.800 --> 0:11:05.719
<v Speaker 5>he needs to be in contact with. And so I think,

0:11:05.720 --> 0:11:07.600
<v Speaker 5>you know, that's why they're making this decision that they

0:11:07.640 --> 0:11:10.959
<v Speaker 5>are going to be They're going to be very very

0:11:10.960 --> 0:11:13.880
<v Speaker 5>supportive of the Trump administration's goals over these four years.

0:11:15.000 --> 0:11:16.319
<v Speaker 2>Danish, how do you see.

0:11:16.120 --> 0:11:18.720
<v Speaker 1>This ending up again if you will get equity? I

0:11:18.720 --> 0:11:21.520
<v Speaker 1>mean there's a lot of talk about private credit, private

0:11:21.559 --> 0:11:23.920
<v Speaker 1>equity is there already?

0:11:24.000 --> 0:11:25.160
<v Speaker 2>It's early days again.

0:11:25.360 --> 0:11:28.400
<v Speaker 1>Trump just left the region like four days ago, but

0:11:28.640 --> 0:11:32.120
<v Speaker 1>is there an indication of them going more into alternatives?

0:11:32.559 --> 0:11:36.840
<v Speaker 4>There's clearly a push for alternatives though some people especially

0:11:36.920 --> 0:11:40.120
<v Speaker 4>they had the the QIICO who kind of mentioned that

0:11:40.440 --> 0:11:43.760
<v Speaker 4>private credit seems a little bit crowded now, but clearly

0:11:43.760 --> 0:11:45.920
<v Speaker 4>there's a lot of push towards private equity. So that

0:11:46.040 --> 0:11:49.160
<v Speaker 4>traditionally how these funds have invested in private equity was

0:11:49.200 --> 0:11:53.320
<v Speaker 4>either through investing in the funds itself or partnering with

0:11:53.360 --> 0:11:55.199
<v Speaker 4>some of the large private equity films so looking to

0:11:55.240 --> 0:11:58.000
<v Speaker 4>commit capital into buying business in the US, and they

0:11:58.000 --> 0:12:00.520
<v Speaker 4>would come in as a minority investor, and that they've

0:12:00.559 --> 0:12:02.480
<v Speaker 4>been doing for a while. Because they're also like the

0:12:02.480 --> 0:12:05.040
<v Speaker 4>biggest l priests to some of these funds, they've always

0:12:05.080 --> 0:12:07.040
<v Speaker 4>got like a bit of proferential access. They get co

0:12:07.160 --> 0:12:10.000
<v Speaker 4>investment opportunities, they're the first ones to see these deals.

0:12:10.000 --> 0:12:11.720
<v Speaker 4>And in a world where there's not so much money

0:12:11.760 --> 0:12:15.360
<v Speaker 4>floating around the Middle East as an LP base over

0:12:15.400 --> 0:12:18.440
<v Speaker 4>the years has become very important for the private agreedy firms,

0:12:18.440 --> 0:12:20.480
<v Speaker 4>so it's not a market they can ignore. That's why

0:12:20.480 --> 0:12:23.600
<v Speaker 4>we're seeing a lot of private EGREDI firms announcing that

0:12:23.600 --> 0:12:25.959
<v Speaker 4>they're setting up shop in Abu Dhabi or in Kata

0:12:26.520 --> 0:12:28.959
<v Speaker 4>or in Rear. That's because they understand that the money

0:12:29.000 --> 0:12:31.280
<v Speaker 4>for some of those big investments they need the equity

0:12:31.360 --> 0:12:33.360
<v Speaker 4>check is coming from this region, so I think that

0:12:33.400 --> 0:12:34.400
<v Speaker 4>would continue to improve.

0:12:34.440 --> 0:12:35.240
<v Speaker 3>The only few of them.

0:12:35.280 --> 0:12:38.120
<v Speaker 4>I don't think a lot of them are keen on

0:12:38.400 --> 0:12:41.600
<v Speaker 4>buying majority stakes and owning businesses outright because they just

0:12:41.600 --> 0:12:45.480
<v Speaker 4>don't have the manpower and the operational capabilities to run

0:12:45.559 --> 0:12:48.240
<v Speaker 4>businesses per se. But they do get twenty persons take

0:12:48.240 --> 0:12:49.800
<v Speaker 4>and a big business and they get a saying that

0:12:49.840 --> 0:12:52.000
<v Speaker 4>they get a board seed. That's how I think the

0:12:52.040 --> 0:12:54.520
<v Speaker 4>alternative push is going to go into it. Plus there's

0:12:54.559 --> 0:12:56.319
<v Speaker 4>also like you know, if you look at someone like

0:12:56.320 --> 0:12:58.760
<v Speaker 4>an idea, there is a push to do investments more

0:12:58.800 --> 0:12:59.440
<v Speaker 4>into hedge funds.

0:12:59.440 --> 0:13:00.920
<v Speaker 3>You know, we keep we understand.

0:13:00.559 --> 0:13:02.240
<v Speaker 4>They're looking at a lot of company a lot of

0:13:02.240 --> 0:13:05.520
<v Speaker 4>money into different strategies. So those that will continue as well.

0:13:06.040 --> 0:13:09.440
<v Speaker 1>Infrastructure, AI, Sports, I mean, I guess there's still a

0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:12.800
<v Speaker 1>big posh also because of the young population here to

0:13:12.920 --> 0:13:14.160
<v Speaker 1>own sports teams.

0:13:14.800 --> 0:13:16.760
<v Speaker 2>Is it football or it could also be others.

0:13:17.080 --> 0:13:19.920
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, well, I think we're going to see sports continue

0:13:19.960 --> 0:13:24.000
<v Speaker 5>to be a big theme across the region. You know,

0:13:24.040 --> 0:13:27.280
<v Speaker 5>I think sports has been emerging much more as a

0:13:27.320 --> 0:13:30.360
<v Speaker 5>sort of investable asset class over the last few years

0:13:30.360 --> 0:13:33.520
<v Speaker 5>than it has been in the past. Obviously, you know

0:13:33.559 --> 0:13:36.920
<v Speaker 5>the PIF's investment and creation of Live and they sort

0:13:36.920 --> 0:13:39.800
<v Speaker 5>of plan maybe if they can get dealed on to

0:13:39.880 --> 0:13:42.880
<v Speaker 5>merge with the PGA. You know that that's another big

0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:45.560
<v Speaker 5>push by the PIF to get into into the US

0:13:45.640 --> 0:13:47.800
<v Speaker 5>sports scene. And there's you know, sort of talk around

0:13:47.840 --> 0:13:51.680
<v Speaker 5>changing some of the rules around ownership of American sports teams,

0:13:51.720 --> 0:13:53.120
<v Speaker 5>which opens up the door to these.

0:13:53.040 --> 0:13:54.319
<v Speaker 2>Sort of private extuity players.

0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:55.679
<v Speaker 5>And I think, you know, one of the things that

0:13:55.720 --> 0:13:57.880
<v Speaker 5>we've heard from some of the sessions today is that

0:13:59.559 --> 0:14:02.640
<v Speaker 5>the sovereigns out of the region can afford to be patient,

0:14:02.720 --> 0:14:05.920
<v Speaker 5>and they can afford to take some time investing in

0:14:05.960 --> 0:14:08.959
<v Speaker 5>these things which maybe don't return a huge amount of

0:14:09.000 --> 0:14:11.880
<v Speaker 5>money in a typical sort of three to five year

0:14:11.920 --> 0:14:14.560
<v Speaker 5>private acuity period, but if you look at that longer

0:14:14.640 --> 0:14:16.520
<v Speaker 5>sort of ten to fifteen years, then they could be

0:14:16.559 --> 0:14:20.480
<v Speaker 5>really they could be both financially viable and they play

0:14:20.560 --> 0:14:24.560
<v Speaker 5>this great role for promoting the region and promoting the

0:14:24.600 --> 0:14:26.920
<v Speaker 5>region is a place to invest, a place to holiday,

0:14:27.040 --> 0:14:30.080
<v Speaker 5>a place to visit, promote that sort of understanding as well,

0:14:30.120 --> 0:14:33.120
<v Speaker 5>and that those sort of soft power links which is

0:14:33.240 --> 0:14:36.360
<v Speaker 5>increasingly a role that the sovereigns out of the region

0:14:36.360 --> 0:14:39.040
<v Speaker 5>are playing. You know, they used to be you know,

0:14:39.160 --> 0:14:42.360
<v Speaker 5>fifteen twenty years ago, the sovereign funds were all saying, look,

0:14:42.360 --> 0:14:46.360
<v Speaker 5>we're not political actors, We're purely investing for financial returns.

0:14:46.360 --> 0:14:48.920
<v Speaker 5>And now, you know, I don't think anybody bothers making

0:14:48.920 --> 0:14:49.400
<v Speaker 5>that argument.

0:14:49.440 --> 0:14:50.640
<v Speaker 2>I think you know it.

0:14:50.920 --> 0:14:54.640
<v Speaker 5>Clearly they are in They are playing a role in

0:14:54.720 --> 0:14:56.840
<v Speaker 5>state craft and a role in soft power.

0:14:56.560 --> 0:14:58.920
<v Speaker 1>Projection, which is also why we saw a lot of

0:14:58.920 --> 0:15:02.840
<v Speaker 1>the trophy assets, right the like Herod's or PSG or

0:15:02.880 --> 0:15:05.880
<v Speaker 1>some of these big brands that was cool to own

0:15:05.880 --> 0:15:07.160
<v Speaker 1>if you have a lot of money. So like you

0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:09.160
<v Speaker 1>you're the new kid in town. It's like suddenly you

0:15:09.240 --> 0:15:11.800
<v Speaker 1>have a brand that everybody recognized and either just like

0:15:11.880 --> 0:15:14.840
<v Speaker 1>staying there or shopping there or watching Will that continue?

0:15:15.520 --> 0:15:16.320
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? I think so.

0:15:17.000 --> 0:15:21.160
<v Speaker 5>You know, if you look at the sort of Oscar

0:15:21.200 --> 0:15:23.040
<v Speaker 5>Wild quote of you know, the only thing worse than

0:15:23.080 --> 0:15:24.640
<v Speaker 5>being talked about is not being talked about.

0:15:24.960 --> 0:15:26.800
<v Speaker 2>And so you know, I think that that's part as.

0:15:26.640 --> 0:15:30.400
<v Speaker 5>Your father by Deneh, and that's part of sort of

0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:33.120
<v Speaker 5>inserting themselves into the conversation and things like you know,

0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:34.400
<v Speaker 5>Harods and things like.

0:15:34.480 --> 0:15:35.720
<v Speaker 2>You know, all the money that gets.

0:15:35.480 --> 0:15:38.480
<v Speaker 5>Poured into hosting sporting events in the region, it makes

0:15:38.520 --> 0:15:40.240
<v Speaker 5>you part of the conversation. You know, nobody has written

0:15:40.240 --> 0:15:43.760
<v Speaker 5>more about Saudi Arabia since these live golf and the

0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:48.920
<v Speaker 5>investments into the Premier League get into bringing Premier League

0:15:48.920 --> 0:15:52.040
<v Speaker 5>players to Saudi Arabia. So, you know, I think that

0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:55.240
<v Speaker 5>that that's all part of because of elevating the the

0:15:55.760 --> 0:15:58.280
<v Speaker 5>role and the knowledge that of these countries are all

0:15:58.320 --> 0:15:59.000
<v Speaker 5>around the world.

0:15:59.600 --> 0:16:03.400
<v Speaker 4>Yes of sports is soft power, as Matt mentioned, and

0:16:03.440 --> 0:16:05.800
<v Speaker 4>that's been a big factor for buying into some of

0:16:05.880 --> 0:16:08.480
<v Speaker 4>these It's not just the financial returns, you know, see

0:16:08.480 --> 0:16:11.600
<v Speaker 4>increasing that we see these funds trying to buy influence

0:16:12.080 --> 0:16:14.000
<v Speaker 4>as well as you know, when they buy assets, it's

0:16:14.000 --> 0:16:16.280
<v Speaker 4>also like what kind of influence that can get in

0:16:16.320 --> 0:16:19.160
<v Speaker 4>a certain administration or a certain region. So there's a

0:16:19.160 --> 0:16:21.240
<v Speaker 4>bit of that thinking going behind and the fact that

0:16:21.280 --> 0:16:23.800
<v Speaker 4>they can own some of these assets for longer periods

0:16:23.840 --> 0:16:25.680
<v Speaker 4>of time, you know, compared with the private equity firm

0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:28.920
<v Speaker 4>give some the ability to kind of withstand losses, you know,

0:16:29.240 --> 0:16:32.160
<v Speaker 4>through cycles, So that kind of that that's something that

0:16:32.240 --> 0:16:33.720
<v Speaker 4>one days they have, so you kind of I think

0:16:33.720 --> 0:16:36.560
<v Speaker 4>we'll continue to see sports investments. We saw a period

0:16:36.640 --> 0:16:39.960
<v Speaker 4>and QI a kind of stepped away from making these

0:16:40.440 --> 0:16:43.600
<v Speaker 4>you know, trophy asset investments uh and kind of went

0:16:43.680 --> 0:16:47.120
<v Speaker 4>into a lot more venture capital investment in early tech investments.

0:16:47.480 --> 0:16:49.600
<v Speaker 4>But we kind of think like with the more influence

0:16:49.640 --> 0:16:51.360
<v Speaker 4>coming in over the less two years, so we'll kind

0:16:51.360 --> 0:16:52.320
<v Speaker 4>of see bigger deals.

0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:53.760
<v Speaker 3>Uh.

0:16:53.800 --> 0:16:55.800
<v Speaker 4>And it has to be like, you know, like some

0:16:55.840 --> 0:16:57.960
<v Speaker 4>of the big assets you know that turn become trophy

0:16:58.000 --> 0:17:00.400
<v Speaker 4>assets to maybe continue to see that as well.

0:17:00.480 --> 0:17:02.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there was a wave where there was a

0:17:02.080 --> 0:17:04.919
<v Speaker 1>lot more scrutiny great and that's coming gone about some

0:17:05.000 --> 0:17:08.080
<v Speaker 1>of the money from certain parts of the world going

0:17:08.080 --> 0:17:09.920
<v Speaker 1>for example, to London to New York.

0:17:10.640 --> 0:17:11.600
<v Speaker 2>Where are we on that?

0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:15.440
<v Speaker 4>I think there were some reports about some of these

0:17:15.440 --> 0:17:19.359
<v Speaker 4>investments which was promised to the Trumpet administration and the

0:17:19.440 --> 0:17:22.160
<v Speaker 4>some ipro's being raised in the US about what does

0:17:22.200 --> 0:17:24.720
<v Speaker 4>this mean for some of our core assets. I'll be

0:17:24.840 --> 0:17:27.760
<v Speaker 4>giving too much access to Middle East and investors, so

0:17:27.800 --> 0:17:30.600
<v Speaker 4>that there will be that screwtinay doesn't go away. But

0:17:30.680 --> 0:17:33.159
<v Speaker 4>I think you know, when you have an administration on

0:17:33.200 --> 0:17:35.800
<v Speaker 4>your side, and when you have someone who is so

0:17:35.920 --> 0:17:39.040
<v Speaker 4>transactional and who wants to kind of see investments being

0:17:39.040 --> 0:17:42.800
<v Speaker 4>made into the country. I think there is a bit

0:17:42.840 --> 0:17:45.800
<v Speaker 4>of levy in that. I don't think so. During the

0:17:45.800 --> 0:17:48.760
<v Speaker 4>Biden administration, Sophius was a big concern for Seals funds,

0:17:48.800 --> 0:17:51.080
<v Speaker 4>like they were lobbying to try and see how can

0:17:51.119 --> 0:17:54.919
<v Speaker 4>we get access to US ASS without Sephius blocking some

0:17:54.960 --> 0:17:57.840
<v Speaker 4>of these deals. And overall it seems like the regulatory

0:17:57.960 --> 0:18:00.000
<v Speaker 4>environment in the US is a bit more friendly now.

0:18:00.400 --> 0:18:02.480
<v Speaker 4>Uh So, I guess it's less of a concern now,

0:18:02.520 --> 0:18:04.040
<v Speaker 4>but these things always come and go.

0:18:04.400 --> 0:18:06.680
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, and Matthew also the way for him, I

0:18:06.720 --> 0:18:09.760
<v Speaker 1>mean even Qatar, but other you know, countries in the

0:18:09.800 --> 0:18:13.440
<v Speaker 1>region straddle I guess, a friendliness with the US in

0:18:13.520 --> 0:18:16.520
<v Speaker 1>terms of investments, but also the China. At some point

0:18:16.560 --> 0:18:19.160
<v Speaker 1>do they have to choose or are they being asked

0:18:19.160 --> 0:18:20.800
<v Speaker 1>to choose between the two if there are the two

0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:21.960
<v Speaker 1>biggest rivals on Earth.

0:18:22.440 --> 0:18:26.160
<v Speaker 5>Look, I think under the Biden administration, certainly the rhetoric

0:18:26.240 --> 0:18:29.359
<v Speaker 5>then was that I think the region was being asked

0:18:29.359 --> 0:18:35.639
<v Speaker 5>to choose, and without dangling the carrot in front of

0:18:35.640 --> 0:18:37.400
<v Speaker 5>them as to why they should be choosing the US,

0:18:37.480 --> 0:18:40.600
<v Speaker 5>I think there was much more openness to to engage

0:18:40.600 --> 0:18:44.880
<v Speaker 5>with China. You know, China is the biggest trading partner

0:18:45.400 --> 0:18:48.720
<v Speaker 5>purely because of oil and how much China is buying

0:18:48.760 --> 0:18:52.080
<v Speaker 5>from this region, So you know, the Gold States have

0:18:52.160 --> 0:18:54.720
<v Speaker 5>to do something with China. I think, you know, the

0:18:54.800 --> 0:18:58.159
<v Speaker 5>US would like to see that limited though. I think that,

0:18:58.240 --> 0:19:00.920
<v Speaker 5>you know, the challenge is going to be after the

0:19:01.040 --> 0:19:04.120
<v Speaker 5>last couple of days, we've seen these ginormous US investment pledges,

0:19:04.480 --> 0:19:06.320
<v Speaker 5>and we sort of talked a bit earlier about the

0:19:06.359 --> 0:19:08.400
<v Speaker 5>fact that there's a lot of skepticism about how real

0:19:08.440 --> 0:19:09.800
<v Speaker 5>some of that is. I think the question is going

0:19:09.840 --> 0:19:12.320
<v Speaker 5>to be, you know, in five ten years time, how

0:19:12.400 --> 0:19:14.960
<v Speaker 5>much have we seen those turn into real investments and

0:19:15.000 --> 0:19:17.359
<v Speaker 5>how much do we see that Ultimately, a lot of

0:19:17.440 --> 0:19:20.200
<v Speaker 5>Chinese companies have come in and swamp the market quietly,

0:19:20.320 --> 0:19:23.359
<v Speaker 5>without these big headlines and without these ginormal state visits,

0:19:24.200 --> 0:19:26.000
<v Speaker 5>and they just quietly come in and gobble up the market.

0:19:26.040 --> 0:19:27.520
<v Speaker 5>And I think that's something that you know, we're gonna

0:19:27.520 --> 0:19:28.800
<v Speaker 5>have to watch over the next few years.

0:19:28.920 --> 0:19:29.679
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I agree with that.

0:19:29.720 --> 0:19:32.320
<v Speaker 4>I think they will choose the US and they will

0:19:32.400 --> 0:19:35.919
<v Speaker 4>invest with China without making headlines. So it's kind of

0:19:35.960 --> 0:19:39.159
<v Speaker 4>a way where the headline grabbing announcements won't be with

0:19:39.280 --> 0:19:41.760
<v Speaker 4>Chinese companies. But if you look at this region, where

0:19:41.800 --> 0:19:44.080
<v Speaker 4>does Aramco sell most of it's oil too, it's to

0:19:44.160 --> 0:19:46.760
<v Speaker 4>Asia where does Cutters sell their most of the gas

0:19:46.800 --> 0:19:48.639
<v Speaker 4>toots to China, So they're the biggest market.

0:19:48.880 --> 0:19:50.399
<v Speaker 3>It's very hard for them to ignore it.

0:19:50.760 --> 0:19:53.720
<v Speaker 4>And we've seen a lot of Chinese investment come into

0:19:53.720 --> 0:19:55.880
<v Speaker 4>the region and they're very serious about it.

0:19:55.920 --> 0:19:56.800
<v Speaker 3>But it just won't be.

0:19:56.720 --> 0:19:59.600
<v Speaker 4>At the the you know, like the headline dabbing investments

0:19:59.600 --> 0:20:01.040
<v Speaker 4>that we see to the US.

0:20:01.240 --> 0:20:03.040
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and I understand to Maage's point, you know, but

0:20:03.280 --> 0:20:06.240
<v Speaker 1>let's say even twenty or thirty percent of what was announced,

0:20:06.400 --> 0:20:08.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, it becomes real money, and it's a lot,

0:20:08.520 --> 0:20:10.119
<v Speaker 1>it's a lot of cash, it's a lot of like

0:20:10.200 --> 0:20:11.560
<v Speaker 1>investments to be deployed.

0:20:12.720 --> 0:20:14.760
<v Speaker 2>Is that are those deals that have.

0:20:14.760 --> 0:20:17.560
<v Speaker 1>Been taken away from the UK and Europe because there's

0:20:17.760 --> 0:20:20.280
<v Speaker 1>there's not an infant amount of capital, So is the

0:20:20.320 --> 0:20:24.320
<v Speaker 1>money being used here you know, couldn't have been used elsewhere?

0:20:25.960 --> 0:20:28.000
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean I think in a way Europe had

0:20:28.640 --> 0:20:31.720
<v Speaker 4>has had in the last few years, kind of lost

0:20:31.760 --> 0:20:36.600
<v Speaker 4>those investments. There is a feeling today that Europe is

0:20:36.720 --> 0:20:38.800
<v Speaker 4>cheap so I would expect some money to go into

0:20:38.800 --> 0:20:41.520
<v Speaker 4>the US. Was interesting, the governor of PIF made a

0:20:41.520 --> 0:20:43.200
<v Speaker 4>commitment to invest more money to the.

0:20:43.200 --> 0:20:44.479
<v Speaker 3>US sorted to Europe.

0:20:44.720 --> 0:20:48.199
<v Speaker 4>Haven't seen that in a long while, but it just

0:20:48.600 --> 0:20:50.200
<v Speaker 4>it would be I mean, you can also argue that

0:20:50.200 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 4>there'll be money going to India, a bit going to

0:20:52.280 --> 0:20:54.320
<v Speaker 4>Indonesia as well. I don't think Europe will be at

0:20:54.359 --> 0:20:57.080
<v Speaker 4>the top of the of the list, so they definitely

0:20:57.080 --> 0:20:59.240
<v Speaker 4>seem to be missing out on some of these opportunities.

0:21:00.080 --> 0:21:06.560
<v Speaker 1>Matthew, thank you so much for joining us. Well thanks

0:21:06.600 --> 0:21:08.720
<v Speaker 1>for listening to this week's In the City from Bloomberg.

0:21:08.800 --> 0:21:11.800
<v Speaker 1>This episode was hosted by me franc Laqua in Qatar,

0:21:12.240 --> 0:21:15.560
<v Speaker 1>was produced by Somersadi Moses and dam and Tala Maddi.

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<v Speaker 1>Brandan Francis Mnham is our executive producer. Special thanks to

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<v Speaker 1>Donationchnaier and Matthew Martin. Please subscribe, rate, and review wherever

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<v Speaker 1>you listen to podcasts.