1 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 1: What's up, guys, How are you happy? Monday? 2 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:19,840 Speaker 2: Welcome in too, another episode of the Dally Juice podcast 3 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 2: with me and Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me 4 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:23,599 Speaker 2: across all of my socials at Sports Talk. Matt and 5 00:00:23,640 --> 00:00:27,000 Speaker 2: we are back after a very profitable week, in fact, 6 00:00:27,080 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 2: one of the most profitable weeks we've had in twenty 7 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:33,920 Speaker 2: twenty five. Last week after Sunday goes really well to 8 00:00:34,159 --> 00:00:37,279 Speaker 2: start and then we kind of puckered out there at 9 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 2: the end. Four and oh start and then a zero 10 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 2: to two late and late night session for us. The 11 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:46,880 Speaker 2: Dallas Cowboys. What a game, Oh my gosh, what a game. 12 00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 2: Patriots win outright, Rams win outright, We get that Lions blowout. 13 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 2: Cincinnati was the lucky. Oh my gosh, Joe Burrow got 14 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:57,360 Speaker 2: hurt and then all of a sudden we get a 15 00:00:57,440 --> 00:01:01,960 Speaker 2: late touchdown and we covered the three. And then Denver 16 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 2: and Indy. My gosh, every game went over in week two. 17 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:08,720 Speaker 2: Massive over correction for the books and they got everybody 18 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:11,520 Speaker 2: because everyone who bet over is in week one lost. 19 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 2: Everybody who bet unders in week two lost, so books 20 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:18,480 Speaker 2: doing their work and then the Vikings and JJ McCarthy 21 00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 2: look horrible first half all over again, this time for 22 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 2: the entire game, up against a Falcons team that really 23 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:26,920 Speaker 2: bounced back nicely after their loss to the Bucks. So 24 00:01:27,720 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 2: four and two mark for US, up one point seven 25 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:33,040 Speaker 2: units on the week on the day overall, up over 26 00:01:33,240 --> 00:01:36,039 Speaker 2: ten units ten point four to three by my math 27 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:39,640 Speaker 2: for US last week, So that puts US nearly up. 28 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 2: And by my math, I have US up, but I 29 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 2: got a double check. But I think we're up over 30 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:48,080 Speaker 2: forty units now for twenty twenty five, and a really 31 00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:50,920 Speaker 2: good start to college, a really good start to the 32 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 2: NFL for US here in the month of September. So 33 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 2: June was our last losing month. We won in July, 34 00:01:57,240 --> 00:01:59,080 Speaker 2: we won in August. We're off a very good start 35 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:02,000 Speaker 2: here in September or so, you know, a slow and 36 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:04,920 Speaker 2: steady right. We're we're not making you know, no one's 37 00:02:04,960 --> 00:02:07,040 Speaker 2: getting rich off this stuff, but we're going slow. And 38 00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:08,840 Speaker 2: you know, up forty units at the moment is a 39 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 2: really nice cushion as we get into what will be 40 00:02:11,440 --> 00:02:16,760 Speaker 2: the difficult months in betting. What are those months? October November? Okay, 41 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 2: like October November. There are so many things to bet on. 42 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 2: The books have super sharp numbers in baseball, we get 43 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:26,040 Speaker 2: going with the NBA, we get going with the NHL early, 44 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 2: which oftentimes can be a crapshoot. And then once the 45 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:31,680 Speaker 2: books have enough data to really start to sharpen their numbers, 46 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 2: then it gets difficult betting the NFL, even college. So 47 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 2: just understand, like you know, hey, these are the times 48 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 2: you want to do well in September, because football tends 49 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 2: to get much more difficult in October and November from 50 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:48,919 Speaker 2: a betting perspective. You guys should know this by now. 51 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 2: But in case you have not read above me with 52 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:53,799 Speaker 2: our friends at hard Rock Bet as to what they 53 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:57,800 Speaker 2: are doing with us. Hard Rock Bet they are the 54 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 2: presenting sponsor of the Daily Juice podcast. Hard Rock Bet 55 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 2: is legal in the state of Florida. It's the only 56 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 2: sports book in the state of Florida, but also available 57 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:11,959 Speaker 2: in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, and Colorado. 58 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:13,359 Speaker 1: They will launch in Nevada. 59 00:03:13,400 --> 00:03:15,960 Speaker 2: In other states, you could also play the hard Rock 60 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 2: Bet online casino. 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Play terms and conditions apply. 71 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:47,640 Speaker 2: Concerned about gambling in Florida called eight eight eight Admit it. 72 00:03:47,680 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 2: In Indiana, if you or someone you know has a 73 00:03:50,200 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 2: gambling problem and wants help, call one one hundred and 74 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:56,600 Speaker 2: nine with it gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, 75 00:03:56,640 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 2: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, and Virginia, Okay. Two Monday night 76 00:04:01,680 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 2: football games here tonight. There's about twelve games left in 77 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 2: the regular season for Major League Baseball. I'm gonna kind 78 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 2: of watch. I think in like, there are certain teams 79 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:15,720 Speaker 2: battling for playoff position, so I think there are some 80 00:04:15,760 --> 00:04:19,560 Speaker 2: opportunities later like Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, for us to bet baseball. 81 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:24,280 Speaker 2: But with two major, two Monday football games tonight, I 82 00:04:24,320 --> 00:04:27,599 Speaker 2: feel like, all right, let's not go to nuts here. 83 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:29,560 Speaker 2: Let's just bet the football games and we don't need 84 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:32,000 Speaker 2: to have like a gigantic card and play multiple things. 85 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:36,280 Speaker 2: And the WNBA playoffs are going on, and like I understand, 86 00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 2: there's a lot of things to bet on, but I'm 87 00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 2: just gonna focus on the two football games, the Monday 88 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:42,600 Speaker 2: night games, one being in Vegas. I'm in New Hampshire, 89 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:44,599 Speaker 2: I'm not in Vegas, but obviously I've watched the Raiders 90 00:04:44,640 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 2: a lot, and then we got the Texans hosting the Bucks, 91 00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:50,840 Speaker 2: so two games to kind of get into there. So 92 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 2: I've got a litany of plays for us just on 93 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 2: Monday night, not baseball. We will do baseball tomorrow and Wednesday. 94 00:04:57,440 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 2: And I know a lot of you guys are are 95 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:02,640 Speaker 2: proper have been very profitable with us in baseball and 96 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:04,799 Speaker 2: kind of you know, it's amazing. Last year, you guys, 97 00:05:05,120 --> 00:05:07,480 Speaker 2: you know, couldn't wait for me to stop betting baseball. 98 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 2: And now people are getting frustrated and angry when I 99 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:12,719 Speaker 2: don't best when I don't bet baseball, and you're like, 100 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 2: why aren't we betting baseball. This has been so profitable, 101 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 2: and I get all of that. I mean baseball. So 102 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 2: far this year, we're one hundred and eighty our record. 103 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 2: We're up sixteen and a half units from Major League Baseball. 104 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:28,479 Speaker 2: Our prop bets are thirty one and twenty four, that's 105 00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 2: fifty six percent. 106 00:05:29,640 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 1: We're up two point two units. 107 00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 2: So overall in the year, we're up almost twenty units, 108 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 2: which is pretty much what I lost last year in 109 00:05:36,839 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 2: Major League Baseball when I lost twenty five units in 110 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 2: Major League Baseball. Now I'm up twenty units in Major 111 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:45,000 Speaker 2: League Baseball. So that's just the ebb and flow of 112 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:46,680 Speaker 2: all of this. You know, one reason when we do 113 00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:49,360 Speaker 2: the podcast, because we show you guys how crazy it 114 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 2: is over time. You know, eventually it almost washes out. 115 00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:55,600 Speaker 2: You know, you lose twenty five units, you win twenty 116 00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 2: five units, and then you know it washes out. 117 00:05:57,440 --> 00:05:59,279 Speaker 1: So still got that ticket with the Brewers. 118 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:01,080 Speaker 2: We're still pulling for the Brewers at twenty seven to 119 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:03,440 Speaker 2: one to win the World Series. So baseball will be 120 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 2: later on in the week. Let's start here talking about 121 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 2: the first game and the Buccaneers taking on the Texans. 122 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 2: Here's a great stat I wanted to wait for week 123 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:16,159 Speaker 2: one to see if it was going to continue with 124 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 2: Timiko Ryans in CJ. 125 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 1: Stroud, but it has. 126 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:23,200 Speaker 2: The Texans last year went thirteen and four against the 127 00:06:23,279 --> 00:06:25,680 Speaker 2: number in the first half. That was by far the 128 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 2: best mark in the NFL. They've got a knack. 129 00:06:28,760 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 1: CJ. Stroud has a knack. For whatever reason, they start fast. 130 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:36,680 Speaker 2: This is a big game for the Texans here today 131 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:41,000 Speaker 2: because look, the Texans didn't look great in their opener, okay, 132 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:44,440 Speaker 2: and there's a lot of questions about this Texans football team. 133 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:48,440 Speaker 2: There's a lot of questions about Timiko Ryan. They lost 134 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:51,599 Speaker 2: their first game on the road against the Rams fourteen 135 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:56,600 Speaker 2: to nine. They scored nine points, So tonight home opener, 136 00:06:57,240 --> 00:07:03,200 Speaker 2: huge opportunity for them to get right get a win. 137 00:07:03,960 --> 00:07:08,039 Speaker 2: But they're banged up. However, even with them being banged up, 138 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:09,960 Speaker 2: even with their offensive line not looking great in the 139 00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:12,640 Speaker 2: Rams having a really good defense, they still covered in 140 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:15,560 Speaker 2: the first half last week. So now they're one to 141 00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:18,320 Speaker 2: zero ats in the second half. 142 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:18,880 Speaker 1: CJ. 143 00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:22,320 Speaker 2: Stroud and company. They don't play well for whatever reason. 144 00:07:22,400 --> 00:07:25,360 Speaker 2: They go into halftime. Demico Ryans is not make adjustments. 145 00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:27,840 Speaker 2: The other team does. And it's been the story for 146 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:29,960 Speaker 2: the better part of two years now, where the Texans 147 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:31,520 Speaker 2: don't play well in the second half and they'll play 148 00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:33,520 Speaker 2: very well in the first half because the game script. 149 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 2: They can script a game really well. They can script 150 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:38,800 Speaker 2: the first two series really well. So I'm gonna follow that. 151 00:07:39,360 --> 00:07:43,400 Speaker 2: It's only one and a half first half Texans minus 152 00:07:43,440 --> 00:07:46,400 Speaker 2: one and a half. It's minus one oh eight at DraftKings. 153 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 2: Not a bad bet to get into. Hard Rock's got 154 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 2: it as well. You can go and find this at 155 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:53,680 Speaker 2: a decent price minus one oh eight. I'm in New Hampshire, 156 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:55,280 Speaker 2: so I don't have access to drid to hard Rock 157 00:07:55,320 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 2: at the moment, but DraftKings, I have access to minus 158 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:02,880 Speaker 2: one oh eight DraftKings for the first half to kind 159 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:05,440 Speaker 2: of follow the game script as to what we've seen 160 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 2: over the last couple of months. Go with that, and 161 00:08:09,080 --> 00:08:11,520 Speaker 2: so we go with a Texans team in the first 162 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:15,000 Speaker 2: half at minus one and a half to have the 163 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 2: lead at the break. Use that game script, use the 164 00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:20,680 Speaker 2: energy from the home opener, use the crowd. 165 00:08:21,440 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: It's a hard place to play. 166 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 2: I mean, you know, Land Stadium is a hard place 167 00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 2: to play at times, and you know they're excited new 168 00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:30,760 Speaker 2: season football in Texas. First half, mine one and a 169 00:08:30,800 --> 00:08:35,559 Speaker 2: half Texans for one point one units with that, or 170 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 2: might want to wait for to one point zero eight 171 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:44,320 Speaker 2: units coming up on that now, it is a teaser 172 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:48,600 Speaker 2: opportunity for us. Why second half? I just told you 173 00:08:48,760 --> 00:08:51,520 Speaker 2: the second half is not great for the Texans. The 174 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:55,880 Speaker 2: Bucks under Baker Mayfield, they've played really well on the road. 175 00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:59,160 Speaker 2: It's kind of crazy, but Baker Mayfield over the last 176 00:08:59,160 --> 00:09:01,439 Speaker 2: two years is six and three straight up on the road, 177 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:04,079 Speaker 2: including last week's win on the road against the Falcons. 178 00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:05,800 Speaker 2: And you might go, well, Matt, teams playing back to 179 00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:08,080 Speaker 2: back road games, that's really tough. Look at the Panthers. 180 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:10,400 Speaker 2: The Panthers lost back to back. I mean, it's rare 181 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:11,880 Speaker 2: for the teams to open up back to back on 182 00:09:11,880 --> 00:09:13,840 Speaker 2: the road. Doesn't happen a that often. The Chargers are 183 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:16,760 Speaker 2: doing that. But the Chargers played on the road overseas. 184 00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 2: Now they come back on the road to take on Vegas. 185 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:21,400 Speaker 2: It's rare to see teams be placed on the road 186 00:09:21,440 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 2: in back to back, true road games in back to 187 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 2: back weeks in Week one and Week two of the NFL. 188 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:28,920 Speaker 2: That's what the Bucks have. So let's look at Baker Mayfield. 189 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:31,319 Speaker 2: On the road with the Bucks. He's six and three 190 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:34,480 Speaker 2: over the last two years straight up on the road. 191 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 2: This Bucks team, combined with the idea that the Texans 192 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 2: don't play well in the second half, it's plus two 193 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:44,880 Speaker 2: and a half. This is a prime teaser opportunity. Take 194 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:46,640 Speaker 2: the two and a half and go up to eight 195 00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 2: and a half. The Bucks may win the game outright, 196 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:50,640 Speaker 2: but I think they'll be in the game late and 197 00:09:50,679 --> 00:09:52,880 Speaker 2: they'll have a chance to win the game coming down 198 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:55,120 Speaker 2: to the wire because the Texans play tight games all 199 00:09:55,160 --> 00:09:57,480 Speaker 2: the time. I don't mind if you want to go 200 00:09:57,800 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 2: and do a same game and just take the total 201 00:09:59,800 --> 00:10:01,800 Speaker 2: up to about like fifty and a half and take 202 00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:03,840 Speaker 2: the under. I don't mind that. But given the fact 203 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:06,600 Speaker 2: that we've seen so much offense in Week one, sorry, 204 00:10:06,640 --> 00:10:09,040 Speaker 2: Week two of the NFL, I'm a little hesitant to 205 00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:10,760 Speaker 2: do that. You can say, well, Mattle's pull it down 206 00:10:11,160 --> 00:10:14,319 Speaker 2: to you know, somewhere around like thirty eight and go over. Yeah, 207 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 2: but fourteen to nine, the Texans might play a dead 208 00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:20,040 Speaker 2: under game because that's how they play. So I'm a 209 00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:23,080 Speaker 2: little bit concerned about doing that. So I'd rather just 210 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:24,760 Speaker 2: go Okay, Bucks plus eight and a half let's stay 211 00:10:24,760 --> 00:10:27,439 Speaker 2: away from the total altogether with the game. Unlets go 212 00:10:27,559 --> 00:10:30,240 Speaker 2: with the bucks eight and a half, Go ahead and 213 00:10:30,320 --> 00:10:33,720 Speaker 2: take that coming up here on that. So that's how 214 00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:37,800 Speaker 2: I'm playing the first game. We're gonna go plus Sorry, 215 00:10:37,800 --> 00:10:39,440 Speaker 2: we're gonna lay the one and a half with the 216 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 2: with the Texans in the first half bucks plus eight 217 00:10:43,280 --> 00:10:46,080 Speaker 2: and a half for the game. Now, what are we 218 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:48,480 Speaker 2: gonna do with the other side. I'll tell you about 219 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:51,199 Speaker 2: that here in just one second. Let's remind you, though, 220 00:10:51,320 --> 00:10:54,199 Speaker 2: what's going on with our betting systems. Have you guys 221 00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:58,080 Speaker 2: checked out the new app that we have available. The 222 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:01,000 Speaker 2: Betting pro system is part of the Betting pros app 223 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 2: are new betting systems. The tool is designed to help 224 00:11:04,960 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 2: you find winning strategies and make smarter plays. Customize your 225 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 2: betting systems by sport, bet type, timeframe and find the 226 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 2: best opportunities using real time data and expert analysis. Track 227 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 2: the performance of different betting systems over time, and optimize 228 00:11:17,160 --> 00:11:19,719 Speaker 2: your bets to increase your chances of success. Download the 229 00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:21,600 Speaker 2: Betting Pros app today or go to betting pros dot 230 00:11:21,640 --> 00:11:24,839 Speaker 2: com slash systems to elevate your betting strategies and start 231 00:11:24,880 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 2: making better bets. So we go to the late game 232 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 2: and it's the Raiders hosting the Chargers. A couple kind 233 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:35,120 Speaker 2: of wild things on this. So the stats for Justin 234 00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:39,080 Speaker 2: Herbert on the road at Vegas at a legient stadium. 235 00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:42,959 Speaker 2: He's played five times, three to two record. He's averaging 236 00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:45,080 Speaker 2: about two hundred sixty yards per game through the air, 237 00:11:45,640 --> 00:11:49,080 Speaker 2: ten touchdowns to three interceptions, including a game back in 238 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:51,360 Speaker 2: twenty twenty one in which he threw for three hundred 239 00:11:51,360 --> 00:11:53,440 Speaker 2: and twenty six yards and three touchdowns. All this has 240 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:55,559 Speaker 2: got nothing to do with Gino Smith and nothing to 241 00:11:55,559 --> 00:11:58,080 Speaker 2: do with Pete Carroll, but just an idea of like 242 00:11:58,160 --> 00:12:00,400 Speaker 2: he has played better, he has played well against the 243 00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:04,680 Speaker 2: Raiders on the road. Here the Raider team, this Raider 244 00:12:04,679 --> 00:12:07,240 Speaker 2: team coming off a win against the Patriots, who's and 245 00:12:07,280 --> 00:12:10,640 Speaker 2: their offense looked competent, I mean absolutely competent. There is 246 00:12:10,679 --> 00:12:13,040 Speaker 2: a bit of a worry and I'll admit this a 247 00:12:13,040 --> 00:12:15,480 Speaker 2: bit of a worry because the Chargers under Jim Harbaugh 248 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:19,800 Speaker 2: have been tremendous in the first couple of weeks and overall, 249 00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:22,320 Speaker 2: I mean he's thirteen five and one ats after beating 250 00:12:22,320 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 2: the cheatings of the Chiefs in week one thirteen five 251 00:12:24,920 --> 00:12:28,000 Speaker 2: and one ats. That's an incredible mark. Here's a wild 252 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:30,720 Speaker 2: stat that the Action Network put out this week. Justin 253 00:12:30,760 --> 00:12:33,560 Speaker 2: Herbert has made eighty two starts in his career in 254 00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:37,680 Speaker 2: the NFL. He's forty two and forty straight up. When 255 00:12:37,800 --> 00:12:42,120 Speaker 2: his defense allows twenty four points or fewer, he's thirty 256 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 2: four and twelve straight up in thirty four to ten 257 00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:47,480 Speaker 2: and one against the number. But when his defense allows 258 00:12:47,520 --> 00:12:51,320 Speaker 2: more than twenty four points, he's thirteen and twenty nine 259 00:12:51,360 --> 00:12:55,320 Speaker 2: straight up fifteen and twenty seven against the number. 260 00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:56,640 Speaker 1: Why is that relevant? 261 00:12:56,720 --> 00:12:59,400 Speaker 2: Because I think the Chargers defense is going to give 262 00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 2: up points to the Raiders. I think this offense is 263 00:13:02,040 --> 00:13:04,600 Speaker 2: better than people think. And Brock Bauers is playing Tonight's 264 00:13:04,880 --> 00:13:08,400 Speaker 2: for the Raiders, which is huge. The Raiders offense looked 265 00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:10,720 Speaker 2: really good. The Patriots defense wasn't great, but the Raiders' 266 00:13:10,760 --> 00:13:14,079 Speaker 2: offense looked very good. Gino Smith looked very competent. They 267 00:13:14,080 --> 00:13:16,600 Speaker 2: got a running back, Their offensive line is good enough. 268 00:13:17,400 --> 00:13:20,079 Speaker 2: The receiving core is deeper than people think. I think 269 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:23,240 Speaker 2: they score. Watch out for the Raiders and you want 270 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:25,920 Speaker 2: to go team total Raiders over. Don't mind it tonight, 271 00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:27,760 Speaker 2: don't mind that at all tonight for the Raiders. I 272 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:29,400 Speaker 2: do think the Raiders are actually gonna be in the game. 273 00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:31,600 Speaker 2: But I'm gonna take the total and I'm gonna pull 274 00:13:31,640 --> 00:13:34,880 Speaker 2: the total down. And that's the other side of the teaser. Okay, 275 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:37,160 Speaker 2: So the other side of the teaser is Bucks plus 276 00:13:37,240 --> 00:13:39,880 Speaker 2: eight and a half over forty and a half for 277 00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 2: the Raiders and the Chargers. I think we do see offense. 278 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:45,440 Speaker 2: I think we do see scoring here tonight's and this 279 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:48,200 Speaker 2: game goes over forty and a half for the Bucks 280 00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:51,400 Speaker 2: and sorry for the Chargers and the Raiders. I think 281 00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 2: both teams are gonna have success offensively. On the flip side, 282 00:13:58,080 --> 00:14:02,120 Speaker 2: I do think that we're gonna see a Raider team 283 00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:04,959 Speaker 2: in the second half have a chance to win this game. 284 00:14:05,520 --> 00:14:08,880 Speaker 2: These two teams have played so many games tight, so 285 00:14:08,920 --> 00:14:10,920 Speaker 2: many games have come down to a field goal, so 286 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:13,800 Speaker 2: many games have come down to one score, and Pete 287 00:14:13,840 --> 00:14:17,600 Speaker 2: Carroll and Jim Harbaugh straight up hate each other. I mean, 288 00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:20,080 Speaker 2: we're talking about hatred that goes all the way back, 289 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:25,480 Speaker 2: and I mean all the way back to College USC 290 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:28,480 Speaker 2: and Stanford. This is coming to the NFL with the 291 00:14:28,520 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 2: Seahawks and the forty nine Ers. This is now into 292 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:33,840 Speaker 2: the Raiders and the Chargers like this is one of 293 00:14:33,920 --> 00:14:38,400 Speaker 2: the most un It's not hyped nearly as much as 294 00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 2: it should. Pete Carroll was asked to like, what does 295 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:43,760 Speaker 2: he look was he like about Jim Harbor? Would remember 296 00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:48,520 Speaker 2: fondly about Jim Harbaugh? He said nothing. I don't remember anything, 297 00:14:48,560 --> 00:14:53,720 Speaker 2: nothing fondly about Jim Harbaugh. So this is great. This 298 00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:56,680 Speaker 2: is a big game. It's the home opener for the Raiders. 299 00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:59,880 Speaker 2: It's the home opener for Vegas. They're one to zero 300 00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:03,080 Speaker 2: and one of these teams, Chargers of the Raiders are 301 00:15:03,080 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 2: going to be two and oh. Denver lost stunningly yesterday 302 00:15:06,560 --> 00:15:09,280 Speaker 2: they lost to the Colts. How I have no idea 303 00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 2: how that flag came down to allow that kick to 304 00:15:12,880 --> 00:15:16,080 Speaker 2: go from sixty yards to forty five yards. Colts win 305 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:20,560 Speaker 2: the game. Denver bad loss. Denver's one in one. The 306 00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:22,800 Speaker 2: Chiefs are zero and two. One of these two teams 307 00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:24,640 Speaker 2: will be two and zero in the division, or two 308 00:15:24,640 --> 00:15:27,080 Speaker 2: and oh and leading the division and have a two 309 00:15:27,080 --> 00:15:29,560 Speaker 2: game lead on the Chiefs. If the Chargers win, the 310 00:15:29,680 --> 00:15:32,080 Speaker 2: Chargers are two and oh in the division, two and 311 00:15:32,080 --> 00:15:33,280 Speaker 2: oh overall, but two and oh. 312 00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 1: In the division. This is the division opener for the Raiders. 313 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:40,560 Speaker 2: So for me, oh boy, this is a huge game 314 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:43,440 Speaker 2: for both these teams. I'm gonna take the points, give 315 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:45,960 Speaker 2: me a home dog in the NFL. I'll take the 316 00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:48,640 Speaker 2: points Raiders plus three and a half with a shot 317 00:15:48,680 --> 00:15:50,600 Speaker 2: to win the game late maybe. 318 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:52,480 Speaker 1: I mean, I think the Raiders have a really good chance. 319 00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:53,200 Speaker 1: I think they probably. 320 00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:55,360 Speaker 2: I like the Raiders again, I bet them last week 321 00:15:55,800 --> 00:15:58,320 Speaker 2: that hook matters to me. You can tease them up 322 00:15:58,320 --> 00:15:59,880 Speaker 2: if you'd rather stay away from the total and just 323 00:15:59,880 --> 00:16:01,040 Speaker 2: go so eight and a half, eight and a half. 324 00:16:01,080 --> 00:16:03,400 Speaker 2: I don't mind that. But if I'm wrong with the Raiders, 325 00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:04,960 Speaker 2: I don't want to kill two bets with that. And 326 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:07,280 Speaker 2: I like if the Chargers in hardball come in and 327 00:16:07,280 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 2: they win the game by ten points and I'm dead 328 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:11,320 Speaker 2: wrong about the Raiders and they're same old, same old 329 00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:12,760 Speaker 2: for the Raiders, I don't want to do that. So 330 00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:15,320 Speaker 2: I about just lose one. Let's get the teaser right, 331 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 2: and that will make up for it. Because I do 332 00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:19,000 Speaker 2: think we're gonna see scoring in both from both the 333 00:16:19,080 --> 00:16:21,880 Speaker 2: Raiders and the Chargers'd be very hard pressed to see 334 00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:25,080 Speaker 2: this being a low scoring game. So I think that's 335 00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:26,960 Speaker 2: where we get, you know, kind of a makeup if 336 00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:28,560 Speaker 2: you will, as long as the Bucks do, I think 337 00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:30,080 Speaker 2: they're going to do it plus eight and a half. 338 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:32,760 Speaker 2: So that's how I'm sort of like gaming the system 339 00:16:32,760 --> 00:16:34,320 Speaker 2: a little bit with this and kind of giving myself 340 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,040 Speaker 2: a little bit of a a not hedge, but of 341 00:16:37,040 --> 00:16:39,560 Speaker 2: an out if I'm wrong as to how this game 342 00:16:39,640 --> 00:16:42,120 Speaker 2: is going to go, If you would like to hear 343 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 2: me talk more about this game here today and we 344 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:48,400 Speaker 2: tape morning of So this is Monday morning coming up 345 00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 2: at one pm Eastern time. My other show, The Bostonian 346 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:54,720 Speaker 2: Versus the Book, we will do full preview of both 347 00:16:54,760 --> 00:16:57,840 Speaker 2: Monday night football games, will go in depth on the weekend. 348 00:16:57,880 --> 00:17:01,280 Speaker 2: We'll recap everything that happens in Week two of the NFL. 349 00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:04,480 Speaker 2: Same thing for Week three of college football. I have 350 00:17:04,520 --> 00:17:06,240 Speaker 2: a lot to say about what's going to happen for 351 00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:09,479 Speaker 2: the Cowboys and the Giants outcome, how that went down, 352 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:12,280 Speaker 2: unbelievable ending for the Patriots and the Dolphins. If you 353 00:17:12,320 --> 00:17:14,119 Speaker 2: didn't see how that game ended in the fourth quarter, 354 00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 2: forty one points in the fourth quarter. 355 00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:17,159 Speaker 1: I thought that was going to be the game of 356 00:17:17,160 --> 00:17:17,480 Speaker 1: the day. 357 00:17:17,760 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 2: They said hold my beer when it came to the 358 00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:23,400 Speaker 2: Giants and the Cowboys one o'clock Eastern time. Search at 359 00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:26,479 Speaker 2: Boston Versus the book on Twitter and x we go 360 00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:28,879 Speaker 2: live the chat. It's a lot of fun to be in. 361 00:17:28,920 --> 00:17:31,320 Speaker 2: If you like interacting with people who bet on sports, 362 00:17:31,400 --> 00:17:33,359 Speaker 2: come on over to the live chat starting today at 363 00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:35,760 Speaker 2: one pm Eastern Time, and if you missed it, you 364 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:38,440 Speaker 2: can go back and watch the replay on YouTube at 365 00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:41,240 Speaker 2: Boston Versus the Book for a full preview of Monday 366 00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:43,440 Speaker 2: Night Football for both games, and a recap of Week 367 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:46,760 Speaker 2: two of the NFL. In Week three of college football, 368 00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:48,880 Speaker 2: two prop bets that we're going to give you guys 369 00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:51,239 Speaker 2: coming up here for today, and it goes right back 370 00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:53,040 Speaker 2: to what I talked about with Justin Herbert and what 371 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:56,639 Speaker 2: his numbers are passing at Allegian Stadium. He's been tremendous, 372 00:17:57,160 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 2: absolutely tremendous at Allegian Stadium, and I think he continues 373 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:03,600 Speaker 2: here against the secondary for the Chargers, assuming for the Raiders, 374 00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:07,120 Speaker 2: which is not very good. Justin Herbert with ten touchdown 375 00:18:07,119 --> 00:18:11,440 Speaker 2: tosses to three interceptions in Allegiance Stadium, I think that continues. 376 00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 1: I think Herbert will throw a lot here. 377 00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:15,760 Speaker 2: I like Justin Herbert to go over one and a 378 00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:18,879 Speaker 2: half touchdown tosses at minus one twenty five foer point 379 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 2: sixty three units. 380 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:22,280 Speaker 1: Bet that to win a half a unit. And it's 381 00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:22,840 Speaker 1: the same thing. 382 00:18:22,880 --> 00:18:24,800 Speaker 2: It's gonna be a rinse and repeat situation when it 383 00:18:24,800 --> 00:18:28,320 Speaker 2: comes to Ashton Genty. I like Ashton genty anytime touchdown 384 00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:30,639 Speaker 2: to have him score here in the red zone. We 385 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:32,960 Speaker 2: took it in week one. It cashed. I'm taking it 386 00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:35,520 Speaker 2: in week two. I think it will cash. He's the 387 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:39,280 Speaker 2: second option. Hampton's the number one option for anytime touchdown 388 00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:42,200 Speaker 2: on the board, Gent's number two. I think he will 389 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:44,560 Speaker 2: get the football either in a screen, He'll get a 390 00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:46,720 Speaker 2: football and our draw. He'll be the red zone bell 391 00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 2: cow for this offense. We saw it in week one. 392 00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:52,440 Speaker 2: I like the over so I like offense Ashton genty 393 00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:55,400 Speaker 2: minus one ten to get into the end zone. Bet 394 00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:57,520 Speaker 2: that to win a half a unit for us here 395 00:18:57,760 --> 00:19:02,560 Speaker 2: on Monday. All right, So to recap for Monday, Texans 396 00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:04,560 Speaker 2: in the first half at minus one and a half 397 00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:06,920 Speaker 2: at minus one oh eight, the Bucks plus eight and 398 00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:09,840 Speaker 2: a half teased up over forty and a half for 399 00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:13,960 Speaker 2: the late for the Chargers, and the Raiders were taking 400 00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:15,919 Speaker 2: that total down from forty six and a half and 401 00:19:15,920 --> 00:19:18,639 Speaker 2: going over forty and a half Raiders plus three and 402 00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:21,120 Speaker 2: a half for the game. I think the Raiders could 403 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:24,040 Speaker 2: win the game outright against the Chargers. Justin Herbert over 404 00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:27,200 Speaker 2: one and a half touchdown tosses and ask gingenty anytime 405 00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:28,320 Speaker 2: touchdown for us. 406 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:29,880 Speaker 1: On a Monday, Minu's Matt Parol. 407 00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:31,760 Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at 408 00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:35,040 Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. 409 00:19:35,280 --> 00:19:50,520 Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice