WEBVTT - NFL Week 16 Predictions: Packers-Bears, Jaguars-Broncos, Chiefs-Titans, Patriots-Ravens & more! 0:00:01.720 --> 0:00:04.559 Welcome in episode four oh six of What's Right with 0:00:04.640 --> 0:00:09.000 the Right, presented to you by our friends at boost Mobile. 0:00:09.119 --> 0:00:11.160 A reminder to everybody it helps us out a ton 0:00:11.200 --> 0:00:14.000 if you like, rate, subscribe, review, and also a reminder 0:00:14.080 --> 0:00:17.640 next week next two weeks because Christmas is on our 0:00:17.680 --> 0:00:20.800 regular Christmas and New Year's are on Thursdays, so we're 0:00:20.840 --> 0:00:24.479 gonna do regular shows on Tuesday, and then our weekly 0:00:24.600 --> 0:00:28.160 gambling show will probably come out earlier in the week, 0:00:28.360 --> 0:00:31.479 you know, probably maybe Wednesday, maybe Thursday morning, I'm not 0:00:31.560 --> 0:00:34.280 sure each of the next two weeks, So two shows 0:00:34.280 --> 0:00:36.920 a week for the next two weeks. But right now 0:00:37.159 --> 0:00:42.040 we're gonna get into week sixteen, and first, demand'say, we 0:00:42.040 --> 0:00:46.040 have to look back on Week fifteen, which wasn't great 0:00:46.120 --> 0:00:50.559 but was not disastrous and honestly only one pick that 0:00:50.720 --> 0:00:53.360 I hate the process on, even though two of my 0:00:53.479 --> 0:00:57.280 picks got annihilated on. So we went two and three, 0:00:57.640 --> 0:01:01.200 which puts us on the year thirty seven, thirty six 0:01:01.280 --> 0:01:07.119 and two above five hundred, but not profitable. But again, 0:01:07.240 --> 0:01:10.120 I don't know if you guys have been following some 0:01:10.280 --> 0:01:13.600 of the other major podcasts out there that are doing 0:01:13.640 --> 0:01:17.280 you know, they've been publishing their The whole network is 0:01:17.319 --> 0:01:21.800 doing a picks contest. Everybody every shows like five games, 0:01:21.840 --> 0:01:25.360 six games, eight games under five hundred. We're just muddling 0:01:25.400 --> 0:01:28.040 along at five hundred, not feeling great about it. We'd 0:01:28.040 --> 0:01:32.280 be crushing over there. Here were the picks. Buffalo minus 0:01:32.319 --> 0:01:35.840 won at New England winner, Seattle minus thirteen and a 0:01:35.840 --> 0:01:38.160 half against Indy. I don't care. I like the process. 0:01:38.200 --> 0:01:40.920 Seattle kicks six field goals, punch it in a few times, 0:01:40.959 --> 0:01:44.600 Guys Vegas plus eleven and a half at Philly. Again, 0:01:45.360 --> 0:01:47.480 Philly had blown out one team all year long, and 0:01:47.480 --> 0:01:48.960 I didn't think they could do it. The Raiders is 0:01:49.080 --> 0:01:51.280 just awful. So is a bad pick on me. San 0:01:51.320 --> 0:01:54.640 Francisco minus twelve and a half against Tennessee win by thirteen. 0:01:55.560 --> 0:01:57.840 Some of those you can say, good, bad picks whatever. 0:01:58.240 --> 0:02:02.960 The only one where the process was bad was Sensing 0:02:04.040 --> 0:02:07.559 because I did a whole rant about Joe Burrow having 0:02:07.600 --> 0:02:11.640 an existential crisis about his future in the NFL and 0:02:11.720 --> 0:02:14.359 with the Bengals, and then I took him plus two 0:02:14.360 --> 0:02:17.320 and a half against Baltimore like that. That was just 0:02:17.440 --> 0:02:20.920 dumb and so bad job by me on the Bengals 0:02:20.960 --> 0:02:26.240 pick I was trying to remember whether or not, because 0:02:26.240 --> 0:02:28.240 I if you guys, remember I said there were some 0:02:28.320 --> 0:02:31.079 other picks I liked that I didn't you know put in. 0:02:32.639 --> 0:02:36.560 One of them was Cowboys minus six. They lost out right, 0:02:36.639 --> 0:02:40.000 so that one wouldn't have worked. Another one was the 0:02:40.200 --> 0:02:43.920 Rams minus six. That one would have worked. But whatever, 0:02:44.200 --> 0:02:49.120 two and three and still a really good chance to 0:02:49.160 --> 0:02:52.880 finish the year profitable. We just need to have, you know, 0:02:53.000 --> 0:02:55.200 a four and one week here and there, some three 0:02:55.200 --> 0:02:57.800 and two weeks and we'll be fine. A game over 0:02:57.840 --> 0:03:01.080 five hundred as we enter the stretch. And as always, 0:03:01.120 --> 0:03:03.680 all our spreads are brought to you by our friends 0:03:03.680 --> 0:03:05.480 at hard Rock Bet, which is why it's a great 0:03:05.520 --> 0:03:07.919 time to tell you where I bet on sports during 0:03:07.919 --> 0:03:10.880 the holiday season. Hard Rock Bet not just because they're 0:03:10.880 --> 0:03:12.920 the presenting sponsor of our show, because they make it 0:03:12.960 --> 0:03:15.200 easy to bet on my favorite teams, players, and leagues 0:03:15.480 --> 0:03:18.880 in a few simple taps, especially with the brand new 0:03:19.000 --> 0:03:22.680 for you page that recommends picks based on my favorites 0:03:23.000 --> 0:03:25.160 and who I like to bet on. I open the app, 0:03:25.240 --> 0:03:28.280 go to my for you page and bet and find 0:03:28.320 --> 0:03:31.160 a bet I like, and then bam, BET's placed just 0:03:31.240 --> 0:03:33.720 in time. When you get back to wrapping presence and 0:03:33.840 --> 0:03:38.640 enjoying my favorite Christmas movie. Sign up today. Bet five 0:03:38.720 --> 0:03:41.280 dollars on any game, and if it wins, you also 0:03:41.440 --> 0:03:44.560 score one hundred fifty dollars in bonus bets. A winning 0:03:44.640 --> 0:03:47.360 bet plus an extra one hundred fifty dollars to bet with. 0:03:47.480 --> 0:03:50.760 Now that is spreading holiday cheer. Plus. Hard Rock Bet 0:03:50.760 --> 0:03:54.640 fills your stockings with new promos daily, so whenever you're listening, 0:03:54.960 --> 0:03:57.360 just open the app and check out what they've got 0:03:57.440 --> 0:04:01.000 any day of the week. Download the hard Rock Bet 0:04:01.040 --> 0:04:05.680 app and make your first deposit today. Payable and bonus 0:04:05.680 --> 0:04:09.360 bets not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe 0:04:09.360 --> 0:04:14.280 of Florida. In Florida, offered by Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC. 0:04:14.640 --> 0:04:17.080 In all other states. Must be twenty one plus and 0:04:17.120 --> 0:04:22.800 physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, 0:04:22.880 --> 0:04:26.880 or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about 0:04:26.880 --> 0:04:30.520 gambling in Florida, call one eight eighty eight admit it. 0:04:30.600 --> 0:04:32.880 In Indiana. If you are someone you know as a 0:04:32.880 --> 0:04:35.640 gambling problem wants help, call one eight hundred and nine 0:04:35.680 --> 0:04:40.360 with it. Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, 0:04:40.440 --> 0:04:44.719 New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia. All right, so Demanse, 0:04:44.920 --> 0:04:48.200 let's get right into it the stay aways, etc. Before 0:04:48.200 --> 0:04:49.600 we get to our five picks. 0:04:49.760 --> 0:04:53.440 Our first stay away is Philly at Washington, Washington six 0:04:53.480 --> 0:04:54.360 and a half point dogs. 0:04:56.000 --> 0:04:58.200 So here's why I'm staying away from this one, demnse 0:04:59.360 --> 0:05:07.479 Becuz a divisional home dog getting almost a touchdown against 0:05:07.520 --> 0:05:14.359 a shaky offense feels like a spot that I should 0:05:14.440 --> 0:05:19.400 jump on. Washington plus six and a half. However, as 0:05:19.440 --> 0:05:25.000 skeptical as I am about Philly, I have to be 0:05:26.520 --> 0:05:29.600 open to the possibility that last week was not just 0:05:29.720 --> 0:05:33.640 about them playing the Raiders. Then it also was they 0:05:33.680 --> 0:05:39.239 figured some stuff out and they are about to start 0:05:39.360 --> 0:05:43.480 rolling as they get ready to defend their championship. That, 0:05:43.720 --> 0:05:49.120 combined with the potential emotional letdown for Washington of shutting 0:05:49.240 --> 0:05:53.600 Jaden down for the year season from hell official, I'd 0:05:53.600 --> 0:05:56.760 just rather stay away. My lean in this game is 0:05:56.960 --> 0:05:59.960 Washington getting the points, but I'll stay away from it. 0:06:00.120 --> 0:06:03.520 Next one, uh, Green Bay at Chicago, Chicago's one point 0:06:03.520 --> 0:06:04.080 with dogs. 0:06:06.040 --> 0:06:13.320 I I don't love. I want to see green Bay 0:06:13.400 --> 0:06:15.800 without Micah and see how big of an impact it 0:06:15.880 --> 0:06:17.880 has on the defense, because it felt like it impacted 0:06:17.920 --> 0:06:21.320 the defense within that game last week like that, that 0:06:21.400 --> 0:06:24.920 game flipped in part when he went out. I also 0:06:28.200 --> 0:06:31.080 could see Caleb because he is in the part of 0:06:31.120 --> 0:06:34.279 his career and he is He's not like a steady 0:06:34.320 --> 0:06:37.040 player yet. The highs are high, but the lowser lows. 0:06:37.320 --> 0:06:39.880 He just had a great game. I could see him 0:06:40.400 --> 0:06:45.440 regressing a bit. And the first week, first game against 0:06:45.440 --> 0:06:47.760 Green Bay two weeks ago, it was just a tale 0:06:47.800 --> 0:06:50.160 of two halves. He was so bad in the first half, 0:06:50.200 --> 0:06:52.400 but then so good in the second half. So in 0:06:52.440 --> 0:06:54.839 other words, I don't have a good feel for this game. 0:06:55.520 --> 0:07:00.560 I think my pick is Chicago, but it feels like 0:07:00.600 --> 0:07:03.120 a coin flip. The line is a coin flip. Will 0:07:03.120 --> 0:07:03.880 stay away from it. 0:07:03.960 --> 0:07:07.240 Next Jets at New Orleans. New Orleans four and a 0:07:07.279 --> 0:07:10.920 half point favorites. Just not watching the game, I imagine. 0:07:11.080 --> 0:07:13.960 Yeah, I just didn't want to listen. This is if 0:07:14.000 --> 0:07:16.680 I were a professional sports better, if it's how I 0:07:16.800 --> 0:07:21.440 made my money, then you know I would have an 0:07:21.440 --> 0:07:25.680 obligation to handicap every game. But at this point, this 0:07:25.840 --> 0:07:28.920 late in the season. If it's a game this bad 0:07:29.360 --> 0:07:32.640 between teams this bad, I don't want to spend a 0:07:32.640 --> 0:07:36.119 lot of emotional energy on it. I know, Listen, Tyler 0:07:36.120 --> 0:07:39.640 Shuck's played well as of late. I still don't think 0:07:39.680 --> 0:07:42.240 we're at a point where laying more than a field 0:07:42.280 --> 0:07:45.360 goal with Tyler Shuck feels smart, and we haven't been 0:07:45.360 --> 0:07:48.960 at a point all year. We're betting the Jets getting 0:07:49.040 --> 0:07:53.920 less than fourteen feels good, So all just stay away 0:07:53.960 --> 0:07:54.320 from it. 0:07:54.480 --> 0:07:59.800 Next one, Cincinnati at Miami, Miami's four point dogs. 0:08:00.360 --> 0:08:06.600 Cincinnati does not deserve to be road favorites of more 0:08:06.640 --> 0:08:11.040 than a field goal against anybody. How, getting its first start, 0:08:12.000 --> 0:08:15.760 that's the thing. That's that. So that's the I can't 0:08:15.800 --> 0:08:18.440 bet on Quinn Yours, the seventh round pick, getting his 0:08:18.520 --> 0:08:22.679 first start, yeah, without seeing him play. And I also 0:08:22.760 --> 0:08:25.920 can't lay four points with Cincinnati, So we're staying away 0:08:26.640 --> 0:08:29.000 this one. This next one to mind's I thought long 0:08:29.040 --> 0:08:29.720 and hard about. 0:08:30.360 --> 0:08:34.800 Yeah, Buffalo at Cleveland, Cleveland's ten point dogs. You wanted 0:08:34.840 --> 0:08:37.439 to take Cleveland? No, I wanted to take Oh, you 0:08:37.440 --> 0:08:38.120 want to say Buffalo? 0:08:38.240 --> 0:08:46.239 Okay, wanted to take Buffalo, But Buffalo next week has 0:08:47.400 --> 0:08:52.200 the Eagles they're coming off that huge comeback against the Patriots. 0:08:52.960 --> 0:08:57.120 Feels like little trap game spot. Buffalo has not been 0:08:57.160 --> 0:09:00.960 a good first half team, need him to cover ten. 0:09:02.720 --> 0:09:07.840 So it's just to me, I like Buffalo, but it 0:09:08.120 --> 0:09:12.640 just feels like a workman like win is at least 0:09:12.679 --> 0:09:16.680 possible rather than a blowout. So and we know, listen, 0:09:17.760 --> 0:09:20.840 shador in Cleveland will go They down seventeen, gonna go 0:09:20.880 --> 0:09:23.760 for a backdoor cover all. Just stay away from it, 0:09:24.160 --> 0:09:27.000 Stay away from Buffalo. But the lean was Buffalo minus 0:09:27.000 --> 0:09:28.320 ten all right. 0:09:29.200 --> 0:09:33.040 Next is Minnesota at the Giants. Giants three point dogs. 0:09:34.120 --> 0:09:38.120 Yeah, we're just Jackson Dark just lives in the concussion tent. 0:09:38.640 --> 0:09:41.880 The Giants just want the season to be over. JJ 0:09:42.000 --> 0:09:46.480 McCarthy playing the best ball he's played as of late. 0:09:46.840 --> 0:09:48.959 Still don't feel like he's earned the right to be 0:09:49.360 --> 0:09:52.440 road full field goal favorites. Will stay away. 0:09:52.679 --> 0:09:58.040 Next, What about nine though, JJ McCarthy, there'sh yeah, that 0:09:58.120 --> 0:10:02.719 guy keep going. Okay. Next we got Atlanta at at 0:10:02.720 --> 0:10:04.800 the Cardinals. Cardinals are three point dogs. 0:10:05.679 --> 0:10:10.440 Again, a lot of bad teams road favorites like we have. 0:10:11.520 --> 0:10:15.440 Cincinnati is a road favorite, Minnesota is a road favorite, 0:10:15.600 --> 0:10:19.320 and now Atlanta as a road favorite. Arizona has just 0:10:19.400 --> 0:10:22.840 been such a dead team as of late. Kirk is 0:10:22.960 --> 0:10:26.079 coming off the best game, you know, one of the 0:10:26.120 --> 0:10:29.440 best games he's played as a Falcon. I just still 0:10:30.720 --> 0:10:35.280 feel like it's so square to take a bad team 0:10:35.520 --> 0:10:38.560 on the road and lay points. But I don't. I'm 0:10:38.559 --> 0:10:42.559 not taking Arizona getting a field just a field goal, 0:10:42.600 --> 0:10:43.439 so I'm staying away. 0:10:43.640 --> 0:10:47.600 Next next is Pittsburgh at Detroit. Detroit seven point favorites. 0:10:49.320 --> 0:10:56.720 Yeah, so I thought long and hard about the Lions here. 0:10:57.679 --> 0:11:02.280 This feels like a Lion season on the line at 0:11:02.280 --> 0:11:05.760 home against a Steeler team that's kind of, you know, 0:11:05.920 --> 0:11:08.800 maybe flying a little too high. I also thought the 0:11:08.840 --> 0:11:12.480 single funniest moment of the week was the Rogers cast 0:11:12.480 --> 0:11:13.560 offs press conference. 0:11:13.720 --> 0:11:16.520 Dude, I haven't seen it, but I've heard it how 0:11:16.559 --> 0:11:18.840 it went, and like he got mad that they were 0:11:18.880 --> 0:11:22.040 classifying him as an Outcast's funny. It's like, dude, you 0:11:22.040 --> 0:11:24.800 got dropped by the Jets, bro, you're an outcast. It's 0:11:25.000 --> 0:11:26.119 so he. 0:11:25.920 --> 0:11:28.959 Does forty five seconds. 0:11:29.600 --> 0:11:32.280 And names teammates. 0:11:31.760 --> 0:11:35.800 Who he loves and about how they're cast offs. 0:11:36.559 --> 0:11:38.800 Oh, in that fashion. 0:11:38.800 --> 0:11:43.680 About his teammates, about how they're all cast offs. People 0:11:43.720 --> 0:11:46.920 didn't want them, and now they're doing it. And then 0:11:46.920 --> 0:11:51.160 the reporter says, not like meanly, it's like, oh, well, 0:11:51.200 --> 0:11:53.680 you know, do you by that? Do you consider yourself 0:11:53.679 --> 0:11:56.600 a cast off? And Rogers like can't help himself. 0:11:56.600 --> 0:11:59.160 He's like, no, I'm not cast off. 0:12:00.000 --> 0:12:06.160 It was so funny, man. But so I like Detroit. 0:12:07.400 --> 0:12:14.240 But laying a full touchdown against a Mike Tomlin team 0:12:14.280 --> 0:12:19.839 in December has not been historically a great bet, so 0:12:19.960 --> 0:12:22.440 I'll just stay away from it, But man, I will 0:12:22.559 --> 0:12:23.559 I like Detroit. 0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:28.520 Next next is Vegas at Houston. Houston's fourteen point favorites 0:12:29.800 --> 0:12:33.760 honestly might be able to take that Houston minus. 0:12:33.480 --> 0:12:50.960 Fourteen minus fourteen. I almost did, but I. 0:12:44.720 --> 0:12:47.240 I mean, best defense in the NFL right now. 0:12:47.320 --> 0:12:53.040 Raiders line Raiders is such a mess. You certainly can't 0:12:53.080 --> 0:12:58.800 take the Raiders at this point. But I don't like 0:12:59.000 --> 0:13:03.319 the zig zag for like I've been backing the Raiders 0:13:03.960 --> 0:13:08.199 getting burnt. I think the response to that is stay 0:13:08.240 --> 0:13:11.120 away from him, not all of a sudden back the 0:13:11.160 --> 0:13:15.600 other side. And then it's SoJ Stroud. 0:13:15.600 --> 0:13:17.760 He's been good for the last few weeks, but I 0:13:17.840 --> 0:13:18.800 mean he hasn't been. 0:13:18.720 --> 0:13:22.800 But right, and they hadn't been, Houston hadn't been throughout 0:13:22.840 --> 0:13:25.160 the year blowing anyone out. That's changed a bit of 0:13:25.280 --> 0:13:28.920 late fourteen's a lot. The Raiders are so bad though, 0:13:29.440 --> 0:13:33.040 I mean they're they're so bad, all right. 0:13:33.160 --> 0:13:37.360 Last one Monday Night football, San Francisco at Indy Indy 0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:38.320 six point dogs. 0:13:40.280 --> 0:13:45.000 I really stared at San Francisco here. The issue is this, 0:13:47.040 --> 0:13:50.720 I because Philip Rivers showed us this past week he's 0:13:50.760 --> 0:13:55.160 just gonna get the ball out immediately, immediately. And the 0:13:55.240 --> 0:14:00.160 Niners have sixteen sacks as a team this year. They've 0:14:00.200 --> 0:14:04.640 just been so bad. So like, are the Niners going 0:14:04.720 --> 0:14:07.800 to be able to exploit what you should be able 0:14:07.840 --> 0:14:10.600 to against, you know, a forty four year old quarterback? 0:14:10.720 --> 0:14:13.480 I don't know, but I'm certainly not backing Philip Rivers 0:14:13.920 --> 0:14:17.520 against Robert solid defense, So I'll stay away, all right. 0:14:18.360 --> 0:14:23.320 Three picks, including a first time ever on this show. 0:14:23.360 --> 0:14:26.760 I think reminder all the lines are from hard rock. 0:14:26.880 --> 0:14:29.120 Bet Demonse, what's the first one? 0:14:29.400 --> 0:14:31.880 Yeah? I did just notice Kansas City, Tennessee wasn't in 0:14:31.920 --> 0:14:34.000 the staleways. Uh, you have it in here, and it's 0:14:34.040 --> 0:14:37.000 Tennessee plus three and a half versus Kansas City you're 0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:38.280 taking Tennessee. 0:14:38.680 --> 0:14:40.920 I think the Titans are gonna win this game, out right, guys. 0:14:43.480 --> 0:14:51.240 I think that the combination of the drop off from 0:14:51.320 --> 0:14:58.040 Mahomes to Minshew and everything Patrick was papering over, plus 0:14:58.560 --> 0:15:02.480 the Chiefs still dealing with these devastating offensive line injuries, 0:15:03.200 --> 0:15:10.359 plus the emotional let down for everyone on this team 0:15:10.400 --> 0:15:14.640 having played in nothing but huge playoff games to playing 0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:19.120 in meaningless regular season games, Plus the fact that I 0:15:19.120 --> 0:15:22.920 don't know if Chris Jones is playing, Plus the fact 0:15:22.920 --> 0:15:26.960 that I think if Travis has one moment left in him, 0:15:27.520 --> 0:15:29.280 if he is gonna step away. And I don't know 0:15:29.320 --> 0:15:31.680 that he is, but his podcast this week sure made 0:15:31.720 --> 0:15:35.240 it seem like he was. That's gonna be his final 0:15:35.360 --> 0:15:40.160 home game next week at Arrowhead against Denver. I just 0:15:40.200 --> 0:15:47.400 think the Titans are gonna win, and no, I honestly 0:15:47.760 --> 0:15:50.840 I think it. I don't think it'll be I don't 0:15:50.840 --> 0:15:54.320 think it'd be a bad thing for the Chiefs to 0:15:54.360 --> 0:15:58.440 get a few games of seeing what they would look 0:15:58.560 --> 0:16:03.200 like with bad quarterback play as a reminder of especially 0:16:03.200 --> 0:16:05.760 because they don't know if Patrick's going to be back 0:16:05.800 --> 0:16:08.360 for the start of next season. You know what they 0:16:08.440 --> 0:16:11.400 need to do so I just think the Titans win, 0:16:12.120 --> 0:16:15.400 and I'll take the Titans and cam Ward getting three 0:16:15.400 --> 0:16:17.720 and a half at home against the Chiefs. 0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:22.040 Wow, all right, it's a new regime we got. 0:16:22.080 --> 0:16:26.200 Oh, let me tell you something else real quick, because 0:16:26.240 --> 0:16:30.840 as you guys know, I'm in you know the Obviously 0:16:30.880 --> 0:16:32.600 I bet through hard rock bet, but I also have 0:16:32.680 --> 0:16:36.560 that group chat where we bet with each other, and 0:16:37.960 --> 0:16:44.720 very often in that chat, I post a chief's money line, like, Hey, 0:16:44.800 --> 0:16:47.440 I'd like to bet the Chiefs at minus one eighty 0:16:47.560 --> 0:16:49.800 or whatever. Does anybody want to take the other side 0:16:49.800 --> 0:16:54.240 of it? And there's one guy in that chat every 0:16:54.360 --> 0:16:57.680 time who whatever I So if I say I'm willing 0:16:57.680 --> 0:17:01.280 to pay minus one eighty on the Chiefs, he'll swoop 0:17:01.360 --> 0:17:05.600 in and say before anybody can fill my bet, he's 0:17:05.680 --> 0:17:10.240 willing to pay minus one ninety on the Chiefs. So 0:17:10.480 --> 0:17:13.280 I then come over the top and say, all right, 0:17:13.400 --> 0:17:16.359 I'll pay minus one ninety five, and then he takes 0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:19.760 that bet like he wants to take my chief's bet, 0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:22.480 but he wants it at a better price, so he 0:17:22.800 --> 0:17:30.000 overbids me. So I have a plan this weekend, which 0:17:30.080 --> 0:17:34.720 is I'm going to post that I want the Chief's 0:17:35.600 --> 0:17:42.280 money line at a too good of a price and 0:17:43.359 --> 0:17:48.000 anticipate he is then going to come in and bid 0:17:48.040 --> 0:17:52.119 on the Chief's money line at a reasonable price, expecting 0:17:52.160 --> 0:17:54.960 me to then overbid him. And then I'm just going 0:17:55.000 --> 0:18:01.000 to take his bet and say, okay, okay, no problem. 0:18:01.240 --> 0:18:05.400 So you have the Chiefs set that price, buddy, and 0:18:05.520 --> 0:18:09.480 I'll take the Tennessee. I've been I've been waiting for this. 0:18:10.200 --> 0:18:12.879 I almost did it on Thanksgiving, except I bet the 0:18:12.960 --> 0:18:14.800 Chiefs to win. I didn't want to bet the Cowboys, 0:18:15.000 --> 0:18:18.760 but he on Thanksgiving did it to me. Uh in 0:18:18.840 --> 0:18:21.359 that game, and I ended up paying a real bad 0:18:21.440 --> 0:18:28.560 price on time. Right now the good point, all right, 0:18:28.640 --> 0:18:30.720 So I'll take Tennessee plus the three and a half. 0:18:30.800 --> 0:18:34.480 Next the next we got Tampa Bay minus three at Carolina. 0:18:35.359 --> 0:18:40.000 Yeah, this is just a line in the sand game, flatly. Uh, 0:18:40.200 --> 0:18:48.080 Tampa Bay wins this game and they essentially lock up 0:18:48.160 --> 0:18:53.800 the division. Uh, they lose this game and they're gonna 0:18:53.800 --> 0:18:56.119 have to fight for their lives for the remainder of 0:18:56.160 --> 0:18:59.760 the year. I think I know Tampa's playing it's worse 0:18:59.800 --> 0:19:05.240 for ball of the season. I think that they can 0:19:05.280 --> 0:19:07.800 rebound from it. I think they've been They're better than 0:19:07.800 --> 0:19:12.800 they've shown over the last six weeks, and I wouldn't 0:19:12.920 --> 0:19:17.160 I love this game at two and a half. I'm 0:19:17.240 --> 0:19:20.520 okay with it at three. I probably wouldn't bet it 0:19:20.560 --> 0:19:23.680 at three and a half. But Tampa minus three at 0:19:23.720 --> 0:19:28.520 Carolina as Tampa Carolina has been a nice story. I 0:19:28.600 --> 0:19:32.320 still think Tampa has high end upside, even though they've 0:19:32.359 --> 0:19:35.640 just been playing terribly the last few weeks. But they 0:19:35.680 --> 0:19:40.399 also have to feel like we blew a fourteen point 0:19:40.520 --> 0:19:44.119 lead in the waning moments a game we had no 0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:50.440 business blowing whatsoever. And was that hold on the game? 0:19:50.480 --> 0:19:52.280 I feel like the first time you see him, considering 0:19:52.280 --> 0:19:53.600 you gonna see him again? Go ahead? 0:19:53.760 --> 0:19:57.240 Sorry, well no, that's what I thought. They also have 0:19:57.359 --> 0:20:00.520 the little added benefit of the extra rest because that 0:20:00.560 --> 0:20:04.800 game against Atlanta was Thursday night, So all that, I'll 0:20:04.880 --> 0:20:06.240 lay the three points with Tampa. 0:20:06.400 --> 0:20:10.240 Next next, you got Dallas minus two versus the Chargers. 0:20:11.359 --> 0:20:18.679 So the Chargers offense has really struggled and Herbert has 0:20:18.680 --> 0:20:22.439 struggled this last month. They have been winning because of 0:20:22.480 --> 0:20:30.000 their defense. Right. The Chargers also just won back to 0:20:30.200 --> 0:20:36.679 back wildly important, down to the final moments game of 0:20:36.720 --> 0:20:40.200 the year type of things for them in thrilling fashion 0:20:40.280 --> 0:20:45.200 in both ways, back to back game sealing interceptions Monday 0:20:45.200 --> 0:20:49.000 eight football against the Eagles and then Sunday against the Chiefs. 0:20:50.119 --> 0:20:55.840 They also because of what's happened to the Chiefs and 0:20:55.920 --> 0:21:01.480 because of what's happening to the Colts, they now they 0:21:02.040 --> 0:21:06.639 lose out and they're eighty percent to make the playoffs, 0:21:07.240 --> 0:21:10.719 like they don't need it. They you know, they the 0:21:11.040 --> 0:21:14.719 because for them to miss the playoffs, they would have 0:21:14.760 --> 0:21:18.880 to lose out and the Colts would have to go 0:21:18.960 --> 0:21:22.200 on something of a run. I shouldn't say the Colts 0:21:22.240 --> 0:21:23.960 have to go on a run, but the Colts would 0:21:24.000 --> 0:21:26.040 have to win two of their final three I mean 0:21:26.080 --> 0:21:31.840 to that's basically going on a run. And so I 0:21:31.880 --> 0:21:35.960 think Dallas this is an elimination game for the Cowboys. 0:21:37.280 --> 0:21:40.960 I think Dallas, you know, has been you know, a 0:21:41.000 --> 0:21:43.160 week two week team in that some weeks they look 0:21:43.240 --> 0:21:44.879 like as good as any team in the league, and 0:21:44.920 --> 0:21:47.560 then weeks like last week, they just look awful against 0:21:47.600 --> 0:21:54.560 the Vikings. I also do like that this game is 0:21:54.960 --> 0:22:01.320 at I that obvious. I like the fact that this 0:22:01.400 --> 0:22:06.760 game is in Dallas. I don't love I will admit 0:22:07.640 --> 0:22:12.359 the fact that Philly plays the night before, so because 0:22:12.359 --> 0:22:15.919 if Philly wins, Dallas is eliminated from the playoffs. So 0:22:16.080 --> 0:22:18.840 I don't love that piece of it. But I also 0:22:18.880 --> 0:22:24.199 feel like Dallas is probably feels like we're you know, 0:22:24.480 --> 0:22:29.240 we're close to eliminated either way, and I just think, 0:22:29.520 --> 0:22:32.600 you know, Pickens needs a bounce back performance at some point, 0:22:32.960 --> 0:22:36.560 dak is going to perform. I think that Cowboys quinnin 0:22:36.600 --> 0:22:39.920 Williams and that improved D line against the Chargers O line. 0:22:40.080 --> 0:22:43.920 I just think Dallas is a good spot here. I'll 0:22:44.000 --> 0:22:47.439 lay just two points at home against the Chargers in 0:22:47.480 --> 0:22:49.119 a game the Chargers don't really have to have. 0:22:49.320 --> 0:22:52.760 Next get Jack's plus three at Denver. 0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:58.760 Yeah, this is a bit of a I don't want 0:22:58.760 --> 0:23:02.600 to call it letdown spot Denver because this is a 0:23:02.640 --> 0:23:08.200 big game for them. But Denver had been playing up 0:23:08.280 --> 0:23:13.600 until recently nothing but close games. Even last week. They're 0:23:13.720 --> 0:23:17.439 down nine in the second, you know, in the second 0:23:17.440 --> 0:23:20.520 half of that game and then play their best football 0:23:20.560 --> 0:23:25.399 of the year. But the Broncos and the you know, 0:23:25.480 --> 0:23:29.639 they played Washington to overtime. The Chiefs game was a 0:23:29.680 --> 0:23:32.080 three point game. The Raiders game was a three point game. 0:23:32.119 --> 0:23:36.399 The Texans game was a three point game, so getting 0:23:36.440 --> 0:23:40.560 the three points matters. The fact that Denver, I think, 0:23:40.720 --> 0:23:47.920 recognizes that all of a sudden, that Chiefs game becomes 0:23:48.119 --> 0:23:53.640 so in such a soft spot for them that they 0:23:53.800 --> 0:23:57.480 don't have to have this game. And the Jags are 0:23:57.560 --> 0:24:02.320 red hot, and the Jags are turning people over, and 0:24:03.440 --> 0:24:10.160 teams on insane winning streaks historically have been terrible covering teams. 0:24:10.640 --> 0:24:14.440 There have been fifty teams to have eleven plus game 0:24:14.520 --> 0:24:17.800 winning streaks or fifty instances of eleven plus game winning 0:24:17.800 --> 0:24:21.520 streaks since nineteen ninety. Those teams are fourteen and thirty 0:24:21.560 --> 0:24:24.840 six against the spread. So I'll take the Jags getting 0:24:24.840 --> 0:24:27.680 three points and then last one to Monsey. 0:24:27.640 --> 0:24:29.600 New England plus three at Baltimore. 0:24:30.680 --> 0:24:33.520 I say New England's better, and I'm getting the points. 0:24:33.720 --> 0:24:39.080 I don't believe in the Ravens. And I didn't know 0:24:39.160 --> 0:24:41.880 that Lamar's never lost a game in weeks fifteen through 0:24:41.920 --> 0:24:45.320 eighteen until right now. Now he has two seasons. He 0:24:45.440 --> 0:24:48.919 was out all of weeks fifteen through eighteen, but that 0:24:49.119 --> 0:24:53.200 is noteworthy. But I just think the Patriots, coming off 0:24:53.240 --> 0:24:56.240 a terrible loss in a game, they had to have 0:24:56.680 --> 0:25:00.280 Lamar missing practice again a little under the weather. I'm 0:25:00.280 --> 0:25:03.360 getting the better team, and what I think right now 0:25:03.440 --> 0:25:06.520 is the better coach and the quarterback who's playing better. 0:25:06.760 --> 0:25:09.560 And I'm getting a full three points, So I'll take 0:25:09.600 --> 0:25:14.600 the Patriots. So my three picks this week are the 0:25:14.760 --> 0:25:18.399 Chiefs getting I'm sorry, the Titans getting three and a 0:25:18.440 --> 0:25:22.880 half against the Chiefs, the Bucks laying three at Carolina, 0:25:23.440 --> 0:25:28.920 Dallas laying two at the Chargers, Jacksonville getting three at Denver, 0:25:29.320 --> 0:25:33.840 and New England getting three at Baltimore. Before we get 0:25:33.880 --> 0:25:37.760 to Demonse's teaser, quick note from our friends at boost Mobile. 0:25:38.080 --> 0:25:41.160 You ever notice how everything keeps going up? Rents going up, 0:25:41.240 --> 0:25:45.160 streaming services are going up. Your favorite burrito spot suddenly thinks, 0:25:45.160 --> 0:25:48.199 sauls it should cost extra. With boost Mobile, you and 0:25:48.240 --> 0:25:50.520 your phone bill don't have to play the will this 0:25:50.640 --> 0:25:54.480 go up soon? Game? Why? Because boost Mobile has unlimited talk, 0:25:54.600 --> 0:25:57.160 text and data plan at a price that will never 0:25:57.200 --> 0:25:59.760 go up. In fact, it's the same price you'll pay 0:25:59.800 --> 0:26:03.280 for life. So switch now for unlimited wireless at a 0:26:03.320 --> 0:26:07.440