1 00:00:00,680 --> 00:00:04,000 Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome on into the Betting Pros Podcast. 2 00:00:04,080 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: I'm your host Thomas Viola, and we are talking about 3 00:00:07,480 --> 00:00:11,360 Speaker 1: fight Night today because UFC two seventy seven is coming 4 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:14,360 Speaker 1: up this weekend. Here to break down what should be 5 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:17,760 Speaker 1: a very interesting card, we have none other than MMA 6 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:20,759 Speaker 1: expert Josh Frick with us here. Josh, it is great 7 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 1: to have you on. We've been talking about this for 8 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:25,279 Speaker 1: a while. Excited to finally be sitting down to talk 9 00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 1: about some fighting. 10 00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:29,560 Speaker 2: Nice to be with you, Thomas. I'm excited to break 11 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 2: down some fights with you. 12 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:32,480 Speaker 3: It's gonna be a fun one. 13 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:36,040 Speaker 1: We've got a pretty decent card, not the most star 14 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 1: studded card, but we certainly have a couple really tantalizing 15 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 1: options here, and you've got one. We're gonna start off 16 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 1: looking at this undercard here. You've got one fight in 17 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:47,879 Speaker 1: particular that you've got your eye on. You've got Dantel 18 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:52,280 Speaker 1: May's going up against Omdi Abdo Walab. Mays is minus 19 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:55,279 Speaker 1: one fifty five in this fight. Abdo Walab plus one 20 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 1: thirty five and Mays is looking to make it three 21 00:00:57,600 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: straight wins here in his first three fights in the ufcity. 22 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:04,920 Speaker 1: Making his debut Saturday Night. You're finding some value here 23 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 1: in the favorite with mays Yes, Sir. 24 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:10,840 Speaker 4: So Handy abdu Wala, as we talked about earlier, he 25 00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:13,880 Speaker 4: was he's goot some very low level guys on his 26 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 4: way to the UFC. I think this is a major 27 00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 4: step up on competition for him. May's open as a 28 00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:20,840 Speaker 4: minus one thirty and since he's opened and he's just 29 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:24,080 Speaker 4: been pouring him on him seeing the guys that obda, 30 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:26,679 Speaker 4: I'm just gonna call him handy because that name's ways 31 00:01:26,680 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 4: too hard for me to say, so handy. So seeing 32 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 4: some of the guys he's been fighting like, there's no 33 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:32,960 Speaker 4: way I can ever put money on him. 34 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:34,960 Speaker 2: Dontel Mayes isn't the highest level guy yet. 35 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 4: We've seen him come in the UFC and make some statements, 36 00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:39,759 Speaker 4: but this is should be just a walkover fight. 37 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:41,919 Speaker 2: And I can't believe the line opened at minus one thirty. 38 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:45,639 Speaker 1: That's right, minus one thirty, the opener minus one fifty 39 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:49,800 Speaker 1: five right now in the DraftKings market, and it really 40 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: is going to continue to grow. 41 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:52,560 Speaker 3: This is one that you're gonna want to get in 42 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 3: on early. 43 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 1: If you want to take some action on this fight, 44 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 1: because you are not going to get a better price 45 00:01:57,200 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 1: on May's as the week goes on. 46 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:02,240 Speaker 4: Right, money's just been flooding, and I expect it to 47 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:04,520 Speaker 4: be the same way all week. Everybody on YouTube, all 48 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:06,840 Speaker 4: the content creators, everybody's been jumping on him. So I 49 00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 4: can't see this line coming down at all. I expect 50 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:11,799 Speaker 4: to be close to minus two hundred beds time in 51 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:13,639 Speaker 4: the fight actually starts, So. 52 00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:15,600 Speaker 1: If you want some value, you better jump on it 53 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:19,000 Speaker 1: now before that line continues to plummet here. But let's 54 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 1: move on and talk about this main card because there 55 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: are some really interesting fights here. 56 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:24,400 Speaker 3: We've got a couple of heavyweight bouts. 57 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:26,920 Speaker 1: Starting off, we got a light heavyweight fight going on 58 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: between magnet An Kalaev and Anthony Smith. An Kaleev is 59 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:35,079 Speaker 1: minus four ninety in this one, Smith plus three ninety, 60 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: so this is a very lopsided fight. They are looking 61 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:41,119 Speaker 1: like it is two top ranked heavyweight fighters, though they're 62 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:43,720 Speaker 1: both looking for a title shot. A win here would 63 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 1: probably set them up for that fight. Alkalaev's on an 64 00:02:47,240 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 1: eight fight win streak, but Smith has three straight first 65 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:54,360 Speaker 1: round stoppages. Are you looking at maybe and under in 66 00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:55,800 Speaker 1: this one? Do you think that this could be a 67 00:02:55,840 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 1: quick fight? 68 00:02:57,160 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 4: I actually think this fight's going to go the distance, 69 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:01,560 Speaker 4: so Eglieb, he's more of a I'm going to grind 70 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 4: you out type of fighter than I'm going to get 71 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:05,760 Speaker 4: in there and try to finish you right away type 72 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:07,520 Speaker 4: of fighter, although we might not have seen that in 73 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 4: the UFC so far. I think this fight he's gonna 74 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 4: look to grind and just get the fights in. 75 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 2: The mat and grind it out the whole fifteen minutes. 76 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 4: So everybody loves Anthony Lionheart Smith. He's been the UFC forever. 77 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 4: It's a hard guy not to like. He's compassionate, sweetbewod. 78 00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 4: After every fight wins or lost, like, he gets back 79 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 4: up and shakes everybody's hands. So unfortunately Ank Clive. I 80 00:03:29,040 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 4: think he's going to be a next champ. I think 81 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:32,399 Speaker 4: he's on his way up very quickly, and I think 82 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,720 Speaker 4: the fight between him and Jamal Hill is coming very soon. 83 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 4: Jamal Hill fights next weekend, and I think this is 84 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:42,120 Speaker 4: going to be like a number one contenders fight. 85 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:45,839 Speaker 2: After this fight to build up a lot of this team. 86 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 3: I think that's going to be interesting. 87 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 1: I mean that Eastern European fighting block that we've got 88 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 1: now has just been so good you obviously saw it 89 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:57,280 Speaker 1: in the days with Kabeb. He's retired, but there have 90 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:00,160 Speaker 1: still been so many more guys coming up after him. 91 00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 1: Here they've really been able to take over. It used 92 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 1: to be that it was the Brazilians. You would see 93 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 1: the Brazilians fighting and you'd say, oh, these these are 94 00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:09,200 Speaker 1: the guys that really know how to do it. And 95 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:12,560 Speaker 1: now all of a sudden, this Eastern European segment that's 96 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 1: come up has just been absolute gangbusters. 97 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:17,000 Speaker 3: When it comes to the success, if. 98 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:18,920 Speaker 4: Their name ends an Ev, it's a plus EV bet 99 00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:21,360 Speaker 4: in my book, so I can't really avoid that. 100 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:23,560 Speaker 3: An easy way to remember that. 101 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:26,000 Speaker 1: Of course, there's not a lot of value to have 102 00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:29,240 Speaker 1: here when it comes to betting a fighter straight up 103 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:32,800 Speaker 1: minus four seventy five the odds now at DraftKings for Ankoleev, 104 00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:35,600 Speaker 1: you think it's going to go the distance over two 105 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 1: and a half is minus one forty. That might be 106 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 1: a good market to look at. 107 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:40,680 Speaker 2: Yep. I totally agree with that. 108 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:42,920 Speaker 4: This is one of those fights where I think it's 109 00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 4: going to try to avoid the power of Smith on 110 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:46,920 Speaker 4: the feet, and Smith he's got great boxing, so if 111 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 4: he gets in up close there is a chance that 112 00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:51,360 Speaker 4: he can finish Ank Cliab, but Anklaiave's gonna try to 113 00:04:51,400 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 4: stick and move most of the fight and try to 114 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:54,719 Speaker 4: get the fight to the ground as quick as possible. 115 00:04:55,400 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 3: The next fight up is in the flyweight division. 116 00:04:57,560 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 1: We've got Alexander Pantoja going up against alex Perez Pantoa 117 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:05,479 Speaker 1: minus one sixty five Perez plus one forty in this one. 118 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:08,560 Speaker 1: Heytoa is coming off a knee injury, though, but Perez 119 00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:11,160 Speaker 1: hasn't fought since UFC two fifty five. He had two 120 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:13,920 Speaker 1: fights where he missed weight and those fights ultimately did 121 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:16,600 Speaker 1: not happen. But what do you think is going to 122 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: happen in this one? Is there a little value on 123 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:20,920 Speaker 1: the dog here? Both of these fighters look like they're 124 00:05:20,920 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 1: gonna be shaking off some rust, So. 125 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 4: I kind of feel like this is one of those 126 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:26,160 Speaker 4: fights where you need to wait until wayans to see 127 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 4: if this fight actually happens. For one, because Prez, as 128 00:05:29,640 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 4: we've seen, has been accustomed to missing weight lately. So 129 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 4: if you can make weight on the skills, they do 130 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:36,280 Speaker 4: think this fight is going to be exciting. It is 131 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:38,320 Speaker 4: a fight that's going to be at one hundred and 132 00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 4: twenty five pounds, and we all know those high volume. 133 00:05:41,400 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 4: Those guys are in there to bang, and most of 134 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:44,839 Speaker 4: those guys don't go to sleep very easily, So I 135 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:45,599 Speaker 4: think this is going to be a. 136 00:05:45,600 --> 00:05:46,279 Speaker 2: Great fight to watch. 137 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:48,480 Speaker 4: As far as the betting market, I do think Contojia 138 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:50,360 Speaker 4: is a much better fighter and has fought the much 139 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:53,159 Speaker 4: better level of competition while in the UFC. 140 00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 2: I don't really see this fight being close Perez. 141 00:05:57,480 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 4: I think it's going to step a lot of the 142 00:05:58,600 --> 00:06:01,159 Speaker 4: takedowns early, but I think the leader this fight goes on, 143 00:06:01,200 --> 00:06:03,760 Speaker 4: the more Pentosa is going to be a threat to 144 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:06,880 Speaker 4: either sub him when Prez tries to take him down or. 145 00:06:08,480 --> 00:06:09,039 Speaker 2: On the feet. 146 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:12,159 Speaker 4: I think Pentosa is a much better technical striker, but 147 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 4: there's a lot of volume that's gonna be coming from Press. 148 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 4: So if this fight does good decision, I think pres 149 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:18,520 Speaker 4: has a very good chance to winning this fight by decision. 150 00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 1: And you know, if you look at their records and 151 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:23,440 Speaker 1: break it down, fifty percent of perez His fights have 152 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,920 Speaker 1: been won by decision, but his average fight time is 153 00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 1: only six minutes seventeen seconds. Pantosa is much more used 154 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 1: to these longer bouts. They go frankly a lot longer, 155 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:36,799 Speaker 1: but then again he also wins more of his fights 156 00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:40,839 Speaker 1: by submission or KO or TKO than he does by decision, 157 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:43,839 Speaker 1: So it makes for an interesting little bit of a 158 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 1: tail of the tape there. But you think that if 159 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:48,919 Speaker 1: it goes on long enough, it favors Perez for sure. 160 00:06:49,680 --> 00:06:51,279 Speaker 4: I think in the judges as they're just going to 161 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 4: see the more volume being landed by Press, so I 162 00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 4: think there's a good chance they're going to favor him 163 00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 4: in the fight. 164 00:06:55,680 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 2: But it is in Texas. So fights in Texas, we know, 165 00:06:57,680 --> 00:06:58,159 Speaker 2: are kind. 166 00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 4: Of crazy, and the judges in Texas aren't the best 167 00:07:02,240 --> 00:07:04,440 Speaker 4: ones on the UFC. I mean, it's probably better than London, 168 00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:06,040 Speaker 4: where they're going to favor all the London. 169 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 2: Fighters, but. 170 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:11,760 Speaker 4: Definitely very sketchy judging in Texas well. 171 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:15,200 Speaker 1: We definitely didn't see any need for judges to favor 172 00:07:15,280 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: the London fighters last time out with Patty Pimlett and 173 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 1: Molly Meatball taken. 174 00:07:20,240 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 3: Care of there. Pimlet is a quick side note on him. 175 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 3: He is my favorite new fighter in the game. 176 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:30,400 Speaker 1: It's rare that you see the hype train actually really 177 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:32,400 Speaker 1: be backed up, but this guy could actually be good, right. 178 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 2: I'm actually on the opposite side of you. 179 00:07:35,320 --> 00:07:38,800 Speaker 4: I think Pimlet's kind of been given a hand picked 180 00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:41,360 Speaker 4: opponents coming his way up. I think either his next 181 00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 4: fighter is probably the fight after that. I would say 182 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 4: he's probably going to come in as a big favorite, 183 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 4: and that's going to be a time that we can 184 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 4: totally fad him. He hasn't fight anybody inside the top 185 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:52,120 Speaker 4: twenty five. I was actually really surprised by the Levitt 186 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 4: finish when his arm got trapped. You kind of knew 187 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 4: it was over because they were just going to sit 188 00:07:56,360 --> 00:07:58,640 Speaker 4: there getting punched in the face, like that's not going 189 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:00,200 Speaker 4: to turn out well for you. So I think if 190 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:02,080 Speaker 4: the arm didn't get up with those big slams that 191 00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 4: he was doing, I think we're going to see a 192 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:05,120 Speaker 4: very sloppy third round from that fight. 193 00:08:05,440 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 2: Fortunately, Pimlet was able to get it out pretty quickly. 194 00:08:09,640 --> 00:08:11,320 Speaker 3: All right, that's that's an interesting take. 195 00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:13,320 Speaker 1: I'll have to We'll have to have you back on 196 00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 1: when it comes time for Pimblets next fight. But right now, 197 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 1: let's focus back in on this bout UFC two to 198 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 1: seventy seven and we've got the next fight up. 199 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:25,200 Speaker 3: It's heavyweights going at it here. We got Derek Lewis 200 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 3: versus Sergei Pavlovich. 201 00:08:27,040 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 1: Lewis plus one five here right now, Pavlovitch minus won 202 00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:33,720 Speaker 1: twenty five. It's a huge fight for him. He could 203 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:35,960 Speaker 1: get a title shot with a win. He's fifteen and 204 00:08:36,000 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 1: one overall. 205 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:38,559 Speaker 3: But Lewis is a Texas native. 206 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:41,200 Speaker 1: You mentioned that he's had that the Texas judge is 207 00:08:41,240 --> 00:08:44,199 Speaker 1: not necessarily the best. Lewis has dropped his last two 208 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 1: fights in Houston. He's really in that back against the 209 00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:49,400 Speaker 1: wall position where he needs to be able to show 210 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 1: that he can still turn away some of these newcomers 211 00:08:51,280 --> 00:08:52,400 Speaker 1: if he wants to keep in the game. 212 00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:54,080 Speaker 2: Totally agreed. 213 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 4: We've also seen some early line movement. Lewis came out 214 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 4: as a minus one fifteen favorite in this fight, so 215 00:08:59,840 --> 00:09:02,319 Speaker 4: I don't agree with the line movement and all. Pavlovich 216 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:04,280 Speaker 4: has kind of been working his way up in the UFC, 217 00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:06,600 Speaker 4: and I don't think that he has a lot of 218 00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 4: the skills that it's going to take, or the speed 219 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:10,480 Speaker 4: that it's or the power that it's going to take, 220 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:12,400 Speaker 4: any of the things that you need in the heavyweight class. 221 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:13,840 Speaker 2: Is not a wrestler. 222 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:16,319 Speaker 4: And Lewis, we saw when he was fighting Curtis Blades, 223 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:17,559 Speaker 4: isn't afraid to fight a wrestler. 224 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:20,120 Speaker 2: He's more than happy to throw the uppercuts that are 225 00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:22,600 Speaker 2: going to stop a lot of those incoming shots from fighters. 226 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:27,119 Speaker 2: So I'm really excited for this fight, actually, so Paplovich. 227 00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:29,199 Speaker 4: I think if he does win this fight, I think 228 00:09:29,200 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 4: he's got a pretty good shot of shooting up the 229 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 4: rankings pretty fast. But Derek Lewis, we haven't seen him 230 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:35,840 Speaker 4: lose a two fights in a row in a long time, 231 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:38,680 Speaker 4: so I think I think Derek Lewis is honestly going 232 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 4: to come in and hit him with a couple of shots, 233 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 4: back him up to the cage, and finish this fight 234 00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:44,760 Speaker 4: in the first round. So the power at Derek Lewis, 235 00:09:44,840 --> 00:09:47,400 Speaker 4: I think is on another level that Paplovich hasn't seen yet, 236 00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:49,360 Speaker 4: and I think he's going to show us that this weekend. 237 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:53,040 Speaker 1: Want to track all of your wagers in one place, 238 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 1: check out the Betting prospicktracker at bettingpros dot com slash 239 00:09:56,720 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 1: pick tracking. It syncs up with your sports books to 240 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:02,280 Speaker 1: tally which pick hit, which miss, and gives you a 241 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:04,640 Speaker 1: live look at what the public is doing, so you 242 00:10:04,679 --> 00:10:07,320 Speaker 1: can use real time tracking to determine which place to 243 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 1: make and which to fade, get on the leaderboard and 244 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 1: quickly become a sharp by using the free advice we 245 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:17,839 Speaker 1: offer a bettingpros dot Com slash picktracking. All right, Well, 246 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:20,760 Speaker 1: as I pull up Derek Lewis's odds here, the over 247 00:10:21,559 --> 00:10:23,199 Speaker 1: one and a half rounds here in this fight is 248 00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 1: plus one ten. The under is in fact a minus 249 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:29,000 Speaker 1: one forty juice. So it looks like the books are 250 00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:31,520 Speaker 1: right there with you saying that this could be a 251 00:10:31,600 --> 00:10:33,719 Speaker 1: quick fight, and you think that the money's going the 252 00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:36,200 Speaker 1: wrong way with Lewis here is now the underdog after 253 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:37,200 Speaker 1: opening is the favorite. 254 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:40,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, Sara and Fanko's decision, you're not getting any value 255 00:10:40,400 --> 00:10:41,440 Speaker 4: on that minus six hundred. 256 00:10:41,520 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 2: Like we saw in the Jerry Podchko fight. 257 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 4: That fight was pretty close line to this and fight 258 00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:48,760 Speaker 4: doesn't go to the decision as well, and that fight 259 00:10:48,920 --> 00:10:52,920 Speaker 4: was almost like right their way from finishing if Jerry 260 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 4: Whitney got that headlock in and choked our boy out. 261 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:58,640 Speaker 4: So I think Derek Lewis is going to make this 262 00:10:58,679 --> 00:11:00,840 Speaker 4: matchup look pretty easy, and I think he's going to 263 00:11:00,840 --> 00:11:02,880 Speaker 4: be back on the card, one of the UFC cards 264 00:11:02,880 --> 00:11:03,760 Speaker 4: before the end of the year. 265 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:07,680 Speaker 1: All right, Wow, it amazes me how quick these fighters 266 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:10,079 Speaker 1: can turn around from some of these fights and go 267 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:11,320 Speaker 1: again by the. 268 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:11,760 Speaker 3: End of the year. 269 00:11:11,760 --> 00:11:12,880 Speaker 1: We'll have to see, We'll have to see what he 270 00:11:12,920 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: can do in this fight. I'm with you, though, I 271 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:17,400 Speaker 1: love a good dog. That the public is fading heavily. 272 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:19,960 Speaker 1: That I mean, when you see that kind of line movement, 273 00:11:20,280 --> 00:11:21,720 Speaker 1: you know that they're going against it. 274 00:11:22,679 --> 00:11:24,200 Speaker 3: I'd take a shot at plus one oh five. 275 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:26,600 Speaker 4: A lot of the time when the fight's open in Vegas, 276 00:11:26,600 --> 00:11:28,800 Speaker 4: I feel like the lines are a lot are pretty 277 00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 4: much accurate where they're at. So if you see a 278 00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:32,800 Speaker 4: huge line movement, it's either by as you know, Sharp's 279 00:11:32,840 --> 00:11:34,679 Speaker 4: taking a big number on something and taking a big 280 00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 4: stab at it. 281 00:11:35,240 --> 00:11:37,439 Speaker 2: But UFC fights, it kind of seems to opposite. 282 00:11:37,559 --> 00:11:39,520 Speaker 4: I feel a lot of the times the Vegas is 283 00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 4: on the right side of the fights, and when the 284 00:11:40,920 --> 00:11:42,679 Speaker 4: line flips like that's when you can find a lot 285 00:11:42,679 --> 00:11:44,280 Speaker 4: of value in these underdog fighters. 286 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 1: And you are completely right. Like when we talk about 287 00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:50,240 Speaker 1: lines moving, the book isn't just going to move the 288 00:11:50,280 --> 00:11:53,160 Speaker 1: line because a ton of public betters are betting one 289 00:11:53,200 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 1: side of the fight. The book is going to move 290 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 1: the line when they see the sharps that they know 291 00:11:57,280 --> 00:12:00,000 Speaker 1: and whose opinions they value are coming in against them, 292 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:02,440 Speaker 1: and that's when they might say, Okay, maybe this guy 293 00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:04,160 Speaker 1: has it right and we have it wrong here and 294 00:12:04,200 --> 00:12:06,680 Speaker 1: they start to consider that. But if it's just a 295 00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:09,440 Speaker 1: heavy public guy not necessarily going to see a lot 296 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 1: of line movement, and they'll kind of welcome some of 297 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:14,280 Speaker 1: that extra action. But here Derek Lewis has moved to 298 00:12:14,360 --> 00:12:16,959 Speaker 1: plus one zho five and hey, if you could be 299 00:12:17,040 --> 00:12:19,200 Speaker 1: smarter than the books, it's a great time to do 300 00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:21,200 Speaker 1: so and pick up a nice plus money price there. 301 00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:24,440 Speaker 1: The next fight up in the flyweight, it's an interim 302 00:12:24,480 --> 00:12:26,520 Speaker 1: title fight. I don't know if they really needed to 303 00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:28,079 Speaker 1: be given out a belt in this one. I think 304 00:12:28,120 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 1: the stakes might have been high enough. But it's also 305 00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:34,120 Speaker 1: a rematch here Brandon Marino versus Kai Karra France. Brandon 306 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:37,640 Speaker 1: Marino my favorite fighter on the circuit here. He's minus 307 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:39,559 Speaker 1: two zero five in this one. A heavy favorite. 308 00:12:39,920 --> 00:12:40,560 Speaker 3: Kara Franz. 309 00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 1: He's plus one seventy five coming off an upset win. 310 00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:44,760 Speaker 3: Over Ascar Askarov. 311 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:47,440 Speaker 1: He is much more of a striker and used to 312 00:12:47,600 --> 00:12:49,559 Speaker 1: win and use that to win what was a very 313 00:12:49,559 --> 00:12:52,880 Speaker 1: close fight, but he did fight Marino in twenty nineteen, 314 00:12:53,040 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 1: and Marino was all over him. 315 00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:55,880 Speaker 3: With his crip quickness and jabb ability. 316 00:12:56,320 --> 00:12:58,559 Speaker 1: Do you think that Kara France can take full advantage 317 00:12:58,600 --> 00:13:00,520 Speaker 1: of his power in this fight or is just going 318 00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:03,160 Speaker 1: to be too quick and able to deflect those blows. 319 00:13:03,800 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 4: So I kind of think a bunch of people jumped 320 00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:07,720 Speaker 4: on the Kai Car France wagon just because they see 321 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:10,800 Speaker 4: him hanging out with Israel Adisania. I don't in my 322 00:13:10,840 --> 00:13:13,240 Speaker 4: honest opinion, I don't think Kaikr France is really a 323 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:15,400 Speaker 4: UFC fighter, So I think he's a decent fighter. 324 00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:16,880 Speaker 2: He's knocked out some people on his way to get 325 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:17,680 Speaker 2: up there feeding it. 326 00:13:18,160 --> 00:13:20,760 Speaker 4: Cody Garbran, I'm not really impressed with Cody garburn I 327 00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:23,880 Speaker 4: think is also watched, so I'm not super impressed with that. 328 00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:27,880 Speaker 4: Brandon Moreno's taking big shots from uh Dison Figuredo two 329 00:13:27,960 --> 00:13:29,520 Speaker 4: times in two different fights. 330 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 2: I think that was the matchup we all wanted to see. 331 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:34,319 Speaker 4: Unfortunately, Dison Figuredo it's not going to be able to 332 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:35,439 Speaker 4: get back on time to make this. 333 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:38,280 Speaker 2: It's weird that this is an Intern belts. 334 00:13:38,280 --> 00:13:39,880 Speaker 4: I mean, most fights that we see that are like 335 00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:42,360 Speaker 4: for an Intern title belter should be closer fights, and 336 00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:44,600 Speaker 4: I don't see Brandon ma Reno losing any second of 337 00:13:44,640 --> 00:13:47,800 Speaker 4: this fight. I think he can win on the feet. 338 00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:49,520 Speaker 4: I think he can definitely win on the ground. So 339 00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:51,679 Speaker 4: wherever this fight takes place, I think Brandon Moreno is 340 00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:53,680 Speaker 4: just going to absolutely like dominate this fight. And I 341 00:13:53,679 --> 00:13:55,560 Speaker 4: don't expect this fight to be close. I think there's 342 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:57,480 Speaker 4: a lot of value even in still getting the line 343 00:13:57,480 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 4: at minus two ten anything, I. 344 00:14:01,400 --> 00:14:03,800 Speaker 2: Would bet the house on Rino. But we have seen 345 00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:04,439 Speaker 2: in the last. 346 00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:06,640 Speaker 4: Two fights the last two weekends, injuries have been happening, 347 00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:09,679 Speaker 4: So that scares me a little bit, super. 348 00:14:09,400 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 2: Worried that it might happen again. This fight. I've met 349 00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:13,040 Speaker 2: two in a row. 350 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 4: I can't remember the last time we've seen two fight 351 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:18,840 Speaker 4: ending injuries, just fluky two in a row. So as 352 00:14:18,880 --> 00:14:21,600 Speaker 4: much as I am afraid to say I would put 353 00:14:21,640 --> 00:14:23,480 Speaker 4: everything on Brandon Marino this. 354 00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:27,600 Speaker 1: Week, I feel you there there is always that puncher's 355 00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:30,480 Speaker 1: chance when it comes to betting heavy favorites and laying 356 00:14:30,520 --> 00:14:33,400 Speaker 1: heavy prices, But I feel like in the fight game, 357 00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:35,160 Speaker 1: it is that kind of time where you look at 358 00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:37,400 Speaker 1: a minus two hundred, even a minus two to fifty line, 359 00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:40,080 Speaker 1: and you say, I'll still lay that because you know 360 00:14:40,120 --> 00:14:42,240 Speaker 1: that the fighter can be that much better and that 361 00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:45,440 Speaker 1: much more dominant, and yeah, you might get beaten on 362 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:47,960 Speaker 1: a freak injury like that with the counterpointers. 363 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:49,600 Speaker 3: We did just have two of those in a row. 364 00:14:50,480 --> 00:14:52,640 Speaker 1: I know that the odds don't actually say it won't 365 00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: happen a third time, but still you like to think 366 00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:57,720 Speaker 1: of that recency bias and say, oh, well, it can't 367 00:14:57,760 --> 00:15:00,440 Speaker 1: happen again here, I don't think it will fight. 368 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:01,080 Speaker 3: I'm with you. 369 00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:06,880 Speaker 1: I absolutely adore Brandon marino personal bias, completely playing into it. 370 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:09,320 Speaker 1: I got to interview him for a project I was 371 00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:12,280 Speaker 1: working on a few years ago, and let me tell you, 372 00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 1: the nicest dude on the planet. I walked out of 373 00:15:15,640 --> 00:15:18,480 Speaker 1: that interview going, I cannot believe that this dude beats 374 00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:20,680 Speaker 1: the living hell out of people for a living, because 375 00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 1: it's a complete switch with him we were talking about. 376 00:15:24,680 --> 00:15:27,080 Speaker 1: He of course is famous for his his love of 377 00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:30,560 Speaker 1: Lego and Funko pops, and he like he has a 378 00:15:30,560 --> 00:15:33,400 Speaker 1: whole massive collection. He actually brought one for Daniel Cormier, 379 00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:35,880 Speaker 1: who was there too, to sign for him. It was 380 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 1: it was hilarious, like, this dude is the most personable 381 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:41,840 Speaker 1: guy in the world. It's wild to think that, like, 382 00:15:42,000 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 1: oh hey, he's also, you know, one of the world's 383 00:15:44,320 --> 00:15:45,160 Speaker 1: best fighters. 384 00:15:45,680 --> 00:15:47,120 Speaker 4: A lot of the guys I met from the USC 385 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:49,240 Speaker 4: are kind of like that. The only don't mean to 386 00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:51,120 Speaker 4: talk trash Fernando but he chuckle. Deell is the only 387 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:53,320 Speaker 4: not nice fighter I've ever met from the UFC, So 388 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:56,920 Speaker 4: he kind of follows his uh his ring mind, I 389 00:15:56,960 --> 00:15:59,240 Speaker 4: guess you would say so, but it seems like he 390 00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:01,400 Speaker 4: would be a really nice Guy's always happy, that smile 391 00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:03,440 Speaker 4: on his face too. I can't imagine him not ever 392 00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 4: being a fan favorite, and I can't wait for next 393 00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 4: fight between him and Dice and Figuraedo for a real belt. 394 00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 3: Guys, real quick. 395 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 1: Remember when you're looking for free picks and sports betting advice, 396 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:16,720 Speaker 1: bettingpros dot Com has you covered with tips from over 397 00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:19,240 Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty experts to make it easy for 398 00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:21,920 Speaker 1: you to cash out. Download the app to get sports 399 00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:25,320 Speaker 1: betting alerts. You'll get notified of favorable bets based online movements, 400 00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 1: consensus picks from the most accurate experts, and vetted systems 401 00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:32,280 Speaker 1: in play. Betting Pros monitors all of the major sports books, 402 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:36,160 Speaker 1: most accurate experts and top systems to identify the best 403 00:16:36,400 --> 00:16:40,280 Speaker 1: betting opportunities. So download today in the Apple or Google 404 00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:41,120 Speaker 1: Play stores. 405 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 3: There we go. 406 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 1: Now, the big fight on this card, though the other 407 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:50,120 Speaker 1: title bout it is the women's bantomweight. It's a rematch 408 00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:54,400 Speaker 1: Juliana Pana versus Amanda Nunez. We saw it at UFC 409 00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:57,760 Speaker 1: two sixty nine. I am still so upset with myself. 410 00:16:57,800 --> 00:16:59,800 Speaker 1: I had an offer to go to that fight here 411 00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:02,600 Speaker 1: in Vegas, and I turned it down. I was working 412 00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:05,440 Speaker 1: that night. What a mistake that was, because I ended 413 00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:07,080 Speaker 1: up watching the fight on my phone and it was 414 00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:09,639 Speaker 1: one of the most epic bouts that we have seen. 415 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:14,960 Speaker 1: Penya defeats Nunaz in a massive upset, snaps Nunyaz's twelve 416 00:17:15,080 --> 00:17:18,280 Speaker 1: fight win streak, shocks the fighting world. Up to that point, 417 00:17:18,320 --> 00:17:22,320 Speaker 1: Nunya is she defeated everyone, Ronda Rousey, Mishit, Tate, Chris Cyborg, 418 00:17:22,359 --> 00:17:26,560 Speaker 1: Holly Holm, two wins over Valentino Shupchenko, and despite all that, 419 00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:29,879 Speaker 1: Panya goes out and wins it. But now she comes 420 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:33,000 Speaker 1: into this second bout still is another massive underdog. The 421 00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:35,879 Speaker 1: prevailing wisdom is she did it once, she won't be 422 00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:37,920 Speaker 1: able to do it again. She caught Nunyaz on her 423 00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 1: worst day. You agree with that take. 424 00:17:41,520 --> 00:17:43,359 Speaker 4: I one hundred percent agree with that, Sick as much 425 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:45,199 Speaker 4: as I loved you on your pinia. I think Amanda 426 00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:47,840 Speaker 4: Nunas is on another level. I do think she lost 427 00:17:47,840 --> 00:17:50,440 Speaker 4: the last fight to Schef Tenko. I think a lot 428 00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:52,720 Speaker 4: of MMA people agree with that as well. A Shiftchenko, 429 00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 4: I think is actually the women's go, even though Amanda 430 00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:57,199 Speaker 4: Nunas is always being talked about as the women's go. 431 00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:01,399 Speaker 2: But I think this fight Anon Nuda is actually going 432 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:02,199 Speaker 2: to come and prepare for. 433 00:18:02,320 --> 00:18:04,320 Speaker 4: I think she made a drink too much of herwn 434 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:06,320 Speaker 4: kool aid last time and that she was just going 435 00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:09,800 Speaker 4: to get out of here early and easy, and Nick. 436 00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:11,360 Speaker 2: Came in and said, no, like I'm putting my foot down, 437 00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:12,040 Speaker 2: I'm moving forward. 438 00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:13,719 Speaker 4: I'm going to be the one that's taking the shots 439 00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:15,800 Speaker 4: and exchanging with you in the pocket. And she wasn't 440 00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:17,440 Speaker 4: afraid to come in that fight, and I think that 441 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:18,840 Speaker 4: was what shock Muna is the most. 442 00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:20,200 Speaker 2: And so when. 443 00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:21,879 Speaker 4: Amanda wasn't able to get out of there quick and 444 00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:24,280 Speaker 4: probably had a really bad weight cut, she was after 445 00:18:24,320 --> 00:18:26,520 Speaker 4: the first round like I can't take this anymore. 446 00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 2: I can't take this feeding. 447 00:18:27,600 --> 00:18:29,080 Speaker 4: I can't believe this girl's standing in front of me 448 00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:30,199 Speaker 4: after the shots I've hit her with. 449 00:18:30,600 --> 00:18:32,320 Speaker 2: I think coming in with a full camp, coming in 450 00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:33,320 Speaker 2: with motivation this time. 451 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:35,320 Speaker 4: She hasn't been motivated for fighting a long time, which 452 00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 4: I think kind of hurt her. But we see fighters 453 00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:39,600 Speaker 4: bounce back all the time, and I think Amanda Nuda 454 00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:41,320 Speaker 4: is going to bounce back in a big way this week. 455 00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:44,520 Speaker 1: I completely agree with you. As much as we love 456 00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:47,080 Speaker 1: an underdog here, especially plus two twenty. 457 00:18:46,840 --> 00:18:49,440 Speaker 3: Five, I'm buying into the narrative. 458 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:52,679 Speaker 1: I'm saying Nuniaz is one of the best fighters that 459 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:55,560 Speaker 1: we've ever seen in the women's game, and she is 460 00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:57,520 Speaker 1: going to be able to come out bounce back. Like 461 00:18:57,560 --> 00:19:01,200 Speaker 1: you said, I'm looking, quite frankly, if I'm putting together 462 00:19:01,280 --> 00:19:04,000 Speaker 1: something for this fight here, Because you really look at 463 00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:06,160 Speaker 1: the card and it is a lot of favorites. There 464 00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:08,840 Speaker 1: are some underdog prices that you might want to look 465 00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:11,720 Speaker 1: at here. But if you were to try and make 466 00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:14,359 Speaker 1: a play, try and gain some value out of this, 467 00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:18,320 Speaker 1: would you try maybe taking Mourinho and Nuniez together, maybe 468 00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:21,399 Speaker 1: pairing them with a third or where would you be 469 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:23,040 Speaker 1: looking to go if you wanted to bet this. 470 00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:26,440 Speaker 4: So I would kind of actually stay away from this fight. 471 00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:28,119 Speaker 4: I think there's a lot of value in life betting 472 00:19:28,119 --> 00:19:31,520 Speaker 4: this fight. If Penya can stay with it through the 473 00:19:31,520 --> 00:19:33,119 Speaker 4: first round and to show that her guest thing's not 474 00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:35,240 Speaker 4: giving out either. I think there's a great chance that 475 00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:37,920 Speaker 4: she can still win this fight if Nuniaz does guss out. 476 00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:40,760 Speaker 4: But I would much rather take Marina with how we 477 00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:44,080 Speaker 4: talked about earlier, with May's or Pantosia, I would kind 478 00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:46,199 Speaker 4: of stay away from that title event just because women's 479 00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:51,280 Speaker 4: MMA sometimes crazy things happen on bars from guard. You 480 00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:53,480 Speaker 4: just never known a women's MMA fight, so I try 481 00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 4: to stay away from women's MMA. Aunk Clive, I think 482 00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:58,520 Speaker 4: is kind of if you want to parlay with him, 483 00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:00,359 Speaker 4: I think he has had a nice place to sticking 484 00:20:00,359 --> 00:20:03,240 Speaker 4: to parlay as well. So I think going Mays, Pantosia 485 00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:07,240 Speaker 4: and Caliab and sticking Marino in there, I think you 486 00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:10,280 Speaker 4: can get some pretty nice plus money on that right now. 487 00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:14,359 Speaker 1: That's right as we we crunch those numbers right here, 488 00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:17,720 Speaker 1: you throw Mays, you throw on Caliave, you throw Pentosia, 489 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:21,480 Speaker 1: and you throw Brandon Marino in four teams plus three 490 00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:25,160 Speaker 1: sixty four. Factoring in there that you have a minus 491 00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:29,119 Speaker 1: four seventy five favorite in there partnered with partnered with 492 00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:31,639 Speaker 1: a pair of minus one sixty five and minus two 493 00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:35,520 Speaker 1: h five, that's that's not that's not a bad price. 494 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:37,879 Speaker 1: I would not be at all upset to take something 495 00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:41,160 Speaker 1: like that on this fight, but it is so much 496 00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:45,160 Speaker 1: of a heavily favorite card. Is there anyone you're looking 497 00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:47,840 Speaker 1: at in the dog market or is it just really here? 498 00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:50,640 Speaker 1: Derek Lewis, who did open, is the favorite that you're 499 00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:51,760 Speaker 1: looking at on that side. 500 00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:55,160 Speaker 4: I like Derek Lewis as one of the underdogs as well. 501 00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 4: I really like him as well. In the women's matchup, 502 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:03,879 Speaker 4: she's plus one twenty right now. She I don't have 503 00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:05,760 Speaker 4: a lot of faith in Jocelyn Edwards to come out 504 00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:08,000 Speaker 4: and like stick with her on the feet. I think 505 00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:09,360 Speaker 4: this is going to be a women's fight that goes 506 00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:11,240 Speaker 4: to a decision, so I think it could be a 507 00:21:11,320 --> 00:21:15,159 Speaker 4: very close, sloppy decision. But Kim at one twenty is 508 00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:18,359 Speaker 4: not a terrible price tag, and I wouldn't mind stepping 509 00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:19,000 Speaker 4: in on that bet. 510 00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:21,360 Speaker 2: The line's slowly moving a little. 511 00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:22,600 Speaker 4: Bit more towards her, so if I was going to 512 00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:24,320 Speaker 4: bet it, I would try to do it earlier than later. 513 00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:28,360 Speaker 4: Right now, she's plus one twenty and it's I think 514 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,879 Speaker 4: she's gonna make kind of embarrassed Joscelyn moving around in 515 00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:33,480 Speaker 4: the ring. Edwards, I'm not impressed with after watching her 516 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:36,119 Speaker 4: past couple of fights again this week, like, there's nothing 517 00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:39,120 Speaker 4: that stands out to me and you Young Kim like has 518 00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:41,840 Speaker 4: fought good fighters. She's lost to Molly mccannon, but she 519 00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:44,320 Speaker 4: went all the way to decision with Molly McKinnon after 520 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:47,440 Speaker 4: we saw what mcken did last weekend, Like, if you 521 00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:50,840 Speaker 4: got enough to stand in the ring, yeah, with Molly McCann, Like, 522 00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:53,320 Speaker 4: I think you can go at least a full fifteen 523 00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:56,439 Speaker 4: with Jocelyn Edwards and probably win that fight with Jocelyn Edwards. 524 00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:58,480 Speaker 1: Now, if you were going to look in the total marga, 525 00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:00,560 Speaker 1: because that's another great way that you can bet UFC 526 00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:02,720 Speaker 1: fights here, If you're going to look in the total 527 00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:04,680 Speaker 1: market for any of these, is there anything that you're 528 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:06,760 Speaker 1: really seeing? I know you said Derek Lewis in the 529 00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:10,040 Speaker 1: first round. Is there anything else that you might be 530 00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:13,280 Speaker 1: looking at as far as round totals in any preticure. 531 00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:16,160 Speaker 4: That I think you can take the newness fight doesn't 532 00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:18,000 Speaker 4: go to the decision. I think that's still a pretty 533 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:20,560 Speaker 4: nice bet because I think either way, whoever wins that 534 00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:24,719 Speaker 4: fight's not gonna win. Fight one of them could win 535 00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:27,120 Speaker 4: is gonna win by decision if it goes to decision. 536 00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:29,080 Speaker 4: But I think if it goes to decision, Penion is 537 00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:31,680 Speaker 4: more likely to win that fight. But I think fight 538 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:33,679 Speaker 4: doesn't go to decisions a good bet. I think the 539 00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:36,560 Speaker 4: Marino actually fight goes to decision is a good bet 540 00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:39,040 Speaker 4: as well. If you don't want to place any bets 541 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:42,159 Speaker 4: on that fight. And Derek Lewis line has been seemed 542 00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:44,320 Speaker 4: so much like I probably wouldn't touch that. 543 00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:47,639 Speaker 1: All right, Well there you go, Josh, thank you so 544 00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:49,959 Speaker 1: much for joining me here today. It has been an 545 00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:52,400 Speaker 1: absolute pleasure of breaking down the fights with you. Where 546 00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:54,080 Speaker 1: can people find you in the great work you're doing. 547 00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:57,399 Speaker 4: I'm on Twitter j Frek eighty seven. I do a 548 00:22:57,480 --> 00:22:59,879 Speaker 4: draftings breakdown every week. It's free. Everybody can look at 549 00:22:59,880 --> 00:23:00,360 Speaker 4: it for free. 550 00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:00,760 Speaker 2: I want to. 551 00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:02,800 Speaker 4: I just want people to win money, like that's the 552 00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:04,440 Speaker 4: only thing I want people to do. I don't care 553 00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:06,440 Speaker 4: about my name really getting out there. I just want 554 00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:08,560 Speaker 4: to make everybody else successful and put a little bit 555 00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:09,920 Speaker 4: extra quid in everybody's pocket. 556 00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:11,760 Speaker 2: So free agent. 557 00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:13,879 Speaker 4: So I'm kind of doing my own thing and jumping 558 00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:16,240 Speaker 4: on shows where I can. And I appreciate you having 559 00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:18,199 Speaker 4: me on. I love listening to your stuff. I like, 560 00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:20,320 Speaker 4: I'm not a big soccer guy, but you've taught me 561 00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:22,040 Speaker 4: more about soccer in the past year than I ever 562 00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 4: thought I would learn. 563 00:23:23,040 --> 00:23:24,760 Speaker 2: So I very much appreciate that. 564 00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:28,800 Speaker 1: I greatly appreciate the kind words there. And we are 565 00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:32,399 Speaker 1: absolutely gonna win some money this weekend. Guys, Josh is 566 00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:34,960 Speaker 1: one of the best out there. Give him a follow. 567 00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,919 Speaker 1: He is working so hard to help us make some 568 00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:41,480 Speaker 1: money here and let's absolutely cash some tickets this weekend. 569 00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:44,000 Speaker 3: You know the drill. If you guys like the show, 570 00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:44,720 Speaker 3: don't forget. 571 00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:47,399 Speaker 1: To like, subscribe, share, If you're listening to us on 572 00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:50,480 Speaker 1: the podcast platform of your choice, please give us that 573 00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:51,400 Speaker 1: five star rating. 574 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:53,439 Speaker 3: It really does help out. Let us know what you 575 00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:54,080 Speaker 3: think of the show. 576 00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:56,640 Speaker 1: And of course, as always, you can tweet myself at 577 00:23:56,640 --> 00:23:59,840 Speaker 1: TV at work, you can tweet Josh at Jfrick eighty 578 00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:02,919 Speaker 1: just like he said, and of course you can always. 579 00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:06,720 Speaker 3: Follow Betting FROs at Betting pros. It is just that simple. 580 00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:09,200 Speaker 1: Guys, let's cash some tickets this weekend and we will 581 00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:22,640 Speaker 1: see you next episode.