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Speaker 1: Welcome back everybody. It's a college football betting show on

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros. I'm your host, Scott Bagman. Follow me on

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Speaker 1: the Twitter app Bogman Sports. I'm joined as always buy

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Speaker 1: thor nice from at thor ku on the Twitter and

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Speaker 1: Mike Ferrell at m Ferrell Sports to ours two l's

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Speaker 1: on the Twitter machine. Guys, Week threes in the books.

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Speaker 1: Obviously Colorado was a lot of fun to watch. Thor

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Speaker 1: What else stood out for you from week three?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that Colorado Colorado stay one was fun. I was

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Speaker 2: watching early, I was watching LSU and Mississippi State. We

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Speaker 2: got to, you know, reevaluate LSU again. That was a

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Speaker 2: dominant performance. Mississippi State stinks. Wasn't as inspiring of a slave,

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Speaker 2: but luckily this weekend it's going to make up for it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, Farrell, you know, is kind of a

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Speaker 1: sleepy Saturday.

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Speaker 3: I think some people would call it.

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Speaker 1: It wasn't a lot of really good games, but there

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Speaker 1: were some good games on in the Colorado Colorado State

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Speaker 1: game was exciting at the end of the night of

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Speaker 1: Bursted that Colorado betting bubble finally, but I mean, if

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Speaker 1: it didn't come down last week is probably coming down

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Speaker 1: this week.

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Speaker 3: So what were your thoughts on Week three as a whole?

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Speaker 4: Tennessee sucks like really bad.

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Speaker 5: Their defense hasn't improved at all. They can't stop the

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Speaker 5: run whatsoever.

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Speaker 4: Joe Milton is who we thought he was. I thought

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Speaker 4: Tennessee would win and cover this game. They just got

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Speaker 4: man handled.

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Speaker 5: I guess I can never bet against Michael Pennix in

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Speaker 5: the under free yardage since it was like four fifty

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Speaker 5: three and then got that in the third quarter.

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Speaker 4: And the SEC is over ranked.

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Speaker 5: I mean, you know, we've got LSU twelve, Alabama thirteen,

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Speaker 5: Florida somehow behind Tennessee. It's just these aren't good football teams.

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Speaker 5: They're they're average LSU. I guess we're reevaluating. Alabama looked horrible.

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Speaker 5: Not impressed with the SEC so far.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Alabama, you know, and it makes the

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Speaker 1: Texas win look way less reputable after seeing South Florida

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Speaker 1: give Bama problems and now they're going back to JALN Milroe.

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Speaker 1: So week four, we've got a ton of rank games.

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Speaker 1: We couldn't even get to all of them, so we

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Speaker 1: did have to cut some. We have our normal ten

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Speaker 1: games that we're gonna do. Let me remind you guys,

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Speaker 1: are you ready to put your betting skills to the test.

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Speaker 1: Join the Betting Pros College Football podcast betting group. Make

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Speaker 1: hundred picks throughout the season. To qualify, jump in now

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Speaker 1: at Bettingpros dot com, slash college or in the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros app under college Football podcast group may be the best,

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Speaker 1: better win. All right, gentlemen, let's step into Week four.

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Speaker 1: I cannot believe it is already Week four, but away

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Speaker 1: we go. Number sixteen Oklahoma fourteen and a half point

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Speaker 1: road favorites at Cincinnati sixty and a half?

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Speaker 3: Is the total? Tickets and cash are on? O you

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Speaker 3: right now? Thor? Is that direction you're leaning as well?

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Speaker 6: It for sure as yeah.

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Speaker 2: I bought an Oklahoma minus thirteen and a half ticket

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Speaker 2: on Sunday. I knew this thing was getting over fourteen.

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Speaker 2: It makes sense. My line on it is Oklahoma minus

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Speaker 2: fourteen point seven They've looked great so far. Their offense

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Speaker 2: last year, even when they were stinking overall, the offense

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Speaker 2: was good whenever Gabriel played, and now it's even better

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Speaker 2: and he's healthy. Of course, the defensive improvement though, of

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma is what makes him an objective Top twenty team. Cincinnati,

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Speaker 2: they've had, you know, they've been up and down with sadderfield.

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Speaker 2: So far in the early going, they have had a

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Speaker 2: good performance. But what troubles me here about the on

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Speaker 2: field handicap Cincinnati's pass defense one hundred and twenty seventh

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Speaker 2: overall against explosiveness. Gabriel and the Oklahoma offense throw down

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Speaker 2: field all the time, and Oklahoma is an explosive offense

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Speaker 2: since is also dead last in the FBS right now

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Speaker 2: in defensive isoppp overall, that's an explosive play metric. Cincinnati

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Speaker 2: gets lit up for big plays all the time. This

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma team fishes for him. Bad matchup for the Bearcats.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Mike, I mean, what do you think about this game?

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati seems to be kind of up and down, but

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Speaker 1: like Thor said, they're allowing those big explosive plays. Oklahoma,

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Speaker 1: a big explosive play offense doesn't seem to match up

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Speaker 1: very well for Cincy.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, it's hard to be against Oklahoma the way they've

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Speaker 5: been playing offensively. You know, I was looking at the

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Speaker 5: under or the over under at sixty and a half

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Speaker 5: and wondering if I should take the over. I'm taking

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Speaker 5: the side here for Oklahoma. The biggest question is how

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Speaker 5: many points of Cincinnati going to score it?

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Speaker 4: Because I know Oklahoma's going to score a ton, you know.

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Speaker 5: So I'm if, like, we get forty seven out of Oklahoma,

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Speaker 5: which is certainly possible, and I get a couple of

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Speaker 5: touchdowns out of Cincinnati, I think I can, So I'm

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Speaker 5: leaning over, even though a lot of the money seems

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Speaker 5: to be on the under there. But paid the public, Yeah,

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Speaker 5: paid the public. But also, you know, focus on the side.

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Speaker 5: You want to throw a parley in there with the over,

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Speaker 5: do it, but focus on the side.

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Speaker 4: Oklahoma. I still don't believe meals is the solution. I

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Speaker 4: still don't believe this is a great football team. They

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Speaker 4: haven't really played anybody, but you know, I.

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Speaker 5: Mean, they're scored a ton of points in Cincinnati has

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Speaker 5: trouble stopping that.

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Speaker 4: So I think Oklahoma's going to drill.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I do too, Unfortunately.

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Speaker 1: Number four Florida State is a two point road favorite

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Speaker 1: at Clemson. Fifty five and a half is the total here.

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Speaker 1: Mike will start with you on this one. Most of

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Speaker 1: the cash is on Florida State. Although they did not

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Speaker 1: look good against Boston College last week, how do you

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Speaker 1: feel in this game?

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Speaker 4: I think that was good for them.

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Speaker 5: Honestly, you know, I expected Florida State to cover that

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Speaker 5: twenty six and a half or whatever it was against BC.

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Speaker 4: BC's looked awful all season long.

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Speaker 5: For some reason, Florida State has trouble up there traditionally

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Speaker 5: that had trouble in Boston.

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Speaker 4: I think they were get a little full of themselves.

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Speaker 5: Not arrogant, not over you know, or no, just they

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Speaker 5: needed a little bit of humbling, a little bit of worry.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 5: BC had eighteen penalties, the eighteenth ast them a possession.

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Speaker 4: They could have won this football game.

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Speaker 5: So this is just what Mike Norvell needs heading into

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Speaker 5: a big time, obviously rivalry game.

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Speaker 4: I'd still not believing in Clubnick.

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Speaker 5: I'm still not believing in that offense, that they're still

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Speaker 5: a mistake prone on defense even though they're super talented.

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Speaker 4: So give me Florida State to win this.

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Speaker 5: One, even on the road, I got them went in

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Speaker 5: by probably Florida seven points.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we've seen checko and hide from Florida State, but

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Speaker 1: it's been just mainly hide from Clemson so far. Or so,

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Speaker 1: what are you thinking in this ACC matchup here?

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Speaker 2: I can't lay points with Florida State here. I'll say

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Speaker 2: that from the jump. My line is Florida State minus

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Speaker 2: one point two in this game.

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Speaker 6: All right?

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Speaker 2: The Clemson team overall, you know, I agree with how

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Speaker 2: you set that up. But outside of not having explosive

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Speaker 2: plays on in the passing offense and then a few

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Speaker 2: too many many turnovers so far, some of them have

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Speaker 2: been flukey, but the elevated turnovers, Clemson's been fine. Their

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Speaker 2: defense is still good, the success rate against both the

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Speaker 2: run and the pass, and they've been running the ball well.

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Speaker 2: Will Klubnick pick it up that that we don't know

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Speaker 2: they have been efficient though as a passing offense. You

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Speaker 2: have sort of two different things going on here. Florida

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Speaker 2: State's defensive weaknesses. They give up too many explosive plays.

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Speaker 2: I think Will Shipley is going to hit a couple

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Speaker 2: dingers in this game. But Klubnik to this point is

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Speaker 2: not showing the ability to take advantage of that. But

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Speaker 2: on the other side Florida State. What what has not

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Speaker 2: impressed me at all this year, and surprisingly so so far,

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Speaker 2: is the lack of a run game. With Jordan Travis

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Speaker 2: and then Trey Benson, et cetera, et cetera. At all,

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Speaker 2: those you would think you're going to manufacture a pretty

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Speaker 2: good rushing offense. They so far it has been pretty lethargic.

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Speaker 2: If if you if you can only go into a

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Speaker 2: Clemson game on the road and you have to play

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Speaker 2: one handed on offense, that could be an issue, especially

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Speaker 2: when Jordan Travis, the guy who's directing the show of

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Speaker 2: the passing attack which you're gonna need to win this game,

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Speaker 2: is right now dinged up. They say Jordan Travis is

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Speaker 2: gonna play, Jordan trave is gonna be fine, But he

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Speaker 2: did not look the best in that Boston College game.

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Speaker 2: He did not look one hundred percent healthy in that game.

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Speaker 2: So those would be the things to watch out for here.

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Speaker 2: But much as I hate to say it, I would

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Speaker 2: lean Clemson in this one.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's go over to number fifteen all Miss

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Speaker 1: at number thirteen Alabama. Alabama is somehow a touchdown favorite

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Speaker 1: in this minus seven fifty five is total here, tikets

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Speaker 1: and cash leaning towards Mississippi and the over on both

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Speaker 1: sides here thor Alabama going back to JALN Milroe. They

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Speaker 1: try Buckner week didn't work. South Florida looks strong against them.

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Speaker 3: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: This is definitely like in the recent Nick saban Era,

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Speaker 1: the worst Alabama has looked overall. I've seen some Alabama

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Speaker 1: fans saying, you know, the Nick saban Era is over.

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Speaker 3: I don't know about all that, but I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I just I know that I will not lay points

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Speaker 1: with Alabama at home against Ole Miss.

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Speaker 3: That's what I know. How do you feel about this game?

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Speaker 6: Yeah, the last game we talked about that was a

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Speaker 6: lean for me. This one's not.

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Speaker 2: I purchased tickets on Mississippi on Sunday, both the line

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Speaker 2: the money line, and I'll be adding more this week.

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Speaker 2: Mississippi is going to win this game, Alabama. Everything I

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Speaker 2: talked about over the summer has come to fruition and

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Speaker 2: more so. My biggest future ticket in college football this

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Speaker 2: year from over the summer was the Alabama under ten

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Speaker 2: and a half. This is not the same and by

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Speaker 2: the easy bet, easiest bet I made this summer. This

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Speaker 2: is not the same Alabama team that we have seen

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Speaker 2: in recent years. There's a number of reasons for that.

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Speaker 2: We don't need to get into all of them, but

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Speaker 2: the upshot here is that roster.

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Speaker 6: The talent is down.

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Speaker 2: Particularly at key positions, but they all sort of go

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Speaker 2: hand in hand. You have an uninspiring wide receiver group

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Speaker 2: and an uninspiring offensive line. You don't have a quarterback

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Speaker 2: on that roster that should be an upper level Power

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Speaker 2: five starter. They have a bunch of G five guys.

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Speaker 2: The running game you're having to mix and match. You

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Speaker 2: don't have to stud there. And the defense is down,

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Speaker 2: and of course you have two new coordinators as well.

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Speaker 2: They always have the revolving door of assistant coaches. That

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Speaker 2: team is down, whereas Mississippi. This is the nadir of

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Speaker 2: what lane Kiffin has been building towards with all of

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Speaker 2: his portal ads, everything like that. This is the best

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Speaker 2: team he has had so far. For me, this game,

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Speaker 2: the line on this game should be Alabama minus three.

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Speaker 2: It is only elevated because of the name brand. I

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Speaker 2: think Lane Kiffin goes in there and gets the upset

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Speaker 2: of Nick game that he's been looking for in Tuscaloosa.

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Speaker 1: Errel, do you agree with that? Do you think Old

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Speaker 1: Miss comes in here and beats Alabama at home?

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Speaker 5: It's hard because I mean it's still Nick Saban. I

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Speaker 5: was very disappointed. And now they played last week. Of

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Speaker 5: course I thought they would come back, you know, drill

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Speaker 5: usf you know, prove that they're still Alabama. And you know,

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Speaker 5: everything Door's saying is what we've been saying. Uh since

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Speaker 5: the Texas game. Texas had a better roster, and you

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Speaker 5: just don't say that. I've been doing roster analysis in

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Speaker 5: top five rosters since twenty ten. Alabama has always been

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Speaker 5: one or two in college football, and they aren't in

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Speaker 5: the top five this year. There's just a lot of

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Speaker 5: there's a dearth of talent, and it's still talent. You know,

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Speaker 5: this isn't They always say Kansas, but I can't because

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Speaker 5: they're undefeated.

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Speaker 6: I can't say it anymore.

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Speaker 5: No, And I always say Rutgers, but they're undefeated.

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Speaker 4: I don't know somebody who really sucks? How about that?

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Speaker 5: You know, I don't want to pick a team right

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Speaker 5: now because you know, it's just one of those I mean, Vanderbilts.

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Speaker 6: That Arizona State.

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Speaker 5: For he's gone through seven quarterbacks in the first three weeks.

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Speaker 4: I will not do.

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Speaker 5: I will not do that to Kenny Dellingham. I'll stick

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Speaker 5: with the Vanderbilt that's slow hanging through. So anyways, I

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Speaker 5: don't know if this is gonna win this game, but

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Speaker 5: there's no way Alabama should be favored by a touchdown.

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Speaker 4: Absolutely not.

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Speaker 5: You know, if they're going to revamp that offense, they're

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Speaker 5: gonna play more to Moroe's strengths.

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Speaker 4: They should have done that from the very beginning. They

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Speaker 4: had the entire offseason to do that.

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Speaker 5: They have to, you know, include more RPOs, more options

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Speaker 5: to get him outside the pocket. He's not comfortable to

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Speaker 5: this set growing the football.

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Speaker 4: You gotta get him in space. They're gonna do a

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Speaker 4: better job of that. He's the answer. I mean, ty

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Speaker 4: Simpson isn't ready.

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Speaker 5: Uh and Buckner has never been ready. So he's the answer.

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Speaker 5: But there's no way that you should be favored by

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Speaker 5: a touchdown. This is overrated. Now again, this is the

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Speaker 5: SEC that's overrated overall. I'm still not buying old misses

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Speaker 5: this juggernaut. But this is as store mentioned, this is branding.

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Speaker 5: This is five or six points maybe four for Alabama

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Speaker 5: because they're Alabama.

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Speaker 4: So take Old Miss. I don't know if they're gonna win, though,

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Speaker 4: for it is pretty positive they're gonna win these money line.

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Speaker 5: That's pretty impressive right there, because wait, you're gonna get

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Speaker 5: in a nice, a nice little, not a super fat plus,

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Speaker 5: but you're gonna get a plus.

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Speaker 4: On that money line.

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Speaker 5: I'm taking Old Miss with the seven I'm not money line.

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Speaker 2: My Christmas present purchases. My family's gonna love it this Christmas.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna be paid for by the Alabama crimson time.

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Speaker 2: I have a couple of things with the on field

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Speaker 2: handicap of is really quick before we move, you know,

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Speaker 2: we're speaking, you know, sort of sort of generally about it.

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Speaker 2: This is the data right now Alabama in terms of

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Speaker 2: passing success rate one hundred and twelfth at one hundred

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Speaker 2: and thirty three teams, and so you they have to

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Speaker 2: play the one handed on offense with Milroe in there,

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Speaker 2: you can manufacture the run game. As we know right now,

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Speaker 2: they're forty sixth rushing success rate, forty seventh and rushing

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Speaker 2: explosive and number one in rushing power rate. So they

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Speaker 2: can get the short yardage conversions whatnot. But the problem

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Speaker 2: is again the offense is gonna be one handed again

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Speaker 2: with Milroe in there. You can run, but you cannot pass,

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Speaker 2: and and that becomes a much easier offense to defend.

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Speaker 2: And then the other thing is Alabama's run defense is suspect.

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Speaker 2: Their pass defense. You know, they have kool aid mckinnistry

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Speaker 2: and some of those athletes out there in the secondary

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Speaker 2: is pretty good. They're holding opponents to the number ten

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Speaker 2: passing success rate. They could hamper and give problems to

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Speaker 2: Jackson Dard here, but Quinn Shawn Judkins, one of the

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Speaker 2: best singular offensive players in all the nation, is gonna

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Speaker 2: tee off in this game. Alabama their run defense, rushing

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Speaker 2: success rate against fifty first and in stuff rate one

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Speaker 2: hundred and seventeenth. They're gonna lose the line of scrimmage

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Speaker 2: in this game, and Quinn show Judkins is going to

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Speaker 2: do the rest.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I would love to see it. I just

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Speaker 1: this game feels like such a trap. Alabama has looked

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Speaker 1: bad and All Miss has looked good. It's one of

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Speaker 1: those where you just you know, through the eye test

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Speaker 1: you say this is easy All Miss, But I don't know, man,

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Speaker 1: It just doesn't feel good to me.

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Speaker 3: I probably won't be touching it.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to a PAC twelve matchup number ten Oregon

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Speaker 1: hosting number nineteen Colorado. Oregon is a twenty one point

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Speaker 1: favorite three touchdowns.

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Speaker 3: The over is.

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Speaker 1: Seventy and a half in this game, seventy and the

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Speaker 1: hook or so. How do you see this game playing

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Speaker 1: out between Colorado and Oregon? We kind of bursted the

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Speaker 1: Colorado bubble last week, but this is them as a

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Speaker 1: gigantic dog.

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Speaker 3: Now. Is Oregon good enough to beat them by three touchdowns?

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Speaker 6: They sure are?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, particularly without Travis Hunter on the Colorado side.

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Speaker 6: It pains me.

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Speaker 2: I've bat Colorado the first three weeks. We are on

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Speaker 2: the other side this week. The line just dropped too low.

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Speaker 2: I think I got Oregon minus twenty and a half

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Speaker 2: on Sunday. My line on it is Oregon minus twenty

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Speaker 2: one and a half, and that's in a vacuum with

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Speaker 2: Travis Hunter being healthy. Without Travis Hunter there, this line

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Speaker 2: should be twenty four or twenty four and a half.

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Speaker 2: To be honest, Colorado has problems in the secondary now,

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Speaker 2: you know Dion mentioned after the win over Colorado State,

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Speaker 2: the losing Travis Hunter it's like losing too late players

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Speaker 2: because you lose the elite receiver, you lose the cornerback one.

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Speaker 2: In the secondary is where this particularly concerns me against

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Speaker 2: bow Knicks and a very deep Oregon receiving corps, because

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Speaker 2: Hunter is going to be out and then you're already

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Speaker 2: out Cormani McClain, the five star cornerback they brought in

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Speaker 2: this year, he has not played yet. And then Miles

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Speaker 2: Slusher at the long time starting safety at Arkansas who

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Speaker 2: came in, who is the projected starting nickel in this defense.

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Speaker 2: He has missed the last two games, and we don't

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Speaker 2: know if we're going to see those those two guys

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Speaker 2: either either. I think it's going to be really hard

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Speaker 2: for Colorado to force Oregon to punt, and with shouldear standers,

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Speaker 2: of course, you always have the punching chance.

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Speaker 6: On offense.

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Speaker 2: They still have two good receivers, but without Hunter you're

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Speaker 2: pretty much down to that. They were trying to get

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Speaker 2: other guys involved in the offense against Colorado State and

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Speaker 2: they're just they're not even close to the caliber player

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Speaker 2: that Travis Hunter is, and you don't stress the defense

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Speaker 2: nearly as much, and their running game hasn't been great

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Speaker 2: to this point this season.

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Speaker 6: I think this is a big time Oregon route of

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Speaker 6: a win here.

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Speaker 3: Mike, are you on board with that as well? Colorado?

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Speaker 1: You know they're fun, but it seems like this is

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Speaker 1: coming to an end pretty quick here.

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Speaker 5: It's coming to an end. But I don't like this

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Speaker 5: line at all. This is the same line essentially that

355
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Speaker 5: you know what, I told you to bet the mortgage

356
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Speaker 5: on TCU, and we're learning obviously TCU is not a

357
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Speaker 5: good football team, and their defensive backfield and especially with

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Speaker 5: their defenses, suspect Oregon is.

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Speaker 4: A much better football team than that.

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Speaker 5: But I like the over here and the reason I

361
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Speaker 5: like the over and I don't like the line. I mean,

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Speaker 5: three touchdowns you give me, I don't know me twenty

363
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Speaker 5: and a half maybe, but I'm.

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Speaker 4: Not touching that.

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Speaker 5: I know Colorado shortened in and I know how important

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Speaker 5: Travis Hunter is to this team. I know how they're

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Speaker 5: ready to be exposed. You know they almost were Saturday night.

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Speaker 5: And I know how overrated this team is. You're asking

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Speaker 5: a one to eleven football team from last year to

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Speaker 5: you know, going to Oregon and win a football game

371
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Speaker 5: or stay within three touchdowns. But it's not the team

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Speaker 5: from last year, seeing there's more talent, there's more depth.

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Speaker 5: But the over to me because I think I think

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Speaker 5: Oregon's gonna put up a ton of points, and I

375
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:32,520
Speaker 5: think Colorado's gonna throw every down. Sanders is going to

376
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Speaker 5: have a big day, you know, as far as numbers,

377
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Speaker 5: and I think they're gonna be able to put up

378
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Speaker 5: enough points.

379
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Speaker 4: It's a huge number. I get it.

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Speaker 5: I mean, fifty fifty to twenty and you're coming under.

381
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Speaker 5: But it's just I have a feeling, you know that

382
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Speaker 5: this is going to be a super high scoring game.

383
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Speaker 5: I think Oregon is going to put on as many

384
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Speaker 5: points as they can. Dan Lanning doesn't have an in

385
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Speaker 5: for beyond, but I think.

386
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Speaker 4: He's sick and hired of all this.

387
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Speaker 5: I think the world's sick and tired of all this.

388
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Speaker 5: He made those comments earlier this summer wins Colorado won anything,

389
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Speaker 5: you know. I think as much as Colorado's made things personal,

390
00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:14,040
Speaker 5: I think Oregon's gonna make this personal. I think they're

391
00:19:14,040 --> 00:19:16,600
Speaker 5: going to score like fifty five to sixty points.

392
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Speaker 4: I think I'm going with the over.

393
00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:21,440
Speaker 1: I mean, Mike, I could not agree with you more.

394
00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:24,000
Speaker 1: I feel like this game is definitely going over because

395
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Speaker 1: I think while Colorado probably can't stop Oregon at all,

396
00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:30,720
Speaker 1: I think they can score on anybody even without Travis Hunter.

397
00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:34,040
Speaker 1: They look good on offense so far, and crisp, you know,

398
00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:36,440
Speaker 1: a little shaky in the first half against Colorado State,

399
00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:38,680
Speaker 1: but turned it on in the second half. I think

400
00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:40,200
Speaker 1: we're going to see a lot of that as well.

401
00:19:40,280 --> 00:19:43,600
Speaker 1: So I'm with you. I think the bet here is

402
00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:46,600
Speaker 1: probably the over. If anything in this game, let's stick

403
00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:48,760
Speaker 1: in the big in the Pac twelve again, excuse me?

404
00:19:49,040 --> 00:19:52,920
Speaker 1: Number eleven Utah hosting number twenty two UCLA another Ranke matchup.

405
00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:56,600
Speaker 1: Minus four and a half on the Ute's side. Fifty

406
00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:59,040
Speaker 1: one and a half is the total here, Mike, do

407
00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:00,640
Speaker 1: you have a good lean way or the other.

408
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:02,879
Speaker 4: I like the youths, I like the ober.

409
00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:08,440
Speaker 5: You know, again, I've been Utah since the beginning of

410
00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:11,120
Speaker 5: the season, cam rising or not. I know there's been

411
00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:12,080
Speaker 5: some struggles.

412
00:20:12,800 --> 00:20:14,040
Speaker 4: You know, They've looked great.

413
00:20:13,840 --> 00:20:16,520
Speaker 5: At times and looked okay at other times. But just

414
00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:20,280
Speaker 5: a really good football team, very good fundamentally on defense.

415
00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:22,440
Speaker 4: U c l A is a.

416
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:25,040
Speaker 5: Solid football team as well. I mean it's a good matchup.

417
00:20:25,680 --> 00:20:27,159
Speaker 5: A lot of people are taking U c l A

418
00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:29,160
Speaker 5: to cover that four and a half. I just believe

419
00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:33,320
Speaker 5: Utah at home, that's that's that's that's the four and

420
00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:35,399
Speaker 5: a half right there to five points. It's such a

421
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,880
Speaker 5: great home field advantage. I think it's the best in

422
00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:39,879
Speaker 5: in the Pac twelve that nobody talks about.

423
00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:41,720
Speaker 4: And I think this is.

424
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Speaker 5: Gonna be a, you know, a higher scoring game that

425
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:48,359
Speaker 5: people think. So I haven't really faded on Utah at all,

426
00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:52,280
Speaker 5: and I'm gonna keep riding them. I think, you know,

427
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Speaker 5: Utah is gonna they're gonna win this game by seven.

428
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Speaker 3: Tore your thoughts on U c l A and Utah here.

429
00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:02,240
Speaker 2: This game is going to come down to Dante more.

430
00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:07,240
Speaker 2: The metrics, some of them you look into with UCLA

431
00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:10,560
Speaker 2: and they all look really good, you know, in terms

432
00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:15,240
Speaker 2: of offensive explosiveness to this point, their number two offensive

433
00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:18,840
Speaker 2: success rate, their number eighteen, and their defensive stuff is awesome,

434
00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:21,119
Speaker 2: ten to twenty nine in the two categories that I

435
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:24,920
Speaker 2: just mentioned. Defensively, but we haven't seen them play anybody yet.

436
00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:27,760
Speaker 2: You know, it's been Coastal Carolina, San Diego State, and

437
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:31,160
Speaker 2: NC Central was the last time out. They haven't given

438
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:33,439
Speaker 2: up more than thirteen points on defense. And I had

439
00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:35,720
Speaker 2: a supposition this is going to be Chip Kelly's best

440
00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:38,400
Speaker 2: defense over the summer, but I don't know how good

441
00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:40,399
Speaker 2: it is yet. We need to see them play a

442
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:45,280
Speaker 2: real opponent. We're getting closer now with Utah. The reason

443
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:48,440
Speaker 2: that Dante Moore is so important is Utah shuts out

444
00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:52,199
Speaker 2: the lights on any opponent's running game. So Carson Steele

445
00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:55,280
Speaker 2: and mister Harden, I'd be taking their unders in the

446
00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:58,160
Speaker 2: sportsbook for this game. As far as player props, it's

447
00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:00,400
Speaker 2: all going to come down to Candun More.

448
00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:02,240
Speaker 6: Do anything against what is a.

449
00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 2: More susceptible Utah pass defense, and you can fish for

450
00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:09,920
Speaker 2: explosive plays on Utah Utah's defense as well. They're gonna

451
00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:13,919
Speaker 2: hinder anyone's efficiency, but if you're clicking, you can hit

452
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 2: some of those explosives. Again, that all goes back to

453
00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:18,960
Speaker 2: Dante More as well. Can they get someone you know,

454
00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:22,320
Speaker 2: when the offensive line picks up the blitz whatever and

455
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:24,320
Speaker 2: you have a one on one look downfield, are you

456
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:27,160
Speaker 2: going to be able to hit it? It's just too

457
00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:30,440
Speaker 2: scary for me to back Dante More and UCLA in

458
00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:33,160
Speaker 2: the spot. A true freshman quarterback who hasn't really played

459
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:37,160
Speaker 2: anyone yet no top sixty five spplus defense to this point.

460
00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:40,360
Speaker 2: And you've played these three cans so far, and now

461
00:22:40,359 --> 00:22:43,119
Speaker 2: you're going to Utah and he has to face this

462
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:46,320
Speaker 2: vicious defense where the game is gonna come down to him.

463
00:22:46,960 --> 00:22:49,520
Speaker 2: We'll see if that gets special, but I can't bet

464
00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:50,480
Speaker 2: on it in advance.

465
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:52,399
Speaker 6: For me, this one will be Utah or pass.

466
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:54,960
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to the next game.

467
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:56,639
Speaker 1: But before we do, let me remind you guys to

468
00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,960
Speaker 1: download the free Betting Pros app for iOS and Android

469
00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:04,280
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470
00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:07,600
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471
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:11,000
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472
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473
00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:18,120
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474
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475
00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:23,760
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476
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Speaker 1: will be notified so you can lock in your bet

477
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:28,960
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478
00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:32,200
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Speaker 1: dot com slash apps to start setting your line alerts now,

480
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Speaker 1: or download the betting pros app in the iTunes or

481
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:43,240
Speaker 1: Google Play stores today. All right, gentlemen, let's go over

482
00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:47,879
Speaker 1: to Arkansas at number twelve. LSU or LSU is a

483
00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:51,000
Speaker 1: seventeen and a half point favorite. Now fifty five and

484
00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 1: a half is the total on this one. Tickets and

485
00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:59,680
Speaker 1: money are slightly in the favor of Arkansas. But LS

486
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:01,640
Speaker 1: you look pretty good. How do you see this game

487
00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:02,120
Speaker 1: playing out?

488
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 3: Though?

489
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 6: Yeah, they looked really good this past week.

490
00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:08,560
Speaker 2: I mean, it was just dominant against Missippi State, and

491
00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 2: the part of that was the dopey coaches on Missippi

492
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:14,399
Speaker 2: State defensively, like they were just sitting everybody. They had

493
00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:18,280
Speaker 2: the dumbest strategy I've ever seen someone go against Jayden

494
00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:19,520
Speaker 2: Daniels offense before.

495
00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:21,879
Speaker 6: They kept two safeties.

496
00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:24,440
Speaker 2: Way out in another county back there, and they opened

497
00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:27,119
Speaker 2: up the entire intermediate area of the field and all

498
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:30,240
Speaker 2: Jayden Daniels. It was just every single snap. LSU even

499
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:33,240
Speaker 2: went away from their run game because Missippi State was

500
00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:36,120
Speaker 2: just giving them the intermediate area and every single play

501
00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:38,640
Speaker 2: it was just it was sort of like Colorado State

502
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:42,040
Speaker 2: with Horton later that night, where it's just a shallow

503
00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:45,800
Speaker 2: crosser from elite neighbors or what anything to get him

504
00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:48,480
Speaker 2: across the middle short it was a free completion and.

505
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:50,480
Speaker 6: Then he's just running with the ball afterwards.

506
00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:54,639
Speaker 2: Presumably Arkansas will have a better defensive strategy in this game,

507
00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:57,920
Speaker 2: and their past defense is is okay. They do give

508
00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,960
Speaker 2: up explosive runs though, so that'll be interesting to watch

509
00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:03,800
Speaker 2: if if Daniels or the running backs they got there

510
00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:07,159
Speaker 2: now Emery's back, if they can get anything there. My

511
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,000
Speaker 2: concern for Arkansas, you know, and trying to get within

512
00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:13,240
Speaker 2: this number, it's if Rocket Sanders is out again. We've

513
00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:15,400
Speaker 2: seen with that offense. I mean not just this year,

514
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:17,719
Speaker 2: not just last week. We've seen it when Rocket has

515
00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:20,199
Speaker 2: missed games in the past, where then it becomes the

516
00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:24,160
Speaker 2: kJ Jefferson Show on offense, and that's not a good thing.

517
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:29,000
Speaker 2: Arkansas's passing offense right now sixty fifth in passing success

518
00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:32,720
Speaker 2: rate seventy third and explosiveness. You can get them off

519
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:34,960
Speaker 2: scheduled pretty easy and they're not going to come back

520
00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:38,080
Speaker 2: to hurt you with explosive plays. That's my concern. I'm

521
00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:40,560
Speaker 2: probably gonna be on the sideline of this game, but

522
00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:43,400
Speaker 2: I don't think I could take the points with Arkansas.

523
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:46,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, Ferrel, do you have a good feel here with

524
00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:50,560
Speaker 1: LSU laying seventeen and a half at home, you.

525
00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:51,760
Speaker 4: Know, not a great field.

526
00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:55,879
Speaker 5: You know, Rocket Sanders is obviously extremely important.

527
00:25:57,440 --> 00:25:58,640
Speaker 4: You know, to this offense.

528
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:02,600
Speaker 5: I was a little disappointed in kJ Jefferson last week,

529
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:07,119
Speaker 5: you know, after the big gaming is BYU a year ago.

530
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:11,920
Speaker 5: He was just very very pedestrian, very average. Wasn't even

531
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:16,040
Speaker 5: running the ball well. And you know they game plan

532
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:18,520
Speaker 5: for him, you know perfectly.

533
00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:20,679
Speaker 4: You just got to let.

534
00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:24,399
Speaker 5: Him kind of hurt himself, let him, you know, just

535
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:26,800
Speaker 5: keep him more balanced, don't let him get in a rhythm,

536
00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:28,239
Speaker 5: and he's not going to be that guy that's going

537
00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:28,720
Speaker 5: to hurt you.

538
00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:31,399
Speaker 4: Seventeen and a half seas a lot, though.

539
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:34,440
Speaker 5: I mean, it's a divisional rivalry at LSU is kind

540
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:36,960
Speaker 5: of up and down, and Hope Reilly know, maybe Mississippi

541
00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:37,679
Speaker 5: State sucks.

542
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:40,160
Speaker 4: They're certainly not as good as I thought they were.

543
00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:44,080
Speaker 5: They were terrible, just terrible on defense.

544
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:46,320
Speaker 4: Arkansas I's gonna be a little bit better on defense.

545
00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:49,639
Speaker 5: Not could allow you know, completion after completion to the

546
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:50,720
Speaker 5: middle of the field.

547
00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:52,680
Speaker 4: I just think seventeen and a half too much.

548
00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:54,320
Speaker 5: I think ls is gonna win this game and I

549
00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:57,200
Speaker 5: think they're gonna win it pretty easily, but I don't.

550
00:26:57,040 --> 00:26:58,160
Speaker 4: See seventeen and a half.

551
00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:03,199
Speaker 5: Maybe fourteen, maybe fifteen, maybe seventeen, But I'm taking Arkansas

552
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 5: to at least cover that number. I think the coaches

553
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:08,119
Speaker 5: are gonna be a little bit smarter.

554
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:10,240
Speaker 4: They're gonna learn from what they saw last week.

555
00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:14,760
Speaker 5: They can't stop the run, but they'd prefer if LSU

556
00:27:14,840 --> 00:27:17,359
Speaker 5: ran on them. And I think they're gonna, you know,

557
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:20,000
Speaker 5: tread a play into that. So to me, it's gonna

558
00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:22,600
Speaker 5: be within the seventeen and a half. But don't bet

559
00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:26,040
Speaker 5: the house on it. I really don't know LSU. We

560
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:28,239
Speaker 5: don't know who they are yet, we still don't know.

561
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:30,080
Speaker 5: I mean, they look good, they look bad. They look good,

562
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:30,880
Speaker 5: they look bad.

563
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:33,879
Speaker 4: But seventeen and a half's too much for a divisional rival.

564
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:38,800
Speaker 1: I mean, you could describe Jane Daniel's complete collegiate career

565
00:27:39,280 --> 00:27:41,080
Speaker 1: like that. He looks good, he looks bad, he looks good,

566
00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:44,440
Speaker 1: he looks bad. It's up and down for sure. Number

567
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:48,159
Speaker 1: three Texas a fifteen point road favorite at Baylor. Fifty

568
00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:52,159
Speaker 1: one and a half is the total here. Tickets are split.

569
00:27:52,600 --> 00:27:55,760
Speaker 1: Money is slightly on the Baylor side. Everything I've seen

570
00:27:56,280 --> 00:28:00,800
Speaker 1: says take Baylor. I completely understand it, because Tech loves

571
00:28:00,840 --> 00:28:04,600
Speaker 1: to lose a big twelve game after winning a huge

572
00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:07,720
Speaker 1: game against Alabama. It's something they do. They drop on

573
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:10,000
Speaker 1: to Baylor, they drop on to Texas Tech, or Case

574
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:12,560
Speaker 1: State or somebody as a Texas fan. I've seen it

575
00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:16,240
Speaker 1: a million times, Farrell. So in this matchup, can Texas

576
00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:18,919
Speaker 1: go into Baylor and win by more than two touchdowns?

577
00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:19,640
Speaker 4: Yeah? They can.

578
00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:22,520
Speaker 5: And I think the Wyoming game was extremely important. Again,

579
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:25,800
Speaker 5: It's it's like Florida State and Boston College. They needed

580
00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:27,840
Speaker 5: a game. You know, we knew it was going to

581
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 5: be sort of a letdown game coming off Alabama. They

582
00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:33,400
Speaker 5: needed to be challenged, to be tested into the fourth quarter,

583
00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:36,919
Speaker 5: the people to say they're overrated and Texas sucks.

584
00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:39,040
Speaker 4: And they're not back. They needed that, and I.

585
00:28:38,960 --> 00:28:41,880
Speaker 5: Think Sark's going to use that. Baylor is not an

586
00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:46,040
Speaker 5: impressive football team whatsoever. They don't really have anything that

587
00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:50,160
Speaker 5: scares me. The roster talent here is ridiculous when you

588
00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:55,000
Speaker 5: compare the two this offense. You know, I'm not really

589
00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:57,000
Speaker 5: not enamored with the.

590
00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:59,840
Speaker 4: Wide receiver rotation. I'd like to.

591
00:28:59,760 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 5: See, you know, a little bit more Xavier Worthy. You know,

592
00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:10,520
Speaker 5: I don't know, Donna Mitchell, Like, get those two guys

593
00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:13,920
Speaker 5: out there, throw them fifteen passes each. The other receivers

594
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:18,120
Speaker 5: are fine, they're great, that's awesome, but no target.

595
00:29:17,360 --> 00:29:20,160
Speaker 1: Of just streaks down the middle of the field. Give

596
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:21,400
Speaker 1: them a little more complicated round.

597
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:24,160
Speaker 5: Get them the ball, you know, and and you know

598
00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:26,720
Speaker 5: that that's nothing against winning and all.

599
00:29:26,600 --> 00:29:28,720
Speaker 4: Those other guys, but get those two dudes at the

600
00:29:28,720 --> 00:29:31,800
Speaker 4: ball when you were to you know, sync with them.

601
00:29:32,280 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 5: The offense should dominate Baylor.

602
00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:36,080
Speaker 4: I'm I'm laying the fifteen.

603
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:39,560
Speaker 5: I believe that Texas last week that was a good

604
00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:40,600
Speaker 5: game that was needed.

605
00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:41,800
Speaker 4: It's the good buffer.

606
00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:44,160
Speaker 5: They won a huge game. Then they blow a game.

607
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:46,239
Speaker 5: I know they did. They weren't be able to lose

608
00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:48,800
Speaker 5: to Wyoming, but they were an upset alert.

609
00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:51,160
Speaker 4: I think that's gonna be important. So it just with

610
00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:54,000
Speaker 4: Florida State, same thing. That was the game that's needed.

611
00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:55,000
Speaker 4: Now they're gonna fail.

612
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:55,920
Speaker 3: Door.

613
00:29:56,120 --> 00:29:58,000
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on this game, because, like I said,

614
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:01,560
Speaker 1: everything i've read says take Baylor plus the points at home,

615
00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:03,600
Speaker 1: and I get it because Texas does like to drop

616
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:07,080
Speaker 1: one here or there. But like Mike mentioned that there's

617
00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:10,280
Speaker 1: just a discrepancy in talent. Texas has lost games in

618
00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:13,440
Speaker 1: that scenario before, don't I know. But I don't know.

619
00:30:13,480 --> 00:30:16,720
Speaker 1: This one looks like Texas should win pretty big here.

620
00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:21,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, my line is Texas minus seventeen point eight. I

621
00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:25,240
Speaker 2: have mixed feelings on this game though Baylor always plays

622
00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:26,000
Speaker 2: Texas hard.

623
00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 6: Baylor hates Texas. Yeah, this is the show in town

624
00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:30,040
Speaker 6: for them.

625
00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:33,040
Speaker 2: So if you're gonna get awesome effort for Baylor in

626
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:35,920
Speaker 2: any game this year, this would be the one here.

627
00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:39,600
Speaker 2: But you're just wondering if they have enough. They still

628
00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:41,920
Speaker 2: have the quarterback injury. I'm not a big fan of Shape,

629
00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:44,560
Speaker 2: and but Sawyer Robertson, the guy who's played the last

630
00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:46,120
Speaker 2: couple of games, hasn't.

631
00:30:45,840 --> 00:30:49,840
Speaker 6: Been very good. He's different than Shape and Sawyer Robertson.

632
00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:52,640
Speaker 2: Well, he takes more chances, for sure, he likes to

633
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:54,960
Speaker 2: throw down the field more often, but he turns the

634
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:57,760
Speaker 2: ball over more often and the accuracy at this point

635
00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 2: has not been good, which I can't totally on him.

636
00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:04,560
Speaker 2: The Baylor receiving corps is not very good, like we

637
00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 2: had all those years with Briles, where every year they

638
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:10,720
Speaker 2: had the awesome receiving corps. That seems like it's gone away.

639
00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:13,680
Speaker 2: But Sawyer Robertson at this point forty point, I'm sorry,

640
00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 2: forty five point two percent completion percentage one to three

641
00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:21,080
Speaker 2: TDI and T rate. Yeah, you wonder about that. And

642
00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:23,720
Speaker 2: then the running game as well hasn't been great. Baylor's

643
00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:27,000
Speaker 2: eighty sixth right now in rushing success rate. And what's

644
00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:30,000
Speaker 2: really disappointing about this Baylor team. The offense is what

645
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:32,400
Speaker 2: it is, and you had the quarterback injury, so you

646
00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:35,920
Speaker 2: can give give them an excuse. Dave Randa's defense at

647
00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:39,640
Speaker 2: this point is sixty third sp plus. You don't associate

648
00:31:39,680 --> 00:31:42,480
Speaker 2: that with Dave randon defenses. But over these past couple

649
00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:45,240
Speaker 2: of years, you lose Trell Bernard, you lose Jalen Pedrie,

650
00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:48,680
Speaker 2: you lose Ika the planet sized guy in the middle,

651
00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:52,800
Speaker 2: and they they've clearly regressed on defense. They haven't been

652
00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:54,600
Speaker 2: good this year. The only team they've beaten is an

653
00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:57,400
Speaker 2: FCS team. They got upset by Texas State and the

654
00:31:57,400 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 2: opener at home. Obviously, they you know, had a better

655
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,360
Speaker 2: effort against Utah but ended up losing that one as well.

656
00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:05,680
Speaker 2: This is this is a long way to give a

657
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:08,000
Speaker 2: short story. I think I'm gonna be staying away from

658
00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:11,920
Speaker 2: this game just because of the potential that Baylor's that

659
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 2: their effort is elevated. But in a vacuum, just with

660
00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:17,840
Speaker 2: the value Texas would have, the Texas side would have

661
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:18,480
Speaker 2: the value here.

662
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:21,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's all gonna be on Sawyer the QB for Baylor.

663
00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:23,560
Speaker 1: I think, you know, like you said, if he hits

664
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:27,040
Speaker 1: those big plays, because he's taking those shots downfield, they're

665
00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:28,760
Speaker 1: gonna be in this game. But if he's missing those

666
00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:30,760
Speaker 1: and they're going for turnovers, it's gonna be a blood bath.

667
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:33,280
Speaker 1: It's going to not be good. So we'll see how

668
00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:36,560
Speaker 1: that turns out. Like Thorpe said, probably watch that one.

669
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:39,840
Speaker 1: This one number fourteen Oregon State a three point road

670
00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:43,720
Speaker 1: favor at number twenty one Washington another PAC twelve rank

671
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 1: matchup here, the money is on Oregon State.

672
00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:48,760
Speaker 3: Thor how do you see this one going?

673
00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:53,120
Speaker 2: Yeah this I'm gonna be a bystander on this one too.

674
00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:56,800
Speaker 2: My line is Oregon State minus three point six. But

675
00:32:56,960 --> 00:32:59,960
Speaker 2: my concern with, you know, the idea of backing Oregon's

676
00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 2: State here is how tough it is to play in Pullman,

677
00:33:03,320 --> 00:33:05,960
Speaker 2: and if I don't feel like I got real value

678
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:09,120
Speaker 2: on the side of the road team that's coming in there,

679
00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:11,840
Speaker 2: it's going to be really difficult for me to pull

680
00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:14,320
Speaker 2: the trigger. I made this point a bunch of times

681
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:16,560
Speaker 2: already this season, but Washington State is one of the

682
00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:21,160
Speaker 2: best covering home against the spread teams over the last decade,

683
00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:23,680
Speaker 2: just because it's really tough to play there. I love

684
00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:28,120
Speaker 2: this Oregon State team, you know, offensive efficiency number ten

685
00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:31,960
Speaker 2: in success rate. They take away your explosive plays on offense.

686
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:35,120
Speaker 2: But cam Moored his prerogative is to throw short anyway

687
00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:37,160
Speaker 2: and do the quick hitting stuff and try to get

688
00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:39,000
Speaker 2: yack opportunities for me.

689
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:40,840
Speaker 6: I'm going to be a bystander in this one. I

690
00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:42,720
Speaker 6: just don't think there's value on either side.

691
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:46,080
Speaker 3: Farrel, what do you think about this one? Do you

692
00:33:46,120 --> 00:33:47,400
Speaker 3: have a good lean one way or the other?

693
00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:49,120
Speaker 4: It's a tough line.

694
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:53,640
Speaker 5: I mean, Washington State bead a Wisconsin team that doesn't

695
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 5: look that good and still has to transition for you know,

696
00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:58,120
Speaker 5: to approaching staff new offense. All that.

697
00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 4: It's stuff. They beata Palaado State that you know, had

698
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 4: their super.

699
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:04,200
Speaker 5: Bowl last weekend and play tough. But we don't really

700
00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:07,720
Speaker 5: even know how good Colorado is. So I'm not a

701
00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:12,239
Speaker 5: Washington State believer. I'm not a cam Warton believer, but

702
00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:14,880
Speaker 5: Pullman is a tough place to play. We went heavy

703
00:34:15,040 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 5: on them covering against Wisconsin. The three points is just

704
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:23,240
Speaker 5: a nightmare line because we don't know how good Oregon

705
00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:25,880
Speaker 5: State is either. I mean San Jose State, UC Davis

706
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:28,520
Speaker 5: and Diego State don't really give us much. God this

707
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:32,359
Speaker 5: a better coach, This is a better team. If I'm

708
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:35,839
Speaker 5: leaning one way, I'm taking Oregon I mean Oregon State.

709
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:38,399
Speaker 5: But I'm not touching this one in either. I mean,

710
00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:41,239
Speaker 5: it's just too difficult to go on to Bowman and

711
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:45,440
Speaker 5: the three is just the worst line ever, you know,

712
00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 5: making make it three and a half, make it two

713
00:34:47,640 --> 00:34:47,799
Speaker 5: and a.

714
00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:49,840
Speaker 4: Half, do something for me. I'm not touching this.

715
00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:53,320
Speaker 1: So if it moves, if you get a hook, I

716
00:34:53,320 --> 00:34:56,600
Speaker 1: would take if you get this to come down big Oregon.

717
00:34:56,320 --> 00:34:59,120
Speaker 4: State, I mean that's my lean. I'm not touching it though.

718
00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:01,279
Speaker 5: But or In State as my lean, I think they're

719
00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:05,480
Speaker 5: a better football team, think they're a better defense, and

720
00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:06,520
Speaker 5: I think they're better coach.

721
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:09,680
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the big dog of the week,

722
00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:13,920
Speaker 1: Number six, Ohio State at number nine Notre Dame, Ohio

723
00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:16,319
Speaker 1: State is a three point road favorite in South Bend.

724
00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:19,560
Speaker 1: Fifty three and a half is the total here, tickets

725
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:23,160
Speaker 1: of cash just slightly on the Notre Dame side. But Mike,

726
00:35:23,200 --> 00:35:25,360
Speaker 1: this is going to be a very very good game.

727
00:35:25,440 --> 00:35:27,520
Speaker 1: Like I said, game of the week here. Do you

728
00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:29,200
Speaker 1: have a good feel one way or the other in

729
00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:29,560
Speaker 1: this one?

730
00:35:29,640 --> 00:35:34,400
Speaker 4: Yeah? I think Ohio State here. You know this was

731
00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:35,400
Speaker 4: obviously the opener.

732
00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:39,560
Speaker 5: Last year, Notre Dame game playing very well. Marcus raymland

733
00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:43,399
Speaker 5: and pressed me as a coach. You know, Ohio State

734
00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:44,439
Speaker 5: was supposed to drill them.

735
00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:45,520
Speaker 4: They didn't.

736
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:48,560
Speaker 5: I think they could drill him this time. I know

737
00:35:48,680 --> 00:35:51,000
Speaker 5: Notre Dame has come out strong. I know Sam Martin

738
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:55,680
Speaker 5: has been effective. Estimate is I mean they got it?

739
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:58,440
Speaker 5: You know, I don't want to use Nick Chubb as

740
00:35:58,480 --> 00:35:59,319
Speaker 5: an example because of.

741
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:02,239
Speaker 4: The Orble injury. Yeah, but that's that guy, is Nick Chubb.

742
00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:05,360
Speaker 5: I mean he's just a monster to handle.

743
00:36:05,520 --> 00:36:06,160
Speaker 3: He's a bruiser.

744
00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:07,080
Speaker 6: Yeah.

745
00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:08,680
Speaker 4: You know in Ohio State has.

746
00:36:08,520 --> 00:36:12,279
Speaker 5: Some defensive deficiencies. You know, the secondary still isn't playing great,

747
00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:14,480
Speaker 5: and you know their their.

748
00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:15,520
Speaker 4: Front is talented.

749
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:17,359
Speaker 5: I mean they got edge guys that get rushed.

750
00:36:17,400 --> 00:36:17,920
Speaker 4: They don't have.

751
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:20,239
Speaker 5: Tackles that can stop the run. So I think they're

752
00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:23,279
Speaker 5: to run the ball effectively. But to me, this is

753
00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:25,840
Speaker 5: going to come down to, you know, the better roster,

754
00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:28,640
Speaker 5: the better skill, the better you know, more.

755
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:33,600
Speaker 4: Speed on offense. Ohio State, he's gonna put it together.

756
00:36:33,680 --> 00:36:35,439
Speaker 5: They're not gonna win this game big. I think they're

757
00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:37,960
Speaker 5: gonna win by ten thirteen points. But I'm lay in.

758
00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:41,400
Speaker 1: Ohio State where you feel the same way you on

759
00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:43,839
Speaker 1: Ohio State, or you like the fighting irish here.

760
00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:45,960
Speaker 6: Notre Dame is gonna win this game.

761
00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:50,719
Speaker 4: Because of a cord. You don't like the cord. What's

762
00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:51,759
Speaker 4: the problem with the court?

763
00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 3: He's average.

764
00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:55,760
Speaker 2: I don't love you know, I don't love them a cord.

765
00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:58,600
Speaker 2: But also, Notre Dames pass defense is really good. I

766
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:01,800
Speaker 2: think that they can address what Ohio State is trying

767
00:37:01,840 --> 00:37:04,239
Speaker 2: to do. I think Notre Dames pass defense number two

768
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:06,480
Speaker 2: in success rate right now. Where you would want to

769
00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:08,480
Speaker 2: attack Notre Dame if you had your drothers would be

770
00:37:08,560 --> 00:37:11,760
Speaker 2: the run defense. But rushing offense has been Ohio State's

771
00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:14,920
Speaker 2: weakness to this point. Those are some of my problems.

772
00:37:14,920 --> 00:37:16,680
Speaker 2: And then the other thing. I don't think people realize

773
00:37:16,680 --> 00:37:18,839
Speaker 2: how good that Notre Dame offense has been so far

774
00:37:19,400 --> 00:37:22,360
Speaker 2: four games. All of them they've gone over forty points

775
00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:24,839
Speaker 2: and they run at I think it's the ninety.

776
00:37:24,560 --> 00:37:26,319
Speaker 6: Eighth adjusted pace in the nation.

777
00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:28,759
Speaker 2: They're not moving, they're not trying to score like that,

778
00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:31,000
Speaker 2: you know, in terms of that race to it every

779
00:37:31,040 --> 00:37:34,719
Speaker 2: single time. But in terms of efficiency and offensive explosiveness,

780
00:37:34,719 --> 00:37:37,520
Speaker 2: they're top fifteen in the country and both those things

781
00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:40,200
Speaker 2: on a per play basis. They can run the ball

782
00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:42,759
Speaker 2: and they're going to force Ohio State to tackle them.

783
00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:44,839
Speaker 2: They're also Notre Dame is going to win the line

784
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:48,360
Speaker 2: of scrimmage battle here. They have a very good offensive line.

785
00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:51,839
Speaker 2: So you know, it's both the Notre Dames defense can

786
00:37:51,880 --> 00:37:54,719
Speaker 2: address what Ohio State wants to do on offense and

787
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:58,160
Speaker 2: then the other way around. I think the defense Ohio

788
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:00,200
Speaker 2: State is going to be given some trouble here by

789
00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:00,719
Speaker 2: Notre Dames.

790
00:38:00,719 --> 00:38:04,200
Speaker 5: Offense are money land in this Yeah you are, okay.

791
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:07,560
Speaker 5: So my my take on is just like the explosives

792
00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:11,040
Speaker 5: Geame speed at last date, I think is so it's

793
00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:14,359
Speaker 5: gonna be an interesting game. We definitely disagree on this one.

794
00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:16,880
Speaker 5: I can't see all last on this up and losing

795
00:38:16,920 --> 00:38:17,800
Speaker 5: this football game.

796
00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:21,800
Speaker 4: Man, if they do. Ryan Day is in big trouble.

797
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:25,800
Speaker 2: Parl come to this Saturday live show a ten am

798
00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:28,400
Speaker 2: Eastern to eleven thirty am Eastern. Come to that with

799
00:38:28,440 --> 00:38:30,319
Speaker 2: an idea for a bet for us to make on

800
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:30,680
Speaker 2: that game.

801
00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:31,960
Speaker 3: Oh I like it.

802
00:38:32,280 --> 00:38:35,759
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's gonna have to be something where, you know,

803
00:38:35,960 --> 00:38:37,000
Speaker 5: woman to get at it.

804
00:38:37,040 --> 00:38:37,960
Speaker 3: We need the boxing.

805
00:38:38,080 --> 00:38:40,319
Speaker 1: We need somebody to make the boxing poster for you

806
00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:41,920
Speaker 1: guys too. We need stats and stuff.

807
00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:43,960
Speaker 4: We'll have to figure this out.

808
00:38:43,960 --> 00:38:45,600
Speaker 6: You've got a couple of days to figure it out.

809
00:38:45,640 --> 00:38:47,440
Speaker 4: I don't think anybody wants to know our eight and

810
00:38:47,480 --> 00:38:50,239
Speaker 4: weight though. I'll our Thors thin these days. It's like

811
00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:51,920
Speaker 4: super super trim.

812
00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:53,640
Speaker 6: But no.

813
00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:59,439
Speaker 1: U Thor dropped all the weight this summer. Man, he's

814
00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:03,400
Speaker 1: looking liquor right now. Number twenty four Iowa at number

815
00:39:03,440 --> 00:39:06,680
Speaker 1: seven Penn State, same line that they had against Illinois

816
00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:09,200
Speaker 1: last week against a ranked team here, fourteen and a

817
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:11,480
Speaker 1: half Penn State is the home favorite. Forty and a

818
00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:14,360
Speaker 1: half is the total here, Thor, we'll start with you

819
00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:19,440
Speaker 1: on this one. Money and tickets are on the Iowa side,

820
00:39:19,520 --> 00:39:23,840
Speaker 1: not you know, too favorably, but the lean is towards Iowa.

821
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:24,200
Speaker 3: Here.

822
00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:28,160
Speaker 1: This is going to be you know, looks like it's

823
00:39:28,160 --> 00:39:31,080
Speaker 1: going to be an ugly big ten game. But what

824
00:39:31,120 --> 00:39:33,799
Speaker 1: are your thoughts? Do you think Penn State lays the

825
00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:36,640
Speaker 1: points here and wins or are you expecting a more

826
00:39:36,680 --> 00:39:39,800
Speaker 1: of a gross dog fight game that is low scoring.

827
00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:42,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, at fourteen or above, this would have been a

828
00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:46,440
Speaker 2: smash spot on Iowa. They do good in these spots.

829
00:39:46,440 --> 00:39:49,440
Speaker 2: They do really good as double digit underdogs. They just

830
00:39:49,640 --> 00:39:52,239
Speaker 2: muddy every game up. As you guys know, they'll either

831
00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:54,799
Speaker 2: come down to their opponent, or they'll play up to

832
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:58,560
Speaker 2: the opponent, or more, you know, more accurately drag the

833
00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:02,160
Speaker 2: opponent down to their level. They're better and I've seen

834
00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:04,399
Speaker 2: him have success in this spot and in the white

835
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:07,360
Speaker 2: out game at Penn State. Like the Iowa team is

836
00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:10,160
Speaker 2: a team that is not intimidated by the road environment.

837
00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:13,000
Speaker 2: They seem to play up because of it. My big

838
00:40:13,040 --> 00:40:15,360
Speaker 2: concern here, though, why this one I might be on

839
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:19,600
Speaker 2: the sidelines of, is because Iowa's offense, already not good,

840
00:40:20,120 --> 00:40:22,759
Speaker 2: is going to be without their best pass catcher by far,

841
00:40:23,239 --> 00:40:25,480
Speaker 2: in an offense where they funneled the usage to the

842
00:40:25,520 --> 00:40:26,000
Speaker 2: tight end.

843
00:40:26,320 --> 00:40:28,480
Speaker 6: Luke Leche, who have been banging.

844
00:40:28,160 --> 00:40:31,279
Speaker 2: The drum for as an underrated draft prospect, he is

845
00:40:31,320 --> 00:40:33,120
Speaker 2: out for the season because of a leg injury that

846
00:40:33,160 --> 00:40:36,600
Speaker 2: he suffered last week. So Eric all, now he's gonna

847
00:40:36,600 --> 00:40:38,759
Speaker 2: get the tight end looks and stuff like that, and

848
00:40:38,760 --> 00:40:40,319
Speaker 2: then you're gonna have to bring in someone else because

849
00:40:40,320 --> 00:40:44,160
Speaker 2: obviously I was stays in twelve personnel. That's something to

850
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:46,200
Speaker 2: watch for here where I'm not sure how that that

851
00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:49,319
Speaker 2: offense adapts. They don't have too many other directions to go.

852
00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:51,719
Speaker 2: And then the other thing is their running back room

853
00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:55,120
Speaker 2: is danked up. Caleb Johnson, the starter at the beginning

854
00:40:55,120 --> 00:40:58,280
Speaker 2: of the season. I don't know when he's coming back.

855
00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:01,279
Speaker 2: He has a lower body injury. He missed the last game.

856
00:41:01,480 --> 00:41:03,839
Speaker 2: I don't think he plays this week either. And then

857
00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:07,759
Speaker 2: Jayshawn Patterson, the recher freshman from Florida. The Mike and

858
00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:09,719
Speaker 2: I had talked about a week or two ago. He

859
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:12,360
Speaker 2: had shown something in week two, he had really flashed,

860
00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:14,560
Speaker 2: and I was expecting him to blow up. Last week

861
00:41:14,600 --> 00:41:17,320
Speaker 2: against Western Michigan. We didn't see that because he was

862
00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:21,680
Speaker 2: banged up. He's day to day right now. Officially they

863
00:41:21,680 --> 00:41:24,319
Speaker 2: still have Lashawn Daniels there, but if Iowa only has

864
00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:26,040
Speaker 2: the one running back and then they don't have any

865
00:41:26,080 --> 00:41:28,120
Speaker 2: depth you know, you're concerned about an injury there, and

866
00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:31,400
Speaker 2: Lashawn's not as dynamic as the other two guys. So

867
00:41:31,600 --> 00:41:34,600
Speaker 2: those are my concerners of the Iowa offense. But I

868
00:41:34,640 --> 00:41:36,359
Speaker 2: don't know that I could lay the points with Penn

869
00:41:36,400 --> 00:41:39,200
Speaker 2: State here, just with the defense Iowa has, the special

870
00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:41,439
Speaker 2: teams Iowa has, and how good they play on the road.

871
00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:43,920
Speaker 6: It's probably gonna be a bystander game for me.

872
00:41:44,760 --> 00:41:46,560
Speaker 1: Mike, what do you think about this game? Are you

873
00:41:46,640 --> 00:41:49,440
Speaker 1: on the Penn State side? Are you with thor and

874
00:41:49,920 --> 00:41:51,839
Speaker 1: either staying away or if you're going to do it,

875
00:41:52,120 --> 00:41:53,080
Speaker 1: take the points.

876
00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:56,399
Speaker 5: Well, I'm not going on the side here. I don't

877
00:41:56,440 --> 00:42:00,000
Speaker 5: like the number. I'm going on the under. And Iowa

878
00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:03,240
Speaker 5: kind of screwed me last week without forty one points

879
00:42:04,880 --> 00:42:08,959
Speaker 5: just ruined my theory of Iowa and Iowa State under

880
00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:12,520
Speaker 5: all season. And they were losing that game early or

881
00:42:12,600 --> 00:42:16,839
Speaker 5: struggling early, and they just for them against a horrible team,

882
00:42:16,880 --> 00:42:19,640
Speaker 5: they exploded fir points. But as THORA mentioned, they're banged

883
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:23,200
Speaker 5: up like crazy and Leche is their best bass catcher.

884
00:42:24,320 --> 00:42:25,960
Speaker 5: I don't think they're gonna put up a lot of points,

885
00:42:26,040 --> 00:42:27,439
Speaker 5: and I think they know it. I think they're gonna

886
00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:32,200
Speaker 5: play their slow, methodical, boring offensive game plan. And Penn

887
00:42:32,280 --> 00:42:35,640
Speaker 5: State and Aler last week it didn't impress me much

888
00:42:35,680 --> 00:42:39,759
Speaker 5: at all offensively. And they you know, their strength is

889
00:42:39,840 --> 00:42:40,319
Speaker 5: running the.

890
00:42:40,280 --> 00:42:41,000
Speaker 4: Football as well.

891
00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:43,200
Speaker 5: They got these two great running backs. I think it's

892
00:42:43,200 --> 00:42:45,080
Speaker 5: gonna be a low scoring game. I think it's gonna

893
00:42:45,120 --> 00:42:47,760
Speaker 5: be you know, black churner.

894
00:42:48,600 --> 00:42:49,839
Speaker 4: I think Penn State's gonna win.

895
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:52,120
Speaker 5: I don't know if they're gonna win by fourteen or

896
00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:55,400
Speaker 5: more or fifteen. I do think it's gonna be a

897
00:42:55,400 --> 00:42:56,239
Speaker 5: low scoring game.

898
00:42:56,280 --> 00:42:57,400
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna take beyonder.

899
00:42:58,160 --> 00:43:00,959
Speaker 1: All right, gentlemen, that that's our ten games, and I'll

900
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:01,719
Speaker 1: ask you both this.

901
00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:02,640
Speaker 3: We'll start with you, Mike.

902
00:43:02,920 --> 00:43:05,800
Speaker 1: Anything we missed, any good leans that you're on, any

903
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:09,360
Speaker 1: strong feelings about any other games that we didn't mention here, that's.

904
00:43:09,160 --> 00:43:09,960
Speaker 4: A good question.

905
00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:12,680
Speaker 5: You know, there's gonna be a lot of props sudden

906
00:43:12,800 --> 00:43:17,040
Speaker 5: we're looking into. I'm curious to see what the you know,

907
00:43:17,120 --> 00:43:22,160
Speaker 5: passing prop for Milroe is and and I think is

908
00:43:22,280 --> 00:43:24,719
Speaker 5: rushing prop he's gonna go over this week. I think

909
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:26,880
Speaker 5: the you know, against Ole miss but I think the

910
00:43:26,920 --> 00:43:29,560
Speaker 5: passing prop is going to be probably set pretty low

911
00:43:30,000 --> 00:43:31,680
Speaker 5: and I'm still going to bang the under on it.

912
00:43:32,760 --> 00:43:34,960
Speaker 5: Other than that, I mean, this is a great slate.

913
00:43:36,000 --> 00:43:39,600
Speaker 4: I'm probably I'm probably gonna go on the over on

914
00:43:39,719 --> 00:43:42,839
Speaker 4: Sugar s Anders pass Anekus. Why not. They're gonna have.

915
00:43:42,840 --> 00:43:46,960
Speaker 5: To throw the times and evil that pravits but basically numbers,

916
00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:47,759
Speaker 5: So you.

917
00:43:47,760 --> 00:43:49,520
Speaker 4: Know it's gonna be more props for me.

918
00:43:50,320 --> 00:43:52,960
Speaker 5: These games are juicy enough where you don't really have

919
00:43:53,040 --> 00:43:58,200
Speaker 5: to focus on anything but these games. But I'm liking

920
00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:03,080
Speaker 5: me some do uh you know lately. You know, they're

921
00:44:03,080 --> 00:44:06,520
Speaker 5: one of those teams that kind of quietly taken care

922
00:44:06,560 --> 00:44:07,880
Speaker 5: of business when it comes to spread.

923
00:44:08,040 --> 00:44:10,760
Speaker 1: Riley Leonard screwed me on the passing yards by two

924
00:44:11,400 --> 00:44:14,080
Speaker 1: last week. It was two twenty and a half and

925
00:44:14,080 --> 00:44:16,600
Speaker 1: he had two nineteen. They just needed two more yards.

926
00:44:16,600 --> 00:44:18,480
Speaker 1: They had a four leg party.

927
00:44:18,520 --> 00:44:19,480
Speaker 5: They don't care.

928
00:44:19,600 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 4: He doesn't care about offensive numbers at all.

929
00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:24,399
Speaker 3: That the whole fourth corner they didn't They didn't pass

930
00:44:24,440 --> 00:44:24,759
Speaker 3: the ball.

931
00:44:24,800 --> 00:44:26,839
Speaker 1: They just I think they might have passed it one

932
00:44:26,880 --> 00:44:28,680
Speaker 1: time and missed, but they were up so much they

933
00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:31,160
Speaker 1: just ran and ran and ran and ran the clock out.

934
00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:33,759
Speaker 1: Oh man, that one made me so mad last week.

935
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:37,320
Speaker 5: So you know they're playing my home state, Yukon Husky

936
00:44:37,440 --> 00:44:39,240
Speaker 5: is here, and I'm going to lay the number there.

937
00:44:39,320 --> 00:44:42,120
Speaker 5: But there's such a good slate of games that I

938
00:44:42,160 --> 00:44:43,120
Speaker 5: don't have to look elsewhere.

939
00:44:43,160 --> 00:44:45,399
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go heavy and door.

940
00:44:46,080 --> 00:44:48,000
Speaker 1: Like I asked for Mike, anything that we missed that

941
00:44:48,080 --> 00:44:51,600
Speaker 1: you're heavy on, whether it be a game and a

942
00:44:51,680 --> 00:44:52,800
Speaker 1: total or props.

943
00:44:52,840 --> 00:44:53,359
Speaker 3: What do you got?

944
00:44:53,920 --> 00:44:58,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I bet Troy minus three hosting Western Kentucky on Sunday.

945
00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:01,280
Speaker 2: It's at three and a half. Now, I'd still fire

946
00:45:01,400 --> 00:45:04,160
Speaker 2: on Troy there. My line on it was Troy minus

947
00:45:04,160 --> 00:45:08,359
Speaker 2: four point one. But Western Kentucky obviously they're a throw

948
00:45:08,440 --> 00:45:11,600
Speaker 2: throw throw team. Their receiving corps banged up right now.

949
00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:17,560
Speaker 2: Michael Mathieson was already out and now Delvin Smith. Mathieson

950
00:45:17,719 --> 00:45:20,400
Speaker 2: was out with a hip injury and he's out in definitely.

951
00:45:20,480 --> 00:45:22,560
Speaker 2: And Delvin Smith now he missed the last game with

952
00:45:22,560 --> 00:45:26,480
Speaker 2: a foot injury. So it's really just Malachi Corley there

953
00:45:26,520 --> 00:45:29,000
Speaker 2: for Austin Reid now and Corley he missed the game

954
00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:31,520
Speaker 2: himself in the first couple of weeks with an injury

955
00:45:31,520 --> 00:45:33,840
Speaker 2: and was able to come back against Ohio State. But

956
00:45:34,239 --> 00:45:37,320
Speaker 2: the other big conservative with Western Kentucky is their defense,

957
00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:39,800
Speaker 2: which the last couple of years ranked top five in

958
00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:42,640
Speaker 2: the nation in takeaways, which is one reason that they

959
00:45:42,680 --> 00:45:46,600
Speaker 2: sort of overachieved. They lost everybody over the offseason, and

960
00:45:46,640 --> 00:45:49,440
Speaker 2: now it's not just they're not taking the ball away anymore.

961
00:45:49,480 --> 00:45:53,560
Speaker 2: So you had the dramatic regression of that, but qualitatively,

962
00:45:53,600 --> 00:45:56,920
Speaker 2: it's also weight down and so that defense has just cratered.

963
00:45:57,600 --> 00:46:00,879
Speaker 2: Troy can run the ball effectively, and the passing game,

964
00:46:01,719 --> 00:46:03,560
Speaker 2: you don't love it when they have to throw in

965
00:46:03,600 --> 00:46:05,879
Speaker 2: games like that when they're coming from behind. You don't

966
00:46:05,880 --> 00:46:09,680
Speaker 2: want gunner Watson in that situation. But when Vidal gets going,

967
00:46:10,160 --> 00:46:12,800
Speaker 2: that's when that passing game can open up. And Watson

968
00:46:12,840 --> 00:46:15,000
Speaker 2: could do is you know, throwing the guys two yards

969
00:46:15,000 --> 00:46:17,680
Speaker 2: in front of the line of scrimmage thing and they

970
00:46:17,719 --> 00:46:19,920
Speaker 2: can you know, try to get you out of the box.

971
00:46:19,960 --> 00:46:22,520
Speaker 2: And then the quick hitting passing game goes from there.

972
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:25,040
Speaker 2: And Troy is a really good defense. They have the

973
00:46:25,400 --> 00:46:29,200
Speaker 2: guys in the secondary to combat this matchup. Certainly with

974
00:46:29,239 --> 00:46:32,959
Speaker 2: where WKU's receiving core the straits of it right now,

975
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:35,680
Speaker 2: so I'd still be on sure with where that number is.

976
00:46:36,200 --> 00:46:40,200
Speaker 1: All right, sounds like a plan, gentlemen. Good luck and

977
00:46:40,239 --> 00:46:42,040
Speaker 1: we will see you guys next So you remember you

978
00:46:42,040 --> 00:46:45,319
Speaker 1: can follow us all on Twitter at door Ku at

979
00:46:45,520 --> 00:46:48,440
Speaker 1: m ferrell Sports to Ours, two l's at Bogging Sports

980
00:46:48,440 --> 00:46:49,920
Speaker 1: for myself, We will see.

981
00:46:49,800 --> 00:46:51,720
Speaker 3: You guys next week. Take it easier, everybuddy,