1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:04,920 Speaker 1: Welcome to the warning. Thrilled, thrilled, thrilled to be here 2 00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:10,800 Speaker 1: today with the Honorable Afton Baine. She is the representative 3 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 1: of the fifty first district of the Tennessee House. She 4 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:22,439 Speaker 1: is running for the seventh Congressional district in Tennessee and 5 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about that today. We're gonna have a conversation. 6 00:00:27,080 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 1: We're also going to talk about beyond the comments of 7 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:37,159 Speaker 1: yay aften, what you what you can be doing to 8 00:00:37,320 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 1: make an impact in the outcome of a political campaign 9 00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 1: that will come to its conclusion two weeks from Tuesday, 10 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:54,080 Speaker 1: and the election date is December the second. And this 11 00:00:54,160 --> 00:01:00,520 Speaker 1: is what is called a special election. In a special 12 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 1: election is called by a state governor when there is 13 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:15,720 Speaker 1: a vacancy in a House seat by either usually death 14 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 1: and or conviction, imprisonment, resignation. What happened here asten to 15 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 1: vacate this seat? 16 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:31,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, so Representative Mark Green, who was the former representative, 17 00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 2: took a kushy corporate job in Guyana in South America. 18 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 2: Don't ask questions. It sounds just as sketchy as it is. 19 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 2: And he decided to depart office after cashing in and 20 00:01:44,440 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 2: voting for the big ugly bill and thus catalyzing the 21 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 2: special election. This is important because it is the last 22 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 2: flippable seat in the entire country. Historically, it's an R 23 00:01:56,640 --> 00:01:59,440 Speaker 2: plus twenty district. And just some backgrounds and context for 24 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 2: your Yeah. 25 00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 1: I want to go, let me just let me just 26 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 1: say because I want to, I want to go. I 27 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 1: want to go through this very carefully because I want 28 00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 1: I want people to understand some things, why they need 29 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:14,919 Speaker 1: they need to be involved and where every where everything is. 30 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:19,919 Speaker 1: The first thing I want everyone to understand is when 31 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:25,360 Speaker 1: I talk about this, there have been three times since 32 00:02:25,480 --> 00:02:31,840 Speaker 1: nineteen hundred when the incumbent president's party has picked up 33 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:37,679 Speaker 1: seats in a mid term election. I was one of 34 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:43,560 Speaker 1: the small number of strategists at the Republican Committee in 35 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:49,239 Speaker 1: two thousand and two when that happened. So I have 36 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:52,400 Speaker 1: sat on the other side of the line at a 37 00:02:52,440 --> 00:02:57,560 Speaker 1: different time of my career running congressional races. There's a 38 00:02:57,680 --> 00:03:04,360 Speaker 1: democratic group. They're called the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, and their 39 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:08,680 Speaker 1: job is to win the races, or enough of them 40 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:14,079 Speaker 1: that it creates a democratic majority. Now, when you look 41 00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:19,800 Speaker 1: at a campaign, you look at, well, what are the 42 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:23,440 Speaker 1: chances here? Is this gonna be a close race, This's 43 00:03:23,520 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 1: gonna be a stretch or is this just out there 44 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:34,680 Speaker 1: now when somebody wins a seat by twenty points like 45 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:39,600 Speaker 1: the corrupt Republican congressman did in twenty four, eight and 46 00:03:39,720 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 1: twenty two. What it suggests is this is an overwhelmingly 47 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 1: partisan district leaning on one side, but in a special election, 48 00:03:55,400 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 1: anything can happen. And so two weeks out you are 49 00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 1: in a very very very competitive race that is very 50 00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 1: close to being even with all of the momentum on 51 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:21,720 Speaker 1: your side. And we'll talk about that in a in 52 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 1: a second, but before we get into who you are 53 00:04:24,880 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 1: in a ball about, I just I want to know, 54 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:31,760 Speaker 1: like kind of at an operational level, is the d 55 00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:38,119 Speaker 1: Triple C, the Democratic Committee, are they involved in your race? 56 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:42,920 Speaker 1: Are they spending money on television commercials? Are they doing 57 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 1: the things that they should be doing to help you win? 58 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:53,160 Speaker 2: Uh? Well, we can always use more help. So uh 59 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:57,040 Speaker 2: they they they're they're involved, they've you know, they're on 60 00:04:57,040 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 2: our calls. I think we need more instanceitutional support because 61 00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:06,279 Speaker 2: the implications of this race are far reaching. The if 62 00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:08,680 Speaker 2: we so right now, as I stated, it's an R 63 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 2: plus twenty district Nashville had been a consolidated Democratic district, 64 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 2: and after our redistricting in twenty twenty, they chopped it 65 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 2: up into three and they overreached, and so they included 66 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:23,440 Speaker 2: the highest voting turnout precincts in Davidson County, coupled with 67 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 2: our Purple County at the top of the congressional district border, 68 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:29,440 Speaker 2: which includes Fort Campbell and Clarksville and so and even 69 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:32,480 Speaker 2: Representative Mark Green, the former representative for this district, said 70 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 2: do not do this because it could come back on you. 71 00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:41,040 Speaker 2: And so right now we have shrinked the margin. Our 72 00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:45,719 Speaker 2: polling showed us around six points behind. That has shrunk 73 00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 2: to about four and so we feel like we're four 74 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:50,360 Speaker 2: points behind. That's what it feels like on the ground, 75 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:53,440 Speaker 2: and so we are super close. We just need support 76 00:05:53,480 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 2: across the country and from institutional players to get us 77 00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:58,840 Speaker 2: across the finish line. The Republicans have dropped more than 78 00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 2: a million dollars in this and they absolutely did not 79 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:02,040 Speaker 2: want to. 80 00:06:03,640 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 1: We can. I want everyone to understand that right who 81 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:13,039 Speaker 1: who is listening and who will hear this later. So 82 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:19,280 Speaker 1: we have this seventh Congressional District, the special election elections 83 00:06:19,320 --> 00:06:26,239 Speaker 1: in two weeks and Trump Maga. The Republicans have had 84 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 1: to start spending money because Afton Bain is closing in 85 00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 1: to win in a district that the Republicans won by 86 00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 1: twenty points before the disaster of the Trump regime became 87 00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:57,400 Speaker 1: so evident. So the first thing I just right now 88 00:06:57,480 --> 00:07:02,160 Speaker 1: before we go any further, how can the people who 89 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:07,840 Speaker 1: are with us donate to your campaign? Where can they 90 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 1: find you? How do they do that? How can they porchase? 91 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:15,320 Speaker 1: Is there anything that anybody can do if they live 92 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:20,200 Speaker 1: in Indiana or in Texas or some other state, to 93 00:07:20,320 --> 00:07:24,040 Speaker 1: make phone calls, to get online, to do lists. Is 94 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:25,600 Speaker 1: there any way to participate? 95 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, So, like the elections in Virginia and New Jersey, 96 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 2: it's going to take the entire country for us to 97 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:38,080 Speaker 2: flip the seat Tennessee has been historically disinvested from because 98 00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:40,360 Speaker 2: we're not a battleground state. And so to give you 99 00:07:40,440 --> 00:07:44,119 Speaker 2: an example, whereas you know, in battleground states, voters often 100 00:07:44,160 --> 00:07:47,320 Speaker 2: receive postcards. This is the first time that postcards are 101 00:07:47,360 --> 00:07:52,160 Speaker 2: being received by Tennessee voters from those across the country 102 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:54,360 Speaker 2: that are heavily invested. So, as you are able, five 103 00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 2: or ten dollars really can make a difference. It can 104 00:07:56,640 --> 00:07:59,240 Speaker 2: keep us up on air. I've got an incredible commercial 105 00:07:59,280 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 2: that features on a cannekal ball in downtown Nashville, which 106 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:06,320 Speaker 2: is my house. Yeah, I love it. And we've got 107 00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 2: phone banking so as you know, Thanksgivings coming up. People 108 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 2: are struggling, but the entire focus of the country should 109 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:14,480 Speaker 2: be on this race because if we flip it, it 110 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:18,600 Speaker 2: will shend shock waves across the country and it will 111 00:08:18,640 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 2: show that that people are not okay with the chaos 112 00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:23,040 Speaker 2: of Washington and the cost of living. 113 00:08:23,680 --> 00:08:26,960 Speaker 3: I'm Steve Schmidt. This is the warning. I invite you 114 00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 3: to join this community where I promise to be honest, 115 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:34,199 Speaker 3: blunt and direct about what is happening in this country. 116 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 3: America is in crisis. Follow and subscribe to this channel 117 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:40,400 Speaker 3: and on substack. Thank you.