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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information.

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree? I've five dollars?

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Speaker 3: This is a ratable up hoping they track.

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Speaker 2: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

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Speaker 1: Humans need fantasy to be human.

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Speaker 2: Booh, my goodness, that misspeaks.

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Speaker 1: The best, relentless refusing to give up.

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Speaker 3: All right, hit that horn, very bless.

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Speaker 1: What is up? Everyone?

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex podcast from the Action Network

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Speaker 2: and Fantasy Labs.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Chris Raybond.

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Speaker 2: This is your NFL Week seven player projections episode, and

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Speaker 2: of course I'm joined by one of the most accurate

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Speaker 2: projectors and rankers in the game, the odds maker, Sean Kerner.

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Speaker 4: Sean, what's going on?

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Speaker 3: You know, I was having fun, you know, setting my

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Speaker 3: initial Week seven projections and then boom, DeVante Adams trade

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Speaker 3: of the Jets, and then boom Amari Cooper trade of

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Speaker 3: the Bills. So that's always fun trying to like, you know,

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Speaker 3: fit in wide receiver ones like that into a new team.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and of course those are the last two teams

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Speaker 2: they played on Monday night, so it's also the data

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Speaker 2: feeds for them coming the latest too, So yeah.

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Speaker 4: It should be should be interesting.

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Speaker 1: Maybe we'll get to one of those guys in our prop.

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Speaker 3: Maybe not, but I'm doing wide receiver props this week.

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Speaker 3: I absolutely have those two guys.

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Speaker 1: All right, there we go.

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Speaker 2: All right, so before we jump into quarterback, just want

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Speaker 2: to remind everyone all of our fantasy football content is

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Speaker 2: available right now over on Fantasy labs dot com. You

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Speaker 2: can find all of our award winning rankings, projections, and

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Speaker 2: more at Fantasy labs dot com. All right, Top five

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Speaker 2: at each position this week, guys were high and low

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Speaker 2: on and then a prop start at quarterback.

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Speaker 4: Top five for Week seven?

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Speaker 3: Sewan, Who you got Jayden Daniels, Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts,

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Speaker 3: Josh and Gino Smith?

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Speaker 1: Whoa Gino? Okay?

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Speaker 3: Tuesday projections gotta love it.

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Speaker 2: I got Daniels, Jackson, Josh, Allen Hurts and Rock Party

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Speaker 2: as my TB five.

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Speaker 4: I feel like he key's getting slept on.

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Speaker 3: All right?

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Speaker 4: Who are you hiring? Gino Smith?

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Speaker 3: Well, yeah, I guess it's Gino Smith, right, He's my

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Speaker 3: QB five. They're at Atlanta this week. He's thrown for

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Speaker 3: two hundred and eighty yards and five straight games, and

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Speaker 3: I expect him to see similar volume this week and

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Speaker 3: what could be a shootout in Atlanta. He's thrown for

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Speaker 3: one touchdown and all five games, he's due for some

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Speaker 3: positive touchdown aggression at some point. With this volume, you'd

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Speaker 3: expect them to get, you know, a multi touchdown game

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Speaker 3: in there somewhere. Also, you know, he he didn't rush

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Speaker 3: for a single yard last week, but he has been

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Speaker 3: tapping in his rushing upside a lot this year. He

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Speaker 3: still has you know, three games where he's rushed for

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Speaker 3: at least thirty yards. So I think could all come

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Speaker 3: together this week. With the touchdowns, the rushing up side,

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Speaker 3: I think the passing yards will be there. So again

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Speaker 3: he opens the week inside my top five.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he's uh, you know, it's it's been a weird

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Speaker 2: year in Seattle. I feel like they want to run more,

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Speaker 2: but they keep giving, Like Gino keeps having to throw

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Speaker 2: the ball like forty to fifty times and gave you Uh,

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Speaker 2: they came into that San Francisco game saying, hey, we're

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Speaker 2: gonna run more than it just got away from him.

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Speaker 2: But the Atlanta teams another team that could put up

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Speaker 2: some points and put Seattle behind.

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Speaker 4: Uh yeah, I mean I'm.

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Speaker 2: High and Purty, so both of our TV five's high

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Speaker 2: on I mean, this guy Purdy's second in the league

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Speaker 2: and yards for attempt at eight point eight. He's third

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Speaker 2: in passing yards per game two hundred and seventy one

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Speaker 2: and a half. And this is with you know, Deebo

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Speaker 2: missing time. Are you not always up to speed? Kittle

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Speaker 2: was in and out of the lineup, so I mean

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Speaker 2: his passing yardage ceiling is probably even higher than that.

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Speaker 2: He could end up leading the league. I mean, you

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Speaker 2: eat the league yard for attempt, all you need is

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Speaker 2: the attempts. And Kansas City has kind of weirdly enough

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Speaker 2: turned into a pass funnel defense. You know, it's all

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Speaker 2: or only five games in, so that could change. But

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Speaker 2: they're second in DVOA on defense against the run, twelfth

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Speaker 2: against the pass, so they're playing pretty good run defense.

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Speaker 2: San Francisco dealing with the banged up Jordan Mason, so

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Speaker 2: this could be a pass heavy game or either or

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Speaker 2: just because they get behind and you know, play with

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Speaker 2: some negative games group, so a lot of ways.

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Speaker 4: I think for Party to come through this.

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Speaker 3: Way, and he's he's been tapping to his rushing upside. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 3: I think, yeah, I think just the lack of having

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Speaker 3: like Christian McCaffrey back, there is a safety valve. I

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Speaker 3: think he's tapping into it. And I'd said all along

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Speaker 3: he has similar rushing upside to someone like a Patrick Mahomes.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, would not be shocked if he continues to

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Speaker 3: be rushing for you know, twenty plus yards maybe until

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Speaker 3: McCaffrey comes back.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, No, he's I mean he just moves around a

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Speaker 2: lot in the pocket too. That's why that's the way

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Speaker 2: he gets some of those deep throws off too. It's

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Speaker 2: just running around back da.

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Speaker 1: Phul oh Man.

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Speaker 3: Justin Fields. He opens a week as my QB twenty

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Speaker 3: four against the Jets. It's just a tough matchup. And

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Speaker 3: even though you know he led the Steelers to another win,

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Speaker 3: he and scored multiple touchdowns and four straight games. Tomlin

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Speaker 3: is hinting at the idea that Russell Wilson might take

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Speaker 3: over as the start of this week. I still struggle

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Speaker 3: to see how they would do that. So as of now,

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Speaker 3: I'm still projecting Fields to start. But if you have him,

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Speaker 3: I think the best action here is for Field to

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Speaker 3: get benched this week. They throw Russell Wilson out there,

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Speaker 3: he looks terrible against the Jets, and then Fields is

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Speaker 3: right back to being the starter next week against the Giants.

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Speaker 3: I think that would actually help Fields, you know, long

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Speaker 3: term value. But his value is taken quite a hit

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Speaker 3: in the past twenty four hours because of you know,

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Speaker 3: Russell Wilson potentially taking over. Plus you know, they didn't

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Speaker 3: trade for DeVante Adams or Marii Cooper. I thought that

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Speaker 3: they were a potential landing spot for one of those receivers. So,

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Speaker 3: you know, I think the short term dip in Field's

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Speaker 3: value might help long term because again, if they start

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Speaker 3: Wilson this week, they might regret it, and then Fields

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Speaker 3: might be in there next week. So this week, if

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Speaker 3: you have him, you have to start looking for other options,

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Speaker 3: even if he does start, because it is against the Jets.

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Speaker 3: But it's just been a rough twenty four hours for him,

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Speaker 3: even though he probably still deserves to be the starting

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Speaker 3: quarterback in my opinion.

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Speaker 1: Oh man, yo, I actually you just hit on something.

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Speaker 2: I think Mike tom was a genius because remember I

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Speaker 2: was talking like they must have promised Russell Wilson something

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Speaker 2: this season because so Tomin He's like, all right, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna start you against one of the toughest defenses.

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Speaker 1: And then and then so that I can have the

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Speaker 1: so then that I can you can.

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Speaker 2: Play terribly, and I have the excuse to bench you

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Speaker 2: and put Justin Fields in against a not so great

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Speaker 2: defense in the Giants. So it actually might be just

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Speaker 2: another one of these genius tom On moves that like

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Speaker 2: you get that, So Wilson start out of the way

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Speaker 2: and uh and and now you have a reason to to,

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Speaker 2: you know, to go back to Fields and not not continue.

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Speaker 1: We have that looming over him. So it's my genius

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Speaker 1: move exactly.

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Speaker 3: Their offensive line has really been struggling James Daniels ever

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Speaker 3: since he went down. Their center Zach Frasier's out. The

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Speaker 3: only reason they were able to stay in that game

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Speaker 3: is Field's rushing ability, Like he was able to escape

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Speaker 3: the pressure and everything like that. So rus Wilson back there,

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Speaker 3: it might not be pretty. So I agree, I think

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Speaker 3: just throw Wilson out there, haven't looked like shit and

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Speaker 3: be like there you go, there's Russ Wilson. Justin Fields

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Speaker 3: is now our starting quarterback. I think that's probably what's

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Speaker 3: going to happen here.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they were in that game because it was

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Speaker 1: a Raiders practice squad. I mean Aiden O'Connor reading the

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Speaker 1: Raider practice squadway.

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Speaker 3: The penalties though, there's some brutal, brutal penalties there, but yeah,

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Speaker 3: that was not fun.

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Speaker 1: I'm all on Kyler Murray. He's just kind of meh

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Speaker 1: this year.

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Speaker 2: He's twentieth in the league in yards per attempt, twenty

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Speaker 2: third in passing yards per game, and he's averaging a

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Speaker 2: career career low excuse me, five point zero rush attempts

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Speaker 2: per game. And he's now he's going up against the

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Speaker 2: Chargers defense, which is number four against the pass and

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Speaker 2: DVOA per FTN, so not a great matchup. He hasn't

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Speaker 2: been running as much as we want. He's been efficient,

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Speaker 2: he had that big long touchdown against the Niners, but

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Speaker 2: there's just there, just hasn't been much upside. He's been

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Speaker 2: really phoning off after the scripted plays. You know, we're

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Speaker 2: off and now this week you might be looking at

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Speaker 2: Marvin Harrison out. So he's not really a great spot

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Speaker 2: for Kiro this week. So he's just outside my top twelve,

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Speaker 2: so I would if I had him, I'd be looking

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Speaker 2: for potential other options this week.

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Speaker 3: All right, what are you doing for the prop let's

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Speaker 3: go with the Drake may passings prop uh look great

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Speaker 3: in his debut, and now he gets to face the

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Speaker 3: Jaguars defense. So this is a fun projection. I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: set the line at two hundred and nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, this is tough.

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Speaker 4: I was over.

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Speaker 3: I was.

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Speaker 1: I was on the over last week, and I think

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Speaker 1: he cleared that pretty pretty easily.

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Speaker 3: But Caleb, he scrambles a lot. He scrambles a lot,

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Speaker 3: and he's still through for two forty three, so he

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Speaker 3: did it all.

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Speaker 1: That's a good line.

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna go over just because I want to.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to.

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Speaker 2: I'm not betting a passing yard under against the Jags.

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Speaker 2: Al though Caleb Williams didn't need much to go. I

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Speaker 2: think he only had like two twenty six. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: that still gives me some some uh some wiggle rooms.

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Speaker 4: See, I'll go over. But that's a good line.

201
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Speaker 2: It's probably gonna be somewhere in that I would I

202
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Speaker 2: woul guess the books put it somewhere in.

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Speaker 4: That two hundred to two fifteen range.

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Speaker 2: Unopen all right, running back Top five Week seven, sean

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Speaker 2: current which you got.

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Speaker 3: Uh, Kyern Williams number one have to uh, Derrick, Henry,

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Speaker 3: Kenneth Walker, Saquon Barkley, and Alvin Kamara is banged up.

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Speaker 3: I'll go JK. Dobbins number five. Jesus.

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Speaker 1: I mean I thought I was high and I am.

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Speaker 3: I have Dobbins like plus eight E c er last

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Speaker 3: week and he hit, so SCRIPT will stick with him.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I'm he's like my RB eight this week.

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Speaker 2: RB I didn't, I didn't get to five, but I

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Speaker 2: do have Kamara still in there. So I have Kyra,

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Speaker 2: Henry Kamara, Barkley and Bjohn. I just I mean, if

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Speaker 2: the Saints have no receivers and no quarterbacks, I just

217
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Speaker 2: feel like he's gotta be a k right. But yeah, no,

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Speaker 2: he got is something to monitor. The real question is

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Speaker 2: is Kendre Miller going to ever be activated or I

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Speaker 2: should say, like this guy just I don't Dennis Allen

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Speaker 2: hates him more than he hates winning football.

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Speaker 3: It's crazy, no ship man, Yeah, yeah, we should have

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Speaker 3: its played over.

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Speaker 4: Mims was getting work last week. But yeah, Kendre can't

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Speaker 4: get activated.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and he's I mean he's fully healthy, right? Was

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Speaker 3: he just a healthy scratcher? Or are they being CAUTI technically.

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Speaker 2: On the injury report, but like he's essentially being a

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Speaker 2: healthy scratch because like Kent h Dennis Allen has said

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Speaker 2: so many times, he's always had these excuses like, yeah,

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Speaker 2: he just needs to kind of catch up, and so

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Speaker 2: we'll see, we'll see. It's a short week, so it's

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Speaker 2: not like they can do much that they didn't do

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Speaker 2: last week. So it's I mean, we're looking at another one. Uh,

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Speaker 2: who are you high on?

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Speaker 4: Running back?

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Speaker 3: So you know, obviously Tank Bixby uh will get the

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Speaker 3: start this week if you know Travisytan is out, which

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Speaker 3: it's looking like that'll be the case. But I think

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Speaker 3: Dearness Johnson is a sneaky ad. He's still my RB

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Speaker 3: thirty eight, assuming Atn's out. You know, they kind of

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Speaker 3: split snaps last week. It was it was a more

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Speaker 3: favorable game script for Darence Johnson because he is the

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Speaker 3: past catching back, so that you know, this sets up

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Speaker 3: better for Tank bit they're at home against the Patriots.

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Speaker 3: But I still think Johnson's going to mix in quite

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Speaker 3: a bit and he could be like the Sean Tucker

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Speaker 3: of Week six where everyone flocks to the new starting

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Speaker 3: running back, but you know the backup is going to

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Speaker 3: get or the third string back is going to get

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Speaker 3: an uptick in usage as well. So if you're a

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Speaker 3: desperate spot, I think Johnson could offer some sneaky RB

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Speaker 3: three flex value this week, a much cheaper option than

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Speaker 3: take big speed will be and then just have to

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Speaker 3: mention him. Tyler Algier, he's my RB thirty one. Still,

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Speaker 3: you know, baffled why this guy's still available in seventy

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Speaker 3: percent of leagues. He's offering RB three flex value even

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Speaker 3: with Jean Robinson fully healthy. So imagine like if Bijeon

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Speaker 3: were to miss any time. You know, Algier is going

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Speaker 3: to be an RB one, probably a top ten option,

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Speaker 3: so he has to be rostered. You can use him

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Speaker 3: this week against the Seahawks. You know, the Seahawks defense

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Speaker 3: has been pretty leaky against running backs this year, so

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Speaker 3: I think it's a good spot for But again, this

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Speaker 3: guy is a must add in all leagues.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he's he's uh, he's doing the same thing he

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Speaker 2: was doing with Arthur Smith, just cutting into Jon's workload.

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Speaker 1: I'll high with Dobbin's obviously not as.

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Speaker 2: High as your five, but I got rebbe eight. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: he's a thirteenth running back according to consensus at Fantasy pros.

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Speaker 2: But twenty five carries last week and this Arizona run

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Speaker 2: defense giving up the fourth most rushing yards per game

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Speaker 2: at one hundred and fifty three. So with Gus Edwards

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Speaker 2: on IR, it's Kimani e Vidalds, a rookie, and Hassana Haskins,

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Speaker 2: you know, career special teamer behind Dobbins. So as long

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Speaker 2: as he holds up, I guess they're gonna they're gonna

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Speaker 2: feed him, because that's what we were kind of worried about,

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Speaker 2: like would they feed him carries, you know, with even

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Speaker 2: with Gus out just given his history and of durability

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Speaker 2: and whatnot. But I think twenty five carries was a

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Speaker 2: career high. I want to say how to be because

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Speaker 2: I know coming into the year, I don't think he

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Speaker 2: ever got more than I think sixteen. So the fact

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Speaker 2: that they were willing to give him twenty five and

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Speaker 2: he's got an extra day arrest, YEP, twenty five was.

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Speaker 4: He broke his career high by eight.

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Speaker 2: Previous high with seventeen, so and now he's got an

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Speaker 2: extra day arrest, So it could be another twenty plus

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Speaker 2: carry game for JK. Dobbins like him and Bigsby you

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Speaker 2: already mentioned. You know, Weed's all running backs and yards

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Speaker 2: after contact at five point nine, which is more predicted

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Speaker 2: than yards before.

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Speaker 1: The Patriots are.

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Speaker 2: Twenty seventh and run defense DVA, So I like Bigsby

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Speaker 2: in this spot. Looks like etn is week to week

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Speaker 2: with a hamstring. So yeah, Dobbins Bigsby for me, who

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Speaker 2: are you low on at running back?

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Speaker 3: I hate to do this, but Dave Montgomery, he's my

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Speaker 3: RB twenty three. Tough matchup at Minnesota this week. You know,

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Speaker 3: he's looking like a league winner again this year. He's

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Speaker 3: RB six on the season, and Gibbs has yet to

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Speaker 3: miss any time. So I mean, if Gibbs were to

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Speaker 3: ever miss time, he'd be a top three back easily.

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Speaker 3: So but this is a rare week where he's going

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Speaker 3: to be ranked outside my top twenty, just because again

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Speaker 3: this is a brutal matchup. The Vikings defense ranks first

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Speaker 3: in DA against both the pass and the run, and

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Speaker 3: this could be, you know, a rare trailing game script

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Speaker 3: for the Lions, so that sets up better for Jamier Gibbs.

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Speaker 3: But if you have Montgomery, you still have to play him.

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Speaker 3: Would not be shocked if he salvages you know, a

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Speaker 3: lower yarders game with a touchdown here. But again we

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Speaker 3: just we have to lower expectations just a bit this

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Speaker 3: week and then he'll be right back, you know, probably

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Speaker 3: pushing top ten value next week. But this is a

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Speaker 3: rare week where Montgomery is going to be outside of

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Speaker 3: my top twenty.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he's my RB twenty two, just because you know,

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Speaker 2: between him and Gibbs's flitting carries, it's you know, you

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Speaker 2: can't always project the Lions to get like thirty carries

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Speaker 2: a game every game. Match it like this, you know,

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Speaker 2: they may not get quite that that many. All right,

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Speaker 2: for me, it's Bucky Irving. He is the twenty third

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Speaker 2: and consensus he's my rby thirty three, and that's because

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Speaker 2: he's got it becaus Baltimore. Baltimore is number four and

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Speaker 2: run d DVOA, number one yard per carry out at

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Speaker 2: just three point zero, number one in yards per game

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Speaker 2: allowed rushing at fifty nine, and we just don't know

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Speaker 2: what the split is gonna be. Like with Sean Tucker,

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Speaker 2: he went fourteen for one thirty six and one on

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Speaker 2: the ground and caught three passes for fifty six and

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Speaker 2: it touched through the air, so you know, Rashad White

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00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:22,960
Speaker 2: could even be back in this when the coaches said, hey,

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00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:25,960
Speaker 2: Tucker kind of earned a role in the backfield when

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Speaker 2: White does return. So this is just a murky situation

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Speaker 2: right now. And the fact that you know, Bucky didn't

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Speaker 2: just dominate the snaps last week and it was still

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Speaker 2: a split between him and another back kind of shows

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Speaker 2: that they probably don't view him as that bell cow.

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Speaker 2: So if he wasn't gonna do it last week, you

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Speaker 2: know it's probably not going to happen in a much

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Speaker 2: tougher matchup.

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Speaker 4: So, uh, yeah, I'm off Bucky this week.

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Speaker 2: All right, prop, Let's go b Jon Robinson since Algiers

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Speaker 2: the talk.

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Speaker 3: Yeah carefully, you're going up against you know, the number

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Speaker 3: one Algier fan here, so I know we'll do it.

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Speaker 2: We'll go versus Algier, We'll go be verse. Okay, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna set the line for let's go rushing yards. I'm

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Speaker 2: like bijon a sixteen and a half yard favorite.

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Speaker 1: Who you got?

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Speaker 3: Oh give me Algier plus sixteen and a half?

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Speaker 1: All right?

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00:17:24,520 --> 00:17:27,159
Speaker 3: How the bad line? I have it closer to eleven though.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I have it a little higher, but it's uh,

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Speaker 1: it's looking real shaky.

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Speaker 4: So it's an interesting one.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, look great, It's just Algiers One are the best

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Speaker 3: backups in the league.

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Speaker 5: Shout out to our Action Network colleague Sean Zarillo, who

361
00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:47,240
Speaker 5: had another great year in baseball, finishing the MLB regular

362
00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:49,400
Speaker 5: season up more than twenty five units.

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Speaker 3: And with Action Pro, you get instant notifications every.

364
00:17:52,600 --> 00:17:55,879
Speaker 5: Time Zarillo or any of our Action experts make a

365
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00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:18,400
Speaker 5: MLB playoffs on the Payoff Pitch podcast.

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00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:21,560
Speaker 2: Looking for weekly projections from me and Sean Kerner for

372
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00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:29,199
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Speaker 4: Who you got in your top five for week seven?

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Speaker 3: Justin Jefferson, Jamar Chase, A. J. Brown, Molik Neighbors, and

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Speaker 3: Drake London.

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Speaker 4: Baby, I got London even high than that.

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Speaker 2: I got Jefferson Chase London number three oh three nice, Yeah,

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00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:20,600
Speaker 2: a Monro Sink Brown number four, Emily Neighbors number five.

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00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:24,960
Speaker 3: Love it high on Well, I mean I thought I

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Speaker 3: was high on Drake London. You know he's my wide

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00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:31,359
Speaker 3: receiver five. But I think we finally have our Drake

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Speaker 3: London breakout. He now has six plus catches in five

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Speaker 3: straight games now, and the underlying usage has been elite

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00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:43,719
Speaker 3: ran a route on every single Kirk Cousins dropped back

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Speaker 3: last week. He's seen a thirty percent target rate over

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Speaker 3: the last four games. You know, Seattle does have a

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Speaker 3: solid secondary. We'll see if Freak one is able to

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Speaker 3: this week. You know he's dealing with the ankle injury,

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Speaker 3: so you know, maybe later in the week. Once I

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00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:02,440
Speaker 3: factored and Drake London will drop out of my top five.

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Speaker 3: But I'm just cherishing this moment. It's been a long

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00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:08,479
Speaker 3: time coming as a Drake London truther, but I think

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00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:14,040
Speaker 3: we finally have it. We finally have Drake London's breakout. Speaking,

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00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:17,120
Speaker 3: another guy that I think we both love is Michael Wilson.

404
00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:21,119
Speaker 3: He's my wide receiver thirty five this week, assuming you

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00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:25,679
Speaker 3: know Marvin Harrison Junior remains in concussion protocol. Typically players

406
00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:28,600
Speaker 3: do miss you know, at least one game in the

407
00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:31,680
Speaker 3: in the protocol, so I think you know Wilson's gonna

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00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:34,440
Speaker 3: step up as the top receiver this week. Again, this

409
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Speaker 3: is a little bit of a tougher matchup against the Chargers,

410
00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:39,760
Speaker 3: but I think he's going to see enough volume and

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Speaker 3: has a ton of upside. I love Michael Wilson as

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00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:45,600
Speaker 3: a talent where he should offer wide receiver three flex value.

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Speaker 3: If Marvin Harrison Junior does miss the game.

414
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Speaker 1: This week, yeah, I love Michael Wilson as a player.

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00:20:52,119 --> 00:20:53,879
Speaker 2: The Harrison does have an extra day, so we got

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00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:56,440
Speaker 2: am honor. Yeah, because there's a chance he comes back.

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00:20:57,320 --> 00:20:59,560
Speaker 2: But you guys usually are missing a game when they

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00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:03,800
Speaker 2: get the protocol. I'm high on Tank Dell again, he's

419
00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:07,080
Speaker 2: my wide receiver eighteen. He's ECR wide receiver twenty nine.

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00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:10,119
Speaker 2: Last week, ninety two percent route rate, twenty eight percent

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00:21:10,280 --> 00:21:13,200
Speaker 2: target rate. In the first Gate full game without Nico,

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00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:16,520
Speaker 2: Collins caught seven for eighty one and a touchdown. And

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00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:20,040
Speaker 2: now he's going up against Green Bay and another team

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00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:22,720
Speaker 2: that you know could be a shootout. And uh, you know,

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Speaker 2: Diggs has played more on the outside with Nico out,

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00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:28,520
Speaker 2: so could see some Jaiar on Diggs, which would leave

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00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:31,879
Speaker 2: Tank Dell as kind of the guy to benefit from

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00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,639
Speaker 2: that as well. So like Tank Dell again in this

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00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:38,520
Speaker 2: matchup against the Packers. And then Jerry Judy, he is

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00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:41,479
Speaker 2: my wide receiver thirty five, he's fifty thirty consensus. I'm

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00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:44,000
Speaker 2: sure that'll go up because you know, he becomes the

432
00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:46,840
Speaker 2: number one wide receiver in Cleveland after the Amari Cooper

433
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:50,240
Speaker 2: trade to Buffalo. Elijah More also banged up as well,

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00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:54,960
Speaker 2: so Judy could be a target hog alongside David and Joku.

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00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:59,040
Speaker 2: And Cincinnati is twenty fourth in DVOA against number one

436
00:21:59,359 --> 00:21:59,879
Speaker 2: wide receiver.

437
00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:05,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, the Texans had it was Metchi and Hutchinson kind

438
00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:09,800
Speaker 3: of split the leftover Nico Collins snaps and I don't

439
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:12,959
Speaker 3: think either one saw a target, So we went from

440
00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:16,000
Speaker 3: Nico Collins to just two guys running wind sprints. So yeah,

441
00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 3: Tank Dell is popping in my model as well. Yeah, man,

442
00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:26,119
Speaker 3: low on Man, I'm low on Terry McLaurin. He's my

443
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:30,119
Speaker 3: wide receiver nineteen going up against the Panthers. So you know,

444
00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:33,399
Speaker 3: while he's finally having a breakout season, we knew he

445
00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:37,720
Speaker 3: would have with a you know, functional quarterback. I would

446
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:39,680
Speaker 3: you have to start him if you have him. But

447
00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:42,000
Speaker 3: I think right now his dcars in the top ten.

448
00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:44,159
Speaker 3: I think that's a little bit too high because they

449
00:22:44,320 --> 00:22:46,680
Speaker 3: probably won't need to be you know, airing it out

450
00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:50,160
Speaker 3: against the Panthers. This could be much more run heavy

451
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:53,760
Speaker 3: game script. So I think McLaurin will be very efficient

452
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,680
Speaker 3: on lower volume, but I think top ten is a

453
00:22:56,720 --> 00:23:00,560
Speaker 3: bit rich this week. So again, you're starting him if

454
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,119
Speaker 3: you have him, But I'm just lowering my expectations a

455
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:04,959
Speaker 3: little bit this week just because I think it's going

456
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:06,960
Speaker 3: to be much more run heavy game plan.

457
00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:10,000
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, he's my wide receiver twenty.

458
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:13,040
Speaker 2: You know that is a still lower volume pass offense,

459
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:15,560
Speaker 2: but he's doing what we wanted him to do. He's

460
00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:19,600
Speaker 2: catching touchdowns now, but yeah, ten, top ten is a

461
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:23,560
Speaker 2: little bit rich. I am low on Juju Smith Schuster.

462
00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:26,040
Speaker 2: He is the ECR wide receiver twenty eight. Like what

463
00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:29,520
Speaker 2: that one game and now we're just ranking his top thirty,

464
00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:32,360
Speaker 2: Like this guy is giving him or riced right, Yeah,

465
00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:35,560
Speaker 2: pretty much, but he only had he only had a

466
00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:39,080
Speaker 2: sixty six percent route rate without a RASHI against New Orleans.

467
00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:41,879
Speaker 2: Now even if I project him into that, you know,

468
00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:47,679
Speaker 2: eighty percent Rashee rice Roll, his seven for one thirty

469
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:51,040
Speaker 2: in that last game is a massive fluke. He ran

470
00:23:51,160 --> 00:23:55,359
Speaker 2: twenty nine routes and that's about fair projection going forward

471
00:23:56,640 --> 00:23:59,600
Speaker 2: in this offense and giving home to probably drop back

472
00:23:59,600 --> 00:24:03,440
Speaker 2: around forty times a game. And Juju has a career

473
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:06,400
Speaker 2: one point six two yard per route run, So twenty

474
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:09,160
Speaker 2: nine routes one point six two yards per route, that's

475
00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:12,560
Speaker 2: about forty seven yards. So like that's how big of

476
00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:15,399
Speaker 2: a fluke that one hundred and thirty. He essentially like

477
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:20,199
Speaker 2: tripled up his his expectations. So I have him as

478
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:23,520
Speaker 2: my wide receiver forty seven. I cannot believe people were

479
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 2: ranking him into the top thirty after just one and

480
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:27,639
Speaker 2: he had like a wide open. There was like one

481
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 2: catch he had, like it was like a fifty yard

482
00:24:29,359 --> 00:24:32,120
Speaker 2: game nobody can hear of, Like this is this is fluky?

483
00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:35,359
Speaker 2: People like he might he might catch no balls and

484
00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:38,040
Speaker 2: Justin Watson catches five this game. Like I that's like

485
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:42,080
Speaker 2: in the range of outcomes for Juice Shooster at this stage.

486
00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:44,480
Speaker 2: So yeah, I would, I would, I wouldn't start. I

487
00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 2: need to see another couple of games of him productive

488
00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:50,760
Speaker 2: before I'm plugging him in starting lineups.

489
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,159
Speaker 3: All right, prop, Well, let's let's have a prop with

490
00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 3: both wide receivers as it's got traded. So I'm gonna

491
00:24:57,560 --> 00:25:00,200
Speaker 3: do who's gonna have more Fantasy points this week? Half

492
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:04,480
Speaker 3: PPR Davante Adams or make or Mary Cooper? And I'm

493
00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:07,440
Speaker 3: making Davante a minus one point favorite.

494
00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:09,840
Speaker 1: Do you know? It's like, is Davante for sure healed?

495
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:13,400
Speaker 1: Like it's like, yeah, he doesn't pray?

496
00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:14,159
Speaker 3: Does that?

497
00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:14,680
Speaker 1: Is that?

498
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:22,520
Speaker 3: Avoid? Mary Cooper wins? It's a void assuming Davante's hamstring

499
00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 3: injury was real? What do you got for this?

500
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:34,000
Speaker 2: I got Davante about one point three? So what are

501
00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:39,840
Speaker 2: we doing against? Oh that's Pittsburgh though, let's go Mariy.

502
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:44,119
Speaker 2: Let's go Mary, Okay, Yeah, yeah, I just don't know what,

503
00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:46,359
Speaker 2: like what, because I got to I don't know if

504
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:49,560
Speaker 2: Davante is one hundred percent healed, so he might even

505
00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:52,600
Speaker 2: be on it more of a snap count in this game.

506
00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:56,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, I'm not sure which side I want

507
00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:58,680
Speaker 3: to be on here, but he at least already has

508
00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:01,560
Speaker 3: chemistry with his new quarterback, you know what I mean.

509
00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:05,000
Speaker 1: True, But Josh Allen, he just is gonna launch it.

510
00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 1: You know, you know how he does.

511
00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:12,399
Speaker 3: But yeah, getting those getting those air yards, I'll give

512
00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:12,639
Speaker 3: him that.

513
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:17,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, yeah, they need it. But uh yeah,

514
00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:20,800
Speaker 2: it's it's a tough it's a tough projection. But yeah,

515
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:23,600
Speaker 2: I'll go Cooper just because I think he's at he's healthier.

516
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:24,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right.

517
00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:29,280
Speaker 3: Tight end tough five Travis Kelce, Trey McBride, George Kittle,

518
00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:32,080
Speaker 3: Brock Bauers, Kyle Pitts, got.

519
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:37,119
Speaker 1: Kelsey, Kittle, Bowers, McBride, and Laporta. Who are you high on?

520
00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:40,960
Speaker 3: I am high on David Joku. He's my tight end

521
00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:44,240
Speaker 3: ten to open up the week They're playing the Bengals,

522
00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:47,320
Speaker 3: and you know jok who's kind of been in and

523
00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 3: out of the lineup due to injuries this year, but

524
00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:52,720
Speaker 3: he appears to be healthy finally ran a season high

525
00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:57,280
Speaker 3: sixty seven percent restaurant rate. Would imagine that only goes

526
00:26:57,359 --> 00:27:00,560
Speaker 3: up going forward assuming he is healthy. He saw a

527
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:03,960
Speaker 3: target on thirty five percent of his routes last week,

528
00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:06,199
Speaker 3: and now you know Mark Cooper's gone, so his target

529
00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:09,800
Speaker 3: chair should only go up and again down the road,

530
00:27:09,880 --> 00:27:13,720
Speaker 3: we could see Jamis Winston replace Deshaun Watson, which could

531
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:16,920
Speaker 3: help the entire offense. So Joku's back inside my top

532
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:19,639
Speaker 3: ten for this week, and you know I love his

533
00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:23,159
Speaker 3: upside the rest of the season. Now with Mark Cooper gunn.

534
00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:25,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, he he was on pace for a big game.

535
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:27,640
Speaker 2: I don't he didn't do much in the second half

536
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:32,800
Speaker 2: interestingly enough, but yeah, I think he should have a

537
00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:34,800
Speaker 2: good should be in a good spot now with Cooper out.

538
00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:37,920
Speaker 2: I'm high on Kobe Parkinson. He's my tight end twelve.

539
00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:40,679
Speaker 2: ECR has him tight end twenty two. He's still got

540
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:42,680
Speaker 2: an eighty one percent route rate still going up against

541
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:45,919
Speaker 2: his Vegas defense that's thirty first and Dvoa against tight end.

542
00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:50,439
Speaker 2: So there are some tight ends that, like I mentioned

543
00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:52,000
Speaker 2: in I think the last part they're going to be

544
00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:55,800
Speaker 2: ranked above him. But he has more routes and ultimately

545
00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:58,359
Speaker 2: that's going to be predictive more often than not. So

546
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:03,240
Speaker 2: still like Kobe Parkinson as a fringe Titan one who

547
00:28:03,320 --> 00:28:03,680
Speaker 2: you lo on.

548
00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:10,280
Speaker 3: Sam Laporta, he's my tight end eleven this week. Yeah, Yeah,

549
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:13,280
Speaker 3: he's only seen a target on eleven percent of his

550
00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:16,440
Speaker 3: routes this year. You know, obviously that's just gonna go

551
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:20,280
Speaker 3: up going for but still a decent concern. I'm he

552
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:23,399
Speaker 3: still has to compete for targets with aman Ra, Saint Brown,

553
00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:26,800
Speaker 3: Jamis and Williams, you know, having his breakout season I

554
00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:31,000
Speaker 3: think is definitely ginging Laporta's value a bit. Plus, Laporta

555
00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:34,480
Speaker 3: has caught of his targets this year, so he's he's

556
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:39,520
Speaker 3: actually due for some negative catch progression. And this is

557
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:42,200
Speaker 3: just a tougher matchup this week against the Vikings, so

558
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:45,200
Speaker 3: obviously you got to start him if you have him,

559
00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:48,240
Speaker 3: I wouldn't be too concerned long term about him. But

560
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:51,440
Speaker 3: again having said that, he's still outside my top ten

561
00:28:51,520 --> 00:28:52,400
Speaker 3: to open the week.

562
00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, although a lot of the Lions take a little

563
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:57,240
Speaker 2: bit of a hit this week just in a tougher

564
00:28:57,320 --> 00:29:01,240
Speaker 2: matchup against the Vikings, but I still have to rank

565
00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:04,560
Speaker 2: him above Kyle Pitts and those guys like I'm not

566
00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:07,480
Speaker 2: not doing it, not even gonna get tricked into that.

567
00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:12,320
Speaker 2: I'm low on Mark Andrews. He's a guy that I

568
00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:14,400
Speaker 2: you know, you talked about him last week.

569
00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:15,520
Speaker 4: He did have a.

570
00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:17,960
Speaker 2: Pretty good game, but I think this concern still remains.

571
00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:20,120
Speaker 2: He's only running around in sixty percent of the dropbacks

572
00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:22,560
Speaker 2: this year. Even in the big game or the I

573
00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 2: should say big game, but good decent game last week,

574
00:29:25,720 --> 00:29:28,280
Speaker 2: still ran around only sixty percent of the dropbacks. Over

575
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:31,680
Speaker 2: the last four games, it's only forty seven percent. So

576
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:34,960
Speaker 2: he's just very volatile in terms of the usage. And

577
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 2: he has the top five targets in a game. And

578
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:39,480
Speaker 2: this is a guy that really used to get his

579
00:29:39,640 --> 00:29:42,880
Speaker 2: value from being that lead target in Baltimore. So the

580
00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 2: fact that he's not seeing more than five targets in

581
00:29:45,560 --> 00:29:47,760
Speaker 2: any game means he has to be hyper efficient.

582
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,320
Speaker 1: He's averaging ten point three yards per target, which.

583
00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:54,280
Speaker 2: Is about one point six higher than his career average

584
00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:56,400
Speaker 2: of eight point seven. It's the highest he's had since

585
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 2: his rookie year when he only had fifty targets, so

586
00:29:59,400 --> 00:30:02,920
Speaker 2: he could be for some regression efficiency wise, and then

587
00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:05,840
Speaker 2: that's just gonna leave him as like a tight end

588
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:06,840
Speaker 2: middling tight end too.

589
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:12,600
Speaker 4: So he is my tight end twenty ECR tight end ten, but.

590
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:14,480
Speaker 2: Even in a good matchup, he's just not running enough

591
00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:16,960
Speaker 2: routes I think to be considered as as a tee

592
00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:20,760
Speaker 2: one for me. Speaking of let's go with Andrews for

593
00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:23,440
Speaker 2: the prop because I know that's he's going to be

594
00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:27,200
Speaker 2: kind of the the polarizing guy that's kind of on

595
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:30,240
Speaker 2: that fringe. I know you were down on him last week,

596
00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:32,520
Speaker 2: but he did, he did have a good game. I think,

597
00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:35,280
Speaker 2: I think the concern still remains. I'm gonna set his

598
00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:41,800
Speaker 2: receiving yardage line for this week at thirty one and

599
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:42,160
Speaker 2: a half.

600
00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:47,920
Speaker 3: Oh well, I have his projection at thirty one, so

601
00:30:48,080 --> 00:30:50,280
Speaker 3: his median is going to be a little bit lower,

602
00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:51,239
Speaker 3: so I'll go under here.

603
00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:55,040
Speaker 1: Yeah see, I mean that's that's not a lot of yards. No,

604
00:30:55,240 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 1: it's not a top ten tight end. That's not a

605
00:30:57,080 --> 00:30:57,760
Speaker 1: top time.

606
00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 3: Last week, Yeah, last week, I was saying in to

607
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:04,200
Speaker 3: start to try to sell high. He might go off

608
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,479
Speaker 3: against the Manners, but going forward, you know the Ravens

609
00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:11,520
Speaker 3: are going to be in a lot of leading run

610
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 3: heavy game scripts. He's gonna get worse for Andrews. He

611
00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 3: really needs Isaiah likely to miss time to even like

612
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:21,360
Speaker 3: sniff tighten one value. So yeah, I think after last week,

613
00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 3: you gotta sell high. If you can. You'll probably get

614
00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:28,720
Speaker 3: some sucker to buy back in Andrews right now. But yeah,

615
00:31:28,800 --> 00:31:31,200
Speaker 3: the underlying usage just is not there for him right now.

616
00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:33,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, remember what I said at the beginning of the year,

617
00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 2: after that first game, I was like, I like, could

618
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:38,480
Speaker 2: outproduce him even if they both stay healthy.

619
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:40,040
Speaker 4: That's that's what's going on right now.

620
00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:44,520
Speaker 2: Likely eighteen for two O seven and three, Andrews thirteen

621
00:31:44,600 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 2: for win eighty.

622
00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:45,760
Speaker 1: Six and one.

623
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:49,040
Speaker 4: So we'll see if that continues. All right, that's gonna

624
00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:49,160
Speaker 4: do it.

625
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:52,200
Speaker 2: For our NFL Week seven player projections episode here on

626
00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:55,640
Speaker 2: the Fantasy Flex. Make sure to subscribe to the Fantasy

627
00:31:55,680 --> 00:31:58,800
Speaker 2: Flex podcast so you don't miss an episode all season long.

628
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:02,719
Speaker 1: Sean and I dropped three per week fantasylabs dot com.

629
00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:05,400
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630
00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:09,120
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