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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting PROSPGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris, joined

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Speaker 1: as always by Bo mcbrair.

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Speaker 2: The PGA Tour is on.

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Speaker 1: Hiatus this week, letting the Olympic Golf competition take the spotlight.

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Speaker 1: So Bo and I are going to give you a

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Speaker 1: betting preview of Olympic Golf.

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Speaker 2: We'll also recap the three I'm open.

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Speaker 1: We're going to skip the one and done picks this

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Speaker 1: week since the tour is on hiatus and there's no

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Speaker 1: prize money in the Olympic Golf competition, but we'll end

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Speaker 1: the show with a quick update on our one and

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Speaker 1: done battle. The Betting pros PGA podcast is sponsored by

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Speaker 1: Underdog Fantasy. Underdog is the place to go for fantasy

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Speaker 1: football bestball contests, but you might not have known that

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Speaker 1: Underdog has fantasy golf contest too. Visit Underdog Fantasy dot

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Speaker 1: com or find Underdog in the app store, and don't

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Speaker 1: forget to register with the promo code BP Golf to

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Speaker 1: claim your special pick and to get a first time

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Speaker 1: deposit offer of up to two hundred and fifty dollars

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Speaker 1: in bonus cash. More on Underdog in its golf contest

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Speaker 1: a little bit later, Jonathan Vegas wins.

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Speaker 2: The three M Open.

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Speaker 1: It was the first PGA Tour win in seven years

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Speaker 1: for the notoriously streaky Johnny Vegas, who's dealt with elbow

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Speaker 1: and shoulder injuries the last couple of years, and he

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Speaker 1: had to sweat it out until the very end. Bow

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Speaker 1: Vegas frier to sixty three on Saturday to take the

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Speaker 1: league going into the final round. Matt Kocher started Sunday

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Speaker 1: one shot back. Maverick McNeely was two shots back, but

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Speaker 1: it was rookie Max Grazerman who really dialed up the

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Speaker 1: heat on Vegas in the final round. Grazerman shot a

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Speaker 1: final round sixty three and was six under par on

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Speaker 1: the back nine. Vegas was even par through the first

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Speaker 1: seventeen holes of his last round, and he and Grazerman

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Speaker 1: were tied when Johnny Vegas stepped to the tee on

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Speaker 1: number eighteen. The eighteenth hole at TPC Twin Cities is

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Speaker 1: a reachable par five. Vegas did reach it in two,

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Speaker 1: but he was just barely on the green feet away

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Speaker 1: from the hole.

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Speaker 2: Needed to get down in two.

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Speaker 1: For the win and had a great lag putt to

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Speaker 1: three feet cleaned it up for the victory, ending his

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Speaker 1: long drought. Vegas is now inside the top seventy in

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Speaker 1: the FedEx Cup points standing, so he's now positioned to

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Speaker 1: qualify for the FedEx Cup playoffs in a couple of weeks.

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Speaker 1: Max Grazerman also moved inside the top seventy. Matt Coocher

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Speaker 1: and Maverick McNeely both finished tied for third two shots

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Speaker 1: back bow. Any takeaways from the three M.

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Speaker 3: Open, apparently we know nothing because Johnny Vegas. I mean,

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Speaker 3: I've had good success over the years betting the three

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Speaker 3: M Open. I'll admit I won two years ago when

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Speaker 3: Tony Fena one, and it just seemed like there's a

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Speaker 3: there's a prototype, there's a streaky hot putter who can

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Speaker 3: get off the tee really well, who can hit it

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Speaker 3: close on approach. And Johnny Vegas is good off the tee.

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Speaker 3: He's one of the best drivers of the golf ball

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Speaker 3: in the world. But he's one hundred and fifty six

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Speaker 3: then putting, he was ninetieth then proximity on approach in

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Speaker 3: this field, which isn't a very good field. So I

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Speaker 3: had no indication that Johnny Vegas would win this week.

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Speaker 3: A couple people did have him as a long shot.

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Speaker 3: He was ninety to one for a lot of books,

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Speaker 3: and he was on my radar. Gray Zerman wasn't. Really

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Speaker 3: nobody that made any noise was on my radar because

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Speaker 3: they were all guys who had played pretty badly all season,

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Speaker 3: except for the guys that we thought were going to

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Speaker 3: play well who were playing well, and they all played

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Speaker 3: terribly this week and they didn't even contend, So we

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Speaker 3: know nothing. That's that's my takeaway from the Three M

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Speaker 3: Open is sometimes golf, whether you're playing it or betting

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Speaker 3: on it, will tell you that you know nothing. And

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Speaker 3: don't take it too personally because next time you go

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Speaker 3: out there and do it, you might look like a genius.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that was about it.

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Speaker 1: Johnny Vegas like he's he's always a threat to have

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Speaker 1: that great week, but it had been so long since

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Speaker 1: he had seriously contended anywhere.

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Speaker 3: He tried to give it away too. He really did

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Speaker 3: try to give that one away with the putter, and

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Speaker 3: it was the putter that saved him at the end.

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Speaker 3: That ninety six foot lag putt was incredible and I

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Speaker 3: was thinking, like, Oh, anybody else, I'm thinking, Oh, it's

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Speaker 3: not that bad. If he goes to a playoff. I

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Speaker 3: probably think he could beat Gracerman, but with him as

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Speaker 3: bad of a putter as he is, I was like, well,

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Speaker 3: this is this isn't even a good bet for that

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Speaker 3: that three putt and from that far away, and he

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Speaker 3: lagged it up there perfectly. And so we know nothing.

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Speaker 3: We know absolutely nothing. These guys are all really good.

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Speaker 3: They all have the ability to win a golf tournament.

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Speaker 3: It just took Johnny Vegas seven years to get another one.

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Speaker 1: And good for him, gets into the FedEx Cup playoffs

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Speaker 1: where there's a lot of money, gets his master's ticket

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Speaker 1: punched for twenty twenty five. Good job, Johnny Vegas. Yes, sir,

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Speaker 1: we will get to the Olympic golf in just a minute.

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Speaker 1: But first, our friends at Underdog Fantasy are letting you

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Speaker 1: make picks on your favorite golfers all season long. Just

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Speaker 1: pick higher or lower on selected stats for two to

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Speaker 1: five golfers and you can win up to twenty times

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Speaker 1: your money in a single day. You can also make

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Speaker 1: rivals picks, where you choose, for instance, which of two

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Speaker 1: golfers will shoot a better score in a round. Golf

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Speaker 1: picks can be combined with stats from other sports. To

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Speaker 1: go sign up at Underdog Fantasy with the promo code

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Speaker 1: BP Golf to claim your special pick and to get

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Speaker 1: a first time deposit offer of up to two hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty dollars in bonus cash. On to the Olympics.

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Speaker 1: BO and I will skip our analysis of archery and

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Speaker 1: team handball and get straight to the golf the Olympic.

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Speaker 3: I'm more of a bad minton guy.

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Speaker 1: It's it's kind of fun to watch the bad It's

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Speaker 1: not the bad minton you play at Picnics.

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Speaker 3: It's a little different. Maybe speak for yourself. The teams

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Speaker 3: I was watching are all from NorCal because we just

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Speaker 3: take a little more seriously around here. We're a bad

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Speaker 3: minton community.

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Speaker 1: The Olympic golf competition will play out as a sixty

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Speaker 1: man tournament, beginning early Thursday morning and ending on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: The field is determined by official World Golf rankings, with

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Speaker 1: no more than four players from any single country in

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Speaker 1: the competition.

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Speaker 2: It's seventy two holes.

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Speaker 1: Stroke play, no cots, with gold, silver and bronze medals

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Speaker 1: awarded at the end. Ties for any of the metal

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Speaker 1: spots will be broken with a sudden death playoff. So

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Speaker 1: basically it is a conventional golf tournament with a field

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Speaker 1: similar to the size of the fields we've seen in

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Speaker 1: elevated events on the PGA Tour This year at the

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Speaker 1: Olympic Games in Tokyo that were held in twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: one rather than twenty twenty because of COVID nineteen Xanderschoffley

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Speaker 1: won the gold rory, Sabatini won silver, and ct Pan

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Speaker 1: won bronze. The host course is Legolf Nacional, just outside

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Speaker 1: of Paris. Course hosted the I Try. This course hosted

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Speaker 1: the twenty eighteen Ryder Cup, won by the European team,

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Speaker 1: and also hosts the DP World Tours Open de France.

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Speaker 1: Leagolf Nacional is a par seventy one that plays two

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Speaker 1: seven and seventy four yards. Not a long course, but

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Speaker 1: it's a pretty tight course, so the emphasis will be

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Speaker 1: on accuracy off the tea rather than distance. The greens

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Speaker 1: are big and fast, and there's some water that comes

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Speaker 1: into play, especially.

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Speaker 2: The last four holes. The last two.

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Speaker 1: Holes are extremely demanding. Par four is measuring four hundred

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Speaker 1: and eighty and four hundred and seventy one yards. There

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Speaker 1: are a lot of mounds on this course. It kind

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Speaker 1: of looks like a pet Die Stadium course a little bit.

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Speaker 2: So both of you, have you studied this course?

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Speaker 1: Like what will players need to do to find success

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Speaker 1: at Legolf Nacional.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I really do agree with that Pete Die kind

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Speaker 3: of comp there. It's not like Sagrass where you really

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Speaker 3: do have to think you're a way more of like

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Speaker 3: your positional strategic accuracy based course distance is not going

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Speaker 3: to give you an advantage on this course, but accuracy

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Speaker 3: really does, especially on approach and being that it is

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Speaker 3: a second shot golf course. A lot of them on

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Speaker 3: the PGA Tour all as well. But the ability to

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Speaker 3: get close to the pin and score on this golf

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Speaker 3: course will come down to iron play, and that's gonna

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Speaker 3: be very important, especially on that finishing stretch where you

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Speaker 3: get some really tough approach shots, especially on seventeen and

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Speaker 3: eighteen where you're gonna be hitting mid irons. For most

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Speaker 3: of these guys, it really does balance the field out.

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Speaker 3: Just like we saw Sabatini and Ctpan get medals three

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Speaker 3: years ago in Tokyo, we might see some more of

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Speaker 3: those deep shots kind of make noise, even though the

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Speaker 3: field this year is a lot stronger than it was

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Speaker 3: in Tokyo. This is gonna be a lot of fun

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Speaker 3: to watch, especially with no cut. Yes, there's no prize money,

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Speaker 3: but medals are cool. And zandersoftly winning the gold last

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Speaker 3: time that was impressive because it's like, until then, we

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Speaker 3: didn't think he could win anything, did we.

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Speaker 1: That's right, and here we are three years later and

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Speaker 1: he's got a couple of majors freshly under his belt,

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Speaker 1: so he comes in on a high.

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Speaker 2: We'll get to the odds.

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Speaker 1: In the favorites in just a moment, but first, if

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Speaker 1: you want a chance to win a free one year

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Speaker 1: premium Betting Pro subscription, subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube

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Speaker 1: channel right now, comment below on this video and that's it.

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Speaker 1: We'll be announcing a winner right here on the channel.

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Speaker 1: So turn on those notifications so you can be alerted

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Speaker 1: when new episodes are up and to claim your prize.

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Speaker 1: Pros Betting Systems feature designed to help you find winning

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Speaker 1: trends and make smarter bets, Create and customize your own

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Speaker 1: systems by sport, bet type, timeframe, or other selected parameters

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Speaker 1: in order to find the most profitable bet opportunities. Not

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Speaker 1: only can you make your own systems, you can follow

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Speaker 1: Downloading us the Betting Pros app today to find profitable

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Speaker 1: betting systems. Now, let's look at the odds for the

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Speaker 1: men's Olympic golf competition. All odds courtesy of DraftKings as

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Speaker 1: of late Monday afternoon. Scotti Scheffler no surprise, He's the

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Speaker 1: favorite at plus three sixty Xanders Schoffley is plus five

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Speaker 1: point fifty. Rory McElroy plus seven fifty. John Rahm freshoff

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Speaker 1: will live to her victory is plus one thousand, Colin

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Speaker 1: Morikawa plus eleven hundred, Ludwig Oberg plus twelve hundred, Tommy

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Speaker 1: Fleetwood plus two thousand, Shane Lowry and Joaquin Neeman plus

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Speaker 1: twenty two hundred, Victor Hoblind and Tom Kim plus twenty

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Speaker 1: five hundred, Alex Norn plus twenty eight hundred, and Canadian

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Speaker 1: Corey Connors plus three thousand. Which of the favorites do

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Speaker 1: you like both?

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Speaker 3: Well? I did and it's a second shot golf course,

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Speaker 3: and who's the best approach player in the world. That

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Speaker 3: would be Scotty Scheffler plus three sixty to win a

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Speaker 3: medal or to win the gold medal. I'll take Scotty

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Speaker 3: Scheffler in spades. And then obviously none of these guys

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Speaker 3: are bad. I'm gonna a little bit of a fade

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Speaker 3: on Rory McElroy because of the way the course sets up.

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Speaker 3: He doesn't have that bomber's advantage that he usually gets.

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Speaker 3: But Xander Schoffley's all around game is so solid and

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Speaker 3: he's his form is so good. I wouldn't fault you

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Speaker 3: for betting plus five fifty on Xander, although that's a

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Speaker 3: little short for my liking rom a little short for

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Speaker 3: my liking too. Colin Morikawa is a screaming value at

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Speaker 3: plus eleven hundred on this golf course. This is the

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Speaker 3: second best approach player on the planet in my eyes,

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Speaker 3: so Scheffler, Calin more Kawa. Team USA is going to

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Speaker 3: be so strongly the ability for I think that TUSA

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Speaker 3: is going to sweep the podium. That's that's my prediction.

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Speaker 3: And so if you can find a nice little bet

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Speaker 3: to do that with I don't know if there's a

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Speaker 3: line out there for that, but if you can find

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Speaker 3: a line for USA sweeping gold, silver and bronze, I

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Speaker 3: would take it. That's that's gonna have some pretty good

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Speaker 3: odds too. It because Scottie Xander Colin what a trio.

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Speaker 1: No Wyndham Clark on the metal stand for the USA

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Speaker 1: and your vision of how this plays out. No chance

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Speaker 1: we'll get to him in a bit. Yeah, So Shoffley,

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Speaker 1: I do wonder if there's a little bit of a

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Speaker 1: malaise for him after the two majors, you know, already

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Speaker 1: having that Olympic gold, it would be great for him

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Speaker 1: to win another one. He'll probably be playing free and

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Speaker 1: easy and maybe that's a good thing for him. And

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Speaker 1: you know, bo, I'm sort of interested in Rory McElroy

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Speaker 1: with the premium on driving on this course. Maybe it

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Speaker 1: feels like he has a little something to prove after

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Speaker 1: missing the cut at the Open Championship. Had been in

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Speaker 1: really fine form before Royal Troon sort of beat him

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Speaker 1: up a little bit, and Rory's got some experience on

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Speaker 1: this course. He went two and three in his Ryder

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Speaker 1: Cup matches here in twenty eighteen, lost to Justin Thomas

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Speaker 1: and the singles one up, and he finished third at

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Speaker 1: the Open Defrance here in twenty sixteen. I'm with you

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Speaker 1: on Kalamarkawa. Bo finished sixteenth or better in eight straight events,

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Speaker 1: and you'd think his precision ball striking would play really

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Speaker 1: well at Le Gulf Nacional. Tommy Fleetwood and Alex Norin

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Speaker 1: maybe some guys. Well, they're both past winners of the

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Speaker 1: Open Defrance, but neither is exactly known as a great closer,

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Speaker 1: so I can see I would imagine that you bow

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Speaker 1: are shying away from both guys since they don't win

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Speaker 1: very often. All right, let's talk about some of the

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Speaker 1: mid range options we've got. Hideki Matzi jan I'm at

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Speaker 1: plus thirty five.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, at Alex Norn is Yeah, you.

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Speaker 2: Want to add on Alex Norin.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. I was just going to say, Alex Norn's a

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Speaker 3: great guy if you need to make a cut, but

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Speaker 3: there's no cut at this event. And I believe Tommy

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Speaker 3: Fleetwood's last win as a professional was at Le Gulf nac.

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Speaker 1: I did not realize that was his last victory. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's look at the mid range options we've got. Hadeki

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Speaker 1: Matsuyama at plus thirty five hundred.

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Speaker 3: Minwu twenty seventeen.

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Speaker 1: Twenty seventeen. Wow, that's the last time Tommy Fleetwood won.

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Speaker 1: My goodness, all right, Minwu Lee plus four thousand.

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Speaker 3: I'm not exactly sure, but it's one of the last times.

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Speaker 1: Let's look at the mid range options. Hadeki Matsuyama is

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Speaker 1: plus thirty five hundred, Minwu Lee plus four thousand, Sepstraca

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Speaker 1: and Matt Fitzpatrick plus forty five hundred, Jason Day ben

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Speaker 1: On and Thomas Dietrie plus fifty five hundred, Christian Bazunahaut

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Speaker 1: plus sixty five hundred, and Matthew playing in his home

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Speaker 1: nation plus seven thousand. Does anyone from this group appeal

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Speaker 1: to you both?

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Speaker 3: I don't really like this scroup at all. I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: stick to the favorites for most of this. I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: take some deep shots. But I guess d Tree, as

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Speaker 3: a Belgian kind of appeals here because there's a local

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Speaker 3: favoritism there. He's played the Gulf Nasional many times before.

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Speaker 3: D Tree interests me at fifty five to one. But

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Speaker 3: that whole group is of players I don't see winning

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Speaker 3: a medal, so I'm probably gonna shy away from most

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Speaker 3: of them.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Matsuyama head back to back top tens at the Memorial

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Speaker 1: in US Open, but hasn't fared well in Europe over

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Speaker 1: the last month. Missed the cut at the Scottish Open

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Speaker 1: with sixty six at the Open Championship. Wyndham Clark we

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Speaker 1: mentioned him earlier, terrific putter, but he does not drive

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Speaker 1: the ball all that accurately, so this doesn't seem like

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Speaker 1: a place where Wyndam Clark would shine. Matt Fitzpatrick known

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Speaker 1: for precise ball striking and reliable putting, but not really

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Speaker 1: this year. He's finished thirty sixth or worse in six

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Speaker 1: of his last seven events. What about long shots? Is

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Speaker 1: there anyone you like at seventy five to one or

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Speaker 1: longer odds?

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Speaker 3: Bow The Frenchman that I'm going to play is Victor

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Speaker 3: Perez at ninety to one. I like Mattieu Pavon, but

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Speaker 3: I prefer Victor Perez at his odds. Victor Perez is

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Speaker 3: better set up for this golf course. He's a really

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Speaker 3: good iron player, he can get hot. And I'm also

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Speaker 3: going to take a spot at a shot at the

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Speaker 3: Spaniard David Pooche one hundred and twenty to one. Another

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Speaker 3: guy who's fit for this golf course is really nice.

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Speaker 3: He's a very accurate player, great short game, and don't

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Speaker 3: be surprised if Mito Pereira from Chile makes a little

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Speaker 3: noise at one hundred and fifty to one. We haven't

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Speaker 3: heard that name in a while.

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Speaker 1: I am sort of intrigued by New Zealander Ryan Fox

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Speaker 1: at eighty to one. I mean, he's finished top twenty

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Speaker 1: five and four of his last nine events, and he's

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Speaker 1: played the Open to France five times, although he's missed

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Speaker 1: the cut in the last two appearances. All right, bo

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Speaker 1: let's talk betting cards. Where are you putting your money.

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Speaker 3: I'm going to take a double dip on Scottie Scheffler

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Speaker 3: as a winner. I'm going to take a shot at

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Speaker 3: Colin Morikawa at plus eleven hundred, and I'm going to

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Speaker 3: throw a little bit more down the pike at my guy,

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Speaker 3: oh sorry, Victor Perez. And I'm going to take small

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Speaker 3: dips at David Pooge and Mito Pereda. But the main,

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Speaker 3: the main bet I'm gonna be looking for is that

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Speaker 3: podium trifecta.

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Speaker 1: The triple USA finish. Nice that would be something else.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to bet Rory at plus seven point fifty.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to bet Colin Morikawa. Write with you, Bo,

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Speaker 1: that's maybe the bet I feel strongest about it. Plus

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Speaker 1: eleven hundred and just one more. How can I not

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Speaker 1: bet Matthew Pavon at plus seven thousand in his home country.

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Speaker 1: So we're not making one and done picks this week

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Speaker 1: because there's no prize money, but we will quickly recap

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Speaker 1: last week's results before we go.

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Speaker 2: BO took Luke Clanton.

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Speaker 1: Last week at the three M Open, Clanton missed the cut.

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Speaker 1: This was Bo's second straight missed cut. Good thing He's

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Speaker 1: got a big lead in the one and done competition.

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Speaker 1: I took ak Sha Batilla Young. Aksha tumbled down the

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Speaker 1: leaderboard with the final round sixty six seventy six. Excuse

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Speaker 1: me if only he had a final round sixty six.

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Speaker 1: Akshay finished in a tie for sixty fourth, good for

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Speaker 1: a whopping seventeen four hundred and fifteen dollars. That's not

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Speaker 1: going to put much of a dent in Bo's three

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Speaker 1: point seven million dollar lead. And that's all for this

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Speaker 1: week's show. Thank you to our sponsor, Underdog Fantasy sign

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00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:54,800
Speaker 1: up for Underdog with the promo code BP Golf to

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00:18:54,800 --> 00:18:56,880
Speaker 1: get your special pick and to get a first time

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00:18:56,920 --> 00:19:00,119
Speaker 1: deposit offer up to two hundred and fifty dollars in

350
00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:02,840
Speaker 1: bonus cash. And please come join Bow and I again

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00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:05,840
Speaker 1: next week when we'll be previewing the windhom Championship, the

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Speaker 1: final event before the start of the FedEx Cup playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Until then, so long everyone.

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Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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