1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,200 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:05,800 Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p joep Zipia and 3 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 1: the Major League Baseball season is upon us. And what 4 00:00:08,920 --> 00:00:11,280 Speaker 1: does that mean? It's time to look to the future. Baby. 5 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: We're gonna talk to Craig Mish, MLB insider, the man 6 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:16,959 Speaker 1: at sports Grid TV, and the man that follows the 7 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:20,160 Speaker 1: Marlins every still little step they take, and of course 8 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 1: the Welsh is gonna join me as well. Leading off 9 00:00:23,079 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 1: live by the way, it begins on Fantasy Bros MLB Thursday, 10 00:00:26,239 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 1: Opening Day and then every Monday through Friday, twelve thirty 11 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 1: Eastern Live. They're on the channel if you haven't already 12 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 1: subscribed to Fantasy Brows MLB because we're gonna be the 13 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:38,239 Speaker 1: best in MLB betting, MLB, Fantasy MLB, everything Welsh. It's 14 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:41,120 Speaker 1: gonna be a hot time. And of course opening Day 15 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:44,160 Speaker 1: we're wigging out because we have over eighteen thousand subs 16 00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:46,159 Speaker 1: now on the channel. Because of you, we will be 17 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:49,279 Speaker 1: wearing amazing wigs on opening Day. Craig Mish, you never 18 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:51,080 Speaker 1: need a wig. The hair always looks good. Mish. I 19 00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 1: also know you're a big fan of curby your enthusiasm. 20 00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:55,080 Speaker 1: I don't know how caught up you are right now. 21 00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 1: I am, But the other day I was at my 22 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:02,080 Speaker 1: daughter's play and someone hung their jacket over the back 23 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:03,840 Speaker 1: of a chair in front of me, and that's all 24 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 1: I could think about the rest of the show. Are 25 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:08,360 Speaker 1: you ready for that to happen now for the rest 26 00:01:08,400 --> 00:01:09,760 Speaker 1: of your life? 27 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:13,759 Speaker 2: I am very caught up, you know. I I watched 28 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 2: the first two live and then I've been maxing the rest. 29 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 2: I've been going to the app and watching. I think 30 00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 2: either halfway when it's over, or like the next day. 31 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:25,560 Speaker 2: But yes, I totally feel you. My I think my 32 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:27,400 Speaker 2: jacket is on my other chair, by the way I 33 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 2: get it, put it on my head, or I feel like. 34 00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:32,479 Speaker 3: I'm missing out by the way like I've had people no, no, 35 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 3: but I've had people tell me like I am Larry David, 36 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 3: like my personality. And the only bit I can recall recently, 37 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 3: and it had me on the floor, was to thank 38 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 3: you for your service bit and it had me just 39 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 3: dying and crying. 40 00:01:47,280 --> 00:01:49,240 Speaker 4: And I feel like I need to digest a lot 41 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 4: of curb I. 42 00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 2: Would say, I would say for the show in particular. Look, 43 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:56,440 Speaker 2: they've had a lot of seasons. It's really funny when 44 00:01:56,480 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 2: you go on the app on max it can, it 45 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 2: shows you, like all the years the first season was 46 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 2: two thousand, those like twenty four years ago. They all 47 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 2: look like completely different and we were like me and 48 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 2: my wife were like scrolling through all of the past 49 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 2: seasons and all and like some were like, ah, this 50 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:13,680 Speaker 2: season in particular, it has been an elite season. It 51 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:17,520 Speaker 2: is very funny, a lot of really good, funny, laugh 52 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 2: out loud jokes. 53 00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:21,359 Speaker 1: It's been one of the best ones. And I'm very 54 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 1: sad that they're ending it because I feel like they're 55 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:25,399 Speaker 1: leaving on a well again, leaving on a high note. 56 00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 1: That's classic Larry David at the end of the day, 57 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 1: so maybe not so weird after all, but Welsh, I'll 58 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 1: explain to be a little jacket over the chair thing. 59 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:33,640 Speaker 1: After the show. We're here to talk about baseball. And 60 00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:36,040 Speaker 1: of course, if you haven't subscribed to Betting Pros, I 61 00:02:36,040 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 1: don't know what you're waiting for. Do it right now. 62 00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:39,839 Speaker 1: Download the Betting Pros app too, because again the prop 63 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet every single day for MLB is available. 64 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:44,560 Speaker 1: The prop bet analyzer every single day is available. We'll 65 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 1: be using those tools on the MLB Show, breaking down 66 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:49,799 Speaker 1: bets for you every single day. But today we're looking 67 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 1: at the future, so we're gonna go through some win totals, 68 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:55,040 Speaker 1: our favorite over unders. Get Craig's opinion on those, maybe 69 00:02:55,040 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 1: he has won for us as well. We're also gonna 70 00:02:57,040 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 1: talk about our favorite season long props, and of course 71 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 1: the awards, which is why you come here, because Joey 72 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:04,800 Speaker 1: Futures never let you down on the awards. We have 73 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:08,280 Speaker 1: been rolling Welsh last couple of years getting all these 74 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:10,920 Speaker 1: real well maybe me maybe a little bit more meat. 75 00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:13,640 Speaker 3: But CORNA Carroll was my only Corvin Carroll was myster bet. 76 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:16,440 Speaker 3: Last year I paid, but I didn't cash. Futures haven't 77 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 3: been the best futures guy, but I'm turning that around 78 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 3: this year. 79 00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: That's right, Corbyn Carrol, Gunner Henderson Combo special on FANDO 80 00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 1: last year was very pretty. We love that one. So 81 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:29,200 Speaker 1: let's start here with our favorite overs and unders. Craig, 82 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:32,040 Speaker 1: My favorite over this year going into twenty twenty four 83 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 1: is the San Diego Padres. I look at this pitching staff. 84 00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 1: I know the fifth starter Brito look pretty good this spring, 85 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:41,000 Speaker 1: but really, you bring in cease Darvish's elbows all cleaned up. 86 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:44,040 Speaker 1: Joe Musgrove when he is right, he is elite. And 87 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 1: then of course the acquisition of Michael King has nothing 88 00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:48,960 Speaker 1: to sneeze at as well. This is a really good rotation. 89 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: They've still got plenty of offense there with Machada, with Tatis, 90 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 1: with Xander Boguards. Eighty five and a half is the 91 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 1: number I'm going over on that. I know the West 92 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:01,360 Speaker 1: is very competitive. Do you think the Padres with that 93 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 1: rotation can be competitive and go over or under this 94 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:04,960 Speaker 1: eighty five and a half. 95 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, but look, there's a lot to unpack with all 96 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 2: of the totals. You know. The first thing that I 97 00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 2: think that we all fall victim to is and it's 98 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 2: not that the Padres don't have a good rotation. It's 99 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:17,159 Speaker 2: just a notion of thinking, like we'll even be talking 100 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 2: about these pitchers in August and September. It's just I 101 00:04:19,720 --> 00:04:21,760 Speaker 2: can't believe what's going on in baseball with the amount 102 00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:24,960 Speaker 2: of injuries every year that we have to endure and 103 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 2: see so many different players there as far as the 104 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:29,719 Speaker 2: talent is concerned, I mean, the key name that you 105 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 2: mentioned with the Padres, Joe for this to go over, 106 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 2: in my opinion, has got to be Xander Bogart's. You 107 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:36,240 Speaker 2: cannot give a player three hundred million dollars and now 108 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:37,919 Speaker 2: all of a sudden you move them the second base 109 00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 2: and then not get the production that you thought another player. 110 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 2: I think that is, you know, maybe better than all 111 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:45,720 Speaker 2: of the other players you just mentioned on the Padres. 112 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 2: Actually Hassan Kim. I think Hassan Kim is a phenomenal 113 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:51,760 Speaker 2: player that is ready for a big breakout, as if 114 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 2: he didn't have it already. I think that he could 115 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 2: break out too. So I don't know that it would 116 00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:57,719 Speaker 2: be my favorite one on the board, only because again, 117 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 2: the Dodgers are formidable, the Diamondbacks are formidable. I think 118 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:04,120 Speaker 2: the Giants will not be. I think that that was 119 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 2: just you know, throwing money around, which is great and 120 00:05:06,839 --> 00:05:09,400 Speaker 2: it makes the fans happy and maybe put some fans 121 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 2: in the stands. I know that they've struggled with that 122 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:12,839 Speaker 2: the last couple of years. Rockies aren't going to be good, 123 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:15,919 Speaker 2: But I do see the Padres as a third place team, 124 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:19,839 Speaker 2: so I think that total is fair. It's not that 125 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:21,440 Speaker 2: I love it or hate it. I just think it's 126 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:23,479 Speaker 2: going to be right around that number that they gave 127 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:24,479 Speaker 2: out Welsh. 128 00:05:24,520 --> 00:05:26,359 Speaker 1: Do you have a favorite overheading into the season of 129 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:27,599 Speaker 1: any of the win totals of team. 130 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:28,920 Speaker 4: Yeah, I've actually got so, I got two. I'm gonna 131 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 4: do one little cheach, the little cheechy cheek. 132 00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:34,039 Speaker 3: I am an over, but this is going to be 133 00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:37,720 Speaker 3: a little homersm. But the minute the Diamondbacks signed Jordan Montgomery, 134 00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:38,920 Speaker 3: I was like, I'm gonna go look at that win 135 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:41,680 Speaker 3: total again, and it was still sitting. You can sometimes 136 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:43,359 Speaker 3: get it at eighty two and a half, at eighty 137 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 3: three and a half. I bet the Diamondbacks win total 138 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:47,599 Speaker 3: at eighty three and a half over, it's now moved 139 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:49,719 Speaker 3: up a full win And now you could be like, oh, 140 00:05:49,800 --> 00:05:53,400 Speaker 3: Jordan Montgomery, but listen, Jordan Montgomery, that's a war player. 141 00:05:53,600 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 3: They needed depth in that rotation. That was the biggest 142 00:05:57,440 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 3: hole this team was facing. Even though they just lost Seawold. 143 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 3: Their bullpen is better than it was and in a 144 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 3: much better place than it was last year. Their offense 145 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:07,680 Speaker 3: is in a great spot. They're spending and guess what, 146 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:10,159 Speaker 3: they still have assets to make moves in the season. 147 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 3: So they got eighty four wins last year. I love 148 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 3: that one. We'll get Craig's take on it. But my 149 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 3: favorite one into this, it's a not ninety win team. 150 00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:22,279 Speaker 3: Eighty eight and a half over for the Phillies, and 151 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:24,600 Speaker 3: I think the Phillies are going to be an absolute 152 00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:28,000 Speaker 3: scare in the NL. Zach Wheeler. I'm not the biggest 153 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:30,640 Speaker 3: Aeronola guy, but Zach Wheeler I think is going to 154 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:33,360 Speaker 3: be at the forefront of the Cy Young Award and 155 00:06:33,880 --> 00:06:39,120 Speaker 3: that offense, but behind a completely healthy Bryce Harper, behind 156 00:06:39,160 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 3: Alec Bohm was taking a step Bryson Stott casting on. 157 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 3: I mean, you can go down the list. It's a 158 00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:47,120 Speaker 3: power offense. It's really like what the Mariners want to be. 159 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:49,919 Speaker 3: You have a great rotation with this really big power offense. 160 00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:52,040 Speaker 3: Mariners are just missing it. So eighty eight and a 161 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 3: half after this team won ninety last year, the Phillies 162 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 3: are my pick, but the Diamondbacks are my overachieve Craig, 163 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 3: what do you think about both those? 164 00:07:00,800 --> 00:07:02,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean in all the teams that we discussed, 165 00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:05,719 Speaker 2: I think Arizona is the one probably with the most 166 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:10,200 Speaker 2: potential there because again in analyzing all three of those overs, 167 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 2: the Phillies are a little bit inflated at the number 168 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 2: that they're already at and nobody would be upset with 169 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 2: the Phillies winning eighty seven games. The San Diego Padres 170 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:20,080 Speaker 2: at eighty four, eighty five to me fields right around 171 00:07:20,080 --> 00:07:22,200 Speaker 2: the number, and I think that you would have to 172 00:07:22,200 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 2: ask significant questions in July and August as to whether 173 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:26,800 Speaker 2: or not they're fully committed to winning. I don't know 174 00:07:26,840 --> 00:07:28,920 Speaker 2: that they would push their foot on the pedal. I 175 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 2: think that they may just say, okay, let's see how 176 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 2: we do. Arizona's all in. So at this point for 177 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:40,360 Speaker 2: the Diamondbacks, you know that when things are close, expiring 178 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 2: contracts from other players and taking on money, that's a 179 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:45,920 Speaker 2: team that's going to do it. So that's when I 180 00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 2: look at these win totals. That is really the bottom 181 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 2: line for me is I don't care what's going on 182 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:51,880 Speaker 2: right now. I want to know that my team that 183 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 2: i'm taking an over in is going to buy players 184 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:56,360 Speaker 2: at the trade deadline. And if I can't guarantee that, 185 00:07:57,000 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 2: then I'm not betting me over because that I mean 186 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 2: the most. I would think the thing that has not 187 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:07,440 Speaker 2: talked about enough within Major League Baseball clubhouses, what happens 188 00:08:07,440 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 2: that doesn't get talked about, like on the outside. Here 189 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 2: is what a player does when he comes over to 190 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 2: a new team and how that team feels when they're there. 191 00:08:15,760 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 2: It can be like an insignificant player, but it shows 192 00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:20,160 Speaker 2: the rest of the clubhouse, Hey, this team is committed, 193 00:08:20,240 --> 00:08:22,400 Speaker 2: we are going for it, and it gives that little 194 00:08:22,400 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 2: boost to the team. And take a look at that. 195 00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:26,640 Speaker 2: All the teams sort of play better at that point. Now, 196 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 2: the Angels did not last year. They got all those 197 00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 2: players for a ton and then they got rid of 198 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:33,480 Speaker 2: them all. But to me, it's why I think of 199 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:35,640 Speaker 2: the ones we just talked about, the Diamondbacks would be 200 00:08:35,640 --> 00:08:38,760 Speaker 2: the one because they get to that trade deadline, whatever 201 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 2: pieces they're missing. I think they take it. 202 00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:43,720 Speaker 3: Like you said that too, that knowing your team is 203 00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 3: going to be willing to spend when push comes to shove, 204 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:48,720 Speaker 3: that's a really great way to look at it. And 205 00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:51,920 Speaker 3: identifying the teams that are willing to just go all 206 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:53,880 Speaker 3: in throughout the rest of the season is something to 207 00:08:53,880 --> 00:08:56,440 Speaker 3: pay attention to because it's getting a little bit tougher 208 00:08:56,760 --> 00:08:59,200 Speaker 3: for us to have teams that are out of it 209 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:01,560 Speaker 3: sooner just because of the extra wild card spot. Teams 210 00:09:01,559 --> 00:09:03,400 Speaker 3: are kind of hanging around further but who are going 211 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 3: to be the most aggressive teams? And a team like 212 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:08,480 Speaker 3: the Diamondbacks have proven to be hyper aggressive this offseason. 213 00:09:09,400 --> 00:09:12,199 Speaker 1: Yeah, and the angel is certainly a team that I'm 214 00:09:12,240 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 1: sure we could talk a little bit more about in 215 00:09:14,160 --> 00:09:16,880 Speaker 1: just a second, because that's one I was going to 216 00:09:16,960 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 1: it first, but I found another under that I like 217 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 1: even more. And I worked enough with my good friend 218 00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 1: Craig Misch over the last decade plus to know that 219 00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:26,680 Speaker 1: you fade the public. And I'm looking at the Yankees 220 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:29,560 Speaker 1: right now, look at the Garrett Cole situation. I'm looking 221 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 1: at this number of ninety one and a half games, 222 00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:34,200 Speaker 1: and I'm an under. DJ Lemayhew has not hit he's 223 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 1: supposed to hit. At the top of this order. Soto 224 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 1: is going to be a one and done probably as 225 00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 1: a Yankee most feel like it. The toe of Aaron 226 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:43,719 Speaker 1: Judge is in question. I'm looking at this lineup in 227 00:09:43,760 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 1: the second half of it. Yeah, Laborator has had a 228 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:47,680 Speaker 1: great year last year, Bolpie I expect to be good, 229 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:49,920 Speaker 1: but there's definitely some holes here. Not to mention the 230 00:09:49,920 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 1: inconsistencies potentially in this rotation. Ninety one and a half 231 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:54,960 Speaker 1: is a big number right now in a division that 232 00:09:55,120 --> 00:09:57,959 Speaker 1: is going to be very competitive. Mish, I'm going under 233 00:09:58,000 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 1: on the Yankees. I think this is the class you know, 234 00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:04,240 Speaker 1: over number of You know, you get this number so 235 00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:06,120 Speaker 1: high because it's the Yankees, because it's Garret Cole, because 236 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 1: it's Aaron Judge and all the star power. But we're 237 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 1: not looking hard enough all the deficits of the Yankees. 238 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:12,640 Speaker 1: You mentioned a team that's got the willingness to spend 239 00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:14,880 Speaker 1: and go out there and add players. I don't know 240 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:16,480 Speaker 1: if the Yankees are in that position to do that 241 00:10:16,520 --> 00:10:18,840 Speaker 1: necessarily because they like to maintain some of these young 242 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:21,319 Speaker 1: players that they have. They already went and moved Michael 243 00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:23,120 Speaker 1: King to bring in Won Soto, so you can argue 244 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 1: they already fired their shot. What do you think of 245 00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:26,480 Speaker 1: this ninety one and a half when it comes to 246 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:28,240 Speaker 1: the Yankees, Craig, you gotta. 247 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 2: Be every year with the Yankees. When you bet the over, 248 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:34,319 Speaker 2: you're betting on the Pinstripes. It's a problem. And again, 249 00:10:34,880 --> 00:10:37,560 Speaker 2: you know, it's the most popular bet in sports books. 250 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:41,240 Speaker 2: They're always the most overinflated odds for every team. There's 251 00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:43,640 Speaker 2: a few teams out there that are like this. It's 252 00:10:43,720 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 2: the New York Yankees. It's nore Dame, It's Alabama. It 253 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 2: was the New England Patriots for a long time, and 254 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:52,520 Speaker 2: you just simply look at the jersey and the hat 255 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:54,760 Speaker 2: and think, oh, it's the Yankees. It is not the 256 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:57,080 Speaker 2: case this year. And I got to tell you, this 257 00:10:57,240 --> 00:11:00,439 Speaker 2: team's the same talent. Put the Tiger's uniform on them, 258 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:03,559 Speaker 2: put the Royals uniforms on them, and there's no possible 259 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 2: way this total could be at ninety one. I mean, guys, 260 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:08,199 Speaker 2: they just listen. I'm not saying they should have signed 261 00:11:08,200 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 2: Snell or Montgomery. Okay, I'm fine with them not signing either, 262 00:11:11,040 --> 00:11:12,960 Speaker 2: because I think I know what their team's gonna be, 263 00:11:13,160 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 2: so I don't blame them. But they didn't do it. 264 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:17,480 Speaker 2: So what makes you think all of a sudden they're 265 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:20,680 Speaker 2: gonna just reverse course midway through the season. With Brian Cashman, 266 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 2: who's been there for I don't know how long, thirty years, twenty. 267 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 1: Five, just about almost as long as you and I 268 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:27,679 Speaker 1: have been together, which is a long time. 269 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:32,240 Speaker 2: It's a good team, it's not a great team if 270 00:11:32,240 --> 00:11:36,680 Speaker 2: they're not in it. Are they trading Soto? Maybe? Maybe? 271 00:11:36,880 --> 00:11:42,920 Speaker 2: Like losing Coal is just a monster loss to start 272 00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:48,079 Speaker 2: the season and relying on Cortes and Rodan and they 273 00:11:48,080 --> 00:11:50,400 Speaker 2: both may be great and maybe and this is baseball 274 00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:52,880 Speaker 2: and it's sports and it's humans. It's hard to predict 275 00:11:52,920 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 2: this stuff. But not a lot of innings from these 276 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 2: guys over the last couple of years. The Yankees are 277 00:11:59,880 --> 00:12:02,280 Speaker 2: not gonna lose one hundred games, okay or ninety five. 278 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:04,280 Speaker 2: Let's not get it twisted. There's so much talent on 279 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:07,120 Speaker 2: that team that they'll be okay. But I am in 280 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:09,080 Speaker 2: agreement with you, Joe. I don't think this is a 281 00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:13,280 Speaker 2: postseason team. I think Baltimore is. I think Tampa Bay 282 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:15,640 Speaker 2: will be. They go when they got over seven in. 283 00:12:15,600 --> 00:12:18,200 Speaker 1: A row, tive every year and they're and again on 284 00:12:18,240 --> 00:12:19,920 Speaker 1: the board again, they're. 285 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:20,400 Speaker 2: Gonna do it again. 286 00:12:20,640 --> 00:12:22,960 Speaker 3: They're also going to get that glut of pictures that 287 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:25,160 Speaker 3: are coming off injury, like McClanahan might come out. 288 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:28,760 Speaker 1: Back at the back end or maybe Jeffrey Spring and 289 00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:30,600 Speaker 1: they'll get camin Arow at some point too. So they're 290 00:12:30,640 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 1: basically adding pieces without. 291 00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:34,200 Speaker 4: But the key. 292 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:36,960 Speaker 2: The key y I have Toronto ahead of of the 293 00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:40,080 Speaker 2: Yankees is what I what I would bet on is 294 00:12:40,200 --> 00:12:42,920 Speaker 2: pressure like you see it in San Francisco. I don't 295 00:12:42,960 --> 00:12:44,440 Speaker 2: know if it's gonna work, but there's a lot of 296 00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:46,880 Speaker 2: pressure for the Giants to win. I mean, jobs are 297 00:12:46,920 --> 00:12:48,840 Speaker 2: on the line, guys. Jobs are on the line in 298 00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:51,720 Speaker 2: Toronto too, and so there's pressure right there. And I 299 00:12:51,760 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 2: feel like that team is going to say, hey, this 300 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:57,439 Speaker 2: window is like like like we gotta go in. Uh 301 00:12:57,480 --> 00:12:59,160 Speaker 2: So I think Toronto's better than the Yankees. Also, I 302 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:00,160 Speaker 2: think the Yankees finished four. 303 00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:02,360 Speaker 4: Actually one quick thing, Craig, because I'm curious about this. 304 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 3: I don't disagree like Luis Eel and Kart and Clark Schmidt, 305 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 3: like that looks like back into the Royals rotation and 306 00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:13,959 Speaker 3: not a Yankees' rotation. If the Yankees were to go 307 00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:16,640 Speaker 3: just hypothetically make a move in the next two weeks 308 00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:18,600 Speaker 3: they were in on the trying to get Jordan Montgomery 309 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:20,679 Speaker 3: just sign didn't happen. They keep trying to poke around. 310 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 3: If they were to make a move and show aggression, 311 00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:25,280 Speaker 3: would you feel any different or is it just the 312 00:13:25,320 --> 00:13:29,280 Speaker 3: same story repeating itself with the Yankees team. 313 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:32,040 Speaker 2: Maybe, But like I look at the Yankees offense, and 314 00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:33,840 Speaker 2: while I think it is good, I still think it 315 00:13:33,920 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 2: is very much of the summer of all or nothing. 316 00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 2: They go through these periods of time where guys, you 317 00:13:39,880 --> 00:13:42,160 Speaker 2: know the story, it's June tenth. I can see it 318 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,480 Speaker 2: in my mind. The Yankees have been shut out five 319 00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:46,960 Speaker 2: games in a row. Aaron Boone's gonna get fired, and 320 00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:49,440 Speaker 2: this guy's gotta go. It happens every year. This is 321 00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:51,839 Speaker 2: the way that they're built. They didn't change the construction 322 00:13:51,920 --> 00:13:54,440 Speaker 2: of the team. They don't have Trey Turner, you know, 323 00:13:54,559 --> 00:13:57,040 Speaker 2: like they don't have that guy there. They got some 324 00:13:57,080 --> 00:13:59,880 Speaker 2: big guys that hit home runs. No, SODA's gonna get 325 00:13:59,880 --> 00:14:02,080 Speaker 2: on base. Judge is gonna hit a home run and 326 00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:03,960 Speaker 2: drive him home. What about the game that he doesn't 327 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:06,360 Speaker 2: what's gonna happen that game? Are they gonna get shut out? Like? 328 00:14:06,400 --> 00:14:08,920 Speaker 2: This is sort of how they're built. I think they 329 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:11,800 Speaker 2: need a reconfiguration and a reconstruction as to how they're 330 00:14:11,840 --> 00:14:14,000 Speaker 2: doing things now. Pitching that's really hard to do. I 331 00:14:14,040 --> 00:14:16,520 Speaker 2: think they've tried, like they've tried with the pitching. They 332 00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 2: tried with rodin Their bullpen is fine. They got some 333 00:14:19,800 --> 00:14:22,040 Speaker 2: hard throwers there. I think they'll be in good shape there. 334 00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:24,840 Speaker 2: I like the back end of their bullpen too, But 335 00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:29,240 Speaker 2: I just think as it compares to teams of Yankee 336 00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:32,840 Speaker 2: lore that are winning the World Series and getting on base. 337 00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:35,600 Speaker 2: And we saw it last year with a Kunya and Carol. 338 00:14:35,640 --> 00:14:39,520 Speaker 2: I mean, guys are stealing eighty bases again. The Yankees 339 00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 2: just didn't change anything. They're just rolling right again. 340 00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:43,840 Speaker 1: Volpi will be at the top of that lineup before 341 00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:45,720 Speaker 1: Memorial Day. I'm calling it right now. If they have 342 00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:47,480 Speaker 1: any chance, they've got to try to make some kind 343 00:14:47,520 --> 00:14:49,760 Speaker 1: of change the air Welsh. When you look at the unders, 344 00:14:49,800 --> 00:14:51,000 Speaker 1: which one pops to you? 345 00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 3: Well, I guess this is gonna seem kind of lame 346 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:56,240 Speaker 3: because I'm gonna I looked immediately at the two worst 347 00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:58,520 Speaker 3: teams in MLB, and I'm like, why are their win 348 00:14:58,640 --> 00:15:00,960 Speaker 3: totals higher than what they want last year? And I 349 00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:03,160 Speaker 3: couldn't decide, so I'll just kind of throw both at you. 350 00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 3: The Colorado Rockies are a bad pitching team, but their 351 00:15:07,600 --> 00:15:09,920 Speaker 3: offense could still be kind of sneaky. Tovar resigned in 352 00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 3: the contract, Nolan Jones absolutely a dude. Chris Bryant on 353 00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:17,280 Speaker 3: any type of bounce back, that offense could do something. 354 00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:21,280 Speaker 3: But the pitching staff is laughable, and they're in the 355 00:15:21,280 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 3: toughest division in baseball. That's what's really difficult about it, Like, 356 00:15:24,880 --> 00:15:26,680 Speaker 3: how are you going to pull all of those wins 357 00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:30,000 Speaker 3: from the Diamondbacks, from the Giants, from the Padres, from 358 00:15:30,040 --> 00:15:32,840 Speaker 3: the Dodgers and their totals at sixty and a half 359 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:35,120 Speaker 3: they won fifty nine last year. That was one, but 360 00:15:35,200 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 3: the one I jumped in on was the obvious Oakland A's, 361 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:40,720 Speaker 3: who are just an overall disaster. Here's something that A's 362 00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:44,240 Speaker 3: don't have any offensive talent that the Rockies have. There 363 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:45,160 Speaker 3: is really no. 364 00:15:45,280 --> 00:15:46,200 Speaker 4: Tovar over there. 365 00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:49,600 Speaker 3: Estrui Ruiz and Zach Geloff are interesting, but there isn't 366 00:15:49,640 --> 00:15:52,400 Speaker 3: massive offensive talent there really really isn't a ton of 367 00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:55,200 Speaker 3: great pitching talent. Mason Miller, that's a guy that can 368 00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:57,600 Speaker 3: close down games. But when I look at their win total, 369 00:15:57,640 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 3: they won fifty games last year, they're at fifty seven 370 00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:03,240 Speaker 3: and a half. This team is just a ragtag group. 371 00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:05,600 Speaker 3: Maybe they can pull some wins together. I don't see 372 00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:08,320 Speaker 3: how either one of the A's or the Rockies are 373 00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:10,760 Speaker 3: going to overtake their win totals, and their win totals 374 00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:13,640 Speaker 3: are higher this year, so I would take the under 375 00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 3: on both. Really, but I did pinpoint the A's as 376 00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:19,520 Speaker 3: the team who are seven and a half games higher 377 00:16:19,520 --> 00:16:20,560 Speaker 3: than their win total last year. 378 00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 4: I will take that under all day. 379 00:16:22,520 --> 00:16:25,080 Speaker 1: I don't think they improve by seven games this offseason. Welsh, 380 00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:27,680 Speaker 1: I would agree with that statement. Miss. Is there a 381 00:16:27,680 --> 00:16:30,960 Speaker 1: team for you that stands out either the over underside 382 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:33,240 Speaker 1: that you say, hey, look, I just feel very strongly 383 00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:35,040 Speaker 1: about this team total being one way or the other. 384 00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 2: Right, So a couple of things. First of all, we're 385 00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 2: doing this for twenty thirty years. I could tell you 386 00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:43,240 Speaker 2: my philosophy on this stuff. And it's not that I 387 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 2: don't agree with what you guys are saying. But I 388 00:16:46,160 --> 00:16:48,520 Speaker 2: always stay away from the bottom, sure, and I always 389 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:50,840 Speaker 2: stay away from the top because I just feel like 390 00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:53,440 Speaker 2: every team is going to win fifty games. So what 391 00:16:53,600 --> 00:16:56,000 Speaker 2: is really required at this point to get to fifty 392 00:16:56,040 --> 00:16:58,400 Speaker 2: eight or fifty nine. It's one hot streak in June 393 00:16:58,480 --> 00:17:02,360 Speaker 2: or July or maybe in September. So I stay away 394 00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:04,760 Speaker 2: from the bottom, and I also stay away from the top, 395 00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:07,040 Speaker 2: because what could happen at the top. The team clinches, 396 00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 2: they're not really playing hard at the end of September, 397 00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:11,359 Speaker 2: and then all of a sudden, the team that has 398 00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:13,440 Speaker 2: a win total of one hundred and one wins ninety nine, 399 00:17:13,440 --> 00:17:15,080 Speaker 2: You're like, oh my gosh, but they were so great 400 00:17:15,080 --> 00:17:17,200 Speaker 2: all year, they just didn't care the last week. As 401 00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:19,640 Speaker 2: a rule of thumb, I just stay away from those 402 00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:21,719 Speaker 2: not to say that what you're saying can't happen, but 403 00:17:21,800 --> 00:17:23,960 Speaker 2: that's just not what I subscribe to. I subscribe to 404 00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:26,639 Speaker 2: the middle. I'm always looking at the middle, the teams 405 00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:29,359 Speaker 2: in the seventies the low eighties, and I want to 406 00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:31,920 Speaker 2: look at those teams, see what they did last year, 407 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:35,000 Speaker 2: see what they did this year, attack the free agency 408 00:17:35,040 --> 00:17:38,200 Speaker 2: for them, and ask myself the question how many players 409 00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:41,119 Speaker 2: on this team did they sign to multi year deals, 410 00:17:41,440 --> 00:17:43,280 Speaker 2: and how many players at the end of the season 411 00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:46,080 Speaker 2: could potentially be moved. Because everyone wants to bet an 412 00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:48,760 Speaker 2: under and more or and over and more. People are 413 00:17:48,800 --> 00:17:50,680 Speaker 2: going to always bet the over than bet the under, 414 00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:53,919 Speaker 2: where the value is always on the under. In professional college, 415 00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:55,919 Speaker 2: all sports, it's more fun to bet and over, but 416 00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:58,080 Speaker 2: you're going to win more money betting the under. And 417 00:17:58,119 --> 00:17:59,880 Speaker 2: this year in particular, the one team that I looked 418 00:17:59,880 --> 00:18:02,320 Speaker 2: at it was Los Angeles Angels. I mean, this is 419 00:18:02,359 --> 00:18:05,600 Speaker 2: a team that won seventy three, seventy four games, whatever 420 00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:08,199 Speaker 2: it was last year, they had the highest guy in 421 00:18:08,280 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 2: War in Major League Baseball and he is not on 422 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:13,480 Speaker 2: the team. So what is the adjustment two wins or 423 00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:16,520 Speaker 2: the Fando sportsbook. I don't think so. They did nothing 424 00:18:16,560 --> 00:18:19,440 Speaker 2: in the offseason. They added one pitcher, I believe it, 425 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:22,960 Speaker 2: Robert Stevenson, if I'm not mistaken, he's yeah, he's hurt 426 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:25,600 Speaker 2: the start year. And then the other part of this 427 00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:28,840 Speaker 2: is that you know, again they're chasing around the five 428 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:32,200 Speaker 2: hundred mark. Last year, they added players. Are they gonna 429 00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:35,120 Speaker 2: trade by Trout this year? Guys, I think you legitimately 430 00:18:35,160 --> 00:18:38,160 Speaker 2: have to ask yourself that question. I think it could 431 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:41,000 Speaker 2: potentially happen. I think that Trout may be playing his 432 00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 2: last days with the Angels. It was at least talked 433 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:46,359 Speaker 2: about in the offseason. They said they were not going 434 00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:48,439 Speaker 2: to do it. I think it would be best for 435 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:52,080 Speaker 2: the organization to do so. They have Netto, they have 436 00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:57,480 Speaker 2: Brandon Drury, they have okay players. But I think this 437 00:18:57,520 --> 00:18:59,359 Speaker 2: is one hundred lost team this year. 438 00:18:59,359 --> 00:18:59,639 Speaker 1: Guys. 439 00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:01,560 Speaker 2: I think this is one of the worst teams in baseball. 440 00:19:01,600 --> 00:19:07,720 Speaker 2: They did nothing, nothing and again extrapolating War positively or 441 00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:10,800 Speaker 2: negatively to a team based on free agency uh and 442 00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:13,080 Speaker 2: based on what happened the season to go, you take 443 00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 2: away Otani's war, you give Trout plus one or plus 444 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 2: two more because he missed some You got to do 445 00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:19,200 Speaker 2: that because he missed a lot of the season, but he. 446 00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:20,439 Speaker 1: Misses every year. I don't know if we have to 447 00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:20,679 Speaker 1: do that. 448 00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 2: Well, let's just do it for the sake of it. 449 00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:23,040 Speaker 1: Let's just do it. 450 00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 2: Let's say let's say places I remember so plus two 451 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:32,240 Speaker 2: given plus two in war. The Angels are going to 452 00:19:32,320 --> 00:19:34,520 Speaker 2: lose a lot of games, guys, And I think it's 453 00:19:34,560 --> 00:19:38,480 Speaker 2: time for them, unfortunately, for that family of owners to 454 00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:40,119 Speaker 2: take a hard look at that team and say it. 455 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 2: And they don't have And by the way, they trade 456 00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:44,080 Speaker 2: guys away, guys, who are they calling up that? 457 00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:47,960 Speaker 1: You know? That's the other problem that worked me, Yes, 458 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,440 Speaker 1: and and I think that was you know, I Welsh know. 459 00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:52,639 Speaker 1: This is all I said all summer long. If the 460 00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:55,480 Speaker 1: Angels don't trade Otani, they're doing it wrong. They are 461 00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:57,280 Speaker 1: going to miss out on the opportunity of a lifetime 462 00:19:57,320 --> 00:19:58,879 Speaker 1: to catch it on a player. And what happened they 463 00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 1: didn't and then what happened disaster struck. I mean, it's 464 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:04,000 Speaker 1: just the worst case scenario for the Angels, and now 465 00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:06,080 Speaker 1: they're going to live in that mistake for the next decade, 466 00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:07,879 Speaker 1: and it's going to set them back for a decade. 467 00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:11,040 Speaker 1: Let's take a look at our favorite season long props 468 00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:13,960 Speaker 1: or player futures. I've got one here, Matt Olsen to 469 00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 1: lead the league in homers at plus nine hundred. This 470 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:17,600 Speaker 1: is a phenomenal number for a guy who at fifty 471 00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:19,639 Speaker 1: home runs last year. To me, this makes a lot 472 00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:21,720 Speaker 1: of sense. Welsh, you've got one with Oneal Cruse. I 473 00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:23,239 Speaker 1: want you to throw that out there to miss as well. 474 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:25,240 Speaker 1: I want to get his take on Olsen to lead 475 00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:27,439 Speaker 1: the league in home runs at plus nine hundred and 476 00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:30,840 Speaker 1: your cruise in the home run total of Bain. 477 00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:32,480 Speaker 3: I believe I got another one we can throw out there, 478 00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:34,000 Speaker 3: but it's not home runs. This is in the home 479 00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:36,360 Speaker 3: run market, So mine's not as sexy as yours because 480 00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:39,000 Speaker 3: you're getting big plus money because you're going for season leader. 481 00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:41,280 Speaker 3: This is one I just feel staunched about. 482 00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:42,560 Speaker 4: And it is O'Neal. 483 00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:45,159 Speaker 3: Cruz home run total over twenty four and a half. 484 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:48,640 Speaker 3: I think three four unit bet that one. I'm probably 485 00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:51,159 Speaker 3: going to bet it again. Yes, he could be the 486 00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:54,240 Speaker 3: next Michel Franco and be the best spring training player 487 00:20:54,320 --> 00:20:56,920 Speaker 3: and completely disappear into the season. Here's what I feel 488 00:20:56,960 --> 00:20:59,960 Speaker 3: confident about. The only way this does not hit is 489 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:01,920 Speaker 3: if he gets hurt and he's not playing games. 490 00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:04,560 Speaker 4: That's it. If he's playing the games, this is going 491 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:05,880 Speaker 4: to hit. The bad ex projection. 492 00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:08,560 Speaker 3: Our friend Derek Carty has it twenty five homers in 493 00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:11,119 Speaker 3: one hundred and thirty games. Everyone is right around that marker. 494 00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:14,639 Speaker 3: Seven homers in spring training just a good reminder of 495 00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:17,080 Speaker 3: everybody of what the pure rock power is. I firmly 496 00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:19,440 Speaker 3: believe he's hitting thirty. There's another bet you can find 497 00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:21,680 Speaker 3: on some books is the plus thirty home run marker. 498 00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:23,840 Speaker 3: So over twenty four and a half Onio cruise is 499 00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:27,359 Speaker 3: like my favorite season long just store your money away 500 00:21:27,400 --> 00:21:28,560 Speaker 3: and wait till the end of the season. 501 00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:29,280 Speaker 2: Bet. 502 00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:30,160 Speaker 1: Yeah. 503 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:33,920 Speaker 2: I think this is a very reminiscent Welsh to me 504 00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:37,600 Speaker 2: of this particular player. You can't do it with veterans 505 00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:40,679 Speaker 2: in spring training because generally speaking it doesn't mean anything 506 00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,879 Speaker 2: what they do. Yeah, But with younger players with some 507 00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:47,800 Speaker 2: talent and some pedigree, boy, this reminds me a lot 508 00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:50,640 Speaker 2: of when Trevor Story had that spring training a couple 509 00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:54,680 Speaker 2: of years, several years ago, and everyone's like Trevor story, Wow, 510 00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:57,919 Speaker 2: this guy's great, and it's like, oh, he can't possibly 511 00:21:58,280 --> 00:22:01,199 Speaker 2: get fourteen home runs in the spring, can't possibly do this. 512 00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:03,680 Speaker 2: And then the season started and this guy just kept 513 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:06,440 Speaker 2: going all throughout the season. I agree with you, Welsh. 514 00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,280 Speaker 2: I think O'Neil Cruz is gonna fly over that number. 515 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:12,240 Speaker 2: I think that's the kind of spring where you can 516 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:15,000 Speaker 2: take that and say, hey, look, if this guy just 517 00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:18,280 Speaker 2: keeps rolling, there's no stopping him. So I'm in agreement 518 00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:20,560 Speaker 2: with you. It reminds me of that where we looked 519 00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,040 Speaker 2: at a young player at the time didn't know a 520 00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:24,919 Speaker 2: ton about him. I still don't think we know a 521 00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:27,200 Speaker 2: ton about O'Neil Cruiz. He missed almost all of last year. 522 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:30,760 Speaker 2: This could truly be the breakout. It seems like he's 523 00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:32,000 Speaker 2: figured some things out. 524 00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:35,399 Speaker 1: Let's get to the awards here for American League MVP. 525 00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:38,080 Speaker 1: Welsh and I are in lockstep now. Julio was my 526 00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:41,240 Speaker 1: guy last year, just to remind everybody, and if Atani 527 00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:43,080 Speaker 1: got traded, I'm telling you I would have been right. 528 00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:46,000 Speaker 1: But Julio, I'm back in. I'm doubling down here. Craig 529 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:48,720 Speaker 1: Mish plus one thousand. Welsh is on board and we're 530 00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:51,560 Speaker 1: also together too. On the chalk that's a Kunia plus 531 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:54,639 Speaker 1: five twenty five. That's a consensus you'll find over at 532 00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 1: betting pros right now. Oh, Tani was the guy I 533 00:22:57,119 --> 00:23:00,080 Speaker 1: was going for until this stuff started to pop, with 534 00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:02,920 Speaker 1: the whole gambling situation. I keep saying, and I've always 535 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:05,400 Speaker 1: said this, their media awards, their narrative Awards. I feel 536 00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:07,560 Speaker 1: like there's too many old school baseball writers have a 537 00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:10,480 Speaker 1: vote that any cloud of suspicion with the gambling thing, 538 00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:12,880 Speaker 1: people are going to hold that against him, no matter 539 00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:16,760 Speaker 1: he's innocent, guilty or investigation still going on innocent until 540 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 1: proven guilty for whatever involvement he might have had. Do 541 00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:21,880 Speaker 1: you think that I'm overreacting Welsh here? Do you think 542 00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:23,119 Speaker 1: that's not that I. 543 00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:25,000 Speaker 3: Hate I actually hate to agree with you on this, 544 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:27,159 Speaker 3: not that I don't like to agree with you, but 545 00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:29,240 Speaker 3: like that kind of pushed me off. 546 00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:31,240 Speaker 4: You remember we were doing shows in January. I say 547 00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:33,040 Speaker 4: that I think Tani could. 548 00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:35,040 Speaker 3: Have been the sneaky MVP. How could he do it 549 00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:37,399 Speaker 3: when there's Freeman and Bets all the best players on 550 00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:39,840 Speaker 3: the same team. But Tani comes in and changes the 551 00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:41,960 Speaker 3: dynamic of this team his RBI. 552 00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:43,760 Speaker 1: Numbers by hitting fifty five home runs. Of course, he 553 00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:44,760 Speaker 1: is capable of doing the. 554 00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:47,280 Speaker 3: Other two arms and stealing twenty plus bases and being 555 00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:49,880 Speaker 3: a fully focused offensive player. I think he could take 556 00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:51,800 Speaker 3: the Dodgers to the next step, which would have put 557 00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:56,600 Speaker 3: him in unanimous mvpiece. But I legit do think that 558 00:23:56,640 --> 00:23:58,440 Speaker 3: there's going to be those people in the back of 559 00:23:58,480 --> 00:23:59,959 Speaker 3: their mind that aren't going to want to push it 560 00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:01,520 Speaker 3: because of the questions. 561 00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:03,480 Speaker 4: It's a it's a crap. 562 00:24:03,200 --> 00:24:06,359 Speaker 3: Reason to not want to bet someone on it, but 563 00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:08,280 Speaker 3: it makes me want to move off of it. I'm 564 00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:10,880 Speaker 3: still paying attention to it. But yeah, I'm with the 565 00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:14,240 Speaker 3: Akunya at like over five to one. That just seems 566 00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:16,520 Speaker 3: like that's not low enough of a number where I'm like, 567 00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:18,320 Speaker 3: I'm not really getting a great bet, kind of like 568 00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:20,439 Speaker 3: the cy Young Award winner in the NL. It's a 569 00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:24,879 Speaker 3: good enough bet for Akunya to not have to screw around. 570 00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:28,159 Speaker 3: But yeah, the Otani stuff, I'm sadly there with you, 571 00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:29,760 Speaker 3: but it might be too big of a narrative and 572 00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:32,240 Speaker 3: too fresh. Craig, I don't know if you think we're all, 573 00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:34,399 Speaker 3: we're just being too conspiracy ridiculous. 574 00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:37,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, missions in those back rooms smoking cigars with those 575 00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:39,480 Speaker 1: guys who make those kind of votes. You're that you're 576 00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:41,000 Speaker 1: in those rooms. Miss What do you think are re 577 00:24:41,040 --> 00:24:42,560 Speaker 1: overreacting to this Otani stuff? 578 00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:45,280 Speaker 2: I think it's fair, But I also think Otani had 579 00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:47,320 Speaker 2: a hard time winning the MVP while he was pitching 580 00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:49,080 Speaker 2: and hitting, and they almost, you know, gave it to 581 00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:53,199 Speaker 2: other players too, and you know, Aaron Judge, and I 582 00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:55,119 Speaker 2: just don't think he's gonna win the MVP. I think 583 00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:56,600 Speaker 2: he's gonna have a great year. I think he's gonna 584 00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:58,800 Speaker 2: hit a lot of home runs. He's going to be fantastic. 585 00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:01,240 Speaker 2: But you take the pitching out of it. And by 586 00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:04,399 Speaker 2: the way, how does anybody win the MVP when this 587 00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:06,399 Speaker 2: guy pitches and hits. I'm sorry, He's the MVP for 588 00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:08,320 Speaker 2: me every single year, right, But now that he's not 589 00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:11,200 Speaker 2: doing it this year, I think I think that there's 590 00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:13,359 Speaker 2: some sort of lag on giving the MVP to the 591 00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:15,080 Speaker 2: same guy over and over again, and they sort of 592 00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,280 Speaker 2: find a way to give it to somebody else. Whether 593 00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:19,000 Speaker 2: or not this will affect him, I'm not really sure, 594 00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:20,560 Speaker 2: but I would not pick him to win the MVP. 595 00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,440 Speaker 1: We also have our al Cy Young's coming from the 596 00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:25,520 Speaker 1: same team, but two different guys. Welsh of course is 597 00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:27,800 Speaker 1: on that George Kirby training plus thirteen hundred. I'm on 598 00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:30,920 Speaker 1: Castillo a plus one thousand. We're both on Spencer Streider. 599 00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:33,040 Speaker 1: It's really Strider or Bus. But you're still getting a 600 00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:35,000 Speaker 1: really good number of plus four to twenty five though, 601 00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:37,000 Speaker 1: though Wheeler I think. 602 00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:39,680 Speaker 4: Is interesting at eight to one. I just pointing that out. 603 00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:41,800 Speaker 3: It's a big gap between one and two and the 604 00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:44,439 Speaker 3: NL Cy Young betting market. You're getting just bigger odds 605 00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:47,160 Speaker 3: just jumping over to wheel I mean, I personally think, 606 00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:49,360 Speaker 3: you know, Philly's gonna win a bunch of games, big 607 00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:52,800 Speaker 3: strikeout numbers. I don't hate that one. But Stryder's like, 608 00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:55,679 Speaker 3: there's no chance I don't not bet Strider. And then 609 00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:58,320 Speaker 3: if I'm gonna bet Wheeler just a little bit less ahead, sure, 610 00:25:58,440 --> 00:25:59,280 Speaker 3: that's hedging exactly. 611 00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:01,959 Speaker 1: Mish. What do you think about these names here, Strider, Castillo, Kirby, 612 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:04,320 Speaker 1: even Wheeler. Do you think these guys are the ones 613 00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:06,160 Speaker 1: we should be targeting or is there somebody else really 614 00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:06,760 Speaker 1: sticks out to you? 615 00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:07,160 Speaker 4: Yeah? 616 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,199 Speaker 2: In the NL Strider is like in that sort of 617 00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:13,800 Speaker 2: elite tier from you know, the Verlanders. Johan Santana's Pedro 618 00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:16,879 Speaker 2: Martinez is like going into the season. He is really 619 00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:19,320 Speaker 2: like kind of by himself, I think going into the 620 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:23,000 Speaker 2: year with his potential with the al I like, I 621 00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:25,399 Speaker 2: like your guys' choices, and I do think, look, Seattle 622 00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:28,520 Speaker 2: is a great pitching staff. But I'm shooting a little 623 00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:31,880 Speaker 2: bit deeper. If it was me, I think Tarik Schooble 624 00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:33,600 Speaker 2: would be the pick that I would make really win 625 00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:36,399 Speaker 2: the cy Young. Yeah, I do think so. I remember 626 00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:38,800 Speaker 2: before he got hurt, this looked like a two hundred 627 00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,520 Speaker 2: and fifty strikeout type guy. I think the rains are 628 00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:43,679 Speaker 2: completely off this season. I think Detroit's going to be 629 00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:45,280 Speaker 2: better than people think too. I think they're going to 630 00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:49,120 Speaker 2: have an oh pay season, and I think that Schooble 631 00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:52,159 Speaker 2: will will win the cy Young. That will be my 632 00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:54,199 Speaker 2: pick this year. That's that would be the shot that 633 00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:54,680 Speaker 2: I would take. 634 00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:57,080 Speaker 1: The Tiger's finally starting to see some fruits of all 635 00:26:57,119 --> 00:26:59,439 Speaker 1: of those many many early way they've had for a 636 00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:00,720 Speaker 1: decade and a half. 637 00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:03,159 Speaker 3: On the win total for the Tigers, that's not an 638 00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:06,320 Speaker 3: aggressive line. That's a pretty aggressive line for the Tigers. 639 00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:09,920 Speaker 1: We've also got the Rookie of the Year. Last year, 640 00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:11,840 Speaker 1: we did nail this on the show. Just in case 641 00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:14,280 Speaker 1: you're keeping score at home this year, again, it's hard 642 00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:16,440 Speaker 1: not to be chalky here. In the American League, Welsh 643 00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:18,800 Speaker 1: and I both landed on Langford at plus two twenty five, 644 00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:21,119 Speaker 1: which is again still a pretty decent number at this point, 645 00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:23,600 Speaker 1: so at least gets something in that market. Now for 646 00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:25,320 Speaker 1: the nationally Rooki of the Year, I went show to 647 00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:29,560 Speaker 1: Imanaga a plus sixteen hundred. Tremendous opportunity there in terms 648 00:27:29,600 --> 00:27:31,720 Speaker 1: of return on investment, I think the Cubs could win 649 00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:33,879 Speaker 1: that central I love him and steal. At the top 650 00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:36,919 Speaker 1: of this rotation, Welsh went Jackson Curio at plus six hundred. 651 00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,480 Speaker 1: There the everyday player always a good wager, So I 652 00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:41,159 Speaker 1: know it's tough for some times for pitchers to win 653 00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:43,560 Speaker 1: these awards. They tend to go to the everyday players, 654 00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:47,480 Speaker 1: but not always so Welsh, I know you've made your selections, Miss, 655 00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:49,439 Speaker 1: What do you think here about the rookies, because this, 656 00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 1: I keep saying has the potential to be one of 657 00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:54,760 Speaker 1: these special rookie classes that we've seen since maybe the 658 00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:56,800 Speaker 1: eighty six rookie class. Right that it was just the 659 00:27:56,840 --> 00:27:58,760 Speaker 1: Bo Jackson's and the Barry Bonds and all these guys 660 00:27:58,840 --> 00:28:00,880 Speaker 1: just came up. We didn't talk about Caminaro, we didn't 661 00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:03,359 Speaker 1: talk about Hvan Carter, we didn't talk about any of 662 00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:07,040 Speaker 1: the other Orioles guys in mine put through that system. Jackson, Holiday, Jackson, Merrill, 663 00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:11,160 Speaker 1: anyone named Jackson. Basically, so many choices, mash. So what 664 00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:12,639 Speaker 1: do you do? How do you approach this rookie of 665 00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:13,600 Speaker 1: the year market. 666 00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:15,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I've talked to a lot of people who really 667 00:28:15,760 --> 00:28:17,840 Speaker 2: like Himanaga. I think that's a good call. I think 668 00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:21,960 Speaker 2: that you know him getting a lot of starts. Apparently 669 00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:25,040 Speaker 2: he's got this fastball that it looks like it's coming 670 00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:26,440 Speaker 2: at you and then all of a sudden it leg 671 00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:29,560 Speaker 2: goes over your head, Like I haven't seen anything like 672 00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:32,240 Speaker 2: this guy in a while. And track record does tell 673 00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:35,159 Speaker 2: you historically in Major League Baseball, the first season and 674 00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,439 Speaker 2: sometimes guys, let's be honest, only the first season when 675 00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:40,120 Speaker 2: these guys come over or from overseas, they're so good 676 00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:41,719 Speaker 2: like the first year and then it's like, oh they 677 00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:43,600 Speaker 2: get caught up, they get the video and that's it. 678 00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:45,720 Speaker 2: But I do like that pick Joe of him and aga. 679 00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:47,520 Speaker 2: I think that's a good one. I mean, in the 680 00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:51,320 Speaker 2: al I mean, I'm definitely taking Jackson Holliday to win 681 00:28:51,320 --> 00:28:53,720 Speaker 2: the Rookie of the Year. Like I know why Langford 682 00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:57,480 Speaker 2: is the next great thing, but I mean, Jackson Holliday 683 00:28:57,520 --> 00:28:57,880 Speaker 2: is going to be. 684 00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:01,000 Speaker 4: A better player than time. But I don't. 685 00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:03,080 Speaker 1: Welsh this is the time right because he gets sent down, 686 00:29:03,080 --> 00:29:05,400 Speaker 1: maybe that number, you know, starts to flex a little bit. 687 00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:06,800 Speaker 1: You might get a better number if you wait for 688 00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:07,360 Speaker 1: a couple of weeks. 689 00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:09,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, okay, but the Orioles that what they've already proven 690 00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:11,840 Speaker 3: is they're going to be stubborn with this, like, well, 691 00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:12,520 Speaker 3: you're really going to. 692 00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:14,360 Speaker 4: Learn to see some left handed hitters and he's gonna 693 00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:16,600 Speaker 4: learn to play a second phase. I don't think sue either. 694 00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:18,800 Speaker 3: But if you take a month off of his stat line, 695 00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:22,320 Speaker 3: I would have bet Jackson Holiday full force had he 696 00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:24,120 Speaker 3: made the roster. But if you take a full month 697 00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:27,640 Speaker 3: of stats out and Langford just performs at eighty five 698 00:29:27,720 --> 00:29:31,040 Speaker 3: percent of perception, I think it's going to be really 699 00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:32,920 Speaker 3: really hard, especially if the Rangers are winning a bunch 700 00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:35,760 Speaker 3: of games. I don't hate this one. I just think 701 00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:38,360 Speaker 3: it's a it's a race that's going to be difficult 702 00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:39,960 Speaker 3: for Holiday to catch up a race. 703 00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:42,080 Speaker 1: It's a finish, you know. I mean, how bad was 704 00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:43,920 Speaker 1: Gunner Henderson last year for the first three months of 705 00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:44,280 Speaker 1: that season. 706 00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:47,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, but Josh Young Rake and there was no understand Josh. 707 00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:49,520 Speaker 1: But Josh Young got hurt and also didn't come back 708 00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:51,560 Speaker 1: and play well. So you put all those two things together. 709 00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:53,240 Speaker 1: But also it's usually the rookie the year is the 710 00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:55,360 Speaker 1: guy that lasts at the very end, that gets hot 711 00:29:55,400 --> 00:29:57,640 Speaker 1: at the end, is in your memory. So if Eminague 712 00:29:57,680 --> 00:29:59,280 Speaker 1: is making important starts for the Cubs, I feel like 713 00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:01,360 Speaker 1: that's something paid and should do. And if Holiday is 714 00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:05,040 Speaker 1: coming up here and as advertised for the Orioles here 715 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:08,760 Speaker 1: in the second half or even before that, he could challenge. Look, 716 00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:10,440 Speaker 1: I think there's another one where the hedge is there, 717 00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:12,960 Speaker 1: like your Wheeler hedge. I think the Langford Holiday hedge 718 00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:14,400 Speaker 1: makes a lot of sense. All right, let's get to 719 00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:16,400 Speaker 1: what you're here for our picks for al n Alen 720 00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:18,440 Speaker 1: World Series, and we'll get Craig Mish on his way 721 00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:20,520 Speaker 1: to break more news because that's all he does. Of 722 00:30:20,520 --> 00:30:23,160 Speaker 1: course on X follow him at Craig Mish. So I've 723 00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:27,800 Speaker 1: got the Seattle Mariners winning the American League plus nine hundred. 724 00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:29,600 Speaker 1: I love the pitching staff. I love the depth. I 725 00:30:29,600 --> 00:30:31,520 Speaker 1: think they're one bad a way. I don't know if 726 00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:34,280 Speaker 1: that bad as a Layamenez or Pete Alonso or somebody 727 00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:36,360 Speaker 1: like that, but to me, you drop one more bat 728 00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:38,560 Speaker 1: in that lineup and all of a sudden, Seattle becomes 729 00:30:38,600 --> 00:30:40,120 Speaker 1: really good. And I think it's those teams with the 730 00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:42,719 Speaker 1: depth of pitching. Welsh is going back to the Texas 731 00:30:42,800 --> 00:30:44,800 Speaker 1: Rangers to go back and do it again in the 732 00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:47,520 Speaker 1: National League. I've got the Phillies at plus eight hundred, 733 00:30:47,560 --> 00:30:49,840 Speaker 1: maybe for once they don't get off to a wretched 734 00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:52,880 Speaker 1: start just one time in the last three years. Please, 735 00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:56,520 Speaker 1: can you just be decent for April and May? Plus 736 00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:59,400 Speaker 1: eight hundred a really good number. You are back Welsh 737 00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:03,240 Speaker 1: on the Atlanta Braves at plus two forty Hohm, Atlanta Braves. 738 00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:05,080 Speaker 1: That's no fun, but again it makes a lot of sense. 739 00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:07,960 Speaker 1: The Seri Sale is good now, especially if Sale is 740 00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:10,720 Speaker 1: going to pitch the way he has in spring. I've 741 00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:12,800 Speaker 1: got Seattle winning it all at twenty to one, and 742 00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:15,200 Speaker 1: the Atlanta Braves on Welsh's side of plus four fifty. 743 00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:19,040 Speaker 1: So Welsh, those are your takes there again? To me, 744 00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:21,640 Speaker 1: it's about the Seattle pitching staff, and I'm kind of 745 00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:23,480 Speaker 1: where you are. I think that one two punch of 746 00:31:23,520 --> 00:31:26,760 Speaker 1: Nolan Wheelers enough. I think the Phillies know their windows now. 747 00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:29,160 Speaker 1: They will make any move they need to. What do 748 00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:31,719 Speaker 1: you think here about Atlanta and Texas? A little chalky 749 00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:34,800 Speaker 1: but still hard to argue with the talent there. 750 00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:36,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, And I think there's just a balance of like, Okay, 751 00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:38,560 Speaker 3: do I want to be cute and fun and get 752 00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:41,160 Speaker 3: my you know, put lots of futures in and go deep. 753 00:31:41,280 --> 00:31:42,720 Speaker 3: Like I'm not trying to say, like your Mariner what 754 00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:44,840 Speaker 3: I love the Mariner one. I think that's great. But like, 755 00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:47,200 Speaker 3: I think the Atlanta Braves have the best offense in 756 00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:49,960 Speaker 3: baseball and they're willing to make some moves. The Texas 757 00:31:50,040 --> 00:31:52,560 Speaker 3: Rangers not only did they just get there, they added 758 00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:54,800 Speaker 3: two great pieces into their offense. And what's something they'd 759 00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,400 Speaker 3: love to do. Their favorite thing is acquiring pieces at 760 00:31:57,400 --> 00:31:59,720 Speaker 3: the trade deadline. So that's another team that's gonna be 761 00:31:59,720 --> 00:32:02,160 Speaker 3: willing to make those moves. And they're gonna get to 762 00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:04,400 Speaker 3: Grom and they're gonna get Sureser. Sures is gonna be 763 00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:06,320 Speaker 3: back before to Grom. You're getting both those guys on 764 00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:08,480 Speaker 3: the back half of the year. Yeah, I think it 765 00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:10,320 Speaker 3: could go wrong. Yeah, well, I mean there's a million 766 00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:11,120 Speaker 3: things that could easily. 767 00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:13,000 Speaker 2: But this was a great show until we said they're 768 00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:13,960 Speaker 2: gonna get to Grom back. 769 00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:17,120 Speaker 4: Well, they're gonna get Scherzier back. I said this the 770 00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:18,520 Speaker 4: other day. I was that Rangers camp. 771 00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:19,360 Speaker 1: They will get shure. 772 00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:21,640 Speaker 3: De Gram was throwing to a guy in the middle 773 00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:24,040 Speaker 3: of the field like twenty feet and Suzier was just 774 00:32:24,120 --> 00:32:26,080 Speaker 3: launched on the whole field. De Grom was not comfortable 775 00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:27,680 Speaker 3: still throwing. So maybe they don't get to Grom back, 776 00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:29,200 Speaker 3: but they're gonna get Suers. You're back, and guess what 777 00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:31,360 Speaker 3: they'll go and talk in the trade market. I'm gonna 778 00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:36,160 Speaker 3: go to the Texas Rangers and uh yeah, I feel ash. 779 00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:38,800 Speaker 1: What do you think about these picks here? The teams 780 00:32:38,800 --> 00:32:41,200 Speaker 1: that we've put in the mix, the Rangers, the Braves, 781 00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:43,440 Speaker 1: Philly and Seattle. It's it's the Seattle. Want to keep 782 00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:46,440 Speaker 1: harping on because again, if I think we both think 783 00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:49,400 Speaker 1: that the Sally Young's coming from there, we both said, Julio, 784 00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:52,040 Speaker 1: if this is a team that you know approaches you know, 785 00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:55,440 Speaker 1: ninety five ninety eight wins has control where they are. 786 00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:57,120 Speaker 1: You know it's going to be an exciting place. You 787 00:32:57,160 --> 00:32:59,520 Speaker 1: know the fan base is going to be excited. It 788 00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:01,640 Speaker 1: feels like, but again, they're just one bad way, don't 789 00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:03,080 Speaker 1: you feel like you look at his lineup, you plug 790 00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:04,600 Speaker 1: one big hitter in there, and all of a sudden 791 00:33:04,680 --> 00:33:06,560 Speaker 1: they just roll. Yeah. 792 00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:09,320 Speaker 2: Look, I like all of your selections. I mean, I 793 00:33:09,360 --> 00:33:11,000 Speaker 2: can't poke holes at any of them. I really do 794 00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:13,320 Speaker 2: think Seattle is a surprise team. They asked me that 795 00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:15,480 Speaker 2: this morning on Sports Grid. I said that was one 796 00:33:15,480 --> 00:33:17,400 Speaker 2: of the surprise teams I had gett into the postseason 797 00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:19,440 Speaker 2: this year. I wouldn't pick them to win the World Series, 798 00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:21,520 Speaker 2: but I think they're equipped to do it. I just 799 00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:23,280 Speaker 2: don't think you can look at any team as it's 800 00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:25,720 Speaker 2: constructed from a pitching perspective right now and just make 801 00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:27,200 Speaker 2: that assumption that those are going to be the guys 802 00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:28,880 Speaker 2: at the end of the year. So I just can't 803 00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:31,120 Speaker 2: do that. I can't go there. But to start the season, 804 00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:34,320 Speaker 2: I think it's reasonable Texas to me, I probably wouldn't 805 00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:36,040 Speaker 2: take them to win the World Series, only because I'm 806 00:33:36,040 --> 00:33:38,680 Speaker 2: a little disappointed. I know, Langford is there, But how 807 00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:40,520 Speaker 2: do you win the World Series and really not like 808 00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:43,560 Speaker 2: get more guys. I guess I'm just was surprised that 809 00:33:43,600 --> 00:33:46,680 Speaker 2: Texas was just so quiet, which I don't know if 810 00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:48,480 Speaker 2: that's a signal to think, oh, maybe got a little 811 00:33:48,560 --> 00:33:50,760 Speaker 2: lucky last year, or they're just good enough to win again. 812 00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:54,000 Speaker 2: So yeah, the Braves again will be my pick to 813 00:33:54,040 --> 00:33:56,440 Speaker 2: win the National League. I do think that anybody that 814 00:33:56,480 --> 00:33:58,600 Speaker 2: has to go through that park in Philadelphia and try 815 00:33:58,600 --> 00:34:02,560 Speaker 2: and win, my gosh, I was thereast year for the playoffs. 816 00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:03,200 Speaker 1: It is a. 817 00:34:03,040 --> 00:34:06,240 Speaker 2: Formidable place, so Phillies would be close for me. But 818 00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:08,200 Speaker 2: I will take the Braves yet again because I think 819 00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:10,319 Speaker 2: they've learned their lesson the last couple of years being 820 00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:12,279 Speaker 2: sort of quiet at the end of the year, not 821 00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:14,719 Speaker 2: doing much. I think it cost them. I think you 822 00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:17,239 Speaker 2: see Alexanthopolis flip the script this year. I think the 823 00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:21,160 Speaker 2: Braves get very aggressive and get even more players and 824 00:34:21,640 --> 00:34:24,239 Speaker 2: assets pitching and everything else. And in the American League, 825 00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:26,120 Speaker 2: I'm going to take the Orioles. I'm going to take 826 00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:29,759 Speaker 2: the Orioles. I think Burns, you know, counting on one 827 00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:33,480 Speaker 2: guy's a little dangerous, but historically speaking, he's pretty consistent 828 00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:36,360 Speaker 2: with making his twenty five thirty starts. Grayson Rodriguez, I 829 00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:38,960 Speaker 2: think could take the next step and a team that 830 00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,080 Speaker 2: their window. You talk about a window being now. Is 831 00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:43,040 Speaker 2: there any other team in baseball where their team is 832 00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:45,200 Speaker 2: not just now, it's like really now, Like this is 833 00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:48,400 Speaker 2: it for the Orioles. So I got Orioles braves. 834 00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:50,839 Speaker 1: And there you go. There you go. Phillia definitely a 835 00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:54,120 Speaker 1: tough place to play, tough in any sport at any time. 836 00:34:54,200 --> 00:34:56,040 Speaker 1: I spent a lot of my youth there, went to 837 00:34:56,080 --> 00:34:57,799 Speaker 1: college there, lived there for a couple of years after. 838 00:34:57,920 --> 00:35:01,080 Speaker 1: I'm going to WrestleMania there a couple weeks, two nights 839 00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:02,880 Speaker 1: in a row. Let me tell you no better wrestling 840 00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:05,480 Speaker 1: crowd than Philadelphia, I bet, and no better guest than 841 00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:08,120 Speaker 1: Craig Mish. Everybody follow him on Exit Craig Mish, check 842 00:35:08,200 --> 00:35:12,000 Speaker 1: him out on sportscrid TV every single day talking everything 843 00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:16,400 Speaker 1: wagering related. Welsh. I'll see you opening Day, my friend tomorrow. 844 00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:19,960 Speaker 1: Fantasy Ros MLB. Don't forget to subscribe to the channel 845 00:35:20,200 --> 00:35:23,080 Speaker 1: and join us live for leading off twelve thirty Eastern 846 00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:26,920 Speaker 1: Monday through Friday, every single day throughout the entire season. 847 00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:28,719 Speaker 1: That'll do it for us, but the story of the 848 00:35:28,760 --> 00:35:31,000 Speaker 1: game goes on for Craig mission the Welsh. I'm Joey p. 849 00:35:31,719 --> 00:35:33,080 Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. Kids. 850 00:35:33,560 --> 00:35:36,200 Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 851 00:35:36,239 --> 00:35:38,600 Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 852 00:35:38,640 --> 00:35:42,040 Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 853 00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:44,960 Speaker 5: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 854 00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:48,720 Speaker 5: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 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