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Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock bet We

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Speaker 1: are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the

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Speaker 1: betting show that makes the squares sharper, that makes the

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Speaker 1: Wise guys pay attention. I am Shad Millman. I enjoin

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Speaker 1: as always by my co host, my PFF, my companion,

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Speaker 1: my compadre, professional vetter, Simon Hunter.

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Speaker 2: So I'm in, Chad.

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Speaker 1: What a week, brother, dud crazy week. We're feeling good.

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Speaker 1: But like any professional outfit, you know what we do.

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Speaker 1: We look past and we move forward. We get ready.

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Speaker 1: We don't rest in our loyals, laurels. This is our

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Speaker 1: Thursday Week two episode. I'm going to narrow down the

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Speaker 1: options on our quest to agree together as a team

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Speaker 1: on our five favorite picks for the week. Reminders subscribe

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Speaker 1: to Sharp or Square on YouTube, Apple Pods, Spotify, wherever

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Speaker 1: you get your pads. Let's get into it, brother, First,

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Speaker 1: gotta check in Wise Guy hot Line.

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Speaker 2: WHI Guy hot Line?

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Speaker 1: What are you waiting for? Did I start?

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Speaker 2: Uh? Yeah, Let's start with the games they disagree on, Chad,

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Speaker 2: let's start. Let's get those out of the way. Last year,

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Speaker 2: I mean last week, I feel like we got a

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Speaker 2: little lucky, right We're on the right side of a

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Speaker 2: lot of the disagreements, and that's how it is, right

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Speaker 2: the pro line, the dog is not always the right side,

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Speaker 2: and me and Chad we have that hard lesson ourselves.

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Speaker 2: We really love these dogs. We have to remember chalk

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Speaker 2: does win. It's it's lined up to be another back

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Speaker 2: and forth week this week, and so let's start with

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Speaker 2: that Dallas game. I mean, I got a ton of

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Speaker 2: calls just guys loving that Giants team even more. You know,

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Speaker 2: I saw Bland got banged up, right, he's missing this game.

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Speaker 2: It's a big deal, especially when you're going against guys

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Speaker 2: like neighbors. But it's my whole point. It's Russell Wilson

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Speaker 2: behind a bad offensive line. So I think maybe we'll

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Speaker 2: talk a little bit more about that one. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: pretty pretty shocking all the calls I got about just

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Speaker 2: more Giants love. I was like, you didn't get burned

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Speaker 2: last week, and they're like, ah, they make excuses reasons

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Speaker 2: why it didn't work out, and that's just how it is,

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Speaker 2: right when you're playing this number. So I got some

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Speaker 2: good trends that back up the Cowboys and.

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Speaker 1: That I'm excited at the get of this game. This

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Speaker 1: Giants team feels like the wise guy version of the

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Speaker 1: Panthers last year, and I don't get it. And so

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Speaker 1: I'm excited for us to hear your trends and dig

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Speaker 1: in a little bit. And I'm excited that we're not

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Speaker 1: getting suckered in by the Giants.

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Speaker 2: I agree, and uh yeah, this is one of those

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Speaker 2: like Chad saying, it's uh, we'll talk more about it,

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Speaker 2: but this this Chiefs game, tons of calls about our

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Speaker 2: are like, maybe it's more of me my love for

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Speaker 2: the Eagles this spot, and I'm excited to break that down,

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Speaker 2: that one down with you because it's making me hold

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Speaker 2: even more firm in my position. Wow outside I'm on.

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Speaker 2: So uh yeah, that Eagles Chiefs game that is going

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Speaker 2: to be pros versus shows public is going to be heavy,

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Speaker 2: heavy on the Eagles side, and basically any professional I've

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Speaker 2: talked to for the most part is on the chief side.

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Speaker 2: I've heard their reasoning. I'm excited to give more of

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Speaker 2: mine on the show about why I'm still staying where

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Speaker 2: I am and the last one that they hated our

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Speaker 2: pick on and it's more directed once again towards me

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Speaker 2: again is my love for Minnesota. I owned up to

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Speaker 2: it to them on the phone as well. My love

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Speaker 2: the Vikings. I still love it. I had gotten info

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Speaker 2: about Drake London potentially missing this game and him being

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Speaker 2: really banged up. He was limited yest during practice, and

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Speaker 2: I watched him practice. He looked good. He made a

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Speaker 2: really good catch. Now I don't know if that's just

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Speaker 2: because it's practice and everything like that, but he moved

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Speaker 2: well in my opinion, and I don't know if that

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Speaker 2: shoulder is that big of an in jewry. When I

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Speaker 2: got the INFI I was like, oh my god, he's

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Speaker 2: on the road now Panics without his number one receiver,

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Speaker 2: Drake London. This number is gonna balloon up. It's gone

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Speaker 2: the other ways you see. It's it's dropped now from

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Speaker 2: four and a half to four to three and a

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Speaker 2: half and now hard Rock is down to three. So

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Speaker 2: that's another game. I'm sure we'll talk more about. But

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Speaker 2: oh yeah, yeah, the ones they love obviously for our

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Speaker 2: early sides, you know, we do a Sunday night show people,

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Speaker 2: if you want to check it out, it's it's a

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Speaker 2: really fun show. We break down our past games from

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Speaker 2: the week and we give out early lines. We nailed

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Speaker 2: a couple right, or I really did in my early

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Speaker 2: bets when I look back where I gave out Colts

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Speaker 2: plus three, the pros love it. They're down to one

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Speaker 2: and a half, and I talked to a lot of pros.

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Speaker 2: I love that one, So I'm sure we're gonna break

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Speaker 2: that game down. Even more people are messaging me panicking

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Speaker 2: like aren't you over over value of this Colts team?

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Speaker 2: And we talked about them. It's all about the line, right,

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Speaker 2: Like if there was threes out there, even our last show,

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Speaker 2: there's still two and a half's out there. We just

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Speaker 2: go where the value is and that to me was

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Speaker 2: the early line value. And another one Titans, we love them.

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Speaker 2: Talked to a bunch of pros, joined us on this bandwagon.

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Speaker 2: Another ugly dog at home. That's a pretty big spread, Jets.

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Speaker 2: Another game I think we're gonna break down. Got a

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Speaker 2: bunch of calls about the love for that, and then

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Speaker 2: you know, finally Chad's loves Seahawks. Got a bunch of

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Speaker 2: calls about that. So yeah, I'm excited to break all

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Speaker 2: these games down. Just a lot of love on the

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Speaker 2: dogs this week, and I've not shocked about the calls

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Speaker 2: we got about the lines we hate, but like we say,

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Speaker 2: the public does win. I have to pick and choose

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Speaker 2: my spots where I try to ride with the public

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Speaker 2: and the favorites in these spots.

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Speaker 1: I love it. I love it. They really did get

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Speaker 1: into every game that we're going to talk about. I

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Speaker 1: think it's great. And what's interesting is I think, other

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Speaker 1: than the Chiefs Eagles, I think you and I are

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Speaker 1: pretty aligned on a couple of the games that they

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Speaker 1: hate and we love. But let's let's get into it.

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Speaker 1: First game, Cleveland and Baltimore. This had been on our radar.

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Speaker 1: The line currently at hard Rock Bet is twelve. It

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Speaker 1: opened to twelve and a half, got that down all

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Speaker 1: the way down to eleven and a half and has

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Speaker 1: now come back up. You know it's so hard, right,

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Speaker 1: This is when a one game sample size reeks total havoc,

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Speaker 1: like trying to dissect and translate the weaknesses of the

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Speaker 1: Since defense that or the Since the offense that made

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Speaker 1: the Cleveland defense so dominant, and if there are any

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Speaker 1: similarities with the Ravens offense, of which there are not. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: how can Joe Flacco take advantage of a Ravens defense?

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Speaker 1: When we were dissecting the Cincinnati game. We believe the

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Speaker 1: narrative for the Browns in that game had to be

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Speaker 1: slow the game down, rely on the defense, rely on

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Speaker 1: Joe Flaho not making mistakes, try to run the ball.

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Speaker 1: I think it's much harder to do that against this

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Speaker 1: Ravens team, as big as this number is. I don't

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Speaker 1: I don't love it, like and there's not even like

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Speaker 1: a ton of trends to back up playing this big

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Speaker 1: of a dog in the division everything. I feel like

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Speaker 1: we will find five games that we like more.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and I definitely went back and watched that. Since

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Speaker 2: the game, I heard from a lot of Bengals fans

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Speaker 2: and they're right, I did miss misspoke that. I said that,

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Speaker 2: you know, the Browns were able to run the ball

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Speaker 2: really well against them. They weren't. They averaged two yards

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Speaker 2: per carry. But what they did attacking was the running

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Speaker 2: backs catching the ball on the backfield like that was

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Speaker 2: That's what I missed because every time I felt like

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Speaker 2: I looked and look at that game, all sudden it

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Speaker 2: was the rookie Sampson I believe his name is, rushing

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Speaker 2: for nine yards but receiving the ball in the backfield.

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Speaker 2: So that was a fair criticism Chad. I don't know

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Speaker 2: if he's gonna crow yet on stort because he did

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Speaker 2: look really good in the game against the run. He

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Speaker 2: played well. I'll give that that kid credit. Uh, we

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Speaker 2: had a lot of questions about him so far one

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Speaker 2: game in. He looks like a first round pick.

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Speaker 1: So, oh, you're talking about Shamar Stewart, the rookie for

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Speaker 1: the Bengals.

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Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, you notoriously have hated the Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I've been against this pick from the beginning. It felt

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Speaker 1: like a classic Mike Mamoula pick. Let's choose an athlete

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Speaker 1: even though he didn't produce in college. So agree with you.

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Speaker 1: I might well have to eat it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he might hit. He looks good. And you know

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Speaker 2: when I when I break this one down, you brought

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Speaker 2: up there's trends that actually say this is bad taking

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Speaker 2: a dog this big in division on the road early

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Speaker 2: in the season. So you know, same thing as you

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Speaker 2: went on the internet trying to find as much as

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Speaker 2: I could about this exact spot. And it's it's true.

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Speaker 2: I think I'm just too attack to this Browns team

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Speaker 2: because I just see the ways they can keep this

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Speaker 2: close right that secondary. They have issues right now right,

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Speaker 2: that is the weakness of those Ravens team, it's fair

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Speaker 2: to and this Browns team, we saw they have weapons

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Speaker 2: on the outside that can go downfield and make plays,

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Speaker 2: so tempting. I'm ten to be right, there's other games

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Speaker 2: I like more, so I'll stay away from it. And

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Speaker 2: you know, at the end, if you want to talk

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Speaker 2: about Ravens for Survivor, we can do that because you

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Speaker 2: know this is a good spot for them obviously. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: this number looked like it was heading towards nine and

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Speaker 2: a half ten though we're gonn get a Ravens number.

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Speaker 2: It's gone the other way. It's up to twelve now.

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Speaker 2: So if it gets up to thirteen, I'll be the

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Speaker 2: guy on Sunday throwing one out on the Browns, but

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Speaker 2: not forcing this one of the contests either.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and the move actually tells me when there's midweek

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Speaker 1: moves like this. As much as there is sort of

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Speaker 1: an expanded universe of sports betters, when I see a

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Speaker 1: move from eleven and a half back to twelve, that

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Speaker 1: to me tells me there's a wise guy money coming

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Speaker 1: in on the Ravens, and so that makes me a

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Speaker 1: little bit more hesitant. New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: There's numbers down to five. You mentioned the wise guys

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Speaker 1: have been coming into the Giants. I don't get it.

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Speaker 1: It's moved down also because of Deron Bland and the injury.

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Speaker 1: I'm with you. I feel like we got so burned

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Speaker 1: last year playing numbers with really ineffective quarterbacks. And I

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Speaker 1: mentioned the Panthers as a team that last year we

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Speaker 1: got burned again and again and again. Similarities here abound.

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Speaker 1: Like they've got a really ineffective quarterback, they've got a

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Speaker 1: really bad offensive line. I think those two things are

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Speaker 1: dual Achilles heel that counteract any benefit from having the

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Speaker 1: leak neighbors against a depleted secondary for the Cowboys, or

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Speaker 1: for that matter, a really good defensive line for the Giants.

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Speaker 1: I'm just not buying it. And I was more impressed

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Speaker 1: with Dak Prescott than looking back than I even was

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Speaker 1: after the game. And if not for a couple drops

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Speaker 1: by Ceedee Lamb, they might win that game. So I'm

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Speaker 1: getting more and more comfortable with the Cowboys here. I

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Speaker 1: bet him at five and a half, and I'm bummed

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Speaker 1: because if I had known about the Bland injury, and

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Speaker 1: you know, could have gotten more half point of value,

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Speaker 1: but I don't. I don't mind the cowboys here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's moving. I mean it's five and a half.

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Speaker 2: I remind us firing out of hard Rock. It's getting

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Speaker 2: down a four and a half. It looks like here

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Speaker 2: in Jersey at hard Rock, like the numbers leading towards

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Speaker 2: that way. And we just talked about that's professional money

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Speaker 2: coming pretty heavy moving it. And we didn't even talk

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Speaker 2: about week one. You know, I tend to like to

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Speaker 2: bet with the book, right, That's to me always the smart,

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Speaker 2: safer option, and I feel more confident my position if

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Speaker 2: I am with the book, but I go against them

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Speaker 2: obviously in a ton of spots. But last week we

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Speaker 2: didn't really talk about it was historical, right, It was

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Speaker 2: probably one of the worst weeks ever to start the

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Speaker 2: year for the betting public. There were three and thirteen

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Speaker 2: against the spread with teams that close his favorites ZHO

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Speaker 2: and five on the teams that we're getting more than

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Speaker 2: sixty percent of the bet right. So it was just nightmare.

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Speaker 2: One in ten total on teams sixty percent or more

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Speaker 2: against this getting like how much money was getting bet

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Speaker 2: on them in the tickets in Week one just historical

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Speaker 2: horrible week one for the betting public on these favorites.

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Speaker 2: So it is a little scary or we're stepping into

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Speaker 2: it on this one, right, We're either we're kind of

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Speaker 2: we always joke about this with the roletteheel, but it's

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Speaker 2: true where it's like, okay, black has just hit ten

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Speaker 2: times in a row. We're going red here, right, That's

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Speaker 2: what this kind of spot is because this is very public.

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Speaker 2: Like we both know that this.

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Speaker 1: Is it's very public.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I talked to a lot of these book makers

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Speaker 2: and they're like, this is going to be one of

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Speaker 2: the ones we need, but one of the ones they needed,

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Speaker 2: just like last week. Right, last week there was no

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Speaker 2: big upset, but you're shocking how bad the public did

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Speaker 2: straight up favorites one, thirteen and three straight up. So

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Speaker 2: just like last year, and we're going to talk about that.

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Speaker 2: I think it's the end of days for our underdog

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Speaker 2: money line run, Robin. I can't keep losing money chat.

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Speaker 2: It feels like two years now. I'm just getting killed

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Speaker 2: because the favorites are just they're not covering, but they're winning.

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Speaker 2: It's it's very bizarre right now. So yeah, you know

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Speaker 2: this this exact spot is really a Dak Prescott spot,

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Speaker 2: and I get there are injuries to this Cowboys defense,

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Speaker 2: but when you dive into the Dak Prescott numbers, it's

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Speaker 2: pretty amazing how good he's been in his career against

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Speaker 2: the Giants exact spot. So he's thirteen and two straight

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Speaker 2: up ten and five ats against the Giants. His only

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Speaker 2: two losses in his career against the Giants, Jed was

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Speaker 2: against Eli Manny. So he's won thirteen straight against the Giants.

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Speaker 2: So I got a ton of calls and messages about

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Speaker 2: it's it's probably true to I'd have to go back

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Speaker 2: and look. But me, Chad, this our seventh season, three years,

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Speaker 2: we've lost survivor on the Cowboys. They're literally there are

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Speaker 2: black widow every time we touch and we die, like

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Speaker 2: they get us every time. And this is why I'm

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Speaker 2: not I'm not saying I'm forcing it in, but I'm like,

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Speaker 2: this is the best spot, and we'll just get it

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Speaker 2: out of the way, will be done with the Cowboys

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Speaker 2: in week two. But I've heard a lot of a

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Speaker 2: lot of worried fans and listeners of the show being like,

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Speaker 2: you guys always take the Cowboys in the spot and

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Speaker 2: get burned. But those Prescott's numbers make me really confident.

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Speaker 2: And you know we've seen it time and time again.

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Speaker 2: They could come out sluggish in the first half. Like

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Speaker 2: I heard some pros to talk about that trend about

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Speaker 2: these teams early in the year playing on like a

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Speaker 2: Thursday or Friday, then playing against a team on short rest.

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Speaker 2: The team on short rest actually comes out more prepared

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Speaker 2: to look like a more in rhythm in the first

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Speaker 2: half of those games. Okay, take Giants first half then,

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Speaker 2: but full game. I am very confident in this Cowboys team.

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Speaker 2: I think it's a great number getting great value, and

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Speaker 2: it's it comes back to just I just don't know

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Speaker 2: how Russell Wilson, that offense moves and scores the ball,

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Speaker 2: and you know pres Scott that was that was a loss.

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Speaker 2: That team is really really, really trying to get the

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Speaker 2: taste out of their mouth. Just a great spot to

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Speaker 2: back them here. Even if they're not as good as

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Speaker 2: I predict them to be, I think to the general public,

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Speaker 2: they're better than most people realize.

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Speaker 1: It just goes to show you what a massive difference

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Speaker 1: when we talked about this effective competent better than competent

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Speaker 1: quarterback play can matter, like how much of a difference

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Speaker 1: it makes right a diminished offensive line. But if Dak

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Speaker 1: can move in the pocket and get outside the pocket

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Speaker 1: and make some plays or keep the play alive, that

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Speaker 1: makes a difference versus a Russell Wilson who's just become

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Speaker 1: completely ineffective in a shell of what he used to be.

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Speaker 1: I will pick a bone with one thing you said.

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Speaker 1: I'm not a huge fan of the quarterback versus team

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Speaker 1: stats because these teams change so much year after year

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Speaker 1: after years. There's no reason to think like he's going

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Speaker 1: to be better against the Giants than he is against

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Speaker 1: any of their team. He has more chances to beat

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Speaker 1: the Giants. The Cowboys have generally been better than the

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Speaker 1: Giants since the Eli Manning days. I will say, though,

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Speaker 1: Dak is profitable, and again for me, like the trends

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Speaker 1: are the last thing I used influence my decision making

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Speaker 1: and my bat like, it's so much more about on

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Speaker 1: field and situational analysis. They're the supporting evidence, they're not

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Speaker 1: the argument. Dak is profitable as a favorite in this spot,

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Speaker 1: meaning in the division. I did the math on this

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Speaker 1: yesterday when the line was it six six or more,

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Speaker 1: He's profitable you lower it and it's even more profitable.

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Speaker 1: So not hating this Cowboys spot, not hating it at all.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna give another trend. Just because you just said

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Speaker 2: you just like trends, I'm gonna give you some more trends. Now.

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Speaker 2: Even I got another trend for this game, no sacks taken.

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Speaker 2: So Jordan loves fits this, the Jacks fit this, the

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Speaker 2: Cowboys fit this. In week one teams that don't give

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Speaker 2: up a sack they are forty six thirty two and

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Speaker 2: one against US, so fifty nine percent in week two

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Speaker 2: since two thousand and three. That's fifteen and four since

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Speaker 2: twenty eighteen against the spread. In this exact spot, Shout

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Speaker 2: out there are guy Evan Abrams on useless trends that

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Speaker 2: I just love.

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Speaker 1: Useless trend that is a useless trend that is like

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Speaker 1: whether or not a guy.

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Speaker 2: That shows that teams that are good offensive lines that

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Speaker 2: played well in week one technically carries over to week

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Speaker 2: two that the offensive line stays plays well and doesn't

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Speaker 2: give up sacks.

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Speaker 1: So that is the definition of correlation not causation.

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Speaker 2: I do love the trend.

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Speaker 1: Do not accept that trend.

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Speaker 2: We literally on all three of those teams, and that

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Speaker 2: cracked up on Ashon. As I saw it, I was like, oh,

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Speaker 2: I love that trend.

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Speaker 1: Detroit minus six against the Bears. Look, this has been

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Speaker 1: motoring right. It was at four and a half on Sunday,

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Speaker 1: settled in a five and a half for a few days.

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Speaker 1: It finally moved to six in the past say, twelve hours. Tricky, tricky, tricky,

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Speaker 1: like all bias aside because I'm not as much of

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Speaker 1: a Bears fan as I am, which is as big

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Speaker 1: as it can be. I'm not a klyb fatalist. Like

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Speaker 1: there were moments he looked good on Monday. There were

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Speaker 1: moments the Bears defense looked great. There were moments that

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Speaker 1: Ben Johnson looked like he could be an NFL coach,

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Speaker 1: And there were moments where everything looked like it was

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Speaker 1: the Bears playing like the Bears.

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Speaker 2: But.

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Speaker 1: Like, can it get better in time to be competitive

355
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Speaker 1: against a much more seasoned staff and head coach and

356
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Speaker 1: Dan Campbell, an overall more talented roster that knows that

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Speaker 1: got embarrassed and knows what needs to be done. This

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Speaker 1: move feels more like opinion and move on the number

359
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Speaker 1: to me than anything anyone can see in any of

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Speaker 1: the matchups because that Lion's defensive offensive line was truly trash,

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Speaker 1: so they got a lot to fix in a very

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Speaker 1: short period of time. Feels like it's just belief in

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Speaker 1: the Lion's ability to fix things faster.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, once again, It's Sunday Night's show talked about Lions

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00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:05,680
Speaker 2: minus four and a half for this exact reason that

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Speaker 2: this was what was probably gonna happen if the Bears

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Speaker 2: fell on their faces. Even though the lines look terrible,

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Speaker 2: the public will trust them much more than they're gonna

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Speaker 2: trust this Bears team. And it's a rookie head coach

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Speaker 2: who's now on the road facing his former employee. This

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00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:22,480
Speaker 2: has got to be I mean, I know he's trying

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Speaker 2: to play it cool. This has got to be this

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Speaker 2: everything game, And yeah, I get cherier coming from I'm

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Speaker 2: staying away from it. I got my little four. Yeah,

375
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Speaker 2: and I just I don't want to either be on

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Speaker 2: either side. I mean, there's six and a half's out

377
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:39,720
Speaker 2: there now on this Bears team. So yeah, it's tempting.

378
00:19:39,880 --> 00:19:41,879
Speaker 2: They're tempting me because honestly, if you go back and

379
00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,960
Speaker 2: watch last year, this Bears team shockingly played pretty tough

380
00:19:45,160 --> 00:19:47,520
Speaker 2: against this Lions team that had all the pieces, so

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Speaker 2: pretty interesting matchup.

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Speaker 1: And I do.

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Speaker 2: Get why the professionals have come in and the public

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00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:56,520
Speaker 2: has joined them that this is now you know, all

385
00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:59,119
Speaker 2: the teasers are throwing this Lions team in right no

386
00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:02,040
Speaker 2: way lines go o too especially against the Bears on

387
00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:05,399
Speaker 2: a short week on the road and Caleb's just missing

388
00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:07,440
Speaker 2: open throws. People are just so down on them. So

389
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Speaker 2: I people can tell I want to be on the Bears.

390
00:20:10,320 --> 00:20:12,960
Speaker 2: They'll get me there once aga another number six and

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Speaker 2: a half seven comes Sunday, I'll throw a little on

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00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:18,680
Speaker 2: and try to hit the middle as well. But yeah,

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00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:22,680
Speaker 2: that's that's just crazy, the movement of this line, that

394
00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:25,320
Speaker 2: it's moved so much, and at what point does it

395
00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:27,600
Speaker 2: hate go too far in this Bears team? But I

396
00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:30,520
Speaker 2: get it, rookie rookie coach on the road in a

397
00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:33,040
Speaker 2: revenge spotform. I just is this taking me in the

398
00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:34,840
Speaker 2: right place? Chat? That's what we just don't know. It's

399
00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:37,440
Speaker 2: is gonna be able to separate the emotions from what's

400
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:40,639
Speaker 2: in front of them, and it's such a huge spot

401
00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 2: for him and he knows start zero and two who

402
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Speaker 2: It's gonna be tough in Chicago for this Bears team.

403
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Speaker 1: All right, Look, we were decidedly square in our love

404
00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:55,639
Speaker 1: for the Cowboys and are hoping that the number continues

405
00:20:55,760 --> 00:20:59,920
Speaker 1: to drop. Buffalo at New York Jets. New York Jets

406
00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:04,000
Speaker 1: are six and a half at hard Rock. Every time

407
00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:09,440
Speaker 1: this game touches seven, it gets back down to six.

408
00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:13,600
Speaker 1: On Tuesday, I lean bills a little bit and you

409
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Speaker 1: talk me out of it. Another forty eight hours of research.

410
00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:23,399
Speaker 1: I'm coming around to your side, Simon. This is a

411
00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 1: rock and a hard place, hard rock bet of the

412
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Speaker 1: week in New York Jets. Are we sharp or are

413
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Speaker 1: we square?

414
00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:35,440
Speaker 2: We both feel like this is sharp, but our fear

415
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:38,600
Speaker 2: is it's slowly becoming a little square. So right now

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00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:43,080
Speaker 2: I'll say it's sharp, but it's uh. I'm shocked the

417
00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:45,040
Speaker 2: leve of this Jets team. Like Chad just said, I

418
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:46,960
Speaker 2: thought we would be getting a seven seven and a half.

419
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Speaker 2: But I'm happy to take the six and a half.

420
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Speaker 2: But I just can't believe the public's joining us to me.

421
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:55,320
Speaker 2: This is what they love, right, Josh Allen, huge win

422
00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:58,879
Speaker 2: Sunday night. Everyone's gonna be loving this guy. MVP talk right,

423
00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:02,920
Speaker 2: He's the best in football. Jets blew a game I

424
00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:05,520
Speaker 2: just thought everyone would be all over this Bills team.

425
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Speaker 2: So yeah, the professional money, like Chad's saying, it is

426
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:11,200
Speaker 2: coming in heavy on this Jets team every time it

427
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Speaker 2: touches seven. So we both love it. I'm gonna take

428
00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:17,639
Speaker 2: the six and a half. And it really is just about,

429
00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:19,800
Speaker 2: you know, the injuries to this Bills team and their

430
00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:24,800
Speaker 2: secondary and this Jets defense. I get people having major

431
00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:27,479
Speaker 2: questions about them, and now they're going from getting dominated

432
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:30,400
Speaker 2: by Aaron Rodgers to now they're playing you know, one

433
00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:32,879
Speaker 2: of the best quarterbacks in football and Josh Allen. I

434
00:22:32,960 --> 00:22:35,840
Speaker 2: get the hesitation, but it's really about the number, right.

435
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:37,920
Speaker 2: It feels like we're always gonna have the option to

436
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:40,800
Speaker 2: get this back door here. So yeah, this is a

437
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:44,720
Speaker 2: game we both love, and you know, the seven we

438
00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:46,199
Speaker 2: were hoping for, I just don't think we're ever going

439
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:48,040
Speaker 2: to get there. I think six and a half most

440
00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:49,760
Speaker 2: people listen to show that's the best numb we're gonna

441
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:50,879
Speaker 2: be able to get. I'm fine taking it.

442
00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:56,000
Speaker 1: That's interesting because I feel like I was going to say, please, please,

443
00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:59,879
Speaker 1: please be patient and be aware because it has popped

444
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:04,200
Speaker 1: seven enough that it could get back there. And this

445
00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:07,360
Speaker 1: to me feels like you gotta be on the lookout

446
00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:11,480
Speaker 1: on Sunday morning when the public comes in for the bills,

447
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:15,480
Speaker 1: because most people are not tracking this and thinking about

448
00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:18,560
Speaker 1: it all throughout the week. They saw the Bills win

449
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:21,560
Speaker 1: on Sunday night in dramatic fashion. They saw the Jets

450
00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:24,080
Speaker 1: lose like the Jets normally lose. They're not digging in

451
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:27,320
Speaker 1: the way we dig in, and they're gonna bet on

452
00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:30,840
Speaker 1: Sunday morning at all the big bet places you can bet,

453
00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:34,560
Speaker 1: and that's when the move could happen to seven. I'd

454
00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:37,480
Speaker 1: almost rather risk waiting for the seven and getting that

455
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:41,520
Speaker 1: number then and then have to bet a six if

456
00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:45,600
Speaker 1: I have to bet a six on Sunday versus landing

457
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:47,360
Speaker 1: on the six and a half, I mean, I guess

458
00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:48,800
Speaker 1: I could take the six and a half and bet

459
00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:52,920
Speaker 1: it again at seven, but I'd rather be patient and

460
00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:53,920
Speaker 1: just try to get a seven.

461
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 2: I stuff to get there, because like I talked two

462
00:23:57,840 --> 00:23:59,920
Speaker 2: different book makers just thing. They basically just said, yeah,

463
00:23:59,920 --> 00:24:05,800
Speaker 2: it's you know, all the teasers, parlays, all the public. Yes,

464
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:09,120
Speaker 2: they're on the bills, but it is heavy, heavy professional

465
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:11,240
Speaker 2: Jets money and the money's not even close how much,

466
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:13,639
Speaker 2: so they're gonna they might end up needing the bills.

467
00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:16,080
Speaker 2: That's the fear for me or Chat is like this

468
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,040
Speaker 2: might be a spot where they might need the bills

469
00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:20,840
Speaker 2: because it's so much more professional money coming to the Jets.

470
00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:23,800
Speaker 2: So that's why I'm just hesitant that I get back

471
00:24:23,800 --> 00:24:27,240
Speaker 2: to seven. But like you said, certain books, more public books,

472
00:24:27,440 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 2: they could because they're gonna need they'll need Jets money, right,

473
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:32,680
Speaker 2: They're not taking professional money. Yeah, they're getting his bills

474
00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:35,120
Speaker 2: public money, especially at six and a half. So yeah,

475
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:37,639
Speaker 2: that's that's a fair argument. You can't be patient and

476
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:39,760
Speaker 2: hope it gets back to the seven at certain books.

477
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:45,640
Speaker 1: The game itself, it just feels like an advantage schematically

478
00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:51,520
Speaker 1: for the Jets regarding their run game against the Bills defense.

479
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 1: That their defensive backfield just was not very good.

480
00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:58,760
Speaker 2: They were not great even their front those gaping holes.

481
00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:00,439
Speaker 2: I don't know if you saw clips people playing these

482
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:03,520
Speaker 2: clips online, it's these massive goals for Derek henridg great

483
00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:05,879
Speaker 2: Derek Henry is. It will just be him in the

484
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:08,440
Speaker 2: safety one on one, which Derrek Henry we saw, yes,

485
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:10,359
Speaker 2: win every time you got it. You try to take

486
00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:12,520
Speaker 2: an angle on a guy who weighs, you know, two

487
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:15,840
Speaker 2: eighty and muscle six' five sixty. Four they'll lose every.

488
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:17,399
Speaker 2: Time it's Just Derek henry's a.

489
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,800
Speaker 1: FREAK i also think there's an emotional element, here The

490
00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:24,040
Speaker 1: bills coming off that win against one of the two

491
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:27,639
Speaker 1: other teams that have been their, rival and The jets

492
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:31,720
Speaker 1: feeling themselves right like they came into That steelers game super,

493
00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:34,520
Speaker 1: confident they wanted to prove who they were and then they,

494
00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:38,000
Speaker 1: lost AND i feel like this is another chance to

495
00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:42,000
Speaker 1: show the world that The jets are. Different so the emotional.

496
00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:45,400
Speaker 1: Swings this means so much more to The jets than

497
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,879
Speaker 1: it does to The, bills and they get it at.

498
00:25:47,920 --> 00:25:51,840
Speaker 1: Home you're, like it's just it feels like a really

499
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:52,399
Speaker 1: good spot for.

500
00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:53,159
Speaker 2: US i.

501
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:57,400
Speaker 1: Agree seattle plus three At. PITTSBURGH i feel like you're

502
00:25:57,640 --> 00:26:04,639
Speaker 1: giving me credit for. This this felt to me like

503
00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:09,520
Speaker 1: a sharp play all, week and the juice on this

504
00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:14,000
Speaker 1: game had been at minus one point fifteen since we

505
00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:17,439
Speaker 1: did Our tuesday. Show it's come down back to minus one,

506
00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:21,200
Speaker 1: ten but that initial juice move told me that the

507
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 1: wise guys were coming in on The. Seahawks, Clearly i'm

508
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:27,600
Speaker 1: very sharp, here, Right.

509
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:33,440
Speaker 2: YEAH i love The seahawks, too ARE i feel like

510
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:34,960
Speaker 2: we're on the same page of what we like about

511
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:37,560
Speaker 2: them in this, matchup and you know the fact that

512
00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 2: their defense could be so much better than what we

513
00:26:42,119 --> 00:26:44,480
Speaker 2: saw from That jets, team and the way that this

514
00:26:44,600 --> 00:26:47,280
Speaker 2: defense can you, know Give Aaron rodgers Prom we Saw Aaron.

515
00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 2: RODGERS i think he got sacked three or four times

516
00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:53,640
Speaker 2: in that. Game four. Times, Yeah so you, know there's

517
00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 2: there's a lot of things to like about The seahawks.

518
00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:58,720
Speaker 2: Defense and then we talked, offensively they should have a

519
00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:02,800
Speaker 2: much better. Time i'm running against This pittsburgh team, that

520
00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 2: just like The, bills has tons of injuries to their,

521
00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:09,440
Speaker 2: secondary and you, know the fear Is Sam. Donald it's

522
00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:12,879
Speaker 2: crazy to, say can he really attack them and affect

523
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:14,720
Speaker 2: them the same way justin? Fields it of course not,

524
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:17,080
Speaker 2: right the justin fields threat of the, run it's just

525
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:21,159
Speaker 2: light years different Than Sam. Donald but you, know the

526
00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:23,680
Speaker 2: way this defense is On, pittsburgh we obviously think they'll be,

527
00:27:23,760 --> 00:27:26,960
Speaker 2: better but how much better is a. Question and you,

528
00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:30,040
Speaker 2: KNOW i Know chad again hates these. Trends this is

529
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:33,240
Speaker 2: just ONE i saw that would just make sense because

530
00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:35,800
Speaker 2: it's it feels like A tomlin, Trend like WHEN i read,

531
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:38,240
Speaker 2: IT i Go, okay no other team would have this

532
00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:41,440
Speaker 2: type of, trend But tomlin. Would they basically allowed thirty

533
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:45,160
Speaker 2: two points against The. Jets right This pittsburgh's, Defense he's

534
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:47,880
Speaker 2: twenty eight eleven and one against The, sprits seventy two

535
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:50,760
Speaker 2: percent The steelers and the six exact spot the week

536
00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:55,399
Speaker 2: after their defense gives up thirty two points even more so,

537
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:58,600
Speaker 2: scary he's ten and. One tomlin's ten and one his

538
00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:01,800
Speaker 2: exact spot the last. Eleven so it's a thing WHERE

539
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:05,720
Speaker 2: i guess his defense he just gives them hell week,

540
00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:08,959
Speaker 2: like even though they won thirty two. Points i'm assuming

541
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:11,399
Speaker 2: that's A tomlin stat where it's like it doesn't matter

542
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:13,160
Speaker 2: if they win or. Whatever if they get thirty, two

543
00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:15,280
Speaker 2: it's as if they, lost especially if the defense and

544
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,920
Speaker 2: he gets them. Right but still very confident in The

545
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:20,840
Speaker 2: seahawks team and how they match up in about the.

546
00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:22,920
Speaker 2: Number but that one jumped out for. Me it was,

547
00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:25,040
Speaker 2: like oh my, god that is such A tomlin. Stat.

548
00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:28,320
Speaker 2: This anytime his defense gets lit, up they get right

549
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:33,160
Speaker 2: the next. WEEK i mean in this exact. Spots usually

550
00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:35,440
Speaker 2: a trend that scares Me chad, off BUT i think

551
00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:37,240
Speaker 2: we're too. Deep we both just love The seahawks and

552
00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:39,520
Speaker 2: the number so two and a half. THREE i love them.

553
00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:42,320
Speaker 1: BOTH i think The steelers are just being overvalued. HERE

554
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:45,920
Speaker 1: i think that the market looks at The steelers and

555
00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:48,720
Speaker 1: knows that the public is going to come in on

556
00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:51,640
Speaker 1: them because they ultimately won in a high scoring game

557
00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:54,040
Speaker 1: and they Saw Aaron. Rodgers Aaron.

558
00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:55,960
Speaker 2: RODGERS i, mean that's the. Difference Aaron. Rodgers that was.

559
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:57,480
Speaker 2: Incredible but, LIKE i.

560
00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 1: Don't think they're. Unpacking Aaron rodgers isn't perfect in that,

561
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:04,160
Speaker 1: game no, throws no attempts more than twenty, yards got,

562
00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:05,800
Speaker 1: sacked got, sacked.

563
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,240
Speaker 2: And it just killed The. Jets it was. Crazy, Yeah

564
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:09,680
Speaker 2: and so to.

565
00:29:09,760 --> 00:29:11,840
Speaker 1: Me that The steelers kind of got lucky in that.

566
00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:15,440
Speaker 1: Game The jets were a little bit. Unlucky and this

567
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:18,320
Speaker 1: is a spot where maybe The, seahawks who are a

568
00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:21,840
Speaker 1: little bit unlucky in their game against The, niners can

569
00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 1: take advantage and equalize some of that, karma so to.

570
00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:30,320
Speaker 1: Speak and the value was in The seahawks at plus.

571
00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:34,680
Speaker 1: Three so right, now like you AND i are kind

572
00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:41,920
Speaker 1: of aligned on three, Games, Dallas jets And. Seattle guess

573
00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 1: what we got coming?

574
00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:45,280
Speaker 2: Up hopefully it's is In. Miami that's What i'm waiting.

575
00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:48,120
Speaker 2: FOR i didn't Put miami on the list we GOT

576
00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 2: i got some great stats about that.

577
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:53,560
Speaker 1: Game we'll talk about. It i've generally been looking for

578
00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:55,440
Speaker 1: ways to buy out of that bet the.

579
00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 2: Whole that's. Fine i'll tell you why it's a good

580
00:29:57,920 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 2: idea to buy out of.

581
00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:02,560
Speaker 1: It tennessee The rams at The Tennessee titans last. Week

582
00:30:02,600 --> 00:30:05,640
Speaker 1: this was our brass Balls you. Nailed it worked out.

583
00:30:05,720 --> 00:30:12,600
Speaker 1: Perfectly guess, What, Simon Tennessee titans plus five and a

584
00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:16,640
Speaker 1: half for the second week in a. Row this team

585
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:25,160
Speaker 1: is our brass balls bet of the. Week tell everyone

586
00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:27,040
Speaker 1: why this is a very sharp, Bet.

587
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:31,280
Speaker 2: Simon there's a bunch of. Reasons it's it's, Honestly i've

588
00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:35,880
Speaker 2: heard from Pros chad on The rams, shockingly AND i

589
00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:39,560
Speaker 2: thought this would just be total pros verse, shows, right

590
00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:42,000
Speaker 2: every pro would be on The, titans every one of their.

591
00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:44,160
Speaker 2: Grandma i'm, LIKE i feel like EVERYONE i talked with

592
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,000
Speaker 2: a sports book the other day was just, basically, oh,

593
00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:49,680
Speaker 2: yeah got The rams in my, teaser got them with the,

594
00:30:49,760 --> 00:30:52,360
Speaker 2: bills like that was the stack right these because it's

595
00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 2: a perfect number to bet it. Down but, yeah THIS

596
00:30:57,040 --> 00:30:58,480
Speaker 2: i think we're on the same page where it's, Like,

597
00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:01,480
Speaker 2: okay if we do a favorite money, line money line Around,

598
00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:03,400
Speaker 2: Robin i'd put The rams in.

599
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 1: There.

600
00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:06,320
Speaker 2: Right McVeigh does win in this. Spot but what's so

601
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:09,600
Speaker 2: sharp about it to, me, like is just the. Number

602
00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:12,080
Speaker 2: it's a sharp, number the five and a. Half we

603
00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:15,040
Speaker 2: were Hoping Hard rock would get the. Six they've obviously

604
00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:17,080
Speaker 2: taken some smart money because there are some sixes out,

605
00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:19,720
Speaker 2: there but you, know five and a. Half to, me

606
00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 2: it's gonna stay. DOWN i just don't see it going back,

607
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:23,400
Speaker 2: up AND i see it coming down. Lower and it's

608
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:26,840
Speaker 2: this that what's happened to The giants. LINE i thought

609
00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:28,400
Speaker 2: it was gonna happen with This tennessee. LINE i thought

610
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:32,520
Speaker 2: people would go watch the camboard tape against That denver

611
00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:35,960
Speaker 2: defense that is really, good and see it was his

612
00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:38,440
Speaker 2: teammates and the coaching that let him. Down like he

613
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:44,640
Speaker 2: made big plays in either, penalties drops or back coaching ruined.

614
00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 2: It and it's, like, yeah he's got weird arm, angles

615
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 2: he throws it a little too fast in certain. SPOTS

616
00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:52,200
Speaker 2: i agree with some of that, criticism but, overall if

617
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:53,920
Speaker 2: you just look at his, stats he looked like he

618
00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:57,640
Speaker 2: was horrible And tennessee was super lucky to cover that

619
00:31:57,760 --> 00:32:01,920
Speaker 2: number when it's like they were crazy. Unlucky and the

620
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,760
Speaker 2: fear for me here is the coaching Because i've gone

621
00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:06,600
Speaker 2: back and watched that. Game it's. SICK i just like to.

622
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:09,720
Speaker 2: PUNISHSELF i watched it twice, now That Denver tennessee, game

623
00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:12,960
Speaker 2: AND i just can't get Over callay and the coaching

624
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:16,760
Speaker 2: mishaps and some of the stuff he. Does and you,

625
00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 2: know just last, YEAR i think back to him With

626
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:20,600
Speaker 2: Bill levis and he'd roll his eyes and be, like

627
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:23,040
Speaker 2: this kid's so stupid the stuff this kid. Does how

628
00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:25,719
Speaker 2: stupid is. It it's, like, dude you're fucked it. Too

629
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:28,760
Speaker 2: like some of the stuff he, does just, man he's

630
00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:31,560
Speaker 2: like he failed to, me Failed ward in that. Game

631
00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:33,640
Speaker 2: and we got very lucky in our survivor pool that

632
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:37,000
Speaker 2: we got out of there with a. Win and this

633
00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 2: number probably should be four three and a. Half we're

634
00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:44,360
Speaker 2: getting a bump because of how bad Came ward and

635
00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 2: this team looked to the general. Public but you, know

636
00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:51,040
Speaker 2: the pros they've kept it under. Six we'll take the

637
00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:54,200
Speaker 2: five and a. Half and we talk all the time

638
00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:57,800
Speaker 2: this This rams. Team they're actually kind of great in this, spot,

639
00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:00,400
Speaker 2: right traveling from west to, east they're next not that,

640
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:03,160
Speaker 2: terrible but we've seen, it, Right stafford is different when

641
00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:06,840
Speaker 2: he's playing outdoors in these type of. Games and, Yeah

642
00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:09,280
Speaker 2: I'm i'm fired top to see what The tennessee crowd

643
00:33:09,400 --> 00:33:12,320
Speaker 2: is like because right, now the trends are not good

644
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:14,400
Speaker 2: about these favorites on the, road. RIGHT i think last

645
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:16,440
Speaker 2: week favorites on the road were five and one straight.

646
00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:19,720
Speaker 2: Up so home field just isn't what it used to.

647
00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:22,120
Speaker 2: Be But tennessee here with the rookie, Quarterback i'm hoping

648
00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:24,560
Speaker 2: the fans can bring it and Give stafford that oftense

649
00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:26,680
Speaker 2: some problems on the offense because they got they have

650
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:29,400
Speaker 2: through right this this this Is. Stafford if it's not

651
00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:32,760
Speaker 2: loud and they're not messing with this snap, count he's

652
00:33:32,800 --> 00:33:34,760
Speaker 2: gonna have his way with This tennessee. Defense this is

653
00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:38,360
Speaker 2: not Bo. Nicks this Is stafford With puka And, adams

654
00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:41,120
Speaker 2: and that's just we saw last. Game that's a great.

655
00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:43,800
Speaker 2: Offense they just you, Know houston's a really good. Defense so,

656
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:46,120
Speaker 2: YEAH i love this. Number. CHAT i think you know

657
00:33:46,360 --> 00:33:48,120
Speaker 2: what you talked. About i'm glad we're in sink in

658
00:33:48,200 --> 00:33:51,200
Speaker 2: another game that's you, KNOW i could have seen you

659
00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:52,760
Speaker 2: bet on The. RAMS i could see why people want

660
00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:54,600
Speaker 2: to take The rams at the. Spot BUT i Think

661
00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:57,840
Speaker 2: tennessee had this. Number it's. Crazy two and fifteen against

662
00:33:57,880 --> 00:34:00,160
Speaker 2: the spread last. Year we think they're gonna start two

663
00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:01,080
Speaker 2: and h against the spread this.

664
00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:04,240
Speaker 1: Season, well, look The rams also have some injuries in

665
00:34:04,320 --> 00:34:08,040
Speaker 1: the interior of their offensive. Line and the one thing

666
00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:11,160
Speaker 1: we saw The titans doing well last, Week Jeffrey simmons

667
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:12,920
Speaker 1: was amazing and he was just.

668
00:34:13,680 --> 00:34:16,040
Speaker 2: Thrush he was incredible crushing the.

669
00:34:16,120 --> 00:34:19,520
Speaker 1: Pocket and so if he's able to do that against The,

670
00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:25,080
Speaker 1: rams Against Matthew, stafford who's becoming more and more immobile

671
00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:30,040
Speaker 1: and who was just not that great against The texans

672
00:34:30,120 --> 00:34:32,719
Speaker 1: defense that was kind of in his grill the whole

673
00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:37,080
Speaker 1: game from different, angles that goes, Well it's funny HOW

674
00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 1: nfl sort of analysis circles this. Week there becomes a

675
00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:49,279
Speaker 1: theme that is pretty predominant if you pay a lot

676
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:52,920
Speaker 1: of attention to this beyond like the big, games right

677
00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:57,080
Speaker 1: beyond The, Eagles, chiefs and beyond any sort of brand name.

678
00:34:57,120 --> 00:35:00,440
Speaker 1: Stuff the themes that evolved this, week which you nailed

679
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:04,040
Speaker 1: ON i Think sunday Or, tuesday Cam warder was much

680
00:35:04,120 --> 00:35:08,040
Speaker 1: much better than people. Expected his pocket presence was, great

681
00:35:09,560 --> 00:35:13,480
Speaker 1: he was adjusting his protections like he just did a

682
00:35:13,560 --> 00:35:16,480
Speaker 1: much better. Job he was failed by his. Coaches that

683
00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:19,880
Speaker 1: is the big. Deal that's the risk here that we're.

684
00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:21,600
Speaker 1: Playing but, look when you're playing a bad team as an,

685
00:35:21,680 --> 00:35:25,279
Speaker 1: underdog you're taking a. Risk it's, betting it's not sure.

686
00:35:25,360 --> 00:35:30,319
Speaker 1: Thinging So i'm with. You i'm with. You it's your

687
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:35,080
Speaker 1: breast balls better the Way denver At indianapolis you mentioned

688
00:35:35,080 --> 00:35:37,040
Speaker 1: it off the top Wise guy. Hotline this line has

689
00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:39,400
Speaker 1: moved from three to plus one and a. Half to,

690
00:35:39,480 --> 00:35:43,640
Speaker 1: me it's out at this. Number it's fascinating to watch

691
00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 1: the line movement on this, Though simon like it really

692
00:35:47,239 --> 00:35:49,279
Speaker 1: indicates to me a little bit of a battle of

693
00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:53,160
Speaker 1: opinions that have been. Happening at twelve thirty On, tuesday

694
00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:56,360
Speaker 1: it was two and a. Half thirty minutes, later it

695
00:35:56,480 --> 00:35:58,960
Speaker 1: moved to. Two an hour, later it moved back to

696
00:35:59,040 --> 00:36:02,279
Speaker 1: two and a. Half next Day, wednesday moved back down

697
00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:07,400
Speaker 1: to two at four. Thirty two minutes, later it went

698
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:09,160
Speaker 1: back to two and a, half literally four to thirty.

699
00:36:09,200 --> 00:36:12,239
Speaker 1: Two an hour, later it went down to. Two three

700
00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:14,000
Speaker 1: minutes after that it went to two and a, half

701
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:17,560
Speaker 1: and then twenty minutes later it went to two. Again, finally,

702
00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:21,600
Speaker 1: overnight it's like somebody just said screw this and it's

703
00:36:21,680 --> 00:36:24,000
Speaker 1: now down to one and a half across the. BOARD

704
00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:27,759
Speaker 1: i don't have a. LEAN i don't think it's going

705
00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:30,000
Speaker 1: to be one of the games that we want to

706
00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:33,719
Speaker 1: play most. Strongly is one of our five. Favorites you

707
00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:35,600
Speaker 1: liked it at, two you've been on this at. Three,

708
00:36:36,719 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 1: obviously the sharp side has been The colts as it.

709
00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:41,799
Speaker 1: Stands do you have an?

710
00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:46,640
Speaker 2: Opinion chat you non? Believer you don't believe In Indiana. Jones,

711
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:50,880
Speaker 2: yeah it's the sharp Side. Colts, Right it's we're betting

712
00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:54,000
Speaker 2: on a number on a team that we see what

713
00:36:54,080 --> 00:36:56,520
Speaker 2: their identity is going to. Be and that's WHAT i

714
00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:59,160
Speaker 2: love about. It we're Bo. Nicks we talked about. It

715
00:36:59,239 --> 00:37:02,439
Speaker 2: you saw the adjustment made By, tennessee AND i believe

716
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:05,080
Speaker 2: we're gonna see it By. Indianapolis that he does have.

717
00:37:05,200 --> 00:37:08,120
Speaker 2: Weaknesses you can attack and or frustrate, him and there's

718
00:37:08,160 --> 00:37:11,400
Speaker 2: things you're gonna. Exploit BUT i get your hesitation, here,

719
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:12,640
Speaker 2: Right it's it's just a.

720
00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:14,239
Speaker 1: Number we missed the best of the number.

721
00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 2: Here that's that's. Fair like we if it was two

722
00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:19,759
Speaker 2: and a, half obviously be much more. Confident and the,

723
00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:22,880
Speaker 2: three LIKE i said On sunday, night you know that

724
00:37:23,000 --> 00:37:24,360
Speaker 2: was three at Hard rock there was three and a

725
00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:26,759
Speaker 2: half all Over and that's my whole point was, like

726
00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:29,359
Speaker 2: this is gonna have to come. Down there's no way

727
00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:32,040
Speaker 2: that professionals come in on The broncos at minus. Three

728
00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:36,520
Speaker 2: chad just told you they've been hitting This bronco side

729
00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:38,479
Speaker 2: at the minus one and a. Half they've been hitting

730
00:37:38,480 --> 00:37:41,800
Speaker 2: it at the. Two now they've seen. That you, know

731
00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:45,440
Speaker 2: it's it's the public, side This bronco. Side so the

732
00:37:45,520 --> 00:37:48,440
Speaker 2: real professional, money the heavy, money has put this now

733
00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:49,960
Speaker 2: one and a. Half AND i agree with, you it's

734
00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:53,480
Speaker 2: we don't have to force it in. THERE i do like.

735
00:37:53,600 --> 00:37:55,680
Speaker 2: THIS i do like This colt, side and LIKE i

736
00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:58,279
Speaker 2: am bett into, It but Like chad, Said i'm betting

737
00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:00,960
Speaker 2: at better number than, This So i'm not gonna stamp

738
00:38:01,040 --> 00:38:02,319
Speaker 2: my feet here and be like you have to take

739
00:38:02,360 --> 00:38:04,719
Speaker 2: this one and a. Half but it's, like, MAN i

740
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:09,000
Speaker 2: just have major questions about That broncos, team AND i

741
00:38:09,080 --> 00:38:11,560
Speaker 2: think they got very lucky last week that they did

742
00:38:11,640 --> 00:38:15,359
Speaker 2: face our rookie quarterback on that defensive side because he had.

743
00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:18,080
Speaker 2: WINDOWS i don't know how great that run defense is

744
00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:21,600
Speaker 2: gonna be, Either like you, Know, pollard that fumble just

745
00:38:21,680 --> 00:38:24,279
Speaker 2: a total killer of a drive for That tennessee. TEAM

746
00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:27,239
Speaker 2: i just can't See taylor putting them that bad of a, spot.

747
00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:29,040
Speaker 2: RIGHT i feel like that last FUMBOT i really remember

748
00:38:29,080 --> 00:38:31,040
Speaker 2: if his was the one that cost me And chat

749
00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:33,880
Speaker 2: an insane amount of, money him dropping it right before

750
00:38:33,920 --> 00:38:36,239
Speaker 2: he was scrolled in for a touchdown AGAINST i believe

751
00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:38,799
Speaker 2: this same Exact broncos. Team SO i think last time they,

752
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:40,719
Speaker 2: played they were about to go, up, like what was,

753
00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:44,279
Speaker 2: It chad twenty one or twenty to? Three he drops that.

754
00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:47,000
Speaker 2: BALL i don't think they score another points This colts,

755
00:38:47,040 --> 00:38:48,480
Speaker 2: Team so that's to, me it's something has to be

756
00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:51,600
Speaker 2: on their mind as. Well and, yeah if it's two

757
00:38:51,640 --> 00:38:54,200
Speaker 2: and a half in your, Contest i'm gonna be. Tempted

758
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:55,960
Speaker 2: i'll see if it isn't ours to Make chat play

759
00:38:55,960 --> 00:38:58,200
Speaker 2: it On, sunday you'll have to check it, out tune

760
00:38:58,239 --> 00:38:59,600
Speaker 2: in and. See but as you say it right, now

761
00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:01,200
Speaker 2: one and a, half if you want to bet, IT

762
00:39:01,440 --> 00:39:03,560
Speaker 2: i don't hate the. Number i'm still going to take.

763
00:39:03,560 --> 00:39:05,920
Speaker 2: It most LIKELY i Just i'm going to try to

764
00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:07,320
Speaker 2: be patient on this one as, well and hope we

765
00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:09,440
Speaker 2: get back to that key number of, two just because

766
00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:12,359
Speaker 2: there are some pros on That denver side that could

767
00:39:12,600 --> 00:39:14,000
Speaker 2: your book bump this back up to.

768
00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 1: Two we got to talk about The chiefs and The

769
00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:22,400
Speaker 1: eagles because you mentioned it off the. Top there is

770
00:39:22,440 --> 00:39:26,680
Speaker 1: a very clear divide, here and this line has moved

771
00:39:26,719 --> 00:39:30,680
Speaker 1: a full three points since we first discussed it On sunday.

772
00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:33,080
Speaker 1: Night you Leaned eagles when they were one and a

773
00:39:33,120 --> 00:39:38,080
Speaker 1: half point. Dogs everyone is piling on this. Ship how

774
00:39:38,200 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 1: far is too far to now think that The chiefs

775
00:39:42,200 --> 00:39:47,640
Speaker 1: are plus one and a half point dogs and we

776
00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:53,360
Speaker 1: still want to bet The. Eagles, simon this is the

777
00:39:53,440 --> 00:39:56,919
Speaker 1: Show sharper. Square it feels to me like the sharp

778
00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:59,239
Speaker 1: side is The, chiefs and yet you want to Be

779
00:40:00,840 --> 00:40:06,960
Speaker 1: Quentin tarantino square on The.

780
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:09,920
Speaker 2: EAGLES i KNOW i picked my. SPOTS i picked my.

781
00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:12,800
Speaker 2: Spots i'm thinking of going square here At. Chad i'm

782
00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:14,359
Speaker 2: pretty square BECAUSE.

783
00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:16,080
Speaker 1: I break it down from it, because like to, me

784
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:18,719
Speaker 1: this is about the number and about the. Flip AND

785
00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:23,760
Speaker 1: i know The eagles right now probably have more talent

786
00:40:23,920 --> 00:40:27,920
Speaker 1: on their. Roster but can we not, like do we

787
00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:32,600
Speaker 1: have such sort of recency bias that we're forgetting It's

788
00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:36,680
Speaker 1: Patrick mahomes and it's Still Chris, jones and it's Still

789
00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:39,799
Speaker 1: Andy reid and it's Still Steve spagnolo and it's still

790
00:40:39,840 --> 00:40:42,520
Speaker 1: The chiefs at, home and, like it's not like this

791
00:40:42,640 --> 00:40:44,160
Speaker 1: team isn't still a Super bowl.

792
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:49,480
Speaker 2: Contender, no but we've seen that we got burned by

793
00:40:49,520 --> 00:40:53,120
Speaker 2: that E zac thinking in The Super. Bowl and it's

794
00:40:54,080 --> 00:40:57,719
Speaker 2: my wholest perspective of this is this number is What

795
00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:00,319
Speaker 2: chad just. Mentioned it's the public reception of The chiefs

796
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:03,600
Speaker 2: team of years. Gone and you're the guy that just

797
00:41:03,640 --> 00:41:06,280
Speaker 2: bangs the table about every year teams are, different aren't?

798
00:41:06,280 --> 00:41:07,440
Speaker 2: You isn't? That aren't you that?

799
00:41:07,560 --> 00:41:10,359
Speaker 1: Guy SO i don't try to throw my words back

800
00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:10,799
Speaker 1: in MIND i.

801
00:41:10,840 --> 00:41:13,080
Speaker 2: Have to you say these. Things i'm, like store that

802
00:41:13,160 --> 00:41:14,520
Speaker 2: away for later because he will trip.

803
00:41:14,680 --> 00:41:17,120
Speaker 1: Up don't point out my failings to.

804
00:41:17,239 --> 00:41:21,320
Speaker 2: Me uh, YEAH i JUST i can't get over this.

805
00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:25,719
Speaker 2: Number and my only thought process of it, is, well you,

806
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:30,040
Speaker 2: Know eagles extended, rest maybe come out. Slow we still

807
00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:32,920
Speaker 2: have questions about their, offense and you, know some of

808
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:36,720
Speaker 2: their defensive pieces they. Missed but it's Like the biggest

809
00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:38,800
Speaker 2: thing we're talking over Is Jalen. Carter that's WHY i

810
00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 2: wasn't banging the table BECAUSE i was in my mind,

811
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:44,120
Speaker 2: thinking this is a Suspended Jalen carter. Line that's why

812
00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:45,719
Speaker 2: The eagles to me opened at plus one and a

813
00:41:45,760 --> 00:41:47,880
Speaker 2: half as a, dog, right that felt to me like

814
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:50,719
Speaker 2: A Jalen carter. Line, yeah BECAUSE i in my in my,

815
00:41:50,840 --> 00:41:54,280
Speaker 2: MIND i couldn't think what they just lost their number

816
00:41:54,320 --> 00:41:57,800
Speaker 2: one receiver and they're already down their number one, receiver

817
00:41:58,000 --> 00:42:00,440
Speaker 2: so now they're down their number, one number. Two he's

818
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:03,080
Speaker 2: throwing To Hollywood brown And Juju Smith schuster here and

819
00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:06,319
Speaker 2: a thirty, five thirty six year Old Travis. Kelcey it's,

820
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:09,160
Speaker 2: like that's what was so amazing That chargers, game where

821
00:42:09,200 --> 00:42:12,359
Speaker 2: it's Like mahomes to me is just you're crazy if

822
00:42:12,360 --> 00:42:14,480
Speaker 2: you don't think this guy's one of the best quarterbacks

823
00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:16,640
Speaker 2: or the best quarterback in. Football like the plays he

824
00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:19,759
Speaker 2: makes with a town around, him he's just he's so

825
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:23,759
Speaker 2: incredible and that, would to, me would be the magic Of.

826
00:42:23,840 --> 00:42:25,600
Speaker 2: Mahomes and while you're taking him in the, spot you're

827
00:42:25,640 --> 00:42:30,160
Speaker 2: betting on past success on these, numbers and it's pretty

828
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:31,759
Speaker 2: easy to look it. Up he's only been a dog

829
00:42:31,840 --> 00:42:34,279
Speaker 2: one other time this exact, spot so regular season at

830
00:42:34,320 --> 00:42:37,000
Speaker 2: home as an underdog two and a half point dog

831
00:42:37,080 --> 00:42:39,799
Speaker 2: to The Buffalo. Bills he lost twenty four to. Twenty

832
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:43,480
Speaker 2: so in my, mind a lot of stuff we're talking,

833
00:42:43,520 --> 00:42:47,520
Speaker 2: about it's been him on the road and. Discredited that's

834
00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:49,840
Speaker 2: why he was a. Dog and he shows up on

835
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:52,640
Speaker 2: the road of those exact spots to get him as

836
00:42:52,640 --> 00:42:56,560
Speaker 2: a dog at, home this other team must be, really really,

837
00:42:56,680 --> 00:42:59,040
Speaker 2: good like to the books to make that. Number it

838
00:42:59,200 --> 00:43:01,960
Speaker 2: is so that that's when where if the books did

839
00:43:02,120 --> 00:43:04,520
Speaker 2: make it three three and a, half which is closer

840
00:43:04,560 --> 00:43:06,480
Speaker 2: to WHAT i think it should, BE i think they

841
00:43:06,480 --> 00:43:09,320
Speaker 2: would be showing their hand where it's like if you

842
00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:11,560
Speaker 2: can't tell me The eagles from That Super bowl haven't

843
00:43:12,480 --> 00:43:15,920
Speaker 2: either flatlined or improved Or This chiefs team as is

844
00:43:16,080 --> 00:43:19,120
Speaker 2: feels like a step, down especially a team that we've

845
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:21,760
Speaker 2: all talked about. It they went to three Straight Super.

846
00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:24,600
Speaker 2: Bowls this, team mainly the, core that's a lot of

847
00:43:24,680 --> 00:43:28,600
Speaker 2: miles on these, guys and they've always treated these early

848
00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:31,480
Speaker 2: seasons not as a. Preseason. Right they do win and

849
00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:34,040
Speaker 2: cover early in the, season they do win, games but we've.

850
00:43:34,040 --> 00:43:36,719
Speaker 2: Seen they don't really turn it on Till december And.

851
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:39,160
Speaker 2: January that's just how The chiefs have been these last

852
00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:41,560
Speaker 2: couple of. Years so, YEAH i get. It they're going

853
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:43,920
Speaker 2: to be revenge, spot you, Know Super bowl all that.

854
00:43:44,080 --> 00:43:47,160
Speaker 2: STUFF i just think it's like the big guy putting

855
00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:49,080
Speaker 2: his hand in the little kid's. Forehead they just they

856
00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:51,880
Speaker 2: can't hit This eagles, team, Right they just this how

857
00:43:51,960 --> 00:43:55,239
Speaker 2: he built this team to beat The chiefs like that

858
00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:57,000
Speaker 2: was his one goal of. Mine he didn't beat. It

859
00:43:57,239 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 2: he didn't build this team for ANYONE. Nfc The. Eagles

860
00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:01,560
Speaker 2: i've never looked at is that anyone in THE nfc

861
00:44:01,719 --> 00:44:04,280
Speaker 2: is a. Problem SO i just look at this. Matchup

862
00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:08,160
Speaker 2: you're getting a fired Up carter in this. Spot, Defensively

863
00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:11,359
Speaker 2: eagles got an insane amount of pressure On deck. Right

864
00:44:11,440 --> 00:44:14,480
Speaker 2: they were finger lengths away from getting strip sacks and

865
00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:16,960
Speaker 2: getting the ball out of his. Hands Without, carter this

866
00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:19,680
Speaker 2: is a arguably a worse offensive line than what The

867
00:44:19,760 --> 00:44:22,920
Speaker 2: Dallas cowboys had last. Week like we've, seen even That

868
00:44:23,120 --> 00:44:29,000
Speaker 2: charters defense had major pressure On. Mahomes so, yeah it's

869
00:44:29,040 --> 00:44:30,480
Speaker 2: all about the number year for. ME i know it's

870
00:44:30,520 --> 00:44:33,359
Speaker 2: the public, side BUT i think it's the book give

871
00:44:33,440 --> 00:44:35,319
Speaker 2: me too much respect, professional but there's giving too much

872
00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:38,279
Speaker 2: spect For Mahomes And i'm definitely looking forward to eating

873
00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:41,520
Speaker 2: these words Comes sunday BECAUSE i know just about Every

874
00:44:41,560 --> 00:44:43,719
Speaker 2: probauct talk to they are lining up to take This chief.

875
00:44:43,760 --> 00:44:46,759
Speaker 2: SIDE i just think they're undervaluing This eagles team and

876
00:44:47,560 --> 00:44:51,239
Speaker 2: exactly what the spot is where it's, like it's just

877
00:44:51,360 --> 00:44:53,880
Speaker 2: not they don't have the. Pieces if It's worthy And

878
00:44:54,000 --> 00:44:57,719
Speaker 2: rice With mahomes here and it's minus, one honestly on The,

879
00:44:57,800 --> 00:45:00,279
Speaker 2: CHIEFS i would be very tempted to take. That it's, Like,

880
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:03,040
Speaker 2: OKAY i can see them keeping up and putting pressure

881
00:45:03,040 --> 00:45:05,239
Speaker 2: on The eagles number two, corner who's attack in the

882
00:45:05,239 --> 00:45:07,279
Speaker 2: ego's biggest, weakness the number two corner on This chiefs.

883
00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:09,839
Speaker 2: TEAM i, mean you have a name CHAT i. Can't

884
00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:12,239
Speaker 2: there's nothing that scares me on the chief. Side so

885
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:17,160
Speaker 2: it's just it's very, public it's very. Chalky i'm gonna

886
00:45:17,200 --> 00:45:19,200
Speaker 2: maybe force us one in on us And i'll own

887
00:45:19,239 --> 00:45:21,440
Speaker 2: it BECAUSE i Know chad's hesitant about. It BUT i

888
00:45:21,640 --> 00:45:23,240
Speaker 2: just love the way this line's up for This eagles.

889
00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:26,279
Speaker 1: TEAM i was just gonna, SAY i can't deny you your.

890
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:32,040
Speaker 1: Passion you feel so strongly about, It we're of course

891
00:45:32,120 --> 00:45:35,040
Speaker 1: gonna put this. In you're of course gonna own. It

892
00:45:35,719 --> 00:45:37,840
Speaker 1: it's of course gonna be one of our five favorite,

893
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:41,320
Speaker 1: picks and we're gonna ride or day ride Or di

894
00:45:41,520 --> 00:45:45,040
Speaker 1: with His eagles. Team in, Fact i'm making a change right.

895
00:45:45,080 --> 00:45:48,920
Speaker 1: Now i'm making an executive. Change this is our rock

896
00:45:49,000 --> 00:45:51,800
Speaker 1: and a Hard, place Hard rock better than week because

897
00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:55,800
Speaker 1: we will be so against what the conventional wisdom is

898
00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:58,120
Speaker 1: in terms of betting on The chiefs as. Dogs we

899
00:45:58,200 --> 00:46:00,520
Speaker 1: will be so against the wise guys on this. GAME

900
00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:03,319
Speaker 1: i am. Transitioning this is going to be Our rock

901
00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:04,839
Speaker 1: and A Hard, place Hard rock bet of the. Week

902
00:46:04,840 --> 00:46:06,960
Speaker 1: we're taking The eagles minus one and a. Half it's

903
00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:10,160
Speaker 1: going to be one of our favorite. Five Boom locket.

904
00:46:10,440 --> 00:46:13,359
Speaker 2: Done Hert rock loves it just more, Promo.

905
00:46:13,520 --> 00:46:18,120
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906
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938
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941
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942
00:48:39,600 --> 00:48:47,399
Speaker 1: jaia all, Right simon On, tuesday Your simon, says don't

943
00:48:47,400 --> 00:48:49,680
Speaker 1: forget My chad Loves love With seattle plus. Three your

944
00:48:49,719 --> 00:48:53,279
Speaker 1: assignment says at the time Was minnesota minus four and a.

945
00:48:53,320 --> 00:48:58,800
Speaker 1: Half it has come, down and you intimated that you

946
00:48:59,000 --> 00:49:01,520
Speaker 1: thought it was going to Be Drake london not. Playing

947
00:49:01,640 --> 00:49:03,720
Speaker 1: he thought the line was gonna go. Up it actually

948
00:49:03,800 --> 00:49:05,160
Speaker 1: did move up to five and a half in some.

949
00:49:05,280 --> 00:49:10,279
Speaker 1: Spots you, know after there was some feeling That Drake

950
00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:13,279
Speaker 1: london was gonna, play but it's been a steady drift

951
00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:16,800
Speaker 1: down where down to three and a Half wednesday, afternoon

952
00:49:16,920 --> 00:49:19,200
Speaker 1: now it's at. Three after the news came out that

953
00:49:19,320 --> 00:49:22,200
Speaker 1: not Just Drake london But Darnel mooney. Practiced they're both

954
00:49:22,280 --> 00:49:25,440
Speaker 1: expected to play when they go to play At. MINNESOTA

955
00:49:26,719 --> 00:49:31,080
Speaker 1: a lot of pros Liking atlanta, ALSO i think because

956
00:49:32,520 --> 00:49:36,080
Speaker 1: they look at That Tampa bay game and, think, oh

957
00:49:36,280 --> 00:49:38,800
Speaker 1: WHEN i break this, Down atlanta should have won that,

958
00:49:38,920 --> 00:49:43,640
Speaker 1: game like a touchdown pass was missed Because Darnol mooney

959
00:49:43,719 --> 00:49:45,719
Speaker 1: wasn't on the field as replacement couldn't make the. Play

960
00:49:46,280 --> 00:49:53,600
Speaker 1: SO i think that there's also a huge difference in emotional.

961
00:49:53,680 --> 00:49:58,399
Speaker 1: SWINGS i don't Like atlanta here now BECAUSE i think

962
00:49:58,480 --> 00:50:02,520
Speaker 1: all the value is, gone But i'm not leaning Towards

963
00:50:02,560 --> 00:50:05,600
Speaker 1: minnesota on this. One it doesn't feel like a final

964
00:50:05,640 --> 00:50:05,960
Speaker 1: five to.

965
00:50:06,040 --> 00:50:08,760
Speaker 2: Me it's too. BAD i was. HOPING i was hoping

966
00:50:08,840 --> 00:50:12,399
Speaker 2: you were gonna Love, atlanta but this is Just i'm.

967
00:50:12,480 --> 00:50:14,800
Speaker 2: Dugging i'll admitted it right. AWAY i am dug in

968
00:50:14,840 --> 00:50:18,800
Speaker 2: AND i do love This viking, side but it's brutal

969
00:50:18,840 --> 00:50:20,800
Speaker 2: where it's LIKE i was between that game and The.

970
00:50:20,880 --> 00:50:23,200
Speaker 2: Saints it feels like for my Early simon says it

971
00:50:23,360 --> 00:50:26,520
Speaker 2: was all based on. Injury it's LIKE i THOUGHT i

972
00:50:26,600 --> 00:50:28,080
Speaker 2: was more leaning into a, party was just going to

973
00:50:28,160 --> 00:50:31,120
Speaker 2: force it him play and Where Drake london was gonna

974
00:50:31,160 --> 00:50:33,280
Speaker 2: miss because the INFORMATION i got that with his, shoulder

975
00:50:33,600 --> 00:50:35,800
Speaker 2: he basically apparently he could put his arm above his,

976
00:50:35,880 --> 00:50:38,759
Speaker 2: head which WHEN i heard that huge. Deal first CLIP

977
00:50:38,800 --> 00:50:41,520
Speaker 2: i see yesterday it's him catching the, ball reaching both

978
00:50:41,560 --> 00:50:43,680
Speaker 2: his arms way above his, head snacking the ball out of,

979
00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:45,080
Speaker 2: there and it was just, like oh my, GOD i

980
00:50:45,160 --> 00:50:47,920
Speaker 2: GOT i Got. God so that's the tough part of this.

981
00:50:48,040 --> 00:50:52,080
Speaker 2: Business it's a lot of. Hearsay obviously WISH i had

982
00:50:52,120 --> 00:50:53,759
Speaker 2: just done The saints right that four and a half

983
00:50:53,920 --> 00:50:56,640
Speaker 2: now looking like a genius bet because it's down to

984
00:50:56,719 --> 00:50:59,239
Speaker 2: three in That saints game or this. Matchup it's gone

985
00:50:59,280 --> 00:51:02,120
Speaker 2: against me and most Pros i've talked to they like

986
00:51:02,719 --> 00:51:04,839
Speaker 2: This atlanta. TEAM i think they view What chad said

987
00:51:05,719 --> 00:51:08,799
Speaker 2: penis when you really dive into, numbers he's actually pretty

988
00:51:08,840 --> 00:51:11,000
Speaker 2: good and he played pretty well even under pressure in that,

989
00:51:11,120 --> 00:51:13,279
Speaker 2: game like even moved off the, spot played pretty. Well

990
00:51:14,400 --> 00:51:20,040
Speaker 2: my pushback That Tampa dee isn't that? Good they're banged

991
00:51:20,120 --> 00:51:22,800
Speaker 2: up as. Well like is you Know? VITAVE i know

992
00:51:22,840 --> 00:51:25,279
Speaker 2: he played in the. Game he did some thing as.

993
00:51:25,320 --> 00:51:27,120
Speaker 2: Well right, again into the run, stuff they weren't getting

994
00:51:27,120 --> 00:51:30,200
Speaker 2: tons of pressure up the, middle which we've seen in.

995
00:51:30,320 --> 00:51:32,239
Speaker 2: College that was what panic weakness, was, RIGHT i was

996
00:51:32,280 --> 00:51:35,719
Speaker 2: getting the push up the. Middle LIKE i, said this

997
00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:38,400
Speaker 2: is A flora's. Defense like if you go Through penix's,

998
00:51:38,440 --> 00:51:41,600
Speaker 2: career at his early, career he has put up numbers

999
00:51:41,600 --> 00:51:44,120
Speaker 2: and played really. WELL i will give them credit for. That,

1000
00:51:44,840 --> 00:51:46,880
Speaker 2: uh but you look at the teams he's. Face this

1001
00:51:47,040 --> 00:51:49,239
Speaker 2: is going to be the toughest defensive test for him by.

1002
00:51:49,320 --> 00:51:52,719
Speaker 2: Far and you, know as much STUFF i want to

1003
00:51:53,080 --> 00:51:55,440
Speaker 2: give crap To Kila williams about he had no run.

1004
00:51:55,520 --> 00:51:57,640
Speaker 2: Game The bears had no run. Game that's What flora.

1005
00:51:57,719 --> 00:51:59,600
Speaker 2: Is he had one game plan that was a takeaway

1006
00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:02,800
Speaker 2: The bears run game and Make caleb beat. Them caleb

1007
00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:04,960
Speaker 2: beat them with his. Legs that was something he was

1008
00:52:05,040 --> 00:52:08,160
Speaker 2: not prepared. For, Right like they did take away his

1009
00:52:08,280 --> 00:52:10,799
Speaker 2: passes downfield and different things like, That but the game

1010
00:52:10,880 --> 00:52:13,640
Speaker 2: changer of that game was by Far caleb's. Legs Can

1011
00:52:13,880 --> 00:52:17,040
Speaker 2: pennix do that against His vikings? DEFENSE i don't, Know

1012
00:52:17,239 --> 00:52:20,600
Speaker 2: LIKE i know you had that rushing touchdown Against, tampa

1013
00:52:20,680 --> 00:52:23,920
Speaker 2: BUT i just Think caleb's a little bit more. Athletic

1014
00:52:24,000 --> 00:52:26,359
Speaker 2: and you, know this is at a point now WHERE

1015
00:52:26,400 --> 00:52:28,320
Speaker 2: i love, it like it's it's good value to, me

1016
00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:31,680
Speaker 2: especially at minus three This vikings. Team And i'm gonna

1017
00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:34,040
Speaker 2: learn pretty quick If i'm over value IN jj McCarthy

1018
00:52:34,080 --> 00:52:36,080
Speaker 2: and giving him too, much too much credit in mind,

1019
00:52:36,120 --> 00:52:39,120
Speaker 2: model giving him too many. Points but you, KNOW i

1020
00:52:39,360 --> 00:52:41,399
Speaker 2: like this, one AND i was hoping you were gonna

1021
00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:44,640
Speaker 2: Like atlanta Because i'm almost positive they're going to, be you,

1022
00:52:44,719 --> 00:52:46,440
Speaker 2: know five and a half four and a half in our.

1023
00:52:46,520 --> 00:52:48,480
Speaker 2: Contest AND i was, like all, right perfect, Chawt we'll

1024
00:52:48,520 --> 00:52:51,120
Speaker 2: take this. Game we, lose And i'm just gonna hit

1025
00:52:51,160 --> 00:52:52,360
Speaker 2: him over the head with a coconut and be LIKE

1026
00:52:52,440 --> 00:52:54,399
Speaker 2: i told YOU i had this number at. Six i've

1027
00:52:54,440 --> 00:52:56,160
Speaker 2: moved it down, though because now That Drake linon is,

1028
00:52:56,200 --> 00:52:57,399
Speaker 2: HEALTHY i do have it at four and a. Half

1029
00:52:57,480 --> 00:53:00,319
Speaker 2: so STILL i have a good value if you want

1030
00:53:00,360 --> 00:53:03,040
Speaker 2: to bet The vikings right. Now AND i like the

1031
00:53:03,080 --> 00:53:07,520
Speaker 2: spot once, again PROS i think the, Public i'm almost,

1032
00:53:07,520 --> 00:53:09,320
Speaker 2: Pops they're all going to line up on This atlanta

1033
00:53:09,400 --> 00:53:14,880
Speaker 2: side and take this road dog AND i just being

1034
00:53:14,880 --> 00:53:17,680
Speaker 2: a home favorite On sunday night and you're with the.

1035
00:53:17,760 --> 00:53:20,520
Speaker 2: Book to, me it's been a good spot to be

1036
00:53:20,600 --> 00:53:23,600
Speaker 2: in long term for. Me so that's really the basis of.

1037
00:53:23,640 --> 00:53:26,719
Speaker 2: It like there's trends to that point to people lik In,

1038
00:53:26,800 --> 00:53:30,880
Speaker 2: atlanta AND i love, trends but, HERE i JUST i

1039
00:53:30,960 --> 00:53:32,600
Speaker 2: can't get over this. NUMBER i just can't believe the

1040
00:53:32,680 --> 00:53:34,800
Speaker 2: value on this number of This vikings. Team that the

1041
00:53:34,920 --> 00:53:38,439
Speaker 2: question was the, quarterback if the quarterback can put sustainable drives.

1042
00:53:38,440 --> 00:53:40,879
Speaker 2: TOGETHER i know it's only one, quarter BUT i think

1043
00:53:40,920 --> 00:53:43,120
Speaker 2: they found. Something he found some confidence there that's going

1044
00:53:43,160 --> 00:53:44,800
Speaker 2: to carry them to this. Season and we talk all the,

1045
00:53:44,920 --> 00:53:47,560
Speaker 2: TIME i mean, chat we talked before the. SEASON i

1046
00:53:47,640 --> 00:53:50,680
Speaker 2: didn't see WHAT JJ i did have other professional betters tell, Me,

1047
00:53:51,200 --> 00:53:54,120
Speaker 2: hey this kid WHEN i watched their, tape WHEN i

1048
00:53:54,160 --> 00:53:57,160
Speaker 2: watched their practice, film everything about, them it's not a

1049
00:53:57,239 --> 00:53:59,240
Speaker 2: dumb bet eighty to one for him to BE. Mvp

1050
00:53:59,440 --> 00:54:01,080
Speaker 2: AND i was just it's, like oh my, GOD i

1051
00:54:01,239 --> 00:54:04,279
Speaker 2: can't see, It LIKE i just can't see it because,

1052
00:54:04,320 --> 00:54:06,759
Speaker 2: again he didn't play all last year and it's a

1053
00:54:06,880 --> 00:54:08,760
Speaker 2: kid that just did now throw the ball in college

1054
00:54:08,840 --> 00:54:10,520
Speaker 2: like there had to be a Reason hornball was not

1055
00:54:10,640 --> 00:54:12,320
Speaker 2: let him throw. It and at the end of the

1056
00:54:12,400 --> 00:54:15,279
Speaker 2: day we might learn it's, just you, know that's What

1057
00:54:15,440 --> 00:54:17,759
Speaker 2: michigan's offense. Was they were just our run first, team

1058
00:54:17,840 --> 00:54:20,120
Speaker 2: protect the. Ball that was his, job and that's how they.

1059
00:54:20,200 --> 00:54:22,560
Speaker 2: Won and we saw in that first game against The bear.

1060
00:54:22,600 --> 00:54:24,960
Speaker 2: SHAT i mean you saw. It he can sling it

1061
00:54:25,120 --> 00:54:27,239
Speaker 2: like that kid can throw the ball and fit into some.

1062
00:54:27,360 --> 00:54:30,600
Speaker 2: Windows so, YEAH i can't get over the fact that

1063
00:54:30,640 --> 00:54:33,680
Speaker 2: This atlanta team feels incredibly overrated and overvalued right, now

1064
00:54:33,760 --> 00:54:36,840
Speaker 2: and somehow after that, win This vikings team is somehow

1065
00:54:36,880 --> 00:54:39,839
Speaker 2: becoming undervalued and it's just playing the number minus. THREE

1066
00:54:40,000 --> 00:54:40,840
Speaker 2: i got to take it at this.

1067
00:54:40,960 --> 00:54:44,000
Speaker 1: Value, YEAH i probably lean The vikings at minus. THREE

1068
00:54:45,400 --> 00:54:47,400
Speaker 1: i don't think it'll be one of our five favorite.

1069
00:54:47,440 --> 00:54:51,000
Speaker 1: Bats i'm glad you can't shame me about The. Falcons

1070
00:54:51,080 --> 00:54:54,160
Speaker 1: when it comes TO jj, McCarthy i'm reminded of the

1071
00:54:54,280 --> 00:54:58,879
Speaker 1: fact that the old, joke only one person could Keep

1072
00:54:59,360 --> 00:55:04,000
Speaker 1: Michael jordan and under twenty points a. Game it Was Dean.

1073
00:55:04,080 --> 00:55:09,280
Speaker 1: Smith do you get? It you know you're not. Laughing

1074
00:55:10,960 --> 00:55:16,440
Speaker 1: Jim harbaugh is The Dean. SMITH jj McCarthy is the

1075
00:55:16,560 --> 00:55:20,480
Speaker 1: guy being held? Back is it too? Old is the

1076
00:55:20,560 --> 00:55:20,920
Speaker 1: joke too?

1077
00:55:20,960 --> 00:55:25,080
Speaker 2: OLD i think it's too. Old there might be a

1078
00:55:25,120 --> 00:55:27,279
Speaker 2: guy there laughs say you Never, NO i just was

1079
00:55:27,360 --> 00:55:27,560
Speaker 2: not that.

1080
00:55:27,680 --> 00:55:31,359
Speaker 1: Guy you never. Know it just wasn't. You all, right

1081
00:55:32,320 --> 00:55:35,480
Speaker 1: you do get to shame me About. MIAMI i have not.

1082
00:55:35,680 --> 00:55:38,960
Speaker 1: LISTENED i have not talked About. MIAMI i have not

1083
00:55:39,360 --> 00:55:42,279
Speaker 1: said we need to Put miami. IN i have been Off.

1084
00:55:42,360 --> 00:55:45,160
Speaker 1: MIAMI i could not cash out of the. BET i.

1085
00:55:45,280 --> 00:55:49,480
Speaker 1: Apologize but if you feel the need to shame, me

1086
00:55:50,320 --> 00:55:55,360
Speaker 1: go ahead and shame me about The Miami. Dolphins but

1087
00:55:55,480 --> 00:55:57,560
Speaker 1: you're not shaming me BECAUSE i agree with everything you're.

1088
00:55:57,560 --> 00:56:01,040
Speaker 1: Saying i'm preemptively not letting you shame.

1089
00:56:01,120 --> 00:56:03,000
Speaker 2: Me. WELL i just want to talk if we might

1090
00:56:03,040 --> 00:56:05,320
Speaker 2: have to try to get The, patriots and are we

1091
00:56:05,440 --> 00:56:08,280
Speaker 2: missing out on opportunities? HERE i think let me seem

1092
00:56:08,320 --> 00:56:13,279
Speaker 2: and my hesitation is always going to Be i'm not

1093
00:56:13,360 --> 00:56:15,680
Speaker 2: shy about. It i'm A Drake may, hater LIKE i

1094
00:56:16,560 --> 00:56:19,600
Speaker 2: get the hyped Around Drake. May but you'd have these

1095
00:56:19,640 --> 00:56:22,680
Speaker 2: people on media talking about how much smarter they are

1096
00:56:23,000 --> 00:56:25,320
Speaker 2: than all of, us and how Great Drake may is

1097
00:56:25,360 --> 00:56:27,839
Speaker 2: and how we just don't see what they, see and it's.

1098
00:56:27,880 --> 00:56:31,279
Speaker 2: Tiresome it's, like no one doubted this guy having a

1099
00:56:31,320 --> 00:56:33,040
Speaker 2: big arm in him being able to run the ball

1100
00:56:33,160 --> 00:56:36,880
Speaker 2: like he's, athletic but it's, like is he? Consistent and

1101
00:56:37,480 --> 00:56:39,480
Speaker 2: the thing, is we just blame the, weapons, right you

1102
00:56:39,520 --> 00:56:42,200
Speaker 2: blame the, coaching you blame the offensive line joins me

1103
00:56:42,320 --> 00:56:46,600
Speaker 2: things to blame and we've just in THE. Nfl you,

1104
00:56:46,680 --> 00:56:49,640
Speaker 2: know it takes a little, bit. Right that's why With

1105
00:56:49,800 --> 00:56:51,000
Speaker 2: Drake MAY i don't want to be too hard on

1106
00:56:51,120 --> 00:56:52,719
Speaker 2: BECAUSE i know it takes a little. Bit but it's

1107
00:56:52,840 --> 00:56:56,000
Speaker 2: like to still think he's better Than Jayden, Daniels what

1108
00:56:56,120 --> 00:56:58,320
Speaker 2: are we doing? Here like that's such an as andine

1109
00:56:59,040 --> 00:57:01,120
Speaker 2: thing to try to project doubt heading of this. Season

1110
00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:04,080
Speaker 2: and you, know looking at this, ONE i really wanted

1111
00:57:04,080 --> 00:57:05,840
Speaker 2: to dive into the trends here BECAUSE i was just,

1112
00:57:05,920 --> 00:57:09,719
Speaker 2: thinking what CAN i even find On miami to Like

1113
00:57:09,840 --> 00:57:13,080
Speaker 2: miami and even give you EXACTLY i know exactly what it. Is,

1114
00:57:13,560 --> 00:57:16,640
Speaker 2: yeah don't Back miami, Here and oh but do.

1115
00:57:16,680 --> 00:57:18,560
Speaker 1: You want the trend the one thing that sort of.

1116
00:57:19,360 --> 00:57:21,560
Speaker 2: Flagged for me and the one you found you.

1117
00:57:21,640 --> 00:57:25,000
Speaker 1: Loved it's it's all about teams coming off a blowout

1118
00:57:25,040 --> 00:57:27,760
Speaker 1: they're up a twenty plus point, loss they're at, Home,

1119
00:57:28,360 --> 00:57:32,520
Speaker 1: like this is when you bet that team that looked incredibly,

1120
00:57:32,640 --> 00:57:36,880
Speaker 1: Bad and so that's what made me immediately bet. THEM

1121
00:57:36,920 --> 00:57:40,520
Speaker 1: i didn't think, about you, know offensive line. ISSUES i

1122
00:57:40,520 --> 00:57:44,080
Speaker 1: didn't think about secondary. Issues this to me was purely

1123
00:57:44,200 --> 00:57:48,680
Speaker 1: a number trend. Play that was. It, LIKE i regret.

1124
00:57:48,760 --> 00:57:51,320
Speaker 1: IT i haven't bought out of. It Maybe i'll get

1125
00:57:51,400 --> 00:57:53,960
Speaker 1: lucky and it'll go my. Way and you, know like

1126
00:57:54,040 --> 00:57:57,800
Speaker 1: everything else in the, world when everything is anti anti,

1127
00:57:58,000 --> 00:58:02,720
Speaker 1: anti everybody is. Wrong BUT i don't love it enough

1128
00:58:02,760 --> 00:58:04,640
Speaker 1: to try to convince you the way you're trying to

1129
00:58:04,680 --> 00:58:07,280
Speaker 1: convince me on The eagles or maybe The vikings that

1130
00:58:07,360 --> 00:58:09,200
Speaker 1: it's going to be one of our five favorite. PLAYS

1131
00:58:10,120 --> 00:58:12,280
Speaker 1: i made the. Bet i'm sticking with it BECAUSE i

1132
00:58:12,320 --> 00:58:14,720
Speaker 1: can't get any value cashing. Out BUT i made the

1133
00:58:14,760 --> 00:58:18,560
Speaker 1: bet because they were blown, out and historically that, says

1134
00:58:19,040 --> 00:58:21,120
Speaker 1: immediately bet that, team that there's going to be too

1135
00:58:21,200 --> 00:58:25,480
Speaker 1: much value on. Them and, essentially the line has stayed

1136
00:58:25,520 --> 00:58:29,320
Speaker 1: exactly where it. Was it stayed where it was WHEN

1137
00:58:29,360 --> 00:58:31,040
Speaker 1: i got the best of the. Number it opened at

1138
00:58:31,080 --> 00:58:32,760
Speaker 1: one and a, half got to two and a. Half

1139
00:58:32,960 --> 00:58:36,320
Speaker 1: it's now back down to one and a. Half it hasn't,

1140
00:58:36,400 --> 00:58:38,680
Speaker 1: moved so NOTHING i can.

1141
00:58:38,720 --> 00:58:40,400
Speaker 2: DO i thought you're gonna give me a. TREND i

1142
00:58:40,400 --> 00:58:42,040
Speaker 2: don't know what that, was But i'll give you a

1143
00:58:42,080 --> 00:58:42,360
Speaker 2: team a.

1144
00:58:42,440 --> 00:58:44,360
Speaker 1: Train the trend is you back the TEAM i can't

1145
00:58:44,400 --> 00:58:46,400
Speaker 1: remember the exact. Number the trend is you back the

1146
00:58:46,440 --> 00:58:47,400
Speaker 1: team that's up a blowout.

1147
00:58:47,440 --> 00:58:49,960
Speaker 2: Loss teams in week one that lose by twenty one

1148
00:58:50,000 --> 00:58:52,760
Speaker 2: points or more than their. Favorite obviously in week. Two

1149
00:58:53,520 --> 00:58:57,040
Speaker 2: they're five twelve and two against the spread since two

1150
00:58:57,080 --> 00:58:59,840
Speaker 2: thousand and, five and they're zhe to three against this

1151
00:59:00,040 --> 00:59:04,080
Speaker 2: bread since twenty twenty. Two in this exact, SPOT i, have,

1152
00:59:04,800 --> 00:59:07,880
Speaker 2: Yeah so like, again that's a. Fade miami in the six,

1153
00:59:07,920 --> 00:59:11,520
Speaker 2: spot exact. Spot So Miami dolphins didn't score a single

1154
00:59:11,600 --> 00:59:15,440
Speaker 2: point in that first half against you KNOW O colts

1155
00:59:15,480 --> 00:59:18,920
Speaker 2: defense that we can agree they're not that, good like

1156
00:59:19,040 --> 00:59:21,160
Speaker 2: that was really on to, it like, too just can't

1157
00:59:21,160 --> 00:59:23,680
Speaker 2: stop turning the ball. Over but it's, like, okay it

1158
00:59:23,760 --> 00:59:25,480
Speaker 2: is one bad. Game maybe the next game they'll be.

1159
00:59:25,560 --> 00:59:27,600
Speaker 2: Better so, again no points in that first, half that

1160
00:59:27,720 --> 00:59:30,760
Speaker 2: same team that's had the. Favorite the next, week they're

1161
00:59:30,800 --> 00:59:33,360
Speaker 2: five and ten against the thread in this exact, spot

1162
00:59:33,560 --> 00:59:38,880
Speaker 2: and you know it's it's just bad For. Miami and

1163
00:59:38,960 --> 00:59:42,440
Speaker 2: when you see, that they're right tackle who's, bad and

1164
00:59:42,520 --> 00:59:45,320
Speaker 2: their right guard who's bad are out for this game

1165
00:59:45,960 --> 00:59:50,760
Speaker 2: and their backups are now In oh my, god it's you,

1166
00:59:50,880 --> 00:59:53,880
Speaker 2: Know Milon. Williams this is why you got him from The.

1167
00:59:53,960 --> 00:59:57,160
Speaker 2: Eagles if you're The, patriots you you have a guy

1168
00:59:57,280 --> 00:59:59,400
Speaker 2: that was giving problems At Geno smith last week and

1169
00:59:59,480 --> 01:00:03,840
Speaker 2: that offensive. Line how does he not dominate This miami offensive?

1170
01:00:03,840 --> 01:00:06,080
Speaker 2: Line and once again we've Seen. Tua he doesn't have

1171
01:00:06,240 --> 01:00:08,520
Speaker 2: time and you can cover his first. Read Like chad,

1172
01:00:08,600 --> 01:00:13,040
Speaker 2: said he's bad and he. Struggles And, tyreek we've talked

1173
01:00:13,080 --> 01:00:18,040
Speaker 2: football is this weird sport where if your whole mental

1174
01:00:18,920 --> 01:00:21,680
Speaker 2: aspect isn't, right you're just not. Right and it feels

1175
01:00:21,720 --> 01:00:23,680
Speaker 2: like two is. NOT i, Mean tyreek has not been

1176
01:00:23,760 --> 01:00:27,240
Speaker 2: right for two years now and everyone's seen that. Stat

1177
01:00:27,440 --> 01:00:30,320
Speaker 2: he's only he's only had one game where he's had

1178
01:00:30,320 --> 01:00:32,720
Speaker 2: to catch for over thirty yards and that was last

1179
01:00:32,760 --> 01:00:37,280
Speaker 2: year against The jaguars In week. One So tyreek has

1180
01:00:37,360 --> 01:00:39,320
Speaker 2: just been a. Disaster This miami team has been a.

1181
01:00:39,400 --> 01:00:43,360
Speaker 2: Disaster and if it Wasn't drake May i really would

1182
01:00:43,440 --> 01:00:47,320
Speaker 2: be just hammering this line because it's, like if you

1183
01:00:47,400 --> 01:00:50,160
Speaker 2: have a comparable quarterback year that doesn't turn the ball

1184
01:00:50,240 --> 01:00:52,800
Speaker 2: over and can move the ball semi down the, field

1185
01:00:53,960 --> 01:00:56,760
Speaker 2: this should be a very easy cover for This patriots

1186
01:00:56,800 --> 01:00:59,200
Speaker 2: team And brabell because they're just as desperate As. Miami

1187
01:00:59,240 --> 01:01:01,880
Speaker 2: they don't want to be owing. Either, yeah and you

1188
01:01:01,960 --> 01:01:04,640
Speaker 2: Know vrabel him bringing this whole person out of this.

1189
01:01:04,720 --> 01:01:06,680
Speaker 2: Team this is exact game where his personality for the

1190
01:01:06,680 --> 01:01:09,080
Speaker 2: team shoul show. Up right that that game against The

1191
01:01:09,160 --> 01:01:13,080
Speaker 2: raiders that we talked, about The Pete, carroll you, Know

1192
01:01:13,280 --> 01:01:15,240
Speaker 2: Gino smith. Combo we wanted to see what it was

1193
01:01:15,280 --> 01:01:17,720
Speaker 2: gonna be. Like we saw that that looked like a

1194
01:01:17,800 --> 01:01:20,320
Speaker 2: veteran team with a veteran coach and a veteran. Quarterback

1195
01:01:20,560 --> 01:01:23,920
Speaker 2: And vrabel looked like the veteran coach with the inexperienced.

1196
01:01:24,000 --> 01:01:26,560
Speaker 2: Quarterback or we gonna get burned here again because this

1197
01:01:26,720 --> 01:01:29,320
Speaker 2: is The miami. Spot that is also another fear where

1198
01:01:29,320 --> 01:01:31,760
Speaker 2: it's like this usually Where tua plays. Well BUT i

1199
01:01:31,880 --> 01:01:35,160
Speaker 2: Told CHAD I i even On Tuesday, show if, this

1200
01:01:35,680 --> 01:01:38,360
Speaker 2: if this My miami team gets down seven or ten

1201
01:01:39,040 --> 01:01:41,480
Speaker 2: and the booz start ringing in from This miami. Fans

1202
01:01:42,280 --> 01:01:44,480
Speaker 2: it just all feels like it goes so sour so

1203
01:01:44,720 --> 01:01:46,720
Speaker 2: quick because this team just feels like they have no

1204
01:01:46,800 --> 01:01:49,200
Speaker 2: confidence of their head. COACH i, mean the sound bites

1205
01:01:49,240 --> 01:01:52,360
Speaker 2: from them this week have just been. Atrocious and that's

1206
01:01:52,360 --> 01:01:53,800
Speaker 2: AGAIN i don't want to be sucking because that's such

1207
01:01:53,840 --> 01:01:56,240
Speaker 2: a media thing to hear the sound bites and be, like,

1208
01:01:56,320 --> 01:02:00,440
Speaker 2: easy bet take The patriots. Here but you, Know i'm

1209
01:02:00,480 --> 01:02:02,560
Speaker 2: looking at the splits on a couple of different sites

1210
01:02:02,760 --> 01:02:07,080
Speaker 2: and it's pretty, Even like there's pretty decent amount of

1211
01:02:07,080 --> 01:02:09,280
Speaker 2: people Betting miami in the. Spot they're not if this

1212
01:02:09,440 --> 01:02:11,040
Speaker 2: was me And chad taking The patriots and it was

1213
01:02:11,520 --> 01:02:13,440
Speaker 2: ninety percent of the tickets and ninety percent of the,

1214
01:02:13,480 --> 01:02:15,400
Speaker 2: money we're on The patriots and this number was Still

1215
01:02:15,760 --> 01:02:18,560
Speaker 2: dolphins minus, one me and you would book you're like red.

1216
01:02:18,640 --> 01:02:21,360
Speaker 2: Flags either you Take dolphins or you just stay. Away

1217
01:02:21,760 --> 01:02:24,080
Speaker 2: it's not really like. That it's honestly pretty. Even there's

1218
01:02:24,080 --> 01:02:26,720
Speaker 2: some pros on The dolphins, side and it really. IS

1219
01:02:26,760 --> 01:02:28,400
Speaker 2: i think What chad, said, right it's a team that got.

1220
01:02:28,440 --> 01:02:32,320
Speaker 2: Embarrassed they are better on paper than This patriots. Team

1221
01:02:32,400 --> 01:02:34,720
Speaker 2: but it's, like man on, PAPER i get, it but

1222
01:02:34,800 --> 01:02:36,640
Speaker 2: in real, LIFE i don't know if they're that. DIFFERENT

1223
01:02:36,800 --> 01:02:38,920
Speaker 2: i don't really like and that's what this line. Reflects

1224
01:02:39,120 --> 01:02:41,600
Speaker 2: like it's it's the right line to, me and the

1225
01:02:41,720 --> 01:02:43,640
Speaker 2: better team to me is the dog right. Now So

1226
01:02:44,560 --> 01:02:47,080
Speaker 2: i'll work on you even On. Sunday i'll see IF

1227
01:02:47,080 --> 01:02:49,440
Speaker 2: i get you on The patriots. Team but it's it's

1228
01:02:49,520 --> 01:02:52,040
Speaker 2: just a Line i've been. Betting the trends point to.

1229
01:02:52,240 --> 01:02:54,000
Speaker 2: IT i like that, matchup and then all of a

1230
01:02:54,000 --> 01:02:56,160
Speaker 2: SUDDEN i heard about the right guard and the right

1231
01:02:56,160 --> 01:02:57,720
Speaker 2: toad Goes, YEAH i was. Right this got up to

1232
01:02:57,760 --> 01:02:59,800
Speaker 2: two AND i Got patriots. Too as soon as that

1233
01:02:59,880 --> 01:03:01,840
Speaker 2: new came, out The rights other whole line being, out

1234
01:03:02,560 --> 01:03:05,040
Speaker 2: it just dropped right back down to. One SO i

1235
01:03:05,520 --> 01:03:08,320
Speaker 2: just don't think it's moved, enough and it's gonna be a.

1236
01:03:08,360 --> 01:03:10,160
Speaker 2: Line i'll be terrified if it does flip, though because

1237
01:03:10,160 --> 01:03:12,680
Speaker 2: we hate betting flip. Lines but how does this not

1238
01:03:12,760 --> 01:03:15,680
Speaker 2: flip The? Patriots who is betting heavy money on This miami.

1239
01:03:15,760 --> 01:03:18,240
Speaker 2: Side it's it's it's such a bad team right. Now

1240
01:03:18,320 --> 01:03:20,240
Speaker 2: it's just everything. Negative, Alright, love we'll have.

1241
01:03:20,320 --> 01:03:25,040
Speaker 1: This conversation On. Sunday it's a spirited. Debate i'm moving

1242
01:03:25,080 --> 01:03:27,360
Speaker 1: aside any kind of sort of FEELINGS i might have

1243
01:03:27,440 --> 01:03:29,720
Speaker 1: Because i've already bet. IT i just want to make

1244
01:03:29,760 --> 01:03:32,400
Speaker 1: the best five picks we can Make. Sunday it will

1245
01:03:32,440 --> 01:03:34,480
Speaker 1: have to be a. Conversation are we going to say

1246
01:03:34,480 --> 01:03:35,240
Speaker 1: that we like it better than?

1247
01:03:35,280 --> 01:03:37,040
Speaker 2: Dowb you want to do one more? GAME i got

1248
01:03:37,120 --> 01:03:38,560
Speaker 2: a stat On bengals And Joe.

1249
01:03:38,640 --> 01:03:42,959
Speaker 1: Burrow, okay, great because The bengals are actually a. Team

1250
01:03:43,840 --> 01:03:45,920
Speaker 1: i'm waiting for that number to get from three and

1251
01:03:45,960 --> 01:03:47,560
Speaker 1: a half to. Three so if it gets to, Three

1252
01:03:48,200 --> 01:03:51,600
Speaker 1: i'm betting The. Bengals, okay so give it to. Me

1253
01:03:52,080 --> 01:03:54,480
Speaker 1: SO i gave, it and the stat better make me feel.

1254
01:03:54,520 --> 01:03:57,280
Speaker 2: Better, yeah that stupid stacks THAT i gave earlier about

1255
01:03:57,440 --> 01:04:01,200
Speaker 2: basically fifty nine. Percent if you don't, remember There's Green,

1256
01:04:01,280 --> 01:04:02,960
Speaker 2: bay there's The jaguars as The.

1257
01:04:03,000 --> 01:04:06,520
Speaker 1: Cowboys how about that stupid said about the zero sacks and.

1258
01:04:06,560 --> 01:04:08,480
Speaker 2: Yeah if you don't have sacks in week, one, yeah

1259
01:04:08,520 --> 01:04:11,480
Speaker 2: which pretty much shows that you have a pretty good offensive,

1260
01:04:11,560 --> 01:04:13,240
Speaker 2: line especially in week, two or.

1261
01:04:13,280 --> 01:04:16,240
Speaker 1: You're playing a team with a terrible defensive. Line it's.

1262
01:04:16,280 --> 01:04:18,560
Speaker 2: Fair look look what we got here, though The bengals,

1263
01:04:18,640 --> 01:04:20,840
Speaker 2: defense which isn't as terrible AS i, said but, again

1264
01:04:20,880 --> 01:04:22,840
Speaker 2: this that might have been A cleveland thing Where cleveland's

1265
01:04:22,880 --> 01:04:26,400
Speaker 2: running backs are you, know, atrocious where we don't think

1266
01:04:26,440 --> 01:04:28,200
Speaker 2: that we think The jaguars run blocking scheme will be.

1267
01:04:28,280 --> 01:04:33,000
Speaker 2: Better this is really though A Joe burrow. Step me

1268
01:04:33,040 --> 01:04:36,840
Speaker 2: And chad talked about, it, Right Joe burrow week. One

1269
01:04:37,920 --> 01:04:40,600
Speaker 2: we we know the. Deal you fade him. There the

1270
01:04:40,640 --> 01:04:43,000
Speaker 2: public over values him for some. Reason doesn't matter even

1271
01:04:43,000 --> 01:04:44,240
Speaker 2: that we saw it doesn't matter if he plays in.

1272
01:04:44,280 --> 01:04:47,600
Speaker 2: Preseason that offense just isn't in. SYNC i cannot believe

1273
01:04:47,680 --> 01:04:50,440
Speaker 2: he had seven yards in that second. Half brown's defense is,

1274
01:04:50,480 --> 01:04:54,080
Speaker 2: good we know that they're not that. Good let's be honest,

1275
01:04:54,120 --> 01:04:58,200
Speaker 2: here like, that that was a total. ANOMALY i get

1276
01:04:58,280 --> 01:04:59,920
Speaker 2: if you if you're Like chatty and you're waiting for

1277
01:05:00,000 --> 01:05:02,680
Speaker 2: together three because you expect to bounce back spot against

1278
01:05:02,680 --> 01:05:05,320
Speaker 2: an over Valued jaguars, team that you know this, number

1279
01:05:05,360 --> 01:05:07,240
Speaker 2: what's five and a half Like chad, said it's three

1280
01:05:07,240 --> 01:05:12,520
Speaker 2: and a half Three, Now Joe Burrow week, two he's

1281
01:05:12,600 --> 01:05:14,160
Speaker 2: just a guy that, struggles and we've seen it early

1282
01:05:14,200 --> 01:05:16,880
Speaker 2: in the, career early early in the. Season you, know

1283
01:05:17,000 --> 01:05:18,880
Speaker 2: his first three Games brow in his career as a,

1284
01:05:18,920 --> 01:05:21,920
Speaker 2: favorite first three games of the, year won seven to

1285
01:05:22,000 --> 01:05:24,720
Speaker 2: one against the spread in his career as a, favorite

1286
01:05:24,760 --> 01:05:27,440
Speaker 2: and again last that includes last week where he was

1287
01:05:27,440 --> 01:05:30,760
Speaker 2: his favorite didn't cover when he's listened a. Favorite within

1288
01:05:30,840 --> 01:05:33,880
Speaker 2: the first two, Games, chad The bengals are zero and

1289
01:05:33,960 --> 01:05:34,600
Speaker 2: six against the.

1290
01:05:34,640 --> 01:05:36,840
Speaker 1: Spread this doesn't make me feel. BETTER i, MEAN i

1291
01:05:36,920 --> 01:05:37,400
Speaker 1: haven't bet it.

1292
01:05:37,480 --> 01:05:40,560
Speaker 2: Yet i'm just, saying like it's all there that for some,

1293
01:05:40,720 --> 01:05:43,760
Speaker 2: reason these first two, Weeks joe doesn't do. Well The

1294
01:05:43,840 --> 01:05:45,600
Speaker 2: bengals doing, well he doesn't do well as a favor

1295
01:05:46,000 --> 01:05:49,440
Speaker 2: the rest of the. Season joe after three week three and,

1296
01:05:49,560 --> 01:05:52,680
Speaker 2: later he's forty three twenty two and one against the. Spread.

1297
01:05:52,760 --> 01:05:55,480
Speaker 2: Chat so that's WHAT i, mean like you look for

1298
01:05:55,560 --> 01:05:58,240
Speaker 2: these trends because it's, like what AM i not seeing

1299
01:05:58,280 --> 01:06:00,600
Speaker 2: with this game that you? Know to? Me I'm i'm With,

1300
01:06:00,760 --> 01:06:05,240
Speaker 2: jad like why is this game not a little? Higher

1301
01:06:05,320 --> 01:06:07,720
Speaker 2: like this This jags, team how do you not think

1302
01:06:07,720 --> 01:06:09,520
Speaker 2: they're a little? Overvalued but now WHEN i really dive

1303
01:06:09,560 --> 01:06:11,800
Speaker 2: into it's, like you, know three and a, half that's

1304
01:06:11,880 --> 01:06:13,480
Speaker 2: the right number for this. Game SO i am on

1305
01:06:13,560 --> 01:06:15,880
Speaker 2: The jaguar side when people were asking about this, game

1306
01:06:16,600 --> 01:06:19,160
Speaker 2: AND i did just want to give Respect sincides run

1307
01:06:19,240 --> 01:06:22,520
Speaker 2: defense isn't as terrible as they looked last, year but

1308
01:06:22,680 --> 01:06:24,680
Speaker 2: that we'll see again how they do against his run

1309
01:06:24,720 --> 01:06:27,360
Speaker 2: blocking scheme of the zone blocks that you, know that's

1310
01:06:27,360 --> 01:06:29,040
Speaker 2: where The jaguars are gonna be running, now and THAT'S

1311
01:06:29,640 --> 01:06:31,520
Speaker 2: i love zone block because it leads up to the running.

1312
01:06:31,560 --> 01:06:33,440
Speaker 2: Back the running back cuts and chooses the.

1313
01:06:33,520 --> 01:06:34,440
Speaker 1: Hole you.

1314
01:06:34,600 --> 01:06:36,680
Speaker 2: Saw that can be a really big deal for. Them

1315
01:06:36,760 --> 01:06:38,960
Speaker 2: and you know they just got rid Of Think. Bigsby

1316
01:06:39,040 --> 01:06:41,440
Speaker 2: they're given two and more. Looks, now you know that

1317
01:06:41,520 --> 01:06:43,720
Speaker 2: could be a really good backfield with him AT. Etn so,

1318
01:06:44,880 --> 01:06:46,360
Speaker 2: YEAH i just wanted to bring that game up and

1319
01:06:46,480 --> 01:06:48,680
Speaker 2: just give out That Joe burrow. Stat people just, said

1320
01:06:48,680 --> 01:06:51,480
Speaker 2: we're the Biggest bengals. Haters we love betting The. BENGALS

1321
01:06:51,560 --> 01:06:52,920
Speaker 2: i told you WE i just gave you this. Ot

1322
01:06:52,920 --> 01:06:55,080
Speaker 2: we're gonna betting The bengals for the rest of the.

1323
01:06:55,200 --> 01:06:58,560
Speaker 2: Year this first three, weeks it's just. Different Like, taylor

1324
01:06:58,680 --> 01:07:00,280
Speaker 2: the head coach whatever it, is doesn't have the guys.

1325
01:07:00,360 --> 01:07:04,120
Speaker 2: Prepared they, Struggle joe struggle against the. Spread the public

1326
01:07:04,200 --> 01:07:05,960
Speaker 2: isn't weird to. That the guy is literally zero and

1327
01:07:06,080 --> 01:07:08,200
Speaker 2: six and this exact SPOT i as a. Favorite so

1328
01:07:09,400 --> 01:07:11,720
Speaker 2: it's just it's something to be wary all Of Joe

1329
01:07:11,760 --> 01:07:14,760
Speaker 2: burrow early season as a favorite against the. Spread all, Right.

1330
01:07:14,640 --> 01:07:16,560
Speaker 1: We're gonna have a healthy debate On sunday BECAUSE i

1331
01:07:16,640 --> 01:07:19,680
Speaker 1: feel like there are some leaders in the, clubhouse but

1332
01:07:19,840 --> 01:07:23,880
Speaker 1: there are some some teams sort of knocking on the

1333
01:07:23,920 --> 01:07:27,200
Speaker 1: clubhouse door trying to get. In oh, yeah and those

1334
01:07:27,280 --> 01:07:29,320
Speaker 1: are games where you got you AND i are are

1335
01:07:29,600 --> 01:07:34,480
Speaker 1: much less. Aligned so tune In sunday, Morning Sharper square on,

1336
01:07:34,600 --> 01:07:39,120
Speaker 1: YouTube listen to it on your podcast. Feeds Simon's Biggest,

1337
01:07:39,160 --> 01:07:40,120
Speaker 1: bet what do we?

1338
01:07:40,200 --> 01:07:48,200
Speaker 2: Got, YEAH i mean it is tough because like obviously last.

1339
01:07:48,240 --> 01:07:51,920
Speaker 2: WEEK i, mean, guys we hear it LIKE I it

1340
01:07:52,080 --> 01:07:54,440
Speaker 2: is tough in my spot where, YEAH i bet The

1341
01:07:54,560 --> 01:07:56,520
Speaker 2: ravens for three months at plus one and a, half

1342
01:07:56,720 --> 01:07:58,480
Speaker 2: AND i know nine percent of people listening to the

1343
01:07:58,520 --> 01:07:59,640
Speaker 2: show Got ravens of minus.

1344
01:07:59,680 --> 01:07:59,840
Speaker 1: One.

1345
01:08:00,360 --> 01:08:02,800
Speaker 2: Brutal going, forward it shouldn't really be like, that, Right

1346
01:08:02,800 --> 01:08:05,040
Speaker 2: if you catch this show at the show we, posted

1347
01:08:05,680 --> 01:08:07,040
Speaker 2: hopefully you're getting the same number as.

1348
01:08:07,120 --> 01:08:07,600
Speaker 1: Me and.

1349
01:08:09,080 --> 01:08:12,600
Speaker 2: This, week, honestly The colts three plus two and a.

1350
01:08:12,680 --> 01:08:15,520
Speaker 2: HALF i did hit that pretty heavy for the first two,

1351
01:08:15,600 --> 01:08:18,360
Speaker 2: days like early early on. Here that's really WHERE i

1352
01:08:18,400 --> 01:08:20,360
Speaker 2: put a lot of my Money jets plus seven mean

1353
01:08:20,439 --> 01:08:23,599
Speaker 2: chat talked about. IT i Love. Jets if you can

1354
01:08:23,640 --> 01:08:26,000
Speaker 2: get the, seven get the. SEVEN i feel so much

1355
01:08:26,040 --> 01:08:29,240
Speaker 2: more confident about it at the. Seven and you KNOW

1356
01:08:30,160 --> 01:08:33,479
Speaker 2: i talked about This eagles. TEAM i can't stop betting.

1357
01:08:33,520 --> 01:08:37,280
Speaker 2: IT i love. It i'm already Dreading sunday where If

1358
01:08:37,280 --> 01:08:39,680
Speaker 2: i'm wrong about this, one just because not only AM

1359
01:08:39,720 --> 01:08:41,000
Speaker 2: i going to be eating this from a lot of

1360
01:08:41,040 --> 01:08:43,960
Speaker 2: professional bears and maybe even, chat but it's, like it's

1361
01:08:44,000 --> 01:08:47,240
Speaker 2: hard WHEN i hit these numbers so heavy and your

1362
01:08:47,400 --> 01:08:49,479
Speaker 2: vision of the game how it's gonna play out goes totally,

1363
01:08:49,560 --> 01:08:52,800
Speaker 2: sighways and it's like that's the same thing we're Be like,

1364
01:08:52,920 --> 01:08:54,639
Speaker 2: then we've been against my homes here And i'm betting

1365
01:08:54,680 --> 01:08:58,680
Speaker 2: Against Josh. Allen it's not. Fun both are, terrifying right

1366
01:08:58,760 --> 01:09:00,960
Speaker 2: that that experience we had On sunday, night that was,

1367
01:09:01,000 --> 01:09:03,720
Speaker 2: horrible like Having Josh allen come back because we all

1368
01:09:03,800 --> 01:09:06,599
Speaker 2: knew what was. Happening right as soon As horriball punt

1369
01:09:06,640 --> 01:09:08,160
Speaker 2: them that fourth and, two fourth and, three me And

1370
01:09:08,280 --> 01:09:11,000
Speaker 2: chad knew that was that was. It that was that

1371
01:09:11,080 --> 01:09:14,240
Speaker 2: was a losing. Bet so, yeah like that that egos

1372
01:09:14,280 --> 01:09:16,400
Speaker 2: one to, me it's really gonna decide my. Weekend and,

1373
01:09:17,400 --> 01:09:19,720
Speaker 2: yeah that's again we're gonna be talking more about On.

1374
01:09:19,760 --> 01:09:21,640
Speaker 2: Sunday we'll see where that line. Goes i'm excited to

1375
01:09:21,640 --> 01:09:23,800
Speaker 2: see does it flip he goes back to a dog

1376
01:09:23,920 --> 01:09:25,920
Speaker 2: or does this does this get up to? Two, Chad

1377
01:09:25,920 --> 01:09:27,519
Speaker 2: it's gonna be interesting watching this. One by the time

1378
01:09:27,520 --> 01:09:28,480
Speaker 2: we get The sunday.

1379
01:09:28,479 --> 01:09:33,400
Speaker 1: Money line underdog Round Robin, Parlay i've Got tennessee.

1380
01:09:33,640 --> 01:09:34,400
Speaker 2: DEAD i told you it's.

1381
01:09:34,439 --> 01:09:36,120
Speaker 1: Dead, well we still got to do. It we got

1382
01:09:36,200 --> 01:09:36,920
Speaker 1: to give the people either.

1383
01:09:36,960 --> 01:09:38,320
Speaker 2: ONE i don't want to give it out, though BECAUSE

1384
01:09:38,320 --> 01:09:42,120
Speaker 2: I i'd rather do. Favorites let's. WIN i tell, YOU

1385
01:09:42,160 --> 01:09:44,439
Speaker 2: i bet this. Stuff i'm losing money, Here, chad like legit.

1386
01:09:44,560 --> 01:09:47,519
Speaker 1: Money, Right let's give a favorite and uh and an

1387
01:09:47,680 --> 01:09:54,840
Speaker 1: Underdog Tennessee Jets Pats Falcons colts for the underdog.

1388
01:09:56,840 --> 01:09:58,360
Speaker 2: With The, Falcons no, Way i'm getting that in.

1389
01:09:58,439 --> 01:09:59,680
Speaker 1: There who do you want to put In.

1390
01:10:01,760 --> 01:10:03,920
Speaker 2: That's that's. Tough let's go, Uh let's Go.

1391
01:10:04,080 --> 01:10:10,599
Speaker 1: Vegas, okay all, right, Baby yeah we didn't talk about

1392
01:10:10,600 --> 01:10:13,760
Speaker 1: that game, much but that's just because The. Lions i'm

1393
01:10:13,800 --> 01:10:16,200
Speaker 1: Not i'm not as passionate about that. One, uh do

1394
01:10:16,280 --> 01:10:18,400
Speaker 1: you want to do a favorite parlay at this?

1395
01:10:18,479 --> 01:10:22,800
Speaker 2: Point, yeah let's get super chalky with. It start out

1396
01:10:22,920 --> 01:10:26,960
Speaker 2: with our Guys Dallas. Cardinals we like. THEM i think

1397
01:10:27,000 --> 01:10:29,680
Speaker 2: they're a team that could easily. Win, yeah against That

1398
01:10:29,840 --> 01:10:31,479
Speaker 2: panthers team that looks like they have real. PROBLEMS i

1399
01:10:31,479 --> 01:10:34,479
Speaker 2: already talked About. RAMS i just McVeigh wins those. Games

1400
01:10:34,520 --> 01:10:36,640
Speaker 2: he might not, cover but he wins those, games a

1401
01:10:36,760 --> 01:10:38,920
Speaker 2: nice little hedge against our own bet WHICH i always

1402
01:10:38,960 --> 01:10:45,599
Speaker 2: love taking those. Spots it's IT'S i know it's painful,

1403
01:10:45,680 --> 01:10:47,080
Speaker 2: chat but don't we have to do The. LIONS i

1404
01:10:47,240 --> 01:10:49,160
Speaker 2: was just gonna, say are They lions going? On? Too?

1405
01:10:50,160 --> 01:10:52,560
Speaker 1: Lions to, me are are automatically in?

1406
01:10:52,640 --> 01:10:57,640
Speaker 2: There and the last one, AGAIN i want to hear

1407
01:10:57,640 --> 01:10:59,920
Speaker 2: your view on, it OR i guess you have to Go. Bil,

1408
01:11:00,200 --> 01:11:02,680
Speaker 2: Nevermind we'll Go. Bills. OKAY i was gonna get real

1409
01:11:02,760 --> 01:11:05,720
Speaker 2: weird with it and just throw throw in the forty nine.

1410
01:11:05,800 --> 01:11:07,840
Speaker 2: Ers but let's just avoid the forty nine ers. Game

1411
01:11:07,960 --> 01:11:10,120
Speaker 2: Let's i'd much rather go The. Bills, Uh.

1412
01:11:10,479 --> 01:11:21,960
Speaker 1: SURVIVOR i put In, Arizona ravens And lions as the

1413
01:11:22,080 --> 01:11:24,120
Speaker 1: three TEAMS i would use for.

1414
01:11:24,240 --> 01:11:28,280
Speaker 2: Survivor, Okay and like the key is we we do

1415
01:11:28,439 --> 01:11:32,280
Speaker 2: need to start looking at. Now so like week, ONE

1416
01:11:32,360 --> 01:11:34,800
Speaker 2: i just wanted to. Survive I've i've been busted out

1417
01:11:34,880 --> 01:11:36,840
Speaker 2: so many of these contests in week one because there's

1418
01:11:36,840 --> 01:11:39,439
Speaker 2: always that game and that did not. Happen so it's

1419
01:11:39,920 --> 01:11:42,080
Speaker 2: not guarantee it's gonna. Happen THE nfl has changed in that.

1420
01:11:42,240 --> 01:11:44,840
Speaker 2: Sense but like, THAT i can't help. It look at

1421
01:11:44,840 --> 01:11:46,560
Speaker 2: all these teams that think who? Which which is the?

1422
01:11:46,640 --> 01:11:49,479
Speaker 2: One who's the? One SO i think we're on the same,

1423
01:11:49,520 --> 01:11:53,760
Speaker 2: boat right the the top three this week Is, ravens It's,

1424
01:11:53,880 --> 01:11:58,360
Speaker 2: dallas It's. Cardinals so, quick look at The cardinals, schedule,

1425
01:11:58,560 --> 01:12:00,599
Speaker 2: right they get The panther this, year And i'm trying

1426
01:12:00,600 --> 01:12:02,280
Speaker 2: to find when's the next time we could even potentially

1427
01:12:02,320 --> 01:12:05,680
Speaker 2: play this, Team, Chad it's kind of, tough like there

1428
01:12:05,800 --> 01:12:08,599
Speaker 2: isn't there isn't much other games like we get they

1429
01:12:08,640 --> 01:12:12,200
Speaker 2: Get tennessee at home in week. Five that could be

1430
01:12:12,280 --> 01:12:14,720
Speaker 2: our chance to take The. Cardinals so let's let's put

1431
01:12:14,760 --> 01:12:17,479
Speaker 2: them aside, then, right because that's say we already able

1432
01:12:17,479 --> 01:12:20,320
Speaker 2: to look ahead Now tennessee at home for The, cardinals

1433
01:12:20,760 --> 01:12:23,000
Speaker 2: that's potentially the next, time we could take them this exact.

1434
01:12:23,040 --> 01:12:26,400
Speaker 2: Spot so let's move them. Out let's go To. Dallas,

1435
01:12:26,680 --> 01:12:28,240
Speaker 2: NOW i don't know if you're The dallas schedule. Up

1436
01:12:29,200 --> 01:12:31,200
Speaker 2: they have The, giants who could be the worst team

1437
01:12:31,320 --> 01:12:34,680
Speaker 2: f football at home after starting zero to. ONE i

1438
01:12:34,720 --> 01:12:37,360
Speaker 2: already told You Dak prescott has won thirteen straight games

1439
01:12:37,400 --> 01:12:40,519
Speaker 2: against This giants. Team, Now chad, says who? Cares that's

1440
01:12:40,520 --> 01:12:43,320
Speaker 2: where business. History IF i go, back, though Those giants

1441
01:12:43,400 --> 01:12:46,200
Speaker 2: teams to me were better than this one currently. Formed

1442
01:12:46,280 --> 01:12:49,600
Speaker 2: and especially say what you want About Daniel. Jones you

1443
01:12:49,680 --> 01:12:53,360
Speaker 2: know he dominated The commanders for all these. Years like

1444
01:12:53,439 --> 01:12:56,320
Speaker 2: there's weird things with your divisional, Opponents Tom, Brady we've

1445
01:12:56,360 --> 01:12:58,760
Speaker 2: all seen the records against these divisional teams that you,

1446
01:12:58,800 --> 01:13:02,000
Speaker 2: Know Jared off there's certain teams he owns in his,

1447
01:13:02,120 --> 01:13:05,040
Speaker 2: division like every team has certain. Teams there's no one

1448
01:13:05,040 --> 01:13:06,720
Speaker 2: ELSE i can find for The Dallas, Chad, Like i'm

1449
01:13:06,760 --> 01:13:09,840
Speaker 2: looking their. Schedule they're at The. Panthers that's a SPOT

1450
01:13:09,880 --> 01:13:12,800
Speaker 2: i guess we could take, Them but other than, THAT

1451
01:13:13,040 --> 01:13:15,840
Speaker 2: i just could not find another easy. GAME i, mean

1452
01:13:15,880 --> 01:13:17,559
Speaker 2: they're at The giants the last week of the. Season

1453
01:13:17,560 --> 01:13:19,280
Speaker 2: there's just no other. Spots to be With, dallas and

1454
01:13:20,160 --> 01:13:22,360
Speaker 2: LIKE i told, people we've been burned by. THEM i,

1455
01:13:22,479 --> 01:13:25,080
Speaker 2: know but it's we either Take dallas. Here we have

1456
01:13:25,160 --> 01:13:26,839
Speaker 2: to take them next week when they go To, chicago

1457
01:13:26,960 --> 01:13:30,280
Speaker 2: And chicago they're owning two that's going to be a

1458
01:13:30,400 --> 01:13:33,760
Speaker 2: super desperate team. Potentially so that's just WHY i jumped

1459
01:13:33,760 --> 01:13:36,920
Speaker 2: out to me about taking them and the last ones.

1460
01:13:37,080 --> 01:13:39,880
Speaker 2: Again we need to run through At. RAVENS i think

1461
01:13:39,920 --> 01:13:41,799
Speaker 2: we're in the same page of why we like The ravens.

1462
01:13:41,840 --> 01:13:45,479
Speaker 2: Here it's like them going oh and. Two we talked

1463
01:13:45,479 --> 01:13:48,000
Speaker 2: about The raiders exact spot last year they broke up

1464
01:13:48,479 --> 01:13:50,360
Speaker 2: tons of they busted a. BUNCH i think we got

1465
01:13:50,400 --> 01:13:54,960
Speaker 2: busted out on it on The. Ravens looking their, SCHEDULE i,

1466
01:13:55,040 --> 01:13:58,559
Speaker 2: Mean i'm bringing up right, NOW i can't find another easy. Spot,

1467
01:13:58,680 --> 01:14:02,120
Speaker 2: really like they're At cleveland and. Late you, know they

1468
01:14:02,200 --> 01:14:04,800
Speaker 2: get The bears at home after their bye. Week that

1469
01:14:04,880 --> 01:14:07,479
Speaker 2: could be A raven. Spot so like we could we

1470
01:14:07,560 --> 01:14:09,880
Speaker 2: could save them for a week eight This ravens. Team

1471
01:14:09,960 --> 01:14:13,120
Speaker 2: but that's that's the toughest part with trying to do

1472
01:14:13,240 --> 01:14:16,400
Speaker 2: these survival. Pools it's like we just want to survive

1473
01:14:16,439 --> 01:14:18,280
Speaker 2: to the next, week but we also need to plan

1474
01:14:18,360 --> 01:14:21,120
Speaker 2: ahead a little, bit SO i get. People so many

1475
01:14:21,120 --> 01:14:22,680
Speaker 2: people reach out with The. COWBOYS i get. It no

1476
01:14:22,680 --> 01:14:24,000
Speaker 2: one wants to see that line drove the four and.

1477
01:14:24,040 --> 01:14:26,720
Speaker 2: Half that is. Scary BUT i JUST i can't See

1478
01:14:26,800 --> 01:14:28,519
Speaker 2: dak losing that. Game and it's just when AM i

1479
01:14:28,560 --> 01:14:30,840
Speaker 2: going to play The cowboys? Again that's they could be

1480
01:14:30,920 --> 01:14:32,720
Speaker 2: a bad team And dak could get banged up and

1481
01:14:32,800 --> 01:14:34,840
Speaker 2: then we're just we wasted not taking them a week

1482
01:14:34,880 --> 01:14:37,120
Speaker 2: Two so people can tell them fighting, it BUT i

1483
01:14:37,280 --> 01:14:39,760
Speaker 2: JUST i think we gotta Go cowboys. SHOT i don't

1484
01:14:39,760 --> 01:14:42,280
Speaker 2: know where you're at with this, one BUT i Lean.

1485
01:14:42,600 --> 01:14:44,479
Speaker 1: RAVENS i don't think there's going to be another spot

1486
01:14:44,560 --> 01:14:46,080
Speaker 1: to play. Them AS i was doing the research this,

1487
01:14:46,240 --> 01:14:48,720
Speaker 1: morning it felt like to me it came down To

1488
01:14:48,800 --> 01:14:53,680
Speaker 1: ravens And, cardinals to be. Honest, Wow so if you,

1489
01:14:53,760 --> 01:14:56,400
Speaker 1: want if you feel that strongly About, DALLAS i just

1490
01:14:56,439 --> 01:14:59,559
Speaker 1: don't know where we're getting either of these. Teams. DALLAS

1491
01:15:00,240 --> 01:15:01,960
Speaker 1: i don't know that they would be a team that

1492
01:15:03,120 --> 01:15:04,479
Speaker 1: who DO i want more at the end of the,

1493
01:15:04,560 --> 01:15:09,400
Speaker 1: year Right AND i don't want anything to do with

1494
01:15:09,439 --> 01:15:11,439
Speaker 1: The cardinals at any, time but this is sort of

1495
01:15:11,479 --> 01:15:12,400
Speaker 1: the best time to play.

1496
01:15:12,400 --> 01:15:18,519
Speaker 2: Them we have to pick eighteen, teams some teams to

1497
01:15:18,560 --> 01:15:19,120
Speaker 2: save some good.

1498
01:15:19,160 --> 01:15:22,680
Speaker 1: TEAMS i would Do cardinals Or.

1499
01:15:22,760 --> 01:15:26,040
Speaker 2: Ravens cardinals Or. Ravens, okay Maybe i'll put a pull,

1500
01:15:26,080 --> 01:15:27,599
Speaker 2: out see what the fans want to do and try

1501
01:15:27,640 --> 01:15:27,960
Speaker 2: to fade.

1502
01:15:28,000 --> 01:15:32,360
Speaker 1: Down, yeah, exactly we. Can we can update On. Sunday,

1503
01:15:32,880 --> 01:15:35,479
Speaker 1: okay where we're going to land because we're divided on.

1504
01:15:35,560 --> 01:15:40,120
Speaker 1: This Listen sharp Versus. Square you won last week, handily

1505
01:15:40,479 --> 01:15:41,519
Speaker 1: so you get to go first this.

1506
01:15:41,600 --> 01:15:47,960
Speaker 2: Week, God i'll just do it BECAUSE i love this.

1507
01:15:48,120 --> 01:15:53,280
Speaker 2: Show i'll Go patriots. Plus. WOW i, KNOW i JUST

1508
01:15:54,000 --> 01:15:55,920
Speaker 2: i don't want to Go, eagles BUT I i JUST

1509
01:15:56,040 --> 01:15:58,120
Speaker 2: i can't put all my chips on one. Side So

1510
01:15:58,240 --> 01:16:02,080
Speaker 2: i'll go crazy here and take and just oh my,

1511
01:16:02,240 --> 01:16:03,080
Speaker 2: god That miami.

1512
01:16:03,200 --> 01:16:04,519
Speaker 1: Team all, Right i'm taking The.

1513
01:16:04,640 --> 01:16:05,760
Speaker 2: Jets. Uh.

1514
01:16:06,400 --> 01:16:10,160
Speaker 1: Okay this has Been Sharper, square part of The volume podcast.

1515
01:16:10,280 --> 01:16:14,120
Speaker 1: Network we will be back On Sharper Square YouTube On sunday,

1516
01:16:14,160 --> 01:16:18,400
Speaker 1: morning eleven am or. Earlier you're gonna easdrop on an

1517
01:16:18,479 --> 01:16:21,960
Speaker 1: intimate conversation between me And simon in which we will,

1518
01:16:22,080 --> 01:16:26,120
Speaker 1: panic make human decisions regret the rest of the. Day

1519
01:16:27,200 --> 01:16:30,880
Speaker 1: you'll also get that on your podcast. Platforms we will

1520
01:16:31,040 --> 01:16:35,840
Speaker 1: be back Live sunday, night seven thirty Pm. Eastern to

1521
01:16:35,960 --> 01:16:39,800
Speaker 1: recap all that, misery watch or listen on YouTube At Sharper.

1522
01:16:39,880 --> 01:16:42,800
Speaker 1: Square like the, video subscribe to the. Channel also download From,

1523
01:16:42,840 --> 01:16:47,360
Speaker 1: Spotify apple Pods ree you get your. Pods subscribe the most,

1524
01:16:47,400 --> 01:16:50,240
Speaker 1: importantly rate review because feedback at the, gift and it

1525
01:16:50,320 --> 01:16:51,960
Speaker 1: helps make the show easier to find for everyone.

1526
01:16:52,000 --> 01:16:52,400
Speaker 2: Else they'll.

1527
01:16:52,400 --> 01:16:56,000
Speaker 1: Forget we are collecting the. Comments pretty soon we're going

1528
01:16:56,040 --> 01:16:59,240
Speaker 1: to start reading some of them giving away some sweet sweet.

1529
01:16:59,280 --> 01:17:02,600
Speaker 1: Swag until next, TIME I love, You

1530
01:17:08,320 --> 01:17:08,439
Speaker 2: Hm