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Speaker 1: The volume.

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Speaker 2: What is going on everybody?

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Speaker 3: How are we doing? Hopefully everyone's having a good New

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Speaker 3: Year's having a good week. We're all thrown off.

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Speaker 2: This two week stretch, especially with Christmas, Christmas Eve, New

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Speaker 2: Year's Eve, New Year's falling in the middle of the week,

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Speaker 2: back to back weeks can really throw you off, and I.

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Speaker 3: Definitely fall under that category. I got some sickness. I

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Speaker 3: don't know what it is. I just I can't shake it.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna go try to sit in the sun and

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Speaker 3: steam room see if that will cure me. Because it's

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Speaker 3: been going on like five days now. It sucks, but

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Speaker 3: I'm thrown off. So instead of doing a mail bag

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Speaker 3: on Saturday, I talked to Stucky about twenty four hours ago,

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Speaker 3: and we got a big NFL weekend, at least a

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Speaker 3: couple of big games, a lot of other games that

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Speaker 3: are meaningless. It's it's impossible to know who's gonna play.

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Speaker 3: So we tried to dive in any trends, you know,

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Speaker 3: how to get our gamble on. We'll get a little

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Speaker 3: juwe flowing into the start of the new year. I

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Speaker 3: do think there are some interesting, you know, future bets

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Speaker 3: right now when you look at teams like you know,

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Speaker 3: from a value standpoint, it's hard to bet against the Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: But from a.

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Speaker 3: Value standpoint, the winner of the Ravens Bills game, you

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Speaker 3: can get both those to it, you know, close to

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Speaker 3: seven to one. So we'll talk a little bit about

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Speaker 3: that as well. Obviously, the playoffs coming up next week

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Speaker 3: with the NFL the college football semi finals, we have

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Speaker 3: coaches getting fired. I mean, it's gonna be a crazy,

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Speaker 3: crazy time in terms of the football world. So we

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Speaker 3: got we gotta strap in, buckle up, pedal to the

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Speaker 3: metal here and and yeah, so we will talk to

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Speaker 3: Stucky today. That will be it. No middlecoff mail bag.

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Speaker 3: I will bang out a few next week for sure.

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Speaker 3: I had Jackson come on after the Notre Dame game.

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Speaker 3: He's a big Notre Dame guy. So we did about

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Speaker 3: an hour of college football yesterday if you missed it,

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Speaker 3: so you can go check that out. Make sure you

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Speaker 3: subscribe to three and out. You know, if you listen

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Speaker 3: on college feed, make sure you subscribed to a three

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Speaker 3: and out feed YouTube channel has all of our content

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Speaker 3: as well. And yeah, let's dive into Stucky. It's bittersweet

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Speaker 3: because when you look at your DraftKings app all lines

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Speaker 3: here presented by our friends at DraftKings, And you realize

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Speaker 3: that it's week eighteen and college football's coming to a

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Speaker 3: screeching end football that you can see the end, the

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Speaker 3: light at the end of the tunnel where there just

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Speaker 3: is no football for a long period of time. And

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Speaker 3: that makes me sad. So I stopped complaining. If there

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Speaker 3: was a crappy game on a Thursday night, if there

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Speaker 3: was a crappy Monday night game, and I just said,

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Speaker 3: it's football, I was going to enjoy it. But then

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Speaker 3: I look at the lines this weekend. I think one

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Speaker 3: of my favorite lines of the weekend of the year

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Speaker 3: is my guy Stucky's squad the Ravens. I saw this morning.

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Speaker 3: They are laying eighteen points against the fighting Cleveland Browns,

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Speaker 3: who I know they were having a season from hell,

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Speaker 3: but when you look at the record and it says,

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Speaker 3: what are they three and thirteen? They are really really shitty.

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Speaker 3: I mean for a team just last year that won

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Speaker 3: eleven games, Wastfanski man, what a season from hell from

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Speaker 3: the Browns.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's I think that they're point Their team total

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Speaker 1: is eleven and a half. I think I think that's

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Speaker 1: what it's at, which is like as low as you'll

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Speaker 1: ever see in in the NFL. It's yeah, it is.

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Speaker 1: It is bitter sweet. There's only eight college we're recording

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Speaker 1: this on a Thursday. There's only eight college football games left,

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Speaker 1: and you e were heading into the final regular season

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Speaker 1: week in the NFL. But I am actually looking I'm

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Speaker 1: looking forward to the NFL playoffs. Like this regular season

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Speaker 1: it's been, it's been pretty bizarreming favorites have dominated. It's

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Speaker 1: been one of the most successful favorite years of all time.

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Speaker 1: And a lot of that is like in the NFL,

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Speaker 1: we usually have extreme parody, but that's just not been

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Speaker 1: the case this year. There's a chance we have nine

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Speaker 1: teams finish with four or fewer wins. I believe we've

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Speaker 1: never had more than seven, and there's an extra game now.

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Speaker 1: So just that there's been so many bad teams and

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Speaker 1: then a lot of those bad teams about injuries and

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Speaker 1: some of the quarterback situations on some of these bad

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Speaker 1: teams has just made the regular season not as exciting

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Speaker 1: as it usually is. But what I think that that

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Speaker 1: will lead to is a much more exciting playoffs. I mean,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna have a either a lie or Vikings team

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Speaker 1: that is currently fourteen and two. Both of them are fourteen.

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Speaker 1: The loser is the five seed, which is pretty insane.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, I think that, uh.

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Speaker 3: I don't think we'll ever see a fourteen win five

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Speaker 3: seed again or right, very unlikely. I mean, that's that's

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Speaker 3: hard to get.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's insane. So I think that we're it's going

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Speaker 1: to be a really really good NFL playoffs. Just I mean,

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Speaker 1: in the AFC, can the Ravens or Bills get over

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Speaker 1: the hump against the Chiefs who seem to be putting

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Speaker 1: it together at the right time, And then the NFC,

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Speaker 1: it's it's pretty wide open. Can Detroit just get through

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Speaker 1: the NFST I mean they need to get the lines.

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Speaker 1: The game is huge against the Vikings because with their defensive injuries,

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Speaker 1: I mean, over the past three weeks they've been the

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Speaker 1: worst defense in the NFL. I mean, they give up

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Speaker 1: since all these injuries that they go forty eight to

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Speaker 1: even the Bears put up like four hundred yards. They

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Speaker 1: were moving the ball. And then last week the Niners

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Speaker 1: they did whatever they wanted on offense and it wasn't

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Speaker 1: like that a complete they had a Their offensive line

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Speaker 1: was a shell of itself. The semis I had a

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Speaker 1: sixty percent success right for the game. Only five other

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Speaker 1: teams have done that in a game this year. They

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Speaker 1: just missed field goals of course, as they always do,

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Speaker 1: and turned it over a couple times with the lines.

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Speaker 1: Can they That's why they need to get home field,

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Speaker 1: maybe get a bit healthier. You get to play at home,

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Speaker 1: but they're gonna have to win and shootouts, but you

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Speaker 1: have you know, you also have the Packers, the Vikings,

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Speaker 1: the Eagles to the NFC. I think is is really

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Speaker 1: exciting and pretty deep this year. You have a Rams

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Speaker 1: team that's going to be dangerous as well and can

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Speaker 1: beat anybody on any given Sunday. So yeah, I'm I'm

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Speaker 1: looking forward to the playoffs and I think that that

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Speaker 1: lack of parody is going to make for a more

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Speaker 1: exciting postseasons. You do have a lot of really good

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Speaker 1: teams this year.

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Speaker 3: Well before before we dive in, I wrote down some

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Speaker 3: big picture of things I want to get into. Is

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Speaker 3: I think when you speak of the ships at the

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Speaker 3: bottom of the NFL on Monday night, you know, most

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Speaker 3: people in my life are forty nine er people and

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Speaker 3: everyone's like, should we be losing this game when it

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Speaker 3: looked like the forty nine ers were gonna win and

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Speaker 3: I was like they were having the season from hell.

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Speaker 3: And they're currently drafting eleven. So whether you win or

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Speaker 3: lose this game, drafting eleven or drafting fourteenth, if they

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Speaker 3: were drafting like fourth, yeah you should root for them

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Speaker 3: to lose, but they could lose out and they're still

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Speaker 3: not gonna draft in the top ten. So whether you

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Speaker 3: win a game or lose a game, it's not This

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Speaker 3: isn't the Giants, Raiders, Patriots situation. They can't They're not

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Speaker 3: playing in that sandbox. It's pretty insane. The Niners are

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Speaker 3: not gonna draft in the top ten. And that includes

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Speaker 3: if they lose this week to Arizona and they go

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Speaker 3: six and eleven. So that just shows you how crappy

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Speaker 3: and the Niners really don't have that much in common

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Speaker 3: with those teams. So's it feels right, but it's crazy

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Speaker 3: how bad you know, the bottom seven or eight have

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Speaker 3: truly been most of the season with the Giants, the Titans,

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Speaker 3: the Raiders, the I mean both of them have had

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Speaker 3: moments in a given game, but over the course of

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Speaker 3: like two month stretches, I mean, they are just putrid

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Speaker 3: football teams. So I hear you there. And when I

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Speaker 3: think big picture, I look today. I looked at some

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Speaker 3: futures right now the Chiefs rightfully, so they flipped a switch.

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Speaker 3: Holy shit, they look good again. Uh even you know,

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Speaker 3: my fiance keeps looking at me. She's like, are they

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Speaker 3: really gonna win it again? She asked me that yesterday

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Speaker 3: because there was some you know, ad about the NFL playoffs,

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Speaker 3: or she was looking at someone on Instagram like I

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Speaker 3: you know, I wouldn't have said yes a month ago,

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Speaker 3: but don't be surprised if it happens again. But I

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Speaker 3: do think there's some value assuming Baltimore wins. I mean,

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Speaker 3: they're almost a twenty point favorite. You can get Baltimore

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Speaker 3: Buffalo at plus six fifty. So if you took one

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Speaker 3: thousand dollars and put five hundred each, or put five

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Speaker 3: thousand dollars and splait it up, put twenty five hundred

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Speaker 3: each and basically just bet those two to win the

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Speaker 3: Super Bowl, right, because you know they're more than likely

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Speaker 3: going to play in the second round, and I do

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Speaker 3: think they would have a very good chance to win.

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Speaker 3: You know, if you're just playing the odds like are

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Speaker 3: the Chiefs gonna go back to the Super Bowl again?

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Speaker 3: Would be historic? Let alone win it eventually, Like I

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Speaker 3: remember Brady Belichick losing to Rex Ryan, Right, I remember

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Speaker 3: Brady and Belichick losing to Denver. Now granted, some of

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Speaker 3: these games that Rex Ryan game I think was at home,

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Speaker 3: Denver game when Gronk's ankle was messed up, was on

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Speaker 3: the road. So every situation's different. Kansasy is gonna host,

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Speaker 3: but I wonder if there's some value there. And basically,

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Speaker 3: but you gotta bet them both because you don't know

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Speaker 3: exactly who's gonna win that second game, right, But that's

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Speaker 3: you basically just take the two of them and you

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Speaker 3: bet them to win the Super Bowl. Because whoever wins

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Speaker 3: that game, I think you're gonna be feeling pretty good,

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Speaker 3: has a good chance against the Chiefs. And this year,

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Speaker 3: unlike last year, everyone's gonna be betting the Chiefs. Right

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Speaker 3: in that situation, yep.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: The only thing that what do you think about that logic?

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Speaker 1: I don't hate it. I mean the one the potential

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Speaker 1: wrench that could get thrown into it is that the

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Speaker 1: Bengals make the playoffs. But and then you know, the

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Speaker 1: Bengals play. The Bengals can beat anybody. They'll probably find

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Speaker 1: a way to lose at the end, but they would

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Speaker 1: they would play the Bills that they get in in

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Speaker 1: that first game. And I see some people, like I've

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Speaker 1: seen social media, people are like, oh, the Chiefs are

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Speaker 1: sitting the starters because they don't want the Bengals in,

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Speaker 1: which is as nine because the Bengals would play the Bills,

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Speaker 1: and you would rather if you're the Chiefs, you'd rather

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Speaker 1: play the Bengals and that their defense than the Bills.

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Speaker 1: So you could, I think you would want the Bengals

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Speaker 1: in to potentially knock out the Bills. So yeah, I

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Speaker 1: mean it's I am anti Chiefs for this one reason.

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Speaker 1: Well I'm a Ravens fan one. But if they go

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Speaker 1: back to the Super Bowl, wouldn't you know, I gotta

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Speaker 1: I talk about the Super Bowl more than any game.

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Speaker 1: Do this show, my podcast, my shows, you know, and

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Speaker 1: that's it's two weeks and every year it's it's what

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Speaker 1: the chief Then we get two more weeks of just

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Speaker 1: the right the Chiefs are gonna win the Super Bowl?

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Speaker 1: I mean, what do you want me to say? So,

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Speaker 1: just from a freshness newness perspective, I am rooting for

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs not to get there, but yeah, it seems

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Speaker 1: like they're slowly. They just they peak at the right time.

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Speaker 1: They just know how to figure it out down the stretch.

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Speaker 1: And I think like that offense, I mean, Tony at

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Speaker 1: left tackles made a difference. They got Hollywood Brown back,

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Speaker 1: which makes their offense a bit more dynamic. I do

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Speaker 1: still think that there's questions in the secondary, which I

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Speaker 1: which could ultimately end up cost them this year because

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Speaker 1: last year their secondary was rock solid, but against Lamar

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Speaker 1: or Josh Allen that could end up being the difference.

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Speaker 1: And I do think that there's a couple of things

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Speaker 1: working in the Bills. The Bills and Ravens, I think

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Speaker 1: also are starting to peak as well, which makes the

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Speaker 1: AFC just that much more fascinating because the Bills are

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Speaker 1: getting healthier just across the board. They dealt with some

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Speaker 1: defensive injuries, some key defensive injuries down the stretch, and

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Speaker 1: the Ravens pass defense over the past six weeks top

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Speaker 1: three in the NFL, and this is a bottom five

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Speaker 1: unit earlier in the year. They made some schematic changes

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Speaker 1: and they moved some guys around, put Hamilton back at safety,

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Speaker 1: put a Darius Washington at safety instead of Marcus Williams,

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Speaker 1: kept humphering the slot, and the results are have been

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Speaker 1: very very good. So their pass defense, which is their

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Speaker 1: biggest weakness, is starting to trend up. So all three

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Speaker 1: of those teams are trending up. But it's the Chiefs

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Speaker 1: you got. You have to get up. You have to

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Speaker 1: get up on them, like you just can't have it

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Speaker 1: be you can't have it be as one possession game,

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Speaker 1: as the Bills know all too well, even if there's

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Speaker 1: thirteen seconds left, because you know that the Chiefs are

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Speaker 1: just going to find a way if they need to

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Speaker 1: have a final drive, especially at home, that they're gonna

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Speaker 1: win that close game. But yeah, if there was a year,

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Speaker 1: it's the Bills are Ravens are very very good this year.

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Speaker 1: But for fortunately for the Chiefs, Yeah, they're gonna have

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Speaker 1: to play each other.

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Speaker 3: Well, let's start with the Chiefs because Carson Wentz is

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Speaker 3: getting zero respect a ten and a half point dog.

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Speaker 3: Now it's not just Carson Wentz, right, I mean there

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Speaker 3: I would guess Travis Kelce will not have pads on,

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Speaker 3: Chris Jones will not have pads on. I mean he's

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Speaker 3: been banged up. I could see you know, McDuffie, Karlovska,

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Speaker 3: who knows, right, I mean, it's not like it's gonna

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Speaker 3: be is Xavier Worthy might have pads on but play

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Speaker 3: very limited snaps. This is must win for Denver, who

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Speaker 3: played in one of the most batshit games I think

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Speaker 3: we'll ever see. Well, I'm so thrown off on my

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Speaker 3: days right now, but whenever they played the Bengals, like

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Speaker 3: a week ago, five days ago, yesterday, I don't know

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Speaker 3: when that game, that game was bananas, but like I

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Speaker 3: do think they're pretty good and defensively, like the Bengals

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Speaker 3: are a tough matchup, but it's Carson Wentz sometimes in

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Speaker 3: this spot when you get a guy like that, like

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Speaker 3: there's a pretty big game for Carson Wentz and like

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Speaker 3: I think Andy like not necessarily trying to win or

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Speaker 3: lose the game, but he will take a lot of

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Speaker 3: pride in like Carson Wentz, like they will. They will

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Speaker 3: have a lot of effort like these four days leading

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Speaker 3: it up to this game. Now, this is a kitchen

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Speaker 3: sink game for Denver. Be a huge accomplishment to make

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Speaker 3: the playoffs, right with a rookie quarterback and everyone counted

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Speaker 3: them out when the season started, myself included, and they've

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Speaker 3: turned out their defense was actually pretty good undermans Joseph Benito.

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Speaker 3: I didn't even know that much about this guy, and

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Speaker 3: he's fucking dominated. But in really just their pass rush

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Speaker 3: in general, Like, I don't think anyone would have picked

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Speaker 3: them to lead the league in sacks right in August.

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Speaker 3: But this is kind of fascinating game. I just is

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Speaker 3: this just a lock? Denver just beats him like thirty

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Speaker 3: to ten? Or is this thing? You know? I think

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Speaker 3: I might take the Carson fighting Carson wentzz would Andy

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Speaker 3: Reid plus ten and a half?

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Speaker 1: I would lean that way. I might take it.

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Speaker 3: I just how's the number that there's a lot of them?

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Speaker 3: How's it that big?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, there's a lot of un I mean there's some

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Speaker 1: rumors that the Chiefs might even play like some Chris

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Speaker 1: Oladuke in their third string quarterback, which would make it

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Speaker 1: a little dicey. I mean it's the Chiefs offensive line

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Speaker 1: still does have some issues, so how much of those

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Speaker 1: this This Mahomes mask would be my concern against a

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Speaker 1: team that you know is going to send the blitz

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Speaker 1: can get pressure, but you.

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Speaker 3: Don't want your backup quarterback to get injured either going

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Speaker 3: into the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, historically the in Week eighteen actually, for that matter,

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Speaker 1: the final two weeks of the regular season. If you

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Speaker 1: bet the teams and this doesn't this specific game doesn't

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Speaker 1: fit this mold exactly. But if you bet the teams

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Speaker 1: that are eliminated playing for nothing against the teams that

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Speaker 1: have to win, you have done very well. It's like

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Speaker 1: sixty against the spread. Why Well, a lot of times

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Speaker 1: you're paying a premium to back the team that needs

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00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:13,360
Speaker 1: to win, and the other team usually will. They're still professionals,

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Speaker 1: they'll they're still gonna try, still gonna try to win,

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00:16:17,240 --> 00:16:19,280
Speaker 1: and they can play looser in a way, and then

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00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:21,320
Speaker 1: the team that needs to win plays tighter. They might

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Speaker 1: be a little bit too conservative, play too close to

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00:16:25,640 --> 00:16:27,840
Speaker 1: the vest. So there's a lot of things that work

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00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:32,200
Speaker 1: in the favor of these underdogs that are eliminated don't

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Speaker 1: need to win, Like the Jets, for example against the Dolphins,

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00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:38,080
Speaker 1: they fit that. The Saints, I'm not sure if Davy

315
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Speaker 1: Derek Carr plays this week, and the Saints, like getting

316
00:16:40,400 --> 00:16:45,440
Speaker 1: two touchdowns against the Bucks fit that mold. And then here, yeah,

317
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Speaker 1: the Chiefs can come in here. They can play loose,

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Speaker 1: nothing to lose. And you know the Broncos Bnecks still

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Speaker 1: a rookie quarterback, a lot of pressure on him. It

320
00:16:56,400 --> 00:16:58,640
Speaker 1: just comes down to like how many guys do the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs actually sit. But we've seen the Chiefs in this situation,

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00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:08,800
Speaker 1: this exact situation four times before. Back in twenty thirteen,

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Speaker 1: Chase Daniel started, Chiefs rested all their starters. They were

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Speaker 1: plus fourteen and a half against the Chargers, who needed

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Speaker 1: to win to get into the playoffs. I assume that

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Speaker 1: that was Rivers. The Chiefs were up ten late, they

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00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:27,320
Speaker 1: blew a ten point lead, They missed a field goal

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Speaker 1: to win it. There was actually a penalty on the

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Speaker 1: Chargers that the NFL had come out after the game

330
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Speaker 1: and say they messed up and that should have been called.

331
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Speaker 1: Chargers ended up winning in overtime. Chiefs covered twenty seventeen.

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Speaker 1: They were plus three at Denver and they won. It

333
00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:47,879
Speaker 1: was actually Mahomes's first start when they sat up Alex

334
00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:52,440
Speaker 1: Smith twenty twenty, hen Chad Henny was plus seven versus

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Speaker 1: Herbert at the Chargers. That was a meaningless game. They

336
00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:57,640
Speaker 1: did get blown out in that game thirty eight twenty one,

337
00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:01,720
Speaker 1: and then last year when Gabbert started plus three and

338
00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:05,359
Speaker 1: a half at the Chargers, who in fairness were starting

339
00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:08,040
Speaker 1: easton Stick and the Chiefs ended up winning thirteen twelve.

340
00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:12,720
Speaker 1: So they've covered three of four games, all on the

341
00:18:12,760 --> 00:18:18,480
Speaker 1: road and division in this spot, and they should have

342
00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:22,040
Speaker 1: won three of the four. So it wouldn't shock me

343
00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:26,159
Speaker 1: if they were just in this game in the fourth quarter.

344
00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:30,600
Speaker 1: I just I just don't know to what extent are

345
00:18:30,600 --> 00:18:33,000
Speaker 1: they going to rest their starters, like how many are

346
00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:36,119
Speaker 1: they going to actually play some of their third string quarterback?

347
00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:41,280
Speaker 1: But the Chiefs are a very professional team and they've

348
00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:43,159
Speaker 1: been in the spot before, so I think they'll be

349
00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:45,960
Speaker 1: prepared and they'll put up a fight here. So yeah,

350
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Speaker 1: I think it's Chiefs are nothing at ten and a half.

351
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Speaker 3: Well, if you remember the Mahomes game where he started

352
00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:53,399
Speaker 3: when he was the back of for Alex Smith, they

353
00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:55,360
Speaker 3: knew they were going to the playoffs, and I think

354
00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:57,320
Speaker 3: they elmer knew they were playing. I think they ended

355
00:18:57,400 --> 00:19:01,040
Speaker 3: up playing the Titans, and Andy gave like Doug Peterson,

356
00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:04,000
Speaker 3: maybe Doug was already gone, but Naggi and like his

357
00:19:04,080 --> 00:19:07,240
Speaker 3: offensive assistant, said, you attacked the game plan, you started

358
00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:11,359
Speaker 3: attacking the playoff opponents all be all attack Mahomes and

359
00:19:11,359 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 3: get ready for this game. They split it up. They

360
00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:17,200
Speaker 3: don't really even need to do that because they've already

361
00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:20,320
Speaker 3: they just played the Texans, right, They just they didn't

362
00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:23,280
Speaker 3: play the Chargers that long ago, and they're comfortable playing them,

363
00:19:23,760 --> 00:19:25,879
Speaker 3: so it's like they don't need to get that far ahead.

364
00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:28,280
Speaker 3: And they got the bye week, so it's like they

365
00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:30,360
Speaker 3: could just attack this week kind of like a normal week.

366
00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:32,199
Speaker 3: I just think that's a lot of points in a

367
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,800
Speaker 3: situation where you you know, he knows their personnel pretty well.

368
00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:38,000
Speaker 3: That's this is a game I got circled. Wouldn't shock

369
00:19:38,080 --> 00:19:40,679
Speaker 3: me if I'm not saying Denver's gonna lose, but I

370
00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:42,920
Speaker 3: could just see that thing being weird and same thing.

371
00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:47,320
Speaker 3: You know, the Steelers got some fucking issues. I mean,

372
00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:50,240
Speaker 3: they are a completely different team and we've we talked

373
00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:53,200
Speaker 3: about it last week. You know, with their defensive injuries,

374
00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:56,760
Speaker 3: the coverage ability is just no longer there. They're just

375
00:19:56,800 --> 00:20:00,439
Speaker 3: not the same team. And obviously Cincinnati just I mean

376
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:03,080
Speaker 3: their ability on offense is second to none. Throwing the ball,

377
00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:06,280
Speaker 3: I mean, Merl's playing out of his mind. I feel

378
00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,760
Speaker 3: like this is an easy one. He just picked Cincinnati,

379
00:20:08,800 --> 00:20:13,240
Speaker 3: but this also feels kind of classic Pittsburgh. I mean, shit,

380
00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:16,040
Speaker 3: they played on Christmas, so they've had a lot of

381
00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:20,080
Speaker 3: extra rest. Everyone's been shitting on them, and rightfully so,

382
00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:23,520
Speaker 3: but I mean still, I mean they are just everyone's

383
00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:26,679
Speaker 3: picking them be one and done in the playoffs, just

384
00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:31,120
Speaker 3: another Mike Tomlin seasons kind of worthless, got a hot start,

385
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:34,080
Speaker 3: meant nothing. I wonder if this is game's gonna be

386
00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:36,199
Speaker 3: a little weirder than everyone just thinks. Cincinnati is a

387
00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:37,200
Speaker 3: lock to win this game.

388
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:40,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's a class. There's been a couple

389
00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:42,639
Speaker 1: classic Tomlins spots though in the past three weeks that

390
00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:46,240
Speaker 1: just that haven't worked out. This would fit the mold

391
00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:50,000
Speaker 1: as another one. Joey Porter will be back. That's big

392
00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:54,320
Speaker 1: for the Steelers. They've really missed him in coverage. I

393
00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:58,920
Speaker 1: think a key to this game is does Amarius MEM's

394
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:02,040
Speaker 1: playing for the Bengals game true game time decision at

395
00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:06,760
Speaker 1: right tackle and obviously be going up against what big

396
00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:10,240
Speaker 1: drop off for the Bengals tackles If their starters are

397
00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:13,760
Speaker 1: not in there, it could be trouble for Barrow. Who's

398
00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,280
Speaker 1: I mean, he's just playing amazing regardless right now, but

399
00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:19,879
Speaker 1: that could lead to like a few more just like

400
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:24,400
Speaker 1: a few drive killers sacks, drive killing sacks, which might

401
00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:27,399
Speaker 1: end up making the difference a tough game for me

402
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:31,560
Speaker 1: to bet. Because Bengals games right now, you know that

403
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:36,359
Speaker 1: Burrow is just I mean, he's playing at an MVP level.

404
00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:39,920
Speaker 1: They're gonna put up points. They're very difficult to stop. Now,

405
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:43,520
Speaker 1: the right tackle could make that a little murkier, the

406
00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:46,200
Speaker 1: right tackle situation. But and you also know their defense

407
00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:48,800
Speaker 1: isn't very good, so the other team is going to

408
00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:51,840
Speaker 1: be right there with them. I mean, go back to

409
00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:56,920
Speaker 1: that the Steelers Bengals first meeting, what about a month ago.

410
00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:02,720
Speaker 1: The Steelers did whatever they wanted on offense in that game.

411
00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:06,480
Speaker 1: So to me, this just feels like who's gonna have

412
00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:08,520
Speaker 1: the ball last? I mean, that's what Bengals games are

413
00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:11,879
Speaker 1: right now, because it's hard to get, it's hard to

414
00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:14,440
Speaker 1: stop them, and it's hard not to score on them.

415
00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:19,399
Speaker 1: So yeah, this feels like I don't mind the series

416
00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:22,359
Speaker 1: is like a teaser piece because this feels like last

417
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:24,840
Speaker 1: team with the ball wins. But Mims at right tackle.

418
00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:28,480
Speaker 1: That's why I'm watching because if he doesn't play that

419
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:31,800
Speaker 1: just could ruin maybe one or two drives for the Bengals,

420
00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:34,320
Speaker 1: and that could be the difference, because it's very difficult

421
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,359
Speaker 1: to rely on their defense right now and count on

422
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:38,400
Speaker 1: them to get any stops.

423
00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:48,040
Speaker 4: It's the most wonderful time of year for getting in

424
00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:50,439
Speaker 4: on all the hoops, football, and hockey action at the

425
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:54,880
Speaker 4: DraftKings Sportsbook. It's the season of giving, and we're being

426
00:22:54,920 --> 00:23:00,840
Speaker 4: gifted college football and basketball, Pro football and basketball and

427
00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:03,920
Speaker 4: pro hockey to almost twenty four to seven. So many

428
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:07,639
Speaker 4: games every day, so many opportunities to blace your first bet.

429
00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:11,040
Speaker 4: Try betting on something simple like picking a team to win.

430
00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:14,159
Speaker 5: Go to Drafting Sportsbook app and place your bet, and

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Speaker 3: Okay, let's go, uh, I mean, record wise, pretty historic

453
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,840
Speaker 3: matchup game of the year, the Detroit Lions hosting the

454
00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:31,000
Speaker 3: Minnesota Vikings. My takeaway halfway through that game was on

455
00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:35,119
Speaker 3: Monday night, was Detroit has no chance in the playoffs

456
00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:38,240
Speaker 3: with this level of defense. And honestly, at that point

457
00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:40,280
Speaker 3: about halftime, like, I don't see how they can beat

458
00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:43,680
Speaker 3: Minnesota when they just can't stop anybody. Then the second half,

459
00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:48,160
Speaker 3: I mean, your defense can be awful if your offense

460
00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:50,640
Speaker 3: is dominant, which there is, and then you just get

461
00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:53,520
Speaker 3: some turnovers, which is obviously a little random. You either

462
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:55,720
Speaker 3: need the quarterback to throw you the ball like Perty did,

463
00:24:56,400 --> 00:25:00,320
Speaker 3: or create a fumble. And I do think that they

464
00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:03,520
Speaker 3: have a chance once the game ended and you realize, okay,

465
00:25:03,800 --> 00:25:07,199
Speaker 3: I see their path offense basically has a score or

466
00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:09,800
Speaker 3: just you know, be elite. You're not gonna score in

467
00:25:09,800 --> 00:25:11,880
Speaker 3: every drive like he did against the Niners against Minnesota.

468
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:13,920
Speaker 3: I think it's fair to say, but you still should

469
00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:15,720
Speaker 3: be able to put up I would say twenty five

470
00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:18,640
Speaker 3: to thirty points and then just create a turnover, whether

471
00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:23,160
Speaker 3: that's Sam Donald throwing you the ball, forcing a fumble somehow,

472
00:25:23,680 --> 00:25:25,919
Speaker 3: It's like that is their path because they're just not

473
00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:30,080
Speaker 3: gonna get stops consistently. They're just not even close to

474
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:32,239
Speaker 3: good enough right now. It's not someone's fault. It's not

475
00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:35,679
Speaker 3: a camp blagn the defensive coordinator or players suck. I mean,

476
00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:37,760
Speaker 3: they just got a million injuries. Now they might get

477
00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:40,160
Speaker 3: guys back and maybe by you know, if they can

478
00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:42,520
Speaker 3: win this game. But I like, I do see the

479
00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:47,880
Speaker 3: path of winning this game in to me, at parallels

480
00:25:47,920 --> 00:25:50,680
Speaker 3: that Niner game. Score a lot of points, create some turnovers,

481
00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:53,400
Speaker 3: because if they're not creating turnovers, I see zero chance

482
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:55,879
Speaker 3: if Sam Donald is gonna play like the guy we

483
00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:58,280
Speaker 3: have seen, like unless he just has one of his

484
00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:01,920
Speaker 3: awful games, which he hasn't had an while. I think

485
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:06,439
Speaker 3: it's gonna be tough. But that Lion's offense sometimes they

486
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 3: score too fast. I mean that's they're just so explosive,

487
00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:11,920
Speaker 3: and then you just put your defense back on the

488
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:14,560
Speaker 3: field instead of just slow. And that's where probably Montgomery

489
00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:16,880
Speaker 3: would help a little bit, just like seven yard runs

490
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:18,680
Speaker 3: instead of Gibbs gets in the open fields, Like God,

491
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:21,600
Speaker 3: they just gained forty yards. You know, you're like, holy shit, Like,

492
00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:23,720
Speaker 3: don't throw the ball to Jameis and Williams. He might

493
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:25,639
Speaker 3: go for like fifty. You just need like a fifteen

494
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:29,639
Speaker 3: yard chunk play. But I think a lot of people

495
00:26:29,640 --> 00:26:32,760
Speaker 3: are gonna take Minnesota Minnesota plus two and a half.

496
00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:35,879
Speaker 3: I don't know if I could take Detroit laying the points,

497
00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:40,160
Speaker 3: but I do see the scenario where Detroit wins this game.

498
00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:42,560
Speaker 3: It just they almost just have to be perfect, And

499
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:45,720
Speaker 3: that's that's kind of sad because obviously Minnesota's had a

500
00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:48,200
Speaker 3: storybook season. But I'd say the same thing for Detroit,

501
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:50,919
Speaker 3: and you could argue it's even more impressive given the

502
00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:52,880
Speaker 3: amount of injuries they've had over the last two months

503
00:26:52,920 --> 00:26:54,960
Speaker 3: to even be in this situation. I mean, how many.

504
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:57,520
Speaker 3: This is a pretty big moment this last month plus

505
00:26:57,520 --> 00:26:59,960
Speaker 3: for Campbell of like they could have easily turned in

506
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,080
Speaker 3: do an eleven win season or twelve win season and

507
00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:04,480
Speaker 3: no one would have blamed anybody. But it didn't, and

508
00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:07,119
Speaker 3: now they're fucking here. And even even the game against

509
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:10,159
Speaker 3: the Niners that that was I'm sure you've seen all

510
00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:12,280
Speaker 3: these stories coming out the Colts, like how embarrassing all

511
00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:14,800
Speaker 3: that stuff is. Even the Niners had a shitty season.

512
00:27:14,840 --> 00:27:18,080
Speaker 3: You want, Fred Warner's injured playing his ass off, George Kittle, Deebo.

513
00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 3: Same with the Lions. They both teams approached that game

514
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:23,000
Speaker 3: like this is this is the NFC Championship game, point

515
00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:25,280
Speaker 3: two point zero, so like it's just kind of refreshing.

516
00:27:25,320 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 3: It's like, no ship, the Lions are good, like that's

517
00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:29,800
Speaker 3: how they approach that's how That's how the Chiefs approach

518
00:27:29,840 --> 00:27:32,960
Speaker 3: shit like good teams approach things a certain way, win

519
00:27:33,080 --> 00:27:36,919
Speaker 3: or lose. And uh, I actually earned a lot of

520
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,840
Speaker 3: respect in that game on Monday night, game that they

521
00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 3: they did not need. Right, Well, they could have lost

522
00:27:42,080 --> 00:27:43,560
Speaker 3: it and they still would have been the same situation.

523
00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:47,080
Speaker 1: Yeah. The only the only time it would have mattered

524
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:50,520
Speaker 1: is if this game ended in a tie, then that

525
00:27:50,600 --> 00:27:54,840
Speaker 1: game will ultimately matter. But Dan Campbell, can you ever

526
00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:57,560
Speaker 1: see Dan Campbell tying the game? I don't think that's possible.

527
00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:01,440
Speaker 3: I wonder too, playing the Niners who knocked them out

528
00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:03,359
Speaker 3: last year, I know they were having a bad season.

529
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:04,760
Speaker 3: Would he have done the same if they were like

530
00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:08,439
Speaker 3: at the Giants, maybe would have been easier. I don't know.

531
00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:11,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it was the Yeah, I mean I

532
00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:13,879
Speaker 1: definitely assumed that they were going to play everybody, but

533
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 1: it was a little I was a little more on

534
00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:19,320
Speaker 1: the fence of what they should do, just because the

535
00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:22,919
Speaker 1: injuries have been so catastrophic on the defensive end. It

536
00:28:23,040 --> 00:28:25,919
Speaker 1: was like, man, you really can't afford Now, luckily they

537
00:28:25,960 --> 00:28:31,520
Speaker 1: got through the game unscathed, but I like, you cannot

538
00:28:31,520 --> 00:28:33,880
Speaker 1: afford any more injuries on that defense because, yeah, they're

539
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:36,440
Speaker 1: not getting any stops unless they're getting turnovers or the

540
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:39,520
Speaker 1: other team's missing fueld goals. I will say, I mean,

541
00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:45,640
Speaker 1: this offense can score against anybody, but They've really dominated

542
00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:49,400
Speaker 1: this head to head match up with Flores Golf in

543
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:52,360
Speaker 1: particular over the past two years. So Ben Johnson has

544
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:54,800
Speaker 1: gotten the best of Flores. They have they just have

545
00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:57,880
Speaker 1: answers to the blitz and some of the things that

546
00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:00,960
Speaker 1: Flores used. Really interesting chess match there. I'm curious to

547
00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:04,400
Speaker 1: see if like Flora's changes things up because GoF has

548
00:29:05,560 --> 00:29:07,480
Speaker 1: really good numbers against the Vikes.

549
00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:09,840
Speaker 3: Why why do you think that is like the quick game,

550
00:29:09,880 --> 00:29:11,240
Speaker 3: he gets rid of the ball quick. They got a

551
00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 3: lot of guys to sit in zone and.

552
00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:16,520
Speaker 1: A really good offensive line. And at the end of

553
00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:19,560
Speaker 1: the day, the Vikings set like a lot of what

554
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:23,160
Speaker 1: they do, Like they have a good front, they're good

555
00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:26,720
Speaker 1: against the run, and they're going to show you exotic looks,

556
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:30,560
Speaker 1: bring exotic blitzes. Usually going to have a good game

557
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:37,400
Speaker 1: plan under Flores, but their secondary isn't overly talented, So

558
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:41,800
Speaker 1: like they're beatable if you can, you know, protect and

559
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:43,480
Speaker 1: get rid of the ball quick and you have a

560
00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:46,520
Speaker 1: good scheme. And that's what the lines. The lines check

561
00:29:46,600 --> 00:29:49,760
Speaker 1: all those boxes. So I mean, if you look back

562
00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:53,920
Speaker 1: at the game earlier this season Golf, I mean it

563
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:57,160
Speaker 1: was the linees one thirty one twenty nine golf was

564
00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,720
Speaker 1: twenty two of twenty five for two to eighty two

565
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:02,960
Speaker 1: touchdo downs, no interceptions, and like those That's basically what

566
00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 1: his numbers the two meetings last year. So I'm curious

567
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:09,600
Speaker 1: to watch that chess match. What does Flores? Does he

568
00:30:09,680 --> 00:30:12,720
Speaker 1: try to do anything differently here? It's a tough game

569
00:30:12,760 --> 00:30:15,440
Speaker 1: to bet. I mean you, the total is so high

570
00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:17,320
Speaker 1: for a divisional game with a lot on the line.

571
00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 1: It was it got up to I think fifty eight.

572
00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 1: You couldn't pay me to bet the under in this game.

573
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:25,880
Speaker 1: Now it's super high. It's down to like fifty six

574
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 1: and a half. Most of these totals that are this

575
00:30:28,280 --> 00:30:31,280
Speaker 1: high do go under in the NFL because you just

576
00:30:31,280 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 1: need a lot to go right to go over. You know,

577
00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:36,240
Speaker 1: you just have a couple of long drives that end

578
00:30:36,240 --> 00:30:38,520
Speaker 1: in field goals, or you know, Donald throws a red

579
00:30:38,600 --> 00:30:41,880
Speaker 1: zone pick. It's hard to get into the sixties in

580
00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:46,280
Speaker 1: the NFL. But I mean, from what I've seen from

581
00:30:46,280 --> 00:30:49,560
Speaker 1: this Lin's offense in particular against the Vikings too, and

582
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:54,280
Speaker 1: then the way that this Lion's defense is trending, who's

583
00:30:54,280 --> 00:30:57,440
Speaker 1: getting stops here from now? From a side perspective, what

584
00:30:57,600 --> 00:31:00,560
Speaker 1: determines this? I mean, you you hit on the head,

585
00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 1: does Darnald He's gonna put the ball in harm's way

586
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:07,360
Speaker 1: a couple of times a game. Just what he's going

587
00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:09,320
Speaker 1: to do. He's also going to make some really good throws.

588
00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:12,720
Speaker 1: But do the Kenda Lions turn them over? Because getting

589
00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:18,400
Speaker 1: one stop via turnover in this game is massive. And

590
00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:23,080
Speaker 1: then the other thing is, you know Campbell, especially now

591
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:26,320
Speaker 1: Campbell with his defense, he knows that his defense is

592
00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:29,920
Speaker 1: not going to get many stops. He was already uber

593
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:36,640
Speaker 1: aggressive on fourth downs. Why and you have an elite offense,

594
00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:38,800
Speaker 1: why not be even more aggressive? Which I expect we

595
00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:43,200
Speaker 1: saw that last week. So do the Lions on it's

596
00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 1: fourth and five at the eighteen at the Vikings eighteenth,

597
00:31:47,040 --> 00:31:49,200
Speaker 1: do they get that and score a touchdown? Or do

598
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:50,960
Speaker 1: they turn it over on downs? Then probably not gonna

599
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:53,840
Speaker 1: stop like that's those are. There's probably gonna be like

600
00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:56,960
Speaker 1: two to three plays that the termine this the side

601
00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:58,640
Speaker 1: and who wins the game and who wins the division

602
00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:00,680
Speaker 1: ultimately who gets the number one seed? And I'll buy

603
00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:03,400
Speaker 1: and it'll probably be maybe a couple of fourth downs

604
00:32:03,440 --> 00:32:06,120
Speaker 1: for the Lions. Do they get them? So that and

605
00:32:06,120 --> 00:32:08,040
Speaker 1: That's where the chess match comes in. What does Johnson

606
00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:11,320
Speaker 1: have called? What does Flores do in that situation? And

607
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:14,920
Speaker 1: then does the two or three balls that Donald puts

608
00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:17,360
Speaker 1: in Harm's way? Does the Lions come down with one

609
00:32:17,360 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 1: of them or two? If so, they probably win. So

610
00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:26,280
Speaker 1: I think the line's about right, really entertaining game and uh,

611
00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:28,640
Speaker 1: hell of a way to cap off the regular season.

612
00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:31,960
Speaker 1: But not sure I'll actually have a wager on it

613
00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:33,960
Speaker 1: because I it's just a couple of fourth downs, a

614
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:37,360
Speaker 1: couple of Donald balls probably determine who gets the one

615
00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:39,480
Speaker 1: seed in the NFC pretty well?

616
00:32:39,560 --> 00:32:42,800
Speaker 3: Are the Are the Rams locked into three? No?

617
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:44,520
Speaker 1: They're not?

618
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 3: Why Why why are they punting on this week?

619
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:47,720
Speaker 1: Like?

620
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:52,560
Speaker 3: Because wouldn't because if you're yeah, if you're Tampa, you'd

621
00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:55,200
Speaker 3: want to play You'd want Detroit to lose this game,

622
00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:57,719
Speaker 3: I think, right, just because their defense so bad? Like

623
00:32:57,760 --> 00:32:59,840
Speaker 3: you is that who? You already beat them? I know

624
00:32:59,840 --> 00:33:02,840
Speaker 3: that a weird game, But wouldn't you rather wouldn't those

625
00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:05,680
Speaker 3: two teams rather play Detroit given where they're at right

626
00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:07,120
Speaker 3: now defensively than Minnesota?

627
00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:10,920
Speaker 1: Yeah? I mean the Rams beat the Vikings. It was

628
00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:12,960
Speaker 1: a weird spot, like they were on a short week

629
00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:18,760
Speaker 1: on the road. Yeah, so the Rams can improve their seating,

630
00:33:19,600 --> 00:33:26,880
Speaker 1: but historically you can go back to twenty sixteen, I believe,

631
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:33,080
Speaker 1: and even last year, McVeigh doesn't care about seating. So

632
00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:37,480
Speaker 1: I bet the see Hawks early in the week, assuming

633
00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:40,800
Speaker 1: that McVeigh would bench his starters, because in the past,

634
00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:44,560
Speaker 1: even with a chance to improve his seating, he chooses

635
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:49,520
Speaker 1: rest in the final week, let's not risk injury and

636
00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:55,040
Speaker 1: get ready for our first opponent over improving your seating.

637
00:33:56,080 --> 00:34:00,600
Speaker 1: And you know, so he just that's his full Every

638
00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:03,600
Speaker 1: coach is different. You know, you can just say like, hey,

639
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:06,800
Speaker 1: we're gonna have to beat these teams eventually. I just

640
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:08,319
Speaker 1: want to make sure that you know, they're a very

641
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:10,400
Speaker 1: star driven team. And the reason I like the Seahawks

642
00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:13,040
Speaker 1: this week is that, like they're gonna start Jimmy G's

643
00:34:13,080 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 1: professional good you know, professional backup, but they're gonna bench

644
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:18,799
Speaker 1: other guys and the Rams. If there's one thing the

645
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:21,799
Speaker 1: Rams don't have relative to other teams in the league,

646
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:24,239
Speaker 1: it's depth. They're not a deep team. A lot of

647
00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:27,600
Speaker 1: that is because of their draft situation and roster situation.

648
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:30,520
Speaker 1: Very top heavy team. You see that in the preseason,

649
00:34:30,600 --> 00:34:32,680
Speaker 1: like the Rams in the preseason it can get ugly.

650
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:37,799
Speaker 1: So again, the Seahawks, I think I trust McDonald to

651
00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:40,880
Speaker 1: have them focused. Gino has like he can make he

652
00:34:41,200 --> 00:34:44,960
Speaker 1: can get like four million dollars in incentives this week,

653
00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:46,920
Speaker 1: So I think the Seahawks will show up. And the

654
00:34:47,040 --> 00:34:50,080
Speaker 1: Rams are basically booting this game. They did it last

655
00:34:50,160 --> 00:34:52,359
Speaker 1: year too, but the forty nine ers also booted it

656
00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 1: and they were both resting starters and they ended up winning.

657
00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:59,960
Speaker 1: But in twenty sixteen they ended up getting blown out

658
00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:03,880
Speaker 1: and they didn't improve their seeding when they could have.

659
00:35:04,040 --> 00:35:06,719
Speaker 1: So it was the same exact situation. They clinched the

660
00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:09,840
Speaker 1: division the week before, could have could have been the

661
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,879
Speaker 1: three or the four. Didn't care. So yeah, but if

662
00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 1: they lose, you know, you punt this game, then you're

663
00:35:17,040 --> 00:35:20,800
Speaker 1: getting your path is and this is why some Rams

664
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:24,160
Speaker 1: fans are upset. Your path is going to be the

665
00:35:24,239 --> 00:35:32,799
Speaker 1: loser of Detroit Minnesota and then the winner on the road.

666
00:35:33,040 --> 00:35:34,960
Speaker 1: So you know, you're you have the two teams that

667
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:36,640
Speaker 1: are fourteen and two right now, that's going to be

668
00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:39,440
Speaker 1: your path if you lose this game. So but that's

669
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:43,400
Speaker 1: mcveigh's philosophy, is consistent in it, and he just values

670
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:49,359
Speaker 1: health over anything else. So yeah, definitely an interesting one.

671
00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:50,920
Speaker 1: But that the Seahawks have taken a ton of money.

672
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:52,080
Speaker 1: They're aftter like a six to six and a half

673
00:35:52,120 --> 00:35:52,840
Speaker 1: point favorite.

674
00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:55,319
Speaker 3: So of the two teams that really just need to

675
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:57,480
Speaker 3: win to control their own destiny to get in Denver

676
00:35:57,600 --> 00:36:03,239
Speaker 3: and Tampa, who would you you red flag because you

677
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:07,600
Speaker 3: mentioned the Rizzy getting almost two touchdowns. Tampa's really kind

678
00:36:07,600 --> 00:36:10,600
Speaker 3: of looks like they're firing on all cylinders. Get a

679
00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:14,400
Speaker 3: little life after that devastating l by the Atlanta Falcons,

680
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:16,839
Speaker 3: I'd be a little stunned of Tampa we to lose

681
00:36:16,880 --> 00:36:18,759
Speaker 3: this week. I mean, obviously, I mean they are two

682
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:21,560
Speaker 3: touchdown favored, but I mean the Saints.

683
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:28,319
Speaker 1: I took some Saints plus fourteen. Now they are bad.

684
00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:30,000
Speaker 1: I mean, I think the line is inflated, like you're

685
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:32,200
Speaker 1: paying a premium on the Bucks to because you know

686
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:33,600
Speaker 1: they need to win. The Saints are bad, but I

687
00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:36,600
Speaker 1: mean the Saints have been the Saints were the Saints.

688
00:36:36,600 --> 00:36:39,480
Speaker 1: We're getting fourteen in green Bay with Rattler and their

689
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:42,000
Speaker 1: whole team hurt, So I think green Bay is a

690
00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:45,480
Speaker 1: little better than Tampa. But and this is a divisional game,

691
00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:49,600
Speaker 1: homefield isn't. Yeah, it's it's not twenty degrees in Green Bay.

692
00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:53,440
Speaker 1: Homefield is much less here, especially just in a divisional

693
00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:58,320
Speaker 1: game in general, where it could get interesting. For I

694
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:01,360
Speaker 1: didn't even looked at news today for the Bucks. I mean,

695
00:37:01,360 --> 00:37:03,680
Speaker 1: because the Bucks, I I shouldn't.

696
00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:06,040
Speaker 3: Say they're not and didn't practice again.

697
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:11,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, but there's a chance, I mean, like I haven't

698
00:37:11,600 --> 00:37:14,280
Speaker 1: checked updated news today. But there's a chance that Kamara

699
00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:21,319
Speaker 1: he wants to play. There's a chance that uh a

700
00:37:21,440 --> 00:37:25,520
Speaker 1: lave he said he wants to play. So and then

701
00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:33,960
Speaker 1: the craziest one is if Car plays. So there was

702
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:37,960
Speaker 1: a chance that he potentially could have played last week

703
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:39,799
Speaker 1: like he was practicing, but they said like he wasn't

704
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:45,400
Speaker 1: comfortable enough in the pocket. So there's there's an outside

705
00:37:45,480 --> 00:37:48,239
Speaker 1: chance that Car suits up and that if that was

706
00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:50,239
Speaker 1: the case, you know, if you have your offense looks

707
00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:55,600
Speaker 1: a lot healthier. The Saints have a puncher's chance. I mean,

708
00:37:55,640 --> 00:37:58,359
Speaker 1: they're a loss with Rattler at quarterback or if it's

709
00:37:58,440 --> 00:38:04,040
Speaker 1: if it's Hain. So yeah, I think the latest news

710
00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:06,080
Speaker 1: I saw is he's gonna he's gonna try to do

711
00:38:06,120 --> 00:38:13,760
Speaker 1: like a simulated game, and there's an outside chance he plays.

712
00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:18,240
Speaker 1: That's the only way that I could see the Bucks losing.

713
00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:22,000
Speaker 1: It would be super interesting. But I know that the

714
00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:25,319
Speaker 1: Saints are They've come out and said that they want

715
00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:29,719
Speaker 1: to play for their community and with due to the

716
00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:32,319
Speaker 1: after the tragedy that to happen. And it's a divisional game,

717
00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:34,920
Speaker 1: and you have your rival that put up fifty on

718
00:38:34,960 --> 00:38:38,640
Speaker 1: you in New Orleans earlier this year, you can end

719
00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:41,840
Speaker 1: their season. The Saints will show up now they have

720
00:38:41,960 --> 00:38:44,719
Speaker 1: enough talent. I'm not sure, but there's an outside chance

721
00:38:44,719 --> 00:38:50,320
Speaker 1: that you get car Tamara and a couple other players healthier.

722
00:38:50,600 --> 00:38:53,319
Speaker 1: And if that was the case, yeah, you're you're gonna

723
00:38:53,320 --> 00:38:56,200
Speaker 1: want to have fourteen points in your pocket, which isn't

724
00:38:56,239 --> 00:39:00,200
Speaker 1: a lot to cover, even if it is rattler and

725
00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:04,360
Speaker 1: and have really banged up bad Saints team. So and

726
00:39:04,400 --> 00:39:08,920
Speaker 1: I the in Week eighteen, and you know, in in

727
00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:12,360
Speaker 1: previous years, back in the day, it was Week seventeen.

728
00:39:12,400 --> 00:39:14,520
Speaker 1: But in the final week of the NFL reglar season,

729
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:19,919
Speaker 1: there's usually one crazy thing that happens of a team

730
00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:24,160
Speaker 1: that you just expect, assume is going to win, that

731
00:39:24,280 --> 00:39:26,400
Speaker 1: needs to win and doesn't a lot of times it

732
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:29,879
Speaker 1: was like the Colts, the Colts would always Colts would

733
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:32,840
Speaker 1: always lose to the Jags. But there's been countless examples.

734
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:35,640
Speaker 1: I mean like Vikings Cardinals, I remember way back in

735
00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:37,240
Speaker 1: the day. I think that was like on the last

736
00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:41,600
Speaker 1: play of the game. But there's I remember the Ravens

737
00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:48,160
Speaker 1: UH played the Bengals at home in the final week

738
00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:52,320
Speaker 1: of the regular season, needed to win and they lost

739
00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:54,880
Speaker 1: on like the final play. That was devastating loss, and

740
00:39:54,880 --> 00:39:56,160
Speaker 1: it was just assumed that they were going to win

741
00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 1: that game. Like weird things happen in the final week.

742
00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:04,239
Speaker 1: So what I be surprised if the Saints or the

743
00:40:04,360 --> 00:40:06,920
Speaker 1: Chiefs were tied in the fourth quarter.

744
00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:11,440
Speaker 3: No not Charger Chargers, Chargers Raiders. Does that fall into

745
00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:13,319
Speaker 3: your theory of a team that has something to play

746
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:14,440
Speaker 3: for against team with nothing?

747
00:40:15,280 --> 00:40:18,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the Chargers are already in so here.

748
00:40:18,560 --> 00:40:20,200
Speaker 3: Here's the thing with But they win, they get the

749
00:40:20,200 --> 00:40:22,200
Speaker 3: five seed and get to play the Texans. Where would

750
00:40:22,200 --> 00:40:23,400
Speaker 3: they be favored in that game?

751
00:40:24,520 --> 00:40:26,680
Speaker 1: Maybe the way that the Texans are going now. The

752
00:40:26,680 --> 00:40:30,920
Speaker 1: Texans are rare team that they're locked in.

753
00:40:29,800 --> 00:40:32,760
Speaker 3: And game doesn't matter, but they want.

754
00:40:32,640 --> 00:40:34,440
Speaker 1: To They say they're going to play their starters, but

755
00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:37,680
Speaker 1: they said they'll see how the game goes. So I

756
00:40:37,680 --> 00:40:39,040
Speaker 1: have no idea what to expect in that game. So

757
00:40:39,040 --> 00:40:41,759
Speaker 1: I don't know if that means like half, but they

758
00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:45,800
Speaker 1: need to find their offense without Dell, So I don't

759
00:40:45,800 --> 00:40:48,200
Speaker 1: know in that game. The Chargers though, if you want

760
00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:52,239
Speaker 1: to put a small bed in, uh, you know that

761
00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:57,160
Speaker 1: on the Raiders game, the Raiders Charges game is tied

762
00:40:57,200 --> 00:41:00,239
Speaker 1: to the Steelers Bengals game because.

763
00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:02,440
Speaker 3: Raiders are hot. Yeah, Raiders are.

764
00:41:02,360 --> 00:41:09,680
Speaker 1: Playing hard hard, but if the Steelers, if the Steelers win,

765
00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:16,839
Speaker 1: then the Chargers are locked in. So you know, if

766
00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:18,600
Speaker 1: if you if there's like if you wanted to put

767
00:41:18,600 --> 00:41:22,399
Speaker 1: a correlated parlay and you would bet uh Steelers money

768
00:41:22,440 --> 00:41:25,759
Speaker 1: line and Raiders money line, because if the Steelers win,

769
00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:28,120
Speaker 1: that line is gonna come down, because then I assume,

770
00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:31,480
Speaker 1: you know, Herbert sits and we don't. Maybe hardball still

771
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:35,520
Speaker 1: start places starters, but I assume that they rest. If

772
00:41:35,680 --> 00:41:40,359
Speaker 1: the Steelers lose, then yeah, the Chargers can would I'm

773
00:41:40,400 --> 00:41:42,800
Speaker 1: assuming play everybody because then you can play the Texans

774
00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:46,480
Speaker 1: instead of presumably the rate the Ravens, which will put

775
00:41:46,520 --> 00:41:48,640
Speaker 1: you in a in a better spot. But yeah, that

776
00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:51,160
Speaker 1: that Chargers Raiders game doesn't really fit the bill because

777
00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:54,640
Speaker 1: the Chargers are already in but Raiders are playing hard. But

778
00:41:54,719 --> 00:41:58,680
Speaker 1: that game will just basically come down to the result

779
00:41:59,440 --> 00:42:01,920
Speaker 1: of Pittsburgh Cincinnati on Saturday night.

780
00:42:03,719 --> 00:42:06,640
Speaker 3: Okay, sucky, we got to enjoy it. Well we got it, man,

781
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:10,680
Speaker 3: so sad, but bittersweet because we still got a little

782
00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:12,880
Speaker 3: football and then the football gets really good and then

783
00:42:12,920 --> 00:42:15,880
Speaker 3: it just goes away. So this week, like you said,

784
00:42:16,040 --> 00:42:18,480
Speaker 3: something's gonna get something crazy is gonna.

785
00:42:18,239 --> 00:42:19,839
Speaker 1: Happen, something weird's gonna happen.

786
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:22,160
Speaker 3: I can see Carl I got my own Carson Wentz.

787
00:42:23,719 --> 00:42:26,640
Speaker 3: I got I got my Russell Wilson. I guess. I mean,

788
00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:28,839
Speaker 3: Pittsburgh winning wouldn't even be that crazy, but I got

789
00:42:28,840 --> 00:42:32,440
Speaker 3: my own Carson Wentz. I could see Andy. You know,

790
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:34,960
Speaker 3: he's just he's feeling himself right now. Just just add

791
00:42:34,960 --> 00:42:37,719
Speaker 3: another pelt to the wall, you know, be Carson Wentz

792
00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:38,880
Speaker 3: knocks out the Broncos.

793
00:42:39,400 --> 00:42:39,839
Speaker 2: It's weird.

794
00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:41,880
Speaker 3: It doesn't feel like the Chiefs hate the Broncos like

795
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:44,480
Speaker 3: they do like the Raiders. But I could I could

796
00:42:44,520 --> 00:42:47,120
Speaker 3: see them wanting to just, hey, hey, boys, let's let's

797
00:42:47,120 --> 00:42:49,560
Speaker 3: pump the brakes a little onto you guys and ruin

798
00:42:49,640 --> 00:42:50,120
Speaker 3: their season.

799
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:55,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I look it was. They were plus fourteen and

800
00:42:55,640 --> 00:43:00,359
Speaker 1: a half against Philip Rivers who needed to win they

801
00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:02,560
Speaker 1: get in their playoffs and they should have won that

802
00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:06,920
Speaker 1: game and ended up losing it over time. Just one

803
00:43:06,960 --> 00:43:10,480
Speaker 1: of those other weird things that happened, so wouldn't be shocked.

804
00:43:11,280 --> 00:43:13,440
Speaker 1: Week eighteen always tends to get a little weird. So

805
00:43:14,000 --> 00:43:19,040
Speaker 1: uh yeah, enjoy the football, will you can, and uh,

806
00:43:19,320 --> 00:43:21,080
Speaker 1: happy New Year and I'll see you next week. Brother.

807
00:43:21,200 --> 00:43:22,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll talk to you next week. We'll get we'll

808
00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:26,080
Speaker 3: dive into the playoffs and some futures we'll buckle up.

809
00:43:26,120 --> 00:43:28,120
Speaker 3: So have a good weekend, bro, I'll talk to you soon.

810
00:43:28,360 --> 00:43:34,120
Speaker 1: Yep, Happy newar Everyone cheers the volume