1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,440 Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,480 --> 00:00:05,880 Speaker 1: your bets. It has me Joey p Joe, Pi's Apia 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:08,480 Speaker 1: and it's Super wild Card weekend. 4 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:09,520 Speaker 2: You know what that means. 5 00:00:09,560 --> 00:00:12,280 Speaker 1: It's time to talk a little DFS with my d bro, 6 00:00:12,720 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: Derek Brown, the King of Bros, the Fantasy Bro. 7 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:17,120 Speaker 2: We're gonna break down the Super wild Cards. 8 00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:19,000 Speaker 1: I have to say super by the way I was old. 9 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: I can't just call it wild Card weekend anymore. It 10 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:24,720 Speaker 1: is officially Super wild Card Weekend. Otherwise I get fined 11 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:26,840 Speaker 1: by Roger Goodell in the league, and I don't want 12 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:29,840 Speaker 1: to pay any more fines. Derek Brown, everyone's getting fired. 13 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 1: You and I are still around, though. Thank goodness we 14 00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:33,640 Speaker 1: made it through Black Monday. That's all I can say. 15 00:00:33,680 --> 00:00:36,320 Speaker 3: I'm crossing my fingers, man, I'm hoping, hoping the powers 16 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:38,400 Speaker 3: that be don't come down and bring the acts with them. 17 00:00:38,479 --> 00:00:40,879 Speaker 3: I mean, I'm not as old as Belichick, baby, but 18 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:43,839 Speaker 3: we ain't young pups anymore, so you know, we hope 19 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:44,560 Speaker 3: and we pray. 20 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 2: Sir. I think that Pete Carroll has more energy than 21 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 2: both of us. Come he does, Oh where does he 22 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 2: get it? 23 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:51,560 Speaker 1: I want to be Carrol when I'm when I'm seventy 24 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 1: years old, I want to be Pete Carroll. I want 25 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 1: to be that guy who rips his shirt off and 26 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:58,320 Speaker 1: it's like, you know, yelling at DK Metcalf like that. 27 00:00:58,320 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 2: That's that's my guy. I love. I just had one question. 28 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 2: Got a checkered past, but I love them. I just 29 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 2: have one question. 30 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 3: And this is the question in all questions about Pete Carroll, 31 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:10,360 Speaker 3: what is in that gum? Because there's got to be something, dude. 32 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:12,640 Speaker 3: It's a superpower, so there could be something there. 33 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 2: Whatever it does, it makes it go from six to twelve. 34 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:15,480 Speaker 2: That's all I can tell you. 35 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:17,960 Speaker 1: All Right, let's get to the DFS late and don't 36 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:22,080 Speaker 1: forget everybody. The optimizers available fantasybros dot Com slash optimizer 37 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 1: for you to go ahead and generate up to one 38 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty lineups. You could download them. You can 39 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:30,479 Speaker 1: upload them to DK to fan duel. You can also 40 00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:32,480 Speaker 1: make sure using all the tools of Fantasy Pros to 41 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 1: make the best choices you can in life. And don't 42 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 1: forget betting Pros. The app is available. If you haven't downloaded, 43 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 1: what are you waiting for? Download the app? iOS users 44 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:43,440 Speaker 1: get three free days of premium. You can go premium 45 00:01:43,440 --> 00:01:46,640 Speaker 1: today anytime you'll want to to start betting smarter or 46 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: not harder. The best betting tools on the planet are 47 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 1: right there in front of your face. Just go use them. 48 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 1: I use them for the shows, I use them to bet, 49 00:01:52,400 --> 00:01:54,200 Speaker 1: I just use them all day. So I want you 50 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:55,920 Speaker 1: to use them. To go download the app, go to 51 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 1: betting pros dot com as well. All right, dbro, So 52 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 1: we got two games on this at We've got three 53 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 1: games on Sunday, and we got the Monday wrap around. 54 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 2: Now on DK you can't play the. 55 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 1: Reach round slate or the wrap round slate depending on 56 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 1: what you want to call it. Here and Saturday with 57 00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 1: the zero degree weather, I'm not loving the Saturday slate 58 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:16,560 Speaker 1: as a unit, but let's talk about them. Let's start 59 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 1: with the Saturday on its own, because correct me if 60 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:20,520 Speaker 1: I'm wrong. You don't want to take all of them 61 00:02:20,560 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 1: and play them straight through? 62 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:24,480 Speaker 2: Do you? Some like? Do you see any value in that? 63 00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:26,280 Speaker 1: Because if I do, if you play them straight through, 64 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:28,040 Speaker 1: you're adding more variants than you need. 65 00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 2: Whereas I feel like Sunday you can control. So sell 66 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:31,760 Speaker 2: me on the other idea. 67 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:33,800 Speaker 3: So I think there's two ways to look at this, 68 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 3: and it depends on on the full six gamer where 69 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 3: people come down at. 70 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:40,520 Speaker 2: Like I think some of those games. 71 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 3: You usually see people like to play certain players because oh, 72 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 3: well the games are early. Now I get that out 73 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:50,400 Speaker 3: the way, and you have more information. So there is 74 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:54,280 Speaker 3: leverage if you're playing the six gamer to getting exposure 75 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:57,639 Speaker 3: to some of the late games and Tampa Bay and 76 00:02:58,080 --> 00:03:01,359 Speaker 3: Philly and things like that. But I think that there 77 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:04,600 Speaker 3: are a lot of unpopular plays for this Saturday though, Joe, 78 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 3: Like on the sixth Gamer, I don't think people are 79 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 3: going to rush to play the Kansas City Chiefs. Maybe Pacheco, 80 00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 3: but probably not Patrick Mahomes or Kelsey. So for me, 81 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:15,959 Speaker 3: I think that that is wrong. So that's probably a 82 00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 3: leverage point. So like Nico Collins. 83 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:21,560 Speaker 1: Will be popular, But is a Joe Flacco stack or 84 00:03:21,560 --> 00:03:24,440 Speaker 1: a c J. Stroud stack because c J. Stroud going 85 00:03:24,440 --> 00:03:26,919 Speaker 1: against the Cleveland Browns, is that going to be popular? 86 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:30,959 Speaker 1: That's where because the data says no, because they have 87 00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 1: given up the least amount of passing yards in this season, 88 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:38,960 Speaker 1: because the defense travels, they've been very good, and you know, frankly, like, look. 89 00:03:38,760 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 2: I love c J. Stroud and this This feels wrong 90 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 2: to me because I love him so much. 91 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:44,160 Speaker 1: I've loved him in college. I loved him in the draft. 92 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 1: I stuck up for him when everybody thought Will Levis 93 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 1: was going. I said, you're all drinking too crazy amount 94 00:03:49,080 --> 00:03:51,440 Speaker 1: of alcohol to be thinking that. 95 00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 2: And here's c J. Stroud in the playoffs. 96 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 1: But again, like he come down to the veteran presence 97 00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:59,320 Speaker 1: of that Cleveland Browns team and they've you know, I 98 00:03:59,400 --> 00:04:00,800 Speaker 1: just think it's a lot to. 99 00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 2: Deal with it. Joe Flacco's been here before, and maybe 100 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 2: the kid pulls it off and that'd be amazing. 101 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:06,520 Speaker 1: But let's start there. Forty four and a half is 102 00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:08,000 Speaker 1: the number, because I know you want to talk about 103 00:04:08,040 --> 00:04:10,360 Speaker 1: this game. Then you've got the Kansas City Miami game 104 00:04:10,440 --> 00:04:11,320 Speaker 1: forty four and a half. 105 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:12,200 Speaker 2: Same number. 106 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:14,440 Speaker 1: Now, I think that interesting because I think with the weather, 107 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:16,680 Speaker 1: this number is a little high for that game. Here's 108 00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:18,719 Speaker 1: my two cents, and then you go off the chart. 109 00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:20,840 Speaker 1: Isaiah Pacheco, you're gonna get a ton of him in 110 00:04:20,920 --> 00:04:23,400 Speaker 1: this game against Casey if he's rested a little bit, 111 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:25,880 Speaker 1: hopefully healthy enough. You want to run the football and 112 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:28,159 Speaker 1: zero degree whether that's what you want to do, I 113 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:31,719 Speaker 1: assume Miami wants to also, But again, I think Miami 114 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 1: is a little out of their element literally here in 115 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:37,160 Speaker 1: this kind of environment. And I think it's really hard 116 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 1: to lose a game like they just lost in Buffalo 117 00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:42,120 Speaker 1: in prime time and pump that air back into the balloon. 118 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:45,039 Speaker 1: They have lost time and time again, Derek against teams 119 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:47,480 Speaker 1: that are not very good, and this is just an 120 00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:49,360 Speaker 1: or should I say, teams that are better than them? 121 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:49,839 Speaker 2: Pardon me? 122 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:51,880 Speaker 1: They beat all the teams that aren't very good. They 123 00:04:51,960 --> 00:04:55,600 Speaker 1: keep losing the teams that are better than them, even marginally, 124 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:57,560 Speaker 1: and I think at a certain point just creeps into 125 00:04:57,560 --> 00:04:58,840 Speaker 1: the psyche. And I don't I think this is the 126 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:01,520 Speaker 1: last team that they needed this. So I love Flacco. 127 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 1: I love I know you don't I love Flaco. I 128 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:07,440 Speaker 1: love Amari Cooper, I love Isaiah pa Check. Oh that's 129 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 1: my core for Saturday. What does your core look like 130 00:05:09,640 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 1: for those two games? So for me, I do like 131 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 1: Flacco because Houston you could pass all over. 132 00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:17,680 Speaker 3: So I mean, starting at the quarterback position. I my 133 00:05:17,880 --> 00:05:23,279 Speaker 3: core of that is basically Joe Flacco, Patrick Mahomes, and c. J. Stroud. 134 00:05:23,320 --> 00:05:26,559 Speaker 3: Now in order of preference. Patrick Mahomes is my favorite. 135 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 3: Quarterback on this two game slate, and it's not even 136 00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:30,839 Speaker 3: freaking close. Nobody's gonna want to play him because of 137 00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:33,120 Speaker 3: the weather, and nobody's gonna play him because oh it's 138 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:35,200 Speaker 3: cold and it's not forget the weather. 139 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:36,240 Speaker 2: I don't freaking care. 140 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:40,640 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes is Patrick Mahomes, and the Miami Dolphins' pass 141 00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 1: defense has been extremely vulnerable since Week thirteen, allowing the 142 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:48,600 Speaker 1: fourth highest charts per attempt, the fourth most passing touchdowns, 143 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:52,240 Speaker 1: and the eleventh highest pass rating. So you can throw 144 00:05:52,600 --> 00:05:56,120 Speaker 1: against the Dolphins, you can't run against the Dolphins at all. 145 00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 1: So I think Kansas City is gonna come out here 146 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:02,039 Speaker 1: and they're gonna throw the freaking ball, and with the playmakers. 147 00:06:01,400 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 2: They have, they can get that done. 148 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 1: So Patrick Mahomes on the two gamer is My favorite 149 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:08,800 Speaker 1: quarterback Behind him is Joe Flacco and c J. 150 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:09,320 Speaker 2: Stroud. 151 00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:11,800 Speaker 1: They're both basically in the same area code. I like 152 00:06:11,880 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 1: both of them. 153 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:16,560 Speaker 3: They're both easily stackable if you're playing Patrick Mahomes. My 154 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:19,880 Speaker 3: favorite stack for him is going Rashid Rice and Travis Kelce. 155 00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 3: I know that sounds like, okay, well that's Chalco apparently. 156 00:06:23,200 --> 00:06:25,320 Speaker 3: But the way that you can get wild with this 157 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:30,080 Speaker 3: is throwing Noah Gray or Justin Watson into that, and 158 00:06:30,160 --> 00:06:33,839 Speaker 3: you play for the Patrick Mahomes three touchdown game. Noah 159 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:36,320 Speaker 3: Gray is a fantastic play and nobody's gonna play him 160 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 3: on this slate. If you look at how he matches 161 00:06:38,960 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 3: up against this team, Miami has been vulnerable against tight 162 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:45,480 Speaker 3: ends eleventh most receiving yards, ninth most Fantasy points, and 163 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 3: versus cover three Cover six, which they run on fifty 164 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:51,320 Speaker 3: almost fifty four percent of the defensive snaps. Noah Gray 165 00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 3: has a twenty nine percent target per route run rate 166 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:56,720 Speaker 3: in two point eight yards per route run since week twelve. 167 00:06:56,960 --> 00:06:58,760 Speaker 3: So I like Noah Gray as a way to be 168 00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:01,880 Speaker 3: different on this slate. If he gets in the end zone, 169 00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:02,480 Speaker 3: he might. 170 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 1: Make the optimal joke, but it's it's end, yeah, and 171 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:07,320 Speaker 1: then it would be it's end zone or bus though. 172 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:09,000 Speaker 2: Yeah. Well, I mean, and that's it, man. 173 00:07:09,040 --> 00:07:11,880 Speaker 3: And so I'm willing to play for the touchdown with him. 174 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 1: So I would do it more on Fandel than on 175 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 1: DK yeah, even though he's cheap on DK two. And 176 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:18,160 Speaker 1: I think that's you know, you play for the touchdown 177 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:19,000 Speaker 1: on Fandel. 178 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:22,320 Speaker 3: So and so that's how basically I'm gonna approach Patrick Mahomes, 179 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:26,000 Speaker 3: It's Rashid Rice, It's it's Kelsey, it's Noah Gray, it's 180 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 3: Justin Watson. Those are your stacking partners with him. For Flacco, 181 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:31,920 Speaker 3: we already know what that looks like. It's all the 182 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:34,640 Speaker 3: Amari Cooper, it's all the David and Joku. You double 183 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:36,800 Speaker 3: stack him, you play for the big outing. We've already 184 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:40,000 Speaker 3: seen that happen. That's easy. And c J Shroud it's 185 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:42,239 Speaker 3: the same thing, man. I think I think the stacking 186 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 3: options for him are immensely easy. It's you can stack 187 00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:48,800 Speaker 3: him with Devin Singletary, you could stack him with Nico Collins. 188 00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 3: Nico Collins is about as close to a lock button 189 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:53,680 Speaker 3: play as I can get on this one. 190 00:07:53,760 --> 00:07:55,600 Speaker 1: And I don't think he's gonna be as popular as 191 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:59,400 Speaker 1: people like think like he was crazy popular last week. 192 00:07:59,880 --> 00:08:01,680 Speaker 2: I think he was gonna be popular this week too. 193 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:05,440 Speaker 1: I think people are gonna look at the Cleveland Browns 194 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 1: matchup and where he should be, say seventy five percent 195 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:12,680 Speaker 1: on this two gamer, maybe he comes in at sixty 196 00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:14,880 Speaker 1: five or instead of being eighty percent, maybe he comes 197 00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 1: in sixty sixty percent. 198 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 2: So it's not that I don't think that. 199 00:08:17,920 --> 00:08:20,800 Speaker 3: People are gonna play Nico. I think they're gonna look 200 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:22,560 Speaker 3: at the box score. They're gonna say, oh, he didn't 201 00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:24,360 Speaker 3: have a great game versus the Browns last time. But 202 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 3: they're not gonna put the context of case Keenan was 203 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 3: at the quarterback position as well as they're gonna say, oh, 204 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:32,920 Speaker 3: it's the Browns. So it's Devin Singletary and Nico if 205 00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:35,080 Speaker 3: you're playing CJ. Stroud and the other guys that I 206 00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:37,760 Speaker 3: like just picking parts out of these games. Raheem Moster 207 00:08:37,920 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 3: is firmly in play. I think he's back this week. 208 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:42,320 Speaker 3: I think he has a monster game at Kansas City. 209 00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 3: You can run all over them. Yeah, I mean, honestly, 210 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:47,760 Speaker 3: I just I really love both of these games, Joe 211 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:50,439 Speaker 3: and the ways that you can get different, like if 212 00:08:50,440 --> 00:08:52,720 Speaker 3: you're going Emmy or you're running more than like three 213 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:55,680 Speaker 3: to five lineups. De devon ah Chan is in play, 214 00:08:55,720 --> 00:08:58,560 Speaker 3: but if you're single entry, I'm not going that direction. 215 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:03,640 Speaker 3: If we get Robber Woods and Noah Brown out this week, 216 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:07,319 Speaker 3: which both of them are extremely banged up, still still questionable, 217 00:09:07,559 --> 00:09:10,199 Speaker 3: then Xavier Hutchinson comes into play. I know he hasn't 218 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 3: done much, but last week he had a seventy eight 219 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:16,599 Speaker 3: percent slot rate, and since week twelve, Cleveland has a 220 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:19,960 Speaker 3: route allowed the fourth most receiving touchdowns and thirteenth highest 221 00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:23,000 Speaker 3: PPR points per target to opposing slot wide receivers. So 222 00:09:23,320 --> 00:09:26,079 Speaker 3: as as much as this two gamer looks like it's 223 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:28,400 Speaker 3: probably gonna be chalky, I think that there are ways 224 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:31,400 Speaker 3: to be different and easily different in this and for me, 225 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:34,800 Speaker 3: that's going Casey passing and then mixing in some of 226 00:09:34,880 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 3: these other low owned guys like Justin Watson or Noah Gray. 227 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:40,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, I did Watson and Gray too. You're playing for 228 00:09:40,440 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 2: the touchdown there. Everybody knows that. Yep. 229 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:44,000 Speaker 1: All right, Let's move on to the Sunday games here 230 00:09:44,000 --> 00:09:47,280 Speaker 1: full slate Buffalo Pittsburgh first game, and then Dallas Green 231 00:09:47,320 --> 00:09:49,440 Speaker 1: Bay and then Detroit, LA. So let's start here with 232 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 1: Buffalo and Pittsburgh. Thirty five and a half is the 233 00:09:51,559 --> 00:09:52,960 Speaker 1: number of thirty six and a half, a number it's 234 00:09:52,960 --> 00:09:55,400 Speaker 1: floating around between those two, I'll be honest with you, 235 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:58,079 Speaker 1: is intriguing. If Josh Allen has a million rushing touchdowns 236 00:09:58,120 --> 00:09:59,520 Speaker 1: this year, if you want to start, If your pay 237 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:01,760 Speaker 1: up guy this weekend is Josh Allen, that's fine now 238 00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:04,679 Speaker 1: I'm not saying I'm fading this game, but I am 239 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:08,600 Speaker 1: looking elsewhere. I'm very much in the Green Bay Dallas 240 00:10:08,640 --> 00:10:12,040 Speaker 1: game in particular, and the Rams Detroit game because I 241 00:10:12,040 --> 00:10:15,400 Speaker 1: think those totals are really not going to disappoint. The 242 00:10:15,440 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 1: one piece that I do keep coming back to is 243 00:10:17,280 --> 00:10:19,680 Speaker 1: no Mike Tomlin's no dummy. You gotta run the football, 244 00:10:19,720 --> 00:10:22,480 Speaker 1: keep the ball to Josh Allen's hands. So I like 245 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:25,320 Speaker 1: Nase Harris's price at sixty five hundred on FANDLE because 246 00:10:25,320 --> 00:10:26,839 Speaker 1: I feel like he is going to get a ton 247 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:28,760 Speaker 1: of carra Like he could get twenty carries in this game, 248 00:10:28,800 --> 00:10:30,959 Speaker 1: and that's not something you see very often. But the 249 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 1: last thing you want to do is put Mason Rudolph 250 00:10:32,760 --> 00:10:34,319 Speaker 1: in a situation late in this game where he's got 251 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:36,840 Speaker 1: to make up a difference. So you try to grind 252 00:10:36,840 --> 00:10:39,199 Speaker 1: this out as much as you can, and whether it 253 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:42,680 Speaker 1: works or doesn't, I think Nausea gets enough opportunity. That's 254 00:10:42,679 --> 00:10:44,520 Speaker 1: the one piece in this game that I've really kind 255 00:10:44,520 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 1: of cherry picked out the rest. Look, Diggs hasn't been great. 256 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:49,360 Speaker 1: If you want to play Allen, go ahead, but he's 257 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:51,200 Speaker 1: so expensive and I want to get Ceedee Lamb in 258 00:10:51,200 --> 00:10:53,960 Speaker 1: my lineup this week, so I can't get both. So 259 00:10:54,160 --> 00:10:57,080 Speaker 1: that's how I'm looking at Saturday in this particular game. 260 00:10:57,120 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 1: Here do you see other pieces that you like from 261 00:11:01,120 --> 00:11:03,280 Speaker 1: end from Pittsburgh in this first game. 262 00:11:03,240 --> 00:11:05,439 Speaker 3: I think you go with the cheap Josh allenstack is 263 00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:06,360 Speaker 3: the way you approach it. 264 00:11:06,440 --> 00:11:08,800 Speaker 2: And I what does that look like? Is that Kinkaid? 265 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:13,200 Speaker 3: So that that would look like Khalis Shakir and Dalton Kinkaid. 266 00:11:13,320 --> 00:11:16,920 Speaker 3: And if you look at Shakir, so Gabriel Davis probably 267 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:17,840 Speaker 3: doesn't play this game. 268 00:11:17,920 --> 00:11:20,199 Speaker 1: He's dealing with a knee injury. He's going to be 269 00:11:20,280 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 1: out after Saw. I went and looked at the snap 270 00:11:23,160 --> 00:11:26,079 Speaker 1: shares for after he was out. So in the second half, 271 00:11:26,520 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 1: Khalis Shakir and Trent Sherfield are the guys that Trent 272 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 1: Sherfield might get added to the wildcard primer, but right 273 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:34,800 Speaker 1: now he's not in there because we don't know about Gabe. 274 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:37,480 Speaker 1: But Khalil Shakir I freaking love him this week, Joe. 275 00:11:37,800 --> 00:11:39,760 Speaker 1: If you look at what the Steelers have done since 276 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:43,080 Speaker 1: Week thirteen's second highest rate of single high since Week 277 00:11:43,120 --> 00:11:46,800 Speaker 1: eight against single high Khalil shakiras two point zero yards 278 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 1: per route run and since week twelve, Pittsburgh has allowed 279 00:11:49,880 --> 00:11:52,920 Speaker 1: the third highest PPR points per target to opposing slot 280 00:11:52,920 --> 00:11:56,720 Speaker 1: wide receivers. We've seen blow up performances from Shakir. He's 281 00:11:56,760 --> 00:11:59,840 Speaker 1: got three games this year man of ninety two or 282 00:11:59,840 --> 00:12:03,320 Speaker 1: more receiving yards and he has no touchdown equity. But 283 00:12:03,360 --> 00:12:06,280 Speaker 1: you're playing on DK. You don't need that on FanDuel. 284 00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:08,679 Speaker 3: Okay, fine, you want to fade that, but then we're 285 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:11,240 Speaker 3: basically just playing for a ceiling performance which to make 286 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:13,719 Speaker 3: the optimal he needs that anyway. So he takes a 287 00:12:13,760 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 3: long one of the house and he scores the touchdown, 288 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:17,800 Speaker 3: but he probably gets no looks in the red zone. 289 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:22,160 Speaker 3: So the cheap Josh allenstack looks like Shaquille or Khalil Shakir, 290 00:12:22,520 --> 00:12:25,240 Speaker 3: and it looks like Dalton Kinkaid, and Kinkaid has come 291 00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:27,800 Speaker 3: back in a massive way, and Pittsburgh is beginning up 292 00:12:27,800 --> 00:12:30,000 Speaker 3: a ton of points to opposing tight ends. And I 293 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:32,160 Speaker 3: want to say this, I'm totally with you on the 294 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 3: Naji Harris call, I love Naji Harris. On the two 295 00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 3: Gamer he's almost a must play guy for me. And 296 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:42,640 Speaker 3: on the sixth Gamer, he's gonna get overlooked and it's wrong. 297 00:12:42,800 --> 00:12:46,200 Speaker 3: Joe I'm telling you it is wrong. This guy since 298 00:12:46,280 --> 00:12:53,600 Speaker 3: week sixteen is averaging twenty five point seven touches per game. 299 00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:58,120 Speaker 3: That type of volume at his price point on DK 300 00:12:58,320 --> 00:13:03,719 Speaker 3: or Fandel is apps solutely freaking bonkers. So I love 301 00:13:03,840 --> 00:13:06,120 Speaker 3: Najee Harrison this. If you want to play the OPO 302 00:13:06,240 --> 00:13:09,880 Speaker 3: and say, okay, the Bills truck stick the Steelers and 303 00:13:09,920 --> 00:13:11,760 Speaker 3: they get out to an early lead and they just 304 00:13:12,120 --> 00:13:15,360 Speaker 3: drop the hammer, then you pivot to Jalen Warren. But 305 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:19,600 Speaker 3: the onus of this is you can run the ball 306 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:24,480 Speaker 3: against the Buffalo Bills since week thirteen, twelfth highest yards 307 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:29,360 Speaker 3: up to contact per attempt, eleventh highest success rate allowed. 308 00:13:29,000 --> 00:13:30,199 Speaker 2: To zone runs. 309 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:32,320 Speaker 3: The other guy, I'll mention here, and I talked about 310 00:13:32,400 --> 00:13:34,320 Speaker 3: him last week, Joey. And this is going back to 311 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:38,120 Speaker 3: the coverage matchup. Deontay Johnson. He's the guy if Pittsburgh 312 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:41,480 Speaker 3: decides to throw the freaking ball. Buffalo is a two 313 00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:45,160 Speaker 3: high team, so was Baltimore. You saw what Deontay did 314 00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:48,360 Speaker 3: versus Baltimore to say he can't do that versus Buffalo. 315 00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:51,880 Speaker 3: I get it's a tough matchup, so is Baltimore Deontay 316 00:13:51,920 --> 00:13:53,760 Speaker 3: is the guy if you wanted to just x out 317 00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:56,240 Speaker 3: or say okay, I know the team implied total for 318 00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:59,680 Speaker 3: the Pittsburgh Steelers is extremely low. But if you wanted 319 00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:02,000 Speaker 3: to get all the touchdowns from that team, and maybe 320 00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:03,960 Speaker 3: they score too, maybe they score three times and this 321 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:06,679 Speaker 3: game goes over the total. I actually kind of lean 322 00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:10,439 Speaker 3: that way that you can get much like last Saturday's 323 00:14:10,960 --> 00:14:14,840 Speaker 3: optimal lineup had Naji Harris and Deontay Johnson where the 324 00:14:14,880 --> 00:14:17,560 Speaker 3: two pieces from Pittsburgh, and they made the optimal I 325 00:14:17,600 --> 00:14:19,680 Speaker 3: think you run it back with that, you get all 326 00:14:19,720 --> 00:14:22,160 Speaker 3: the points. Like in Pittsburgh and you played now Najy, 327 00:14:22,360 --> 00:14:24,800 Speaker 3: you played Deontay, and you move on. But I think 328 00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:27,920 Speaker 3: that they are going to come in under rostered, and 329 00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:30,680 Speaker 3: especially with Nagie Harris, it is wrong. 330 00:14:31,160 --> 00:14:33,960 Speaker 1: Green Bay Dallas is right. Fifteen and a half is 331 00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:36,760 Speaker 1: the number for this one. Dallas has been spectacular at 332 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:39,240 Speaker 1: home this year. They just have so you got to 333 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 1: give them a lot of respect. Now for this game, 334 00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:44,200 Speaker 1: the Ceedee Lamb price is ten K. I don't care. 335 00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:48,280 Speaker 1: I also have helpful to offset that. My flex bought 336 00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:51,040 Speaker 1: in some lineups. I've got Rico Dowdell too, just looking 337 00:14:51,040 --> 00:14:52,160 Speaker 1: for some touchdown equity. 338 00:14:52,520 --> 00:14:53,800 Speaker 2: Get down by the goal line. 339 00:14:53,880 --> 00:14:55,840 Speaker 1: You know, if I don't get that Seelamb touchdown er 340 00:14:55,880 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 1: he comes up a little short, maybe I get a 341 00:14:57,760 --> 00:14:59,360 Speaker 1: little Rico Dowdle at the goal line. 342 00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:02,120 Speaker 2: You know he's had this before. He has shown you 343 00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:03,320 Speaker 2: he can do that role. 344 00:15:04,240 --> 00:15:07,120 Speaker 1: Last week, you know, nine carries for forty six yards, 345 00:15:07,160 --> 00:15:09,080 Speaker 1: also had three catches for fifty four. He's part of 346 00:15:09,120 --> 00:15:11,840 Speaker 1: this backfield, so to me, that's an interesting way to 347 00:15:11,880 --> 00:15:15,000 Speaker 1: offset that. On the other side, I love Aaron Jones 348 00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:17,280 Speaker 1: in this game, same kind of concept to talk about 349 00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 1: Naji Harris. I need cheap running backs in order to 350 00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 1: get away with Ceedee Lamb and whatever else I want. 351 00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:25,760 Speaker 1: So Aaron Jones, Jaden Reid, even Kraft is involved too, 352 00:15:25,880 --> 00:15:28,880 Speaker 1: and Recodobdle. Those are the specific pieces I like in 353 00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:32,160 Speaker 1: this particular contest, which are the ones that you're targeting 354 00:15:32,360 --> 00:15:35,920 Speaker 1: in green Bay Dallas Because this game I don't think disappoints. 355 00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:38,640 Speaker 1: I think there will be well over the fifty in 356 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 1: this one. 357 00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 3: So right now, we're still waiting on a lot of 358 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:43,920 Speaker 3: injury news for the Green Bay wide receivers, so I'm 359 00:15:43,920 --> 00:15:46,680 Speaker 3: going to do updates to the primer, But like looking 360 00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:49,480 Speaker 3: at that wide receiver room, it's impossible to say who's 361 00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:52,520 Speaker 3: gonna start, what's gonna happen. Remeo Dobbs is dealing with 362 00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:55,400 Speaker 3: the chest injury, Christian Watson still dealing with the hammy. 363 00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:58,360 Speaker 3: We know Jayden Reid will be a starter, but who's 364 00:15:58,360 --> 00:16:02,680 Speaker 3: starting opposite him? So we have to wait to see. Now, 365 00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:06,280 Speaker 3: if Watson or Romeo Dobbs are both out, or at 366 00:16:06,360 --> 00:16:08,280 Speaker 3: least one of them is out, then it brings into 367 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:11,560 Speaker 3: focus Dontavian Wicks. If both of them are out, then 368 00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:13,760 Speaker 3: you have Wix and bow melting in play. And the 369 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:16,440 Speaker 3: problem with Green Bay is all of these guys are 370 00:16:16,520 --> 00:16:19,640 Speaker 3: really freaking good versus single high coverage, which Dallas has 371 00:16:19,640 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 3: been top five. 372 00:16:20,320 --> 00:16:21,200 Speaker 2: All year against. 373 00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:23,840 Speaker 1: So the way, if you're gonna play Jordan Love, this 374 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:25,960 Speaker 1: is a really long way to say for Jordan Love. 375 00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:30,080 Speaker 1: I will get my exposure of these wide receivers by 376 00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:32,800 Speaker 1: playing Jordan Love. And I'm not saying to playing naked, 377 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:34,960 Speaker 1: but what I'm telling you is you need to stack 378 00:16:35,040 --> 00:16:37,200 Speaker 1: him and playing with Aaron Jones. I love Aaron Jones. 379 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:39,240 Speaker 1: He's one of my favorite running back plays this entire 380 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:42,600 Speaker 1: Slatey Jones and Harris, that's the weekend, dude. Every line like, 381 00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:45,040 Speaker 1: here's the thing, and that's because I'm fading Pacheco on 382 00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 1: the Saturday. 383 00:16:45,640 --> 00:16:46,720 Speaker 2: I'm not playing the Saturday. 384 00:16:46,800 --> 00:16:48,520 Speaker 1: But once you get to the Sunday or the Sunday 385 00:16:48,520 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 1: wrap around with Monday on FanDuel to me's that's that's 386 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:55,960 Speaker 1: the sweet spot of those guys. It's underrated volume dude, 387 00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:58,720 Speaker 1: like and Jones has been so stinking good of the 388 00:16:58,800 --> 00:17:02,000 Speaker 1: last few games. He's averaging since over the so since 389 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:05,480 Speaker 1: week sixteen, he's averaging twenty three touches a game, man, 390 00:17:05,880 --> 00:17:10,480 Speaker 1: and you sign us he's finally freaking healthy, finally six 391 00:17:10,560 --> 00:17:14,560 Speaker 1: point three explosive run rate, three point three yards of 392 00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:15,560 Speaker 1: of contact per attempt. 393 00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:17,679 Speaker 2: Since week sixteen, he has been. 394 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:20,920 Speaker 1: Playing extremely good and last week, even if you don't 395 00:17:20,920 --> 00:17:24,120 Speaker 1: believe in the tackle breaking metrics, he played eighty two 396 00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:26,920 Speaker 1: percent of the freaking snaps last week with aj Dillon out. 397 00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:29,120 Speaker 2: That tells me all I need to know. He's healthy. 398 00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:32,240 Speaker 1: He has owned Dallas in the past, Like I'm old 399 00:17:32,280 --> 00:17:35,440 Speaker 1: enough to remember those types of games from Aaron Jones versus. 400 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:38,840 Speaker 2: The Cowboys, So yes, I love Aaron Jones. In this one. 401 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:41,320 Speaker 2: Dak is always in play. So is Ceedee Lamb. 402 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:43,720 Speaker 3: If you're playing Dak or you're looking for other cowboys 403 00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:46,720 Speaker 3: in this matchup, like you call it out rico'dowell, he's 404 00:17:46,760 --> 00:17:49,000 Speaker 3: in play. Tony Pollard doesn't play as much as people 405 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:50,720 Speaker 3: don't want to play Tony Pollard. But you can run 406 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 3: all over the game with Poward again his price, Like 407 00:17:52,840 --> 00:17:54,840 Speaker 3: I look at top Poward's price, I'm looking at Jones' 408 00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:56,640 Speaker 3: price and like I just want Jones, like I'm gonna 409 00:17:56,680 --> 00:18:01,000 Speaker 3: take Jones, and I like again, it's like trying, I'm 410 00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:02,840 Speaker 3: trying to find all the touchdown makers. 411 00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:04,000 Speaker 2: It's definitely Ceedee Lamb. 412 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:07,560 Speaker 1: It's possibly Aaron Jones, it could be Reco down like 413 00:18:07,560 --> 00:18:09,520 Speaker 1: those are some of the guys. Uh, And who's the 414 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,800 Speaker 1: other one, dude, you want to talk about some hell 415 00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:13,200 Speaker 1: touch touchdown maker? 416 00:18:13,480 --> 00:18:16,800 Speaker 3: It's freaking Brandon Cooks. He scored eight times in his 417 00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:20,360 Speaker 3: last eleven the other one too from Yeah, Tucker would 418 00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:22,280 Speaker 3: throw it, And I worry about Tucker Craft as do 419 00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:25,120 Speaker 3: we see more Luke Musgrave because he was active last week? 420 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 3: Does he cut into his route share? And that's my 421 00:18:27,680 --> 00:18:31,080 Speaker 3: worry with him. But dude, Brandon Cooks is a touchdown scoring. 422 00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:34,000 Speaker 1: Machine, and if we get any one of these weeks, 423 00:18:34,040 --> 00:18:37,000 Speaker 1: and it could be this week where Brandon Cooks finally 424 00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:41,040 Speaker 1: marries the receiving yardage with the touchdown, because the dude, 425 00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:43,440 Speaker 1: like I said, he scored eight times in his last 426 00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:46,880 Speaker 1: eleven game, Like that's that's insane. Nine red zone targets 427 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:50,000 Speaker 1: over that span and against single high which Green Bay 428 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:53,359 Speaker 1: runs a ton of seventeen percent target share two point 429 00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:56,240 Speaker 1: one yards per route run. He's the other guy you 430 00:18:56,440 --> 00:19:00,560 Speaker 1: talk about touchdown hunting, especially over on Fandel Joey Brandon Cooks. 431 00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:04,560 Speaker 1: Brandon Cooks is an underrated source of touchdowns. Agreed, oh it, 432 00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:06,120 Speaker 1: Cooks is one of those guys too. But he's also 433 00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:07,879 Speaker 1: all or nothing. So he either ruined your day like 434 00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:11,480 Speaker 1: there's just no floor and playing tournaments is finely playing cash. 435 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:12,119 Speaker 2: It's a problem. 436 00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:16,760 Speaker 1: The Rams Lions in ford Field this one fifty one 437 00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:19,320 Speaker 1: and a half and oh boy, oh boy, give me 438 00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:23,240 Speaker 1: that Like this, I am in on Matthew Stafford and Pookinakua. 439 00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 1: I'm taking my stand on that one. 440 00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:25,760 Speaker 2: I like it. 441 00:19:25,920 --> 00:19:29,320 Speaker 1: You're gonna laugh at me, but I like the Rams 442 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:33,080 Speaker 1: defense in this one because I feel like I feel 443 00:19:33,080 --> 00:19:36,119 Speaker 1: like looking at this the roster percentage is low, the 444 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:39,600 Speaker 1: price is low. If this, you know, if golf goes 445 00:19:39,640 --> 00:19:42,359 Speaker 1: out there without Laporta And I don't anticipate Laporta being 446 00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:44,560 Speaker 1: healthy for this game. No, I don't either. I could 447 00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:47,200 Speaker 1: see God, I could see the goth that makes mistakes 448 00:19:47,240 --> 00:19:50,199 Speaker 1: show up. And I think, if there's one guy that 449 00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:53,760 Speaker 1: understands how to get mistakes out of Jared Goff, it's 450 00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:56,280 Speaker 1: Sean McVay. Sean McVay is one of the smartest football 451 00:19:56,280 --> 00:19:57,840 Speaker 1: minds out there. I had to deal with all those 452 00:19:58,320 --> 00:20:02,080 Speaker 1: years well, but he knows all the weaknesses. And I'm like, 453 00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:04,080 Speaker 1: this is not like inside baseball stuff where I'm trying 454 00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:05,840 Speaker 1: to get a little cute. This is just facts, a 455 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:09,080 Speaker 1: lessons real I've like, I coach youth flag football. I've 456 00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:10,680 Speaker 1: cos a lot of players in the last three years. 457 00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:12,399 Speaker 1: I know the deficits of some of them. I know 458 00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:14,440 Speaker 1: who can't move to their left and throw the football. 459 00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:15,720 Speaker 1: Like I know these things. 460 00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:17,720 Speaker 2: About you exploit the simple things. 461 00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,000 Speaker 1: I don't care if it's youth flag football or the NFL. 462 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:22,360 Speaker 1: And if anybody can, it's Sean McVay. And I think 463 00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:24,320 Speaker 1: this is gonna be a really interesting game. Plus not 464 00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:26,480 Speaker 1: to mention pass rush. There have been very good. The 465 00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:27,400 Speaker 1: rookie's been tremendous. 466 00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:27,600 Speaker 4: There. 467 00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:30,080 Speaker 1: Aaron Donald is really, you know, still Aaron Donald to 468 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,600 Speaker 1: a certain degree. I like the Rams defense, I like Pooka, 469 00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:35,199 Speaker 1: like Stafford. I'm in on this game. Your thoughts on 470 00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:36,760 Speaker 1: this one too, because again we can have everything. Do 471 00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:38,080 Speaker 1: you want to play cde Lamb? You want to play 472 00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:40,120 Speaker 1: a Monra like? That's that's kind of the big question 473 00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:42,600 Speaker 1: to this because playing both is almost impossible. 474 00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:45,920 Speaker 3: Playing both is almost impossible, and I think you can 475 00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:47,479 Speaker 3: do it. But then it's kind of like are you 476 00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:50,560 Speaker 3: are you? Are you cutting out too much equity? Like 477 00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:53,199 Speaker 3: you really have to hit on the scrubs you put 478 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:55,359 Speaker 3: in your lineup and the stars and scrubs type of build. 479 00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:57,359 Speaker 3: But I love this game, man. I think that this 480 00:20:57,440 --> 00:20:59,399 Speaker 3: is one of the games that you can game stack 481 00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 3: like your playing off the total and you talked about 482 00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:05,359 Speaker 3: in these short slates, you gotta make stances, you gotta 483 00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:07,880 Speaker 3: make stands. One of my stands in this is I'm 484 00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:11,080 Speaker 3: fading all of the running backs in this game. Both 485 00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:15,760 Speaker 3: of these teams have extremely good run defenses. So you 486 00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:19,080 Speaker 3: just talked about Joe, you can't play all the dudes, 487 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,200 Speaker 3: so you gotta make stands. My stand in this game 488 00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:26,960 Speaker 3: is I'm not playing. I'm full fading David Montgomery, Jamiir Gibbs, 489 00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:29,960 Speaker 3: and Kiraen Williams. Is it scary the things pucker when 490 00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:30,359 Speaker 3: I say that? 491 00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:32,359 Speaker 2: Yes? Am I still going to do it? For you 492 00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:34,080 Speaker 2: to say to fade Kiren is a lot. 493 00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:40,200 Speaker 1: Yes, I'm fading him because of he doesn't he has 494 00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:42,160 Speaker 1: no pass game role and if he doesn't get there 495 00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:45,320 Speaker 1: off of twenty five carries and rushing touchdowns, he's not 496 00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:48,000 Speaker 1: gonna make the optimal And you look at both of 497 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:51,639 Speaker 1: these teams, they're damn good versus run the run. So 498 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:54,440 Speaker 1: I think both of these teams air it out. Stafford 499 00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:57,200 Speaker 1: and Golf are both firmly and play. I love Pooka, 500 00:21:57,280 --> 00:21:58,240 Speaker 1: I love Cooper Cup. 501 00:21:58,280 --> 00:22:00,200 Speaker 3: If you have to pick one of them, this is 502 00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:03,160 Speaker 3: gonna hurt my heart. Actually leam a Cooper Cup because 503 00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:06,160 Speaker 3: if you look at the matchup since week thirteen, Detroit 504 00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:08,600 Speaker 3: has used single high on fifty three percent of their 505 00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:12,960 Speaker 3: defensive snaps. Since week twelve, with a healthy Cup, Stafford 506 00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:16,040 Speaker 3: and Puka Cup has led the way versus single high 507 00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 3: thirty percent, target chare thirty four percent first read Chaer. 508 00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:24,880 Speaker 3: So I think double stacking Stafford is possible and it's doable, 509 00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:26,880 Speaker 3: and it would be Cup in Nikua. But if you're 510 00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:29,680 Speaker 3: picking one, I like Cup again, if you're if you're 511 00:22:29,680 --> 00:22:32,880 Speaker 3: playing guys from this game, or if you're stacking Jared Golf. 512 00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:35,679 Speaker 3: Amanas Saint Brown is just a monster play dude, like 513 00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:37,639 Speaker 3: he I can. 514 00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:39,359 Speaker 1: With Laporta out, though, do you think you get a 515 00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:41,680 Speaker 1: little bit more like just Jameson Williams touched the ball 516 00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:44,160 Speaker 1: more here because the other brock Wright's not health either. 517 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:45,479 Speaker 2: I think he could. 518 00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:48,760 Speaker 3: But I think that that honestly, like you saw last week, 519 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:54,120 Speaker 3: this offense could just condense around Amanas Saint Brown, so we. 520 00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:56,679 Speaker 1: Could just see that is super predictable. See that, to me, 521 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,800 Speaker 1: that is a losing strategy. Like to me, that is that. 522 00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:02,240 Speaker 2: I like Jamison Williams. 523 00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:04,600 Speaker 1: I mean somebody else has to step up, like I 524 00:23:04,600 --> 00:23:07,960 Speaker 1: know Khalif Raymond was dealing with a knee injury, they 525 00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:10,879 Speaker 1: think he's gonna play, Like, I don't like it's Williams. 526 00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:15,080 Speaker 1: It's like like I think either Williams or Raymond, one 527 00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:17,199 Speaker 1: of these guys will probably think end up having that 528 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:18,000 Speaker 1: one big play. 529 00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:21,200 Speaker 2: But that's It is a very tricky spot right now. 530 00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:23,680 Speaker 3: You think it's Jamo, I think it's Jamison Williams and 531 00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:26,600 Speaker 3: looking at him as a better flex Rico or Jamison 532 00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:29,199 Speaker 3: Williams and Jameison Williams, I think if you're chasing so, 533 00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:31,480 Speaker 3: Rico could get you the touchdown, but he's probably not 534 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:34,520 Speaker 3: gonna get you the yardage. Jamison Williams can get you 535 00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:37,040 Speaker 3: both if he come if he blows up in this game. 536 00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:39,120 Speaker 3: And the reason I lean with him, Joe is because 537 00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:42,240 Speaker 3: if you look at the coverages that the Rams have 538 00:23:42,400 --> 00:23:45,520 Speaker 3: rolled out there, so since week thirteen, Cover three or 539 00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:48,640 Speaker 3: Cover four on sixty one percent of their snaps since 540 00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:51,600 Speaker 3: week eleven, so basically since Jamison Williams has kind of 541 00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:54,760 Speaker 3: been like fully integrated in this offense, like sixty five 542 00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 3: sixty percent snap player. Yes, he only has a nine 543 00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:01,880 Speaker 3: percent target chair, but with that nine percent target share, 544 00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:05,480 Speaker 3: he has swallowed up a twenty six percent air yard share, 545 00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:08,920 Speaker 3: and he has two point zero yards per route run 546 00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:12,680 Speaker 3: against Cover three and Cover four. So this and he's 547 00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:14,920 Speaker 3: fully healthy right well, he is healthy right now. I'm 548 00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:17,560 Speaker 3: not gonna say fully healthy, but I know week eighteen 549 00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:19,560 Speaker 3: he missed the game they were sitting a lot of guys, 550 00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:22,600 Speaker 3: but he was hurt. He is practicing in full and 551 00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:26,159 Speaker 3: whether you're playing the Sunday slate or you're playing the 552 00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:29,960 Speaker 3: full six gamer, he's gonna go overlooked. And again I 553 00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:30,600 Speaker 3: think it's wrong. 554 00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:32,520 Speaker 1: All right, if you want to add in the Monday 555 00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 1: game and I don't like right now, I like Sunday. 556 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:35,960 Speaker 1: I want to keep it to Sunday. I want to 557 00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:38,840 Speaker 1: I want to add. I don't want to add variants 558 00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:41,840 Speaker 1: where I don't have to. But Philly Tampa. This game 559 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:44,520 Speaker 1: is forty four, it's in Tampa. The Eagles have limped 560 00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:47,320 Speaker 1: to the finish line the worst way. Talk of infighting, 561 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:51,800 Speaker 1: people questioning the coach, questioning hurts. Look, man, it's a 562 00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:53,680 Speaker 1: bad scene right now. If Baker Mayfield was one hundred 563 00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:55,800 Speaker 1: percent healthy, I might feel better about this game. I 564 00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:59,080 Speaker 1: think on paper, Evans and Godwin should smash because that 565 00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:01,719 Speaker 1: Eagle secondary nine being good. I just worry about the 566 00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:04,720 Speaker 1: health of Baker Mayfield. And look, I know he's the gunslinger. 567 00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:07,200 Speaker 1: I know like he'll play herd he did last week. 568 00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:10,320 Speaker 1: But I don't want to play this game. I want 569 00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:13,040 Speaker 1: to stick to Sunday. So I'm just again full fading 570 00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:15,240 Speaker 1: Monday Night Football. If you want to play it as 571 00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:18,199 Speaker 1: a standalone game, that's cool. I get that, maybe you do, 572 00:25:18,280 --> 00:25:19,600 Speaker 1: But what's your approach. You want to add it in, 573 00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:21,120 Speaker 1: you want to keep a stand alone or full fade 574 00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:21,600 Speaker 1: it all together? 575 00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:24,159 Speaker 3: I think if you if you're playing the sixth Gamer, 576 00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:26,040 Speaker 3: I think I want to add it in, but I 577 00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:27,879 Speaker 3: don't want to go with either one of the quarterbacks 578 00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:31,440 Speaker 3: in this game. I think you're adding one of two pieces, 579 00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:34,880 Speaker 3: and from what we know right now, I think that 580 00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:37,880 Speaker 3: that those two pieces are Rashad White or Mike Evans 581 00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:41,080 Speaker 3: or both. Looking at the matchup. I've been talking about 582 00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,119 Speaker 3: this for weeks, Joe, and people don't want to believe it. 583 00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:45,040 Speaker 3: But you could run all of the freaking Eagles like 584 00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:48,880 Speaker 3: the Eagles cannot stop the run. So I love Rashad White, 585 00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:51,680 Speaker 3: especially you're playing the six Gamer, because again talking about 586 00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:55,240 Speaker 3: everybody wants to get all the plays in and things 587 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:57,680 Speaker 3: like that and play guys from Saturday and Sunday and 588 00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:00,800 Speaker 3: D D D and they don't want to play the uncertainty. 589 00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:03,439 Speaker 3: I'm telling you right now, like on the sixth Gamer, 590 00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:06,880 Speaker 3: this game is gonna go under rostered because people don't 591 00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 3: know what to do with it. So that means it's 592 00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:11,560 Speaker 3: a leverage point if you're playing that slate to have 593 00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:15,280 Speaker 3: parts of pieces from this game and the standout pieces. Yes, 594 00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:17,760 Speaker 3: Jalen Hurts is him play? Do I love him? 595 00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:18,040 Speaker 4: No? 596 00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:21,480 Speaker 3: But if you're playing MMMY, you're playing ten to fifteen lineups, 597 00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:24,240 Speaker 3: I will have exposure to Hurtz. I will have exposure 598 00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,480 Speaker 3: to Mayfield. You're playing single or Entry or three Max. 599 00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:28,560 Speaker 3: I'm not playing either one of those guys on the 600 00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:32,159 Speaker 3: sixth gamer. But in this game, specifically outside the quarterbacks, 601 00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:34,840 Speaker 3: it's with Shad White, it's Mike Evans. 602 00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:37,359 Speaker 2: Could you taught me into Chris Godwin? Yes? Am I 603 00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:38,040 Speaker 2: high on him? 604 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:38,199 Speaker 4: No? 605 00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:40,600 Speaker 3: And the other guy that I'll talk about here too, 606 00:26:41,400 --> 00:26:43,439 Speaker 3: Dallas Goddter, could be the best tight end play of 607 00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:47,480 Speaker 3: that six game slate because if it happens that aj 608 00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:50,080 Speaker 3: Brown does not play because we don't know, dude, he's 609 00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:53,360 Speaker 3: getting an MRI, no clue, I leen he does not play. 610 00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:55,520 Speaker 3: If you need an MRI and your freaking knee, it's 611 00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:58,840 Speaker 3: that bad you're probably not gonna suit up. Davante Smith 612 00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,359 Speaker 3: is not one hundred percent. Maybe he plays, but what 613 00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,199 Speaker 3: version of Davonte Smith do we get and does he 614 00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:06,800 Speaker 3: get injured in game, because he is clearly not one 615 00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:10,680 Speaker 3: hundred percent, So Dallas Goddard could be the lone player 616 00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:14,959 Speaker 3: left standing to catch passes. So I love Dallas Goddard 617 00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:17,120 Speaker 3: and whether you play him in your tight end spot 618 00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:20,720 Speaker 3: or your flex and you keep that open if it 619 00:27:20,800 --> 00:27:24,440 Speaker 3: happens that, say aj Brown and DeVante Smith both play 620 00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:26,920 Speaker 3: things like that. If you have Dallas Goddard in the 621 00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:29,560 Speaker 3: tight end spot, you could always pivot down to Kate Aughten, 622 00:27:29,600 --> 00:27:31,320 Speaker 3: who's firmly live in this game too. 623 00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:34,040 Speaker 2: Auten's very cheap at tight end on the handle two. 624 00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:34,560 Speaker 2: That's you. 625 00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:36,800 Speaker 1: And I'll tell you what man, I think even if 626 00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:38,919 Speaker 1: they played those guys, what they'd be able to do, 627 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:41,800 Speaker 1: I think is really questionable. And I agree this game 628 00:27:41,840 --> 00:27:43,800 Speaker 1: feels like a trap on both sides. I said this 629 00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:46,199 Speaker 1: on Tuesday Show. I just I can't get a I can't. 630 00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:48,080 Speaker 1: I want to bet Tampa so hard. I want to 631 00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:50,679 Speaker 1: be I go hard, and I just don't have confidence. 632 00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:52,440 Speaker 1: Tell me that I don't have confidence in the Eagles either. 633 00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:55,520 Speaker 3: Tell me this doesn't it feel kind of generous because 634 00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:58,160 Speaker 3: the line is up. The last time I saw it's 635 00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:00,720 Speaker 3: minus three for the Eagles hasn't moved any off of that. 636 00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:04,280 Speaker 1: Right now, the consensus line over at Betting Pros. Again, 637 00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 1: maybe if I'm not confident, I should just play the under. 638 00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:09,080 Speaker 1: It's still three. Three has not moved. That's the best line, 639 00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:12,760 Speaker 1: so generous, it feels, and I understand that like it feels, 640 00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:15,720 Speaker 1: Tampa plus three is probably the best bet or the 641 00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:17,880 Speaker 1: under at the forty four because if I don't love 642 00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:19,919 Speaker 1: either of these teams at this point, maybe that's just 643 00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:20,600 Speaker 1: the best thing to do. 644 00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:22,600 Speaker 2: Look Tampa on the money lines plus one thirty five. 645 00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:24,760 Speaker 2: They're at home. They should do in this home and. 646 00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:27,240 Speaker 5: The Eagles are favored, and we've seen what the Eagles 647 00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:29,960 Speaker 5: look like over the last few weeks, like this feels 648 00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:33,880 Speaker 5: like it should be like minus one or a pick em, 649 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:36,280 Speaker 5: like if we're being honest about what the Eagles have 650 00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:40,560 Speaker 5: actually looked like plus now, you're probably right, Tampa play right. 651 00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:43,520 Speaker 1: But it's again We're gonna have a full breakdown along 652 00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:46,560 Speaker 1: with the props and the games coming up with Bogman 653 00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:48,840 Speaker 1: Welsh and myself later today. We're gonna be recording that, 654 00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:50,960 Speaker 1: so make sure you hang on with us at Betting Pros. 655 00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:53,520 Speaker 1: Make sure you subscribe to the YouTube channel at Betting Pros, 656 00:28:53,880 --> 00:28:56,240 Speaker 1: drop your comments as always, and subscribe to Betting Pros 657 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:57,080 Speaker 1: Podcast wherever you. 658 00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:59,640 Speaker 2: Get your pods. That'll do it for us, but the 659 00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:00,920 Speaker 2: story of the game goes on. 660 00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:04,320 Speaker 1: For Derek Brown, I'm Joey p Enjoy your super wild 661 00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:05,360 Speaker 1: Card weekend. 662 00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:09,520 Speaker 4: It's super Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. 663 00:29:09,760 --> 00:29:12,120 Speaker 4: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 664 00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:14,280 Speaker 4: us is by leaving a positive review on. 665 00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:15,840 Speaker 2: Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 666 00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:18,760 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 667 00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:22,480 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 668 00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:25,040 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros